Nato Standard AJP-5 Allied Joint Doctrine For The Planning of Operations

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NATO STANDARD

AJP-5

ALLIED JOINT DOCTRINE


FOR THE PLANNING OF OPERATIONS
Edition A Version 2

MAY 2019

NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY ORGANIZATION

ALLIED JOINT PUBLICATION


Published by the
NATO STANDARDIZATION OFFICE (NSO)
© NATO/OTAN
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NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY ORGANIZATION (NATO)

NATO STANDARDIZATION OFFICE (NSO)

NATO LETTER OF PROMULGATION

24 May 2019

1. The enclosed Allied Joint Publication AJP-5, Edition A, Version 2, ALLIED JOINT
DOCTRINE FOR THE PLANNING OF OPERATIONS, which has been approved by the
nations in the Military Committee Joint Standardization Board, is promulgated herewith. The
agreement of nations to use this publication is recorded in STANAG 2526.

2. AJP-5, Edition A, Version 2, is effective upon receipt and supersedes AJP-5,


Edition A, Version 1, which shall be destroyed in accordance with the local procedures for
the destruction of documents.

3. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, used


commercially, adapted, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical,
photo-copying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publisher. With the
exception of commercial sales, this does not apply to member or partner nations, or NATO
commands and bodies.

4. This publication shall be handled in accordance with C-M(2002)60.

Bri adler neral, HUN (AF)


Director, NATO Standardization Office
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AJP-5

Allied Joint Publication-5

Allied Joint Doctrine for the Planning of Operations

Allied Joint Publication-5 (AJP-5), dated May 2019,


is promulgated as directed by the Chiefs of Staff

Director Concepts and Doctrine

Conditions of release

This publication is UK Ministry of Defence Crown copyright. Material and


information contained in this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval
system and transmitted for UK Government and MOD use only, except where
authority for use by other organisations or individuals has been authorised by a
Patent Officer of the Defence Intellectual Property Rights

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter 1 – Planning overview ....................................................................................... 1-1


Section 1 Introduction to planning ................................................................................... 1-1
Overview ...................................................................................................................... 1-1
Operational art ............................................................................................................. 1-1
Relationship between planning policy and planning doctrine ....................................... 1-3
Section 2 Planning categories ......................................................................................... 1-3
Advance and crisis response planning ........................................................................ 1-3
Planning during the conduct of an operation ............................................................... 1-5
Section 3 Other planning factors ..................................................................................... 1-7
Support plans............................................................................................................... 1-7
Planning documents .................................................................................................... 1-7
Planning within NATO’s contribution to a comprehensive approach............................ 1-8
Chapter 2 – Fundamentals of planning .......................................................................... 2-1
Principles of operations ............................................................................................... 2-1
Operational considerations .......................................................................................... 2-1
Joint functions .............................................................................................................. 2-2
Command centric planning .......................................................................................... 2-2
Commander’s intent ..................................................................................................... 2-3
Analysis and understanding ......................................................................................... 2-4
Termination criteria ...................................................................................................... 2-4
Definition of success .................................................................................................... 2-4
Sequential, parallel and collaborative planning ............................................................ 2-4
Chapter 3 – Operations design ....................................................................................... 3-1
Ends, ways, means and risks ...................................................................................... 3-1
Understanding the operating environment ................................................................... 3-2
Operations design concepts ........................................................................................ 3-3
End state ..................................................................................................................... 3-4

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Transition and termination ........................................................................................... 3-4


Centres of gravity ........................................................................................................ 3-5
Direct versus indirect approach ................................................................................... 3-5
Objectives .................................................................................................................... 3-6
Decisive conditions ...................................................................................................... 3-7
Effects and actions ...................................................................................................... 3-7
Lines of operation ........................................................................................................ 3-7
Culmination ................................................................................................................. 3-8
Operational pause ....................................................................................................... 3-9
Sequencing and phases .............................................................................................. 3-9
Chapter 4 – The sequence of planning activities .......................................................... 4-1
Section 1 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 4-1
Section 2 Initiation .......................................................................................................... 4-2
Initiating directive and derived planning directive ........................................................ 4-2
Commander’s initial planning guidance ....................................................................... 4-3
Liaison and reconnaissance team deployment ............................................................ 4-4
Section 3 Mission analysis .............................................................................................. 4-5
Elements of the mission analysis ................................................................................ 4-6
Framing the problem ................................................................................................... 4-6
Analyze the mission..................................................................................................... 4-9
Development of the initial operations design ............................................................. 4-12
Production of force estimates .................................................................................... 4-13
Validation of mission analysis and operations design ............................................... 4-15
Commander’s planning guidance .............................................................................. 4-16
Section 4 Courses of action development .................................................................... 4-17
Adversarial courses of action and other factors
affecting courses of action development ................................................................... 4-18
Development of own courses of action ...................................................................... 4-19
Section 5 Courses of action analysis ............................................................................ 4-21
Analysis and synchronization of courses of action .................................................... 4-22

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Wargaming ................................................................................................................ 4-23


Section 6 Courses of action validation and comparison ................................................ 4-31
Comparison of courses of action and risk assessment .............................................. 4-31
Section 7 Commander’s course of action decision ....................................................... 4-35
Commander’s course of action decision and additional guidance ............................. 4-36
Selected course of action refinement and commander’s refined intent ...................... 4-36
Commander’s operational planning directive ............................................................. 4-37
Section 8 Plan development ......................................................................................... 4-38
Joint functions ............................................................................................................ 4-39
Production of the concept of operations .................................................................... 4-40
Termination criteria .................................................................................................... 4-40
Force and capability requirements development ....................................................... 4-40
Development of the operation plan ............................................................................ 4-42
Manoeuvre ................................................................................................................. 4-43
Fires ........................................................................................................................... 4-45
Command and control ............................................................................................... 4-45
Intelligence................................................................................................................. 4-47
Information ................................................................................................................. 4-48
Sustainment ............................................................................................................... 4-49
Force protection ......................................................................................................... 4-49
Civil-military cooperation ............................................................................................ 4-50
Capabilities related to joint functions ......................................................................... 4-50
Annex A The operational factors – time, space, forces and information A-1

Annex B Centres of gravity B-1

Lexicon Lex-1

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Related documents

Strategic Concept Strategic Concept for the Defence and Security of the Members
of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, 19 Nov 2010
C-M(2001)0063 NATO Crisis Response System (NCRS): Policy Guidelines
C-M(2009)0048 (INV) NATO's Comprehensive, Strategic-Level Policy for Preventing
the Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) and
Defending against Chemical, Biological, Radiological and
Nuclear (CBRN) Threats
C-M(2011)0022 Political Guidance
EAPC(C)D(2007)0022 Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council Document implementing
SCR 1325 on Women, Peace and Security
NCRSM NATO Crisis Response System Manual
PO(96)64(Revised) Framework for Alliance Politico-Military Coordination
PO(2000)0030-REV2 Role of Civil Emergency Planning in NATO
PO(2009)0141 NATO Strategic Communications Policy
PO(2010)0143 Comprehensive Approach Report
PO(2011)0141 Political Military Framework for Partner Involvement in NATO-
Led Operations
PO(2011)0045 Updated List of Tasks for the Implementation of the
Comprehensive Approach Action Plan and the Lisbon Summit
Decisions on the Comprehensive Approach
PO(2016)0315 Revised NATO Policy for Standardization
PO(2016)0407 NATO Policy for the Protection of Civilians
SG(2006) 0244 Rev 1 Force Declarations and Designations
SG(2008)0806 (INV) NATO Lessons Learned Policy
MC 0064/10 NATO Electronic Warfare (EW) Policy
MC 0133/4 NATO’s Operations Planning
MC 0161/NSIE/ NATO Strategic Intelligence Estimate (NSIE)/NATO
NIAT/NIAP/ series Intelligence Assessment on Terrorism (NIAT)/NATO
Intelligence Assessment on Proliferation (NIAP)
MC 0165/ series Significant Technological Developments and their Military
Implications
MC 0166 (Final) NATO Intelligence Warning System
MC 0319/3 NATO Principles and Policies for Logistics
MC 0324/3 The NATO Military Command Structure
MC 0326/3 NATO Principles and Policies of Operational Medical Support
MC 0327/2 NATO Military Policy for non-Article 5 Crisis Response
Operations
MC 0334/2 NATO Principles and Policies for Host Nation Support
MC 0336/3 NATO Principles and Policies for Movement and Transportation
MC 0362/1 NATO Rules of Engagement

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MC 0400/3 MC Guidance for the Military Implementation of


NATO’s Strategic Concept
MC 0402/2 NATO Military Policy on Psychological Operations
MC 0411/2 NATO Military Policy on Civil-Military Cooperation (CIMIC) and
Civil-Military Interaction (CMI)
MC 0422/5 NATO Military Policy for Information Operations
MC 437/2 Special Operations Policy
MC 0457/2 NATO Military Policy on Public Affairs
MC 0472 NATO Military Concept for Defence against Terrorism
MC 0511 (NC) Guidance for Military Operations in a CBRN Environment,
including the Potential Military Contribution to NATO’s Response
to the Proliferation of WMD
MC 0551 MC Medical Support Concept for NATO Response Force
Operations
MC 0560/2 MC Policy for Military Engineering
MC 0586/1 MC Policy for Allied Forces and their Use for Operations
MC 0593 Minimum level of Command and Control (C2) service capabilities
in support of combined joint NATO led operations
MC 0626 Power Generation for Deployed Force Infrastructure
MC 0628 NATO Military Policy on Strategic Communications
MCM-0077-2000 MC Guidance on the Relationship between NATO Policy and
Military Doctrine
MCM-0164-2009 NATO Strategic Communications Policy
MCM-0041-2010 MC Position on the Use of Effects in Operations
MCM-0085-2010 NATO Military Concept for Strategic Communications
AAP-03 Production, Maintenance and Management of NATO
Standardization Document
AAP-06 NATO Glossary of Terms and Definitions
AAP-15 NATO Glossary of Abbreviations Used in NATO Documents and
Publications
AAP-47 Allied Joint Doctrine Development
ACO-Dir 83-1 Medical Support of Operations
AJP-01 Allied Joint Doctrine
AJP-2 Allied Joint Doctrine for Intelligence, Counter-Intelligence and
Security
AJP-3 Allied Joint Doctrine for the Conduct of Operations
AJP-3.4.1 Allied Joint Doctrine for the Military Contribution to
Peace Support
AJP 3.5 Allied Joint Doctrine for Special Operations
AJP-3.6 Allied Joint Doctrine for Electronic Warfare
AJP-3.8 Allied Joint Doctrine for CBRN Defence
AJP-3.9 Allied Doctrine for Joint Targeting
AJP-3.10 Allied Joint Doctrine for Information Operations
AJP-3.10.1 Allied Joint Doctrine for Psychological Operations
AJP-3.12 Allied Joint Doctrine for Military Engineering

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AJP-3.13 Allied Joint Doctrine for the Deployment and Redeployment


of Forces
AJP-3.14 Allied Joint Doctrine for Force Protection
AJP 3.15 Allied Joint Doctrine for Countering - Improvised
Explosive Devices
AJP 3.16 Allied Joint Doctrine for Security Force Assistance
AJP-3.19 Allied Joint Doctrine for Civil-Military Cooperation
AJP-3.21 Allied Joint Doctrine for Military Police
AJP-3.22 Allied Joint Doctrine for Stability Policing
AJP-4 Allied Joint Doctrine for Logistics
AJP-4.10 Allied Joint Doctrine for Medical Support
AJP-6 Allied Joint Doctrine for Communication and
Information Systems
AJMedP-1 Allied Joint Medical Planning Doctrine
AJMedP-2 Allied Joint Doctrine for Medical Evacuation
AJMedP-4 Allied Joint Doctrine on Force Health Protection
APP-28 Tactical Planning
COPD Allied Command Operations, Comprehensive Operations
Planning Directive COPD Interim V 2.0
FPG-CIMIC Allied Command Operations Civil-Military Cooperation Functional
Planning Guide
FPG-MILENG Allied Command Operations, Functional Planning Guide for
Military Engineering
FPG LANDCOM Functional Planning Guide for Countering Improvised
Explosive Devices

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Preface

Scope
1. Allied joint publication (AJP)-5 (A) Allied Joint Doctrine for the Planning of Operations is
the keystone NATO doctrine for planning of Allied joint operations. It is subordinate, and
refers, to AJP-01 Allied Joint Doctrine.

Purpose
2. Although all operations are unique, their planning and conduct can be approached in
the same manner. AJP-5 presents an overarching framework of the key planning
principles, considerations and processes that are followed in planning. It describes how
planning activities and processes are integrated and coordinated to support decision-
making and producing plans, orders and directives for all types of operations. It focuses
on the operational level, although it also has utility at the strategic and tactical levels.

Application
3. AJP-5 is intended primarily as guidance for NATO commanders and staffs. However,
the doctrine is instructive to the planning for operations by a coalition of NATO
members, partners and non-NATO nations. It also provides a reference for NATO
civilian and non-NATO civilian actors.

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AJP-5 Planning overview

Chapter 1 – Planning overview


Section 1 Introduction to planning
Overview

1.1 Planning develops viable options to achieve an acceptable outcome from an


unacceptable situation. Military planning is a sequence of activities undertaken by
commanders and staff at all levels. Planning identifies the actions, effects, decisive
conditions and objectives required for mission accomplishment. It is not an end in itself
but an adaptive process for confronting changing conditions and a wilful adversary.
Consequently, military planning requires active and continuing collaboration and
dialogue by commanders and staff at all levels of command. The results of planning –
plans – articulate how those actions (ways) and resources (means) are employed to
achieve objectives (ends).

Operational art

1.2 Operational art is the conceptual framework underpinning the planning and conduct of
operations. It includes the concepts operations design and operations management.
Operational art seeks to clarify the situation, assess opportunities and risks, foster
actions that continually gain advantage, and deliver logical solutions to complex
problems. It enables detailed planning to take place and for the staff to write practical
orders (plans). Operational art integrates ends, ways and means; it determines which
forces conduct what actions in time and space to create effects and achieve objectives.
This includes transitioning and terminating NATO’s crisis management role. The
commander’s active participation is essential in operational art as it is a blend of
science and art requiring their intuition, experience and leadership.

a. Applying operational art, commanders with support from their staffs determine
how to employ the joint force with best effectiveness. This requires the integration
of Allies’, partner nations’, other nations’ and agencies’ resources and forces.
Operational art is the critical link between strategy and tactics. Strategy and policy
guide operational art by determining the ultimate objectives to be achieved and by
allocating the necessary military and non-military resources. Strategy also defines
and imposes limitations on the use of one’s forces and sets conditions for tactical
force employment. To be successful, commanders and their staffs should develop
and maintain situational awareness, balance ends and means, determine ways
and orchestrate and direct actions and capabilities. They should evaluate their
actions’ results and re-orientate themselves, if required. Poorly applied operational
art can adversely affect the achievement of objectives.

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b. Operational art requires broad vision, the ability to anticipate and the skill to
plan, prepare, execute, and assess. The commander bears responsibility for the
planning and conduct of the operation. In order to provide effective guidance, the
commander must be able to stand back from detailed planning to frame the larger
context, set forth objectives and priorities, identify opportunities and risks, and
formulate operational ideas that maximize the effectiveness, responsiveness and
flexibility of the force. Commanders are supported by their staffs, which conduct
detailed planning and assessments.

1.3 Operational art is therefore realized through combining a commander's skills and the
staff-assisted processes of operations design and operations management.
Operations design frames the environment and the problem, and then develops or
refines options that give a comprehensive logic to the operation. Operations design
expresses vision and refines plans and orders. Operations management then
translates the operations design into action by integrating, coordinating, synchronizing,
prioritizing and allocating capabilities across the joint functions. The commander and
staff use operations assessment1 to appraise progress. The tactical level supports
operations assessment with tactical assessment input. Operations assessment
findings regularly lead to the refinement of the operations design.

1.4 Based on understanding gained through the application of operations design, more
detailed planning takes place during the sequence of planning activities. This
sequence is a logical, analytical methodology that consists of progressive actions to
analyze a mission; develop, analyze, and compare alternative courses of action
(COAs); select the most appropriate COA; and produce a plan or order by which the
joint force can achieve the objectives and accomplishes its assigned mission. This
links tactical activities to accomplishing operational and strategic objectives in support
of the end state2. The operations planning group (OPG) aligns actions and resources
in time and space to complete the plan. Operations assessment as a cornerstone of
operations management is already part of all planning phases. Consideration of how
to assess and what will be assessed during operations design fosters a conclusive
planning, execution and assessment effort.

1For details on operations assessment, see AJP-3 chapter 5.


2NATOTerm defines 'end state' as 'the political and/or military situation to be attained at the end of an operation,
which indicates that the objective has been achieved'.
MCM-0041-2010, Annex B defines 'end state' as 'the NAC approved set of required conditions within the
engagement space that defines an acceptable concluding situation to be attained at the end of a strategic
engagement'.
AJP-5, also referencing AJP-01, consequently understands 'end state' as a political strategic statement by the
North Atlantic Council which may include but is not limited to military aspects.

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Relationship between planning policy and planning doctrine

1.5 The aim of Military Committee (MC) 0133/4, NATO Operations Planning, is to detail
the system by which NATO initiates, develops, approves, executes, reviews, revises
and cancels all categories of Alliance plans.

a. The policy:

(1) describes the operations planning process (OPP) from initiation, through
orientation, design, plan development, approval and execution, as well as
addressing plan review, revision and cancellation;

(2) identifies the various operations planning categories and outlines the crisis
response management procedures;

(3) defines the purpose of operations planning categories and describes the
architecture necessary for timely, efficient, standardized and coherent plan
development;

(4) guides commanders and staff on how to develop subordinate operations


planning documents as well as NATO doctrine.

b. The Allied joint publication (AJP)-5 principles and procedures are embedded within
this overarching process, and specifically focus on practical plan development.
The doctrine describes how commanders develop specific planning products to
identify individually applied actions (ways) for which the joint force will employ its
capabilities and resources (means) to achieve the objectives (ends). In conducting
planning for operations, commanders and staff blend operational art, operations
design, and the sequence of planning activities as part of an overall process to
produce the eventual plan or order for the NATO operation.

Section 2 Planning categories


Advance and crisis response planning3

1.6 NATO has two main operations planning categories; advance planning and crisis
response planning. Advance planning is conducted to deal with potential threats to the
Alliance when identified and before they occur. Advance planning is used to develop
plans for a broad range of activities based on requirements identified by the North
Atlantic Council (NAC). Crisis response planning addresses emerging and unexpected
crises and is based on circumstances that exist at the time planning is conducted. The
crisis response planning activities are based on dynamic, concurrent real-world

3 See MC 0133/4 NATO’s Operations Planning.

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conditions, crisis response planning activities may be performed under time constraint,
with supporting and subordinate plans being developed concurrently.

a. Advance planning. Advance planning develops four types of plans:

(1) Standing defence plan. A standing defence plan (SDP) is developed to


address a long-term, short or no-notice Article 5 identified potential security
risk in concert with NATO member national defence plans. A SDP’s purpose
is to guarantee the defence of the NATO members, aimed at the integrity and
protection of NATO states, populations and/or territory. A SDP is required to
be immediately executable, with forces assigned and execution authority
delegated to the appropriate level of command.

(2) Contingency plan. A contingency plan (COP) is developed to respond to a


region-specific potential crisis and will be normally based on MC 161, NATO’s
Strategic Intelligence Estimate, and one or more of the planning situations
identified during the NATO defence planning process. A COP must be based
on a number of planning assumptions. Required resources and capabilities
are not attached to it (just roughly outlined), therefore a COP is not an
executable document. Should a crisis materialize, the appropriate COP would
be used as the basis for developing an executable operation plan (OPLAN).

(3) Generic contingency plan. A generic COP is developed to respond to a non-


region-specific potential crisis. It is designed to facilitate rapid crisis response
planning for a specific situation in any region. Since generic COP are
developed without regional context, they are the least detailed type of plan,
but provide clarity on the essential capabilities requisite for success in a
specific situation. In sum, generic COP require adaptation applied to a specific
region.

(4) Graduated response plan. A graduated response plan (GRP) is developed to


address existential threats to the Alliance that require a high responsiveness.
The GRP consists of a set of plans having three parts:

(a) GRP Part 1 is executable and provides details on the integrated


deployment and employment of the Transferred National Home Defence
Forces and the Very High Readiness Joint Task Force. It also accounts
for readiness levels and deployment time of involved forces.

(b) GRP Part 2 details the deployment and employment of the Initial Follow-
On Forces Group (IFFG). This part is not directly executable, but will be
the foundation for an OPLAN once a NAC initiating directive (NID) is
issued at the time of the crisis.

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(c) GRP Part 3 details the deployment and employment of the Follow-on
Forces Group (FFG) and the Follow-on Forces (FOF). This part is not
immediately executable, but will be the foundation for an OPLAN once a
NID is issued at the time of the crisis. The NAC has the option to develop
a single NID directing the development of a single OPLAN based on GRP
Parts 2 and 3.

b. Crisis response planning. Crisis response planning is conducted in response to


an escalated or to a developing crisis. It guides the development of an OPLAN for
the deployment, employment, sustainment and redeployment of NATO forces in
response to a situation that may result in actual military operations. A crisis may
emerge with little or no notice and develops rapidly. Sometimes a single crisis may
cause another crisis elsewhere.

(1) If a crisis had been anticipated, the OPLAN might be developed from an
existing advance plan and suitably adjusted. An OPLAN can be described as
a detailed and comprehensive plan capable of execution as soon as required
forces are assigned.

(2) Because of the rapid manner in which crises can develop, it is essential
procedures are in place throughout the NATO Command Structure (NCS) to
allow for the timely and efficient development of OPLANs. In circumstances
where multiple operations are conducted concurrently within a single region, it
may be deemed necessary to develop a single, theatre-wide OPLAN to ensure
proper coordination, unity of effort, and economy of effort of all military
activities.

(3) Crisis response procedures are governed by the NATO Crisis Response
Process (NCRP). The NCRP allows the NAC and Supreme Headquarters
Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE) to communicate decisions rapidly and
accurately to subordinate commanders to facilitate detailed OPLAN
development.4

Planning during the conduct of an operation

1.7 NATO operations usually take place in a dynamic environment in which actors are
constantly changing the political, military, economic, social, infrastructure and
information (PMESII) elements. Therefore, the planning is a continuous process that
takes place throughout the course of an operation. During the conduct of an operation,
the commander, assisted by the staff, assesses the forces employment, assesses
risks, and measures progress toward mission accomplishment by using the operations

4For Allied Command Operations, procedures related to operations planning are developed within the
Comprehensive Operations Planning Directive (COPD).

