1 Hansen, Mogens Herman
1 Hansen, Mogens Herman
1 Hansen, Mogens Herman
Athenian Demography
By M O G E N S H E R M A N H A N S E N
Historisk-filosofiske Meddelelser 56
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Three Studies in
Athenian Demography
By M O G E N S H E R M A N H A N S E N
Historisk-filosofiske M eddelelser 56
Det Kongelige Danske V idenskabernes Selskab
The Royal Danish Academy of Sciences and Letters
II. A Note on the Growing Tendency to Underestimate the Population of Classical Attica 7
III. Athenian Population Losses 431-403. B.C. and the Number of Athenian Citizens in 431 B.C.
Synopsis
In recent years ancient historians have tended to underestimate the size of the population of
Attica in general and the number of Athenian citizens in particular. This trend is closely
connected with the new orthodoxy, that the Athenian economy was based on subsistence
agriculture and that the import of grain necessary to feed the population of Attica has been
much overrated. Against this prevailing tendency I advocate higher population figures. In
1985 I argued that the number of adult male citizens living in Attica in the 4th century B.C.
totalled some 30,000 rather than ca. 20,000 as often assumed.
The purpose of my three studies is to corroborate that conclusion.
In the first study I discuss a new roster ofephebes (nineteen-year-old recruits) of Kekro-
pis (one of the ten tribes) of ca. 332/1 which, compared with the other rosters we have,
indicates that a year class of ephebes in the 320s presumably numbered some 600 and that
many young Athenians, though fit for military service, did not serve as ephebes.
In the second study I investigate the population of Attica (citizens, metics and slaves
alike) and argue that, in the age of Demosthenes, Attica must have had a population of at
least 200,000-250,000 rather than the ca. 150,000 recently suggested.
The third study deals with the number of adult male Athenian citizens in the age of
Perikles. Around 400 B.C. there must have been at least some 25,000 citizens and, adding
up all the population losses suffered in the period 431-403, I conclude that there must have
been some 60,000 citizens in 432/1 B.C. and that this figure is perfectly compatible with
Thoukydides’ estimate of Athenian manpower at 2.13.6-8.
The higher population figures advocated in these studies help us to understand the
astonishing political participation in classical Athens (e.g. 6,000 citizens attending an
ordinary session of the people’s assembly) and the constant emphasis in our sources of how
much Athens depended on imported grain even in good years, not to speak of years of bad
crops.
Aixone (11?) 7 7 15 29
Melite (7) 11 4 9 24
Xypete (7) 2 5 3 10
Halai Aix. (6) 5 17 13 35
Athmonon (6?) ? 5 8 13+
Phlya (5?) ? 7 9 16+
Pithos (2) 2 6 4? 12
Sypalettos (2) p 0 1 1+
Trinemeia (2?) p 1 2 3+
Daidalidai (1) 1 0 0 1+
Epieikidai (1?) ? 0 1? 1+
1 J.S . Traill, Demos and Trittys (Toronto 1986) 1-13: an ephebic inscription of Kekropis
from about 332/1 B.C.
2 M. H. Hansen, Demography and Democracy. The Number of Athenian Citizens in the Fourth
Century B.C. (Herning 1985) 47-50.
3 Cf. Hansen {supra n. 2) 109 note 237 and O. Reinmuth, The Ephebic Inscriptions of the
Fourth Century B.C. (Leiden 1971) no. 5.
4 In IG II2 1156 (= Reinmuth no. 2) the first 16 lines of Col. I are missing and the first
line of Col. II (with a demotic). The names lost in lines 1-16 plus the two broken names
4 HfM 56
This table prompts several observations on the nature of the ephebeia and
the use of ephebic numbers as evidence for the number of Athenian
citizens:
First, it is worth noting that the number of ephebes goes up from year
to year. Ca. 42 ephebes from Kekropis in 334/3 become 52 in 333/2 and
even 65 in 332/1. The two ephebic rosters from Leontis seem to reflect the
same development: in 333/2 the tribe had ca. 44 ephebes as against 62 in
324/3.3 Also, the rather small tribe Oineis had more ephebes in 330/29
than the probably larger tribe Erechtheis had in 333/2 (56? from Oineis
as against 48 from Erechtheis).6 The evidence we have for Pandionis, on
the other hand, is too fragmentary to be of any value.7 The ephebeia was
reshaped in 336/58 and one result of the reform may well have been an
increased participation so that the number of ephebes after a few years
was considerably higher than the number immediately after the reform.
