Capital Budgeting - Part I PDF
Capital Budgeting - Part I PDF
Capital Budgeting - Part I PDF
CORPORATE FINANCE
AND VALUATION
CAPITAL BUDGETING
Part I
Time value of
Time value of money
t
FV $100 (1 r )
Future Values
t
FV $100 (1 r )
Example - FV
What is the future value of $100 if interest is compounded annually at a rate of 6% for five
years?
5
FV $100 (1 .06) $133.82
Future Values with
Compounding
1800
1600 0%
1400 5%
10%
1200
FV of $100
15%
1000
800
600
Interest Rates
400
200
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Number of Years
Manhattan Island Sale
Peter Minuit bought Manhattan Island for $24 in 1626. It is now 2021. Assuming a
weighted average interest rate of 8% for the 1626-2020 window, was this purchase a good
deal?
To answer, determine how much $24 is worth in 2021, compounded at 8%.
393
FV = $24 X (1+0.08) = $382,467,607,417,429
figure.
Present Values
Present Value = PV
Discount Rate
flows.
Present Values
Example
You just bought a new laptop for £600. The payment terms are 2
years same as cash. If you can earn 1% on your money, how
much money should you set aside today in order to make the
payment when due in two years?
Present Values
Discount Factor = DF = PV of $1
DF 1
(1 r ) t
PV FV 1
(1 r ) t
Present Values with
Compounding
120
100
0%Interest Rates
80 5%
PV of $100
10%
60 15%
40
20
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Number of Years
PV of Multiple Cash Flows
Example
Your auto dealer gives you the choice to pay $15,500 cash
now, or make three payments: $8,000 now and $4,000 at
the end of each of the following two years. If your cost of
money is 8%, which do you prefer?
Immediate payment 8,000.00
PV1 (14,.000
08 )1 3,703.70
PV2 (14,.000
08 ) 2
3,429.36
Total PV $15,133.06
Present Values
$8,000
$4,000 $ 4,000
Present Value
Year
0 1 2
Year 0 $8,000
4000/1.08 = $3,703.70
2
4000/1.08 = $3,429.36
Total = $15,133.06
PV of Multiple Cash Flows
C1 C2
PV (1r )1 (1r ) 2 ....
Perpetuities & Annuities
Perpetuity
A stream of level cash payments that
never ends
Annuity
Equally spaced level stream of cash
flows for a limited period of time
Perpetuities & Annuities
PV of Perpetuity Formula
PV C
r
C = cash payment
r = interest rate
Perpetuities & Annuities
Example - Perpetuity
In order to create an endowment, which pays $100,000
per year, forever, how much money must be set aside
today if the rate of interest is 10%?
100 , 000
PV .10 $1,000,000
Perpetuities & Annuities
Example - continued
If the first perpetuity payment will not be received until
three years from today, how much money needs to be
set aside today? In other words, how much money do
you have to set aside today, so that its total value after
3 years will be equal to 1 million?
1, 000 , 000
PV (1.10 ) 3
$751,315
Perpetuity with Growth
C (1 g )
PV
r g
Where :
c perpetuity cash flow
g growth rate
Perpetuities & Annuities
PV of Annuity Formula
PV C 1
r 1
r (1 r ) t
C = cash payment
r = interest rate
t = Number of years cash payment is received
Perpetuities & Annuities
PVAF 1
r
1
r (1 r ) t
Perpetuities & Annuities
Example - Annuity
You are purchasing a car. You are scheduled to make
3 annual installments of $4,000 per year. Given a rate
of interest of 10%, what is the price you are paying for
the car (i.e. what is the PV)?
PV 4,000 1
.10 1
.10 (1.10 ) 3
PV $9,947.41
Perpetuities & Annuities
Applications
• Value of payments
• Implied interest rate for an annuity
• Calculation of periodic payments
– Mortgage payment
– Annual income from an investment payout
– Future Value of annual payments
t
FV C PVAF (1 r )
Perpetuities & Annuities
FV 4,000 1
.10 1
.10 (1.10 ) 20 (1.10) 20
FV $229,100
Effective Interest Rates
12
1+effective annual rate= (1+montly rate)
year.