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assessment process. They adapt and adjust operations as required ranging from
minor adjustments in execution to radical changes in the overall plan. A significant
change of the operating environment may require a review of the operation and
discussions with higher authority to determine if the end state is still viable. Early in
execution, changes to the original plan may be necessary due to intelligence,
environmental considerations, tactical or deployment limitations. Therefore, ongoing
refinement and adjustment of deployment requirements and schedules as well as
close coordination and monitoring of deployment activities are required. Planning
continues during the conduct of an operation, with an initial emphasis on refining the
existing plan and producing orders and refining the force flow utilizing employed,
assigned and allocated forces. Commanders and staffs often organize planning
activities into three interrelated areas: current operations, future operations, and future
plans. Current operations focus on immediate shaping and execution of the existing
plan, with assessments and operational feedback influencing future operations and
future plans. Future operations look further ahead, with a focus on the next important
change in objectives and priorities for subordinate forces. Finally, future plans look
even further ahead to the next important change in objectives and priorities for the
force as a whole. Commander and staff continually assess progress towards
objectives. They may review and select various branches or sequels5, if applicable, or
make modifications to the plan as necessitated by changes in the situation.

5 For branches and sequels see chapter 3.

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Section 3 Other planning factors


Support plans

1.8 Depending on the complexity of an OPLAN of any category or the requirement to


provide support to concurrent operations, it may be necessary to develop support
plans (SUPPLANs) to the main (parent) plan. The supporting agency or commander
develops the SUPPLAN, which the supported commander must endorse. The initiating
authority must approve the SUPPLAN in concert with the supported (parent) plan.
SUPPLANs are based on, and are consistent with, the parent plan. Additionally,
SUPPLANs must be developed in a manner that is consistent with political guidance
and authority applicable to the parent plan. Their approval and authorization for
execution automatically becomes part of the approval and authorization process for
the execution of the parent plan. Examples include SUPPLANs for deployment and
redeployment, communication and information, logistic sustainment, or military
engineering SUPPLANs and NATO common funded projects.

Planning documents

1.9 Operations planning supporting documents are one of the key elements of the
operations planning framework. These planning tools provide general and specific
guidance and formats to planners at various levels for advance and crisis response
planning.

a. The NATO Crisis Response System Manual (NCRSM) codifies crisis response
procedures in accordance with the NCRP. The purpose of the NATO Crisis
Response System (NCRS) is to provide for required preparedness and support for
crisis and conflict prevention and for crisis management across the range of
operations. The system enables the Alliance and, where appropriate, non-NATO
nations to prepare measures for, and respond to, the full range of threats allowing
the Alliance to react in a timely and coordinated manner. To be able to respond to
a range of operations, NATO has strengthened its ability to work effectively both
internally, improving its civil-military interaction (CMI) with planning staffs such as
civil emergency planning experts and externally with partner countries and non-
military actors, enhancing synergy at all levels. For operations in which Alliance
military forces participate, the NCRS and OPP are complementary. The latter
provides instruments to the decision makers and planners to prepare for and
respond to a crisis through the NCRP. Other NCRS components, especially crisis
response measures (CRMs) and preventive options are supporting tools within the
NCRP.

b. The Allied Command Operations Comprehensive Operations Planning


Directive (COPD) is the basic document for planning staffs within the NATO

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military command structure and the NATO force structure.6 It describes the OPP
from the military strategic level to the operational level and the interaction of both
with the higher tactical level commanders. It addresses all aspects of an OPLAN,
provides guidance on the conduct and methods of planning, as well as identifying
the factors to be taken into consideration during the development of a plan. It also
contains the standard structure and content of OPLANs. As such, it can be a
reference for planning at tactical levels, especially for headquarters (HQ) operating
at the high end of the tactical level.

c. Functional Planning Guides (FPGs) provide planning guidance in specific


functional areas. Functional areas include warfare areas that are normally divided
into components. Functional areas also include specific areas of expertise such
as intelligence, logistics, communication and information systems (CIS) support
and military police support. In general, the FPGs mirror the areas covered in the
list of typical annexes to the main body of a plan. The intent of these guides is to
supplement the planning information available in MC 0133/4, other MC
documents, approved NATO doctrine and the COPD. The purpose of FPGs is to
help a planner concerned with a particular functional area orient to the OPP.

Planning within NATO’s contribution to a comprehensive approach

1.10 Effective crisis management calls for a comprehensive approach involving diplomatic,
information, military and economic (DIME) instruments of national power.7 Military
means, although essential, are not enough on their own to meet the many complex
security challenges. The effective implementation of a comprehensive approach
requires all actors to contribute with a shared purpose, based on a common sense of
responsibility, openness and determination, taking into account their respective
strengths, mandates and roles, as well as their decision-making autonomy. The
implementation of NATO’s contribution to a comprehensive approach is a permanent
feature of the Alliance’s work. Commanders and staffs should consider how to:
 involve all major actors, including agencies and non-military actors in the
planning process;
 de-conflict, coordinate and synchronize joint force actions with the operations
of these organizations; and
 apply military activities and resources to fulfil the other actors’ functions when
they are unavailable, consistent with existing legal authorities.

1.11 Experience gained from recent NATO operations demonstrates that the international
community must work closely together and adopt a comprehensive approach to re-
establishing and maintaining international peace and security. To maximize the ability

6See MC 0133/4
7The Allied Command Operations Comprehensive Operations Planning Directive refers to instruments of
power as military, political, economic and civil.

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to operate within a comprehensive approach, commanders and plans staff must


consider the impact of, and interaction with, other actors involved in crisis resolution
during the planning process.

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Chapter 2 – Fundamentals of planning


Principles of operations

2.1 The following principles of joint and multinational operations are established in AJP-
01 Allied Joint Doctrine and detailed in AJP-3, Allied Joint Doctrine for the Conduct of
Operations. The commander and the staff should understand and apply these
fundamental principles to approach problems coherently:
 unity of effort;
 concentration of force;
 economy of effort;
 freedom of action;
 definition of objectives;
 flexibility;
 initiative;
 offensive spirit;
 surprise;
 security;
 simplicity;
 maintenance of morale.

Operational considerations

2.2 The principles listed above are supported by operational considerations. The
commander and the staff should incorporate these operational considerations which
are further elaborated in AJP-3:
 credibility;
 consent;
 mutual respect and understanding;
 transparency;
 freedom of movement;
 strategic communications;
 cyberspace operations;
 environmental protection;
 protection of civilians8.

8 See PO(2016)0407 NATO Policy for the Protection of Civilians.

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Joint functions

2.3 Operations design provides an overarching master concept which visualizes the
operational demands the staff has to address with the functional areas represented,
on the way to the achievement of objectives. The mutually combined and balanced
activity fields to be covered for the realization of the operations design, for the
transcription into an operation plan, are described by the joint functions explained in
AJP-01 and AJP-3. These are:
 manoeuvre;
 fires;
 command and control;
 intelligence;
 information;
 sustainment;
 force protection;
 civil-military cooperation.

Command centric planning

2.4 A commander’s responsibility for mission accomplishment is total. Therefore, the


commander is the central figure in operations planning. It is the commander’s role and
personal responsibility to guide the staff through the planning process. Commanders
draw on operations design to mitigate the challenges of complexity and uncertainty, to
generate a clearer understanding of the conditions required to focus effort and achieve
success. Operations design supports the effective exercise of command that deepens
understanding and visualization.9 Understanding the operating environment, defining
the problem, devising a sound approach, and developing feasible options are rarely
achieved within a first attempt. Strategic guidance addressing complex problems may
initially be incomplete, requiring the commander to interpret and filter it for the staff.
While the strategic commander and the political-military level have a clear strategic
perspective of the problem, operational-level commanders and subordinate
commanders have a better understanding of specific circumstances that comprise the
operating environment. Both perspectives are essential to achieve a sound solution.
Commanders should be proactive in sharing their perspective with their higher
headquarters and both levels should resolve differences at the earliest opportunity.
Commanders should consider the following guidelines when interacting with their staff
and other commands during operations planning:
 strive for simplicity;

9 Operations design is addressed in detail in chapter 3.

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 apply intuition and experience to the basic operations design;


 enforce mission command to generate freedom of action for subordinate
commanders;
 incorporate risk management in operations design and management;
 build deliberate surprise in the operations design;
 avoid routine use of capabilities;
 encourage originality, supported by skill, knowledge and experience;
 be agile (thinking, understanding and acting quickly may contribute to
success).

Commander’s intent

2.5 The commander´s intent is the foundation of the operations design. It is the
commander’s clear and concise expression of what the force must do and the
conditions the force must establish to accomplish the mission. It is a succinct, written
description of the commander’s visualization of the entire operation and what the
commander wants to accomplish. The commander will communicate the intent to the
staff and subordinate commands ensuring a common understanding. The commander
produces the intent based on the findings depicted in the mission analysis and initiates
the development of the courses of action through the commander´s planning guidance.
While there is no specified format for the commander’s intent, a generally accepted
construct includes the purpose and objective(s).

a. Purpose. The purpose explains how the military actions contribute to achieving
objectives and attaining the end state. The purpose helps the force pursue the
mission without further orders, even when actions do not unfold as planned and it
enables exploitation when the execution unfolds more favourable than expected.
Thus, if an unanticipated situation arises, participating commanders understand
the purpose of the forthcoming action well enough to act decisively and within the
bounds of the higher commander’s intent.

b. Objective(s). In operations, an objective is a clearly defined and attainable goal


that contributes to the attainment of the end state. Objectives describe what the
commander is tasked to achieve in regard to military conditions that define mission
success. The commander´s intent also describes these desired conditions as
integral part of the higher command’s objectives and describes how own
objectives contribute to attaining the end state.

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Analysis and understanding

2.6 A comprehensive analysis of the operating environment, its components, actors and
their relationships is the beginning of the operations planning process. Commanders
and the staff must build and foster a comprehensive understanding of the operating
environment and promote this understanding continuously throughout the entire
operations planning process in conjunction with higher headquarters, component
commands and other actors.

Termination criteria

2.7 Termination is a key consideration for planning. The strategic commander derives the
termination criteria from the end state. The criteria should include military and non-
military conditions and capabilities required to transition or terminate the NATO
operation. The commanders and staff will integrate these into their operations design
and plan.

Definition of success

2.8 The commander should have a clear vision and understandable objectives when
defining success for activities in operations. The incorporation of operations
assessment aspects through all phases of an operation, including planning, ensures
assessment focus is maintained on the actions and effects required for mission
accomplishment. Through monitoring available information and utilising measures of
effectiveness (MOEs) and measures of performance (MOPs10), commanders and staff
can ensure advancement toward achieving objectives and attaining the end state.

Sequential, parallel and collaborative planning

2.9 Operations planning can be conducted in a sequential, parallel, or collaborative


manner. These methods are applied by all levels of command.

a. In the sequential planning process operations planning is conducted by the


higher-level commander and staff; this is followed by planning at the subordinate
headquarters (HQ). This method fits better with the advanced planning category.

(1) Advantage: This type of planning produces usually detailed and methodical
results. It also minimizes the risk that subordinate HQ may have an obsolete
common operational picture and plans.

10Measures of performance (MOPs) are indicators used to assess friendly actions tied to measuring task
accomplishment.

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(2) Disadvantage: The entire operations planning process takes a relatively long
time to be completed.

b. In parallel planning, the commanders together with their staffs at various levels
of command initiate the operations planning process staggered only by brief time
lapses. The continuous information flow between the higher HQ and its
subordinate commands is the core and most significant precondition for the
parallel planning process. An early, continuous and rapid information sharing
allows the commanders and their staffs, at each level, to concurrently start the
planning activity. This simultaneous approach is supported by issuing warning
orders and planning guidance. A prerequisite for successful parallel planning is a
promptly performed decision-making process. Thus, the establishment of effective
command and control (C2) is of high importance.

(1) Advantages: This type of planning is especially suitable when the planning time
is extremely limited, because it allows the subordinate units to simultaneously
contribute to the documents produced by the higher level and to produce their
own products. Parallel planning, for instance, is particularly suitable for crisis
response operations.

(2) Disadvantages: This type of planning can introduce risks in terms of reliability
of the plan and needs increased coordination.

c. Collaborative planning is a very dynamic process that requires disciplined


information management. This method implies the interaction between two or
more command echelons involved in the operations planning process. It allows
subordinate commanders to provide the superior commander with their
assessment and advice. Collaborative planning, in order to be effective, requires
information technologies systems11 to promote the fast distribution and sharing of
ideas and planning products. Compared to other planning methods, collaborative
planning allows the development of more coherent and harmonized plans across
all levels. The method may be more appropriate for meeting contingency situations
which can occur during the conduct of an operation, requiring an urgent plan
revision.

(1) Advantages: This type of planning method speeds up the planning process.

11Like e.g. the tools for operations planning functional area services (TOPFAS). TOPFAS is a suite of tools to
support both NATO advance and crisis response planning through all phases of the operations planning
process: Operations Planning Tool (OPT), ORBAT Management Tool (OMT), User Management Tool (UMT),
TOPFAS Web Portal (TWP), Systems Analysis Tool (SAT) and Campaign Assessment Tool (CAT).

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(2) Disadvantages: The evolution of the operating environment may quickly divert
the original operation plan and may possibly result in confusion and
misalignment at subordinate levels. A rising risk of groupthink and “one level
of command” oriented planning may arise.

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Chapter 3 – Operations design


3.1 Introduction. The commander and staff develop plans and orders through the
application of operations design and the sequence of planning activities, in particular,
during the ‘mission analysis’ activity (see chapter 4, section 3.). They combine art and
science to develop products that describe how (ways) the joint force will employ its
capabilities (means) to achieve objectives (ends) to attain the end state. Operations
design is a process of iterative understanding and problem framing that supports
commanders and staffs in their application of operational art. This helps the
commander and staff understand the operating environment and construct viable
approaches to operations. With operations design, the commander expresses vision
and develops and refines ideas to provide detailed and executable plans. Operations
design is underpinned by a clear understanding of the political and strategic context.
Structured processes, as in the concepts and tools detailed below, enable the
operations design.

Ends, ways, means and risks

3.2 Clarification on ends, ways, means and risks is of central importance for the operations
design. The commander should be able to answer the following essential questions:

a. The ends. What objectives must be achieved in support of the higher


commander’s objectives and to attain the end state? What conditions are required
to achieve the objectives? The commander considers the nature of the force and
the assigned (and obtainable) objectives. A change in political objectives will
invariably create a requirement for an adjustment in the plan or even the
requirement for a new plan.

b. The ways. What broad approaches will establish the conditions identified? What
sequence of actions and effects is most likely to achieve these conditions? How
can instruments of power be used to create coherent effects that will establish the
essential conditions? How should actions and effects be arranged in time and
space to establish these conditions?

c. The means. What resources are required to accomplish the identified sequence
of actions and effects? What capabilities and other resources are available and
should be applied to produce these conditions? How are the military and non-
military instruments integrated and synchronized to achieve these conditions?

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d. The risks. A risk is assessed by the likelihood of its occurrence and the gravity of
its impact and has to be mitigated accordingly. The level of risk can be determined
with a certain degree of confidence; assessing likelihood and consequence is a
matter of military judgment. The degree of risk can be greatly reduced by scaling
down one’s ends, adapting one’s ways or increasing one’s means. The problem
of mismatch can be resolved by modifying, altering, or even abandoning one’s
ends. Another solution for resolving mismatch is to find a novel way of using one’s
sources of military and/or non-military instruments. It is the commander´s
responsibility to weigh opportunities versus risks, assess their potential impact,
and identify opportunities that offer the greatest operational benefit for the risk
incurred. The commander will decide on risk management.12

Understanding the operating environment

3.3 Understanding the operating environment is a critical prerequisite for all planning
activities, particularly for operations design. The operations design delineates the
principal approach in an operation while all activities of the force are deduced from it.
It provides the context for understanding the problem. AJP-2 Allied Joint Doctrine for
Intelligence, Counter-Intelligence and Security depicts an enhanced understanding of
the joint intelligence preparation of the operating environment (JIPOE), exceeding the
former traditional focus on military matters by covering the PMESII spectrum13. AJP-5
uses JIPOE in the following paragraphs and chapters.14 The JIPOE describes the main
characteristics and allows the planning staff to further assess the potential impact of
the operating environment on accomplishment of the mission. The commander and
the staff develop a shared understanding and a holistic view of the operating
environment in terms of the crisis background, the underlying causes and the specific
dynamics. It allows the commander to visualize the extent of the problem and how they
might shape and alter the operating environment to their advantage, which will inform
their decision-making.

3.4 Factor analysis and key factors. The commander and staff have to examine specific
aspects, facts or conditions of the operating environment and the capabilities, goals,

12 For risk management, see AJP-3 Annex D.


13 PMESII - political, military, economic, social, infrastructure, and information.
14 For developing a broad understanding of the operating environment, the Allied Command Operations

Comprehensive Operations Planning Directive (COPD) introduces and uses the term “comprehensive
preparation of the operational environment” (CPOE) and states the following: NATO utilizes the PMESII model
for the CPOE. The use of the PMESII model shall ensure that the intelligence requirements of the decision-
makers, planners and operators can be comprehensively met. The CPOE is a cross-headquarters process,
supported by the various functional and special staff areas. The CPOE may also take into account the
assessments of non-military and non-governmental organizations, the joint intelligence preparation of the
operating environment (JIPOE) and the Joint Intelligence Estimate support.

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relationships and interactions between actors to determine their impact on operational


success. Interactions include intents, potential capabilities, trends, tensions, strengths,
and weaknesses. The commander and staff will consider the effects of the operating
environment on the main actors as well as on NATO forces as they interact in time,
space and information. Deductions and conclusions gained from this analysis set the
boundaries for the development of solutions. Furthermore, the determination of key
factors that will have a direct bearing on what may have to be accomplished in the
area of operations, and under what conditions, is important.

3.5 Coupled with any assigned or anticipated tasks as well as guidance and intent from
higher echelons, the commander and staff will determine desired conditions resulting
in a future and acceptable status of the operating environment. Understanding of the
operating environment will benefit from applying a comprehensive approach involving
non-military actors. These actors will likely contribute to, and receive the output from
mission analysis. Similarly, this information exchange will inform the decisions taken
by non-military leaders. Integration of non-military actors may not be possible or
advisable in some situations, dependent on specific circumstances, e.g. for operations
security (OPSEC) reasons. However, for promoting a comprehensive understanding,
commanders should embed non-military expertise as a general guideline and send
military liaison officers to civil organizations as appropriate.

Operations design concepts

3.6 Operations design concepts help the commander and the staff think through the
challenges of understanding the operating environment, analyzing the strategic and
operational factors15; defining the problem, and developing an approach, which guides
planning and shapes the concept of operations (CONOPS). The concepts are
explained in the following paragraphs. They are:
 end state;
 (initial ideas for) transition and termination;
 centres of gravity;
 direct versus indirect approach;
 objectives;
 decisive conditions;
 effects and actions;
 lines of operation;
 culmination;
 operational pause;

15 For information on the operational factors – time, space, forces and information – see Annex A

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 sequencing and phases.

End state

3.7 The end state is the North Atlantic Council (NAC) statement of conditions that defines
an acceptable concluding situation for NATO’s involvement. Therefore, the NAC, the
Military Committee (MC) and the Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR) as
the strategic commander will necessarily describe the end state and the strategic
objectives to enable planning at the operational level. Articulating the end state should
happen well before military forces are committed. Moreover, the ability to plan and
conduct operations for conflict termination depends on a clear understanding of the
end state. It describes conditions for a favourable, self-regulating situation within the
operating environment that satisfies the overall political objective. The end state must
be comprehensible, feasible, and attainable because it defines the ultimate criteria for
the cessation of Alliance activities in a crisis region. It is often linked to the provisions
of an international mandate or agreement providing legal authority for resolving the
crisis.

Transition and termination

3.8 Transition and termination are key considerations in the operations design.16 In most
cases they will include the achievement of acceptable conditions as well as the mutual
acceptance of terms and conditions to ensure a lasting settlement. It will require
political action, especially when a military force has been employed, and will require a
comprehensive approach to involve diplomatic, economic and informational
instruments of power. The process may continue well beyond the cessation of
hostilities and encompasses stabilization and reconstruction activities.17 Termination
and transition provide an essential link between Alliance operations and post-conflict
activities. The commander and the staff must clearly understand the termination
criteria for the operation. Appropriate and well-conceived termination criteria are the
key to ensuring that successful operations result in conditions favourable to the
Alliance. Commanders must continually re-evaluate the operational conditions to
determine if the original end state and termination criteria are still valid and attainable.

16 For termination and transition see AJP-3 chapter 5. Termination in terms of ceasing an operation may occur
within the following, not exclusively outlined circumstances: Termination by NATO for local reasons;
termination by NATO for strategic reasons; termination by host nation; termination by transition.
17 Security force assistance (SFA) by NATO assists a host nation in developing a sustainable capability that

should enable its defence against threats to stability and security. Transition of security responsibilities to local
forces – to be understood as a progressive transfer of security functions – is an essential part of SFA.

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Centres of gravity

3.9 A centre of gravity (CoG) is the primary source of power that provides an actor its
strength, freedom of action, or will to fight. It is always an entity. At the political-strategic
level, moral-strength as well as physical-strength CoGs exist; both types are physical
entities in nature, but vary in purpose. At lower levels of command, only physical-
strength CoGs normally exist. By affecting an actor’s moral strategic CoG, the Alliance
aims to influence the actor’s will (make the actor accept the Alliance objectives, by
persuasion or coercion), while by affecting a physical strategic CoG, the Alliance
influences the actor’s ability to carry out its overall strategy (so the actor cannot
achieve its strategic objectives). By affecting an actor’s operational CoGs, the Alliance
influences the actor’s ability to achieve its operational objectives with its current course
of action (COA). CoGs have critical capabilities (abilities – what the CoG can do in
context of the actor’s mission), critical requirements (means, resources, and conditions
essential for a CoG to perform its critical capabilities), and critical vulnerabilities
(deficient, missing, or vulnerable critical requirements). A key element of operational
art is to derive ways to affect the primary actors‘ CoGs sufficiently to achieve NATO
objectives, whether by strengthening, protecting, weakening, or destroying the CoG;
this can be done by affecting their critical vulnerabilities and critical requirements.
CoGs and their critical vulnerabilities are always contextual and therefore subject to
change at any time during the operation; consequently, CoG analysis is an iterative,
continuous process. Annex B provides details on CoG identification and validation as
well as on CoG analysis.

