CLUP Vol1 Chap2 PDF
CLUP Vol1 Chap2 PDF
2019-2027
Chapter 2
Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment
Barangay 1
Barangay 2
Barangay 3
Barangay 4
Barangay 5
Barangay 6
Barangay 7
Barangay 8
Barangay 9
Barangay 10
Barangay 11
Barangay 12
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Rain- Earthquake-
Storm Ground
Barangay Flood induced Liquefaction induced Typhoon
Surge Shaking
Landslide Landslide
Barangay 13
Barangay 14
Barangay 15
Barangay 16
Barangay 17
Barangay 18
Barangay 19
Barangay 20
Barangay 21
Barangay 22
Barangay 23
Barangay 24
Barangay 25
Barangay 26
Barangay 27
Barangay 28
Barangay 29
Barangay 30
Barangay 31
Barangay 32
Barangay 33
Barangay 34
Barangay 35
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Rain- Earthquake-
Storm Ground
Barangay Flood induced Liquefaction induced Typhoon
Surge Shaking
Landslide Landslide
Barangay 36
Barangay 37
Barangay 38
Barangay 39
Barangay 40
Agusan
Baikingon
Balubal
Balulang
Bayabas
Bayanga
Besigan
Bonbon
Bugo
Bulua
Camaman-an
Canitoan
Carmen
Consolacion
Cugman
Dansolihon
FS Catanico
Gusa
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Rain- Earthquake-
Storm Ground
Barangay Flood induced Liquefaction induced Typhoon
Surge Shaking
Landslide Landslide
Indahag
Iponan
Kauswagan
Lapasan
Lumbia
Macabalan
Macasandig
Mambuaya
Nazareth
Pagalungan
Pagatpat
Patag
Pigsag-an
Puerto
Puntod
San Simon
Tablon
Taglimao
Tagpangi
Tignapoloan
Tuburan
Tumpagon
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RISK EVALUATION
This section provides discussions on the evaluation from the city and
local risk assessment and should reveal implications of the losses that would
occur; e.g., how much a hazard may cost (in terms of financial and other
resources needed for relief and rescue, reconstruction and rehabilitation)
were it to occur; and how the lives and quality of life in the community or city
or the clusters might be affected in view of the estimated risk.
The measures that may be undertaken by the city also depend on the
types of risks. The choice as to which final DRR measure or approach to
adopt will depend on the decision-making process of the city. Generally, the
city may adopt corresponding intervention approaches or options to address
the impact of the disaster risks, the measures of which are classified into four
major categories, as follows: (a) risk avoidance or elimination; (b) risk
reduction or mitigation; (c) risk sharing or transfer; and (d) risk acceptance or
retention. 1 Table 9 the strategies under these four major categories that the
city may adopt in responding to the varied disaster risks identified.
This DRA should guide the thrusts and direction of the Disaster Risk
Reduction and Management (DRRM) Plan of the city as mandated under the
Republic Act (RA) 10121, otherwise known as the Philippine DRRM Law of
2010.
