Study RB Future of Health
Study RB Future of Health
2020
Future of health 2 |
The rise of healthcare platforms
MANAGEMENT SUMMARY
Future of health 2 /
The rise of healthcare platforms
Our second Future of Health survey, building on our 2019 investigation, provides
some answers to these questions. Industry insiders are expecting even stronger
growth of digital health than a year ago, partly driven by the Covid-19 pandemic.
They see customer experience as the number-one success factor of platforms,
more important even than perceived health benefits. Healthcare providers are
best positioned to "own" patients, while tech companies have a stronger starting
point when it comes to preventive care. Rather than consolidation, the industry is
expecting platforms offering specific services to retain their important role in the
period until 2025 – particularly in Europe.
Ultimately, it appears that everything is still to play for. Healthcare players must
fine-tune their radars and identify upcoming trends in the market. Only then can
they define an appropriate strategy for their business, be that building their own
platform or entering into partnerships with other players. Access to a strong
network of platforms will be a key success factor for all types of players, and this
may require boosting the company's "collaborative IQ".
For all types of healthcare players, the key message is clear. It is time to define
a platform strategy – and with no clear winner in sight, there is no time like the
present to make your platform play.
PAGE CONTENTS
4 1 A sector in transition
Platforms are transforming healthcare
19 3 Our recommendations
Healthcare players must prepare for the next normal
Cover photo KTSDESIGN/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY/Getty Images
T
here is no doubt about it: Digitalization has TYPES OF HEALTHCARE PLATFORMS
transformed our day-to-day lives. Hardly an hour A wide range of platforms currently occupy the healthcare
goes by when we do not go online to book a ride space, ranging from "pure data platforms" to "integrated
with Uber, arrange a vacation with booking.com or order meta-platforms". The field is highly fragmented: In
some new product from Amazon. Our regular, everyday our survey, the results of which we present below, no
activities have to a large extent shifted onto digital one platform was mentioned more than three times
platforms. by respondents as an example of best practice. Yes,
We all know what "digital platforms" are in practice, platforms are critically important. But right now it
but how can we best define their role and function? is impossible to say which particular platforms will
Broadly speaking, digital platforms bring together dominate in the future – or whether, indeed, this is how
customer groups with similar interests, using network the landscape will develop.
technologies and often data pools to provide superior We can classify the different platforms found
services to customers, such as a wider choice of in healthcare by the following categories: pure data
service providers. They strive to achieve critical mass platforms, platforms with horizontal integration,
and eventually dominate their markets. Already, they platforms with vertical integration, and integrated meta-
encompass practically all areas of the economy. platforms.
The healthcare market is no exception. There is little First up is the pure data platform. These platforms
doubt among experts that platforms will also transform create value out of collecting and analyzing large amounts
the healthcare sector in the coming years. Industry of data, which is then used to improve diagnoses and
platforms already integrate healthcare services and generate personalized treatment plans, as well as better
different technologies to provide a customized, end- and more tailored products and services, ultimately
to-end solution for users and patients. Applying new leading to better outcomes. Pure data platforms also
business models, they enable an improved customer enhance patient engagement. For example, 23andMe,
experience with easy access to different services and which provides a direct-to-consumer genetic testing
treatments, greater efficiency and – in theory, at least – service, has access to data from more than 9 million
improved outcomes. patients.1 IQVIA, a global provider of advanced analytics,
Compared to platforms in other industries, healthcare technology solutions and clinical contract research
platforms are both more complex and more fragmented. valued at around EUR 9 billion, has access to millions
Want to order lunch? Simply visit your favorite platform of items of data from patients, providers and payors.
