Morre's Law
Morre's Law
do a pretty impressive job with a live debate. While it lost that competition, I
think the judge was biased toward the human; it was funnier and more
entertaining than the human was. Ironically, it might have been the humor
that got Watson into trouble. But it did give me a sense of what a future
digital assistant might be able to accomplish.
Granted, at one time I thought IBM's alliance with Apple might lead to an
impressive Watson back end for Siri. However, with Apple still being one of
the leading "not invented here" companies, unfortunately that never
happened. We are still dealing with personal AIs with capabilities well below
what we might have were there a Watson machine behind our personal
digital assistants now.
IBM has five labs all over the world working on AI advancement, and they
are developing unique processors and memory systems to increase the
speed and intelligence of their efforts. They reported that their average
performance per watt increase is currently around 2.5x per year. This
performance improvement rate is well ahead of the industry
standard Morre's Law, which has performance doubling every two years. IBM
is more than doubling that.
This sustained vast improvement has also forced them to rethink component
interconnect as well as create a new memory type. This memory type has
elements that are surprisingly similar to Intel's Optane product, but with
what appears to be far higher density and performance more in line with
IBM's AI efforts. This suggests that the technology could, if it hasn't already,
make it into IBM's mainstream servers and storage products, much like
Intel's Optane has.