1
Source: Guidelines on Mainstreaming DRR in Subnational Development Land Use Planning
Chapter 2 – Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment 45
Cagayan de Oro City Comprehensive Land Use Plan
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The passage of ordinance for no build zone areas will prohibit the
illegal construction of properties by the informal settlers. The provision
of decent, affordable housing on environmentally safe areas is a
strategy to relocate and resettle affected families (Map 15). The
national and local government needs to increase funds for the housing
program especially for the poor families;
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Table 2.2
Disaster Risk Reduction Strategies
Cagayan de Oro City
Risks/Strategies Avoid or Eliminate Share and Transfer Risk Retention
Reduce and Mitigate Risks
Risks Risks
Infrastructure Prohibit development in Strengthen structure’s ability to resist hazard Develop alternate Take no action
high risk areas locations for key functions
risks Change use or occupancy pattern of structure
Buyout and relocate Institute a geologic
structures in highly Enforce stricter zoning and building standards hazard abatement district Self-insure the stocks
prone areas for home owners to share
Develop response plans and improve hazards
warning in future repair costs
Treat physical
systems Real estate disclosures
Destroy and remove
losses as expenses
structures in hazard- Build redundant infrastructure systems
prone areas
Promote “Green” Building technology
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Risks/Strategies Risk Retention
Avoid or Eliminate Share and Transfer
Reduce and Mitigate Risks
Risks Risks
Social and Deny occupancy of Integrate sociocultural indicators into risk Promote incentives for Take no action
hazardous buildings assessment homeowners, renters and
cultural risks businesses to purchase Prepare shelter plans
insurance for displaced residents
Protect cultural assets Fund hospitals and social services mitigation Create mutual aid
through zoning agreements
standards Identify needs of various population groups
(e.g., elderly, handicapped,
women, children)
Economic risks Avoid or eliminate Provide incentives to mitigate or reduce risk Shared responsibilities Take no action
capital stock risks by between government and
mandating “smart” Diversify income sources private / business sector Special funds or lines of
growth or avoiding high credits for lost revenues
Attract wide range of business types
risk areas
Mitigate risks to key income generators (base
Develop business
industries, large employment sectors)
retention and job
placement programs Incentives for “smart” growth
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Risks/Strategies Risk Retention
Avoid or Eliminate Share and Transfer
Reduce and Mitigate Risks
Risks Risks
Natural Eliminate sources of Eliminate point sources of pollution Develop transfer of Take no action
resource/environmental pollution development rights
risks Launch clean-up efforts programs, or Brownfield clean-up and
Mandate use of environmental land swaps reuse costs
Technologies (e.g.,
emissions free Greater shared
Regulate use and storage of potential
vehicles) responsibilities of
pollutants
Indigenous Peoples in the
Enforce strictly zoning management and
Reduce densities in sensitive areas
ordinances protection of forests
Habitat conservation plans
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Vulnerability and Risk Assessment
Cross-Sectoral Analysis
A. Threat Level
Per cross-sectoral analysis, Flooding and Typhoon scored the highest threat
levels to the City. This rating is determined not only from the level or scope of
exposure to the climate change driver or hazard but the degree to which it can
adversely impact the communities. Hence, the more dense settlements with
higher risks of being flooded and affected by typhoons, as aggravated by
negative and unsustainable practices of the people, are considered the
hotspot areas.
Table 2.3
Average Threat Level Scores Across all Five Development Sectors
Average
CC Land
Social Economic Environment Infrastructure THREAT
Hazard Use
LEVEL*
Flooding 5 5 5 4 5 4.8
Drought 3 3 2 3 1 2.4
RIL 2 2 3 1 3 2.2
Typhoon 5 5 5 2 4.25
* High – 5; Low - 1
The GIS experts of the City TWG have prepared risk maps to provide a visual
presentation of the location of at risk elements for each sector (social,
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economic, environmental, infrastructure, and land use), as shown in the
Figures below. Taking off from this information, an overlay analysis of the
cross-sectoral risks for each identified climate change hazard was also
prepared.
Figure 2.6 shows the location of elements at risk for all the five sectors in
three identified climate change hazards, namely: Flooding, landslide, and
drought. Figure 2.7 is an overlay of the drought map (across all five sectors-
social, economic, environment, infrastructure, and land use) to the population
density map of CDO. This map depicts that the entire city is vulnerable to
drought but the ones that were highly impacted are the following barangays:
Bayabas, Bulua, Iponan, Patag, Carmen, Consolacion, Kauswagan, Bonbon,
Macabalan, Puntod, Lapasan, Nazareth, Agusan, Bugo, and Barangays 13,
15, 22, 24, 29, 31. Meanwhile, Figure 2.8 shows the location of cross-sectoral
(high to medium) risks to flooding overlaid with the population density map.
