Arizona (October 28, 2020)

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Arizona Polling

Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870


Executive Summary
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 704 registered, likely voters in Arizona. The poll was conducted on October 26th
through the 28th and has a margin of error of 3.7%. The survey was collected from respondents using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell
phone users. The results are weighted by relevant voting demographics. The poll was paid for by Gravis Marketing Institute.
1) If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote?

Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 over Female Male

Q1: Joe Donald 38% 41% 41% 15% 47% 38% 43% 42% 50% 39% 49%
BidenVSTRUMP Trump

Joe Biden 35% 50% 46% 62% 48% 54% 39% 53% 48% 53% 43%

Uncertain 27% 9% 13% 24% 4% 8% 18% 5% 2% 8% 8%


2) If the election for Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?

Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 over Female Male

Q2: Democrat Mark 61% 23% 50% 56% 49% 52% 46% 56% 45% 52% 47%
KELLYVSMCSALLY Kelly

Republican 38% 77% 40% 21% 47% 45% 41% 40% 52% 43% 46%
Martha McSally

Uncertain 1% 0% 10% 24% 4% 3% 14% 4% 2% 5% 7%

3) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump’s job performance?
Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 over Female Male

Q3: Somewhat 31% 0% 13% 14% 9% 13% 17% 9% 6% 8% 14%


TRUMPPERFORMANCE Approve

Somewhat 23% 0% 4% 1% 4% 7% 6% 3% 3% 4% 4%
Disapprove

Strongly 8% 45% 36% 39% 42% 37% 37% 35% 46% 37% 41%
Approve

Strongly 30% 46% 35% 26% 45% 34% 36% 49% 42% 45% 37%
Disapprove

Uncertain 8% 9% 12% 21% 1% 9% 5% 4% 3% 5% 4%

4) Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable view of Joe Biden?
Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 over Female Male

Q4: Joe Somewhat 16% 49% 22% 22% 23% 27% 21% 28% 17% 18% 29%
BidenOPINION favorable

Somewhat 0% 0% 6% 0% 7% 9% 15% 3% 0% 6% 7%
unfavorable

Uncertain 27% 9% 7% 21% 0% 3% 9% 2% 2% 4% 4%

Very favorable 26% 35% 37% 32% 30% 32% 23% 32% 39% 40% 23%

Very unfavorable 31% 7% 28% 26% 38% 29% 32% 34% 43% 32% 38%

5) In the 2016 Presidential election whom did you vote for?


Race Age group Gender

African- 65 or
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 over Female Male

Q5: Didn't vote 30% 27% 25% 24% 9% 23% 23% 10% 5% 18% 10%
2016ELECTION Donald 31% 41% 41% 28% 46% 39% 39% 42% 52% 36% 51%
Trump

Gary 0% 0% 4% 2% 5% 0% 9% 6% 2% 2% 7%
Johnson

Hillary 39% 23% 29% 47% 39% 38% 28% 42% 40% 43% 31%
Clinton

Jill Stein 0% 9% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1%

The following questions are for demographic purposes:


6) Are you registered to vote in Arizona?

7) How likely are you to vote in the general election this November?
8) What is your party affiliation?

9) What is your political ideology?

10) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?
11) What race do you identify yourself as?

12) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

13) What is the highest level of education you have completed?


14) How old are you?

15) What is your gender?

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