Enrolment Method 1: Arithmetic Mean Method(AMM)

(Name of
School) AMM Forecast AMM Error
2014 0 21 21
2015 0 21 21
2016 31 21 10
2017 12 21 9
2018 61 21 40

TOTAL 104
n 5
AVERAGE 21 AMM Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) 20

2019 21
2020 21
2021 21
2022 21
2023 21
2024 21
2025 21
2026 21
2027 21
2028 21
2029 21

25

20

15

Column D
10

5
15

Column D
10

-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
m f
12 18 30
6 6 12
22 37 59
Enrolment Method 2: Arithmetic Straight Line (ASL)
(Name of ASL
School) Increment Forecast ASL Error
2014 0 -
2015 0 - 15 15.25
2016 31 31 31 0.5
2017 12 - 19 46 33.75
2018 61 49 61 0

TOTAL
n
AVERAGE 15.25 ASL MAD 12

2019 76
2020 92
2021 107
2022 122
2023 137
2024 153
2025 168
2026 183
2027 198
2028 214
2029 229

250

200

150

Column E
100

50

-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1
 Column E

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Enrolment Method 3: (Arithmetic Geometric Curve
(Name of
School) GR AGC Forecast AGC Error
2014 0 -
2015 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
2016 31 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
2017 12 -0.6129 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
2018 61 4.0833 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!

TOTAL
n
AVERAGE #DIV/0! AGC MAD #DIV/0!

2019 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!

2020 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
2021 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
2022 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
2023 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
2024 #DIV/0!
2025 #DIV/0!
2026 #DIV/0!
2027 #DIV/0!
2028 #DIV/0!
2029 #DIV/0!

1
1
1
1
1
1
Column E
0
0
0
0
-
 Column E
0
0
0
0
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Enrolment Method 4: Statistical Straight Line (SSL)
SSL Actual
(Name of number
School) X (Y) SSL Forecast SSL Error
2014 0 1 - -6 6
2015 0 2 - 7.4 7
2016 31 3 31 20.8 10
2017 12 4 12 34.2 22
2018 61 5 61 47.6 13

TOTAL Intercept -19.4

n Slope 13.4
AVERAGE SSL MAD 12

2019 6 61
2020 7 74
2021 8 88
2022 9 101
2023 10 115
2024 11 128
2025 12 141
2026 13 155
2027 14 168
2028 15 182
2029 16 195
250

200

150

Column G
100

50

-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
 AMM ASL ACG SSL

AMM Error ASL Error ACG Error SSL Error

Forsecast Forecast Forecast Forecast
Year Data

2014 0 20.8 20.16 0.000 12.38 0.000 ### -6.000 11.84

2015 0 20.8 15.250 #DIV/0! 7.400
2016 31 20.8 30.500 #DIV/0! 20.800
2017 12 20.8 45.750 #DIV/0! 34.200
2018 61 20.8 61.000 #DIV/0! 47.600
2019 20.8 76.250 #DIV/0! 61.000
2020 20.8 91.500 #DIV/0! 74.400
2021 20.8 106.750 #DIV/0! 87.800
2022 20.8 122.000 #DIV/0! 101.200
2023 20.8 137.250 #DIV/0! 114.600
2024 20.8 152.500 #DIV/0! 128.000
2025 20.8 167.750 #DIV/0! 141.400
2026 20.8 183.000 #DIV/0! 154.800
2027 20.8 198.250 #DIV/0! 168.200
2028 20.8 213.500 #DIV/0! 181.600
2029 20.8 228.750 #DIV/0! 195.000

2028
2029
 G7 GROSS ENROMENT FORECA
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
0 15 31 46 61 61

2500

2000

1500
Row 14
Row 15
1000 Row 16

500

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
 FORECAST
2020 2021 2022 2023
74 88 101 115

Row 14
Row 15
Row 16

9 10
SHS Enrolment for G11 TVL

2016
2017
2018