Thus, as a rough guess we may assume that the total number of ephebes
may have been ca. 450-500 in the first years after the reform, but had
risen to some 600 or more a decade later. For demographic calculations it
is, of course, the higher figure that matters.
Second, now that we have rosters of ephebes from one tribe in three
consecutive years, the disproportion in several demes between the
number of ephebes and the bouleutic quota becomes even more appa
rent. To illustrate my point I will discuss the figures for Xypete and
Halai Aixonides.
Xypete (with 2 ephebes in 334/3, 5 in 333/2 and 3 in 332/1) had seven
seats in the council of five hundred. There is no reason to suppose that
Xypete did not fill its quota.9 But in order to return, year in and year out,
7 citizens aged thirty or more, the nineteen-year-old Xypetaiones must,
on average, have numbered some 8-9,10 i.e. instead of the 2+5+3 = 10
ephebes actually attested in the three rosters, we should expect at least
25. The inference must be that many of the Xypetaiones who served in
the boule in the late 320s and onwards never served as ephebes, or, to put
preserved in lines 17-18 (= 16-17) cover the demes Athmonon, Phlya, Sypalettos,
Trinemeia and Epieikidai. There were undoubtedly some ephebes from the two fairly
large demes Athmonon and Phlya. If then one of the remaining three small demes was
unrepresented, the 18 lines missing will have contained 4 demotics (Athmonon, Phlya
and two small demes) and the names of 14 ephebes. Thus, the roster will have recorded
the names of42 ephebes.-The demotic missing at Col. 1.19 (= 18) must be Halaieis, cf.
Traill (supra n. 1) 8 note on line 18. The demotic missing at the top of Col. II must be
Meliteis, cf. Traill in Hesperia 38 (1969) 483 note on line 17.
HfM 56 5
it differently, that far from all citizens were enrolled as ephebes when
they came of age and had been inscribed in their deme. In addition to
those who were unfit for military service - at least 10% of all11 - there
must have been quite a few other young Athenians who became citizens
without having been through the ephebeia. A further conclusion is that it is
impossible to calculate the total number of citizens on the basis of the
number of ephebes. The population figures obtained by such calculations
will be much too small, and there is no way of telling whether the 500-600
ephebes constituted, say 50 % or 60 % or 80 % of a year class of Athe
nians aged nineteen.
This conclusion, however, does not support the view that only citizens
belonging to the “hoplite class” were called up for ephebic service. Ca.
500-600 ephebes aged 19, plus ca. 10% unfit for military service, corres
pond to some 16,500-20,000 adults aged 18-80+,12 and this figure is
incompatible both with the 9,000 hoplites assumed by some historians13
and with the ca. 14,500 assumed by others.14 Thus we can dismiss the
view that the ephebeia applied to citizens of hoplite status only. Further
more, as has often been noted, Lykourgos says explicitly (1.76) and
Aristotle implies (Ath. Pol. 42.1 & 3) that the ephebeia, in principle, was
meant to be a training of all citizens.15 I do not doubt that citizens
5 Leontis 333/2: Reinmuth no. 9; 324/3: Reinmuth no. 15. The ephebes of 324/3 were
probably born in an intercalary year (344/3), cf. Hansen (supra n. 2) 48: but the
addition to the year of one month accounts for an increase of 4-5 ephebes only.
6 Oineis 330/29: Reinmuth no. 12; Erechtheis 333/2: Reinmuth no. 13, cf. SEG XXXI
162. On the relative size of the tribes cf. J. S. Traill, The Political Organization of Attica.
Hesperia Suppl. 14 (1975) 32.
7 Pandionis 333/2: Reinmuth no. 8. Pandionis 332/1: Reinmuth no. 10. On the fragmen
tary state of the Pandionis rosters cf. Traill (supra n. 6) 32 with note 20.
8 Harp. s.v. Epikrates (= Lycurg. fr. V.3, Conomis).
9 Cf. Agora XV 31 lines 1-8 and Traill (supra n. 6) Table V II, Kekropis.
10 A life table of the model population adopted in Hansen (supra n. 2) 11-12 shows that
about 1/6 of the males die between 18 and 30, cf. A. J. Coale & P. Demeny, Regional
Model Life Tables and Stable Populations (Princeton 1966) 5.
