Censure’s Summoing Method

We have all heard people state suspicions regarding good or bad streaks in the E&P
RNG. This method of performing summons is based on the ​Presumed​streakiness of said RNG
in game. Without that presumption this method holds no validity and mathematically makes no
sense, but it has worked for me on both of my accounts for 10 months now. I shared my
thoughts regarding this method with some friends and then publicly when the results appeared
to be reproducible, which is really the bar you must hurdle to provide any validity to the Theory.

Testing for streakiness in the RNG

Obviously, the whole idea regarding this method is to not spend more money than you
must in order to get heroes you can use. If you were to pay for summons to test the RNG, you’d
end up spending a lot more money, therefore I use the daily tokens provided in game to test
whether it is worth using an EHT (Epic Hero Token), ATS (Atlantis token summons), ETS (Event
token summons). By using free summons to test the game RNG, you drastically reduce the
money spent before you commit to paying for a 10x Event or Atlantis summons. You also
theoretically increase the odds of getting an event hero or HoTM (Hero of the Month.)
Remember, this method is based on ​Presumed​streakiness in the RNG of the game. I
save Daily tokens and use them ​Only​for this method. I usually have between 50 and 70 daily
summons tokens on either of my accounts at all times. They are really not that difficult to
Accumulate. Hoarder Extraordinaire Boarasaurus has over 1000 of these tokens. You have to
keep in mind that​​rolls are rolls​. This means that when you get an amazing Elemental chest
result or Titan chest result, it may be worth trying a free event/Atlantis summons to see how it
turns out. Those results would have to be pretty good to warrant trying a free Event/Atlantis
summons. You only get so many of those and want to save them for testing RNG when the time
is right.

How do I test the RNG for Streakiness?

First we have to look at the odds for getting a result that may indicate the RNG is
streaking high. For DST (Daily Summons Tokens), the odds of getting a common troop are
listed as ​16%​. The odds of getting an uncommon troop is listed as ​15.7%​. The odds of getting a
Rare Hero are listed as ​3.3%​and the odds of getting a Rare troop are listed as ​1.7%​.
Knowing that you now need to decide what you would use to consider the RNG
streaking high. If you use Uncommon troop and above the total percentage for that is:
 Common troop = 16%
Uncommon troop = 15.7%
Rare Hero = 3.3%
Rare Troop = 1.7%

15.7+16+3.3+1.7= ​36.7%

For Atlantis summons that’s high enough percentage to state that RNG is streaking high
and to try a free Atlantis summons. For Seasonal Events, I generally use only 2* troop
(Uncommon) and above so that’s
15.7%+3.3%+1.7%= ​20.7%

Now let’s compare that percentage to the chance of getting an Event or Atlantis hero. The
chance of getting an Atlantis hero of any kind is:
3* Atlantis hero = 51.4%
4* Atlantis Hero = 14.6%
5* Featured Atlantis Hero = 1.3%
5* Hero of the Month = 1.3%
5* Non-Featured Atlantis Hero = 0.3%

Total chance of getting 3* and up Atlantis or 5* HoTM = ​68.9%

You could also set the bar at 4* or above Atlantis hero and that percentage would be
17.5%​to get a 4* or above Atlantis Hero.

For Events like the Winter Seasonal Event, the odds are:
3* Seasonal Hero = 8%
4* Seasonal Hero = 3.2%
5* Seasonal Hero = 0.6*
5* Legendary Classic hero = 0.9%
5* Hero of the Month = 1.3%
For a total of ​14%​chance of getting any Seasonal Event hero. Legendary Classic Hero or the
HoTM.

As you can see the bar is really high for Seasonal events with only an 11.8% chance of
getting any Seasonal event hero and 2.2% chance of either Legendary Classic or Legendary
HoTM. This really helps you understand why Santa and Mother North are so difficult to get.
I strongly discourage performing any summons other than Event or Atlantis summons.
Performing Elemental or Epic hero summons will end up with you receiving a ton of duplicate
Legendary classic heroes many of which will never be advanced. I’d much rather receive a
Legendary 5* hero as a consolation prize for missing Event heroes or HoTM instead of
spending good money for a Classic hero summons where you have ​ZERO​chance of getting an
event or Atlantis hero.
You can also receive Legendary Classic heroes just by keeping your TC 20 stocked up
and running. I have been playing for about 2.7 years now and have at least 5 of every classic
5* hero. That being said, you can understand that there is a lot of swearing involved when I get
A Classic 5* during an event or Atlantis summons. The Percentages are different for the
Regular Monthly events such as Avalon, Guardians etc.
Any 1* or 2* classic hero with the Daily token is a stopper. This means you stop. Yes, its
difficult to stop sometimes because we all want the great heroes, but that will only end up
costing you more money or wasting your free tokens if you continue.

The Process

I will use Atlantis summons for the example of how I do this.

Step 1:​Use a free Daily token. If that results in a 1* or 2* troop ​or above,​ then proceed
to step 2. If you receive a 1* or 2* classic hero, then ​STOP!

Step 2:​Use a free Daily token. If you receive any 1* or 2* Hero, then ​STOP!​If that
results in a 2* troop​or above,​ then proceed to step 3. If it results in a second 1* troop, repeat
step 2. I generally do not repeat step 2 more than twice. If I have not received a 2* troop by that
time, I ​STOP!

Step 3:​ Use a Free Atlantis summons. If you receive ANY Atlantis hero, then proceed to
Step 4. If you receive Any S1 3* hero, then ​STOP! ​Receiving a 4* or above S1 hero is dicey.
Sometimes I’ll do a second Free Atlantis summons, especially if it is getting close to the close of
the event. Experience has taught me that this generally does not turn out well. When I do this, I
always only continue if I get an Atlantis hero of some kind or a 5* Classic Hero. Anything other
than that on the second go around is a reason to ​STOP!

Step 4:​Proceed with a 10x summons. If you get your desired 5* hero, then you may
stop. I also stop if I get a HoTM, but that’s just me. If you receive 5 or more Atlantis heroes of
any kind mixed with 1 or more 4* Classic heroes or above, then feel free to repeat step 4. Keep
in mind: ​NEVER​exceed two 10x summons.

As you can see, steps 1 through 3 use only free summons. The only step that costs you
anything is step 4. In this way you can really prevent a lot of spending when the RNG is trending
low. There should be no 10x Dawa summons and that is at least some comfort if you miss on
your 5* event/Atlantis hero. I generally check RNG about twice a day unless something strange
happens like Multiple 4* rolls in Titan Treasure, Mystic vision, Elemental chest, etc.

Conclusion

I guess that's basically it in a nutshell. It has worked for me for about 10 months now and
I have actually received multiple HoTM or Event heroes with just the free single summons not
having to proceed to the 10x summons. In that time, I’ve never missed getting the HoTM on
both accounts.
I started passing it along to friends about 5 months ago to others and then publicly. So,
either Get out your tinfoil hat and join the parade or watch and laugh. It should not work
mathematically, but it does for me. I certainly hope that it works for you as well.