ACFI906
CORPORATE FINANCE
AND VALUATION
CAPITAL BUDGETING
Part I
Time value of
Time value of money
• Future Values and Compound Interest
• Present Values
• Multiple Cash Flows
• Level Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities
• Effective Annual Interest Rates
• Inflation & Time Value
Future Values
Future Value - Amount to which an investment
will grow after earning interest.
Compound Interest - Interest earned on interest.
Simple Interest - Interest earned only on the
original investment.
Future Values
Example - Simple Interest
Interest earned at a rate of 6% for five years on a principal
balance of $100.
Interest Earned Per Year = 100 x .06 = $ 6
Future Values
Example - Simple Interest
Interest earned at a rate of 6% for five years on a
principal balance of $100.
Today Future Years
1 2 3 4 5
Interest Earned
6 6 6 6 6
Value 100
106 112 118 124 130
Value at the end of Year 5 = $130
Future Values
Example - Compound Interest
Interest earned at a rate of 6% for five years on
the previous year’s balance.
Interest Earned Per Year =
Prior Year Balance x (1 + 0.06)
Future Values
Example - Compound Interest
Interest earned at a rate of 6% for five years on
the previous year’s balance.
Today Future Years
1 2 3 4 5
Interest Earned 6 6.36 6.74 7.15 7.57
Value 100 106 112.36 119.10 126.25 133.82
Value at the end of Year 5 = $133.82
Future Values
Future Value of $100 = FV
t
FV $100 (1 r )
Future Values
t
FV $100 (1 r )
Example - FV
What is the future value of $100 if interest is compounded annually at a rate of 6% for five
years?
5
FV $100 (1 .06) $133.82
Future Values with
Compounding
1800
1600 0%
1400 5%
10%
1200
FV of $100
15%
1000
800
600
Interest Rates
400
200
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Number of Years
Manhattan Island Sale
Peter Minuit bought Manhattan Island for $24 in 1626. It is now 2021. Assuming a
weighted average interest rate of 8% for the 1626-2020 window, was this purchase a good
deal?
To answer, determine how much $24 is worth in 2021, compounded at 8%.
393
FV = $24 X (1+0.08) = $382,467,607,417,429
FYI - The value of Manhattan Island land is well below this
figure.
Present Values
Present Value = PV
Future Value after t periods
PV = (1+r) t
Present Values
Present Value Discount Factor
Value today of a future Present value of a $1 future
cash flow. payment.
Discount Rate
Interest rate used to compute
present values of future cash
flows.
Present Values
Example
You just bought a new laptop for £600. The payment terms are 2
years same as cash. If you can earn 1% on your money, how
much money should you set aside today in order to make the
payment when due in two years?
Present Values
Discount Factor = DF = PV of $1
DF 1
(1 r ) t
• Discount Factors can be used to compute the
present value of any cash flow.
Time Value of Money
(applications)
• The PV formula has many applications. Given
any variables in the equation, you can solve for
the remaining variable.
PV FV 1
(1 r ) t
Present Values with
Compounding
120
100
0%Interest Rates
80 5%
PV of $100
10%
60 15%
40
20
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Number of Years
PV of Multiple Cash Flows
Example
Your auto dealer gives you the choice to pay $15,500 cash
now, or make three payments: $8,000 now and $4,000 at
the end of each of the following two years. If your cost of
money is 8%, which do you prefer?
Immediate payment 8,000.00
PV1 (14,.000
08 )1 3,703.70
PV2 (14,.000
08 ) 2
3,429.36
Total PV $15,133.06
Present Values
$8,000
$4,000 $ 4,000
Present Value
Year
0 1 2
Year 0 $8,000
4000/1.08 = $3,703.70
2
4000/1.08 = $3,429.36
Total = $15,133.06
PV of Multiple Cash Flows
• PVs can be added together to evaluate multiple
cash flows.
C1 C2
PV (1r )1 (1r ) 2 ....
Perpetuities & Annuities
Perpetuity
A stream of level cash payments that
never ends
Annuity
Equally spaced level stream of cash
flows for a limited period of time
Perpetuities & Annuities
PV of Perpetuity Formula
PV C
r
C = cash payment
r = interest rate
Perpetuities & Annuities
Example - Perpetuity
In order to create an endowment, which pays $100,000
per year, forever, how much money must be set aside
today if the rate of interest is 10%?