11 Cf. Hansen (supra n. 2) 16-21, 49.
12 Cf. Hansen {supra n. 2) 12.
13 E.g. A. H . M. Jones, Athenian Democracy (Oxford 1957) 81; E. Ruschenbusch, ‘Zum letz-
ten Mai: Die Biirgerzahl Athens im 4. Jh. v. Chr.’, ZPE 54 (1984) 258.
14 E.g. A. W. Gomme, The Population o f Attica in the Fifth and Fourth Centuries B.C. (Oxford
1933) 8.
15 Cf. M. H. Hansen, Det Athenske Demokrati i 4. årh. f.Kr. 1. Staten, Folket, Forfatningen
(København 1978) 33-34, 88-92; E. Ruschenbusch, ‘Die soziale Herkunft der Epheben
um 333’, ZPE 35 (1979) 173-76.
6 HfM 56
1 P. Garnsey, Grain for Athens, ‘Crux. Essays Presented to G. E. M. de Ste Croix on his 75th
Birthday’ (Exeter 1985) 62-75; R. Osborne, Demos: The Discovery o f Classical Attika (Cam
bridge 1985); Idem, Classical Landscape with Figures (London 1987).
2 H. Forbes & L. Foxhall, ‘Sitometreia: the Role of Grain as Stable Food in Classical
Antiquity’, Chiron 12 (1982) 41-92.
8 HfM 56
productivity are questionable.3 For the sake of argument, however, I will
accept them in this article. Thus, I accept the more optimistic estimate of
per capita consumption advanced by Forbes and Foxhall as well as e.g.
Sandars’ views about a higher cereal production per hectare even in the
2nd millenium B.C.4 What I shall object to in this study is the growing
propensity to suggest impossibly low population figures whereby, in good
years, the need for imported grain almost disappears and the subsistence
farmer can be presented as the typical Athenian citizen. In this article I
will focus on Osborne’s two recent monographs and question his estimate
of the population of classical Attica as stated in Demos 42-46 and in
Landscape 46 where he offers the following figures: “the ancient literary
texts give enough information to enable an estimate of citizen numbers in
the fifth and fourth centuries to be made with some confidence: citizen
families probably accounted for some 60,000-80,000 people. The popula
tion of resident foreigners fluctuated considerably, but probably never
exceeded about 20,000. The difficult calculation is that of the number of
slaves. Scholars have disagreed radically about slave numbers in Athens,
estimating anything from 20,000 upwards. What is interesting in the
context of the question of food supply is that on a conservative, but not
unreasonable, estimate of 50,000 slaves, Attica will have had a total
population of around 150,000.”
Osborne, concerned with agricultural productivity and food supply,
accordingly prefers population figures which comprise both sexes and all
ages. But the information to which he refers reports the number of adult
males only. Thus a discussion of his population figures must be opened
with a discussion of the model population on which he has based his
calculations.
Following Hopkins,5 Osborne (Demos 43) adopts a life expectancy of
ca. 25 years (as I do in D&D 11-12).6 On growth rate, however, Osborne
is elusive and his account muddled. When he offers his own calculations
(Demos 45) he adopts a percentage which corresponds to growth rate 0
(33,000 males of whom 20-21,000 would be over 18, i.e. 61-64% of all
males). But in n. 91 Osborne criticizes Patterson7 (44-45) for not allow
ing an annual growth rate of more than 1 %, and he refers approvingly to
Snodgrass who in his inaugural lecture8 suggested a growth rate of ca.
4% in the archaic period. Now, adopting a life expectancy of ca. 25
years, adult males (18-80+) constitute ca. 61 % of all males if the popula
tion is stationary, ca. 54 % if the annual growth rate is 1 %, and ca. 33 %
if it is 4 % per year.9 T hus, if we apply Snodgrass’ model to 4th century
HfM 56 9
Athens, 33,000 males would correspond to no more than ca. 11,000
citizens. I much appreciate Snodgrass’ views on population growth in the
archaic period, but his quantifications are impossible. A natural popula
tion growth of 4 % per year is more than for Mexico in the 20th century.
