EXAMPLE 19.4 Economic Value Added
EXAMPLE 19.4 Economic Value Added
EXAMPLE 19.4 Economic Value Added
Table 19 11 vhow. L VA for a small sample of Iinn-, [he l·\A leader in this sample was ExxonMobil.
Nonce that Lxxonfvlobils l:\ \ was far greater than Cila•wSm11hKlinc's. despite a smaller margin
between its ROA and the cost or capital. This is because F vxonvlolul appl red its margin to a much larger
capital base. At the other extreme. AT&T earned less than us opportunity cost on a very large capital base,
which resulted in a large. negative EVA.
Notice that even the FVA "losers" in Table 19.11 reported positive accounting profits. For example, by
conventional standards, Intel was solidly pro Iitable 111 2007, with an ROA of 9.4%. But by virtue of its high
business risk. its cost of capital was the highest among this group of firms, al 11.6%. By this standard. it
did not cover its opportunity cost or capital. and returned a slightly negative EVA in 2007. EVA treats
the opportunuy cost of capital as a real cost that, like other costs, should be deducted from revenues to
arrive at a more meaningful "bottom line." A firm that is earning profits but is 1101 covering its opportunity
cost might be able to redeploy its capital to better uses. Therefore. a growing number of firms now
calculate EVA and uc .mnagers' compensation to it.
ROE has been declining steadily from 7.51°0 in 2005 to 3.03% in 2007. A comparison of Gl's 2007 ROE
10 the 2007 industry average of 8.64% makes the deteriorating time trend appear especially alarming.
The low and falling market-to-book-value ratio and the falling price earnings ratio indicate investors arc less
and less optimistic about the firm's future profitability.
The fact that ROA has not been declining, however, tells us that the source of the declining time trend in
GI 's ROE must be related to financial leverage. And we sec that as Gl's leverage ratio climbed from 2.117 in
2005 to 2.723 m 2007, its mterest-burdcn ratio (column 2) worsened from .650 to .204 with the net result
that the compound le, cragc factor fell from 1.376 to .556.
The rapid increase m short-term debt from year to year and the concurrent increase in interest expense
(sec Table 19.8) make 11 clear that 10 finance its 20°0 growth rate in sales, GI has incurred sizable amounts of
short-term debt at high interest rates. The firm is paying rates of interest greater than the ROA it is
earning on the investment financed with the new borrowing. As the firm has expanded, its situation has
become ever more precarious.
In 2007, for example, the average interest rate on short-term debt was 20% versus an ROA of9.09%. (You
can calculate the interest rate on Gl's short-term debt using the data in Table 19.8 as follows. The balance
sheet shows us that the coupon rate on its long-term debt was 8%, and its par value was $75 million. There•
fore the interest paid on the long-term debt was .08 x $75 million = $6 million. Total interest paid in
2007
was $34,391.000, so the interest paid on the short-term debt must have been $34,391,000 - $6,000,000
=
$28.391,000. This is 20% of Gr's short-term debt at the start of the year.)
Gls problems become clear when we examine its statement ofcash flows in Table 19.13. The statement is
derived from the income statement and balance sheet in Table 19.8. GI 's cash flow from operations is falling
steadily, from $12.700,000 in 2005 to $6,725,000 in 2007. The firm's investment in plant and equipment, by
contrast, has increased greatly. Net plant and equipment (i.e., net ofdepreciation) rose from $150,000,000 in
2004 to $259,200,000 in 2007 (see Table 19.8). This near doubling of the capital assets makes the decrease
in cash flow from operations all the more troubling.
The source of the difficulty is Gl's enormous amount of short-term borrowing. In a sense, the
company is being run as a pyramid scheme. rt borrows more and more each year to maintain its 20%
growth rate in assets and income. However, the new assets are not generating enough cash flow to support
the extra inter• est burden of the debt, as the falling cash flow from operations indicates. Eventually, when
the firm loses its ability to borrow further, its growth will be at an end.
686 1111-r,tmrnt.,
•(,ro-. in, evtment equals mcrea-e m net plant and equipment plu, deprec iauon
'We can conclude 1luu no JI\ sdends arc 1'3td because srockholderv' equity rncreasc-, each year by the full amount nt ncr mcome, irnplymg
a pin"' bad. rsuo of I O
l.qual, ca.,h no" trom operauons plu, cash no" fmm mvcvrment OCII\ 111e, plu, cush 110" lrom fmuncmg acuviucs Note that th,, equal,
the yearly change ,n cuh bnd marketable ,c.;unuc, on the balance sheer
At this point GI stock might be an attractive investment. Its market price is only 12% of its book
value, and with a PIE ratio of4 its earnings yield is 25°,o per year. GI is a I ikely candidate for a takeover by
another firm that might replace Gl's management and build shareholder value through a radical change in
policy.
