Aging Technology - Market Overview 2020 Final-March-2020
Aging Technology - Market Overview 2020 Final-March-2020
Aging Technology - Market Overview 2020 Final-March-2020
Laurie M. Orlov
Principal Analyst
Aging in Place Technology Watch
FORWARD
In 2020, a modest category becomes mainstream. It took the aging of the baby boomers and
the sheer size of the aging population to turn a 2009 market niche into a 2020 major market
category. That category is less about products specifically designed for older adults as it is about
the marketing of many existing offerings as useful to them. This includes smartphones, tablets,
smart home technology, Voice First hardware and virtual assistants, and in-home sensors. Each
of those devices is enabled for older adults by either more targeted marketing and packaging,
enabling software, or bundling into solutions for in-home caregiving and/or healthcare.
The older adult market presents a challenge and an opportunity. Large players like
Samsung, Amazon, and BestBuy see a market opportunity worth seizing. In 2020, Medicare
Advantage plans began covering some in-home technology to help seniors remain independent –
and the use of digital health technologies, including remote patient monitoring and remote
consultation, continued to grow. During 2020, hearing technology advances and changes in
buying patterns will further disrupt that industry.
What’s new? The title, for one. Useful technology for ‘aging in place’ is also useful for those
aging in senior living communities – or any other place. Almost every line in this Market
Overview has been updated to reflect current demographic data about older adults, policy
changes, as well as inclusion of new data about what tech they own and/or prefer. To make space
for interesting new examples, some previous offerings were removed to enable inclusion of 25
recent entrants (some winners of innovation competitions).
A pandemic crisis pushes the technology accelerator. This report was initially posted on
March 5 – prior to the widespread news of the Covid-19 pandemic and its implications. From a
technology perspective, when the entire country is homebound and older adult are without access
to face-to-face doctor appointments, no visitors in senior living, and social isolation in the
extreme, technologies noted in this report become more useful than ever. And some
technologies, like telehealth, find a tipping point in a hurry.
What else has happened since the last update? In March of 2019, a new White House report
“Emerging Technologies to Support an Aging Population” was published, suggesting many
new technologies that are needed, some in process of being developed or released, to help older
adults remain independent. The Appendix at the end of the report lists many of these suggested
product/offerings. Looking over this list, perhaps some entrepreneurs will study it and see an
innovation opportunity for their current or new business. Please advise if that happens!
Here’s to the year of 2020 that ends with balance and safety for all.
Laurie M. Orlov
Aging and Health Technology Watch www.ageinplacetech.com
Page 2
WHO SHOULD READ THIS REPORT?
This report was revised in March 2020, adding 25 new companies and updating products,
services, websites, and apps. It serves as a market overview with a single purpose: it is intended
to describe the need for, and the current market of, offerings to help aging adults live full lives in
their homes of choice. As such, it is relevant to:
“Every venture firm or corporate venture group should read this and create an investment thesis
around these trends – Mary Furlong, CEO, Mary Furlong and Associates
The majority of older adults today live in their own homes – with 76% of aged 65-69 and 68% of
those aged 80 and over. Not surprisingly, the majority (76%) would like to stay there or may be
forced by finances to do so. After age 65, the likelihood of living alone increases sharply (see
Figure 1). For those who live in cities, after age 80 they want to live in their own home or
nearby. However, as the calculators of net worth by age indicate, unless a home is sold, there
will not be enough to pay for seniors’ potential health costs when they are in their 80’s or 90’s.
Within that context, aging in place reflects the desire or ability to successfully age and remain in
their home of choice, whether it is a private home, condo, apartment, or group settings. These
group options includes variants of senior living – in 2019 which reached its lowest occupancy
level in eight years and is viewed as out of reach by most middle class homeowners. Aging at
home is further underpinned by the very recent growth of interest in the mature market. During
2019 and into 2020, new product introductions were presented at multiple events, including the
following, CES 2020, Voice of Healthcare Summit, and pitch events run by AARP in 2019 and
at CES in 2020. Even if startups fail, they represent a sharpening focus on caregiving and age-
related spaces. Three factors drive a wave of interest in caregiving, home care and aging in place:
Rising health costs and health policy drives care into the home. As Medicare penalties for
hospital readmissions grow, hospitals seek to better control their destiny in the face of closings.
