MGAC2 Forecasting
MGAC2 Forecasting
INCOME STATEMENT
Revenues
Small 15,000,000.00
Medium 96,000,000.00
Large 25,000,000.00
NOPAT - 5,850,000.00
Percentage Change in NOPAT
BALANCE SHEET
Cash 100,000,000.00 27,190,000.00
Accounts Receivable 27,200,000.00
Inventory 22,375,000.00
Facility 50,000,000.00
Less: Accumulated Depreciation - 3,000,000.00
TOTAL ASSETS 100,000,000.00 123,765,000.00
Notes -
Bonds -
Cash flow from Financing -
RATIOS
Liquidity ratios:
Current ratio 2.5921
Quick ratio 1.8366
Cash ratio 0.9181
Efficiency ratios:
Total Asset Turnover 1.2156
Fixed Asset Turnover 5.7872
Equity Turnover 1.4010
Profitability Ratios
Return on Assets (ROA)
Net Profit
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
NOPAT
Return on Equity (ROE)
Financial Leverage Multiplier
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.3146
Debt Ratio 23.9284%
Times-Interest-Earned Ratio
Assuming that you expect your ROE levels to remain the same and you expect a Payout ratio of 60%
Growth 0.1596
Forward P/E 5.0308 - compare with Trailing
2 3 4 5
INCOME STATEMENT
BALANCE SHEET
915,681.82 30,895,359.85 51,523,662.59 -
53,800,000.00 114,950,000.00 97,707,500.00
28,875,000.00 106,541,666.67 75,458,333.33
50,000,000.00 65,000,000.00 65,000,000.00
- 6,000,000.00 - 10,500,000.00 - 15,000,000.00
127,590,681.82 306,887,026.52 274,689,495.92 -
- 15,000,000.00 -
- - 15,000,000.00 - -
5,000,000.00 - 5,000,000.00 -
- 30,000,000.00 -
5,000,000.00 25,000,000.00 - -
RATIOS
At year 3… SIZES
Expansion 15,000,000.00 Small
Useful Life 10 Medium
Depreciation 1,500,000.00 Large
TURNOVER
Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
A/R TURNOVER 5 6 6.88
Formula: AR turnover = credit sales/average AR
Average Invty Average inventory for the past 2 years (current year and last year)
Turnover Days
Receivable Days 73.00 60.83 53.05
Inventory Days 60.83 60.83 56.15
Payable Days 66.36 73.00 70.19
1 2 3
Cost of Goods Sold 89,500,000.00 153,750,000.00 406,250,000.00
Ending Inventory 22,375,000.00 28,875,000.00 106,541,666.67
Less: Beginning Inventory - 22,375,000.00 28,875,000.00
PURCHASES 111,875,000.00 160,250,000.00 483,916,666.67
Credit Purchases 89,500,000.00 128,200,000.00 387,133,333.33
DuPONT Equation:
NI Sales
=
Sales Ave TA
Profitabiliy Efficiency
Net Income
Profit Margin =
Sales
D0*(1+g)
P0 =
r-g
1 D0*(1+g)
P0 =
EPS0 r-g
P0
Trailing P/E =
EPS0
P0 D0
=
EPS0 EPS0
P0 P.O.*(1+g)
=
EPS0 r-g
1 D1
P0 =
EPS1 r-g
P0 D1
Forward P/E = =
EPS1 EPS1
P0 P.O.1
=
EPS1 r-g
Speaker (Wireless, Solar, Portable, Bluetooth, Waterproof)
Price
Create Demand
PRODUCT INFORMATION
YEAR 1 YEAR 3
Selling Price Cost/Unit Volume (Units) SIZES
5,000.00 3,500.00 3,000 Small
12,000.00 8,000.00 8,000 Medium
25,000.00 15,000.00 1,000 Large
YEAR 2 Volume
Selling Price Cost/Unit Volume (Units) Selling Price
