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Paper Reference(s)

1389/1H Examiner’s use only

Edexcel GCSE Team Leader’s use only

Statistics
Paper 1H
Higher Tier
Thursday 21 June 2007 – Morning
Time: 2 hours 30 minutes

Materials required for examination Items included with question papers

Ruler graduated in centimetres and Nil
millimetres, protractor, compasses,
pen, HB pencil, eraser,
electronic calculator.

Instructions to Candidates
In the boxes above, write your centre number, candidate number, your surname, initials and signature.
Check that you have the correct question paper.
Answer ALL the questions. Write your answers in the spaces provided in this question paper.
You must NOT write on the formulae page or any blank pages. Anything you write on these
pages will gain NO credit.
If you need more space to complete your answer to any question, use additional answer sheets.

Information for Candidates

The marks for individual questions and the parts of questions are shown in round brackets: e.g. (2).
This question paper has 8 questions in Section A and 6 questions in Section B. The total mark for this
paper is 100.
There are 24 pages in this question paper. Any blank pages are indicated.

Advice to Candidates
Show all stages in any calculations.
Work steadily through the paper. Do not spend too long on one question.
If you cannot answer a question, leave it and attempt the next one.
Return at the end to those you have left out.

This publication may be reproduced only in accordance with

Edexcel Limited copyright policy.
©2007 Edexcel Limited. Turn over
Printer’s Log. No.

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 GCSE Statistics 1389

Higher Tier Formulae

You must not write on this page.

Anything you write on this page will gain NO credit.

Mean of a frequency distribution =

∑ fx
∑f

Mean of a grouped frequency distribution =

∑ fx , where x is the mid-interval value.
∑f

Variance =
∑ (x − x ) 2

⎡ x 2 ⎛ x ⎞2 ⎤
Standard deviation (set of numbers) ⎢∑ −⎜ ∑ ⎟ ⎥
⎢ n ⎜ n ⎟ ⎥
⎣ ⎝ ⎠ ⎦

⎡ ∑ ( x − x )2 ⎤
or ⎢ ⎥
⎢⎣ n ⎥⎦

where x is the mean set of values.

2
⎡ fx 2 ⎛ ∑ fx ⎞ ⎤
Standard deviation (discrete frequency
distribution) ⎢ ∑ −⎜ ⎟ ⎥
⎢ ∑ f ⎜⎝ ∑ f ⎟⎠ ⎥
⎣ ⎦

⎡ ∑ f ( x − x )2 ⎤
or ⎢ ⎥
⎢⎣ ∑ f ⎥⎦
6∑ d 2
Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coefficient 1−
n(n 2 − 1)

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SECTION A

Answer ALL the questions. Write your answers in the spaces provided.

You must write down all stages in your working.

1. The table shows information about the number of energy units supplied in Great Britain.

Number of energy units and their source

Year Total Coal Petroleum Natural Nuclear Natural Net

gas flow hydro imports
1995 223.5 51.4 76.6 72.3 21.28 0.47 1.40
1996 227.0 46.9 75.6 80.6 22.10 0.32 1.44
1997 229.2 43.3 74.7 87.3 22.02 0.41 1.43
1998 235.2 43.3 76.5 90.4 23.39 0.52 1.07
1999 235.7 38.1 77.7 95.8 22.24 0.54 1.22
2000 238.0 40.0 77.8 98.8 19.66 0.51 1.22
2001 238.1 43.0 76.0 96.9 20.84 0.44 0.89
2002 234.2 39.8 73.5 99.5 20.09 0.56 0.72
2003 237.3 42.3 75.7 98.2 20.49 0.40 0.19

(Data source: Department of Trade and Industry)

(a) How many units of energy did Nuclear supply in 1998?

..........................units
(1)

(b) Which source supplied the greatest number of energy units

(i) in 1995,

.......................................................

(ii) in 2003?

