Chapter 12 - Derivative Markets
Chapter 12 - Derivative Markets
Chapter 12 - Derivative Markets
________________________________________________
CHAPTER 12 – Derivative Markets
Objectives:
Page 1
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
profit when outcomes are favourable, but increases losses when outcomes
are unfavourable. Thus the risk is increased.
- The underlying cash position is the twin transaction that is undertaken
simultaneously with the derivatives trade. The underlying cash position
motivates the hedge transaction. If the underlying cash position consists of
only one financial security, then it is called microhedge. If the underlying cash
position consists of a portfolio of financial securities, then it is called
macrohedge.
- Macro hedging is prevalent in financial institutions than in non-financial
companies, which may be hedging only a single financial security on their
balance sheets. The hedge is always tailored to the hedger’s underlying cash
position. The hedger’s cash flows as well as his goals will determine the
configuration of the derivatives transaction.
Page 2
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
markets are linked to cash markets through the possibility that a delivery of
the underlying product might be required.
- There is a close relationship between the prices of derivatives contracts and
the prices of the underlying assets they represent, and that the value of a
derivative, and hence its price, varies as the price in the cash market
fluctuates. However, in practice, derivatives seldom lead to the exchange of
the underlying product. Instead, contracts are closed out or allowed to lapse
before the delivery date arrives.
- For portfolio managers change of the risk profile through derivative
transactions takes a very low cost. Without derivatives, portfolio managers
have to conduct transactions in the underlying cash markets (i.e., money,
bond, or equity markets) at a higher cost, including the costly transfer of
securities. Thus the dynamic growth of hedge funds can be explained by the
rise of low-cost derivatives markets. Hedge funds typically exploit small price
differences of similar financial products. Only when the transaction cost is
smaller than the price differential, then hedge fund takes a position.
- The types of derivatives include:
o • Options,
o • Forwards,
o • Futures,
o • Swap contracts
o • Various forms of bonds.
- A forward contract gives the holder the obligation to buy or sell a certain
underlying instrument (like a bond) at a certain date in the future (i.e., the
delivery or final settlement date), at a specified price (i.e., the settlement
price). Forward contracts consist of futures and swaps. Futures contracts are
forward contracts traded on organised exchanges. Swaps are forward
contracts in which counterparties agree to exchange streams of cash flows
according to predetermined rules. For example, an interest-rate swap is a
derivative in which one party exchanges a stream of interest payments for
another party’s stream of cash flows. The most important difference with
Page 3
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
options is that options give the holder the right (but not the obligation) to buy
or sell a certain underlying instrument at a certain date in the future at a
specified price.
- Derivatives are traded on organised exchanges or over-the-counter (OTC)
market. Derivatives contracts traded and privately negotiated directly between
two parties belong to the OTC market, generally interest-rate linked
derivatives, like swaps and forward-rate agreements. All contract terms, such
as delivery quality, quantity, location, date, and price, are negotiable in it. The
total value of derivative contracts outstanding in global OTC markets is
substantially higher than the exchanges-traded amount. A trend is a provision
of standard contracts, which makes it easier for more participants to access
the OTC markets. Besides, OTC trades are increasingly being cleared
through clearinghouses in much the same way as exchange-based contracts.
- Derivative contracts like futures and options, which are traded in organised
exchanges are generally standardised, based on electronic trading. The
traditional distinction between exchange-based and OTC derivatives is
becoming less clear.
C. Forward and Futures Contracts
1. Principles of Forward and Future Contracts
- A futures contract is a legally binding commitment to buy or sell a standard
quantity of a something at a price determined in the present (the futures price)
on a specified future date. The buyer is called the long, and the seller is
called the short. Futures contracts are “zero sum games”.
- The forward contract is a private agreement between the two parties and
nothing happens between the contracting date and the date of delivery.
- Forwards and futures contracts markets include diverse instruments on:
o • Currencies;
o • Commodities;
o • Interest rate futures;
o • Short-term deposits;
o • Bonds;
Page 4
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
o • Stock futures;
o • Stock index futures;
o • Single stock futures (contract for difference).
- There is no money exchanged when the contract is signed. To ensure that
each party fulfills its commitments, a margin deposit is required. The
exchanges set a minimum margin for each contract and revise it periodically.