They are providing outpatient clinics and buying rehab facilities (aka skilled nursing facilities, or
SNFs) and managing hospital-to-home care transitions. Insurers try to reduce readmissions with
improved care coordination and care transition programs. During 2019, Medicare
Paid home care picks up where families and senior housing leave off. On average, home care
fills a care gap of 20-27 hours per week at a presumed lower cost ($22.50/hour paid to agency),
than a move to assisted living. However, non-medical home care work (or personal care aide)
has been one of the fastest growing job categories in the US, and costs rose 7.1% in 2019,
according to Genworth. Pay to the worker averages around $12/hour for the worker. And for
much of the industry, median caregiver turnover rate reached 82% in 2018 and staffing
challenges are top of mind for home care agencies (see Figure 2). As the projected shortage of
home care workers worsens – especially in urban areas in which workers cannot afford to live –
shortage predictions are dire, predicted to amount to 7.8 million unfilled jobs by 2026.
Caregiving – a dilemma of high costs and demand for workers. The most recent data
indicates that 22% of adults age 85+ need help with personal care. As families and seniors
compare the costs of aging at home to aging in a senior living community, the cost projections
begin to look similar – with the median monthly cost of full-time home care now at $4290,
versus $4051 per month for senior living, according to Genworth Financial.
Stark consumer economic realities challenge senior living occupancy... Average net worth of
the 75+ inclusive of home equity is $200,000 (see Figure 4). Low level of savings slows moves
to assisted living, where move-in age is closer to mid-80’s (see Figure 5). With more than half
of assisted living residents aged 85+, this has become a frailer demographic, needing help with
multiple ADLs. But boomers are right behind them – and will be even less able to move in. They
have simply not saved enough – holding an average retirement savings portfolio in their 70’s of
$186,800. That’s not enough to live on after retirement and later afford more than a few years at
a private assisted living community with an average nationwide monthly now at $4091.
65+
70 to 74
65 to 69
55 to 64
45 to 54
35 to 44
Figure 4 Median Net Worth Americans by Age Source: WalletHack January 2020
Caregiving demands of an aging population drive policy change in 2019. In January, 2019,
the coordinating body for Health IT (ONC) released interoperability advice, connecting people to
their care, that requires representing the relationship between a patient and another person
(provider, caregiver, or family member). In February, ONC proposed a further rule change that
would allow individuals to securely and easily access structured Electronic Health Information
using applications for smartphones and other mobile devices. Furthermore, Medicare Advantage
and Medicaid plans are more likely to cover PERS devices and other in-home technology.
White House Report in 2019 offered useful suggestions that deserve follow-up. The release
of the 2019 White House report in March added new emerging categories of technology to
enable living independently, including dental hygiene, critical for older adults (See Appendix at
the end of this document). The report also made recommendations about boosting adoption,
noting that design of’ ‘zero-effort’ technologies should include an ‘adequate assessment of user
needs, usability analysis, and studies…and needs-finding through interaction with older adults.’
Despite enablers, tech adoption by older adults has not kept pace. The surveyed ubiquity of
technology has led to a belief that it is everywhere it needs to be, with media assumptions about
the benefit of smartphones and online tools, ownership of devices, or access to broadband
speeds. But barriers remain. For example, with smartphone adoption of the 70+ at just 62%,
device complexity, price, poor usability, forced obsolescence combined with lack of standardized
professional training have created big barriers to broadening smartphone usage of an aging
population, particularly for individuals aged 70+. (See Figure 6 and Figure 7).
Medicare Advantage changes will feature tech-enabled home care services. Besides further
cementing consumer commitment to support aging at home, A far-reaching change began in
2018 to expand benefits for the chronically ill and further resulted in changes to Medicare
Advantage plans (currently covering a third of Medicare beneficiaries). These plans are
beginning to cover in-home services and technology devices in 2020. This change will no doubt
drive interest in labor-saving caregiving technology in both home care and senior living settings.
