SPM 2
SPM 2
2
SPM
2. Do the financial analysis of the selected project that must include NPV
analysis, Payback analysis and ROI.
A sum of $400,000 investing in this IT project of Comsats may be given a series of flow
$ 70,000 in 1 year
$ 120,000 in 2 year
$ 140,000 in 3 year
$ 140,000 in 4 year
$ 40,000 in 5 year
It is an opportunity cost of capital is 8% per anumm.
To calculate the Net Present Value
Calculate a value of PV(persent value) after a 1 year, 2 year ,3year ,4 year,5 year.
NPV=presnt value of all cash inflow- present value of all cash outflow.
If NP V is +ive the accept project other wise reject it.
Formula
PV=FV *(1/(1+k)^n)
n is number of year
k is cost of capital 0.08
put in formula
PV $70,000 in 1 = 70000/1.08 64,814.8
year
Payback period
Example:”
A sum of $25,000 is investioong on the IT project of comsats Online learning system ,
may give a series of cash inflow in future
$ 5,000 in 1 year
$ 9,000 in 2 year
$ 10,000 in 3 year
$ 10,000 in 4 year
$ 3,000 in 5 year
Intial cash outflow=$25,000
Payback period = in between 3 year and 1
1 5000
2 9000 14000
3 10000 24000
4 10000 34000
5 3000 37000
3.1 year 24833.3
ROI Analysis
A sum of 1000 Dollars is investiiong on a project of comsats
$ 400 in year 1
$ 400 in year 2
$ 400 in year 3
$ 400 in year 4
ROI= 400/1000=40% annual
Payback period = 2.5 year(400+400+50%*400)
PAYBACK=1/ROI
C H I
2 E
22 5
8
Start
End
F G
6 12 J
1
A B D
Paths Duration
6 2 A,B,D,G,H,I,J 7 55
A,B,E,F,G,H,I,J 62
A,C,E,F,G,H,I,J 62
A,C,F,G,H,I,J 54
After some planning, we get the table below with schedule and budget
Let’s assume it’s March 3rd today and, we are doing the analysis up to the current
point (today)
Lets say on March 3rd that is today, after discussions with the applicable project
team members and inspection of the progress, we determine that the first task is
20% complete and the second task is 10% complete
Calculate the Earned Values for each task
10 $10,00
Set up Database Mar. 1 Mar. 10 $3,000 $2,000
0 0
20 $15,00
Build Application Mar. 7 Mar. 20 $0 $1,500
0 0
$25,00
TOTAL $3,000 $3,500
0
After reviewing our time and expense software and compiling any miscellaneous
expenses, we determine that the actual cost of the first task is $4,500 and the
second task is $2,000.
SV = EV – PV
100 Set up Database Mar. 1 Mar. 10 $10,000 $3,000 $2,000 $4,500 -$1,000
the project has a positive schedule variance because one task is ahead and the other is behind.
The Schedule Performance Index (SPI) is similar to the Schedule Variance (SV). It tells you
the efficiency of the task.
100 Set up Database Mar. 1 Mar. 10 $10,000 $3,000 $2,000 $4,500 -$1,000 0.67
200 Build Application Mar. 7 Mar. 20 $15,000 $0 $1,500 $2,000 $1,500 N/A
the first task has accomplished only two thirds of what it should have at this point. Its efficiency is
two thirds of that which was planned. But task 200 did not have any planned value at this point,
therefore its SPI is effectively infinity.
The Cost Variance (CV) is the amount that the task is over or under its budget. The formula is:
CV = EV – AC
100 Set up Database Mar. 1 Mar. 10 $10,000 $3,000 $2,000 $4,500 -$1,000 0.67 -$2,500
200 Build Application Mar. 7 Mar. 20 $15,000 $0 $1,500 $2,000 $1,500 N/A -$500
The project is $3,000 over budget on a project value of $25,000. There is clearly a budget problem,
but not a schedule problem.
The Cost Performance Index (CPI), like the Cost Variance, is a measure of the cost performance of
the project, but it is a relative instead of an absolute measure.
CPI = EV / AC
For example,
200 Build Application Mar. 7 Mar. 20 $15,000 $0 $1,500 $2,000 $1,500 N/A -$,500 0.75
The first task has spent more than twice what it should have at this point because CPI < 0.5. The
second task is better but has spent one quarter too much. The project as a whole has spent just
under twice what it was budgeted to at this point (CPI = 0.54).
ETC represents the expected cost required to complete the project. It measures only
the future budget needed to complete the project, not the entire budget (that’s the EAC, next).
100 Set up Database Mar. 1 Mar. 10 $10,000 $3,000 $2,000 $4,500 -$1,000 0.67 -$2,500 0.44 $18,182
200 Build Application Mar. 7 Mar. 20 $15,000 $0 $1,500 $2,000 $1,500 N/A -$500 0.75 $18,000
TOTAL $25,000 $3,000 $3,500 $6,500 $500 0.67 -$3,000 0.54 $36,182
Estimate at Completion (EAC)
The EAC is the full task or project cost expected at completion (the new project budget). There are
multiple ways to calculate it based on how you expect the future of the performance of the project to
be:
EAC = AC + ETC
In this example we will predict that the current problems were caused by a one time event that isn’t
likely to repeat itself. Thus, the EAC will use formula #1.
100 Set up Database Mar. 1 Mar. 10 $10,000 $3,000 $2,000 $4,500 -$1,000 0.67 -$2,500 0.44 $18,182 $12,500
200 Build Application Mar. 7 Mar. 20 $15,000 $0 $1,500 $2,000 $1,500 N/A -$500 0.75 $18,000 $15,500
TOTAL $25,000 $3,000 $3,500 $6,500 $500 0.67 -$3,000 0.54 $36,182 $28,000
The assumption of a one time cost expenditure near the beginning of the project results in a final
project budget of $28,000 versus the $25,000 original budget.
The VAC is a forecast of what the variance, specifically the Cost Variance (CV), will be upon the
completion of the project.
100 Set up Database Mar. 1 Mar. 10 $10,000 $3,000 $2,000 $4,500 -$1,000 0.67 -$2,500 0.44 $18,182 $12,500 -$2,500
200 Build Application Mar. 7 Mar. 20 $15,000 $0 $1,500 $2,000 $1,500 N/A -$500 0.75 $18,000 $15,500 -$500
TOTAL $25,000 $3,000 $3,500 $6,500 $500 0.67 -$3,000 0.54 $36,182 $28,000 -$3,000
Hence, the projected variance is -$3,000, and the project manager could obtain approval for the
expected overrun as early as possible, if necessary.
Reviews:
Calculations concludes that our project will be severely over budgeted
if we stay on the same track with the same results, although it is still very
early to draw solid conclusion, but projections suggest we should make
amends to get the project back on track.