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Flash - Memory - Inc From Website 0515

Flash Memory, Inc. provided actual and forecasted financial statements from 2007 to 2012 assuming no new investments or stock issuances and a fixed borrowing rate of 9.25%. The statements show steady growth in sales, gross margin, and net income. Projected balance sheets show increasing assets, liabilities, and shareholders' equity. Exhibits also calculate Flash Memory's weighted average cost of capital at 11.31% based on the industry average asset beta and Flash Memory's capital structure targets.

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100% found this document useful (1 vote)
606 views8 pages

Flash - Memory - Inc From Website 0515

Flash Memory, Inc. provided actual and forecasted financial statements from 2007 to 2012 assuming no new investments or stock issuances and a fixed borrowing rate of 9.25%. The statements show steady growth in sales, gross margin, and net income. Projected balance sheets show increasing assets, liabilities, and shareholders' equity. Exhibits also calculate Flash Memory's weighted average cost of capital at 11.31% based on the industry average asset beta and Flash Memory's capital structure targets.

Uploaded by

竹本口木子
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Flash Memory, Inc.

Exhibit TN-1 Actual and Forecasted Financial Statements Assuming No Investment in New Product Line, No Sale of New
Common Stock, and All Borrowings at 9.25%

Income Statement ($000s except EPS)

Actual Forecast
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Sales $77,131 $80,953 $89,250 $120,000 $144,000 $144,000


Cost of goods sold $62,519 $68,382 $72,424 $97,320 $116,784 $116,784
Gross margin $14,612 $12,571 $16,826 $22,680 $27,216 $27,216

Research and development $3,726 $4,133 $4,416 $6,000 $7,200 $7,200


Selling, general and administrative $6,594 $7,536 $7,458 $10,032 $12,038 $12,038
Operating income $4,292 $902 $4,952 $6,648 $7,978 $7,978

Interest expense $480 $652 $735 $937 $1,323 $1,565


Other income (expenses) -$39 -$27 -$35 -$50 -$50 -$50

Income before income taxes $3,773 $223 $4,182 $5,661 $6,604 $6,363

Income taxes $1,509 $89 $1,673 $2,264 $2,642 $2,545


Net income $2,264 $134 $2,509 $3,396 $3,963 $3,818

Earnings per share $1.52 $0.09 $1.68 $2.28 $2.66 $2.56


$1.52 $0.09 $1.68 $2.28 $2.66 $2.56

Exhibit TN-1 (continued)

Balance Sheet ($000s except shares outstanding and book value per share)

Actual Forecast
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Cash $2,536 $2,218 $2,934 $3,960 $4,752 $4,752


Accounts receivable $10,988 $12,864 $14,671 $19,726 $23,671 $23,671
Inventories $9,592 $11,072 $11,509 $13,865 $16,638 $16,638
Prepaid expenses $309 $324 $357 $480 $576 $576
Total current assets $23,425 $26,478 $29,471 $38,031 $45,637 $45,637

Property, plant & equipment at cost $5,306 $6,116 $7,282 $8,182 $9,082 $9,982
Less: Accumulated depreciation $792 $1,174 $1,633 $2,179 $2,793 $3,474
Net property, plant & equipment $4,514 $4,942 $5,649 $6,003 $6,290 $6,508

Total assets $27,939 $31,420 $35,120 $44,034 $51,926 $52,145

Accounts payable $3,084 $4,268 $3,929 $4,799 $5,759 $5,759


Notes payable $6,620 $8,873 $10,132 $14,306 $16,914 $13,325
Accrued expenses $563 $591 $652 $876 $1,051 $1,051
Income taxes payable $151 $9 $167 $226 $264 $255
Other current liabilities $478 $502 $554 $744 $893 $893
Total current liabilities $10,896 $14,243 $15,434 $20,951 $24,881 $21,282

