Chart Patterns - The Advanced Guide (Bonus Cheat Sheet) 30 Min Read
Chart Patterns - The Advanced Guide (Bonus Cheat Sheet) 30 Min Read
Why?
Just like a hunter who follows a trail, a trader who can read these subtle signs starts from a more
advantageous position.
In today’s guide, you’re going to learn everything you need to know about chart patterns.
Before we get started, download a copy of our Forex chart patterns cheat sheet. It’s completely
free and it has everything from definitions to practical examples.
You can use the jump links below to quickly navigate to sections of interest in the post:
There are hundreds of thousands of market participants trading Forex on any given day.
In other words, people tend to act and react in similar ways as they did in the past.
And if we’re talking about the past, let’s look at history for the sake of better illustration.
Have you heard that history repeats itself?
Life is ever-evolving and unpredictable. It involves boundless symbiotic relationships. It’s not
like a lab-controlled experiment that can be exactly replicated.
In other words, this statement is not true. However, of course, the vast majority of people don’t
think that history literally repeats itself.
The same thing happens on the price chart, where transitions between uptrends and downtrends
are often signaled by recognizable price movements that repeat themselves with statistical
reliability.
It’s because trading is an emotional game, and the driving emotions such as fear and greed don’t
change over time.
As a graphic record of all buying and selling power, price charts provide a great environment to
observe these patterns.
Simply put:
Collective behavior patterns = Chart patterns.Later in this guide, you’ll learn how to identify
these patterns.
But for now, let’s see the two types.
Reversal patterns mark the possible turning points between an uptrend and a downtrend.
A top reversal pattern indicates the market sentiment shifts from optimism to fear and the
uptrend is about to end.
Ouch.
On the other hand, a bottom reversal pattern suggests traders are becoming more optimistic
and the current downtrend may turn around.
Cool.
In both cases, reversal patterns typically start by attempting to continue the current trend.
Well, if you want to trade in the direction of the trend, then you’ll LOVE continuation patterns.
Continuation patterns signal a temporary pause in trend and indicate the previous direction will
eventually continue.
That is to say, they provide a great opportunity to join in the trend or to increase your existing
position size.
Say whaaaaat?
It gets better:
As the buying or selling pressure reappears, well-established trends often not only continue but
accelerate afterwards.
Similar to reversal patterns, a continuation pattern can also be subdivided into two categories:
Now, keep in mind, there are some patterns that can signal both continuation or reversal
depending on the circumstances.
Once the chart pattern is complete (the price has broken out of the pattern), it clearly indicates in
which direction you should trade.
How?
You can simply use the height of each chart pattern as a measuring tool.
When the price breaks out from a pattern, project the height of the pattern to the breakout point
and set your TP order accordingly.
Finally, chart patterns do not suffer a price lag.
Now, it may sound like an essential thing rather than an advantage, but did you know that each
of the popular technical indicators are trailing behind price action?
Although, it’s not that complicated, it requires practice, and if you’re late finding a chart pattern,
its usefulness might deteriorate.
In fact, its importance cannot be overemphasized, especially not when trading chart patterns.
Finally, they are somewhat subjective.
Don’t bring your personal bias into your chart analysis, and always use other techniques such as
candlestick charting techniques to confirm your trade ideas.
Unfortunately, given their subjective nature, it’s hard to tell exactly how reliable certain patterns
are. What you accept as a flag pattern might not be one for somebody else. Therefore, outcomes
vary from trader to trader.
The most important is to understand the market structure, price action, and the psychological
dynamics that create these patterns.
It’s because what is sure is that chart patterns do give false signals. However, when they’re
combined with other elements of technical analysis, the number of false signals can be
significantly reduced.
In general, chart patterns on longer timeframes tend to be more reliable simply because more
people recognize them and act accordingly.
A Double Top pattern is a frequent formation that takes place at the end of an uptrend.
Let’s see how it forms:
2. It pulls back for a short time because many timid traders close their long positions.
3. Buyers give it another shot, but the price fails to break above the resistance and falls
below the pullback low.
Once the price closes below this level, the pattern is completed and signals the end of an uptrend.
1. The price reaches a new low but bumps into a support zone.
2. Some traders fear that the trend is over so they close their short positions, which prompts
a price increase.
3. Those who didn’t give up that easily make a desperate effort to continue the downtrend.
However, buyers are stronger and, instead of breaking below the support zone, the price
rallies above the pullback high
Once the price closes above this level, the pattern is completed and signals the end of a
downtrend.
No, we’re not talking about the popular brand that recently sent a box packed with anti-dandruff
shampoo to the French President Emmanuel Macron.