100 , 000
PV .10 $1,000,000
Perpetuities & Annuities
Example - continued
If the first perpetuity payment will not be received until
three years from today, how much money needs to be
set aside today? In other words, how much money do
you have to set aside today, so that its total value after
3 years will be equal to 1 million?
1, 000 , 000
PV (1.10 ) 3
$751,315
Perpetuity with Growth
C (1 g )
PV
r g
Where :
c perpetuity cash flow
g growth rate
Perpetuities & Annuities
PV of Annuity Formula
PV C 1
r 1
r (1 r ) t
C = cash payment
r = interest rate
t = Number of years cash payment is received
Perpetuities & Annuities
PV Annuity Factor (PVAF) - The present value of
$1 a year for each of t years.
PVAF 1
r
1
r (1 r ) t
Perpetuities & Annuities
Example - Annuity
You are purchasing a car. You are scheduled to make
3 annual installments of $4,000 per year. Given a rate
of interest of 10%, what is the price you are paying for
the car (i.e. what is the PV)?
PV 4,000 1
.10 1
.10 (1.10 ) 3
PV $9,947.41
Perpetuities & Annuities
Applications
• Value of payments
• Implied interest rate for an annuity
• Calculation of periodic payments
– Mortgage payment
– Annual income from an investment payout
– Future Value of annual payments
t
FV C PVAF (1 r )
Perpetuities & Annuities
Example - Future Value of annual payments
You plan to save $4,000 every year for 20 years and
then retire. Given a 10% rate of interest, what will be
the FV of your retirement account?
FV 4,000 1
.10 1
.10 (1.10 ) 20 (1.10) 20
FV $229,100
Effective Interest Rates
Effective Annual Interest Rate - Interest rate that is
annualized using compound interest.
Annual Percentage Rate - Interest rate that is
annualized using simple interest.
Effective Interest Rates
12
1+effective annual rate= (1+montly rate)
The effective annual rate is the rate at which
invested funds will grow over the course of a
year. It equals the rate of interest per period
compounded for the number of periods in a
year.
Effective Interest Rates
example
Given a monthly rate of 1%, what is the Effective
Annual Rate(EAR)? What is the Annual Percentage
Rate (APR)?
12
EAR = (1 + .01) - 1 = r
EAR = (1 + .01)12 - 1 = .1268 or 12.68%
APR = .01 x 12 = .12 or 12.00%
Inflation
Inflation - Rate at which prices as a whole are
increasing.
Nominal Interest Rate - Rate at which money
invested grows.
Real Interest Rate - Rate at which the
purchasing power of an investment increases.
Inflation
Inflation
1+nominal interest rate
1 real interest rate = 1+inflation rate
approximation formula
Real int. rate nominal int. rate - inflation rate
Inflation
Example
If the interest rate on one year govt. bonds is 6.0%
and the inflation rate is 2.0%, what is the real
interest rate?
1+.0 6
1 real interest rate = 1+.0 2 Savings
1 real interest rate = 1.039 Bond
real interest rate = .039 or 3.9%
Approximat ion = .06 - .02 = .04 or 4.0%
Although the rates we presented so far (and will
continue presenting) are positive, reality is evolving a
bit differently…
“A Danish bank has launched the world’s first negative interest rate
mortgage – handing out loans to homeowners where the charge is minus
0.5% a year. Negative interest rates effectively mean that a bank pays a
borrower to take money off their hands, so they pay back less than they have
been loaned. Jyske Bank, Denmark’s third largest, has begun offering
borrowers a 10-year deal at -0.5%, while another Danish bank, Nordea, says
it will begin offering 20-year fixed-rate deals at 0% and a 30-year mortgage
at 0.5%. Under its negative mortgage, Jyske said borrowers will make a
monthly repayment as usual – but the amount still outstanding will be
reduced each month by more than the borrower has paid.”
Investment Appraisal Methods
Outline
• Net Present Value
• Internal Rate of Return
• Payback period method
• Accounting Rate of Return
• Profitability index
Net Present Value
Net Present Value - Present value of cash flows minus initial investments.
Opportunity Cost of Capital - Expected rate of return given up by investing in a
project
Net Present Value
Example
Q: Suppose we can invest $50 today & receive $60
later today. What is our increase in value?
A: Profit = - $50 + $60
= $10 $10
Added Value
$50 Initial Investment
Net Present Value
Example
Suppose we can invest $50 today and receive $60 in one
year. What is our increase in value given a 10% expected
return?