By letter (of February 1986) Snodgrass has informed me that he accepts
the views on population grow th advanced in D&D (i.e. max. ca. 1 % and
0.5 % for rough calculations). Thus 4 % is out of the question, and even
2 % is far too rapid a growth, as Osborne seems to admit10 in JHS by
concurring with my criticism of Ruschenbusch, D&D 12-13. In conclu
sion, Osborne and I agree on life expectancy (ca. 25 years) and we also
agree on population growth, if we adopt Osborne’s own calculations and
disregard his n. 91. Osborne’s calculations are in fact slightly more
pessimistic than mine (growth rate 0 rather than 0.5%) but this differ
ence is insignificant, since we can make only very rough estimates. In the
following I will use the model population presented in D&D 11-12,
namely: Coale and Demeny, Model West, mortality level 4, growth rate
0.5%.
After this introduction on which model population to use for calcula
tions of ancient Greek populations I turn to a discussion of Osborne’s
figures: 60,000-80,000 Athenians, max. 20,000 metics and ca. 50,000
slaves.
First the citizens. Ca. 60,000-80,000 Athenians (of both sexes) corres
pond to ca. 30,000-40,000 males, of whom ca. 17,250-23,000 will have
been adult citizens aged 18-80+ (constituting 57.5 % of all males). But in
his review of D&D in JHS Osborne accepts that the sources relating to
fourth-century Athens point to a total of ca. 30,000 adult male citizens
2 T h re e S tu d ie s in A th e n ia n D e m o g ra p h y
10 HfM 56
living in Attica, and for the Periclean period all calculations (based on
Thuc. 2.13.6-8) point to a minimum of ca. 40,000 citizens and may allow
a maximum of 60,000 or even more; cf. my third study page 26. Now,
30.000- 40,000 adult male citizens correspond to some 52,000-69,000 male
Athenians of all ages and to a total population, not of 60,000-80,000, but
of at least 100,000-140,000 Athenians.
Next the metics. By contrast with the almost stationary citizen popula
tion metic numbers must have fluctuated considerably according to the
economic situation (cf. Garnsey 79 with note 26). Peace and prosperity
may have caused the number of Athenian metics to grow rapidly in a few
years and, conversely, in a protracted economic crisis their numbers may
have dwindled again in less than a decade (cf. e.g. Xen. Vect. 2.1-7). On
the other hand, there can be no doubt that a maximum of ca. 20,000 is far
too pessimistic an estimate. When Demetrios of Phaleron conducted his
population census in a year around 315 he counted 21,000 Athenians and
10.000 metics living in Attica (Ath. Deipn. 272C). If both figures com
prise adult males only (as they probably do cf. D&D 31-34) and if we use
the same method of calculation for metics as for citizens, there must have
been some 35,000 metics living in Attica when Demetrios conducted his
census, viz-, 10,000-^57.5X 100 = ca. 17,500 males of all ages X 2 = ca.
35.000 metics of both sexes and all ages). But, following Whitehead,11
one might object that women and children constituted a much smaller
fraction of metics than of citizens, since many metics may have stayed in
Attica for a few years only and without their family. Thus, a total of, say,
20.000- 25,000 is much likelier than my total of ca. 35,000. I have two
answers to Whitehead’s objections: first, Demetrios ascertained only the
number of metics living in Attica (D&D 31-32), i.e. short-term metics
(most of whom were males) are not included in the 10,000 actually
counted. Second, the tombstones set over metics (recording ethnics in
stead of demotics) show a higher proportion of women than the tombsto
nes commemorating citizens. The ratio is 2/5 metic women as against 1/3
female citizens. The resident metics seem to have had families just like
the Athenians, and ca. 35,000 in a year around 315 is not an inflated
figure but rather a minimum. First, short-term metics must be added to
the 10,000 (adult male) metics settled in Attica, and second the figure
10.000 probably included only metics of military age and fit for military
service. Thus, adult male metics must have numbered, not 10,000, but
rather some 12-14,000.
Demetrios’ population census, however, may have been conducted in a
HfM 56 11
period when Attica was crammed with metics; we do not know. The only
source of information we have about the average number of metics in
fourth-century Athens is the tombstones mentioned above. They are an
important but neglected source of information for Attic demography.
The preserved private funerary monuments dated to the fourth century
B.C. record the names of some 1,800 citizens as against some 650 me
tics.12 A priori one would assume that citizens put up funerary monu
ments more frequently than metics. Furthermore, the tombstones give
evidence only of metics who resided and were buried in Attica. In order
to find the total number of metics we must add an unknown number of
short-term metics. Thus, the epigraphical evidence indicates that the
regular ratio between citizens and metics was at least 3:1, and according
ly some 100,000-140,000 Athenians correspond to a population of some
33,000-46,000 resident metics. Summing up, both the population census
conducted ca. 315 and the tombstones point to a much higher number of
metics than the max. 20,000 estimated by Osborne.