Direct versus indirect approach

3.10 An important point in planning an operation is to determine the best approach for
dealing with the adversarial CoGs. Two alternative approaches to consider are the
direct and indirect approaches. The direct approach attacks the adversary’s CoG or
principal strength by applying combat power directly against it. The indirect approach
typically seeks to circumnavigate, isolate, or otherwise render combat ineffective
rather than physically destroy the adversarial CoG(s). In some cases, an indirect
approach may require a series of operations against multiple critical vulnerabilities. In
other cases, it may involve a single operation against a few particularly critical
vulnerabilities that has the effect of creating the required condition of the CoG, but
without engaging in direct battle with adversary’s primary combat units. Deciding
between the two approaches is a question of weighing factors such as relative
strength, Alliance capabilities, the types of adversarial critical vulnerabilities, risk
appetite and tolerance, the required condition of the adversarial CoG, time, etc. In
addition, it is possible to use the direct approach at one level of command (e.g.,

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strategic) and the indirect at another level (e.g. operational), as the type of approach
relates to how the CoG(s) at each level are dealt with.

Objectives

3.11 An objective is a clearly defined and attainable goal for an operation, for example
seizing a terrain feature, neutralizing an adversary’s force or capability or achieving
some other desired outcome that is essential to a commander’s plan and towards
which the operation is directed. Objectives lead to the end state and they are achieved
by aggregating decisive conditions through effects and their underlying actions.

a. Strategic objectives establish the strategic purpose for all actions by the Alliance
within a comprehensive approach. They are laid down within the NAC initiating
directive and describe the goals to attain the end state. Based on its analysis of
the principal actors, influencing factors and centres of gravity, planners at the
strategic level determine the essential conditions that must be achieved to attain
the end state. The development of strategic objectives will be an iterative process
during which the planners have to ensure these objectives are in balance with the
ways and means available. Strategic objectives are subdivided into non-military
strategic objectives and military strategic objectives (MSOs).

b. Military strategic objectives. MSOs define the role of military forces in the wider
context of the Alliance’s strategic objectives. They are a clear description of the
military objectives necessary for mission accomplishment and describe what the
military must pursue, progress and sustain. MSOs provide the focus for
operational-level planning and therefore must clearly state those military
conditions that contribute to the achievement of MSOs to attain the end state. They
must be attainable given the ways and means available, the strengths and
vulnerabilities of the adversary or other factors in the operating environment.

c. Operational objectives. Operational objectives define the role of the joint force
within the context of the MSO. They are a clear description of the military
objectives at the operational level necessary for the achievement of MSOs and
describe what the operational-level commander must pursue, progress and
sustain. Operational objectives provide the focus for planning in supporting and
subordinate elements and therefore must clearly state those military conditions
that contribute to their achievement.

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Decisive conditions

3.12 A decisive condition (DC) is a combination of circumstances, effects, or a specific key


event, critical factor, or function that, when realized, allows commanders to gain a
marked advantage over an opponent or contribute materially to achieving an
operational objective. DCs are logically determined from the factor and CoG analysis
processes. DCs do not necessarily constitute a battle or physical engagement. DCs
also do not need to have a geographical relevance. The application of the broader
substance of DCs aids the analysis of the problem and the operating environment in
broader context. DCs are elements of lines of operation and, like objectives and
effects, have to be realizable.

Effects and actions

3.13 Effects are recognizable changes in the behavioral or physical state of a system that
result from one or more actions. Based on the DCs for each objective and their
previous analysis of each actor’s systems, the operations planning group (OPG)
determines the changes required in a specific non-NATO actor’s system/system
elements and identifies relevant actions across the joint functions to create the
changes.

Lines of operation

3.14 A line of operation (LoO) links decisive conditions to achieve an objective. Along any
LoO it will be necessary to determine the sequence of actions, effects and conditions
required to achieve the objectives. Having determined the best overall approach to
affect the key actors’ CoGs and DCs to be achieved, the next step in the operations
design is to determine primary and alternative LoOs. These are used to arrange
operations in time, space and purpose to transform specific unacceptable conditions
at the start of the operation to conditions required to achieve operational and strategic
objectives. The conclusions of the CoG analyses provide valuable inputs to the
required conditions and how to achieve them. The determination of LoOs will shape
the development of the plan as well as the conduct of operations. Functionally cross-
cutting LoOs, each involving more than one element of power, will create a more
effective system for coordination between partners during planning and execution.
This type of LoO construct brings to bear the capabilities of multiple elements of power,
which makes it particularly effective toward achieving more complex objectives or
outcomes.

3.15 Identifying DCs along each LoO is critical to the operations design:
 ensure that progress towards the objectives is measurable;

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 sequence the effects to be created along each LoO;


 establish the nature and sequence of actions along each LoO;
 take into account possible links to actions and effects along other LoOs;
 synchronize and coordinate actions on and between different LoOs;
 establish and manage the priority of effort;
 determine the force and capabilities requirements for each LoO over time.

Figure 3.1 - Operations design

Culmination

3.16 Culmination is that point in an operation when a force can no longer successfully
continue its current operation. Sequencing and phasing should ensure that operations
from adversaries culminate well before they can achieve their objective while ensuring
that own operations achieve their objectives well before any culmination. Therefore,
operations design should determine ways to speed the adversary’s culmination while
precluding one’s own. Culmination has both offensive and defensive applications:

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a. In offensive operations, the attacking force reaches its culminating point when it
can no longer sustain its offensive action and must shift to the defence or risk
counter attack and defeat.

b. In defensive operations, the defending force reaches its culminating point when it
no longer has the capability to mount a counter offensive or defend successfully
and needs to be reinforced, disengaged or withdrawn to avoid defeat.

Operational pause

3.17 An operational pause is a temporary cessation of certain activities during the course
of an operation prior to achieving the objectives to avoid culmination. It allows the force
to regenerate the combat power required to proceed with the next stage of the
operation. Nevertheless, the OPG needs to ensure an integrated approach to the
operations design in order to minimize the requirement for operational pauses.

Sequencing and phases

3.18 Sequencing is the arrangement of actions in an order producing the effects for the
generation of decisive conditions. The primary aim in sequencing and phasing an
operation is to maintain continuity and tempo and to avoid unnecessary operational
pauses. The OPG should determine the best arrangement of actions and effects to
achieve objectives. This arrangement will often be a combination of simultaneous and
sequential actions. However, it may not be possible to achieve the objectives in a
single engagement or even a major operation. As such, the operations design normally
provides for the sequencing of actions and the phasing of operations. Although
simultaneous action on multiple lines of operation may be ideal, resource availability
usually forces the commander to prioritize and sequence the actions; consequently, a
commander may choose to sequence the actions in order to reduce risks to an
acceptable level. This process assists in thinking through the entire operation logically
in terms of available forces, resources and time, and helps to determine different
operational phases.

a. Phases represent distinct stages in the progress of the overall operation. Phases
are sequential but the course of effects and actions may overlap. The actions
required to create certain effects in a certain phase, may well start prior to the
phase in question. In some cases the beginning of a phase may be contingent on
the successful completion of a preceding phase. Commanders should clearly
recognize and address this dependency in the operations design. The
arrangement of supported/supporting relationship may be a valuable instrument in
phasing the operations. The commander may designate a main effort in each

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phase and assign the execution of the action to a subordinate commander. This
subordinate commander may in turn become the designated supported
commander for all mission elements. A commander may provide the supported
commander with the authority for the general direction of the supporting effort.

b. Synchronization, synergy and leverage. The OPG considers how to best


synchronize actions in order to generate the greatest effect with a given
expenditure of resources or a desired effect with the least expenditure.

(1) Synchronization is the arrangement of actions and their effects in time, space
and purpose to achieve DCs. The OPG will therefore make integrated use of
all capabilities available to them to achieve the DCs. The primary benefit from
synchronized actions is the ability to produce synergy using different
resources and gain leverage through creating effects and their exploitation
throughout the operations area.

(2) Synergy is the ultimate aim of all synchronization efforts. Synergy is the
cumulative outcome or result of discrete acts; it is greater than the sum of the
individual parts acting independently. Synergy should be the result of effective
synchronization. In practice, it means integration and synchronization of
actions aimed to achieve the objective. This approach is also closely
associated to the idea of comprehensive approach.

(3) Leverage is achieved when the resulting impact of an action is more than
proportionate to the effort applied. Leverage can be achieved by focusing
Allied joint force strengths, against another actor’s weaknesses when aiming
at DCs utilizing also other instruments of power in a comprehensive approach.

c. Simultaneity and depth. The OPG determines the extent to which joint forces
can conduct simultaneous operations to create DCs throughout the depth of the
operations area. This is largely a function of the availability of military resources
and their operational reach. The intent should always be to achieve synergy by
combining the effects of simultaneous actions to overwhelm the adversary’s ability
to respond effectively with so many actions occurring at one time and to conceal
the direction of main effort as long as possible.

d. Tempo is the rate or rhythm of activity relative to the adversary’s, within tactical
actions and between major operations. Within peace support the reference point
may be different.18 Tempo incorporates the capacity of a joint force to make the

18In peace support operational tempo may be developed relative to other actors’ activities or during
humanitarian assistance relative to the exacerbation of the humanitarian situation.

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transition from one operational posture to another to gain and maintain the
initiative. Commanders and their staff should anticipate adversarial actions and be
prepared well in advance. Commanders should develop the ability to decide and
act rapidly for the right and timely concentration of military capabilities and
massing effects to generate DCs. The ability to dictate the operational tempo
provides freedom of action and is key to bringing an adversary to its culmination
point while preventing the premature culmination of one’s own operation.

e. Branches and sequels. An essential step in the operations design process is to


anticipate eventualities that may occur during the course of an operation and
determine alternative LoOs and sequences of action, while still achieving the
objective. For every action there is a range of possible outcomes that may or may
not create the desired effects or the expected changes of conditions. Outcomes
that are more favourable than expected may present opportunities that can be
exploited. Outcomes that are worse than expected may pose risks that can be
mitigated. However, the ability to exploit opportunities and mitigate risks depends
on anticipating such situations and linking them to decision points and on
developing options for dealing with them. The commander and the OPG must
anticipate possible outcomes and ensure that options are provided in their
planning to preserve freedom of action to allow them to keep the initiative. This is
achieved by developing branches and sequels derived from continuously exposing
the operations design to questions, concerning situations that could possibly occur
during each phase of the operation

(1) Branches are options within a particular phase of an operation, which are
planned and conducted in response to an anticipated opportunity or risk within
that phase, to provide the flexibility to retain the initiative and ultimately achieve
the original objective. The planning of branches is sometimes referred to as
‘contingency options’ planning, which has to be well differentiated from the
contingency plan (COP) planning described in chapter 1. Branches address
the question of “what if”?

(2) Sequels are options for subsequent operations within an operation or the
following phase(s) of an operation. They are planned on the basis of the likely
outcome of the current operation or phase, to provide the flexibility to retain
the initiative and/or enhance operational tempo. Sequels address the question
of “what’s next?”

(3) Decision points. Decision points are events defined in time or space on which
the commander is expected to have to make a decision to ensure timely

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execution and synchronization of resources. Decision points can be linked to


assumptions and commander’s critical information requirements and they
should lead to the requirement for branches and sequels. They focus the
staff’s monitoring activities and help to prioritize the organization’s collection
efforts. To support the commander, the OPG should consider developing a
decision support matrix to link decision points with the earliest and latest time
a decision is required; the intelligence (the adversary or actor) requirements;
and the friendly force information requirements. Each branch from a decision
point requires different actions, and each action demands various follow-up
actions, such as sequels or potential sequels.

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Chapter 4 – The sequence of planning activities


Section 1 Introduction
4.1 The sequence of planning activities is a series of logical, sequential, analytical
processes, to examine a mission; develop, analyze, and compare alternative courses
of action (COAs); select the best COA; and produce a plan or order. Operational art
and the application of operations design provide the conceptual basis for structuring
operations as discussed in Chapter 3. The sequence of planning activities provides a
proven process to organize the work of the commander, staff, subordinate
commanders, and other partners, to develop plans that will appropriately address the
problem to be solved. It focuses on defining the military mission and developing and
synchronizing detailed plans to accomplish that mission.
The planning activities are:
 initiation;
 mission analysis;
 COA development;
 COA analysis;
 COA validation and comparison;
 commander’s COA decision;
 plan development.

4.2 Commanders and staffs apply the thinking methodology introduced in the previous
chapter to discern the correct mission, develop creative and adaptive COAs to
accomplish the mission, and synchronize actions so that they can be executed. It
applies to all levels of command when components are involved in operational-level
planning. Together with operations design, the planning activities facilitate interaction
between the commander, staff, and subordinate and supporting headquarters
throughout planning. They also help commanders and their staffs organize their
planning events, share a common understanding of the mission and commander’s
intent, and develop effective plans and orders.

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Section 2 Initiation

Table 4.1 – Initiation

Initiating directive and derived planning directive

4.3 Initiation, in its simplest terms, is the action or activity that causes another action,
activity or process. Planning for Alliance operations begins when an appropriate
authority recognizes potential for military capability to be employed in support of NATO
objectives or in response to a potential or actual crisis. It can be conducted as part of
advanced planning, crisis response, or execution planning. The political strategic level
initiates strategic planning by tasking the strategic commander to conduct a strategic
assessment and possibly to develop military response options. Military options
normally are developed in combination with other non-military options so that NATO
can respond under a comprehensive approach. Such procedure is covered by the
COPD. Once a military option is selected, operations planning will be initiated.

4.4 The strategic commander, subordinate and supporting commanders initiate planning
when directed by the higher authority. Analyses of the operating environment

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(developing or immediate crises) may result in initiating military planning through a


warning order or other planning directive. The commander and staff will perform an
initial assessment of the initiating directive and the higher commander’s planning
directive respectively. This will determine the time available until mission execution;
the current status of the joint intelligence preparation of the operating environment
(JIPOE) and other intelligence products and staff estimates; and other factors relevant
to the specific planning situation.19 The strategic and the operational-level commander
typically will provide initial planning guidance based upon current understanding of the
operating environment, the problem, and the politically directed mission. Initial
planning guidance could also specify time constraints, outline initial coordination
requirements, or authorize movement of key capabilities within a specific commander’s
authority.

4.5 While planning is continuous, once execution begins, planning re-initiation during
execution is particularly relevant if there are significant changes to the current mission
or planning assumptions; or the commander receives a mission for follow-on
operations.

Commander’s initial planning guidance

4.6 A planning timeline is needed to manage planning efforts and the identification of key
issues for consideration in the commander’s initial planning guidance. In particular, the
operations planning group (OPG) must evaluate the time available for planning,
including force generation, based on the worst case, and recommend adequate time
for planning and preparation at lower levels of command. As a guiding proportion,
when sequential planning is used, each headquarters (HQ) should plan to use not
more than one third of the time available to reach commanders’ decisions in order to
leave sufficient time for subordinates to develop their plans and prepare their forces.
In preparation of the commander’s initial planning guidance, the OPG also assists the
commander by considering and summarizing command group activities that could
impact planning as well as the requirement for the commander’s personal involvement
in planning milestones.

4.7 The commander will issue the commander’s initial planning guidance and a warning
order (or several warning orders). This guidance should cover:
 principal characteristics of the operation;
 issues to raise and clarify with the superior command;
 any appropriate applicable legal framework, current or anticipated;

19Other relevant factors include relevant doctrine, lessons identified and ongoing research and concept
development.

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 time critical requirements;


 coordination and cooperation requirements;
 liaison and planning team requirements (in and out);
 deployment of an operational liaison and reconnaissance team (OLRT);
 key timings;
 planning milestones
 warning order(s) to subordinate commands.

Liaison and reconnaissance team deployment

4.8 Once authorized, the early deployment of an operational liaison and reconnaissance
team materializes a means to conduct required reconnaissance and coordination in
the theatre to provide accurate and relevant intelligence products, in a simply manner,
towards enhancing situational understanding and awareness. This requires that the
commander designates a single authority for direction and tasking of the team, as well
as to establish and maintain effective communications for the exchange of information.
Accordingly, the OPG provides prioritized coordination and collection requirements to
confirm critical aspects of the mission analysis and key assumptions. Ideally, the
commander and key staff will visit the theatre to conduct high level coordination and
gain firsthand insights to acquire better knowledge and understanding of the operating
environment.

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Section 3 Mission analysis

Table 4.2 – Mission Analysis

4.9 The purpose of mission analysis is to analyze the strategic context in order to establish
precisely what the mission involves and where it fits in the bigger picture. This will
include:
 analysis of the strategic intent, the outcomes sought and related strategic
objectives;
 identifying the role of the joint force, key objectives and conditions to reach;
 identification of freedoms, limitations (constraints and restraints) and
assumptions that will apply and;
 identifying possible changes of the situation since initiation.

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The main outcome of this activity comprises the initial operations design20, the
planning guidance to the staff and to subordinate commands, both containing the
initial21 commander’s intent. This enables detailed planning.

Elements of the mission analysis

4.10 The mission analysis includes the following elements:


 refinement of the JIPOE;
 a detailed analysis of the mission and factors that will influence mission
accomplishment;
 the designing of the initial commander’s intent;
 the development of an overall operations design, including effects, lines of
operation (LoOs) and decisive conditions (DC);
 the formulation of the commander’s planning guidance towards the staff,
containing the initial intent, providing view and direction for the OPG developing
COAs;
 initial force estimates;
 the issue of the commander’s planning guidance to subordinate commanders
to formally initiate parallel tactical operations planning;
 forwarding of requests for information (RFIs), provisional rule-of-engagement
requests (ROEREQs) and recommendations for the authorization to declare
crisis response measures (CRMs);
 adapting initial commander´s critical information requirements (CCIRs).

Framing the problem

4.11 Strategic context review. Normally the designated commander and staff will have
been involved in the development of the strategic- level assessment of the crisis and
will share a common understanding of the situation. A review will update, as required,
the current state of the different actors’ systems that are part of the problem as well as
the features of the operating environment. Additional updates eventually needed:

a. Review of superior authorities’ directives. The initiating directive and higher


command planning directives set the boundaries of the problem to be solved and
the conditions that must be met to achieve objectives. The OPG will study these
directives and update their own analyses, as required.

20 The Comprehensive Operations Planning Directive (COPD) considers the operations design consisting of
two distinct parts: the operational framework and the commander’s (initial) intent.
21 The commander’s intent is of initial nature first and will be refined later in the planning process, as outcome

of the course of action decision activity.

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b. Collection and review of historical analysis, lessons learned and relevant


doctrine. Many situations have historic precedents that share similarities with
other recent situations. Historical studies and analysis may provide lessons that
are instructive in understanding the current strategic context and how to deal with
it. Additionally, commanders and staff should consult the existing doctrine portfolio
for guidance.

4.12 Appreciation and refinement of the JIPOE. The commander and the staff will
continue to develop their estimates on the operating environment as more information
becomes available. This process is aiming at a holistic picture of the operating
environment.

4.13 Evaluation of actors. Based on the JIPOE, the OPG validates or determines the
opposing and neutral actors they need to influence and friendly actor relationships
needed to establish the conditions required to achieve the strategic objectives.

a. Goals and objectives of each actor. Analysis of the political goals and likely end
state for each actor and assessment of likely objectives to be achieved by the use
of military force.

b. Primary and supporting instruments of power. Review of the systems that


contribute to the main instruments of power that each actor seeks to leverage to
influence other actors and systems.

c. System interaction, interdependencies, influences and vulnerabilities.


Analysis of the strengths and weaknesses of the main actors and systems in terms
of the capacity to influence other actors and systems and to be influenced based
on their vulnerabilities and interdependencies. Identification of, and focus on,
critical relationships. This includes system of system analysis (SoSA) to analyze
how systems are connected and how they interact in order to better understand
the dynamics of the operating environment.

d. Military, security forces and other organized armed groups/capabilities.


Assessment of the strengths and weaknesses in the ability of each actor to achieve
its objectives. In particular, its capabilities and capacity to use force in time and
space with relation to the current order of battle and disposition of the different
actors.

e. Assessment of possible activities. Based on strategy, operational doctrine,


intelligence and recent operations (the assessed strategic objectives and the
military means available), the planning staff assesses the full range of the

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adversaries’ possible activities and could evaluate them in terms of the most likely
and most dangerous COA. The staff should assess the likely response of each
actor to possible NATO military action, including the likelihood and the nature of
any responses using military force and/or other forms of violence.

4.14 Factor analysis and key factors. As identified in the previous analysis of the
operating environment and main actors, the OPG possesses a broad understanding
of actors with operational impact. The OPG should examine specific aspects, facts or
conditions of the operating environment and the capabilities, goals and relationships
between actors to determine their impact on operational success. It will consider the
effects of the operating environment on the main actors as well as on NATO forces as
they interact in time, space and information. The deductions and conclusions gained
from this analysis are critical to setting the boundaries and the “realm of the possible”
within which solutions must be developed. An example is depicted in Table 4.3. To
assist completion of the mission analysis and the development of an operations
design, the OPG also needs to determine and analyze those key factors that will have
a direct bearing on what may have to be accomplished in the area of operations and
under what conditions. These key factors will be presented during the mission analysis
brief.

Table 4.3 Factor analysis

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Analyze the mission

4.15 The commander is personally engaged in the mission analysis validating the
descending results. The OPG will analyze the factors related to the strategic context
and the operating environment, review the framing of the problem, make deductions
about mission implications and draw conclusions related to the mission requirements
that must be addressed in planning. The following aspects will normally be considered:

4.16 Orientation towards higher and lower levels of command. The purpose of
continuous orientation towards higher and lower levels command is to:

a. translate the higher commander’s intents and contextualize them for the own level
in order to drive the commander's thinking to understand, visualize, describe and
direct the operation.

b. direct subordinate commanders’ activities through guidance, information and


coordination.

4.17 Operational objectives and criteria of success. Based on the mission analysis the
commander and the staff share a clear understanding of the operational conditions
that must be established and sustained, as well as the actors and systems that must
change. The evaluation of the main actors/systems and the analysis of their centres
of gravity (CoGs) provide additional insight into what changes in the behaviour and
capabilities of specific actors/systems may be required. Focus should be on linking the
operational objectives to the strategic objectives and the end state established by the
political level. On the basis of the operational objectives the OPG determines the
criteria for success. Criteria for success describe the desired system states in an
ascertainable way. The desired system changes based on desired effects resulting
from actions are assessed based on measures of effectiveness (MOEs) and measures
of performance (MOPs).