�
CONCEPT CHECK 4
You have the folio" mg mformatton for IBX Corporation for the years 2007 and 2009 (all figures arc m $ mil
hon):
2007 2009
Net income $ 253.7 $ 239.0
Pretax income 411.9 375.6
EBIT 517.6 403.1
Average assets 4,857.9 3.459.7
Sales 6.679.3 4.537.0
Shareholders equity 2.233.3 2.347.3
What ts the trend in IBX's ROE; how can you account for ii in terms of tax burden, margin, turnover, and financial
leverage'?
accounting pnnciples (GAAP). This means two firms may have exactly the same economic income yet
very different accounting incomes.
Furthermore, interpreting a single firm's performance over time is complicated when in Oation distorts
the
dollar measuring rod. Comparability problems are especially acute in this case because the impact of
infla• tion on reported results often depends on the particular method the firm adopts LO account fo:
inventories and depreciauon. The security analyst must adjust the earnings and the financial ratio
figures to a uniform standard before anempting to compare financial results across firms and over time.
Comparability problems can arise out of the flexibility ofGAAP guidelines in accounting for
inventories
and depreciation and in adjusting for the effects of inflation. Other important potential sources of
noncom• parability include the capitalization ofleases and other expenses and the treatment of pension
costs, but they are beyond the scope of this book.
Inventory
Valuation
There arc tw o commonly used ways to value inventories: LIFO (last-in first-out) and Fl FO (first-in
first•
out). We can explain the difference using a numerical
example.
Suppose Generic Products, Inc. (GPI). has a constant inventory of I million units of generic goods.
The inventory turns O\'Cr once per year, meanmg the ratio of cost of goods sold to inventory is I.
The LII--0 system calls for valuing the million units used up during the year at the current cost of
produc•
tion, so that the last goods produced arc considered the first ones to be sold. They arc valued at today's
cost.
The fl ro system assumes that the units used up or sold are the ones that were added to inventory
first,
and goods sold should be valued at original
cost.
If the pnce of generic goods has been constant. at the level or SI, say, the book value of inventory
and the cost of goods sold would be the same, SI mi I hon under both systems. But suppose the price
of generic goods nses b> IO cents per unu during the year as a result of general inflation.
Llf O account mg would result 111 a cost of goods sold of $1.1 million. whereas the end-of-year
balance
sheet value of the I mrlhon units in inventory remains $1 million. The balance sheet value of inventories
is given as the cost of the goods still in inventory. Under LIFO the last goods produced arc assumed to
be sold at the current cost of $1.10; the goods remaining are the previously produced goods, at a cost of
only $1. You can see that although LIFO accounting accurately measures the cost of goods sold today,
it understates the currcnt x alue of the rernaining inventory in an inflationary environment.
In contrast. under Fl FO accounting, the cost of goods sold would be $1 million, and the end-ol-year
bal•
ance sheet value of the inventory would be $I.I million. The result is that the LIFO firm has both a
lower reported profit and a lower balance sheet value of inventories than the FIFO film.
LIFO is preferred over FIFO in computing economic earnings (i.e., real sustainable cash flow) because
it uses up-to-date prices to evaluate the cost of goods sold. A disadvantage is that LIFO accounting induces
balance sheet distortions when it values investment in inventories at original cost. This practice results in an
upward bias in ROE because the investment base on which retum is earned is undervalued.
Depreciatio
n
Another source of problems is the measurement of depreciation, which is a key factor in computing true
earnings. The accounung and economic measures of depreciation can differ markedly. According to the
economic definition, depreciation is the amount ofa firm's operating cash flow that must be reinvested rn the
firm to sustain its real productive capacity at the current level.
688 lnvcstment:
The accounting measurement is quite different. Accounting depreciation rs the amount of the original
acqursrnon cost of an asset that is allocated to each accounting period over an arbitrarily speci lied life of
the asset. This is the figure reported in financial statements.
Assume, for example. that a linn buys machines with a useful economic life of 20 years at SI 00,000
apiece. In us financial statements, however, the firm can depreciate the machines over IO years using the
straight-line method, for $10,000 per year in depreciation. Thus after IO years a machine will be fully depre•
ciated on the books, even though 11 remains a productive asset that will not need replacement for another IO
years.
In computing accounting earnings, this firm will overestimate depreciation in the first IO years of the
machine's economic life and underestimate it in the last IO years. This will cause reported earnings to be
understated compared with economic earnings in the first IO years and overstated in the last l O years.
Depreciauon comparability problems add one more wnnkle. A firm can use different depreciation meth•
ods for tax purposes than for other reporting purposes. Most firms use accelerated depreciation methods
for tax purposes and straight-line deprecianon in published financial statements. There also arc differences
across firms in their estimates of the depreciable life of plant, equipment, and other depreciable assets.
The major problem related to depreciation, however, is caused by inflation. Because conventional depre•
cianon is based on historical costs rather than on the current replacement cost of assets, measured deprecia•
tion in penods of inflation is understated relative to replacement cost, and real economic income (sustainable
cash flow) rs correspondingly overstated.
