Autism Spectrum Disorder: Outcomes in Adulthood: Review
Autism Spectrum Disorder: Outcomes in Adulthood: Review
Autism Spectrum Disorder: Outcomes in Adulthood: Review
CURRENT
OPINION Autism spectrum disorder: outcomes in adulthood
Patricia Howlin a,b and Iliana Magiati c
Purpose of review
Until recently, there has been little systematic study of adult life among individuals with autism spectrum
disorder (ASD) but recognition of the high psychological and social costs of ASD has led to an increase in
adult-focused research over the past decade. The aim of this review is to summarize recent empirical
findings on outcomes for adults with ASD.
Recent findings
Most research on adult outcomes in ASD indicates very limited social integration, poor job prospects and
high rates of mental health problems. However, studies vary widely in their methodology, choice of
measures and selection of participants. Thus, estimates of how many adults have significant social and
mental health problems are often conflicting. There is little consistent information on the individual, familial
or wider social factors that may facilitate more positive social and psychological outcomes. There is a
particular dearth of research on older individuals with ASD.
Summary
The very variable findings reported in this review reflect the problems of conducting research into lifetime
outcomes for individuals with a condition as heterogeneous as ASD. Much more systematic research is
needed to delineate different patterns of development in adulthood and to determine the factors influencing
these trajectories.
Keywords
adulthood, aging, autism, autism spectrum disorder, developmental trajectories, outcome
AIMS
a
Department of Psychology, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and
The aim of the present article is to review data from
Neuroscience, King’s College, London, UK, bFaculty of Health Sciences,
recent studies on adults with ASD with respect to: University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia and
c
Department of Psychology, National University of Singapore, Singapore
(1) Social outcomes Correspondence to Patricia Howlin, PhD, MSc, BA, Department of
(2) Trajectories of change over time Psychology, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s
(3) Factors related to outcome College, London SE58AF, UK. E-mail: [email protected]
(4) Mental health Curr Opin Psychiatry 2017, 30:69–76
(5) Mortality and aging DOI:10.1097/YCO.0000000000000308
0951-7367 Copyright ß 2017 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved. www.co-psychiatry.com
that when subjective factors such as satisfaction Is there ‘recovery’ from autism spectrum
with life, good physical and mental health, adequate disorder?
living conditions, supportive and fulfilling social The identification of individuals with ‘Very Positive
&&
and family relationships are taken into account, Outcomes’ [18 ] raises the question of whether
adult outcomes may be more positive than usually there can be ‘recovery’ from ASD. The Swedish
& &
reported. Thus, within a US cohort studied over follow-up [8 ,19 ] also identified a small group of
several decades [12 ] (n ¼ 60; mean age 32 years),
&&
adults (11 out of 50) who no longer met diagnostic
many participants experienced relatively good sub- criteria for ASD. All had an IQ in the average range,
jective Quality of Life (QoL) and their mean scores had friends and were living independently, and all
on the World Health Organization Quality of Life but one was employed. Nevertheless, although
measure [13] were comparable with those of the eight, either currently or in the past, had a partner
general population. In the Swedish cohort of indi- or were married, romantic relationships were lower
&
viduals with Asperger syndrome [8 ], scores on a than in the general population; three also had some
subjective quality of life measure [14] were also current psychiatric comorbidity. An earlier study
within the average normative range (albeit at the [20] described 34 children (mean age 12 years; mean
lower end of that range). Nevertheless, despite these IQ 111) who, although initially meeting ASD
more positive findings, a recent meta-analysis of criteria, were currently functioning ‘within normal
&&
studies of QoL across the lifespan [15 ] concluded limits’. Recent, more detailed data analyses, how-
that individuals with ASD, including those of higher ever, [21–23] indicate persisting subtle difficulties in
intellectual and verbal ability, have a poorer QoL social understanding, pragmatic communication,
than their non-ASD peers. attention, self-control and emotional maturity
and in psychiatric morbidity. As yet, there are no
data on this cohort in adulthood and it is uncertain
TRAJECTORIES OF CHANGE OVER TIME whether these remaining differences will abate or
Research on trajectories of development in ASD become more evident with age.