Effective Interest Rates
example
Given a monthly rate of 1%, what is the Effective
Annual Rate(EAR)? What is the Annual Percentage
Rate (APR)?
12
EAR = (1 + .01) - 1 = r
EAR = (1 + .01)12 - 1 = .1268 or 12.68%
approximation formula
Example
If the interest rate on one year govt. bonds is 6.0%
and the inflation rate is 2.0%, what is the real
interest rate?
1+.0 6
1 real interest rate = 1+.0 2 Savings
“A Danish bank has launched the world’s first negative interest rate
0.5% a year. Negative interest rates effectively mean that a bank pays a
borrower to take money off their hands, so they pay back less than they have
been loaned. Jyske Bank, Denmark’s third largest, has begun offering
borrowers a 10-year deal at -0.5%, while another Danish bank, Nordea, says
at 0.5%. Under its negative mortgage, Jyske said borrowers will make a
= $10 $10
Added Value
60
Profit = -50 + $4.55
1.10
$4.55 Added Value
C1 400 , 000
PV (1r )
(1.07 )
373,832
Step 4: Go ahead if PV of payoff exceeds investment
PV of C1 $400,000 at 12%
400,000
PV 357,143
1 .12
PV of C1 $400,000 at 7%
400,000
PV 373,832
1 .07
Net Present Value
NPV = PV - required investment
Ct
NPV C0 t
(1 r )
C1 C2 Ct
NPV C0 1
2
...
(1 r ) (1 r ) (1 r ) t
Note: The Cash Flow could be positive or negative at any time period
Net Present Value
Example
You have the opportunity to purchase an
office building. You have a tenant lined
up that will generate $16,000 per year in
cash flows for three years. At the end of
three years you anticipate selling the
building for $450,000. How much would
you be willing to pay for the building?
0 1 2 3
Present Value
14,953
13,975
Net Present Value
Example - continued
If the building is being offered
for sale at a price of $350,000,
would you buy the building and
what is the added value
generated by your purchase and
management of the building?
Net Present Value
Example - continued
If the building is being offered for sale at a price of $350,000,
would you buy the building and what is the added value
generated by your purchase and management of the building?
Cash Flows
Project C0 C1 C2 C3 Payback NPV@10%
A -2,000 +1,000 +1,000 +10,000 2 + 7,249
B -2,000 +1,000 +1,000 0 2 - 264
C -2,000 0 +2,000 0
2 - 347
Payback Period: Drawbacks
Some of these problems can be avoided by combining the Payback Period method
filter
It is simple and easy to use
Projects which return their outlay quickly reduce the exposure
expressed as a percentage
The decision rule is that if the ARR is greater than, or equal to, a hurdle rate
1.Annual Basis
15,000
DRAWBACKS OF ARR
Wide-open field for selecting profit and asset definitions
Profit figures are very poor substitutes for cash flow
Fails to take account of the time value of money
High degree of arbitrariness in defining the cut-off or hurdle rate
Accounting rate of return can lead to some perverse decisions
Suppose that in the above example the company uses the second version, the total investment ARR, with a
hurdle rate of 15 per cent and the appraisal team discover that the machinery will in fact generate an additional profit
(5,000 + 5,000 + 5,000 + 1,000)/4
of £1,000 in a fourth year. Then we have:
ARR = ––––––––––––––––––––––––––– = 13.33%. Rejected
30,000
ADVANTAGES OF ARR
Far more business people know about accounting than finance. Therefore, in many firms it
is much easier to communicate with other managers in accounting language rather than in finance
language.
Every firm has an accounting system. Therefore, the information needed to calculate ARR’s
is readily available. Information on project cash flows is not provided by the firm's accounting
system automatically. Therefore, because the firm's information system is accounting based, it is
The performance of managers is usually based on some accounting measure, such as return
on capital employed or return on investment. These accounting measures are very similar to ARR.
