Design of Experiments
Design of Experiments
• “Best-guess” experiments
Introduction
- Used a lot
An experiment is a test or a series of tests in which purposeful - More successful than you might suspect, but there are
changes are made to the input variables of a system so we may observe and disadvantages…
identify the reasons for changes of the outpt response. Disadvantages:
1. Initial best guess does not produce the desired result
Experiments are used widely in the engineering world 2. Initial best guess produces acceptable results
– Process characterization & optimization
• One-factor-at-a-time (OFAT) experiments
– Evaluation of material properties
– Sometimes associated with the “scientific” or “engineering”
– Product design & development
method
– Component & system tolerance determination
– Devastated by interaction, also very inefficient
“All experiments are designed experiments, some are poorly designed, some • Statistically designed experiments
are well-designed” – Based on Fisher’s factorial concept
General model of a process or system – Factors are varied together instead of one at a time
Factorial Designs
The objectives of an experiment may include Determining:
In a factorial experiment, all possible
1. which variables are most influential on the combinations of factor levels are tested
response y The golf experiment:
2. where to set the influential x’s so that y is – Type of driver
almost always near the desired nominal – Type of ball
3. where to set the influential x’s so that – Walking vs. riding
variability in y is small – Type of beverage
4. where to set the influential x’s so that the – Time of round
effects of the uncontrollable variables z1, z2, – Weather
…, zq are minimized – Type of golf spike– Etc, etc, etc…
Benefits of DOX
• Reduce time to design/develop new products & processes
• Improve performance of existing processes
• Improve reliability and performance of products
• Achieve product & process robustness
• Evaluation of materials, design alternatives, setting component &
system tolerances, etc.
Factorial Designs with several factors Randomization
• Both the allocation of the experimental material and the order in
which the individual runs or trials of the experiment are to be
performed are randomly determined.
Blocking
Assuming that an experiment can be repeated many times and assuming that
there are one or more outcomes that can result from each repetition. Then,
the probability of a given outcome is the number of times that outcome
occurs divided by the total number of repetitions. Example 3. An office secretary tries to devise a coding scheme for certain
records using the digits 1 to 4. She wants to find the total number of codes
3.Classical approach- (priori problem, experimental) - can be used only when of different digits if only three of the four digits are used .
it is reasonable to assume that the possible outcomes of the experiment are Solution: 4 x 3 x 2 = 24 ways
equally likely. It is an accurate description of the frequency with which event
A will occur. PERMUTATION
Classical Formula It is the possible number of arrangements of different given objects
𝐧𝐨.𝐨𝐟 𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐀 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐨𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫 nPr = represents the number of permutation (order of arrangements) of n
P(A) = n(A) =
𝐧𝐨.𝐨𝐟 𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐞𝐱𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐜𝐞𝐞𝐝 different objects taken r at a time
𝒏!
nPr = (𝒏−𝒓)!
FUNDAMENTAL PRINCIPLE OF COUNTING (MULTIPLICATION RULE)
Consider an experiment taking in k stages. Let n1 denote the number PERMUTATION RULE
of ways in which stage i can occur for i = 1,2,3….k. Altogether the experiment 1. The number of permutations of n distinct objects taken n at a time
can occur for ∏ i k = 1ni= n1 •n2 •n3….nk ways is
𝒏!
P = (𝒏−𝒓)!
Example: 1. In how many ways can three coins fall?
n1 = 2 ; n2 =2; n3 = 2 Example: 1. In how many ways the radiologist assign 5 patients to undergo a
total number of ways = n1 x n2 x n3 = ? screening test for pulmonary tuberculosis x-ray?
Tree Diagram
Solution: The number of ways of selecting 5 patients one at a time is
5P5 = P(n,n) = n! = n(n-1)(n-2)… (3)(2)(1) =120 ways
3. The number of permutations of n objects of which n1 are identical In a class, there are 27 boys and 14 girls. The teacher wants to select 1 boy
n2 are identical (permutation of objects not all different) and 1 girl to represent the class for a function. In how many ways can the
𝐧! teacher make this selection?
