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Chapter 4: Probability Distributions: Number 1

The document summarizes several probability distributions and concepts: 1) It provides examples of probability mass functions and calculates probabilities for discrete random variables. 2) It defines the expected value and shows how to calculate it for random variables. 3) It provides examples of calculating probabilities and expected values for random variables with given probability distributions.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
70 views

Chapter 4: Probability Distributions: Number 1

The document summarizes several probability distributions and concepts: 1) It provides examples of probability mass functions and calculates probabilities for discrete random variables. 2) It defines the expected value and shows how to calculate it for random variables. 3) It provides examples of calculating probabilities and expected values for random variables with given probability distributions.

Uploaded by

harshata
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Chapter 4: Probability distributions

Number 1

x 1 2 3
P(X = x) 0.2 0.25 0.4
P(X=x) 0
(a) a= 1-(0.2+0.25+0.4+0.05)
= 0.1

0
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5

(b) (i) P(1 ≤ X ≤ 3) = P(1)+ P(2)+ P(3)


= 0.2 + 0.25 + 0.4
= 0.85

(b) (ii) P(X > 2) = P(x=3)+P(x=3)+P(x=5)


= 0.4+0.1+0.05
= 0.55

(b) (iii) P(2 < X < 5 ) = P(x=3)+P(x=4)


= 0.4+0.1
= 0.85
(b) (iv) mode 3

Number 2

x 12 13
P(X=x) 12K 13K
x 12 13

Page 1
P(X=x) 0.3076923077 0.3333333333

12 K+13 K+14 K=1


39 K = 1
K = 1/39

Number 3

x 3 5 6
P(X=x) 0.1 0.05 0.45

since ∑ p(X=x) = 1,

0.1+0.05+0.45+3p10+p10 = 1

0.1+0.05+0.45+4p10 = 1

4p10 = 0.4

p10 = 0.1

x 3 5 6
P(X=x) 0.1 0.05 0.45

Number 4

x has probability distribution as shown in the table

x 1 2 3
P(X=x) 1/10 3/10 a

(a) 1/10+3/10+a+1/5+1/20
a= 7/20

(b) P(x>=4) P(X=4) + P(X=5)


=(1/5+1/20)
0.25

Number 6

Total number of socks = (8+4)=12

Page 2
P(x=1) = (8/12)+(4/12)+(4/12)
= (2/27)

P(x=2) = (8/12)+(8/12)+(4/12)
= (4/27)

Number 7

P(R=r)=c(3-r)for r = 0,1,2,3
(a)

r P(R=r) P(R=r)
0 3c 1/2
1 2c 1/3
2 c 1/6
3 0 0

r=0  c(3-0) =3c


r=1 c(3-1) =2c
r=2 c(3-2) =c
r=3 c(3-3) 0

3c+2c+c=1
6c=1
c=1/6

(b)
3.5

2.5

2
2

1.5

1
1

0.5

0
0

Page 3
1

0.5

0
0

(c)

P(1 ≤ R<3) = P(1,2)


= 1/3+1/6
= 1/2

Number 8

Number of digits in decimal number = 10


P(any digit) = 1/10
P(X=x) = 0.1 where x=0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 and 9

Chapter 4: Probability distributions


Page:244 Exercise 4B Expectation

Number 1

The probability distribution for random variable X is shown in the table :

x 0 1 2
P(X=x) 1/6 1/12 1/4

E(x) = ∑ x P(X=x)
=(0*1/6)+(1*1/12)+(2*1/4)+(3*1/3)+(4*1/6)
2.25

Number 3

X (PX=x)
1 0.1
2 0.3
3 0.3
4 0.2
5 0.1
∑ P(X=x) 1

Page 4
(a)
Y = 1-(0.1+0.3+0.2+0.1)
= 0.3

(b)
E(X) = (0.1*1)+(0.3*2)+(0.3*3)+(0.2*4)+(0.1*5)
= 2.9

Number 5

5 counters, 5/11 6 red counters , 6/11

1st drawn 2nd drawn

4/10 B

5/11 B 6/10 R
5/10 B

6/11 R
5/10 R

x 0 1 2
P(X=x) 2/11 6/11 3/11

E(X)= ∑ xP(X=x)
= 0*2/11 + 1*6/11+2*3/11
=12/11

Number 6

x 1/4 1/4 1/4


P(X=x) -10p 5p 3p

E(X)= (-10*1/4)+(5*1/4)+(3*1/4)+(5*1/4)
=0.75p

Page 5
Number 8 (a) P(0) +P(1) + P(2) =0.9
P(0) +P(1) =0.5
0.5 +P(2) =0.9

hence , P(2) = 0.9 - 0.5


P(2) = 0.4

E(X) = (P(0) * 0) + (P (1) * 1 ) + (P(2) * 2) +(P(3) * 3)