Digital health usage grows in some categories. The Digital Health Summit at CES 2020 was
bigger than ever – with 4000 exhibitors across 2.7 million square feet and attended by many of
the 175,000 CES 2020 attendees. And technology for older adults could be found, innovators
exhibited, with a number of offerings that could be of benefit if broadly marketed and resold. In
addition, adoption of online digital health tools continues to rise, notably in the growth of
consumer access to online information (see Figure 8). While wearables were now more popular
in 2019 for adults aged 55+, seniors aged 65+ are still unlikely to own them.
Fall detection innovations moved off body, into the room. More offerings emerged recently
seeking to detect falls without a wearable on the body. These include an AI-enhanced video tool,
SafelyYou; Vayyar’s Walabot Home, Essence SmartCare, and Starkey’s Livio hearing aid.
Fall prevention could include detection of changes in movement, as with BioSensics (on the
body), and StaySmartCare (in the room with infrared and radar).
DID YOU KNOW that one in four adults age 65+ falls each
year? According to the CDC, the estimated medical cost of
falls across the U.S. healthcare system is $50 billion annually.
The categories of technology offerings required to age successfully include independent market
segments – each useful – but together, they complete a puzzle for a fulfilling and interactive life
for older adults, enabled as needed with the support of families and caregivers (see Figure 9):
Communication and engagement. For baby boomers and younger, life is unthinkable without
web surfing, Facebook, smartphones, and texting. As 2020 began, tech vendors like Samsung
and BestBuy both honed the opportunity for a line of technology for older adults. Larger,
brighter and more expensive smartphones like the Samsung Galaxy Fold or the iPhone 11 Pro
Max compete with today’s general purpose tablets. The newest versions of voice-first interfaces
(like Alexa, Google Assistant, Siri or Bixby) raise the bar on in-home tech experiences for the
growing numbers owning the devices. For the one-third of 65+ individuals with hearing loss,
attractive and functional hearables add to a disrupted hearing technology market, along hearing
aids that are more attractive, lower cost, or more available through direct-to-consumer channels.
Safety and security. The ability to remain at home depends on whether the home is free from
obstacles and dangers, especially for the 46% of women aged 75+ who live alone. Basic home
alarm systems for fire and flood are mandatory, but today seniors can also be served by smart
home sensors (IoT), many announced during 2019 and early 2020. PERS vendors that get
monthly fees from their PERS and call center businesses will increasingly link to other services
that can be voice-enabled, for example MobileHelp-LifePod. Innovative approaches to fall
detection are also entering the market (like Essence’s radar or SafelyYou’s AI/Video offering) .
Learning and contribution. Experts have noted that once the basic needs of communication,
safety, and health are addressed people have both the need and capacity for more. This includes
learning, staying aware and active in society, contribute through volunteering and growing
numbers of older workers. They also are leaving a legacy of stories (not just money) for those
who love them. In addition, a 2019 study showed the benefits of telling their stories for seniors
with dementia. Due to labor shortages and the percent (one in five) of workers aged 65+, AARP
and OATS help an older person obtain skills to prepare them to find a job.
Caregivers care about technology – wish it supported them more effectively. According to a
recent study by Cambia Health, 64% of surveyed caregivers use at least one digital tool to help
them with caregiving. Forty-one percent expressed interest in using a tool that would connect
them to experts, as well as a health guide via chat to answer questions. But 25% of responders
expressed concerns about data privacy, a growing worry in the face of numerous hacks and
identity thieves today. Other concerns raised included ‘too many tools’ and lack of awareness.
One go-to-market channel is not enough. Depending on the product or service, it may need a
mix of resellers/distributors, face-to-face, and online sales. As the 2019 Pew Internet/Broadband
Survey showed, 27% of the 65+ market is still not online. If that population needs a technology
or service, caregivers will peruse online sites, depending on need, like Best Buy’s Aging in
Place, FirstStreetOnline or AbleData. New entrants must form partnership early – at the pilot
stage with channels like these or PERS dealers who resell medical alert devices, for example.
What do caregivers and older adults need? The caregivers of older adults are sometimes
surveyed, but rarely about tech needs. The Catalyst survey showed the importance of tools for
care coordination and finding care workers; plus a smarter, lower cost PERS device that would
serve as more of a caregiver communication platform. As caregivers, professionals, and families
seek alternatives to better serve older adults at home, what are the requirements for making
technologies both useful and likely to reach the intended market?
