Elevated Triglycerides To High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) Ratio Predicts Long-Term Mortality in High-Risk Patients
Elevated Triglycerides To High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) Ratio Predicts Long-Term Mortality in High-Risk Patients
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hlc.2019.03.019
Received 17 April 2018; received in revised form 25 March 2019; accepted 31 March 2019; online published-ahead-of-print 16 April 2019
Background Elevated triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio has been utilised as a
predictor of outcomes in patients with adverse cardiometabolic risk profiles. In this study, we examined
the prognostic value of elevated TG/HDL-C level in an Australian population of patients with high clinical
suspicion of coronary artery disease (CAD) presenting for coronary angiography.
Methods Follow-up data was collected for 482 patients who underwent coronary angiography in a prospective cohort
study. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality and the secondary endpoint was a major adverse
cardiac event (MACE). Patients were stratified into two groups according to their baseline TG/HDL-C ratio,
using a TG/HDL-C ratio cut point of 2.5.
Results The mean follow-up period was 5.1 1.2 years, with 49 all-cause deaths. Coronary artery disease on
coronary angiography was more prevalent in patients with TG/HDL-C ratio 2.5 (83.6% vs. 69.4%,
p = 0.03). On the Kaplan-Meier analysis, patients with TG/HDL-C ratio 2.5 had worse long-term prognosis
(p = 0.04). On multivariate Cox regression adjusting for established cardiovascular risk factors and CAD on
coronary angiography, TG/HDL-C ratio 2.5 was an independent predictor of long-term all-cause mor-
tality (hazard ratio [HR] 2.10, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04–4.20, p = 0.04). On multivariate logistic
regression adjusting for known cardiovascular risk factors and CAD on coronary angiography, TG/HDL-C
ratio 2.5 was strongly associated with an increased risk of long-term MACE (odds ratio [OR] 2.72, 95% CI
1.42–5.20, p = 0.002).
Conclusions Elevated TG/HDL-C ratio is an independent predictor of long-term all-cause mortality and is strongly
associated with an increased risk of MACE.
Keywords Triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio Coronary artery disease All-cause
mortality Major adverse cardiovascular events Coronary Angiography
*Corresponding author at: Goulburn Valley Health, Graham Street, Shepparton, 3630, Victoria, Australia. Fax: +61 3 8845 7073., Email: rohullahsultani59@g
mail.com
© 2019 Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons (ANZSCTS) and the Cardiac Society of Australia and New Zealand (CSANZ).
Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Triglycerides to High-Density Lipoprotein Ratio Cholesterol 415
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416 R. Sultani et al.
long-term all-cause mortality. The models were adjusted for 69% were males, 31% were females, 74.7% had hypertension,
known cardiovascular risk factors including age, gender, 80.6% had hypercholesterolaemia, 29.6% had diabetes, 32.9%
hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, diabetes, smoking had a history of previous AMI and 69.4% had a history of
and CAD on coronary angiography. smoking (20.1% active smokers; 49.25% ex-smokers). 70.8% of
After adjusting for conventional cardiovascular risk factors the patients had CAD that was either diagnosed at angiogra-
stated above and CAD on coronary angiography, multivari- phy or had previous PCI for stenotic coronary artery. Baseline
ate logistic regression models were constructed to assess the TG/HDL-C ratio ranged from 0.21 to 7.73 in the study cohort.
relationship between elevated TG/HDL-C levels and the first Table 1 shows the baseline characteristics between two groups
MACE outcome. The MACE outcome refers to the occur- of patients, using TG/HDL-C ratio cut point of 2.5.
rence of the first of any of the aforementioned MACE events; The proportion of patients with diabetes, hypertension and
the time to this first event was recorded. The proportional hypercholesterolaemia at baseline, were not significantly
hazards assumption of the predictor variable hazard ratios different between the two groups. Furthermore, the prescrip-
was tested and found to be met. P-values of 0.05 was set for tion of cardiac-modifying medications was similar between
statistical significance. All statistical analysis was conducted the two groups. TC (mmol/L) (4.68 0.17 vs. 4.19 0.05, p
using STATA SE (64-bit) software, version 12 (StataCorp < 0.001) and TG (mmol/L) (3.11 0.14 vs. 1.37 0.02, p
LLC, College Station, TX, USA). < 0.001) levels were higher, whilst HDL-C (mmol/L)
(0.87 0.02 vs. 1.15 0.01, p < 0.001) level was lower in the
group with TG/HDL-C ratio 2.5 compared with the group
Results with TG/HDL-C ratio <2.5. Mean TG/HDL-C ratio was
significantly higher in the group with TG/HDL-C ratio
Baseline Characteristics 2.5 (3.62 0.16 vs. 1.27 0.03, p < 0.001). A significantly
A total of 482 patients were included in the study after 40 larger proportion of patients with TG/HDL-C ratio 2.5
patients were lost during follow-up. The mean follow-up had CAD on coronary angiography, compared to patients
period was 5.1 1.2 years. The mean age was 63.4 11.0 years, with TG/HDL-C ratio <2.5 (83.64% vs. 69.40%, p = 0.03)
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Triglycerides to High-Density Lipoprotein Ratio Cholesterol 417
Table 2 MACE and all-cause mortality events between the two groups.
