Stok
Stok
Stok
Home
Blog
Blueprint
Resources
Contact
Cart
Checkout
Legal
Top
Tradingriot.com
January 24, 2021
Trading
The 7 Best Trading Indicators – That Actually Work
Some people love them as they help them guide through the financial markets and
looking for setups.
But some are strongly against them as they label them as tools for “retail” traders
that lag and don’t work.
In this article, we will have a look at some trading indicators that actually work.
Because I won’t be covering the basic indicators such as moving averages or RSI.
You need to use some of the more advanced trading platforms to be able to trade
with these technical indicators.
I will explain the fundamental basics behind these indicators and provide you with
actionable tips.
But bear in mind that these indicators are still just tools that should be helping
you in your decision making, not a standalone trading system by themselves.
If you are interested to see how I use these indicators in my personal trading, you
can check out the Trading Blueprint.
Table of Contents
If we take a look at a simple price chart, the only thing you see is the Japanese
candlesticks or bars.
Some of these are based on price action itself, and most of them are based on some
average from previous data points.
Do trading indicators work?
When you think about technical indicators, the first thing that might come up to
your head is moving averages, RSI, MACD, or Ichimoku cloud.
Most traders that are trading for a while and think they know everything about
trading will tell you that these are useless and you should not be using them in
your trading at all because they just lag behind the price.
And although indicators I will try to show you more sophisticated and unknown
indicators than classic moving averages, I wouldn’t throw these MAs away.
There is no right or wrong in trading and there can be days where experienced DOM
traders can be outperformed by traders who use simple moving average crossover in
their trading.
On the other hand, these more basic technical indicators tend to give more false or
not working signals and they are very dependant on the trading environments the
market is currently in.
In trending markets, RSI can be overbought or oversold for days or weeks before
markets reverse, but it can work great in a bracketing market where you simply fade
and extremes of a range.
rsi
As you can see RSI on Bitcoin got overbought on the 19th of October 2020.
At that time price was around $12,000. If you started shorting Bitcoin based on an
overbought RSI indicator, you would set yourself up for a very painful ride.
But if we change a timeframe and look at intraweek timeframe where Bitcoin stayed
more so in range, using RSI to fade extremes would bring decent results.
On the other hand, something like moving average can be an excellent technical
indicator to use in strong trends but will provide you false signals in ranges.
At the first sight, the cumulative volume delta looks similar to any other
oscillator like previously mentioned RSI, or Macd, Stochastics, etc.
There are several ways how to incorporate Delta in your trading with Cumulative
Volume Delta (CVD) being the easiest one for beginning traders. The other methods
are described in the Trading Blueprint.
In healthy trends, delta (market orders) should go hand in hand with limit orders.
Once this breaks we can start looking for either absorption or lack of
participation.
Both of these should raise a red flag and you should start paying attention to the
opportunity to either fade the move or exit your position.
As represented in the picture above, there are two types of divergences you want to
look for. Lack of participation (exhaustion) and absorption.
Lack of participation happens when price makes new high/low but cumulative delta
does not.
This is the exact opposite and it happens when CVD runs to a new high/low but the
price doesn’t.
It tells us that aggressive buyers/sellers are getting too excited but their
attempt is absorbed by limit orders that are heavier hand in this case.
Although it is quite complicated to get any useful reading from legacy markets, if
you are trading cryptocurrencies there is an Open Indicator built right in
Exocharts.
The open interest represents the total number of contracts currently opened in the
market.
When the price is going either up or down with OI increasing, it can be considered
a healthy move.
If the price is not supported by increasing OI we have a Longs/Short covering.
open interest
Compared to cumulative volume delta, you are not looking so much for divergences,
but validations of current movements and what is going on in the overall context.
As you can see in the example above, there was a large increase in Open interest,
yet the price did not move up and ended up in resistance.
This shows us large volumes rushing into resistance yet price barely moving, in
other words, this is an example of absorption.
There is no reason to try to debunk every price move and try to figure out what
other participants are doing, especially in crypto where orderflow is fragmented
through several exchanges.
But using indicators such as Open Interest or Cumulative Volume Delta can give you
a very quick heads up on what is going on.
Volume weighted average price (VWAP) is a very popular indicator which a lot of
different options.
In essence, VWAP is just any other moving average but puts a Volume into the
calculation.
You can use it both for trend-following and mean reversion by adding standard
deviation bands.
VWAP is not a complicated indicator to use and there is no magic behind it, but
with a variety of options and the fact that volume is implemented into the
calculation, it is a great indicator to have in your toolkit.
