102 PDF
102 PDF
102 PDF
FINAL REPORT
VOLUME I
March, 2012
ALMEC CORPORATION
ORIENT AL CONSULT ANTS CO. LTD.
Exchange Rate:
USD 1.00 = PKR80.00
(2010 Prices)
PREFACE
JICA selected and dispatched a study team headed by Mr. Takashi Shoyama of
ALMEC Co., LTD. and consists of ALMEC Co., LTD. and Oriental Consultants Co., LTD.
between April, 2010 and March, 2012.
The study team held discussions with the officials concerned of the
Government of the Punjab, conducted field surveys in the study area, prepared a
Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan (LUTMP) and its Action Plan, conducted a
capacity development through On-the-Job-Training (OJT), and prepared this final
report.
I hope that this report will contribute to the promotion of this project and to the
enhancement of friendly relationship between our two countries.
March, 2012
KONISHI Atsufumi,
Director, Economic Infrastructure Department
Japan International Cooperation Agency
The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
VOLUME 1---
1. INTRODUCTION
2.1 Review of Existing Information, Studies and Plans/ Projects ..................... 2-1
2.1.1 Historic Development of Lahore and Previous Studies ........... 2-1
2.1.2 Plans and Projects ................................................................... 2-7
2.1.3 Data Gaps Identified .............................................................. 2-13
2.1.4 Possible Future Directions in Transport Infrastructure
Development ...................................................................... 2-14
2.2 Current Policy and Institutional Framework .............................................. 2-17
2.2.1 Policy and Institutional Framework ........................................ 2-17
2.2.2 Expenditure and Financing .................................................... 2-27
2.2.3 Transport Related Organizations ........................................... 2-34
2.2.4 Transport Department (TD) ................................................... 2-39
2.2.5 Traffic Engineering and Planning Agency (TEPA) ................. 2-41
2.2.6 Urban Unit (UU) ..................................................................... 2-44
2.2.7 Housing, Urban Development and Public Health
Engineering Department (HUD & PHED) .............................. 2-46
2.2.8 Communications and Works Department (C&W).................. 2-47
2.2.9 Lahore Transport Company (LTC) ......................................... 2-47
2.3 Socio-Economic Characteristics ............................................................... 2-50
2.3.1 The Study Area Profile ........................................................... 2-50
2.3.2 Urban Development Characteristics ...................................... 2-52
2.3.3 General Socio-economic Condition ....................................... 2-61
2.3.4 Population Distribution ........................................................... 2-66
2.3.5 Employment Distribution ........................................................ 2-72
2.3.6 2010Vehicle Ownership in the Study Area ............................ 2-76
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The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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LIST OF TABLES
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LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1.1.1 A Typical Directionless Traffic Mix and Parking in Lahore ................................................. 1-2
Figure 1.3.1 The Study Area ................................................................................................................. 1-3
Figure 1.4.1 Outline Schedule of LUTMP ............................................................................................. 1-4
Figure 1.6.1 Study Organization ........................................................................................................... 1-5
Figure 2.1.1 Master Plan for Greater Lahore ........................................................................................ 2-2
Figure 2.1.2 Lahore Urban Development and Traffic Study .................................................................. 2-3
Figure 2.1.3 Comprehensive Study of Transportation System in Lahore - Study Area ......................... 2-5
Figure 2.1.4 Comprehensive Study of Transportation System in Lahore - Master Plan ........................ 2-6
Figure 2.1.5 Lahore Rapid Mass Transit System (LRMTS) ................................................................... 2-9
Figure 2.1.6 Lahore Ring Road (as of May 2010) and Connecting Roads Plan ................................. 2-10
Figure 2.1.7 A Completed Section of Lahore Ring Road .................................................................... 2-11
Figure 2.1.8 One of Underpasses along Canal Bank Road ................................................................ 2-11
Figure 2.1.9 Shalimar Interchange ...................................................................................................... 2-12
Figure 2.2.1 Shares of Development Expenditure and Debt Servicing in Federal Finance,
2001-02 to 2009-10......................................................................................................... 2-27
Figure 2.2.2 Composition of Development Expenditure in Punjab Province 2007-08 to
2012-13........................................................................................................................... 2-28
Figure 2.2.3 Location of Road and Urban Development Projects, Budget 2010-11 ............................ 2-32
Figure 2.2.4 Transport-related Governmental Organizations .............................................................. 2-37
Figure 2.2.5 Organizations of Transport Department (TD) .................................................................. 2-39
Figure 2.2.6 Organizational Chart of TEPA ......................................................................................... 2-42
Figure 2.2.7 Organization of LTC ........................................................................................................ 2-49
Figure 2.3.1 Land Elevation in the Study Area .................................................................................... 2-51
Figure 2.3.2 History of Urban Structure Transformation...................................................................... 2-55
Figure 2.3.3 Population Density by LUTMP Zone (Dec 2010) ............................................................ 2-56
Figure 2.3.4 Lahore Metropolitan Area Master Plan 2021................................................................... 2-57
Figure 2.3.5 Delineation and Satellite Image of DHA Phases ............................................................. 2-58
Figure 2.3.6 Historical Population Growth in Lahore District ............................................................... 2-63
Figure 2.3.7 Labour Force by Occupation in Lahore ........................................................................... 2-64
Figure 2.3.8 Labour Force by Industry in Lahore ................................................................................ 2-65
Figure 2.3.9 Migration Origins into Lahore .......................................................................................... 2-65
Figure 2.3.10 The Study Area 2010 Populations by Zone..................................................................... 2-68
Figure 2.3.11 The Study Area 2010 Gross Population Density by Zone ............................................... 2-69
Figure 2.3.12 The Study Area 2010 Net Population Density by Zone ................................................... 2-70
Figure 2.3.13 Age Structure of Lahore 2010 Population ....................................................................... 2-71
Figure 2.3.14 Household Size Distribution of 2010 Population of Lahore ............................................. 2-72
Figure 2.3.15 LUTMP 2010 Zonal Employed Residents by Employment Sector .................................. 2-74
Figure 2.3.16 LUTMP 2010 Zonal Un-employed Residents by Residence Zone .................................. 2-75
Figure 2.3.17 LUTMP 2010 Car Owning Households by Zone ............................................................. 2-77
Figure 2.3.18 LUTMP 2010 Motorcycle Owning Households by Zone.................................................. 2-78
Figure 2.3.19 The Study Area 2010 Household Income Distribution..................................................... 2-79
Figure 2.3.20 LUTMP 2010 Household Income Distribution by Study Area Zone ................................. 2-80
Figure 2.3.21 Household Income Distribution by Vehicle Ownership, 2010 .......................................... 2-81
Figure 2.3.22 Low Income Household Movement by Study Zone over the Last 5 & 10 Years .............. 2-85
Figure 2.3.23 High Income Household Movement by Study Zone over the Last 5 & 10 Years ............. 2-87
Figure 2.4.1 Lahore Study Area Surveyed Road Network as Defined by Agencies ............................ 2-89
Figure 2.4.2 Lahore Study Area Road Network by Number of Lanes ................................................. 2-90
Figure 2.4.3 Traffic Congestion at Qartaba Chowk (Intersection) in the Central Lahore ..................... 2-91
Figure 2.4.4 Motorcycle Rickshaw (Qingqi) at Fort Road.................................................................... 2-92
Figure 2.4.5 Donkey Cart at an Intersection in Central Area ............................................................... 2-92
Figure 2.4.6 Daewoo Intra-City Bus Terminal...................................................................................... 2-93
Figure 2.4.7 Trend in Registered Motorized Vehicles in Lahore District .............................................. 2-94
Figure 2.4.8 Motorization Experiences in Selected Asian Cities ......................................................... 2-94
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Figure 3.2.12 2020 Percent of Car Owning Households for Three Scenarios....................................... 3-57
Figure 3.2.13 2020 Average Household Monthly Income for Three Scenarios ..................................... 3-57
Figure 3.2.14 2030 Percent of Car Owning Households for Three Scenarios....................................... 3-60
Figure 3.2.15 2030 Average Household Monthly Income for Three Scenarios ..................................... 3-60
Figure 3.2.16 Percent of Car Owning Households, 2010 and 2030 by Scenario .................................. 3-61
Figure 3.2.17 Average Household Monthly Income, 2010 & 2030 by Scenario .................................... 3-62
Figure 4.1.1 Forecast Trip Productions ('000) by Town/Tehsil and by Three Scenario .......................... 4-4
Figure 4.2.1 2010 Traffic Assignment Traffic Volumes (PCU) and V/C Ratio ........................................ 4-6
Figure 4.2.2 2020 Traffic Assignment Traffic Volumes (PCU) and V/C Ratio ........................................ 4-8
Figure 4.2.3 2030 Traffic Assignment Traffic Volumes (PCU) and V/C Ratio ........................................ 4-9
Figure 5.2.1 Indicative Target for Modal Share for 2030 ....................................................................... 5-9
Figure 5.4.1 Timing of Urban Rail Development in Major Cities of South Asia, Central Asia
and Middle East in Relation to GDP per Capita and Population ..................................... 5-14
Figure 5.6.1 Focus Area for Traffic Management ................................................................................ 5-18
Figure 5.7.1 'Bird-eye' View of Badami Bagh Bus Terminal ................................................................ 5-19
Figure 5.8.1 New Establishment for Transportation Development ...................................................... 5-21
Figure 5.8.2 Road Network Development by Applying Urban Planning Determination ....................... 5-24
Figure 6.1.1 Typical Cross Section of a Completed Section of LRR ..................................................... 6-2
Figure 6.1.2 LRR Northern Section Alignment and Status .................................................................... 6-3
Figure 6.1.3 Lahore Rapid Mass Transit System (LRMTS) Network..................................................... 6-5
Figure 6.1.4 Kalma Chowk Flyover over LRMTS Planned Station ........................................................ 6-6
Figure 6.1.5 Lahore Ferozepur Road Pilot Project - An Integrated Approach ....................................... 6-8
Figure 6.1.6 Location Map Finance and Trade Centre ........................................................................ 6-10
Figure 6.1.7 Finance and Trade Center Layout Plan .......................................................................... 6-10
Figure 6.3.1 Locations of Bus Terminals in Lahore ............................................................................. 6-17
Figure 6.3.2 Proposed Location of Outskirt City Bus Terminals .......................................................... 6-18
Figure 7.1 Development Procedure of Master Plan 2030 .................................................................. 7-1
Figure 7.1.1 LUTMP RMTS/ BRT Network 2030................................................................................... 7-4
Figure 7.1.2 Relationship between Capital Cost and Capacity of BRT Project ..................................... 7-6
Figure 7.1.3 Proposed Typical Cross Section for Motorway.................................................................. 7-8
Figure 7.1.4 Proposed Typical Cross Section for National Road / Trunk Road ..................................... 7-9
Figure 7.1.5 Proposed Typical Cross Section for Urban Primary Road ................................................ 7-9
Figure 7.1.6 Proposed Typical Cross Section for Urban Secondary Road .......................................... 7-9
Figure 7.1.7 Proposed Typical Cross Section for Urban Tertiary Roads ............................................. 7-10
Figure 7.1.8 Design Speed by Road Category.................................................................................... 7-10
Figure 7.1.9 Proposed Road Network by 2030 ................................................................................... 7-13
Figure 7.1.10 Traffic Management Project Areas .................................................................................. 7-16
Figure 7.2.1 Current (2010) Road Network Hierarchy......................................................................... 7-21
Figure 7.2.2 Current (2010) Road Network Performance ................................................................... 7-23
Figure 7.2.3 Base Case Road Network Hierarchy .............................................................................. 7-25
Figure 7.2.4 Base Case Road Network Performance - 2020 .............................................................. 7-26
Figure 7.2.5 Base Case Road Network Performance - 2030 .............................................................. 7-27
Figure 7.2.6 LUTMP 2030 Highway Master Plan Network .................................................................. 7-30
Figure 7.2.7 Highway Master Plan Network Performance - 2020 ....................................................... 7-33
Figure 7.2.8 Highway Master Plan Network Performance - 2030 ....................................................... 7-34
Figure 7.2.9 Para-transit - 2010 Passenger Volumes ......................................................................... 7-37
Figure 7.2.10 Bus Network - 2010 Density of Bus Routes .................................................................... 7-38
Figure 7.2.11 RMTS and BRT 2020 Alignments ................................................................................... 7-41
Figure 7.2.12 RMTS and BRT 2030 Alignments ................................................................................... 7-42
Figure 7.2.13 Scenario-2, 2030 Public Passenger Demand on RMTS and BRT Lines ......................... 7-44
Figure 7.2.14 2030 Public Transport Passengers, Excluding RMTS and BRT Lines ............................ 7-45
Figure 7.2.15 2030 Public Transport Passengers, Para-transit Trips Only............................................ 7-46
Figure 7.3.1 Location Map of RMTS Green Line Alignment ................................................................ 7-48
Figure 7.3.2 Planned Layout of RMTS Green Line Alignment and Station Locations ......................... 7-48
Figure 7.3.3 Location Map of RMTS Orange Line Alignment .............................................................. 7-49
Figure 7.3.4 Planned Layout of RMTS Orange Line Alignment and Station Locations ....................... 7-49
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Figure 8.6.8 Urban Street Concept Design, Pedestrians, Cars, Buses and at-Grade LRT
Coexist, in Pleasant Urban Environment ........................................................................ 8-53
Figure 8.6.9 [R57] Development of Secondary Roads in South-west Lahore ................................... 8-55
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SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND
RECOMMENDATIONS
FINAL REPORT
The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
1. Study Objectives
The Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan (LUTMP) was formulated with the following
main objectives:
(i) To formulate an urban transport master plan for the Study Area up to the year
2030;
(ii) To formulate an action plan for the identified priority projects up to the year 2020;
and
The LUTMP study area of about 3,044 km2, covering the whole of Lahore District, part of
Kasur and Sheikhupura Districts, has been suffering from worsening traffic situation and
environmental degradation in the city center and on major arterial roads.
Population of Lahore District has been growing continuously, and increased by 7.5 times
since the first census in 1951. The fastest growth pace was recorded between 1972 and
1981, i.e., 4.3% per annum. Since then, the growth rate has been steadily declining. As
of 2010 the population of the LUTMP study area was estimated at about 9.9million,
including 0.4million of part of Kasur and 0.9million of Sheikhupura District areas.
However, most of the population is concentrated in the center of Lahore, while the rest of
the areas are mostly rural except for narrow strips along arterial roads, showing a ribbon
development.
Table S.1 Growth of Socio-economy and Transport Demand in LUTMP Study Area
Present Growth
Indicator 2030
(2010) 2030/ 2010
Population (000) 9,928 16,429 1.65
No. of Workers (000) 2,691 4,978 1.85
No. of Students (000) 857 1,597 1.86
1
GDP per Capita (PKR 000) 135.1 274.8 2.03
Car Ownership (% of households) 18.3 44.0 2.40
Trip Production (million/ day) 8.2 17.0 2.07
Average Volume/ Canal Screenline 0.28 0.66 1.74
Capacity Ratio Railway Screenline 0.50 1.07 2.14
(Do-Nothing Ravi River 0.71 1.95 2.75
Scenario) Study Area Cordon 0.32 0.76 2.38
Note: 1) at 2010 constant prices
Source: JICA Study Team
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The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Figure S.1 2010 Traffic Assignment Volumes (PCU) and V/C Ratio
Figure S.2 2030 Traffic Assignment (2010 Network) Volumes (PCU) and V/C Ratio
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SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
This trend is the most fundamental threat to the quality of Lahoris life to overcome. Under
the strong pressure of this rapidly growing transport demand, the critical issues are not
only how to develop transport infrastructure but how to seek a sustainable solution
between urban development and transport development.
Opportunities: - There are many to improve the situation in the LUTMP study area. These
are, among others: (1) the modal share of public transport in Lahore is considerably high
at 37~40 % as of 2010 (excluding walk trips, residents only) as compared to some other
Asian cities (see Table S.2). This is one of the precious assets that Lahore should
maintain; (2) the road infrastructure of Lahore is well developed and allows Lahoris to live
on “borrowed time” for a while more; and (3) LDA’s land use rules and regulations,
though in a limited coverage, offer a good opportunity not only to control urban
development but to provide revenue sources from integrated development of trunk public
transport system, local access roads and other urban facilities.
Table S.2 Public Transport Modal Shares in Selected Asian Cities
City (Country) Modal Share of Public Transport (%) Year
Shanghai (China) 22 2000
Bangkok (Thailand) 39 1989
Manila (Philippines) 70 1996
Jakarta (Indonesia) 55 2000
Hanoi (Vietnam) 7 2005
Phnom Penh (Cambodia) 18 2000
Kuala Lumpur (Malaysia) 10 1997
Delhi (India) 54 2000
Source: JICA urban transport master plans and UITP publications
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The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
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SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Key Strategies
1) For large urban areas, such as Lahore, the only way to effectively meet transport
demand is to provide the city with a high-quality public transport system which must be
developed in integration with the urban development. The core network will be
composed of urban rail (RMTS) and Bus Rapid Transit (BRT). Secondary and feeder
services will be by buses with different sizes and types of services. Experiences of
successful cities clearly indicate that mass transit networks serve as the backbone of
the urban transport infrastructure and are integrated with urban land use and
development. Bus, including wagon, is and will remain the most important mode of
public transport system in Lahore. Although urban rail is expected to play a major role
in the future, the coverage will be limited and many corridors and areas would remain
without direct (walk-in) access to mass transit. Bus also provides important feeder
services for urban rail.
2) The travel demand analysis has presented the gap between the available road
capacity and the demand. The outcome is clear that with 2+% growth rate in
population, coupled with GRDP growth of about 6% the current network will not be
able to sustain the future road traffic demand. The primary strategy of road network
development is to fill the gaps by increasing road capacity. This has been seriously
considered in the master plan particularly at the congested cross-section of the Ravi
River.
The development of the Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan (LUTMP) has been carried
out based on the analyses on current situation and future transport demand, and project
prioritization by Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA). The summary of the investment planned in
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The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
the Master Plan is presented in Table S.3. The estimated total investment for the entire
plan period till 2030 is about USD 11.1 billion. This falls in the estimated range of budget
envelope though on the high side particularly for the short- and medium-term.
Table S.3 Planned Investment Summary for the Master Plan Projects (USD million)
Medium
Period Short Term Long Term
Term Total
(Year) 2012-2015 2021-2030
2016-2020
Public Transport 1,499 3,021 2,742 7,262
Road Sub-sector 450 570 2,139 3,159
Traffic Management 146 363 154 663
Total 2,095 3,954 5,035 11,084
Note: excluding committed projects of which cost is unknown
Source: JICA Study Team
Table S.4 summarizes the projects proposed in the Master Plan with responsible agency
specified by project.
Table S.4 Master Plan Projects with Estimated Cost and Responsible Dept./ Agency
Project
Assumed
Project Project Cost Proposed Responsible
Year of Status 1)
No. Description (USD by: Agency
Operation
Million)
Public Transport Projects – Committed
Multimodal Inter-City Bus
PT01 - 2014 Ongoing TD TD
Terminals in Lahore
Effective and Efficient School
PT02 0.01 2014 Planned TD TD
Bus System
PT03 Up-gradation of Bus Stands - 2015 Planned TD TD
PT04 Integrated Bus Operation 80.1 2015 Planned LTC LTC
Establishment of Multimodal
PT05 - 2017 Planned TD TD
Bus Terminal at Shahdara
Public Transport Projects – LUTMP 2030 Proposed
PT06 RMTS Green Line 2,583.0 2020 Planned TD TD
RMTS Orange Line (Initially
PT07 2,330.0 2030 Planned TD TD
BRT)
PT08 RMTS Blue Line (Initially BRT) 1,908.0 2030 Planned TD TD
PT07 BRT Orange Line 74.5 2015 LUTMP LTC
PT08 BRT Blue Line 58.6 2020 LUTMP LTC
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SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Project
Assumed
Project Project Cost Proposed Responsible
Year of Status 1)
No. Description (USD by: Agency
Operation
Million)
Construction of Canal Bank
R03 17.1 2015 Ongoing C&W C&W
Road Flyover
Remodeling of Canal Bank
R04 43.8 2015 Ongoing TEPA TEPA
Road
Remodeling of Barki Road
R05 2.0 2015 Ongoing C&W C&W
(LRR – Green City)
Remodeling of Kala Khatai
R06 10.8 2015 Ongoing C&W C&W
Road
Remodeling of Allama Iqbal
R07 16.1 2015 Ongoing C&W C&W
Road
R08 Remodeling of Multan Road 46.4 2015 Ongoing C&W C&W
Remodeling of Thokar Niaz
R09 4.8 2015 Ongoing C&W C&W
Baig Road
Remodeling of Lahore
R10 17.5 2015 Completed C&W C&W
Ferozepur Road
LUTMP 2030 Road Sub-sector Projects – Proposed
Barki Road
R11 17.0 2020 LUTMP C&W
(Green City – BRB Canal)
Bedian Road (DHA – LRR –
R12 142.0 2026 LUTMP C&W
Ferozepur Road)
Shabir Usmani Road
R13 (Barkat Market – Maulana 6.9 2021 Planned TEPA TEPA
Shaukat Ali Road)
Link Peco Road – Ferozepur
R14 6.7 2021 LUTMP TEPA
Road
Link Ferozepur Road - Nalay
Wali Road
R15 5.3 2021 Planned TEPA TEPA
(Completion of link between
Ferozepur and Multan Road)
Old Ravi Bridge and Road
R16 5.3 2018 Planned TEPA TEPA
(Bridge 0.5km)
G.T. Road
R17 6.3 2019 Planned TEPA TEPA
(Cooper Store - Ek-Moria Pul)
College Road (Ghaus-e-Azam
R18 14.0 2020 Planned TEPA TEPA
Road to Defence Road)
Structure Plan Road (Shahrah
R19 Nazria-e-Pakistan – Defence 35.0 2018 Planned TEPA TEPA
Road)
EXPO-Kahna Kacha Station
R20 Road (Khayban-e-Jinnah – 29.9 2024 Planned TEPA TEPA
Kahna Kacha Station)
Main Boulevard PIA Society
R21 Road (Baig Road – Ittehad 4.0 2024 Planned TEPA TEPA
Road)
Raiwind Road (Lahore Ring
R22 Road Southern Loop – 52.5 2025 LUTMP C&W
Raiwind City)
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SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Project
Assumed
Project Project Cost Proposed Responsible
Year of Status 1)
No. Description (USD by: Agency
Operation
Million)
Madrat-e-Millat Road -
R23 10.9 2024 Planned TEPA TEPA
Defence Road
Extension of Maulana Shaukat
Ali Road (Canal Bank Road –
R24 6.0 2024 Planned TEPA TEPA
Noor-ul-Amin Road through
Punjab University)
Kamahan Lidher Road
R25 (Ferozepur Road – Lahore 26.4 2027 Committed C&W C&W
Bedian Road)
Sua Asil Road (Ferozepur
R26 130.7 2030 Committed C&W C&W
Road – Raiwind Road)
Kahna Station – Raiwind City
(Kahna Kacha Approach Road
R27 91.7 2027 Committed C&W C&W
– Raiwind City along Railway
Line)
Kahna Kacha Road
R28 (Kahna Station – Ferozepur 29.9 2027 Committed C&W C&W
Road)
Sharaqpur Road
R29 (Lahore Ring Road – Saggian 202.0 2030 LUTMP C&W
Wala Bypass) (Bridge 0.7km)
Lahore-Sheikhupura Road
R30 (Saggian Wala Bypass – G.T. 20.4 2028 LUTMP C&W
Road)
Sagianwala Bypass Road
R31 (Ring Road – Sharaqpur Road) 43.4 2028 LUTMP C&W
(Bridge 0.6km)
Lahore-Sheikhupura Road
R32 (West) (Sharaqpur Road – 16.2 2028 LUTMP C&W
Lahore-Sheikhupura Road)
Link Thokar Niaz Baig Canal
Bank Road – Ferozepur Road
R33 (Khyaban-e-Jinnah Road – 57.6 2022 LUTMP TEPA
Defence Road – Ferozepur
Road)
Manga-Raiwind Road
R34 43.5 2028 LUTMP C&W
(Multan Road – Raiwind Road)
Southern Bypass South Road
R35 (Ferozepur Road – College 57.0 2022 Planned TEPA TEPA
Road)
Southern Bypass North Road
R36 19.7 2022 Planned TEPA TEPA
(Canal Bank Road – M-2)
Raiwind-Pattoki Road
R37 (Raiwind City – Boundary of 73.3 2028 LUTMP C&W
LUTMP Study Area)
Raiwind Road (Thokar –
R38 Lahore Ring Road Southern 54.2 2028 LUTMP C&W
Loop)
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SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Project
Assumed
Project Project Cost Proposed Responsible
Year of Status 1)
No. Description (USD by: Agency
Operation
Million)
Defence Road
R39 (Multan Road – Ferozepur 60.1 2022 LUTMP C&W
Road)
Thokar Niaz Baig Canal Road
Extension (Defence Road –
R40 20.8 2028 LUTMP C&W
Lahore Ring Road Sothern
Loop)
Construction of LRR West
R41 121.9 2024 Planned C&W C&W
(Multan Road – M2)
Construction of LRR South
R42 (Ferozepur Road – Multan 201.2 2030 Planned C&W C&W
Road)
Secondary Roads in
R43 38.9 2018 LUTMP TEPA
Dharampura Area
Secondary Roads in Shadbagh
R44 170.5 2018 LUTMP TEPA
Area
Secondary Roads in
R45 48.0 2017 LUTMP TEPA
Samanabad Area
Lahore Bypass (G.T. Road –
R46 41.0 2022 LUTMP NHA
Kala Shah Kaku Bypass)
M-2 – Lahore-Islamabad
Motorway (Lahore-
R47 Sheikhupura Road – Boundary 89.0 2022 LUTMP NHA
of LUTMP Study Area) (Bridge
0.6km)
M-2 – Lahore-Islamabad
R48 Motorway (Bund Road – 64.6 2022 LUTMP NHA
Lahore-Sheikhupura Road)
N-5- Multan Road (Lahore
Ring Road Sothern Loop –
R49 109.7 2029 LUTMP C&W
Boundary of LUTMP Study
Area)
Sharif Complex Road (Defence
Road – Manga Raiwind Road
R50 116.1 2029 LUTMP C&W
– Bhai Pheru Kot Rada Kishan
Road)
North-West Secondary Ring
Road(Sharaqpur Road –
R51 118.3 2031 LUTMP C&W
Lahore-Sheikhupura Road –
G.T. Road)
Sheikhupura Muridke Road
R52 284.4 2031 LUTMP C&W
(G.T. Road – M-2)
Link G.T. Road (Sharaqpur
R53 Road – Lahore-Sheikhupura 22.9 2027 LUTMP C&W
Road – G.T. Road)
Link Kala Shah Kaku – Lahore-
R54 25.1 2022 Planned C&W C&W
Sialkot Motorway
Lahore-Sialkot Motorway
R55 128.0 2024 Planned C&W C&W
(Bridge 0.8km)
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SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Project
Assumed
Project Project Cost Proposed Responsible
Year of Status 1)
No. Description (USD by: Agency
Operation
Million)
Link G.T. Road Lahore-Sialkot
R56 2.2 2022 Planned C&W C&W
Motorway
Construction and remodeling
of Secondary roads - south of The Road Projects will be executed by LDA/ TEPA in conjunction
R57 LRR in the south-western with the developer’s contribution towards capital cost to be
quadrant between Ferozepur completed by 2020.
Road and Multan Road
Traffic Management Projects – Committed
Establishment of Centralized
TM01 - 2016 Planned TD TD
Driver Licensing Authority
Parking Management
TM 02 - 2018 Planned TEPA TEPA
Company
Traffic
TM 03 Traffic Education Center - 2014 Planned Traffic Police
Police
Traffic
TM 04 Traffic Control Plan of City - 2015 Planned Traffic Police
Police
Vehicle Inspection and
TM 05 - 2021 Ongoing TD TD
Certification System (VICS)
Construction of New Parking
TM 06 207.1 2020 Ongoing TEPA TEPA
Plazas
Construction of Pedestrian
TM 07 1.8 2016 Ongoing TEPA TEPA
Bridges
TM 08 Improvement of 52 Junctions 30.5 2021 Planned TEPA TEPA
TM 09 Ferozepur Road Pilot Project 28.3 2022 Ongoing TEPA TEPA
Conversion of Two Stroke
TM 10 Rickshaw into CNG Fitted Four 12.4 2019 Planned TD TD
Stroke Rickshaw
Remodeling of Inner and Outer
TM 11 14.1 2015 Planned TEPA TEPA
Circular Road
Traffic Management Projects – Proposed by LUTMP 2030
A.1 Junction Design and
TM 12 Traffic Signal Improvement – 4.0 2015 LUTMP TEPA
CBD
A.2 Existing Junctions Design
TM 13 30.0 2019 LUTMP TEPA
and Network Improvement
A.3 Road Function and
TEPA and
TM 14 Capacity Improvement 2.0 2015 LUTMP
CDGL
Program
B.1 Low Occupancy Vehicles
TM 15 Planning for Outskirt/ Rural 5.0 2017 LUTMP LTC
Areas
B.2 Traffic Circulation System
TM 16 20.0 2018 LUTMP TEPA
Design and Implementation
B.3 Public and Freight TEPA and
TM 17 100.0 2021 LUTMP
Transport Terminals CDGL
B.4 Linking Communities -
TM 18 4.0 2019 LUTMP TEPA
Smart Roads
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SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Project
Assumed
Project Project Cost Proposed Responsible
Year of Status 1)
No. Description (USD by: Agency
Operation
Million)
B.5 Feasibility Study for Traffic
TM 19 Demand Management 2.5 2018 LUTMP TEPA
Measures
B.6 RMTS and BRT Station
TM 20 1.5 2023 LUTMP TEPA
Area Traffic Management
C.1 Planning and Design
TM 21 Study for Non-Motorized 1.5 2017 LUTMP TEPA
Traffic
C.2 Non-Motorized Traffic
TM 22 6.0 2021 LUTMP TEPA
Facilities Implementation
C.3 Pedestrian and Bicycle
TM 23 5.0 2017 LUTMP TEPA
Path Network
D.1 Comprehensive Parking
TM 24 2.5 2015 LUTMP TEPA
System Development
D.2 Parking Facilities
TM 25 60.0 2024 LUTMP TEPA
Implementation
D.3 Park and Ride Facilities
TM 26 75.0 2030 LUTMP TEPA
Development
E.1 Traffic Enforcement
TM 27 3.0 2015 LUTMP Traffic Police
Strengthening Programme
TM 28 F.1 Traffic Calming 6.0 2015 LUTMP TEPA
F.2 Traffic Safety Education Traffic Police
TM 29 1.0 2018 LUTMP
Improvement and 1122
G.1 Intelligent Transportation
TM 30 38.0 2029 LUTMP TEPA
System Development
H.1 Local Standards and
TM 31 1.5 2017 LUTMP TEPA
Guidelines Development
Note: 1) Committed: officially approved by GoPb. Planned: waiting for approval.
Source: JICA Study Team
Core Programs
A number of transport projects have been proposed in the Master Plan. Among the
projects, there are many projects that need immediate action of government agencies
due to urgent needs of the city. These projects are categorized as follows:
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SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
These projects may be considered as the core program of LUTMP. Other cost effective
projects to supplement and enhance the viability/ performance of the core projects
mentioned above may be included in the core program during project planning phase.
In the Action Plan period (2012-2020), one RMTS line (Green) and seven BRT lines are
proposed. Later, by 2030, two BRT lines would need to be upgraded to RMTS (Orange
and Blue Lines). Table S.5 shows implementation programme. Figure S.3 illustrates the
broad corridors for these proposed projects for 2020.
Table S.5 RMTS and BRT Lines Proposed for 2020 and 2030
Max Line Load (Pax Per Hr
Daily Boarding
Project Per Direction – PPHPD)
Project Description System
Code % %
2020 2030 2020 2030
Growth Growth
PT06 RMTS Green Line RMTS 759,000 980,000 29 17,200 21,900 28
2020 BRT/
PT07 RMTS Orange Line 2030 510,000 743,000 46 9,500 20,100 102
RMTS
2020 BRT/
PT08 RMTS Blue Line 2030 270,000 379,000 40 5,600 11,200 100
RMTS
PT09 BRT Purple Line BRT 129,000 276,000 114 1,800 3,700 137
PT10 BRT Line 1 (Red) BRT 88,000 285,000 224 2,100 6,800 219
BRT Line 2 (Light BRT
PT11 109,000 331,000 204 1,500 3,700 164
Blue)
PT12 BRT Line 3a (Pink) BRT 161,000 265,000 65 3,200 3,500 12
PT13 BRT Line 3b (Pink) BRT 167,000 248,000 49 2,700 3,200 19
Totals 2,193,000 3,507,000 60 n/a
Source: JICA Study Team
List of the projects selected for the 2020 Action Plan Core Program 2 are given in
Table S.6.
Table S.6 Proposed Action Plan Traffic Management Projects (Core Program-2)
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Investment Summary
Table S.7 shows investment summary of LUTMP for the 2020 Action Plan period. Public
transport projects share is about 75 % of the total cost, while road and traffic
management share is 17 % and 8 %, respectively. The budget envelope is USD 2.3-6.9
billion for the Action Plan period (2012 to 2020). The planned investment falls in this
range. However, the percentage of the investment in relation to Lahore’s GDP is on the
high side at 2.6 % during the action plan period. This is about 3 times the current level of
investment. Private sector finance should be sought for these projects and measures to
raise government revenue should also be taken.
Table S.7 Planned Investment Summary for the Action Plan (USD million)
Period Short Term Medium Term
Total
(Year) 2012-2015 2016-2020
Public Transport 1,499 3,021 4,520
Road 450 570 1,020
Traffic Management 146 363 509
Total 2,095 3,954 6,049
Note: Excluding committed projects of costs of which are unknown
Source: JICA Study Team
Possible reduction of public investment has been estimated assuming PPP scheme on
the proposed RMTS/ BRT projects. This was done assuming a percentage of contribution
from the private sector as shown in Table S.8. The reduction was estimated at about
USD 750 million equivalent to 26 % of the total investment.
Table S.8 Cost Reduction by Applying PPP Scheme to RMTS/ BRT Projects by 2020
Project Project EIRR FIRR Project Cost % Private Cost to Gov’t
No. Description (%) (%) (USD million) Sector (USD million)
PT06 RMTS Green Line 12.1 7.1 2,583.0 20 2,066.4
PT07 BRT Orange Line 18.8 21.0 74.5 100 0.0
PT08 BRT Blue Line 16.7 17.9 58.6 80 11.7
PT09 BRT Purple Line 15.5 16.1 40.8 50 20.4
PT10 BRT Line – 1 37.6 24.9 30.7 100 0.0
PT11 BRT Line – 2 43.6 26.5 30.5 100 0.0
PT12 BRT Line – 3a 28.7 50 14.4
20.4 16.3
PT13 BRT Line – 3b 35.3 50 17.7
Total 2,882.1 26.1 2130.6
Source: JICA Study Team
6. Recommendations
The LUTMP study team recommends for the Government of the Punjab to:
1) Authorize and get this master plan approved by Chief Minister and concerned
agencies of GoPb, and disseminate its contents to all stakeholders.
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projects.
4) Take necessary actions to launch the Core Program 1 of the LUTMP Action Plan as
shown in Table S.9.
5) Start the projects proposed in the Core Program 2 of the LUTMP Action Plan as soon
as possible. GoPb has already requested Japanese Government to conduct a
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6) Raise funding capability of GoPb by seeking from various additional revenue sources,
and optimising current revenue sources under the institutional arrangements of the
government. Some of the initiatives that could be expanded further in Lahore could
include: (1) Property Assessment Taxes, (2) Betterment Charges and (3)
Development Charges. Although application of these initiatives needs careful
examination before it is implemented, the revenue potential is huge, presumably at
an order of several tens of billion rupees. It is recommended for GoPb to investigate
the possibility in relation to LDA’s land use rules and regulations.
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Volume-I – Chapter-1
INTRODUCTION
FINAL REPORT
The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
CHAPTER 1 – INTRODUCTION
1. INTRODUCTION
Lahore, the provincial capital of Punjab, is the second largest city in Pakistan with a
population of about 10 million. The city’s population has been growing at a growth rate of
about 3 % per annum. The city’s rapidly growing population coupled with increasing
vehicle ownership has resulted insatiable travel demand. Development of transport
infrastructure has not kept pace with this increase, and has caused transport related
problems like traffic congestion, poor environment and a slew of emerging issues:
The necessity of formulating a new urban transport master plan was highlighted under
these circumstances, and this led the Government of the Punjab requesting JICA to
conduct this study. Acting on the request of the Government of the Punjab (GoPb), JICA
dispatched a preparatory study mission to Lahore in January 2010. The mission
discussed and signed the Scope of Work and Minutes of Meeting with the Government of
the Punjab. This study has been implemented based on the agreed Scope of Work.
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This study was divided into two phases; Phase 1 focused on transport/ traffic surveys and
Phase 2 included transport planning and master plan development. This report covers
both Phase 1 and Phase 2 of “The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the
Islamic Republic of Pakistan (LUTMP),” covering transport and traffic surveys, analyses,
formulation of urban development scenarios, setting future socio-economic framework,
demand forecast, preparing transport development strategies, formulation of urban
transport master plan for 2030 and formulation of urban transport action plan for 2020.
Figure 1.1.1 A Typical Directionless Traffic Mix and Parking in Lahore
The following are the overall objectives of the study, as defined in the scope of work:
(i) To formulate an urban transport master plan for the Study Area up to the year 2030;
(ii) To formulate an action plan for the identified priority projects up to the year 2020;
and
(iii) To provide assistance to strengthen the administrative capacity of the Government
of the Punjab for implementing the master plan.
1.3 Study Area
The Study Area as shown in Figure 1.3.1, is about 3,044 km2, covers the whole of Lahore
District (yellow area), part of Kasur District (blue area), and part of Sheikhupura District
(green area). This area is 30% larger than the LMA Area (2,306 km2) studied by JICA in
1991 master plan and also by the LDA in 2004 master plan project.
Urbanization in Lahore has spread beyond its administrative boundaries, although the
city continues to be the center of the growing metropolis. As of 2010 the population of the
Study Area was estimated at about 9.9 million, including 0.4 million of Kasur; and 0.9
million of Sheikhupura District areas included in the Study Area. However, most of the
population is concentrated in the center of Lahore, while the rest of the areas are mostly
rural except for narrow ribbon development along arterial roads.
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The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
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CHAPTER 1 – INTRODUCTION
The study commenced in April 2010 and ended in February, 2012. The overall framework
of the study is shown in Figure 1.4.1.
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CHAPTER 1 – INTRODUCTION
In addition to the above, urban transport database has been created in the form of DVD
based on various transport /traffic surveys, demand needed and 2020 and 2030 travel
demand forecasts.
The study organization is composed of JICA and JICA Study Team on the Japanese side
and Steering Committee, Working Group, and Counterpart Staff on the Pakistani side, as
shown in Figure 1.6.1.
JICA Government
of Punjab
Steering Committee
Study Team
JICA Study Team Working Group and
Counterpart Staff
The members of the study organization are presented in Table 1.6.1 and Table 1.6.2 for
the Pakistani and the Japanese side, respectively.
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CHAPTER 1 – INTRODUCTION
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CHAPTER 1 – INTRODUCTION
During the course of the conduct of LUTMP, a series of meetings were held as shown in
Table 1.6.3. In addition, numerous lectures were delivered for capacity development of
Pakistani officials comprised mainly of Transport Planning Unit, Transport Department,
GoPb, The Urban Unit, Lahore Transport Company, University of Engineering and
Technology, Lahore School of Economics and JICA Local Staff, as detailed in Chapter 5,
Volume 2.
Table 1.6.3 List of Meetings Held
Steering Committee
Description Date Venue Participants
st rd
1 Meeting 3 June, 2010 22
nd th
2 Meeting 27 November, 2010 19
rd rd
3 Meeting 23 February, 2011 21
th th Planning and Development
4 Meeting 18 April, 2011 23
Department
th th
5 Meeting 14 September, 2011 26
th nd
6 Meeting 2 December, 2011 24
th nd
7 Meeting 22 February, 2012 26
th th
8 Meeting 24 February, 2012 Transport Department 18
Working Group
Description Date Venue Participants
st th
1 Meeting 5 August, 2010 18
nd th Transport Department
2 Meeting 17 September, 2010 17
rd st Planning and Development
3 Meeting 1 July, 2011 21
Department
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Volume-I – Chapter-2
FINAL REPORT
The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
CHAPTER 2 – CURRENT TRANSPORT SITUATION, PROBLEMS AND ISSUES
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to formulate a transportation master plan for the Study Area for 2010, with
intermediate action plans for year 2000, and
to conduct a feasibility study of selected mass transit system and other selected
transport infrastructure projects.
The study was first ever attempt to apply modern transport planning techniques for travel
demand analyses, development and evaluation transport infrastructure projects to meet
the travel demand of the City of Lahore (comprising of most of the contiguous urban area
of Lahore District and adjoining parts of Sheikhupura District in the north and part of Kasur
District in the south. The Study Area is shown below in Figure 2.1.3. The key features of
the master plan were:
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Figure 2.1.3 Comprehensive Study of Transportation System in Lahore – the Study Area
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The “Vision 2030” mentioned some important comments and targets, including those for
Lahore City, for example:
• “Reducing delays in our transport system is critical instrument for the cost of doing
business, and hence increasing our competitiveness.” (p.67)
• “Lahore, a sprawling metropolis of seven million, has fewer than 150 traffic lights,
which are measures of insufficient traffic management. The result is severe traffic
congestion.” (p.96)
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Figure 2.1.6 Lahore Ring Road (as of May 2010) and Connecting Roads Plan
Completed
Under construction
Completed
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At present (May 2010), the first phase of the north-eastern part 18 km is under
construction and the part of it from west to Airport is open to operation.
Shalimar Interchange
In 2009, one of the interchanges in the Canal Bank Road, called Shalimar Interchange,
was completed. It has a flyover 1 km long, in north-south direction and crossing two
underpasses in east-west direction.
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W or
ksho
p Rd
.
R d.
ank Shalimar Interchange
al B
Can
Shalimar Link Rd.
Overpass and
Underpass
Features of the underpass of the Shalimar Interchange are as follows (from the Design
report and Drawings):
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Features of the flyover part of the Shalimar Interchange are as follows (from the Design
report and Drawings):
The data or database received from various government departments, agencies and
consultants is sometimes rudimentary. As a result LUTMP has to launch a comprehensive
set of transport and traffic surveys to prepare an up-to-date and comprehensive database
of travel demand and traffic situation in the Study Area. For example:
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• The road inventory data was poorly collected and documented, without
geographic reference. It only covered physical attributes of roads, and completely
neglected to collect the adjacent land-use, and time conditions such as kerb side
parking and encroachments.
The southern loop of the LRR was envisaged after the changes to alignment of the original
LRR route, which passed through the city along Ferozepur Road. A pre-feasibility study of
the southern loop was completed in 2009. This study defined the 49 km alignment and
estimated the cost to be PKR 63 billion. The funding for the project is yet to be secured.
Given the current austerity measures, it is unlikely that GoPb could provide funds for this
project much before 2012/ 13 financial year. However, attempts are being made by the
GoPb to secure private sector financing on ‘Private, Public Partnership (PPP) basis, with
little success.
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billion) of the capital cost and to secure private sector operator. As the GoPb showed no
interest in funding the project through ADB loans, the proposed financing model collapsed.
The GoPb alone cannot afford to fund the project capital cost. As a result the project
remains suspended until some form of capital cost funding could be secured.
As alternative to building the LRMTS defined alignments, GoPb has been soliciting
proposals of lesser capital costs, albeit of lesser capacity, and not necessarily ‘value for
money’. These attempts are outlined next.
• Widening of Canal Bank Road project – Project suspended by the Supreme Court
of Pakistan on environmental grounds
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• Development of Parking Plazas – LDA recently built a parking plaza, and is trying
to operate it as Park-n-Ride facility for the nearby shopping area. So far success
has been limited as a parking facility. A repetition of the project in other areas of
Lahore is being planned.
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1) Transport-related Organizations
Historically, many transport-related organizations and agencies have been established
and abolished in the Punjab Province. In addition, decentralization policy has been
promoted based the Punjab Local Government Ordinance 2001, aiming at the transfer of
administrative powers and obligations from the Provincial Government to the City District
Government. By this, transport-related agencies have been increased and jurisdictional
demarcations became complicated and ambiguous.
Table 2.2.1 shows main organization and agency, in principle, responsible for each sector.
Some of them focus on the physical infrastructure such as roads and pedestrian facilities,
others on public transport services, others on the management of the public space
available for the movement of persons and goods, and yet others have cross-cutting
responsibilities.
Many of these agencies report to the Nazim of the City District Government of Lahore
(CDGL). Some are agencies of the GoPb, while others maintain direct links to both the city
and provincial Governments. In addition, there are two Cantonment Boards,
administrating large areas with a population of more than 830 thousands in 2010. They
are under National Jurisdiction and have virtually no institutional links with local and
provincial agencies.
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There are four mega-cities in Punjab: Lahore, Rawalpindi, Multan and Gujranwala. These
city districts have three tiers: the City District Government (CDG), the Town Municipal
Administration (TMA), and the Union Administration (UA). Accordingly, the CDG of Lahore
includes 9 TMAs and 150 UAs.
As other organizations responsible for physical infrastructure, there are C&W, LDA,
Cantonment Boards, Defence Housing Authority (DHA), National Highway Authority
(NHA), Urban Unit (UU) and Planning and Development Department (P&D). Their roles
are described in this chapter.
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When TEPA was created in 1987, TEPA was to perform all function and exercise all power
of Authority with regard to traffic engineering and planning within the metropolitan area of
Lahore. Practically, it was given 25 specific functions. As seen in the next section, however,
it could not function as expected mainly due to insufficient financial and personnel
capacity.
2) Allocation of Responsibilities
Table 2.2.2 was worked out in the Ferozepur Road Pilot Project conducted in 2007,
showing allocation of transport-related responsibilities among organizations, both
according to regulations and practice in reality. Comparing allocations by regulation and in
practice, several gaps are observed. In the next steps, reliability of the table will be
examined. As for functions with more than two agencies assigned, their appropriateness
will be investigated as well.
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The said provincial law contains the provisions for the registration, movement, control and
regulations of Motor Vehicles. The term “Motor Vehicle” as defined in the MVO, 1965
means “any mechanically propelled vehicle adapted for use upon road”. The MVO, 1965
includes a motor cab, contract carriage and stage carriage. The MVO, 1965 provides for
the mandatory Registration of Motor Vehicles and Licensing of drivers of Motor Vehicles
whereas the Transport Vehicles are required to obtain the Fitness Certificate prior to their
registration and then to ply these vehicles in accordance with the terms & conditions of the
Route Permits issued by the Provincial Transport Authorities or District Regional Transport
Authorities.
The MVO, 1965 is administrated by the four departments of the Provincial Government in
the manner listed Table 2.2.4.
The MVO, 1965 provides the mechanism for registration, licensing and regulation of Motor
Vehicles in particular and for control of traffic but it does not cover all the aspects of the
Road Traffic and the Public Space Management. The MVO 1965 has provisions for the
construction, equipment and maintenance of Motor Vehicles but has not been updated for
a long time and there is a frequent need for its amendment.
No. Name of
Attached Department Statutes Functions
Department
1 Transport Provincial Transport MVO, 1965 and Policy making, Planning
Department Authority; District MVR, 1969 except and regularization of public
Regional Transport control of traffic, service vehicles
Authorities checking and
inspection of motor
vehicles
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No. Name of
Attached Department Statutes Functions
Department
2 Home Department Inspector General of Police Order, 2001 Licensing of Drivers of
Police, Punjab; Deputy MVO, 1965 and Motor Vehicles
Inspector General of MVR 1969 Enforcement of Traffic Laws
Police (Traffic), Punjab and Chapter 7 of Motor
Vehicles Ordinance, 1965
3 Excise and Taxation Director General MVO, 1965 and Registration of Motor
Department ( E&T) MVR, 1969 Vehicle
4 Environment Provincial MVO, 1965 and Monitoring and control of
Protection Environment MVR, 1969 traffic generated air
Department Protection Agency Environment pollution
Protection Act, 1997
Source: Institutional Development of a Traffic Management for Ferozepur Road Pilot Project, MVA Asia Dec. 2007
The MVR, 1969 expand upon the parent law i.e. MVO, 1965 and are conforming pedigree.
There is a definite need to establish a Motor Accidents Claims Tribunal’ Rules providing
specialized, focused and fast relief in Pakistan. The MVR are exhaustive, but they lack
certain issues such as passport/ visa, international driving and technical requirements of
vehicles, transport of animals, dangerous goods and perishable goods. It also lacks the
provisions for new technological advancements in the automobile sector such as CNG 4
stroke Motor Cab Rickshaws and Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) Buses.
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CHAPTER 2 – CURRENT TRANSPORT SITUATION, PROBLEMS AND ISSUES
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Adequate financing for road operation and maintenance is critical for sustainability of the
existing road infrastructure. The Local Governments shall estimate systematic and secure
financial arrangement for continuous operation and maintenance of the road infrastructure.
The GoPb shall issue guidelines and manuals for the operation and maintenance of the
transport infrastructure.
The GoPb shall promote traffic management instruments (traffic signaling system, traffic
circulation design, parking management, bus priority, demand management, traffic
signage etc.) for safe and efficient mobility of people and goods.
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enable towns and cities to develop an integrated transport and traffic engineering plan and
restructure the urban space.
The Local Government shall be encouraged to adopt various options of Public Private
Partnership (PPP) in design, construction, maintenance and operation of road
infrastructure, public transport and services.
The GoPb shall encourage Local Governments to develop freight transport planning
guidelines, time limited movement strategies and regulatory framework for permissible
weight limits.
The Local Government will develop mandatory safety audit system as part of each
transport infrastructure project to ensure road safety of the road users and frame
regulations and rules under proposed road safety legislation such as:
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Driver’s training;
Road safety;
Women and children mobility;
Pedestrian mobility; and
Other transportation issues as required
(xi) Standardization
The GoPb shall develop and encourage Local Government to adopt standardized uniform
procedures, guideline and codes while planning, designing and implementing transport
infrastructure and services projects.
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1) Federal Finance
In the Federal budget for 2009-10, a total expenditure of PKR 2,877 billion was estimated
for the full year, comprising of PKR 2,261 billion of current expenditure and PKR 616.5
billion of development expenditure. Among the major expenditure heads, interest
payments of PKR 647.1 billion were estimated. According to IMF in April 2010, Pakistan
has considerable general government debt which is 58.1 % of the country’s GDP. In the
last decade, however, the Government has improved its finance structure. It is attested by
reduced debt servicing ratio in the federal budget, from 52.5 % in 2001-02 to 27.1 % in
2009-10. The second largest category was defence services, requiring PKR 343 billion.
In the Federal budget for 2009-10, net transfer of province was estimated at PKR 697.9
billion, where Punjab Province may receive 51-52 % of the total in compliance with the 7th
National Finance Commission (NFC) Award. From the Punjab Province’s viewpoint,
provincial finance largely depends on federal transfers. In fact, provincial own revenues
accounted for only 27 % in the Punjab Province budget for 2008-09.
Figure 2.2.1 Shares of Development Expenditure and Debt Servicing in Federal Finance,
2001-02 to 2009-10
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2) Provincial Finance
Similar to the federal finance, provincial finance of Punjab has expanded development
expenditure, i.e., 24.6 % of the budget in 2005-06 to 38.5 % in 2009-10. As results,
provincial development expenditure sharply increased from PKR 63 billion in 2005-06 to
PKR 175 billion in 2009-10 or by 2.8 times. Even taking rupee depreciation against US
dollar into account, provincial development expenditure substantially increased from USD
1,055 million equivalent to USD 2,101 million equivalent during the same period.