Third the slaves. In the ancient Greek city states slaves were never
counted since they were neither taxable nor liable to military service. The
Athenians themselves did not know the number of slaves in Attica and
we shall never come to know the number either, no matter how many and
how valuable sources we may still recover. On the other hand, the Greeks
never refrained from producing rough estimates of the number of slaves.
We hear about 460,000 slaves in Corinth (Timaios, FGrHist 566 fr. 5),
470,000 slaves in Aigina (Arist. fr. 472, Rose) and 400,000 slaves in
Attica (Ktesikles, FGrHist 245 fr. 1) a figure which matches Hypereides’
estimate of 150,000 (adult male) slaves (Hyp. fr. 33, Sauppe). Several of
these estimates come from good sources but cannot, of course, be trusted.
For example, for Aigina to have 470,000 slaves, it must have had a
population density of about 5,500 per square kilometre of slaves alone!
So the numbers 400,000 slaves and 150,000 adult male slaves in Attica
are pure guesswork. They tell us nothing about how many slaves there
actually were in Attica but only how many there were presumed to have
been. Have these estimates then any value at all? This question is best
11 D. Whitehead, The Ideology o f the Athenian Metic (Cambridge 1977) 97-98 with note 185.
12 At Copenhagen University, Institute of Classics a group consisting of Lars Bjertrup,
Mogens Herman Hansen, Thomas Heine Nielsen, Lene Rubinstein and Torben Vester-
gaard has built up a data base of all Athenians recorded on private funerary monuments
ca. 400 B .C .-ca . 3 0 0 A .D .
2»
12 HfM 56
answered by a comparison with a still more fantastic figure from the
history of Greece, viz., Herodotos’ report that the Persian army was
1,700,000 strong. This is an impossible figure, but there is no reason to
doubt that Herodotos and many of his audience believed it. The infer
ence is that the Greeks in general and Herodotos in particular did not
know the size of the Persian army; nor did they have a very secure grasp
of numerical magnitudes. On the other hand, all historians agree that
one may assume from Herodotos’ figure that Xerxes’ army was larger
than that of the Greeks. The figures 400,000 and 150,000 are equally
impossible but reveal the Athenians’ own estimate that there were more
slaves than free men, and there is no reason to doubt this impression. We
shall never know the number of slaves in Attica, but we may conclude
that if the number of free is set at X, then the number of slaves must be >
X .13 We must, however, allow for an important modification of this very
rough general assumption: like the number of metics, the number of
slaves must have fluctuated considerably. Many Athenian slaves were
bought and not bred. In a protracted crisis like the famine during the
320s, when, for example, a mining slave barely produced the amount of
silver he cost his master (cf. Dem. 42.20-21, Isager & Hansen 200), slaves
were undoubtedly not replaced and perhaps even allowed to run away
(cf. Thuc. 7.27.5). Given the short life expectancy in the ancient world,
the non-replacement of slaves will, in less than a decade, have had an
enormous effect on the total number of slaves living in Attica (cf. Xen.
Vect. 4.25). Summing up, for the sake of argument and to be on the safe
side, I will assume that if the number of free is set at X, the number of
slaves must be at least / 2 X. As argued above, the total free population
numbered some 133,000-186,000. Accordingly there must have been at
least some 66,000-93,000 slaves in Attica, during a protracted crisis
perhaps less than 66,000 and in a prosperous period probably more than
93,000.
Adding up citizens, metics and slaves, I conclude that in the fourth
century the number of persons living in Attica must have amounted to at
least some 200,000 and more probably 250,000, whereas in the Periclean
period the population of Attica must have totalled 300,000 or more.