P=
𝐧𝟏 !𝐧𝟐 !𝐧𝟑 !....𝐧𝐤
Solution :
Given 4 bulbs, three are red (R), and one blue (B). Then the number of ways
of arranging the bulbs in a string of wire is 4! / (3!)(1!) = 4 ways Here the teacher is to perform two operations:
4. The number of permutations of n distinct objects arranged in a (i) Selecting a boy from among the 27 boys and
circle (ii) (ii) Selecting a girl from among 14 girls.
P = (n-1)!
Example: In how many ways can we arrange 4 thermometers in a box The first of these can be done in 27 ways and second can be performed in 14
container? ways. By the fundamental principle of counting, the required number of ways
Solution. Fixing 1 thermometer, then the required number of possible is 27 × 14 = 378 ways.
arrangements is (4-1)! = 3•2•1 = 6 ways
SUMMARY
Here is a summary of the rules we have presented so far.
1. Probability Rule #1 states: For any event A, 0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1
2. Probability Rule #2 states: The sum of the probabilities of all possible
outcomes is 1
3. The Complement Rule (#3) states that P(not A) = 1 – P(A) or when
rearranged P(A) = 1 – P(not A) The latter representation of the Complement
Rule is especially useful when we need to find probabilities of events of the
sort “at least one of …”
4. The General Addition Rule (#5) states that for any two events, P(A or B) =
P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B), where, by P(A or B) we mean P(A occurs or B occurs
o[pp
DISCRETE AND CONTINOUS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION Example 2: Two fair coings
Exercises
Exercises 1
Exercises 2
Exercises 3 Variance
Standard Deviation
Example 1
Binomial Properties
Example:
Poisson Distribution
Cumulative Distribution
Exponential Distribution
ENGINEERING UTILITIES * Globally it is a similar picture. Buildings account for around 35% of
Course Introduction Part I resources, 40% of energy use, consume 12% of the world’s drinkable water
and produce almost 40% of global carbon emissions
Environmental Systems
* Producers of building materials can ensure this is done in ways so as not
* Every project needs a number of environmental systems [plumbing, to adversely affect the environment.
heating and ventilating, air-conditioning, and electrical], added to which are
* These Environmental Product Declarations or EPDs, show how products
the life-safety systems [sprinklers, alarms, detectors, and others of a
have been made in a sustainable way, minimizing energy usage and helping
mechanical nature; e.g., telephones and pneumatic tubes].
to protect the environment.
* Buildings have a big impact on the environment. Then, when in
is equal to the external load.
use, buildings are responsible for a significant proportion of all our carbon
𝑓
emissions. ... Poorly designed and constructed buildings use more energy,
𝑎
increasing the demand on energy production and contributing to global *In addition, many of the products and solutions produce go on to help
warming. minimize energy use in the buildings that have been built or renovated.
of Materials *Poorly designed and constructed buildings use more energy, increasing
* Its ability to withstand an applied load without failure or plastic the demand on energy production and contributing to global warming.
deformation. The applied loads maybe axial (tensile or compressive), or *Reducing energy use in buildings is one of the most important ways to
shear. reduce humans overall environmental impact.
* Also known as Mechanics of Materials, is focused on analyzing stresses *Construction industry has a significant impact on the environment.
and deflection in materials under load. According to some studies, construction is responsible for up to 50%
* Basically considers the relationships between the external loads applied to of climate change, 40% of energy usage globally, and 50% of landfill waste,
a material and the resulting deformation or change in material dimensions. not to mention air, water, and noise pollution and destruction of natural
habitat
*Buildings have a big impact on the environment. The construction and
renovation of buildings uses precious natural resources the measure of deformation of the material which is not a physical quantity
* Then, when in use, buildings are responsible for a significant proportion * Measured as the total
of all our carbon emissions. Environmental Designs
* Energy used in the construction and use of our homes and other * Environmental design is the process of addressing
buildings accounts for carbon dioxide emissions surrounding environmental parameters when devising plans, programs,
policies, buildings, or products. These fields include architecture,
geography, urban planning, landscape architecture, and interior design.