In the development expenditure categories, urban transport related public spending may
be absorbed into “roads” especially for provincial roads or “urban development” for minor
urban roads and terminal facilities or “special infrastructure”.
Special infrastructure comprises two major projects, i.e., Lahore Ring Road (LRR) and
Lahore Rapid Mass Transit System (LRMTS). The projects under this sector cater for
major urban transportation and mass transit needs in the provincial metropolis. These
projects, owing to their potential impact on economic growth, are placed as a separate
sector under present Medium Term Development Framework (MTDF) in Punjab.
In the 2010-11 Development Programme, PKR 19,121 million is budgeted for the Special
Infrastructure Sector including approved 23 contracts or equivalently PKR 4 billion for LRR.
No specific contract is recorded in order to disburse the rest budget of over PKR 15 billion
for both LRR and LRMTS. In the MTDF 2010-13, subsequent budget allocation is planned
for the Special Infrastructure Sector, i.e., each PKR 20 billion for the years 2011-12 and
2012-13, respectively.
200
Pak Rupees (Billion)
150
66% 75%
67% 75%
61% 67%
100
50 11% 1% 1%
15% 5% 5%
27% 18% 5%
4%
3% 4% 18% 19% 20%
11% 14%
- 10%
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Financial Year
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CHAPTER 2 – CURRENT TRANSPORT SITUATION, PROBLEMS AND ISSUES
- “Budget for financial year 2010-11 is being presented in the backdrop of difficult
and challenging security situation; sluggish economic growth; persistent
inflationary trends; ever increasing resource requirement for rehabilitation,
improvement and up gradation of existing infrastructure; a substantial salary
increase for public sector employees; a greater demand and emphasis on the
development and implementation of social security net etc.” (p.1)
From the table above, the following amounts are notable and related to this Project:
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Four (4) Lahore transport related items are found in the table below:
a) Roads (in Infrastructure Development): PKR 32 billion,
b) Urban Development (in Infrastructure Development): PKR 9 billion,
c) Transport (in Services Sectors): PKR 1 billion,
d) Special Infrastructure (Special Programme/ Packages): PKR 19 billion
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The road projects for Year 2010-11 in Lahore are shown in Table 2.2.11. Location of these
projects is shown in Figure 2.2.3.
Budgets 2010-11 for urban development related to Lahore are presented in Table 2.2.12.
Location of these projects is shown in Figure 2.2.3.
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Figure 2.2.3 Location of Road and Urban Development Projects, Budget 2010-11
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National Highway and Motorway Police (NHMP) controls traffic on the national highways
together with Punjab Highway Patrol. National Transport Research Center (NTRC) makes
nation-wide transport plans and strategies as well as transport-related researches. NOTC
conducted “Pakistan Transport Plan Study” in 2005-2006 with the technical cooperation
by JICA.
2) Provincial Government
As of April 2010, there are 42 Departments and Boards in the GoPb and out of which the
following four Departments are responsible to transportation administration and
transportation infrastructure development:
A)
Planning and Development Department (P&D)
B)
Transport Department (TD)
C)
Communication and Works Department (C&W)
D)
Housing, Urban Development and Public Health Engineering Department (HUD &
PHED)
The GoPb P&D is the principal planning organization at the Provincial level. It coordinates
and monitors the programs prepared by the Provincial departments concerned with
provincial development. The department also prepares an overall provincial Five Years
Plan and the Annual Development Program. It acts as a catalyst between different
departments in order to improve the pace and quality of economic development in the
Province. The main objectives of the Planning and development department are:
Assessment of the material and human resources of the province and formulation of
long and short term plans.
Recommendations concerning to prevailing economic conditions, economic policies
or measures. Examination of such economic problems as maybe referred to for
advice.
Coordination of all economic activities in the Provincial Government.
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Urban Unit (UU) was set up under the P&D Department in 2006 with the purpose of urban
development research, improvement of urban traffic, study of solid waste treatment policy
and policy making for water supply and sanitation system.
The C&W Department is responsible for establishment of road and bridge design standard,
planning, designing, construction, improvement and maintenance of roads, bridges and
causeways, management of toll road inclusive of leasing of roadside land, inspection of
roads and materials and training of civil works. Under this department, there are Project
Management Unit (PMU), Lahore Ring Road Office (LRR) and District Support and
Monitoring Department (DSMD).
Lahore Development Authority (LDA) was established under Housing and Urban Physical
Development Department (HUPDD) based on the LDA Act 1975 and in charge of
management of the comprehensive development plan of Lahore, management of the
building code and regulations and development of poverty areas. LDA established the
Traffic Engineering and Planning Agency (TEPA) in 1987 based on LDA Act 1975, aiming
at playing all the roles concerning traffic management and transport planning.
PTA has local offices named Regional Transport Authorities (RTA), one of which is Lahore
District Road Transport Authority (LDRTA). LDRTA was established in 2001, based on
Provincial Motor Vehicles Ordinance 1965. LDRTA was originally responsible for
management of public transport and issuing all the public transport. However, since PTA
became responsible for city bus licensing by Provincial Motor Vehicle Act 2005, LDRTA
has issued licenses only to mini-buses. LDRTA has 28 staff, headed by the District
Coordination Officer (DCO).
Lahore City District as well as other three mega-cities has three tiers: the City District
Government (CDG), the Town Municipal Administration (TMA), and the Union
Administration (UA).
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When setting up the City District Government and TMA, two important principles have
been kept in mind (according to www.lahore.gov.pk/city-government/overview):
ensure that the business of the District Coordination groups of officers is carried out
in accordance with the law;
coordinate the activities of the groups of officers for coherent planning and
synergistic development;
exercise general supervision over programs, projects and other activities;
coordinate the flaw of information required by the Zila Council;
act as principal accounting officer for the CDG;
call for information and reports from local governments in the district;
assist Zia Nazim in accomplishing administrative and financial discipline and
efficiency
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Ministry of Railway
Pakistan National Railway (PNR)
Ministry of Defense
Cantonment Boards (CantB)
Provincial Level
Secretaries of Union
Councils (UCs)
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ensure that the business under his administrative control is carried out in
accordance with the law and that the resources placed at his disposal are optimally
utilized;
supervise the activities and ensure efficient service delivery;
supply information to the Monitoring Committee;
take corrective actions based on the information received from the Monitoring
Committee;
enforce relevant laws and rules;
prepare development plans and propose budgets;
Implement approved plans and policies;
authorize disbursement bonuses to employee;
prepare proposals from programs, projects and other activities;
propose relevant bye-laws on service delivery to the DCO; and
act as Departmental Accounting Officer.
In Lahore, some agencies such as LDA, TEPA, Water and Sanitation Agency (WASA) and
the LDRTA report to either the DCO or Zila Nazim. In addition, there are eleven EDOs
responsible for the following subjects: Revenues, Health, Education, Agriculture,
Community Development, Finance and Planning (F&P), Law, Information Technology,
Literacy, Municipal Services (MS) and Works and Services (W&S).
In this chapter hereunder, outlines inclusive of roles and staffing will be shown as for the
main organizations. Main information sources are:
In the next steps, the stated facts will be checked if they are still valid or correct and if
there are any outdated descriptions, they are to be updated.
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4) Functions
To regulate transport within their respective jurisdiction by assessing the Traffic
needs of passengers and goods transport.
To grant issue and renew the route permits to the transport vehicles plying in the
District (Region).
To classify various routes within District (Region).
To prepare time and fare tale of public service vehicles.
To issue and renew licenses to the Body Building Workshops.
Checking of traffic in their respective jurisdiction.
To grant/renewal of licenses of A, B, C and D Class stands.
To grant/renewal of licenses of Goods Forwarding Agencies.
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When it was created, TEPA was to perform all function and exercise all power of the
Authority with regard to traffic engineering and planning within the metropolitan area in
Lahore. TEPA was given 25 specific functions, among which the followings were main
ones:
Coordinate and prepare comprehensive transportation plan for the city (item b);
Plan, design and implement traffic engineering and traffic management programs (item c);
Define design standards, specifications and layout plans of roads (item d)
Monitor and undertake regular traffic on roads (item i)
Be responsible for the collection, analysis and publication of road accident data (item j)
Identify the needs of the pedestrians and the facilities as they may be provided (Item k)
Plan and design the public transport system for Lahore Metropolitan Area (Item l)
Undertake the management, design and maintenance of traffic signals, road signs and
road markings (Item m)
Design and maintain a parking policy and impose parking fee (Item n)
Require the concerned agency or authority to remove encroachments (Item u)
Make recommendations to Government with regard of Traffic Police (Item w)
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Finance, (ii) Traffic Engineering, (iii) Engineering Construction and (iv) Special Projects
(Figure 2.2.6). Number of Staff of TEPA as of December 2007 is shown in Table 2.2.15.
TEPA does not receive direct income from the transport sector, as original sources from
roadside advertisement charges or parking fees are no longer available. Roadside
advertisements have been taken over by the Parks and Horticultural Authority, and parking
by CDGL and the TMAs. This leaves behind departmental charges and fines to meet the
non-developmental expenses of the agency. The non-developmental expenses budgeted
for FY 2007/ 2008 amount to PKR 99 million, including PKR 23 million for staffing and
PKR 20 million for a new office building in Jubilee Town.
Director
General LDA
Chief Engineer
Assistant Director
(Engineering)
Source: TEPA/ Institutional Development of Traffic Management Unit for Ferozepur Road Pilot Project,12-2007
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Number of Post
Designation BPS Status P/S
2005/6 2006/7 2007/8 2009/10
Managing Director 20 Regular P 1 1 1
Chief Traffic Engineer 20 Regular P 1 1 1
Addl. Chie Engineer 19 Regular P 1 1 1
Director Traffic Engineer 19 Regular P 1 1 1
Director Engg. Const. 19 Regular P 1 1 1
Director (P&D) 19 Regular P - 1 1
Director Admin. & Fin. 19 Regular S 1 1
Director Admin. 19 Regular S - - 1
Director Finance 19 Regular S - - 1
Director Study 19 Regular P - 1 1
Dy. Director Headquater 18 Regular S 1 1 1
Dy. Director Engg. 18 Regular P 2 2 2
Dy. Director Electrical 18 Regular P 1 1 1
Dy. Director (P&D) 18 Regular P - 1 3
Dy. Director Engg. Const. 18 Regular P 2 2 2
Dy. Director Account 18 Regular S 1 1 1
Magistrate 18 Regular S - - 1
Magistrate 17 Regular S 1 1 -
Transport Economist 18 Project P 1 1 1
A.D. to M.D. 17 Regular S - 1 1
AD Admin. 17 Regular S - - 1
Litigation Officer/ Asst Regular S - 1 1
17
Dir.
Asst. Director Engg. 17 Regular P 6 6 7
Asst. Director Account 17 Regular S 1 1 1
Asst. Director 17 Regular S - - 2
Assistant Architect 16 Regular P - 1 1
Sub-Engineer 16 Regular P 7 6 12
Sr. Accountant 16 Regular S - - 1
Sub-Engineer 11 Regular P 8 8 10
Sub-Engineer 11 Project P 1 1 1
Circle Head Draft Man 16 Regular P - 1 2
Sr. Accountant 16 Regular S - - 1
Stenographer 12 Regular S 1 5 6
Stenographer 12 Project S 1 1 1
Draft Man 11 Regular P - 1 1
Junior Accountant 11 Regular S 1 1 1
D-E-O 11 Regular S - - 1
Assistant 11 Regular S 3 3 3
Supervisor 6 Project P 5 5 5
Junior Clerk 5 Regular S 2 5 9
Junior Clerk 5 Project S 4 4 4
Telephone Operator 5 Regular S - 1 1
Reader/ Junior Clerk 5 Regular S - 1 1
Electrician 5 Regular S 1 1 1
Driver 7 Regular S 1 1 1
Driver 5 Regular S 2 6 9
Driver 5 Project S 6 6 6
Naib Qasid 1 Regular S 2 4 3
Peon 1 Regular S - 2 5
Peon 1 Project S 4 4 4
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Number of Post
Designation BPS Status P/S
2005/6 2006/7 2007/8 2009/10
Chowkidar 1 Regular S - 4 4
Chowkidar 1 Project S 2 2 2
Dak Runner 1 Regular S - 1 1
Sweeper 1 Regular S 1 2 2
Total Number of Posts 74 104 135
Source: TEPA/ Institutional Development of Traffic Management Unit for Ferozepur Road Pilot Project,12-2007
In the urban transport sector, its projects include the development of a Manual for Uniform
Traffic Control Devices, an Urban Transport Study for the Province, and Ferozepur Road
Pilot Projects.
The Unit shall act as a technical wing of the P&D in urban matters and shall have the
following broad parameters of responsibility:
Shall provide technical advice and support in matters relating to urban planning
and development.
Shall coordinate with the WB for DPL, International Finance Corporation (IFC) for
PSP in WASA Lahore in matters related to project preparation, and execution.
Shall assist the P&D in evaluation and appraisal of projects programs and
schemes related to urban development, whether donor funded or ADP funded.
Shall carry out extensive data collection, data analysis and research on all issues
of urban development, especially in the five city District Governments in the
Province.
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Shall act as a resource bank for all the information, data, facts and figures relating
to urban sectors in the province.
Assist the P&D Department in preparation of project proposals and documentation
for donor funded projects.
Shall assist the GoPb in developing a sound and effective regulatory framework for
PSP in municipal services.
Shall act as a technical facilitation unit for the local governments, in matters
relating to urban development, service delivery, infrastructure and municipal
finance.
Shall provide technical assistance and guidance to the Local Governments in all
urban matters.
Any other work assigned by the Chairman P&D on matters related to Urban
Development.
3) Staffing
Project Director (1)
Cultural Heritage Specialist (1)
Urban Planner (1)
Junior Urban Planner (1)
Urban Economist (1)
Local Government Finance Specialist (1)
Water and Sanitation Specialist (1)
Solid Waste Management Specialist (1)
Costing and Tariff Specialist (1)
Urban Transport Specialist (1)
Institutional Development Specialist (1)
Communications Specialist (1)
GIS Expert (1)
Internees (10)
Supporting Staff
a. Admin officer (1)
b. Accountant (1)
c. Internal Auditor (1)
d. Stenographer (1)
e. Receptionist (1)
f. Office assistants (3)
g. IT Manager (1)
h. IT Assistant (1)
i. Drivers (3)
j. Naib Qasids (3)
k. Chowkidar (2)
l. Sanitary Worker (1)
Ten floating positions of ‘interns’ at the UU have been proposed. The interns would be
recruited from the market for a period of six months to a year in three categories.
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These interns would be working as assistants to the sector specialists/ Project Director
and would be selected from amongst the brilliant graduates in the fields of Engineering,
Town Planning, Economics, Business Administration, Information Technology and
Sociology etc.
These interns would enhance the output of the consultants; provide ‘skilled mind power’
for data collection, data analysis, research and studies etc, one of the key assignments of
the Urban Unit. It may be mentioned that provided the guidance, this kind of activities can
be performed very well by these interns and saves a lot of time of the more expensive
specialists for strategic work.
Last, but not the least, the Urban Unit would be disseminating knowledge skills and
expertise available in the country for dealing with urban issues, and narrowing the gap
between the academics and the implementers.
2.2.7 Housing, Urban Development and Public Health Engineering Department (HUD
& PHED)
HUD&PHED was created during August, 1972 by replacing West Pakistan Housing and
Settlement Agency with a single attached department of "Directorate General Housing
and Physical Planning" at Lahore. Later on Improvement Trust at Faisalabad, Gujranwala,
Multan, Rawalpindi, Sargodha and Murree with Social Welfare and Local Government
Department were placed under the administrative control of Housing and Physical
Planning (H&PP) Department during 1973.
The Department was renamed as Housing Physical and Environmental Planning (HP &
EP) in 1978 and Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) was created as its attached wing.
In 1996, Environmental Protection Agency was detached from Housing Physical and
Environmental Planning Department and was made independent provincial Department.
Finally Housing Physical and Environmental Protection Department was given the name
as Housing, Urban Development and Public Health Engineering Department
(HUD&PHED) in 1997 to depict Urban Development Authorities and Public Health
Engineering Department.
The Directorate General H&PP Punjab has been revamped as Punjab Housing and Town
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Planning Agency (PHATA) under the PHATA Ordinance, 2002. The said agency has been
effectuated w-e-f 01.04.2004 with the objective of rejuvenating the housing sector in
general and provision of shelter to shelter-less low income group in particular.
2) Budget
The C&W Department allocates funds under two heads i.e. development and
non-development. All development activities in the Rehabilitation and Building (R&B) as
well as Farm to Market Roads (FMR) sectors are carried out under the development
budget. Payment of establishment and maintenance activities are done under the
25-communications budget grant. The construction of government buildings both offices
as well as residential are carried out through budget allocations for the respective sector.
Buildings maintenance activities are done under the head 24-civil works budget grant. The
maintenance allocations are made according to yard stick which is based per 10 feet width
per kilometer for roads and on the basis of unit area for government buildings.
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Department, aiming at review and assessment of present bus routes, propose of new
routes, effective monitoring of bus operation and planning of other public facilities other
than rail transits.
1) Legal Framework
LTC was established under Section 42 of the Company Ordinance, 1984. Prior to
establishment, the Section 2 of Ordinance XIX of 1965 was amended by inserting the
following definitions.
• (1-A) “Area” means such as area or areas as are notified by the Government,
• (4-A) “Company” means the urban public transport company established under 43-A
• (43-A) “Urban Public Transport” means the urban public transport vehicles operating
under the regime of company with valid route permits within the area.
In addition, the following Chapter V-A was inserted in the Ordinance XIX of 1965.
• 72-(A) Company, --- (1) Government may establish a not-for-profit Urban Public
Transport Company limited by shares incorporated under the Section 42 of the
Companies Ordinance, 1984 in such area as the Government may determine, for the
provision of urban public transport and related services consistent with the
provisions of this Ordinance and the Company so established shall have perpetual
succession and a common seal and shall by that name sue and be sued.
2) Activities
According to a presentation material by the Company, its nature and responsibilities are
defined as follows:
• LTC shall be a corporate sector limb of the Go0vernment with the objective to plan,
provide, operate, enforce and regulate urban transport in the city of Lahore
• LTC shall enter into negotiations, understandings, agreements and contracts with
public and private persons/ entities
• LTC shall plan, align, classify and re-classify the routes
• LTC shall prescribe the criteria for operation of urban public transport
• LTC shall undertake and maintain such works as required for infrastructure related to
public transport, i.e. Bus Stops, Bus Bays Shelters, Terminals, Bus Lanes, Fleet
management systems, Control room(s), etc.
• LTC shall solicit and channelize subsidies/ concessions of the Government if any for
Urban Public Transport
• LTC shall survey, collect, classify, analyze, plan, circulate, distribute the data,
information, statistics relating to Urban Public Transport
• LTC shall be competent to establish and maintain contacts and relations with
companies, bodies, authorities, associations, societies and institutions throughout
the world for achievement of its objectives.
• LTC shall employ or engage the required services of its professionals for the
achievement of its objectives
• LTC shall be competent to obtain permits and other certifications in its name under
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Hire-purchase agreements for the public transport operating in its area of operations
• LTC shall survey, assess, purchase, lease and acquire under the law the immovable
properties required for the purpose of public transport.
(Omitted hereunder)
LTC has individual members and corporate members which are classified into four
classes: Class A to D. Class A members are nine founders of LTC and constitute the
Board of Directors, inclusive of Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, Secretary, Treasurer
and other five members of Secretary of Transport Department, Deputy Inspector General
Traffic Police of Lahore, District Coordination Officer/ Chairman DRTA of Lahore, Director
General of LDA and Private Sector Nominee. Members of Class B to D are the persons
fulfilling criteria of membership up to the satisfaction of the Board of Directors.
4) Organization
Figure 2.2.7 shows the organization of LTC. As of May 2010, LTC has about 40
employees out of which approximately 15 staffs are professionals of traffic surveys, data
analysis, demand forecast and transport planning.
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The summer season starts in April and continues till September. May, June and July are
the hottest months. The winter season lasts from November to March. December, January
and February are coldest months. Light rain fall happens during January and February.
Towards the end of June, monsoon starts and continues for about two and half months.
The maximum temperature touches around 50 degrees Celsius. Sometimes, minimum
temperature falls below zero degrees Celsius.
The terrain conditions are flat and gently sloping towards south and south-west directions.
There is no physical hindrance in the expansion of the metropolis except the Ravi River
and the Indian Border.
The Ravi River historically caused floods and consequently flood protection facilities were
constructed, including Mahmood Booti Bund (initially constructed in 1952, 8.8 km long),
Lahore Protection Bund (initially constructed in the early 1950s, 7.6 km long), Tie Bund
(constructed in 1979-80) and others. The local topography shows that flat lands located at
the north of the city center and across the river are very low and vulnerable against floods.
In recent years, the year 1988 flood seriously damaged Tie Bund of Lahore Protection
Bund and Shahdara Distributary Flood Bund. The year 1997 flood caused damages to the
Spur near Furrakhabad and Shahdara Flood Protection Bund.
The water right of Ravi River is given to India in accordance with the Indus Water Treaty.
Beside natural conditions, India operates Thein Dam, at the upstream of Madhopur
Barrage. It is therefore difficult for Pakistan to control river stream.
The Indian border lies at the eastern edge of district boundary. There are defense
restricted areas notified by the Army authorities. There is Niaz Baig Ammunition Depot
and its surrounding area with a radius of 11 km is regarded as prohibited area in
development.
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2) Local Administration
The administrative structure has been changed after promulgation of Local Government
Ordinance (2001). Districts, City Districts, Towns/ Tehsil and Union Council’s
Administrations have been created. Lahore was declared as City District and divided into
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six towns. In 2005, six towns were split to create nine towns in CDGL. Now, Lahore City
District comprises of following nine towns which are administrated by TMA. The Lahore
cantonment is separately governed by cantonment board and provision of core facilities is
the responsibility of Lahore Cantonment Board.
Today, Lahore District is spread over 1,772 km2: over 80 % of the total area is occupied by
three towns of Iqbal Town, Nishtar Town and Wagha Town.
Local Government Ordinance 2001 changed local administration. Before 2001, in urban
areas, local bodies which performed services1 were metropolitan corporations, municipal
corporations, municipal committees and town committees. In rural areas district and union
councils were performed functions. After 2001, major local level services have been
transferred to Local Governments. These include primary education, health, water supply
and sanitation. Three tiers of Local Government have been developed in the form of
district/city district, Town/ Tehsil and union administration.
Under the Punjab Development of Cities Act 1975, LDA was established in 1975 as a
successor body of Lahore Improvement Trust (LIT) which was established in 1935 under
Punjab Town Improvement Act 1922. The prime purpose of its establishment is to
introduce a comprehensive system of Planning and Development in order to improve
standard of living in Lahore. It is headed by a Director General (DG) and houses three
sections: 1) Urban Development, 2) WASA, and 3) TEPA. LDA under its first wing i.e. the
Urban Development is responsible for the planning, designing and development of various
projects in accordance with the functions of the Development Authority. Area jurisdiction
under LDA is over 2,000 km2, consisting of Lahore District and parts of areas of
Sheikhupura and Kasur Districts.
During the British Rule period, the city was expanded by 3 times, equipped with modern
urban infrastructure. Particularly for the second half of 19th century, urban development
was significant. Some remarkable events were recorded including the Bari Doab Canal
opened in 1859, Lahore Railway Station opened in 1861 and the first piped water supply
started in 1882.
1
It included provision and maintenance of roads, bridges, public buildings, water supply, hospitals and
school buildings.
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As to urban structure in 1900, two built-up areas were separated between expanded city
center and cantonment area. In the early 20th century, two built-up areas were further
expanded and combined in a form of conurbation. The city sought for new large
development lands southwards around Model Town.
Soon after the independence, Lahore experienced severe times, tackling with urban
rehabilitation, redevelopment and new development. The situations were brought about
from about 40 % of city’s populace migrated to India and a proportionate number of
refugees came to Lahore. LIT empowered under the Punjab Development of Damaged
Areas Act 1952 undertook numerous urban renewal and new development projects such
as Shah Almi, Gulberg, Samanabad, Upper Mall, etc.
During the period 1970s and 1980s, urban population exceeded 2 millions, forming
Lahore into a metropolis. Ferozewala in Sheikhupura District was urbanized as part of the
metropolis although major expansion trends remained to the south and southwest
directions.
In the last two decades, urbanization has shown more dynamics and is complex. It is
discussed in the next section.
Since the 1950s, urban development pace has been accelerated because of greater
accumulation of population and economy. Today, Lahore experiences mass urbanization
of over 1,000 hectares every year.
Figure 2.3.3 shows population density by zone and it implies urban directions in the Study
Area. As we define urbanized zones over 100 inhabitants per hectare, such urban zones
are concentrated in 7 towns, the northern edge of Nishtar Town and part of Ferozewala
Tehsil in Sheikhupura District.
As we define the zones from 20 to 100 inhabitants per hectare are partially settled such as
rural centers along inter-city roads and new housing areas adjacent to the urban zones,
the latter zones are found to be in many directions from the massive urbanized areas of
Lahore, i.e., to the north-west across the Ravi River, to the north beyond the Ring Road, to
the east along GT Road, to the southeast beyond the airport towards Barki and Bedian
Roads, DHA V, VI & VII, and Ghazi Road, to the south along Ferozepur Road and to the
southwest along Multan Road.
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Those urbanization trends are quite different from the Integrated Master Plan for Lahore
2021 which clearly directs urbanization towards south and southwest axis is inverted V
shape as shown in Figure 2.3.4. The gap can be explained by the following reasons:
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Source: DHA
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3) Housing Condition
Lahore city is facing severe shortage of housing. Although data are limited and not new,
two milestone statistics of 1980 and 1998 showed the situation. Majority of these housing
units comprised two to three rooms, with 3.0 inhabitants per room on the average. During
the period, the number of inhabitants per unit increased from 6.7 to 7.1 inhabitants. It is an
adverse phenomenon experienced in other countries where household size becomes
small as a city grows with economic development. Such household congestion is
attributed to high density urban areas in Lahore.
4) Urban Services
(i) Water Supply and Waste Disposal
The Household survey of 2007-08 indicates that 85 % people were using potable (tap)
water, and the rest 10 % people were dependent of their personal hand pumps. These
figures are not different from that of 1998, where 10 % population was using hand pumps
for drinking water.
WASA Lahore provides its sanitation services to very large number of people, i.e., 80 % of
the city population on 66 % of the city area, according to WASA Report 2005-06.
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5) Development Regulation
The Building Regulations 2005 was issued by the LDA which is responsible for a
coordinated process of planning and development in Lahore Metropolitan Area. Relevant
regulations with urban transport development are cited in the following:
The minimum right of way for minor roads is less than 20 feet (6 m).
However, existing roads are accepted as established at site in existing built-up areas. It
means that existing arterial, major and secondary roads designated by a statutory master
plan must be widened on an individual project basis when necessary.
a) Apartment buildings: one car space for every 1000 sft. of covered area subject to
minimum one car space for every housing unit and one motor cycle/ scooter
space for every housing unit.
b) Office, commercial including large stores and retail shops and hospitals: One car
space for every 1000 sft. of floor area and one motor cycle/ scooter for every 500
sft. of floor area.
Vehicle parking is regulated in other building types in a similar way except residential lots.
(iii) Areas Subject to Special Control (Section 96)
In addition to general requirements, the Building Regulation 2005 specifies some areas
subject to special control.
For example, a minimum building line (30 ft.) is required in case of properties abutting the
following 26 roads:
(1) Main Boulevard, Gulberg, (2) Stadium Road, Gulberg-III, (3) M.M Alam Road,
Gurberg-III, (4) Syed Hussain Shaheed Suhrwardi Road, (5) College Road, Gulberg,
(6) Main Market Road, Gulberg-II, (7) Park Road, Gulberg, (8) Gurumangat Road,
Gulberg, (9) Road from PACE to Chen One Junction, Gulberg, (10) Shabbir Ahmad
Usmani Road, (11) Ferozepur Road, (12) Jail Road and Gulberg Road, (13) Multan
Road, (14) Wahdat Road, (15) Raiwind Road, (16) Road behind Liberty Market to
Stadium Road, (17) Tollinton Market Shadman, Shadman Road, (18) Link M.M Alam
Road, (19) Link Road Main Boulevard Garden Town, (20) Link Road Main Market
Gulberg-II, (21) Qazi M.Esa Road Link, (22) Road from Firdaus Market to 37 Block-J,
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Gulberg-III, (23) U.B.D. Canal, (24) Campus Bridge U.B.D. Canal to Y-Junction, New
Garden Town, (25) Sher Shah Road, and (26) Main Boulevard, Shadbagh.
10 Roads are also designated for general commercial areas, including all types of retail
and wholesale commercial activities, offices, restaurants, showrooms, etc. These are:
(1) Multan Road, (2) Lytton Road, (3) Ferozepur Road, (4) Allama Iqbal Road, (5)
Shahrah-e-Quaid-e-Azam, (6) Temple Road, (7) Ravi Road, (8) G.T. Road (Baghbanpura),
(9) Sheikhupura Road from Octroi to the roundabout near Ravi Bridge, and (10) Shalimar
Link Road.
Due to roadside development, heavy urban traffic and substantial public transport needs
are expected on the above-mentioned roads.
The Study Area is expanded by 70% from Lahore District due to inclusion of parts of Kasur
and Sheikhupura Districts. Rural populace is still dominant in these two inclusion areas
and thus urban residents account for 66 % in the Study Area. The reason of inclusion of
these two areas into the Study Area is simply to compare the result with the
Comprehensive Study on Transportation System in Lahore conducted by JICA in 1991.
The population growth rate of 2.3 % is slightly lower than Lahore District.
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Table 2.3.3
Past Population Trends of Pakistan, the Punjab, Lahore Division and the Study Area
Area Census Population (‘000) Annual Growth Rate (%)
Area Description 1 1 1 1 1
(sq.-km) 1961 1972 1981 1998 2010 1951-61 1961-72 1972-81 1981-98 1998-10
Pakistan 796,096 42,880 65,309 84,254 132,352 168,258 2.43 3.90 2.87 2.69 2.02
The Punjab 205,345 25,464 37,607 47,292 73,621 93,682 2.17 3.61 2.58 2.64 2.03
Lahore Division 11,729 3,560 5,431 7,183 12,016 15,784 2.36 3.91 3.16 3.07 2.30
Lahore District 1,772 1,626 2,588 3,545 6,319 8,650 3.66 4.32 3.56 3.46 2.65
Kasur District 3,995 8542 1,1862 1,5282 2,376 3,016 1.16 3.03 2.86 2.63 2.01
3 3 3 3
Sheikhupura District 3,242 656 1,028 1,338 2,276 2,888 1.61 4.17 2.97 3.17 2.00
The Study Area 3,044 N/A N/A N/A 7,307 9,928 N/A N/A N/A N/A 2.59
Note 1: Census Year; Note 2: Lahore divided in to Lahore District and Kasur District; Note 3: Sheikhupura divided in to Sheikhupura
District and Nankana Sahib District in 2005.
Source: Punjab Development Statistics, 2010
It is noted that there are Data constraints at Tehsil level. After 1998 Census, all Towns in
Lahore, except Cantonment has the same population growth rates in the District, as
shown in Table 2.3.4 below.
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The share of urban population in Lahore District has always been in a narrow range
between 75 % and 85 %. Inline with rapid population growth, urban areas have been
expanding accordingly.
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Age profile in Lahore District is very much young like other Districts in Pakistan. The
population below 14 years old account for nearly 40 %. Within possible labor force age
group between 15 and 64, people less than 49 years are dominant.
The Lahore urban areas show a similar age profile where the possible labor force age
group is slightly weighted due to the accumulation of higher education facilities and other
reasons.
2) Labour Force
In Punjab Province, labour force (‘working’ plus ‘looking for work’) accounts for 31.8 % of
the provincial population during the period 2006-07. In the urban areas, an unemployment
rate of 7.5 % is rather high than that of 4.7 % in the rural areas. Recent provincial statistics
do not show district-level labor force. When working population had a share of 29.4 % in
the provincial population during the period 2003-04, its share was 21.8 % in Lahore
District due to the mass of students and other reasons. According to the labor survey done
by the Urban Unit during the period 2007-08, Lahore labor force is characterized as many
service workers by occupation type and social services and trade and commercial
activities by industry type as illustrated in Figure 2.3.7 and Figure 2.3.8.
45
40 38.8
35
30
Percent
25 19.5
20
13.1 11.2
15 10.4
10 6.1
0.9
5
0
Manager/administrator
Service worker
Occupation Workers
others
Professional/technician
Clerical
Skilled agricultural
Elementary
worker
Occupation
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2% Construction
8%
20%
Community, social,
personal services
8% Transport, storage,
communication
29% Finance, and business
Lahore District also shows considerable labour concentration on the manufacturing sector.
In 2004, the district has 1,454 factories with 118,450 workers. The share of manufacturing
workers in the province is 19.9 % which is much larger than that of population, 9.2 % in the
province. Locally prevalent manufacturing types are metal, machinery, textile and food
related.
3) Social Migration
According to 1998 Census, 897,129 migrants in urban Lahore were reported. It nearly
constituted 17.4 % of total urban population. There are two types of migration inflow, i.e.,
intra-provincial migration and international migration. In the census figure, 70.5 % of
intra-provincial migrants came from other districts while international migration accounted
for 17.2 %. In Lahore, primary reasons of in-migration are better economic opportunities
and larger high-quality educational facilities.
4) Education
Educational facilities are considered important social facilities and an indicator for human
development. In Punjab Province as a whole, various enrolment rates by education stages
during 2007-08 were estimated as follows:
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The 1998 Census indicated that the literacy rate of urban dwellers in Lahore District was
69.1 % which was higher than that of provincial urban average, i.e., 64.5 %. It is thus
supposed that enrolment rates of Lahore by education stages may be higher than the
above-mentioned provincial averages accordingly.
Lahore is known as an educational hub in the country. High schools and higher
educational facilities are concentrated in the city. The number of all types of students is
estimated at approximately 883 thousand. 651 thousand of which goes to high schools or
higher education facilities and they mostly need longer trips to the education places than
primary and middle school students.
In Lahore, there are 24 universities. 11 universities are relatively new since they
established after 1990. The largest university is University of the Punjab (30,000 students),
followed by University of Engineering and Technology, Lahore (16,000 students) and the
University of Lahore (11,500 students).
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The zonal population is depicted in Figure 2.3.10 indicating that zonal population mostly
lies around 40-80,000, with the exception of few large suburban zones, where population
exceeds 80,000 and further dis-aggregation was not possible.
The gross population density (total population / total zone area) is shown in Figure 2.1.11.
This reflects that highest densities are in and around the walled city area. However, some
zones in south model town, Township, Ghazi road and Shahdara areas also have
densities similar to the inner city areas.
The net 2010 population density (total zonal population/ built up area of the zone) as
shown in Figure 2.3.12 gives a more realistic picture of residential developments in the
Study Area.
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Figure 2.3.11 The Study Area 2010 Gross Population Density by Zone
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Figure 2.3.12 The Study Area 2010 Net Population Density by Zone
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The net density plot clearly demonstrates that the population is mostly concentrated
around the old city area in a concentric fashion, with the exception of linear developments
along major arterial roads in the Study Area. The population in the mostly built up area
around the city centre accounts for over 66 % of the Study Area population in
approximately 10 % of the Study Area. This signifies that the population density in Lahore
is still considerably lower than similar conurbation/ metropolis around the Asia region.
Figure 2.3.13 shows the age structure of the people living in the Study Area. Age groups
15-19 and 20-24 form the peak for both male and female due to the inflow of young
students and workers into Lahore.
Figure 2.3.14 illustrates the distribution of household size in the Study Area. The average
household size as of 2010 has been anticipated to be 5.62 persons per hundred.
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Table 2.3.8 The Study Area 2010 Employment by Zone of Residence (‘000)
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The unemployment level in the city remains very high, and exceeds those employed by
about 27 %. The main conclusion to be drawn is that unemployment is almost 99 %
among female residents. This is illustrated in Figure 2.3.16 for each zone in the Study
Area and is summarised in Table 2.3.9.
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Unemployment
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Table 2.3.10 LUTMP 2010 Vehicle (Car and Motorcycle) Owning Households
2010 Household (HH)
Total % % Car and
District Town/ Tehsil Car % Car M/ Cycle
2010 M/Cycle M/ Cycle
Owning Owning Owning
HH Owning Owning
HH (000) HH HH
(000) HH HH
Ravi Town 172.8 13.1 7.6 80.9 46.8 54.4
Data Gunj Bakhsh 173.4 30.9 17.8 90.1 52.0 69.8
Samanabad Town 175.5 39.9 22.7 88.2 50.3 73.0
Shalamar Town 144.7 18.3 12.6 75.1 51.9 64.5
Gulberg Town 138.5 40.6 29.3 64.5 46.6 75.9
Lahore
Aziz Bhatti Town 121.6 20.2 16.6 60.5 49.8 66.4
Wagah Town 106.8 7.4 6.9 46.2 43.3 50.2
Nishter Town 161.9 14.4 8.9 66.2 40.9 49.8
Iqbal Town 177.1 49.6 28.0 60.9 34.4 62.4
Cantonment 161.3 64.2 39.8 54.4 33.7 73.5
Ferozwala Tehsil 98.4 8.8 8.9 34.7 35.3 44.2
Sheikhupura Muridke Tehsil 44.8 3.0 6.7 12.6 28.1 34.8
Sharaqpur Tehsil 27.9 4.0 14.3 9.4 33.7 73.5
Kasur Tehsil 28.1 6.4 22.8 5.8 20.6 43.4
Kasur
Pattoki Tehsil 33.2 1.8 5.4 8.2 24.7 30.1
Lahore 1,533.6 298.6 19.5 687.0 44.8 64.3
Sheikhupura 171.1 15.8 9.2 56.7 33.1 42.4
Kasur 61.3 8.2 13.4 14.0 22.8 36.2
The Study Area Total 1,766.0 322.6 18.3 757.7 42.9 61.2
Source: JICA Study Team
Motorcycle ownership in the Study Area exceeds 42 % of all households. The motorcycle
ownership is more dominant in the inner city towns of Data Gunj Baksh, Samanabad and
Shalamar towns, where it exceeds 50%. The motorcycle ownership is also dominant in the
rural areas, as it is the only means of transport for the isolated villager and farmer. In
Lahore around 45 % households are owning one or more motorcycles on average, and it
is about 30% lower in Sheikhupura and about half in the district of Kasur. It is estimated
that there are about 850,000 motorcycles in the Study Area. In total there are about 1.2
million vehicles in the Study Area. Figure 2.3.18 illustrates the motorcycle owning
households by the Study Area zones.
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Table 2.3.11 presents the household income results of HIS. The data has been
aggregated into three income groups: low, medium and high. It is interesting to note that
there are similar number of households in low and high income groups (381,000 ~ 22 %)
and 430,000 ~ 24 %).
The middle income group accounts for just over 54 % of all households, with an average
income of around PKR 20,000 (USD 250) per month. When converted to income per
capita, it amounts to just over PKR 3,500 per month or USD 1.4 per day per person, rather
low income on per capita basis by international standards. However, when compared with
Pakistan GDP per capita, it shows that the survey results are quite consistent.
Household income varies considerably between areas of Lahore. Highest income group
lives in Cantonment, where high income group amounts to 44 % of households. The other
richer areas are Gulberg and Samanabad. As anticipated, the outskirt areas (mostly rural
Wagah and Nishtar towns) have lowest proportion of high income household.
Household income in the areas of two adjoining districts is lower than those of Lahore. In
both of these districts the high income group is less than 20 % of the total households,
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Figure 2.3.20 LUTMP 2010 Household Income Distribution by the Study Area Zone
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The low income households (those earning <= PKR 10,000 /month) who moved home
within the last five or ten years to the Study Area Town/ Tehsil are summarised in Table
2.3.12. Close to one third of all low income households moved home to the Study Area
over the last ten years, whereas, those who moved within the last five years is about
one-fifth of all low income households. This amounts to about 4 % of total households of
the Study Area. The area-wide distribution of households which moved to the Study Area
is above 30 % for most areas of Lahore Towns and adjoining areas of Sheikhupura District.
In case of Kasur District the low income household movement is close to half of all those
who moved in the Study Area. This would illustrate that the tendency of low income
household to move, is to the areas in concentric fashion around city centre, and as
adjoining Tehsil areas of Pattoki and Kasur are farther away, the migration is much lower
than the adjoining Tehsils of Sheikhupura District.
The low income households who moved over the last 5 or 10 years are also shown at
zonal level in Figure 2.3.22 below. The five and ten year movement figures below, clearly
depicts the low income household growth areas over the past five to ten years are mostly
around (say within 10~20km radius) central Lahore, and very much limited to the outskirts,
to the east and west/ south-west of Lahore.
By comparison, household with high income (Household’s earning > PKR 30,000 /month)
have more tendency to move homes. Table 2.3.13 provides a summary of all high income
households which moved home over the last five or ten years, with destination in the
Study Area Towns or Tehsils. The favourite destination towns for high income group were
urban area of Cantonment, and rather greener outskirt towns of Aziz Bhatti and Iqbal
Towns in Lahore District. The adjoining areas of Kasur Tehsil also attracted more than
50 % of household, of high income households who moved, albeit the numbers are rather
small and account for less than 0.3 % of total households of the Study Area. Overall 56 %
of all high income households moved home over the last 10 year. This illustrates a
considerable movement of households with changing economic and job environment.
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Table 2.3.12 LUTMP 2010 Low Income Household Who Moved Home
over the Last 5 or 10 Years to the Study Area
Low Income HH Low Income HH
Total
who moved within who moved within
last 5 years last 10 years Low
District Town / Tehsil Income
% of Total % of Total HH
HH HH
Low Income Low (000)
(000) (000)
HH Income HH
Ravi Town 6.3 18 12.4 36 34.4
Data Gunj Bakhsh 5.3 21 7.6 30 25.1
Samanabad Town 5.0 25 7.5 38 20.0
Shalamar Town 4.1 16 6.3 25 25.6
Gulberg Town 2.1 20 3.5 33 10.6
Lahore
Aziz Bhatti Town 6.5 22 10.7 36 29.9
Wagah Town 6.5 18 11.1 31 35.4
Nishter Town 9.8 19 16.3 32 50.9
Iqbal Town 7.8 20 13.0 33 39.1
Cantonment 5.1 27 6.5 35 18.6
Ferozwala Tehsil 7.6 19 12.3 31 39.9
Sheikhupura Muridke Tehsil 3.7 20 6.0 33 18.4
Sharaqpur Tehsil 1.5 19 1.9 24 7.9
Kasur Tehsil 1.0 9 1.6 15 10.6
Kasur
Pattoki Tehsil 1.5 10 2.7 17 15.5
Lahore 58.5 20 94.9 33 289.6
Sheikhupura 12.8 20 20.2 31 65.6
Kasur 2.5 10 4.3 16 26.1
The Study Area Total 73.8 19 119.4 31 381.3
Source: JICA Study Team
The zonal distribution of low and high income group households who moved over the last
five or ten years are shown in Figures 2.3.22 and 2.3.23 respectively, for both five and ten
years. The majority of the movement of high income group households have been to DHA
Lahore, Cantonment and areas along the Canal (various very high-end income gated
communities) and also the areas of Raiwind. Some areas of DHA and along the Canal
show that all the movement is over the last ten years and the entire household who moved
are from high income group. Additionally, it can also be seen that during the period of five
to ten years how the movement of high income household is static in some areas,
particularly to the south-west direction.
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Table 2.3.13 LUTMP 2010 High Income Household Who Moved Home
over the Last 5 or 10 Years to the Study Area
High Income HH High Income HH
who moved within who moved within Total High
last 5 years last 10 years Income
District Town/ Tehsil
% of Total % of Total HH
HH HH
High High (000)
(000) (000)
Income HH Income HH
Ravi Town 3.5 11 6.9 22 31.8
Data Gunj Bakhsh 5.2 12 8.4 20 43.0
Samanabad Town 13.2 22 20.2 34 59.0
Shalamar Town 4.2 13 8.4 27 31.3
Lahore Gulberg Town 7.5 14 13.0 24 53.1
Aziz Bhatti Town 6.6 29 11.5 51 22.6
Wagah Town 2.3 18 3.7 30 12.5
Nishter Town 3.8 18 6.7 31 21.5
Iqbal Town 16.1 30 28.6 53 53.5
Cantonment 23.1 33 36.1 51 70.8
Ferozwala Tehsil 1.2 12 1.7 17 10.3
Sheikhupura Muridke Tehsil 0.3 7 0.9 20 4.6
Sharaqpur Tehsil 0.6 11 0.8 14 5.7
Kasur Tehsil 4.3 57 5.0 67 7.5
Kasur
Pattoki Tehsil 0.3 9 0.5 15 3.3
Lahore 85.5 21 143.5 36 399.1
Sheikhupura 2.1 10 3.4 17 20.6
Kasur 4.6 43 5.5 51 10.8
The Study Area Total 92.2 21 152.4 35 430.5
Source: JICA Study Team
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Figure 2.3.22
Low Income Household Movement by HIS Zone over the last 5 and 10 Years <5 years>
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Figure 2.3.22
Low Income Household Movement by HIS Zone over the last 5 and 10 years <10 Years>
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Figure 2.3.23
High Income Household Movement by HIS Zone over the last 5 and 10 years <5 years>
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Figure 2.3.23
High Income Household Movement by HIS Zone over the last 5 and 10 years <10 years>
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Figure 2.4.1 Lahore Study Area Surveyed Road Network as Defined by Agencies
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The RIS surveyed 64km of Motorways, about 430 km of Trunk and Primary Roads and
other road lengths as specified in the table below.
In addition to private vehicles such as motor cycles, cars and trucks, the public transport
modes of Lahore include:
Many auto rickshaws are being changed from 2-stroke-cyle to 4-stroke-cyle engines and
from petrol to Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) operation to reduce air and noise pollution
in the city.
Figure 2.4.3 Traffic Congestion at Qartaba Chowk (Intersection) in the Central Lahore
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Daewoo City Buses provide intra-city and inter-city transport for the masses. Though
these buses are fewer in number, they are air conditioned and provide better comfort to
passengers. In addition to these two major companies, there are several other smaller
companies (New Khan Metro, Niazi etc.) that provide services within Lahore. These cover
only particular routes and are limited in number. The urban bus operation is regulated
through LTC, setup by the GoPb.
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(3) Motorization
In 2008, 1.9 million motorized vehicles were registered in Lahore District. Lahore has
witnessed a number of transport problems due to somewhat rapid motorization. In fact,
motorization in Lahore is acute. The number of registered vehicles in Lahore District
sharply increased by 294 % between 2001 and 2008, higher than the provincial
motorization trend, i.e., 212 % during the same period. Among vehicle types, Lahore
citizens nowadays show a strong preference for motorcycles, which increased at much
faster rate, by 483 % during the same period and accounted for 136 units per 1,000
residents in 2008. This rapid growth is illustrated in Figures 2.4.7 and 2.4.8.
Table 2.4.2 below shows the number of registered vehicles with District Regional
Transport Authority (DRTA), for all districts of Lahore division. Around 1,950,000 vehicles
are registered within the Lahore district area, to be compared with only 34,000 and 52,000
for Kasur and Sheikhupura. Motorcycles make up for more than half (56 %) of all
registered vehicles, while cars represent one third of registered vehicles in Lahore.
Due to such rapid rate of motorization, the number of motorized vehicles per 1,000
residents substantially increased from 95 vehicles in 2001 to 238 vehicles in 2008.
International experiences imply that such sharp trend may not continue for a long period.
Compared with advanced Asian cities such as Tokyo and Seoul, vehicle ownership in
Lahore has already reached the saturation range over 200 vehicles per 1,000 residents.
However, Lahore differs from these cities in vehicle composition; motorcycles are
dominant in Lahore with a 57 % share, while passenger cars are dominant in Tokyo and
Seoul with a marginal role of two wheelers.
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Table 2.4.2 Number of Motor Vehicles (‘000) ‘Registered’ as of 30th June 2008
Districts Lahore
Registered
Nankana Division
Vehicle Type Lahore Kasur Sheikhupura
Sahib* Total
Cars, Jeeps and
638 0 0 4 642
Wagons
Motorcycles 1,110 6 2 21 1,140
Trucks 16 0 0 1 17
Delivery Vans 40 0 0 0 41
Buses 33 0 0 1 34
Taxis 12 0 0 0 12
Auto-Rickshaws 66 1 0 2 70
Tractors 29 26 0 23 77
Others 1 0 0 0 2
Total 1,945 34 3 52 2,034
*Note: Nankana Sahib became a District in 2008
Source: Punjab Development Statistics, 2009
Lahore
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Two-wheeler patronage may shift to public transport usage with the provision of attractive
public transport services and the imposition of stricter policies to two wheelers such as a
local ban on riding two wheelers within Central Business Districts (CBDs), as China did
this in late 1990s. On the other hand, a shift from two wheelers to private cars may
happen only when considerable income increase occurs.
Accidents Casualties
Year
Total Fatal Non-fatal Total Killed Injured
2005 806 394 412 982 432 550
2007 759 443 316 1,003 455 548
Source: Punjab Development Statistics, 2007 and 2009
Intersections/ Junctions: There are four major types in Lahore city: grade separation,
intersections with traffic signals, roundabouts and priority / uncontrolled junctions. Each
type has pros and cons in terms of traffic management. Intersections with traffic signals
can cope with heavy flows with small turning movements. In Lahore, however, traffic
police is assigned at major intersections to ensure smooth traffic flows. It is reported that
an area-wide traffic control system by means of synchronizing traffic signals and central
signal control and management within a certain urban area has not been introduced yet.
Other Traffic Management Issues: They are restriction and rationalization of on-street
parking, restricting roadside encroachment by vendors and allocating safe and
comfortable pedestrian sidewalks and crossings. Those issues do not necessarily address
to capital-intensive infrastructure development. Instead, institutional coordination among
relevant government agencies and public involvement and awareness are keen to
improve the situations for efficient and safe road space utilization.
ITS solutions: may become more attractive in the city. Possible options are Electronic Toll
Collection (ETC) and vehicle On Board Unit (OBU) with wireless transaction or touch-less
smartcard for ticketing to smooth traffic flow, car navigation services through OBU and
message sign board, efficient transfer between public transport modes and between car
2
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The first bus service in Lahore started in the beginning of the 20th century with the
introduction of the Omni Bus Company by the then British government, plying Mall Road
to connect the major buildings and government offices. Model Town, built during the
1920’s decade, also started a bus public transport service connecting the town to the rest
of Lahore. However, as Lahore is characterized by a mixed land use of homes, work
places and bazaars within a short distance, walking remained the most common mode of
transport and horse-drawn carriages (tonga) were the main urban public transport mode
until the late 19th century.
Urban and inter-urban public transport services have historically been owned and
operated by the provincial governments in Pakistan. The Omni Bus service was a public
monopoly and expanded both in organization and resources over time.
After Independence
Following the First Five Year Plan, The Second Five Year Plan (1960-1965) encouraged
the development of roads and road-based public transport over railway. By pushing
private companies to engage towards public transport due to high demand, it led to the
development of private wagons along assigned routes. In the seventies public transport
became fully deregulated, which also allowed the private sector to compete with public
bus companies. However, this measure did not meet the expectations as public
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companies were given the priority over private ones in the allocation of routes.
