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Macro Economics Overview: Nominal GDP, Real GDP, CPI, GDP Deflator

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Macro Economics Overview:

Nominal GDP, Real GDP,


CPI, GDP Deflator
Nominal Vs Real GDP
Nominal GDP: values the production of goods and services at
current prices.
Real GDP: values the production of goods and services at
constant prices.
An accurate view of the economy requires adjusting nominal to
real GDP by using a measure of inflation like the GDP deflator
or the CPI.
potential GDP: measures the maximum amount of economic
output an economy can sustain at any moment without inducing
any strains on production or unused resources. When an
economy is operating at its potential, there are high levels of
utilization of the labor force and capital stock. When output rises
above potential, price inflation tends to rise, while a below
potential level of output leads to high unemployment.
Nominal to Real GDP
• Converting Nominal GDP to Real GDP
– Nominal GDP is converted to real GDP as follows:

Nominal GDP20XX
Real GDP20XX   100
GDP deflator20XX
Or CPI20xx
GDP Deflator
GDP Deflator is the ratio of the value of aggregate final output at
current market prices (Nominal GDP) to its value at the base
year prices (Real GDP). It is an adjustment for the impact of
changes in prices on changes in nominal GDP.
GDP Deflator can be considered the most comprehensive
measure of inflation since a wide array of goods and services are
included in its construction. But it may not reflect the full impact
of inflation on consumer welfare because it does not include
imported goods and services that constitute a significant portion
of what people buy.

GDP Deflator = Nominal GDP/ Real GDP


Consumer Price Index

• The CPI expresses average prices each year


relative to a reference year, which is a CPI of
100.
CPIt = (Prices in year t)/(Prices in reference year) x
100
Differences Between CPI & GDP Deflator

1)The first is that GDP Deflator includes only domestic


goods and not anything that is imported. On the other
hand CPI includes anything bought by consumers
including foreign goods.
2)The second difference is that the GDP Deflator is a
measure of the prices of all goods and services while the
CPI is a measure of only goods bought by consumers.
Calculating GDP Deflator
A Simple Economy
• Suppose an economy produces three goods
or services, Window Washing, Baseballs,
and Hammers. Data for the past three years
can be found below.
Nominal GDP
Step 1: Calculate Nominal GDP (The value of
final goods and services evaluated at current-
year prices) for each year:
Nominal GDP 2006
NGDP2006 = Q2006 x P2006
= (90 x $50.00) Window Washing
+ (75 x $2.00) Baseballs
+ (50 x $30.00) Hammers
= $6,150
Nominal GDP 2007
NGDP2007 = Q2007 x P2007
= (100 x $60.00) Window Washing
+ (100 x $2.00) Baseballs
+ (50 x $25.00) Hammers = $7,450

Nominal GDP 2008


NGDP2008 = Q2008 x P2008
= (100 x $65.00) Window Washing
+ (120 x $2.25) Baseballs
+ (65 x $25.00) Hammers= $8,395
Real GDP
• Step 2: Calculate Real GDP (The value of
final goods and services evaluated at base-
year prices) for each year. For our example
assume 2006 is the base year. This means
that all values are in what we call “2006
Dollars”, or “Constant Dollars”.
• By using the prices from the base-year, (or
holding prices constant over time), we
eliminate the impact that rising prices have
on GDP, to get a measure of “Real”
economic activity.
Real GDP in 2006
RGDP2006 = Q2006 x P2006
= (90 x $50.00) Window Washing
+ (75 x $2.00) Baseballs
+ (50 x $30.00) Hammers
= $6,150
Note: For the Base-Year Nominal GDP
always equals Real GDP
Real GDP in 2007
RGDP2007 = Q2007 x P2006
= (100 x $50.00) Window Washing
+ (100 x $2.00) Baseballs
+ (50 x $30.00) Hammers = $6,700
Real GDP in 2008
RGDP2008 = Q2008 x P2006
= (100 x $50.00) Window Washing
+ (120 x $2.00) Baseballs
+ (65 x $30.00) Hammers = $7,190
Note: We use “Current Quantities” and “Constant
Prices”.
Calculate the GDP Deflator
NGDPt
GDP _ Deflatort   100
RGDPt
GDP Deflator for 2006
GDP Deflator2006 = (6,150/6,150) x 100 = 100
GDP Deflator for 2007
GDP Deflator2007 = (7,450/6,700) x 100 = 111.19
GDP Deflator for 2008
GDP Deflator2008 = (8,395/7,190) x 100 = 116.76

Note: The GDP Deflator is always equal to 100 in the


base-year.
Calculating CPI
For example, suppose our basket of goods consists of only
three items: shirts, pants and bread with the following prices
and quantities in 2006 and 2007:

Item Quantity Price in 2006 Price in 2007

Shirts 10 $10 $12

Pants 5 $20 $25

Bread 100 $0.50 $0.55

TOTAL
Calculating CPI
We're now going to calculate the Market Basket values for
2006 and 2007. Values that indicate Quantity will be in bold.

Market Basket for 2006 = (10* $10) + (5* $20) + (100* $0.50)
= $100 + $100 +$50 = $250

Market Basket for 2007 = (10* $12) + (5* $25) + (100* $0.55)
= $120 + $125 + $55 = $300
Calculate CPI
Expenditures _ in _ the _ Current _ Year
CPI   100
Expenditures _ in _ the _ Base _ Year

Cost _ of _ Basket _ in _ Current _ Year


CPI  100
Cost _ of _ Basket _ in _ Base _ Year

CPI2006 = (250/250) x 100 = 100

CPI2007= (300/250) x 100 = 120

The value of the CPI is always equal to 100 in the base-year.

As with the GDP deflator, the CPI gives us an index number,


there are no units.

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