Common stock at $0.01 per share par value $15 $15 $15 $15 $15 $15
Paid in capital in excess of par value $7,980 $7,980 $7,980 $7,980 $7,980 $7,980
Retained earnings $9,048 $9,182 $11,691 $15,087 $19,050 $22,868
Total shareholders' equity $17,043 $17,177 $19,686 $23,082 $27,045 $30,863

Total liabilities & shareholders' equity $27,939 $31,420 $35,120 $44,034 $51,926 $52,145

Number of shares outstanding 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662

Book value per share $11.43 $11.52 $13.20 $15.47 $18.13 $20.69

Return on equity 13.3% 0.8% 12.7% 14.7% 14.7% 12.4%


Interest coverage ratio (times) 8.9 1.4 6.7 7.1 6.0 5.1
Notes payable / accounts receivable 60.2% 69.0% 69.1% 72.5% 71.5% 56.3%
Notes payable / shareholders' equity 38.8% 51.7% 51.5% 62.0% 62.5% 43.2%
Total liabilities / shareholders' equity 63.9% 82.9% 78.4% 90.8% 92.0% 69.0%
Flash Memory, Inc.

Exhibit TN-2 Calculation of Cost of Capital

Step 1 - Calculation of asset Beta for the industry using market value weights:

βA = βD x (D/V) + βE x (E/V), where E = market value of equity and βD = 0.2

Micron Technology
D = book value of debt (4-30-2010) $2,760 25.8%
BVE = book value of equity (4-30-2010) $5,603
MVE = market value of equity (4-30-2010) $7,925 74.2%
βD = debt beta 0.20
βE = equity or levered beta 1.25
βA = asset or unlevered beta 0.98

SanDisk Corporation
D = book value of debt (4-30-2010) $975 9.6%
BVE = book value of equity (4-30-2010) $4,157
MVE = market value of equity (4-30-2010) $9,135 90.4%
βD = debt beta 0.20
βE = equity or levered beta 1.36
βA = asset or unlevered beta 1.25

STEC, Inc.
D = book value of debt (4-30-2010) $0 0.0%
BVE = book value of equity (4-30-2010) $276
MVE = market value of equity (4-30-2010) $699 100.0%
βD = debt beta 0.00
βE = equity or levered beta 1.00
βA = asset or unlevered beta 1.00

Average βA for the industry 1.08

Exhibit TN-2 (continued) Calculation of Cost of Capital

Step 2 - Calculation of cost of equity capital for Flash Memory, Inc.:

Current weights of debt and equity


D = value of bank debt from 2009 balance sheet $10,132 21.4%
E = value of equity at $25 per share $37,292 78.6%

Since Flash is at the limit of its current loan agreement, management believes this is a
higher proportion of debt finance than optimal. As stated in the case, management has
set target capital structure weights equal to 18% debt and 82% equity.

βA = βD x (D/V) + βE x (E/V), where E = market value of equity and βD = 0.2

Flash Memory, Inc.


D = target value of debt 18.0%
E = target value of equity 82.0%
βD = debt beta 0.20
βA = average asset beta for the industry 1.08
βE = equity or levered beta 1.27

Cost of equity capital for Flash

Ke = Rf + βE x Market Risk Premium

Rf = risk-free rate of return 3.70%


βE = Flash's equity or levered beta 1.27
Assumed market risk premium 6.00%
Ke = Flash's cost of equity capital 11.31%

Step 3 - Calculation of cost of capital for Flash Memory, Inc.:

K = Wd x Kd x (1 - T) + We x Ke

Wd = weight of debt in Flash's capital structure 應該是D/ (E+D) ? 18.00%


Kd = Flash's cost of debt capital (a) 應該是COD? 7.25%
T = Flash's income tax rate 40.00%
We = weight of equity in Flash's capital structure 應該是E/ (E+D) ? 82.00%
Ke = Flash' cost of equity capital 11.31%
K = Flash's cost of capital 應該是WACC ? 10.05%

(a) at 18% weight of debt Flash will be within the 70% of accounts receivable limit of
the existing loan agreement, thus the 7.25% cost of debt capital. If Flash was over
this limit and changed to factoring, the cost of debt capital would increase to 9.25%,
and the equity beta and cost of equity capital would also increase.
Flash Memory, Inc.