If you are interested in how exactly I enter those trades, you can check out the
Trading Blueprint.
Pivot Points
Although a lot of traders instantly disregard them as their think their way of
marking out horizontal support and resistance is much better.
If you look at how Pivot Points are calculated you will find out quite an
interesting formula.
Pivot points are extremely straight forward, they plot horizontal support and
resistance on your chart.
pivot points
In general, higher timeframe pivot points like Weekly, Monthly, or Yearly pivot
points work much better compared to daily or hourly pivots.
If you add these to your charts, you should take them what they are, automated
support and resistance levels.
On the other hand, they can work like great confluence when building your trading
ideas.
Naked Points of Control
Speaking of automated support and resistance areas, the Naked Points of Control can
be very easily plotted to your chart and used as a line in the sand which
oftentimes gets a reaction once reached.
Points of control are part of trading with Volume profile, so if you want to
utilize this tool properly you should have a deeper understanding of why they exist
in the first place.
In short, Naked points of control are price points with the most traded volume
during a given trading day/week, etc.
Once price tests the naked point of control from the prior day, you can look for
confirmation on lower timeframes and entering the market.
Naked points of control and pivot points are very straight forward indicators with
the low effort of plotting on your chart.
Don’t expect them to be perfect, but once you start to monitor them, you will see
that reactions happen more often than not.
And as I already mentioned, they are one of my favorite lines in the sand during
every trading day.
Opening range and initial balance is not something you will find as an indicator in
many trading platforms.
On the other hand, they are ranges that happen at some time during the day,
therefore can be easily plotted to your chart and you can implement them easily to
your trading strategy.
The initial Balance comes from trading with the Market profile and it represents
the first hour of regular trading hours.
In Bitcoin, the Initial Balance is the first hour at daily open which is at
Midnight GMT.
CME indices like E-mini S&P500 or Nasdaq have an Initial balance in the first hour
after open at 9:30 am EST.
Eurex products like Dax, Stoxx, or Bund have their initial balance first hour after
open at 8:00 am CET.
The opening range comes from trading pits and it usually represents the first 1-
minute of cash hours.
You might find other settings on the internet so it is not unusual to see someone
using the first 30-seconds or the first 5-minutes.
As you can see on the chart above, this is the opening range represented of the
first 1-minute of RTH session on E-mini S&P500.
These easily plotted levels can be used through the trading day as support and
resistance.
Matter the fact there are several traders who were able to build whole trading
strategies on trading the opening range.
The most famous one being Pax, you can have a look at this interview with Anthony
Crudele where he breaks down his opening range trading strategy.
If you are trading breakouts from the Initial balance or opening range you are
hoping to capture the trend days where the price will just rally straight from the
open.
This might not happen often so your strike rate will be below average, but from
time to time you will be able to capture a great runner.
If you are able to incorporate solid risk management, you can have a long term
profitable edge which is very easy to execute.
In my trading, I don’t trade these as blind levels but use them for confluence.
Large size trackers
They are always called a little different so if you are using Sierra Chart look for
Large Volume Trade Indicators.
They are always called different but they show the same thing, executed orders
filtered by size.
As you can see on this E-mini S&P500 chart, there were large sell orders executed
at the bottom of the sharp selloff.
These can signal both stop-orders from longs or breakout short traders trying to
push lower.
Either way, this is telling us one thing, that someone is getting too large, and
once the price showed a lower timeframes signs of reversal, this level is prime for
entry.
If you look at other dots in the chart above, you might start to think they happen
in the most random place and you are not wrong.
We never 100% know the intention of other traders and that is why I always
recommend everyone to pay attention to these only in the area of interest.
If we take a look at the same chart on the 30-minute timeframe we can see the
market just tested the fresh level of SR after the false break below the double
bottom.
Pure price action traders always assume these things to happen but with an
indicator like this, you can be certain and you will find out that it will highly
boost your confidence in your trading idea.
Conclusion
It is mostly because people tend to look at few same ones that are included in
every beginner trading book or course.
Truth is that the indicators I showed you in this article and many others can work
as amazing tools for confluence in your trading.
SHARE
0
Adam
chaos
Post a Comment
Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment.
Latest Posts
Trading Blueprint
Templates for Sierra Chart, Exocharts and Quantower €79,00 Trading Blueprint
v2.0 Rated 5.00 out of 5
€177,00
Do you want to save 10% off Trading Blueprint and never miss new articles? Enter
your email below!
Email address:
FOLLOW ME