5,500.00 4,500.00 5,000.00 Cost/Unit
13,000.00 9,000.00 10,000.00
27,000.00 16,500.00 2,500.00 YEAR 4
SIZES
35% Small
Medium
Large
Volume
Selling Price
Cost/Unit
YEAR 5
SIZES
Small
Medium
Better Large
HIGHER
Volume
Selling Price
Cost/Unit
DEPENDS
LOWER
SHORTER
DEPENDS
LONGER
4
591,500,000.00
75,458,333.33
106,541,666.67
560,416,666.67
448,333,333.33
equity multiplier
Ave TA
Ave CE
Risk
1
EPS0
(1+g)
r-g
1
EPS1
1
r-g
N
YEAR 3
Selling Price Cost/Unit Volume (Units)
5,500.00 5,000.00 12,500
13,000.00 9,500.00 25,000 GROWTH RATES (Horizo
27,000.00 17,000.00 6,250 Percentage Change
Total Revenues
growth by 150% 2.50 Total Cost of Goods Sold
the same Gross Profit
increase by 500 500.00 Operating Expenses
YEAR 4
Selling Price Cost/Unit Volume (Units)
6,000.00 5,200.00 17,500
13,400.00 9,880.00 35,000
27,300.00 17,680.00 8,750 Less: Total Operating Expenses
EBITDA
growth by 40% 1.40 Less: Depreciation
EBIT
increase/decrease by 4% 1.04 Less: Interest
PROFIT BEFORE TAXES
YEAR 5 Less: Taxes
Selling Price Cost/Unit Volume (Units) NET PROFIT
NOPAT
growth by X%
Percentage Change
increase/decrease by Cash
Accounts Receivable
Inventory
Facility
Less: Accumulated Depreciation
TOTAL ASSETS
Accounts Payable
Accrued Salaries
Accrued Utilities
Notes payable
Bonds Payable
Share Capital
Retained earnings
TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY
GROWTH RATES (Horizontal Analysis)
Percentage Change 2 3 4
Total Revenues 65.4412% 150.0000% 44.5111%
Total Cost of Goods Sold 71.7877% 164.2276% 45.6000%
Gross Profit 53.2258% 119.2982% 41.6800%
Operating Expenses
Marketing Expense 7.1429% 87.5000% 15.6089%
Selling Expense -30.0000% 42.8571% -10.0000%
Salaries Expense 50.0000% 33.3333% 25.0000%
Utilities Expense 66.6667% 100.0000% 20.0000%
Rent Expense 0.0000% 33.3333% 15.0000%
Less: Total Operating Expenses 3.8095% 74.8853% 13.7180%
EBITDA -379.1667% 263.8060% 85.4154%
Less: Depreciation 0.0000% 50.0000% 0.0000%
EBIT -252.7778% 310.4545% 92.2259%
Less: Interest -11.7647%
PROFIT BEFORE TAXES -252.7778% 285.7273% 98.8923%
Less: Taxes -252.7778% 285.7273% 98.8923%
NET PROFIT -252.7778% 285.7273% 98.8923%
Percentage Change 2 3 4
Cash -96.632% 3274.028% 66.768%
Accounts Receivable 97.794% 113.662% -15.000%
Inventory 29.050% 268.975% -29.175%
Facility 0.000% 30.000% 0.000%
Less: Accumulated Depreciation 100.000% 75.000% 42.857%
TOTAL ASSETS 3.091% 140.525% -10.492%
1 2 3 4
21.9691% 0.7177% 10.0673% 18.7571%
21.9771% 42.1661% 37.4568% 35.5702%
18.0786% 22.6310% 34.7169% 27.4704%
40.3991% 39.1878% 21.1804% 23.6631%
-2.4239% -4.7025% -3.4215% -5.4607%
100.0000% 100.0000% 100.0000% 100.0000%
PROBLEM 2
Cost
Debt 50,000,000.00 0.45 Firm's Current Capital
Equity 60,000,000.00 0.55 Structure
TOTAL CAPITAL 110,000,000.00 1.00