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Probability Methods in Engineering BEE4r Assignment 1: Question: Answer The Following. Due Date: 4/10/2018 Before 7:30 PM

This document contains 5 questions regarding probability calculations for engineering problems. Question 1 involves calculating probabilities related to randomly selecting castings from different suppliers. Question 2 involves probabilities regarding air conditioning failure mechanisms. Question 3 involves probabilities related to chemical adhesive batch production. Question 4 involves probabilities related to incoming customer service calls. Question 5 involves probabilities regarding causes of computer keyboard failures.

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23 views

Probability Methods in Engineering BEE4r Assignment 1: Question: Answer The Following. Due Date: 4/10/2018 Before 7:30 PM

This document contains 5 questions regarding probability calculations for engineering problems. Question 1 involves calculating probabilities related to randomly selecting castings from different suppliers. Question 2 involves probabilities regarding air conditioning failure mechanisms. Question 3 involves probabilities related to chemical adhesive batch production. Question 4 involves probabilities related to incoming customer service calls. Question 5 involves probabilities regarding causes of computer keyboard failures.

Uploaded by

gmujtaba
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Probability Methods in Engineering BEE4r

Assignment 1: Question: Answer the following.


Due Date : 4/10/2018 before 7:30 pm
Q1: A lot contains 15 castings from a local supplier and 25 castings from a supplier in the next state. Two
castings are selected randomly, without replacement, from the lot of 40. Let A be the event that the first
casting selected is from the local supplier, and let B denote the event that the second casting is selected from
the local supplier. Determine:
(a) P(A) (b) P(A|B)
(c) P(B) (d) P(B|A)
(e) P(AUB) (f)P(A∩B)

Q2: A maintenance firm has gathered the following information regarding the failure mechanisms for air
conditioning systems:
evidence of gas leaks
yes no
evidence of yes 55 17
electrical failure no 32 3
The units without evidence of gas leaks or electrical failure showed other types of failure. If this is a
representative sample of AC failure, find the probability
(a) That failure involves a gas leak
(b) That there is evidence of electrical failure given that there was a gas leak
(c) That there is evidence of a gas leak given that there is evidence of electrical failure

Q3: In the manufacturing of a chemical adhesive, 3% of all batches have raw materials from two different
lots. This occurs when holding tanks are replenished and the remaining portion of a lot is insufficient to fill
the tanks. Only 5% of batches with material from a single lot require reprocessing. However, the viscosity of
batches consisting of two or more lots of material is more difficult to control, and 40% of such batches
require additional processing to achieve the required viscosity. Let A denote the event that a batch is formed
from two different lots, and let B denote the event that a lot requires additional processing. Determine the
following
probabilities:
(a) P(A) (b) P(A’)
(c) P(B|A’) (d) P(B|A’)
(e) P(A∩B) (f) P(A∩B’)
(g) P(B)

Q4: Incoming calls to a customer service center are classified as complaints (75% of call) or requests for
information (25% of calls). Of the complaints, 40% deal with computer equipment that does not respond and
57% deal with incomplete software installation; and in the remaining 3% of complaints the user has
improperly followed the installation instructions. The requests for information are evenly divided on
technical questions (50%) and requests to purchase more
products (50%).
(a) What is the probability that an incoming call to the customer service center will be from a customer who
has not followed installation instructions properly?
(b) Find the probability that an incoming call is a request for purchasing more products.
Q5: Computer keyboard failures are due to faulty electrical connects (12%) or mechanical defects (88%).
Mechanical defects are related to loose keys (27%) or improper assembly (73%). Electrical connect defects
are caused by defective wires (35%), improper connections (13%), or poorly welded wires (52%).
(a) Find the probability that a failure is due to loose keys.
(b) Find the probability that a failure is due to improperly connected or poorly welded wires.

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