generally indicates improvements over time
& & & &&
[8 ,16 ,17 ,18 ] but, again, there is considerable
variability. An 8–10 year follow-up [16 ,17 ] in
& &
FACTORS RELATED TO SOCIAL
the United States of over 300 individuals (mean OUTCOMES IN ADULTHOOD
age at follow-up 22 years; 70% with IQ < 70) found
that one-third (35%) showed improvements in non- Intellectual and verbal functioning
verbal communication, 58% in verbal communi- Intellectual and verbal functioning in childhood are
cation, 40% in social interaction and 61% in among the strongest prognostic indicators in ASD
repetitive/stereotyped behaviors and interests. Mal- [3]. Few individuals with a childhood IQ below 70,
adaptive behaviors improved in 42%. Only 12% or who fail to develop functional speech, live inde-
showed a worsening in total autism symptoms pendently as adults and job prospects and social
and 11% in maladaptive behaviors. integation are particularly poor. In addition, they
Another longitudinal study in the United States show less improvement in cognitive or social skills,
&&
[18 ] examined progress in 85 individuals first seen and greater increases in ritualistic behaviors over
as children. In early adulthood (mean age 19 years), time than individuals with an average IQ in child-
& & &&
most (77, 91%) continued to meet ASD criteria; of hood [16 ,17 ,18 ]. Nonverbal mental age at 2 years
these, 53 had an IQ below 70 and 24 had an IQ of at is also predictive of independence in daily living
&
least 70. Eight individuals (all IQ>70) who no longer skills at age 21 [24 ]. Unsurprisingly, too, persisting
met criteria were described as having a ‘Very Positive communication and intellectual impairments in
Outcome’ (VPO). Trajectories of change (IQ, com- adulthood (especially if associated with epilepsy)
munication, social functioning and repetitive are associated with low levels of social attainments
&
behaviors) among the VPO group were significantly and independence [6 ]. Nevertheless, even among
more positive than for participants with IQ below individuals with a childhood IQ at least 70, out-
70. There were also some significant differences comes can vary widely. Some show very few autism
between the VPO group and participants of average symptoms or cognitive difficulties as young adults,
IQ who still met diagnostic criteria. The authors whereas others continue to experience significant
&&
suggest that further research focusing on different problems [18 ]. The relationship between IQ and
patterns of developmental trajectories may be outcome in higher functioning samples also
important for identifying different genetic causes depends on the variables studied. Thus, among
& &
as well as having implications for more individually the Swedish Asperger syndrome cohort [8 ,19 ],
tailored interventions. current IQ correlated highly with academic success,
0951-7367 Copyright ß 2017 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved. www.co-psychiatry.com 71
but not with independent living, friendships or also explored the effects of stress in two groups of
marital status. adults with ASD (n ¼ 38, 40; mean ages 23–24 years;
rates of employment 37–47%; and living independ-
ently 17–21%). These adults experienced signifi-
Autism symptom severity cantly more stressful life events and stress than
Another established predictor of adult outcome is community controls, and levels of global stress sig-
& &
autism severity [3]. In the Swedish study [8 ,19 ], nificantly predicted overall social functioning and
higher levels of autism symptomatology, both in social disability. In a long-term follow-up in the
&&
childhood and adulthood, were associated with United States [12 ], current levels of perceived
reduced independence, lower rates of employment stress, together with frequency of bullying in child-
and more limited social relationships. Similarly, hood, were the two factors consistently linked
&
within the French cohort [6 ], no adults with a with poorer adult self-reported quality of life. In
childhood diagnosis of ‘severe autism’ were judged turn, good quality of life was positively correlated
to have a ‘good’ outcome; in contrast, 40% of those with better-developed daily living skills and good
with ‘moderate autism’ and all those with a child- physical health.
hood diagnosis of Asperger syndrome were rated as
having a ‘good’ outcome.
Mental health
Data on rates of psychiatric disorders in ASD are
Gender &
highly variable. In a UK longitudinal study [30 ] of
The role of gender remains uncertain as most studies 58 adults originally diagnosed as children (mean IQ
&
involve so few women [25 ]. There are some sugges- 69; mean age 44 years), 28% had at some time
tions that women with ASD have poorer social out- experienced mild-to-moderate mental health prob-
&
comes, especially with respect to employment [10 ] lems, and 28% had severe or very severe difficulties.
&& &
and quality of life [11 ] than men. However, other A retrospective case review [31 ] of 474 adults
& &&
studies [16 ,26 ] report no significant impact of attending an ASD diagnostic clinic in the UK found
gender on autism symptoms, behavior problems that around half (57%) had a comorbid psychiatric
or social outcomes. disorder. A similar figure (54%) was reported in a
large US database study [32 ] (n ¼ 1507 adults with
&&
Conflicting data on rates of mental health prob- (53 vs. 12%) and more mood disorders than women
lems in ASD are due to many factors, including (32 vs. 6%).
differences in sampling, the range of conditions Data on substance abuse are, yet again, contra-
&
selected for study and the diagnostic procedures dictory. In the German cohort [8 ], more women
and measures used. Although, overall, the data than men had drug abuse problems (19 vs. 9%) but
indicate that psychiatric morbidity is higher in fewer had alcohol abuse/dependence (12 vs. 20%).