For example, suppose Generic Products, lnc., has a machine with a 3-ycar useful life that ongmally cost
$3 milhon Annual straight-hoe depreciation is SI mill ion, regardless of what happens to the
replacement cost of the machine Suppose inflation in the first year turns out to be I 0°,o. Then the true annual
deprcciauon expense is $1.1 rmlhon in current terms, whereas conventionally measured depreciation
remains fixed at SI rmlhon per year. Accounting income overstates real economic income by$. I million.
Suppose Generic Products has debt oci-tanding ,, ith a face, alue ofS IO million at an interest rate of IO o
per year. Interest expense as convention.. 11) measured is $1 million per year. However, suppose
inflation during the year is 6°,o. so that the real interest rate is 4° o. Then $.6 million of what appears
as interest expense on the income statement is really an mflation premium, or compensation for the
anucrpaicd reduction in the real value of the $10 million principal; only $.4 million is real interest
expense. The S 6 miluon reduction in the purchasing power of the outstanding pnncipal may be
thought of as repayment of principal, rather than as an interest expense. Real income of the firm is,
therefore, understated by S 6 million.
l·111,111n.1/ Statnucnt l11r,/1•.11., 689
Mismeasuremcnt of real interest means inflation deflates the computation of real income. The
effects of mfla11011 on the reported values of inventories and depreciation that we have discussed work
in the opposite direction.
CONCEPT CHECK
5
In a penod of rapid inflation, companies ABC and XYZ have the same reported earnings. ABC uses LIFO inventory
accounung. has relatively fewer depreciable assets. and bas more debt than XYZ. XYZ uses FIFO inventory
account• mg. Which company has the higher reat income, and why?
Fair Value
Accounting
Many major assets and liabilities do not have easily observable values. For example, we cannot simply
look up the values of employee stock options, health care benefits for retired employees, buildings and
other real estate, or complex derivatives contracts. While the true financial status of a firm may
depend critically on these values, which can swing widely over time, common practice has been to
simply value them at historic cost. Proponents of fair value accounting argue that financial
statements would give a truer picture of the firm if they better reflected the current market values of all
assets and liabilities.
Opponents of this approach argue that fair value accounting relies too heavily on estimates. Such
esti•
mates potentially introduce considerable noise in firms' accounts and can induce great profit
volatility as fluctuations in asset valuations are recognized. Even worse, subjective valuations may
offer management a tempting tool to manipulate earnings or the apparent financial condition of the firm
at opportune times. For example, Bergstresser, Desai, and Rauth5 find that firms make more
aggressive assumptions about returns on defined benefit pension plans (which lowers the computed
present value of pension obligations) during periods in which executives are actively exercising their
stock options.
Despite these potential problems, regulators in both the U.S. and Europe arc gradually moving
toward greater use of fair value accounting. The nearby box reports on this trend.
Quality of
Earnings
Many firms will make accounting choices that present their financial statements in the best possible
light. The different choices that firms can make give rise to the comparability problems we have
discussed. As a result, earnings statements for different companies may be more or less rosy
presentations of true economic earmngs sustainable cash flow that can be paid to shareholders
without impairing the firm 's product I\ e capacity. Analysts commonly evaluate the quality of earnings
reported by a firm. This concept refers to the realism and conservatism of the earnings number, in
other words, the extent to which we might expect the reported level of earrungs to be sustained.
Examples of the types of factors that influence quality of earnings
are:
• Allowance for had debt. Most firms sell goods using trade credit and must make an allowance for
bad debt. An unrealistically low allowance reduces the quality of reported earnings.
• Nonrecurring items. Some items that affect earnings should not be expected to recur regularly.
These include asset sales. effects of accounting changes. effects of exchange rate movements,
or unusual investment income. For example, in 2003, which was a banner year for equity returns.
some firms enjoyed large investment returns on securities held. These contributed to that year's
earnings, but should not be expected to repeat regularly. They would be considered a "low-quality"
component of earnings. Similarly, investment gains in corporate pension plans generated large but
one-off contributions to reported earnings.
• Earnings smoothing. In 2003, Freddie Mac was the subject of a major accounting scandal. when it
emerged that it had improperly reclassified mortgages held in its portfolio in an attempt to reduce its
current earnings. Similarly, in the 1990s, W.R. Grace chose to offset high earnings in one of its subsidiaries
by setting aside extra reserves. Why would these firms take such actions? Because later, if earnings turned
down. they could .. release" earnings by reversing these transactions, and thereby create the appearance
of steady earnings growth. Indeed, Freddie Mac's nickname on Wall Street was "Steady Freddie." Wall
$ D. Bergstresser, M. Desai. and J Rauh•..Earnings Manipulauon, Pension Assumptions. and Managerial Investment Dccrsions." Q11ar·
tail Journal o] Economics 121 (2006), pp. 157
95.
N11,111m1/ S1,11cr11rn1 '11111/y11s 691
Street likes strong, steady earnings. but these firms planned to provide such growth only
cosmetically, through earning'> management.
• Revenue recognition Under GAAP accounting. a firm is allowed to recognize a sale before it is paid.