Instead, we’re talking about the chart pattern that can be found at the top of an uptrend, and its
completion predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal.
Exactly!
1. Following a rising market, the price hits a peak and afterward, it falls to form
the left shoulder.
2. From the low of the left shoulder, a bullish advance begins that significantly surpasses
the previous high to form the head of the pattern but then the price starts to decline again.
3. A final advance from the low of the head starts to form the right shoulder. This peak is
lower than the head and roughly equal with the top of the left shoulder.
4. From the peak of the right shoulder, the price starts to fall again and once it breaks below
the neckline, the pattern is complete.
It’s the support line connecting the bottom of the two shoulders.
The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is the bearish equivalent of the Head and Shoulders. It
can be found at the top of an uptrend and indicates a bearish-to-bullish trend reversal.
1. Following a falling market, the price bumps into a bottom and then rises to form the left
shoulder.
2. From the high of the left shoulder, a bearish decline starts. It progresses significantly
below the previous low to form the head of the pattern. Then the price begins to rise
again.
3. A final decline from the high of the head starts to form the right shoulder. This trough is
higher than the head and about equal to the bottom of the left shoulder.
4. From the bottom of the right shoulder, the price starts to rise again. Once it breaks above
the connected high points of the pullbacks (neckline), the pattern is complete.
The Rising Wedge pattern forms when the market makes higher highs and higher lows within a
shrinking range that slopes upward.
Because of this, the price will eventually break through to the downside.
Good.
The Falling Wedge pattern forms when the market makes lower highs and lower lows within a
shrinking range that slants downward.
Not surprisingly, it’s the exact mirror image of the Rising Wedge.
As the price moves to the downside, the two trendlines that connect the highs and the lows will
eventually converge.
At the end of the falling wedge pattern, you’ll see that the price fails to make a new low and
breaks through to the upside. This suggests that the downtrend is over and you can look for
buying opportunities.
Why?
2. Following this advance, the price goes through a consolidation phase that becomes
the flag in the pattern. It consists of two parallel trendlines that point slightly down and
retraces a small portion of the trend.
3. When the price breaks out from the flag to the upside, the pattern is finished.
A Bearish Flag pattern has the same components as its bullish counterpart. However, everything
points in the opposite direction:
1. The flagpole is a huge drop that breaks through a previous support level.
2. Following this decline, the price goes through a consolidation phase that looks like a flag
– hence, the name of the pattern. It consists of two parallel trendlines that point slightly
upward and retraces a small portion of the trend.
3. When the price breaks out from the flag to the downside, the pattern is finished.
PRO TIP: Flags often emerge after an important news release such as the NFP report. (See,
our Forex Market Analysis Guide.)
In fact, they’re so similar that some Forex sites don’t even make a difference between the two.
The consolidation phase shows a less intensive effort to reverse the trend.
In other words, the Bullish Pennant pattern not only tells you that buyers are stronger than
sellers; it tells you they are WAY stronger.
However, this is just a brief consolidation period before the price breaks out to the downside,
indicating the continuation of the trend.
In fact, it can be seen how buyers gain more and more control as the price runs up to the
resistance level.
Amazing!
The Descending Triangle is just the bearish equivalent of the Ascending Triangle, which
indicates the downtrend is likely to continue or strengthen.
As you can see, this pattern is characterized by a horizontal bottom and a down-sloping top.
This structure is created when strong sellers are pushing down the price while weaker buyers are
trying to reverse the trend. They get increasingly exhausted until the support level fails to hold.
For a while, the power of sellers and buyers becomes nearly equal.
As a result, the price moves in a tight trading range, bounded by a resistance level at the top and
a support level at the bottom.
In general, buyers tend to take control after some time and the pattern completes with an upside
breakout.
Super.
The Bearish Rectangle looks the same but takes place in a downtrend and has opposite
implications.
Now, a quick word of warning:
Rectangles are typical examples of price patterns that can serve as either a reversal or a
continuation pattern.
Fortunately for us, there are a lot of brief stops in a trend, but just one reversal.
You need something with EXPLOSIVE moves to be able to grab your pips quickly.
So, you might want to use the Flag Chart Pattern or the Pennant Chart Pattern.
Sure, almost each pattern can provide dramatic movements from time to time.
Then, many lucky traders who cached the move close their positions for profit, which results in a
little retracement (the flag or pennant).
All the traders who feel utter regret because they just missed a huge opportunity recognize that a
well-known chart pattern emerged.
BOOM.
In addition, because these patterns often emerge after a news release, chances are that even more
traders will be active than otherwise.
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