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Courbe de Fragilité

The document contains graphs and tables of vulnerability curves for different risk levels (R+1, R+2, R+6, R+8) showing the probability of exceeding various damage thresholds (Sd) under different hazard intensities (slight, moderate, extensive, complete). It shows that for higher risk levels and damage thresholds, the probability of exceeding the threshold is higher under more extreme hazard intensities. For example, for R+8 the probability of exceeding Sd=5.4 is 49.2% for slight hazard but increases to 13.57% for moderate and higher for more extreme hazards.

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ElJanousSoumaya
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56 views11 pages

Courbe de Fragilité

The document contains graphs and tables of vulnerability curves for different risk levels (R+1, R+2, R+6, R+8) showing the probability of exceeding various damage thresholds (Sd) under different hazard intensities (slight, moderate, extensive, complete). It shows that for higher risk levels and damage thresholds, the probability of exceeding the threshold is higher under more extreme hazard intensities. For example, for R+8 the probability of exceeding Sd=5.4 is 49.2% for slight hazard but increases to 13.57% for moderate and higher for more extreme hazards.

Uploaded by

ElJanousSoumaya
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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slight

Courbe de vulnérabilité de R+1


0 0
1.2
0.23 0.0023
1 0.1539
2 0.4343 1

3 0.6293
4 0.7517 0.8
5 0.8413
6 0.8842 0.6
7 0.9192
8 0.95 0.4
9 0.9501
10 0.9586 0.2
11 0.9597
12 0.9555 0
0 2 4 6 8 10

extensive complete
0 0 0 0
0.23 0 0.23 0
1 0.0018 1 0
2 0.0129 2 0.0017
3 0.0392 3 0.0019
4 0.0764 4 0.0032
5 0.121 5 0.0071
6 0.1685 6 0.0129
7 0.2177 7 0.0207
8 0.2676 8 0.0307
9 0.3121 9 0.0418
10 0.3594 10 0.0548
11 0.4013 11 0.0694
12 0.4404 12 0.0853
MODERATE
de vulnérabilité de R+1
0 0
0.23 0.00019
1 0.0359
2 0.1635
3 0.3
4 0.4404
5 0.5398
6 0.6255
7 0.6915
8 0.7454
9 0.7881
10 0.8238
11 0.8508
12 0.8749
6 8 10 12 14
Sd P(Sd/S) P(Sd/M) P(Sd/L) P(Sd/E)
0 0 0 0 0
1 -2.5801943265476 -3.74244417857 -5.215045337 -5.73696626
2 -1.5299713256992 -2.65940170895 -4.1804973063 -4.84831603
3 -0.9156302528081 -2.02586247753 -3.5753255032 -4.32848897
4 -0.4797483248508 -1.57635923932 -3.1459492757 -3.9596658
5 -0.1416520349808 -1.2276974404 -2.8128991991 -3.67358432
5.4 -0.0250443968958 -1.10744581362 -2.6980319735 -3.57491632
6.4 0.23237838612756 -0.84197856863 -2.4444513216 -3.35709704
7 0.36815438414223 -0.70195957067 -2.310701831 -3.24220966
8 0.57047467599757 -0.4933167697 -2.111401245 -3.07101557
9 0.74893382093149 -0.30928077649 -1.9356056694 -2.92001168
10 0.90857096586759 -0.14465497077 -1.7783511684 -2.78493409
11 1.05298032920747 0.004267185174 -1.6360971687 -2.66274155
12 1.18481574888873 0.14022246172 -1.5062294418 -2.55118851

1.0000

0.9000

0.8000

0.7000

0.6000

0.5000

0.4000

0.3000

0.2000

0.1000

0.0000
0 2 4 6
P(Sd/S) P(Sd/M) P(Sd/L)
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
0.0022 0.0001 0.0000
0.0630 0.0039 0.0000
0.1788 0.0212 0.0002
0.3192 0.0571 0.0008
0.4443 0.1093 0.0025
0.4880 0.1335 0.0035
0.5517 0.1736 0.0055
0.6443 0.2420 0.0104
0.7157 0.3121 0.0174
0.7734 0.3783 0.0262
0.8186 0.4443 0.0375
0.8531 0.5040 0.0505
0.8599 0.5557 0.0655

