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    Cammack/WPAi CD 3 Republican Primary Poll

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    Andrew Wilson
    The survey found that in a hypothetical Republican primary election held today, candidates Cammack and Sapp would be statistically tied with 12% and 10% of the vote respectively, while 60% of voters remain undecided. Cammack has higher favorability than Sapp among self-identified Trump Republicans and has a 14% favorability overall. 88% of Republican primary voters approve of President Trump's job performance.

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    Cammack/WPAi CD 3 Republican Primary Poll

    Uploaded by

    Andrew Wilson
    3K views2 pages
    The survey found that in a hypothetical Republican primary election held today, candidates Cammack and Sapp would be statistically tied with 12% and 10% of the vote respectively, while 60% of voters remain undecided. Cammack has higher favorability than Sapp among self-identified Trump Republicans and has a 14% favorability overall. 88% of Republican primary voters approve of President Trump's job performance.

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    Florida CD 3 Republican Primary Poll

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    The survey found that in a hypothetical Republican primary election held today, candidates Cammack and Sapp would be statistically tied with 12% and 10% of the vote respectively, while 60% of voters remain undecided. Cammack has higher favorability than Sapp among self-identified Trump Republicans and has a 14% favorability overall. 88% of Republican primary voters approve of President Trump's job performance.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    3K views2 pages

    Cammack/WPAi CD 3 Republican Primary Poll

    Uploaded by

    Andrew Wilson
    The survey found that in a hypothetical Republican primary election held today, candidates Cammack and Sapp would be statistically tied with 12% and 10% of the vote respectively, while 60% of voters remain undecided. Cammack has higher favorability than Sapp among self-identified Trump Republicans and has a 14% favorability overall. 88% of Republican primary voters approve of President Trump's job performance.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 2

    TO: INTERESTED PARTIES

    FROM: KAT FOR CONGRESS, WPAi


    SUBJECT: REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS IN FLORIDA’S THIRD DISTRICT - SURVEY FINDINGS
    DATE: JUNE 18, 2020

    The following memorandum details key findings from a survey conducted on behalf of the Kat for
    Congress Campaign. This data was collected on June 16 – 17, 2020. This study has a sample size of
    n=405 Republican primary voters with a margin of error of +4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases.

    Cammack and Sapp Statistically Tied If the Election Were Held Today

    • If the primary election for U.S. congress were held today, Cammack and Sapp would be in a
    statistically dead heat, with 12% of Republican primary voters supporting Sapp and 10%
    supporting Cammack. Six in ten Republican primary voters (60%) remain undecided.

    • Self-identified Trump Republicans favor Cammack (15%) over Sapp (12%).

    FL-03 Republican Primary Ballot


    100%
    90%
    80%
    70% 60%
    60%
    50%
    40%
    30%
    20% 10% 12%
    10% 4% 5% 5%
    1% 1% 1%
    0%

    Cammack Sapp Saint George Chamberlin Chase Rollins Pope Wells Someone Else Unsure

    Cammack Viewed Favorably in The District

    • Kat Cammack is known by over a third of Republican primary voters (36%) and is viewed favorably
    by 14%.

    • Kat has 18% favorability among primary voters who have voted in 4 of the last 4 primary elections.

    • Repeat-candidate Judson Sapp is viewed favorably by 20% of Republican primary voters.


    © 2020 WPA Intelligence
    Do not copy or distribute without permission

    Republicans Approve of President Trump

    • Overall, more than four-in-five (88%) Republican primary voters approve of the job Donald Trump
    is doing as President. Trump has nearly universal support (98%) among self-identified Trump
    Republicans and very conservative voters (97%).

    Methodology

    WPA Intelligence conducted a study of Republican primary voters in Florida’s Third Congressional
    District.

    WPAi selected a random sample of registered voters from the Florida voter file using Proportional
    Probability of Size Sampling (PPS). The sample for this survey was stratified based on geography, age,
    and gender. This methodology allows us to avoid post-survey “weighting” which can reduce the
    reliability of survey results.

    Respondents were contacted by mobile phone via a live telephone operator interview and Interactive
    Voice Response Survey (IVR) to landline only households on June 16-17, 2020. The study has a sample
    size of n=405 Republican primary voters with a margin of error of ±4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases.

    About WPAi

    Since 1998, WPA Intelligence has been a leading provider of survey research, predictive analytics and
    technology for corporations, educational institutions, public affairs programs, non-profits and
    campaigns from President to Governor, U.S. Senate, and local elections in all 50 states and multiple
    foreign countries. In the 2017-2018 cycle, WPAi’s polling and data plotted the course for multiple
    winning Senate, Governor’s races and House campaigns.

    WPAi’s data and analytics continue to lead the industry. In the 2016 Republican primary for president,
    arguably the most unprecedented presidential contest by way of turnout and political environment
    volatility, WPAi accurately projected turnout and the ballot score in 42 states through the use of
    advanced, predictive analytics. In 2018 our predictive analytics tools were a key element of the RNC
    Voter Scores program and predicted the margins in numerous races with unmatched accuracy.

    WPAi has been recognized as the industry leader for providing cutting edge intelligence to help our
    clients win. The American Association of Political Consultants (AAPC) awarded WPAi “Pollies” for our
    Predictive Analytics and Adaptive Sampling techniques, our groundbreaking data-focused social media
    application, and for best use of analytics. In addition, WPAi has received four “Reed Awards” for most
    expansive optimized field Program in GOP politics, best use of data analytics/machine learning, best
    data analytics solution, and best use of online targeting.

    Confidential Page 2 of 2 6/18/20

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