This is why firms have accounts receivable. But sometimes it can be hard to know when to recognize
sales. For example. suppose a computer firm signs a contract to provide products and services over a
5-year period. Should the projected revenue be booked immediately or spread out over 5 years? A
more extreme version of this problem is called "channel stuffing," in which firms "sell" large
quantities of goods to customers, but give them the right to later either refuse delivery or return the
product. The revenue from the "sale" is booked now. but the likely returns are not recognized until
they occur (in a future accounting period). According to the SEC. Sunbeam, which filed for
bankruptcy in 200 I, generated $60 mil Lion in fraudulent profits in 1999 using this technique. If you
see accounts receivable increasing far faster than sales. or becoming a larger percentage of total
assets, beware of these practices. Given the wide latitude firms have to manipulate revenue, many
analysts choose instead to concentrate on cash now, which is far harder for a company to manipulate.
• Off-balance-sheet assets and liabilities. Suppose that one firm guarantees the outstanding debt of
another firm. perhaps a firm in which it has an O\\ ncrship stake. That obligation ought to be disclosed
as a contingent ltabilitv because it ma) require payments down the road. But these obligations may
not be reported as pan of the firm's outstanding debt. Similarly, leasing may be used to manage off-
balance-sheet assets and liabilities. Airlines, for example, may show no aircraft on their balance
sheets but have long-term leases
that are , irtually equivalent to debt-financed ownership. However, if the leases arc treated a�
operating
rather than capital leases. they ma) appear only as footnotes to the financial statements,
Australia .. 24.1
9.1
12.6 • Reported P/E
France
11.1 • Adjusted P/E
Germany 26.5
17.1
Japan
45.1 78.1
Switzerland 12.4
10.7
United Kingdom 10.0
9.5
. '' '' ' '
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Such differences in international accounting standards become more of a problem as the drive to
globally integrated capital markets progresses. For example, many foreign firms would like to list their
shares on the New York Stock Exchange to more easily tap U.S. equity markets, and the NYSE would
like to have those firms listed. But the SEC did not until recently allow such shares to be listed unless
the firms prepared their financial statements in accordance with U.S. GAAP standards. This policy
limited listing ofnon-U.S. com•
panies
dramatically.
In contrast, the buropcan Union has moved to institute common international financial reporting
stand• ards (IFRS) across the EU. and even many non-£:.U countries have adopted these rules. In
November 2007, the SEC began allowing foreign firms whose financial statements are prepared using
IFRS to list secunues
111 U.S. financial markets. In announcing its new policy, the SEC noted that its goal was to encourage
the development of IFRS as a uniform global standard to enhance consistency and comparability across
firms.
The major difference between I FRS and GAAP has to do with "principles"- versus "rules'i-based
stand• ards. U.S. rules are detailed. explicit. and lengthy. European rules arc more flexible, but firms
must be pre• pared to demonstrate that they have conformed to general principles meant to ensure that
financial accounts faithfully reflect the actual status of the firm.
I am no longer an advocate or elaborate techniques of security analysis in order lo find superior value oppor-
1u0111cs Th 1, \\ as a reward mg acuv ity, say. forty years ago, when our textbook "Graham and Dodd" was
first
published: but the suuaiion has changed a good deal since then. In the old days any well-trained security
analyst could do a good professional job of selecting undervalued issues through detailed studies; but in the
light of the enormous amount of research now being carried on. I doubt whether in most cases such exten•
s1, e efforts will generate sufficiently superior selections 10 justify their cost. To that very limited extent I'm
on the side of the "efficient market" school of thought now generally accepted by the professors.
onctheless, in that same seminar. Graham suggested a simplified approach to identifying bargain
stocks:
M) first. more limited. technique confines itself 10 the purchase of common stocks at Jess than their work•
ing-capual value. or net curreru-avset value, gi\ i ng no weight 10 the plant and other fixed assets. and deduct•
ing all liabrlities in full from the current assets. We used this approach extensively in managing investment
funds, and OH'r a 30-odd·)ear period we must have earned an average of some 20 percent per year from this
source. I consider it a foolproof method ot systematic mvestment=-once again, not on the basis of individual
results but in terms of the expectable group income.
There arc tw o convenient sources of information for those interested in trying out the Graham technique:
Both Standard & Poor's Outlook and The Value Line Investment Survey carry lists of stocks selling below net
working capital value.
Prior Period Items: Prior period adjustments may go directly to retained earnings. They do not
affect income statement for the current period.
No upward revaluation of property. plant and equipment or investment is permissible under U. S. GAAP.
Indirect expenditure on construction is charged to revenue.
Issues relating to specialized industries, such as oil and gas and other extractive industries, are addressed
for depreciation accounting. Such treatment rs absent under the Indian GAAP.
Concept of capitalization of exchange fluctuation, arising from foreign liabilities, incurred for acquiring
fixed assets, does not exist.
Completed contract method permissible for accounting for construction contracts, in certain circum•
stances. is permissible under U.S. GAAP.
Capital issue expenses are required to be written off when incurred against proceeds of capital. In India,
capital issue expense can be amortized or written off against reserves.
Development cost is expensed as incurred.
Financial statements are not required to be prepared under any specific format as long as they comply
with the disclosure requirements of U.S. accounting standards.