Abbreviations; MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; AMI, acute myocardial infarction; TG/HDL-C, triglycerides to high density lipoprotein cholesterol
ratio.
Survival Analysis diabetics and obese patients were excluded from the analysis
The mean follow-up period for this study was 5.1 1.2 years. in the multivariate Cox-regression model (HR 2.07, p = 0.04),
There was a total of 39 (9.1%) deaths in group 1 (TG/HDL-C suggesting that TG-HDL-C ratio 2.5 is an independent
ratio <2.5) and 10 (18.2%) deaths in group 2 (TG/HDL-C predictor of all-cause mortality (Table 3).
ratio 2.5) (Table 2). The difference in the number of Furthermore, patients with TG/HDL-C ratio 2.5 were at
deceased between the two groups was statistically significant a significantly higher risk of suffering from MACE (HR 2.07
(p = 0.04) (Table 2). Figure 1 demonstrates the Kaplan-Meier [95% CI 1.32–3.24], p = 0.001) cardiac death (HR 2.24 [95% CI
curves for freedom from all-cause mortality across the TG/ 1.03–4.91], p = 0.04) and non-fatal AMI (HR 6.22 [95% CI 3.20–
HDL-C ratio. The Kaplan-Meier analysis (Figure 1) demon- 12.07], p < 0.001) compared to patients with TG/HDL-C ratio
strated worse long-term prognosis in patients with TG/ <2.5 (Table 3). In both groups, irrespective of their baseline
HDL-C 2.5 (log rank, p = 0.04). TG/HDL-C levels, the majority died from AMI-related death
Multivariate Cox regression models (Table 3) were con- (80% in TG/HDL-C ratio 2.5 group vs. 59% in TG/HDL-C
structed to further evaluate the association between elevated ratio <2.5 group) followed by cancer and heart failure
TG/HDL-C levels and all-cause mortality. After adjusting for (Table 4).
known cardiovascular risk factors and CAD on coronary
angiography, patients with TG/HDL-C ratio 2.5 had a
Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events
two-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality compared to Over a mean follow-up period of 5.1 1.2 years, there were
patients with TG/HDL-C ratio <2.5 (HR 2.10, p = 0.04). All- 160 major cardiovascular events; 113 (30.7%) events in the
cause mortality remained significantly elevated when group with TG/HDL-C ratio <2.5 and 29 (52.7%) events in
Figure 1 Kaplan-Meier curves showing freedom from all-cause mortality according to the TG/HDL-C ratio.
Abbreviation: TG/HDL-C, triglycerides to high density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio
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418 R. Sultani et al.
Table 3 Hazard ratio for MACE and all-cause mortality Table 5 Predictors of MACE.
for TG/HDL-C ratio 2.5.
Variables Odds Ratio 95% CI P-value
Variables Hazard Ratio 95% CI P-value
TG/HDL-C 2.5* 2.72 1.42–5.20 0.002
All-cause mortality* 2.10 1.04–4.20 0.04 Gender 1.19 0.76–1.88 0.44
All-cause mortality# 2.07 1.02–4.13 0.04 Hypertension 1.04 0.63–1.72 0.88
MACE 2.07 1.32–3.24 0.001 Hypercholesterolaemia 1.21 0.68–2.15 0.51
Cardiac death 2.24 1.03–4.91 0.04 Smoking 0.95 0.61–1.48 0.82
Non-fatal AMI 6.22 3.20–12.07 <0.001 Diabetes 1.86 1.18–2.94 0.008
Stroke 1.29 0.38–4.39 0.68 CAD on coronary 2.98 1.70–5.23 <0.001
Unplanned 0.96 0.41–2.25 0.93 angiography
revascularisation
Abbreviations: MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; TG/HDL-C,
Abbreviations: MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; AMI, acute triglycerides to high density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio; CI, confidence
myocardial infarction; TG/HDL-C, triglycerides to high-density lipopro- interval; CAD, coronary artery disease.
tein cholesterol ratio; CI, confidence interval. *
Adjusted for gender, age, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, diabetes,
*
Adjusted for age, gender, diabetes, obesity, hypertension, hypercholester- smoking and CAD on coronary angiography.
olaemia, smoking and CAD on coronary angiography.