and choose between the offers from different restaurants, Amazon, thanks to its cooperation with Cerner, now has
listed side by side on the website. Want an online medical access to around 200 million pieces of patient data.2
consultation? That is not quite so straightforward. Type Platforms with horizontal integration generally focus
"online doctor" into Google and you get more than four either on a specific indication, such as cancer or diabetes,
million hits in less than a second. Healthcare consumers or on a specific treatment setting, such as health
are currently faced with a large number of single-solution
providers offering different services with various pricing 1
echnology review (2019): More than 26 million people have taken
T
an at-home ancestry test
models. More often than not, they are left feeling confused 2
Beckers Hospital Review (2019):
– and not a little exasperated. How-amazon-is-making-strides-in-the-healthcare-space
4 | Focus
A: Meta-platforms interlink players across the healthcare system
Tencent's network of healthcare players in China
Platform "AI" –
health indicator
monitoring NOVARTIS
Disease information
and services
Collection
MERCK
of millions of pieces
of patient data for
AI-based analysis Platform for AI-
based diagnostics 38,000 accounts
WeChat of health service
providers
iCarbonX Miying
24,000 health
Healthcare applications
Distribution of
e-commerce platform
for health products with
300 million customers TENCENT
Access to
virtual assistant
JD.COM Babylon
Platform So-Young
for beauty
treatments
WeDoctor
Shuidi
Huzhu
Online
Payment of appointments with
hospital bills in about
WeChat
Trusted Health approximately
2,000 hospitals Pay 290,000 doctors
Doctors insurance
Ambulatory care as based on and 2,700 hospitals
subscription model crowdfunding
6 | Focus
2 / More change is coming
INDUSTRY EXPERTS GIVE THEIR PREDICTIONS FOR THE NEXT FIVE YEARS
H
ow does the healthcare industry see platforms
developing in the period to 2025? To find out
what industry insiders think, we carried out Customer experience
a survey of more than 500 experts from around the
globe.5 This was the second in our series of major is the key success
industry surveys on the future of health, following on
from our 2019 study. We also carried out qualitative factor for platforms;
research into the top 100 healthcare platforms
worldwide.6 trust and health benefit
The results of our research were in many cases
surprising. In particular, the survey reveals how come next.
actors right across the healthcare industry have
changed their minds about the future of the market
since last year. We look at six of our key findings
below.
5
Outpatient care will see the most 5
urvey respondents came from Germany, Austria and Switzerland (44%), the
S
disruption rest of Europe (25%), Asia-Pacific (14%), Middle East (8%) and the rest of the
world (9%). They included industrial players (23%), healthcare providers (21%),
startups and tech companies (19%), health insurers (9%), political bodies (2%)
6 Everything is still to play for and other stakeholders (26%).
6
We selected the 100 platforms with the highest number of associated
stakeholders. The market leaders together count more than 300 million users.
7
This figure represents the mean of the experts' estimates.
WHAT PERCENTAGES OF HEALTHCARE SPENDING DO YOU BELIEVE WILL BE SPENT ON DIGITAL PRODUCTS/
? SERVICES IN THE YEAR 2025?
8% Europe
~232
1 Result calculated as weighted average of medians. Estimated to be higher than 2019 survey
Covid-19 is one of the many factors accelerating the expanded, both across borders and across the value chain,
development and acceptance of digital healthcare. The and many companies have launched new platform services.
pandemic has created new demand from health consumers, More than three-quarters of respondents in the survey
particularly for remote services, and greater acceptance believe that the pandemic will speed up the provision of
of such services in general. Digital infrastructure has digital healthcare by at least two years as the public adapts
developed accordingly, with regulations such as the Digital to contactless mechanisms for medical treatment. Digital
Healthcare Act (DVG) in Germany and similar legislation diagnostics and treatments will become increasingly
in other countries facilitating reimbursement of digital normal, with people only visiting their physician if it is
medical solutions by payors. Mergers and acquisitions have unavoidable. C
8 | Focus
C: Covid-19 is speeding up the development of digital healthcare
Impact of the pandemic on online health services
? BY HOW MANY YEARS WILL THE COVID-19 CRISIS ACCELERATE THE PROVISION OF DIGITAL HEALTHCARE?