•A\ cited by John I rain ,n ,\/011<.'.1 l/1111<.•1., ( :s;c,, Yori..· I larpcr & Row, 1987)
694 /111\'.<llllt'III>
Borrowing Costs need not be capitalized where the benefit in terms of information about
enterprise resources and earnings, does not justify the additional accounting and administrative
costs involved in providing the information.
Goodwill requires satisfying the test of impairment. Under Indian GAAP. the same needs to be
written off, generally over a period of S years.
SUMMARY
I. The pnmary focus ofthe security analyst should be the firm's real economic earnings rather than its reported
earnings.
Accounung earnings as reported m financial statements can be a biased estimate of real economic earnings.
although empirical studies reveal that reported earnings convey considerable information concerning a firm's
prospects.
2. A firm's ROE rs a key dererrmnant of the growth rate of Its earnings. ROE is affected profoundly by the firm's
degree of financial leverage. An increase ma firm's debt-to-equity ra110 will raise its ROI:. and hence its growth
rate only if the interest rate on the debt rs less than the firm's return on assets.
3. It 1s often helpful to the analyst to decompose a firm's ROE ratio into the product of several accounting rauos
and to analyze their separate behavior over lime and across companies within an industry. A useful breakdown is
Net profits Pretax profitv EBIT Sales Asset,
ROI:. X X X X
--
Pretax profits EBIT Sales Assets equity
4. Other accounung rauos that have a bearing on a firm's profitability and/or risk arc fixed-asset turnover,
inventory turnover. days receivables. and the current, quid•. and interest coverage ratios.
5. Two rauos that make use of the market price ol the firm's common stock in addition to its financial statements
are the ratios ofmarket to book value and price to earmngs Analysts sometimes take low values for these ratios
as a margin ofsafety or a sign that the stock rs a bargain,
6. A strategy ofinvesting in stocks with high reported ROE seems to have produced a lower rate ofreturn to the
investor than investing in low ROE stocks. This implies that high reported ROE stocks were overpriced
compared with low ROE stocks.
7. A major problem in the use of data obtained from a firm's financial statements is comparability. Firms have a
great deal of latitude in how they choose to compute various items of revenue and expense. It
is. therefore, necessary for the security analyst to adjust accounting earnings and Related Web sites
financial ratios to a uniform standard before attempting to compare financial results for this chapter
across firms. are available at
8. Comparability problems can be acute in a period of inflation. Inflation can create www.
distor• mhhe.com/bkm
tions in accounting for inventories. depreciation. and interest expense.
KEY TERMS
income economic earnings ret um on
statement uccountmg assets DuPont
balance sheet earnings return on system profit
statement of cash equity margin
flows
h11,1111111/ Sr.,1,·1111•111 11111/y.11, 695
return on sales days earmngs yield
total asset turnover receivables economic value
interest co, cragc rat current ratio added residual
io times interest quick ratio income
earned leverage ratio acid test uro
inventory turnover ratio cash nro
ratio fair value accounting
ratto
average collection quality of earnings
market-book-value ratio
period
price-earnings ratio
PROBLEM SETS
What rs the major difference in approach of international financial reporting standards and U.S. GAAP
accounting') What are the advantages and disad, antages of each"
2 If markets are truly efficient, does It matter whether firms engage in earnings management?
On the other hand. if firms manage earnings, what does that say about management's Quiz
view on efficient markets?
, \\ hat financial ratios would a credit -aung agency such as Moody's or Standard and Poors be most interested
in?
\v hich rauo... ,, ould be of most interest to a stock market analyst deciding whether 10 buy a stock for a
diversified
portfolio?
4. The Crusty Pie Co.. ,, hich speciahzes 111 apple turnovers, has a return on sales higher
than the industry averauc, yet its ROA is the same as the industry average. I lov. can you Problems
explain
this'>
5 The AB( C orporauon has a profit margin on sales below the industry average, yet ii'> ROA 1s above the industry
aver•
age What docs th!\ imply about 1h as...et turnov er'?
6. lmn , I and firm B have the same ROA. yet firm. I':. ROI' is higher. llow can you explain this?
An analyst applies the DuPont system of financial .in..1ly,I\ to 1lw following data for a company:
I cv erage ratio (asset, 22 c�
�OBIF.MS
eouuy)
20
Total asset turnov er 5.5°0
,et profit margin 31.8° 0
DI'. idend payout ratio
Determine ,, hich company �as the higher quality of carnmgs by discussing each of the three notes.
696 /m,·.</1111111>
3 Scott Kelly rs reviewing Master'Toy's financial statements in order to estimate its sustainable grow th rate.
Consider the information presented m the following exhibit.
Qu1ckAru,h rs a more profitable company than SmileWhite, as indicated by the 40% sales growth and substan•
ually higher margins tt has produced over the last few years. SmileWhite's sales and earnings are growing at a
10% rate and produce much lower margins. We do not think SmileWhite is capable of growing faster than its
recent growth rate of 10°,o whereas Quickflrush can sustain a 30% long-term growth rate.
a. Cnticize Ludlow 's analysis and conclusion that Quickflrush is more profitable, as defined by return on equity
(ROE), than SmileWhite and that it bas a higher sustainable growth rate. Use only the information provided in
Tables I 9A and 198. Support your criticism by calculating and analyzing:
The five components that determine ROE.