This map shows the high level threat of flooding in the coastal and river-side
barangays where most residential areas are situated. High risk barangays in
the coast (Macajalar Bay) include: Bayabas, Bulua, Bonbon, Macabalan,
Puntod, Lapasan, and the settlements in the coast line of Bugo. Moreover,
Barangays along Cagayan River (Kauswagan, Consolacion, portions of
Carmen, Nazareth, Macasandig, and Balulang, Barangays
1,13,15,22,24,28,31,35,36, settlements along the riverbanks of Lumbia,
Bayanga, and Mambuaya) and Barangays along Iponan River (Iponan,
portions of Bulua, Canitoan, Pagatpat, Baikingon, Taglimao) are also being
threatened by flooding.
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B. Adaptive Capacity Status
The city’s inherent ability to adapt to CC and its impact has also been
recognized, and became the basis for adaptive capacity assessment. The
adaptive capacity of Cagayan de Oro City was assessed by listing down the
adaptive capacity evidences for each development sector and categorized in
six dimensions, namely: Wealth, Technology, Institutions, Information,
Infrastructure, and Social Capital. It is perceived that the Adaptive Capacity
of Cagayan de Oro City will offset the Threat (Exposure and Sensitivity).
Typhoon (1.8) scored the highest AC status (1 being the highest) while the
adaptive capacity to drought has been identified as the lowest. This low score
can be attributed to the lack of available scientific information that can be
used to prepare and enhance resiliency to drought and the insufficient
historical data about the hazard which primarily impacts the agriculture and
water sector.
The inherent ability of these sectors and systems to adjust or adapt to climate
change is a vital factor in these assessment. The adaptive capacity
assessment as summarized below helped determine the level or status of AC
that needs to be improved in order to build more resilient communities and
sectors. All ratings were identified through a large multi-level stakeholder
group consultation workshop.
Table 2.4
Perceived Adaptive Capacity
Sector Flooding Drought RIL Typhoon Ave. AC
Social 2.5 3.5 2.8 2.0 2.7
Economic 1.8 2.0 1.7 1.3 1.7
Environment 1.5 2.3 1.8 1.7 1.8
Infrastructure 3.0 2.6 2.5 - 2.7
Land Use 2.33 2.33 2.17 2.33 2.3
City Wide AC 2.23 2.55 2.2 1.8 2.24
* High – 1; Low - 5
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Meanwhile, the average AC scores for each of the six Adaptive Capacity
dimensions (as shown in the table below) reveal that in the context of CCA
and DRRM, “Social Capital” has the highest overall rating (1.76). This is an
evidence of the large and diverse network of support and assistance that the
City is getting to increase their resilience to climate change. However, the
assessment showed the need to improve on the infrastructure (construction
/rehabilitation of protective infrastructure and promotion of sustainable and
climate-resilient structural designs), which has scored the lowest (2.65).
For flooding, technology and social capital (1.6) are the highest adaptive
capacity status for flooding, while wealth and infrastructure needs to be given
more attention. Drought has a high AC status on institution and social capital
(2) while information has the lowest rating. It is noted that very few records
and studies are available for drought in the City. In RIL (1.8) and Typhoon
(1.2), the technology dimension has been scored the highest due to the
introduction and promotion of slope management and stabilization
technologies in the upland ecosystem of Cagayan de Oro and upgraded
technology that is being used in the country to determine and project the
occurrence and pathways of tropical cyclones. In both CC hazards,
infrastructure scored the lowest as reflected by the need to enhance resilience
of this dimension in all sectors.
Table 2.5
Average Rating per Adaptive Capacity Dimension
Social
CC Hazard Wealth Technology Information Institution Infrastructure
Capital
Flooding 2.6 1.6 2.1 2.1 2.4 1.6
Drought 2.2 3 2.8 2 2.6 2
RIL 2 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.6 2
Typhoon 2 1.2 1.5 1.25 3 1.5
Ave. AC
score per 2.2 1.9 2.15 1.89 2.65 1.76
dimension
C. Relative Vulnerability
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used for the assessment.