.......................................................
(2)

(c) Describe the trend in the Net imports of energy units between the years 2000 and
2003.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(1) Q1

(Total 4 marks)

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2. The comparative pie charts show some information about the players at Seaton squash
club in 1980 and in 1990.

The three types of players at Seaton squash club are Senior male, Senior female and
Junior.
1990

1980 Senior male

Senior female

Junior

(Data source: Seaton squash club)

(a) What has happened to the number of Senior male players at Seaton squash club
between 1980 and 1990? Give a reason for your answer.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(2)

The table shows the numbers of players in 2005.

Number of players

Senior male 197

Senior female 108

Junior 81

A stratified sample of 40 players was taken from the 386 players of the club.

(b) Explain why a stratified sample was taken.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(1)

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(c) Work out the number of Junior players who were selected for the stratified sample.

....................................
(1) Q2

(Total 4 marks)

3. Mary wants to estimate the number of fish in a lake.

She catches 40 fish, marks them and puts them back in the lake.
Later she catches another 40 fish and finds that 5 of them are marked.

(a) Work out an estimate for the number of fish in the lake.

....................................
(2)

(b) Write down one assumption you have made about the population of fish in the lake.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(1) Q3

(Total 3 marks)

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4. Storm Engineering employs 200 workers.

Storm Engineering wish to consult their workers about a new pension scheme.

(a) Give one advantage of taking a census of the workers rather than a sample.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(1)

Storm Engineering will use a questionnaire.

They will use closed questions.

(b) Give one advantage of using closed questions on a questionnaire.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(1)

Before Storm Engineering gives the questionnaire to all their workers they are advised to
do something to check that the questionnaire is suitable.

(c) Write down what Storm Engineering need to do.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(1)

One question suggested for the questionnaire was

‘Do you agree that the proposed pension scheme should be compulsory?’

This question is leading.

(d) Rewrite this question so that it is not leading. You should include response boxes.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(2) Q4

(Total 5 marks)

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5. The Gross Domestic Product per person, or GDP per capita, is a measure of a country’s
wealth.
The greater the GDP per capita, the greater the country’s wealth.
The table shows the GDP per capita and the life expectancy at birth for each of nine
countries.

Country GDP per capita Life expectancy

($) at birth (years)
Luxembourg 58 198 78.7

UK 29 483 78.4

Monaco 26 844 79.6

Uruguay 14 423 76.1

Seychelles 7711 71.8

Grenada 4916 64.5

St. Helena 2413 77.8

Haiti 1484 52.9

Comoros 657 62.0

(Data source: www.nationmaster.com)

(a) Work out Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient for these data.

........................................
(3)

(b) Interpret your answer to part (a).

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(2) Q5

(Total 5 marks)

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6. Waterside garage is doing a survey on the colours of vans.

An employee is going to count how many vans of each colour pass the garage.

(a) Use the best word from the list to complete each sentence below.

qualitative quantitative continuous secondary

(i) The colours of the vans are ........................................................................... data.

(ii) The number of vans is ................................................................................... data.

(2)

The manager has three suggestions for when the employee should do the survey.

A: between 8.00 am and 10.00 am on a weekday

B: between 10.00 am and midday on a Saturday

C: at a randomly selected 1 hour period between 8.00 am and 5.00 pm every day for a
week

(b) Which suggestion is best? Give a reason for your answer.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(1)

The manager has three suggestions for how the data could be recorded.

X: to write down the colour of each van as it passes, e.g. red, white, blue

Y: to write down just the first letter of the colour e.g. R, W, B

Z: to fill in a tally chart

(c) Which suggestion is best? Give a reason for your answer.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(1) Q6

(Total 4 marks)

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7. The table gives the mean and standard deviation of the times, in seconds, for each of
two races in the Olympic Games of 2004. The times in each of these races are normally
distributed.