• The two ratios that determine sustainable growth: ROE and plowback.
b. Explain how QuickBrusb has produced an average annual earnings per share (EPS) growth rate of 40% over the
last 2 years with an ROE that bas been declining. Use only the information provided in Table 19A.
The following case should be used to solve CFA Problems 7-10.
7 Eastover Company (EO) is a large, diversified forest products company. Approximately 75% of its sales are from
paper and forest products, witb the remainder from financial services and real estate. The company owns 5.6 million
acres of umberland, which is carried at very low historical cost on the balance sheet.
698 lnvcstments
TABLE 19A QuickBrnsh Comp(lny fmancial smrernems: ye(lrly dau: ($000 except peMhart! data)
Income taxes --
0 0 -s0
s -
250 $ 400 -660
--
Income after taxes
- - --
s 290
110
215
Diluted EPS '60
Average shares outstanding (000) 317 -346 s 445
376
December December December 3-Year
Financial Statistics 2005 2006 2007 Average
Peggy Mulroney, CFA, is an analyst al the investment counseling firm of Centurion Investments. She is assigned
the task of assessing the outlook for Eastover, which is being considered for purchase, and comparing it to
another forest products company in Centurion's portfolios, Southampton Corporation (SHC). SJIC is a major
producer of lumber products in the United States. Building products, primarily lumber and plywood, account for
89% of SI !C's sales, with pulp accounting for the remainder. SHC owns 1.4 million acres of timberland, which is
also carried at his• torical cost on the balance sheet In SHC's case, however, that cost is not as far below current
market as Eastover 's.
Fi11a11ri11/ St11temr,,t A11alysi.t 699
TABLE 198 'i1111le\X'h1te CorportJIUm fillllncwl s1a1emen1S: yearly claw ($000 except J,er-share data)
Mulroney began her examination of Eastover and Southampton by looking at the five components of return on
equuy (ROE) for each company. For her analysis, Mulroney elected 10 define equity as total shareholders' equity,
including preferred stock, She also elected to use year-end data rather than averages for the balance sheet items.
a. Based on the data shown in Tables I 9C and 190, calculate each of the five ROE components for Eastover and
Southampton in 2007. Using the five components, calculate ROE for both companies in 2007.
700 /111•n1111r11h
b. Referring to the components calculated in part (a), explain the difference in ROE for Eastover and Southampton
m 2007.
c. Using 2007 data. calculate the sustainable growth rate for both Eastover and Southampton. Discuss the appropri•
ateness or using these calculations as a basts for estimating future growth.
8. a Mulroney (sec the previous problem) recalled from her CFA studies that the constant-growth discounted dividend
model was one way to arrive at a valuation for a company's common stock. She collected current dividend and
stock price data for Eastover and Southampton. shown in Table 19E. Using 11 % as the required rate of return (i.e ..
discount rate) and a projected growth rate of8%, compute a constant-growth DDM value for Eastover 's stock and
compare the computed value for Eastover to its stock price indicated in Table 19F.
b. Mulroney's supervisor commented that a two-stage DOM may be more appropriate for companies such as Eas•
tover and Southampton. Mulroney believes that Eastover and Southampton could grow more rapidly over the next
3 years and then settle in at a lower but sustainable rate of growth beyond 2011. Her estimates are indicated
in Table 19G. Using 11% as the required rate or return, compute the two-stage DDM value of Eastover 's stock
and compare that value to its stock price indicated in Table 19F.
c. Discuss advantages and disadvantages or using a constant-growth DOM. Briefly discuss how the two-stage DDM
improves upon the constant-growth DOM.
9. In addinon to the discounted dividend model approach, Mulroney (sec previous problem) decided to look at
the price-earnings ratio and price-book ratio, relative to the S&P 500, for both Eastover and Southampton.
Mulroney elected to perform this analysts using 2004 2008 and current data.
Fi111111c1c1/ Stc11r111r111 A1111l)•s1s 701
38
- 38
Common share, outstandmg trrullions) 38 38 38
Balance Sheet Summary
Current a.,..ei- $487 s 504 s 536 s 654 s 509
Timberland a,<.ec, 512 513 508 513 518
Property, plant. and equipment 648 6RI 718 827 1,037
Other a"ec, 34
-- 141 151
--40
38
S $1, 796
-
$2,104
- -
Total a,,cc, $1,849
-
1.7 - $2.032 -
88- -
Current hJh1!111c, s 185 $ 176 s 162 s 180 s 195
Long-term debt �36 493 370 530 589
Deterred 1.1,e, 123 136 127 146 153
Equny 944 1,044 1.117 1.176 1.167
Total hat11h11c, anJ equuy $2,012
S 1.7 $1.8 $1. 796 --
- - - - - - -
a l.J�mg the data m Tables 19L and I%, compute both the current and the 5-year (2004-2008) average relative
price•
earnings ratios and relauve pnce book ratios for Eastover and Southampton (i.e., ratios relative 10 those for the
S&P
500). Discuss each company's current relative price earnings ratio compared to its 5-ycar average relative
price earning ratio and each company's current relative price book ratio as compared to its 5-year
average relative price- book rauo.
b. Briefly discuss one disadvantage for each of the relative price-earnings and relative price book
approaches to
valuation.