These much higher population figures show that self-sufficiency was
impossible even in good years, and instead of Osborne’s rather extreme
position I prefer the more cautious view stated by Garnsey:14 “My own
(very tentative) calculations suggest that Athens in the fourth century
had to find grain for perhaps one-half of its resident population from
HfM 56 13
outside Attica, narrowly defined, in a normal year.” If about one-half of
the population in a normal year, and a much higher proportion in a bad
year had to buy their daily provisions in the market, it does not make
sense to speak about a subsistence economy. Instead of a territory which
in good years was almost self-sufficient, we must imagine an Attica which
in all years depended heavily on the import of grain and in bad years very
much so. And the typical Athenian citizen was not the subsistence farmer
who tended to stay in his deme of origin, but was rather like Chremes
whom Aristophanes describes as a citizen who attends the meetings of
the ekklesia and, on other occasions, carries his wine to the market in
order to buy flour (Ar. Eccl. 376ff, 815-22). I do not quarrel with “the new
orthodoxy which stresses the cellular self-sufficiency of the ancient
economy”,15 but Osborne seems to forget that classical Athens was the
exception and not the rule (ibidem). His account of classical Attica is
stimulating and often convincing, but there are some serious distortions
in his Classical Landscape with Figures. One of them is that there are too few
figures in the landscape.
9 The model population I use here and elsewhere is: A.J.Coale and P. Demeny, Regional
Model Life Tables and Stable Populations (Princeton 1966), Model West mortality level 4
(life expectancy at birth: 25.26 years) and growth rate 5.00 (an annual increase of
14%), cf Hansen (supra n. 1) (1985) 9-13. In this model the age distribution of adult
males is as follows:
Let me add that I might equally well have used, for example, mortality level 3 or growth
rate 0, or more cautiously, I might have calculated the age distributions for mortality
levels 2, 3, 4 and 5 at growth rates 0, 5.00 and 10.00, model west and model south. But
for the present purpose it makes little difference, so I restrict myself to tabulating the age
distribution for mortality level 4, growth rate 5.00, model west.
10 The plague mortality is estimated at Vs of 47,000 = 15,666 and this loss has been
distributed evenly over the three years of plague. Thus I print 5,200 in each of the years
430/29, 429/8 and 427/6.
3 T h re e S tu d ie s in A th e n ia n D e m o g ra p h y
22 HfM 56
above, the 47,000 adult male citizens calculated by Gomme on the basis
of Thuc. 2.13.6-8.
11 Gomme (1933) 26 estimates 22,000 citizens aged 18-59, to which figure we must add
some 2,000 citizens aged 60-80+, cf. supra notes 8 and 9.
12 It is a vexed question whether the field army did or did not include the year classes 40-
49. Gomme (supra n. 2) contended that the field army consisted of hoplites aged 20-49,
(1927) 142; (1933) 5-6; (1956) 34-37; (1959) 61. Jones (supra n. 3) 165 preferred to
explain the 16,000 in the reserve by assuming that the oldest comprised the year classes
40-59, and not just 50-59. The debate has focused on Socrates who served at Delion in
424 when he was in his mid forties. Did he volunteer? Was he called up exceptionally?
Or did men in their forties form a regular component of the Athenian hoplite army?
First, it is worth remembering, as Gomme points out, that Socrates served again two
years later at Amphipolis (PI. Apol. 28 E). Second, the problem is, in my opinion, settled
by Ar. Ach. 600-601 (never discussed in this context): optov JtoTaovg pirv av6pag ev xai?
xa^eotv veaviag 6’ olovg cru 6ia6e6eax6xag. Grizzled men were regularly seen in the
ranks, but men usually become grey-haired in their forties, not in their thirties. Similar
ly, Demosthenes was forty-six when he served as a hoplite in the battle of Chaironeia
(Aeschin. 3.253; Plut. Dem. 20.2; Mor. 845F).
3*
24 HfM 56
5,500).13 Apart from 200 hippotoxotai and 1,600 toxotai Thoukydides does
not count the thetes (who rowed the 300 triremes), and Gomme, as a very
rough guess, suggests a total of 18,000 thetes Furthermore, Gomme
takes the 16,000 in the home guard to be a population figure which
included not only the youngest and oldest of hoplite status but also all
citizens of hoplite status aged 20-49 but unfit for military service (the
adynatoi, estimated at ca. 3,000).15 Similarly, we must assume that his
18.000 thetes is a population figure comprising all thetes aged 18-59. Now
14,500+10,500+18,000 = 43,000 aged 18-59 and when we add some
4.000 aged 60 or more, the total is 47,000 adult male Athenian citizens.