E(X) = (P(1) + 2 * P(2) +3 P(3)
E(X) = P(1) + 0.8 + 3 * P(3)

P(1) = 0.6 - 3 * P(3)

P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) = 1

P(3) = 1 - (P(1) + 0.4 +0.5 -P(1) )


P(3) = 0.1

P(1) = 0.6-3(0.1)
P(1) = 0.3

(b) P(0) = 0.5-0.3


P(0) = 0.2

Number 10

Removing Result
Bag 1 Bag 2 Bag 1 Bag 2
R R 3R1B 1R1B
R B 2R2B 2R0B
B R 4R0B 0R2B
B B 3R1B 1R1B

Let X be the event "Result of number of red balls in bag1"

Probability space of X = {2,3,4}

x 2 3 4
P(X=x) +=Y
xP(X=x) 2x 3xy 4x
= Y

Page 6
E(x) = ∑xP(X=x)
= 2 or 2.75

Page:251 Exercise 4C Expectation and Variance

Number 1

x 1 2 3
P(X=x) 0.2 0.3 0.5

P(X=x) for x=1,2,3

(a)
E(X) = (1*0.2) + ( 2*0.3)+ (3*0.5)
=2.3

FX FX²
1 1
2 4
3 9
(b)
E(X²) = (1*0.2)+ (4*0.3) +( 9*0.5)
=0.2 + 1.2 + 4.5
=5.9

(c)
Var(X) =E(X²) - (E(X))²
= E(X²) = 5.9 - (E(X))²
=5.9 - 5.29
= 0.61

Number 5

x 2 4 6
P(X=x) 0.1 0.3 0.5
∑xp 0.2 1.2 3
∑xp ( Total) =5.2

E(X²) = ∑X² P(X=x)


= 4*0.1+16*0.3+36*0.5+64*0.1
=29.6

Page 7
Var(X) = E(X²) - μ²
= 29.6 - 5.2²
= 29.6 - 27.04
= 2.56

Number 13
x 0 1 2
P(X=x) 1/7 4/7 2/7

1/7 3/7 * 2/6


4/7 3/7 * 4/6 * 4/7 * 3/6
2/7 4/7 * 3/6

(a)
= ( 0 * 1/7 ) + ( 1 * 4/7) + ( 2 * 2/7)
=1 1/7
= 8/7

(b)
E(X²) = ∑X² P(X=x)
= 0 * 1/7 + 1 * 4/7 + 4 * 2/7
= 1 5/7
= 12/7

(c)
Var(X) = E (X²) - μ²
= 12/7 - (8/7)²
= 1 27/49

(d)

Page:261 Exercise 4E Combinations of random Variables


Number 3
E(X) = 3 E(X²) = 12 E(Y)= 4 E(Y²) = 18

(a)

Page 8
E(3X - 2Y) = 3E (X) - 2E(Y)
= 3(3) - 2 (4)
=1

(b)
E(2Y - 3X) = 2E (Y) - 3E (X)
= 2(4) - 3 (3)
= -1

(c)
E(6X + 4Y) = 6E(X) + 4E(Y)
= 6(3) + 4(4)
= 34

(d)
Var(2X-Y)

Page:276 Exercise 5a The uniform and geometric distributions


Number 1

x 6 7 8
P(X=x) a a a

(a)
∑P(X=x) = 1
5a = 1
a = 1/5
P(X=x) = 1/5 FOR x = 6,7,8,9,10

(b)
MEAN = E∑XP(X=x)
= (6*0.2)+(7*0.2)+(8*0.2)+(9*0.2)+(10*0.2)
8

(c)
P(X < μ) = P(X < 8)
=P(X=6) + P(X=7)
0.4

Number 2

X is Geo(0.35) p=0.35 q=0.65

Page 9
(a)
P(x=4) = (0.65)³ * 0.35
0.096

(b)
P(x > 4)=1 -P(x≤4)
= 1 - (1 - [0.65]⁴)
0.179

(c)
P(x≤3) = 1-([0.65]³)
0.725

(d)
E(x) = 1/0.35
2.85

Number 3
(a)
P = 0.6 q=1.06
q=0.4

X is the number of tosses up to and including the first head


P(X≤4) = 1-q⁴
=1-(0.4)⁴
0.9744

(b)
P(X>5) = 1-P(x≤5)
=1-(1-q⁵)
q⁵
=(0.4)⁵
0.01024

(c)
The most likely number of tosses until a head is obtained is 1

(d)
E(X) = 1/P
0.6 = 1/P
P = 1/0.6
1 2/3

Page 10
(e)
0.4 = 1/q
Let q be number of tosses when a tail is obtained
q = 1/0.4
q = 2.5

