Book 1

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PROBLEM 2

Answer :

Part 1 0.96
Part 2 0.96
Part 3 0.99
Part 4 0.99
Reliability 0.9033

PROBLEM 5

Answer :
a. Module 1 0.97
Module 2 0.97
Module 3 0.99
0.9315

b. 0.9315 + 0.0685 x 0.9315 =

c. 0.9315 + 0.0685 x 0.98 x

PROBLEM 7

Answer :

a. Which plan will provide the higher reliability?


Reliability 0.99 Plan 1 0.884
0.96
0.93 Plan 2 0.99
0.883872 0.96
0.93

Plan 2 is better (.9934 > .9865)

b. Explain why the two reliabilities are not the same.


Answer : With plan 1 the system will fail if any one original and any backup fail
With plan 2 the system fail only if a component and its backup fail.

c. What other factors might enter into the decision of which plans to adopt?
Answer : Space for a line versus space for individual backups, ease of shifting to back
when needed, possible cost differences.
PROBLEM 19 :

Answer : Availability = MTBF


MTBF + MTR

a. MTBF = 40 Days, average repair time = 3 days

Availability = 40 = 0.93
40 + 3

b. MTBF = 300 Hours, average repair time = 6 hours

Availability = 300 = 0.98


300 + 6
0.9953

0.9315 = 0.99403

+ 0.116 x 0.884 = 0.9865

+ 0.01 x 0.99 = 0.9999


+ 0.04 x 0.96 = 0.9984
+ 0.07 x 0.93 = 0.9951
0.9934
Plan 2 is better (.9934 > .9865)

original and any backup fail


ponent and its backup fail.

plans to adopt?
al backups, ease of shifting to backups
PROLEM 12

Answer : MTBF = 30 MONTHS


a. T T/MTBF e-TMBTF (Table 4S.1)
1 39 1.3 .2725
2 48 1.6 .2019
3 60 2 .1353

b. T T/MTBF e-T MBTF (Table 4S.1) 1


1 33 1.1 0.3329 0.6671
2 15 0.5 0.6065 0.3935
3 6 0.2 0.8187 0.1813

c.

PROBLEM 14

a. At least 24,000 hours


b. No longer than 4,000 hours
c. Between 4,000 hours and 24,000
Answer :
MTBF T T/MTBF e-T/MTBF (Table 4S.1 1-e-T/MBTF
a. 20000 24000 1.2 0.3021 0.6979
b. 4000 0.2 0.8187 0.1813

c. T e-T/MBTF-e-T/MBTF HASIL
4000 0.8187 0.5175
24000 0.3012

PROBLEM 16 :

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