Exhibit TN-3 Net Present Value of Investment in New Product Line ($000s)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total

Investment in equipment -$2,200

Net working capital required to support sales $5,648 $7,322 $7,322 $2,877 $1,308 $0
Investment in net working capital (the year-on-year change) -$5,648 -$1,674 $0 $4,446 $1,569 $1,308 $0

Sales $21,600 $28,000 $28,000 $11,000 $5,000


Cost of goods sold (includes equipment depreciation) $17,064 $22,120 $22,120 $8,690 $3,950
Research & development $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Selling, general & administrative $1,806 $2,341 $2,341 $920 $418
Launch promotion $300 $0 $0 $0 $0

Income before income taxes $2,430 $3,539 $3,539 $1,390 $632


Income taxes $972 $1,416 $1,416 $556 $253

Net income $1,458 $2,124 $2,124 $834 $379


Depreciation of equipment $440 $440 $440 $440 $440 $2,200

Cash flow from operations $1,898 $2,564 $2,564 $1,274 $819

Total cash flow -$7,848 $225 $2,564 $7,009 $2,843 $2,127

NPV @ 10.05% cost of capital $2,987


IRR 21.9%
Flash Memory, Inc.

Exhibit TN-4 Change in Forecasted Financial Statements due to Acceptance of Investment in New Product Line

Financial Statement Account ($000s)

Actual Forecast
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Sales $21,600 $28,000


Cost of goods sold (includes equipment depreciation) $17,064 $22,120
Research and development $0 $0
Selling, general and administrative (includes launch) $2,106 $2,341
Increase in operating income $2,430 $3,539

Cash (3.3% of sales) $713 $924


Accounts receivable (60 DSO) $3,551 $4,603
Inventories (52 days of COGS) $2,431 $3,151
Prepaid expenses (0.4% of sales) $86 $112
Net property, plant & equipment $2,200 $1,760 $1,320

Accounts payable (60 days of purchases) $842 $1,091


Accrued expenses (0.73% of sales) $158 $204
Other current liabilities (0.62% of sales) $134 $174

For informational purposes only:

NWC % of sales 26.15% 26.15%


Flash Memory, Inc.

Exhibit TN-5 Actual and Forecasted Financial Statements Assuming Acceptance of Investment in New Product Line, No Sale
of New Common Stock, and All Borrowings at 9.25%

Income Statement ($000s except earnings per share)

Actual Forecast
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Sales $77,131 $80,953 $89,250 $120,000 $165,600 $172,000


Cost of goods sold $62,519 $68,382 $72,424 $97,320 $133,848 $138,904
Gross margin $14,612 $12,571 $16,826 $22,680 $31,752 $33,096

Research and development $3,726 $4,133 $4,416 $6,000 $7,200 $7,200


Selling, general and administrative $6,594 $7,536 $7,458 $10,032 $14,144 $14,379
Operating income $4,292 $902 $4,952 $6,648 $10,408 $11,517

Interest expense $480 $652 $735 $937 $1,527 $2,118


Other income (expenses) -$39 -$27 -$35 -$50 -$50 -$50

Income before income taxes $3,773 $223 $4,182 $5,661 $8,831 $9,349

Income taxes $1,509 $89 $1,673 $2,264 $3,532 $3,740


Net income $2,264 $134 $2,509 $3,396 $5,299 $5,609

Earnings per share $1.52 $0.09 $1.68 $2.28 $3.55 $3.76

Exhibit TN-5 (continued)

Balance Sheet ($000s except shares outstanding and book value per share)

Actual Forecast
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Cash $2,536 $2,218 $2,934 $3,960 $5,465 $5,676


