Refinement of A Simplified Road-User Cost Model
Refinement of A Simplified Road-User Cost Model
Refinement of A Simplified Road-User Cost Model
Refinement of a simplified
road-user cost model
j
1 Bertha Maria Batista dos Santos PhD j
3 Victor Manuel Pissarra Cavaleiro PhD
Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering and Professor, Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture,
Architecture, University of Beira Interior, Covilha, Portugal University of Beira Interior, Covilha, Portugal
j
2 Luı́s Guilherme de Picado Santos PhD
Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Architecture and
Georesources, Instituto Superior Técnico, Technical University of
Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
j
1 j
2 j
3
Two Portuguese universities (University of Beira Interior and University of Coimbra) researched and developed a
simplified road-user costs model for inclusion in a pavement management system, as well as input data for
Portuguese trunk road networks, between 2004 and 2007. The model can be used to calculate the average road-user
costs in relation to vehicle operating, accident, time and toll costs. This paper describes the main activities that led to
the model formulation and the input data, and presents a new development to simplify user costs estimation
considering changes in pavement condition and the influence of road work zones. These scenarios can then be easily
and reliably utilised within the process of road maintenance and rehabilitation, evaluating the needs and
consequences of road intervention actions for consideration in the cost–benefit and life-cycle cost analysis. This
paper also confirms the importance of these additional costs through a model application to a Portuguese road
network under private concession, comparing average costs with those for specific work zones and pavement
condition scenarios.
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
model
Batista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and
Pissarra Cavaleiro
L section length (km) However, in road management, several RUC models with differ-
LM&R maintenance and rehabilitation zone length (km) ent degrees of formulation and data requirements have been used
LPSI section length with a certain present serviceability with good results around the world. Between 2004 and 2007
index (PSI) value (km) some of the most important ones were analysed to provide the
m travel purpose: m ¼ 1 for travel in work time; m ¼ 2 conceptual basis for a new simplified RUC model developed in a
for travel in non-work time doctoral thesis (Santos, 2007) and tested on the Portuguese trunk
NAW national average wage ((A/h)/person) road network (Santos et al., 2011a, 2011b).
NC k number of casualties k (casualties/year)
nt i number of tyres for vehicle i The models considered in the definition of the conceptual frame-
OR i,m occupancy rate for vehicle i and travel purpose m work of the model were: the World Bank HDM-RUE – ‘Model-
(occupants/vehicle) ling road-user and environmental effects in HDM-4’ (Bennett and
P pavement patching area (m2 /100 m2 ) Greenwood, 2004); the New Zealand vehicle operating cost
PSI present serviceability index (0–5) model (NZVOC) (Transfund, 2003); the Cost Benefit Analysis –
pi vehicle proportion for class i and AADT considered COBA (DfT et al., 2006a); the Manual ‘Techniques for manually
R mean rut depth (mm) estimating road-user costs associated with construction projects’
RUC road-user cost ((A/km)/day) used in the Texas department of transportation (TxDOT) (Daniels
RUCM&R road-user cost in maintenance and rehabilitation et al., 1999); and the cost model integrated in the former
zones ((A/km)/day) pavement management system (early 1990s) of the Portuguese
RUCPSI incremental increase or decrease in RUC owing to road administration (designated, at the time, as JAE – Junta
PSI ((A/km)/day) Autónoma de Estradas) (GEPA, 1995).