2 4 6 8 10 12 14
P(Sd/E)
0.0000 0.0000 5.4000
0.0000 0.1000 5.4000
0.0000 0.2000 5.4000
0.0000 0.3000 5.4000
0.0000 0.4000 5.4000
0.0001 0.5000 5.4000
0.0002 0.6000 5.4000
0.0003 0.7000 5.4000
0.0006 0.8000 5.4000
0.0011 0.9000 5.4000
0.0018 1.0000 5.4000
0.0027
0.0039
0.0054
Sd P(Sd/S) P(Sd/M) P(Sd/L) P(Sd/E) P(Sd/S)
0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0.025 0.00122 0 0 -1.96323686
2 0.1736 0.0228 0.00017 0 -0.94390277
3 0.33 0.0823 0.0014 0.0001 -0.34763056
4 0.5279 0.1977 0.0052 0.0004 0.07543132
5 0.6554 0.2676 0.0125 0.001 0.4035836
5.7 0.695 0.305 0.0166 0.00135 0.5167616
6 0.7468 0.3732 0.025 0.0024 0.67170353
7 0.8133 0.4562 0.0409 0.0038 0.89839571
8 0.8621 0.5279 0.0594 0.0062 1.0947654
9 0.8962 0.5987 0.0853 0.0091 1.26797575
10 0.92222 0.6554 0.1112 0.0129 1.42291769
11 0.9406 0.7088 0.1401 0.0174 1.56307971
12 0.9545 0.7517 0.1711 0.0222 1.69103762
P(Sd/M) P(Sd/L) P(Sd/E)
0 0 0 0 1
-3.02708694 -4.6046131 -5.07515292 0.1 1
-1.99253891 -3.58527901 -4.21941566 0.2 1
-1.3873671 -2.9890068 -3.71884145 0.3 1
-0.95799087 -2.56594493 -3.3636784 0.4 1
-0.6249408 -2.23779264 -3.08819253 0.5 1
-0.51007357 -2.12461464 -2.9931789 0.6 1
-0.35281907 -1.96967271 -2.86310419 0.7 1
1.2
-0.12274343 -1.74298053 -2.67279471 0.8 1
0.07655716 -1.54661084 -2.50794114 0.9 1
1
0.25235273 -1.37340049 -2.36252998 1 1
0.40960723 -1.21845856 -2.23245527 0.8
0.55186123 -1.07829653 -2.11478838
0.68172896 -0.95033862 -2.00736693 0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 2 4
Chart Title
1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
R+8

slight moderate extensive complete


3éme cas Pr Sd=5.4 49.2 13.57 0.36 0.009
2éme cas Pr Sd=6.3 57.98 19.49 0.69 0.048
1er cas Pr Sd=6.4 59.1 20.5 0.73 0.04

R+6

slight moderate extensive


3éme cas Pr Sd=5.4 69.5 30.5 1.7
2éme cas Pr Sd=5.4 69.5 30.5 1.7
1er cas Pr Sd=5.7 72.57 33.36 2.07

R+2

slight moderate extensive


3éme cas Pr Sd=1 15.39 3.51 0.118

2éme cas Pr Sd=1.1 18.41 4.46 0.19

1er cas Pr Sd=1.3 24.2 6.68 0.31

R+2
30

25

20

15

10

0
slight moderate extensive

3éme cas Pr Sd=1 2éme cas Pr Sd=1.1 1er cas Pr


R+8
70

60

50

40

30

20

complete 10
0.19 0
slight moderate extensive
0.19
1.07 3éme cas Pr Sd=5.4 2éme cas Pr Sd=6.3 1er cas Pr

complete R+7
0 80
70
0
60
50
0
40
30
20
10
0
slight moderate extensive

3éme cas Pr Sd=5.4 2éme cas Pr Sd=5.4 1er cas Pr Sd=5


R+2

rate extensive complete

2éme cas Pr Sd=1.1 1er cas Pr Sd=1.3


R+8

ate extensive complete

2éme cas Pr Sd=6.3 1er cas Pr Sd=6.4

R+7

extensive complete

e cas Pr Sd=5.4 1er cas Pr Sd=5.7

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