The Punjab Road Transport Corporation (PRTC) was established in 1977 to provide
efficient, adequate, economical, and coordinated public intercity transport services in the
province while the Punjab Urban Transport Corporation (PUTC) was established to
develop and maintain urban and intra-city bus services. PUTC took over the existing
public-owned Omni Buses, and, following a study of Lahore bus system conducted by
Volvo in 1980 which led to recommendations toward a continued mix between public and
private companies, expanded its fleet with a gift of 350 Volvo buses from the Swedish
government. However, even with new buses, the PUTC fleet was too small to provide
adequate bus services. As PUTC lacked investment capabilities, it started a leased bus
scheme in an effort to attract the private sector – invest in intra-city public transport
system.
These efforts eventually proved unsuccessful as the level of bus services degraded and
no buses were purchased after 1989. PUTC was disbanded by the government in 1998.
Despite the priority given to road-based public transport services over urban rail for both
urban and inter-urban movements, the policies and efforts undertaken after the
independence achieved little success in the improvement and quality of public transport in
the centre of Punjab.
The public transport administration, policy making and planning in Punjab is coordinated
by the Transport Department, which was established in 1987 under the West Pakistan
Motor Vehicles Ordinance 1965. It is responsible for the licensing of ‘high-occupancy’
large bus services in Lahore and other large cities, and of public transport services outside
the major cities of Punjab through the PTA. Minibus routes are granted by the Lahore
DRTA, which was established in 2001 by the Punjab Transport Department, and reports to
the CDGL and PTA.
However, in the 2000s the government’s attention shifted to other projects (road projects,
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rail based public transport (LRMTS), and 4-stroke rickshaws), and as the bus system in
Lahore received little consideration the improvements seen since 1999, failed to continue
and the situation started worsen since 2006-07. The number of large buses in operation
has decreased considerably since 2005 due to poor maintenance, lack of investment, and
somewhat unfair competition with the other road-based modes (Wagons). Between 2005
and 2009 no operator entered the market and no additional bus had been added to the
depleting fleet.
While the number of buses declined and private operators were unable to meet the overall
demand, the services of public transport were provided by smaller, private vehicles such
as Wagon, Rickshaw and Qingqi, which have had a significant growth in the later half of
the last decade.
In an effort to improve the situation of road-based public transport, the LTC, a state-owned
company, was established in December 2009, taking over the infrastructure and regulation
responsibilities from the Lahore DRTA.
LTC is primarily a regulatory body and is now the sole organ responsible for custody of all
transport infrastructures in Lahore and its operations through a network of private
operators. Infrastructures include bus stops, shelters, bays, depots and terminals, while
the regulation and operational aspects cover service routes and the buses provided by
and operated through a network of private operators.
Bus service are currently (2010) provided by a fleet of about 250 to 300 buses, almost all
of which are older than 2004. However, LTC planned to introduce 2,000 buses within 2010
with the help of 20 % upfront capital cost for new and old subsidies, refurbished buses and
to operate the currently non-operated routes. While LTC has law enforcement capabilities
and eventually intends to withdraw illegal vehicles (wagons, motorcycle rickshaws) from
official bus routes, it has raised several concerns among drivers.
The current operational bus routes are operated by 9 operators: Daewoo, Premier Bus
Service, BHK Transport (Sial Express), Makks, Niazi, ABC, Monolite Star, Baloch
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Wagon and bus routes should normally be controlled and enforced by DRTA/ LTC, but the
inefficiency of public-owned public transport has led to the multiplication of illegal
operation and forcing the private vehicle ownership even higher.
Mode share
Tables below show estimated mode share and trip-making in Lahore, by TEPA for 2007
and by the JICA Study Team for 2006 and 2011. The proportion of non-motorized (mostly
walk trips, and some bicycle trips) trips is high, at 45%, while the proportion of public
transport trips among motorized trips is around 35% (TEPA) to 38 % (LRMTS). This puts
the percentage of public transport share of motorised trips at around 51 % including trips
by Rickshaws. This has been declining over the years, due degradation of the Public
transport services, and the declining trend of public transport mode share has led to shift
of these trips in favour of mostly motorcycle and to some extent car trips, but considering
the growth of population and trip-making, the actual number of trips made by public
transport services will continue to increase over the next decade.
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Proportion
Mode Trips (,000) Proportion Excluding
Walk
Public Transport 3,409 19.3% 35.4%
Cars 2,894 16.4% 30.1%
Private Vehicles
Motorcycles / Bicycles 3,314 18.8% 34.5%
Mechanised Total (Excluding Walk) 9,617 54.5% 100%
Walk 8,050 45.5% -
Total 17,667 100% -
Source: TEPA, 2007
Operational Details
The table below shows the distance ranges and fares for bus and wagon routes.
Table 2.4.6 Bus and Wagon Fares, June 2010
Fare
Distance (km)
(PKR)
0–4 13
4.1 – 8 18
8.1 – 14 22
14.1 – 22 25
Source: Transport Department, 2010
Bus fares have significantly increased since the introduction of the franchised scheme, as
they had started at PKR 3 for the 0-3 km distance (representing more than twice the 1999
price when taking inflation into account). The cost of free of charge ridership is high, and is
estimated at 3.5 PKR/bus/km according to the Department of City and Regional Planning,
with 10 to 15 % of passengers who do not pay a fare.
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2.4.4 Railways
PR (Pakistan Railways) has only a limited role in urban transport of Lahore. It has various
kinds of problems in train operation, i.e. late running problems, lack of service, old-type
rolling stocks, obsolete maintenance equipment, and so on. Because almost all the trains
run late, normal urban railway passengers such as workers and students do not use
railway for short- to medium-distance travel.
The punctuality is the most superior point of railway, compared with other transport modes.
Therefore the lack of this important feature can be seemed fatal for public usage. The
current PR has been on a steady decline. PR (Pakistan Railway) has been a target of the
Government of Pakistan for reform, rationalization and privatization for a long time.
As the HIS, conducted in Phase-I of this study, focused on person trips in the future rather
than vehicle trips, the movements of goods vehicles was not captured as precisely by this
survey. However, traffic count surveys (cordon, screenline, vehicle occupancy, and traffic
counts at major intersections) provided estimates of the goods vehicles flows on the
network.
Larger trucks are banned from most of the roads in Lahore during daytime, and are only
allowed in specific areas. Table 2.4.8 below lists the existing truck terminals in Lahore.
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Freight Loading/
No. Inter-city Terminals City Terminals
Unloading Terminals
Lahore Railway Badami Bagh on
1 Badami Bagh
Station Ravi Link Road
Site close to the Railway Babu Sabu on
2 Bhatti Gate
Station Bund Road
Daewoo stand on
3 Airport
Ferozepur Road
4 Bund Road Dry Port
Source: Integrated Master Plan for Lahore, 2021
Although complete new traffic database has not been established at this stage of reporting,
this section attempts to make some historical comparisons between recent other survey
results and the year 1990 database. After the JICA study 1991, sporadic traffic count
surveys were conducted for several road projects while a city-wide traffic survey was done
in 2005 for the Lahore Rapid Mass Transit System (LRMTS) Feasibility Study. The LRMTS
database is quoted for historical comparison. As results, the historical comparison shows
the following characteristics; which are compared in Figure 2.4.10 and 2.4.11.
Expansion of urban transport activity area: The two transport studies illustrate existing
traffic demand maps on the city’s road network (see Figure 2.4.10 and 2.4.11). Although
detailed demand degree settings vary from each other, the two images differ in urban
transport area and it means the extension of urban transport area particularly to the east,
southeast and southwest directions as the city’s urban areas have considerably
expanded.
Road traffic increase: We observe 4-wheeler road traffic increase at all the comparable
lines and points between 1990 and 2005. However, increase rates vary from 149 % (6.2 %
p.a.) at the West Canal Screen Line to 752 % (15 % p.a.) at the Inner Southeast Cordon
Point. Significant traffic increase can be found at the fringe of urban areas due to acute
urbanization and densification of existing urban areas during this period.
Change in modal share: In 1990, bicycle, rickshaw and horse carriages took an important
role in urban transport. The 1990 HIS reported that they enjoyed a person trip share of
15 %. Due to their small passenger capacity and slow speed, such non-motorized
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transport means excluding walking occupied more road space than the modal share.
Nowadays the role of the old non-motorised modes is marginal and all animal drawn
modes have converted to rickshaws and in narrow urban streets to Qingqis.
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Inner East
Cordon
Inner Southeast
Inner Southwest Cordon
Cordon
Source: Comprehensive Study on Transportation System in Lahore, JICA, 1991 and LRMTS, 2006
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Table 2.5.1 Comparison of Screenline Crossing Flows since 1991 JICA Study
1991 JICA Study 2011 JICA Study Growth Per Annum (%)
Screenline All 2 4 All 2 4 All 2 4
Vehicle Wheel Wheel Vehicle Wheel Wheel Vehicle Wheel Wheel
Railway:
North of - - - 131,559 61,846 69,713 - - -
Ravi River
Ravi River 81,169 42,533 38,636 201,942 74,316 127,626 4.7% 2.8% 6.2%
Railway:
North of 277,332 201,627 75,705 525,867 310,993 214,874 3.3% 2.2% 5.4%
Canal
Railway:
South of 165,300 83,882 81,418 653,282 340,351 312,931 7.1% 7.3% 7.0%
Canal
Canal:
West of 439,877 212,790 227,087 828,521 362,421 466,100 3.2% 2.7% 3.7%
Railway
Canal: East
76,207 58,187 18,020 383,161 228,653 154,508 8.4% 7.1% 11.3%
of Railway
Note: 2 Wheeled Vehicles are Bicycles, Motorcycles and Animal Drawn Carts.
4 Wheeled vehicles included cars, wagons, buses, trucks.
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 2.5.2 to 2.5.5 show hourly variation of traffic volume on the Canal Screenline and
the Railway Screenline by direction and by vehicle type. Note that the traffic volume is the
total of all survey locations on the screenlines on these sections.
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On the Canal Screenline, motorcycle and car are the dominant mode although the number
of motorcycle is larger than that of car. Hourly traffic volume is distributed relatively equally
from morning till evening with unclear peaks in the morning and evening. For car, there is
a vague peak at around 1-2 o’clock.
On the railway screenline, the dominant mode is motorcycle. Car traffic is less compared
to the Canal screenline. Hourly traffic volume is also distributed relatively equally from
morning till evening. However, motorcycle has a peak around 8-9 a.m. for east to west
direction and around 18-19 p.m. for west to east direction. The traffic volume of trucks is
relatively large on this screen line.
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Figure 2.5.2 Hourly Variation of Traffic Volume on Canal Screenline (South to North)
Figure 2.5.3 Hourly Variation of Traffic Volume on Canal Screenline (North to South)
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Figure 2.5.4 Hourly Variation of Traffic Volume on Railway Screenline (East to West)
Figure 2.5.5 Hourly Variation of Traffic Volume on Railway Screenline (West to East)
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Table 2.5.2 Outer Cordon Traffic Volumes since 1991 JICA Study
In 1991, there was no cordon survey at the Wagah Border Crossing, so there are no
vehicles recorded at the Eastern Screenlines. In any case, the traffic volumes across the
border are very low. It is also important to note that the cordons are in different locations
between the two studies. A strict comparison is misleading, but serves as an indicator of
the changes in traffic volumes over time.
The current study has not surveyed an inner cordon, so there is not basis for comparing
the 1991 JICA Study inner cordon.
Figure 2.5.7 and 2.5.8 show hourly variation of traffic volume at the Cordons by direction
and by vehicle type. Note that the traffic volume is the total of all survey locations at
cordon.
On the cordon, the dominant mode is car followed by motorcycle then wagon. Hourly
traffic volume is distributed relatively equally from morning till evening. However, outbound
car traffic has a peak at around 11 a.m.
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Table 2.5.3 Number of Person Trips in the Study Area by Mode and by Trip Purpose, 2010
No. of Trips by Trip Purpose (‘000/day)
Travel Mode
To Work To School Private Business To Home Total
Bicycle 152 72 11 5 231 472
MC (Driver) 775 206 123 76 1,110 2,290
Private
Table 2.5.4 shows the daily trip rates (No. of trips divided by population). On average, the
residents in Lahore make 1.14 trips a day including walking or 0.76 trips a day excluding
walking. This is very low at almost half the level compared to other mega-cities in Asia
such as Manila, Ho Chi Minh and Jakarta. This may be attributed to the existence of
inactive female population and the high percentage of unemployment. Figure 2.5.9 further
shows the trip rate distribution by gender and by age group.
1.60
1.40
No. of Trips per Day
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
-
6 - 9 10 - 15 - 20 - 25 - 30 - 35 - 40 - 45 - 50 - 55 - 60 - 65 - 70 -74 75 +
14 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69
Age Group
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75 +
75 +
70 -74
70 -74
65 - 6 9
65 - 69
60 - 6 4
60 - 64
55 - 5 9
55 - 59
50 - 54 50 - 5 4
45 - 49 45 - 4 9
Age Group
40 - 44 40 - 4 4
35 - 39 35 - 3 9
30 - 34 30 - 3 4
25 - 29 25 - 2 9
20 - 24 20 - 2 4
15 - 19 15 - 1 9
10 - 14 10 - 1 4
5- 9 5 - 9
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
% of Trips % o f T r ip s
Car owning households naturally use cars more frequently, but they use motorcycles as
well because they often have motorcycles too, as presented in Figure 2.5.11. Motorcycle
is used mainly by motorcycle owning households and car owning households. Public
transport such as bus and rickshaw is important for non-vehicle owning households.
Modal shares do not change much depending on trip purpose. “To School” trips tend to
use buses more than other trips due to school bus services.
Others
Car/Van
MC
Bicycle
None
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Table 2.5.5 presents the total trip generations/ attractions by Town/ Tehsil. Data Gunj
Baksh and Gulberg attract a greater number of “To Work” and “To School” trips than trips
for the same purpose generated from the area. Shalamar, Samanabad, Aziz Bhatti are
typical residential towns where more “To Work” trips are generated than attracted.
13 Sharaqpur 11 9 15 1 23 59 10 8 10 0 29 57
14 Kasur 36 20 7 4 20 87 11 7 4 0 49 72
Total 2,223 1,290 644 223 4,103 8,483 2,302 1,299 665 223 4,021 8,509
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2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
No. of Trips ('000)
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Time Period (Hour)
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 2.5.14 Hourly Distribution of Trips by Trip Purpose (excluding walk), 2010
1,120
920
720
No. of Trips ('000)
520
320
120
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
(80)
Time Period (Hours)
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The tendency described above can be clearly seen in Figure 2.5.15. “To School” and “To
Work” trips make a sharp peak around 7-8 a.m. and “Business” and “Private” trips are made
mainly in the morning period. “To Home” trips are made relatively equally from 1-2 p.m.
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Time Period (Hours)
Source: JICA Study Team
Table 2.5.6 Number of Trips by Travel Time and Trip Purpose, 2010
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Figure 2.5.16 Average Travel Time and Distance by Travel Mode, 2010
Train
20
Bus
Car
15
Travel Distance (km)
M/C Truck
10
Bicycle
5
Walk
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Travel Time (min)
Figure 2.5.17 shows the result of LUTMP travel speed survey. Motorway and Lahore Ring
Road show high travel speed of above 50 km/h throughout the day. Circular Road, Mall
Road, Ferozepur Road and G.T. Road (east and north) show a relatively slow speed of 20
to 30 km/h throughout the day. This indicates the serious traffic congestion in the city
centre and along the north – south radial corridor of the city.
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Figure 2.5.19 shows the reason of mode choice. Albeit no large difference is seen by
mode, “No Other Choice” answer is significant for bus and rickshaw. For these modes,
“Convenience” was least selected.
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3.2
3.1
3.0
2.9
2.8
2.7
2.6
2.5
Note: 5-point evaluation – 5: very good, 4: good, 3: so-so, 2: bad and 1: very bad
Source: JICA Study Team
Others
Bus
Car
Rickshaw
MC
(Passenger)
MC (Driver)
Bicycle
Walk
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Many people answered “Much Worse” or “Worse” of current traffic situation as compared
to 5 years ago as shown in Table 2.6.2. The percentage is highest regarding congestion
followed by safety. It is clear that most people are frustrated with the current traffic
situation. Figure 2.6.2 illustrates the distribution of respondent households who answered
“very bad regarding traffic congestion. Its percentage is high around the city center and its
surrounding areas.
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Table 2.6.3 “Have you got involved in traffic accidents in the past 5 years?”
Response Number of Samples Percentage
Yes 3,416 19.3%
No 14,266 80.7%
Total 17,682 100.0%
Source: JICA Study Team
Traffic safety situation in Lahore is worsening rapidly. Figure 2.6.3 shows the distribution
of respondents who answered “Much Worse” of the current traffic situation as compared to
5 years ago. Its percentage tends to be higher in the city centre areas.
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Lahore citizen think that the reasons of this poor traffic safety are “Poor Road Condition”,
“Lack of Education”, “Increase of Traffic / Congestion”, “Poor Traffic Enforcement”, “Lack
of Facilities for Traffic Safety”, and so on as presented in Figure 2.6.4. It is noted that
“People’s Driving Manner” is not taken seriously as traffic safety. As to the behavior of
motorcyclist, people have generally negative impression such as “Very Bad” or “Bad”.
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Despite adverse views on the present bus/ wagon services, people generally agree to
the necessity of improving public transport as shown in Table 2.6.8. For the improvement
of public transport, improvement of bus services is considered most important.
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Development of air conditioned buses and rail based mass transit are also considered
as a necessity by the citizens of Lahore.
Table 2.6.9 “What types of public transport services must be improved? (Choose two)”
Mode Number of Samples Percentage
Taxi/ Rickshaw 3,208 10.1
Bus Services 11,447 36.1
Aircon Buses 7,056 22.2
Underground Railway 5,084 16.0
Elevated Railway 2,344 7.4
Railway 2,596 8.2
Total 31,735 100.0
Source: JICA Study Team
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also have a support to certain extent. Restrictive and economic measures on the use of
private vehicles (car and motorcycle) are unpopular, as summarized in Table 2.6.11.
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2) Encroachment
There is no segregation between markets and roads in Lahore. All roads are market
places in Lahore. LUTMP conducted RIS and recorded the extent of encroachment in
terms of percentage of road area illegally occupied within the right-of-way (RoW).
The Retail Encroachments are shown in Figure 2.7.2. The reasons will be:
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Other forms of encroachment result from the activities outside schools, industrial facilities,
hospitals and office spaces. Most of these are relatively minor, parking on main roads is
significant cause of encroachments, as shown in Figure 2.7.3.
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There is rarely parking all along the entire length of a road section. It is quite common to
see parking along 25 % to 50 % of the road section, where commercial activity is
prevalent.
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one is from the south end of the Canal Bank Road to the north-west over the Ravi River.
For the development of the city to the west of the Ravi River, additional bridges over the
Ravi River would be required.
For the balanced development of Lahore, all directional development should be sought
including road infrastructure development for smaller sub-centres, otherwise more people
will tend to travel to the city centre from a single (south-west Ferozepur Road) corridor
which is not sustainable.
1) Under-Development
It is estimated that there are 3.3 million passenger trips in the Study Area using public
transport (buses, wagons and other paratransit), whereas there are only 300 to 400 buses
(55 ft) are operated by 13 private companies. Evidently the public transport network is
under-developed and there is a great gap between the demand and provision of an
efficient and environment friendly public transport system. Despite a considerable
demand and several projects (Green, Orange, Blue and Purple Mass Rapid Transit lines),
there is currently no Rail-based Mass Transit (RMTS) line in Lahore.
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2) Fragmentation
Historically, the provincial governments in Pakistan have owned and operated intercity
and urban public transport services. However, over the years, the government, according
to the guidelines of the World Bank, advocated to encourage the private sector in
operating public transport. The decline of state-owned public transport services created a
vacuum that was filled by private operators in accordance with these guidelines. Initially,
the market was opened to private operators in parallel with public-owned public transport.
However, the availability of public transport has not grown at the same rate as the
population. Therefore, a large number of small private operators were permitted to fulfil
this gap in a fragmented way. As a result, a chaotic mass of individually-owned small
vehicles (Wagon, Qingqi, Rickshaw etc.) operate in Lahore, competing for road space.
3) Inadequate Management
Public transport organizations have a long history of deficiency in professional,
administrative, and financial capacity to manage public transport service planning. In the
absence of human resources, coordination, research, and financial capacity of public
transport institutions in Punjab, public transport has now become fully the prerogative of
the private sector as described in the previous paragraph. The incomplete routes, high
fares, fewer-than-needed buses, gender discrimination, and even absence of buses in
some places are common in the urban areas. Whole public transport is grossly
mismanaged with least objective of service provision, limited and inadequate condition of
the public transport facilities (including buses, bus terminals and bus stops) and chaotic
use of road space (leap frogging by Wagons) due to absence of proper government
regulations and enforcement. Public transport operation should be improved by extending
franchised bus operations on all major corridors and restricting small vehicles operations
on feeder routes. It will require emphasis on high-capacity buses (50+ seats) rather than a
multitude of small vehicles.
Actually there are currently many public transport vehicles operating without valid license
and or even registration. About 25 % of mini-buses operate without any valid documents.
It has also been reported that many wagons are operating without any registration, and
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that many do not follow the authorized route. Buses also suffer because of undue
competition with paratransit; there are wagons and coasters which provide licensed
services to neighbouring towns and, although they are not allowed to serve intra-urban
passengers, these compete illegally with bus routes by picking-up and dropping-off
passengers within Lahore district area.
4) Performance
Due to rapid motorization increase in traffic volume over the last two decades, the road
network has many congested sections along arterial roads, which increases travel delays
and reduces bus travel speeds, implying a less competitive public transport network,
especially in the CBD where commercial and trading activities are concentrated.
Current public transport services are suffering greatly due to irregularity. On certain routes
waiting times for the passengers are too long, whereas on certain routes buses wait for
the passengers to be filled. Such a situation prevails because of the fact that routing and
licensing is not based on passenger demand analysis but based on convenience of
operators and the regulator. Efficiency is acceptable on certain routes but reliability is poor,
there being no scheduling at all. Quality of public transport services, as reported by users
is illustrated in Figure 2.7.4.
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1) Traffic Laws
In general, traffic related regulations are insufficient, ineffective and obsolete; moreover,
enforcement of rules is quite weak. This generally implies a chaotic and an in-disciplined
traffic on roads, and therefore results in high rate of accident and even loss of life, injuries
and damages to the properties. This chaotic situation is exacerbated by the diversity of
the traffic in Lahore. The traffic laws are not though applied on pedestrians, cyclists,
animal-drawn carts and hand-pushed carts, even though these modes make up around
70% of the total road users. The typical traffic enforcement fines are quite low and are in
the range of around PKR 50 to 300. Also there are no appropriate punishments for
damaging the road infrastructure; and compensation for a death in a road accident is
around only PKR 10,000 with a third party insurance. Road safety is globally declining
resulting in increase in number of fatalities per year.
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Wide spread, encroachments of roadside, both permanent and temporary, reveal a lack of
parking policy in Lahore. Parking blocks sidewalks in many locations and inhibit both
pedestrian and vehicular flows. For instance, large Solid Waste Containers are placed on
main roads (as service roads are full with the parked vehicles). These obstruct traffic and,
while this procedure eases solid waste collection, it is clearly contrary to any modern
principles of traffic management. Due to encroachments, the slow modes and two
wheelers have to use higher speed lane which make travelling difficult and increase the
risk of accidents as well as traffic congestion. There is a strip commercial development
along most of the transportation corridors without proper offsets, set-backs, on and
off-street parking and access management as per the bye-laws; causing severe
encroachments and traffic congestion issues. Moreover, traffic police does not have the
adequate authority/ capacity or even interest to remove encroachments.
On the other hand, facilities for pedestrians and cyclists are either non-existent or
inadequate. These are the most vulnerable groups and are the victims of 50% road
accidents. Most sidewalks are in poor condition or encroached by parked vehicles or
commercial activities, garbage and hawkers forcing pedestrian to walk on the street and
therefore affecting traffic safety.
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weaknesses in the system is indeed relatively low priority to the maintenance of existing
infrastructure. Roads are completely dilapidated condition resulting in frequent pavement
failures and require full rehabilitation. Road maintenance is generally ignored till
reconstruction becomes due. Secondary and tertiary road/ drainage networks in lower
income parts of the city have been neglected and become impassable in the rainy season
for pedestrians and vehicles alike, as shown in Figure 2.7.6.
4) Traffic Control
Traffic control devices include traffic signs, signals, road marking and other devices
(cameras) are used and are key elements for managing traffic flow. There is no standard
practice of using uniform traffic control devices in the Punjab. The only Manual for Uniform
Traffic Control Devices available is the National Transport Research Centre (NTRC)
Manual for Signs, Signals ad Markings (1989), which has never been updated.
Furthermore, there are many gaps and missing areas in the NTRC Manual e.g. work zone
area, school children signage etc. Many of the traffic signals (only 120 in Lahore) are
inoperative and signage is almost non-existent. In Lahore, traffic signals are largely being
managed by TEPA as originally stipulated. There was a period in the late 1990s when the
traffic signal functions were re-assigned to an agency responsible for civil works, with the
result that most signals ceased functioning. In recent years, some signals have been
installed and managed by other agencies, such as the GoPb, C&W, the NHA (on National
Route N-5) and The Cantonment Board, about 50 signal installations in the Defence
Housing Areas. Similarly, traffic signs and road markings are placed and maintained by
TEPA, CDGL and Parks and Horticultural Authority (PHA), and also by other agencies and
even private sector with advertisement. For the sake of efficiency, uniformity and economy,
it would be desirable to concentrate these functions in a city-wide single traffic agency.
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proper training and licensing. Commuters and transporter have generally no traffic sense
resulting in a chaotic situation. A lack of operators discipline in this complex environment
reduces traffic capacity further and increases safety concerns. Traffic police also suffers
from inadequate strength and needs further training. There is finally a significant safety
issue concerning the motorbikes use, sometimes transporting two or more passengers,
often without helmet for both driver and passengers. The general situation causes a fatal
failure to follow traffic rules, which in turns leads to a worsening of congestion level and
contribute to road accidents.
Along with increase of traffic volume, roles of traffic police has been widened and
complicated, while training of traffic police is not adequate, this has resulted in low
efficiency in traffic control and road space management. As a result, people have not
respect of traffic police and their role in traffic management.
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Most of these well out dated and losing their proper workability to the 21st Century
transportation phenomena. These require review and amendment. For example, the MVO
1965 provides the mechanism, licensing and regulation of motor vehicles in particular and
for control of traffic but it does not cover all the aspects of the Road Traffic Control,
Regulation and the Public Space Management. It has provisions for the construction,
equipment and maintenance of motor vehicles but has not been updated for a very long
time.
The section 67 of the MVO, 1965 provides another aspect relating to accidents of motor
vehicles and causalities which specify the responsibility for compensation. However, the
principles relating to award of compensation in motor accident cases and the provisions
relating to insurance in the MVO, 1965 are extremely vague, uncertain and complicated.
The criteria for granting various licenses like driving licenses, stage carriage licenses and
private/ public carrier licenses are contained in the ordinance but not followed by proper
enforcement. The discretion available to the traffic police officers and cumbersome penal
ticketing system in case of traffic rules violations have contributed towards corrupt
practices and deterioration of traffic system.
As for another example, the National Highway Safety Ordinance (NHSO), 2000 has
provision for “No Fault Accident Compensation” by a registered insurance company, but
the rules have not yet been framed to implement this provision. An urgent need is pointed
out in Pakistan to introduce new concepts within the MVO, 1965, commensurate for the
compensation for no fault liability.
Section 76 of the MVO, 1965 authorizes the Government to prescribe conditions for the
issue of permits to heavy transport vehicles. In reality, however, an offender driving an
over-loaded heavy vehicle is only asked to reduce the weight at the close-by storage point,
which is rarely exercised, resulting in the common and widespread road surface rutting.
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CHAPTER 3 – URBAN DEVELOPMENT CONTEXT
3. URBAN DEVELOPMENT CONTEXT
The origin of Lahore’s urban development is the Walled City. During British colonial era,
urban facilities including residence, parks and universities were constructed in the south
of the Walled City surrounding administrative centres. At present, a number of
administrative facilities such as provincial parliament, governor’s official residence and
government officer’s residences are concentrated in this area together with the Jinnah
Park, the University of Punjab, other colleges and many business/ commercial buildings.
This area boasts of its beautiful urbanization with low-coverage buildings, characterized
by wide streets and parks/ gardens covered by tall trees.
The Canal also has a salient influence on the formation of Lahore’s urban area. The
Canal Bank road runs in the east to south-west direction, and contributes largely to the
special urban scenery of Lahore having the canal in the center of the road. The canal has
its source in Larger BRB Canal upstream and supplies irrigation water to Lahore and
agricultural areas in Lahore and the south-west green belt.
In the north-east of this built-up area, the Lahore station is located. The railway is
basically for intercity long distance travel connecting Lahore with Rawalpindi and
Peshawar in the north and Karachi in the south. The agglomeration of iron/ steel
industries located in the north-east of the railway (about 150 ha) is considered to have
been once developed due to the proximity to the railway. Although it has little relation with
the railway transportation at present yet its production and sales functions still remain in
the same area. The road traffic generated from these industries, coupled with intra-city
bus terminal traffic on the opposite side of the railway, creates serious traffic congestion
between the Walled City and the Lahore Station.
Lahore’s population was about 2.5 million in 1960, which is less than third of the present.
As population increased with economic growth, urbanization went southward and
eastward. Eastward urbanization was led by the military as Cantonment, and southward
expansion was based on road and road transport. There is no evidence that railway
played any role in leading urbanization.
In the later decade of the Last Century (1980-1990), urban development pattern was
gradual outward expansion of the existing built-up areas. Motorcycles and auto-rickshaws,
which became popular, then, may have assisted this development. In the meantime, a
huge academic town of universities and colleges of about 10km 2 was developed at the
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south-western end of the urban area. This academic town, however, is in the midst of
residential area at present.
New road development has become difficult (except for northern half of the LRR).
Insufficient capacity of radial arterial roads has become a restriction for large-
scale urban development between radial corridors.
The concentric-contiguous pattern is seen mainly in the south and in the east. In
Cantonment, well-organized residential area (DHA) was developed by the military, and
the eastern section of the LRR further enforced this development. In the south,
development permissions were given to vast areas such as Engineering Town and
Chung. However, these areas are not necessarily built-up yet, and agricultural land and
other open space still remain in the midst of residential areas.
In the north of the Ravi River, ribbon-type development is still seen particularly along the
G.T. Road and Sheikhupura Road. Industrial, commercial and residential development of
this area is mainly due to the improvement of access condition by the Motorway.
The population of the Study Area is 9,928 thousand (8,652 thousand for Lahore District
and 7,571 thousand for built-up area of Lahore) as of 2010. Population density exceeds
1,700 /ha in some zones of the Walled City. However, it is sometimes below 50/ha in the
residential areas that are not fully built-up. In the remaining vacant parts of these
inefficient areas, high-rise buildings of up to 15 stories are often built. But the location is
not well-planned in general. In addition, LDA promotes many housing schemes, mostly in
the suburbs in the east and south.
With regards to industrial estates, there are two salient industrial estates: one in the south
nears the border with Kasur District (Sundar Industrial Estate) and the other in the north
along Lahore-Sheikhupura Road. The former depends on a narrow 2-lane local road and
the later on a 6-lane National Highway. There is also industrial ribbon belt along G.T.
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Road (National Highway N-5) between Lahore and Muridke in the Study Area.
In the north of Lahore, there are extremely high-density built-up areas such as the Walled
City. The most salient advantage of this area is that a wide variety of functions exist in
proximity and the area does not generate many long-distance trips as compared to the
dense accumulation of population and urban functions. The close community incubates
local/ family industries and vitalizes people’s life. The disadvantage of the area is
obsolete residences with extreme high population density and poor sanitary condition
due to dust, sewerage and uncollected garbage. The advantage and disadvantage are in
a trade-off relation.
A large problem exists with the agglomeration of iron/ steel industries, which produces
traffic congestion as mentioned earlier. Its production efficiency is deteriorated due to its
dependency on road transport, and with limited access to main roads.
Congestion on the secondary and local roads of this area is serious due to mixed traffic
of car, bus, truck, auto-rickshaw, Qingqi, and animal-drawn carts and had drawn carts
mostly for movement of goods.
This area consists of government buildings, offices, hotels, high-grade residences and so
on, and its environment such as greeneries, parks, gardens, historic buildings and wide-
carriageway roads needs to be inherited. This area is the actual CBD of Lahore. The
coverage of most buildings is low and high-rise buildings are few (mostly 3-5 stories, 10
stories at most). The space in this area for future possible development and
enhancement is sufficient because limited elevation of buildings in harmony with the
existing environment may suffice for immediate future needs.
The only problem of this area is that it is located in far north of Lahore, and it creates
large travel needs to/ from the southern and eastern residential areas. If urbanization
proceeds further to the south without strong public transport, there is a strong possibility
that the CBD functions would get paralyzed in the not too distant future.
This area consists mainly of residential areas constructed before 1990. With moderate
population density and reasonable road network, people’s life is comfortable and
convenient in general. This situation, however, is changing.
First, 3-7 story buildings are constructed along arterial roads. However, the location
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seems to be selected randomly without any city plan. Usually, this type of building is
admitted in limited areas to form urban functions in an orderly manner. Another problem
is related to the fact that the construction period seems very long. Due to this inefficient
investment (e.g. interest during construction), building construction does not contribute
much to the urban economy as seen in other cities of the world.
Second, there are many unused land spaces that seem to be increasing recently. Large-
scale disorderly development in the suburbs, results in deterioration of existing urban
area, and this again increases unused land spaces. This vicious cycle should be checked
early on. Such development cycle was also observed in the early redevelopment years of
Japan after the World War II.
In summary, this area is changing rapidly. Major effort should be made to create good
urban environment in this area.
As mentioned earlier, an academic town is located in the midst of residential area in the
south-west of Lahore. Its population density ranges 50-100 /ha (partially over 200 /ha)
showing that many staff and students stay in residences and dormitories on campus.
Travel demand to/ from outside is relatively small.
For instance, Zone 57 (Sikandar Block) is mostly university campus. This zone has
incoming 5,757 trips on commuting purpose, of which 2,723 trips or 47 % are intra-zonal.
Nearly half of the university staff lives on the campus. Number of “to-school” trips is
11,252, of which 4,405 or 39 % are intra-zonal. About 40 % of the students live on
campus.
The problem of this area is that the area hinders the north-south traffic flow due to the
lack of through road from this 4-5 km wide area. In addition to the above, there are other
universities, colleges, etc in the CBD or in the suburbs. Those in the suburbs have been
developed recently, such as the Institute of Technology located 10 km north of the Ravi
River and two universities located in the west of Nishtar Town and recently opened
Lahore School of Economics and University of South Asia on Burki Road in the east of
Lahore.
The expansion of urban areas toward east and south has created a number of problems
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due to vast and low-density development:
The largest problem is lack of coordination between urban development projects and
arterial road development that support daily traffic needs of the residents. LDA
acknowledges this problem focusing on “increasing distances from city center, deficiency
in social and physical infrastructure, environmental degradation”.
It is essential for sound urban development to pursue maturation of urban area by filling
scattered unused open space and development of trunk transport system. As for unused
open space, it is recommended to classify it into the area to be urbanized or the area to
be conserved as green spaces.
With regard to the ribbon development along arterial roads seen in the north, some
problems are identified:
In the north, planned development should be pursued taking advantage of the following
favourable condition:
1
Restriction of Ribbon Development Act
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(vii) Industrial Zones
Industrial development in Lahore has continued depending on existing arterial roads. This
was favourable to strengthen the basis of Lahore’s economy.
In the south, most industries are located in the shape of ribbon developments except for
some estates, and its production environment is not generally good in terms of
transportation of materials/ industrial products and workers. Immediate countermeasures
are required to prevent exodus of factories.
The developing industrial area in the north of Ravi River also has the problem of ribbon-
type development although the function of intercity arterial roads is much stronger than in
the south. Development of industrial estates is required. According to Sheikhupura Tehsil,
723 factories were established by 2000 in that Tehsil, and the reason of location was the
existence of intercity roads for 307 factories or 42.5 % of the total. In addition, the
factories are rice mills, iron steel re-rolling mills, tanneries, flour mills and so on. Most of
the factories are small except for sugar mills, polyester processing and fertilizer
production. Although no data is available after 2000, recent industrial developments can
be observed in this area.
As stated earlier, the CBD of Lahore is located in the north due to historical reasons and
urbanization spreads toward the south and the east. Due to poorly developed public
transport depending on a small number of buses, long-distance travel becomes more and
more uncomfortable, inconvenient and extremely difficult affecting economic performance
of Lahore.
The residential area spreading to the south and the east seems to have been developed
in a planned manner. However, developed areas are actually distributed widely like
islands in the sea with numerous vacant land plots. The overall population density of
these residential areas is very low. This incurs the issues of low efficiency of urban
infrastructure and the difficulty of public transport development.
Outside Lahore District, there are some urban clusters in Sheikhupura and Kasur District
such as Muridke, Raiwind area and Pattoki Tehsil areas. However, the interrelation of
these urban clusters with urban activities of Lahore is very weak, presumably due to
historical reason and the lack of high-mobility transport system.
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Figure 3.1.1 Present Urban Structure
CBD
High-density urban area
Residential area
Industrial area
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In order to solve the urban problems mentioned above and to promote future
development, medium- to long-term urban development scenarios should be formulated.
Three scenarios have been developed;
Scenario1: assumes past natural tendency will continue without any political intervention
from the Government except for some ongoing projects such as LRR.
In order to determine the land use pattern for each scenario above, the result of land
development suitability analysis was taken into account. The analysis are based on three
factors; proximity to major roads, accessibility to city center and net population density.
Natural conditions were not considered due to the similarity over the entire Study Area.
This is presented in Figure 3.1.2, with its criteria shown in Table 3.1.1.
This scenario assumes that the past tendency of urbanization will continue in the future.
Although there is a risk that this Scenario will further amplify the current urban problems
such as: inefficiency of urban infrastructure and worsening of traffic congestion, public
investment by the Government would be limited.
Population of this area will not increase much. Actually the population of the Walled City
has been stagnant already according to the “Sustainable Development of Walled City
Lahore Project”. As people’s income increases, residents of this area will move out
gradually looking for better living environment.
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(ii) Government Building Area and Its Environs
The needs for public facility and office spaces will increase according to the population
growth. Thus the floor area of this zone will increase accordingly. Although existing
greenery and open space will decrease slightly, its environmental impact will be minimal
considering strict land use restriction and its abundance.
Although strong political intervention is not considered, vacant land space will be
gradually filled by buildings as a natural tendency. Moderate land use control based on
existing laws is assumed in this scenario.
Population of LDA project areas and development permitted areas will reach its target by
2030 as planned. The rest of increased population is assumed to be distributed in newly
developed areas to the east of LRR, in the south of Defense Road, around Ravi Town
and so on. Moderate land use control based on existing laws is assumed in this scenario
as well.
Considering the existing road network, industrial development will not precede much in
the south. In the north, however, it will expand taking advantage of the favourable road
condition.
In this scenario, urban structure will be the same as at present as a whole. Urban area
will expand mainly to the east and south. It is a car-oriented society. The resultant
scenario (Zero Option – Trend) is depicted in Figure 3.1.3.
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Figure 3.1.3 Urban Development Scenario 1 (Zero Option – Trend)
CBD
University area
Residential area
Industrial area
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2) Scenario 2 (Compact Development)
This scenario intends a compact urbanization led by public transport development. This
scenario is friendly to people’s travel, living environment and natural environment. Many
of the current urban problems will be alleviated although sizeable public investment and
administrative capacity of the government are required.
This scenario assumes a salient urban development project. The existing agglomeration
of iron/ steel industries will be relocated to suburbs and integrated development of this
area including the retaining of the bus terminal and railway station will be carried out
using this space. This intends to alleviate the problems of high density and traffic
congestion in the area. The development is of multi-purpose mainly of residential but
including business/ commercial functions. The environment of the Walled City may be
improved in relation to this project. Using the impact of this key project, similar projects
can be carried out one after another.
The three problems of this area will be tackled by designating specific areas or streets for
high-rise buildings and by stringent application of LDA’s land use rules to deal with
unused land space remaining in the area and land use conversion. In some cases,
relaxation of the rules may be necessary.
Population of LDA project areas and development permitted areas will reach its target by
2030 as planned. The rest of increased population is assumed to be distributed in areas
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to be developed near the railway stations and other public transport nodes to be
proposed in this master plan.
As this scenario assumes urban Rail-based Mass Transit System (RMTS) to be the trunk
public transport system of Lahore, dense urbanization will occur along these RMTS
routes. Urban RMTS facilitates people’s movement in the city as well as conservation of
suburban greenery and agriculture. RMTS usually reduces traffic congestion on roads.
The combination of industrial estates and academic town proposed in Ferozewala Tehsil
has a possibility to lead high-tech industrial development of not only Punjab but entire
Pakistan. As a whole, this scenario aims to vitalize various urban functions by combining
them closely with each other using improved mobility and enhanced land use efficiency.
The envisioned urban structure is shown in Figure 3.1.4.
The core idea of this scenario is to increase absorptive capacity of Lahore for rapidly
growing population by developing suburban cities. Thus this scenario assumes less
population increase in the built-up areas of Lahore. Suburban development is proposed
in this scenario at Muridke, Raiwind area, and Pattoki Tehsil areas. Each of these areas
will be a sub-center of the metropolis of Lahore with its own CBD and surrounding
residential areas.
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(i) Densely Built-up Area in the North
Same as Scenario 2.
Same as Scenario 2.
Same as Scenario 2.
Same as Scenario 2.
Population of LDA project areas and development permitted areas will reach its target by
2030 as planned. However, this scenario assumes no more development permitted in
Lahore except for the proposed academic town located in Ferozewala Tehsil. All the rest
of increased population is assumed to be accommodated in Muridke, Raiwind area and
Pattoki Tehsil areas. These three areas have their own accumulation of business/
commercial facilities. Enhancement of CBD functions will be pursued coupled with
residential development in the surrounding areas.
Same as Scenario 2.
Same as Scenario 2.
The existing built-up areas in Lahore will mature with fewer vacant spaces/ plots,
industrial estates are located in the south and north, and there will be an academic town
in the north. To be more important, three cities will appear in the suburbs of Lahore with
urban functions and 300-500 thousand population. In the long run, high-speed, high
capacity transport system connecting Lahore and these sub-centers will be required.
In Tokyo, Japan, there is a conceptual plan called “Core Cities Linkage Plan”. The
intention of this plan is to transplant part of CBD functions of Tokyo to medium to large
cities located at 30-50 km distance from Tokyo. The objective of this plan is to alleviate
the negative impacts of high density and to prevent disorderly urbanization. At present
these core cities perform the central functions significantly. This concept is illustrated in
Figure 3.1.5.
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Figure 3.1.4 Urban Development Scenario 2 (Compact Development)
CBD
University area
Residential area
Industrial area
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Figure 3.1.5 Urban Development Scenario 3 (Dispersed Multi-Core Development)
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3.1.3 Assessment of Alternative Scenarios
1) Assessment by Scenario
The three scenarios described above are compared and an assessment is presented in
Table 3.1.2.
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2) Conclusion
Scenario 2 and 3 are both excellent for a city with a population over 10 million in terms of
mobility, living environment and conservation of greeneries and agricultural land. From
the viewpoint of reality, Scenario 1 (Zero Option - Trend) is the easiest way. However,
Scenario 2 and 3 are also realistic only if strong ‘political will’ and leadership are
guaranteed in planning and funding. Scenario 3, however, may be slightly weak in
flexibility because the timing of project implementation must be consistent with population
increase and high-speed transport system will be required in the long run to support the
intended structure of the metropolis.
3.1.4 Existing Land Use Rules of the Punjab and Its Use
The GoPb enacted new land use rules on the 10th February, 2009 based on the 1975
Lahore Development Authority Act. The Rules intend to determine land use in controlled
areas according to land use classification. There are 6 land use classes, as follows:
1. Residential,
3. Industrial,
4. Peri-urban,
5. Agricultural, and
For each of these classes, maximum height, coverage, floor to area ratio, etc. are
determined by size of the plot. Orderly development is thus ensured in the controlled area.
This specification is done by plot, and it is easy to understand for both government and
private developers since subdivision of a plot is prohibited by law (Subdivision Ordinance).
However, this detailed specification requires a long time for the government to prepare
and the consistency of these specifications with macroscopic land use plans is not
necessarily guaranteed. In addition, land use conversion from one class to the other is
allowed by paying the land use conversion tax if the conversion is deemed appropriate
judging from the environment nearby. LDA applies these rules mainly to the areas where
land use is changing rapidly or new development is foreseen because of the huge time
and cost required for land use classification of entire Lahore. In reality, built-up areas like
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Walled City and rural villages are excluded from application of these rules.
Although this system has a significant effect to improve the quality of urban areas, there
still remain some problems. Private developers tend to select arbitrarily development
areas for their convenience, and thus these are inefficient, and in many cases the
agricultural land remains in between developed areas (e.g. in the southern developing
areas of Lahore). LDA recognizes this problem and is seeking for measures for solution.
Another big issue is how to keep consistency between detailed land use classification
and the overall urban structure of Lahore. Strong political will may be needed to realize
an ideal land use for the entire metropolis.
As described above, GoPb has a strong power through LDA to realize planned land use.
In this section, how to use the present land use rules to attain the goals of Scenario 2 is
briefly discussed.
The basic assumption here is the future development of urban RMTS. Around planned
RMTS stations, development areas (assuming 800 m to 1000 m radius, 200ha and fifty
thousand population) should be determined first, and the mode of development (LDA
direct or through private developers) should be selected depending on the land use
condition such as the size of commercial area, type of public facilities to be developed,
size of parks/ greeneries, and open spaces.
Next step is the implementation of the development around RMTS stations. LDA has
enough capacity of these types development although their experience is based on
Radial or Trunk roads (e.g. development along Thokar Niaz Baig; Canal Bank Road). In
this scenario, the road is replaced by RMTS. If LDA does not implement the project
directly, private developer should be selected on a competitive basis based on land use
requirement and other condition. This procedure is allowed by the 2009 land use rules.
Korea amended the city planning law and its related rules and regulations in 2000-2003,
where the right of cancellation of development permit was given to local government
when private developer could not observe the planned timing of development. This
system may be added to the 2009 land use rules of Lahore, and would be an essential
pre-requisite for Scenario 2 and 2a.
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3) Proposal for a Development Benefit Recovery System
The development around RMTS stations produces a huge benefit for urban developers.
After developing a RMTS station, land price of the surrounding area naturally increases
many fold due to improved mobility, and the benefit becomes huge as a whole.
Theoretically, therefore, developers should pay a part of the benefit to the RMTS operator.
If this system is introduced, it can be a part of the funds required for the RMTS
development.
This system has been implemented in many cities of the world. For instance, subway line
No.1 in Osaka, Japan was subsidized in 1930’s by a new tax imposed on land owners
around stations (within 800 m radius) who were potential beneficiaries of the subway.
This tax was collected as a surcharge to the property tax.
In order to materialize the three urban development scenarios shown above, a series of
urban development projects need to be implemented. Some projects are common among
the scenarios while others are unique to the scenario.
Table 3.1.3 shows the proposed urban development projects needed for each scenario.
Project Scenario
Utilization of open space in built-up areas 1, 2, 3
Control of expanding urban area 1, 2
Environment improvement in northern densely built-up area 2, 3
Maturing of CBD 2, 3
Development of academic town 2, 3
Development of industrial estates 2, 3
Fostering suburban cities 3
Source: JICA Study Team
2) Project Description
This is materialized only when “carrot and stick” strategy is applied to land developers or
land owners. As to “stick”, the 2009 land use rules should be strictly applied in the
controlled areas and need to be strengthened, for example, by imposing “non-utilization
surcharge” on unused land plots in the classified area.
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As to “carrot”, subdivision of land plot and high-rise buildings may be admitted under
certain condition, and a part of taxes may be exempted for a certain period when land is
used properly. For this purpose, the Subdivision Ordinance may be deregulated for large
land plots above a certain size if environmental degradation is not incurred.
The principle of this project is the stringent application of the 2009 land use rules. In
Scenario 1, development will proceed along arterial roads, and development permit
should be given to developers so that remaining unused land area becomes minimal. In
Scenario 2, the most important is the political intervention to guide urban development to
RMTS station areas. Plans and concepts should be informed to the public, and the role of
LDA is quite significant as planner, developer and controller.
The 150ha land produced by the relocation of the existing iron/ steel industries to the
suburbs is the key element of this project. In close coordination with the adjacent bus
terminal and railway station, the environment of the area will be largely improved by an
integrated multi-purpose development. The image of the central redevelopment building
is as follows:
First floor – Integrated transport terminal including Pakistan Railway, city bus and
feeder transport. Shopping mall, office, park and road space.
Second floor – Artificial ground covering Lahore Station of Pakistan Railway.
Business and commercial facilities. Pedestrian deck. Equipment room to support
the complex building.
Third floor and above – Residence in principle.
The overall scale could be:
- Developed area : 300 ha;
- Floor area : 2,000 ha (1,500 ha residence);
- Population : 150 thousand (with population density at 500/ha); and
- No. of workers : 50 thousand
The residence here absorbs residents from the nearby area, and other environment
improvement projects will be promoted one after another in the adjacent area.
The present CBD takes advantage of well developed social infrastructure including roads
and parks/ gardens. However, as population and economy grow, the function of this CBD
needs to be upgraded. For this purpose, a large-scale development project will be
necessary.
For this project, a comprehensive plan needs to be formulated including future number of
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workers, necessary floor space, building location, height of building, transport access,
pedestrian movement and conservation of greenery/ parks. For areas of government
buildings, the project should be implemented by LDA, while other areas can be
developed by private developers under control of LDA.
The present CBD of Lahore consists of the four zones shown in Table 3.1.4 and the
density of workers, particularly of tertiary sector (service and commercial), is quite high
compared to the zones nearby.
As seen in the table above, the density of daytime workers is not high as a CBD. For
instance, the same figure in Tokyo, Japan is 1,000-3,000 as of 2010. Although the
situation of Tokyo is not necessarily favorable, the room for future development is very
large in Lahore.
The present CBD of Lahore should remain as the CBD in the future too, because of the
well developed infrastructure and the abundant room for future upgrading. The current
workers density could be easily raised to 500/ha without any negative impact on
environment. For this upgrading project, high-rise building may be allowed in some
specific areas or streets.
The academic town proposed in the north of Ravi River is expected to be one of the high-
tech centers of Pakistan. The proposed site has favorable conditions such as well
developed road infrastructure, existence of The University of Engineering and
Technology, proximity to railway and industrial estates proposed nearby.
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(vi) Development of Industrial Estates
In the south-west of the academic town mentioned above, industrial estates will be
developed. The ribbon development along Lahore-Sheikhupura Road should be
absorbed. This is the relocation site of the existing industries located in Lahore. Modern
high-tech industries should be invited too to promote synergy with the proposed
academic town. The overall scale of this project could be:
This project, inherent to Scenario 3 only, intends to foster, Muridke, Raiwind area, and
Pattoki Tehsil areas, as suburban cities. The other aspect of this project is the stringent
restriction of urban area expansion in Lahore.
In this project, the role of District Government becomes essential. The experience of
LDA should be transferred to local government agencies in the field of planning, design,
contract preparation, implementation, control and monitoring.