60
Profit = -50 + $4.55
1.10
$4.55 Added Value
This is the definition of NPV $50 Initial Investment
Example: Valuing an Office
Building
Step 1: Forecast cash flows
Cost of building = C0 = 350,000
Sale price in Year 1 = C1 = 400,000
Step 2: Estimate opportunity cost of capital
If equally risky investments in the capital market
offer a return of 7%, then
Cost of capital = r = 7%
Example: Valuing an Office
Building
Step 3: Discount future cash flows
C1 400 , 000
PV (1r )
(1.07 )
373,832
Step 4: Go ahead if PV of payoff exceeds investment
NPV 350,000 373,832
23,832
Risk and Present Value
Higher risk projects require a higher rate of return
Higher required rates of return cause lower PVs
PV of C1 $400,000 at 12%
400,000
PV 357,143
1 .12
PV of C1 $400,000 at 7%
400,000
PV 373,832
1 .07
Net Present Value
NPV = PV - required investment
Ct
NPV C0 t
(1 r )
C1 C2 Ct
NPV C0 1
2
...
(1 r ) (1 r ) (1 r ) t
C = Cash Flow C0 – initial investment, negative
t = time period of the investment
r = “opportunity cost of capital”
Net Present Value
Net Present Value Rule
Managers increase shareholders’ wealth by
accepting all projects that are worth more than they
cost.
Therefore, they should accept all projects with a
positive net present value.
Note: The Cash Flow could be positive or negative at any time period
Net Present Value
Example
You have the opportunity to purchase an
office building. You have a tenant lined
up that will generate $16,000 per year in
cash flows for three years. At the end of
three years you anticipate selling the
building for $450,000. How much would
you be willing to pay for the building?
Assume a 7% opportunity cost of capital
Net Present Value
$466,000
Example - continued
$450,000
$16,000 $16,000 $16,000
0 1 2 3
Present Value
14,953
13,975
Net Present Value
Example - continued
If the building is being offered
for sale at a price of $350,000,
would you buy the building and
what is the added value
generated by your purchase and
management of the building?
Net Present Value
Example - continued
If the building is being offered for sale at a price of $350,000,
would you buy the building and what is the added value
generated by your purchase and management of the building?
16,000 16,000 466,000
NPV 350,000 1
2
3
(1.07) (1.07) (1.07)
NPV $59,323
Payback Method
Payback Period - Time until cash flows recover the
initial investment of the project.
• The payback rule specifies that a project be accepted
if its payback period is less than the specified cutoff
period. The following example will demonstrate the
absurdity of this statement.
Payback Method
Example
The three projects below are available. The company accepts
all projects with a 2 year or less payback period. Show how
this decision-rule will impact our decision.
Cash Flows
Project C0 C1 C2 C3 Payback NPV@10%
A -2,000 +1,000 +1,000 +10,000 2 + 7,249
B -2,000 +1,000 +1,000 0 2 - 264
C -2,000 0 +2,000 0
2 - 347
Payback Period: Drawbacks
Drawbacks of the Payback Period method:
It makes no allowance for the time value of money
Receipts beyond the payback period are ignored
Arbitrary selection of the cut-off point
Some of these problems can be avoided by combining the Payback Period method
with the NPV methodology and calculating a Discounted Payback Period.
Reasons for the Continuing
Popularity of Payback Period
Supplements the more sophisticated methods, e.g an early stage
filter
It is simple and easy to use
Projects which return their outlay quickly reduce the exposure
of the firm to risk
If funds are limited, there is an advantage in receiving a return
on projects earlier rather than later
Accounting
Rate Of Return
The accounting rate of return (ARR) method may be known by other names
such as the return on capital employed (ROCE) or return on investment (ROI)
ARR is a ratio of the accounting profit to the investment in the project,
expressed as a percentage
The decision rule is that if the ARR is greater than, or equal to, a hurdle rate
then accept the project
The ARR can be calculated using three (3) alternative methods:
1.Annual Basis
2.Total Investment Basis
ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN:
EXAMPLE
Invest £30,000 in machinery: life of three years
ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN:
EXAMPLE
Average investment may be calculated
as the sum of the beginning and
ending book value of the project
divided by 2, in this case (30,000 +
(5,000 + 5,000 + 5,000)/3
0) : 2
ARR = –––––––––––––––––––––– × 100 = 33.33%
15,000
DRAWBACKS OF ARR
Wide-open field for selecting profit and asset definitions
Profit figures are very poor substitutes for cash flow
Fails to take account of the time value of money
High degree of arbitrariness in defining the cut-off or hurdle rate
Accounting rate of return can lead to some perverse decisions
Suppose that in the above example the company uses the second version, the total investment ARR, with a
hurdle rate of 15 per cent and the appraisal team discover that the machinery will in fact generate an additional profit
(5,000 + 5,000 + 5,000 + 1,000)/4
of £1,000 in a fourth year. Then we have:
ARR = ––––––––––––––––––––––––––– = 13.33%. Rejected
30,000
ADVANTAGES OF ARR
Far more business people know about accounting than finance. Therefore, in many firms it
is much easier to communicate with other managers in accounting language rather than in finance
language.