50%
2-3 years
>78%
expect
provision of digital healthcare
to accelerate by at least 2
>3 years
2. PLATFORMS BUILD ON CUSTOMER it seems, is the key criterion when it comes to health
PROXIMITY AND RELATIONSHIPS apps – something that players should keep in mind
Three-quarters of respondents believe that patients when developing platforms. Trust in the platform is the
will increasingly be the owners of their health data and number-two factor, and only then come health benefits
will decide who to grant access to, up 16 percent on in number-three position. D
last year's survey. For the industry this means that the
entry point to platform systems is critical. Surprisingly, 3. OWNERSHIP OF PLATFORMS IS KEY
customer experience is considered the number-one One of the key questions that everyone in the industry
success factor, not perceived health benefits. Usability, is asking is who will win the platform game? The survey
WHAT ARE THE MOST IMPORTANT SUCCESS FACTORS FOR PLATFORMS TO ATTRACT AND RETAIN
? CUSTOMERS? (MULTIPLE ANSWERS POSSIBLE)
Customer experience
72%
Credibility/trust
67%
Perceived health benefit
64%
Data security
Customer
46%
experience (cx)
Range of services is an important
43% success factor for
all players
Size of community on platform
28%
Being the first to address customer
18%
Pre-existing customer relationship
17%
results offer some important insights into current startups, are expected to occupy different spaces in the
thinking in the industry. Respondents appear to believe market. E
that different types of players will "own" different types This leads to some important questions. For example,
of customers: Healthcare providers are best positioned how do tech companies pass customers on to providers
to access patients – individuals who already have health when they fall ill? Why is the industry not expected to
problems – while tech companies are better positioned play a key role in the prevention segment? And how can
when it comes to prevention, due to the enormous the fragmented provider sector manage the question of
amount of behavioral data on users that they possess. ownership? Here, the survey reveals a certain disconnect
Healthcare providers and tech players, including between how players see themselves and how others view
10 | Focus
E: Providers in best position to "own" patients
Preferred points of access for healthy individuals and patients
7% 7%
7% Pharma, Pharma,
Healthcare medtech, etc. medtech, etc.
providers
(inpatient/ 26% 10% 30%
hospital) Big tech players Startups/ Healthcare provider
(Google, grownups (inpatient/hospital)
Facebook, etc.)
16%
Healthcare
providers Healthy 10% Patients
(outpatient/ Big tech
doctor) individuals with health
(prevention) problems
14%
23% Health
21%
Health
Digital health
startups/
insurance 29%
Healthcare provider
insurance grownups (outpatient/doctor)
them. Around half of the health insurers in the survey see care platforms, fusing them to create a value-adding
themselves as being in the best position to own patients, meta-platform? What is clear is that whoever controls
that is, as the preferred provider for patients with actual the customer interface will be able to steer patients
health problems. But that view of insurers' importance towards particular providers, and will therefore enjoy a
is not shared by the rest of the expert group. significant competitive advantage.