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3.2 Socio-Economic Framework
3.2.1 Population
Table 3.2.1 Past Population Trends of Pakistan, the Punjab, Lahore Division and
the Study Area
Area Census Population (‘000) Annual Growth Rate (%)
Area Description 2 1 1 1 1 1 1951- 1961- 1972- 1981- 1998-
(km ) 1961 1972 1981 1998 2010
1961 1972 1981 1998 1910
Pakistan 796,096 42,880 65,309 84,254 132,352 168,258 2.43 3.90 2.87 2.69 2.02
The Punjab 205,345 25,464 37,607 47,292 73,621 93,682 2.17 3.61 2.58 2.64 2.03
Lahore Division 11,729 3,560 5,431 7,183 12,016 15,784 2.36 3.91 3.16 3.07 2.30
Lahore District 1,772 1,626 2,588 3,545 6,319 8,650 3.66 4.32 3.56 3.46 2.65
2 2 2
Kasur District 3,995 854 1,186 1,528 2,376 3,016 1.16 3.03 2.86 2.63 2.01
3 3 3 3
Sheikhupura District 3,242 656 1,028 1,338 2,276 2,888 1.61 4.17 2.97 3.17 2.00
The Study Area 3,044 N/A N/A N/A 7,307 9,928 N/A N/A N/A N/A 2.59
Note 1: Census Year; Note 2: Lahore divided in to Lahore District and Kasur District; Note 3: Sheikhupura divided in to Sheikhupura
District and Nankana Sahib District in 2005.
Source: Punjab Development Statistics, 2010
Figure 3.2.1 Past Population Trends of Pakistan and Future Forecast by Various Agencies
4.50 WB Tot-Pop-Gr
UN-Pop-Gr
4.00 PDS-Pop-Gr
'Forecast'
Population Growth % p.a.
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
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2) Population Projections
Due to lack of detailed demographic data, macroscopic approach has been taken. The
procedure of projection is as follows:
Step-2: Set future population share of the Punjab to Pakistan, and the Study Area to the
Punjab:
These shares can be calculated as shown in Table 3.2.2. The share of the Punjab has
been gradually diminishing, while the share of Lahore Division and the Study Area is on
the increasing trend. Note that the share of the Study Area can be calculated only for
1998 and 2010 due to the change of administrative boundaries of Districts, Tehsils and
Lahore Towns. Kasur District was separated out of Lahore District in 1976 and
Sheikhupura District was split in to Sheikhupura and Nankana Sahib District in 2005.
In addition, Lahore district Tehsils/ Towns have been created and merged in to number of
towns. Therefore at time it is almost impossible to do a direct area based comparison.
Table 3.2.2 Relation of Population between Pakistan, the Punjab, Lahore Division
and the Study Area
Assuming the same tendency between 1998 and 2010 continues in the future until 2030,
these shares can be calculated as follows:
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2030 Share of Lahore Division to the Punjab: 17.9 %
2030 Share of the Study Area to the Punjab: 11.7 %
The results of projected population for Pakistan, Punjab and the Study Area is presented
in Table 3.2.3 and annual growth rate comparison for future years forecast is shown in
Figure 3.2.2.
The 2030 population of Pakistan was projected at 256.4 million. This is considerably
higher than the PTPS 2030 projection at 216.2 million. However, the UN Census Bureau
projected 2025 population at 245.1 million is considerably on the high side. Regarding
Lahore Metropolitan Area (LMA), “Integrated Master Plan for Lahore 2021” by LDA
projected population at 10.5 and 14.1 million for 2011 and 2021, respectively. Although
comparison cannot be made exactly due to the difference in the Study Areas, this
estimate seems to be considerably higher than the current projection. In addition, the
1991 JICA, Comprehensive Study on Transportation System in Lahore projected 2010
LMA population at 10.4 to 11.0 million. This is comparable to the LDA study forecasts.
Figure 3.2.2 Annual Growth Rate Comparison for Future Year Forecast
(i) General
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methodology explained hereafter. After zonal breakdown, the difference is adjusted by
distributing the projected total to zones in proportion to the calculated figures as a result
of the zonal breakdown. 2020 population by zone was estimated by interpolation, and the
values by zone were adjusted to the projected total. The zonal breakdown methodology
is different by scenario.
The methodology is common for all scenarios. The density of these towns is extremely
high and needs to be reduced by political intervention. According to the “Sustainable
Development of Walled City Lahore Project”, there are already some zones where
population has started to decrease. It is a common phenomenon in many cities of the
world that the population of high-density areas has decreased and living environment has
been improved. Therefore population of these areas will certainly continue to decrease
for some time to come. However, political intervention is desirable rather than wait-and-
see attitude of natural change, for the betterment of the living environment.
The upper limit of population density for a low to medium height building areas population
density is set at 500 /ha, and 1,000 /ha in the case of super high-rise building areas. In
Lahore, super high-rise building is not admitted and excellent city scenery with open
skyline has been traditionally maintained. This tradition should be observed in the future.
It is assumed that population density of zones with more than 500 /ha be lowered to 500
/ha while population density of other zones remain unchanged.
2. Gulberg Town
This area boasts of its excellent environment with large residences, wide streets and
parks/ greeneries. For scattered open spaces including under-used facilities of Pakistan
Railway (PR), redevelopment projects should be promoted as proposed in the previous
chapter.
In Scenario 2 and 3, the population of zones 77 (Railway Colony) and 79 (Daras Barey
Mian) that include PR facilities is assumed to be 150 thousand. In other zones, it is
assumed that population will increase by 5 % (open space 1 % and its redeveloped
population density at 5 times of the present).
The western part of this area has been densely built-up, and the same assumption is
introduced as 1 above (Ravi and other towns). For other zones, Scenario 1 assumes that
urbanization spreads beyond LRR while Scenario 2 and 3 controls urbanization within
LRR. Upper limit of population density is set at 100 /ha. For zones already built up, the
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present population is maintained.
4. Wahgah Town
Present population density of this area is about 15 /ha showing low level of urbanization.
This is due to the government restriction on development for the defense reasons and
lack of arterial roads to Lahore city centre.
Similarly to Aziz Bhatti Town, Scenario 1 assumes that urbanization spreads beyond LRR
while Scenario 2 and 3 controls urbanization within LRR. Upper limit of population
density of newly developed areas is assumed at 100 /ha in all the scenarios.
5. Nishtar Town
This area remains under-developed with a population density of 19 /ha although a part of
northern area shows considerable urbanization. The area to the west of railway has been
developed mainly by private developers with relatively high standards although
numerous unused land plots are common. In the eastern area, Ferozepur Road has led
urbanization towards the south.
a. Population density of densely inhabited areas of more than 1,000 /ha located in
the north of this area be lowered to 500 /ha similarly to the northern densely built-
up area.
c. Population density of areas with a population density of less than 200 /ha be
raised to 200 /ha.
Scenario 2 has the same assumption for densely inhabited area of more than 1,000 /ha
located in the north of this area (as above). Along the railway, new development areas
will have a population density at 200 /ha. For other areas urbanization is controlled within
the planned areas at average population density of 100 /ha.
Scenario 3 has the same assumption for densely inhabited areas of more than 1,000 /ha
located in the north of this area (as above). Urbanization is controlled within the planned
areas at average population density at 100 /ha. Planned development along the railway
is not assumed unlike Scenario 2.
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6. Iqbal Town
This area has been partially urbanized along Multan Road with a population density over
600 /ha. As a whole, however, urbanization level is low with an average population
density of 18 /ha. In this area, there are a number of urban development projects are
planned and prepared, and it is assumed that these projects will be implemented.
Population density of over-saturated areas will be lowered to 500 /ha at the highest. This
assumption is common for all scenarios.
Scenario 2 assumes planned dense development around the stations of the proposed
RMTS to be developed in the long run. Planned population density is 200 /ha. Suburban
development is limited within the planned/ on-going projects. Its population density is set
at 100 /ha.
7. Cantonment
This area is characterized by high-quality residences. In the west of the airport, the
residential area is already matured while future development is foreseen in the east.
Unlike Gulberg, unused land plots are limited.
Scenario 1 assumes that population density of already built up zones remain basically
as it is except for immature zones with a population density of less than 200 /ha that will
be raised to 200 /ha. For eastern zones, maximum population density is set at 100 /ha.
This area has a large potential for future development due to the proximity to Lahore
CBD.
Scenario 1 assumes conventional ribbon development toward the north and north-west
along arterial roads. Population density is assumed at 200 /ha for the area near Ravi
Town and 100 /ha for other areas.
Scenario 2 and 3 assume planned development of the area taking advantage of the high
potential. The key project is the development of an academic town mentioned in the
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previous chapter. Population density is set at 100 /ha in the academic town, 200 /ha in
the surrounding residential area and 100 /ha for the high-quality residential area further
outside of the academic town.
These areas have been conventional rural villages without salient urban development.
Scenario 3 intends to utilize the potential of Lahore’s urbanization for developing these
areas as suburban cities by providing urban functions in the built-up areas and by
supplying residences in the surrounding area. The total population of this area should be
500-600 thousand with a population density of 200 /ha near the city center and 100 /ha in
the adjacent area.
10. Sharaqpur
In this area, population will not change much due to the absence of urban development
projects.
The resultant distributed forecast population by Towns and Tehsil is given in Table 3.2.4
and detailed in Figure 3.2.3 and 3.2.4. It is noted that population decrease is assumed in
Ravi, Data Gunj Baksh, Samanabad and Shalamar towns while significant increases are
forecast for Nishtar and Iqbal Towns, Cantonment and Ferozewala under all scenarios.
Large increase in population is assumed for Muridike, Raiwind and Pattoki as assumed
under Scenario 3.
The results might be considered as too drastic from practical point of view of Lahore
residents. However, political intervention, if applied properly, could have strong influence.
This is the reason why master planning is important. Of course there must be a strong
will of residents to guide Lahore to the desirable direction they choose whether Scenario
1, 2, 3, or another scenario as combination of the proposed scenarios.
In addition, the total population of the Study Area is controlled to be the same under all
three scenarios to facilitate an easy and direct comparison.
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Table 3.2.4 Summary of Forecast Population (‘000)
2020 2030
Town/ Tehsil in
No. 2010
the Study Area Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario
I II III I II III
1 Ravi 1007 978 971 976 949 938 947
Data Gunj
2 970 968 961 966 970 958 967
Baksh
3 Samanabad 984 990 983 988 1002 990 999
4 Shalamar 854 790 784 788 720 711 717
5 Gulberg 778 850 926 931 937 1102 1112
6 AzizB 667 901 686 690 1175 714 721
7 Wagah 656 881 713 717 1145 784 792
8 Nishter 945 1906 2007 1399 3017 3226 1927
9 Iqbal 960 1840 1824 1366 2857 2818 1838
10 Cantt 831 1149 1018 1024 1521 1240 1251
11 Ferozewala 534 883 1268 1275 1288 2110 2130
12 Muridke 266 284 282 609 305 302 1005
13 Sharaqpur 101 108 107 107 116 114 115
14 Kasur 168 179 177 520 192 190 927
15 Patoki 207 221 219 568 238 235 983
1-10 Lahore 8653 11252 10873 9846 14291 13479 11270
11-13 Sheikhupura 901 1274 1656 1992 1708 2526 3250
14-15 Kasur 375 399 397 1088 430 424 1910
The Study
1-15 9928 12925 12925 12925 16429 16429 16429
Area
Source: JICA Study Team
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Figure 3.2.3 2020 Population Forecast for Three Scenarios
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Figure 3.2.4 2030 Population Forecast for Three Scenarios
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Figure 3.2.5 Gross Population Density, 2010 and 2030 by Scenario
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3.2.2 Employment
1) Ratio of Number of Workers to Population and Total Workers
According to LUTMP HIS, the ratio of Number of workers to population is 27.1 % for the
Study Area. This is extremely low compared to international standard employment
participation rate. This is due to the high unemployment rate and particularly the lack of
female workers due to social issues. However, female employment participation rate is
gradually progressing as can be seen in Table 3.2.5.
Table 3.2.5 Past Trend in Female (15 years +) Employment Participation Rate in
Pakistan
1995 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008
10.7 13.5 16.8 18.8 19.0 19.8
Source: World Development Indicators 2010
Judging from this table, female labour participation rate is on an increasing trend, and it
will naturally be 21 % in 2020 and 33 % in 2030 if the past trend is to continues. Although
the basis is different between HIS (total population) and WDI (population age 15 years+),
only growth rate of labour participation rate is used for the analysis. Meanwhile, male
labour participation rate is assumed to be constant at 80 % in the future as no remarkable
change has been observed in the past.
Since male and female contribution to labour participation rate is 80:20 according to
World Development Indicators of WB, female labour participation rate will grow from
5.4 % (20 % of 27.1 %) in 2010 to 8.5 % (1.57 times of 5.4 %) in 2030 while male labour
participation rate will remain at 21.8 % (80 % of 27.1 %). Thus the total labour
participation rate will become 28.8 % in 2020 and 30.3 % in 2030.
As a result the total number of workers in 2020 and 2030 is estimated by multiplying
these ratios with population for entire Study Area as whole and for each zone. These are
3.8 million in 2020 and 5.1 million in 2030 for the Study Area. In addition, the current
labour participation rate by zone is almost constant at 26-29 % according to HIS.
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2) Employment by Sector
In Pakistan, the share of primary sector workers has dropped from 51.5 % in 1990 to
43.6 % in 2007, while the number of primary sector workers has increased by about 4
million during the same period. In the Study Area, however, the number of primary sector
workers is considered to have been and will continue decrease due to rapid urbanization.
In the period 1994 to 2000, urbanized area has increased by about 41 thousand hectare
(from 21 to 62 thousand hectare). Assuming this is due to the decrease of agricultural
land, and its declining rate is about 1 % per year. Assuming again that the number of
agricultural workers has decreased and will decrease at the same pace, the total number
of primary sector workers in the future will be as follows:
a. For 2030, no primary sector workers are assigned to zones in the CBD, High-
Density Urban Area, Mixed-use Urban Area, University Area and Industrial Area.
b. For 2030, one half of primary sector workers of the present numbers are
assigned to zones in the Residential Area.
c. For 2030, remaining primary sector workers are assigned to other zones in
proportion to the present numbers.
d. The assigned result is adjusted to the predetermined control to total given above.
e. The 2020 numbers are estimated by interpolation using 2010 and 2030 figures.
Then the assigned result is adjusted to the predetermined control to total given.
f. For primary sector workers, the number is assumed to be the same for daytime
and nighttime (i.e. they live and work in the same zone).
General
The sectoral composition of workers in the Study Area is characterized by the high
percentage of the tertiary sector at 78.3 % according to 2010 LUTMP HIS. Out of this
(78.3 %) 27.3 % is the contribution of wholesale/ retail commerce sector employment and
this is comparable to major cities in the world. However the remaining 51 % is very high
presumably due to contribution of provincial government and other public services
concentration in Lahore. As a result, the share of the secondary sector is small at 15.1 %
of the total employment.
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Due to the estimated improvement of labour participation rate, the growth of employment
is higher than population. Moreover, the number of secondary and tertiary workers will
grow rapidly due to the decrease of primary sector workers.
It is essential for the economy of Lahore to absorb more workers into the secondary
sector by effective political intervention. This is the reason why academic town and
industrial estates are proposed under development Scenario 2 and 3.
Table 3.2.7 Forecast No. of Workers by Employment Sector for the Study Area
The ratio of the number of tertiary sector workers to population ranges between 0.22-
0.28 for most of the urbanized zones and 0.12-0.15 in the surrounding areas. It is
assumed that the number of tertiary sector workers is 25 % of population for zones
already built up or to be urbanized in the future and 15 % for other zones. The values
thus calculated are then adjusted to the control totals of predetermined above.
This is calculated simply by subtracting the number of primary and secondary sector
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workers from the total employment.
For zones of industrial estates, planned number of secondary workers is allocated, and
the rest is then assigned to other zones in proportion to the present number of secondary
sector workers (day-time).
Table 3.2.8 to 3.2.14 details the result of zonal breakdown of number of workers by
Town/ Tehsil for night-time and day-time population for the Study Area Towns and
Tehsils. All employment sectors Night-time comparison of forecast for different scenarios
are shown in Figure 3.2.7 and 3.2.8, and Day-time shown in Figure 3.2.9 and 3.2.10.
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Table 3.2.8 Summary Forecast Result of Zonal Breakdown of Number of Workers
(All Employment Sectors, Night-time, ‘000)
Town/ Tehsil 2020 2030
No. in the Study 2010 Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario
Area I II III I II III
1 Ravi 293 278 277 281 273 271 279
Data Gunj
2 261 260 263 270 267 275
Baksh 262
3 Samanabad 275 276 275 279 288 286 295
4 Shalamar 237 217 217 219 205 204 210
5 Gulberg 217 228 248 252 248 291 298
6 AzizB 174 244 183 186 329 201 206
7 Wagah 167 266 214 217 383 273 281
8 Nishter 251 618 645 460 1040 1096 705
9 Iqbal 252 513 506 382 812 797 535
10 Cantt 221 305 274 278 405 341 350
11 Ferozewala 146 274 382 393 422 651 675
12 Muridke 70 95 95 198 127 126 343
13 Sharaqpur 39 43 43 43 48 48 50
14 Kasur 40 47 47 131 56 56 232
15 Patoki 47 58 58 140 72 72 245
1-10 Lahore 2348 3206 3099 2817 4253 4026 3434
11-13 Sheikhupura 254 411 519 634 597 825 1068
14-15 Kasur 87 105 105 271 129 128 477
The Study
1-15 2689 3722 3722 3722 4978 4978 4978
Area
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 3.2.7 2020 Night Time Forecast for Workers of All Employment Sectors by
Scenario
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Figure 3.2.8 2030 Night Time Forecast for Workers of All Employment Sectors by Each
Scenario
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Figure 3.2.9 2020 Day-Time Forecast for Workers of All Employment Sectors by Each
Scenario
Figure 3.2.10 2030 Day-Time Forecast for Workers of All Employment Sectors by Each
Scenario
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Table 3.2.10 Summary Forecast Result of Zonal Breakdown of Number of Workers
(Primary Sector, Night-time and Day-time, ‘000)
2020 2030
Town/ Tehsil in
No. 2010 Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario
the Study Area
I II III I II III
1 Ravi 5 3 3 3 1 1 1
Data Gunj
2 3 2 2 2 - - -
Baksh
3 Samanabad 4 2 2 2 1 1 1
4 Shalamar 3 2 2 2 0 0 0
5 Gulberg 3 2 2 2 - - -
6 AzizB 5 4 4 4 2 2 3
7 Wagah 27 26 28 28 27 30 29
8 Nishter 27 24 24 25 22 22 24
9 Iqbal 18 16 16 17 14 13 15
10 Cantt 8 5 5 5 2 2 2
11 Ferozewala 27 27 26 28 29 27 31
12 Muridke 12 13 13 11 14 14 10
13 Sharaqpur 16 16 16 17 18 18 19
14 Kasur 8 9 9 8 9 9 8
15 Patoki 14 14 14 12 15 16 11
1-10 Lahore 103 85 86 88 70 71 75
11-13 Sheikhupura 54 56 55 56 60 59 60
14-15 Kasur 22 23 23 20 25 25 19
The Study
1-15 179 164 164 164 154 154 154
Area
Source: JICA Study Team
2020 2030
Town/ Tehsil in
No. 2010 Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario
the Study Area
I II III I II III
1 Ravi 40 52 53 56 71 71 77
Data Gunj
2 32 45 45 48 64 64 70
Baksh
3 Samanabad 40 54 55 58 75 76 82
4 Shalamar 36 42 42 45 53 53 58
5 Gulberg 23 34 38 40 49 57 62
6 AzizB 24 48 33 35 78 47 51
7 Wagah 29 67 50 53 113 77 83
8 Nishter 53 200 206 152 377 390 272
9 Iqbal 39 108 106 80 193 187 130
10 Cantt 29 51 49 52 81 76 83
11 Ferozewala 33 72 98 105 121 177 193
12 Muridke 13 29 29 62 48 48 120
13 Sharaqpur 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
14 Kasur 5 5 5 15 6 6 28
15 Patoki 6 6 6 15 7 7 25
1-10 Lahore 343 702 676 617 1152 1096 968
11-13 Sheikhupura 51 106 132 172 174 231 319
14-15 Kasur 11 11 11 30 13 13 53
1-15 The Study Area 405 819 819 819 1339 1339 1339
Source: JICA Study Team
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Table 3.2.12 Summary Forecast Result of Zonal Breakdown of Number of Workers
(Secondary Sector, Day-time, ‘000)
2020 2030
Town/ Tehsil
No. in the Study 2010 Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario
Area I II III I II III
1 Ravi 49 66 97 97 91 158 158
Data Gunj
2 47 72 93 93 107 151 151
Baksh
3 Samanabad 28 39 56 54 56 90 88
4 Shalamar 27 36 54 54 48 88 88
5 Gulberg 35 55 67 69 81 108 112
6 AzizB 15 29 30 30 47 48 48
7 Wagah 28 67 56 56 114 91 91
8 Nishter 41 152 82 82 283 134 133
9 Iqbal 56 161 122 121 288 203 203
10 Cantt 33 56 63 63 86 100 100
11 Ferozewala 23 48 55 55 80 95 95
12 Muridke 11 26 23 23 44 37 37
13 Sharaqpur 3 3 6 6 4 10 10
14 Kasur 4 4 8 8 5 13 13
15 Patoki 5 5 10 10 6 16 16
1-10 Lahore 358 732 718 718 1200 1170 1170
11-13 Sheikhupura 37 78 84 84 128 141 141
14-15 Kasur 9 9 18 18 11 28 28
The Study
1-15 404 819 819 819 1339 1339 1339
Area
Source: JICA Study Team
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Table 3.2.14 Summary Forecast Result of Zonal Breakdown of Number of Workers
(Tertiary Sector, Day-time, ‘000)
2020 2030
Town/ Tehsil in
No. 2010 Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario
the Study Area
I II III I II III
1 Ravi 272 352 343 343 449 430 430
2 Data Gunj Baksh 400 518 527 527 661 680 680
3 Samanabad 188 243 237 237 310 297 297
4 Shalamar 127 165 161 161 211 202 202
5 Gulberg 285 370 371 371 472 473 473
6 AzizB 91 117 114 114 149 143 143
7 Wagah 84 109 106 106 139 133 133
8 Nishter 130 168 164 164 214 205 205
9 Iqbal 223 288 281 281 368 352 352
10 Cantt 169 208 203 203 255 244 244
11 Ferozewala 63 82 117 117 105 178 178
12 Muridke 37 48 47 47 61 58 58
13 Sharaqpur 14 18 17 17 23 22 22
14 Kasur 19 25 24 24 31 30 30
15 Patoki 24 31 30 30 39 38 38
1-10 Lahore 1966 2537 2505 2505 3226 3159 3159
11-13 Sheikhupura 114 148 181 181 188 258 258
14-15 Kasur 43 55 54 54 70 68 68
1-15 The Study Area 2123 2740 2740 2740 3485 3485 3485
Source: JICA Study Team
Ratio of students (high school and above) in the same age group is shown in Table
3.2.15 by Town/ Tehsil. These Towns/ Tehsils were classified into three groups; A, B and
C. A is a group of high income and a number of high schools, universities, etc. are
located in the same Town/ Tehsil. C belongs to the area of relatively low income with
insufficient number of high-grade education facilities, and B comes in between A and C.
This grouping may change in the future depending on economic growth and location of
high-grade education facilities.
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No. Town/ Tehsil Ratio of Students (%) Group
14 Kasur 42.8 B
15 Pattoki 28.6 C
1-15 The Study Area 43.2 B
Source: JICA Study Team
It is assumed that the upper limit of the ratio of students in the same age group will
become as follows by 2030:
Group A: 55 %
Group B: 44 % (80 % of Group A)
Group C: 35 % (80 % of Group B)
The population ratio of zones belonging to Group A, B and C is 5:2:3 at present and the
weighted average of the Study Area is calculated at 46.8 % for 2030 and 45.0 % for 2020.
Average growth rate is 1.8 % p.a. The result is given in Table 3.2.16.
The number of students residing in a zone is first estimated by multiplying population with
the present ratio of number of students to population. Then it is adjusted to the total of
the Study Area control total as predetermined above. The result is presented in
Table 3.2.17.
2
source: Ministry of Education and Science, Japan
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Table 3.2.17 Forecast Number of Students (‘000) by Town/ Tehsil (Night-time)
2020 2030
Town/ Tehsil in
No. 2010 Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario
Study Area
I II III I II III
1 Ravi 80 84 82 84 90 86 89
2 Data Gunj Baksh 95 102 99 101 111 106 110
3 Samanabad 102 112 109 112 128 122 126
4 Shalamar 82 83 81 82 84 81 83
5 Gulberg 88 106 113 115 130 148 153
6 AzizB 64 84 71 72 112 81 84
7 Wagah 40 57 46 47 81 56 58
8 Nishter 59 122 134 90 209 237 133
9 Iqbal 83 169 177 131 291 306 198
10 Cantt 86 129 114 117 190 154 160
11 Ferozewala 29 59 82 84 101 155 160
12 Muridke 17 20 19 40 24 23 73
13 Sharaqpur 7 8 8 8 9 9 9
14 Kasur 14 17 16 46 20 19 90
15 Patoki 12 14 13 37 17 16 72
1-10 Lahore 778 1046 1025 949 1426 1376 1194
11-13 Sheikhupura 53 87 109 132 135 186 242
14-15 Kasur 26 31 30 83 37 35 162
1-15 The Study Area 857 1163 1163 1163 1597 1597 1597
Source: JICA Study Team
For Scenario 1, the number of students by zone was estimated by distributing the
predetermined total in proportion to the present number of students (daytime).
For Scenario 2 and 3, 40 thousand students were allocated to the academic town
proposed in Ferozewala. Then the rest was distributed to zones in proportion to the
present numbers. The result is summarized in Table 3.2.18.
Table 3.2.18 Forecast Number of Students (‘000) by Town/ Tehsil (Day-time)
2020 2030
Town/ Tehsil in
No. 2010 Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario
Study Area
I II III I II III
1 Ravi 54 59 59 61 65 64 68
2 Data Gunj Baksh 186 212 214 221 249 247 261
3 Samanabad 136 155 156 161 181 180 190
4 Shalamar 66 69 70 72 74 74 78
5 Gulberg 129 154 163 168 189 204 216
6 AzizB 33 44 37 38 61 42 44
7 Wagah 26 44 31 32 70 37 39
8 Nishter 38 88 94 63 157 167 96
9 Iqbal 75 160 164 114 277 280 166
10 Cantt 63 111 94 97 180 134 141
11 Ferozewala 15 29 42 44 48 121 126
12 Muridke 14 16 16 30 19 19 52
13 Sharaqpur 5 5 6 6 7 6 7
14 Kasur 6 7 7 23 8 8 47
15 Patoki 11 12 13 35 15 15 69
1-10 Lahore 806 1094 1081 1027 1501 1428 1297
11-13 Sheikhupura 33 50 64 79 74 147 184
14-15 Kasur 16 19 19 58 23 22 116
1-15 The Study Area 855 1163 1163 1163 1597 1597 1597
Source: JICA Study Team
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3.2.4 GDP and Per Capita GDP
1) Past Trends
Past trends of Pakistan Gross Domestic Products (GDP) are outlined in Table 3.2.19 and
GDP Growth rate past trend is shown in Figure 3.2.11.
Table 3.2.19 Past Trends of Pakistan GDP and GDP per Capita
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As seen in the table, Pakistan economy has been growing. However, the growth has not
been stable and has been fluctuating year to year. Although average growth rate was
4.9% between 1972 and 2010, it has declined recently (Pakistan: Framework for
Economic Growth, April 2011, Planning Commission).
Figure 3.2.11 Past Trends - Growth Rate at Constant Price (% of Per Annum)
9
Growth Rate - Constant Price (% p.a)
-
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2008
2009
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Years
As for the Punjab, Lahore District as well as the Study Area, there is no GDP or GRDP
statistics available. However, Price Water House Coopers of UK estimated 2008 GDP of
Lahore in purchasing power parity (PPP) at USD 40 billion using population and income
statistics available for Lahore and other similar cities (Economic Outlook, Nov. 2009). In
this estimate, “Lahore” means urban agglomeration of Lahore based on UN definition,
and this is almost comparable to the Study Area.
We estimated 2010 GDP of the Study Area at about PKR 1,341 billion or USD 17 billion
at 2010 constant prices using GDP growth between 2008 and 2010 and the ratio between
PPP and 2010 constant price basis estimated by IMF (2010 Economic Outlook).
2) GDP Projections
In the absence of available data and considerable fluctuation of economy in the past, it is
difficult to forecast future GDP. In order to forecast GDP and GDP per Capita in the future
both for Pakistan and the Study Area, the following assumption were introduced:
A. For entire Pakistan, between 2010 and 2015, the forecast of IMF’s 2010 economic
outlook was referred. This assumes the following growth rates:
2010-11: 2.8 %
2011-12: 4.0 %
2012-13: 5.0 %
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2013-14: 5.5 %
2014-15: 6.0 %
2.8 % of 2010-11 is the same as the Planning Commission’s “Pakistan Economic
Outlook, Feb. 2011”. In this Study, these rates were taken and for 2016 and after, it
were assumed that the growth rate would be constant at 6.0 %. Then the average
growth for 2010-30 is 5.7 %. This is comparable to the forecast of Price Water House
Coopers at 5.6 % for 2008-25 (Economic Outlook, Nov. 2009).
B. For Lahore or the Study Area, no reference is exists as to GDP. Thus it was assumed
that the 2010 GDP of Lahore estimated above would grow in parallel to national
economy with slightly higher rate due to higher population increase.
The result is presented in Table 3.2.20 below. It should be noted that this is just an
approximation on most likely basis. However, this indicative estimate provides a relatively
good basis for transport demand forecast.
Table 3.2.20 Projected GDP and GDP per Capita for Pakistan and the Study Area
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3) Zonal Breakdown
For distributing the estimated Study Area GDP to traffic zones, the following procedure
was adopted:
y = c1 * p1 + c2 * p2 + c3 * p3 + c4
Where,
p1-p3: employment composition of the Primary, Second and Tertiary sectors (%)
c1-c4: parameters be determined by regression
The values of these parameters were estimated by least square regression method
as:
2. Using worker’s sectoral composition by zone, per capita GDP was calculated by the
above equation for each zone. For 2010, the result of HIS was used, and for 2020
and 2030, the estimated values described in previous sections were used.
3. By multiplying population with per capita GDP is estimated as above, GDP was
calculated by zone. The total of these values, however, is slightly different from the
GDP estimated earlier for the Study Area.
4. To keep consistency, the total GDP of the Study Area was distributed to zones in
proportion to the value by zone calculated in 3 above.
The results are presented in Tables 3.2.21, 3.2.22 and 3.2.23 for 2010, 2020 and 2030,
respectively.
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Table 3.2.21 2010 Estimated GDP and GDP per Capita by Town/Tehsil
GDP GDP per
Town/ Tehsil in the Population
No. (PKR, Capita
Study Area ('000)
billion) (PKR, 000)
1 Ravi 1007 148 146.7
2 Data Gunj Baksh 970 145 149.4
3 Samanabad 984 144 146.3
4 Shalamar 854 125 145.2
5 Gulberg 778 119 152.2
6 AzizB 667 96 143.3
7 Wagah 656 75 112.9
8 Nishter 945 114 120.0
9 Iqbal 960 128 133.0
10 Cantt 831 120 144.0
11 Ferozewala 534 57 105.1
12 Muridke 266 30 110.9
13 Sharaqpur 101 8 73.7
14 Kasur 168 19 110.9
15 Patoki 207 20 95.5
1-10 Lahore 8,653 1,210 139.8
11-13 Sheikhupura 901 94 103.3
14-15 Kasur 375 39 102.4
1-15 The Study Area 9928 1341 135.1
Source: JICA Study Team
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Table 3.2.22 2020 Projected GDP and GDP per Capita by Town/Tehsil
1 Ravi 978 971 976 194 192 192 197.4 197.4 195.9
2 Data Gunj Baksh 968 961 966 195 194 193 201.1 201.1 199.6
3 Samanabad 990 983 988 195 194 193 196.5 196.4 194.9
4 Shalamar 790 784 788 156 155 154 196.8 196.7 195.3
5 Gulberg 850 926 931 175 190 190 204.9 204.7 203.3
6 AzizB 901 686 690 176 135 134 194.8 195.7 194.1
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7 Wagah 881 713 717 144 113 113 162.9 158.1 157
8 Nishter 1906 2007 1399 320 340 228 167.7 169.2 162.6
9 Iqbal 1840 1824 1366 347 345 254 188.5 189 185.8
CHAPTER 3 – URBAN DEVELOPMENT CONTEXT
10 Cantt 1149 1018 1024 230 201 201 199.7 197.2 195.7
The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan (Phase II)
11 Ferozewala 883 1268 1275 145 218 216 163.1 171.9 168.8
12 Muridke 284 282 609 42 41 102 145.1 144.6 166.5
13 Sharaqpur 108 107 107 13 12 12 112.8 112.3 110.4
14 Kasur 179 177 520 30 30 102 166.9 166.5 196
15 Patoki 221 219 568 34 34 109 152 151.5 191.6
1-10 Lahore 11252 10873 9846 2127 2054 1848 189 188.9 187.7
11-13 Sheikhupura 1274 1656 1992 198 271 329 154.9 163.4 165
14-15 Kasur 399 397 1088 64 63 211 158.6 158.2 193.7
1-15 LUTMP Study Area 12925 12925 12925 2387 2387 2387 184.7 184.7 184.7
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9 Iqbal 2857 2818 1838 816 808 513 285.3 286.5 279.1
10 Cantt 1521 1240 1251 460 366 365 302.1 295.1 291.1
11 Ferozewala 1288 2110 2130 331 568 560 256.4 269 262.7
12 Muridke 305 302 1005 66 64 260 213 211.8 258.3
13 Sharaqpur 116 114 115 21 21 20 178.9 177.2 171.3
14 Kasur 192 190 927 51 50 285 263.6 262.5 306.6
15 Patoki 238 235 983 59 58 302 246.7 245.4 306.7
1-10 Lahore 14291 13479 11270 3990 3756 3091 279.2 278.6 274.2
11-13 Sheikhupura 1708 2526 3250 416 652 839 243.4 258 258.1
14-15 Kasur 430 424 1910 110 108 586 254.3 253 306.7
1-15 LUTMP Study Area 16429 16429 16429 4515 4515 4515 274.8 274.8 274.8
1) Current Situation
Table 3.2.24 presents the present household income and car ownership by Town/ Tehsil
in the Study Area. Between car-owning and non-car-owning households, there is a big
difference in household income of about 2.3 times. Thus higher-income towns/ tehsils
have high car ownership. The highest car ownership is found in Cantonment at about
40 % which also has the highest average income in the Study Area. The average
percentage of car-owning household is about 18% in the Study Area at present.
Car ownership has a strong correlation with household income. Therefore the first step to
forecast car ownership is to estimate future household income. It is well known that
income increases or decreases in proportion to GDP per capita. Since GDP and GDP per
Capita have been forecast by zone as explained in the previous section, it is easy to
know the income level by zone.
Next step is to analyze the interrelationship between household car ownership and
household income. As analyzed by regression analysis, household car ownership and
household income by zone have shown a very good correlation as anticipated. However,
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this analysis tends to lead very high forecast. Because all the zones have the same
weight in this analysis regardless of the size of zones. Hence, the following equation was
selected to forecast the future car ownership.
NC = 0.0000109 HI – 705.308
In addition, for extremely densely built-up 8 zones located in the center of the city, car
ownership rate was assumed to remain stable, and for other densely built-up 17 zones,
car ownership was assumed to grow only by 5 % and 10 % for 2020 and 2030,
respectively.
The result of forecast is shown in Table 3.2.25 to 3.2.30 for 2020 and 2030 by urban
development scenario and illustrated in Figure 3.2.12 for the three urban development
scenarios. Car ownership by Household will increase from 18 % in 2010 to 29-30 % and
43-45 % in 2020 and 2030, respectively.
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Table 3.2.26 Household Income and Car Ownership, 2020 Scenario-II
No. of Households Car Ave. HH Income (PKR/month)
Town/ Tehsil
Owning
No. in the Study
Car Non-Car HH Car Non-Car
Area Total Average
Owning Owning (%) Owning Owning
1 Ravi 29,416 136,511 165,927 17.7 48,364 23,711 28,081
Data Gunj
2 56,788 114,964 171,752 33.1 48,093 24,335 32,190
Baksh
3 Samanabad 69,349 102,924 172,273 40.3 48,505 28,197 36,372
4 Shalamar 33,601 99,369 132,970 25.3 47,235 24,539 30,274
5 Gulberg 60,726 93,129 153,587 39.5 54,861 25,381 37,081
6 AzizB 36,370 84,593 120,962 30.1 42,622 21,750 28,026
7 Wagah 25,479 90,619 116,098 21.9 39,623 19,806 24,155
8 Nishter 76,226 252,774 329,000 23.2 45,535 19,549 25,569
9 Iqbal 83,533 221,982 305,190 27.4 70,046 30,053 41,032
10 Cantt 84,854 112,909 197,763 42.9 64,367 24,984 45,183
11 Ferozewala 57,960 183,482 241,442 24.0 52,437 22,107 29,388
12 Muridke 8,314 35,253 43,255 19.2 44,815 16,641 22,177
13 Sharaqpur 9,254 20,254 29,507 31.4 55,484 24,752 34,390
14 Kasur 7,509 22,228 29,737 25.3 70,211 18,921 34,694
15 Patoki 4,811 30,304 35,115 13.7 54,303 21,582 26,065
1-10 Lahore 556,342 1,309,772 1,865,522 29.8 53,578 24,289 33,389
11-13 Sheikhupura 75,528 238988 314204 24.0 51,972 21,525 28,865
14-15 Kasur 12,319 52,532 64,851 19.0 63,999 20,456 30,021
The Study
1-15 644,189 1,601,293 2,244,578 28.7 53,570 23,738 32,658
Area
Source: JICA Study Team
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Figure 3.2.12 2020 Percent of Car Owning Households for Three Scenarios
Figure 3.2.13 2020 Average Household Monthly Income for Three Scenarios
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Table 3.2.28 Household Income and Car Ownership, 2030 Scenario-I
No. of Households Car Ave. HH Income (PKR/month)
Town/ Tehsil
Ownin
No. in the Study
Car Non-Car g HH Car Non-Car
Area Total Average
Owning Owning (%) Owning Owning
1 Ravi 47,376 114,191 161,567 29.3 61,181 32,228 40,718
Data Gunj
2 83,113 90,319 173,432 47.9 62,539 31,949 46,609
Baksh
3 Samanabad 101,160 73,817 174,977 57.8 64,336 37,399 52,972
4 Shalamar 49,663 72,604 122,268 40.6 60,929 32,259 43,904
5 Gulberg 84,680 70,790 155,203 54.6 73,789 35,570 56,484
6 AzizB 89,416 115,061 204,477 43.7 63,731 29,794 44,634
7 Wagah 68,466 112,617 181,083 37.8 61,094 25,490 38,952
8 Nishter 175,964 315,741 491,705 35.8 60,375 26,466 38,601
9 Iqbal 215,074 228,394 443,142 48.5 85,630 33,714 58,935
10 Cantt 149,386 148,758 298,144 50.1 82,872 31,293 64,086
11 Ferozewala 84,670 149,224 233,893 36.2 63,776 26,241 39,828
12 Muridke 15,404 31,783 46,876 32.9 60,453 20,739 33,928
13 Sharaqpur 16,280 15,697 31,977 50.9 79,497 34,123 57,224
14 Kasur 11,390 20,836 32,226 35.3 86,188 24,262 54,655
15 Patoki 12,008 26,046 38,054 31.6 74,094 29,738 43,735
1-10 Lahore 1,064,297 1,342,293 2,405,998 44.2 70,709 30,693 49,267
11-13 Sheikhupura 116,354 196704 312746 37.2 65,536 25,981 40,723
14-15 Kasur 23,398 46,883 70,280 33.3 79,981 27,304 48,742
The Study
1-15 1,204,049 1,585,879 2,789,025 43.2 70,365 29,980 48,293
Area
Source: JICA Study Team
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Table 3.2.30 Household Income and Car Ownership, 2030 Scenario-III
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Figure 3.2.14 2030 Percent of Car Owning Households for Three Scenarios
Figure 3.2.15 2030 Average Household Monthly Income for Three Scenarios
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Figure 3.2.16 Percent of Car Owning Households, 2010 and 2030 by Scenario
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Figure 3.2.17 Average Household Monthly Income, 2010 and 2030 by Scenario
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CHAPTER 4 – TRANSPORT DEMAND CONTEXT
Travel demand analysis and forecast procedure have been described in detail in
Volume II, Chapter 2. This Chapter focuses on the analysis of the demand forecasts
prepared for the 2020 and 2030 for the three alternative Study Area urban development
scenarios. The scenario details and the socio-economic forecasts are described above in
Chapter 3 of this volume.
Travel demand estimates were made for all three development scenarios. It is estimated
that overall total number of trips between the three scenarios are similar. The main
reason for the Study Area-wide total travel demand to be similar under all three scenarios
is that the 2020 and 2030 forecast total population and economic growth is the same for
the Study Area. The differences are only regional, and apply to the distribution of
population within the Study Area. This result of this varied population distribution under
each scenario lead to different levels of growth in trips. Table 4.1.1 below compares the
overall travel demand in terms of total trip production by Town/ Tehsil and are illustrated in
Figure 4.1.1.
Table 4.1.1 The Study Area Forecast Trip Production Totals (‘000)
Trip Productions ('000)
Town / Tehsil
No. Obs-
Name 2020-S1 2020-S2 2020-S3 2030-S1 2030-S2 2030-S3
2010
1 Ravi 751 974 995 1,002 1,173 1,216 884
2 Data Gunj Baksh 1,103 1,408 1,438 1,451 1,732 1,788 1,191
3 Samanabad 850 1,072 1,078 1,089 1,304 1,310 1,232
4 Shalamar 695 704 716 724 810 834 760
5 Gulberg 1,142 1,147 1,204 1,219 1,453 1,588 1,298
6 Aziz Bhatti 555 663 564 570 974 709 736
7 Wagah 405 666 562 567 1,012 773 816
8 Nishtar 482 1,369 1,340 1,026 2,428 2,366 1,992
9 Iqbal 810 1,554 1,503 1,277 2,690 2,657 1,886
10 Cantonment 725 1,083 1,006 998 1,536 1,379 1,410
11 Ferozewala 265 595 834 847 998 1,602 2,057
12 Muridke 155 236 230 386 329 315 961
13 Sharaqpur Sharif 57 108 110 112 137 142 145
14 Kasur 81 129 131 300 163 168 769
15 Pattoki 108 146 149 331 195 202 811
1-10 Lahore 7,518 10,640 10,406 9,923 15,112 14,620 12,205
11-13 Sheikhupura 477 939 1,174 1,345 1,464 2,059 3,163
14-15 Kasur 189 275 280 631 358 370 1,580
1-15 LUTMP 8,184 11,854 11,860 11,899 16,934 17,049 16,948
Source: JICA Study Team
It can be seen that by 2020 the growth in travel demand will increase by about 46 % -
50 % under all three scenarios, and would more than double by 2030 irrespective of the
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development scenarios. This more than doubling of trips in 20 years is based on over
60 % growth in the Study Area population (from around 10 million to 16.4 million
inhabitants in the Study Area) and a sustained growth of over 5 % in Gross Domestic
Product (GDP). The GDP growth increases household incomes and hence propensity to
buy more motorcycles and cars – which further leads to higher growth of trips.
The travel growth in mature towns of Lahore like: Ravi, Data Gunj Baksh, and Shalamar
is limited, mainly due to high population densities, no land parcels left to develop, and the
housing stock is unlikely to be replaced by multi-storey buildings due to lack of
technology and general people’s resistance to live in high rise block type
accommodations. In addition to that vehicle ownership in these towns is also limited due
to lack of personal parking, lack of access for cars among narrow streets and intensely
mix land use – where by people do not have to travel far for several day to day activities.
Growth in the mainly leafy towns of Samanabad, Gulberg, Aziz Bhatti, and Cantonment
would be limited by land prices (as these are high income residential areas) and are likely
to stay on the limited growth path. The majority of the growth in Lahore District is
therefore expected to be in Nishtar, Iqbal and Wahgah Towns, where it would more than
double the existing demand levels. Under development Scenario 3, under which three
new satellite towns would be developed outside the Lahore District the demand in these
new development areas would be more than triple the existing level.
Travel growth outside Lahore District is mainly concentrated along radial corridors outside
Lahore. Ferozewala Tehsil would grow at a faster rate than the other two Tehsils of
Muridke and Sharaqpur Sharif. Same is the case with the two adjoining areas of Tehsil
Kasur and Pattoki in the south. Only if, Scenario 3 is taken up then the travel demand
would be much high to/ from Pattoki and Kasur areas. Total trip productions as tabulated
above are also depicted in Figure 4.1.1 following this page. The growth in trips by 2020
and 2030 over 2010 is presented in Table 4.1.2, and shows that travel demand is highest
under scenario 3, and lowest under Scenario 2 in Lahore district – representing the
majority of the demand, for both 2020 and 2030.
Further differences in regional growth are shown in Figure 4.1.1 on the following page for
the 15 towns of Lahore and Tehsil areas of Sheikhupura and Kasur included in the Study
Area.
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Table 4.1.2 The Study Area Forecast Growth in Trips from 2010
Trip Productions ('000)
Town / Tehsil
No. Obs-
Name 2020-S1 2020-S2 2020-S3 2030-S1 2030-S2 2030-S3
2010
1 Ravi 751 974 995 1,002 1,173 1,216 884
2 Data Gunj Baksh 1,103 1,408 1,438 1,451 1,732 1,788 1,191
3 Samanabad 850 1,072 1,078 1,089 1,304 1,310 1,232
4 Shalamar 695 704 716 724 810 834 760
5 Gulberg 1,142 1,147 1,204 1,219 1,453 1,588 1,298
6 Aziz Bhatti 555 663 564 570 974 709 736
7 Wagah 405 666 562 567 1,012 773 816
8 Nishtar 482 1,369 1,340 1,026 2,428 2,366 1,992
9 Iqbal 810 1,554 1,503 1,277 2,690 2,657 1,886
10 Cantonment 725 1,083 1,006 998 1,536 1,379 1,410
11 Ferozewala 265 595 834 847 998 1,602 2,057
12 Muridke 155 236 230 386 329 315 961
13 Sharaqpur Sharif 57 108 110 112 137 142 145
14 Kasur 81 129 131 300 163 168 769
15 Pattoki 108 146 149 331 195 202 811
1-10 Lahore 7,518 10,640 10,406 9,923 15,112 14,620 12,205
11-13 Sheikhupura 477 939 1,174 1,345 1,464 2,059 3,163
14-15 Kasur 189 275 280 631 358 370 1,580
1-15 LUTMP 8,184 11,854 11,860 11,899 16,934 17,049 16,948
Source: JICA Study Team
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Figure 4.1.1 Forecast Trip Productions (‘000) by Town/Tehsil and by Three Scenarios
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LUTMP 4-stage travel demand model was run for the two (2020 and 2030) forecast years
and the three development scenarios. Table 4.2.1 presents the prevailing (2010) road
capacity and assigned daily traffic volumes for 2010, 2020 and 2030 for all three
scenarios. It can be seen that in 2010 there is limited capacity available in the network
across major canal crossing, rail crossings, Ravi crossings and also in and out of the
Study Area cordon. Only at Ravi the Volume / Capacity (V/C) Ratio exceeds 0.7 in 2010.
This shows that overall during the day the network is operating at fairly good level of
service, however during peak periods there would be higher congestion towards the city
areas.
A significant reason for lower congestion across these roads is that over the last decade
there has been a number of urban road improvement project e.g. Lahore Ring Road,
widening of Ferozepur Road, Canal Bank Road under passes, new crossings over canal
(Mall Rd 2nd Bridge), Muslim Town bridge etc.
Table 4.2.1 LUTMP Screenline and Cordon Capacity and Traffic Volume
Total Daily Two Way Total (Private + Public + Goods Vehicle) PCUs ('000)
Screenline Description 2010 Daily 2010, Daily 2020, Daily Two Way Volumes 2030, Daily Two Way Volumes
Capacity Volume Scenario-I Scenario-II Scenario-III Scenario-I Scenario-II Scenario-III
Canal East of Mall Road 1,193 298 461 440 434 676 609 592
Canal West of Mall Road 1,811 553 879 902 886 1,337 1,369 1,319
Railway Crossings East-West 1,186 757 961 1,023 1,075 1,195 1,484 1,634
Railway Crossings North-South 983 321 540 539 534 864 844 823
Ravi River Crossings 461 327 461 521 577 740 899 1,033
Study Area Cordon 1,036 335 482 526 577 750 790 839
Screenline Description 2010 Daily 2010 2020, Daily Two Way V/C Ratio 2030, Daily Two Way V/C Ratio
Capacity V/C Ratio Scenario-I Scenario-II Scenario-III Scenario-I Scenario-II Scenario-III
Canal East of Mall Road 1,193 0.25 0.39 0.37 0.36 0.57 0.51 0.50
Canal West of Mall Road 1,811 0.31 0.49 0.50 0.49 0.74 0.76 0.73
Railway Crossings East-West 1,186 0.64 0.81 0.86 0.91 1.01 1.25 1.38
Railway Crossings North-South 983 0.33 0.55 0.55 0.54 0.88 0.86 0.84
Ravi River Crossings 461 0.71 1.00 1.13 1.25 1.61 1.95 2.24
Study Area Cordon 1,036 0.32 0.47 0.51 0.56 0.72 0.76 0.81
Source: JICA Study Team
By 2020 all Ravi crossings would have reached capacity for most of the day. East-west
traffic across railways would be congested. Traffic across canal would be operating at
about 50 % of its capacity. These roads are mostly encroachment free; therefore the level
congestion on these roads is not so severe. However, the congestion on the inner city
roads poses a very different picture, to be discussed later.
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By 2030, irrespective of the scenarios, traffic volume on almost all screenlines would
reach near capacity level, as can be seen from Table 4.2.1 above. This level of
congestion is the outcome of more than doubling of total travel demand in the Study Area.
In some cases the demand would even reach three times that of 2010 traffic volumes.
Figure 4.2.1 below illustrates the 2010 assigned traffic volumes. Congestion is clear by
the colour Orange (V/C Ratio 0.7~1.0) indicating that the network is under stress, and in
peak periods could reach capacity. Ravi Bridge is already at Capacity – colour Red
(Volume / Capacity Ratio 1.0~1.5), indicating immediate action is required to address the
poor traffic condition and low journey speeds to cross Ravi in the north. The blue section
indicates that the network is operating at V/C ratio 0.5 to 0.7 indicates that during
average hour the journey speed would be acceptable in urban areas. The Green sections
show V/C Ratio below 0.5. But it does not imply that there is no congestion. These are
mostly local access roads, and inner city streets. In this case the local intra-zonal traffic
would take up considerable capacity, as these (intra-zonal) trips are not assigned to the
network. Colour Green on Lahore Ring Road (LRR) northern and eastern sections
indicates poor utilisation i.e. below 50 % of its capacity, indicates it poor accessibility and
function as a ‘Ring Road’ to take through traffic out of the local city roads.
Figure 4.2.1 2010 Traffic Assignment Traffic Volumes (PCU) and V/C Ratio
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Figure 4.2.2 compares the assigned traffic volumes in 2020 under three different
development Scenarios. It can be seen that under these scenarios all major arterial and
radial roads in/ out of the city would be at capacity. LRR still would be reasonably
congestion free, indicating its poor utilisation. All three bridges would be well over
capacity, except in case of Scenario 2, (compact development), as in this case motorway
would still have some capacity. Scenario 3 would overload Multan Road and Raiwind
Road in the south and all bridges and G.T. Road in the north; indicates much higher travel
demand to/ from the three satellite towns and Lahore city.