RUCtotal total road-user cost ((A/km)/day)
S total pavement disintegrated area (with potholes and The review showed, as expected, that beyond the basic methodo-
ravelling) (m2 /100 m2 ) logical approaches, there are three fundamental components of
si average operating speed for vehicle i (km/h) RUC to be considered in an RUC model: vehicle operating costs,
sM&Ri average operating speed in M&R sections, for accident costs and time costs. In general terms, this relationship
vehicle i (km/h) can be expressed as
TC m time cost for travel purpose m ((A/h)/occupant)
Toll toll cost ((A/km)/day)
tsl i tyre service life for vehicle i (km) 1: RUC ¼ VOC þ AC þ VOT
VOC vehicle operating cost ((A/km)/day)
VOC i VOC for vehicle i (A/km)
VOT value of time ((A/km)/day) These three main components, as well as a component related to
VOTi value of time for vehicle i ((A/km)/vehicle) the tolling costs, were considered in the simplified RUC model
VOTM&Ri value of time in M&R sections, for vehicle i proposed in 2007. The model was developed aiming at simplicity,
((A/km)/vehicle) reduced data requirements (selected data are usually available),
vsl i vehicle i service life (years) easy calibration, easy application and trustworthy results, provid-
ing average RUC values.
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
model
Batista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and
Pissarra Cavaleiro
and Greenwood, 2004; Daniels et al., 1999; NJDOT, 2001; To validate the model, the Portuguese average values of the RUC
The World Bank, 2010; Zaniewski, 1983) were computed with the proposed and reference models and the
(d ) the results and discussion of a case of application. results were compared (Santos et al., 2011a). The values obtained
confirmed that the contributions of the vehicle operation and the
value of time costs in total RUC for passenger cars (66% for
2. Road-user costs model VOC and 34% for VOT) and heavy trucks (84% for VOC and
The simplified road-user costs model proposed in Santos (2007) 16% for VOT) are similar to those obtained in the reference
was developed taking into account several main aspects: the models. In terms of accident costs, no comparison study was
recognised conceptual principles; the application to trunk roads; made because they usually comprise characteristic costs and
the impact of each component on the total user’s costs; the information from the network or section in analysis, so values for
availability of Portuguese official information; and four vehicle different countries or even different regions of the same country
classes as representative of the total traffic composition (passen- may be diverse.
ger car (PC), utility (U), heavy truck (HT) and heavy bus
(HB)). The model was also tested with real data and for a real network.
The outcome was analysed by the network managers and accord-
The model framework adopted was essentially based on the ing to them the figures obtained were very acceptable.
simplifications of the HDM-4 equations for the VOC, on the
COBA and the HDM-4 approach for the AC, and on the JAE The complete formulation of the model and the input data for
model and the HDM-4 equations for the VOT definition. Portuguese conditions, which permit the calculation of average
values of the RUC, can be found in Appendix 1.
The results of all these considerations led to a model with the
three main cost components identified above: the VOC, including 3. Sensitive parameters of the model
costs for fuel, tyres, vehicle preventive maintenance and deprecia- Several variability studies were carried out to identify the
tion; the AC, considering costs for accident, police and medical sensitive parameters of the model. Tables 1 and 2 present some
assistance for accident type and casualty costs (fatalities, serious results that show that the proposed model, as most of the existing
and slight injuries); and the VOT for work and non-work travel. ones, is mainly sensitive to changes in the average operating
Eventually, when appropriate, a component related to tolling costs speed defined for each class of vehicle and type of road and to
may also be added. consumption and fuel cost.
The input values for the Portuguese average situation were Besides being identified as critical parameters, speed and fuel
defined for 2006, the costs being updated in 2010. This definition consumption and cost are also the main parameters in the
took into account the values used and recommended by the definition of the vehicle operating cost and the value of time, and
existing methodologies and, in particular, the values obtained those that best reflect the main changes in the RUC due to
from the Portuguese Road Haulage Association, companies and pavement condition and maintenance actions in the network
official bodies such as ANTRAM (National Association of (work zones).
Transportation of Goods), ANTROP (National Association of
Transportation of Passengers), INE (National Institute of Statis- Thus, a careful consideration of these parameters in the RUC
tics), the police and emergency services. calculations and the definition of correction factors in the values
Road type PC HT
Operating speed: 2/3 of operating ˜VOT: % Operating speed: 2/3 of operating ˜VOT: %
km/h speed: km/h km/h speed: km/h
PC, private cars; HT, heavy trucks; VOT, value of time; EN/ER, national and regional roads with two lanes (one in each direction) and ‘medium’
design standards; IP and IC, main roads (principal and complementary roads) with two lanes (one in each direction) and ‘high’ design standards;
AE, motorways with at least four lanes (two in each direction), median and ‘high’ design standards.