* Environmental Design embodies art direction, graphic design and aware of these and similar features, but they usually have no direct bearing
illustration. on the layout of the systems.
* Environmental Design can perform many functions: create visual *Basically, mechanical systems show a schematic layout. More often
wayfinding solutions; enhance a sense of community and identity; and can than not a particular waste line in a plumbing drawing or a conduit in an
communicate other important sets of information. electrical drawing will not be built in the exact position shown. This is not to
say that the installation is wrong or that it should be changed, although
* Energy use in buildings can be reduced while maintaining the comfort of
some inspectors may view it that way. It is a matter of fitting the system
the occupants. It was postulated that optimization of energy use in buildings
together and of running the lines to facilitate not only that system but to
can be achieved through the use of operating strategies which consider the
prevent conflict with others.
dynamic characteristics of comfort, the design and construction of the
building, and the environmental control system. * If the engineers and designers who produce these drawings are
aware of one another responsibilities more so in dealing with several
Building Environmental Control Systems
consultants. The plumbing drawings are produced primarily in a single line
*In addition to architectural drawings, every project needs a number of con text-basically a centerline. A number of symbols are entered in the lines
environmental systems [plumbing, heating and ventilating, air-conditioning, for proper identification, to show the vertical risers and vents as well as the
and electrical], added to which are the life-safety systems [sprinklers, horizontal runs, the interconnections of the fixtures, and, most important of
alarms, detectors, and others of a mechanical nature; e.g., telephones and all, where the pipe sizes change.
pneumatic tubes]. The sequence in which these drawings are done has a
* The plumber must also be informed of the architectural features; he
different orientation than the architectural drawings. In these systems,
or she cannot run a pipe past a window opening. The plumber must be
drawings show the building, and the various room areas, as shells in which
concerned with the materials used in the walls as well as their thicknesses.
the various environmental system equipment and devices are located.
* The plumbing engineer must work hand in hand with the architect to
* The complete array of systems must be included and fully delineated. The
produce drawings and construction details that are workable. Along with
outline of the building and rooms are shown lightly, so they can be
the plan the plumbing drawings have schematic isometric drawings that
differentiated from the systems work. They still must be reproducible and
show the risers in the third dimension and also the location of all the
readable. In the past, the building lines were drawn on the backs of sheets
fixtures
and were known as masks, ghosts, or backups. In this way, any erasure on
the front of the sheet would not necessitate redrawing the building. * In heating, ventilating and air-conditioning work the system is a little
more complicated. Although used in some cases, a single line drawing
*Today many offices use halftone prints or photographic methods, which
[where one line represents a duct of any size] is not sufficient in all cases.
screen out the intensity of the building lines. Now, of course, the building
More often than not a double line drawing [accurately showing the width of
lines can be most easily varied in weight and intensity, via CAD settings. As a
the ducts] will be needed to show the full configuration of the ductwork,
rule no building openings [doors, windows, etc.] were shown, since the
and the relationship between the ducts and other features of the work
systems being shown are usually located in the plenum space above the
[piping, light fixtures, structural elements, vertical risers and penetrations,
ceilings and the openings below. Mechanical designers should be fully
etc.].
* Some professionals have incorporated separate sheets designed PART-II: I NTRODUCTION TO ELECTRICAL THEORY
wholly for energy code provisions. Whatever the motif, the information
Description
should follow the “clear, concise, and complete” criteria of all work on the
drawings. The mechanical engineer’s approach to drawings is entirely *Working as an electrician requires many skills. the physical demands of
different in orientation, method, and impact than that of the architect. the job are one important part of the skills needed to succeed. reading and
communication skills are other aspects one must develop and improve to be
Environmental Impact of Buildings
a successful worker in the electrical field. electrical theory is a basic building
*Building and construction is responsible for up to 30% of annual global block that every potential electrician must understand from the start.
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, commonly reported in carbon equivalent
*Electricity makes no sound, doesn’t have an odour, and can’t be seen,
unit. Building and construction is responsible for up to 30% of annual global
so understanding the power you’re dealing with in theory, helps to make
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, commonly reported in carbon equivalent
you and others safe. Much has to be learned to fully understand electrical
unit.
theory, and it takes years to master.