10. Mulroney (see CFA Problems 7-9) previously calculated a valuation for Southampton for both the constant-
growth and two-stage DD:vt as shown below:
Constant-Growth Approach Two-Stage Approach
$29 $35.50
Using only the information provided and your answers to CFA Problems 7 9, select the stock (EO or SHC)
that
Mulroney should recommend as the better value, and justify your selection.
11 In reviewmg the financial statements of the Graceland Rock Company, you note that net income increased
while cash flow from operations decreased from 2007 to 2008.
a Explain how net income could increase for Graceland Rock Company while cash flow from operations
decreased.
Give some rllusrrative examples.
b Explain why cash flow from operations may be a good indicator of a firm's "quality of earnings."
702 fm'tSIIIICIIIS
TABLE 19E Valuauon of EastO\ler Company and Southampton Corporation compared to S&P 500
S- Year Average
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (2004-2008)
Ea.stover Company
Earnings per share S 1.27 S 2.12 S 2.68 S 1.56 $ 1.87 $ 0.90
Dividends per share 0.87 0.90 1.15 1.20 1.20 1.20
Book value per share 14.82 16.54 18.14 18.55 19.21 17.21
Stock pnce
High 28 40 30 33 28
30
Low 20 20 23 25 18 20
Close 25 26 25 28 22 27
Average PIE 18.9 14.2 9.9 18.6 12.3 27.8
Average P/B 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.2 1.5
Southampton Corporation s
Earnings per share 1.66 s 3.13 S 3.55 $ 5.08 $ 2.46 'S 1.75
Dividends per share 077 0.79 0.89 0.98 l.04 1.08
Book value per share 24.84 27.47 29.92 30.95 31.54 32.21
Stoel. price
High 34 40 38 43 45 46
Low 21 22 26 28 20 26
Close 31 27 28 39 27 44
Average PIE 16.6 9.9 9.0 7.0 13.2 20.6
Average P/B I I I. I I. I 1.2 1.0 I I
S&P 500
Average PIE 15.8 16.0 II I 13.9 15.6 19.2 15.2
12. A firm has net sales of $3,000, cash expenses (including taxes) of $1,400, and depreciation of $500. If
accounts receivable increase over the penod by $400, what would be cash flow from operations?
13. A company's current ratio is 2.0. If the company uses cash to retire notes payable due within I year, would this
transaction increase or decrease the current ratio and asset tu mover ratio?
Current Ratio Asset Turnover Ratio
(I Increase Increase
h. Increase Decrease
c, Decrease Increase
d. Decrease Decrease
14. During a period of rising prices, the financial statements of a firm using FIFO reporting instead of UFO reporting
would show:
a. Higher total assets and higher net income.
b. Higher total assets and lower net income.
c. Lower total assets and higher net income.
d. Lower total assets and low er net income.
15. In an mflationary penod, the use of FIFO will make which one of the following more realistic than the use of
LIFO?
a. Balance sheet.
h. Income statement
c Cash flow statement.
d. None of the above.
16 Jones Group has been generating stable after-tax return on equity (ROE) despite declining opcraung income.
Explain how it might be able to maintain Its stable after-tax ROE.
17. The DuPont formula defines the net return on shareholders' equity as a function of the following components:
Operating margin
Asset turnover
lnterest burden
Financial leverage.
Income tax rate.
Using only the data in Table l9H:
a. Calculate each of the five components listed above for 2005 and 2009, and calculate the return on equity (ROE)
for 2005 and 2009, using all of the five components.
b. Briefly discuss the impact of the changes in asset turnover and financial leverage on the change in ROE from
2005 to 2009.
a. How would you compare the financial performance of Indian manufacturing companies with their U.S. counter•
parts (Tat-!e 19.10 in the text)?
b. Identify the industries with asset turnover ratio less than I. What docs this indicate?
c. Compare the financial performance of the infrastructure sector with the IT sector.
2. We provide below financial information pertaining to the non-financial Sensex companies. Estimate the EVA of these
companies.
Associates Ltd. Larsen & 0.24 0.22 0.86 0.08 6.795.93 0.17
Ltd Reliance lnduvtriev Lid 0.16 0.15 0.92 0.08 1,07,932.29 019
3. From the website of the book. download the financial statements ot Arvind Limited for the three year period ending
March 31, 2008.
a. Calculate the ratios mentioned in Table 19.9 oflhe book.
b. Prepare the cash flow statement of Arvind based on information provided in the balance sheet and income state•
ment. Compare your figures with lhe published cash flow statement (also given in the excel file). Do you think.
any additional information is required to prepare the cash flow statement (other than mentioned in the published
income statement and balance sheet)?
c, Calculate the Z·Score of Arvind for the last lhree years. Do you see any trend?
d. Shares of Arvind Mills are trading at around Rs.13.5 as on March 31, 2009. Its beta is 1.35. Find the intrinsic
value of Arvind's shares using the FCFE melhod. Will you value the stock at the current price? Make some rea•
sonable assumptions to forecast the FCFE.
