Average Score: Velesto Energy (Velesto-Ku)
Average Score: Velesto Energy (Velesto-Ku)
Average Score: Velesto Energy (Velesto-Ku)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Exploring & Prod. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 29 April 2020
Last Close Avg Daily Vol 52-Week High Trailing PE Annual Div ROE LTG Forecast 1-Mo Return
0.13 (MYR) 119M 0.41 41.7 -- 1.2% -- 18.2%
29 April 2020 Market Cap 52-Week Low Forward PE Dividend Yield Annual Rev Inst Own 3-Mo Return
MALAYSIA Exchange
1.2B 0.09 15.6 -- 671M 16.4% -63.4%
AVERAGE SCORE
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: VELESTO's current Score Averages
score of 3 places it among the bottom quartile of Oil & Gas Group: 4.3 Mid Market Cap: 6.7
stocks scored. Fossil Fuels Sector: 4.4 FBM KLCI Index: 6.1
Average Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive PETRONM 9 8 7 8 8
PETDAG 8 8 8 7 6
Neutral HIBISCS 7 7 4 4 4
VELESTO 5 2 3 3 3
Negative
REACH 4 3 2 2 2
APR-2017 APR-2018 APR-2019 APR-2020
BUSINESS SUMMARY
Velesto Energy Berhad, formerly UMW Oil & Gas Corporation Berhad, is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. The Company is engaged in
providing corporate management, administrative and professional services, as well as financial support to its subsidiary companies. Its segments
include drilling services, oilfield services and others. Its drilling services segment provides drilling services and workover rig services to the upstream oil
and gas sector. The oilfield services segment provides oil country tubular goods (OCTG) threading, repair and inspection services. The others segment
is involved in investment holding, provision of support services, management and corporate services. The drilling services segment owns and operates
several drilling rigs and hydraulic workover units (HWUs), and acts as an agent for two providers of specialized equipment and service. The rigs are
chartered out to oil companies for their exploration, development and production activities.
Page 1 of 11
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VELESTO ENERGY (VELESTO-KU)
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Report Date: 29 April 2020
INDICATOR COMPONENTS
The AVERAGE SCORE combines the quantitative analysis of five widely-used investment decision making tools: Earnings,
Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, and Price Momentum. A simple average of the underlying component ratings is normally
distributed to rank stocks on a 1-10 scale (10 being awarded to the most favorable). These factors may be evaluated differently using
alternative methodologies and the importance of individual factors varies across industries, market capitalization and investment styles.
Additional criteria should always by used to evaluate a stock.
PEER COMPANIES
PETDAG Petronas Dagangan HIBISCS Hibiscus Petroleum
DIALOG Dialog Group KUB KUB Malaysia
SERBADK Serba Dinamik Holdings ENRA ENRA Group
PETRONM Petron Malaysia Refining STRAITS Straits Inter Logistics
HENGYUAN Hengyuan Refining Co REACH Reach Energy
Page 2 of 11
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VELESTO ENERGY (VELESTO-KU)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Exploring & Prod. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 29 April 2020
Earnings Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive VELESTO 9 5 7 9 9
REACH 8 8 7 7 7
Neutral PETDAG 4 6 5 3 4
PETRONM 7 4 1 1 3
Negative
HIBISCS 3 5 1 1 1
APR-2017 APR-2018 APR-2019 APR-2020
EARNINGS INDICATORS
Earnings Surprises Estimate Revisions Recommendation Changes
(33.3% weight) (33.3% weight) (33.3% weight)
PETDAG
VELESTO
HIBISCS
REACH PETRONM
PETRONM REACH
VELESTO
PETDAG
HIBISCS PETDAG PETRONM
HIBISCS
REACH
VELESTO
Page 3 of 11
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VELESTO ENERGY (VELESTO-KU)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Exploring & Prod. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 29 April 2020