Naturally no manager will choose to look good under an NPV based performance system
Other Investment Criteria
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) - Discount rate at
which NPV = 0.
C1 - investment
Rate of Return =
investment
Internal Rate of Return
Example
You can purchase a building for $350,000. The
investment will generate $16,000 in cash flows (i.e. rent)
during the first three years. At the end of three years you
will sell the building for $450,000. What is the IRR on
this investment?
16,000 16,000 16,000 450,000
0 350,000 1
2
(1 IRR ) (1 IRR ) (1 IRR) 3
IRR = 12.96%
Note: Calculating the IRR can be a laborious task.
150
100
NPV (,000s)
50 IRR=12.96%
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
-50
-100
-150
-200
Discount rate (%)
Rule: accepting a project if the rate of return exceeds the opportunity cost of capital, e.g., this project has a
positive NPV as long as the opportunity cost of capital is lower than 12.96%.
Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 1 - Lending or Borrowing?
• With some projects the NPV of the project increases as the discount rate increases
• This is contrary to the normal relationship between PV and discount rates.
Pitfall 1:
For project E (borrowing money), NPV increases as the discount rate increases. The rate of return
69
Mutually exclusive projects
Example
You have two proposals to choose between. The initial proposal has cash
flows that are different from the revised proposal’s. Using IRR, which do
you prefer?
16 16 466
NPV 350 1
2
3
0
(1 IRR ) (1 IRR ) (1 IRR )
12 .96 %
400
NPV 350 1
0
(1 IRR )
14.29 %
Mutually exclusive projects
50
40 Revised proposal
30
IRR= 12.96%
NPV $, 1,000s
IRR= 14.29%
20
10 Initial proposal
-10
IRR= 12.26%
-20 8 10 12 14 16
Discount rate, %
NPV v IRR: Example
T 0 1 2 3 4 5
Pr1 (£000) -2,000 500 250 750 600 850
500
1.12
250
1.12 2
750
1.12 3
650
1.12 4
850
1.12 5
The NPV solution
T 0 1 2 3 4 5
Pr1 (£000) -2,000 500 250 750 600 850
k12%
NPVPr1 -2000 446.5 199.3 533.9 381.3 482.3 43.2
NPVPr2 -1500 357.2 318.9 284.7 254.2 227.0 -58.1
NPVPr3 -2000 892.9 159.4 213.5 508.4 567.4 341.7
k13% NPVPr1 -2000 442.5 195.8 519.8 368.0 461.3 -12.6
k10% NPVPr2 -1500 363.6 330.6 300.5 273.2 248.4 16.3
k19% NPVPr3 -2000 840.3 141.2 178.0 398.9 419.0 -22.4
Cr 43.2
IRRPr 1 r * rB rA 12% 13% 12%
Cr Cr 43.2 ( 12.6)
12% 0.77419 1% 12.7742%
16.3
IRRPr 2 10% 12% 10% 10.43817%
16.3 ( 58.1)
341.7
IRRPr 3 12% 19% 12% 18.5693% 18.511%
341.7 ( 22.4)
Investment Timing
Example
You may purchase a computer anytime within the
next five years. While the computer will save your
company money, the cost of computers continues to
decline. If your cost of capital is 10% and given the
data listed below, when should you purchase the
computer?
Investment Timing
Example
You may purchase a computer anytime within the next five years. While the
computer will save your company money, the cost of computers continues to
decline. If your cost of capital is 10% and given the data listed below, when
should you purchase the computer?
Year Cost PV Savings NPV at Purchase NPV Today
0 50 70 20 20.0
1 45 70 25 22.7 = 25/(1+0.1)^1
2 40 70 30 24.8 = 30/(1+0.1)^2
3 36 70 34 Optimal purchase date 25.5 = 34/(1+0.1)^3
4 33 70 37 25.3 = 37/(1+0.1)^4
5 31 70 39 24.2 = 39/(1+0.1)^5
Rule: choose the investment date that results in the highest NPV today
Profitability Index
PV of the project
Initial Investment
Profitability Index: Ratio of present value to initial investment. The projects with