4.18 Centre of gravity identification and analysis. CoG identification and analysis help
commanders and their staff to focus their planning effort because it helps identify how
actors’ will and primary ability might be influenced in order to achieve NATO objectives.
While commanders and their staff should focus on CoGs at their own level of
command, they must be aware of higher-level CoGs and their relationship to own-level
CoGs. If higher-level CoGs are not already identified, the commander should start by
identifying and analyzing higher level CoGs, including both moral and physical
strategic CoGs. Already identified CoGs should be validated and the analyses
refined/revised, since CoGs and their critical capabilities, requirements and
vulnerabilities may change as the situation changes. They should analyze all actors

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with central interests in the conflict, and establish the conditions of each actor’s CoGs
(strategic and operational) that must exist to achieve NATO objectives; it is a natural
extension of the previously described analyses activities. Key insights from the
analysis of CoGs should contribute to the development of the main ideas for the
operation and should be captured in the conclusion as objectives, decisive conditions,
effects, actions, rules of engagement (ROE) (to prevent undesired states and effects),
CCIRs, etc.. When conducting CoG analysis, identification of the friendly CoG (from
both adversarial and own perspectives) will inform the commander of potential
adversary’s courses of action and assist in developing the plan. Although CoG analysis
is initiated in mission analysis, it is not related to a specific planning activity. Rather, it
is a continuous, iterative process that must continue throughout planning and conduct
of the operation, as collaborative planning by multiple levels of command. Annex B
describes how to identify CoGs, it presents a CoG analysis model, and it offers a
method for using CoG analysis in the planning process.

4.19 Developing assumptions. There will be some gaps in knowledge and information at
this point, such as the current conditions of the information environment or the reaction
of main actors to the involvement of NATO. In such cases, certain assumptions will be
made as a basis for further planning. To be valid, an assumption must be logical,
realistic and necessary for the planning to continue. Assumptions must never assume
away critical problems, such as dealing with adversarial capabilities or assuming
unrealistic friendly capabilities or successes. Each assumption needs to have a risk
evaluation and to determine any requirement for a branch or sequel.

4.20 Determining critical operational requirements. During the mission analysis the
OPG analyzes the main JIPOE products and updates available, as well as
assessments and advice at hand to identify critical operational requirements across
the joint functions including:

a. Critical capabilities, support and resources requirements. These capture


military capabilities (abilities), sustainment and strategic support required to
accomplish the mission.

b. Strategic communications requirements. The OPG coordinates with higher


level planners, including public affairs, information operations and psychological
operations, to analyze and to assess the information environment in order to
develop strategic communications (StratCom) objectives including themes and
messages based on the given StratCom guidance. The OPG will identify
audiences for North Atlantic Council (NAC) approval, including decision-makers
who may be engaged by Alliance information activities.

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c. Pre-conditions for success. Identification of any essential conditions that must


be established to allow operational success but are beyond the influence of the
commander.

d. Information and intelligence requirements. The mission analysis will highlight


gaps in the critical information required for subsequent command decisions. These
requirements are expressed with the CCIRs. CCIRs cover all aspects of the
commander’s concern including friendly forces information requirement (FFIR),
essential elements of friendly information (EEFI) and the priority intelligence
requirements (PIRs).

e. Crisis response measures (CRMs). The identified operational requirements may


call for the request and implementation of CRMs to ensure that necessary
preparations are made and that capabilities will be ready and available. Many
CRMs are intended to complement operations planning, force activation and
deployment procedures. The concerned CRMs may range from those designed to
enhance the Alliance’s preparedness, including preparation, activation and
deployment of forces to those initiating particular military actions (e.g. “Report
Strategic Military Lift Available” with the aim to identify the potential availability of
military lift resources, which could be made available where appropriate, for intra-
and interregional movements).

4.21 Determining requirements for complementary interaction with relevant


international and national actors. Requirements for the use of non-military means
to create desired effects are captured during mission analysis and, if possible and
authorized, addressed with cooperating organizations during planning. This may
include requirements for complementary non-military actions in support, in
coordination, or at least, in de-confliction of military action, and reverse for critical non-
military activities.

4.22 Limitations on operational freedom of action. The mission analysis seeks to


identify any limitations on the commander’s freedom of action in accomplishing the
mission. Limitations include constraints and restraints. These may be imposed by
international law, the mandate, caveats of troop- contributing nations (TCNs) or by
NATO political or military authorities. However, they may also be determined by
operational factors that will dictate the time, space and forces to be used.

4.23 Risk assessment and tolerance. During the mission analysis, the commander
identifies, analyzes and evaluates any risks (in terms of the probability and severity)
to the accomplishment of the required objectives which result from the operating
environment or the capabilities and actions of the main actors. To aid the design

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process the commander expresses their risk appetite and risk tolerance to give
guidance to the risk management process.

Development of the initial operations design

4.24 The constituting concepts that allow the development of operations design were
detailed in Chapter 3. Operations design provides the critical link between operational
problems to be solved and the required operational outcomes. It takes the results of
framing the problem, conducted during the analysis of the operating environment and
the mission, and develops and refines the commander’s vision. It applies operational
art in transforming the unacceptable operational situation at the start of the operation
by establishing DCs via their constituting effects along different LoOs. These LoOs will
lead to the accomplishment of operational and strategic objectives and attainment of
the end state. The operations design provides a conceptual overview of the entire
operation and is fundamental to:
 communicate the commander’s vision of the operation and the initial intent;
 provide the common basis for the development of courses of action;
 integrate, synchronize, coordinate, prioritize and allocate capabilities for the
operation over time;
 assess progress of the operation;
 refine plans to deal with foreseen and unforeseen events;
 develop initial ideas for transition and termination of the operation.

4.25 Determining lines of operation. Operations may be planned using LoOs to arrange
operations in time, space or purpose to transform specific unacceptable conditions at
the start of the operation to conditions required to achieve operational and strategic
objectives. These required conditions often relate to opposing, own and other key
actors’ CoGs. The determination of LoOs will shape the development of the plan as
well as the conduct of operations.

4.26 Conditions to be established and selection of decisive conditions. The


operational objectives will contribute to establishing the conditions that must be
achieved to attain the end state. Therefore the OPG analyzes these conditions in the
context of the different actor systems and their interaction to determine the conditions
that must be established and sustained in the operations area. Along any LoO it is
necessary to determine the sequence in which DCs must be established to focus the
effort required to achieve one or more operational and strategic objectives. When
specific sustainable states of the situation are determined to be critical to gaining or
retaining freedom of action or to the accomplishment of the objective, they may be
designated as DCs. The conclusions drawn from CoG analysis should highlight the

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effects deemed important for generating the required condition of the key actors’
CoGs.

4.27 Determining the actor systems to be influenced and the effects to be generated.
The OPG examines the entire operating environment and identifies relevant actors to
determine precisely which of these systems/system elements can be influenced by
military means. This set will be refined to focus on actors or groups to support the
actions and effects required to achieve the desired operational conditions and
objectives. It will also identify requirements for contributions by non-military means and
for possible military contribution to required non-military effects.

4.28 Determining actions to support the effects. The OPG examines actions to be
carried out by the joint force to create desired effects. The OPG may consider single
action or coordinated actions, in parallel or sequenced, against determined system
elements to be influenced, involving selected joint and component capabilities.

4.29 Evaluation of alternatives and selection of the operations design. The OPG
discusses alternatives to the operations design with the commander and provides its
recommendations. The commander will decide on the LoOs as well as on the DCs
seen along each LoO. The commander will use LoOs to designate and shift the main
effort during the course of the operation and use DCs to coordinate operations in
cooperation with relevant national and international actors. Therefore, when finalizing
the operations design, the commander may seek advice from the subordinate
commanders and representatives from cooperating relevant national and international
actors.

4.30 The initial commander’s intent reflects the commander‘s vision of the purpose of the
operation and envisioned objectives. The initial intent will:
 establish the purpose of the main operational activities in terms of the
conditions and objectives that the commander intends to achieve;
 indicate whether the main operational activities are being conducted
concurrently or sequentially;
 identify risks accepted or not accepted;
 conclude by relating the commander’s intent to the higher level objectives.

Production of force estimates

4.31 Once the operations design is completed there will be two tasks to finalize the situation
and problem analysis:
 the estimate of the force and capability requirements; and
 the establishment of the commander’s planning guidance.

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4.32 Initial force/ capability requirements. The mission analysis will have identified
critical operational capabilities requirements, while the development of the operations
design will have identified additional requirements as well as the general sequence
and areas for employment. On this basis, the OPG will conduct a high level troops-to-
actions analysis to identify the major force/capabilities, including the assessment of
peacetime establishment (PE) augmentation from NATO Command Structure (NCS),
NATO force structure and nations required for the operation. The process is simply to
update the estimate of required operational capabilities based on the mission analysis
and to compare it with the force capability requirements provided in the higher
command’s directive. This will allow identification of any significant differences that
may reflect an imbalance between required outcomes and the means likely to be
available. Significant issues may constitute an operational risk and should be brought
to the attention of the commander.

4.33 Command, control, communication and information requirements. The OPG and
the communications staff will work together with the component/subordinate command
liaison to establish the basic command and control (C2) requirements based on the
mission analysis and operational factors, determining:

a. Theatre and operations area requirements. This is to estimate the area required
to conduct and support operations and considerations should be based on the
conclusions drawn from time – space – force requirements with respect to the
necessary lines of communications (LOC), entry points and operating areas.

b. Required command and control functions and locations. This step is to


assess what tasks will be accomplished, where and by what kind of forces.

c. Geographical and functional areas of responsibility. The commanders will


make preliminary estimates about their requirements to organize their C2 structure
based on geographical and functional areas of responsibility.

d. Critical liaison and coordination requirements. The location of international


and governmental authorities in the area may require a permanent high level C2
presence that influences C2 requirements.

e. Span of control. While some of the structure will be given to the commander and
fixed, commanders need to ensure that they can conduct effective C2 of the whole
force for the entire operation. This may require adjusting the C2 arrangements
during the operation.

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f. Communication and information systems points of presence. Depending on


the theatre location and communication and information systems (CIS)
infrastructure in place, the commander may have to rely on deployable CIS, with
its inherent limitations, which will influence the number of deployed HQ locations.

g. Required communication security, which may lead to a more complex or two-


fold communication architecture.

h. Required frequencies. As frequency management planning and coordination is


critical to ensure communication interoperability and to avoid electromagnetic
interference, the commander will have to ensure strategic frequency management
planning and coordination is performed at the required government and military
levels.

i. Development of requests for the higher command. This is to address issues


that require action at the higher level, clearly stating those conditions that must be
created at higher levels to allow for success of own activities including but not
limited to: requests for additional CRMs and ROE; pre-conditions for success;
recommendations on theatre and joint operations area; critical liaison and
coordination requirements; command and control requirements.

Validation of mission analysis and operations design

4.34 The commander validates the results of the mission analysis and the operations
design, including the risk assessment. The validation usually takes place during the
mission analysis briefing (MAB) the staff provides. Consequently, the commander
takes ownership of:
 mission;
 perception of the objectives at own level, the criteria for success, decisive
conditions and effects;
 operations design in terms of LoOs and the sequence of required decisive
conditions in different phases of the operation;
 most likely and most dangerous adversarial COAs with related CoG(s), in
broad terms, which are to be developed as a basis for planning;
 risk assessment and risk tolerance.

4.35 Restated mission. The restated mission is a simple, concise expression of the
essential tasks the unit must accomplish and the purpose to be achieved. The mission
statement states who (the unit), what (the task), when (either the critical time or on
order), where (location), and why (the purpose of the operation). The commander will
also confirm (or adjust) the initial commander’s intent.

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Commander’s planning guidance

4.36 Guidance for courses of action development. The commander will provide
sufficient guidance to the OPG to allow them to work efficiently in developing own
COAs within the time available. The level of detail in the guidance typically depends
on the nature of the mission, the operational circumstances, especially the time
available, and the experience of the staff. In all circumstances, the commander should:
 specify adversarial actions and estimated COAs to be considered;
 establish commander´s COA selection criteria for COA development and
selection;
 describe in broad terms the COAs the commander wants to develop;
 direct the OPG to focus its efforts on developing a single COA due to the
urgency and nature of the situation.

4.37 The commander will issue the commander’s planning guidance to the staff and to
subordinate commanders to provide them with operational output from the mission
analysis and to provide the necessary direction to formally initiate planning at the
tactical level. In addition, the commander will issue a warning order (or several warning
orders) to subordinate commanders.

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Section 4 Courses of action development

Table 4.4 – Courses of action development

4.38 The purpose of this activity is to identify how to achieve objectives and what needs to
be done for it, by developing a set of tentative COAs. All tentative COAs should enable
effective mission accomplishment in accordance with the commander’s intent and the
commander’s planning guidance. This activity may be a collaborative planning effort
between the OPG and planners at higher level to produce coherent broad COAs to
preserve a common context during the further development. The prerequisites are: the
restated mission and initial operations design which provide the common basis for the
development of COAs; and the commander’s planning guidance, including the
commander’s initial intent and guidance for COA development and selection. COA
development begins with a review of the commander’s planning guidance as a basis
for updating functional staff checks and analyses as required. The focus is on
developing tentative COAs starting with the adversary’s COAs. Initially, COAs are
described in broad terms then tested for viability.

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Adversarial courses of action and other factors affecting courses of action


development

4.39 Evaluation of adversarial courses of action. Before developing COAs, the OPG
must appreciate the COAs open to the adversary. The intelligence staff will refine their
estimate of adversarial COAs, including the most likely and most dangerous COAs for
each adversary separately and combined COAs for multiple opposing actors as
appropriate. This analysis provides the OPG with a more dynamic understanding of
the adversary’s capabilities, as well as the inherent risks to their own mission. The
development of own COAs takes into consideration possible adversarial actions and
the opportunities to influence the adversary’s decision-making through military and
non-military actions, including sound and coherent StratCom, under following
conditions:
 prior to any public announcement of NATO intervention;
 after a public announcement of NATO intervention until the initial entry of NATO
forces;
 after the initial entry of NATO forces until the full build-up of forces;
 after the full build-up of forces.

The evaluation of adversarial courses of action also provides insight into the opposing
elements including the following:

 adversary’s decisive conditions;


 critical intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance capabilities;
 adversarial forces networks, infrastructure, critical C2 nodes, key leaders, and
decision makers (including identification of the adversarial moral strategic
CoG);
 high value targets.

4.40 Consideration/confirmation of the actions of non-adversary actors. Prior to


developing own COAs, the OPG also develops a common understanding of the
actions of relevant national and international actors in the theatre to avoid adversely
impacting their actions or own COAs, and to enhance interaction with them. This
includes identifying and analyzing their CoGs. Ideally, liaison elements of these actors
represent and confirm their activities, including where coordination, cooperation and
mutual support are required to create positive effects.

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Development of own courses of action

4.41 A COA describes the employment of specific forces and capabilities in a sequence of
actions within the assigned area, e.g. the joint operations area or an area of operation.
The development of COAs applies creativity in determining the realm of the possible
while staying within the commander’s intent and the operations design. Typically, the
OPG will form teams to produce ideas for possible COAs and to develop tentative
COAs. Tentative COAs will be tested for viability and selected for review with the
commander, who will decide which options will be further developed and evaluated
through analysis and wargaming, as a basis for recommending a COA.

4.42 Development and consolidation of tentative courses of action. Within the


parameters of the commander’s guidance and the results of the mission analysis, the
staff will develop suitable courses of action for testing. They will make use of
appropriate functional expertise (like the operations framework with its joint core
activities: shape; engage; exploit; protect; and sustain; see AJP-01). Originality and
imagination are encouraged to produce the least predictable feasible COAs.
Throughout this process, it will be important to maintain focus on the commander’s
intent, the identified decisive conditions and objectives from operations design. During
development, for each COA the staff will want to:
 consider how tasks can be completed down two levels of command;
 elaborate the likely phases and sequencing, including main and supporting
efforts;
 identify initial missions for subordinate commands; and
 describe the outline command arrangements, including any supported/
supporting relationships.

4.43 Tentative COAs should illustrate the:


 sequence and purpose of the main actions required to create the required DCs
through generating desired effects;
 system/system elements at which actions are directed, including key actors’
CoGs and related critical vulnerabilities;
 main forces/capabilities across the joint functions required to carry out the main
actions and to create the desired effects. The primary entity/force required is
designated own CoG for that tentative COA; update/revise initial own CoG
identification and analysis as required;
 required complementary non-military actions;
 outline of information activities.

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4.44 Test viability of each COA. After the tentative COAs have been developed, they
should be tested for viability using the six criteria listed below. Any COA that does not
meet all criteria should be adjusted to meet the criteria or rejected and not be
presented to the commander.

a. Feasibility. Is the COA possible, given the time, space and resources likely to be
available and does it fit the operating environment?

b. Acceptability. Are the likely achievements from the COA worth the expected costs
in terms of forces deployed, resources expended, casualties suffered, collateral
effects, media and public reaction and levels of risk (using insights from the
analysis of own CoG related to the tentative COA)?

c. Completeness. Is the COA complete? Does the COA answer the questions of
when, who, what, why, where and (to a limited extent) how?

d. Consistency with NATO Doctrine. Does the COA implement Allied Joint Doctrine
in an appropriate way?

e. Exclusivity. Is the COA sufficiently varied from other COAs to clearly differentiate
its comparative advantages and disadvantages?

f. Suitability. Does the COA accomplish the mission and comply with the planning
guidance?

4.45 Commander’s guidance for the refinement of tentative courses of action. Before
the OPG commits to developing a set of COAs in detail, it will review proposed COAs
with the commander to ensure they meet expectations. Tentative COAs along with any
other relevant information and questions will be briefed to the commander in a concise
and logically sequenced manner. This provides an early opportunity for the
commander to focus efforts and to influence further COA development by ruling out or
adding any COAs or modifying elements of a COA. The commander may modify
criteria for the development and selection of COAs; it is critical at this stage that the
OPG reviews these criteria and discuss them as necessary with the commander.
These criteria should reflect what the commander considers to be most important
based on factors such as the guidance and direction received in the higher
commander’s directive, LoOs, DCs and known risks.

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Section 5 Courses of action analysis

Table 4.5 – Courses of action analysis

4.46 The purpose of COA analysis is to evaluate each COA based on the commander’s
guidance, reaffirm their viability, and refine the COAs before they can be validated and
compared during the next planning activity. The final product of this activity is a series
of COAs derived from a comprehensive, logical cross-functional evaluation and
synchronization. This series is then ready for comparison and validation in the next
step. Course of action analysis will partly be a collaborative planning effort between
the operational-level and the tactical-level planners to produce coordinated COAs.
COA analysis begins with a review of the COAs as a basis for further refinement. The
focus is on scrutinizing the initial COAs in a cross-functional manner by the entire staff.
These COAs are also coordinated with subordinate commands and refined through
their analysis. Finally they are evaluated by means of wargaming and synchronized.
Key outcomes of this activity are:

a. Outline concept of operations. It features the following attributes:


 the logical sequence and main purpose of operations to be achieved in clearly
defined phases;

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 when, where and in what sequence operations will be carried out to create
desired effects and resulting DCs;
 the main and supporting efforts;
 effects to support DCs and actions to support those effects;
 operational reserve;
 StratCom themes and messages;
 required complementary non-military actions.

b. Missions and objectives for subordinate commands. These must be


developed in conjunction with subordinate commanders; the commander and the
OPG lead this collaborative process.

c. Task organization - force/capability requirements two levels down (i.e. one level
below components/subordinate commands), based on an initial troops-to-actions
analysis for mission-essential tasks for each component/subordinate command;
supporting/supported relationships in the task organization; any significant
changes in the task organization between phases.

d. Operational graphics and timelines - illustrate the spatial aspects of the COA
by phase and the sequencing of key tasks by subordinates for each phase of the
operation, including other key events and opposing actions.

Analysis and synchronization of courses of action

4.47 COA analysis provides an opportunity for the OPG to examine each COA from different
functional perspectives to identify inherent advantages and disadvantages, as well as
to determine key aspects to be evaluated in wargaming such as: high pay-off targets;
risks and a tentative set of risk management actions; decision points for required
branches and sequels.

4.48 Synchronize courses of action. During the analysis, coherence across the different
forces and functions should be achieved for each of the COAs. The different force
elements’ actions and functions can be harmonized to create synergies. A
synchronization matrix (or other visual aids) may be of great help. Such visualization
should be refined during plan development, and later on included in the operation plan
(OPLAN).

4.49 Troops-to-actions analysis. This analysis seeks to determine the military capabilities
and capacities required to execute the COA by phase of the operation and under the
conditions expected within the operating environment. It provides essential detail to
the task organization for the determination of deployment feasibility and the conduct

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of wargaming. Inputs are required from subordinate commands; however, the


commander and the OPG must lead and coordinate the process to optimize joint force
employment. A typical sequence of analysis is:

a. Determination of the optimum employment of joint capabilities for each action and
the desired effects for each phase.

b. Establishment of the most effective mix of component, C2 and CIS capabilities and
update of the task organization.

c. Estimation of the most effective and efficient theatre and component-level


capabilities to support the joint force. NATO and nations have a collective
responsibility for logistic support. However, nations have the ultimate responsibility
for equipping their forces and for ensuring, individually or by collective
arrangements, the provision of required logistics resources and capabilities to
support the forces assigned to NATO during peace, crisis and conflict.

d. Preparation of a draft combined joint statement of requirements (CJSOR) focusing


on the required capabilities by phase.

e. Assessment, in coordination with cooperating relevant national and international


actors, of potential requirements for the support of relevant national and
international actors, in accordance with the commander’s planning guidance.

4.50 Deployment feasibility. Experts in the OPG should develop an estimate of the
feasible deployment of the main forces based on their assumed readiness to forecast
their potential arrival in the theatre and assigned areas.22

Wargaming

4.51 Wargaming of the courses of action. Wargaming is an instrument designed to


develop and improve COAs. It should be used, whenever time permits, in order to
evaluate the potential of a COA to accomplish the mission against foreseen
counteraction with respect to the different adversarial COAs, as well as to identify and
correct deficiencies. However, the real value is its ability to permit the commander and
the staff to visualize the conduct of operations and gain insight into opposing
capabilities and actions, as well as conditions in the operating environment.
Wargaming should also help identify necessary coordinating measures, potential risks
and opportunities, which may drive the need for branches and sequels to counter or

22The Allied Movements Coordination Centre at SHAPE is in charge of coordinating strategic movements of
the force taking consideration of those operational recommendations.

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exploit such situations, as well as decisive conditions (and their constituting effects)
for the commander to take action. In addition, wargaming synchronizes the joint
elements of an operation. Ideally, each own-force COA should be war gamed against
the ‘most likely’ and ‘most dangerous’ adversarial COAs. While there are benefits to
wargaming, it must be noted that it may be cost, manpower and time intensive.