Every firm has an accounting system. Therefore, the information needed to calculate ARR’s
is readily available. Information on project cash flows is not provided by the firm's accounting
system automatically. Therefore, because the firm's information system is accounting based, it is
easier to use an accounting based method for project evaluation.
The performance of managers is usually based on some accounting measure, such as return
on capital employed or return on investment. These accounting measures are very similar to ARR.
Naturally no manager will choose to look good under an NPV based performance system
Other Investment Criteria
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) - Discount rate at
which NPV = 0.
Rate of Return Rule - Invest in any project offering a
rate of return that is higher than the opportunity cost
of capital.
C1 - investment
Rate of Return =
investment
Internal Rate of Return
Example
You can purchase a building for $350,000. The
investment will generate $16,000 in cash flows (i.e. rent)
during the first three years. At the end of three years you
will sell the building for $450,000. What is the IRR on
this investment?
16,000 16,000 16,000 450,000
0 350,000 1
2
(1 IRR ) (1 IRR ) (1 IRR) 3
IRR = 12.96%
Note: Calculating the IRR can be a laborious task.
Fortunately, financial calculators can perform this function easily.
Internal Rate of Return
Calculating IRR by using a spreadsheet
Year Cash Flow Formula
0 (350,000.00) IRR = 12.96% =IRR(B4:B7)
1 16,000.00
2 16,000.00
3 466,000.00
Internal Rate of Return
200
150
100
NPV (,000s)
50 IRR=12.96%
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
-50
-100
-150
-200
Discount rate (%)
Rule: accepting a project if the rate of return exceeds the opportunity cost of capital, e.g., this project has a
positive NPV as long as the opportunity cost of capital is lower than 12.96%.
Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 1 - Lending or Borrowing?
• With some projects the NPV of the project increases as the discount rate increases
• This is contrary to the normal relationship between PV and discount rates.
Pitfall 2 - Multiple Rates of Return
Certain cash flows can generate NPV=0 at two different discount rates. (The reason for this is the double change in
the sign of the cash flows)
Pitfall 3 - Mutually Exclusive Projects
IRR sometimes ignores the magnitude of the project.
Lending or borrowing?
Project C0 C1 IRR NPV at 10%
D -100 +150 50% +$36.4
E +100 -150 50% - 36.4
Pitfall 1:
For project E (borrowing money), NPV increases as the discount rate increases. The rate of return
rule will not work in this case.
Multiple Rates of Return
• IRR can result in multiple rates of return if the
estimated cash flows change sign more than once.
• Example: assume a project with cash flows at year 0 =
(£1600); year 1 = £10,000; year 2 = (£10,000).
Determine IRR.
1600 10,000 10,000
NPV 0
(1 IRR) (1 IRR) (1 IRR) 2
0 1
• Descarte’s rule of signs: every time the cash flows
change signs, there may be a new (positive, real) root to
the problem solution.
• Solving the quadratic equation: IRR = 25% or 400%
69
Mutually exclusive projects
Example
You have two proposals to choose between. The initial proposal has cash
flows that are different from the revised proposal’s. Using IRR, which do
you prefer?
Project C0 C1 C2 C3 IRR NPV@7%
Initial Proposal -350 400 14.29% $ 24,000
Revised Proposal -350 16 16 466 12.96% $ 59,000
NPV? - Revised Proposal
IRR? - Initial Proposal
Mutually exclusive projects
Example
You have two proposals to choose between. The initial proposal (H) has
a cash flow that is different than the revised proposal (I). Using IRR,
which do you prefer?
