Engineering Economics-Lecture 2-A PDF
Engineering Economics-Lecture 2-A PDF
ḻ = (P)(N)(i),
Where
ḻ = total interest , earned or paid
P = principal amount lent or borrowed;
N = number of interest periods (e.g., years);
i = interest rate per interest period.
Cash outflow
(lender) The arrows signify cash
flows and are placed at
the end of the period
Example: Cash-Flow Diagramming
Before evaluating the economic merits of a proposed investment,
the XYZ Corporation insists that its engineers develop a cash-flow
diagram of the proposal. An investment of $10,000 can be made
that will produce uniform annual revenue of $5,310 for five years
and then have a market (recovery) value of $2,000 at the end of
year (EOY) five. Annual expenses will be $3,000 at the end of
each year for operating and maintaining the project. Draw a cash-
flow diagram for the five-year life of the project. Use the
corporation’s viewpoint.
Relating Present and Future
Equivalent Values
of Single Cash Flows
• We can apply compound interest formulas to
“move” cash flows along the cash flow
diagram.
Finding F when Given P
If an amount of P dollars is invested at a point in time and i% is
the interest (profit or growth) rate per period, the amount will
grow to a future amount of P + Pi = P(1+i) by the end of one
period; by the end of two periods, the amount will grow to P(1
+ i)(1 + i) = P(1 + i)2; by the end of three periods, the amount
will grow to P(1 + i)2(1 + i) = P(1 + i)3; and by the end of N
periods the amount will grow to
F = P(1 + i)N.
Example: Future Equivalent of a
Present Sum
Suppose that you borrow $8,000 now, promising
to repay the loan principal plus accumulated
interest in four years at i = 10% per year. How
much would you repay at the end of four years?
It is common to use standard notation for interest factors.
(1+i)N = (F/P,i,N)
F = P(1 + i)N
F = P(F/P,i,N)
(1+i)-N = (P/F,i,N)
P = F (P/F,i,N)
Example: Present Equivalent of a Future
Amount of Money
An investor (owner) has an option to purchase a
tract of land that will be worth $10,000 in six
years. If the value of the land increases at 8%
each year, how much should the investor be
willing to pay now for this property?
Example: $3,000 at the end of year seven is equivalent to how much
today (time zero) if the interest rate is 6% per year?
Test Yourself
Betty will need $12,000 in five years to pay for a major
overhaul on her tractor engine. She has found an
investment that will provide a 5% return on her invested
funds. How much does Betty need to invest today so
she will have her overhaul funds in five years?
Important Rules
Rule A. Cash flows cannot be added or subtracted unless they
occur at the same point in time.
1+ = /
Using logarithms,
log 1 + = log
log
=
log 1 +
Example:
How long would it take for $500 invested today
at 15% interest per year to be worth $1,000?
Example: When Will Gasoline Cost
$5.00 per Gallon?
In the previous example, the average price of gasoline was
given as $2.31 in 2005. We computed the average annual
rate of increase in the price of gasoline to be 6.62%. If we
assume that the price of gasoline will continue to inflate at
this rate, how long will it be before we are paying $5.00 per
gallon?
Examples
Example 1: What’s the FV of an initial $100 after 3 years if i
= 10%?
Example 2: What’s the PV of $100 due in 3 years if i = 10%?
Example 3: If sales grow at 8% per year, how long before
sales double?
Example 4: Your cousin want to buy a fancy watch with $425
, instead you suggest that she buy an inexpensive watch
with $25 and invest the difference (i.e. $400) for 40 years
with an interest of 9% per year how much she will get after
40 years ?
Example 5: How long dose it take for $1,000 to quadruple in
value when the interest rate is 8%?
Example 6: A person invested 100,000 JD with a 9% interest
for five years. How many did he have at the end of the fifth
year?
Example 7: How much will be the population of Jordan after
fifty years if the number now is ten million and the increase
rate is 3.5%
Example 8: A person borrowed 50 thousand JD for six years
at an annual interest rate of 15%. If he paid 50 thousand JD
at the end of the second year .How much he must paid at the
end of the sixth year?
Example 9: You deposited $100,000 in a bank giving annual
interest rate of 8%. At the end of the first year you deposited
$10,000 and at the end of the fourth year you withdrew $20,000
from the balance. At the end of the fifth year you withdrew
another $20,000. At the end of the seventh year, you deposited
$10,000 in your balance. How much will be in your balance at
the end of the twelfth year?