• Technologies must be well-supported and intuitive. Most people have a laundry list of
frustrations with technology, regardless of age. The failure of previous direct-to-
consumer approaches underscored the fallacy of inventor-centric thinking that ‘if we
create it, they will buy it from us’ or at least find it Amazon. But what if it is a device
fitting into a Wi-Fi home network with other devices, a printer, a few voice devices and a
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webcam? Instead, remote configuration and support partners must be a major part of the
offering – or doom the user and family to frustration and tech abandonment.
• Device and app vendors must be capable of integration and extension. Despite
standards initiatives, task force recommendations or ONC Interoperability (2019), many
of today’s gadgets still don’t communicate – especially with each other’s proprietary
systems or data sets (like Electronic Health Records). So mobile health devices, apps or
medication reminders may be useful, but touch a tiny aspect of the whole person. Patients
struggle to get their own records in a transferrable form upon discharge.
• Privacy and security features will be built into design of software and websites.
Cybercrimes targeting the elderly have ballooned to a cost of $650 million in annual
losses, and that includes only those that are self-reported. For safety-oriented apps and
sites that include the role of the senior, it’s critical to verify identify among provider and
user roles. Two-factor authentication will likely as part of online (and future voice)
health-related services.
• Costs to consumers must be affordable. As tech becomes more usable and useful,
consumers and families will look for ways to acquire technology like Wi-Fi or medical
alert devices. A fragmented set of discounts/subsidies are available for Wi-Fi. Some
insurers now reimburse for PERS and telehealth. But family will still play a supportive
role in acquiring technology. High speed internet enables engagement with grandchildren
and powers voice-first tech like Amazon Echo or Google Assistant. These tools enable
home automation and reduce social isolation, both in senior living and individual homes.
Across all consumer devices, wireless charging pads and stands have made coping with mobile
technology easier. Connections are less likely to wear out before the device is retired. Across
many devices today, consumers will find assistive features (for vision and hearing limitations)
that are built in. Older adults would benefit greatly if vendors and stores selling devices (or
providing training) spent time introducing them to those features (See Figure 10).
Pattern recognition and analytics augments simple monitoring. Pattern analysis, dashboards,
and predictive analytics have permeated tech innovation for years, including healthcare, but have
been slow to enter the world of caregiving for older adults. That is changing – and new entrants,
for example, StaySmartCare, SafelyYou and EnvoyatHome are pioneering use of pattern
analysis to indicate issues that caregivers need to address. During 2020, more will be announced.
Voice first technology – it’s everywhere and in everything. In 2019, Voice First represented a
category of technologies like smart speakers and voice assistants. Now health organizations and
providers are moving forward with voice-enabled interfaces to everything from hospital rooms,
appointment scheduling, doctors note-taking, prescription requests, and even discharge
instructions. The ability to ask Mayo Clinic a question or get an update on a prescription will be
a notable benefit to older adults who own smart speakers or have phone-based assistants. Expect
moving forward that older users to be willing to trade concerns about privacy with an always-
listening device against the benefit of this easiest interaction mode of speaking.
Amid market disruption, hearables market begins to resonate – and grow. The hearing
technology market is seeing disruption from multiple angles. Smart hearables were news at CES
2020, including AI-enabled hearing aids with fall detection, better and adjustable noise
cancellation – especially interesting for older adults in noisy restaurants. Add integration with
voice capabilities like Siri, Google Assistant, and Alexa and the ability to stream audio content
directly to in-ear devices. With the introduction of Over-the-Counter Hearing aid sales (and
recommended guidelines), coupled with the beginnings of insurance reimbursement, those with
mild-to-moderate hearing loss are likely to benefit from many of these changes.
Smartphone market saturates – and some prices drop. Only 2 major vendors, Samsung
and Apple, compete in the US smartphone market and the overall space is clearly saturated. The
top smartphone apps in 2020 cross platforms – those used by more than 50% of smartphone
users include YouTube, Facebook, Google Search, Google Maps, Gmail, Facebook Messenger
and Google Play. But for the general consumer marketplace, there is some optimism about smart
flip phones and their potential comeback. In addition, consumers are owning smartphones far
longer, than 2 years – and may not see a reason to upgrade to a pricier device.