Accounts receivable $10,988 $12,864 $14,671 $19,726 $27,222 $28,274
Inventories $9,592 $11,072 $11,509 $13,865 $19,069 $19,789
Prepaid expenses $309 $324 $357 $480 $662 $688
Total current assets $23,425 $26,478 $29,471 $38,031 $52,418 $54,427

Property, plant & equipment at cost $5,306 $6,116 $7,282 $10,382 $11,282 $12,182
Less: Accumulated depreciation $792 $1,174 $1,633 $2,179 $3,233 $4,354
Net property, plant & equipment $4,514 $4,942 $5,649 $8,203 $8,050 $7,828

Total assets $27,939 $31,420 $35,120 $46,234 $60,467 $62,255

Accounts payable $3,084 $4,268 $3,929 $4,799 $6,601 $6,850


Notes payable $6,620 $8,873 $10,132 $16,506 $22,897 $18,719
Accrued expenses $563 $591 $652 $876 $1,209 $1,256
Income taxes payable $151 $9 $167 $226 $353 $374
Other current liabilities $478 $502 $554 $744 $1,027 $1,066
Total current liabilities $10,896 $14,243 $15,434 $23,151 $32,086 $28,265

Common stock at $0.01 per share par value $15 $15 $15 $15 $15 $15
Paid in capital in excess of par value $7,980 $7,980 $7,980 $7,980 $7,980 $7,980
Retained earnings $9,048 $9,182 $11,691 $15,087 $20,386 $25,995
Total shareholders' equity $17,043 $17,177 $19,686 $23,082 $28,381 $33,990

Total liabilities & shareholders' equity $27,939 $31,420 $35,120 $46,234 $60,467 $62,255

Number of shares outstanding 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662

Book value per share $11.43 $11.52 $13.20 $15.47 $19.03 $22.79

Return on equity 13.3% 0.8% 12.7% 14.7% 18.7% 16.5%


Interest coverage ratio (times) 8.9 1.4 6.7 7.1 6.8 5.4
Notes payable / accounts receivable 60.2% 69.0% 69.1% 83.7% 84.1% 66.2%
Notes payable / shareholders' equity 38.8% 51.7% 51.5% 71.5% 80.7% 55.1%
Total liabilities / shareholders' equity 63.9% 82.9% 78.4% 100.3% 113.1% 83.2%
Flash Memory, Inc.

Exhibit TN-6 Actual and Forecasted Financial Statements Assuming Acceptance of Investment in New Product Line, Sale
of 300,000 Shares of Common Stock Receiving Net Proceeds of $23 per share, and All Borrowings at 7.25%

Income Statement ($000s except earnings per share)

Actual Forecast
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Sales $77,131 $80,953 $89,250 $120,000 $165,600 $172,000


Cost of goods sold $62,519 $68,382 $72,424 $97,320 $133,848 $138,904
Gross margin $14,612 $12,571 $16,826 $22,680 $31,752 $33,096

Research and development $3,726 $4,133 $4,416 $6,000 $7,200 $7,200


Selling, general and administrative $6,594 $7,536 $7,458 $10,032 $14,144 $14,379
Operating income $4,292 $902 $4,952 $6,648 $10,408 $11,517

Interest expense $480 $652 $735 $735 $687 $1,112


Other income (expenses) -$39 -$27 -$35 -$50 -$50 -$50

Income before income taxes $3,773 $223 $4,182 $5,863 $9,671 $10,355

Income taxes $1,509 $89 $1,673 $2,345 $3,868 $4,142


Net income $2,264 $134 $2,509 $3,518 $5,802 $6,213

Earnings per share $1.52 $0.09 $1.68 $1.96 $3.24 $3.47

Exhibit TN-6 (continued)

Balance Sheet ($000s except shares outstanding and book value per share)

Actual Forecast
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Cash $2,536 $2,218 $2,934 $3,960 $5,465 $5,676


Accounts receivable $10,988 $12,864 $14,671 $19,726 $27,222 $28,274
Inventories $9,592 $11,072 $11,509 $13,865 $19,069 $19,789
Prepaid expenses $309 $324 $357 $480 $662 $688
Total current assets $23,425 $26,478 $29,471 $38,031 $52,418 $54,427