Gomme’s 43,000 Athenians of military age is one possible interpreta
tion of Thuc. 2.13.6-8 but, as he admits, his calculations leave room for
doubt and, more important, they are based on one wrong and two very
weak assumptions. (1) According to Thoukydides the 16,000 in the home
guard is not a population figure, but an army figure. Consequently, the
total number of oldest, youngest and metic hoplites may be (e.g.) 20,000
or perhaps even 25,000. (2) There is no evidence that the oldest and the
youngest comprise only citizens o f hoplite census. The phrase oooi ojtkixai
r]oav goes only with pexoixcuv, and not with xcbv JiQeaPuxaxojv xai xa>v
VBCDXaxtDV. So the oldest and the youngest probably include the oldest
and youngest of the thetes.16 (3) The number of thetes is unknown. Gomme
estimates, rather arbitrarily, ca. 18,000. A priori, any estimate between,
say, 10,000 and 40,000 is equally possible.
For the sake of argument, let us accept Gomme’s ca. 10,000 Athenians
in the home guard but assume, as a strict interpretation of Thuc. 2.13.7
requires, that they were composed of the youngest (aged 18-19) and the
oldest (aged 50-59) fit for military service but recruited from all census
classes including the thetes. In the model population described above
(note 9) the year classes 18-19+50-59 constitute ca. 'A of all males of
military age (aged 18-59). Thus, 10,000 Athenians aged 18-19 and 50-59
correspond to ca. 50,000 Athenians aged 18-59. Again ca. 15,000 hoplites
aged 20-49 in the field army correspond to ca. 18,000 hoplites of military
age (18-59) and accordingly there will have been some 32,000 thetes to
man the fleet, to serve as light armed troops in the field and to assist in
defending the walls.
But in order to find the total number of Athenian citizens we must add
to the army figures an estimated number of Athenians above military age
and an estimated number of Athenians unfit for military service. The
home guard will undoubtedly have included many who were unfit for
HfM 56 25
service in the field army or in the navy; nevertheless at least 10 % of all
Athenians of military age must have been unfit for any kind of military
service.1' Thus, the total number of Athenians aged 18-59 must, on this
calculation, have been min. 55,000. Next, in the population model I have
adopted, men over 60 constitute ca. Zn of all adult males (18-80+), i.e.
we must add ca. 5,000 to the ca. 55,000 aged 18-59. In conclusion, this
sketchy calculation indicates that the number of male Athenian citizens
living in Attica, including citizens unfit for military service and above
military age, totalled some 60,000.
To sum up, calculations based on Thuc. 2.13.6-8 may give a total of ca.
47,000 Athenians (Gomme’s figure) or ca. 40,000 (as suggested by other
historians)18 or ca. 60,000 (as the above calculation indicates). 40,000 is
probably a minimum, whereas 60,000 is not even a maximum. The only
way of making a choice between 40,000, 47,000 and 60,000 is, in my
opinion, to start with the fourth century figures and then to move back
wards.
The most reliable sources we have for Athenian demography relate to
the period ca. 350-322 and they point to an adult male citizen population
of no less than 30,000 Athenians living in Attica.19 For the first half of the
fourth century, we have no comparable information but are forced to rely
on two general lines of argument. (1) Even in the first years of the
restored democracy the institutions seem to have been run according to
the rules, which requires a minimum of ca. 25,000 citizens. Ca. 15,000
13 The number of metic hoplites is another moot point. Thoukydides tells us that the army
sent against Megara in 431 included 3,000 metics (2.31.2). Gomme (1933) 5 assumes
that there may have been some 2,500 other metics of hoplite census and military age.
Thus, the metics in the home guard amount to some 5,500 men, and Gomme takes the
remaining ca. 10,500 to be citizens of hoplite status. If, however, we apply the model
population printed in note 9 and calculate the youngest (18-19) and the oldest (50-59) of
the citizens on the basis of a field army numbering ca. 14.500 hoplites aged 20-49, the
result is a much lower number of citizen hoplites in the reserve, viz-
14,500-^72.7 x (6.7+11.9) = 3,710. On this calculation the number of youngest and
oldest in the reserve must be max. ca. 4,000 and the remaining ca. 12,000 must have
been metic hoplites. This is the line of argument adopted by R. P. Duncan-Jones in his
article ‘Metic Numbers in Periclean Athens’, Chiron 10 (1980) 101-09.