-0.010
2018 2019 2020 2021
EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of Surprise Detail (Last 6 Periods)
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a Surprise Announce Period End Actual Mean Surprise
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type. Type Date Date EPS EPS (%)
Surprise Summary (Last 6 Years) In-Line 25/02/20 31/12/19 0.004 0.004 0.0%
Positive 27/02/19 31/12/18 -0.002 -0.003 33.3%
Surprise Type Amount Percent
Negative 27/02/18 31/12/17 -0.063 -0.061 -3.3%
Positive Years (> 2%) 1 16.7%
Negative 27/02/17 31/12/16 -0.184 -0.159 -15.7%
Negative Years (< -2%) 4 66.7%
Negative 23/02/16 31/12/15 -0.016 0.008 -300.0%
In-Line Years (within 2%) 1 16.7%
Negative 23/02/15 31/12/14 0.113 0.117 -3.4%
ANNUAL REVENUE
A pattern of increasing sales in Actuals Estimates
conjunction with a rising EPS may
influence a buy recommendation, while 880M
HIGH 2020 2021
flat or falling sales and faltering 800M
earnings may explain a sell Mean 694.6M 737.0M
recommendation. A rising EPS with flat 720M 670.8M
MEAN
High 789.4M 840.9M
or falling sales may result from
increased cost efficiency and margins, 640M
Low 580.0M 538.0M
573.2M
rather than market expansion. This Forecasted Growth 3.5% 9.9%
chart shows the sales forecast trend of 560M
LOW # of Analysts 9 9
all analysts and the highest and lowest
projections for the current and next 480M
2018 2019 2020 2021
fiscal year.
Page 4 of 11
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VELESTO ENERGY (VELESTO-KU)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Exploring & Prod. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 29 April 2020
FUNDAMENTAL
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: Fundamentals relatively Fundamental Score Averages
in-line with the market. Oil & Gas Group: 6.0 Mid Market Cap: 6.8
Fossil Fuels Sector: 5.7 FBM KLCI Index: 5.8
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Fundamental Score Trend Peers 2019 2019 2019 2020 Current 3Y Trend
PETRONM 9 8 8 NR 10
Positive
HIBISCS 10 10 10 NR 8
Neutral PETDAG 6 6 7 NR 8
Negative VELESTO 5 6 8 NR 6
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 REACH 5 4 5 NR 2
2017 2018 2019
FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
Profitability Debt Earnings Quality Dividend
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
HIBISC… PETDA…
PETRO… PETRO…
VELEST… PETRO…
PETDA… REACH
PETDA…
HIBISC… VELEST…
PETRO…
VELEST… HIBISC…
HIBISC…
REACH
VELEST…
Revenue Growth 16.9% Current Ratio 1.8 Oper. Cash Yield 535.2% Dividend Growth --
For year over year For interim period For latest 12 months For year over year
ending 12-2019 ending 12-2019 ending 12-2019 ending --
Gross Margin 16.8% Debt-to-Capital 26.1% Accruals -3.2% Dividend Payout --
For latest 12 months For annual period For latest 12 months For latest 12 months
ending 12-2019 ending 12-2019 ending 12-2019 ending --
Return On Equity 1.2% Interest Funding 35.7% Days Sales In Inv. 186.3 Dividend Coverage --
For interim period For interim period For annual period For annual period
ending 12-2019 ending 12-2019 ending 12-2019 ending --
Net Margin 5.0% Interest Coverage 1.8 Days Sales In Rec. 147.9 Current Div. Yield --
For latest 12 months For interim period For annual period For latest 12 months
ending 12-2019 ending 12-2019 ending 12-2019 ending --
HIGHLIGHTS
- Velesto Energy currently has a relatively neutral Fundamental Rating - The days sales in inventory for VELESTO is the highest within its Oil &
of 6. The average Fundamental Rating for its Oil & Gas industry Gas industry group.
group is 6.0 and the FTSE BURSA MALAYSIA COMPOSITE index - Velesto Energy does not currently pay a dividend. Of 9 firms within
average is 5.9. the Oil & Gas industry group, it is among the 6 companies without a
- The company's return on equity has been lower than its industry group dividend.
average for each of the past five years.