Page:285 Exercise 5b The binomial distributions


Number 1
Given
P = 0.3
q = 1-P q=0.7
n = 10

(a)
P(X=3) = 0.266828
=0.267 (2 s.f)

(b)
P(X˂5) = 0.821484
= 0.821 (2 s.f)

Number 2
Given
P = 0.25
q=1-P q=0.75
n=9

(a)
P(X=3) = 0.233597
=0.234 (2s.f)

(b)
P(X>7) = 0.000107

Number 3
Given
n = 8, p = 0.4, q = 0.6 

(a)
P(X=3)
 8c3 *0.4^3 *0.6^5 = 0.278

Page 11
(b)
 P(X>= 1)
 1 - P[0] = 1 - 0.6^8 = 0.9832 

(c)
P(X>4)
n = 8, p = 0.4, q = 0.6 
Taking into consideration yellow
P(X>4) = 0.5941

Number 4
The random variable X is B(6,0.42) . Find
(a) P(X = 6)
(b) P( X = 4)
(c) P(X ≤ 2)

Given ,
p = 0.42
q = 1-p ; q = 0.58
n=6

(a)
P(X = 6) = 0.005489
= 0.00549 3 s.f

(b)
P(X = 4) = 0.157016
= 0.00549 3s.f

(c)
P(X≤2) = p(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)
P(X≤2) = 0.502905
= 0.503 3s.f

Number 5

Given ,
P(getting a six), p = 1/6
P(not getting a six) , q = 5/6
n=7

P(X≥5) = P( X = 5) + P(X = 6) + P(X = 7) P(at least 5 sixes)


P(X≥5) = 0.002004

Page 12
= 0.00200 3s.f

Number 6
Given ,
p = 0.3
q = 1-p; q = 0.7
n=7

(a)
P(X = 2) = 0.317652
= 0.318 3s.f

(b)
P(X≥2) P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4) + P(X = 5) + P(X = 6) + P(X = 7)
P(X≥2) = 0.670583
= 0.671 3s.f

(c)
P(at most 2 days) = 1-[P(X ≥2) - P(X = 2)
P(at most 2 days) =0.64707
= 0.647 3s.f

(d)
P(three consecutive days) = P(X = 3)/7 Given that order of 3 consecutive days can be varied
P(three consecutive days) = 0.032414
= 0.0324 3s.f

Page:290 Exercise 5c Expectation , variance and mode of the binomial distribution


Number 4
(a)
E(X) = Number of people(np) = 2
Var(X) = 1.6
np = 2..(1)
npq = 1.6..(2)
from (1) and (2)
2q = 1.6
q = 1.6/2 = 0.8
And p = 0.2
person chosen at random wear glasses = 0.2

(b)
n = 10
P(X = 6) = 10□C₆(0.2)⁶(0.8)⁴
= 0.00551

Page 13
Page:297 Exercise 5d The poisson distribution
Number 2
(a)
P(X≥2) = 1 - P(X<2)

= 1 -[ e¯⁶6⁰/0! + e¯⁶ 6/1!]

= 1 - e¯⁶[1+6]
= 0.9826

(b)
Let Y be the number of telephone calls
received by the manager between 9:30 a.m to 9:40 a.m on Wednesday.

Mean of number of calls recevied between 9:30 a.m on Wednesday is 1.

P(X = 2) = e¯₁ 1/ 2!
= 0.1839

Page 14
4 5
0.1 0.05

4 4.5 5 5.5

+ P(2)+ P(3)

3)+P(x=3)+P(x=5)

14
14K
14

Page 15
0.358974359

8 10
3p10 p10

8 10
0.3 0.1

e table

4 5
1/5 1/20

Page 16
2)+(4/12)+(4/12)
(2/27)

2)+(8/12)+(4/12)
(4/27)

r
0
1
2
3

Page 17
nd 9

shown in the table :

3 4
1/3 1/6

Page 18
P(BB) =5/11 * 4/10
=2/11

P(BR) = 5/11*6/10 = 3/11


P(RB) = 6/11*5/10 = 3/11

P(RR) = 6/11*5/10 = 3/4

1/4
5p

Page 19
probability of occurrence
XY =
XY =
XY =
XY =
XY =

Page 20
8
0.1
0.8

Page 21
9 10
a a

Page 22

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