Health insurers must decide on what their best
approach will be. Should they build their own platforms? 4. DIFFERENT TYPES OF PLATFORMS WILL
Or should they partner with tech companies for EMERGE
prevention-focused platforms and providers for acute- Today's healthcare platform landscape is highly
39%
38%
36%
34%
33%
30%
28%
12 | Focus
G: Coexistence of multiple platforms or oligopoly of platforms with individual focus
on services expected
Coexistence of platform models
4%
Monopoly, one player integrates
the other platforms – "winner
takes all"
fragmented. It would be logical to expect a certain amount in specific indications (mainly horizontally integrated
of consolidation to take place over the coming years. platforms, as discussed in Chapter 1). At the same
Yet, contrary to expectations, respondents believe that time, this year's survey shows less of an expectation
platforms offering specific services are likely to continue that Big Tech players such as Google or Amazon will
to play a major role in 2025. It may also be that Europeans be part of the healthcare system in the same way that
prefer highly specialized, personalized services and insurance companies and hospitals are today. Even
would not accept the dominance of a single, government- specialized platforms can expand and/or collaborate,
monitored meta-platform, such as Tencent or WeChat. F e.g. by combining telemedicine and drug delivery. But
The survey shows, for example, that platforms experts foresee different extents of integration. They
offering appointments with physicians or drug delivery are, however, in agreement that it will not lead to a
will gain in importance, as will platforms specializing monopoly. G
Level of
integration
Connecting DXY.cn
NHS Spine
patient,
doctor & ELGA
mySugr Ocean Health
pharmacy3 Systems
Kanta sundhed.dk
m.DOC United
Healthcare
Tianjin Weiyi DMP
Oscar Teladoc Health/ Chunyu
Livongo Yisheng
DoctorUna Tencent Trusted
Vidavo Doctor Hao Dai Fu
Connecting TeleClinic Samedi DoctoLib
patient & KRY
doctor4 Gnosco Meddy Ada Booking
Babylon
Clinic
Health
AbleTo
Gennev Iryo
Vezeeta Maven WebTeb
FutureDocs Fitbit
Shiatech
SPECIALIZED
Talkspace
Connections Pager PLATFORMS
for personal So-Young WITH LIMITED
use5 PatientsLikeMe REACH
Europe China Middle East United States Argentina Australia Others, not part of the analysis
1 Disclaimer: Figures are indicative and a snapshot of August 2020, estimations are based on accessible online resources, but deviations are possible.
2 Health institutions, dentists, psychologists, etc. 3 Telemedicine, patient record, e-prescription 4 Telemedicine, patient record, engagement tool, booking
5 For private use of patients
Source: Roland Berger
14 | Focus
In our analysis of the top 100 platforms, we grouped
companies by their number of stakeholders and level of
integration. The results were in line with the findings It will be essential to
of the survey. Over three-quarters either operate as
single-solution providers or connect fewer stakeholders integrate the online and
than meta-platforms; often, they are both horizontally
and vertically integrated in order to create increased the offline world, say
84%
customer value and reach. H
Another finding of the survey, and one that is of the
utmost importance for healthcare players' strategy,
is that it will be essential to integrate the online and
offline worlds. The idea here is to ensure a seamless
journey for patients and other healthcare consumers.
As many as 84 percent of respondents expect to see
growth of platforms that combine virtual and real-world of respondents.
services. For example, patients may choose to access a
video consultation via a diagnostic platform, but if this
is insufficient for a valid diagnosis they will need to be
transferred to a specialist for a physical examination.
Ensuring that this transition is smooth will be critical.
This integration of online and offline realms is
not widespread as yet, but we see signs of it emerging.
Where it does occur, it often originates in the online
world. For example, Tencent initially operated online,
and only later started connecting real physicians to
the network. Sweden-based provider of digital doctor
appointments KRY's merger with Helsa, which runs
physical health centers, is another example; the merger
of the two companies makes it possible to offer patients
a combination of online and offline treatments.
One possible future scenario is the development of
patient-centered healthcare built around collaborative
ecosystems with different entry points, depending upon
the individual's needs (prevention, diagnosis, treatment).
Users – both healthy individuals and those requiring
treatment – will be able to access a combination of analog
and digital services, from consultations and fitness
programs to physiotherapy sessions.
Healthcare providers
64%
(outpatient/doctor) …
Healthcare providers
47%
(inpatient/hospital) …
1 Disruption potential of other players: startups: 32%, pharma 29%, medtech: 24%, others: 4%
Source: Roland Berger
5. OUTPATIENT CARE WILL SEE THE MOST Thus, the same category of players have both the
DISRUPTION biggest chance of "owning" patients and the biggest
Healthcare providers today enjoy the best access to chance of being disrupted. A contradiction? Not
patients and are therefore in a strong position to necessarily. Both statements are true for the category as
succeed with a platform play. However, providers of a whole, but some providers will succeed, while others
outpatient services and physicians face the greatest will be swallowed up or displaced by bigger platforms
risk of disruption in terms of their business model (64 or structures.