Similarly Figure 4.2.3 compares the assigned traffic volumes in 2030 under the three
different development Scenarios. It illustrates that under all scenarios all major arterial
and radial roads in/ out of the city, and local distributors would be at V/C Ratio of 1.0 or
even 50 % over capacity (some reaching more than twice the capacity – Ravi bridges,
Ferozepur road, sections of Multan and Raiwind roads would be at more than 150 % of
the capacity.
LRR still would not even be close to capacity as most of its sections would be at V/C ratio
around 0.7. All three Ravi bridges would be well over capacity. Scenario 3 would overload
Multan Road and Raiwind Road in the south and all bridges and G.T. Road in the north to
demand levels much higher than the other two scenarios and would be well beyond their
capacities by 2030.
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Figure 4.2.2 2020 Traffic Assignment Traffic Volumes (PCU) and V/C Ratio
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Figure 4.2.3 2030 Traffic Assignment Traffic Volumes (PCU) and V/C Ratio
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Volume-I – Chapter-5
TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT
STRATEGY
FINAL REPORT
The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
CHAPTER 5 – TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
5.1.1 Background
1) Vision 2030
In the “Vision 2030” there are some important comments and targets, directly or indirectly
related to Lahore, for example:
z “With the present infrastructure, it will not be possible to expect our enterprises to
become part of, and players in the international supply chain, or to facilitate new
investments in industry, agriculture and services.” (p.67)
z “Reducing delays in our transport system is critical instrument for the cost of doing
business, and hence increasing our competitiveness.” (p.67)
z “Lahore, a sprawling metropolis of 8.5 million, has fewer than 150 traffic lights,
which are measures of insufficient traffic management. The result is severe traffic
congestion.” (p.96)
The realization of the Vision 2030 is complex, expensive, needs firm planning policy, and
development strategies. Over the last decade various Governments of the Punjab have
attempted to meet this challenge and started a number of projects. A number of these
projects have been completed, some are on-going and numerous are still in the planning
phase.
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2) Current Status
The Study analysis presented in this report clearly shows that Lahore transport system is
‘living on borrowed time’, using but not maintaining – its road network, while adding little to
its infrastructure inherited from our fore-fathers and the colonial masters. A clear example
is the wide ‘Right of Way’ (RoW) left along almost all arterial roads and even right through
the city centre for us to constantly abuse and waste away by setting up hawker stalls,
storage areas for adjacent shops, out-right encroachment by buildings (including
encroachment by Government buildings, police stations and mosques alike.). The
continuation of this practice in a fast growing mega city, without any policy and transport
development strategies, land use control, lack of project planning and implementation and
enforcement of rules and regulations is unsustainable. With a relatively robust population
and economic growth, the number of private cars has been increasing significantly,
placing a severe burden on the roads. With a weak traffic management the congestion is
becoming serious day by day.
Currently GoPb has no ‘officially approved’ urban transport policy to follow. In 2007 Urban
Unit P&D prepared a Draft Urban Transport Policy. This document was prepared in the
light of Government of Pakistan Vision 2030. It had been circulated to various departments
and agencies, but still awaits final approval.
The draft policy document has no official standing. Given the current state of the urban
transport in Lahore (the Punjab Capital) and other major cities of the Punjab, the
document is rather ambitious, and perpetrates to achieve the unachievable, given the past
record of achievements by the provincial and city authorities, and the development budget
constraints of the GoPb. The draft policy document lacks clarity, and is remote from
day-to-day reality as it has totally failed to address the financial aspects and social
constraint to achieve the stated policy goals. However, the documents objectives are
‘noble’, and some of these could be achieved through serious and committed GoPb
unwavering ‘will’ and strong interventions for funding and implementation.
The Study’s transport development strategies try to adopt some (all or in part) of the policy
objectives, where possible and feasible within the GoPb budget envelope.
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z To enhance the safety, affordability and equity of the urban transport system.
(a) Establish effective intermodal transport system and logistics services that are
competitive in international/regional trade and passenger travel: Since the
growth and development of Lahore are becoming increasingly connected with the
regional and the international communities and markets, transport infrastructure and
services such as roads and railways must be continuously upgraded to ensure
seamless and effective movement of people and goods.
(b) Develop efficient and high-quality public transport system: The future urban
passenger travel of Lahore must be based on a public transport network. It must be
attractive and competitive enough to encourage the people to shift from private
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transport use. The public transport system must have a good combination and
network of urban railway, bus rapid transit (BRT), ordinary buses of different sizes
offering various services, taxis, etc. Urban development must likewise be integrated
with public transport development to enhance accessibility, safety, and environment.
3) Suggested Policies
Urban transport institutions in Punjab lacks in both institutional and human resource
capacity. Significant efforts are required at institutional and personal level for the
development of sustainable transport system. The Government shall develop capacity in
the transport sector institutions by strengthening their professional and organizational
capacity. In-house skill development shall be enhanced by providing scholarships for
higher studies, continuous in service training programs and career development.
The potential roles of railway in Lahore manifest in two ways. One, it forms the backbone
of the public transport system by providing efficient and high-quality services. Two, it
promotes a more effective urban growth and land use through the integrated development
of transport and urban development. Rail transport development is a critical determinant
of the future urban growth and the realization of a public transport-based city. Key
principles to be considered are as follows:
(a) Define clearly the role and capability of Pakistan Railway: PR has the potential to
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(b) Develop rapid mass transit system (RMTS): A network of RMTS comprising urban
railway lines and BRTs must be developed to provide the city with a core public
transport system offering high-quality services and integrating all major urban areas
and activity centers.
Bus is and will be the most important mode of public transportation system in Lahore.
Although urban rail is expected to play a major role in the future, the coverage will be
limited and many corridors and areas will remain unserved because it requires lengthy
time and huge costs for construction of such system. Bus also provides important feeder
services for urban rail. Key planning principles should be as follows:
(a) Develop integrated and attractive bus system: Bus services must be developed as
an integrated network to provide convenient services between origins and
destinations, comprising various types of modes and services including BRT, express
buses, air-conditioned buses, minibuses, wagons, etc. The services must also be
attractive and competitive to encourage a shift from private transport.
(b) Establish a sustainable bus operation and management system: The current
dominance of buses and wagons in Lahore may not guarantee further successes in
the future when diversified services are required, more bus units need to be managed
and wider areas have to be covered. Besides, people demand improved services at
affordable prices. Hence sustainable bus operation and management systems must
be established.
(c) Provide adequate environment for private sector to invest in public transport
services: An effective way to improve bus services is providing fair competition
among operators. Since Lahore needs expanded and diversified bus services,
providing opportunities for new investors to offer such services in a competitive
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Roads are the most important and fundamental infrastructure. They provide space for
traffic and various activities in urban areas, determine the growth directions and patterns
of urban areas, and contribute to the improvement of landscape and disaster prevention.
Roads are also important to link Lahore with other regional and international markets and
communities. To achieve this, arterial roads must be upgraded, particularly for the
bottlenecks across the Ravi River. Key principles to be considered are as follows:
(b) Establish clear ring and radial road systems: Urban roads must be developed in a
hierarchical manner, i.e. primary, secondary, and tertiary, wherein the primary and
secondary road networks must be in good condition. The primary road system,
comprising ring roads and radial roads, must be completed. The secondary road
network should likewise be developed to distribute traffic to all urban areas efficiently.
(c) Establish more effective mechanism for at-grade road development: Tertiary and
lower-level roads must likewise be developed based on traffic management plans and
together with urban development control measures. Developers must provide roads or
road space as specified in the plan. The integrated approach is also important to
effectively secure lands for infrastructure and resettlement.
Effective traffic management is important not only to ensure smooth circulation and safe
vehicular traffic but also to improve the amenity and safety of pedestrians, roadside
residents and activities. The restricted use of road space also enhances the landscape
and the city’s image. As car ownership is expected to increase sharply in the future while
road development is expected to be limited, managing the demand for private transport
will become a more serious concern. Key principles to consider are as follows:
(a) Enhance people’s awareness of the need for traffic discipline and the efficient
use of road space: Many traffic accidents in Lahore are caused by human error,
principally due to lack of discipline or disregard for basic traffic rules. Social awareness
of road traffic safety issues must be enhanced by all means.
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Freight transport planning and development supported by land use control, modal
integration and amalgamated with transport network is essential to improve living
environment, to promote domestic labour market, to reduce local traffic congestion and to
improve infrastructure life. Unregulated axle weights, unplanned truck station locations
due to poor land use control and shop loading in the city centres bring about congestion
and deterioration of road infrastructure and environment. This could be optimized through
restraining freight movement in short term basis while can be addressed though zoning
and land use control on long term basis.
Non Motorized Transport modes (NMT) i.e. walk and bicycle has predominant share in our
daily trips therefore NMT network planning must be integrated with detailed road section
planning and intersection planning. Government shall develop regulatory framework for
rights and responsibilities of pedestrians and cyclist in traffic enforcement laws and
regulations. Government shall also develop planning guidelines and standards for
provision of cyclist and pedestrian facilities in road infrastructure design.
The main funding source for Lahore is derived mainly from balancing allocations of the
Federal Government. Local revenue, household investments, and external sources such
as Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) and Official Development Assistance (ODA) is not
salient. The revenue base should be expanded and diversified. Some of the possible
initiatives are 1) Applying User Charges and Service Fees, 2) Expansion of Local
Revenue Base, 3) Access to Capital Markets and Other Credit Finance, and 4) Application
of Public-Private Partnership (PPP).
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CHAPTER 5 – TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
In Chapter 3 of this report, three urban development scenarios were presented. These
scenarios were assessed as follows:
Scenario 2 and 3 are both excellent for a city with a population over 10 million in terms of
mobility, living environment and conservation of greeneries and agricultural land. From the
standpoint of reality, Scenario 1 (Zero Option - Trend) is the easiest way. However,
Scenario 2 and 3 are also realistic only if strong ‘political will’ and leadership are
guaranteed in planning and funding. Scenario 3, however, may be slightly weak in flexibility
because the timing of project implementation must be consistent with population increase
and high-speed transport system will be required in the long run to support the intended
structure of the metropolis.
It is imperative for Lahore to have a robust public transport system to serve citizen that
cannot afford private cars. Moreover, under the foreseen rapid motorization, roads will be
more and more seriously congested, and modal shift from private to public transport
should be strategically promoted.
For this strategy, Scenario 2 is the most desirable since this scenario has been prepared
and designed assuming a network of urban rail systems. Actually, patronage of the
proposed RMTS lines (Green, Orange, Blue and Purple) is the highest for Scenario 2 as
outlined below:
Table 5.2.1 summarizes environmental/ social aspects of the three urban development
scenarios. Generally, Scenario 3 is the most favourable. However, the difference between
Scenario 3 and 2 is very small.
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Based on the discussion above, Scenario 2 has been selected as the most favorable
scenario.
Although rapid increase of car ownership cannot be suppressed as desired, the pace of
motorization could be slowed down to a considerable extent. The following figure shows
conceptually the target for mode shares for 2030. The target mode share of RMTS is 10%
in 2030 excluding walk trips. If other public transport modes are taken into account, the
target modal share of public transport could be about 34 % in 2030.
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CHAPTER 5 – TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
5.3.1 Context
Pakistan has huge development needs and only modest government funds. It appears to
be strongly committed to largely fluctuating social, political and economic situation. In the
short to medium-term (next 10 years) there is probably no realistic option other than to:
z Reform the tax system and raise own-revenues. Sector policies that are
economically efficient will help do this.
z Secure low-cost ODA (JICA provides most ODA – typically 30 year loans at <2%
interest rate with 10 year grace).
As stated earlier in Chapter 2 of this report, provincial finance of Punjab has expanded
development expenditure, i.e., 24.6% of the budget in 2005-06 to 38.5% in 2009-10. As
results, provincial development expenditure sharply increased from PKR 63 billion in
2005-06 to PKR 175 billion in 2009-10 or by 2.8 times. According to the Punjab
Development Programme 2010-11, however, only about PKR 11 billion is allocated to
urban transport development budget in Lahore. This includes road infrastructure, transport
service (mainly subsidy for the purchase of bus units) and special infrastructure (LRR and
RMTS).
This amount (PKR 11 billion) is equivalent to about 0.8% of the 2010 GDP of the Study
Area, estimated to be PKR 1,341 billion. Although development budget is likely to increase
gradually in the future, the realistic target would be 0.8% to 1.0% of the GDP.
2) Empirical Viewpoint
JICA has conducted urban transport master plan studies in various cities in the developing
world. In most cases, its investment target for urban transport development has been
around 3% of the city’s GDP. Note, however, that this target includes maintenance of
transport infrastructure, and therefore actual expenditure for new transport infrastructure
is considerably lower than this level.
3) Budget Envelope
Judging from the above, the following three levels of budget envelope can be considered.
That is:
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3% of GDP: Ambitious
Note that this budget covers investment for urban transport infrastructure (including
improvement and rehabilitation).
Table 5.3.1 shows budget envelop estimated for the Study Area for these three levels. For
20 years by 2030, the envelope ranges from PKR 527 billion (USD 6.2 billion) to PKR
1,582 billion (USD 18.6 billion). The envelope decreases to about 1/3 of this level for the
first 10 years (2011-2020).
z It enables to formulate a core investment strategy consistent with the ‘Low’ budget
estimate (that will ‘almost certainly’ be available), and
In LUTMP, the proposed projects have been selected vis-à-vis this budget envelope.
Without this approach there is every danger the strategy would not be financially
constrained. It would then be little more than a wish-list of politically attractive projects.
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2) Issues in Application
z What scale of additional financing will be available from the private sector, as a
result of implemented concessions?
z The approach depends upon project costing being realistic. We know that many
costing are unrealistic such that major cost escalation takes place when the
project is implemented. It follows that we should check the credibility of cost
estimates. If the costs are far too low they undermine the credibility of the
approach.
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5.4.1 General
The Study surveys analysis showed that in Lahore the public transport (PT) mode share is
anything between 40~60% depending on the corridor and time of day. It is significant to
note that many Asian cities are spending hundreds of millions of Dollars to achieve even
10% PT mode share. In Lahore, public transport system could be vastly improved, at no
great cost to the public purse, and simultaneously subsidy could be reduced or removed
once for all. This has been done in other big cities of Asia and the World. In view of the
high mode share of buses this could be done in Lahore.
For large urban areas, such as Lahore, the only way to effectively meet transport demand
is to provide the city with a high-quality public transport system which must be developed
in integration with urban development. The core network will be composed of urban rail
(RMTS) and bus rapid transit (BRT). Secondary and feeder services will be by buses with
different sizes and types of services. However, building a good public transport system is
not an easy task; it requires large amounts of funds and operation and management
capacities over a long period of time. Fares to be collected from users will hardly pay for
the investment cost and poorly developed systems can attract only a limited number of
passengers. Experiences of successful cities clearly indicate that mass transit networks
serve as the backbone of the urban structure and are integrated with urban land use and
development.
(a) Integrated Urban Development: Land use and urban development must be
reorganized along the mass transit corridors in a way that socio-economic
activities are more effectively articulated with mass transit. This requires a review
of the existing urban master plan which is rather road-transportation-based.
(b) Adequate Role-sharing with Private Transport: Private transport, including cars,
motorcycles, and bicycles, is also an equally important mode as the society
becomes affluent and demands diversify. Private transport modes are also
important feeder services to mass transit systems.
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Figure 5.4.1 presents the timing of urban rail development in major cities of South Asia,
Central Asia and Middle East in comparison with national GDP per capita and city’s
population. In these regions, there are four cities where modern urban rail has been
developed, i.e. Kolkata, Delhi, Cairo and Tehran.
It is interesting to note that urban railway is developed when city’s GDP is between USD 3
billion and 30 billion (in 2000 constant prices) as shown in Figure 5.4.1. It is true not only in
this region but in other developing regions. And more importantly, Lahore is already in the
‘zone’. This implies that Lahore should have an urban rails based mass transit system
judging from the world-wide trend.
Following the world trend, JICA in its previous 1991 transport master plan study had
proposed an LRT system, along one of the busiest corridors of Lahore, with PT mode
share reaching as high as 60% along some of its sections. However, due to various
reasons the project could not be implemented.
Figure 5.4.1 Timing of Urban Rail Development in Major Cities of South Asia,
Central Asia and Middle East in Relation to GDP per Capita and Population
Dhaka
GDP per capita to Urban Population (1960‐2010) -South Asia,Central Asia,Mideast-
10,000 Kolkata (Calcutta)
Mumbai (Bombay)
Delhi
GDP per capita (USD 2000 constant, WDI)
Hyderabad
Pune (Poona)
Lahore
Karachi
1,000 Kathmandu
Baku
Tehran
Baghdad
Damascus
Cairo
metro open
100 GRDP=$3bln
100 1,000 10,000 100,000
GRDP=$30bln
Population (x1000, UN)
Source: Population: World Urbanization Prospect 2009 (UN), GDP per capita: WDI2008
The GoPb also made a second attempt to give Lahore a rail based mass transit system in
2005. Consultants MVA Asia carried out a feasibility study and proposed a network of four
lines to be implemented over the next 20 years. However, implementation of this plan has
also not been materialized due to various reasons. Currently, the GoPb is considering to
get the Chinese funding/ backing to implement the priority line in the near future. This
system is essential, if implemented, it would form the back-bone of the Lahore public
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transport system.
5.4.3 Urban Road Based Mass Transit Development and Conventional Bus Services
Figure 5.4.1 also illustrates that cities which have just entered the rail-based mass transit
zone, could very well benefit from low cost Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) system. Such BRT
system could meet the PT demand not only in the short-medium term for medium demand
corridors, but may be converted to a rail based mass transit high capacity system in the
future.
JICA 1991 master plan had also proposed some corridors to be served by BRT systems,
but none has materialized as yet. Currently, LTC is studying/ considering the introduction
of the BRT along some of the medium-high demand corridors in Lahore. The status of
these studies is not yet clear.
The goal should be to turn the whole of the bus industry in the Study Area to genuine
private operation. GoPb has already taken steps to address this issue by setting up
Lahore Transport Company (in 2010). The organization is in its infancy, and finding it hard
to establish its authority. LTC goals and objectives are rather mixed. However, it has
started to assert its control on illegal operation, monitoring of service quality etc. But it has
a long way to go yet.
Over the last 3 to 4 years the number of large buses have declined sharply from around
1,000 to about 300, and GoPb has failed to win over private sector investment for the
introduction of larger (more efficient) CNG (environment friendly) buses. It is essential that
robust demand analysis be used to establish high occupancy and low occupancy routes.
The existing gazetted routes were notified using the information and data from ages old
routes, with very basic demand data analysis. The route definition was mostly based on
intuitions and whims of the implementers, and on occasions through collusion of the route
planning/ issuing authorities with the operators. Such practices lead to inefficient operation,
as this was done mostly to give some operators unfair advantage by eliminating ‘fair’
competition.
It is essential that healthy competition exists; people have choice and good quality service.
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This requires establishing of new High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) (Bus Size of 50 seats)
routes and rationalization of existing HoV routes. In addition rationalization of Wagon
routes is also required and it is well over due. The Wagons should operate in low-medium
PT demand corridors, and with more of a feeder role, than the main line haul service. In
addition, para-transit modes using low demand routes also need to be reviewed to provide
adequate PT demand for the Wagons.
Currently the normal bus and wagon fares are the same. These need to be reviewed to
ensure that Bus operators with much higher capital cost investment (bus price) can afford
to run a good service and make reasonable profit on their return. Currently, subsidy is paid
to compensate for high fuel prices. But this has lead to confrontation between the
operators and the GoPb, as the operators were forced to keep the fares low. Subsidy
should be targeted for particular purposes and not just as a ‘safety net’ for the poor.
Subsidy if provided should be with ‘stick-and-carrot’ approach. The receiving operator
must ensure good, regular service, to receive subsidy, and this should be monitored
through performance based targets checked regularly by independent bodies.
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The travel demand analysis has presented the gap between the available road capacity
and the demand in the previous chapter. The outcome is clear that with 3+% growth rate in
population, coupled with GRDP growth of about 6% the current network will not be able to
sustain the future road traffic demand. The primary strategy of road network development
is to fill the gaps by increasing road capacity. This is seriously considered in the master
plan particularly at the congested cross-section of Ravi River.
However, due to the fact that road development has hardly caught up with rapid
motorization in many cities of the world, road development has to be implemented as a
part of integrated transport system, i.e. in combination with public transport development
and transport demand management (TDM).
A number of highway projects proposed by various departments and agencies are in the
pipeline, at various stages of implementation. These are outlined in the next Chapter 6.
Some or all of these projects were evaluated and discussed in Chapter 7 of this report to
ascertain their feasibility and role in the overall highway network and the sustainable
transport system for Lahore. The master plan highway network strategy is not based on
demand alone. The overall consideration is based on a combination of best overall PT and
highway system, which is efficient and sustainable transport system from economic,
financial, operational and environmental point of views.
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Traffic condition/ situation in the central area of Lahore is the most serious in the Study
Area. Most inter-city and intra-city traffic concentrate there using radial arterial roads.
Disorderly traffic management and insufficient road infrastructure aggravate the situation.
The traffic management deficiencies need to be tackled urgently.
Focal areas for traffic management have been identified as shown in Figure 5.6.1. The
countermeasures for these areas should form the core programme of the Action Plan
proposed by the Study.
Other areas of Lahore also need attention in the master plan, such as:
z Civilizing the road system, where roads are used for travelling and not for
economic activity or storage, and for waste disposal and collection.
z Pedestrian facilities
z Severance issues
Area #1
Area #3
Area #2
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In Lahore modal integration is simple, because the transport system is simple. Most of the
modal interchanges are between one public mode and the other at various termini in
Lahore. For example, Lahore Badami Bagh Bus terminal – where passengers change
from inter-city buses to intra-city buses, wagons, or other para transit modes.
Figure 5.7.1 (photo) shows the situation of this terminal; large buses and smaller wagons
park in queues in separate places without proper guideways and waiting sheds for
passengers, and a number of wagons are waiting on roads surrounding the terminal.
LUTMP proposes measures to enhance the efficiency of such termini, through better
management and to make public transport more attractive. Again with the goal to keep the
PT mode share at least at current levels (or improve it), and save it from sliding decline.
The decline in public mode share could be disastrous for the city’s economy and not to
mention the degradation of the environment.
Under the current transport system modal integration between PT modes is the likely
scenario. However, when developing an urban road- or rail-based mass transit systems,
integration of the private (car and motorcycle) and public system through park-n-ride type
of operation should also be considered, at project planning and implementation stage.
Figure 5.7.1 ‘Bird-eye’ View of Badami Bagh Bus Terminal
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The transport master plan encompasses wide subsectors and a variety of projects with
different natures. Therefore, the said organization will be required to make decisions from
comprehensive and multidisciplinary viewpoints on project implementation.
The research and planning institute should work as a brain of the decision-making board
as well as the secretariat. Such institute is desirably operated not only with the official
budget, but also with its own financial sources.
While PUTPEI is a research and planning institute, another agency is needed to establish
for project execution, implementation and maintenance of transportation infrastructure,
facilities and schemes. This agency should not be bound by the official wage system as
well and to be allowed to conduct profit-oriented activities in order to become financially
self-sustainable. This is recommended to develop as a province-owned company
servicing to the Lahore City District, named Lahore Transport Development Company
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FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
CHAPTER 5 – TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
(LTDC), comprising six divisions of administration, planning, rail transit, public bus,
parking and traffic management.
• TPU has to maintain and update various transport-related databases and then
TPU must have some staff versed in database.
• TPU will take over a set of LUTMP models and database and be responsible for
undertaking feasibility study. To shoulder there tasks, more capacity building is
needed especially in the field of socio-economic analysis and transport demand
forecast as well as project evaluation.
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CHAPTER 5 – TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
• TEPA should also build capacity for demand analysis and project evaluation.
Demand analysis in TEPA ought to include micro-traffic simulation. Some of TEPA
staffs must be familiar with micro-traffic simulation.
• TEPA should start the preparatory studies for centralization of traffic signal control.
• Training traffic polices includes making traffic enforcers familiar with on-line
operation of vehicle registration database and driving license database.
• The Governments of local level are chronically suffering from shortage of capacity
not only in Lahore, but in other large cities. The provincial Government prepares
training programs and implements them. In the capacity development, some
incentive measures should be added.
Implementation of a master plan needs a huge investment and then a long time. Some
projects recommended in LUTMP would start after 10 or 15 years. Meantime, urbanization
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CHAPTER 5 – TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
would continue outward without stopping. Therefore, a trunk road could not be
constructed due to fully built-up areas in the alignment. Whereas it would be easy to build
in these areas now, or require land when the area is mostly open spaces or farm land.
Thus, restrictive measures will be necessary to build a new permanent structure in the
future right of way once the road alignment is officially determined based on the law. There
may be strong oppositions to make such a low because it restricts free utilization of a
private property. It is necessary, however, from the view of public benefits.
d) Land owners have to sell the land the Government at the market price; and
Repetitive opinion polls and study on the similar laws in other countries would be
necessary before the law is established.
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CHAPTER 5 – TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
Building constructions are, in principle, not allowed in areas where public facilities have been determined.
However, those which can meet the following conditions can take place provided that the prefectural governor’s
approval is received.
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Volume-I – Chapter-6
FINAL REPORT
The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME – I of II
CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
There are number of transportation related projects on-going in the Study Area in various
sectors, under a number of provincial departments, local government bodies, authorities
and agencies. This section provides an outline of all major on-going projects as available
to the Study Team by August, 2011, and their status has been updated again in October,
2011.
The LRR is a circumferential road planned around the city, with the objective to keep most
of the through traffic out of the busy city roads, and to provide a high speed limited access
direct road connecting all the radial roads around Lahore. The Lahore Ring Road Project
was launched on December 22, 2004. The LRR Project is the biggest mega road project
ever undertaken by the GoPb.
The project was started as a single project, but due to unforeseen circumstance the
project was split into two parts: Northern and Southern sections of a loop around the city
with a radius of 10 to 20 km from the city centre. The north-eastern half loop is
under-construction, and likely to be completed by 2012 (as per discussion with C&W
dept.). The construction on the project started in 2006, and progress has been rapid.
Almost 80 % of the northern half of the loop has now been completed and is operational.
The salient features of the Lahore Ring Road are:
A Dual-3 with ‘emergency lane hard shoulder’ limited access highway; a typical
cross-section of a completed section is depicted in Figure 6.1.1.
All junctions are grade-separated, with slip roads for access and egress;
The northern half intercepts the radial road in the north and to the east of the city;
whereas the southern half loop is planned to intercept the radial routes from the
south and south-west of the city – thus to keep the through traffic out of the city
The highway permitted speed is 80 km/h.
All vehicle types (except animal drawn carts) are allowed.
There is no restriction for good vehicles of load/ size or time;
Pedestrians are not allowed, nor vehicles are allowed to stop, except in case of
emergency;
The project is being implemented in stages; the Northern section is split into 16
construction packages. Packages 1 through to 13 have been completed and are
operational and Packages 14~16 is under construction, due for completion by the
end of 2012.
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
As per recent data the estimated completion cost of the northern section is
PKR 86 billion (USD 1.24 billion)
The southern section is in the planning stages, and is discussed in the subsequent
sections of this Chapter.
At present almost all of the northern and eastern part, about 43 km is complete (except the
last section between Bedian Road and Ferozpur Road) with nine major interchanges, as
shown in Figure 6.1.2. The figure also illustrates trial section which is under construction.
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FINAL REPORT: VOLUME – I of II
CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
Under
Construction
Source: NESPAK
In the 1991 JICA Master Plan Study proposed a limited mass transit system (a Light Rail
System - LRT) a 13 km one LRT line for Lahore, along one of its busiest corridor –
Ferozepur Road. However, its implementation could not be realised due to numerous
unforeseen circumstance right up to 2004. In-line with the vision 2030, in 2004 the GoPb
launched the Lahore Rapid Mass Transit System (LRMTS) project to provide a
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
comprehensive network of mass transit lines for the people of Pakistan's second largest
city Lahore. In the 1st phase, GoPb commissioned international consultants to review all
previous work and develop a state-of-the-art mass transit network for the year 2025. The
Study was completed in 2006. The Study proposed a rail based mass transit prioritised
network of four lines (Figure 6.1.3) about 97 km, with 82 stations. The Study also
completed the feasibility of the 1st priority (Green) line. Again Ferozepur Road corridor
was proposed for the priority line envisioned to be completed by 2015/ 16.
ADB conducted independent assessment of the feasibility studies, agreed to fund the
LRMTS project in phases, and approved to provide a Multi-tranche financing facility
(MMF) loan of USD one billion towards the capital cost of the priority (Green) line.
However, since 2008 negotiations with the ADB has been suspended. GoPb is seeking
alternative funding source for the 1st priority (Green) line from friendly countries. So far
there is no commitment for funding, but the details are confidential, as the negotiations for
the terms and conditions of the loan are on-going. The key features of the priority (Green)
line are outlined below:
2-Depots, both depot will be developed as multi-modal bus terminals for direct
transfer between the buses (inter and Intra City) and the Green Line stations.
All stations will have integrated feeder bus routes and passenger drop-off and
pick-up areas with direct access to the station;
Fare levels will be affordable and comparable to the prevailing air-conditioned bus
services
Capital cost of the Green Line is estimated to be USD 2.4 billion (2008 prices) and
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
Both Lines would need capital cost subsidy, however would not require
operational cost subsidy.
GoPb had set in motion a plan to operate the mass transit system under ‘PPP’, the
modalities of which still need finalisation.
The ADB funding was contingent upon GoPb putting the project on PPP basis for
raising the part or all of the remainder (USD 1.4 billion) of the capital cost and to
secure private sector operator for the system.
The GoPb from its ADP cannot afford to fund the project capital cost. As a result the
project remains suspended until some form of capital cost funding could be secured, as
descried above.
GoPb, recently negotiated the project with Chinese investor company “NORNICO” who
showed willingness to obtain the buyers’ credit from Chinese financing institutions to
provide 85 % of the contract amount; whereas GoPb would be responsible for effecting
15 % advance payment. NORINCO had to do detail design and build LRMTS; whereas
LTC to engage an operator for subsequent operation of the system. No more details are
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
Fate of this project is under risk, as GoPb has constructed a flyover at Kalma Chowk and
Canal Bank Road along Ferozpur Road. Semi Government Consultant Company was
responsible for the design and construction of the Kalma Chowk flyover. LRMTS Green
Line alignment and design had been completely ignored. The construction had been done
on ad-hoc basis due to inability of the Consultant to understand and incorporate the
complex LRMTS Green Line (GL) alignment and station design. The most serious
problem is the location of flyover pillars which incurs re-design of the GL underground
Kalma Chowk station as shown in Figure 6.1.4, and also the alignment from Model Town
to Wahdat Road and beyond.
Note: The red part is the Kalma Chowk Flyover above the planned station.
Source: JICA Study Team
The situation is further made worse by the recently started construction of Canal/ Muslim
Town/ Wahdat Road junction flyover. This will have the same impact on GL alignment and
Canal station as did the Kalma Chowk flyover. Future LRMTS Green Line would need
another review and re-design by International Consultant.
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
A Korean group of investors have expressed interest in providing BRT system along the
Green and Orange lines corridors on BOT basis. The GoPb has requested the Korean
investors to prepare detailed feasibility study, giving details of technology, financing and
implementation plan for the two BRT lines along both Green and Orange Lines corridors.
The feasibility report was expected in February 2011. No further details are available to
the JICA Study Team.
The Urban Sector Policy and Management Unit under Planning and Development
Department, GoPb intended to design and implement an “Integrated Traffic Management
System” in the five large cities of Punjab; before implementing the citywide system, GoPb
planned to implement the system as a pilot project on Ferozepur Road, Lahore.
The Ferozepur road is one of the busiest radial corridors into Lahore from the south. In
2006 GoPb decided to improve the traffic condition along this dense urban corridor about
12 km of the road from Qurtaba Chowk to Khaira distributary (Figure 6.1.5). The project
was launched as a pilot project, to prepare an integrated traffic management; public
transport improvement; and institutional study to act as a model which could be extended
over whole of the city, and also to be a stop gap measure until the LRMTS Green line is
operational.
The studies were completed in 2008 by the urban unit. The outcome of the institutional
study was not implemented as a whole; however some components did filter through the
system and have proved useful. The traffic management study has been implemented to
some extent, mostly involving minor junction improvements, and building of service road
sections, where there was no service road without economic and environmental
assessment. The integration of the service road to the overall road network in the corridor
remains to be implemented. This is mostly due to the fact that the junction improvement,
installation of modern linked signals through some kind of traffic control system remains to
be implemented.
In order to improve the public transport service and facilities a number of measures were
proposed. The building of bus stops and bus stop shelters have been partially built.
Bus-only lanes have been planned and implemented, but effective enforcement is not a
reality yet. The effectiveness of these measures has not been assessed.
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
co-ordinated signal system. A complete integrated/ coordinated signal system has been
designed. But this component is yet to be tendered, and implemented. A number of other
departments, including TEPA, C&W and Transport are also trying now to implement the
system; apparently the main hurdle is the availability of finances for the system. The cost
is estimated to be around USD 6 million just for this corridor and signals for a few
adjacent/ crossing roads. Table 6.1.1 gives the proposed details.
North
Section-I - 3.5 Km
Section-II - 5.2 Km
Section-III - 3.1 Km
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FINAL REPORT: VOLUME – I of II
CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
Source: TEPA
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
Lahore Development Authority (LDA) has planned to build Finance and Trade Centre near
Expo Centre in Johar Town with an objective to generate commercial activities in the area.
The area allocated for the Finance and Trade centre is 55 ha. The proposed projects are
to build a 5-Star Hotel, Big Box store, LDA Tower, Luxury Apartments, play land, lake and
parks. Location is shown in Figure 6.1.6 and detail layout plan is given in Figure 6.1.7.
No feasibility study for the scheme was available. The impact of the development on the
traffic and transport facilities in the surrounding area has not been made clear.
Source: LDA
Source: LDA
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
There are a number of other transport improvement projects under various phases/ stages
of consideration and implementation. The status of each one of these project is not clear.
The list below outlines some of these projects:
Widening and Improvement of Multan Road – the road is being realigned/ re-modelled
mostly through removal of encroachments.
Widening of Canal Bank Road project – Project was suspended by the Supreme Court
of Pakistan on environmental grounds up to August, 2011. But now work has been
started after SC verdict to add one lane from Jail Road underpass to Ferozepur Road
underpass on both sides of BRB Canal.
Gradual phasing out of 2-stroke engine Rickshaw and replacement by ‘cleaner’
4-stroke engine Rickshaws – project completion delayed, not sure why (but may be
due to lack of funding).
Setup of Transport Planning Unit (TPU) – Development and implementation of
transport projects have been mostly under the domain of TEPA. However, over the last
decade or so TEPA has done little or no planning, and has mostly focused its efforts on
implementing ad-hoc projects. Much of the work done by TEPA has been based on
single project development and its implementation, without any concern or priority for
the overall transport needs of Lahore. As a result, TD has setup TPU under the
provincial government, which helped the conduct of Lahore Urban Transport Master
Plan (LUTMP) Study, with the aid of JICA. It was envisaged that TPU would gain the
necessary technical skills from the JICA Study Team, through a comprehensive
technology transfer programme, and would be capable of carrying out similar transport
planning studies for the other major cities of the Punjab.
There are numerous other on-going projects, which are listed below in Table 6.1.2. Table
also provides the details: such as executing agency, cost, completion dates etc, where
available. The tabulation is for the Study Area only, and covers whole of Lahore District,
and parts of Kasur and Sheikhupura districts areas within the Study Area.
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
TEPA and C&W departments are executing major road projects and traffic improvement
schemes in Lahore areas. C&W is mainly building the provincial or inter-districts roads,
and its highway division of each district is responsible for planning and execution of their
regional road development projects. First update was taken from all transport related
agencies over their on-going projects at the start of year 2011. The second update is
taken recently to incorporate projects is proposed by the JICA Study Team evaluation and
assessment. List of the completed projects by TEPA and C&W is given in Table 6.1.3.
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
There are numerous transport related projects, which have been ‘planned’. Feasibility
studies of these projects have been conducted, and found to be economically feasible and
are awaiting implementation. Their implementation may be imminent or some time away,
may not be clear. However, full efforts have been made to advise the reader of the current
status of the project. These projects are discussed further in this section.
The LRR southern section was planned, and its feasibility study was completed in 2008/ 9
by NESPAK. This section is 40 km in length, with six major interchanges at major radial
roads from Ferozepur road, Raiwind Road, Multan Road and the M-2 motorway. The
planned alignment runs from Ferozepur road to westwards, parallel and 2~3 km south of
Defense Road to Multan Road and turns northwards after its interchange with Multan
Road. The complete alignment is shown in the previous section in Figure 6.1.2. The
design criterion of this section is that of motorway standards, with design speed of 120
km/h. Description of each section of LRR loops; both Northern and Sothern section is
given in Table 6.2.1.
To make project financial and economically feasible, ribbon development and four land
clusters of housing and industry are proposed by the feasibility study. The estimated cost
of the project is PKR 44.98 billion (USD 530 million), and ribbon and cluster development
costs are PKR 29.5 billion (USD 347 million); which makes total cost of PKR 74.48 billion
(USD 876 million).
C&W Department, GoPb proposed PPP mode for inviting the private investor which is as
follows;
Project feasibility study is considered to be weak; Project is unable to attract any investor
for about 3 years. The land acquisition process is underway. The construction start date or
project completion date is not clear. The main reason is the financial constraints.
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
Transport Department formulated a strategy to curb the two stroke rickshaws on roads to
improve the environment. This has been implemented on some roads. Project is on-going,
albeit at slow pace, and further progress is not known.
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
It is a common practice in Pakistan that numerous projects are proposed and executed,
without feasibility studies, and are implemented on ad-hoc basis. Brief list of the projects
categorized by proposing agency is given in Table 6.3.1. Outline of some projects is also
provided.
Table 6.3.1 List of Proposed Projects – A Summary
Proposing
No. Project Description (the Study Area Only)
Agency
1 Establishment of Centralized Drivers Licensing Authority TD
Computerization of Transport Department under Motor Transport Management and
2 TD
Information System (MTMIS)
3 Up-grading of 'D-Class' Bus Stands TD
4 Effective and Efficient School Bus Service TD and ED
5 Suburban Railway System LTC
6 Integrated Bus Operation LTC
7 Traffic Education and Travel Behavior Traffic Police
8 Traffic Management Plan of City Traffic Police
9 Two Major Housing Scheme on Ferozepur Road and Raiwind Road LDA
10 Relocation of Proposed Lahore-Sialkot Motorway Alignment Urban Unit
11 Institutional Development of Lahore Metropolitan Traffic and Transport Authority Urban Unit
12 Establishment of Multimodal Truck Terminal in Sheikhupura CDGS
13 Establishment of Multimodal Bus Terminal in Sheikhupura CDGS
Source: JICA Study Team
Badami
Bagh Bus
Terminal
Railway
Station Bus
Terminal
Niazi Bus
Terminal
Daewoo
Bus
Terminal
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
Transport Department intends to shift existing bus terminals to outskirts of the city which
also includes shift of major bus terminal of Badami Bagh on PPP basis to locations as
shown in Figure 6.3.2. It is understood that a feasibility study has or would be
commissioned to finalize the project. No further details are available.
Transport Department has visual vehicle inspection system; which is mandatory for all
kind of public service vehicles. Each vehicle is issued vehicle fitness certificate before
allotting the route permit to ply on the inter-city or intra-city routes. Enforcement is done in
Lahore by Motor Vehicle Examiners (MVOs). Project was advertised for hiring of
Transaction Advisor through IPDF; no further details are available.
There are only three off-street parking plazas controlled by TEPA with a capacity of about
750 vehicles; CDGL is managing 72 mix, both motorcycles and cars parking stands
through their town administrations along 32 major roads; which are not sufficient for the
current parking demand.
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CHAPTER 6 – ONGOING AND PROPOSED PROJECTS
Lahore Transport Company envisioning that growing demand cannot be met only through
BRT in the city as there is high daily inflow of passengers from Kasur, Sheikhupura,
Raiwind, and Gujranwala. This justifies the need of alternate mode which should cater
sub-urban demand efficiently. No further details are available on the progress of this
project.
The Urban Unit through Ferozepur Road pilot project is proposing an institutional
improvement to develop a Lahore Traffic and Transport Authority. The Urban Unit has
defined its functions, further work is on-going, and realization timeframe is not clear.
TEPA intends to improve a number (about 52) of important road junctions/ interchanges
along important corridors to improve the traffic flow in the city. No detailed plans or
schedule of implementation was available.
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Volume-I – Chapter-7
MASTER PLAN 2030
FINAL REPORT
The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
CHAPTER 7 – MASTER PLAN 2030
The development of the Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan (LUTMP) adopted the
following methodology as outlined in Figure 7.1.
6. Classify the projects into three categories: ‘short’, ‘medium’ and ‘long’ term
according to when it needs to be implemented.
7. Prepare action plan 2020 for short and medium term projects, which is presented
in Chapter 8.
Identified Project
(7.3 Profile of Major Projects)
Economic/ Financial
Environmental Evaluation
Evaluation
(7.4 Evaluation of
Prioritization
Major Projects)
(7.5 Implementation)
Implementation Program
For the development of rail based mass transit system, the Study follows basically the
concept and results of the recently conducted LRMTSS studies from 2005 to 2008 by
MVA Asia Ltd. and SYSTRA France. The project is expected to be completed by 2025. In
the first phase, two medium capacity rail based mass transit lines will be constructed; i.e.
Green Line (GL) and Orange Line (OL). In the second phase, another two medium
capacity lines will be completed; i.e. Blue Line (BL) and Purple Line.
However, due to low ridership estimate as detailed in Chapter 4 of this report, Purple Line
has been downgraded to be a BRT Line in the Study. In other words, Lahore will have
three RMTS lines by 2030. However, this may require further review, in about a decade.
Presently there are many adverse impacts from the intercity bus terminal located at
Badami Bagh including local pollution and road congestion and the amount of intercity
bus traffic across the Ravi Bridge. Removing the bus terminal to a location north of the
River Ravi (presently earmarked RMTS depot and an integrated bus terminal) and
connecting this Bus Stand via RMTS and BRT systems across the Ravi Bridge will
significantly reduce bridge traffic and the traffic impacts around the walled city. RMTS and
BRT will offer a high level of connectivity to the northern bus terminal as well as
increasing the passenger capacity of the Ravi Bridge which presently acts as a severe
bottleneck.
Once the Intercity bus terminal is moved north of the bridge, it is connected to the city via
LRMTS (Green Line) and BRT across the Ravi Bridge. These mass transit links would be
able to carry up to 40,000 passengers per hour per direction which represents a capacity
increase equal to building 3 new bridges. To improve traffic management further, (and
encourage less car usage across the Ravi) the present tolling gates can apply a road
user charge on all crossing traffic, with this charge being set at a value which will
encourage use of the RMTS and BRT. Motorcycles and rickshaws can be banned from
the Ravi Bridge and be diverted to the Old Ravi Bridge after structural improvements with
additional lane for BRT. The outcome would be that the Ravi will be utilized to their full
capacity with a very low investment.
The proposed BRT network should be designed to offer good connectivity by linking
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FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
CHAPTER 7 – MASTER PLAN 2030
mass transit systems and overlapping routes so that passengers could transfer at any
station across the platform serviced by multiple routes. Integrated ticketing allows at/
across the platform transfer on the paid side without any ticket processing.
It is considered that due to passenger demand, availability of Right of Way and traffic
conditions, along all main arterial bus routes in Lahore can be operated as a BRT, simply
because there are no other ways to guarantee efficient bus speeds to make bus
operations financially viable. However, due to budgetary constraints, all possible routes
cannot be proposed in this study. High demand corridors will be selected taking into
account the integration with the proposed RMTS lines. The BRTs would be built so that
passengers can immediately access a trunk mass transit network and maximum early
impact is gained.
Another important point is that BRT could be operated even in the corridor where RMTS
is planned, if there is a time of at least 10 years before it is replaced by RMTS. In the
severe lack of funding, BRT option should be considered as realistic, and safe in the
sense that it remains as a trunk public transport system when RMTS is found to be
un-implementable.
The committed public transport projects, which are confirmed with the counterpart
agencies are included in the Master Plan and are listed in Table 7.1.1.
Project Project
Project Name
No. Code
PT01 C.1 Multimodal Inter-City Bus Terminals in Lahore
PT02 C.2 Effective and Efficient School Bus System
PT03 C.3 Up-grading of Bus Stands
PT04 C.4 Integrated Bus Operation
PT05 C.5 Establishment of Multimodal Bus Terminal at Shahdara
Source: JICA Study Team
The proposed RMTS/ BRT network for 2030 is presented in Figure 7.1.1. Note that some
of the RMTS lines will be proposed as BRT to be operational before 2020.
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CHAPTER 7 – MASTER PLAN 2030
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CHAPTER 7 – MASTER PLAN 2030
Based on the result of travel demand forecast for 2020 and 2030, eight candidate
projects were identified as RMTS/ BRT system to be included in the Master Plan. The
project summary is given in the following Tables 7.1.2 and 7.1.3.
PT09 BRT1 Purple Line Bhatti Gate/ Allama Iqbal Road/ Airport 19.0
Multan Road/ Canal Bank Road/
BRT Line 1
University Road and terminates at
PT10 BRT2 (Thokar to Muslim 14.1
Wahdat Road before Ferozepur Road
Town)
and Green Line Station
Khayaban-e-Jamia Punjab Road/
BRT Line 2 Maulana Sarfraz Naemi Road/ Multan
PT11 BRT3 (Barkat Market to Road/ Bund Road West/ Lahore Ring 14.3
Bhatti Chowk) Road/ Outfall and terminates at Bhatti
Chowk
Shalamar Link Road/ Workshop Road/
BRT Line 3a Ghari Shahu/ Allama Iqbal Road/
PT12 BRT4 (Shalamar to Circular Road/ Badami Bagh and 15.7
Shahdara) terminates at Shahdara across Ravi
River and Green Line Terminal
Canal Bank Road/ Workshop Road/
BRT Line 3b Ghari Shahu/ Allama Iqbal Road/
PT13 BRT5 (Harbanspura to Circular Road/ Badami Bagh and 19.1
Shahdara) terminates at Shahdara across Ravi
River and Green Line Terminal
Source: JICA Study Team
RMTS project costs were estimated based on the unit costs of the Reference Design
Study Report of Green Line and the Feasibility Study of the Orange Line. The following
table gives the estimated costs for each project in USD at 2010 prices. The rolling stock
cost is included in the capital cost.
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Project Project Capital Cost Capital Cost (/km) Annual O&M Cost
No. Name (USD million) (USD million) (USD million)
PT06 Green Line 2,583.0 96.7 32.8
PT07 Orange Line 2,330.0 86.0 32.1
PT08 Blue Line 1,908.0 79.5 26.1
Source: JICA Study Team
The following table compares construction cost of selected BRT projects in the world. BRT
construction cost ranges from USD 2.0 to 8.0 million /km in other cities of the world. The unit
cost of BRT seems to depend on its capacity. The relationship between capital cost and
capacity of BRT project is shown in Figure 7.1.2 and outlined in Table 7.1.5. In this study, the
BRT construction cost was estimated using this relationship between future demand and
BRT costs.
Table 7.1.5 BRT Project Cost and Its Capacity
Capital Cost Actual Capacity
BRT System /km (Pax /hour
(USD million) /direction)
Bogota Trans Milenio 8.0 35,000-45,000
Bogota Trans Milenio (Phase I) 6.9 35,000-45,000
Sao Paulo Busways 3.0 27,000-35,000
Porto Alegre Busways 2.0 28,000
Curitiba Busways 2.5 15,000
Quito Bus Rapid Transit 2.0 9,000-15,000
Trans Jakarta 2.0 8,000
Hyderabad (Plan) 1.14 5,200
Hyderabad (Plan) Inc. Bus Fleet 1.88 -
Cavite Busways (Bus Lane Only) 4.1 -
Source: JICA Study Team and Hyderabad BRT - Feasibility Study ITDP
(Institute for Transportation and Development Policy), excluding Bus Fleet.
Figure 7.1.2 Relationship between Capital Cost and Capacity of BRT Project
50,000
Capacity (Pax/Hour/Dirction)
40,000
30,000
y = 20454 ln(x) + 63.24
20,000
R² = 0.7219
10,000
0
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0
Capital Cost (Mil. USD / km)
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O&M Cost: O&M cost is comprised of road maintenance cost and bus operation cost.
Road Maintenance Cost: 1.0 % a year of the Capital Cost as Road Maintenance
Rolling Stock (Bus Fleet) Cost: Rolling stock cost is assumed based on the following
formula.
– Standard Bus: PKR 6.2 Million (45 Seats and 75-Pax Capacity)
Lahore is bounded on the north and west by the Sheikhupura District, on the east by
India and on the south by Kasur District. The Ravi River flows on the north-western side
of Lahore, and it covers a total land area of 404 km². Lahore is the capital of the Punjab
Province and the second largest city of Pakistan. The city is situated approximately 25
km from Wahgah, India border crossing. Major national road links are Motorway (M-2),
National Highway N-5 (G.T. Road and Multan Road), Sheikhupura Road to the west and
Ferozepur Road along with Raiwind Road to the south. Main functions of the hierarchal
road transport corridor are as follows.
Planning of urban roads must be done with due consideration to a hierarchy of network
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connectivity with different level and function of roads. Urban roads in the Study Area must
consider adequate connectivity with national/ regional transport network including
motorways, trunk roads, and facilities like bus termini, freight centres, railway stations
and international airport.
Inter provincial/ national roads in the Study Area will be developed in a way that they will
not pass through urban areas to avoid conflicts and mix with urban traffic. Proper design
standards will be adopted for the intersections of urban roads. To develop a proper road
network, a systematic and hierarchical functional classification is necessary. The function
of hierarchical classification is comprised of motorways, national roads (trunk system),
urban primary, secondary, and local roads.
Motorway and Trunk Road (Lahore Ring Road – LRR) has a function for long distance
transport at higher operating speed. At some sections of LRR traffic accidents have
happened. The main cause of these accidents is different running speed of traffic modes
using the LRR. One should select the road design speed according to the vehicle mix
likely to use the road.
It is proposed that an embankment type road structure, and service roads along the
embankment. The service road is for residential/ adjacent commercial access. Service
roads will be designed for broth local motorized traffic as well as pedestrian movement.
This concept is shown in a typical cross-section in Figure 7.1.3.
Figure 7.1.3 Proposed Typical Cross Section for Motorway
The urban primary road system serves the major percentage of trips entering and leaving
urban areas as well as some of the through travel that wants to bypass the city. In
addition, significant intra-urban travel, such as between CBDs and outlying residential
areas, between major sub-urban centres, are served by these primary urban roads. For
the proposed road network, the urban primary roads have two functions: the primary
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system formed the significant framework linking up with the regional trunk road network,
and also primary with the secondary road network. Typical cross sections for Trunk/
National and Primary roads are depicted in Figures 7.1.4 and 7.1.5 respectively.
Figure 7.1.4 Proposed Typical Cross Section for National Road/ Trunk Road
Figure 7.1.5 Proposed Typical Cross Section for Urban Primary Road
The urban secondary road system interconnects with local roads and augments the
urban primary road system. It provides travel with moderate trip lengths at a somewhat
lower level of travel speed than primary roads. Urban secondary road typical cross-
section is illustrated in Figure 7.1.6.
Figure 7.1.6 Proposed Typical Cross Section for Urban Secondary Road
The urban local road system aims to provide access to areas located along the roads
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and to serve not only vehicular traffic but also for cyclist and pedestrians as well as
roadside access activities. Some urban streets that have commercial frontage serve fairly
substantial volumes of traffic. A typical cross-section is illustrated in Figure 7.1.7.
Figure 7.1.7 Proposed Typical Cross Section for Urban Tertiary Roads
2) Design Standards
“A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets” published by AASHTO that has
been widely referred to in the preparation of the geometric design standards in many
countries.
Design speed is the maximum speed for safe travel that can be maintained for a
specified section of a road in a free flow condition, and it is determined with respect to the
terrain, adjacent land use, type of road, and the design speed of merging/ diverging
sections. The design speed will directly affect many geometric elements, like the
horizontal and vertical alignments, sight distances, and provision of super elevation.
Other features, such as lane width and shoulder width are also influenced by the design
speed, as shown schematically in Figure 7.1.8.
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When two intersecting roads each have four or more lanes, excluding the turning lane
and the speed change lane, the intersection may be grade-separated, except where the
traffic volume on the intersection, traffic safety condition, road network composition,
interval between intersections, and topography allow an at-grade intersection. In
selecting the appropriate type of intersection, both traffic operation and economic aspects
are to be considered. The road network’s hierarchy should also be taken into account in
accordance with a road’s traffic capability and accessibility as summarized in Table 7.1.7.
Road density is a key index of the road network’s appropriateness for keeping a balance
with land-use activity and intensity. Target road densities corresponding to types of land use
have been introduced in various design manuals and are summarized in 7.1.8.
Urban Primary road and Secondary road also require suitable and sustainable
maintenance management and program. These include traffic control, traffic information
and emergency services, processing of traffic accidents. Routine and periodic
maintenance work is important. Maintenance works are classified into three types:
routine, periodic and emergency. Routine maintenance is based on routine (daily)
inspection of the condition of pavement, cut and fill slopes, drainage, bridges and other
structures and facilities to monitor any defects and damage. The results of routine
inspection will be promptly reported to the maintenance office for follow-up maintenance
works to be undertaken either continually throughout the year or at certain intervals.
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Emergency maintenance basically comprises works to restore road and road related
facilities to their normal operating conditions after they are damaged by road accidents or
natural calamities. It is impossible to foresee the frequency, but such maintenance
requires immediate action.
The road sub-sector projects are depicted in Figure 7.1.9 and details are provided in
Section 7.3.2. However, the committed road projects, which are either completed or
scheduled to be completed in the near future (2012/ 2013) are listed in Table 7.1.9.
Further details of these road projects are illustrated in Volume-I, Annex-I.
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Note: Further details of these road projects are illustrated in Volume-I, Annex-I.
Source: JICA Study Team
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The typical traffic management projects for the Master Plan 2030 were, identified and
developed under the following six (a–f) broad categories. These categories may be
described as follows:
(c) TDM and Priority for Public Transport: To enhance effective usage of the limited
road capacity, by promoting public transport system, particularly new RMTS and BRT
systems.
(d) Road Function and Capacity Improvement Program: In order to maximize the
usage of the limited road space, it is important to define the traffic function of the
network according to its designated hierarchy. Mix traffic and roadside activities
cause traffic congestions and accident, and must be banned at least on all Trunk and
Primary Roads, and must be limited on Secondary roads.
(e) Traffic Safety Improvement: Traffic accidents have become one of the serious
social problems. More comprehensive measures shall be taken to minimise accidents.
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For the development of traffic management projects, the Study Area has been divided into
six parts for the traffic management project identification purposes, due to differences in
urban transport fabric and their local impact on the city’s transport system. These areas are
defined below and the location map is given in Figure 7.1.10.
a) Lahore City: All areas under the jurisdiction of Lahore City District Government
(CDGL).
c) North of Ravi River: Area north of Ravi River, part of Ravi Town and
Sheikhupura Tehsil included in the Study Area
d) North of Canal and South of Ravi River: Area bounded between Canal Bank
Road, Lahore Ring Road and part of M-2 Motorway up to Thokar Niaz-baig.
e) South of Canal: Whole area south of canal excluding outskirts and rural villages.
f) Outskirts of Lahore City: Area east of BRB Canal, south-east of DHA toward
Bedian Road, Ferozepur Road, South of Defence Road, and along Multan Road
towards west.
The traffic management projects identified, developed and studied for the LUTMP 2030 are
listed in Table 7.1.11.
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B. Traffic Management
TM15 B.1 Low Occupancy Vehicles Planning for Outskirt/ Rural Areas (f and c) 5.0
TM16 B.2 Traffic Circulation System Design and Implementation (a) 20.0
TM19 B.5 Feasibility Study for Traffic Demand Management Measures (a) 2.5
TM20 B.6 RMTS and BRT Station Area Traffic Management (a) 1.5
C. Non-Motorized Traffic
TM21 C.1 Planning and Design Study for Non-Motorized Traffic (d) 1.5
D. Parking Management
TM24 D.1 Comprehensive Parking System Development (d and e) 2.5
F. Traffic Safety
TM28 F.1 Traffic Calming (e) 6.0
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1) Prevailing Conditions
Analysis of current transport supply and demand has been presented at various stages of
the project and particularly in relation to travel demand forecast in Volume 1, Chapter 4.
It has been established that the current network demand and supply situation is adequate,
as it is generally perceived and as reported in the opinion surveys. The prime causes for
poor network performance and traffic congestion is not due to lack of road space and
capacity deficiencies but mostly due to local reasons, which could be summarised as:
Bad traffic mix, particularly animal drawn carts, pedestrians, bus passengers
and slow moving traffic – all in the same road space due to various reasons;
Inefficient junction design – allowing fast merging traffic from the left; and lack
of intersection control (police controlled traffic signals),
Poorly and incorrectly laid out merges and diverges on primary and
secondary roads;
Total lack of signage (even the limited signage is poorly planned, designed
and located) and enforcement of traffic rules.
These comments are based on observations and also the result of several different types
of surveys conducted by the Study.
Urban roads perform many functions besides providing passage for moving vehicles and
pedestrians. These functions may be broadly classified as: environmental, access, local
traffic and through traffic. Not all functions need to be performed by anyone road, but for
purpose of planning and design, the function need to be recognised and appropriate
design standards applied. When defining the function of road; assessment must be made
of all the activities on and along the road. Therefore, when planning a road; a balance
must be achieved between traffic capacity, operating speed, environment, safety and the
convenience of road users including pedestrians. Therefore, the benefits to be achieved
by classifying and managing road hierarchy could be summarised as:
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When environment and access functions are given priority, activities related
to building frontage may be allowed – Access/ Local roads/ Streets/
Service roads
A road Hierarchy for Lahore was considered to be essential. Currently a number of radial
primary routes provide access to Lahore from all directions with considerable capacity –
even with excess capacity (e.g. current capacity of M-2 and LRR). Now that the LRR is a
reality (after 20 years of its proposal), extending the primary network to the heart of the
city is not essential. There is a need to strengthen the distribution network and access
roads with clearly identified priorities. This is to ensure that there is adequate capacity to
feed and distribute traffic to/ from the primary and higher level network to/ from the city.
This is emphasized as essential for the road network to work in an integrated and
efficient manner to provide reasonable speed for all long and short distance users. As a
result the study approach was to define the existing (2010) road network hierarchy in the
light of above criterion, based on surveyed information and best international practices.
This hierarchy is illustrated in Figure 7.2.1 for the Study Area network.
The current 2010 road network hierarchy as defined by the study is illustrated in Figure
7.2.1 and its characteristics under the current road traffic condition are summarised in
Table 7.2.1. The Study Area road network as illustrated does have good road density,
except in the inner city areas. The areas in the outskirts still rely mostly on a single road
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and basic low-grade street / rural unpaved roads (not in the LUTMP network) – such as
GT Road to the east Barki Road and Bedian Road in the South-east. Similarly in the
south-west and south the local and secondary road network is quite sparse and requires
strengthening. On the other hand inner areas to the north of Railways and most of the
western areas between Bund Road and major arterial roads lack well defined secondary/
distribution roads. Cantonment, DHA, Gulberg and Model Town areas are well laid out in
terms of local and secondary road network.
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The LUTMP hierarchically defined road network performance under the 2010 traffic
situation is summarized in Table 7.2.1 and illustrated in Figure 7.2.2. The poorly planned
network development is quite evident form the lower percentage of primary and
secondary network in each category. Particularly secondary network is only 8% of the
Study Area roads but carries 18 % of the PCU*kms and 21 % of the PCU*Hrs.
Internationally there is no ideal split of road network by primary/ secondary and local
roads. It depends on the form of the city, its geography (rivers etc.), and location relative
to other regional centres. It can be seen that about 42 % of PCU*kms are on the
motorway and trunk roads with only 10 % of the share of the network. This indicates
considerable internal-external and through traffic demand on the Study Area network –
requiring that due consideration be paid to the regional traffic within the Study Area.
The average daily travel speed by road type shows that most of the network operates at
above 30kph. It should be noted that it is not peak period speed or by direction. The
LUTMP model is strategic in nature and deals with average daily traffic volumes as 9% of
the daily volumes. (Derived from cordon, screenline and traffic count surveys).
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The 2010 road network as discussed above was updated to include the following on-
going schemes to represent the ‘base case’ network for future (2020 and 2030) demand
assessment. These upgrades and new constructions include:
ii. Upgrade of Ferozepur-Kasur Road, Multan Road and Kala Khatai Road;
iii. Canal Bank Road widening, upgrade of Canal Bank Road beyond Thokar Niaz
Baig; Barki Road; Allama Iqbal Road; and
These upgrades would increase the network length by about 17 km to 2,412 km, but
would have limited impact on the overall network capacity and performance. The base
case network is shown in Figure 7.2.3. The 2020 and 2030 (in both cases Scenario II)
traffic volumes when assigned to the base case network, the results are shown in Figures
7.2.4 and 7.2.5 respectively and summarised in Table 7.2.2.
Table 7.2.2 Base Case Road Network Performance 2020 and 2030
Network V/C Network Av.
% of Ratio Speed (kph)
Road Type km
Network
2020 2030 2020 2030
Motorway 52 2% 0.92 1.15 28 9
Trunk 204 8% 0.66 0.93 27 10
Primary 152 5% 0.52 0.69 29 16
Secondary 226 9% 0.50 0.69 33 23
Local 1,777 76% 0.33 0.55 26 15
Total 2,412 100% 0.49 0.71 28 13
Source: JICA Study Team
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Under the 2020 Scenario II, travel demand the exception of local network all other road
types would be at V/C ratio in excess of 0.5 and the overall network speed would drop
from the base case speed of about 40 kph to 28 kph. The trunk roads, primary and
secondary network would be overloaded at various locations. Figures illustrates main
bottlenecks would be Ravi Bridges, Multan Road (N-5), Raiwind Road, adjacent local
Roads and sections of Ferozepur Road. However, the situation would be tolerable, but
not conducive to a functioning modern metropolis with close to 13 million inhabitants with
growing car ownership and increasing income levels.
By 2030 the situation will be further exasperated with more than doubling of the traffic
volumes (see Volume 2, Chapter 4, demand forecast). The 2030 network performance
posts a much bleaker picture. Almost all of the network would be above V/C ratio of 0.5
and all roads with the exception of local streets would be at level of service D or worst.
Average speed except on secondary roads would drop below 20 kph. The inner city area
roads may show a somewhat better picture with many roads above 25 kph, but it should
be noted that the LUTMP strategic demand model does not take account of very short
trips (mostly intra-zonal) in the inner-city area. With that additional volumes, which could
be realised at more detailed modelling level would show much more congested local/
street network. This situation is not sustainable.
The Study Area base case road network was systematically upgraded, starting with
improvement to the capacity and connectivity of the secondary road network,
improvement to junctions and better utilization of service roads through 1-way operation if
possible; or at least 1-way at entry and exit, but 2-way flow along the service road
sections. It was estimated that additional 20 % capacity could be realised by such
improvements when coupled with serious removal of encroachment and zero-tolerance
for roadside activities such as hawkers, motor vehicle repairs, storage of goods for sale,
garbage storage and collection, and other such activities which limit road capacity. The
analysis showed that further road improvement/ upgrading would be necessary to have
sustainable network speeds in 2020 and 2030.
All proposed and committed road schemes were then analysed for:
The deferred (as may be considered later if needed – through proper planning and
feasibility studies) are:
Wahdat Road – Already good dual-2, with additional Right of Way (RoW),
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The 2020 demand forecast scenarios were tested including all TEPA and C&W and other
proposed projects, except those listed above. The network performance was evaluated,
and it was found to be seriously deficient in meeting the future travel demand. As a result
the whole network was hierarchically developed and iteratively evaluated. The additional
projects based on road hierarchical upgrade i.e. local to secondary upgrades, and so on
were developed both for 2020 and for 2030, again based on when a project is needed.
These physical/ structural details of the full master plan projects are given in the next
Section (7.3) of this Chapter. The final LUTMP 2030 Master Plan is illustrated in Figure
7.2.6, and key projects are outline below:
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Full 4-stage LUTMP travel demand model runs were carried with full highway master
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plan network; including complete integrated public transport master plan for 2020 and
2030. Highway projects were then selected according to the need i.e. to be included in
2020 or later in 2030. The whole network was tested for their operational performance,
until 2020 and 2030 and provides acceptable and sustainable level of service in the
Study Area. The highway network operational performance is discussed next, and is
followed by the Public Transport (PT) network development programme. The 2020 and
2030 road traffic volumes and resulting average speed are depicted in Figures 7.2.7 and
7.2.8 and are summarised in Table 7.2.3 and 7.2.4 respectively.
Table 7.2.3 Master Plan Road Network and Performance Indicators - 2020
Av. Network Network PCU*Hrs
% of V/C PCU*km (Daily) (Daily)
Road Type km Speed
Network Ratio
(kph) (‘000) % (‘000) %
Motorway 52 2% 28 0.84 2,569 10% 91 12%
Trunk 279 11% 37 0.57 9,805 37% 266 34%
Primary 129 5% 39 0.47 2,915 11% 76 10%
Secondary 502 20% 37 0.35 6,186 23% 167 21%
Local 1,571 62% 28 0.25 4,903 19% 177 23%
Total 2,533 100% 34 0.41 26,378 100% 776 100%
Source: JICA Study Team
Table 7.2.4 Master Plan Road Network and Performance Indicators - 2030
Av. Network PCU*km Network
% of V/C (Daily) PCU*Hrs (Daily)
Road Type km Speed
Network Ratio
(kph) (‘000) % (‘000) %
Motorway 89 3% 39 0.69 4,600 12% 117 10%
Trunk 279 11% 39 0.73 13,043 34% 332 29%
Primary 129 5% 33 0.54 3,519 9% 108 9%
Secondary 626 24% 31 0.50 11,076 29% 352 31%
Local 1,499 57% 28 0.33 6,609 17% 239 21%
Total 2,622 100% 34 0.53 38,846 100% 1,149 100%
Source: JICA Study Team
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It can be seen that through proper planning and structured highway network development
with an overall increase of only 210km of new roads (9 % increase over 2010) more than
double the traffic volumes (PCU*km) are accommodated without much degradation to
network-wide speed – down to 34 kph in 2030 from around 40 kph in 2010. The main
strategy was to create coherent secondary road network - increased by 400 km, mostly
from existing local roads by getting rid of encroachment, junction improvements and
limited widening/ remodelling – where appropriate. The local road network would
decrease to about 1,500 km from 1,800km in 2010). This would provide major
environmental benefits to the remainder of the local roads due to reduced traffic volumes.
It can be seen from Table 7.2.4 that the major road network (Motorways and Trunk roads
would be at around 40kph, and Secondary roads at 31kph, while local roads at just under
30 kph. It may be argued that Motorway and trunk roads should have higher average
speeds, but this would require major motorway and trunk road programme which could
be financially unsustainable within the GoPb budget. Another way to look at the network
is to introduce further secondary road network when the areas to the west and north of
Ravi are developed, which would take away local traffic of these major trunk roads.
In addition, it is also necessary to mention that: a major regional study is required to fully
realise the impact and implications of external and through traffic, considered to be
beyond the scope of this project. Pakistan Railway could also assist in taking away
considerable external and through bus traffic off these regional roads, but again it is
difficult to fully assess the impact of such regional modal shift and the level of investment
required, to achieve such a shift, given the poor state and lack of capacity in Pak Rail
network system. The impact of such a massive investment would or could also adversely
impact the available budget for transport infrastructure programme for Lahore. Alternative
would be to get National Highway Authority/ Federal Government to fund these
developments to the national road network.
The Public Transport (PT) is a serious issue in Lahore and its operation and lack of
performance has been discussed elsewhere. Lahore is fortunate to have 38 ~ 40 %
Public Transport mode share (even with such poor and dilapidated services – as public
without private vehicle have no choice). However broad PT demand has been discussed
in Chapter 2 (Volume 2) Travel demand forecast are detailed in Chapter 4 (Volume 1). In
brief there are currently about 53 Government ‘notified’ bus routes (Large bus or some
time called as HOV routes). These 53 routes are incorporated in the LUTMP ‘strategic’
modelling process.
In addition 16 inter-city bus routes representing long distance travel along motorway and
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trunk roads were also incorporated in the model. Thus there were 69 total bus routes
representing major bus travel in/ out and intra-city travel. Table 7.2.5 describes some of
the key features of the current bus network in the Study Area. It can be seen that for
network of about 2,400 km the bus services cover just over 1,000 km. The rest of the
road network (more than half) is left to the mercy of para-transits, legal and illegal wagon
operations. The total demand does not even yield one boarding per trip. This shows the
sparse coverage of the Study Area by the ‘notified’ bus routes, and the remainder trips
are assigned to the para-transits (see Figure 7.2.9).
Table 7.2.5 Local and Long Distance Bus Route Network and Demand
Total Total PT
Number of
Route-KM Bus Stops Boardings Demand
Routes
(‘000) (‘000)
Local - 53 1,040 4,000 3,994 2,870
These routes are from the Study
Inter-city 672 574
Area cordon to bus termini
Source: JICA Study Team
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Analysis of the 2010 network as described above not only indicated poor coverage but
also lack of high capacity bus system for major demand corridors. Future PT demand has
been discussed elsewhere, and is again summarised below in Table 7.2.6
Table 7.2.6 PT Travel Demand for LUTMP Master Plan (2020 and 2030 Scenario-2)
Person Trips Growth over 2010
Area
2010 2020-S2 2030-S2 2020 2030
Internal 2,870,000 3,562,000 4,204,000 24% 46%
External 574,000 669,000 798,000 17% 39%
Total 3,444,000 4,231,000 5,002,000 23% 45%
Source: JICA Study Team
It can be seen that total travel demand for public transport would exceed 5 million trips by
2030, a modest increase of about 45% over the next 20 years. However, the current
unplanned, ill-organised poorly served bus network and mixture of Paratransit as a public
transport system for over 16 million inhabitants is not sustainable. High demand corridors
were analysed according to the demand and a comprehensive high capacity mass transit
(bus and rail based) system is planned through an iterative process using the LUTMP
strategic demand forecast model. The 2020 and 2030 public transport system
characteristics internal to the Study Area are summarised in Table 7.2.7.
Table 7.2.7 LUTMP Master Plan – Key Characteristics of Public Transport System
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Conversion of two lines (Orange and Blue to RMTS is also essential as the loadings on
these lines could not be sustained using a road based (BRT) system. At this stage the
analysis is strategic, and would require further investigation at the feasibility study stage
of each line. Additional patronage from Bus could be diverted to the BRT/ RMTS systems
in the future years through better feeder route planning. In the LUTMP master planning
the bus planning is limited to removing the competing nine (9) routes from the bus
operations as these were operating almost parallel to the mass transit systems along
majority of their length.
The proposed four of the eight routes (BRT and/ or RMTS) are based on the LRMTS
study outputs and are reconfirmed here through LUTMP model for their viability and
sustainability. However, the purple route is downgraded to be a BRT up to 2030. Similarly
Orange and Blue lines are also proposed to be BRT lines up to 2020, and converted to
rail based system after that. The exact timing of such conversion would be subject of
further studies. The key question is more likely to be the availability of funding rather than
the level of demand. The proposed BRT and RMTS systems are depicted in Figures
7.2.11 and 7.2.12 for 2020 and 2030 respectively.
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The RMTS and BRT 2030 passenger volumes are illustrated in Figure 7.2.13. The bus
and para-transit volumes are excluded so that a direct assessment of the mass transit
volumes could be made. The bus, para-transit (including feeder) volumes are shown in
Figure 7.3.14. The performance of each of the eight BRT/ RMTS line is summarized in
the Table 7.2.8.
Table 7.2.8 LUTMP 2030 – RMTS and BRT System Performance Key Characteristics
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Figure 7.2.13 Scenario-2, 2030 Public Passenger Demand on RMTS and BRT Lines
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Figure 7.2.14 2030 Public Transport Passengers, Excluding RMTS and BRT Lines
The above analysis demonstrates that an increase of about 1.6 million person trips from
2010 to 2030 would need to be accommodated to retain the PT mode share. This could
only be done efficiently through a well-developed, public transport network as developed
for the 2030 LUTMP Master Plan. It shows that it is essential to provide efficient higher
capacity (than just HOV bus routes) network of Bus Rapid Transit and Rail-based mass
transit systems. It should also be noted from Figure 7.2.14 that having provided the mass
transit systems there would still be need for bus services and para-transit trips as feeder
and local services. The 2030 Para-transit only trips are shown in Figure 7.2.15.
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Previous studies, since 1991 Master Plan has advocated the introduction of Light Rail
Transit System, but has not been implemented. Now we have reached a stage where
further delay in the provision of high capacity public transport system would be very
detrimental for the city’s transport system, and its sustainability. A balanced and
integrated public/ private transport system must exist in any thriving metropolitan area.
Neither private nor public transport mode alone can provide an efficient system. Failure
to provide much improved public transport system would drive the low-middle income
households to purchase motorcycles and use them – away for public transport, where its
share is already on the decline.
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Some projects for improving existing public transport are committed or planned, funded
by state budget. These existing committed public transport projects are supposed to be a
part of the Master Plan up to 2030. Through the reviews of government plans and
discussions with counterpart agencies, all committed projects were included and are
listed in the following Table 7.3.1.
The proposed public transport projects for 2020 and 2030 are identified and outlined in
Section 7.1.1 and given in Tables 7.1.2 and 7.1.3. The proposed projects are described in
the following section.
The Green Line (27 km) has been planned with 12 km underground section, 12 stations,
and viaduct section of 15 km with 10 stations. The line follows Ferozepur Road corridor,
starting in the south just north of the Hudiara Drain Road Bridge and through Mall Road
ending at Shahdara across the Ravi River.
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Figure 7.3.2 Planned Layout of RMTS Green Line Alignment and Station Locations
Model Town South
Shadab Colony
Wapda Colony
Hamza Town
Walton Road
Nishter town
Ghazi Road
Ferozapur Road
Qurtaba
Garden Town
Ichhra
Canal
Shame Chowk
Badahari Masjid
Timber market
Shahdara
Jinnah Hail
Data Darbar
Regal Chowk
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The Orange Line (27.1 km) as a RMTS has been planned with underground section of
6.9 km with 6 stations and viaduct section of 20.2 km with 20 stations. Orange Line as a
BRT project would require a full feasibility study along the proposed corridor.
Project Corridor: Raiwind Road/ Multan Road/ Macloed Road/ Railway Station/ G.T.
Road
Capital Cost: [(RMTS) 2,330 (USD Million)], [(Initial BRT) 62.8 (USD Millions)]
Figure 7.3.4 Planned Layout of RMTS Orange Line Alignment and Station Locations
Salahudin Road
Cuishan-E Ravi
Wahdat Road
Samanabad
Awan Town
Bund Road
Canal View
Hanjarwal
Shahnoor
Niaz Baig
Sabzazar
Ali Town
Stabling Yard
Lake Road
Chauburji
Shalamar Garden
Mahmood Booti
Pakistan Mint
Baghbanpura
Salamatpura
Dera Gujran
Islam Park
UET
Lakshami
Sultanpura
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Blue Line (24.0 km) as a RMTS has been planned with underground section of 4 km with
3 stations and viaduct section of 20.0 km with 17 stations. Blue Line as a BRT project
would require a full feasibility study along the proposed corridor.
Figure 7.3.6 Planned Layout of Blue Line RMTS Alignment and Station Locations
④ ⑤ ⑥ ⑦ ⑧ ⑨ ⑩ ⑪ ⑫ ⑬ ⑭ ⑮ ⑯ ⑰ ⑱ ⑲ ⑳
Green Line Tunnel
① ② ③
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Purple Line as a BRT project would require a full feasibility study along the proposed
corridor.
Project Corridor: Thokar, Canal Bank Road, Punjab University, Wahdat Road, Muslim
Town, Ferozepur Road
Capital Cost: 30.5 (USD Million)
Length: 14.1 km
Figure 7.3.8 Location Map of BRT Line 1
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Project Corridor: Barkat Market, Jamia Punjab Road, Punjab University, Sarfraz Naeemi
Road, Multan Road, Bund Road, LRR, Sagianwala Bypass, Bhatti Chowk.
Capital Cost: 30.1 (USD Million)
Length: 14.3 km
Figure 7.3.9 Location Map of BRT Line 2
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Project Corridor: Shahdara, Old Ravi Bridge, G.T. Road, Badami Bagh Bus Terminal,
Badshahi Mosque, Circular Road, Allama Iqbal Road, Garhi Shahu, G.T. Road, Shalamar
Link Road, Shalamar Gardens.
Capital Cost: 28.1 (USD Million)
Length: 15.7 km
Project Corridor: Shahdara, Old Ravi Bridge, G.T. Road, Badami Bagh Bus Terminal,
Badshahi Mosque, Circular Road, Allama Iqbal Road, Garhi Shahu, G.T. Road, Canal
Bank Road, Harbanspura.
Capital Cost: 35.2 (USD Million)
Length: 19.1 km
The proposed road projects for 2030 include new construction of motorway, trunk,
Primary and Secondary roads. The existing Secondary road network should be
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expanded to cover the fast growing outer areas. Since construction of primary road in
urbanized area is very difficult, the development of Secondary roads is very crucial, as
these should have at least 4–8 lanes with an adequate curbside and traffic control
system.
In general, the ideal density of arterial road network (including primary and secondary
roads) in urban area is said to be about 3.5 km/km 2. For the urban area of Lahore,
secondary roads are to form a diverse road network.
The projects committed or proposed by TEPA, C&W or JICA Study Team are listed in Table
7.3.2.
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R45
Secondary Roads in Samanabad Area 46.0 D-2 Remodeling LUTMP Proposed
(20093)
Note: Further details of these road projects are illustrated in Volume-I, Annex-I.
Source: JICA Study Team
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The road sub-sector projects proposed for LUTMP 2030 are listed in Table 7.3.3 and
depicted in Figure 7.1.9.
The following committed projects are on-going or at various stages with GoPb
departments/ agencies and are included in LUTMP 2030 as an integral component. The
committed projects are listed below in Table 7.3.4 which also outlines their status.
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In addition to the above committed projects, the study has given a full and due
consideration to the role of traffic management in the LUTMP 2030. This has been
defined and discussed for the traffic management project identification, selection and
development in Section 7.1.3. The Following section provides an outline project
description and its scope within the LUTMP 2030 for each of the twenty traffic
management projects, TM12 to TM31 are listed in Table 7.1.11. The location of each
project is depicted in Figure 7.1.10 under six sub-areas, a–f.
A.1 [TM12] Junction Design and Traffic Signal Network Improvement – CBD
Scope: There are about total 26 major junctions in this area. Road junction improvement
and coordinated traffic signal network is proposed and to be implemented.
Description: This project will consist of three components for each junction
improvement; First; build transport database, junctions topographic layout, Second;
replacement of existing Non-UTC traffic signal controllers to UTC type, Third; junction
design improvement, signal design and network connection of all signalized junctions.
Scope: Total major junctions in Lahore city are about 250, and this project is to cover
initially 134 signalized junctions which are identified in Figure 7.3.13. Other
non-signalized junctions could be studied for conversion to signalized type at a later
stage.
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Source: TEPA
Description: This project is aimed to enhance the existing road operational capacity by
minimizing the road side activities. This will include increasing the road capacity by
permanently or temporarily removing the encroachments: parking, vendors, shops, or
illegal construction of houses. This will consist of three major components; First; sufficient
laws and regulations should be prepared for strict land use control and enforcement, and
later curb future encroachment activities. Second, prepare comprehensive road network
public right of way plan for identification of encroachments of the road network. Illegal
encroachment removal operation should be launched to remove the existing
encroachment, immediately. Third, street vendors used to occupy space on temporary
and daily basis; will not be easy to remove them. A continuous effort and strict monitoring
would be required to curb such encroachments. On other hand, separate commercial
facilities should be developed to accommodate all such vendors in a mix land use pattern
in all large communities after identification of land area.
Scope: Development of existing right of way plan using the GIS of whole road network
right of way should be measured and compared with public right of way records. Prepare
comprehensive existing encroachment removal plan.
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Mainly include following components; legal framework, fine system development, illegal
encroachment database development, and street vendor control.
B. Traffic Management
B.1 [TM15] Low Occupancy Vehicles – Public Transport for City Outskirts
Description: Outskirts areas of Lahore in the south and east, south and south west have
limited or no public transport system. This project is aimed to deploy low occupancy
vehicles like Wagons, and may be Qingqis in the outskirts with defined routes. This would
also provide feeder service to RMTS, BRT, and Bus transport system.
Scope: Feasibility study for low occupancy vehicle routes to be integrated with the city
urban transport system in the outskirts to provide public transport to rural areas.
Area: Outskirts of Lahore City and North of Ravi River (c&f); Capital Cost: USD 5.0
Million
Description: This is to improve traffic circulation system in the urban center, and other
dense parts of CBD. Detail traffic study would formulate an optimal traffic circulation plan
for the CBD of Lahore.
Scope: This project should design the traffic circulation system based on traffic
simulation, and propose traffic management and control devices plan. This will also
include one way street system, installation of traffic control devices and pavement
markings etc.
Description: Public transport terminal locations in Lahore are not optimal. Freight truck
stands are illegally operating along many area and corridors of Lahore due to lack of
logistic planning. All such facilities should be relocated to appropriate places with access
to urban centres and limit to regional road network. Small delivery trucks and local bus
services distribute goods and passengers in the city and other areas.
i. Feasibility study for the relocation and site selection of public and freight transport
terminals;
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Area: Lahore City and North of Ravi River (a&c); Capital Cost: USD 100 Million
Description: This is an approach that manages competing interests for limited road
space by giving priority use of the road to different transport modes at particular times of
the day. All road users will continue to have access to all roads. However, certain routes
will be managed to work better for cars, while others will be managed for public transport,
cyclists, and pedestrians. It would have the following salient features;
This would encourage walking by facilitating good pedestrian access to and within
the activity centres in periods of high demand;
Buses are to be given priority along key public transport routes that link activity
centres during peak periods;
Cars would be encouraged to use alternative routes around activity centres to
reduce the level of through traffic;
Bicycles would be encouraged through development of cycle network;
While trucks would have access at all times to the Trunk road network, these may
be given priority on important routes that link freight terminals through the
regional network;
Scope: Operational road network simulation model needs to be developed with greater
detail than the LUTMP strategic demand model.
B.5 [TM19] Feasibility Study for Traffic Demand Management (TDM) Measures
Description: There are many TDM measures which are practiced worldwide specially in
developed countries. TDM measures which suitable for the local traffic and transport
environment should be evaluated. This study should set the direction for future TDM
strategy for the city, and recommend future needs.
Description: Rail based Mass Rapid Transit and Bus Rapid Transit stations will be the
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major multi-modal interchange points; so there needs to be traffic management plan for
all station areas of RMTS and BRT lines. Feeder service, private vehicles, and modes
like Rickshaws, Wagons and Qingqis need to be given access to avoid traffic chaos
around the stations.
Area: Lahore City (a); Capital Cost: USD 1.5 Million (Approx.)
C. Non-Motorized Traffic
Description: Study for the development of pedestrian friendly city including improvement
of the accessibility for the vulnerable road users. North of Lahore should be studied in
detail and practical road improvements, junction improvements, traffic circulation in
coordination with NMTs movements, landscaping, and NMTs user friendly facilities should
be planned, and designed. Certain areas could be planned as pedestrian only areas
depending upon the requirement.
Scope: This will include the detailed traffic management plan for the non-motorized traffic
which includes pedestrians, bicycles, and wheelchairs. Areas should be designed with
road access design, walkways, and traffic calming measures.
Area: North of Canal and South of Ravi River (d); Capital Cost: USD 1.5 Million
Scope: Road geometric design, junctions design improvement, walkways, bicycle paths
construction, and other proposed measures for handicap persons.
Area: North of Canal and South of Ravi River (d); Capital Cost: USD 6 Million
Description: Newly developed housing communities in last few decades; like DHA,
Model Town, Gulberg, Johar Town areas do not include pedestrian or bicycle facilities at
all. Traffic is moving at high speed as compared to densely mixed areas north of the
canal. Pedestrians and cyclist are always at risk as they are forced to mix with fast
moving traffic in the same road space.
This project objective is to study and design facilities for pedestrians and cycles to make
the transport system more sustainable and environment friendly.
Scope: Study to provide segregated or mixed NMT path network with full connectivity
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with commercial centres, and communities. This project will include the implementation of
the proposed measures.
Area: Central (b) and South of Canal (e); Capital Cost: USD 5 Million
D. Parking Management
Description: This includes comprehensive planning and design study for on-street and
off-street parking facilities. This study would lead to the construction and operation of
such facilities in Lahore. Parking Management Company should be established before
the start of this project.
Area: North of Canal, and South of Canal (d&e); Capital Cost : USD 2.5 Million
Scope: This will include the construction/ provision of on-street and off-street parking
facilities, removal of encroachments, and enforcement mechanism for illegal parking
control/ management.
Area: North of Canal, and South of Canal (d&e); Capital Cost: USD 60 Million (Approx.)
Description: Park and Ride facilities may be provided in order to attract private car users
to public transport system. People can walk; take cycle, motorcycle or car to Park and
Ride facility, and take BRT or RMTS to the CBD area.
Scope: Park and Ride facilities to be planned at mass transit line terminals and at the
stations if feasible. To be studied in conjunction with the BRT/ RMTS line feasibility
studies.
Description: Traffic enforcement is the best way to control traffic violations, improve
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traffic safety of NMTs and other vehicles, stop reckless driving, and streamline traffic flow.
Automatic traffic violations central database should be established which would assist in
interactive traffic enforcement in the field and detecting vehicles with repeated violations.
It would be necessary to do the capacity development of traffic police for efficient
enforcement of traffic laws.
F. Traffic Safety
Description: Road in Lahore have wide right-of-way, and specialy in the newly
developed south and south-west side areas. This is to apply road design and traffic
management techniques to control traffic speeds in these areas for pedestrian, cyclist
safety and better environment.
Scope: The project objectives are to include preparation of detailed design of traffic
calming measures and their implementation.
Description: Sense of safety is most important for safe travel behaviour for both
motorized and non-motorized traffic. This awareness can be developed through proper
education during early childhood, primary school, secondary school, and drivers training.
Traffic Safety should be mandatory part of the syllabus of students in school. This should
be specifically designed in context of existing traffic environment by the traffic safety
experts.
Scope: Project will include designing and conduct of traffic safety course as mandatory
part of education at all possible levels. Public seminars, talk shows should be organized
to improve road safety sense in the young generation who are most vulnerable and
reckless.
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Description: This project will consist of three components; First; study for urban traffic
control and information system development. Second; will include installation of CCTV
cameras and traffic detectors to control and collect real time traffic data, and use for
incident management system. Third; centralization of the signal control system in order to
provide area-wide real time adaptive traffic control system.
Section for the data collection and processing and dissemination for the traffic information
will also be established. This whole project includes extensive component of local
capacity development to operate, maintain and further expand the system to wider area.
Description: Local standards and guidelines related traffic engineering are a pre-
requisite for bringing the conformity in transport facilities design. This would help to avoid
unsafe and poor designs based on perception and intuitions.
Scope: These standards need to be developed considering local conditions and should
involve local and international experts in each field in the design review team.
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v. Pavement Design
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In this Section, major projects in Section 7.3 are evaluated from the economic, financial
and environmental points of view, based on the methodology of Strategic Environmental
Assessment (SEA). Finally, these projects are prioritized and classified into the short-,
medium- and long-term projects.
Following the method of social cost-benefit analysis, all the public transport and road
projects comprising the maximum network were evaluated from the economic or social
point of view. As the economic benefits of a project, two direct effects by the projects
were taken into consideration; one was savings in Vehicle Operating Cost (VOC) and the
other was savings in Travel Time Cost (TTC). They were measured by so-called “with-
and without” comparison, that is, comparison of traffic assignment results on a network
with the project and without the project.
There are many projects to be evaluated and a main purpose of evaluation is to put a
comparative priority on each project. Therefore, the following assumptions and
standardizations were adopted for simplification and convenience of comparison.
1) Construction Period is assumed to be three years of 2017 to 2019 for the road
and BRT projects. Construction cost was distributed among the three years,
based on the previous studies. In case of RMTS projects, and large-scale
highway construction projects, the construction period is assumed to be five
years of 2015 to 2019. In case of public transport projects, Rolling stock (or Bus
Fleet) cost of the project was allocated only in 2019.
3) Traffic Assignment was done for the year of 2020 and 2030, and the economic
benefits were estimated for the two years and an interpolation was done for
intermediate years. The economic benefits have been calculated from the results
of traffic assignment. After 2030, economic benefit was assumed not to change.
4) Three Indicators of Economic Viability have been calculated from the annual
cost and benefit streams:
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8) Exchange Rate was set as USD 1.00 = PKR 80.00 on December 2010.
As savings in VOC and TTC were selected as the economic benefit of a project, unit
costs of VOC and TTC were required to estimate those benefits. The unit costs were
estimated in 2010.
The following figure shows the VOCs by vehicle types used in this study for a range of
speeds. The important is that the VOC should be a function of vehicle speed so that the
improvement of road condition would be duly reflected as economic benefit.
(PKR/km)
Bicycle
600
Motor- cycle
500 Car
Large Bus (50pax)
400
Pickup Truck
300 2 Axle Truck (8ton)
3 Axle Truck (15ton)
200
100
0
5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Speed (Km/h)
Source: JICA Study Team
VOT is an important parameter to determine the modal split of passenger traffic, and to
provide the basis for economic evaluation of the proposed project. Based on the result of
Willingness-To-Pay (WTP) survey conducted in this study, the value was estimated by
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mode of transport as summarized in Table 7.4.1. This value was assumed to grow at the
same growth rate as per-capita GDP used in this study.
Economic benefit and estimated economic internal rate of return (EIRR) of each project is
given in the following tables. As the threshold of EIRR is 12 %, most projects are judged
economically feasible with several expectations. EIRRs of BRT projects were higher than
that of RTMS projects. Generally, many projects show extraordinarily high EIRR because
of sever congestion in “without project” case.
Due to the excessive simplification of the method, the EIRR should be referred to only for
project prioritization.
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O&M Cost
Project Project Length Project Cost EIRR
Project Description (USD million) (USD
No. Code (km) (%)
million)
Barki Road
R11 20002 (Green City – BRB Canal)
6.8 17.0 0.17 15.6
Bedian Road
R12 20003 (DHA – LRR – Ferozepur Road)
26.3 142.0 1.42 15.6
Shabir Usmani Road
R13 20004 (Barkat Market – Maulana Shaukat 2.8 6.9 0.07 11.6
Ali Road)
R14 20005 Link Peco Road – Ferozepur Road 1.9 6.7 0.07 11.6
Link Ferozepur Road - Nalay Wali
Road
R15 20006 (Completion of link between
1.5 5.3 0.05 11.6
Ferozepur and Multan Road)
Old Ravi Bridge and Road
R16 20007 (Bridge 0.5km) 1.2 5.3 0.05 56.0
G.T. Road
R17 20008 (Cooper Store - Ek-Moria Pul)
2.1 6.3 0.06 11.6
College Road
R18 20010 (Ghaus-e-Azam Road to Defence 6.9 14.0 0.14 17.8
Road)
Structure Plan Road
R19 20011 (Shahrah Nazria-e-Pakistan – 12.9 35.0 0.35 37.3
Defence Road)
EXPO-Kahna Kacha Station Road
R20 20020 (Khayban-e-Jinnah – Kahna Kacha 7.1 29.9 0.30 17.8
Station)
Main Boulevard PIA Society Road
R21 20021 (Baig Road – Ittehad Road)
1.6 4.0 0.04 11.6
Raiwind Road
R22 20023 (Lahore Ring Road Southern Loop – 14.2 52.5 0.53 10.7
Raiwind City)
R23 20024 Madrat-e-Millat Road - Defence Road 2.6 10.9 0.11 11.6
Extension of Maulana Shaukat Ali
Road
R24 20027 (Canal Bank Road – Noor-ul-Amin
2.4 6.0 0.06 11.6
Road through Punjab University)
Kamahan Lidher Road
R25 20041 (Ferozepur Road – Lahore Bedian 8.8 26.4 0.26 15.6
Road)
Sua Asil Road
R26 20043 (Ferozepur Road – Raiwind Road)
22.0 130.7 1.31 10.7
Kahna Station – Raiwind City
R27 20044 (Kahna Kacha Approach Road – 17.8 91.7 0.92 10.7
Raiwind City along Railway Line)
Kahna Kacha Road
R28 20046 (Kahna Station – Ferozepur Road)
7.1 29.9 0.30 10.7
Sharaqpur Road
(Lahore Ring Road – Saggian Wala
R29 Bypass)
37.4 202.0 2.02 6.1
20049 (Bridge 0.7km)
Lahore-Sheikhupura Road
R30 (Saggian Wala Bypass – G.T. Road)
2.4 20.4 0.20 6.1
Sagianwala Bypass Road
R31 (Ring Road – Sharaqpur Road) 6.7 43.4 0.43 13.3
(Bridge 0.6km)
20050 Lahore-Sheikhupura Road (West)
R32 (Sharaqpur Road – Lahore- 1.9 16.2 0.16 13.3
Sheikhupura Road)
Link Thokar Niaz Baig Canal Bank
Road – Ferozepur Road
R33 20052 (Khyaban-e-Jinnah Road – Defence
17.7 57.6 0.58 30.2
Road – Ferozepur Road)
Manga-Raiwind Road
R34 20053 (Multan Road – Raiwind Road)
15.8 43.5 0.44 10.7
Southern Bypass South Road
R35 20054 (Ferozepur Road – College Road)
9.9 57.0 0.57 26.6
Southern Bypass North Road
R36 20055 (Canal Bank Road – M-2)
3.9 19.7 0.20 26.6
Raiwind-Pattoki Road
R37 20056 (Raiwind City – Boundary of the 19.8 73.3 0.73 10.7
Study Area)
Raiwind Road
R38 20057 (Thokar – Lahore Ring Road 12.9 54.2 0.54 17.8
Southern Loop)
Defence Road
R39 20060 (Multan Road – Ferozepur Road)
14.3 60.1 0.60 17.8
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O&M Cost
Project Project Length Project Cost EIRR
Project Description (USD million) (USD
No. Code (km) (%)
million)
Thokar Niaz Baig Canal Road
Extension
R40 20061 (Defence Road – Lahore Ring Road
3.5 20.8 0.21 15.6
Sothern Loop)
Construction of LRR West
R41 20081 (Multan Road – M2)
15.6 121.9 1.22 23.0
Construction of LRR South
R42 20082 (Ferozepur Road – Multan Road)
21.8 201.2 2.01 15.6
Secondary Roads in Dharampura
R43 20091 Area
5.1 38.9 0.39 35.2
R44 20092 Secondary Roads in Shadbagh Area 41.0 102.5 1.71 11.6
Secondary Roads in Samanabad
R45 20093 Area
46.0 115.0 0.48 11.6
Lahore Bypass
R46 (G.T. Road – Kala Shah Kaku 7.6 41.0 0.41 13.2
Bypass)
M-2 – Lahore-Islamabad Motorway
(Lahore-Sheikhupura Road –
R47 30002 Boundary of the Study Area)
16.5 89.0 0.89 13.2
(Bridge 0.6km)
M-2 – Lahore-Islamabad Motorway
R48 (Bund Road – Lahore-Sheikhupura 11.3 64.6 0.65 13.2
Road)
N-5- Multan Road
R49 30004 (Lahore Ring Road Sothern Loop – 31.3 109.7 1.10 15.7
Boundary of the Study Area)
Sharif Complex Road
(Defence Road – Manga Raiwind
R50 30005 Road – Bhai Pheru Kot Rada Kishan
33.2 116.1 1.16 15.7
Road)
North-West Secondary Ring Road
R51 30006 (Sharaqpur Road – Lahore- 33.8 118.3 1.18 13.3
Sheikhupura Road – G.T. Road)
Sheikhupura Muridke Road
R52 30008 (G.T. Road – M-2)
52.7 284.4 2.84 13.3
Link G.T. Road
R53 30010 (Sharaqpur Road – Lahore- 5.0 22.9 0.23 6.1
Sheikhupura Road – G.T. Road)
Link Kala Shah Kaku – Lahore-
R54 Sialkot Motorway
4.2 25.1 0.25 20.4
Lahore-Sialkot Motorway
R55 30028 (Bridge 0.8km)
32.0 128.0 1.28 20.4
Link G.T. Road Lahore-Sialkot
R56 Motorway
0.3 2.2 0.02 20.4
Construction and remodeling of
The Road Projects will be executed by LDA/
Secondary roads - south of LRR in
R57 Optional 93.6 TEPA in conjunction with the developer’s
the south-western quadrant between
contribution towards capital cost.
Ferozepur Road and Multan Road
Source: JICA Study Team
Among the projects comprising the maximum network, income generating projects such
as railway projects were evaluated from the financial viewpoint, by comparing cash inflow
(fare revenue) and cash outflow (construction cost and operation and maintenance cost).
Overall profitability of a project was measured with the Financial Internal Rate of Return
(FIRR), not considering the distribution of the profit. This is because the purpose of
analysis is just for priority setting on projects.
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3) Traffic Assignment was done for the year of 2020 and 2030, and the revenues
were estimated for the two years and an interpolation was done for intermediate
years. After 2030, revenues were assumed not to change.
4) Fare Revenue was calculated based on the following fare setting and the result
of traffic assignment which provided the usage. Fares are assumed to be the
same as existing A/C bus in Lahore for BRT and RMTS.
Table 7.4.4 Fare Setting for Public Transport A/C Bus, BRT and RMTS Project
Distance Band Fare (PKR)
0-5 km 15
5-9 km 20
9-13 km 23
13-17 km 25
Above 17 km 30
Source: Daewoo Urban A/C Bus Service Fare in 2010
The following table summarizes the results of financial evaluation. The trend of FIRR
results seems to be different by the project. FIRR of RMTS Green line is higher than both:
Orange and Blue Lines. FIRR results of BRTs are high, compared with that of RMTS lines.
PT07 RMTS Orange Line 27.1 2,330.0 32.1 48.9 149.2 5.7
PT08 RMTS Blue Line 24.0 1,908.0 26.1 51.7 154.4 4.9
PT07 BRT Orange Line 27.1 74.5 38.1 43.1 139.9 21.0
PT08 BRT Blue Line 24.0 58.6 20.2 41.4 128.0 17.9
PT09 BRT Purple Line 19.0 40.8 5.5 24.8 134.8 16.1
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Rating (Score)
Projects Weight
Indicator
Concerned (%)
1 3 5 8 10
Remodeling, Remodeling,
Land Construction Construction Soft approach,
X road length road length less
acquisition (Required land (Required land only such as
1 Road project > 10km than 10km 40
and cost > USD 10 cost less than institutional
(No new land (No new land
resettlement million) USD 10 million) improvement
required) required)
Public Mostly CBD Soft approach,
Location of Transport and/or densely Suburban only such as
2 Urban area Rural area 20
Project site project/Traffic populated area institutional
Management urban area improvement
Increase of Significant Some increase
Air Pollutants increase - -
3 20
(NOx/PMx) 1) Construction 1) Construction
emissions (Required land (Required land Some reduction
cost > USD 10 cost less than (Bus transport Significant
Almost no
Common million), USD 10 improvement/Tr reduction
change
Increase of 2) Remodeling million), affic (RMTS/ BRT)
4 CO2 (> 30km, 4 2) Remodeling management) 20
emissions lanes and > < 10km with 6
10km with 6/8 lanes and > 30
lanes km with 4 lanes
Notes 1: a) According to World Bank and ADB Guidelines (and JICA implicitly recognizes), in case of number of project
affected persons (PAPs) is more than 200 the project is classified into Category A, which require full EIA study and
Resettlement Action Plan for compensation and supporting PAPs. b) In case of occurrence of land acquisition, it is not sufficient
to compensation of required land value to land owner. Because the land acquisition and resettlement may affect not only to
land, but also to relating assets, livelihood, income etc. of Project Affected Persons (PAPs). Thus, total cost required woul d
include cost of compensation and assistance of PAPs as well as land acquisition cost. In case of no new land requirement such
as remodeling of the existing road, matter of land acquisition and resettlement may enlarge with increase in length of road
section and traffic volume.
Note 2: If the project sites are located in CBD and/or densely populated urban areas, it may often raise more disputes and
conflicts among stakeholders over issues relating to misdistribution of benefit and damage, compensation and support of PAPs
than other areas.
Note 3: In general, road transport may dominantly generate both air pollutants and CO2 emissions resulting in air pollution and
global warming in transport sector. In contrast to this, railway transport such as RMTS/BRT may bring about co-benefits in
terms of air quality and global warming.
Source: JICA Study Team
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The following Table 7.4.8 summarizes the results of environmental evaluation of LUTMP
Public Transport, Road Sub-sector and Traffic Management Projects.
Total Score
and Warming
Pollution
Resettlement
Rank
Project Project Project Length
No. Code Description (km)
Weight
Weight
Weight
Weight
Rating
Rating
Rating
Rating
Committed Public Transport Projects
Multimodal Inter-City Bus
PT01 C.1 - 3 0 1 0 8 0 8 0 5 B
Terminals in Lahore
Effective and Efficient School
PT02 C.2 - 5 0 3 0 8 0 8 0 6 B
Bus System
PT03 C.3 Up-grading of Bus Stands - 3 0 3 0 8 0 8 0 5 B
PT04 C.4 Integrated Bus Operation - 3 0 3 0 8 0 8 0 5 B
Establishment of Multimodal Bus
PT05 C.5 - 1 0 1 0 10 0 10 0 5 B
Terminal at Shahdara
LUTMP 2030 Proposed Public Transport Projects
PT06 RMS1 Green Line (RMTS) 27.0 1 0 1 0 10 0 10 0 5 B
PT07 RMS2 Orange Line (Initially BRT) 27.1 1 0 1 0 10 0 10 0 5 B
PT08 RMS3 Blue Line (Initially BRT) 24.0 1 0 1 0 10 0 10 0 5 B
PT09 BRT1 Purple Line (BRT) 19.0 8 0 3 0 10 0 10 0 8 A
PT10 BRT2 BRT Line 1 14.1 8 0 3 0 10 0 10 0 8 A
PT11 BRT3 BRT Line 2 14.3 8 0 3 0 10 0 10 0 8 A
PT12 BRT4 BRT Line 3a 15.7 8 0 3 0 10 0 10 0 8 A
PT13 BRT5 BRT Line 3b 19.1 8 0 3 0 10 0 10 0 8 A
Road Sub-sector Projects - Committed
Construction of LRR
R01 12,001 13.3 1 0 5 0 1 0 1 0 2 C
(Airport – Ferozepur Road)
Construction of Kalma Chowk
R02 12,002 3.4 3 0 1 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
Flyover
Construction of Canal Bank
R03 12,003 Road Flyover along Ferozepur 3.3 3 0 1 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
Road
R04 12,004 Remodeling of Canal Bank Road 15.6 5 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 C
Remodeling of Barki Road
R05 12,005 3.6 8 0 5 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
(LRR – Green City)
R06 12,006 Remodeling of Kala Khatai Road 26.9 5 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 4 B
Remodeling of Allama Iqbal
R07 12,007 3.3 8 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
Road
R08 12,008 Remodeling of Multan Road 11.3 5 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 C
Remodeling of Thokar Niaz Baig
R09 12,009 11.0 5 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 4 B
Road (Thokar – Defence Road)
Remodeling of Ferozepur Road
R10 12,010 23.6 5 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 C
(Lahore Bridge – Mustafa Abad)
Road Sub-sector Projects – LUTMP Proposed
Barki Road
R11 20002 6.8 8 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
(Green City – BRB Canal)
Bedian Road
R12 20003 26.3 5 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 4 B
(DHA – LRR – Ferozepur Road)
Shabir Usmani Road
R13 20004 (Barkat Market – Maulana 2.8 8 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
Shaukat Ali Road)
Link Peco Road – Ferozepur
R14 20005 1.9 8 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
Road
Link Ferozepur Road - Nalay
Wali Road
R15 20006 1.5 8 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
(Completion of link between
Ferozepur and Multan Road)
Old Ravi Bridge and Road
R16 20007
(Bridge 0.5km)
1.2 8 0 1 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
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CHAPTER 7 – MASTER PLAN 2030
Land
Environ-
Acquisition Global
Location mental
Total Score
and Warming
Pollution
Resettlement
Rank
Project Project Project Length
No. Code Description (km)
Weight
Weight
Weight
Weight
Rating
Rating
Rating
Rating
G.T. Road
R17 20008 2.1 8 0 1 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
(Cooper Store - Ek-Moria Pul)
College Road
R18 20010 (Ghaus-e-Azam Road to 6.9 8 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
Defence Road)
Structure Plan Road
R19 20011 (Shahrah Nazria-e-Pakistan – 12.9 5 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 4 B
Defence Road)
EXPO-Kahna Kacha Station
Road
R20 20020
(Khayban-e-Jinnah – Kahna
7.1 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
Kacha Station)
Main Boulevard PIA Society
R21 20021 Road (Baig Road – Ittehad 1.6 8 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
Road)
Raiwind Road
R22 20023 (Lahore Ring Road Southern 14.2 5 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 C
Loop – Raiwind City)
Madrat-e-Millat Road - Defence
R23 20024
Road
2.6 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
Extension of Maulana Shaukat
Ali Road
R24 20027 (Canal Bank Road – Noor-ul- 2.4 8 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
Amin Road through Punjab
University)
Kamahan Lidher Road
R25 20041 (Ferozepur Road – Lahore 8.8 1 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 2 C
Bedian Road)
Sua Asil Road
R26 20043 (Ferozepur Road – Raiwind 22.0 1 0 5 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
Road)
Kahna Station – Raiwind City
R27 20044 (Kahna Kacha Approach Road – 17.8 1 0 5 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
Raiwind City along Railway Line)
Kahna Kacha Road
R28 20046 (Kahna Station – Ferozepur 7.1 3 0 5 0 3 0 3 0 3 B
Road)
Sharaqpur Road
(Lahore Ring Road – Saggian
R29 37.4 5 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 C
Wala Bypass)
20049 (Bridge 0.7km)
Lahore-Sheikhupura Road
R30 (Saggian Wala Bypass – G.T. 2.4 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
Road)
Sagianwala Bypass Road
R31 (Ring Road – Sharaqpur Road) 6.7 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
(Bridge 0.6km)
20050 Lahore-Sheikhupura Road
(West)
R32
(Sharaqpur Road – Lahore-
1.9 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
Sheikhupura Road)
Link Thokar Niaz Baig Canal
Bank Road – Ferozepur Road
R33 20052 (Khyaban-e-Jinnah Road – 17.7 1 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 2 C
Defence Road – Ferozepur
Road)
Manga-Raiwind Road
R34 20053 15.8 3 0 5 0 3 0 3 0 3 B
(Multan Road – Raiwind Road)
Southern Bypass South Road
R35 20054 (Ferozepur Road – College 9.9 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
Road)
Southern Bypass North Road
R36 20055
(Canal Bank Road – M-2)
3.9 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
Raiwind-Pattoki Road
R37 20056 (Raiwind City – Boundary of the 19.8 5 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 4 B
Study Area)
Raiwind Road
R38 20057 (Thokar – Lahore Ring Road 12.9 5 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 C
Southern Loop)
Defence Road
R39 20060 (Multan Road – Ferozepur 14.3 5 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 4 B
Road)
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CHAPTER 7 – MASTER PLAN 2030
Land
Environ-
Acquisition Global
Location mental
Total Score
and Warming
Pollution
Resettlement
Rank
Project Project Project Length
No. Code Description (km)
Weight
Weight
Weight
Weight
Rating
Rating
Rating
Rating
Thokar Niaz Baig Canal Road
Extension
R40 20061 3.5 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 C
(Defence Road – Lahore Ring
Road Sothern Loop)
Construction of LRR West
R41 20081
(Multan Road – M2)
15.6 1 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 C
Construction of LRR South
R42 20082 (Ferozepur Road – Multan 21.8 1 0 5 0 1 0 1 0 2 C
Road)
Secondary Roads in
R43 20091
Dharampura Area
5.1 1 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 2 C
Secondary Roads in Shadbagh
R44 20092 41.0 5 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 C
Area
Secondary Roads in
R45 20093 46.0 5 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 4 B
Samanabad Area
Lahore Bypass
R46 (G.T. Road – Kala Shah Kaku 7.6 8 0 5 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
Bypass)
M-2 – Lahore-Islamabad
Motorway
R47 (Lahore-Sheikhupura Road – 16.5 5 0 5 0 1 0 1 0 3 B
30002
Boundary of the Study Area)
(Bridge 0.6km)
M-2 – Lahore-Islamabad
Motorway
R48 11.3 5 0 5 0 1 0 1 0 3 B
(Bund Road – Lahore-
Sheikhupura Road)
N-5- Multan Road
(Lahore Ring Road Sothern
R49 30004 31.3 5 0 5 0 1 0 1 0 3 B
Loop – Boundary of the Study
Area)
Sharif Complex Road
(Defence Road – Manga
R50 30005 33.2 5 0 5 0 1 0 1 0 3 B
Raiwind Road – Bhai Pheru Kot
Rada Kishan Road)
North-West Secondary Ring
Road
R51 30006 33.8 5 0 5 0 1 0 1 0 3 B
(Sharaqpur Road – Lahore-
Sheikhupura Road – G.T. Road)
Sheikhupura Muridke Road
R52 30008 52.7 5 0 5 0 1 0 1 0 3 B
(G.T. Road – M-2)
Link G.T. Road
R53 30010 (Sharaqpur Road – Lahore- 5.0 8 0 5 0 3 0 3 0 5 B
Sheikhupura Road – G.T. Road)
Link Kala Shah Kaku – Lahore-
R54 4.2 3 0 8 0 3 0 3 0 4 B
Sialkot Motorway
Lahore-Sialkot Motorway
R55 30028 32.0 1 0 8 0 1 0 1 0 2 C
(Bridge 0.8km)
Link G.T. Road Lahore-Sialkot
R56 0.3 3 0 8 0 3 0 3 0 4 B
Motorway
Construction and remodeling of
The Road Projects will be executed by LDA/ TEPA in
Secondary roads - south of LRR
conjunction with the developer. No environmental
R57 Optional in the south-western quadrant 93.6
assessment is considered essential at this stage as each
between Ferozepur Road and
sub-project must be examined on its own merits.
Multan Road
Traffic Management Projects – Committed
Establishment of Centralized
TM01 - - 10 0 10 0 8 0 8 0 9 A
Driver Licensing Authority
TM02 - Parking Management Company - 10 0 10 0 8 0 8 0 9 A
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CHAPTER 7 – MASTER PLAN 2030
Land
Environ-
Acquisition Global
Location mental
Total Score
and Warming
Pollution
Resettlement
Rank
Project Project Project Length
No. Code Description (km)
Weight
Weight
Weight
Weight
Rating
Rating
Rating
Rating
TM09 - Ferozepur Road Pilot Project - 3 0 3 0 8 0 8 0 5 B
The ranking thresholds used in project ranking are given in Table 7.4.9.
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CHAPTER 7 – MASTER PLAN 2030
Projects of ranking B (not significant but some negative impacts expected) are
those of RMTS, remodeling of roads (shorter length), and some projects of traffic
management and bus transport improvement.
In this study, it is required that Initial Environmental Examination (IEE) level study for
several priority projects including scenarios of the regional development plan as well as
reviewing existing IEE/ EIA level should be studied separately. In these studies some
elements of Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) must also be examined.
In the JICA Guidelines for Environmental and Social Consideration (April, 2010), SEA is
defined as “an assessment being implemented at the policy, planning and program level
rather than a project-level EIA.”
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CHAPTER 7 – MASTER PLAN 2030
A. Social Environment
Involuntary Resettlement (Land Acquisition Land acquisition and/or resettlement to secure Right of Way
1
and Resettlement) and land for transport related facilities and structures
2 Local economy Situation of employment and livelihood etc.
3 Land use and utilization of local resources Change of land use and utilization of local resources
Social infrastructure and local decision-making institutions,
4 Social institutions
split of communities
5 Existing social infrastructures and services Other than Transport infrastructures and services
6 Transport and traffic conditions Including non-mechanized transport and walks
1) Peoples living in slum areas (Katchi Abbadis) and below
poverty level,
7 The poor, indigenous of ethnic people
2) dignity, human rights, economics and cultures of ethnic
minority group
8 Gender Issues Consideration of gender equality and women's empowerment
Interruption of children's schooling and increase in number of
9 Children's Rights
children encountered traffic accidents)
Equality of benefits and losses and equality involved in
10 Misdistribution of benefit and damage
development process
11 Local conflict of interests Possible cause for destruction of community structures
12 Cultural property and heritage Cultural, religious, archaeological and heritage sites
Fishing Rights, Water Rights and Rights of
13 Existence of rights ownership
Common
Health condition, prevalence of diseases and sanitary
14 Public health and Sanitation
condition
Other developing countries infection of HIV/AIDS were often
15 Infectious diseases such as HIV/AIDS reported due to contact of workers with HIV/AIDS affected
people at their camp.
16 Working condition Including occupational safety
Including cyclone, seismicity, free from danger (safety and
17 Hazard/ Risk (disaster, security)
security)
18 Accidents Traffic accidents and accidents during construction work
B. Natural Environment
1 Topography and Geology Specific/valuable feature of topography and geology
2 Soil erosion Susceptibility to erosion or landslide
3 Groundwater Major water supply resources of the area
1) River and canal flow;
4 River, canal and storm water drainage
2) Storm water drainage water conditions
1) Valuable and endangered species;
5 Flora, Fauna and Biodiversity 2) Trees and green spaces along the roads and surrounding
areas
1) National Parks, Nature Reserves, Bird Sanctuaries etc.
6 Protected areas
2) City parks
7 Landscape and visual amenity Esthetic value of green area and landmarks
8 Meteorology Change of local climate condition
Greenhouse gas emissions from vehicles and construction
9 Global Warming
machines
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CHAPTER 7 – MASTER PLAN 2030
C. Environmental Pollution
Air pollutants emissions such as NOx and PMx from vehicles
1 Air pollution
and construction work
2 Water pollution Discharge of water pollutants during construction work
3 Soil contamination Contamination of toxic materials in soil
Contamination of toxic materials in bottom sediment of water
4 Bottom sediment
bodies
5 Waste Waste generation during construction work
6 Noise and Vibration Noise and vibration due to vehicles and construction work
7 Ground Subsidence Situation of foundation and pumping up of groundwater
8 Offensive odor Bad smell due to exhaust emission and factories
Source: JICA Study Team
ii) Identifying Project activity
Activities which might affect environmental impacts due to the projects are identified for
three stages of implementation, i.e. (a) planning, (b) construction and (c) operation
stages.
iii) Identifying of Anticipated Environmental Impacts-1, Formulation of Impact
Matrix
By correspondence of each activity to each environmental item extent of anticipated
environmental impacts are evaluated one by one with rating.
Anticipated environmental and social impacts due to the project are identified, predicted
and evaluated with rating for 35 items according to the scoping procedure as given above
in Table 7.4.9.
Rating of the impacts on each item
In general, both positive (beneficial) impact (+) and negative (adverse) impact (-) are
expected due to the project activities for the three (planning, construction and operation)
stages. Thus the following rating criteria are adopted depending on the extent of impacts:
A (+/-) --- Significant positive/negative impact is expected,
B (+/-) --- Positive/negative impact is expected to some extent,
C (+/-) --- Extent of positive/negative impact is unknown or not clear (Further
examination is needed. It should be taken into consideration that impacts
may become clearer as study progresses. ),
Blank --- Negligible or No impact is expected.
Overall rating --- Overall rating is determined by adopting the worst (negative) value of
rating among the three stages.
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CHAPTER 7 – MASTER PLAN 2030
Anticipated environmental impacts are identified and described for each environmental
item with provisional scoping table.
The above mentioned impacts should be fully taken into considerations to conduct further
baseline survey in case of lack of required information and to examine the possible
mitigation measures and monitoring as much as possible.
Table 7.4.11 shows that the overall comparison of the results. Project categorizations
according to JICA Guidelines for Environmental and Social Considerations are also
shown in the final column of this Table.
A. Social Environment
Involuntary Resettlement (Land Acquisition and
1 A- C- A- B- B- B- A-
Resettlement)
2 Local economy B+ B+ B+ B+ B+ B+ B+
3 Land use and utilization of local resources B- B- B- B- B- C- A-
4 Social institutions A- B- A- B- B- B- A-
5 Existing social infrastructures and services B- B- B- B- C- C- B-
6 Transport and traffic conditions B- B- B- B- C- C- B-
7 The poor, indigenous of ethnic people B- B- C- C- C- C- C-
8 Gender Issues C- C- C- C- C- C- C-
9 Children's Rights C- C- C- C- C- C- C-
10 Misdistribution of benefit and damage A- B- A- B- B- B- A-
11 Local conflict of interests A- B- A- B- B- B- A-
12 Cultural property and heritage A- C- B- B- B- B- B-
13 Fishing Rights, Water Rights and Rights of Common C- C- C- C- C- C- C-
14 Public health and Sanitation B- B- B- B- C- C+ B-
15 Infectious diseases such as HIV/AIDS B- B- B- B- B- B- B-
16 Working condition B- B- B- B- B- C- B-
17 Hazard/ Risk (disaster, security) B- B- B- B- C- C- B-
18 Accidents B- B- B- B- B- B- B-
B. Natural Environment
1 Topography and Geology A- C- B- B- C- C- C-
2 Soil erosion A- C- B- B- C- C- B-
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3 Groundwater B- B- B- B- C- C- B-
4 River, canal and storm water drainage B- B- B- B- C- C- B-
5 Flora, Fauna and Biodiversity B- B- B- B- B- B- B-
6 Protected areas C- C- C- C- C- C- C-
7 Landscape and visual amenity B- B- B- B- C- C- B-
8 Meteorology C- C- C- C- C-
9 Global Warming B- B- B- B- C- C- C-
C. Environmental Pollution
1 Air pollution A- B- A- B- B- B- A-
2 Water pollution A- B- B- B- C- C- A-
3 Soil contamination A- B- B- B- C- C- B-
4 Bottom sediment C- C- C- C- C- C- C-
5 Waste A- B- B- B- B- B- A-
6 Noise and Vibration A- B- A- B- B- B- A-
7 Ground Subsidence C- C- C- C- C-
8 Offensive odor C- C- C- C- C- C- C-
Note 1: Overall Rating (Magnitude of impacts); In general, both positive (beneficial) impact (+) and negative
(adverse) impact (-) are expected due to the project activities. A (+/-) - Serious impact is expected, B (+/-) - Some
impact is expected, C (+/-) - Extent of impact is unknown or not clear (Further examination is needed. It should be
taken into consideration that impacts may become clear as study progresses. ), Blank - Negligible or No impact is
expected. Overall Rating corresponds to the worst value of rating for three stages.
Note 2: C.5, C.6 and C.7 - Assuming in cases of relocation and/or land requirement, and construction of transport
related structures in CBD and/or densely populated urban areas.
Source: JICA Study Team
Public Transport (RMTS) Projects
For the RMTS projects considerable area of land would be required for stations (elevated
stations and underground station) and elevated sections, depots and multimodal
terminals. In addition, a large scale of construction work may cause significant negative
impacts, especially in Walled City and high-density urban area. Therefore, RMTS projects
are classified as Category A.
In this regards, for RMTS Green Line an EIA level study was conducted in the Reference
Design to comply with ADB Safeguard Policies. In the Reference Design stage,
unexpectedly major environmental impacts are also examined in detail such as land
acquisition and resettlement plan (LARP) for Project Affected Persons (PAPs) including
entitlement matrix, quantitative prediction of air quality improvement, measures to protect
archaeological and historical sites.
For the RMTS Orange Line project about the same scale of land requirement and
construction work is required according to the Feasibility study 2007. At the next step,
Reference Design stage, similar to that of the RMTS Green Line, the environmental
impacts will be studied.
In general little negative impacts are expected of BRT projects. However, some change of
existing alignment would be necessary due to encroachment by mosques and other
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structures in the Walled City area and in central urban areas. Thus, BRT projects are
classified as Category B.
In the case of remodeling of existing roads ROW is mostly available. Thus, land
acquisition and resettlement may occur at a small scale. However, if the project area is
located in high-density, urban consensus of local communities and citizens is an
important issue. In general, these projects are classified as Category B.
Plan of each project relevant to urban development scenario is not in the scope of work
as all projects are tested against a single urban development scenario. Therefore at
present to examine IEE level study is not necessary. However, projects are as a whole
classified into Category A or B through coarse examination.
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Take fully into considerations the differences of relevant environmental laws and
regulations, procedure of Environment Approval, EIA Categorization and the land
acquisition and resettlement policy between the two: JICA Guidelines and Pakistan.
There are gaps in the compensation and resettlement assistance between Pakistan
Government and foreign donors. For example, resettlement assistance to illegal
occupants for eligibility and non-depreciated value of structures and assets for valuation
are included in the donors’ policy, while there are no such considerations for
compensation measures in Pakistan laws as shown in Table 7.4.12.
Table 7.4.12 Comparison of Land Acquisition Policies between Pakistan and International
Donors including WB, ADB and JICA
No. Existing Pakistan Land Acquisition Procedure Donor's Involuntary Resettlement Policy*
Crop losses compensation provided only to registered Crop compensation is provided to landowners and
2 landowners and lease/sharecrop tenants (Non- sharecrops/lease tenants according to their shares whether
registered are often deprived). they are registered or not.
Tree losses are compensated on the basis of officially Tree losses are compensated according to actual worth of
3
fixed rates by the Forest and Horticulture Departments. affected trees based on market rates.
Land valuation based on the median registered land Land valuation is to be based on current replacement
4
transfer rate over the previous 3 years. (market) value.
Structures valuation based on official rates, with Valuation of structures based on current market value/ cost
5
depreciation deducted from the gross value. of new construction of the structure.
Land Acquisition Collector (LAC) is the only pre- Complaints and grievance are resolved informally through
litigation final authority to decide disputes and address community participation in the Grievance Redress
6
complaints regarding quantification/ compensation for Committees (GRC), local governments, NGO and/ or local-
the affected lands and other assets. level community based organizations.
Source: JICA Study Team
b) Land Use Rules 2009
The GoPb enacted new land use rules on 10th February, 2009 based on the 1975 Lahore
Development Authority Act. The Rules intend to determine land use in “controlled” areas
according to land use classification. In Lahore land use plan in any development should
comply with land use classification and sub-classification of the Rules.
c) Public Participation
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stakeholders from early stage of planning for obtaining thorough understanding and
consensus of the people and communities. In addition, delay or suspension of the project
implementation and a split of communities may occur. Full consideration is to be given to
minimize misdistribution of benefits and damage, and to avoid local conflict of interest.
d) Alternative Comparisons
Table 7.4.13 Comparison of Alternative Routes for Lahore Ring Road Southern Loop
Alternative Alternative Alternative Alternative
No. Evaluation Item
A1 A C D
1 Utility Services Upgrades ++ ++ + +
2 Right of Way Restrictions/ +++ +++ + +
3 Height Restrictions
Constraints +++ ++ - -
4 Constructability Constraints +++ +++ + +
5 Off-Site Improvements +++ +++ + +
6 New Interchanges + ++ ++ ++
7 Parallel Roads ++ +++ - -
8 Environmental Impacts +++ ++ ++ +
9 Economic And Financial Viability + ++ + +++
Note 1: Extent of negative impact - (+++) High, (++) Medium, (+) Low, (-) Negligible
Note 2: “No action” and Alternative B cases are excluded.
Source: JICA Study Team
One of the most critical issues in development projects is land acquisition and
resettlement. In the transport development if the land for the Right of Way (ROW) is
required for the alignment and related structures, land acquisition and resettlement
issues would need to be considered.
In order to make it clear that the occurrence of land acquisition and resettlement,
following survey are required in general:
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Project proponent should also formulate LARP (Land Acquisition and Resettlement Plan)
according to both Pakistan Laws and JICA Guidelines and monitor result of the
compensation and restoring living conditions and livelihood after implementation.
(1) Green Line South Depot located in Shadab (2) Orange Line South Stabling Yard at Ali town
Colony (150,000m2) (50,000m2)
Source: LRMTS Studies
b) Special Concerns with Archaeological and Heritage Sites
There are no archaeological sites protected under the Federal Antiquities Act near or
adjacent to the alignment and works area. However, the RMTS alignments will run
through important historic areas of Lahore and close to a number of historical buildings.
Therefore, there is some possibility of impacts on currently unidentified archaeological
deposits. In this regard, special concerns of examination of possible impacts and
mitigation measures are to be undertaken.
Road structure should be somewhat elevated structure with underpass for non-motorized
transport and walking at appropriate stretch/ interval to be provided and not at-grade for
the length of the project.
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underpass and walking bridge are required for road structure design. According to C&W
Department, LRR EIA study report was submitted to EPD and they have received an
Environmental Approval.
(1) Concrete fence on central median (Multan (2) Foot bridge for Multan Road crossing
Road), severe case of severance severance mitigation
Source: JICA Study Team
d) Working Condition
A large scale of construction work including underground station requires a large number
of construction workers would be engaged in the work. Thus, safety and health condition
of the workers may be jeopardized due to construction work.
Prepare tangible safety considerations for individuals involved in the project, such
as the installation of safety equipment which prevents accidents, and
management of hazardous materials.
Plan and implement intangible measures for individuals involved in the project,
such as the establishment of a safety and health program, and safety training for
workers etc.
In general, road construction workers, and construction vehicle drivers are considered as
having high potential for the spread of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) and
HIV/AIDS virus due to their mobility. Infection with HIV/AIDS and venereal disease was
often reported at worker's camps during road construction in other countries.
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test etc., were conducted and due care was taken to note the existence of any
archeological deposits.
Selection of appropriate species and the design of the planting and maintenance program
shall be carried out by the contractor in close consultation with the Forestry Department.
j) Air Pollution
In this regards, NOX, PMX and other pollutants due to vehicles emissions are applicable
as indicators of air pollutants emissions using appropriate emission factor.
In the Reference Design Study of RMTS Green Line the ambient air quality effects of
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traffic emissions were evaluated for seven locations at the busiest and most congested
areas such as Badshahi Masjid Chowk along the corridor using the CALINE4 dispersion
model.
Anticipated negative impacts should be fully taken into considerations to conduct further
necessary baseline survey and examine the mitigation measures including avoidance
and monitoring as much as possible.
When the public sector invests in transport facilities, the primary purpose is “the public
service”, or the social benefit. The proposed projects were evaluated for their economic
IRRs to assign priority accordingly. The social benefit of a given project can be
paraphrased as its impact in serving the twin purposes of reducing the operational cost of
all the transport means available and reducing the travel time of all passengers on the
available transport means (both users and non-users).
A. Economic Viability
B. Traffic Demand (Contribution to the improvement of transport capacity),
Operational aspects
C. Consistency with Land Use
D. Financial Viability
E. Environmental and Social Impacts
As a first step, the scores are aggregated per project and are used to prioritize. Each
project is evaluated by the threshold defined in the following Table 7.4.14.
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As the second step, the rankings by five criteria were aggregated into a single rank,
taking such process as (1) to give five points to rank “A”, three points to rank “B” and one
point to rank “C”, (2) to add up each point after multiplication with “weight”, and (3)
Classify into “Short-term” if the total is greater than 3.5 points; rank “Medium-term” if the
total is greater than 2.5 and less than 3.5; otherwise “Long-term”. Results of the
evaluation are given in Table 7.4.15 for the LUTMP Projects
Table 7.4.15 MCA Evaluation Results of LUTMP 2030 Public Transport and Road Projects
Demand Land
EIRR FIRR Env.
Length
2020 Use
(km)
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Demand Land
EIRR FIRR Env.
Length
2020 Use
(km)
No. Project Total
Rank Remarks
Project Code Description Weights Score
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Demand Land
EIRR FIRR Env.
Length
2020 Use
(km)
No. Project Total
Rank Remarks
Project Code Description Weights Score
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The following Table 7.4.16 shows the evaluation criteria and its ranking threshold.
Table 7.4.16 Evaluation Criteria for Traffic Management Projects
B. Contribution for Traffic Safety 0.20 Big Effect Some Effect Less Effect
C. Contribution to Non-motorized Transport 0.20 Big Effect Some Effect Less Effect
User
D. Environmental Evaluation 0.10 No impact Some impact Serious impact
Rankings by five criteria were aggregated into single rank, taking such process as: (1) to
give five points to rank “A”, three points to rank “B” and one point to rank “C”, (2) to add
up each point after multiplication with “weight”, and (3) Classify into “Short-tem” if the total
is greater than 3.5 points, rank “Medium-term” if the total is between 2.5 and 3.5;
otherwise “Long-term”.
Results of the evaluation of the traffic management projects are given for the committed projects
in Table 7.4.17, and for the LUTMP proposed projects in Table 7.4.18.
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Ranking
Cong. Env. Inst. Exp. Tech. Cost
Project Project Safety Traffic Total
No. Description Weight Score
Ranking
Cong. Env. Inst. Exp. Tech. Cost
Project Project Safety Traffic Total
No. Description Weight Score
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1) Implementation Schedule
Table 7.5.1 presents indicative implementation schedule of the LUTMP projects already
committed and proposed in LUTMP, together with needed funding by year. This schedule
was determined based on the result of overall evaluation of the projects.
All committed projects were allocated to short-term (2012-15) and medium-term (2016-
2020). Among proposed projects, RMTS Green Line and eight BRT lines were allocated
by 2020. However for RMTS Green Line and BRT Orange Line (to be converted to RMTS
by 2030), the first investment should be done in the short-term (by 2015). Construction of
RMTS Orange Line and Blue Line are scheduled for long-term (by 2030).
As a result, the amount of yearly investment is heavy during 2012-20 and 2025-30.
Road Projects
All committed projects are scheduled for short- and medium-term similarly to the public
transport projects. Proposed projects are distributed almost equally in the plan period, i.e.
2012-30.
Most of the committed and proposed projects are allocated for short- and medium-term.
This is due to the urgency and low-cost features of the projects.
Table 7.5.1 Indicative Implementation Timetable for Committed and Proposed Projects
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
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2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Project Project Implem- Period
No. Description entation (Year)
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2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Project Project Implem- Period
No. Description entation (Year)
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2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Project Project Implem- Period
No. Description entation (Year)
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Project
Assumed
Project Cost Proposed Responsible
Project No. Year in Status
Description (USD by Agency
Operation
million)
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Project
Assumed
Project Cost Proposed Responsible
Project No. Year in Status
Description (USD by Agency
Operation
million)
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Project
Assumed
Project Cost Proposed Responsible
Project No. Year in Status
Description (USD by Agency
Operation
million)
Table 7.5.3 gives summary of investment available/ required for the LUTMP 2030
projects. Public transport projects share about 66% of the total, while road and traffic
management share 28% and 6%, respectively. As compared to the other urban transport
master plans conducted by JICA in Asian cities, the share of public transport projects is
on the high side and road projects on the low side.
The budget envelope estimated in Chapter 5 of this report is USD 6.6~19.8 billion for the
entire LUTMP plan period of 2012 to 2030, and USD 2.3~6.9 billion for the Action Plan
period of 2012 to 2020. Compared to this budget envelop, the planned investment falls
within the budget range. However, the percentage of the investment to Lahore’s GDP is
on the high side at 2.6% for the action plan period. This is about 3 times that of the
current level of investment. For the entire plan period, the investment is equivalent to
1.7% of the Lahore GDP.
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800
600
400
200
0
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
If PPP is taken into account in the proposed RMTS/ BRT projects, how much public
investment can be saved was estimated assuming a percentage of contribution from the
private sector as shown in Table 7.5.4. The reduction was estimated at about USD 800
million equivalent to 11 % of the total investment.
Table 7.5.4 Cost Reduction by Applying PPP Scheme to RMTS/ BRT Projects
Cost to
%
EIRR FIRR Project Cost Gov’t
Project No. Code Project Name Private
(%) (%) (USD million) (USD
Sector
million)
RMTS Green
PT06 RMS1 12.1 7.1 2,583.0 20 2,066.4
Line
RMTS Orange
PT07 RMS2 10.3 5.7 2,330.0 0 2,330.0
Line
RMTS Blue
PT08 RMS3 8.0 4.9 1,908.0 0 1,908.0
Line
BRT Orange
PT07 (Initially BRT) RMS2 18.8 21.0 74.5 100 0.0
Line
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Cost to
%
EIRR FIRR Project Cost Gov’t
Project No. Code Project Name Private
(%) (%) (USD million) (USD
Sector
million)
PT08 (Initially BRT) RMS3 BRT Blue Line 16.7 17.9 58.6 80 11.7
BRT Purple
PT09 BRT1 15.5 16.1 40.8 50 20.4
Line
PT10 BRT2 BRT Line 1 37.6 24.9 30.7 100 0.0
PT11 BRT3 BRT Line 2 43.6 26.5 30.5 100 0.0
PT12 BRT4 BRT Line 3a 28.7 50 14.4
20.4 16.3
PT13 BRT5 BRT Line 3b 35.3 50 17.7
Total 7,120.1 10.6 6,368.5
Source: JICA Study Team
The existing revenue base of Lahore is not sufficient to fund future infrastructure projects.
As part of the financial strategy, the city may have to expand the local revenue base,
make efficient use of existing funding sources and exercise good management of capital
financing. This process is depicted in the Figure 7.5.2 below.
Expand Local
Revenue Base
User charges and
service charges to
recover costs of
providing urban services
The main funding source for Lahore is derived mainly from balancing allocations of the
Federal Government. Local revenue, household investments, and external sources such
as FDIs and ODA is not salient. There has to be greater efficiency in the use of these
funds especially through the development of management information systems and
strategic financial planning. Some of the key initiatives in this area are the following:
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(a) Contracting Out Services: The existing practice of contracting out urban services
especially for infrastructure maintenance should continue and be expanded to new
areas. This will provide greater opportunities for the private sector to participate and
would generally lead to more efficient service delivery if managed well.
(b) Applying User Charges and Service Fees: Direct cost recovery through user
charges is usually more effective than indirect cost through property taxes. User
charges are generally applied for electricity and water and as tolls for bridges and
expressways. More recently, these are also used for area road pricing to discourage
private transport into the city center during peak hours and to encourage the use of
public transport instead. While user charges should help recover maintenance costs,
the capital costs for roads and other transport infrastructure cannot be directly
recovered from them. Some form of property tax may be needed to recover the
capital cost.
While it may be difficult for local authorities to rely totally on locally generated funds to
finance large urban development and infrastructure projects, it is important for city
governments to expand the local revenue base within the provisions of the law. Some of
the initiatives could be expanded further in Lahore. This will be further discussed in
Chapter 8 of this report.
(a) Access to Capital Markets and Other Credit Finance: It is also important to ensure
funding for urban development projects. The use of stocks and shares as collateral
for loans is not common and could be developed further with the strengthening of the
stock market and the Securities Law. The other strategy is to introduce government-
guaranteed bonds. Currently, many of the larger cities have issued municipal bonds
to raise capital. It is important that in issuing bonds, the capacity of the city to repay
promptly is important to ensure the long-term viability of raising finance through this
means. Good management of capital finance is also related to the various types of
project implementation methods that could be utilized to reduce the financial burden
on the city.
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(b) Effective Project Implementation Methods: Include measures, such as BOT (Build
Operate and Transfer), BT (Build and Transfer) and deferred payment schemes which
have been widely applied on highway and water supply projects in some developing
countries. The city should also continue with further initiatives in outsourcing urban
services. This could be extended to bus transport operation, public infrastructure
maintenance and operation of parking facilities and other public facilities.
As economy and private sector grow further, application of PPP concept is becoming
critical for effective management of urban and transport development and sector
administration. Main aspects of the PPP are as explained below.
Resources in public sector such as fund and man power are very limited. A key concept
of PPP is to maximize the effect of public sector resource allocation when implementing
public sector projects. Under the PPP arrangement, the effect may expand to a
considerable extent with the power of private sector resources (fund, knowhow and
human resources) allocated to the project. In other words the public sector may be able
to “leverage” the effect of the input of 40 to become the output of 100 by introducing the
PPP concept as illustrated in Figure 7.5.3.
Profitability of the project will decide what type of PPP model to be applied as shown
Figure 7.5.4. Usually, urban and transport infrastructure projects have a wide range of
profitability from very profitable to non-profit producing (no user charges). In LUTMP,
however, the proposed projects fall mostly in the category of “Medium Profitability with
Risk”, or “Low Profitability or No Profit”.
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(a) Very High Profitability: If the project is highly profitable such as commercial
development in urban center, the GoPb could arrange a PPP on the basis of LDA’s
rules to ask for developer’s contribution for community level infrastructure projects
like Road Project R57. This PPP concept may also be applied to the integrated urban
development with the RMTS systems.
(b) High Profitability: When profitability is high enough for the project to be financially
self-sustainable, self-standing PPP model may be applied. Example of this may be a
toll road project with high traffic demand. Project of this type could go on the
conventional BOT bidding procedure.
(c) Medium Profitability with Risk: The third type model, risk and profitability supported
PPP will be applied to those projects that have a limited degree of profitability.
Majority of revenue producing projects in LUTMP will fall into this category and
require a careful PPP structuring. Toll road with low traffic demand, RMTS systems,
BRTs and so on are the example of this type. GoPb will have to be involved in PPP
structuring in terms of necessary risk and profitability support.
(d) Low Profitability or Non-profit: Service purchase PPP model may have to be
applied to those projects with very low profitability where GoPb will “purchase” the
service that the private sector produces by allocating GoPb’s own funding resources.
Examples are the public bus operation on public service obligation basis and non-
revenue generating road and traffic management projects.
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External benefit which a RMTS system (Green/ Orange Line) brings about to the City is
very large and its huge investment can only be recouped when the City is able to
successfully capture the value that the RMTS system creates along its corridor. Tax
revenue and user charge are used to fund its construction and operation, but it is also
essential to capture the value which people and business benefit from the operation of
the RMTS system (beneficiary charge or betterment charge). In order to do the above,
GoPb should take an initiative in applying various PPP models in implementing integrated
commercial, office and residential projects that are: a) directly integrated with the
stations/ terminals, b) developed in the vicinity of the station/ terminals and c) developed
along the corridors of the RMTS systems. Thus, GoPb will be able to share a part of
benefit that those PPP arrangements produce in the future to recoup its huge initial
investment in the long run.
There are a variety of PPP opportunities in implementing the LUTMP proposed projects
are outlined in Table 7.5.5. There are many opportunities such as some of the Trunk
roads to be tolled, and also some of the traffic management projects may yield revenue
through user charges. The BRT projects may well be on the concession and the RMTS
lines may be implemented under PPP scheme although GoPb may have to shoulder the
cost of infrastructure. Some of the Secondary and Local roads may be developed through
the urban development projects initiated by the private sector developers, like Road
Project R57.
PPP Opportunities
Subsector Remarks
Construction Maintenance Operation
With high traffic
Motorway yes but limited yes yes
demand
With high traffic
Primary Road yes but limited yes yes
demand
Road
Through urban
Secondary Road yes but limited yes but limited N/A
development
Through urban
Local Road yes but limited yes but limited N/A
development
Infrastructure
RMTS yes but limited yes yes developed by
Public public sector
Transport
BRT yes yes yes Concession PPP
Bus Transportation yes yes yes Concession PPP
Traffic Large support
Traffic Management yes yes yes
Management needed
Source: JICA Study Team
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Transport
Department Transport Management Board
(TD) (TMB)
TMB is the highest decision making body concerning transport at the provincial level and
technically supported by PUTPEI, which will function as a secretariat of TMB. Regular
meeting will be held once a month and ad-hoc meeting will be occasionally called by the
chairman.
P&D keeps the budget allocation function and endorses all the project implementation.
However, the resolutions of TMB shall be respected because P&D also sends an official
presumably in-charge of budgeting for the transport sector, to the TMB as a member.
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(LUTMP). The Institute manages the implementation program of LUTMP and prepare the
materials for discussion to TMB and acts as the secretariat. Other functions are listed
below:
The Institute is owned by GoPb. Most part of PUTPEI’s expense is financed by the
provincial budget but it can have own financial source such as dividends and research
commissions from LTDC (see below). In a certain period, it aims to be a financially self-
sustainable institute. However, it is a non-profit organization in nature.
Under the planning unit, there is a group (sub-unit) named PPP/ BOT Group with
capacity of developing a PPP/ BOT scheme for a project based on the financial analysis
and a database with abundant success and failure examples. Without a high degree of
expertise on PPP/ BOT in the Government side, any PPP project would hardly succeed.
If the Punjab Government has an intention to carry out any PPP project, such
professional group is inevitable.
The planning unit includes also urban planning group because every transportation
master plan require clear vision on urban structure and land use as a base map for
planning. To secure the land for future road and railway, urban planning will become more
important as state the item (4) in this section.
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Chairman
Legal Affairs Audit
Vice Chairman
As many projects come from PUTPEI, the organization of LTDC would be very similar to
that of PUTPEI, consisting of five divisions (so naming to distinguish from units of
PUTPEI) of planning, rail transit, public bus, parking and traffic management in addition
to administration, as proposed in Figure 7.5.7. Functions of each division are as outlined
in Table 7.5.6.
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Out of six divisions, three divisions of Rail Transit, Public Bus and Parking would yield
revenue while Planning Division may yield some revenue and Administration Division
none. Each of the former three is the representative body of the Government side in PPP
projects. The Company as a whole aims at being financially sustainable. However,
internal cross-subsidy among income generating divisions and non-income generating
division would be possible.
(1) Among six divisions, Administration Division, Planning Division and Traffic
Management Division are non-profit departments, while other three of Rail Transit
Division, Public Transport Division and Parking Development Division are profit
divisions.
(2) The Rail Transit Division will be indispensable, in any case, to promote the Lahore
Railway Transit projects as well as the PPP Section under the Planning Division.
(3) Lahore Transport Company can be the parent organization of the Public Transport
Division of the LTDC. In the same way, Traffic Engineering and Transport Planning
Agency (TEPA) can be the parent organization of the Traffic Management Division.
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Institutional arrangements, their functions and interactions as stated above, are further
illustrated in Figure 7.5.7.
Lahore Urban Transport Advisory Council (LUTAC) should be set up in order to advise to
LTDC and at the same time to watch LTDC not to behave arbitrarily. About ten council
members may be appointed by the chairman of PUTPEI among people in academia,
journalism, writers, and others ‘notable’ members of the Society.
LTDC has to request advice of the (LUTAC) council before starting new scheme or
projects with strong impact upon people’s daily life. On a request, the council should have
a series of meeting and submit the written opinion to the CEO of LTDC. LTDC has to
respect the opinion of the LUTAC although it would not obligatory to follow the opinion.
TEPA: Planning section of TEPA is to be the parent of the traffic management unit
and some staff will be transferred to the planning unit of PUTPEI. Operation sectors
of TEPA shall be merged to LTDC.
LTC: Lahore Transport Company is to be the parent of the public bus unit of
PUTPEI and some operational staff shall be transferred to the public transport
division of LTDC.
The UU: Urban planners are to be transferred to the Urban Planning Group of
Planning Unit of PUTPEI.
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Figure 7.5.7 Overall Institutional Reform for Lahore Transport Sector Development
Government
Level/ Function Organization
Provincial
Level HUPDD
Traffic
P&D C&W LDA Police Academia
NHA
Decision Transport Management Board
TD (Policy and Decision Making Body)
Making Cant. B.
Secretariat
DHA
Rail Public
Transit Bus
Division Division
Private Administration
Sector Lahore Parking Lahore
Rail Companies BRT
Operation and Transit Company
Maintenance Company
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FINAL REPORT
The Project for Lahore Urban Transport Master Plan in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
FINAL REPORT: VOLUME I of II
CHAPTER 8 – ACTION PLAN 2020
To understand and tackle the current transport/ traffic problems urgently, an Action Plan
has been formulated for the year 2020. The primary components of the Action Plan
include the following:
While some major projects are underway in transport sector, the coordination among the
projects is insufficient in terms of facility and service at many locations. For instance,
intersection improvement should be implemented with due consideration, if the planned
urban railway (RMTS) and/ or BRT is to be realised without excessive additional cost,
particularly at road intersections. The Action Plan focuses on integrating new and the
existing facilities, and serves to maximize the potential benefits of investment.
2) New Strategy
The future transport/ traffic situation will never improve if Lahore relies on conventional
countermeasures, like ad-hoc solutions for localised problems. Rapid growth of population
and urbanization has been a continued pressure on transport development. Rapidly
growing vehicle ownership (car and motorcycle) and usage are the most serious threat to
the living environment of Lahore. Hence the Action Plan intends to introduce possible new
strategies to promote more effective use of existing infrastructure and attempts to
moderately control the transport demand. The Carrot and Stick strategy will be adopted.
This is with improvement of public transport and road traffic vs. stricter traffic management
and control.
3) Reality
Public investment during the action plan period is severely constrained due to the lack of
funding sources, and existing commitment to several mega projects. Institutional and
organizational capacity also needs improvement. In the light of the budget envelope,
realistic projects are proposed in the Action Plan 2020.
As estimated in Chapter 5 of this report, the budget envelop until 2020 for Action Plan in
the Study Area is as follows:
2012 – 2015 Total: PKR 77 ~ 232 billion, (USD 1,000 ~ 2,900 million)
2016 – 2020 Total: PKR 105 ~ 316 billion, (USD 1,300 ~ 4,000 million)
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2012 – 2020 Total: PKR 182 ~ 548 billion, (USD 2,300 ~ 6,900 million)
Realistically, the total fund available for the next 9 years (2012-2020) should be
considered - at best this would amount to PKR 250 billion (USD 3,100 million). It should be
noted, that most of this fund would need to be allocated to already on-going and
committed projects.
Under these severe financial constraints, investment priorities have been broadly
determined as follows:
Preparatory but urgent works for establishing convenient and robust trunk
public transport system in Lahore. This includes RMTS Green Line and all
seven (7) BRT lines.
A number of transport projects have been proposed in the Master Plan (previous) chapter
of this report. Among those projects, there are many projects that need immediate
government action due to urgent needs of the citizen. These projects are categorized as
follows:
These projects may be considered as the core program of the LUTMP Action Plan 2020.
Other cost effective projects to supplement the projects mentioned above may be included
in the core program.
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In the Action Plan period (2012-2020), one RMTS line (Green) and seven BRT lines are
proposed. Later by 2030, two BRT lines (Orange and Blue) will be upgraded to RMTS.
Table 8.2.1 illustrates the RMTS and BRT performance in 2020. It can be seen that
Orange Line would be virtually operating at capacity by 2020.
Table 8.2.1 RMTS and BRT Proposed Core Program-1 Systems Performance
2020 System Performance
System
Route/ Line Daily Max. Line
2020
Boarding Load (PPHPD)
PT06 RMTS Green Line 759,000 17,200
PT07 BRT Orange Line 510,000 9,500
PT08 BRT Blue Line 270,000 5,600
PT09 BRT Purple Line 129,000 1,800
PT10 BRT Line – 1 88,000 2,100
PT11 BRT Line – 2 109,000 1,500
PT12 BRT Line – 3a 161,000 3,200
PT13 BRT Line – 3b 167,000 2,700
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 8.2.1 broadly defines the corridor location of these projects, and the forecast 2020
travel demand on RMTS/ BRT lines is shown as volume along the alignment in Figure
8.2.2.
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CHAPTER 8 – ACTION PLAN 2020
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CHAPTER 8 – ACTION PLAN 2020
To launch a transport development project, a series of actions are needed. These are, in
general, as follows:
2. Feasibility Study (FS): For Green Line, FS was completed in 2006. Other lines
need FS. Note that FS was also completed for Orange Line in 2007. However,
this was done as an RMTS line, not as a BRT. Therefore Feasibility Studies of
Orange, Blue, Purple lines, and other four BRT Lines (1, 2, 3a and 3b) are
required.
4. Detailed Design (DD): Green Line reference design was completed in 2008, DD
is still required. All other projects need DD as well.
6. Relocation of Utilities: In the case of Green Line, it was estimated that utility
removal/ relocation would take 18 months, at cost of over PKR 5 billion. This
process must be completed before the land is handed over to contractors for
construction.
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CHAPTER 8 – ACTION PLAN 2020
10. Operation: Green Line RMTS will start operation in 2020. Among BRTs, Orange
Line BRT is proposed to start operation by 2016 while others by 2020 or earlier.
In Pakistan, there have been cases that project plan and finance should have to be largely
changed from the original plan due to the delay in the actions mentioned above. Table
8.2.2 summarizes the actions needed by 2020.
The study for RMTS was first completed in 2006. The study proposed a rail based mass
transit prioritised network of four lines of about 97 km, with 82 stations. The study also
completed the feasibility study of the 1st priority (Green) line in 2007. Again Ferozepur
road corridor was proposed for the priority line envisioned to be completed by 2015/16.
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CHAPTER 8 – ACTION PLAN 2020
ADB conducted independent assessment of the feasibility studies, agreed to fund the
RMTS project in phases, and approved to provide a multi-tranche loan of USD one billion
towards the capital cost of the Green Line. However, since 2008 negotiation with the ADB
has been suspended. The GoPb from its ADP cannot afford to fund the project capital cost.
As a result the project remains suspended until some form of capital cost funding could be
secured.
GoPb, recently negotiated the project with Chinese company “NORNICO” who showed
willingness to obtain the buyers’ credit from Chinese financing institutions including China
Exim Bank to provide 85% of the contract amount; whereas GoPb would be responsible
for effecting 15% advance payment. NORINCO had to do detail design and build Green
Line; whereas LTC to engage an operator for the subsequent operation of the system. No
further details are available to the JICA Study Team for further progress in this regard. The
GoPb should do its maximum effort, assisted by the federal government, to ensure the
finance for the project
Unlike RMTS, financial condition for BRT projects is generally favourable. This is due to
the lower cost (roughly 1/ 10 of RMTS per km), and profit from BRT business can be
expected. Owing to the “profitability”, the private sector can be involved, or PPP scheme
could be applied for less profitable lines. Therefore, the role of GoPb is primarily to seek
for reliable service suppliers. After feasibility study is conducted for each line, the projects
should be announced to the public based on the proposed financing scheme (e.g. purely
private or PPP), and tender shall be called on competitive basis.
RMTS Green Line will have a significant impact on people’s travel behaviour. As the new
system offer faster and more reliable services than existing wagon, bus, rickshaw and
Qingqi, considerable number of passengers will shift from these conventional/ paratransit
modes to RMTS and BRTs. In other words, the operators of conventional public transport
will be affected by RMTS and BRTs. The impact of RMTS Green Line was estimated in its
feasibility study that Buses would lose 30-50 % passengers by 2021 along Ferozepur
Road corridor, and in the north across Ravi.
In order to alleviate this negative impact on bus/ wagon, and to ensure quick smooth
transfers between modes, well-coordinated feeder services should be provided. Buses
and wagons could be used as feeder services for the trunk public transport system; RMTS
and BRTs. This is modal integration of conventional public transport and RMTS/ BRTs. For
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CHAPTER 8 – ACTION PLAN 2020
buses/ wagons feeder service is an expansion of their market, and for RMTS/ BRTs it
offers an opportunity to increase their patronage. Various actions are needed to promote
this integration. Rerouting plans of bus/ wagon should be formulated prior to the operation
of RMTS/ BRTs.
In addition, common (electronic/ smart card type) ticketing system needs investigation for
future application under the initiative of Transport Department and LTC.
2) Multi-modal Terminals
At present, relocation of the congested bus terminal at Badami Bagh is planned. The
relocation sites are three; Shahdara, Thokar Niaz-baig and Ferozepur Road near Hudiara
Drain. These bus terminals serve as interchange facilities of intercity and intra-city buses.
These bus terminals will function as multi-modal terminals if transfer facility is provided
between bus terminal and RMTS/ BRT station.
Among these three terminals - Shahdara is to be located north of Ravi Bridge (adjacent to
GL Terminal, as planned in the GL design studies), will play the most important role as the
interface between intercity and intra-city bus/ wagon and RMTS/ BRTs of Lahore. By this
project, all the available public transport modes will be integrated at one location to offer
integrated services to passengers. Similarly an integrated bus terminal is planned at the
Green Line South Depot/ Station (Shadab Colony), about 4km north of Hudiara Drain. A
similar location should be considered as a priority option, when conducting Feasibility
Studies for the southern multi-modal bus terminal along Multan Road. For other terminals,
similar concepts should be applied.
The railway differs entirely from other transport modes such as road, aviation and shipping.
In case of road, after completion, some bus companies operate buses and some transport
companies operate trucks and private cars use the road. Purchase of vehicles and training
of drivers are in the transport companies, and private cars are used by individuals under
their own responsibility.
However, Railway Company should do all the necessary works themselves, including
construction of infrastructure, purchase of rolling stock, training of drivers, conductors
maintenance staff, daily operation works, and safety treatment of level crossing and so on.
Therefore, to establish a good railway company is not an easy task. Of particularly
importance is the training of railway staff that will be responsible for all the work necessary
for railway operation. This is a point often overlooked in railway development and
planning.
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Long period of time will be required for training drivers to operate urban trains safely. For
the operation of the RMTS Green Line, about 350 staffs will be needed as per Japanese
railway standard. Since operation of the RMTS Green Line is proposed to start in 2020,
preparatory works should start as soon as possible, and not later than 2016.
Table 8.2.3 Estimated Number of Staff for RMTS Green Line Operation
Staff Position / Task Number
Conductor / Driver 50
Conductor Administration/Station Staff 180
Electrical / Signal Staff 40
Track Works 40
Rolling Stock Maintenance Staff 40
Total 350
Source JICA Study Team
In Japan, seven to eight years are usually required for the training of train drivers and
other auxiliary staff as illustrated in Figure 8.2.3.
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Training Center:
・Subject to study, 3 weeks
↓
Termination exam./ Passing
↓
・Practices Training:7 weeks
↓
Termination exam./ Passing
↓
Work as Train Conductor for 2 years
↓
Appointment examination for train driver/ Passing
↓
Training Center
・Subject to study 4 months: (By using driving Simulator)
↓
Termination exam./ Passing
↓
・Practices Training:4 months:Enforcement training in actual railway
↓
・Termination exam./ Passing in training center (Act as Govt. Duty)
↓
・Get Government certificate issued (Mail later from Government)
↓
Work as Urban Railway Driver
↓
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CHAPTER 8 – ACTION PLAN 2020
Figure 8.2.4 Proposed Staff Training Program to Open RMTS Green Line
Civil works Elecric works Signal/ Telecom. Works
Purchase of rolling stock
Prior Training Establish Railway Company
Assistance by Foreighn
Regulation in the firm Professinal Engineer
Prepare for establish (organization etc) Study
Make manual
Train Drivers to all staffs
study
Train control Make manual
to all staffs
Study
Conductor/Station staff Make manual
to all staffs
Opening
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Green Line Prior preparation Preparation under Railway Company
Source JICA Study Team
To learn the basics of railway engineering, it is desired that training will be executed by
Pakistani natives. Therefore, after establishment of a training center, the core staffs i.e.
teachers in each field should be appointed at first, and they prepare textbooks and
manuals, then excellent railway engineer and staffs shall be trained by On-the-Job
Participation (OJP).
The Green Line project involves relocation of shop, commercial buildings and residential
buildings along the alignment. The number of affected families and people is
approximately 400 and 2,800, respectively. The railway is planned almost on the central
part of existing roads, i.e. Government land, but stations and depots need private land of
approximately 33,500m 2. This land acquisition is crucial for early completion of Green Line.
This compensation for the land including of the following items:
For the BRT projects, this compensation is not expected though feasibility studies are
needed to establish land requirement and integration of access arrangements to the
adjacent amenities.
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CHAPTER 8 – ACTION PLAN 2020
The selection of project areas for the LUTMP 2020 Action Plan, Core Program-2 is based
on detailed analysis, evaluation, and prioritisation of projects as described in Sections 7.4
and 7.5 of this report. In addition, it is also influenced by the in depth knowledge of the
area gained from traffic and transport condition surveys by the Study Team, about the
special/ specific needs of the citizens of certain areas.
The core of the city urgently needs proper planning, and network connectivity, operation of
its road network in hierarchical fashion and state-of-the-art junction design equipped with
modern centrally controlled signal system. The transport network should accommodate all
types of users according to the local condition. Non-motorized traffic (pedestrians and
bicycles) is to be given priority, where possible, as the most vulnerable and neglected
group in the existing transport system. LUTMP HIS survey results showed that there are
about 45% of all travel either by walk or cycle in the Study Area.
Provision of planned parking facilities both on-street and off-street are one of the most
important component of transport system of the city, but it is poorly managed and
uncontrolled. Proper parking arrangement can help in removing illegal parking, temporary
encroachments and improve traffic circulation and the environment. Travel behaviour
issues are also needed to be seriously addressed, which is the major factor in the
worsening of traffic situation and traffic safety. The main reasons are lack of traffic
education, poor signage, and very week enforcement of traffic rules and regulations.
Developed countries in the world are preserving their environment and heritage by limiting
the traffic access in central areas through various traffic demand management measures.
This factor is also given a high priority, in addition to those mentioned above, in the
selection of action plan areas. However, certain areas have been identified to need
immediate attention and action, because of the dire state of the traffic and environment in
these areas. These areas have been given high priority in the Action Plan, irrespective of
the small differences in the MCA evaluation results of these projects in these areas.
The Walled city and surrounding area is considered to be the city centre of Lahore,
because of its location and outward expansion in a radial pattern. Areas surrounding the
walled city have been poorly developed without: road network planning, traffic
management, and land use control. Areas of concern include: Ravi, Data Gunj Baksh,
and Samanabad towns, and also parts of Iqbal and Gulberg towns. This area is
considered as the Central Business District (CBD) of the Lahore. It is the major
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commercial ‘hub’ not only of the Lahore city/ district, but also of the whole of the Punjab
province. It includes markets, different types of service sector businesses, small cottage
industries, all major provincial and local government offices, recreational areas, and most
of the historical/ heritage places. In the Study this area is considered to be the CBD area
of Lahore, and it is broadly shown in Figure 8.3.1. The chaotic traffic situation and poor
living environment in this area is evident from the picture depicted as Figure 8.3.2.
This CBD area totally lacks facilities for pedestrians and cyclists, limited public transport
which is mostly Para-transit based, and it infiltrated by illegal Qingqis. Other major issues:
include encroachment of already scarce public spaces; roads and footpaths by legal and
illegal parking, lack of parking provision, uncontrolled commercialization, and poor traffic
circulation arrangements. These result in traffic chaos and bottlenecks, noise and air
pollution and poor environment. Legal and illegal intercity and intra-city public transport
stops/ terminals are operating in this area without any check and control, causing traffic
mayhem and unsafe passenger/ pedestrian environment. Specifically, acidic rain from air
pollutants of the Badami Bagh bus terminal is causing an irreparable damage to the
marble exterior of the of the Badshahi mosque – a world heritage site.
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This area of Lahore city is locally called as ‘old Lahore’. It includes CBD area, and an
illustrative map is given below Figure 8.3.3. The area is more compact compared to the
south and south-western areas of Lahore District. The general situation in this area is
worsening rapidly due to uncontrolled traffic situation and lack of planning and land use or
development density control. This lack of urban development planning and control has
resulted in uncontrolled commercialization; which is mostly approved without any traffic or
development impact assessment. No traffic planning has been applied to manage the
generated traffic/ travel demand from these commercial centres and mix developments.
This has converted the area traffic in to uncontrolled mix of motorized and non-motorized
traffic. Traffic situation is further aggravated by the lack of public transport; and illegal
Qingqi and wagon operations. Legal and illegal intercity bus operation and trucking on the
Bund Road East are the major factors in worsening the traffic situation in the area and
along Multan Road.
Area to the east of the Walled city has the biggest steel market of Lahore, but it is without
any direct access or egress to any trunk road like G.T. Road or Lahore Ring Road. Trucks
and heavy tractor-trailers (commonly and illegally) are used for movement of heavy goods
and containers. Situation is worsened by the limited capacity local roads, unplanned and
illegal truck stands, and unplanned fruit market in the area. These are the major
impediments to the smooth traffic flow and also for the poor local living environment.
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Figure 8.3.3 Lahore City Action Plan Area – North of Canal to South of Ravi
In total thirty one (31) Traffic Management projects (TM01-TM31) have been proposed
and assessed in the LUTMP 2030. Eleven (TM01-TM11) of these Traffic Management
projects are the committed Government projects, and some of these are on-going or at
various stages of implementation. Therefore these projects are not included or further
discussed here under the LUTMP 2020 Action Plan, Core Program-2.
An outline description and scope of each of the remaining twenty (TM12-TM31) projects
have been given in Section 7.3.3. A comprehensive Multi Criteria Assessment (MCA) and
prioritisation of these projects has been presented in Sections 7.4 and Table 7.4.17. The
implementation schedule in the context of budget envelope, and agencies responsible for
the project implementation have been discussed in Section 7.5 and presented in Tables
7.5.1 and 7.5.2 of this Report.
The implementation schedule as proposed in Table 7.5.1 suggests that most of these
traffic management projects need to be implemented either in the Short or Medium term
time frame. In order to further prioritise these projects for their implementation, it was
estimated that the six of the short term projects (TM14, TM21, TM22, TM27-TM29) are
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mostly low cost (USD 1~6 million) ‘soft’ – limited scale feasibility/ initial studies and could
be implemented in the earlier years of the Action Plan 2020 timeframe, without burdening/
disrupting the budget envelope. Therefore, for the implementation of these studies, ToR
should be prepared based on the outline project description and scope of work as given in
Section 7.3.3. It is recommended that TD should proceed with these projects as soon as
possible, along with the committed projects.
In addition, Government should also start the process for the medium term projects like
[TM15] ‘Public Transport in Rural Areas’, as soon as the condition of the public transport in
the city is improved. Whereas, medium term project like [TM13] ‘Existing Junction Design
and Network Improvement’ would have wait for the completion of short study [TM12] prior
to its implementation.
The remaining eight Short (5) and Medium (3) term traffic management projects are
included in the LUTMP 2020 Action Plan 2020 Core Program-2. Further detailed
description and scope of work of these projects is illustrated in the following two Sections
8.4 and 8.5 respectively, as summarised in the following Table 8.3.1.
The table also includes three (R44, R45 and R57) of the road sub-sector projects included
in the Action Plan 2020. These projects under MCA evaluation did not score so high to be
recognised as Short Term projects. However, the local traffic and environment situation in
these areas is dire. It demands that high priority should be given to the improvement of
roads/ junctions, general traffic situation, and pedestrian environment in the areas of
projects R44 and R45.
The road sub-sector project R57 is listed here as, it is part of the LDA/ TEPA on-going
projects. It involves new housing developments in the south-west of Lahore. LDA/ TEPA
are responsible for the development or road network to sustain the developments either
by upgrading the existing roads or by building new roads in conjunction with the private
sector/ developers, as part of old Lahore Master Plan 2021.
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8.4.1 [TM12] Junction Design and Traffic Signal Improvement – CBD Area
1) Introduction
Lahore CBD area road junctions are poorly designed, if at all. It is clear that their layout is
not based on any traffic data, traffic engineering design principles, safety considerations
and they lack even the basic concept of time and space segregation of vehicles of
conflicting movements. This result in unnecessary and avoidable delays, poor and unsafe
environment for all the road users and local area communities. A typical example, Lohari
Gate junction layout is given below in Figure 8.4.1 and it is further illustrated by pictures of
various cross-sections of roads in Figure 8.4.2. At the junction five streets have access/
egress. It is not at all clear which movement has priority over the other. It is ‘free-for-all’
situation. There is no provision for pedestrians to even cross the main Circular Road.
Five streets are directly entering the main traffic stream without any merging, diverging
lanes. This results in congestion, which often locks the junction during peak periods.
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This situation is common throughout the CBD area. It is further exacerbated by mix land
use and uncontrolled development, without due consideration to the impact of
development on the traffic. Lack of parking spaces, legal and illegal parking on the
footpaths (thereby making the pedestrians to walk in the road) limits the already scarce
road space. Strewn street furniture like garbage containers, not to mention the ever
present hawkers interrupt the traffic flow endlessly. The solution is comprehensive traffic
management study of the area, scope of which should include, but not be limited to the
following components.
The proposed project area has already been defined as the CBD area of Lahore, which is
described above in Section 8.3.1 and the map is shown Figure 8.3.1. The major project
components are as follows:
Urban planning and street design in the context of the land use in area;
Road network and junction operational assessment, design and improvements;
Traffic signal system design according to the junction and network requirements;
Planning and design of a pilot central traffic control system;
Traffic circulation system design and pilot implementation;
Parking facilities planning and design;
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This project is of high priority as established by the MCA evaluation process, and the
implementation of a number of projects depends upon the successful completion of the
project as soon as possible. This project is proposed to start immediately, and should be
implemented by year 2014. Tentative implementation schedule of various project
components is given in Table 8.4.1. The estimated project cost is USD 4.0 million,
including the implementation of the pilot scheme.
1) Introduction
Under this approach it is ensured that most effective use is made of the scarce road space
for the most suitable and sustainable transport mode(s). It should recognize the
importance of activities in areas these take place, such as places to live, work and enjoy.
Under this plan, certain routes will be managed to perform better for cars, and other will be
best suited for public transport or pedestrians as shown in Figure 8.4.3.
Public would be encouraged to walk and cycle by making places more environment
friendly by ensuring that the cyclists have improved access to activity centers and other
public transport services. This project is important to shift the emphasis from building new
expensive transport infrastructure to effectively and efficiently manage the operation of
existing road network.
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This project relies upon road network operational efficiency improvement through traffic
management and planning techniques. However, local transport related agency has to
work with broad range of relevant stakeholders in developing and implementing this
concept in the city effectively. This needs extensive consultation within government
departments and agencies, and also with relevant stakeholders in the private sector.
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This proposed project area where it would be most suited to is shown above, with possible
road usage hierarchy as a pilot, and then it could be extended to the other areas of Lahore
District. However, on the other hand the concept implementation may be less restrictive/
easy in the south of Lahore (South of Canal). Implementation in the Old Lahore area
would be tedious due to high density and limited options of alternative routes for different
modes of transport.
As the project would be implemented from the concept stage to its implementation TEPA
should use this as capacity building exercise, and commit their staff as counterpart to work
with international consultants as an OJP training exercise, so that similar schemes could
be implemented in other parts of the Study Area. TEPA staff should also be able to monitor
the project performance as ‘before’ and ‘after’ study comparison. A tentative
implementation schedule is given below in Table 8.5.3. The project is to be implemented
by TEPA, and estimated cost is USD 4.0million.
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1) Introduction
Developed and developing countries are moving toward the development of sustainable
urban transport system, to revitalize the central urban areas, by incorporating pedestrian
and cycling facilities in the design as high priority, and even replacing the existing
dependence on motor vehicle. Pedestrian and cycling facilities are incorporated as an
integral component of the modern urban fabric. Some examples of sidewalks with bicycle
path are depicted in Figure 8.4.5.
street furniture. This causes most nuisances in the commercial areas without walking
facilities, as result shoppers tend to park their vehicle nearest to the shop of their choice.
Road crossing is serious hazard, as can be seen above in Figure 8.4.6. Road crossing
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facilities are either not provided at all, or if available, are ignored by motorists. This also
hampers the access to public transport (bus stops etc.). In some parts of Lahore attempts
have been made to create better pedestrian environment, but designs are poor, and
compliance is limited.
It has been observed that Old Lahore area severely lacks proper provisions for
pedestrians, footpaths and road crossing facilities. Examples of poor facilities in several
residential, commercial and other mix areas are shown in Figure 8.4.7 and are outlined
below which need urgent attention:
Shadbagh area - small scale industries and biggest steel market of Lahore;
Badami Bagh bus terminal without any waiting areas, walkways, access to local
transport stands, and parking facilities, and
Niazi bus terminal along Bund Road East and Babu Sabu area bus stands lack
pedestrian facilities and is most dangerous for passengers to cross the busy roads.
Cycling In Lahore!
There is no provision at all for cyclists on the entire road network of Lahore. The level of
cycling is common and it is (from LUTMP Travel Demand Model) illustrated in Figure 8.4.8.
This shows that how much cycling is common in the entire Lahore City area, and on some
roads daily cycle volume is in thousands (2010 volumes). Some of these roads are
primary, while others are secondary and local streets. Cycling on most major roads is
hazardous and dangerous, accidents/ fatalities are common, and the root cause is lack of
clearly planned, designed and marked provision of cycling facilities. There is also no
regard for cyclists by the motorists – a common driving misbehaviour problem, as cycling
rights are not spelled out officially. Therefore, it is essential that due consideration be
given to cycling as a mode of transport, and this can be best achieved through planning,
design and implementation of cycling facilities in the Lahore City area.
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Design concepts of integrated walkways and cycling facilities are illustrated in the
following Figures 8.4.9 to 8.4.13 along with the maps of Lahore areas depicting where
such concepts should be applied to provide safe and better environment.
Figure 8.4.8 Daily Bicycle Demand in 2010
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Figure 8.4.9 Integrated Design Concept for Walkways, Bicycle Lane and Parking
Figure 8.4.10 Application of Integrated Pedestrian and Cycling Design in Central Lahore
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This project includes comprehensive pedestrian and cycle path planning and design study
for the Old Lahore area. The study scope should include detail design of pedestrian and
bicycle path network based on demand, and also local area traffic management plans
where Pedestrianization is proposed.
Areas south of the Canal should be also studied, but are not a high priority as Old Lahore
area, where pedestrian and cycle volumes are relatively much higher. Traffic calming
measures for secondary and local roads should be an integral part of the network. In
addition special commercial areas should be given high priority for Pedestrianized areas
similar to Liberty Market, but with better segregation of traffic and pedestrians, and also
with full traffic circulation plan around the area. Areas to be given priority could be: Sadar
Bazar, Model Town Link Road Market, Moon Market Iqbal Town. Major components of the
projects are as follows:
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This project is proposed to start from year 2014 after completion of Junction design project
[TM12]. TEPA should be the executing agency. It is proposed that TEPA should carry out
the projects with its local resources, with limited help from international consultants.
LUTMP database could be used to calculate pedestrian and bicycle demand by area and
road network. However, supplementary localized pedestrian and bicycles demand and
interview survey would need to be required and should be conducted in a manner that
data could be incorporated in the LUTMP model for network-wide analysis and forecast
purposes. The project is proposed to last three years from 2014 to 2016. Some of the key
project activities with timescale are given in Table 8.4.3. The project cost is estimated at
USD 5 million, but depend upon the size of area.
1) Introduction
CDGL has provided small scale parking stands along 32 major roads in Lahore for
motorcycles and cars; which are neither planned nor designed for such activity. The roads
already lack capacity, and parking is a major encroachment of the road space. There is no
signage for Parking or No Parking, legal and illegal parking is common, and enforcement
of legal parking is non-existent. CDGL is only authority who is providing on-street parking
facilities; however they do not have technical capability to plan, design and manage
parking at any level. They simply contract out a section of road (often including footpath)
to be used as ‘legal parking’, and the contract amount is the revenue for CDGL without
any specific expenditure against this income.
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would reduce congestion, whereas basic transport planning suggests that it would
increase traffic demand to the area, and worsen congestion. The result of total ineffective
control and lack of planning is evident from the picture in Figure 8.4.14.
There are only three car parking plazas in the whole of Lahore, parking integral to large
development often ends up as commercial space (like Panorama Shopping Centre
basement) due to lack of building control. Encroachment of local road network was
observed during the LUTMP surveys and is illustrated in Figure 8.4.15 with the aid of
LUTMP model. The Figure also gives the level of demand as percentage of the street
section is occupied by legal/ illegal parking.
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There is no local institution with capacity to plan, design and manage the parking in the
city. Development of an institution responsible for such a task is essential. Setup of a
company for the Development of Parking Management is a step in the right direction.
However, the main components of the project are briefly described as:
This proposed project area includes the Old Lahore (as described above in Section 8.3.1
and shown in Figure 8.3.3), and the areas south of Canal including Model Town, Iqbal
Town, Gulberg, and DHA as mapped out below in Figure 8.4.15.
It is suggested that a local and/ or international consultant could be engaged; who have
extensive experience of institutional development and conduct of such studies in the
developing countries. This exercise can effectively be utilized by TEPA and Parking
Management Company as capacity building exercise. Parking Management Company
could also be made responsible for planning, designing, development, and management
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of all parking facilities in Lahore. Tentative implementation schedule of the project is given
below in Table 8.4.4, and project cost is estimated at USD 2.5 million.
1) Introduction
Currently no standards or guidelines exist for transport planning and traffic engineering in
Pakistan. Previous attempts by NTRC (National Transport Research Center) and other
provincial institutions failed to produce documents of international standards, which could
be adopted as Standards/ Guidelines. Even the documents which exist do not fully reflect
the local conditions.
The Urban Unit recently prepared a ‘Punjab Traffic and Transport Manual’ which includes
traffic signs in English language only and does not include the signs recently used (on
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LRR). Hence, it completely lacks the local context, in terms of ability of local totally
illiterate drivers to understand these signs in English or its use for signage in Punjab, at
least new roads. However, this manual could be used as starting point for this study. It
would need to be completely revised in the local area context. Its legal status needs to be
ascertained and reasons for lack of its implementation needs to be determined. This is a
serious concern, as enforcement would be the key issue for the implementation and
conformity to such a document. This project is considered as a core project for all traffic
management and traffic engineering design work; and can bring conformity to the design
of transport facilities.
Different transport facilities design standards and guidelines would be developed under
this project. The proposed standards and guidelines documents needed to be produced
are briefly outlined below:
1. Road Geometric Design Standards
2. Parking Facilities Design Manual
3. Traffic Control Devices Manual
4. Traffic Signal System Design Manual
5. Development or Traffic Impact Assessment Guidelines
These guidelines would be designed in the local context, and should be applicable in the
whole of Pakistan. These standards and guidelines should be applicable to all major cities
and towns. However, if the situation demands (to be ascertained by the study), these
standards and guidelines may be relaxed for rural or outlying areas. This relaxation should
be clearly documented, and where possible supplementary guidelines would need to be
prepared for such areas.
TEPA or other transport sector institutions should have full technical involvement with the
project, and must have technical capacity to formulate such comprehensive document of
standards or guidelines. Project should be executed by commissioning international
consultants with full involvement of all stakeholders. The standards and guidelines thus
developed are mandatory on all transport sector concerned agencies.
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There are in total five (5) medium traffic projects in the LUTMP 2030, and two of these
have been included in Core Program-2. These projects are deemed to be essential as the
start of implementation is vital for the city’s traffic management system, as explained
below under each project description.
1) Introduction
In a large metropolis an effective traffic circulation system is essential to get the best
operational efficiency from its road network. The traffic circulation design concept is
commonly used in the developed countries to improve the functional and operational
efficiency of road network as whole. Under this concept a carriageway is made one-way
(sometimes for peak periods only) to reduce conflicts along its length to improve its
capacity. It should be understood that a 1-way carriageway has 30 % more capacity than a
2-way undivided carriageway of the same width. Conversely, if a 1-way carriageway is
turned into 2-way operation, there would be a loss of up to 30~50 % of its total capacity.
Similarly, junction capacity in a 1-way system is also enhanced, and this further improves
the network operational efficiency. On the other hand 1-way system does increase the trip
length over a limited area, hence its implementation needs to be carefully planned, and
evaluated before implementation.
Lahore has many dual carriageways, very wide roads and often with service roads along
most of their length, which often extend right into the city centre. Sadly this available road
capacity is simple wasted away due to total lack of directional control of traffic. Most
service roads operate 2-way, without any provision of such contra-flow movements at
junctions. This causes total chaos at junction, when vehicle end up travelling in the
contra-flow direction. Such 2-way operation of service roads is not only inefficient, but
dangerous and is major cause of junction blockage, accidents, sometime serious and fatal.
Major advantage of this concept is to effectively minimize the severity and minimize the
number of conflicting movements at the junctions. The chaos caused by conflicting
movements by not having clearly defined efficient traffic flow system is shown in the
following Figures 8.5.1 to 8.5.4.
Currently, LUTMP road network traffic circulation is very inefficient from the reasons
outlined above; specifically where it could be implemented without much investment – an
example is to enforce 1-way use of service roads, or at least at the junctions. This simple
measure would improve junction efficiency and link capacity, not only of the service roads
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but also of the main carriageways, due to reduction of conflicts at the carriageway
junctions.
Figure 8.5.1 Poor Traffic Circulation at Qurtaba Chowk – Note Conflicting Movements
Figure 8.5.2 Dual Carriageway Ferozepur Road – Note Traffic in Contra-flow Direction
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2) Project Components
For this project network simulation model would be required, which could initially be setup
using a ‘window approach’ to the LUTMP strategic model, for local area data extraction.
Traffic circulation system need to be designed on an area-wide network basis and not for
streets / roads in isolation to get the best performance from the road network. The project
would include the following major components, but not limited to:
New simulation model would need to be developed, whereas the LUTMP strategic
model would provide the area-wide traffic cordon flows.
Topographic survey, and other related transport and traffic surveys of the local area
road network as input data to the simulation model;
Pilot traffic circulation system design could be broadly evaluated using a smaller/
local area version of the LUTMP transport model.
All new schemes of road and traffic management should be assessed and evaluated,
initially in the LUTMP model then through the simulation model prior to
implementation.
Junctions should then be designed as modelled, including traffic signals, and control
devices as per plan and design of the scheme.
3) Area Description
This project should be initially planned, designed and implemented as pilot project at
location/ for an area where enforcement is not a major challenge. It should then be
implemented in stages, to cover the CBD area, and other stand-alone independent areas
like Gulberg Market areas and the adjacent network.
TPU/ TEPA do not have technical capacity to fully comprehend and modify the LUTMP
model, and develop traffic simulation model for this project. Therefore, it is suggested that
international consultant should be commissioned with experience in such detailed traffic
modelling, both at strategic and simulation levels. TPU/ TEPA should prepare the project
ToR with the above components as a ‘must be’, and with proposals for a pilot area. The
project should be used as capacity building exercise for both TPU/ TEPA staff.
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This project is designed to efficiently manage existing road network operation, and would
enhance the network capacity without major investment in road building and grade
separation. Table 8.5.1 provides a tentative implementation schedule for the whole project
within the LUTMP Core Program-2. Project should be executed by TPU, in conjunction
with TEPA and should take account of other on-going short term projects. Estimated
project cost is USD 20million, less than a single grade separation cost, but would yield far
more benefits
1) Introduction
District Regional Transport Authority (DRTA) is responsible for planning, issuing permits,
and overall operation of inter-city bus terminals in Lahore. DRTA has approved eleven ‘D’
class bus stands which are operational. In addition there are main bus terminals like
Badami Bagh, Daewoo, Multan Road (near M-2), and Niazi Bus Terminals. Locations of
these terminals are shown in Figure 8.5.5.
Bus Terminals
Badami Bagh bus terminal is the largest and oldest of all. It was planned to be an inert-city
bus terminal and was built to shift the inter-city bus operation from the Lahore Railway
Station area in late 1960’s. It was a well-planned, designed terminal, with integrated
intra-city travel facilities at that time. However, now it’s nothing more than a slum area and
a collection of bus stands without any order or planning of amenities for passengers. Its
location is ideal for passengers, as it is located in the city centre, but it is a serious
environmental hazard for the heritage sites. The bus terminal has been unlawfully
expanded to areas adjacent to the Lahore Fort, which is a serious environmental issue.
Location of the heritage sites and the bus terminal traffic circulation is shown in Figure
8.5.6. The CDGL bus terminal on Bund Road East is better planned, and functions well
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compared to the other bus stands in that area, which are mostly located and operated at
the convenience of the bus operators.
Truck Terminals
Existing truck terminals condition is worse than the bus terminals. Most of these are
located in the dense urban areas and use road-side for loading and unloading. There is
usually no off-road designated parking space or other facilities, for overnight parking and
maintenance for the owner-operators. It should be noted that most of the trucking fleet is a
single truck owner-operators. Therefore road space is often used for parking and
maintenance. Condition and plight of some of the trucking areas so called the ‘truck
stands’ is evident from the pictures in Figure 8.5.7.
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The area shown in Figure 8.5.8 is the Cottage Steel Industry, which is located in the centre
of the CBD area, a totally inappropriate location for such commercial activity. This attracts
trucking activity, but has no space and associated road network to function efficiently. As a
result the ‘steel market’ activity is a traffic nuisance and the industrial/ commercial activity
is a serious environmental and safety hazard for the local community.
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The relocation of the whole of the ‘steel market’ industrial/ commercial activity is essential
for the trucking activity to be limited in the area. This would be a major challenge to
relocate the steel industry/ market to and industrial estate, and regenerate this inner CBD
area of Lahore, just like the Dockland in London. It is a project, with many facets, and
could not be done over-night, by ad-hoc decisions. It needs careful land use planning, and
a phased implementation, and may take the rest of this decade to be fully implemented.
This LUTMP proposal is being put forward with a ‘vision’ of Lahore as city of gardens.
For such a complex project, it is nearly impossible to list out all the project components, it
requires a comprehensive understanding of the subject, which should be done in house by
TPU/ LDA/ TEPA to ascertain how to handle this mega-project, and then proceed with
caution. Following points give a brief list of components which are must, and cannot be
ignored.
A detailed feasibility study should be conducted to fully understand and realise the
existing intercity and intra-city terminal operation, estimate future travel demand
requirement for the additional terminals in medium to long term.
The choice of terminal location should take account of the terminals proposed as part
of the RMTS development program, and the planned/ designed bus terminals located
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at the end of these BRT/ RMTS lines, and integrated with their respective depot sites.
Based on the feasibility study recommendation; detail design study should be
conducted for the proposed terminals;
Construction and operation of bus terminals in the specified locations with all
requirements necessary for a modern multi-modal transport interchange.
For operation PPP options should be explored to reduce the financial burden on the
public.
Traffic management studies should be conducted as part of the feasibility study, to
facilitate all traffic movement necessary for such terminal operation taking account of
the trunk and secondary road network.
It is recommended that the project should include the Following key/ vital components on
board.
Comprehensive freight planning study should be conducted for Lahore; which should
accommodate current demand and supply, and future needs of the city.
The study outcome/ recommendation should be the feasible locations of the truck
terminals, conceptual designs, freight distributary network, local delivery system, and
long term plan based on the industrial growth;
Account should also be taken of Rail-freight terminals/ ‘dry-ports’ proposed or
operated by Pakistan railways. This component is essential, as it is far more
economical to transport bulk/ container freight over long distances by rail than road;
e.g. goods movement between Lahore and Karachi.
Design study should follow the feasibility study recommendations and design truck
terminal facilities;
Construction and operation of truck terminal facilities;
For operation PPP options should be explored to reduce the financial burden on the
public.
Traffic management study should be conducted as part of the location feasibility study
to take account of trunk and primary road network. Due attention should be given to
day time truck ban in the inner city area. Therefore access to the secondary road
network may need to be developed for the distribution of goods by smaller vehicles
during the day.
Following are the main recommendations for the relocation project, but would need
stakeholder involvement at the outset.
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The project has to be handled involving many provincial and local departments and
agencies. It is proposed that the project initially should be started by LDA under P&D
Department, and with close liaison with Transport department, TEPA, CDGL and LTC.
Transport Department deals with inter-city public transport terminals, LDA/ CDGL with
freight and local industries, LTC with intra-city operations and facilities, and TEPA for traffic
engineering components. In addition, as the scope of the project is extensive, it would be
appropriate to have an overall general consultant commission at the outset, and would be
responsible for the project until its implementation and operation.
A tentative project implementation schedule is outlined in Table 8.5.2, with key project
components and activities, essential for its success. Project cost is estimated at USD100
million.
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Table 8.5.2 Bus and Freight Terminals Project – Tentative Implementation Schedule
Year, 2000+
Project Components/ Activities
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Prepare Master Plan of all Projects and Commission General
Consultant to Oversee the Complete Project
Public Transport Terminals
Feasibility study for public transport terminal relocation
Design study for public transport facilities detailed design
Construction of proposed terminals
Operation of proposed terminals
Traffic management planning and design study of terminals
Freight Terminals
Comprehensive freight planning study
Detail design study for the freight terminals
Construction of freight terminal facilities
Operation of freight terminal facilities
Traffic management planning and design study of terminals
Steel Industry/ Market Relocation
Feasibility and Design study for shifting the steel market
Development of Industrial area
Source: JICA Study Team
1) Introduction
Traffic/ transport/ travel demand management (TDM) is a general term for various
strategies that increase transport system efficiency. TDM treats mobility as a means to an
end, rather than an end in itself. It emphasizes the movement of people and goods, rather
than motor vehicles, and so gives priority to more efficient modes (such as walking,
cycling, car-pooling, and public transit), particularly under congested traffic conditions. It
prioritizes travel based on the value and costs of each trip, giving high value trips and
lower cost modes priority over, lower value high cost travel, in doing so increase overall
system efficiency.
The TDM is ‘carrot and stick approach’, and would fail if adequate alternative transport is
not available. For example, restricting cars into the city centre during peak periods could
only be implemented if alternative public transport is reliable, efficient and comfortable,
coupled with direct access to amenities through integrated station design. Therefore,
following projects are assumed to be completed and operational prior to study/
implementation of TDM project;
Rail mass rapid transit system (Green line) and some of the bus rapid transit lines
should be operational;
Connecting communities (smart roads) and traffic circulation system design, and
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public and freight transport terminals traffic management projects would have been
completed;
Presently, there is no concept of TDM in Lahore; however its need would be evident as the
congestion increases over time, and ad-hoc solutions of spot problem fixing are no longer
have impact. This will put extra strain over the scarce road space and poorly managed
network of Lahore through mode growth (car ownership growth is estimated to be 45 % by
2030). This vehicle growth cannot be stopped due to increase in income levels and local
culture. But the rate of growth could be reduced by sustainable management of the people
and goods movement in the city’s network. This would require some tough decisions in
limiting vehicle ownership, and parking restraint policies, totally contrary to the current
trends of trying to meet traffic demand at all cost. This will also require tough political
decisions, contrary to current belief that we can build our way out of congestion – no
nation has done it, how we could do - That is where and when TDM will come in, so we
should prepare for it now.
Individual TDM strategies can only affect a small portion of total travel, and their benefits
would appear modest with respect to any particular problem, however, overall impacts are
cumulative and have synergy. When all benefits and costs are considered, TDM programs
are the most cost effective way to improve travel condition for all and for the overall benefit
of the community. Key steps involved in the development and implementation of TDM
measures could be summarized as follows, and some of the commonly applied traffic
demand management measures practiced in the developed and developing countries are
listed in Table 8.5.3.
More funding for alternative modes, increased support for TDM programs, changes in land
use planning practices etc.
Improved walking and cyclcing facilities, improved bus and and public transit services,
more compact and mixed land use development, increased parking fees, road user
charges for peak periods, reduced transit fares.
Reduced traffic congestion, accrued revenue from and parking charges and road user
charges, accident reductions, energey conservation, pollution emission reductions,
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2) Project Components
The proposed feasibility study is to be conducted in the medium term timeframe. Its key
objectives are to prepare comprehensive TDM program for Lahore for next 20 years. The
project objectives are to review and develop various TDM options/ strategies in order to
improve the available transport options for travelers in Lahore under local conditions.
Some provide incentives to change trip time, route choice, mode selection, or even
alternative destination, while others reduce the need to travel at all through more efficient
land use practices. Most individual TDM strategies affect small portion of total travel; so
this study should develop a comprehensive TDM program of a number of measure to be
implemented collectively; which would have significant effects on travel behavior, and the
measureable social and environmental benefits. The TDM program should cover the
following;
Congestion Reduction
Reduces traffic congestion delays and associated travel costs
Road User Charges and Parking Fees
Increased revenue to support public transport costs
Consumer Savings (Vehicle Cost)
Consumers capital cost saving for not owning a car/ motorcycle
Transport Choice
Improved travel options, particularly for non-vehicle available group
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Road Safety
Reduced accidents, and less social cost due to fewer fatalities
Environmental Protection
Reduced air, and noise pollution, and better environmental
Efficient Land Use
Supports land use strategies, compact development requiring less green
filed sites and less urban sprawl, short trips.
Community Livability
Improved environment quality for the community as whole.
Economic Development
Supports community’s economic objectives, such as increased
productivity, employment, and increase property values, more equitable.
Physical Fitness and Health
More physical activities, through increased walking and cycling
This is assumed that TPU would have achieved technical capacity in transport planning,
and traffic management planning by the year 2015 to be able to implement such a project.
However, it is recommended that international consultant should be commissioned to work
with TPU staff for preparing this feasibility study due to its complex and advance scope of
multi-disciplinary traffic demand management tasks.
This project could be used as capacity building exercise, and selected transport planners
and traffic engineers should work as counterpart staff to the international consultant for
OJP. After, the study local staff should have enough training to improve, modify and
implement the TDM strategies in as the implementation starts in earnest. The tentative
project implementation schedule is outlined in Table 8.5.4.
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8.6.1 [R44 and R45] Shadbagh and Samanabad Areas – Secondary Roads
Development
1) Introduction
As discussed, road network hierarchy is essential for the overall road network
performance. This has been the essence of LUTMP 2030 Road Sub-sector development.
The road network hierarchy, particularly development of secondary and local road network
is non-existent in these two dense urban areas of Lahore. The result is total traffic chaos,
road blocks, bottlenecks due to encroachments or narrowing of roads, junction grid-lock
due to lack of proper priority junctions, or signalized junction control. These areas have
been given priority for the improvement of the road network, overall better traffic
conditions and social and environmental benefits, rather than just as simple high EIRR of
the projects.
Shadbagh and Samanabad areas are part of old Lahore area, and its community and the
urban fabric is a compact mix of land use and activities. Shadbagh area can be regarded
as land locked between Lahore Ring Road, G.T. Road, Ravi Link Road and the Pakistan
Railways in the east. The access to the area is limited, and has no links with the Trunk or
Primary road network. Traffic access to this area is mostly ‘Ek-Moria pull’ a four-lane
underpass to cross the railway track, with no channelization or area based traffic
circulation system in place. The numbers of railway crossings are limited, and have not
been increased in line with increase in population and commercial activity in the area
since 1947. Figure 8.6.1 illustrates the area, and the constraints to internal traffic
circulation and access issues.
Figure 8.6.1 Shadbagh Area Lack of Access and Issue of Internal Traffic Circulation
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Samanabad area has three main secondary roads Gulshan-e-Ravi, Bund Road East, and
Outfall Road which extends to Multan Road. There is lack of access from these major
trunk and primary roads, and the inter-connectivity of secondary roads is also limited. This
results in traffic convergence on to Multan Road and Ferozepur Road junctions to access
the area, which also has limited internal secondary road network for local distribution of
traffic from the external primary network. Figure 8.6.2 below illustrates these network
deficiencies in the Samanabad area.
Figure 8.6.2 Samanabad Area Lack of Internal Secondary Roads and External Linkages
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3) Project Components
Proposed secondary road network development is shown in Figure 8.6.3. The secondary
road network to be developed should either adopt the standards specified, in section 7.1.2
or due to local area land constraints may adopt the cross section outlined in Figure 8.6.4
and further illustrated in Figure 8.6.5. Bus bays should be designed and implemented by
giving proper access to pedestrians as shown in Figure 8.6.6. Whereas, street concept
designs for dense urban areas are depicted in Figures 8.6.7 and 8.6.8. These figures
show that how well designed urban streets can be environment friendly and can co-exist
with traffic, pedestrians, cyclists, and even at-grade public transit system.
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Figure 8.6.7 Urban Street Concept Design for Dense Populated Area
Figure 8.6.8 Urban Street Concept Design, Pedestrians, Cars, Buses and at-Grade LRT
Coexist, in Pleasant Urban Environment
TEPA should review each link improvement proposed in the project for its potential
improvement or new construction following the above cross sectional design guidelines.
Each secondary road link should be classified in to secondary, urban secondary or local
road. Urban secondary should be designed by giving more priority to pedestrians, cyclists
and community activities; whereas secondary roads would be prioritized for traffic. Local
street network should be similar to urban secondary roads, with additional provision for
access to adjacent facilities.
TEPA should do detailed study of all these proposed roads, and prepare their feasibility
study or studies for the approval of project from GoPb. TPU should be the project
monitoring authority, and would be responsible for further prioritisation of road sections
included in the two projects within the scope of the LUTMP 2030 overall project
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prioritization. The project is expected to take up rest of the decade, and should be
implemented in stages. Cost estimates for both projects are given in Chapter 7, Section
7.5, along with project evaluation results at macro level. A tentative schedule is given
below in Table 8.6.1
1) Introduction
LUTMP 2030, proposed and committed road sub-sector projects have been discussed in
Chapter 7, Section 7.1.2, and details are presented in Annex-1. The committed projects
included all on-going, planned, committed and proposed projects by the relevant
government departments and agencies, mostly by the C&W and LDA/ TEPA. The Study
also reviewed and included projects from other studies. In the past development of Lahore
transport infrastructure was guided by the 1991 Lahore master plan, prepared by JICA.
This was followed by the LDA Lahore 2021 master plan. Both of these master plans had
proposed extensive urban development in the south-west quadrant of Lahore. This urban
development was supported by road network.
The LDA 2021 master plan proposed road network is without hierarchy, and is not
supported by the corresponding travel demand analysis. It also does not take account of
the recent major transport infrastructure developments in the area, like LRR, RMTS along
Ferozepur Road. LUTMP 2030, after taking these factors into account has proposed major
road network developments in the south-west. Most of the proposed projects involve
upgrading of exiting local roads to primary or secondary standards, to support the trunk
road network of LRR, Ferozepur Road, Raiwind Road, Multan Road, and M-2 Motorway.
However, LDA/ TEPA required inclusion of some new secondary roads and upgrade of
existing road to secondary standards, based on the commitments from private sector to
develop the area in the near future. LUTMP 2030 is not rigid, and it is only a framework for
the development of transport infrastructure. Building of new secondary roads/ or
remodeling exiting roads to higher standards would be appropriate under the LUTMP
2030, provided the primary and truck road network could support such upgrades. The
LDA/ TEPA proposed upgrades/ re-modelling and new roads were reviewed, majority of
the proposed roads were already in the LUTMP 2030, but needed upgrades. Inclusion of
proposed new links was also reviewed; and those links which fully supported the network
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structure, hierarchy and enhanced connectivity have been included in LUTMP 2030. The
proposed upgrades and new roads under this project ‘R57’ are shown in the following
Figure 8.6.9.
2) Project Components
Road sub-sector project R57 total length is 93.6 km, and each of the eight (8) section
length is given below in Table 8.6.2. No project costing or evaluation has been carried out,
as the Project R57 is considered as committed, and would be supported by the private
sector developments in the area.
LDA/ TEPA would review each link its importance and contribution of the private sector
towards its implementation, only then it should be implemented. The project timeframe is
set as the LDA 2021 master plan, i.e. Completion by 2020.
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1) Implementation Schedule
All committed projects are scheduled for implementation in the short and medium term
similarly to the public transport projects. Proposed road projects for implementation during
the Action Plan period are mostly less expensive, requiring remodelling of existing roads
coupled with the proposed traffic management measures to improve the much needed
network efficiency.
Most of the committed and proposed projects are allocated for short and medium term.
This is due to the urgency and low-cost features of these projects.
2) Responsible Agency
Tables 8.7.4 to 8.7.6 show the responsibility allocation of project implementation among
existing government agencies for public transport, roads and traffic management projects
respectively. Note that this allocation assumes the present organizational/ institutional
setup. If this changes in the future, the responsibility goes automatically to the redefined
agency. However, Transport Department (TD) oversees and monitors implementation of
these projects.
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2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Project Project Cost Period
Project Description
No. (USD Million) (Year)
Committed Projects
Multimodal Inter-City Bus
PT001 C.1 - 2
Terminals in Lahore
Effective and Efficient School
PT002 C.2 0.01 2
Bus System
PT003 C.3 Up-gradation of Bus Stands - 2
PT004 C.4 Integrated Bus Operation 80.1 3
Establishment of Multimodal
PT005 C.5 - 4
Bus Terminal at Shahdara
LUTMP 2020 Proposed Projects
PT006 RMS1 LRMTS Green Line 2,583.0 5
PT007 RMS2 LRMTS Orange Line (as a BRT) 74.5 8
PT008 RMS3 LRMTS Blue Line (as a BRT) 58.6 8
PT009 BRT1 BRT Purple Line 40.8 3
PT010 BRT2 BRT Line 1 30.7 3
PT011 BRT3 BRT Line 2 30.5 3
PT012 BRT4 BRT Line 3a 28.7 3
PT013 BRT5 BRT Line 3b 35.3 3
Source: JICA Study Team
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Project Project Cost Period
Project Description
No. (USD Million) (Year)
Committed Projects
R01 Construction of LRR (Airport – Ferozepur Road) 113.0 3
R02 Construction of Kalma Chowk Flyover 17.5 3 Completed 2012
R03 Construction of Canal Bank Road Flyover 17.1 3
R04 Remodeling of Canal Bank Road 43.8 3 Completed 2012
R05 Remodeling of Barki Road (LRR – Green City) 2.0 3
R06 Remodeling of Kala Khatai Road 10.8 3
R07 Remodeling of Allama Iqbal Road 16.1 3
R08 Remodeling of Multan Road 46.4 3 Completed 2012
R09 Remodeling of Thokar Niaz Baig Road 4.8 3
R10 Remodeling of Lahore Ferozepur Road 17.5 3
LUTMP 2020 Proposed Projects
R11 Barki Road (Green City – BRB Canal) 17.0 3
R12 Bedian Road (DHA – LRR – Ferozepur Road) 142.0 5
Shabir Usmani Road
R13 6.9 3
(Barkat Market – Maulana Shaukat Ali Road)
R14 Link Peco Road – Ferozepur Road 6.7 3
Link Ferozepur Road - Nalay Wali Road
R15 (Completion of link between Ferozepur and 5.3 3
Multan Road)
R16 Old Ravi Bridge and Road (Bridge 0.5km) 5.3 3
G.T. Road
R17 6.3 3
(Cooper Store - Ek-Moria Pull)
College Road
R18 14.0 3
(Ghaus-e-Azam Road to Defence Road)
Structure Plan Road
R19 35.0 3
(Shahrah Nazria-e-Pakistan – Defence Road)
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2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Project Project Cost Period
Project Description
No. (USD Million) (Year)
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2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Project Project Cost Period
Project Description
No. (USD Million) (Year)
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Project Project Cost Period
Project Description
No. (USD Million) (Year)
Committed Projects
Establishment of Centralized Driver Licensing
TM01 N/A 3
Authority
TM02 Parking Management Company N/A 3
TM03 Traffic Education Center N/A 2
TM04 Traffic Control Plan of City N/A 3
TM05 Vehicle Inspection and Certification System (VICS) N/A 4
TM06 Construction of New Parking Plazas 207.1 6
TM07 Construction of Pedestrian Bridges 1.8 3
TM08 Improvement of 52 Junctions 30.5 7
TM09 Ferozepur Road Pilot Project 28.3 3
Conversion of Two Stroke Rickshaw into CNG
TM10 12.4 4
Fitted Four Stroke Rickshaw
TM11 Remodeling of Inner and Outer Circular Road 14.1 3
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2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Project Project Cost Period
Project Description
No. (USD Million) (Year)
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Assumed
Cost Proposed Responsible
Project No. Project Description Year in
(USD Million) by: Agency
Operation
Lahore-Sheikhupura Road
R53 22.9 2027 LUTMP C&W
(Saggian Walla Bypass – G.T. Road)
Sagianwala Bypass Road
R54 (Ring Road – Sharaqpur Road) 25.0 2022 C&W C&W
(Bridge 0.6km)
Lahore-Sheikhupura Road (West)
R56 (Sharaqpur Road – Lahore-Sheikhupura 2.2 2022 C&W C&W
Road)
Link Thokar Niaz Baig Canal Bank Road –
2012
R57 Ferozepur Road
N/A To LDA/ TEPA LDA/ TEPA
(Optional) (Khyaban-e-Jinnah Road – Defence Road
2020
– Ferozepur Road)
Source: JICA Study Team
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Assumed
Project Cost Proposed Responsible
Project Year in
No. (USD Million) by: Agency
Operation
TM25 D.2 Parking Facilities Implementation 60.0 2024 LUTMP TEPA
TM27 D.3 Park and Ride Facilities Development 3.0 2015 LUTMP Traffic Police
E.1 Traffic Enforcement Strengthening
TM28 6.0 2015 LUTMP TEPA
Programme
Traffic Police and
TM29 F.1 Traffic Calming 1.0 2018 LUTMP
1122
TM31 F.2 Traffic Safety Education Improvement 1.5 2017 LUTMP TEPA
Source: JICA Study Team
Table 8.7.7 shows investment summary of LUTMP for the Action Plan period. Public
transport projects share about 75% of the total, while road and traffic management share
17 % and 8 %, respectively.
The budget envelope estimated in Chapter 5 of this report is USD 2.3~6.9 billion for the
Action Plan period (2011 to 2020). The planned investment falls in this range. However,
the percentage of the investment to Lahore’s GDP is on the high side at 2.6 % for the
action plan period. This is about 3 times of the current level of investment. Private sector
finance should be sought for these projects and measures to raise government revenue
should be taken. However, level of the proposed investment on transport infrastructure is
not considered too high. In Thailand, during the high-growth period, this investment level
reached 7-8 % of the GDP.
Possible reduction of public investment has been estimated assuming PPP scheme on
the proposed RMTS/ BRT projects. This was done assuming a percentage of contribution
from the private sector as shown in Table 8.7.8. The reduction was estimated at about
USD 751.5 million equivalent to 26% of the total investment. Although investment amount
is small compared to RMTS, BRT seems to be hopeful to curtail the cost to the
government by attracting private funding or some form of PPP for the proposed public
transport projects.
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Table 8.7.8 Cost Reduction by Applying PPP Scheme to RMTS/ BRT Projects
Project Cost
Project EIRR FIRR Private Cost to Gov’t
Project Description (USD
No. (%) (%) Sector (%) (USD million)
million)
PT06 RMTS Green Line 2,583.0 12.1 7.1 20 2,066.4
PT07 Orange Line (as a BRT) 74.5 18.8 21.0 100 0.0
PT08 Blue Line (as a BRT) 58.6 16.7 17.9 80 11.7
PT09 BRT Purple Line 40.8 15.5 16.1 50 20.4
PT10 BRT Line 1 30.7 37.6 24.9 100 0.0
PT11 BRT Line 2 30.5 43.6 26.5 100 0.0
PT12 BRT Line 3a 28.7 50 14.4
20.4 16.3
PT13 BRT Line 3b 35.3 50 17.7
Total 2,882.1 26.1 2130.5
Source: JICA Study Team
This should be taken into account to implement RTMS in Lahore. RTMS projects are
economically feasible in general, while financial viability is low and its financing becomes a
critical issue.
(a) Property Assessment Taxes: In addition to land taxes, many cities also impose
property assessment taxes. These taxes constitute a major portion of the revenue of
cities. For example in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, it constitutes 62 % of the operating
revenue of the city. Property assessments are based on the annual rental value of a
property. Differential assessment rates are determined based on the type of property,
e.g. residential, industrial, commercial, vacant land, utility or government land.
Assessments are collected twice a year by the city from all property owners in the city.
Key to establishing such a system in Lahore will depend on establishing a
comprehensive valuation list of all properties in the city.
(b) Betterment Charges: Betterment charges are imposed to compensate for the
improved value that is accrued to the property owners as a result of constructing a
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public facility, such as railway stations, access roads and drainage facility in the area.
The landowners who benefit from the facility will be required to pay a betterment
charge to the city. However, for this to be effective an equitable formula for
determining betterment charges has to be derived that would be acceptable to the
affected community. For example, landowners who gain access to a newly
constructed urban railway could be assessed proportionately to also pay a part of the
compensation cost for the removed houses. Similarly, landowners who lose a portion
of their land to railway construction projects should be compensated only after taking
into account the improved land value of the remaining portion of their land. The
introduction of land development techniques, such as land readjustment, where
betterment values are equitably incorporated in the land re-plotting exercise is an
effective method of practically applying these charges.
(c) Development Charges: Development charges are applied as an urban planning tax
that is imposed on the developer at the time of applying for development permission
from LDA. Development charges constitute about 6% of the operating revenue in the
case of Kuala Lumpur. The development charge includes payment for the improved
value of land as a result of rezoning or increased densities given to the landowner as a
result of revisions / amendments to the authorized plan. Development charges are
also collected by the city as in lieu payments for the non-provision of facilities, such as
car parking areas and school sites, as required under the planning standards. The
funds are used by the city to provide the necessary facilities in a coordinated manner.
Although application of these initiatives needs careful examination before these are
implemented, the revenue potential is huge, presumably at an order of several tens of
billion rupees. It is recommended for GoPb to investigate the possibility in relation to LDA’s
land use rules and regulations.
A large scale institutional reform plan was suggested in this Master Plan, aiming at
integration of transport-related organizations into self-sustainable agencies. It may
take a time to reach a consensus for the reform. As an action plan, establishment of a
preparatory committee for the reform is strongly recommended. This committee shall
be an inter-departmental one, operated under the initiatives of the Transport
Department.
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Volume-I – Annex-I
FINAL REPORT
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ANNEX I – LUTMP PROPOSED ROAD SUB-SECTOR PROJECTS
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