Probably the biggest issue that keeps more of today’s technology out of the homes of seniors is
the difficulty of marketing to them (“We are not old!”) and their afraid-to-interfere adult
children. Therefore, it’s important to sell through knowledgeable channels, appropriate websites
AND pricing right for resale and possible white labeling. Vendors must find:
The right customer or referral – families and service providers partners. Direct-to-consumer
marketing of products and services takes deep pockets just for the advertising – note the growing
number of ads for low-cost hearing aids. For early stage companies, start locally – get to know a
local home care agency, senior living company, or home security company. What they have in
common? Entry into the home.
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Standards enable users and integrators to cross tech boundaries. Times are changing – as in
this smart home interoperability initiative – a recognition that, despite intense competition,
consumers likely own a wide variety of devices and software that should be able to work better
together. Amazon launched a similar initiative for voice offerings like smart speakers and voice
assistants. Therefore, ensure that the new offering works across multiple platforms and comes in
multiple form factors – voice, smartphone, web, for example.
Access to ongoing training and refreshers – much work needed. To be sure, the oldest are
likely to approach smartphones as another variation of flip phones – until they can learn of their
utility in a store, online, from their family, or in community training centers. Automatic updates
and application software changes push users back for refreshers to avoid considerable frustration.
Despite the efforts of senior centers and other non-profits like NCOA and its Online Banking
training, training services lag the pace of tech change and rapid growth of threats, including
hackers’ ability to pinpoint location and/or steal identifying information.
The real user need – a service problem solved. Seniors and their adult children may not
imagine on their own what to do with sensor networks, web cams, or smart speakers. A home
security company could someday help explain the benefits, for example, of care coordination,
when selling tech to a home health agency. Instead of offering point products out of context,
vendors should fit solution descriptions, service provider stories, and senior support processes
along the continuum of needed care and socialization. This necessitates a grasp of the decision
points that spike need and interest, using these as part of websites and marketing (see Figure 10).
Identify the right channel – it’s about an ecosystem and indirect selling. The right channel
depends on the complexity of the product and the target user. Reseller partnerships can extend
reach, service configurations and specific geographies. For example, PERS vendors may market
through multiple regional service providers, but prices can vary for local markets. Retailers like
Best Buy’s Aging in Place may provide white label options for home care agencies, pharmacies,
senior housing organizations or insurance partnerships, many of these adding voice activation.
Senior-focused non-profits matter. From AARP’s Innovation Labs and media channels, to the
local tech fair, each play a role in helping startups gain awareness and get their offerings into the
market. The American Society on Aging (ASA) runs a national event each year called Aging in
America – with a large presence of attendees in the social services and vendors who are potential
partners. Regional lifelong learning organizations run tech fairs like San Diego Oasis are a great
way to help development teams learn about the end customer and what they care about. And
national organizations like the National Council on Aging (NCOA) plan to increase use of
technology to improve awareness of their service offerings like Benefits Checkup.
“Every technology is of value to older adults – for example, new technologies like
conversational AI and personalization algorithms can help create a customer segments of one
with personalized solutions to each individual older adult.” – Saeed Elnaj, CIO, National
Council on Aging
The marketplace of products and services today is still fragmented, with ever-shifting cottage
industries comprised largely of startups, challenged by channel complexity and end user
resistance. According to AARP’s Longevity Economy projections, the 50+ population will
control 51% of technology spending by 2030, just a decade away. That market will be dominated
by new tech likely introduced by the largest players who will acquire startups that matter.
Benefits of new tech will accrue to all, but challenge users at every intro. Service providers,
caregivers for older adults, and senior living organizations will need to keep up (see Figure 12).
It’s still Digital Health, now more useful to older adults. The dream of reimbursement is
becoming a reality. Especially interesting? Remote patient monitoring (RPM) during an
epidemic, which persists as the way to replace or supplement institutional care for in-home care
by hospital/health systems and medical practices. And regulation changes in the past year are
have begun to turn the adoption tide. Also at HIMSS and the Digital Health Summit, vendors
are beginning to learn that older people, consumers of a significant portion of healthcare
spending, will need many of the Digital Health technology categories.