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
model
Batista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and
Pissarra Cavaleiro
PC HT
VOC, vehicle operating cost; PC, private cars; HT, heavy trucks; cf, fuel consumption (l/km);
tsl, tyre service life (km); vsl, vehicle service life (years); kma, annual average kilometres
(km/year). The numbers in bold represent the most significant variations.
defined for an average situation are essential to forecast additional influence on RUC values in work zones is changes in operating
RUC in sections where maintenance actions are planned, or to speeds. For the refinement of the RUC model formulation, these
compute the benefits associated with a better pavement condition. changes and the consequent additional travel time (delay) were
incorporated by the consideration of work zone length, duration
4. Additional RUC due to work zones and of interventions and work zone posted speed limit. This last
pavement condition depends on the timing of restrictions (hours of the day and days
Additional RUC due to maintenance intervention periods (work of the week) and the legal framework of each country, which
zones) and changes in pavement condition can be included in the normally applies lower posted speed limits at night. The values
proposed RUC formulation by considering specific parameter adopted for work zone speed (constant values by road class and
values defined for a certain maintenance strategy or for a time with restriction) also reflect the operating characteristics of
particular pavement quality index. the traffic affected and configuration of the work zones.
4.1 Work zones Regarding fuel consumption, data collected in several studies,
The main parameters that can lead to additional RUC in work empirical models developed from this information (which usually
zones have been identified in several models and manuals in use, relate fuel consumption to the operating speed of vehicles) and
such as HDM-4, TXDOT and NJDOT (Bennett and Greenwood, mechanistic models (which relate fuel consumption to the forces
2004; Daniels et al., 1999; NJDOT, 2001), as being the decrease opposing motion, allowing application under different conditions)
of operating speed leading to traffic delays, which increases the show that maximum fuel consumption occurs for low and high
VOT, and the consequent additional fuel consumption associated speeds, and minimal fuel consumption for speeds of 40–60 km/h
with traffic congestion, increasing the VOC values. (Bennett and Greenwood, 2004; DfT et al., 2006a) (see Figure 1).
In the 2007 model, the speed values were defined for each type Taking into account the patterns of fuel consumption presented in
of road based on posted speed limit and typical Portuguese values Figure 1 and considering the Portuguese legal framework for
(for each type of vehicle), and were considered constants. For trunk roads with high posted speed limits (100–120 km/h and at
fuel consumption, average consumption by type of vehicle was least two lanes in each direction), which limits the private road
adopted. concessionaires to guarantee maximum operating speeds greater
than or equal to 2/3 of the posted limit in work zones (up to
Work zone additional accident costs are also considered in some 10 km per set) in the daytime (7.00 a.m.–9.00 p.m.), in this
approaches, such as Quadro (DfT et al., 2006b), by comparing period and situation there is actually a decrease in fuel consump-
work zone accident rates with those for normal conditions; tion.
however, rates in work zones are not commonly available, so they
are not considered in the proposed simplified model. Lower speeds, up to 1/3 of the normal posted speed limit, are
allowed in work zones during the nighttime, when the volume of
Nonetheless, from the parameters identified, the most significant traffic is usually low.