Based from the results of the assessment, Cagayan de Oro City is most
vulnerable to flooding. Flooding and Typhoon marked the highest threat levels
among the four identified climate change hazards. The rating was based on
the level of threat (exposure and sensitivity) that the hazard brings and the
level of the city-wide adaptive capacity (capacity of the system to cope and
adjust to the changing climatic conditions) to the particular climate change
impacts. Although not very low on AC rating, the level of adaptive capacity of
the City as a response to these hazards can still be improved.
Table 2.6
Relative Vulnerability by Hazard
Threat Level Adaptive Relative Vulnerability
Climate
(5-highest) Capacity Rating
Change Hazard
(1-highest) (10-most vulnerable)
Flooding 4.8 2.23 7.03
Typhoon 4.25 1.8 6.05
Drought 2.4 2.55 4.95
Rain Induced 2.2 2.2
4.4
Landslide
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prioritized in order to reduce the threat level and increase resiliency of
identified highly vulnerable areas (highly dense coastal
communities, poor families in barangays alongside Cagayan and Iponan River
and informal settlements in its riverbanks, CBD being a floodplain, deforested
and rain-dependent farming communities in the upland).
Meanwhile, the table below reveals that the social sector (6.45) is relatively
the most vulnerable sector. This may be attributed to the higher risks on
settlements and social services especially in the densely populated hotspot
areas.
Table 2.7
Relative Vulnerability per Sector
Threat Adaptive Relative Vulnerability
Development
Level Capacity Rating
Sector
(5-highest) (1-highest) (10-most vulnerable)
Social 3.75 2.70 6.45
Environment 3.75 1.83 5.58
Economic 3.75 1.70 5.45
Infrastructure 2.67 2.70 5.37
Land Use 2.75 2.29 5.04
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IDENTIFYING KEY ADAPTATION OPTIONS
Social Sector
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Economic Sector
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Environment Sector
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Infrastructure Sector
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Establish disaster-resilient
telecommunication
facilities
To provide an efficient Promotion of wireless
and reliable system technology
telecommunication Encourage other
facilities and services communication companies
to the entire city. to operate in the city.
Provisions of right of way
for utilities in the urban
design
Expansion of
telecommunication
services to the hinterland
barangays.
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Land Use Sector
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Table 2.8
Long List of Adaptation Options obtained from City-Wide Consultation Workshop
Hazard Social Economic Environment Infrastructure Land Use
Flooding Construction of an Implementation of Proposed Rainforest Establish Ecological Baseline Construction/Rehabilitation of Flood Control Dikes Re-Activate Local Housing Board
Evacuation Center and Development in 5 Brgys. (3,000has.) Data and conduct river and Slope Protection along Cagayan and Iponan Propose Creation of City
equipment (identified in Develop High Quality Infra facility on assessment particularly on River Housing/Shelter Department/Office
Brgy. Dansolihon and tourism on proper and safe location Water quality, volume of river Establishment of New Waterways in built-up area CDRRMC approval as requirement in
Mambuaya) Adjust planting (harvesting) calendar to discharges, tidal variation data, Acquisition of Heavy Equipment for Desiltation of the Issuance of Locational Clearance/
Additional skilled ensure agricultural productivity extent of water pollution after Rivers and Declogging of Drainage Canals Building Permit
manpower for rescue Planting of early maturing varieties (5 flooding, actual tenure over (identified in Carmen) Strict enforcement of NIPAS
operations barangays around Iponan River) river easement Dredging of Major Rivers Activate and enhance capacities of
Purchase of additional Create other tourism attractions and Geological Assessment/ Study Adoption of climate resilient and green building BDRRMC (identified in Balulang)
rescue equipment adventure like Rock Wall Climbing etc. of the River System technology Implementation of Early Warning