&& &&
ASD that in the general population [32 ], until In contrast, in the US sample [32 ], drug/alcohol
there is greater methodological consistency across problems were more frequent in men (drugs 5 vs.
studies, it remains impossible accurately to estimate 3%; alcohol 4 vs. 2%).
the true risk. Findings on the relationship between mental
Estimates of substance abuse disorders are also health and age are equally confusing. The German
&
contradictory. A Swedish epidemiological study study [8 ] found that young adults (<40 years)
[37 ] (n ¼ 26 986 individuals with ASD and 96 557
&
showed less psychopathology than those over 40.
&
controls) reported a substantially increased risk of In the US longitudinal study [39 ], women were
drug [odds ratio (OR) 8.5] and alcohol abuse/ more likely to show greater increases in anxiety
dependence (OR 4.0); risks of substance-related and depressive symptoms over time, whereas ado-
crime (OR 1.4), or deaths linked to abuse were also lescent males had more depressive symptoms that
&
high (OR 3.0). A German study [8 ] recorded sim- were maintained into young adulthood. In contrast,
&&
ilarly high rates of drug abuse (12%) or alcohol- a study including a much wider age range [33 ]
related problems (18%). In contrast, in the US data- (n ¼ 344, age 19–79 years) concluded that psycho-
&&
base [32 ], alcohol abuse/dependency was ident- pathology declined with age, with fewer adults in
ified in 3% and drug abuse/dependency in 4%. the older age group (55–79 years) meeting criteria
&
Combined rates of these problems in the UK [31 ] for any psychiatric diagnosis and particularly social
&
and Swedish [19 ] samples were also low (2 and 4%, phobia. Discrepancies here are likely because of the
respectively). This inconsistency is highlighted in a very small number of older adults in the two
recent systematic review of substance abuse in ASD former samples.
[38 ] (n ¼ 18 studies; 11 epidemiological). Although
&&
Findings concerning the relationship with other
estimates were generally low, figures ranged from variables that are frequently associated with mental
0.7 to 36%, making it impossible to establish a health in the general population (i.e. cognitive
reliable prevalence figure. The only consistent find- functioning, social economic status and living situ-
ing noted in the review was the lack of knowledge ations, as well as life events and family factors)
among professionals on how to treat this group of remain inconclusive and inconsistent.
patients, and the dearth of intervention research.
0951-7367 Copyright ß 2017 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved. www.co-psychiatry.com 73
suicide, and men from diseases of the nervous and how many experience a good psychological and
circulatory systems. The most common cause of physical quality of life. More importantly, we are
death in individuals with ID and ASD was epilepsy. a long way from identifying the individual, family or
This study [40] also found that death by suicide environmental factors that enhance resilience and
was significantly elevated among cognitively able ensure social and psychological well being in adult-
individuals with ASD (OR 9.4). However, there is hood. High-quality adult outcome research must be
little consistent information on suicidal behaviors a priority if we are to meet the needs of current and
or ideation, or how frequently these result in serious future generations of adults with ASD.
or fatal suicide attempts, and reported rates of
suicide in ASD vary widely (from <10 to >50%) Acknowledgements
&
[41 ]. For example, suicide attempts occurred in None.
&&
only 2% of the US database cohort [32 ]. In the
Swedish Asperger study [19 ] (n ¼ 50), 13 individuals
&
4139.
essing speed, attention, verbal memory, cognitive Authors highlight the huge costs of ASD in the United States and predict that this
will continue to rise over the next decade.
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importance of educational inclusion and maternal praise/warmth. problems experienced by individuals with ASD.
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continued to show ASD impairments and a small group (n ¼ 8) with IQs in the less likely to experience mental health problems than younger individuals. The
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Discussion article highlighting how little is known about the role of sex and gender across studies makes difficult to establish a general prevalence rate. The authors
in ASD. highlight the lack of high-quality research in this area.
0951-7367 Copyright ß 2017 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved. www.co-psychiatry.com 75
39. Gotham K, Brunwasser SM, Lord C. Depressive and anxiety symptom 46. Lever AG, Geurts HM. Age-related differences in cognition across the adult
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affective and anxiety disorders were high, but men and women showed different apparent in old age in ASD; other skills (e.g. visual memory) show less decline with
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instrument development and comparison between autistic adults and adults
factors related to early death in ASD.
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44. Salvatore T, Brown J, Hastings B, et al. Suicide risk in adults with [Epub ahead of print]
autism spectrum disorder: an exploratory discussion. J Special Popul 53. McKenzie K, Ouellette-Kuntz H, Blinkhorn A, Démoré A. Out of school and into
2016; 1:1–11. & distress: families of young adults with intellectual and developmental dis-
45. Lever AG, Werkle-Bergner M, Brandmaier AM, et al. Atypical working memory abilities in transition. J Appl Res Intell Disabil 2016; doi: 10.1111/jar.12264.
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Psychol 2015; 124:1014. This study describes the high levels of stress experienced by many families during
See note to [46]. their sons’/daughters’ transition from school.