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
model
Batista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and
Pissarra Cavaleiro
3: 3
12
10
X
4
8 dVOT ¼ AADT ðVOTM&Ri pi Þ VOT
4: i¼1
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
model
Batista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and
Pissarra Cavaleiro
80·0
70·0 (III)
60·0 (IV)
50·0 (III) (III)
40·0
ΔRUC: %
30·0 (IV)
(IV) (III) (I)
20·0 (I)
(I)
10·0 (I) (II)
(II) (II) (II) (IV)
0
⫺10·0
⫺20·0
⫺30·0 PC U HT HB
Day: 2/3 speed, without additional fuel consumption, with toll (I)
Day: 2/3 speed, without additional fuel consumption, without toll (II)
Night: 1/3 speed, without additional fuel consumption, with toll (III)
Night: 1/3 speed, without additional fuel consumption, without toll (IV)
100·0 (II)
90·0 (II)
80·0 (II)
70·0
ΔRUC: %
60·0
50·0 (II)
40·0
30·0
(I) (I)
20·0 (I)
10·0 (I)
0
PC U HT HB
the normal operation speed, without additional fuel consumption 4.2 Pavement condition
on motorways but considering an additional fuel consumption of Changes in operating speed and the consequent additional travel
20% on the remaining network, at nighttime, the additional user time due to the pavement conditions can be incorporated into the
cost rises to 42% (motorways) and 74–85% (for the remaining proposed model formulation through consideration of the section
network). A combined analysis considering that road works take length within a certain pavement quality index and lower operat-
place during the day and night periods, with a day/night ing speeds.
distribution of traffic equal to 85%/15%, leads to additional
costs of about 15% for highways and 25–30% for the remaining However, the pavement conditions of the most important net-
network. works, such as the national ones, do not in general reach a level
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
model
Batista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and
Pissarra Cavaleiro
of degradation that significantly influences the normal operating PSI IRI: m/km Correction factors for VOC
speed. On the other hand, it is also known that pavements in good
condition allow vehicles to maintain higher speeds with greater 0 4.25 1.15
comfort and security, reducing travel time and accident costs. 2.0 3.50 1.05
They also allow reductions in operating costs in terms of tyres, 3.5 2.00 1.00
maintenance and depreciation of the vehicle, but not necessarily 4.7 0.50 0.95
in fuel. The converse occurs for pavements in poor conditions. 5.0 – 0.95
To consider these scenarios, the condition of the pavements was PSI, present serviceability index; IRI, international roughness index;
VOC, vehicle operating cost.
integrated into the initial RUC formulation only in the vehicle
operating costs calculations through a quality index representing
Table 3. VOC correction factors, PSI and IRI for Portuguese model
the functional and structural state of the pavements. The index
calibration
adopted was the ‘present serviceability index’ (PSI), which ranges
from 0 (for a pavement in a poor state) to 5 (for a new
pavement).
current average state of Portuguese trunk road pavements, which
Equation 6 presents the PSI formulation adopted in the refine- according to the latest available data presents a PSI of about 3.5
ment of the model. This equation was developed by Picado- (Trindade and Horta, 2009), and the average vehicle operating
Santos et al. (2006) for the Portuguese trunk roads in order to cost obtained by Santos (2007) for the same period. This scenario
reflect the condition of the national road network and was used constitutes the baseline with a correction factor of 1.
by the Portuguese Road Administration during the first decade of
this century. The formulation is derived from the version used in Given that the Portuguese road administration adopts a PSI equal
the pavement management system of the State of Nevada to or less than 2 as an indication of the need to intervene in the
(Sebaaly et al., 1996) and that developed during the AASHO pavement quality of the network, a correction factor of 1.05 was
road test (HRB, 1962). Similar equations developed for and defined for this scenario (based on the approaches studied). For
representing other realities, can be incorporated in the model as extreme scenarios a gain of 5% was considered for new
well. pavements and an increase of 15% for badly degraded pavements.
:
PSI ¼ 5e0 0002598IRI=2 0:002139R2 The analysis of the existing approaches and the characteristic
Portuguese values presented in Table 3 permitted the definition of
0:5
6: 0:03ðC þ S þ PÞ a new Portuguese VOC–PSI relation and thus the consideration
of this additional cost in determining the RUC, through Equations
7 and 8.
The changes in VOC as a function of PSI (or IRI, the
international roughness index) have been treated in several stud- 7: RUCPSI ¼ VOC ðF VOC,PSI 1Þ
ies by applying the regression analysis to real data, resulting in
several formulations such as those presented by HDM-4 (The
World Bank, 2010), TRB (Zaniewski, 1983), ASTM (ASTM,
1983) and by Picado-Santos et al. for Portuguese conditions F VOC,PSI ¼ 0:0006 PSI3 þ 0:0072 PSI2
(Picado-Santos et al., 2006).