4.52 General preconditions. Some preconditions have to be met, without which


wargaming will fail or only achieve biased results:

a. Well prepared staff must be available. Special wargaming personnel should be


appointed, e.g. a wargaming director and a wargaming coordinator. They will be
responsible for the preparation and the conduct in terms of contents and
organization.

b. Constraints and restraints for the own conduct of operations as well as for the
adversarial forces’ COAs assumed have to be identified.

c. Operational analysis (OA) is desirable but may not be possible, especially in a


deployed HQ. Therefore OA is not a mandatory pre-condition for conducting
wargaming, but it is described here for completeness. OA includes not only the
development and application of mathematical models, statistical analyses and
simulations but also the application of expertise and experience for the
determination of quantitative factors for own and adversarial COAs. The results
indicate trends and tendencies, and as such are only one factor to be considered.
The quality of these trends and tendencies depends on the quality of the initial
factors. These models simplify reality, which is especially true for asymmetrical
scenarios. The scope of OA has to be agreed upon between the coordinator, the
head of the OPG, and the OA experts. If available and time allows, wargaming can
benefit from OA support from the very beginning, whether it is conducted in a
computer-based or manual manner.

4.53 Wargaming options. The coordinator, with the approval of the head of the OPG,
decides which method will be applied. There are three basic wargaming options:

a. By phases (Figure 4.1) - play out critical activities by phase against the desired
outcomes of each phase.

(1) Advantages:
 method corresponds to human thought patterns;
 suitability for proving critical phases.

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(2) Disadvantage:
 less operations design oriented.

(3) Risks:
 distraction by tactical discussions;
 focus only on one phase; reduced view on the operations design.

Figure 4.1 - Wargaming phases

b. To set decisive conditions (Figure 4.2) - play out critical activities for setting DCs.

(1) Advantages:
 test of the operations design and the synchronization matrix;
 method supports the identification of branches and sequels (decision points);
 less time-consuming;
 measurable outcomes.

(2) Disadvantages:
 less linear and logical;
 high intellectual investment required.

(3) Risk:
 neglect of the most likely/most dangerous COA.

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Figure 4.2 – Wargaming decisive conditions

c. In segments of the operating environment (Figure 4.3) - play out critical activities
in specific areas.

(1) Advantage:
 good suitability for large areas.

(2) Disadvantages:
 time-consuming;
 lack of interactivity between area portions.

(3) Risks:
 neglect of the joint approach;
 reduced view on the operations design.

Figure 4.3 – Wargaming segments of the operating environment

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4.54 Preparing and conducting wargaming. This involves determining: the desired
outcome, the method and scope of the game; and the players and supporting
functional participants of the game. The operational situation must be prepared, tools
for manual or computer assisted simulation and analysis, and rules need to be
established. The conduct of wargaming is determined largely by the desired outcomes,
selected method and the scope. Wargaming will include:

a. Setting conditions. An introduction to set the conditions (the aspects of the


operating environment) affecting the operation.

b. Wargaming moves. A series of ‘game cycles’ considering the action - reaction -


counter-action, starting with the friendly forces action after being briefed that the
adversary (opposing forces (OPFOR)) has the initiative. A simplified depiction is
given in Figure 4.4 and complementary Figure 4.4.1.

c. Required products. For conducting wargaming a complete COA should be


developed. Therefore, following products, including force and capabilities, should
be prepared: Phase chart (including description of phase, decisive conditions to
be achieved, effects and actions, decision points, CCIRs, risks, priority of effort,
start and end), synchronization matrix, initial operations design, commander’s
selection criteria, and the operational timeline.

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Figure 4.4 - Conduct of wargaming

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Fig. 4.4.1 – Illustration of a cycle within wargaming moves

4.55 Assessment and recording of overall results. An assessment of probable results


of any action - reaction - counter-action typically follows each game cycle within a
cognition phase and is used to set conditions for succeeding game cycles. The
cognition phase includes, for example, the provision of a final contribution to the
wargaming cycle by components’ liaison officers (LOs) and functional subject matter
experts; provision of an overview by operations assessment experts on effects or
decisive conditions achieved or not; determination of the resulting conclusions by the
wargaming referee; revision of the conclusions (i.e. opportunities and risks identified,
any mitigation required leading to adjustments of the COA, branch plans, sequels,
decision points or CCIRs by each team-scribe); conclusion of the wargaming cycle by
wargaming director. An illustration is given in Figure 4.5. Observations and
conclusions drawn are recorded in line with the purpose. Typically, these include:
 refinements to the COA and correction of deficiencies;
 additional force/capability requirements;

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 casualty estimation;
 synchronization requirements;
 significant risks and opportunities encountered against adversarial COAs;
 decision points, branches and sequels required;
 decisive conditions and supporting CCIRs;
 updates/revisions of the CoG analyses of key actors, and related inputs to
required conditions of CoGs, decisive conditions, CCIRs, ROE, etc.;
 other lessons identified;
 refinement of actions/measures of performance and effects/measures of
effectiveness wording by assessment staff.

Figure 4.5 – Move results, assessment, conclusions

4.56 These overall results have to be integrated into the next planning activity ‘COA
validation and comparison’. If during the assessment findings can be confirmed as
factual conclusions, meaning confirmed facts, these can be entered into a
synchronization matrix.

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Section 6 Courses of action validation and comparison

Table 4.6 – Courses of action validation and comparison

Comparison of courses of action and risk assessment

4.57 COAs are compared in different contexts:


 by comparing their inherent advantages and disadvantages;
 by comparing them against the commander’s COA selection criteria;
 by comparing their performance/risks against adversarial COAs.

4.58 Based on these different comparisons, the OPG validates the efficiency of the
individual COAs for mission accomplishment and then will prioritize and recommend
the COA with the highest probability for mission success (success regarding the
achievement of the objectives) within acceptable risks and costs (human, materiel,
financial).

a. COAs advantages and disadvantages. The OPG consolidates the advantages


and disadvantages found during the initial analysis of each COA, as well as those
revealed during wargaming. The process of comparing these should seek
consistency by using the same set and weight of criteria across the different COAs.

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b. COAs against the commander’s selection criteria. The commander has guided
the development of COAs by issuing the commander`s COA selection criteria.
Therefore, all COAs should meet these criteria. However, COAs will differ as to
how well they satisfy them. The OPG will compare these differences using
whatever method23 the commander prefers.

c. Assessment of friendly COAs against adversarial COAs. Based on the results


of wargaming, the OPG should rate how well each COA coped with the most likely
and most dangerous adversarial COAs. They should indicate the expected
effectiveness, likely costs and potential risks for each combination.

d. COAs risk assessment.24 The final COA risk assessment provides the OPG a
way to compare the risks for each COA against specific operational outcomes
(operational objectives, decisive conditions, desired effects, etc.), as well as how
those risks could be mitigated, including requirements for branches and sequels.
There will be one table per COA per risk against specified operational outcome.
The table results have to be compiled in order to show the total risk for the
scrutinized COA.

23 Methods could be: narrative – using free text; one word descriptors – like good/medium/bad; numerical
rating – with an assessed cardinal number value; rank ordering – with an ordinal number, or +/0/- as qualifying
attribute.
24 See AJP-3 Annex D on risk for more details.

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Table 4.7 - Courses of action risk assessment

4.59 Risk assessment matrix. The risk of any particular event occurring within a COA may
be plotted on a matrix, as the one at Table 4.7, showing risk probability versus severity.

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An activity or event may, for example, be classified with a high probability of


occurrence (i.e. likely), and with a high severity level if the event occurs (i.e. high risk)
- overall, a high risk score. To support COA development and analysis from the start,
commanders may draw their own risk tolerance line, to provide broad guidance rather
than a prescriptive rule to be followed. In spite of the constructs shown above, COA
comparison remains a subjective process and should not be turned into a
mathematical equation. The key element in this process is the ability to articulate to
the commander why one COA is preferred over another.

Table 4.8- Risk assessment matrix

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Section 7 Commander’s course of action decision

Table 4.9 – Course of action decision

4.60 The purpose of this activity is to gain a commander’s decision on a chosen COA and
then (further) refine this COA as the future core of the concept of operations
(CONOPS). The prerequisites for commencement of this phase are: a set of prioritized
COAs; the staff recommended COA; the COA selection rationale; the commander’s
personal analysis having earlier led to the COA selection criteria. The desired outputs
are: commander's COA selection; COA modifications; a refined commander’s intent
and the commander’s operational planning directive. These will then be inputs to the
CONOPS development in the subsequent step.

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Commander’s course of action decision and additional guidance

4.61 The OPG presents its comparison of COAs to the commander with a coordinated staff
recommendation. This is typically accomplished by means of a briefing to the
commander, but could also be provided in written form. This briefing often takes the
form of a decision briefing that is focused on a few alternatives, between which the
commander can make a selection. The information provided could then also include
the current status of the joint force; the current JIPOE; and assumptions used in the
COA development. The staff normally uses the wargaming evaluation criteria to brief
the commander on the COA comparison and the analysis and wargaming results,
including a review of important supporting information. The presentation must ensure
the commander has optimum information upon which to base the decision; detailed
enough to identify focal points but summarized for effectiveness and brevity. The
commander will coordinate with the subordinate commanders and solicit their advice,
especially during time-compressed crisis response planning.

4.62 The commander selects a COA based upon the staff recommendations and their
personal estimate, experience, and judgment. The commander may:
 accept a COA in full;
 accept a COA with modifications;
 decide for merging two or more COAs;
 order the investigation/development of a new COA.

4.63 The essential results of the commander’s COA decision are:


 clear direction on the COA to be refined as well as required branches and
sequels;
 additional guidance and milestones for the development of the CONOPS;
 issues to be raised with the higher commander;
 priority issues requiring liaison, coordination or reconnaissance in-theatre;
 coordination required with relevant national and international actors;
 expression of the commander’s refined intent;
 guidance for the development of the commander’s operational planning
directive.

Selected course of action refinement and commander’s refined intent

4.64 When taking the COA decision the commander should lay down the rationale for the
decision including the acceptance of risks. Once the commander has selected a COA,
the staff will begin the refinement process of that COA for two purposes: Firstly, the
COA has to be adjusted per any final guidance from the commander. Secondly, the

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selected COA has to be prepared to contribute to the refined commander’s intent. For
the latter purpose, the staff will apply a final ‘acceptability’ check. The staff refines the
commander’s COA selection in terms of:

a. developing a brief statement that clearly and concisely sets forth the COA selected
and provides only whatever information is necessary to develop a plan for the
operation.

b. describing of what the force is to do as a whole, and as much of the elements of


when, where, why and how as may be appropriate.

c. clarifying the commander’s refined intent in terms of what is to be accomplished,


if possible. This will inform the plan development (CONOPS and OPLAN).

d. using simple language so the meaning is unmistakable.

Commander’s operational planning directive

4.65 The main outcome of this COA decision activity is to issue the commander´s
operational planning directive (OPD) to promulgate the output of the COA decision
briefing including the refined COA, the commander´s (refined) intent, the final
operations design and a synchronization matrix, and the missions of subordinated
commanders. The OPD is the formal tasking to start planning (with mission analysis)
at the component level.25

25Even though components may have already started parallel planning, the OPD is nonetheless the formal
tasking.

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Section 8 Plan development

Table 4.10 – Concept of operations and operation plan development

4.66 The purpose of this activity is to produce a coherent CONOPS and an OPLAN. The
CONOPS clearly and concisely expresses what the commander intends to accomplish
and how it will be done using available resources. It describes how the actions of the
joint force components and supporting organizations will be integrated, synchronized,
and phased to accomplish the mission, including potential branches and sequels. The
OPLAN has the same structure and format as the CONOPS, but includes more detail
and further particulars26. Prerequisites are: the commander’s selected COA; and the
refined commander’s intent (possibly including resulting additional guidance).

a. Desired outcome. The CONOPS and OPLAN development is successful when:

(1) The sequence of operations along clearly defined LoOs creates DCs that
retain freedom of action and lead to achievement of objectives that set the
conditions for transition/termination of the operation.

26 For the format of CONOPS, OPLAN and list of annexes see COPD.

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(2) Capabilities across the joint functions required for the conduct and sustainment
of actions are identified.

(3) The CONOPS includes all operational aspects of the operational factors time,
space, forces and information, balanced sufficiently within acceptable risks.

(4) Arrangements to specify the conduct of operations have been developed into
an OPLAN.

(5) The OPLAN provides further details for planning by subordinate/supporting


commands.

(6) The OPLAN is arranged for flexibility or subsequent adaptation, respectively,


as required to meet eventual changes in the operating environment.

b. Products. The main outputs are:


 CONOPS;
 proposal for target categories and target sets;
 rule-of-engagement request (ROEREQ);
 CJSOR; theatre capability statement of requirements (TCSOR);
personnel/crisis establishment;
 OPLAN.

Joint functions

4.67 The joint functions are a framework that provides the commander and staff a means
to visualize the activities of the force and to ensure all aspects of the operation are
addressed. They are a point of reference, as well as a description of the capabilities
of the force. The activity fields to be covered by the OPG and appropriate subject
matter experts across the staff, for the transcription of the operations design into a
CONOPS and a deduced detailed OPLAN (and later employment of forces), are
described by the joint functions. In planning, as well as in the conduct of operations,
the joint functions describe fields of activities which are not separated, but are in fact
mutually combined and balanced for the desired outcome. In any operation, these joint
functions are to be considered, although the individual functions’ contributions,
significance and demands will vary, dependent on the type of operation.27 Later in this
section, planning considerations in relation to joint functions and related capabilities
are addressed.

27 For the types of operations see AJP-01.

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Production of the concept of operations

4.68 The CONOPS brings together the planning output from the outset of the process to
this point. It is the formal expression of the commander’s intent for the conduct of the
operation, including the deployment, employment, and sustainment of forces. It will
later provide the basis for the further development of the OPLAN. The operations
design elements described in the CONOPS provide the basis for executing the
operation. The CONOPS therefore establishes the sequence and purpose of critical
actions in distinct phases from initial entry to termination and transition, including the
required operational outcomes in terms of objectives and the resulting DCs to be
achieved for each phase. The CONOPS provides the basis for the assignment of
missions to subordinate and supporting commands, as well as priorities for each
functional area and the risk treatment plan. It comprises a synchronization matrix
referred to before and detailed in planning directives. The operation is described from
the perspective of the commander, encompassing the employment of forces.

Termination criteria

4.69 Termination criteria are a fundamental element of planning operations. They may be
characterized by a set of conditions defined by the political- strategic level. The
strategic commander uses them as a basis for planning the transition and
redeployment from the theatre. Termination criteria are to be developed at the strategic
level during the strategic CONOPS development, and then forwarded to the
operational level via the strategic planning directive. Here, and as well at subordinate
(tactical) level, they are adequately addressed in the CONOPS and the OPLAN in
order to play their part in the commander’s future periodic assessments of progress,
which finally feed the strategic commander’s periodic mission review process.
Termination criteria are also included in the operational-level CONOPS and OPLAN
to aid subordinate HQ in their tactical operations assessment during the execution
phase.

Force and capability requirements development

4.70 The illustrative CJSOR is developed in parallel with the CONOPS. It will be presented
to the nations as the provisional CJSOR with the activation warning (ACTWARN)
following approval of the strategic CONOPS and release of the NAC Force Activation
Directive (FAD). It includes preliminary deployment information based on the
commander’s required force flow into the theatre. It balances the ends and means to
ensure the viability of the operation in terms of: its suitability to accomplish agreed
objectives; acceptability of costs and risks; and the feasibility of deployment,

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employment and sustainment. Critical elements of information required by nations to


determine their contributions and prepare them for deployment include:
 required force/capability and any special capabilities;
 commander's required date (CRD) for the force to be available for employment;
 required destination;
 priority of arrival;
 command authority to be transferred to the gaining NATO commander.

4.71 The provisional TCSOR identifies capabilities required to support the entire theatre
and which should be in principle eligible for common funding. Based on their troops-
to-actions analysis, the OPG identifies any functional capabilities required to support
the entire joint force and/or the theatre as well as the required timeframe for this
support. Given that meeting these requirements may take time, the OPG should
investigate interim solutions.

4.72 Mission training and certification of headquarters, personnel and forces. The
OPG establishes mission training and certification requirements for HQ, personnel and
forces deploying into the theatre with details included in the OPLAN. These will be
based on mission essential tasks and conditions in the operating environment,
including force protection requirements, nonlethal weapons training requirements,
cultural aspects, etc. Requirements and arrangements should be established for
augmentation training, pre-deployment training support, certification of forces and in-
theatre training support. Mission training and certification are important enablers for
forces and staff in order to prepare them for upcoming challenges in operations.

4.73 Manpower/crisis establishment statement of requirements. Appropriate templates


identify personnel required to fill the crisis establishments for the activated HQ. They
are developed by personnel management staff members of the OPG. Particularly the
area of manpower deserves an assessment, whether or not additional CRMs should
be implemented.

4.74 Forwarding the concept of operations and the requirements to the higher
commander. The OPG coordinates the CONOPS and the illustrative CJSOR with
subordinate and supporting commands, as well as with the higher commander, to
ensure that they are harmonized with the development of the higher-level CONOPS.
The commander approves the CONOPS and the illustrative CJSOR and forwards
them to the higher commander for approval. The higher staff will ensure it is
harmonized with the development of the higher commander’s concept. The strategic
commander forwards the strategic CONOPS to higher authorities and simultaneously
issues the illustrative CJSOR and manpower statement of requirements to nations

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through their national military representatives. This allows nations to consider the
strategic CONOPS together with the capabilities required for its implementation. It is
also sent to subordinate commands as a basis for their tactical CONOPS
development. Development of the operational-level OPLAN can begin with submission
of the operational-level CONOPS, but cannot be finalized prior to its approval.

Development of the operation plan

4.75 Overview. The minimum prerequisite for the commencement of OPLAN development
is a commander-approved CONOPS, but it must address any issues resulting from the
higher commander’s review. Once national responses to the CJSOR in broad terms
and a response to the ROEREQ are received they can be taken into consideration
during OPLAN development.28 OPLAN development is an iterative, collaborative
process that focuses on synchronizing and coordinating the deployment, employment,
protection, support and sustainment of the force during the different phases of the
operation within a single plan. Plans are prepared in accordance with instructions and
formats provided by the strategic level. All planning specifics developed are to be
brought into the OPLAN format and its respective annexes. Plan development
concludes with final coordination, forwarding, approval and promulgation of the plan
as required by the different planning categories which were introduced in chapter 1.

a. Timelines - planning products are produced in time to allow subordinates to


complete required planning and preparation.

b. Adequacy – the following arrangements meet operational requirements: the legal


framework, including applicable international law, international mandates and
arrangements with host nations (HNs); force capabilities and resources; the flow
of forces into the theatre; C2 arrangements, including liaison and coordination with
external organizations, CIS and ROE; provisions for theatre support and
sustainment; contingency planning to cover the assessed risks.

4.76 Initiation of plan development. The OPG will review any issues raised in the higher
commander’s review of the commander’s CONOPS, seek guidance from the
commander and accomplish the following:
 establishment of a schedule and timelines for the commander’s plan
development;

28National
responses to the ROEREQ may include national caveats, although it is more likely that the reply to
the ROEREQ will stay more generic at this stage.

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 review of the status of strategic planning on which operational-level planning


depends: force generation; preliminary deployment planning; legal
arrangements with HN(s); communication strategy; and ROE;
 planning in coordination with subordinate commands and other cooperating
actors to foster integration of the joint force (this may require full information
about the status of planning by these HQ related to the status of COA and
CONOPS development and coordination of supporting / supported
requirements);
 additional detailed coordination/interaction with a number of relevant national
and international actors, if authorized, in the theatre.

The following paragraphs address planning considerations in relation to the joint


functions.

Manoeuvre

4.77 The principal purpose of manoeuvre is to gain positional advantage in respect to the
adversary from which force can be threatened or applied. Manoeuvre seeks to render
adversaries incapable of resisting throughout all dimensions of the joint operations
area (JOA) effectively by shattering their cohesion rather than destroying each of the
adversarial components through incremental attrition. Manoeuvre involves the assets
of more than one component and may even involve strategic assets, temporarily made
available for the operation. Manoeuvre is the means by which a commander sets the
terms in time and space, declines or joins combat or exploits emerging developments.

4.78 The OPG should keep in mind that the OPLAN should clearly enable the joint force to
unfold and focus combat power where it can have decisive effect, to pre-empt,
dislocate, or disrupt adversary operations. It involves trade-offs (e.g., speed versus
time, width versus depth, concentration versus dispersion), and thus requires an
acceptance of risk.

4.79 Review of the planning requirements for the deployment of forces. The strategic
deployment of forces into a JOA, and the operational movements within the JOA, may
be demanding manoeuvres themselves, as deployment and movement in theatre do
not necessarily happen unthreatened by an adversary, dependent on the type of
operation and the adversary’s capabilities and range of influence.

4.80 Deployment planning will cover the entire sequence of activities for national and
strategic movement (both valid for the strategic level) and reception, staging, onward
movement and integration (valid for the operational level) into/in the JOA. It requires

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close coordination with the higher commander, TCNs, the HN(s), port/airport operating
organization, and commands concerned. Legal arrangements must be in place
regarding the status of forces and understandings/agreements with the HN(s) as well
as arrangements for transit and over-flight. Arrangements for access, basing and over
flight have the potential to hamper rapid deployment of forces, particularly when
peace-time regulations still apply.

4.81 Design and development of the theatre movements architecture. The design,
development, implementation and control of movements architecture within the theatre
is a vital aspect for both manoeuvre and sustainment. It is a responsibility of the
commander, supported by the joint logistic support group (JLSG). The OLRT/joint
logistic reconnaissance team (JLRT) reconnaissance of movement infrastructure and
coordination with the HN(s), as well as with relevant international actors operating in
the area, plays a critical role for the use of facilities and LOC. The OPG, in close
cooperation with the OLRT/JLRT, will confirm with the HN(s), as early as possible, the
availability and capabilities of the following: airport(s) of debarkation, seaports of
debarkation and other key transportation nodes; reception areas and facilities; staging
areas for operational entry into the JOA; and LOC to and within areas of operations
(AOOs) or final destinations.

4.82 Force flow finalization. Based on detailed planning for the employment, sustainment,
support and C2 of the force, and on the Allied force list, the OPG will make final
revisions to the force flow. In general, force flow stands in a proportional relationship
with the capabilities the commander can employ. For each element of the force
package, specific deployment requirements must be established, including the
following:
 strategic LOC and entry points into the theatre;
 final destination in the JOA;
 the commander’s required date for the full operational capability of the force for
employment;
 priority for sequence of movement;
 command authority to be transferred.