Margin is determined depending upon the risk of the individual contract
- Futures prices fluctuate every day. Therefore all contract positions are
marked to market at the end of every day. If net price movements result in
gain on a position of the previous day, the customer immediately receives
cash in the amount of the gain. And vise versa, if there is a loss, the customer
must cover the loss. As soon as a customer’s account falls below the
maintenance margin, the customer receives a margin call to fill up the initial
margin. If this is not done immediately, then the broker closes down the
position on the market. In effect future contracts are canceled every day and
replaced by new contracts with a delivery price equal to the new futures price,
i.e. the settlement price at the end of the day.
- It is rare for a futures contract to be used for the exchange or physical
delivery of the underlying instruments. Many contracts have no facility for the
exchange of the financial instrument. Thus financial futures markets are
independent of the underlying cash markets, and are operating in parallel to
those markets. Most future contracts are closed out by an
offsetting position before the delivery occurs. A long offsets by going short
and the short offsets by going long at any time before the delivery date.
- Offsetting does not involve incremental brokerage fees because the fee to
establish initial short position includes the commission to take the offsetting
long position, i.e. the round trip commission.
- The total number of outstanding contracts is called open interest. For every
outstanding contract one person is short (has taken a short position) and one
is long (has taken a long position. If a particular transaction involves a new
long and a new short, the open interest increases by one contract. If a
Page 5
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
transaction involves offsetting by an existing long and offsetting by an existing
short, the open interest decreases by one contract. However, if a transaction
is made by offsetting an existing short or long, and if the other side of
transaction is a new investor, the open interest remains unchanged. Each
futures exchange has a clearing house to keep track of the short and long
positions.
- The main economic function of futures is to provide a means of hedging. A
hedger seeks to reduce an already existing risk. This risk reduction could be
achieved by taking a futures position that would provide profit in the event of a
loss on the underlying position (and a loss in the case of a profit on the
underlying position).
- The most common products underlying futures contracts are foreign
currencies (exchange rates), interest rates on notional amounts of capital,
and stock exchange indices. The futures contracts are themselves tradable –
that is, they can be bought and sold in futures markets. To increase their
tradability, futures contracts are standardized in terms of both time period and
amount. They specify the quantity and quality of the underlying product, the
agreed price and the date of delivery.
- The procedure of marking to market of futures contract, which implies that all
potential profits and losses are immediately realized, is the basis for the key
difference between the forward and future contracts.
- A forward contract may or may not be marked to market. Where the
counterparties are two high-credit-quality entities, the two parties may agree
not to mark positions to market.
- However, if one or both of the parties are concerned with the counterparty risk
of the other, then positions may be marked to market. When a forward
contract is not marked to market, then there are no interim cash flows.
- Because there is no clearinghouse that guarantees the performance of a
counterparty in a forward contract, the parties to a forward contract are
exposed to counterparty risk, the risk that the other party to the transaction
will fail to perform.
Page 6
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
- When hedging the specified source of risk two questions have to be
answered:
o • Which contract should be used?
o • What amount should be hedged?
- The answer to the first question depends upon the source of risk, which will
dictate the use of some specific stock market index, interest rate or currency
contract.
- The answer to the second question depends upon optimal hedge ratio to be
used.
- The hedge ratio is the ratio of the size of the (short) position to be taken in
futures contract to the size of the exposure (the value of the portfolio to be
hedged).
- Hedge ratio = ( Number of contracts x Size x Spot price ) / V where V – is the
market value of the underlying asset position.
- The number of contracts to be sold if hedge ratio, that is to be implemented,
is known, can be derived from this equation: N = Hedge ratio x V / ( Size x
Spot price)
2. Forward and Futures Valuation
- Valuation of all derivative models are based on arbitrage arguments. This
involves developing a strategy or a trade wherein a package consisting of a
position in the underlying (that is, the underlying asset or instrument for the
derivative contract) and borrowing or lending so as to generate the same
cash flow as the derivative. The value of the package is then equal to the
theoretical price of the derivative. If the market price of the derivative deviates
from the theoretical price, then the actions of arbitrageurs will drive the market
price of the derivative toward its theoretical price until the arbitrage
opportunity is eliminated.
- The pricing of futures and forward contracts is similar. If the underlying asset
for both contracts is the same, the difference in pricing is due to differences in
features of the contract that must be dealt with by the pricing model.