- The current ratio of 1.8 for VELESTO is the highest within its Oil &
Gas industry group.
Page 5 of 11
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VELESTO ENERGY (VELESTO-KU)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Exploring & Prod. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 29 April 2020
RELATIVE VALUATION
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Multiples significantly Relative Valuation Score Averages
above the market or the stock's historic norms. Oil & Gas Group: 6.3 Mid Market Cap: 4.8
Fossil Fuels Sector: 7.4 FBM KLCI Index: 2.6
Relative Valuation Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive HIBISCS 9 8 10 10 10
PETRONM 10 10 10 10 10
Neutral REACH 7 7 8 8 8
PETDAG 4 5 2 3 3
Negative
VELESTO 1 1 2 2 2
APR-2017 APR-2018 APR-2019 APR-2020
HIBISCS
PETDAG VELESTO
VELESTO
PETDAG
PETDAG
VELESTO
REACH REACH
HIGHLIGHTS
- Velesto Energy currently has a Relative Valuation Rating of 2 while - VELESTO's Trailing P/E of 41.7 represents a 13% Premium to its 5-
the FTSE BURSA MALAYSIA COMPOSITE index has an average year average of 37.0.
rating of 2.8. - VELESTO's current Forward P/E of 15.6 represents a 28% Discount to
- Compared to the Oil & Gas industry group, VELESTO is currently its Oil & Gas industry group average.
trading at a significant premium based on both Price to Sales ratio and
Trailing P/E.
- Based on Price to Sales, VELESTO currently trades at a >100%
Premium to its Oil & Gas industry group peers. On average, the
company has traded at a >100% Premium over the past five years.
Page 6 of 11
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Report Date: 29 April 2020
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VELESTO ENERGY (VELESTO-KU)
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Report Date: 29 April 2020
RISK
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Variable return patterns Risk Score Averages
(high volatility). Oil & Gas Group: 4.8 Mid Market Cap: 7.6
Fossil Fuels Sector: 3.5 FBM KLCI Index: 9.0
Risk Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive PETDAG 9 9 10 10 10
PETRONM 7 7 7 7 7
Neutral HIBISCS 4 2 3 3 3
VELESTO 4 3 3 3 3
Negative
REACH 2 1 1 1 1
APR-2017 APR-2018 APR-2019 APR-2020
RISK INDICATORS
Magnitude of Returns Volatility Beta (1-year) Correlation
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
PETDA… HIBISC…
PETDA… PETDA…
PETRO… PETRO…
VELEST… PETDA…
PETRO… HIBISC…
PETRO… VELEST…
REACH
VELEST… HIBISC…
VELEST… REACH
REACH REACH
HIBISC…
Daily Returns (Last 90 Days) Standard Deviation Beta vs. FBM KLCI 3.02 Correlation vs. FBM KLCI
Best 37.5% Last 90 Days 9.68 Positive Days Only 2.60 Last 90 Days 64%
Worst -48.3% Last 60 Months 11.49 Negative Days Only 4.25 Last 60 Months 21%
Monthly Returns (Last 60 Months) Intra-Day Swing (Last 90 Days) Beta vs. Group 1.68 Correlation vs. Group
Best 31.6% Average 9.1% Positive Days Only 1.72 Last 90 Days 94%
Worst -31.8% Largest 48.4% Negative Days Only 1.96 Last 60 Months 37%
Page 8 of 11
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VELESTO ENERGY (VELESTO-KU)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Exploring & Prod. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 29 April 2020
Price Momentum Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive PETDAG 7 7 8 7 5
PETRONM 3 4 3 5 3
Neutral HIBISCS 5 7 1 1 1
REACH 3 2 1 1 1
Negative
VELESTO 8 4 1 1 1
APR-2017 APR-2018 APR-2019 APR-2020
PETDAG PETDAG
PETRONM PETRONM
HIBISCS HIBISCS
REACH REACH
VELESTO VELESTO
Relative Strength Indicator (Scale from 1 to 100) Average Monthly Return (Last 10 Years)
VELESTO Industry Avg APR MAY JUN
Last 1 Month 38 41 Company Avg -0.2% -6.8% -1.9%
Last 3 Months 39 40 Industry Avg -- -- --
Last 6 Months 42 42 Industry Rank -- -- --
PRICE PERFORMANCE
Daily close prices are used to calculate the VELESTO VELESTO FBM Mid
performance of the stock as compared to a
FBM Mid Close Price (29/04/20) 0.13 11,385
relevant index over five time periods.