14 Gomme (supra n. 2) (1933) 26.
15 Gomme (supra n. 2) (1927) 144-46; (1933) 5; (1956) 35-36; (1959) 61-62.
16 For a full discussion of these two points cf. Hansen (supra n. 1) (1981) 19-24.
17 For a brief treatment of this neglected problem cf. Hansen (supra n. 1) (1985) 18-24.
18 C f e.g. C . P a tte rs o n , Pericles’ Citizenship L a w o f 451-50 B .C . (N e w Y ork 1981) 66-68.
19 Cf. Hansen (supra n. 1) (1985) 66-69.
26 HfM 56
adult male citizens is simply too few to fill the ekklesia, the boule and the
dikasteria.20 (2) Perikles’ citizenship law of 451 was reenacted in 403/2 and
thenceforth, as far as we know, rigorously enforced.21 In the 4th century
the demographic effect of naturalization was negligible, and thus the
factors affecting the number of citizens were mortality and emigration
balanced by fertility (but not by immigration, since immigrants became
metics and not citizens). Due to the slow natural growth of populations
before ca. 1700 and due to the fact that emigration of citizens was not
balanced by immigration, the number of Athenians living in Attica
cannot have grown very much. It must have been almost stationary, and
in some years perhaps even declining.22 When democracy was abolished
in 322/1 the number of adult male citizens totalled some 30,000. The
inference is that the number of citizens in ca. 400 must have been at least
ca. 25,000 and possibly ca. 30,000, i.e. twice as many as the estimate of
15,000 given above as a consequence of accepting Gomme’s 47,000 citi
zens in 431.
So we are back at the dilemma outlined above: either the information
we have about Athenian population losses 431-403 is misleading or the
starting point, 47,000 adult male citizens, is wrong. It is in my opinion
hard to question the sources for the losses suffered during the Peloponne
sian war. We may of course reduce the estimated plague mortality by
holding that Thoukydides’ phrase ex T(I>v xa^ecov is wrong or mislead
ing, or that the thetes who rowed the ships suffered less from the plague
than the hoplites. We may also reduce the demographic effect of the
Sicilian disaster by assuming that, although Athenian citizens regularly
formed a considerable part of a ship’s crew, they constituted only a small
fraction of the men who rowed the ships sent to Sicily in 415-413. Also,
the 1,500 Athenians killed by the Thirty may be an exaggerated figure.
But I suspect that all attempts to question our sources are merely es
capes, to avoid the conclusion that a total of 40-47,000 Athenians in 431
is incompatible with the losses attested by Thoukydides and Xenophon
and with the fourth century population figures.
Instead of calculating the Athenian manpower in 431 and then dis
cussing the losses in the light of this calculation I recommend the reverse
method: (1) to assume that ca. 25,000 must be the minimum number of
adult male Athenians living in Attica ca. 400 B.C.; (2) to accept the
population losses reported by Thoukydides and Xenophon; (3) to find,
for the year 432/1, the num ber o f citizens that will fit a citizen population
of min. 25,000 in 403. The consequence is an estimate of min. 60,000
HfM 56 27
adult male Athenians in 432/1, as is apparent from the following revised
version of the table on page 22.
20 In the fourth century the ekklesia was regularly attended by no less than 6,000 citizens
(cf. M. H. Hansen, The Athenian Assembly in the Age o f Demosthenes [Oxford 1987] 14-19 &
125 with note 804); but it is unbelievable that the assembly was regularly attended by
ca. 2/5 of all citizens. Next, only citizens above thirty could serve in the council of five
hundred; but in the model population described in note 9 supra ca. 1/3 of all adult males
are under thirty. Thus, a total of 15,000 citizens corresponds to some 10,000 citizens
eligible for the boule which, again, is an impossibly low figure, cf. Hansen (supra n. 1)
(1985) 51-64.
21 Cf. Hansen (supra n. 1) (1982) 176-77 with notes 14-15 & 20-21.
22 Cf. Hansen (supra n. 1) (1982) & (1985) 8-9.1 would like to thank Theodore Buttrey and
Poul Christian Matthiessen for reading and commenting on these three studies.
28 HfM 56
If to the ca. 24,000 citizens left in 403 we add the klerouchs and the other
Athenians sent back to Athens by Lysandros, the number of Athenians
living in Attica ca. 400 will have been at least 25,000, or rather a few
thousand more. In conclusion: 30,000 Athenians in ca. 350-322 pre
supposes a minimum of 25,000 Athenians in ca. 400, which again pre
supposes some 60,000 Athenians in 431, if we accept the severe losses
reported by Thoukydides and Xenophon; and this figure is perfectly
compatible with Thoukydides’ account of Athenian manpower in 431.
S u b m itte d to th e A c a d e m y J a n u a r y 1988.
Published March 1988.
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