Additional trained Provide sustainable alternative Riverbank stabilization Retrofitting of all bridges System at the brgy level particularly in
manpower on livelihood opportunities Communal Gardening Construction /Rehabilitation of Ugyaban Bridge high risk areas (identified in Balulang)
psychosocial support Prohibit firewood gathering and small (identified in Balulang) and Cabula Bridge Info-Board not only for “Smart”
services scale mining particularly in upland Strict enforcement of sanctions Enforcement thru local ordinances of Flood- Subscribers
Regular health care and barangays (identified also in Brgy. on Illegal Cutting of trees resistant housing structures (identified in Preparation and adoption of
supplemental feeding for Mambuaya) (identified in Balulang, Balulang) Watershed Management Plan with
malnourished children Dispersal of seedling varieties (fruit Carmen) Construction of Rainwater Harvesting Technology other localities
(identified in Brgy. FS trees, vegetables, etc.) and organic Rehabilitation of mangrove (identified in Balulang, Kauswagan) Watershed Approach – Retention
Catanico) fertilizer areas particularly in coastal Flood Control Dikes from Bulao to highway Ponds, Reforestation and
Empower households in Replant more trees, esp. fruit trees barangays (identified in Balulang, Carmen) Rehabilitation of Forest
relocation sites and (identified in Brgy. Mambuaya) Establish a sanitary landfill in a Construction of Adequate Drainage System Establish Protected and Conservation
resettlement areas proper location (identified in Bulua, Kauswagan)/ Upgrade size of Areas
(improve livelihood Increase awareness thru local drainage culverts Strict enforcement of river easements
systems and basic TV stations on CC and tips on Complete drainage masterplan for all priority Strict enforcement of RA 9003
services) (identified in reducing pollution (identified in basins of CDO as basis to improve drainage (Ecological Solid waste Management)
Kauswagan) Carmen) system up to Barangay Level (identified in
Flood rescue and Brgy. FS Catanico: Vehicles Establish concrete farm-to-market roads for easy Kauswagan)
emergency drill in for garbage collection accessibility Implementation of all lifelines and
communities (identified in Brgy. Mambuaya: Provide Brgy. Mambuaya: Construct flood control dikes major infrastructures
Balulang, Kauswagan, more supply of potable water and culvert to river from Zone 2 programs/projects should be
Carmen), schools, offices for the growing population. supported with geo and
at risk to increase hydrometeorological hazard
awareness clearance from MGB and other
Relocation of informal mandated government agencies
settlers along Cagayan Strict enforcement on subdivision
de Oro River and the regulations (increase in open spaces)
river side of Brgy. FS Prohibit settlements w/in legal
Catanico easement along riverbanks by strict
Brgy Mambuaya: Fully implementation of existing laws
organize BDRRMC
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Chapter 2 – Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment
Cagayan de Oro City Comprehensive Land Use Plan
2019-2027
Typhoon Plant Shrub-type crops, bamboos and • Shoreline Tracing/Coastal
trees to serve as wind breaks Trending
Rain-Induced Impose compulsory practice of SALT Actual Survey of Farm Lots Slope Protection thru construction of ripraps,
Landslide (Practice of multi-storey cropping) Sustainable farming practices gabion and revetment wall on upland areas and
Planting of permanent crops and root to reduce soil erosion and river riverbanks (identified in Carmen)
crops in sloping areas to increase siltation
vegetative cover
Drought Planting of drought-resistant crops and Inventory of Deep wells Establishment of Renewable Power Supply
varieties (legumes and root crops Water Quality Monitoring of System (solar power)
Rehabilitation/Repair of Irrigation Deep wells (Potability Test) Shifting to less power consuming technology.
System in Mambuaya Assessment of Water Aquifer (Conversion of streetlights to led lights. etc.)
Promote community-based water conservation
practices
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Chapter 2 – Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment