Kimco Realty Corporation: October 06, 2018 Kim - KIM
Kimco Realty Corporation: October 06, 2018 Kim - KIM
Kimco Realty Corporation: October 06, 2018 Kim - KIM
GICS Sector Real Estate Summary This real estate investment trust (REIT) is one of the largest U.S. owners and operators of
Sub-Industry Retail REITs neighborhood and community shopping centers.
Key Stock Statistics (Source: CFRA, S&P Global Market Intelligence (SPGMI), Company Reports)
52-Wk Range $19.79 - 13.16 Oper. FFO/Sh.2018E 1.44 Market Capitalization(B) $6.633 Beta 0.36
Trailing 12-Month FFO/Share 1.55 Oper. FFO/Sh.2019E 1.50 Yield (%) 7.05 3-Yr FFO/Sh. Proj. CAGR(%) 5
Trailing 12-Month P/FFO 10.17 P/FFO on FFO/Sh.2018E 10.93 Dividend Rate/Share $1.12 SPGMI's Quality Ranking B+
$10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago $10,269 Common Shares Outstg.(M) 421.38 Institutional Ownership (%) 88
Price Performance Analyst's Risk Assessment
30-Week Mov. Avg. 10-Week Mov. Avg. GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year Volume Above Avg. STARS LOW MEDIUM HIGH
12-Mo. Target Price Up Down No Change Below Avg.
Our risk assessment reflects KIM's strong fundamentals,
healthy credit quality and diversified customer base. This
is partly offset by a shift in retailer demand amid a more
difficult retail environment.
Revenue/Earnings Data
Revenue (Million $)
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year
2018 304 293 -- -- --
2017 294 297 295 315 1,201
2016 297 291 285 297 1,171
2015 285 295 289 301 1,167
2014 230 246 256 265 997
2013 223 214 222 206 866
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2018 CFRA. This document is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment
objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek independent financial advice regarding the suitability and/or appropriateness of making an
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investments, if any, may fluctuate and that the value of such investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than they originally invested. Investors should seek advice concerning any impact this
investment may have on their personal tax position from their own tax advisor. Please note the publication date of this document. It may contain specific information that is no longer current and should not be used to make an
investment decision. Unless otherwise indicated, there is no intention to update this document.
1
Stock Report | October 06, 2018 | NYSE Symbol: KIM | KIM is in the S&P 500
Kimco Realty Corporation
Business Summary August 30, 2018 Corporate Information
CORPORATE OVERVIEW. Kimco Realty specializes in the acquisition, development and management of Investor Contact
open air shopping centers. The Company began operations through its predecessor, The Kimco G. G. Cohen (516-869-9000)
Corporation, which was organized in 1966. KIM completed its initial public offering in 1991 and became a
Office
REIT in 1992.
3333 New Hyde Park Road, Suite 100, New Hyde Park,
REAL ESTATE PORTFOLIO. KIM has ownership interest in 493 shopping center properties, aggregating 83.2 New York 11042
million square feet of gross leasable area (GLA) located in 29 states, Puerto Rico and Canada. In addition,
KIM has interest 372 other properties through its preferred equity investments, totaling 5.8 million square Telephone
feet of GLA. KIM's properties are geographically diversified with the largest concentrations in New 516-869-9000
York-New Jersey (13% of rents), Baltimore (6%), Washington D.C. Metro (6%), Philadelphia (5%), Los
Angeles (5%) and Miami (5%). KIM's portfolio is largely coastal with the exception of stores in Chicago, Fax
Denver and parts of the Southwest. 516-869-9001
MARKET PROFILE. KIM's portfolio is located in relatively affluent and growing metropolitan markets; Website
approximately 80% of rents comes from properties in major metropolitan markets. The Company has www.kimcorealty.com
focused its portfolio tenant mix on "everyday living" rather than specialty stores or luxury items, which we
think will make KIM more resilient in a downturn as well as against the rise of e-commerce. Approximately Officers
75% of annual base rent (ABR) is derived from shopping centers with grocery anchors. We prefer grocery
Executive VP, CFO & CEO & Director
anchors over other types as we see them as insulated from online shopping as well as providing daily
traffic that will shop at other stores in the shopping center. Other internet resistant tenants include Treasurer C. C. Flynn
restaurants, services and entertainment. G. G. Cohen President & Chief
FINANCIAL TRENDS. KIM's revenue has dramatically slowed over the past couple of years due to Executive Chairman Investment Officer
dispositions of lower performing properties, which we think is the right choice to improve portfolio M. Cooper R. Cooper
profitability. Net operating income and occupancy also suffered during the recent retail environment VP & Chief Accounting Executive VP & COO
turmoil. However, as retailers have stabilized so has KIM's portfolio with occupancy improving from less Officer D. Jamieson
than 94% in 2013 to 96% by Q2 2018 and leasing spreads now reaching into the low teens.
P. Westbrook
KIM's balance sheet is also relatively stronger compared to peers, with a net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio Executive VP, General
of 5.7X on a consolidated basis and a fixed charge coverage ratio of 3.3X as of Q2 2018. Credit rating Counsel & Secretary
agencies Fitch and Moody's rate KIM a BBB+ and Moody's Baa1. We also like that KIM has taken advantage
B. M. Rubenstein
of the favorable corporate debt market to extend its weighted average maturity to 10.5 years, well above
the typical peer length of 6-7 years, with an average interest rate of 3.8%. Board Members
C. C. Flynn M. H. Preusse
C. M. Nicholas P. E. Coviello
F. Lourenso R. B. Saltzman
J. Grills R. G. Dooley
M. Cooper V. Richardson
Domicile Auditor
Maryland PricewaterhouseCoopers
LLP
Founded
1966
Employees
546
Stockholders
2,162
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Stock Report | October 06, 2018 | NYSE Symbol: KIM | KIM is in the S&P 500
Kimco Realty Corporation
Quantitative Evaluations Expanded Ratio Analysis
Per Share Data ($) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Tangible Book Value 12.02 11.67 11.38 10.93 10.82 11.26 11.13 11.75 11.96 14.69
Earnings 0.87 0.79 2.00 0.76 0.55 0.18 0.17 0.12 -0.14 0.68
Earnings (Normalized) 0.51 0.65 1.09 0.49 0.48 0.26 0.23 0.20 0.19 0.74
FFO 1.55 1.32 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Dividends 1.09 1.03 0.97 0.92 0.85 0.78 0.73 0.66 0.72 1.68
Payout Ratio (%) 119 125 51 101 169 144 209 215 NM 167
Prices: High 26.16 32.24 28.54 26.04 25.09 21.16 20.31 18.41 20.90 47.80
Prices: Low 17.02 24.35 22.07 19.61 19.22 16.21 13.55 12.40 6.33 9.56
P/FFO Ratio: High 16.9 24.3 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
P/FFO Ratio: Low 11.0 18.4 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data may be preliminary or restated; before results of discontinued operations/special items. Per share data adjusted for stock dividends; EPS diluted.
E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under Review.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without prior written permission. Copyright © 2018 CFRA. 3
Stock Report | October 06, 2018 | NYSE Symbol: KIM | KIM is in the S&P 500
Kimco Realty Corporation
Sub-Industry Outlook Industry Performance
We have a neutral fundamental outlook on the S&P Within the broader retail property space there GICS Sector: Real Estate
Retail REITs sub-industry, which was down 3. are a handful of different store/center Based on S&P 1500 Indexes
0% year-to-date through September 28, compared configurations and types. We think enclosed Five-Year market price performance through Oct 06, 2018
to the S&P Real Estate Sector down 0.7% and shopping malls will continue to face
the S&P 1500 index up 8.9%. We think challenges as most of their tenants are
headline-grabbing retailer bankruptcies, such apparel retailers grappling with the rise of
as Toys 'R Us, continue to weigh on the sector online shopping and changing consumer
and sentiment, but believe there will be fewer tastes. However, within this space we see
store closures in 2018 compared to 2017. As malls with valuable “Class A” properties in
of the end of August, there have been nearly prime locations as faring better due to
4,500 announced retail store closures, which continued demand and pricing leverage. We
is tracking slightly behind 2017's total store also see an opportunity for higher class
closure count of nearly 7,100. Nevertheless, shopping malls to recapture poorly performing
we remain neutral as we observe how retailers anchor stores, sub-divide them and re-lease
and the retail REITs adopt to new consumer to higher paying and more diverse tenants.
tastes and shopping habits.
We expect grocery-anchored shopping centers
The Retail REITs in the SNL Financial and single-tenant REITs to perform better due
universe traded at an average discount of 8.8% to Internet-resistant businesses that sell daily
to net-asset-value (NAV) as of September 28, essentials. Most single-tenant REITs have a
2018, versus a 4.4% discount for the broader triple net lease structure where the tenants
SNL U.S. REIT index. CFRA thinks pay rent and the majority of operating
price-to-NAV is a key valuation metric for expenses for the property including taxes,
REITs; NAV is calculated as the net "market utilities and maintenance. We see REITs with
value" of a REIT's assets after subtracting all value-oriented tenants, such as off-price and
liabilities and obligations. The SNL Retail discount retailers, as faring better due to the
REITs index is valued at a price-to-FFO tenants' ability to more effectively compete on
multiple of 15.5X, a discount compared to U. price against online retailers.
S. equity REITs trading at 18.1X as of
We also expect retail REITs with properties
September 28, 2018. Although Retail REITs
located in dense urban areas to perform
have historically traded in line with the total
relatively better due to constraints in supply as
U.S. REIT index, the current discount may be
well as a relatively more affluent customer NOTE: A sector chart appears when the sub-industry does
warranted due to ongoing retailer challenges.
base. However, even with superior real estate not have sufficient historical index data.
Retail REITs showed a 1.5% year-over-year locations, these REITs will need to increase All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on the
decline in FFO in the second quarter of 2018, capital expenditures to redevelop and Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS).
compared to 7.6% growth for the broad SNL U. reposition properties to adapt to the shifting Past performance is not an indication of future performance
S. REIT index. This compares to 0.2% growth retailer trends. We expect to see more smaller and should not be relied upon as such.
for Retail REITS and in the second quarter of store formats and a move to mixed use Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence
2017. FFO (funds from operations) is the most properties that could include hotels,
commonly reported measure of REIT operating residential units or offices.
performance and is equal to a REIT’s
/Chris Kuiper, CFA
net income, excluding gains or losses from sales
of property, plus real estate depreciation.
Kimco Realty Corporation KIM NYSE USD 15.88 6,633 -7.8 -17.7 15 16.75 7.1 8.0 49.7
British Land Company Plc BRLA.F OTCPK USD 7.650 7,470 -5.4 -4.0 12 NA Nil 5.3 25.2
Brixmor Property Group Inc. BRX NYSE USD 15.96 4,857 -12.2 -14.9 16 15.20 6.9 10.3 66.1
Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT NYSE USD 122.72 9,021 -5.7 -2.7 32 103.11 3.3 12.5 55.2
Japan Retail Fund Investment Corporation JNRF.Y OTCPK USD 17.72 4,642 -2.5 -2.4 22 NA Nil 5.6 41.0
Macerich Company MAC NYSE USD 51.80 7,315 -9.6 -9.3 NM 39.25 5.7 3.9 56.6
National Retail Properties, Inc. NNN NYSE USD 43.93 6,875 -4.4 4.1 25 42.52 4.6 6.8 40.2
RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust RIOC.F OTCPK USD 18.56 5,895 -2.6 -6.0 12 18.76 6.0 8.8 40.5
Spirit Realty Capital, Inc. SRC NYSE USD 7.740 3,317 -8.1 -9.2 43 6.340 6.5 2.2 52.3
Taubman Centers, Inc. TCO NYSE USD 55.39 3,379 -13.1 7.8 58 48.39 4.7 NM 104.2
Weingarten Realty Investors WRI NYSE USD 28.38 3,632 -7.6 -11.4 8 33.60 5.6 19.9 52.9
*For Peer Groups with more than 10 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.
NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful.
Note: Peers are selected based on Global Industry Classification Standards and market capitalization. The peer group list includes companies with similar characteristics, but may not include all the companies within the same
industry and/or that engage in the same line of business.
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Stock Report | October 06, 2018 | NYSE Symbol: KIM | KIM is in the S&P 500
Kimco Realty Corporation
Analyst Research Notes and other Company News
Note: Research notes reflect CFRA's published opinions and analysis on the stock at the time the note was published. The note reflects the views of the equity analyst as of the date and time
indicated in the note, and may not reflect CFRA's current view on the company.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without prior written permission. Copyright © 2018 CFRA. 5
Stock Report | October 06, 2018 | NYSE Symbol: KIM | KIM is in the S&P 500
Kimco Realty Corporation
Analysts' Recommendations Wall Street Consensus Opinion
Monthly Average Trend Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell KIM Ticker HOLD
B BH H WH S
For fiscal year 2018, analysts estimate that KIM will earn
USD $0.64. For the 2nd quarter of fiscal year 2018, KIM
announced earnings per share of USD $0.36, representing
56.3% of the total revenue estimate. For fiscal year 2019,
analysts estimate that KIM's earnings per share will
decline by 12% to USD $0.56.
Fiscal Years Avg Est. High Est Low Est. # of Est. Est. P/E
2019 0.56 0.60 0.52 2 28.4
2018 0.64 0.64 0.64 1 24.8
2019 vs. 2018 -12% -6% -19% 100% 15%
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Stock Report | October 06, 2018 | NYSE Symbol: KIM | KIM is in the S&P 500
Kimco Realty Corporation
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Stock Report | October 06, 2018 | NYSE Symbol: KIM | KIM is in the S&P 500
Kimco Realty Corporation
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Stock Report | October 06, 2018 | NYSE Symbol: KIM | KIM is in the S&P 500
Kimco Realty Corporation
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