52-Week High 0.41 14,951
-10.3%
1-Week 52-Week Low 0.09 9,194
0.2%
18.2% - The Price Momentum Rating for Velesto Energy is at its 3-year
1-Month
8.1% low of 1.
- On 29/04/20, VELESTO closed at 0.13, 68.3% below its 52-
-63.4%
3-Month week high and 44.4% above its 52-week low.
-18.3%
- VELESTO shares are currently trading 28.6% below their 50-
-65.8% day moving average of 0.18, and 57.4% below their 200-day
YTD moving average of 0.31.
-19.9%
-55.9%
1-Year
-22.7%
Page 9 of 11
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VELESTO ENERGY (VELESTO-KU)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Exploring & Prod. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 29 April 2020
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VELESTO ENERGY (VELESTO-KU)
Fossil Fuels / Oil & Gas / Oil & Gas Exploring & Prod. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 29 April 2020
Valuation Averages
Negative values are excluded when calculating the averages. A maximum value of
100 is placed on Trailing P/E and Forward P/E, a maximum value of 5 is placed on
Forward PEG, and a maximum value of 20 is placed on Price to Sales when
calculating the averages. Higher values are rounded down to the maximum for the
averages.
Valuation Multiples
The valuation multiples provide the Trailing P/E, Forward P/E, Forward PEG, and
Price to Sales for the company and the S&P 500 index average. In addition, a
comparison of the current company’s values to its 5-year average and an industry
average are presented. A discount occurs when the company’s ratio is valued
more favorably (lower) than that to which it is compared.
Risk
The Risk Rating displays stocks on a scale of 1 to 10 with 10 being awarded to the
least risky stocks. It is derived by looking at a series of long-term (5-year) and
short-term (90-day) stock performance measures including volatility, magnitude of
returns, beta, and correlation. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal deciles
are used to rank each stock across the market. A stock needs to have at least two
of the four risk factors in order to receive a score.
● Magnitude of Returns – The best / worst daily returns in the past 90 days and the
best / worst monthly returns in the past 60 months.
● Volatility – The standard deviation of the stock price over the last 90 days and
last 60 months, along with the average and largest intra-day stock swing.
● Beta – Measures the tendency of a security’s returns to respond to swings in the
market, based on the beta of the company versus the relevant index.
● Correlation – Determines how closely the returns of the stock and the relevant
index move together, measured over the last 90 days and last 60 months.
Risk Analysis
Price analysis for the company and the relevant index is provided over two time
periods. Daily analysis is provided for the last 90 days, whereas monthly statistics
are used for the last 60 months.
Price Momentum
The Price Momentum Rating is based on a combination of two technical
performance factors: relative strength (70% weight) and seasonality (30% weight).
After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors, equal deciles are
used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most
favorable. A stock needs to have data for the relative strength factor in order to
receive a score.
● Relative Strength – The relative strength of the company for the last 1 month, 3
months, and 6 months on a scale of 1 to 100.
● Seasonality – The average monthly return (price performance) for the current
month and next 2 months for the company and industry, over the past 10 years.
A lower industry rank indicates a higher return.
Price Performance
Daily close prices are used to calculate the price performance of the stock. The
performance of the relevant index is also displayed as a means of comparison.
DISCLAIMER
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taken in reliance on such content.
The content in this Refinitiv report does not constitute investment advice or a
recommendation to buy or sell securities of any kind. Past performance is not a
guarantee of future results. Investors should consider this report as only a single
factor when making an investment decision.
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