4 In the given table we provide lhe working capital and market capitalization figures for a selected list of companies.
Use Graham's methodology to decide which stocks 10 buy.
706 /111nr111rnr,
Enter the Market Insight database at www.mbbe.com/edumarketlnslght and link to Company. then
Population. Enter the ticker symbol for Ba,,e11 Furniture lnduxtrics (BSET) on the Company STANDARD
Research page Look for the company information reports on the left-side menu Link IO the �POOR'S
Excel Analytics Reports and then to the Ratio Report in the Annual section. What i, the 5-ycar trend in
the ROE'? Look
over the trends of the net profit margin, asset turnover, and a,seh 10 equity. which may be used 10 dccompove the ROE.
Which of these ratio, had the greatest impact on ROE changes' What might explain these trends'? Repeal ihc analy,.., for
two other firms in the furniture industry. Ethan Allen Interiors {ETII) and La Z Boy (LZB).
E-
lnvestments
Performance Measurement
This chapter introduced the idea ot economic value added (EVA) as a mean, to measure lirm performance. A related
measure is market value added (MVA). which is the difference between the market value of a firm and its book value.
You can find the firms with the best such measures at www.evndimensions.com. You will see there that EVA leaders
do not necessarily have the highest return on capital. Why not? Are the EVA leaders also the MVA leaders'? Why
not?
INDIAN WEBSITES
http://www.sebiedifar.nic.in/ This website contains data on quarterly results, annual financial statements, sharehold•
ing pattern. segment results. etc, for Indian companies.
2. Indian search engine for company data and equity researcl, reports hup://www. valuenotes corn/asps/co.asp?
alpha=q&cai=C
3 Another website for links to websites of companies (for downloading the required information) hup://indiafocus.
indiainfo.com/cornpanies/
Vi11,111uc1/ St,llrnH11t. l11t1lrn 707
A debt-to-equity ratio of I unplies that Mordett will have $50 million of debt and $50 million of equity. Interest
expense will be .09 x S50 million. or $4.5 million per year. Mordett 's net profits and ROE over the business cycle
will therefore be
Nodett
Scenario EBIT Net Profits ROE Net Profits" ROE'
Bad year S 5 million S3 million 3� $0.3 million .6%
Nonna! year 10 6 6 3.3 6.6
Good year 15 9 9 6.3 12.6
Bad )CM
NuJcn OlO 6 I 000 0625 0.8(Xl I (}()() 1.000
Somdeu Olli 6 () l60 .()625 0.800 1667 0.600
Morden 006 6 O. HX) .0625 o.soo 2 ()()() 0 200
NonnaI , car
",;oJcn 060 6 I (XX) .100 I 000 I .()(X) I()()()
Sorndeu ()<,K 6 0 68() roo UKX> 1667 I 134
Morden 066 .6 0.550 .100 I.O<K> 2.(X)() I 100
Good year
NoJen 090 .6 1.000 .125 1.200 I 000 1.000
Sorndeu .118 .6 0.787 125 1.200 1.667 1.311
Morden 126 .6 0.700 125 1.200 2000 I .400
$5,285
ROE = .5($171,843 + $177,128)
= .0303. or 3.03�
Its P E rauo was 4 = S2 I/S5.285 and its P/8 ratio was .12 = $21/$177. Its earnings yield was 25% compared with an
industry average of 12.S°'o.
Note that m our calculations the earnings yield will not equal ROE/(P/8) because we have computed ROE with
average shareholders' equity m the denominator and P/8 with end-of-year shareholders' equity in the denominator.
708 fowSIIIICIIU
4.
IBX Ratio Analysis
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
Net Combined
Profit/ Pretax EBIT/ Leverage
Pretax Profit/ Sales Sales/Assets Assets/ Factor
Year ROE ROA
Profit EBJT (Margin) (turnover) Equity (2) x (5) (3) x
(4)
2009 11.4% .616 .796 7.75% 1.375 2.175 1.731
2007 J0.2 10.65%
.636 .932 8.88 1.31 I 1.474 1.374 11.65
ROE increased despite a decline in operating margin and a decline in the tax burden ratio because of increased
leverage and turnover. Note that ROA declined from 11.65% in 2007 to I 0.65% in 2009.
5. UFO accounting results in lower reported earnings than does FIFO. Fewer assets to depreciate results in lower
reported earnings because there is less bias associated with the use of historic cost. More debt results in lower reported
earnings because the inflation premium in the interest rate is treated as part of interest expense and not as repayment
of principal. If ABC has the same reported earnings as XYZ despite these three sources of downward bias, its real
earnings must be greater.