*Sustainable buildings in most countries, buildings are the largest driver for
*This activity plan will cover the basics, and it should be understood that
both energy use and CO2 emissions.
students will need to continue to develop their math and science
*Managing their environmental impacts on their buildings results in proficiencies if they intend to become an electrician.
economic benefits and helps them meet their societal obligations. Applying
Basic Electrical Theory
sustainability management to buildings requires work under three main
headings: construction, lifetime use and decommissioning. *No single discovery has affected our lives, our culture and our survival
more than electricity. Electricity is everywhere; it lights our way, cooks our
* There are a number of standards, methodologies and tools that have
food and can even brush your teeth. For an example, imagine where the
been put in place to assist organizations in delivering excellent
medical field would be without electricity and in that sense how many lives
environmental performance with regard to their building stock.
have been saved due to electrical devices like defibrillators, pacemakers,
*Good design can reduce energy bills by 25%, the initial capital costs may etc.
not be the lowest. In order to deal with a narrow economic outlook, some
*So what is electricity and where does it come from? More importantly,
designers and owners have started using life cycle assessment as a scientific
why is carpet, socks and a doorknob a bad combination? In its simplest
evaluation of actual performance, rather than simply buying into certain p
terms, electricity is the movement of charge, which is considered by
*Sustainable buildings, which focuses on the application of sustainability convention to be, from positive to negative. No matter how the charge is
management to buildings through the stages of construction, lifetime use created, chemically (like in batteries) or physically (friction from socks and
and de-commissioning, as ICT companies build and operate facilities that carpet), the movement of the discharge is electricity.
can demand large amounts of energy and material use in all phases of the
*This activity plan will cover the basics, and it should be understood that
life cycle
students will need to continue to develop their math and science
proficiencies if they intend to become an electrician.
Environmental Impact of Buildings • Three types of electricity
- Static Electricity is nothing but the contact between equal
*Building and construction is responsible for up to 30% of annual global
amount of protons and electrons (positively and negatively
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, commonly reported in carbon equivalent
charged subatomic particles). ...
unit. Building and construction is responsible for up to 30% of annual global
- Current Electricity is a flow of electric charge across
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, commonly reported in carbon equivalent
an electrical field.
unit.
- Hydro Electricity. .
*Sustainable buildings in most countries, buildings are the largest driver for - Solar Electricity.
both energy use and CO2 emissions.
Objectives
*Managing their environmental impacts on their buildings results in • Identify and describe the scientific principles related to electricity.
economic benefits and helps them meet their societal obligations. Applying • Describe electrical terminology.
sustainability management to buildings requires work under three main • Define Ohm’s law.
headings: construction, lifetime use and decommissioning. • Explain electrical power and energy relationships.
• Perform electrical calculations.
* There are a number of standards, methodologies and tools that have
• List and describe the basic types of electrical circuits.
been put in place to assist organizations in delivering excellent
environmental performance with regard to their building stock.
The Principles of Electricity
*Good design can reduce energy bills by 25%, the initial capital costs may
*These basic principles of electricity are the basis for the electric devices
not be the lowest. In order to deal with a narrow economic outlook, some
found in your home and school — things like digital cameras, stereos,
designers and owners have started using life cycle assessment as a scientific
flashlights, calculators and portable CD players.
evaluation of actual performance, rather than simply buying into certain p
* Scientists know that there are ways of measuring electrical quantities.
*Sustainable buildings, which focuses on the application of sustainability
One of these is coulombs per second, a measure of the flow of electrons
management to buildings through the stages of construction, lifetime use
through a metal conductor or wire. A current of one coulomb per second
and de-commissioning, as ICT companies build and operate facilities that
equals one ampere.
can demand large amounts of energy and material use in all phases of the
life cycle * Even materials that conduct electricity resist the flow of electrons. The
unit of electrical resistance is an ohm. The pressure needed to make one
Basic Electrical Theory
coulomb per second (one ampere) flow through a conductor having a
• Electricity, simply put, is the flow of electric current along a conductor.
resistance of one ohm is one volt.
