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1.3 MSP Risk Tutorial - 2. Progress Wizard: Task Existence

This document discusses running a risk analysis on a project plan that was created in Microsoft Project and imported into Primavera Risk Analysis. It describes identifying tasks that were progressed outside of the project status date using the Progress Wizard, and then opening the MS Project file in Primavera Risk Analysis. It provides steps for running the risk analysis simulation in Primavera Risk Analysis using specified options.

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37 views5 pages

1.3 MSP Risk Tutorial - 2. Progress Wizard: Task Existence

This document discusses running a risk analysis on a project plan that was created in Microsoft Project and imported into Primavera Risk Analysis. It describes identifying tasks that were progressed outside of the project status date using the Progress Wizard, and then opening the MS Project file in Primavera Risk Analysis. It provides steps for running the risk analysis simulation in Primavera Risk Analysis using specified options.

Uploaded by

kamlesh0106
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Primavera Risk Analysis for MS Project | 4

Task Existence
After "Strip off roof cover" we believe there is a 15% chance of finding rotten supports. Task Existence
can be used to model this uncertainty. During the risk analysis the "Rotten Supports" task will appear
15% of the time. When it appears it will have an impact on the project finish and cost.

Figure The value "15" indicates the % chance of the task occuring.

Costs
Each task has a remaining cost. This cost is used by Primavera Risk Analysis to model the cost
uncertainty. During the risk analysis the cost of a task is increased or reduced proportionally with its
duration. Probabilistic tasks will have a zero remaining cost for the iterations they do not exist.

Great. All the risk data has been entered. We will now look at the Progress Wizard.

1.3 MSP Risk Tutorial - 2. Progress Wizard

About the Progress Wizard


If a project has progressed then the project uncertainty and risk affects does not affect the completed
tasks.
It is possible in MS Project to progress tasks out of line with the Status Date, e.g. a task can be
complete and scheduled in the future to the right of the Status Date. The Progress Wizard can be used to
identify and optionally adjust these type of tasks.
In the tutorial project the task 'Erect Scaffold' has been progressed but is in front of the Status Date
shown as a red line:

We will use the Progress Wizard to identify this task and any others that may not be progressed in line
with the Status Date.

Run the Progress Wizard

 Click on the tool bar button to start the Wizard, or use the menu command Primavera Risk
Analysis | Progress Wizard.
 Click OK to save any unsaved changes if prompted.
 Click Next to move to Setting the Status Date .
Primavera Risk Analysis for MS Project | 5

Figure: Checking and optionally setting the project Status Date.


 In the tutorial project the Status Date is already set to the "05/02/2006 17:00:00". Leave this date as
it is.
 Click Next and the Wizard will look for any tasks that are not progressed in line with the Status Date:

Figure: Options for adjusting "Erect Scaffold" which is completed but it is ahead of the Status Date.
The task 'Erect Scaffold' has been completed so it should not be delaying any of the succeeding tasks that
are scheduled in the future after the Status Date. To correct this we will use the Move actual dates to
before status date to schedule the task behind the Status Date.
 Select the option Move actual dates to before status date.
 Click Next. This will find the next task. As there are no more progress problems the Wizard finishes:
Primavera Risk Analysis for MS Project | 6

Figure: Wizard finishes and displays the finish date difference and with the option to display the
changes made to each task.
 Click Finish to complete the Wizard.

The 'Erect Scaffold' task is now behind the Status Date.

Excellent. Next we will open the project in Primavera Risk Analysis.

1.4 MSP Risk Tutorial - 3. Opening MS Project file in Primavera Risk Analysis

Our project has 3 point estimates for the durations and we have also included some additional information
to model probabilistic tasks and duration correlation.
We will now open the file in Primavera Risk Analysis ready for the risk analysis.

 Click on the Open In Primavera Risk Analysis tool bar button


Primavera Risk Analysis for MS Project | 7

Figure: The Microsoft Project Import Mappings dialog is displayed.

 Click OK in the Microsoft Project Import Mappings dialog to accept the default mappings.
 After file has opened in Primavera Risk Analysis click Save when prompted.
 Click on the Gantt Chart tab.
The project should look something like this in Primavera Risk Analysis:
Primavera Risk Analysis for MS Project | 8

Figure: Project displayed in Primavera Risk Analysis.

Notes
 The Import Check tab displays Start Check and Finish Check columns that display any differences
between the MSP and Primavera Risk Analysis schedule. Check the columns for any differences - there
maybe differences of a day for milestones or zero duration activities - these will not affect the results.
 On the MSP Import Check sheet the grey bars display the Start Check and Finish Check graphically.
The grey bars are the MSP schedule and the bars above them are the Primavera Risk Analysis
schedule.

Viewing risk inputs


 To view all the risk inputs for the project - Risk | Risk Summary.
 To view individual risk data from the main screen - Click on a task and choose the Risk and
Uncertainty tab in the Task Details.
Good. Now we are ready to run the risk analysis...

1.5 MSP Risk Tutorial - 4. Running risk analysis

After opening the MS Project project in Primavera Risk Analysis a risk analysis can be run.

Run the Risk analysis

 Risk | Run Risk Analysis or click


 Click Options... to display the Risk Analysis Options dialog.
 Change the options to those shown below:

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