16 16 466
NPV 350 1
2
3
0
(1 IRR ) (1 IRR ) (1 IRR )
12 .96 %
400
NPV 350 1
0
(1 IRR )
14.29 %
Mutually exclusive projects
50
40 Revised proposal
30
IRR= 12.96%
NPV $, 1,000s
IRR= 14.29%
20
10 Initial proposal
-10
IRR= 12.26%
-20 8 10 12 14 16
Discount rate, %
NPV v IRR: Example
You are a financial analyst for Jeffrey Plc. Your company is
considering investing its surplus funds in one of the following
three projects, A, B or C. The expected cash flows of these three
mutually exclusive projects are given below.
T Pr1 (£000) Pr2 (£000) Pr3 (£000)
0 -2,000 -1,500 -2,000
1 500 400 1,000
2 250 400 200
3 750 400 300
4 600 400 800
5 850 400 1000
Jeffrey’s cost of capital (k) is 12 per cent.
The NPV solution
T 0 1 2 3 4 5
Pr1 (£000) -2,000 500 250 750 600 850
500
1.12
250
1.12 2
750
1.12 3
650
1.12 4
850
1.12 5
The NPV solution
T 0 1 2 3 4 5
Pr1 (£000) -2,000 500 250 750 600 850
Pr2 (£000) -1,500 400 400 400 400 400
Pr3 (£000) -2,000 1,000 200 300 800 1000
k 1 0.893 0.797 0.712 0.636 0.567
1
1 k n
NPVPr1 -2000 446.5 199.3 533.9 381.3 482.3 43.2
NPVPr2 -1500 357.2 318.9 284.7 254.2 227.0 -58.1
NPVPr3 -2000 892.9 159.4 213.5 508.4 567.4 341.7
The Internal rate of Return Solution
k12%
NPVPr1 -2000 446.5 199.3 533.9 381.3 482.3 43.2
NPVPr2 -1500 357.2 318.9 284.7 254.2 227.0 -58.1
NPVPr3 -2000 892.9 159.4 213.5 508.4 567.4 341.7
k13% NPVPr1 -2000 442.5 195.8 519.8 368.0 461.3 -12.6
k10% NPVPr2 -1500 363.6 330.6 300.5 273.2 248.4 16.3
k19% NPVPr3 -2000 840.3 141.2 178.0 398.9 419.0 -22.4
Cr 43.2
IRRPr 1 r * rB rA 12% 13% 12%
Cr Cr 43.2 ( 12.6)
12% 0.77419 1% 12.7742%
16.3
IRRPr 2 10% 12% 10% 10.43817%
16.3 ( 58.1)
341.7
IRRPr 3 12% 19% 12% 18.5693% 18.511%
341.7 ( 22.4)
Investment Timing
Sometimes you have the ability to defer an
investment and select a time that is more ideal
at which to make the investment decision. A
common example involves a tree farm. You
may defer the harvesting of trees. By doing
so, you defer the receipt of the cash flow, yet
increase the cash flow.
Investment Timing
Example
You may purchase a computer anytime within the
next five years. While the computer will save your
company money, the cost of computers continues to
decline. If your cost of capital is 10% and given the
data listed below, when should you purchase the
computer?
Investment Timing
Example
You may purchase a computer anytime within the next five years. While the
computer will save your company money, the cost of computers continues to
decline. If your cost of capital is 10% and given the data listed below, when
should you purchase the computer?
Year Cost PV Savings NPV at Purchase NPV Today
0 50 70 20 20.0
1 45 70 25 22.7 = 25/(1+0.1)^1
2 40 70 30 24.8 = 30/(1+0.1)^2
3 36 70 34 Optimal purchase date 25.5 = 34/(1+0.1)^3
4 33 70 37 25.3 = 37/(1+0.1)^4
5 31 70 39 24.2 = 39/(1+0.1)^5
Rule: choose the investment date that results in the highest NPV today
Profitability Index
PV of the project
Profitability Index = ---------------------------------
Initial Investment
Profitability Index: Ratio of present value to initial investment. The projects with
highest PI are picked.
Project PV Investment NPV Index
J 4 3 1 1.3
K 6 5 1 1.2
L 10 7 3 1.4
M 8 6 2 1.3
N 5 4 1 1.3
A comparison of investment
decision rules
Capital Budgeting
Techniques
Essential reading
• Brealey, Myers, and Allen, 2019, Principles of
Corporate Finance, 13th Edition, McGraw Hill.,
Chapters 2, 5, 6, 7, 9 and 11
• Richard Pike, Bill Neale, Philip Linsley (2012),
‘Corporate Finance and Investment: Decisions
& Strategies’, 7th Edition, FT Prentice Hall,
Chapters 3, 4, 5, 6, 10 and 11