This electric current takes the form of free electrons that transfer from one
atom to the next. * The three basic principles can be explained using electrons, or more
• There are three primary electrical parameters: the volt, the ampere and specifically, the charge they create: Voltage is the difference in charge
the ohm. between two points. Current is the rate at which charge is flowing.
Resistance is a material's tendency to resist the flow of charge (current).
Basic Terminology Terminology
*Alternating current (AC): an electric current that reverses direction and
Direct Current (DC)
magnitude in a circuit at regular intervals..
- Current flow is unidirectional and of constant magnitude
(battery) *Closed circuit: a closed path or circuit capable of being followed by an
Alternating Current (AC) electric current.
- Magnitude & direction of current flow periodically change
*Conductor: a material or object that allows current to flow through it.
- Each sequence called a cycle
Copper and aluminum are common conductors in electrical systems.
- Frequency is cycles per second (Hz)
Electromotive Force (E or V) *Current: the amount of electrons flowing past a specified circuit point per
- Force which causes electrons to move from one location to unit time, expressed in amperes, or amps
another
*Direct current: an electric current flowing in one direction only.specified
- Known as emf, potential difference, or voltage
circuit point per unit time, expressed in amperes, or amps.
- Unit is volt (V)
- Source: *Insulator: a substance or device that does not readily conduct electricity.
- Generator
is equal to the external load.
- Battery
- Like pump that moves through “pressure” *Multimeter: an electrical test instrument that can measure several values,
Current (I) usually voltage, current, and resistance.
- Flow of electric charges – electrons (or holes) – through a
*Ohm’s law: a law in electricity that states that the current (amps expressed
conductor or circuit per increment of time
as I) in a circuit is proportional to the potential difference (voltage,
- Unit is ampere (number of charged particles passing a point
expressed as E) divided by the resistance of the circuit (ohms, expressed as
each second)
R), I=E/R or E=I x R or R=E/I.
- 1 amp – 1 coulomb /sec – 6 x 1018 electrons/sec
- Like rate of flow of water through a pipe *Open circuit: an open path preventing the flow of current.
Resistance (R)
- An electrical circuit’s opposition to the flow of current through *Parallel circuit: electrical components or circuits connected to common
it points at each end, rather than one to another in sequence. More than one
- Measures in ohms (Ω) path for current to flow.
Conductor *Resistance: the opposition of a body or substance to current passing
- All materials will conduct electricity, but at varying resistances through it, resulting in a change of electrical energy into another form of
- Good conductors have little resistance (ie: silver, copper, energy commonly heat or light.
aluminum, iron)
*Series circuit: electrical circuits or components arranged so that the
current passes through each successively. One path for current flow..
* Short circuit : path of low resistance allowing a high current to flow.. - In an electrical circuit this pressure (electromotive force) is called voltage.
- An electric circuit provides a path for the current to flow to a from a point.
The electric current always flows from positive to negative, and takes the
path with the least resistance.
Basic Electrical Theory: Electrical Resistance - An example of this is often seen when someone is working without
wearing properly insulated footwear. The worker will experience
- How much opposition the conductor or metal wire presents to the electric
an electrical shock, because the body offers a path towards the ground with
current flow is the electrical resistance. The lower the resistance, the easier
very low resistance. This means the body has become part of the circuit.
current will flow. Think of current like water flowing through a pipe, if the
pipe is small there is more resistance to water flow, if the pipe is large the
water will flow much easier.
6. A lamp is plugged into the wall outlet, which is providing 110 volts.
An ammeter attached to the lamp shows 2 amps flowing through
the circuit. How many ohms of resistance is the lamp providing?
7. If your skin has a resistance of 10,000 ohms and you touch a 9-volt
battery, what current will flow through you?
8. What current will flow through your body with a skin resistance of
10,000 ohms, if you touch 120-volt house potential?
9. When you are soaked in seawater, your resistance is lowered to
1000 ohms. Now how much current will flow through you if you
touch the 9-volt battery?
10. When you are soaked in seawater, what current will flow through
you if you touch the 120-volt house potential?
11. How much current flowing through your body is considered fatal?