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1 - Process Capability Indices - 1986

1_Process Capability Indices_1986

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368 views12 pages

1 - Process Capability Indices - 1986

1_Process Capability Indices_1986

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Yo Gold
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Process Capability Indices VICTOR E. KANE Ford Motor Company, Transmission and Chassis Division, P.O. Box 2097 (7) Livonia, MI 48150 The copobility indices C,, CPU, CPL, k and Cy. are presented and related to process parometers. These indices ore shown to form a complementary system of measures of process performance, ond can be used with bilateral and unilateral tolerances, with or without target values. A number of Japanese indus es currently use the five indices ond the U.S. cutomotive industry has storted using the: in number of areas. Various opplications of the indices are discussed along with statistical sampling considerations. Introduction se quantfcation of pres location and variation “Tis conat to undersanding the quality of un oreduced rom a manuactring proce. Conair the Stuation where the process mean,» and standard Sevttion rare unknown and estimated by # and reapectvely roma pracheal siewpoint and. sre pot unless and sometimes ar no conveniant sm macy satishes when hundreds of Characters a plant or supply boo ae considered, In many sta tons, capability nas can be used to relate the pro tess parameters wand o engineering speciatons that may include unilateral or bilateral tolerances with or without target dimension Coominal value) The eaultng indices are unis and provide a com mon easiyunderston language for quantifying the perfomance of proves ‘The automotive industry is currently involved in an extensive effort to implement statistical process control (SPC) in their plants and supply base. Capa bility indices derived from SPC have received in ‘creased usage not only in process assessments, but in evaluation of purchasing decisions. Of particular in- terest have been the C, and Cy indices used in Japan (Sullivan (1984, 1985)) and recently in the U.S. auto- motive industry (e.g., Ford Motor Company (1984). ‘These indices relate the natural tolerance (62) used in the US. quality control literature (e.g, Juran and Gryna[1980 p. 299)) to engineering specifications. The purpose of this paper is to examine uses of capability indices, along with their sampling properties and es- timation procedures. Throughout the discussion it is Dr. Kane is Manager of the Applied Systems Analysis De partment within the Transmission and Chassis Division of Ford Motor Company. He i a CQE and a Member of ASQC Vol. 18, No. 1, January 1986 4 assumed that the process output is approximately normally distributed and in a state of statistical con- trol. Also, a "hat" (*) will denote an estimated quan. tity G, Index Manufacturing processes undergo several stages of development prior to actual production. The stages of, “prove out" testing at the machine supplier, initial testing at the manufacturing facility, and pre-pro: duction testing all seek to determine whether ma: chinery can produce on an on-going basis production units that meet the required engineering specifica tions. A typical baseline is the assessment of whether the natural tolerance (82) of a process is within the specification limits. An alternate formulation used in Japan (Sullivan [1984)) is to evaluate the capability index C,. The above quantities are merely different ways to relate the allowable process spread (part tol erance) to the actual process spread (natural toler- ance) as shown in Figure 1 where USL = upper spec: ification limit, LSL = lower specification limit, and NT = natural tolerance. The process potential index is, allowable process spread ‘actual process spread _ USL ~ bse a ust ~ Ls a NT AG, of 1.0 indicates that 2 process is judged to be “capable” as indicated in Figure 2. tis generally nec essary to estimate the process standard deviation in (1) s0 an estimate G, of the process capability is ob tained. Due to sampling variation and machine testing Journal of Quality Technology a VICTOR E. KANE FIGURE 1. Relotionship of C, Parameters. limitations discussed below, G, = 1.0 is generally not used as a minimally acceptable value A capable process with an underlying stable normal distribution will in theory result in 0.27% of parts be- yond the specification limits. The benchmark of 1.0 ‘was chosen to relate C, to the standard six sigma spread used on control charts. If a process is exactly capable then tice, = Ist ene @ upper control limit, Lee lower control limit subgroup sample size on control chart ‘The relation in (2) indicates that sample size adjusted specification limits are equal to contro! limits for @ process where (, = 1.0. A primary use of C, is to make various types of comparisons, Figure 3 shows how different C, values relate to the spread of a process relative to the spec: ification width. A minimum value of C, = 1.33is gen- erally used for an ongoing process (e.g, Juran, Gryna and Bingham 1979, pp. 9-22). Thisensuresa very low reject rate (0.007%) and is thus an effective strategy for prevention of nonconforming items. A value of C, ‘83 is also often used to qualify machinery since long-term statistical control