4.83 Implementation of the scheme of manoeuvre. The OPG will confirm the flow of
forces into the theatre, including the conduct of initial entry operations and the
reception, staging, onward movement and integration (RSOMI) within the JOA,
movement priorities and points of entry including receiving or host nation support
coordination. The commander and staff will plan follow-on operations in detail for all
forces and assets, describing the employment and tasking in time and space and
under specific conditions.

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4.84 Redeployment generally presents similar challenges and demands similar


considerations as described for deployment above. While redeployment is conducted
during the transition and termination phase of an operation, redeployment planning
should be considered from the outset of the operation. A fundamental difference
between deployment and redeployment is that redeployment needs to return troops,
materiel and infrastructure that have been built up over the course of an entire
operation, and therefore is not simply a case of reversing the deployment plan.

Fires

4.85 Targeting and the employment of fires. A cross-functional coordinated effort by


specific members of the OPG will be required to synchronize targeting and the use of
lethal and non-lethal means to generate the desired effects and resulting DCs to be
achieved in each phase of the operation. This activity will seek to achieve coherence
and synergy in the use of all means available to the commander including:
 intelligence support to targeting (to include special reconnaissance by special
operations forces; to include specific focus on disruption of adversary threat
networks);
 psychological operations, coordinated by information operations (Info Ops);
 key leader engagement, integrated through Info Ops;
 electronic warfare;
 strategic attack and counter-surface force operations;
 maritime strike operations;
 direct action by special operations;
 civil-military cooperation (in coordination with Info Ops);
 military engineering support to targeting;
 military police including related stability policing activities;
 environmental effects of successful targeting and risk to NATO troops;
 cyberspace activities;
 space support in operations;
 military assistance and advising to local security forces.

Command and control

4.86 Supported/supporting relationships. The OPG will identify where these


relationships are required in cooperation with subordinate/supporting commands to
confirm precisely the support required by the supported commander designated for
each phase and/or LoO.

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4.87 Mission assignment to subordinate commands, to include task and purpose,


should be done in the CONOPS, in coordination with subordinate commanders. These
missions will have been confirmed during wargaming for each phase and captured in
the synchronization matrix. Coordinating instructions establish specific requirements,
direction and priorities for different operational functions, as confirmed during
wargaming, with the aim of synchronization activities across all commands.

4.88 The description of command and control and communications information


systems (C2 and CIS) arrangements outlines the key aspects for establishing the
command authorities, relationships and liaison required by the task organization. As a
minimum the CONOPS should establish the following:
 the chain of command;
 the delegation and transfer of command authorities;
 the theatre of operations (TOO), JOA and AOOs;
 liaison and coordination;
 location/co-location of primary HQ based on CIS limitations;
 phasing of C2 if the commander deploys (i.e. forward coordination element,
initial command element and joint task force headquarters);
 reporting.

4.89 Based on the force package and further planning by subordinate/supporting


commands, the OPG develops the following aspects.

a. Specification of authorities and responsibilities. Unity of command and


freedom of action require that authority is clearly delegated for critical functions
and/or geographical areas. The result should be a clearly designated authority
being established with responsibility for each joint function and AOO within the
JOA and the TOO.

b. Refinement and coordination of the areas of operations.


Subordinate/supporting commands need to confirm their respective AOOs are
sufficient to accomplish their assigned missions and protect their force, without
interference.

c. Communication and information concepts. Effective CIS planning must


consider time factors and the scale and complexity of the operation. The
operational-level CIS staff plans for the support of the selected COA laid down in
the CONOPS. The OPG ensures CIS factors are adequately included in the plan.

d. Confirmation of command and control locations. The OPG coordinates and


confirms the locations of the different HQ and C2 facilities deploying to the theatre.

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The OPG must develop and publish the HQ and C2 locations throughout all
phases of the operation. This information is critical for the development of the CIS
Support Plan. It is critical that the constraints of deployable CIS be considered
during the planning of initial, collocation and any subsequent HQ and C2 facility
locations throughout all phases of the operation.

e. Transfer of authority. The OPG confirms the level of authority required for the
employment of each force in the force package and notes any national caveats. It
will further establish precisely when, where and under what conditions transfer of
authority (TOA) should occur. This information will be included in the activation
order and provide the basis for nations’ TOA messages.

f. Exchange of liaison elements. The exchange of LOs or liaison elements, to


facilitate collaboration during an operation, is fundamental to success. Therefore,
the OPG must clearly establish the requirements for the exchange of LOs and
ensure manpower requirements are filled. Planning for the exchange of LOs
includes key non-military organizations (government, international organizations,
and non-governmental organizations) to affect the required communication and
coordination for operations and transition/termination as far as possible.

4.90 Rules of engagement review. The ROE are ultimately the commander’s rules that
will be implemented by the force who executes the mission. The OPG must continually
review the current status of ROE to ensure the ROE are versatile, understandable,
easily executable, and legally and tactically sound. The OPG provides further requests
with justification as required to adjust ROE to the operational needs. During
multinational operations, participating nations are likely to have ROE different from
NATO forces. During the conduct of the operation a current list depicting all
participating countries’ national caveats to the respective ROE must be available for
implementation.

Intelligence

4.91 Intelligence is the product resulting from the directed collection and processing of
information regarding the environment and the capabilities and intentions of actors, in
order to identify threats and offer opportunities for exploitation by decision-makers.29
It is also about understanding the adversary’s culture, motivation, perspective and
objectives. Part of the success in military planning (and conduct) of operations is
dependent upon the provision of timely intelligence that is of a better quality than that

29Thisalso includes e.g. police and criminal intelligence data or medical intelligence (MEDINT) as well as geo-
information which are paramount prerequisites to evaluate risks to own troops and to enable successful
operations, or to mitigate undesired influences, respectively.

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of the adversary. The merging of intelligence with broader knowledge within the staff
provides the foundation for planning and operational conduct. It is crucial to
understand that intelligence is not an isolated activity within the intelligence staff,
resulting in products tailored to planning. The commander, the OPG and the wider staff
must formulate their requirements, thus drive the intelligence efforts without biasing
the outcomes. In this context the process of producing RFIs and engaging in
developing CCIRs as part of the planning process is pivotal in order to provide
guidance to the intelligence community. In addition, when NATO becomes involved in
any type of planning effort, staffs at all levels of command need to define, develop and
articulate the requirements for Intelligence/joint intelligence, surveillance and
reconnaissance (JISR) assets and capabilities, C2 and even the CIS required for data
exchange. Based on requirements from the OPG a JISR process will be established
where operations staff branch (J3) and intelligence (J2) meet to synchronize and
integrate the planning and operations of all collection capabilities with processing,
exploitation, and dissemination of the resulting information in direct support of planning
and conduct of operations. Through the coordinated and deliberate efforts of the
operations staff and the intelligence staff, JISR is integrated into the operational
process to ensure that the JISR assets have the required capabilities to satisfy
requirements. JISR integration provides commanders a flexible means to maintain up
to real-time situational awareness and decision advantage in a dynamic environment.
However, NATO intelligence collection assets are scarce and early requests for
national contributions, either by making intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance
(ISR) assets available to NATO or through sharing of intelligence products, will be an
important integrated or parallel process to the planning process.

Information

4.92 Working in close cooperation with the higher commander, the OPG will coordinate
StratCom, public affairs, information operations and psychological operations aspects
via the information joint function staff. The main purpose of StratCom involvement in
the operations planning process is to achieve a common understanding on information
activities within the OPG and other functional and capability experts, to coordinate the
respective subject matter input related to the information environment, and ultimately
promote the implementation of the information strategy (and other superior
communication guidance). It includes respective information advice on the
development of operational objectives, decisive conditions and effects, including
analysis and evaluation, throughout the operations planning process.

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Sustainment

4.93 Sustainment is the provision of logistics, personnel services, medical and health
support and military engineering (MILENG) necessary to maintain operations until
mission accomplishment. The significance of logistics, medical and MILENG aspects
is described in the “capabilities related to joint functions”- paragraphs at the end of
this section.

4.94 Personnel - Rotation of HQ, staff and forces. The OPG anticipates the requirement
to sustain the operation until termination. It will develop requirements and initial plans
for the replacement of HQs and forces, with consideration to the likely tempo of
operations and the possible requirement to adjust force levels over time. Regarding
staff personnel including potential augmentees, personnel management requires the
national representatives’ contribution, as personnel remains under full command of
their sending nations and administrative regulations for personnel measures may have
varying impact.

4.95 Build-up and use of reserves. Based on the force package, plan development
identifies reserves for contingencies. Further consideration will be given to: where
reserves are positioned; whose authority they are under; and any conditions for their
employment. While reserves typically enhance capabilities for manoeuvre and fires,
they also support sustainment as reserves may relieve other units involved and
challenged in operations.

4.96 Financial management support. It is critical that NATO common funding is made
available as early as possible to meet those procurement and contracting
requirements eligible for common funding. The OPG must identify and prioritize
operational requirements for each phase of the operation. Particular attention must be
given to detailing requirements to support enabling and initial entry operations.

Force protection

4.97 Force protection (FP) planning establishes requirements and identifies necessary
measures and means to minimize the vulnerability of personnel, facilities, materiel,
operations and activities from threats and hazards of all kinds in order to preserve
freedom of action and operational effectiveness and operational continuity. Force
composition and organization should reflect the required elements and components of
FP that are needed to implement the OPLAN. FP requirements need to be clearly
identified, including the specific FP response measures to be taken under the various
threat categories. FP planning should also include, where necessary, the relevant FP
aspects of the HN(s) plans.

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Civil-military cooperation

4.98 Civil-military cooperation (CIMIC) supports the commander by developing a


comprehensive understanding of the civil environment. Understanding the influence
and importance of the different non-military actors and the dynamic nature of the
relationships between them is necessary for effective crisis management. The OPG
will develop the practical arrangements required to cooperate with relevant actors
within the JOA and others (such as maritime actors) that are worldwide. As a minimum
the following will be specified:
 delegation of authority for civil-military interaction (CMI) and coordination of
activities with relevant national and international actors;
 mechanisms and practical arrangements for the conduct of CMI;
 information sharing in accordance with the relevant security policy for release
of information;
 civil environment considerations, including relevant actors’ mandate, authority,
capabilities, plans and objectives and HN civil emergency planning;
 cross-cutting-topics (CCT) consideration in planning at all levels;
 national resilience consideration, in coordination with higher authorities, and its
effects on the achievement of the commander’s objectives.
Within a comprehensive approach, military support to non-military actors and their
environment will generally only be conducted if it is required to create conditions which
support the accomplishment of the military mission within the context of the mandate.

Capabilities related to joint functions

4.99 A number of subordinate tasks and related capabilities help define the joint functions
and some of them could apply to more than one joint function. In any joint operation,
the commander may choose from a wide variety of joint and service specific
capabilities and combine them in various ways to perform joint functions and
accomplish the mission. The operation plan describes the way forces and assets are
used together to perform joint functions and tasks. Forces and assets are not
characterized by the joint functions for which the commander is employing them. A
single force or asset can perform multiple functions simultaneously or sequentially
while executing a single task.

4.100 Related capabilities that apply to more than one function are highlighted below. For
appropriate consideration of these capabilities’ characteristics, significance,
requirements and contribution to mission success the OPG should early consult the
subject matter experts of the respective functional areas within their staff and other
commands as well as respective doctrine.

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a. Air and missile defence. Air and missile defence is defined as ‘all measures to
contribute to deter any air and missile threat or to nullify or reduce the effectiveness
of hostile air action to protect populations, territory and forces against the full
spectrum of air and missile threats’. The joint force air and missile defence
commander is the commander with overall responsibility for air and missile
defence; normally, the component commander with the majority of air and missile
defence capability and the command, control and communications capability to
plan and execute integrated air and missile defence operations. The component
commander integrates and coordinates the air and missile defence assets of each
force component into a coherent joint air defence plan. The joint force air and
missile defence commander furthermore applies the principles of air defence to
counter hostile air activity, including theatre ballistic missile defence (TBMD), and
promulgates and employs common procedures for air defence battle management
and the reduction of mutual interference, taking into account any air defence
required and organized around maritime and land units. TBMD as a subset of
ballistic missile defence, is the protection of deployed forces and high-value
assets/areas within a theatre of operations from attacks by ballistic missiles. As
the responsibilities of the joint force air and missile defence commander and the
joint force air component commander are interrelated, they are normally assigned
to one individual. Generally the commander delegates the air and missile defence
operational- level function to the joint force air component commander.

b. Chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear. NATO forces must be prepared


to conduct operations despite the threatened or actual use of chemical, biological,
radiological and nuclear (CBRN) substances. This includes threats from toxic
industrial materials. Any intentional use or accidental release of CBRN substances
can create effects that may disrupt or delay the achievement of objectives. The
commander provides guidance to subordinate commanders on the balance
between operational priorities and avoidance of CBRN hazards. Policy application
to minimize personnel exposure to CBRN hazards must be coordinated between
national components, the HN and other in-theatre agencies including, but not
limited to, non-governmental organizations. Commanders at all levels must be
provided with timely, accurate and evaluated CBRN threat, hazard, vulnerability
and risk assessments. It is essential CBRN staff engage early in the planning
process and incorporate CBRN intelligence requirements into the intelligence
collection plan.

c. Military engineering. MILENG staffs support the analysis of the operating


environment through a mutual understanding of its physical characteristics (terrain
and infrastructure) and contribute to the identification of its key elements (i.e.

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critical infrastructure). This inherent understanding will be an integral part of all


aspects of an operation plan (decisive conditions, lines of operation etc.) and forms
the bases of further COA and plan development. They will also ensure that
planning for all phases of the operation considers availability of adequate MILENG
support and advice on the right mixture of sources (assets inherent to the force,
host-nation support (HNS) or contracted) for its provision. MILENG incorporates a
number of areas of expertise such as engineering, explosives ordnance disposal,
environmental protection, military search and management of infrastructure,
including contracted civil engineering. It supports creating effects by enabling or
preventing manoeuvre or mobility; developing, maintaining, and improving
infrastructure. MILENG also makes a significant contribution to countering
improvised explosive devices (C-IED), protecting the force; and providing life
support. The planning of MILENG support to sustainment is vital as it identifies the
required infrastructure (e.g. theatre logistic bases), lines of communications for
sustaining the force and the associated capabilities and resources to build and run
such infrastructure, including the consideration of energy efficiency aspects. The
same is true for all reception, staging and onward movement (RSOM) -
infrastructure (points of debarkation, marshalling and staging Areas). The planning
of MILENG support is also vital for force protection as it identifies required
capabilities, resources and ROE for force protection infrastructure works and
against explosive hazards.

d. Countering improvised explosive devices. The C-IED perspective is an integral


part of the OPLAN and subordinate plans. C-IED planning is based on the NATO
C-IED’s approach and establishes objectives, requirements, activities and
priorities in order to defeat the adversary’s improvised explosive device (IED)
system. C-IED activities will be designed to allow commanders and staff at every
level to plan and implement proactive measures to identify threat networks and
target them in order to interdict, disrupt, neutralize and or destroy their ability to
use IEDs in the area of responsibility.

e. Logistics

(1) Concept for logistic support. The purpose of logistics is to generate and to
preserve combat power. It is the chief enabler of combat operations and a
major component of military “means” at all levels of command. Logistics
frequently shapes the design of operations. Major activities within an operation
are frequently conducted solely for the purpose of developing the logistics
capability required to sustain the force as a whole. Military logistics
encompasses the various requirements that must be taken into account at the

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operational level and are specified in the CONOPS/OPLAN: materiel,


services, logistic information management, equipment maintenance and
repair, movement and transportation, RSOM, MILENG support to logistics,
contractor support to operations (CSO), and HNS.

(2) Logistic sustainment of the force in theatre. During plan development,


detailed planning and coordination will be conducted with TCNs, HNs,
international organizations (IOs)/non-governmental organizations (NGOs),
CSO integrator as well as subordinate/supporting commands, to ensure
supplies and services can be delivered to the force in order to meet operational
requirements for each phase. Logistic and movement planning conferences
are required to confirm logistical arrangements, especially with the HN(s) to
ensure they meet operational needs and allow a sufficient build-up of
necessary resources in the theatre. Any shortfalls in HNS may require
activation and deployment of additional logistical units or to integrate civil
logistic contractors. The following logistic main processes have significant
operational impact and must be closely coordinated with all other planning:

(a) Military logistics. The purpose of the logistic planning process is to


ensure the facts, assumptions, information, and considerations of the
military problem at hand are properly analyzed and effectively
synthesized within an integrated plan that supports the concept of the
operation. The logistic staff of a joint forces HQ must be able to properly
analyze and evaluate the potential impact of logistics in operational art
and operations planning to successfully balance their means against the
desired ends and prospective ways. The main outcome of this process
is to support the future operation plan, and to make sure that the
operation is logistically feasible. The logistic staff must undertake military
logistics planning at the earliest opportunity to support further OPG
planning activities.

(b) Movement and transportation. The purpose of the movement and


transportation process is to identify theatre movement and transportation
requirements for establishing a solid transport network and architecture
in the JOA and must be integrated in planning to prevent congestion at
strategic entry points (ports of debarkation) and in the JOA. The
movement and transportation system establishes an in-theatre hub to
maximize cargo throughput and optimize theatre distribution. All TCNs
must provide accurate movement and deployment data to the respective

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movement and transportation planning staff to deconflict strategic


movements with other theatre movements.

(c) Host-nation support. The HNS process as an integral part of logistic


planning and is an important factor in any operational or exercise
scenario to achieve both efficiency and cost effectiveness. The process
identifies HNS capabilities that are available to support military activities
in order to reduce the overall force structure requirement and secure
support from the HN to the maximum extent possible.

(d) Contractor support to operations. The CSO process as an integral


part of logistics and movement and transportation planning should
provide advice for the planning of commercial logistics support options
and solutions in support of the preparation, planning and conduct of
operations.

(e) Joint logistic support group. The joint logistic support group (JLSG), if
activated and deployed, is an executive operational-level support
organization. The commander JLSG is responsible to the operational
commander for coordination and execution of operational-level logistic
support using assigned national, HN and/or commercial resources. The
construct of the JLSG is determined by multiple factors adapted during
the operations planning process (OPP), including scale; characteristics
of the force; and geographical requirements of the operation.

f. Medical. Planning for health and medical support is vital for the sustainment of the
force, thus for forces’ capabilities, readiness, and preservation of their power.
Nations retain their legal duty of care and remain ultimate risk owners accountable
for the health of their forces at all times. Medical support though, based on NATO
common risk and burden sharing, is increasingly delivered via multinational and
modular solutions, thus NATO commanders increasingly share responsibility for
the health of the force. For that reason, health and medical support to NATO forces
will meet agreed upon NATO standards acceptable to all participating nations. This
also applies to all forward and tactical evacuation as well as all medical treatment
facilities (MTFs) level role 2 and 3. Medical support planning allows the input of
medical expertise to the operations planning process and the development of a
medical concept and a medical support plan for the operation. As for the first, early
consideration of medical aspects at each stage of planning is critical for the
development of a plan that can be supported medically. On the other hand, a
medical support plan should comprise all relevant information about how medical

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support will be conducted in the operation. It will ensure effective coordination of


deployed medical support capabilities, the optimal usage of medical resources to
achieve an adequate force health protection, appropriate healthcare and medical
evacuation. This can involve appropriate numbers and levels of MTFs) and
medical evacuation assets to ensure a continuum of care, from any point of injury
or casualty collection point to the appropriate MTF. These capabilities and the
proper medical support concept answer the risk for the casualty flow in relation to
the operational tempo and demands for each operational phase through an
appropriate medical support concept to mitigate the personnel risk to the lowest
individual risk possible. A key planning factor in determining the medical support
laydown is medical evacuation and treatment planning guidelines based on clinical
timelines. The clinical timelines seek to provide appropriate treatment as soon as
possible in every case of a medical emergency on operations and to deliver expert
medical care within timeframes based on clinical evidence. The clinical timelines
serve as planning guidelines and ultimately, the commander will determine what
timelines will apply. A number of factors will influence the commander’s decision,
such as strategic guidance, availability of medical capabilities, the operational
situation and risk. Another key factor in medical planning is the consideration of
casualty rate estimation. Its calculation is an overall responsibility of the OPG, with
the contribution of medical planners. Coordination between medical planners and
the OPG is paramount. Great importance should be given to the coordination with
CIS-staff during medical planning, as effective CIS means are required to capture,
relay and analyze required medical data , to conduct an effective patient tracking
and regulation, to elaborate and share medical intelligence and, overall, to build a
medical command and control structure.

g. Military police. Military police (MP) are designated military forces responsible and
authorized for the control and maintenance of law and order and providing
operational assistance through assigned doctrinal functions. These functions are:
police, security, detention, mobility support and stability policing. As one of the
combat support elements, MP support the commander and the JTF with a wıde
variety of missions, ranging from peacetime military engagement, securıty tasks
in support of stabilization and reconstruction, up to combat operations. Unique to
the MP profession are specialized police certifications, training and equipment that
increases the commander's ability to conduct operations. MP perform similar
functions in all components (maritime, land, air and special operations forces)
which allows seamless transition into joint and multinational operations. While
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respective level, in order to achieve multinational unity of effort there must be a


coordinating authority that synchronizes MP activities to maximize interoperability.

h. Stability policing. Stability policing encompasses police-related activities


intended to reinforce or temporarily replace the indigenous police, contributing to
restoring and/or upholding public order and security, rule of law, and protection of
human rights. Stability policing assets perform police activities in the mission area
aimed to tackle possible threat sources and provide security to the local population
by replacing and/or reinforcing indigenous police forces. Under a comprehensive
approach, a combination of military and non-military actors, such as indigenous
and international police forces, could be employed to achieve this goal.

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ANNEX A

The operational factors – time, space, forces and information

General

A.1. Commanders and their staffs have to evaluate the influences of time, space and forces
when linked to the fourth factor, information. It is a skill to balance the first three factors
to set military conditions for success. While this is true within the traditional set of the
operational factors, information possesses attributes that set it apart from the other
three; in general, the volume of information received can hardly be regulated.
Information is also essentially indefinable in any meaningful way, unlike traditional
operational factors. Information has always been a source of power but in the
information age the sheer mass of information generally bears the risk of confusion or
overload. In general, not higher quantity of information but more orientation through
definition of information requirements, quality, verification, timeliness, right degree of
granularity, assessment and correlation is needed.

