Regression Statistics

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The file Delldata.

xlsx (available on the companion website) contains monthly returns for the


Standard & Poor's stock index and for Dell stock. The beta of a stock is defined as the slope of
the least-squares line used to predict the monthly return for a stock from the monthly return for
the market. Use this file to perform the following exercises:

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.412649
R Square 0.170279
Adjusted R Square 0.164517
Standard Error 0.152075
Observations 146

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.683448 0.683448 29.55239 2.27017E-07
Residual 144 3.33024 0.023127
Total 145 4.013689

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 0.03 0.01 2.14 0.03 0.00 0.06
S and P return 1.76 0.32 5.44 0.00 1.12 2.41

(a) Estimate the beta of Dell.

The estimated beta of Dell is 1.76.


(b) Interpret the meaning of Dell's beta.

Based off the returns on Dells, it is evident that if the S&P returns were impacted by one
percent, then the similar change in Dells return would be 1.76 percent in the same
direction.
(c) If you believe a recession is coming, would you rather invest in a high-beta or low-beta
stock?

If a recession was coming, I would honestly rather invest in low beta stocks. I say this
because they don’t have as many risks.
(d) During a month in which the market goes up 5 percent, you are 95 percent sure that Dell's
stock price will increase between which range of values?

Dell's stock price will increase between 1.12 and 2.41 return

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