of a process is generally not established during qualification trials. Using 1.83 gives some assurance that a C, = 1.0 will be possible when the additional sources of variation are experi enced in production processing. It should be noted thatit is seemingly more natural to use the traditional indicator Journal of Quality Technology % of specification used = (100) 2 ‘The motivation for using C, rather than the % of spec ification (or “capability ratio” from Charbonneau and Webster (1978)) stems from the natural relationship between process potential, quantified by C,, and pro: cess performance, quantified by Cu, which is discussed in later sections, Also, there are natural extensions to ‘unilateral tolerances and target dimensions using the G, index, Machine potential studies often do not consider whether a machine is in statistical control. This is clearly not advisable since many simple problems could be identified if standard control charts were used, even with short production runs of W parts (ie., N being between 30 and 100), Consideration of the production order on control charts is a natural prob- lem-identification tool. However, it is not possible to determine if a machine will be in a state of statistical control over the long-term with a short-term sampling, plan, The question arises whether a short-term ca pability study is of any value in predicting long-term production performance. If itis assumed that an un- stable process will have a larger standard deviation than the same process which is stable, then a short term process potential study will provide indication of problem areas. Typically, a process is evaluated using the estimated capability ‘SL — LS @ cs where s is the sample standard deviation computed from a sample of size V. Unfortunately, short-term studies have other problems, such as specially pre- pared raw material, new tools, highly trained opera: tors, and so on that can make the qualification process FIGURE 2. Distribution of Individual Parts for @ Capable Process (C, = 1.0) Vol. 18, No. 1, Janvary 1986 PROCESS CAPABILITY INDICES 43 Parcent of Specification 10 78 Rejects 0.27% 68 pew 0.6 Ppa 60 so >0.1 Fem FIGURE 3. C, Indices for Varying Widths of the Process Distribution different from typical production operations. Gener. ally, the special factors in short-term qualification studies reduce variability that is likely in production processing. Thus, these studies mainly serve to iden- tify large problem areas, The G, index computed from short-term studies generally identifies the lower bound of variability (process potential) that can be expected in the initial production setting. However, it is not uncommon to be able to improve the initial production G, index with later process refinements. 1g Considerations ‘The sampling variation of G, in (3) can be easily studied sinee it is possible to use the chi-square dis tribution of the sarmple variance (s*). Burr (1976, pp- 241) derives the operating characteristic (OC) curve for testing the standard deviation using the fact that (¥~ 1)s?/o® has a chi-square distribution with (8 — 1) degrees of freedom, In an analogous manner, itis possible to compute the OC curve for testing pro cess capability. It should first be noted thatthe test (o>) Hea = 0 Hyo <0 is equivalent to a test for process capability (cy > 0) Hs < ¢y (process is not capable) @ Hy, > ey (process is capable). Using a critical region of G > ¢, the power function ofthe test (4) is obtained directly from the chi-square distribution of the sample variance as 2(6,) = Paid, > eC) Prixte-ny < (N-1)C%AIG,) Vol. 18, No. 1, Janvory 1986 where xfu-1) is a chi-square random variable with (— 1) degrees of freedom. Itis convenient to use the power function for C, rather than the corresponding, power function for a, since it is not necessary to adjust for differences in process tolerances and a "standard: ized” process capability can be studied directly Using (5) the 0¢ curve OC(C,) = 1 ~ x(C,) can be computed afd used to compare testing schemes. The 0¢ curve enables evaluation of the unfortunate prac: tice of sometimes neglecting sampling variation of & when assessing process capability. Suppose we wish to evaluate whether a process is capable at the cy [33 level (i.e., HC, < 1.33) using N = 30 samples anda sample rejection limit (critical value) of ¢ = 1.33 ‘The OC curve (a) in Figure 4 shows that 0C(1.33) 40, which implies that there is a 40% chance of incorrectly judging the process not capable (accepting He). The true process capability must be C, = 1.6 before FIGURE 4. Operating Choracteristic Curve for Sampling Plan that Rejects Process Copobilty if C, < ¢ Where (al 0; ¢ = 1.33, and (b} N= 70; ¢= 1-46. Journal of Quality Technology 44 VICTOR E. KANE there is only a 5% chance of judging a process not, capable using a critical value of ¢ = 1.93. Selection of a meaningful eritieal value for a ca pability test requires specification of an acceptable quality level (4QL) and rejectable quality level (ROL) for the C, value (see Burr [1976, p. 336-941)). The AGL isa sufficiently high process capability such that we would like to accept processes with capabilities above the AQL. The RQL is a sufficiently low process capability such that we would like to reject processes with ca pabilities below the RQL. Thus, AQL = G,(high) > Clow) = ROL. Using (5) the a and 8 risks are a= x(6,(low)) = Prixiy-n < W — DeKlow)eM0,Clow)] x(G,(high)) = Prixty-n < WW ~ L)esChigh}e ‘6, high) Solving for O,(high)/¢,(low) and ¢ gives Cxlrigh) | xbv-n(1- 8) G,(low) ~~ xd ka) + oftowy =D. ote) where xiy- (7) is the 9(100)-th percentile ofthe ehi- square distribution with (¥ ~ 1) degrees of freedom. Table gives values of C,Chigh) /Clow)and ¢/C,(low) for varying sample size and a = equal to 0.10 and 006, The eritical value ¢ and sample size N can be determined for any specified Chigh)and Glow), For example, if a ~ B= 008, C,(high) = 16, and C,(low) 2; then O,{high)/C,(low) = 1.38, and from Table TABLE 1. Sample Size and Critical Value Determination for Testing C, ceo cao fim) ae filo) ereenw) 10 188 Lar 228 137 2» 159 120 170 128 20 14 116 155 12 “0 14 i 145 18 50 130 Lis 10 16 80 Lar uu 138 115 0 125 110 12 1M 50 123 Lio 130 113 % 12 110 12a Le 100 120 09 135 un Journal of Quality Technology 1:N = 70 and ¢ = (1.14)¢,(low) = 1.37. Thus, using a critical value of 1.37 and a sample size of 70, there is 2.5% risk of judging a process with C, above 1.6 not capable (accepting A) and a 5% risk of judging a pro: cess with C, below 1.2 as capable (rejecting Hs) In order to guarantee that any process with a C, below 1.33 (where USL ~ LSL = 80) has a high proba bility of being judged not capable (a = 0.1), and a process with aC, above 1,66 (where USL ~ LSL = 10@) has a high probability of being judged capable (8 1), then ¢,(high)/C,(low) = 1.28, and from Table IN = 70 and c/C,(low) = 1.10, which gives ¢ = 1.46, ‘The OC curve for this sampling plan is curve (b) in Figure 4. ‘The above example indicates that some past auto- motive industry machine qualification practices using, N = 30 were not generally adequate. Also, current practices using a minimum ¢ = 1.38 may aecount for nonsampling problems that make qualification runs different from production runs, but a minimus of 1.33, may not adequately account for sampling variability. Larger N and/or higher minimums 6, values may be necessary. Charbonneau and Webster (1978, p. 112) suggest a capability index of 1.5 for new equipment, but the sample size is not specified. Tolerance Interval Approach An alternate approach for assessing the perfor: mance of a process is to construct an interval with length 2Xs uch that 100p percent of the process output is covered by the interval with probability 7. This is a standard tolerance interval approach to process ca- pability. Tolerance intervals, together with other types of statistical intervals, are discussed by Hahn (1970), It could be argued that the G, index in (4) should be generalized to 5 _ USL LL 6a © G, if K = 8. If we choose N = 70, p = .99 then from Table 2 the tolerance interval has length 6.042s, which is essentially the same as the standard approach. However, other intervals would be obtained for different N, p, and y. For example, with N= 30 and the same p and y as before; X= 3.35 so the denominator of (6) becomes 6.7s. Thus, the in- creased uncertainty for N= 30s reflected by a larger ‘multiplier of s in the denominator of (6). Process Performance It is apparent that the G, index measures potential process performance since only the process spread is related to the specification limits; the location of the Vol. 18, No. 1, January 1986 PROCESS CAPABILITY INDICES 45 TABLE 2. Tolerance Intervol Factors 443 720 3.615 2.360 4.758 3213 4.499 0 3.126 328 50 3.068 4.206 70 3021 4120 0 2.986 14059 0 2.058 3.990 0 S04 3.954 process mean is not considered, It would be possible to have any percentage of parts outside the specifi cation limits with a high C, by merely locating the process mean sufficiently close to a specification limit, ‘Thus, only potential performance of a process is quantified by C, and can only be attained for the pro: ‘cess mean equal to the midpoint of the specification ‘The Cy index is related to the C, index, but utilizes the process mean and can be considered a measure of process performance. There are two equivalent forms of the Cy. index. The first formulation is derived by considering the upper and lower specification limits separately. The second formulation uses the deviation of the process mean from the midpoint of the speci fication limits. Both derivations will be given since a different insight is gained from each approach. Upper and Lower Capability Index Consider the unilateral tolerance situation where only a single specification limit is given. Figure 5 shows the process distribution related to an upper specification limit, Relating the actual and allowable spreads in the same manner as (1) gives @ new CPU index allowable upper spread cpu ‘actital upper spread USL — w om 2 _ use 30 o ‘The CPU index was developed in Japan and is utilized by @ number of Japanese companies. In a similar manner to (7) the index for the lower specification limit is Vol. 18, No. 1, January 1986 cp Be Estimates of CPU and GPL are denoted by CPU’ and CPi and are obtained by replacing u and ¢ by and s, respectively. The CPU (C, upper) and CPL (C, lower) indices are related to C, by (opu + cPLy/2 and are used to measure process capability in the sin: sle specification limit situation, Of course, in the single limmit case a CPU = 1.0 implies half as many noncon: Forming items (0.136%) as when C, = 1.0 in the two limit case. Ga Index: Since CPU and CPL utilize