#
Adjusted for age, gender, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, smoking
and CAD on coronary angiography. presenting for clinically indicated coronary angiography.
This study found that, after adjusting for established cardio-
vascular risk factors and CAD on coronary angiography,
the group with TG/HDL-C ratio 2.5 (p = 0.001) (Table 2).
elevated TG/HDL-C ratio is an independent predictor of
When the incidence of the individual components of MACE
long-term all-cause mortality and is strongly associated with
was evaluated between the two groups, the proportion of
long-term risk of MACE in patients presenting for coronary
cardiac deaths (14.5% vs. 6.8%, p = 0.04) and non-fatal AMIs
angiography.
(21.8% vs 8.4%, p < 0.01) were significantly higher in the
The relationship between TG and HDL-C levels has been
group with TG/HDL-C 2.5 (Table 2).
previously described. Elevated levels of TG and low levels of
Multivariate and univariate logistic regression models
HDL-C contribute to chronic inflammation and predisposes
were constructed to assess the relationship between elevated
to the pathophysiology of atherosclerosis [9]. HDL-C exerts
TG/HDL-C ratio and first MACE outcome. After adjusting
its cardioprotective effects predominantly through its role in
for established cardiovascular risk factors and CAD at coro-
reverse cholesterol transport (RCT) that involves the removal
nary angiography, elevated TG/HDL-C ratio was indepen-
of cholesterols from peripheral cells including macrophages
dently associated with long-term MACE (OR 2.72 [95% CI
in the arterial walls and transporting them to the liver for
1.42–5.20], p = 0.002). Moreover, CAD on coronary angiogra-
recycling [10,11]. The process of RCT can happen through
phy (OR 2.98 [95% CI 1.70–5.23], p < 0.001) and diabetes (OR
two pathways [1]: hepatic uptake of cholesteryl ester (CE)
1.86 [95% CI 1.18–2.94], p = 0.008], were strongly correlated
from HDL particles that is mediated through the scavenger
with MACE (Table 5). This association remained significant
receptor class B type 1 (SR-B1) system [12] and [2] cholesteryl
in multivariate logistic regression modelling.
ester transfer protein (CETP) that catalyses the transfer of
cholesteryl ester from HDL particles to apoB-containing lip-
oproteins (LDL and very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL)) in
Discussion exchange for TG [13]. The RCT pathways result in LDL and
The principle objective of this study was to investigate the VLDL particles that are TG-depleted and CE-enriched and
prognostic utility of elevated TG/HDL-C ratio in patients HDL particles that are TG-enriched and CE-depleted [12,13].
Cause of death
Abbreviations: TG/HDL-C, triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio; AMI, acute myocardial infarction.
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Triglycerides to High-Density Lipoprotein Ratio Cholesterol 419
However, the larger VLDL particles pool in the context of independently predict the risk of myocardial infarction.
elevated TG level, result in greater CETP-mediated transfer TG/HDL-C ratio has been reported to be a strong predictor
of CE from HDL to VLDL in exchange for TG [14]. This of CAD and CVD development [32], and men with an ele-
CETP-mediated exchange is postulated to be the underlying vated TG/HDL-C ratio are at an increased risk of ischaemic
mechanism responsible for the inverse relationship between [33] and coronary [30] heart disease. Moreover, elevated TG/
HDL-C and TG levels [15,16]. In the setting of elevated TG HDL-C ratio has been shown to be an independent predictor
levels, this pathway ultimately results in smaller and denser of extensive atherosclerotic CAD [34] and is associated with
HDL particles that are TG-enriched and rapidly catabolised significant atherosclerotic coronary artery stenosis of 50%
resulting in lower HDL-C concentrations. Consequently, [35].
smaller and denser TG-enriched HDL particles attenuates Moreover, a recent study demonstrated that, after adjust-
its cardioprotective, antioxidative and anti-inflammatory ing for conventional cardiovascular risk factors, elevated
effects [9]. Hence, lower HDL-C concentrations in the setting TG/HDL-C ratio was associated with an increased risk of
of elevated TG level increases the risk of atherosclerotic MACE and all-cause mortality in ACS patients [7]. Vega et al.