8: 0:0612 PSI þ 1:1498
The study of these formulations, as well as an analysis of recent
data on Portuguese trunk road pavements condition (Picado-
Santos and Pereira, 2009) and average user cost (Santos, 2007), Figure 4 shows the curves obtained from the VOC correction
was used to develop a mathematical model that reflects the factors recommended by TRB-ASTM, the Portuguese model
change of VOC as a function of PSI for Portuguese conditions. (UC-UM) (Picado-Santos et al., 2006) and the proposed model
Table 3 shows the set of correction factors that support the (RUC PT).
proposed formulation (for PSI and IRI).
The aggregated correction factors presented in Figure 4 for the
The range of PSI and IRI values was chosen to ensure that the TRB-ASTM approach were obtained by applying the Portuguese
most extreme conceivable circumstances were examined as well VOC component distribution (for fuel, engine oil, tyres, main-
as the usual expected pavement conditions in operation. The range tenance and repair, and depreciation cost) obtained from data
examined was beyond values normally expected in Portugal. collected in 2006 (Santos, 2007) to the disaggregated correction
factors recommended in the TRB-ASTM study. A similar proce-
In the range of values, ‘reference’ situation corresponds to the dure was adopted for the distribution of traffic.
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
model
Batista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and
Pissarra Cavaleiro
1·0 1·1
UC_UM (aggregate)
0·9 RUC_PT (aggregate) 1·0
TRB_ASTM (aggregate)
0·8 0·9
0 1 2 3 4 5
0·8
PSI
0 1 2 3 4 5
IRI: m/km
Figure 4. VOC correction factors for different PSI values and
models Figure 5. VOC correction factors for different IRI values and
models
For trunk roads and current values of IRI (up to 3.5 m/km), most 5. Model applications
of the models tested produce similar results. Higher values of The RUC formulation and input model values proposed were
IRI, such as those considered in HDM-4, are not frequent in applied to two Portuguese motorway networks under concession
Portuguese motorway networks under concession. with good results: Scutvias (A23) and Aenor (A7, A11).
12·0
10·0
8·0
6·0
ΔRUC: %
4·0
2·0
0
⫺2·0
⫺4·0
PC U HT HB
⫺6·0
PSI ⫽ 0 PSI ⫽ 2 PSI ⫽ 3·5 PSI ⫽ 4·7 PSI ⫽ 5
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
model
Batista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and
Pissarra Cavaleiro
14·0
12·0
10·0
8·0
ΔRUC: %
6·0
4·0
2·0
0
⫺2·0
⫺4·0
⫺6·0 PC U HT HB
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
model
Batista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and
Pissarra Cavaleiro
the Portuguese legal framework described above for a main road user costs associated with work zones may increase significantly
network with work zones operating during the daytime. and are higher than those due to pavement condition. The work
zone additional costs depend mainly on day/night operating speed
The total RUC obtained from this scenario considers the delay and traffic distribution and pavement condition must be main-
costs (VOT changes) and additional non-fuel components cost, tained above PSI ¼ 2 to minimise additional RUC.
resulting in an increase of 12% compared with the average values
of RUC. This additional cost can be disaggregated into about 9% Although the additional user cost due to work zones is established
due to changes in VOT and 3% due to the pavement condition as the most significant factor, it is recommended that the effect of
and demonstrates the importance of taking work zones and pavement condition also be incorporated in the analysis. The
pavement condition into account in RUC calculations. inclusion of this effect is justified in order to identify, from a user
cost perspective, the best time to perform the maintenance and
6. Conclusion rehabilitation works to improve the pavement condition.
The fact that user costs do not debit agency budgets as agency
costs do, combined with uncertainty regarding some values (value As a result, a simplified but trustworthy model such as the one
of time, effects of agency activities on accident rates), may developed for the Portuguese trunk road network can help
incline transportation decision makers to give less credence to decision makers to include user costs in life-cycle cost analysis
user costs than to their own agency cost, restricting their ability (LCCA). This will permit a more accurate technical and econom-
to find the lowest total cost solutions. ic planning of the maintenance and operation actions and thereby
achieve optimal solutions.