Race Mean (seconds) Standard deviation (seconds)

100 m 10.95 0.238

400 m 49.62 1.290

(Data source: www.athens2004.com)

Roman Sebrle ran a time of 10.85 seconds in the 100 m race and a time of 48.36 seconds
in the 400 m race.

(a) Calculate Roman Sebrle’s standardised score for his time in each of these two races.

Standardised 100 m score ......................................

Standardised 400 m score ......................................

(3)

(b) Interpret your answers to part (a).

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(2) Q7

(Total 5 marks)

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8. A machine fills packets with sugar.
Every hour Peter takes a sample of 10 packets.

(a) Write down the name given to this method of sampling.

.......................................................................................................................................
(1)

Peter calculates the mean weight for each sample of 10 packets.

These mean weights are normally distributed with a mean of 505 g and a standard deviation
of 1.6 g.

(b) Write down the percentage of the samples that have a mean weight
within ±2 standard deviations of 505 g.

............................ %
(1)

The allowable limits for the mean weights of the samples are 505 g ±3 standard deviations.

Peter takes a sample, it has a mean weight of 500 g.

(c) What should Peter do? Show your working.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(3) Q8

(Total 5 marks)
TOTAL FOR SECTION A: 35 MARKS

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SECTION B

Answer ALL the questions. Write your answers in the spaces provided.

You must write down all stages in your working.

1. The time series graph shows the values, to the nearest £1000 million, of the Total Exports
from the United Kingdom between 1997 and 2003.

Total United Kingdom Exports

300

290

280

270

260

250

Total Exports 240

(£1000 millions)
230

220

210

200

190
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year
(Data source: Office for National Statistics)
(a) Draw a trend line on the time series graph.
(1)
(b) What does the trend line show about the Total United Kingdom Exports between 1997
and 2003?

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(1)
(c) Use your trend line to predict the Total United Kingdom Exports in 2004.

..........................................................
(1)

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(d) Why might this prediction for the Total United Kingdom Exports in 2004 be
unreliable?

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(1)

In 2005 the Total United Kingdom Exports was 273 thousand million pounds.

(e) Does this figure follow the overall trend shown by the trend line on the time series
graph?

Give a reason for your answer.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(2) Q1

(Total 6 marks)

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2. A holiday company recorded the ages, in years, of the people on each of two tours.

The ages of the people on tour A are summarised in this box plot.

Tour A

30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Age (years)
(Data source: Blue Lagoon)

(a) Describe the skewness of the distribution of the ages of the people on tour A.

............................................................................
(1)

(b) What percentage of these ages lie between the upper and lower quartiles?

...............................................
(1)

Here are the ages of the people on tour B.

32 33 35 39 43 44 44 47 48 48 50 51
52 54 55 55 57 58 60 65 68 70 86

(c) For the ages of the people on tour B, find

(i) the median,

.......................................

(ii) the lower quartile,

.......................................

(iii) the upper quartile.

.......................................
(3)

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(d) Show that 86 is an outlier for the ages of the people on tour B.

(3)

There are no other outliers.

(e) On the grid, draw a box plot to show the distribution of the ages of the people on tour B.

Tour A

Tour B

30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Age (years)
(3)

(f) Compare the distributions of the ages of the people on the two tours.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(2) Q2

(Total 13 marks)

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3. The scatter diagram shows the ages, x million years, and the volumes, y cm3, of eight
skulls of a particular type of ape.

250

200

Volume of
150
skull (y cm3)

100

50

0
0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0
Age of skull (x million years)

(a) Describe the correlation between the volume of a skull and the age of a skull for this
type of ape.

.......................................................................................................................................
(1)

The table gives the ages, x million years, and the volumes, y cm3, of the eight skulls shown
in the scatter diagram.

x 2.5 1.8 0.8 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.4 1.2

y 34 80 170 20 80 180 210 130

(b) Calculate the coordinates of the mean point ( x , y ) for these data.

( .................... , .................... )
(2)

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(c) On the scatter diagram

(i) plot the point ( x , y ),

(ii) draw the line of best fit.