plague formation. [8] and Bittner et al. [6] also previously showed that elevated
Elevated TG/HDL-C ratio has been previously investi- TG/HDL-C ratio is an independent predictor of CHD, CVD
gated as a novel biomarker of adverse cardiometabolic risk and all-cause mortality in men and major cardiovascular
profile. It has been increasingly recognised as a potential events and all-cause mortality in women, respectively. How-
surrogate biomarker to identify individuals with insulin ever, the limitations of these studies included recruitment of
resistance [17,18]. Insulin resistance is postulated to be the gender-specific or pre-selected high-risk ACS patients. Fur-
principle feature of metabolic syndrome, which acts as a thermore, these studies lacked information on the cause of
precursor for the development of diabetes mellitus [19], death that might underlie the mechanism linking the rela-
coronary heart disease [20] and CVD [21,22]. Furthermore, tionship between elevated TG/HDL-C ratio and all-cause
it is known that LDL particles become smaller and denser as mortality.
TG/HDL-C ratio increases [23]. Relatively smaller and In contrast, our large prospective cohort study included
denser LDL particle sizes are pro-atherogenic and are well characterised patients of both genders who presented
strongly correlated with the initiation and progression of for clinically indicated coronary angiography due to high
atherosclerotic coronary artery lesions [24,25]. clinical suspicion for CAD. Utilising Cox-proportional haz-
Moreover, De Giorgis et al. [26] reported that obese pre- ard modellings and adjusting for established cardiovascular
pubertal children had elevated TG/HDL-C ratios, which was risk factors including CAD on coronary angiography, our
significantly associated with early signs of arterial vascular study affirmed that raised TG/HDL-C ratio predicts long-
damage such as increased carotid intima-media thickness term all-cause mortality. This study also found that elevated
(CIMT). Elevated TG/HDL-C ratio has been postulated to TG/HDL-C levels are independently associated with higher
be utilised as an independent determinant of CIMT in ado- risk of long-term MACE, and that patients with elevated TG/
lescents with type-2 diabetes mellitus [27]. The atherogenic- HDL-C levels were at a significantly higher risk of cardiac
ity of raised TG/HDL-C ratio is due to the role of TG-rich death and non-fatal AMI.
lipoproteins that ultimately activates the proinflammatory In addition, a large proportion of patients were taking
signalling pathways which underlies the pathophysiology statins medication in our study. Given there was no signifi-
and development of coronary atherosclerotic lesions [9]. cant difference in the number of patients on statin therapy
Thus, elevated TG/HDL-C ratio denotes a pro-atherogenic between the two groups (Table 1), it would be reasonable to
state and is strongly correlated with the pathophysiology of assume that the therapeutic effect of statin on TG levels was
atherosclerotic lesion formation. similar in both groups. Furthermore, the Fenofibrate Inter-
Furthermore, elevated TG/HDL-C ratio is independently vention and Event Lowering in Diabetes (FIELD) study [36]
associated with a higher and more severe risk of atheroscle- demonstrated that long-term fenofibrate therapy did not
rotic CAD [28–30]. Yunke et al. [29] reported that the preva- significantly reduce cardiac mortality in diabetic patients.
lence of CAD was significantly higher in patients with Therefore, an elevated TG/HDL-C ratio may have significant
elevated TG/HDL-C levels and that raised TG/HDL-C levels prognostication in selected patient populations. A TG/HDL-C
was positively associated with the extent of the atheroscle- ratio 2.5 remained a strong independent predictor of all-cause
rotic coronary artery lesions. Hadaegh et al. [30] reported that mortality and was independently associated with a higher risk of
elevated TG/HDL-C levels is an independent predictor for MACE, even after adjusting for conventional cardiovascular risk
CHD and the ratio can be utilised for CHD risk prediction in factors and CAD on coronary angiography. This indicates that a
individuals at high risk of metabolic syndromes. In congru- TG/HDL-C ratio 2.5 may offer a simpler approach compared to
ence with previous studies, our study demonstrated that the using tertiles or quartiles of TG/HDL-C levels to identify high-
prevalence of CAD on coronary angiography was signifi- risk individuals with adverse cardiometabolic risk profiles. Thus,
cantly higher in patients with raised TG/HDL-C levels. utilising this ratio would allow the clinicians to identify high-risk
The prognostic utility of raised TG/HDL-C ratio has been patients and to tailor long-term pharmacologic and non-pharma-
previously described. Gaziano et al. [31] first reported in a cologic management strategies based on risk-stratification, in
case control study, that elevated TG/HDL-C ratio can order to improve long-term outcomes in this population.
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Triglycerides to High-Density Lipoprotein Ratio Cholesterol 421
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