A.2. A proper evaluation of forces, space and time simply cannot be done without accurate
information on the various aspects of the operational situation. Besides gaining
information and intelligence as prerequisite for decision making, information also
affects morale and cohesion of forces. Information today is an operational factor that
has to be considered throughout the whole planning process.

Fundamental relationships between the operational factors

A.3. Time-space relates to the relative speed with which forces can reconnoitre, gain,
occupy, secure, and stabilize or control a given area. Commanders and their staffs
should evaluate an operations area in terms of space and the time necessary to
accomplish objectives within that area. A commander can harmonize the factors of
time and space by selecting the objectives that lie at short distances; shortening
average distances by operating from a central position enhancing speed in execution;
changing routes. For attacking forces the objective is to gain space as quickly as
possible while the defending forces try to keep control over the space and delay or
deny the attacking forces´ achievement of an objective. Any gain of time is an
advantage for an actor that wants to maintain the status quo. If a defending force is
not decisively beaten, it may retain sufficient space and time to withstand an attack.
The less time available for the defending forces the more likely the attacking forces
will catch the defending forces unprepared. This is the key to surprise.

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A.4. Time-force relates to the relative readiness and availability of forces and their
necessary support over time. Velocity multiplies the overall striking power of the force.
The attributes that affect the timely availability of forces include: the type and size of
forces and their organization, the distance to the employment area, the transportation
mode and the infrastructure in the employment area.

A.5. Space-force relates to the relative ability to control significant areas; the concentration
and dispersion of forces within areas and the ability to give up space in order to avoid
becoming decisively engaged. Overcoming the factor of space involves movement of
forces, the impact of fires, and the transmittal of messages. Movement of forces can
be affected by: the limited means of transportation available; inefficient infrastructure;
the general requirement to move large quantities of personnel and materiel; and the
time consumption of longer distance moves. In general, the more distant the physical
operational objective in space, the larger the sources of power needed to accomplish
it. A sound force-to-space ratio is one of the most critical factors in planning an
operation. In general, the greater the expanse of space involved, the more stringent
the limitations on resources will be.

A.6. Time-space-force relates to the capability to project forces into a region and the
comparative speed with which they can build up decisive capabilities in a given area.
The larger the distances involved in moving and deploying one’s force, the more critical
the factor of time will be. Furthermore, the larger the prospective theatre, the larger the
force that will be required to accomplish objectives.

A.7. Information and space. Current information technologies allow for detailed and
accurate information on all aspects of the physical space. Nevertheless, networking in
information and communications is not without limitations; geographic location and
distance significantly affect the establishment, control and use of ‘information
highways’ as these are heavily dependent on the bandwidth of the network nodes and
the power supply to the connected ‘server farms’. Both bandwidth and energy supply
can be costly, such as when satellite links have to be established or power sources
installed in remote and deserted areas. The operations planning group must be aware
of such relationships when attempting to balance the space factor with information.

A.8. Information and time. Today, every action could reach a global audience in near real
time. This new quality makes active, transparent and trustworthy information an
imperative. Moreover, modern information technology allows for a dramatic reduction
in the time required to make decisions and in the time required for planning. Today, an

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effective network of sensors, platforms, command and control (C2) and logistics
centres allows more tasks to be accomplished faster and more accurately. In principle,
the force that is able to generate an information advantage and facilitates quicker
reactions, is in a position to surprise the adversary and seize the initiative.

A.9. Information and force. Accurate and timely information can enable sound decisions
about the forces required for operations. Improved information capabilities increase
the commander’s ability to know the location and movements of adversaries and
relevant actors. In particular, more effective information may improve the phasing,
deployment and employment of forces.

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ANNEX B

Centres of gravity (CoGs)

This annex first presents details on how to identify, analyze and validate CoGs. Then, it offers
a method for using CoG analysis in the planning process to link objectives, decisive
conditions, effects, and actions and to ensure a logical linkage between the different levels
of command.

Section 1 – CoG identification and validation


B.1. A CoG is the primary source of power that provides an actor its strength, freedom of
action, or will to fight. It is always a physical entity. At the political strategic level, moral-
strength as well as physical-strength CoGs exist. At lower levels of command, only
physical-strength CoGs normally exist.

B.2. By affecting an actor’s moral strategic CoG, the Alliance aims to influence the actor’s
will (make the actor accept the Alliance objectives, by persuasion or coercion), while
by affecting a physical strategic CoG, the Alliance influences the actor’s ability to carry
out its overall strategy (so the actor cannot achieve its strategic objectives). By
affecting an actor’s operational CoGs, the Alliance influences the actor’s ability to
achieve its operational objectives with its current course of action (COA).

a. CoGs representing a moral strength exist at the political-strategic level. An


actor’s moral strategic CoG is the primary entity that inherently possesses most
of the following critical capabilities: determines (and can alter) policy and
strategy, commands the resources and means required to achieve the strategic
objectives, and inspires and provides moral cohesion and will to fight. In short,
it is the actor’s political-strategic decision-making entity. Examples of moral
strategic CoGs include a strong political leader, a religious leader or
organization wielding decisive political power, a ruling elite, and a strong-willed
population (or a segment of it) determined to prevail. As a consequence,
‘Alliance cohesion’ cannot be a moral strategic CoG (it is not an entity); instead,
the primary entity that provides Alliance cohesion can be the Alliance’s moral
strategic CoG. Likewise, elements such as ethnic nationalism or ideology
cannot be CoGs (they are not entities); rather, they can be a critical requirement
for the political leadership (the real moral CoG) to be able to inspire and provide
moral cohesion and the will to fight. Since the will to fight ultimately decides the
beginning and end of a conflict, determining desired as well as undesired

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conditions of the primary actors’ moral strategic CoG and affecting them
accordingly is central for achieving Alliance strategic political objectives.

b. Identifying and validating moral strategic CoGs. To assist in determining an


actor’s moral strategic CoG, the following should be considered, using
information derived from the JIPOE (which must be refined as required).

(1) Does the actor have a political leader that possesses all the critical
capabilities listed above in the moral strategic CoG description? If yes,
then this leader is the moral strategic CoG.

(2) If some of the critical capabilities listed above are weak or missing for the
actor’s political leader, one of the following situations might exist.

(a) The leader is clearly the entity that possesses most of the critical
capabilities and is therefore the moral strategic CoG, but support
from the primary entity(s) that possesses the weak/missing one(s)
becomes a critical requirement for the CoG.

(b) The identified leader is a marionette (possesses few or none of


the critical capabilities) for the real moral strategic CoG; instead,
the real CoG will be the entity that actually possesses most of the
critical capabilities.

(c) The leader shares the critical capabilities listed above with one or
more persons, who then, as a group are the moral strategic CoG
(provided (a) or (b) does not define the situation better).

(d) Is the strength of will of an actor’s population such that it does not
matter who is the leader? If the population (or a large proportion
of it) feels so strongly about a policy that their leader(s) cannot
thwart, deflect or dilute their will, then the population itself is the
actor’s moral strategic CoG.

c. CoGs representing a physical strength exist in principle at each level of


command. Thus, it is the entity representing the primary physical strength an
actor depends on to carry out its (assumed) intent and achieve its (assumed)
objectives at a given level of command. At the political-strategic level, they are
called physical strategic CoGs; examples include a coalition or alliance military
task force, a particular strong element of national military power, a national
security force, a political group’s military arm, or even a strong non-military
entity in case the main strategic effort is not a military one. At the joint force

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command level, they are called operational CoGs; examples include an


armoured corps, air component forces, a maritime task force, a national police
force, a regional network of insurgent cells. Operational CoGs are normally
central elements or constituent parts of the physical strategic CoG; i.e., they
should be nested within the strategic CoG. As an example, the national police
force (operational CoG) is a constituent part of the national security force
(physical strategic CoG). The physical strategic CoG is not necessarily nested
within the moral strategic CoG, but it is chosen and controlled by it.

d. The contextual nature of physical CoGs. Normally, objectives can be


achieved in various ways that potentially use different primary physical
strengths (i.e. physical CoGs); consequently, identifying the various ways an
actor can achieve its objectives is a critical step in identifying an actor’s potential
physical CoGs. Defeating an actor’s physical CoG at a given level defeats the
actor’s current strategy/COA at that level. This forces the actor to change to
another strategy/COA (that depends on another CoG) if one exists, and it might
force the actor to change its objectives (at that level) as well. Accordingly, an
actor’s CoG might change if the actor changes the primary physical strength
used to achieve its objectives. As such, operational CoGs might change from
phase to phase of an operation, and consequently, several operational CoGs
might exist for an operation, but normally not simultaneously. Still, if an actor
pursues two or more strategies simultaneously, each using different physical
strengths, and each capable of achieving the actor’s objectives by itself, then
multiple CoGs can in principle exist simultaneously.

e. Identifying and validating physical CoGs at a given level of command


requires the commander to identify the actor’s (assumed) objectives at that level
and the actor’s (assumed) strategy/COA for achieving those objectives. Then,
the following questions can be used to identify and validate physical CoG
candidates; all must be answered yes:

(1) Is the CoG candidate the primary entity (assumed) used by the actor to
achieve its (assumed) objectives at the analyzed level of command? If it
is an important or even essential entity, but not the primary entity used
by the actor to achieve its objectives, then it is a critical requirement for
the real CoG. If it is not an entity but rather an important condition that
must be present for the actor to achieve its objectives, then it is likewise
a critical requirement for the real CoG.

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(2) Does the CoG candidate possess the most critical capabilities (abilities)
required to achieve the actor’s objectives at the analyzed level of
command? If some critical capabilities are missing, then support from the
entities possessing them becomes critical requirements for the CoG.

(3) If the CoG candidate is defeated, does this defeat the actor’s (assumed)
COA at that level of command? If not, the candidate might be a CoG for
another possible COA for the actor.

Section 2 - Centres of gravity in a complex operating environment


B.3. The CoG concept is not only useful in a classic bipolar interstate military conflict but
also in intrastate conflicts (such as counterinsurgencies) or in missions with no
adversary.

a. Centres of gravity in counterinsurgencies. Counterinsurgencies normally


present a very complex and dynamic operating environment, which reflects on
the CoG analyses.

(1) The local population often is referred to as the CoG in


counterinsurgencies; however, only if it makes the strategic decisions for
an actor, can it be the moral strategic CoG for that actor. As an example,
a part of the population, like a large ethnic group, might be the moral
strategic CoG for an insurgency that has the character of a popular
uprising of that ethnic group (i.e. not leader-driven). However, support
from the local population is often a critical requirement for the CoGs of
all the actors involved in this type of conflict.

(2) A key actor might be a relatively small political grouping. In such a case,
it might not make sense to talk about strategic as well as operational level
physical CoGs for the actor, in which case the two levels merge.

(3) An actor (like an insurgent group) might not have a single, integrated
strategy, but rather a large number of parallel yet uncoordinated efforts.
Such a situation raises the question of whether to identify physical CoGs
for each effort or a single physical CoG representing the combined (but
physically scattered) entities. An example could be a political group’s
military arm that operates through a large number of decentralized,
largely autonomous cells, each with their own independent effort.

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(4) Strengthening the local allied government’s strategic and operational


CoGs by addressing their critical vulnerabilities are often key NATO
objectives. Thus, the ally’s moral strategic CoG most likely will have weak
or missing critical capabilities (e.g. a weak ability to “inspire and provide
moral cohesion for all ethnic groups in the population”), with related
critical vulnerabilities. Likewise, the local ally’s physical strategic CoG
could be the national security forces. These security forces may have
weak or (partially) missing critical capabilities, e.g. defeats the insurgent
network, protects the population, protects the government and
government services. Critical requirements could be an effective national
army, effective national police forces, international funding and NATO
training support. Since an insurgency exists, the two first critical
requirements are likely deficient. As such, some of the critical
vulnerabilities for the strategic CoG could be “a weak national army” and
“ineffective police forces.” Breaking this down in more detail happens at
the operational level. Thus, operational CoGs for the ally would then be
the national army and/or the national police force (nested in the strategic
CoG) and some of their critical vulnerabilities could be corruption and
nepotism, high desertion rate, poor training etc. A central part of the
NATO commander’s mission would then be to address these critical
vulnerabilities.

b. Non-opposing centres of gravity. In situations where there is no particular


adversary, like peacekeeping missions, the CoGs of the key actors should still
be identified and analyzed. While an actor might not be an adversary, its
(assumed) intent might still present an unacceptable condition for NATO
objectives. Knowing the critical capabilities, requirements and vulnerabilities of
the actor’s CoGs can aid the commander in influencing the actor.

Section 3 - The CoG analysis model.


B.4. The CoG analysis model is used to analyze an actor as a system in order to identify
conditions and effects that need to be established to achieve own objectives. The most
effective way to affect an actor to meet the required conditions for achieving own
objectives is through the actors CoG(s). To assist in finding ways to achieve the
required condition of a specific CoG, commanders and their staff should analyze the
CoG using the concepts of critical capabilities, critical requirements, and critical
vulnerabilities.

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a. Critical capabilities – What the CoG can do – its primary abilities – in relation
to achieving the actor’s objectives at the given level in the context of a given
environment. The critical capability concept is useful to identify and validate
CoGs, as it expresses how an actor can use a particular strength (the CoG
candidate) to achieve the actor’s objectives at the analyzed level of command.
If, for example, a specific joint task force is identified as a CoG, its critical
capabilities could be (the ability to…) “defend area A against Alliance forces
and counterattack and cut off Alliance forces”. However, if the actor’s mission
changes, the same military task force could still be the CoG, but possess
different critical capabilities. As such, critical capabilities are always contextual
– as is the CoG itself. In some cases, one or more of the critical capabilities
required to achieve the actor’s objectives might only be a weak ability for a
particular CoG candidate; in this case, it will have associated critical
vulnerabilities (see below). In other cases, a CoG might be missing an ability
deemed critical for achieving the actor’s objectives; in that case, support from
an entity that possesses the missing ability becomes a critical requirement for
the CoG.

b. Critical requirements – are specific conditions, resources, and/or means that


are essential for a CoG to perform its critical capabilities. If a joint task force has
critical capabilities as in the example above, examples of means that could be
critical requirements are a command and control (C2) system, armoured land
forces, or offensive air forces. Examples of conditions that could be critical
requirements are air superiority, good weather, high tide, secure lines of
communication, local popular support, and terrain and infrastructure that favour
defence as well as counterattack. Each of the CoG’s critical capabilities must
be considered in relation to what the critical requirements are for the CoG to
perform it. There will normally be an overlap of requirements to perform the
various critical capabilities, but it is useful noting to which critical capability each
requirement relates. Critical requirements at one level may be CoGs or closely
related to CoGs at the next lower level; i.e., lower level CoGs should be nested
within a CoG at the next-higher level. For example, the armoured land forces
mentioned above as a critical requirement might be a CoG at the next lower
level of command.

c. Critical vulnerabilities – are those critical requirements, or components


thereof, that are deficient, missing, or vulnerable to influence in a way that will
contribute to a CoG failing to perform one or more of its critical capabilities. The
lesser the risk and cost, the better. If a military task force is identified as the
CoG, the ability to defend a certain area is identified as one of its critical

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capabilities, and an effective C2 system is identified as one of the critical


requirements to do so, then if the C2 system (or components of it) is vulnerable
to jamming, cyberattack, or physical destruction, it could be a critical
vulnerability. If such a critical vulnerability is exploited, the CoG will be
weakened or will cease to function, in general or at a specific time and/or space.
Consequently, critical vulnerabilities represent risks associated with the
analyzed actor’s (assumed) course of action, whether obvious to the actor or
not. Each critical requirement must be analyzed for vulnerabilities. While some
requirements might be deficient or missing already, others need to be affected
to become so. For these to be actual critical vulnerabilities, other actors must
have the ability to influence them sufficiently to weaken one or more of the
critical capabilities. Some critical requirements might only be vulnerable at a
specific time and/or space. Similarly, there might be critical requirements that
are potentially vulnerable, but the available or allocated means might not be
sufficient to exploit the weakness, or the political will to do so might be lacking.
Such potential vulnerabilities should be noted, along with potential events that
could alter their degree of vulnerability.

d. The CoG analysis matrix. The table below provides one method for using the
CoG analysis model to analyze an actor’s physical CoG at a generic level of
command; other methods may be used. Moral strategic CoGs are analyzed in
a similar way. Some analysts might prefer first to identify the critical capabilities
(abilities) the actor requires to achieve its (assumed) objectives, and then
identify the primary entity that possesses the most of those critical capabilities.
Others might identify the CoG first, as part of the process that determines how
the actor (assumable) will achieve its objectives. However, since CoG analysis
is a continuous, iterative process, the order is not important.

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Centre of gravity analysis matrix


Assessed objectives and potential COAs (note actor and level of command)
The actor’s (assumed) main objectives and potential COAs for achieving them, at the analyzed
command level. For an adversary, assess as a minimum most likely and most dangerous COAs.
Centre of gravity Critical capabilities
Identify the CoG for each COA (validate as per Identifying the CoG’s critical capabilities serves
B.2; analyze each according to this table. as a validation of the CoG – does it possess the
primary abilities required to achieve the
Determine the condition of the CoG that must
objectives for the actor?
exist as well as conditions that must be avoided,
in order to achieve NATO objectives at the Some abilities might be weak, in which case
analyzed command level. Example: entity associated critical vulnerabilities must be
destroyed vs. entity isolated (post-war combat identified.
effective entity needed for stabilization).
A critical capability deemed essential to achieve
The required condition should be reflected in own the actor’s objectives could also be missing, in
objectives; if not, revise as required. which case support from an entity that possesses
the missing ability becomes a critical requirement
Conditions to be avoided must be reflected in
for the CoG.
rules of engagement (ROE) and other restraints.
Critical vulnerabilities Critical requirements
For every critical vulnerability (CV) identified, Each of the CoG’s critical capabilities must be
assess the impact on each critical capability and considered in regard to what the critical
relate to the required condition of the CoG. requirements (conditions, resources, and/or
means) are for the CoG to perform it.
For opposing CoGs: For each CV, determine the
potential effect(s) that expresses how the CV can
There will normally be an overlap of requirements
be exploited in order to achieve the required
to perform the various critical capabilities but it is
condition of the CoG. Is NATO able to achieve
useful to note which critical capability each
each potential effect – with what combination(s)
requirement relates to.
of actions? What are the risks associated? Are
there undesired effects? What combination(s) of
effects can achieve the required condition of the
CoG? Those effects deemed decisive for
achieving the required condition are designated
decisive conditions. Different COAs might select
different combinations of effects and thus DCs.
For friendly CoGs: (How) can an opponent cause
and exploit a vulnerability (effects and actions)?
Which effect(s) achieved by NATO could
protect/prevent the vulnerability in order to satisfy
the critical requirement (to maintain/achieve the
req. condition of the CoG) – with what
combination of actions?
Conclusions
The deductions should be formulated as elements for further planning, e.g. objectives, DCs, effects,
actions, ROE, CCIR, etc.

Table B.1 - The CoG analysis matrix

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B.5. Applying CoG analysis in the planning process. The following describes a method
for how CoG analysis can be used in the planning process; other methods may be
used. Although CoG analysis is initiated in mission analysis, it is not related (limited)
to a specific planning activity. Rather, it is a continuous, iterative process that must
continue throughout planning and conduct of the operation, as collaborative planning
by multiple levels of command. For simplification purposes, only two actors are
included: NATO and a single adversary.

a. Applying strategic CoG analysis in the planning process. If higher-level


CoGs are not already identified, the commander should start with identifying
and analysing higher level CoGs, including both moral and physical strategic
CoGs. Already identified CoGs should still be validated and the analyses
refined, since CoGs and their critical capabilities, requirements and
vulnerabilities may change as the situation changes. The following describes a
method that uses CoG analysis to ensure a logical linkage between the Alliance
political-strategic objectives and the military strategic objectives. As such, the
method can be used at the political-strategic level to develop the military
strategic objectives, and it can be used at lower levels to validate the military
strategic objectives; other methods may be used.

(1) Identify the NATO moral strategic CoG (the strategic decision-making
entity in the current strategic context) and analyze it using the CoG
analysis model.

(2) Identify the adversary’s moral strategic CoG. Identify likely successors
and assess the potential influence on the NATO mission for each one to
replace the current leadership.

(3) Analyze the adversary’s moral strategic CoG using the CoG analysis
model. Missing information must be provided through the commander’s
critical information requirement (CCIR) process (valid for all steps).

(4) Identify the adversary’s (assumed) political-strategic objectives and the


motives driving them.

(5) Determine the adversary’s policy change(s) required to attain the end
state and the Alliance strategic-political objectives, like ‘no longer
supports insurgents financially’ or ‘withdraws its forces and accepts
NATO peace terms.’

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(6) Determine NATO’s required condition of the adversary’s moral strategic


CoG and its critical capabilities; the condition must support the desired
policy change and should be reflected in the Alliance strategic-political
objectives. If the Alliance objectives do not reflect such considerations,
they should be revised (by the Alliance political leadership). An example
could be “Country X has a stable, representative government.”
Conditions to be avoided should be determined as well; these must be
reflected in rules of engagement (ROE) and other restraints (for all
diplomatic, information, military, economic (DIME) instruments of power).
A condition to be avoided could be a leadership change to someone
undesired by NATO.

(7) Determine possible combinations of strategic effects in the CoG’s critical


vulnerabilities that could lead to the required condition of the adversary’s
moral strategic CoG, as well as central undesired effects that could lead
to the conditions to be avoided (ROE and other restraints).

(8) Determine possible strategic actions of the DIME instruments of power


that could lead to each identified strategic effect. One action can in
principle support several effects.

(9) Identify the various ways the adversary can achieve its political-strategic
objectives, using its available means. The primary entity used to achieve
the objectives in each potential strategy is the physical strategic CoG.
CoGs should be identified as a minimum for the adversary’s assumed
most likely as well as the most dangerous strategic COA (as seen
through the eyes of the adversary); the CoGs could be the same for
several COAs. The adversary’s strategic COAs should aim at affecting
NATO strategic CoGs and their critical vulnerabilities, which means this
step must be revisited once NATO CoGs are identified (and every time
they are refined or changed). See also step 1 above and 14 below.

(10) Establish NATO’s required condition of the identified adversary physical


strategic CoGs and their critical capabilities (related to each adversary
strategic COA); each condition must directly support the Alliance
strategic-political objectives. If the Alliance objectives do not reflect such
considerations, they should be revised (by the Alliance political
leadership). An example could be “The weapons of mass destruction
(WMD) are destroyed.” Conditions to be avoided should be determined
as well; these must be reflected in ROE and other restraints (as in step

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5). An example could be “The army’s armour and artillery units must not
be reduced by more than 50°% [for post-conflict regional stability
purposes]”.