Property, plant & equipment at cost $5,306 $6,116 $7,282 $10,382 $11,282 $12,182
Less: Accumulated depreciation $792 $1,174 $1,633 $2,179 $3,233 $4,354
Net property, plant & equipment $4,514 $4,942 $5,649 $8,203 $8,050 $7,828

Total assets $27,939 $31,420 $35,120 $46,234 $60,467 $62,255

Accounts payable $3,084 $4,268 $3,929 $4,799 $6,601 $6,850


Notes payable $6,620 $8,873 $10,132 $9,476 $15,338 $10,550
Accrued expenses $563 $591 $652 $876 $1,209 $1,256
Income taxes payable $151 $9 $167 $235 $387 $414
Other current liabilities $478 $502 $554 $744 $1,027 $1,066
Total current liabilities $10,896 $14,243 $15,434 $16,130 $24,561 $20,136

Common stock at $0.01 per share par value $15 $15 $15 $18 $18 $18
Paid in capital in excess of par value $7,980 $7,980 $7,980 $14,877 $14,877 $14,877
Retained earnings $9,048 $9,182 $11,691 $15,209 $21,012 $27,224
Total shareholders' equity $17,043 $17,177 $19,686 $30,104 $35,907 $42,119

Total liabilities & shareholders' equity $27,939 $31,420 $35,120 $46,234 $60,467 $62,255

Number of shares outstanding 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,491,662 1,791,662 1,791,662 1,791,662

Book value per share $11.43 $11.52 $13.20 $16.80 $20.04 $23.51

Return on equity 13.3% 0.8% 12.7% 11.7% 16.2% 14.8%


Interest coverage ratio (times) 8.9 1.4 6.7 9.1 15.1 10.4
Notes payable / accounts receivable 60.2% 69.0% 69.1% 48.0% 56.3% 37.3%
Notes payable / shareholders' equity 38.8% 51.7% 51.5% 31.5% 42.7% 25.0%
Total liabilities / shareholders' equity 63.9% 82.9% 78.4% 53.6% 68.4% 47.8%
Flash Memory, Inc.

Exhibit TN-7 Summary Statistics

No Investment in New Product Line


Sell No New Stock
Borrow at 9.25%
2010 2011 2012

Earnings per share $2.28 $2.66 $2.56


Interest coverage ratio (times) 7.1 6.0 5.1
Return on equity 14.7% 14.7% 12.4%
Notes payable / accounts receivable 72.5% 71.5% 56.3%
Notes payable / shareholders' equity 62.0% 62.5% 43.2%
Total liabilities / shareholders' equity 90.8% 92.0% 69.0%
Notes payable (000s) $14,306 $16,914 $13,325

Invest in the New Product Line


Sell No New Stock
Borrow at 9.25%
2010 2011 2012

Earnings per share $2.28 $3.55 $3.76


Interest coverage ratio (times) 7.1 6.8 5.4
Return on equity 14.7% 18.7% 16.5%
Notes payable / accounts receivable 83.7% 84.1% 66.2%
Notes payable / shareholders' equity 71.5% 80.7% 55.1%
Total liabilities / shareholders' equity 100.3% 113.1% 83.2%
Notes payable (000s) $16,506 $22,897 $18,719

Invest in the New Product Line


Sell 300,000 Shares of Common Stock
Borrow at 7.25%
2010 2011 2012

Earnings per share $1.96 $3.24 $3.47


Interest coverage ratio (times) 9.1 15.1 10.4
Return on equity 11.7% 16.2% 14.8%
Notes payable / accounts receivable 48.0% 56.3% 37.3%
Notes payable / shareholders' equity 31.5% 42.7% 25.0%
Total liabilities / shareholders' equity 53.6% 68.4% 47.8%
Notes payable (000s) $9,476 $15,338 $10,550

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