process location, a naturat index for the bilateral specification case is Cj. where Gu = Min( CPt, CPU} @ ‘Thus, the Gy index relates the scaled distance between the process mean and the closest specification lirit A slightly different approach is to reduce the value of G, for a process by a factor (1 ~ #), a scaled distance that the process is off-center. Denote the midpoint of the specification range by m= (USL + L81)/2 ‘The distance between the process mean, u, and the optimum, the midpoint m, is w —_m where we are as- suming m sw < USL as shown in Figure 6. The scaled distance is tt eee ALLOWABLE UPPER SPREAD = USL —» FIGURE 5. Relationship of CPU Parameters. Journal af Quality Technology 46 VICTOR E. KANE aaa aoa ©" Ost ust — The absolute value sign was added for the case when ISL 7 ~ LSL, and GPU = Oif i? — pl > USL. ~ 7. These indices can be used for a one: sided specification limit with a target value. The above equations are analogous to (8) for Cy and correspond to the CPL and CPU defined previously when 7 = 1. fe) t—__t FIGURE 9. Relotionship of k Parameters Using Torget Volues. Journal of Quality Technology FIGURE 10. Copobility Indices Using a Target Value of Te 16. A simple example illustrates the use of the indic Suppose that USL = 18, ISL = 10,7 = 16nd ¢ = 067, Note that from (11) G, = 1.0. Figure 10 shows the capability indices for selected mean values. Notice that because Cye adjusts for departures from 7, itis possible to have a0 capability and not have any parts out of the specification limits, Also, deviations on the “long, side” (Je., maximum distance between Tand a spec: ification limit) of T result in the same reduction in Cy as deviations on the “short side” (e., minimum dis tance between 7 and a specification limit). Drawbacks Experience to date has shown that there are poten tial problems in using C, and Cj, on a routine basis, ‘These drawbacks generally stem from users having an incomplete understanding of statistical principles rather than from problems with the indices. Some of the drawbacks are described below (1) Statistical Controt—There is a tendency to want to know the capability of a process before statistical control has been established. Capability refers to a quantification of common cause variation and what can be expected from a process in the future, The presence of special causes of variation make predic Vol. 18, No. 1, Janvery 1986 PROCESS CAPABILITY INDICES 49 tion impossible and the meaning of a capability index (2) Sampling Plan—Clearly, values of the average range &, often used to estimate o, depend on the sam: pling plan. Thus, it could be argued that the value of a capability index could be made to change easily by merely changing the sampling plan. The situation is seemingly complicated further when a remark is con sidered that W, Edwards Deming made to an engineer who was noting his achievement at attaining statistical control, Deming stated that he could make any process appear in statistical control —merely space out the ‘samples within a subgroup over time. This statement is recognition of the fact that the number of sources of variation increases as the time interval between samples within a subgroup increases, Spreading out the samples within a subgroup over time will increase #, widening the control limits, and thus makes achiev: ing statistical control more likely. However, increasing A will increase the estimate of and thus decrease process capability. Conversely, itis possible to increase process capability by using consecutive piece sampling Ge, obtaining a small 2) to obtain a minimum esti mate of o and maximum capability. However, in this case statistical contral is the most difficult to attain since the distance between control limits will be nar: rower. Thus, considering only statistical control or process capability separately is nota valid assessment of process performance—both criteria rust be eval uated jointly (3) Computation—It is sometimes difficult to com. pute G, and Cw on the plant floor where all individuals are not familiar with mathematical formulas, This is sue can be addressed in a variety of ways, but often involves training and /or some type of automation, (4) Nonnormality—A variety of processes result in a nonnormal distribution for a characteristic. It is probably reasonable to expect that the capability in dices are somewhat sensitive to departures from nor rmality Data transformations may be useful to attain approximate normality. Also, tis possible to estimate the percentage of parts outside the specification limits either directly or with a fitted distribution, This per centage can be related to an equivalent capability in dex for a process having a normal distribution. (5) Toul Wear—In a tool wear situation, & from a consecutive piece sampling plan is of primary interest ‘Technically, & can be used to estimate C,, but the ca pability is generally quite high. The performance of the process depends on the tool change frequency ‘There is not a convenient extension of Cys to this sit uation Vol. 18, No. 1, Jonvory 1986 TABLE 3, Summary of Capebilty Indices S ise = ust process potential for wo & sed specification limits coe process performance relative to upper specification lit ca process performance relative to lower specification timit ‘

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