(11) Determine possible strategic effects in each CoG’s critical vulnerabilities


that could lead to the required condition(s) of the adversary’s physical
strategic CoG(s), as well as undesired effects that could lead to the
conditions to be avoided (like step 7).

(12) Determine possible combinations of strategic actions of the DIME


instruments of power that could lead to each identified strategic effect
(like step 8).

(13) The different combinations of strategic effects and actions determined


above are core elements of NATO strategic design. Different
combinations form the core ingredients of different potential strategic
options (along with strategic effects and actions identified elsewhere in
the planning process). Each strategic option must be able to attain the
end state and the required DIME means to realize the strategy must be
available. This might lead to a requirement for revising the end state and
the Alliance political strategic objectives.

(14) For each NATO strategic option, validate and refine the strategic CoG as
required (the primary entity used in the strategy) and analyze it using the
CoG analysis model. Determine strategic effects and associated actions
required to protect the critical vulnerabilities. Do this as well for the NATO
moral strategic CoG analyzed in step 1. Incorporate this in the NATO
strategic options and use it to update step 9 (adversary’s COAs). The
CoG analyses of the NATO physical strategic CoGs (related to different
strategy candidates) will contribute to strategic option development and
selection by highlighting critical vulnerabilities and thus central risks
associated with each strategy candidate. This is also an illustration of the
continuous, iterative nature of CoG analysis.

(15) From the effects in the selected NATO strategic option, objectives for the
DIME instruments of power are developed, including military strategic
objectives.

(16) From the military strategic objectives, operational objectives are


developed; normally, the military-strategic effects form the basis for the
formulation of the operational objectives. If the only means available to

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the military-strategic command is a single operational-level command,


the operational objectives should closely reflect the military-strategic
objectives deduced in step 15 above. If more means are available (e.g.
more than one subordinate command), the same method as described
below can be used for military-strategic level planning to insure a logical
linkage between the military strategic objectives and the operational
objectives.

b. Applying CoG analysis for operational-level planning. The following


describes a method for using CoG analysis for operational-level planning; other
methods may be used. For simplicity, the following assumes that the operational
objectives closely reflect the military strategic objectives deduced in step 15
above. Overall, the logic is the same as the political-strategic level method
described above.

(1) Identify the adversary’s (assumed) operational objectives. For simplicity,


the following assumes the adversary’s operational objectives are the
same as its military strategic objectives (the adversary’s military strategic
and operational level merged); these can be deduced from the
adversary’s strategic COAs (step 9 above). Quite possibly, each
identified adversary strategic COA (with associated adversary effects
and actions) leads to a different set of the adversary’s operational
objectives (but likely overlapping). For simplicity, the following assumes
the same set of the adversary’s operational objectives of most likely and
most dangerous adversary’s strategic COA.

(2) Identify the various ways the adversary can achieve its operational
objectives, using its available operational means. The primary entity
used to achieve the objectives in each potential adversary operational
COA is the adversary’s operational CoG. CoGs should be identified as a
minimum for the adversary’s assumed most likely as well as the most
dangerous operational COA (as seen through the eyes of the adversary);
the CoG could be the same for several COAs. An adversary’s operational
CoG should either be a critical requirement (i.e. a mean) for the
adversary’s physical strategic CoG or be able to achieve a critical
requirement (i.e. a condition); if it is not, the physical strategic CoG
analysis should be refined to ensure the operational CoG is nested in the
strategic CoG. The adversary’s operational COAs should be assumed to
exploit critical vulnerabilities of NATO operational CoG(s), which means
this step must be revisited every time NATO operational CoG(s) are

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refined or changed. This step (first performed in mission analysis) initially


uses an interim NATO operational CoG, based on commander’s initial
planning guidance. See also step 7 below.

(3) Establish the commander’s required condition of each adversary’s


operational CoG and its critical capabilities; each condition must directly
support the commander’s operational objectives. If the operational
objectives do not reflect such considerations, they should be revised.
Conditions to be avoided should be determined as well; these must be
reflected in ROE and other restraints.

(4) Determine possible effects in each CoG’s critical vulnerabilities that


could lead to the required condition(s) of the adversary’s operational
CoG(s), as well as undesired effects that could lead to the conditions to
be avoided (to be reflected in ROE and other restraints). Those effects
that are deemed decisive for achieving the required condition of the
related CoG are designated decisive conditions (DCs) (see step 6
below); sometimes a DC might also describe the required condition of a
CoG.

(5) Determine possible combinations of actions across the joint functions


that could lead to each identified effect. One action can in principle
support several effects. The effects and associated combinations of
actions must be developed through collaborative planning with the
components to ensure they are creatable.

(6) The different combinations of effects and related combinations of actions


determined above are core elements of the operations design. Different
combinations form the core ingredients of different potential NATO
operational COAs (along with DCs, effects, and actions identified
elsewhere in the planning process); those effects in the adversary’s
critical vulnerabilities, which are selected for a specific COA and are
deemed decisive for achieving the required condition of the related CoG,
are designated DCs in that COA. Each COA must be able to achieve the
operational objectives and the required joint means to carry out the COA
must be available. This might lead to a requirement for revising the
operational objectives and possibly also the Alliance strategic-political
objectives and the end state, in dialogue with higher headquarters.

(7) For each NATO operational COA, validate and refine the NATO
operational CoG as required and analyze it using the CoG analysis

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model. Determine effects and associated actions required to protect the


critical vulnerabilities; DCs are designated as in step 6 above.
Incorporate this in the NATO operational COAs, and use it to update step
2 (adversary’s operational COAs). The CoG analyses of the NATO
operational CoGs (related to different COAs candidates) will contribute
to COA development and selection by highlighting critical vulnerabilities
and thus central risks associated with the COA candidate. This is also an
illustration of the continuous, iterative nature of CoG identification and
analysis.

(8) From the DCs and effects in the selected operational COA, objectives for
the components are defined (i.e. the subordinate commands). This
happens through collaborative planning with the components to ensure
the related actions are realistic and the objectives are achievable.
Component-level planning will refine and revise as required, just as
described here for operational- level planning.

(9) For each branch and sequel developed, each step must be revisited, as
yet another illustration of the continuous, iterative nature of CoG
identification and analysis.

(10) In sum, key insights from the analysis of CoGs should contribute to the
development of the main ideas for the operation and should be captured
as key deductions; they should be formulated as elements for further
planning, e.g. objectives, decisive conditions, effects, actions, ROE (to
prevent undesired states and effects), CCIR, etc.

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LEXICON
PART 1 – ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS
ACTWARN activation warning
AJP Allied joint publication
AOO area of operations

C2 command and control


CAT Campaign Assessment Tool
CCT cross-cutting topics
CBRN chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear
CCIR commander’s critical information requirement
C-IED countering improvised explosive devices
CIMIC civil-military cooperation
CIS communication and information systems
CJSOR combined joint statement of requirements
CMI civil-military interaction
COA course of action
CoG centre of gravity
CONOPS concept of operations
COP contingency plan
COPD Comprehensive Operations Planning Directive
CPOE comprehensive preparation of the operating environment
CRD commander’s required date
CRM crisis response measure
CSO contractor support to operations
CV critical vulnerability

DC decisive condition
DIME diplomatic, information, military, economic

EEFI essential elements of friendly information

FAD Force Activation Directive


FFG Follow-on Forces Group
FFIR friendly force information requirement
FOF Follow-on Forces
FP force protection
FPG functional planning guide

GRP graduated response plan

HN host nation

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HNS host-nation support


HQ headquarters

IFFG Initial Follow-on Forces Group


Info Ops information operations
ISR intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance

JIPOE joint intelligence preparation of the operating environment


JISR joint intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance
JLRT joint logistic reconnaissance team
JLSG joint logistic support group
JOA joint operations area

LO liaison officer
LOC lines of communications
LoO line of operation

MAB mission analysis briefing


MC Military Committee
MEDINT medical intelligence
MILENG military engineering
MOE measure of effectiveness
MOP measure of performance
MP military police
MSO military strategic objective
MTF medical treatment facility

NAC North Atlantic Council


NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization
NCRP NATO Crisis Response Process
NCRS NATO Crisis Response System
NCRSM NATO Crisis Response System Manual
NCS NATO Command Structure
NID North Atlantic Council initiating directive
NSO NATO Standardization Office

OA operational analysis
OLRT operational liaison and reconnaissance team
OMT ORBAT Management Tool
OPD operational planning directive
OPFOR opposing forces
OPG operations planning group
OPLAN operation plan
OPP operations planning process
OPSEC operations security

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OPT Operations Planning Tool

PE peacetime establishment
PMESII political, military, economic, social, infrastructure and information

RFI request for information


ROE rules of engagement
ROEREQ rule-of-engagement request
RSOM reception, staging and onward movement
RSOMI reception, staging, onward movement and integration

SACEUR Supreme Allied Commander Europe


SAT Systems Analysis Tool
SDP standing defence plan
SHAPE Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe
StratCom strategic communications
SUPPLAN support plan

TBMD theatre ballistic missile defence


TCN troop-contributing nation
TCSOR theatre capability statement of requirements
TOA transfer of authority
TOO theatre of operations
TOPFAS tool for operations planning functional area services.
TWP TOPFAS Web Portal

UMT User Management Tool

WMD weapons of mass destruction

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PART 2 – TERMS AND DEFINITIONS

adversary
A party acknowledged as potentially hostile and against which the legal use of force may be
envisaged. (NATO agreed)

aeromedical evacuation
AE
The movement of patients under medical supervision by air transport to and between medical
treatment facilities as an integral part of the treatment continuum.(NATO agreed)

area of operations
AOO
An area within a joint operations area defined by the joint force commander for conducting
tactical level operations. (NATO agreed)

area of responsibility
AOR
For a given level of command, an area assigned to a commander to plan and conduct
operations. (This term and definition modifies an existing NATO agreed term and/or definition
and will be processed for NATO agreed status)

assessment
The process of estimating the capabilities and performance of organizations, individuals,
materiel or systems.
Note: In the context of military forces, the hierarchical relationship in logical sequence is:
assessment, analysis, evaluation, validation and certification. (NATO agreed)

centre of gravity
CoG
The primary source of power that provides an actor its strength, freedom of action, or will to
fight. (NATO agreed)

civil-military cooperation
CIMIC
A joint function comprising a set of capabilities integral to supporting the achievement of
mission objectives and enabling NATO commands to participate effectively in a broad
spectrum of civil-military interaction with diverse non-military actors. (NATO agreed)

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civil-military interaction
CMI
A group of activities, founded on communication, planning and coordination, that NATO
military bodies share and conduct with international and local non-military actors, both during
NATO operations and in preparation for them, thereby mutually increasing the effectiveness
and efficiency of their respective actions in response to crises. (NATO agreed)

command
1. The authority vested in an individual of the armed forces for the direction, coordination,
and control of military forces.
2. An order given by a commander; that is, the will of the commander expressed for the
purpose of bringing about a particular action.
3. A unit, group of units, organization or area under the authority of a single individual.
4. To dominate an area or situation.
5. To exercise command. (NATO agreed)

commander’s required date


CRD
The latest date, calculated from G-day, established by the theatre commander, on which
forces are required to be complete in their final destination and organized to meet the
commander's operational requirement. (NATO agreed)

communication and information systems


CIS
Collective term for communication systems and information systems. (NATO agreed)

concept of operations
CONOPS
A clear and concise statement of the line of action chosen by a commander in order to
accomplish his given mission. (NATO agreed)

conduct of operations
The art of directing, coordinating, controlling and adjusting the actions of forces to achieve
specific objectives. (NATO agreed)

contingency plan
COP
A plan which is developed for possible operations where the planning factors have been
identified or can be assumed. This plan is produced in as much detail as possible, including
the resources needed and deployment options, as a basis for subsequent planning. (NATO
agreed)

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control
The authority exercised by a commander over part of the activities of subordinate
organizations, or other organizations not normally under his command, that encompasses
the responsibility for implementing orders or directives. (NATO agreed)

countering improvised explosive devices


C-IED
The collective efforts to defeat an improvised explosive device system by attacking networks,
defeating devices and preparing a force. (NATO agreed)

course of action
COA
In the estimate process, an option that will accomplish or contribute to the accomplishment
of a mission or task, and from which a detailed plan is developed. (NATO agreed)

decision point
A point in space and time, identified during the planning process, where it is anticipated that
the commander must make a decision concerning a specific course of action.

decisive condition
A combination of circumstances, effects, or a specific key event, critical factor, or function
that, when achieved, allows commanders to gain a marked advantage over an opponent or
contribute materially to achieving an objective. (NATO agreed)

doctrine
Fundamental principles by which the military forces guide their actions in support of
objectives. It is authoritative but requires judgement in application. (NATO agreed)

electronic warfare
EW
Military action that exploits the electromagnetic energy to provide situational awareness and
achieve offensive and defensive effects. (NATO agreed)

end state30
The political and/or military situation to be attained at the end of an operation, which indicates
that the objective has been achieved. (NATO agreed)

30MCM-0041-2010, Annex B defines 'end state' as 'the NAC approved set of required conditions within the
engagement space that defines an acceptable concluding situation to be attained at the end of a strategic
engagement'.
AJP-5, also referencing AJP-01, consequently understands 'end state' as a political strategic statement by the
North Atlantic Council which may include but is not limited to military aspects.

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force protection
FP
All measures and means to minimize the vulnerability of personnel, facilities, equipment and
operations to any threat and in all situations, to preserve freedom of action and the
operational effectiveness of the force. (NATO agreed)

health and medical support


A set of actions which contribute to the preparation and preservation of the human potential
by full and coherent care. (NATO agreed)

host nation
HN
A nation which, by agreement:
a. receives forces and materiel of NATO or other nations operating on/from or transiting
through its territory;
b. allows materiel and/or NATO organizations to be located on its territory; and/or
c. provides support for these purposes. (NATO agreed)

host-nation support
HNS
Civil and military assistance rendered in peace, crisis or war by a host nation to NATO and/or
other forces and NATO organizations that are located on, operating on/from, or in transit
through the host nation's territory. (NATO agreed)

improvised explosive device


IED
A device placed or fabricated in an improvised manner incorporating destructive, lethal,
noxious, pyrotechnic or incendiary chemicals and designed to destroy, incapacitate, harass
or distract.
Note: It may incorporate military stores, but is normally devised from non-military
components. (NATO agreed

information requirement
IR
In intelligence usage, information regarding an adversary or potentially hostile actors and
other relevant aspects of the operational environment that needs to be collected and
processed to meet the intelligence requirements of a commander. (NATO agreed)

information system
IS
An assembly of equipment, methods and procedures and, if necessary, personnel, organized
to accomplish information processing functions. (NATO agreed)

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intelligence
INT
The product resulting from the directed collection and processing of information regarding the
environment and the capabilities and intentions of actors, in order to identify threats and offer
opportunities for exploitation by decision-makers. (NATO agreed)

international organization
IO
An intergovernmental, regional or global organization governed by international law and
established by a group of states, with international juridical personality given by international
agreement, however characterized, creating enforceable rights and obligations for the
purpose of fulfilling a given function and pursuing common aims.
Note: Exceptionally, the International Committee of the Red Cross, although a non
governmental organization formed under the Swiss Civil Code, is mandated by the
international community of states and is founded on international law, specifically the Geneva
Conventions, has an international legal personality or status on its own, and enjoys some
immunities and privileges for the fulfilment of its humanitarian mandate.
(NATO agreed)

interoperability
The ability to act together coherently, effectively and efficiently to achieve Allied tactical,
operational and strategic objectives. (NATO agreed)

joint
Adjective used to describe activities, operations and organizations in which elements of at
least two services participate. (NATO agreed)

joint logistic support group


JLSG
A logistics-centric, force-generated, deployed, component-like joint organization, discharging
operational-level responsibilities, through joint operational and tactical-level activities. (NATO
agreed)

joint operations area


JOA
A temporary area within a theatre of operations, defined by the Supreme Allied Commander
Europe, in which a designated joint force commander plans and executes a specific mission
at the operational level. (NATO agreed)

liaison
The contact, intercommunication and coordination maintained between elements of the
military and/or other non-military actors to ensure mutual understanding and unity of purpose
and action. (NATO agreed)

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line of operation
LoO
A path linking decisive conditions to achieve an objective. (NATO agreed)

lines of communications
LOC
All the land, water, and air routes that connect an operating military force with one or more
bases of operations, and along which supplies and reinforcements move. (NATO agreed)

logistic sustainment
The process and mechanism by which sustainability is achieved and which consists of
supplying a force with consumables and replacing combat losses and non-combat attrition of
equipment in order to maintain the force's combat power for the duration required to meet its
objectives. (NATO Agreed)

logistics
Log
The science of planning and carrying out the movement and maintenance of forces. In its
most comprehensive sense, the aspects of military operations which deal with:
a. design and development, acquisition, storage, movement, distribution, maintenance,
evacuation, and disposal of materiel;
b. transport of personnel;
c. acquisition or construction, maintenance, operation, and disposition of facilities;
d. acquisition or furnishing of services; and
e. medical and health service support. (NATO agreed31)

measure of effectiveness
MOE
A criterion used to assess changes in system behavior, capability, or operational
environment, tied to measuring the attainment of an end state, achievement of an objective,
or creation of an effect. (This term and definition modifies an existing NATO agreed term
and/or definition and will be processed for NATO agreed status)

military assistance
MA
A broad range of activities that support and influence critical friendly assets through training,
advising, mentoring or the conduct of combined operations.
Note: The range of military assistance is considerable and includes, but is not limited to:
capability building of friendly security forces; engagement with local, regional, and national
leadership or organizations; and civic actions supporting and influencing the local population.
(NATO agreed)
military engineering

31Belgium, Czech Republic, Germany, Hungary, Slovakia and the United States do not consider medical
support to be a logistic function (see MC 0319/3, footnote 5).

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MILENG
A function in support of operations to shape the physical operating environment. (This term
and definition modifies an existing NATO agreed term and/or definition and will be processed
for NATO agreed status)

mission
Msn
A clear, concise statement of the task of the command and its purpose. (NATO agreed)

multinational
MN
Adjective used to describe activities, operations and organizations, in which elements of more
than one nation participate. (NATO agreed)

multinational operation
An operation conducted by forces of two or more nations acting together. (NATO agreed)

non-governmental organization
NGO
A private, not for profit, voluntary organization with no governmental or intergovernmental
affiliation, established for the purpose of fulfilling a range of activities, in particular
development-related projects or the promotion of a specific cause, and organized at local,
national, regional or international level.
Notes:
1. A non governmental organization does not necessarily have an official status or mandate
for its existence or activities.
2. NATO may or may not support or cooperate with a given non governmental organization.
(NATO agreed)

objective
Obj
A clearly defined and attainable goal for a military operation, for example seizing a terrain
feature, neutralizing an adversary's force or capability or achieving some other desired
outcome that is essential to a commander's plan and towards which the operation is directed.
(NATO agreed)

operating environment
OE
A composite of the conditions, circumstances, and influences that affect the employment of
capabilities and bear on the decisions of the commander. (NATO agreed)

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operation
Op
A sequence of coordinated actions with a defined purpose.
Notes:
1. NATO operations are military.
2. NATO operations contribute to a wider approach including non-military actions.
(NATO agreed)

operation plan
OPLAN
A plan for a single or series of connected operations to be carried out simultaneously or in
succession.
Notes:
1. It is the form of directive employed by higher authority to permit subordinate commanders
to prepare supporting plans and orders.
2. The designation ‘plan’ is usually used instead of ’order’ in preparing for operations well in
advance.
3. An operation plan may be put into effect at a prescribed time, or on signal, and then
becomes the operation order. (NATO agreed)

operational art
The employment of forces to attain strategic and/or operational objectives through the design,
organization, integration and conduct of strategies, campaigns, major operations and battles.
(NATO agreed)

operational level
The level at which campaigns and major operations are planned, conducted and sustained
to accomplish strategic objectives within theatres or areas of operations. (NATO agreed)

operational pause
A temporary and deliberate cessation of certain activities during the course of an operation to
avoid reaching the culminating point and to be able to regenerate the combat power required
to proceed with the next stage of the operation. (NATO agreed)

operations planning
The planning of military operations at the strategic, operational or tactical levels.
Notes:
1. The preferred English term to designate the planning of military operations at all levels is
”operations planning”.
2. The term ”operational planning” is not to be used so as to prevent confusion with
operational-level planning. (NATO agreed)

opposing forces
OPFOR
Those forces used in an enemy role during NATO exercises. (NATO agreed)

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peace support
Efforts conducted impartially to restore or maintain peace.
Note: Peace support efforts can include conflict prevention, peacemaking, peace
enforcement, peacekeeping and peacebuilding. (NATO agreed)

rules of engagement
ROE
Directives issued by competent military authority which specify the circumstances and
limitations under which forces will initiate and/or continue combat engagement with other
forces encountered. (NATO agreed)

security force assistance (SFA)


All NATO activities that develop and improve, or directly support, the development of local
forces and their associated institutions in crisis zones. Local forces comprise indigenous,
non-NATO military security forces and will be defined by the North Atlantic Council.
(AJP-3.16)

Supreme Allied Commander Europe


SACEUR
The NATO strategic commander commanding Allied Command Operations and responsible
for the planning and execution of NATO operations. (NATO agreed)

special operations
Military activities conducted by specially designated, organized, selected, trained and
equipped forces using unconventional techniques and modes of employment.
(NATO agreed)

strategic communications
StratCom
In the NATO military context, the integration of communication capabilities and information
staff function with other military activities, in order to understand and shape the information
environment, in support of NATO strategic aims and objectives. (NATO agreed)

strategic level
The level at which a nation or group of nations determines national or multinational security
objectives and deploys national, including military, resources to achieve them. (NATO
agreed)

supported commander
A commander having primary responsibility for all aspects of a task assigned by a higher
NATO military authority and who receives forces or other support from one or more
supporting commanders. (NATO agreed)

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tactical level
The level at which activities, battles and engagements are planned and executed to
accomplish military objectives assigned to tactical formations and units. (NATO agreed)

targeting
The process of selecting and prioritizing targets and matching the appropriate response to
them, taking into account operational requirements and capabilities. (NATO agreed)

theatre of operations
TOO
A designated area, which may include one or more joint operations areas.
Note: A theatre of operations may include land, air, space and sea outside a joint operations
area. (This term and definition modifies an existing NATO agreed term and/or definition and
will be processed for NATO agreed status)

transfer of authority
TOA
Within NATO, an action by which a member nation or NATO Command gives operational
command or control of designated forces to a NATO Command. (NATO agreed)

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