percent of responses in the survey). Other players at The outpatient sector will form a particular battle
risk of disruption are insurance companies (50 percent arena as it represents the normal entry point for patients
of responses) and providers of inpatient or hospital into the healthcare system. Our qualitative research
care (47 percent). Less at risk are startups (32 percent), on the top 100 healthcare platforms worldwide backs
pharmaceutical companies (29 percent) and medtech this up. Currently, more than 60 percent of the top
companies (24 percent). I healthcare platforms connect patients and physicians,
16 | Focus
J: Platforms will play an important role in providing and organizing healthcare
Will the following statements hold true for 2025?
Payors will offer digital diagnoses and therapies, insured members will use them
77% +29%
Patients will be the owners of their health data and will decide whom to grant access
76% +16%
Big tech players like Google or Amazon will be part of the healthcare system like insurers and hospitals today
57% -5%
including areas such as patient records, data transfer, consumers will partly pay for digital health solutions;
online booking systems and telemedicine. By contrast, more than 60 percent of respondents think that private
larger networks that include hospitals, pharmacies, customers will make out-of-pocket payments for
insurance companies and other health institutions are additional services. One possible scenario is that health
often government supported. insurers will pay for most digital solutions but, due
Who will pay for the services offered by platform to the sheer amount of innovation, a larger portion of
solutions? More than 80 percent of respondents believe healthcare services than today will be paid for by patients
that health insurance companies are most likely out of pocket. J
to continue acting as payors, as is traditionally the
case. However, legislation such as Germany's Digital 6. EVERYTHING IS STILL TO PLAY FOR
Healthcare Act (DVG) means that digital health solutions Our final key finding should give industry players food for
will become an established part of the public health thought. Compared to last year's survey, our respondents
insurance system. At the same time, it is likely that this year are even more certain that platforms will be
highly relevant in the future. Some 84 percent believe that healthcare platforms coexisting, each focused on specific
platforms will steer patients towards specific treatments, services, or an oligopoly of platforms, in which a small
therapies or disease management programs. All types of number of players offer services that cut across different
platforms are expected to grow in importance through medical conditions or fields. Fewer people than last year
2025, in a landscape characterized by a variety of digital expect the large consumer tech companies to dominate
platforms and both analog and digital services. the market. Rather, the consolidation might be driven
Notably, respondents are not expecting to see a from within the healthcare space. In any case, we will
"winner takes all" market. Everything is still to play for. likely see further consolidation in the period to 2025,
What is as yet unclear is whether we will see multiple with some players disappearing altogether.
18 | Focus
3/O
ur recommendations
HEALTHCARE PLAYERS MUST PREPARE FOR THE NEXT NORMAL
A
s platformization begins to transform the Given the variety of trends in existence, each
healthcare sector, players of all types, be they potentially pulling the industry in a different direction,
health insurance companies or hospitals, players would be well advised to employ a scenario-based
pharmaceutical concerns or medtech startups, must strategic planning approach. This involves developing
carefully consider their response. The next normal, multiple scenarios and strategic options. It stimulates
when we have learned to control Covid-19, will see companies to take a step back from their familiar
the dramatic restructuring of the economic and social environment and more traditional ways of thinking,
order in which business and society have traditionally and to reflect creatively. In so doing it helps them re-
operated. How can healthcare players prepare for this conceptualize their vision of the future, identifying new
radical transformation? Here is what we recommend. opportunities, counteracting volatility and ensuring that
they are receptive to any upcoming changes.
Amazon, as one specific example, has already fully
embraced this principle. By partnering with the IT
20 | Focus
Whatever your current role, be it insurer, hospital,
pharmaceutical company or medtech startup, it is
time to define your platform strategy. As yet, no clear
winner is visible. There is everything to play for.
22 | Focus
CREDITS AND COPYRIGHT
YOSHIHIRO SUWA
Southeast Asia
We welcome your questions,
comments and suggestions NAOKI TOKUMOTO
Japan
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