(2)

A skull of this particular type of ape has an age of one million years.

(d) Find an estimate for the volume of this skull.

................................................cm3
(1)

The skull of another ape is to be classified. It has an age of 1 million years and a volume
of 75 cm3.

(e) Discuss whether this skull is likely to be from the same type of ape.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(2)

(f) Give a reason why your line of best fit may not be used reliably to predict the volume
of a skull with an age of 3 million years.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(1)

The equation of the line of best fit has the form y = ax + b .

(g) Use your line of best fit to find the value of a and the value of b.

a = ......................................

b = ......................................
(3)

(h) Give a practical interpretation of the meaning of a.

.......................................................................................................................................

....................................................................................................................................... Q3
(2)
(Total 14 marks)

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4. Michael throws a stone at a target. He then throws a second stone at the target.
1
The probability he hits the target on his first throw is
5
If he hits the target on his first throw, the probability he will hit the target on his second
1
throw is
3
If he misses the target on his first throw, the probability he will hit the target on his second
1
throw is
4
(a) Complete the probability tree diagram.
First throw Second throw

1 Hit
3

Hit
1
5
Miss

Hit

Miss

Miss

(3)
(b) Work out the probability that Michael will hit the target on both throws.

......................................
(2)

(c) Work out the probability that Michael will hit the target only once in the two
throws.

.....................................
(3)
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Gordon is going to throw five stones in turn at the target.
Gordon can hit the target with a probability of 0.8 with any one of these five stones.

(d) Name the probability distribution that models the number of times he will hit the
target in the five throws.

............................................................
(1)

(e) Work out the probability that he will hit the target with only one of the five stones.
[You may use ( p + q )5 = p 5 + 5 p 4 q + 10 p 3 q 2 + 10 p 2 q 3 + 5 pq 4 + q 5 ]

..................................
(2)

(f) Work out the most likely number of times he will hit the target.
[You may use ( p + q )5 = p 5 + 5 p 4 q + 10 p 3 q 2 + 10 p 2 q 3 + 5 pq 4 + q 5 ]

.................................
(2) Q4

(Total 13 marks)

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5. The manager of a supermarket records the times, t minutes, to serve 200 customers.

The results are summarised in the frequency table.

Time t (minutes) Frequency

0<t3 9

3<t5 47

5<t6 38

6<t8 60

8 < t  12 46

(Data source: Supa store Dec 2004)

(a) Calculate an estimate for the mean time to serve these customers.

................................. minutes
(3)

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(b) Draw a histogram for this information.

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Time t (minutes)
(3)

(c) Calculate an estimate for the median time to serve these customers.

........................... minutes
(2)

It is claimed that these times are normally distributed.

(d) Discuss whether the claim is true or false.

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

....................................................................................................................................... Q5
(2)
(Total 10 marks)

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6. Nikki uses old editions of her local newspaper to collect information about the average
price of the houses in her area.

Her results for the years 2001 to 2005 are summarised in the table.

Year 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Average price (£) 120 000 128 000 137 000 145 500 156 500

(Data source: Western Gazette)

Nikki is using secondary data.

(a) Write down one advantage and one disadvantage of using secondary data.

Advantage .....................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

Disadvantage ................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(2)

Nikki calculates the chain base index numbers for the average price of these houses for
the years 2002, 2003, 2004 and 2005.

Her chain base index number for 2002 is shown in the table below.

Year 2002 2003 2004 2005

Chain base index number 106.7

(b) Work out the chain base index numbers for 2003, 2004 and 2005 and complete the
table.

(3)

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(c) Work out the geometric mean of the chain base index numbers for 2002 to 2005.

....................................
(2)

(d) Interpret your answer to part (c).

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................................
(2) Q6

(Total 9 marks)
TOTAL FOR SECTION B: 65 MARKS
TOTAL FOR PAPER: 100 MARKS

END

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