Eng Econ Internal and External ROR
Eng Econ Internal and External ROR
Eng Econ Internal and External ROR
Nidal Hussein
Present worth (PW)
Future worth (FW)
Annual worth (AW)
Internal rate of return (IRR)
External rate of return (ERR)
Payback period (generally not appropriate as
a primary decision rule)
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
The IRR is that interest rate at which a project just breaks even.
Example
Suppose $100 is invested today in a project that returns $110 in
one year.
$110
1 year
$100
P = F(P/F,i*,1) or 100 = 110/(1+ i*)
i* = 0.1 = 10%
Internal Rate of Return (IRR), cont’d.
How to calculate the IRR for complex cash flows:
PW(disbursements) = PW(receipts)
FW(disbursements) = FW(receipts)
AW(disbursements) = AW(receipts)
PW(disbursements) = JD500
PW(receipts) = JD160(P/A,i*,5)
JD500 = JD160(P/A,i*,5) or (P/A,i*,5) = 3.125
Using interest rate tables, trial -and-error, and linear interpolation
i* = 18.14
Internal Rate of Return Comparisons
1- IRR for Independent Projects
Example
A project pays $1000 today, costs $5000 a year from now, and pays
$6000 in two years. What is its IRR?
Solution:
PW(receipts) = PW(disbursements)
1000 - 5000(P/F, i*,1) + 6000(P/F, i*,2) = 0
$1000 $6000
0 1 2
-$5000
(P/F, i*,N) =1/(1+i*)N
Substitute in the above equation:
(i*-1)(i*-2) = 0
The roots of this equation are: i* = 1 and i* = 2.
This project has two IRR: 100% and 200%
Project Balance:
End of Year at i* = 100% at i* = 200%
0 $1000 $1000
1 1000(1 + 1) - 5000 1000(1 + 2) - 5000
= -$3000 = -$2000
2 -3000(1 + 1) + 6000 -2000(1 + 2) + 6000
=0 =0
External Rate of Return (ERR)
Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR)
Definition:
External Rate of Return Method (ERR), denoted by i*e ,
is the rate of return on a project where any cash flows that are
not invested in the project are assumed to earn interest at a
predetermined explicit rate (usually the MARR).
Example 5.8 (p. 140):
A project pays $1000 today, costs $5000 a year from now, and
pays $6000 in two years. What is its rate of return? Assume that
the MARR is 25%.
$1000 $6000
0 1 2
-$5000
Solution:
The $1000 is not invested immediately in the project.
Assume that it is invested elsewhere at the MARR for the first
year.
The cumulative cash flow at the end of year 1 is:
1000(F/P,25%,1) - 5000 = -$3750
Example 5.8, cont’d.:
The new cash flow diagram:
$6000
1 2
-$3750
0 1 2 j j +1 j + 2 N
When to Use ERR
- If the project has multiple IRR, then the ERR can be used in
the analysis.
Why Choose One Method over the Other?
- Rate of return methods and present worth/annual worth methods give the
same decisions.
- Payback period: discriminates against long term projects, ignores time value
of money and expected service life.