Conversely many road-user cost models with strong concep-
tual frameworks have been developed in the past and are in
Appendix 1
use. Nevertheless, many countries or regions that wish to
consider RUC in their road life-cycle costs analysis lack the A1.1 Road-user cost model
means to obtain and update all the data required for these A1.1.1 Model formulation
models.
RUCtotal ¼ ðRUC 3 LÞ þ ðRUCM&R 3 LM&R Þ
The simplified road-user cost model proposed solves the problem
of the amount of information needed to calibrate models such as 9: þ ðRUCPSI 3 LPSI Þ
HDM-4, and allows easy application for different scenarios. With
the refinements proposed to include the effect of pavement
condition and work zones, the average user costs as well as those
associated with maintenance and rehabilitation intervention peri- 10: RUC ¼ VOC þ AC þ VOT þ Toll
ods can be considered over the life of the infrastructure using
simple models.
factors to be applied to the vehicle operating costs (non-fuel VOC ¼ AADT ðVOCi pi Þ
11: i¼1
components). These factors reflect a variation of the average
RUC between 3% (for PSI ¼ 5) and 9% (for PSI ¼ 0), with an
additional cost of about 3% for PSI ¼ 2 (level for the need of
intervention in the pavement). 0 1
X
3 X
3
AC ¼ AADT @ ACj þ CCk A
The effect of work zones was incorporated by setting lower 12: j¼1 k¼1
average speeds along the work sections (2/3 of the normal speed
for work ongoing during the daytime and 1/3 for nighttime) and
an additional fuel consumption of 20% for roads with ‘medium’
design standards operating at lower speeds (up to 1/3 of the X
4
normal posted speed limit). When applied to the Portuguese road VOT ¼ AADT ðVOTi pi Þ
network, for daytime works, these considerations result in an 13: i¼1
additional cost of approximately 10% for motorways and 17–
20% for a two-lane type of network. For nighttime works, an
additional cost of 42% for motorways and 74–85% for a two-lane
type of network was obtained. X
4
Toll ¼ AADT ðctolli pi Þ
14: i¼1
The scenarios tested show that in most cases of intervention the
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
model
Batista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and
Pissarra Cavaleiro
Data PC HT
PC, private cars; HT, heavy trucks; EN/ER, national and regional roads with two lanes (one in each direction) and ‘medium’ design standards; IP
and IC, main roads (principal and complementary roads) with two lanes (one in each direction) and ‘high’ design standards; AE, motorways with
at least four lanes (two in each direction), median and ‘high’ design standards.
Table 6. Passenger car and heavy truck general input data values
Data PC HT
Accident costs: A/accident Accident type With light injuries With serious injuries With fatalities
Police assistance 57.5 160.0 250.0
Medical assistance 18.0 103.50 103.5
PC, passenger cars; HT, heavy trucks; nt, number of tyres per vehicle; tsl, tyre service life.
Table 7. Passenger car and heavy truck input data costs (2010
values)
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
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Transport Refinement of a simplified road-user cost
model
Batista dos Santos, de Picado Santos and
Pissarra Cavaleiro
Transfund (2003) Using the NZVOC Model to Prepare PEM S. A.). Proceedings of the XV CILA – Congresso Ibero-
Vehicle Operating Costs. Data Collection, Motueka, New Latino Americano do Asfalto, Lisbon, Portugal (in
Zealand. Portuguese).
Trindade M and Horta CO (2009) Sistema de gestão de Zaniewski J (1983) Fuel Consumption Related to Roadway
pavimentos da EP – estradas de Portugal, S. A. (The Characteristics (Discussion and Closure). Transportation
pavement management system of the EP – roads of Portugal, Research Board, Washington, DC, USA.
13