Page 7
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
- A futures price equals the spot (cash market) price at delivery, though not
during the life of the contract. The difference between the two prices is called
the basis: Basis = Futures price – Spot price = F – S
- The basis is often expressed as a percentage of the spot price (discount or
premium) = Percentage basis = ( F – S ) / S
- Futures valuation models determine the theoretical value of the basis. This
value is constraint by the existence of profitable riskless arbitrage between
the futures and spot markets for the asset.
- In a well-functioning market, when arbitrageurs implement their strategy by
selling the futures and buying underlying asset, this would force the futures
price down so that at some price for the futures contract, the arbitrage profit is
eliminated. This strategy that results in the capturing of the arbitrage profit is
referred to as a cash-and-carry trade. The reason for this name is that
implementation of the strategy involves borrowing cash to purchase the
underlying asset and “carrying” that underlying asset to the settlement date of
the futures contract.
- In general, the formula for determining the theoretical price of the contract,
assuming that lending and borrowing rates are both the same and equal to
financing cost, and that there is no margin, becomes: Theoretical futures price
= Spot price + (Spot price) x (Financing cost - Cash yield) where financing
cost - is the interest rate to borrow funds, cash yield - is the payment received
from investing in the asset (e.g. dividend) as a percentage of the cash price.
- The future price can be above or below the spot (cash) price depending on
the difference between the financing cost and cash yield. The difference
between these rates is called the cost of carry and determines the net
financing cost.
- Positive carry means that the cash yield exceeds the financing cost, while the
difference between the financing cost and the cash yield is a negative value
- Negative carry means that the financing cost exceeds the cash yield
- Zero futures happen when the futures price is equal to the spot (cash) price.
Page 8
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
- At the settlement date of the futures contract, the futures price must equal the
spot (cash market) price. The reason is that a futures contract with no time
left until delivery is equivalent to a spot (cash market) transaction. Therefore,
as the delivery date approaches, the futures price is converging to the spot
(cash market) price. This happens as financing cost and the yield that can be
earned by holding the underlying asset, and finally the cost of carry,
approaches zero, when the delivery date approaches.
- However, the borrowing rate is usually higher than the lending rate. The
impact of this difference is important when defining theoretical futures price.
- In the cash-and-carry trade, the theoretical futures price based on borrowing
rate becomes
- Theoretical futures price = Spot price + (Spot price) ×(Borrowing rate -Cash
yield) In the reverse cash-and-carry trade, the theoretical futures price based
on lending rate becomes: Theoretical futures price = Spot price + (Spot
price)×(Lending rate - Cash yield)
- Both equations together provide a band between which the actual futures
price can exist without allowing for an arbitrage profit. The first equation
establishes the upper value for the band while the second equation provides
the lower value for the band.
- The reverse cash-and-strategy trade requires the short selling of the
underlying. It is assumed in this strategy that the proceeds from the short sale
are received and reinvested. In practice, for individual investors, the proceeds
are not received, and, in fact, the individual investor is required to deposit
margin (securities margin and not futures margin) to short sell. For
institutional investors, the underlying may be borrowed, but there is a cost to
borrowing. This cost of borrowing can be incorporated into the model by
reducing the cash yield on the underlying.
- For strategies applied to stock index futures, a short sale of the components
stocks in the index means that all stocks in the index must be sold
simultaneously. This may be difficult to do and therefore would widen the
band for the theoretical future price.
Page 9
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
- For valuation of stock index futures the fair value premium is used.
- The excess of the fair futures price over the spot (i.e. actual) stock index is
called the fair value premium. The formula for the fair value premium is: FP =
I x [{(r - y)/100} x{d/365}] where FP is the fair value premium, I is the spot
FTSE 100 Index, r is the interest rate, y is the expected percentage dividend
yield on the index portfolio, and d is the number of days to maturity of the
futures contract.
- Short cash and carry involves selling the borrowed stock and buying futures.
In this case the excess of interest over dividends is a net inflow and this gain
should be matched by having a guaranteed future purchase price that
exceeds the spot sale price by the amount of this net inflow. The money from
the stock sale is put on deposit. In the case of short selling, the borrower of
the stock must pay sums equivalent to the dividends to the lender of the
stock. The excess of interest over dividends is a net inflow that should be
matched by a capital loss guaranteed by the futures price.
Page 10
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
- the gains (losses) in the futures market. This offset is shown in the figure
bellow.
- The Figure 15 provides profit profiles. Assume, the investor goes long in the
spot market at 50 Euro. As the spot price increases (decreases) the investor
gains (loses) exactly the same amount. The profit profile for a spot position is
offset exactly by the short futures position. Profit profile for the net position is
a horizontal line, indicating no change in the value of the net position as the
spot price changes. Flat profile represents a perfect hedge.
- However most often identical or similar future contracts do not exist. In this
situation, the hedger must utilize a short position in a similar, but different
asset. This is called a cross
hedge. The relationship between a spot position and a futures contract in a
cross hedge is not a perfect straight line. It is shown as a dotted line in the
figure below. Here it is assumed that the investor takes a long position in the
spot market in grade A investment assets, and offsets by taking short position
in the futures market in grade B investment assets. Grade B asset prices are
assumed to move half as fast as grade A asset prices. The Figure 16 shows
profit profile for long spot grade A investment assets, short futures grade B
Page 11
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
investment assets and the net position. The gains and losses on the spot
position are cut in half for grade A investment assets by the short hedge.
- The hedger can estimate the slope of the line (β) by using regression analysis
in order to find the best-fitting relationship. For every unit of the spot asset
(cash market), the hedger shorts β units of the futures. β is called the optimal
hedge ratio.
- The optimal hedge ratio is not a perfect hedge, because the link between the
spot and futures is not perfect. The optimal hedge ratio is the best in the
sense that the expected change in the hedged position is zero.
4. Futures Contracts: Stock Index Futures
- For stock index futures the deliverable commodity (underlying asset) is a
common stock index. Some stock index futures are actively traded contracts.
- The stock index future price depends upon the value of the stocks in the
index, the dividends on these stocks, and the interest rate until the delivery
date on the futures contract.
- Arbitrage ensures that the futures contract should be equivalent of a buying
the stock in the index, borrowing the funds for this purchase, paying interest
on the borrowed funds at the delivery date, and receiving any dividends. F
Page 12
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
stock = P stock ( 1 + rd ) d – Div when P stock - is the current market value of
stocks in the index, r – the spot interest rate from now until delivery date, Div
– amount of dividends on these stocks.
- Unless the futures price is equal to P stock ( 1 + rd ) d – Div, arbitrage occurs.
This arbitrage is called program trading. The figure below illustrates the case,
when the futures price is above P stock ( 1 + rd ) d – Div.
- This arbitrage is to take short position in futures and buy the stocks in the
index. The arbitrage position is held until the futures and spot prices are once
more in line. Both positions are closed for profit
- Such type of arbitrage involves the purchase and sale of large number of
stocks in the index. In order to uncover the arbitrage opportunity initially, a
computer program is needed. Afterwards, the buy or sell orders for a large
number of stocks must be executed rapidly by computer program before the
arbitrage profit opportunity disappears.
5. Contracts for Difference (CFD)
- A contract for difference (CFD) is an instrument that has similarities with a
futures contract. Frequently it is related to a particular stock, but could relate
to any marketable asset (or even non-marketable instruments such as stock
indices).
Page 13
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
- CFD contracts do not have fixed expiry dates and can be closed at any time.
A CFD is a deal between an investor and a broker. The investor is expected
to pay a deposit (typically 10% of the value of the shareholding to which the
CFD is related). If losses are made from the transaction, the broker takes
cash from the deposit (margin) and the investor is required to provide more
cash in order to maintain the value of the deposit at 10%. If the position
makes a profit, the investor receives cash.
- An investor who takes a long position in a CFD relating to a share would profit
from a share price rise, and lose in the event of a share price fall. The profits
or losses would be calculated by reference to a specified share price (typically
slightly above the share price when the contract was entered into; the offer
price of the share might be used). If the share price were above the specified
price, there would be a profit equal to the difference between the current price
and the specified price.
- Conversely, there would be a loss equal to the extent to which the current
stock price is below the specified price. An investor with a long CFD is treated
as if the shares are bought with borrowed money and the broker can do in the
absence of offsetting short positions. The investor pays interest and receives
dividends.
- An investor who takes a short position in a CFD profits from price falls and
loses from price rises. The extent of profit or loss is based on the difference
between the current share price and a share price slightly below the share
price at the time that the contract was entered into. The bid price of the share
might be used also.
- An investor with a short CFD is treated as if the shares are sold short and the
receipts are put on deposit. The investor receives interest and pays sums
equal to the share dividends. Bid/offer prices might be quoted.
- Potential losses are very large in the event of prices moving heavily against
the anticipations of an investor. The use of stop-loss order ensures automatic
closure of a position in the event of a price movement beyond a particular
level. However, there is a risk that the price movement is so rapid, that
Page 14
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
closure occurs only after the price has moved significantly beyond the chosen
stop-loss price.
- A broker, who is providing CFDs, can take corresponding positions in the
share. However if a broker has investors on both the long and short sides, the
need to take positions in the share is reduced since the cash flows of long
and short investors would match each other. Some concern has been
expressed that if investors use CFDs as a substitute for share purchases,
liquidity is taken from the stock market. Although brokers take offsetting
positions in the stock market, liquidity is reduced to the extent that there is
matching between long and short positions.
- By using CFDs investors can obtain leveraged investments or short positions
on a share (or other instrument).An almost identical alternative to CFDs is
spread betting
D. Swaps
- A swap is an agreement whereby two parties (called counterparties) agree
to exchange periodic payments. The cash amount of the payments
exchanged is based on some predetermined principal amount, which is called
the notional principal amount or simply notional amount. The cash amount
each counterparty pays to the other is the agreed-upon periodic rate times the
notional amount. The only cash that is exchanged between the parties are the
agreed-upon payments, not the notional amount.
- A swap is an over-the-counter (OTC) contract. Hence, the counterparties to a
swap are exposed to counterparty risk.
- Swap can be decomposed into a package of derivative instruments, e.g. a
package of forward contracts. However, its maturity can be longer than that of
typical forward and futures contracts, it is negotiated separately, can have
quite high liquidity (larger than many forward contracts, particularly long-dated
(i.e., long-term) forward contracts).
- The types of swaps typically used by non-finance corporations are:
o • interest rate swaps,
o • currency swaps,
Page 15
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
o • commodity swaps, and
o • credit default swaps.
- Interest rate swap is a contract in which the counterparties swap payments
in the same currency based on an interest rate. For example, one of the
counterparties can pay a fixed interest rate and the other party a floating
interest rate. The floating interest rate is commonly referred to as the
reference rate.
- Currency swap is a contract, in which two parties agree to swap payments
based on different currencies.
- Commodity swap is a contract, according to which the exchange of
payments by the counterparties is based on the value of a particular physical
commodity. Physical commodities include precious metals, base metals,
natural gas, crude oil, food.
- A credit default swap (CDS) is an OTC derivative that permits the buying
and selling of credit protection against particular types of events that can
adversely affect the credit quality of a bond such as the default of the
borrower.
- Although it is referred to as a “swap,” it does not have the general
characteristics of a typical swap. There are two parties in the CDS contract:
the credit protection buyer and credit protection seller. Over the life of the
CDS, the protection buyer agrees to pay the protection seller a payment at
specified dates to insure against the impairment of the debt of a reference
entity due to a credit-related event. The reference entity is a specific issuer.
The specific credit-related events are identified in the contract that will trigger
a payment by the credit protection seller to the credit protection buyer are
referred to as credit events. If a credit event does occur, the credit protection
buyer only makes a payment up to the credit event date and makes no further
payment. At this time, the protection buyer is obligated to fulfill its obligation.
The contract will call for the protection seller to compensate for the loss in the
value of the debt obligation
E. Options
Page 16
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
1. Options Definitions
- An option is a contract in which the option seller grants the option buyer the
right to enter into a transaction with the seller to either buy or sell an
underlying asset at a specified price on or before a specified date.
- Options, like other financial instruments, may be traded either on an
organized exchange or in the over-the-counter (OTC) market.
- The specified price is called the strike price or exercise price and the
specified date is called the expiration date.
- The option seller grants this right in exchange for a certain amount of money
called the option premium or option price. The option seller is also known as
the option writer, while the option buyer is the option holder.
- The asset that is the subject of the option is called the underlying. The
underlying can be an individual stock, a stock index, a bond, or even another
derivative instrument such as a futures contract.
- The option writer can grant the option holder one of two rights. If the right is to
purchase the underlying, the option is a call option. If the right is to sell the
underlying, the option is a put option.
- An option can also be categorized according to when it may be exercised by
the buyer or the exercise style:
o • European option can only be exercised at the expiration date of the
contract.
o • American option can be exercised any time on or before the
expiration date.
o • Bermuda option or Atlantic option – is an option which can be
exercised before the expiration date but only on specified dates is
called.
- The terms of exchange are represented by the contract unit and are
standardized for most contracts. The option holder enters into the contract
with an opening transaction. Subsequently, the option holder then has the
choice to exercise or to sell the option. The sale of an existing option by the
holder is a closing sale.
Page 17
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
- A profit profile for a call option is provided in the figure bellow. Suppose an
investor is buying a bond, which is currently selling at its exercise price of 100
Euro, and holds this bond for three months until the option expires. Possible
profits or losses will be on the solid line. If a call option costs 4 Euro, this will
be the maximum loss for a call option buyer. If the bond price at expiration is
above the exercise, the profit equals P – E – 4 Euro.
- The maximum profit that the option writer can realize is the option price. The
option buyer has substantial upside return potential, while the option writer
has substantial downside risk.
- The described call option is called a naked call option. This is a risky position
because the potential of loss is unbound.
Page 18
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
- Another less risky contract is writing a covered call. Such a contract involves
the purchase of the underlying security and the writing of a call option on that
security. Profit profile for the covered call is shown in the Figure 19. If a call
option is profitable, then it it is exercised and the covered call writer must sell
the underlying security at the exercise price (100 Euro). The maximum gain is
4 Euro, i.e. the original sale price of the call option. If the call option is
unprofitable, the covered call option writer receives 4 Euro for writing the call,
and this reduces the loss from owning the underlying security.
- The purchase of a call option creates a position referred to as a long call
position.
- The writer of a call option is said to be in a short call position.
- The buying of a put option creates a financial position referred to as a long
put position.
- The profit or loss for this position at the expiration date depends on the
market price of the underlying asset. As with all long option positions, the loss
is limited to the option price. The profit potential, however, is substantial: The
theoretical maximum profit is generated if asset’s price falls to zero.
- Writing a put option creates a position referred to as a short put position.
The profit and loss profile for a short put option is the opposite of the long put
option. The maximum profit from this position is the option price.
Page 19
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
- The theoretical maximum loss can be substantial, if the price of the underlying
falls. If the price falls to zero, the loss would be as large as the exercise price
less the option price. Figure 20graphically shows this profit and loss profile.
- To summarize, buying calls or selling puts allows the investor to gain if the
price of the underlying asset rises. Selling calls and buying puts allows the
investor to gain if the price of the underlying asset falls.
2. Components of the Option Price
- The theoretical price of an option is made up of two components:
o • intrinsic value;
o • premium over intrinsic value. The intrinsic value is the option’s
economic value if it is exercised immediately. If no positive economic
value would result from exercising immediately, the intrinsic value is
zero.
- For a call option, the intrinsic value is the difference between the current
market price of the underlying and the strike price. If that difference is
positive, then the intrinsic value equals that difference; if the difference is zero
or negative, then the intrinsic value is equal to zero.
- For a put option, the intrinsic value is equal to the amount by which the
underlying’s market price is below the strike price.
Page 20
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
- Time premium of an option, or time value of the option, is the amount by
which the option’s market price exceeds its intrinsic value. It is the
expectation of the option buyer that at some time before the expiration date
the changes in the market price of the underlying asset will increase the value
of the rights of the option. Because of this expectation, the option buyer is
willing to pay a premium above the intrinsic value.
- An option buyer has two ways to realize the value of an option position.
- The first way is by exercising the option. The second way is to sell the option
in the market.
- Put-Call Parity Relationship. For a European put and a European call option
with the same underlying, strike price, and expiration date, there is a
relationship between the price of a call option, the price of a put option, the
price of the underlying, and the strike price. This relationship is known as the
put-call parity relationship.
- The relationship is equal to: Put option price − Call option price = Present
value of strike price + Present value of cash distribution − Price of underlying
asset
- Put-call parity implies that: Call option price >= Put option price - Lending
present value of exercise price
- The value Put option price - Lending present value of exercise price has been
called
Merton’s lower bound. It follows that the cash flows from buying a call
option can never be less than buying the underlying security and borrowing
the underlying value of the exercise price. Merton’s bound is illustrated in the
Figure 21. As the price of the underlying asset rises, the value of the call
approaches Merton’s bound, and consequently, the value of a put gets very
small. When the price of the underlying asset is small, the value of the call
option is small, and the value of a put becomes large.
Page 21
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
Page 22
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
- The exercise price is fixed for the life of the option. All other factors being
equal, the lower the exercise price, the higher the price for a call option. For
put options, the higher the exercise price, the higher the option price.
- Time to expiration of the option. After the expiration date, an option has no
value. All other factors being equal, the longer the time to expiration of the
option, the higher the option price. This is because, as the time to expiration
decreases, less time remains for the underlying asset’s price to rise (for a call
buyer) or fall (for a put buyer), and therefore the probability of a favorable
price movement decreases. Consequently, as the time remaining until
expiration decreases, the option price approaches its intrinsic value. The
impact of longer remaining life is shown in Figure 22
- Expected Volatility of the Underlying asset over the life of the option. All
other factors being equal, the greater the expected volatility (as measured by
the standard deviation or variance) of the underlying, the more the option
buyer would be willing to pay for the option, and the more an option writer
would demand for it. This occurs because the greater the expected volatility,
Page 23
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
the greater the probability that the movement of the underlying will change so
as to benefit the option buyer at some time before expiration.
- Short-term, risk-free interest rate over the life of the option. Buying the
underlying asset requires an investment of funds. Buying an option on the
same quantity of the underlying makes the difference between the
underlying’s price and the option price available for investment at an interest
rate at least as high as the risk-free rate. Consequently, all other factors being
constant, the higher the short-term, risk-free interest rate, the greater the cost
of buying the underlying asset and carrying it to the expiration date of the call
option. Hence, the higher the short-term, risk-free interest rate, the more
attractive the call option will be relative to the direct purchase of the
underlying. As a result, the higher the short-term, risk-free interest rate, the
greater the price of a call option.
- Anticipated cash payments on the underlying over the life of the option
cash payments on the underlying tend to decrease the price of a call option.
The cash payments make it more attractive to hold the underlying than to hold
the option. For put options, cash payments on the underlying tend to increase
the price.
Page 24
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
4. Options Pricing Models
- An option pricing model uses a set of assumptions and arbitrage arguments
to derive a theoretical price for an option. Deriving a theoretical option price is
much more complicated than deriving a theoretical futures or forward price
because the option price depends on the expected volatility of the underlying
over the life of the option.
- Several models have been developed to determine the theoretical price of an
option. The most popular one was developed by Fischer Black and Myron
Scholes (1973) for valuing European call options on common stock.
5. Mixed Strategies in Options Trading
- Call and put options and the buying and writing of options can be combined to
try to profit from expected conditions in the market. Some of such strategies
are as follows:
- Cases where a trader either buys or writes options but does not do both
Straddle – a call and a put at the same strike price and expiry date
Strangle – a call and a put for the same expiry date but at different strike
prices
Strap – two calls and one put with the same expiry dates; the strike prices
might be the same or different
Strip – two puts and one call with the same expiry date; again strike prices
might be the same or different
- In general, the buyer of these options is hoping for market prices to move
sharply but is uncertain whether they will rise or fall. The buyer of a strap
gains more from a price rise than from a price fall; the buyer of a strip gains
more from a price fall. The writer in all four cases is hoping that the market
will remain stable, with little change in price during the life of the option.
- Spreads: combinations of buying and writing options
Butterfly – buying two call options, one with a low exercise price, the other
with a high exercise price, and writing two call options with the same
intermediate strike price or the reverse.
Page 25
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
Condor – similar to a butterfly, except that the call options which are written
have different intermediate prices.
- Both a butterfly and a condor are vertical spreads – all options bought or sold
have the same expiry date but different strike prices. Horizontal spreads have
the same strike prices but different expiry dates. With diagonal spreads both
the strike prices and the expiry dates are different. Other mixed strategies
have equally improbable names. They include vertical bull call; vertical bull
spread; vertical bear spread; rotated vertical bull spread; rotated vertical bear
spread.
Page 26
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
REFERENCES:
Culbertson J.M. (1957). The Term Structure of Interest Rates, Quarterly
Journal of Economics, November, p. 489-504.
LINKS
TOPICS LINKS FOR VIDEO
Hedging Against Risk https://youtu.be/Z0YJI3kXPno
Description of Derivatives Markets https://youtu.be/FLGRPYAtReo
Forward and Futures Contracts https://youtu.be/OZW6lUasKFE
Swaps https://youtu.be/JIdcips9vPU
Options https://youtu.be/CRhGikRHSu8
Page 27
FINANCIAL MARKETS
________________________________________________
Page 28