Voice first interfaces will be ubiquitous. For older adults, voice-enabled interactions will be
preferred when they are possible and when cloud-based services are accessible. Why? Because it
is easier for them – enabling the transformation from typing, pinching, zooming and glass screen
frustration into a services world in which what you say should get you what you need. As
happened with IoT apps, voice interfaces will be added to every feasible device (and new car),
whether it makes sense or not as with hackable dishwashers or ’peak stupid’ toasters. Older adult
users may not want easily hacked or always listening devices, though. And they are also not
enamored with self-driving or electric cars.
Hearing technology markets will be further disrupted – users win. Consumer Report’s 2018
survey found that nearly one-third of people who reported difficulty with hearing did not visit or
delayed seeing a professional. Reasons vary, but often include denial of hearing loss, perception
of stigma associated with hearing aids, and concerns about cost. As lower-cost options grow –
hearables, retail and at-home self-service/self-fitting and purchasing of hearing aids, individuals
with hearing loss may opt in to alleviating hearing loss earlier than the typical 7-year wait.
Caregiver shortages will boost interest in home monitoring technology. The intersection of
three simultaneous trends of aging alone at home, worsening caregiver shortages and turnover,
and the percentage of adult children working, interest in monitoring technology in the home will
grow, including web cameras, sensors, smart doorbells or voice-first tools.
Virtual reality and robotics usage will continue and grow. The press loves to write about
robots and seniors. Still largely at the anecdote stage, widespread use of care-related robots in the
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home or in senior living communities hasn’t happened and is not expected for years. On the
other hand, virtual reality tool possibilities expanded during 2019, particularly in the area of
caregiver training (Embodied Labs) and more senior living communities are deploying virtual
reality (MyndVR).
The absence of widely available tech training and support should prompt innovators. It’s
not just seniors who need help. The proliferation of devices, persistence of AARP Tek Training
workshops, the growth of the Best Buy’s Geek Squad into Total Tech Support (any device) – all
point to one conclusion. New technology requires training and support – and profit for
companies that can deliver cost effectively. With the aging of baby boomers, newer offerings
like Support.com (any connected device) will tailor messages to reach an older adult audience.
Laurie M. Orlov, a tech industry veteran, writer, speaker and elder care advocate, is the founder
of Aging in Place Technology Watch, a market research consultancy that provides thought
leadership, analysis and guidance about technologies and related services that enable boomers
and seniors to remain longer in their home of choice. In addition to her technology background
and years as a technology industry analyst, Laurie was a certified long-term care ombudsman
and received a graduate certificate in geriatric care management from the University of Florida.
In her previous career in the technology industry, Laurie held senior positions in IT
organizations, followed by 9 years as a leading industry analyst at Forrester Research. While
there, she was often the first in the industry to identify technology trends and management
strategies. She has spoken regularly and delivered keynote speeches at forums, industry
consortia, conferences, and symposia, most recently on the business of technology for boomers
and seniors. She advises large organizations as well as non-profits and entrepreneurs about trends
and opportunities in the age-related technology market and was a participating expert on the
Think Tank for The Philips Center for Health and Well-Being; the Personal Connected Health
Alliance Aging Task Force; AARP Inclusive Technology Roundtable 2019. She also testified
before the US Senate on the role of technology for older adults. Her perspectives have been
quoted in California Healthline, Forbes, AARP Magazine, the New York Times, and the Wall
Street Journal. She has a graduate certificate in Geriatric Care Management from the University
of Florida and a BA in Music from the University of Rochester. Her other most recent research
reports include Voice, Health and Wellbeing 2020; The Future of Voice First Technology
and Older Adults (2018); and Tech-Enabled Home Care (2017).
For inclusion as an example-only technology to facilitate aging in place, the vendor meets two of
these criteria (those firms listed are only examples, not an exhaustive list). Because of growth of
relevant technology announcements during 2019-20, more startups, including pre-launch and
innovation award winners are included than previous versions. In addition, please note that the
“**” entries can be new for this publication of the 2020 Market Overview, though they may have
been in business previously but were not included in the 2019 report. The criteria:
Finance/Transportation
Category: Caregiving
(Platform, Apps)
Category:
Learning/Contribution