2016 L2 Morning PDF
2016 L2 Morning PDF
2016 L2 Morning PDF
The morning session of the 2016 Level II Chartered Financial Analyst® Mock Examination has 60
questions. To best simulate the exam day experience, candidates are advised to allocate an average of
18 minutes per item set (vignette and 6 multiple choice questions) for a total of 180 minutes (3 hours)
for this session of the exam.
13-18 Economics 18
37-42 Equity 18
Total: 180
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The government of a developing country published a request for proposal (RFP) for the development of
policies to improve the business conduct of its capital markets licensees, with the hope of improving
confidence levels among investors.
Kingfisher Financial Development Partners responded with a detailed proposal including the following
justifications for why the firm should win the tender:
Justification 1: With a team of three CFA charterholders, Kingfisher is more qualified than our
competitors to design policies to uphold and enhance capital market integrity.
Justification 2: Each team member must annually renew his or her commitment to abide by the
CFA Institute Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct (Code and Standards).
Justification 3: In addition, every team member passed each level of the CFA exam on the first
attempt.
Kingfisher is later notified that it had won the tender. The Kingfisher team consists of team leader Khalid
Juma, CFA, and his two associates, Vimal Bachu, CFA, and Anila Patel, CFA. Kingfisher and the
government agree that the first step toward improving market integrity is to create an industry-wide
code of conduct based on the Code and Standards. Although the Code and Standards are not intended
to be adopted in full by the government, the decision is made to concentrate on four main areas:
professionalism, capital market integrity, duties to clients, and investment recommendations.
Levels of Professionalism
Financial services professionals must act in a professional manner at all times to help protect the
integrity of the country’s capital markets. As such, financial services professionals must ensure
that they meet at a minimum three major requirements. Professionals must (1) disclose all
conflicts of interest, (2) selectively differentiate services to clients, and (3) outline all manager
compensation arrangements for clients.
Financial services professionals must protect the integrity of the capital markets by ensuring
that any insider information obtained is managed in such a way as to prevent the investing
public from being disadvantaged. In addition, no financial services professional can knowingly
participate in any activity devised to mislead investors or distort any price-setting mechanism.
Duties to Clients
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Investment Recommendations
All investment recommendations should be made after extensive research undertaken by or on behalf
of the firm. In addition, each research report must
Requirement 1: be reviewed by peers as soon as practical to ensure adequate basis and due
diligence policies were followed,
Requirement 2: be assessed to determine the quality of the recommendation over time, and
Requirement 3: only include names of team members who took part in the research and agreed
with the recommendation.
The Kingfisher team and the government committee meet to agree on the draft code of conduct.
Members of the government committee suggest the following additional policy: “Each financial services
firm must have a compliance supervisor to ensure that
Task 1: systems are in place to detect violations of laws, rules, regulations, firm policies, and the
industry-wide code of conduct and to enforce investment-related compliance policies;
Task 2: the firm has adequate documented compliance policies and procedures and it trains all
personnel on the same and makes sure the policies and procedures are followed; and
Task 3: inadequate procedures are identified and recommendations to correct inadequate procedures
are submitted to senior management for approval and implementation.”
1. Which of Kingfisher's statements in the RFP regarding its qualifications most likely violates the
CFA Institute Standards of Professional Conduct?
A. Justification 1.
B. Justification 2.
C. Justification 3.
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A. Compensation arrangements
B. Differentiation of services
C. Conflicts of interest
3. Do Kingfisher's proposed policy statements related to Capital Market Integrity most likely
violate any CFA Institute Standards of Professional Conduct?
A. diversified portfolio.
B. investment plan.
C. periodic review.
A. Requirement 1
B. Requirement 3
C. Requirement 2
6. Which of the following tasks suggested by the government committee would least likely
conform to Standard IV(C): Responsibilities of Supervisors?
A. Task 1
B. Task 2
C. Task 3
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Nine months ago, Makenna Adam, CFA, was dismissed from her job as an equity research analyst with
Transcontinental Brokerage Company, a publicly listed nationwide stock brokerage company. Unable to
find new employment, Adam establishes an Internet-based business, Adam Research Ltd., selling
research reports to individuals, institutional investors, and sell-side financial services companies.
Adam recognizes that she must make numerous disclosures on her website to comply with the CFA Code
of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct (Code and Standards) as well as the CFA Institute
Research Objectivity Standards. She believes it is important to comply with the Code and Standards to
help improve her business prospects. Adam clearly displays the following claim on the home page of
Adam Research’s website:
Adam Research Ltd. complies with the CFA Institute Research Objectivity Standards. Investors can be
assured that all research is accurate, although actual outcomes may differ from forecasted outcomes.
Our research reports clearly distinguish between facts and opinions by the analyst writing the research
report. Analysts are also free to voice their own opinions when making recommendations without fear
of reprisal to ensure their independence.
Also clearly displayed on the home page is an additional disclosure regarding potential conflicts of
interest:
Adam Research Ltd. and/or its employees and associates may occasionally hold shares in any of the
companies we cover. Please contact us for disclosure concerning our share positions.
In addition, Adam creates a stock rating system, again posting it on the website for her clients and
potential clients so they can understand the basis for how Adam Research recommendations are made.
She describes the rating system as follows: The firm uses different recommendation categories
(outperform, neutral, and underperform), along with an indication regarding risks for each type of
investor and the time frame in which the shares are expected to reach their target price.
Adam realizes she must produce research reports quickly to have product to sell. Her first report covers
her former employer, Transcontinental, and is based in part on last year’s annual report. Because she is
a former employee and a shareholder in Transcontinental, Adam is convinced she knows all aspects of
the company very well and decides not to meet with Transcontinental management. She publishes the
report, clearly stating she is a former employee and current shareholder. To drive traffic to her website,
she allows free access to the report, leaving it on the site even after Transcontinental reports its year-
end financial results. She receives an excellent response, with roughly 45% of her marketing list
downloading the report.
The Transcontinental report captures investors’ attention because of its strong “buy” recommendation,
in contrast to other analyst reports recommending a “sell.” As a result, Adam is invited to participate in
an interactive internet chat room discussion during which she recommends a “buy” for
Transcontinental. Because of limited time, she discloses only her former employment at
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To expand Adam Research’s research capability after obtaining new clients, Adam hires two analysts.
Recognizing the need to have written implementation policies because Adam is no longer the only one
writing research reports, she creates policies and provides them to the new employees before posting
them on the Adam Research website for clients to download. These policies are provided in Exhibit 1.
Exhibit 1
7. Which of the following initial claims made on the home page of Adam Research's website least
likely reflects the CFA Institute Research Objectivity Standards?
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A. plain language.
B. comprehensiveness.
C. prominent display.
9. Which category of Adam Research's stock rating system could most likely be improved to meet
the recommendations for compliance of the CFA Institute Research Objectivity Standards?
A. Recommendation categories
B. Investor risk
C. Time horizon
10. The research report on Transcontinental most likely meets recommendations for compliance
with the CFA Institute Research Objectivity Standards with regard to:
11. Did Adam's participation in an interactive internet chat room discussion most likely comply
with recommendations for compliance of the CFA Institute Research Objectivity Standards and
Standards of Professional Conduct?
12. Which of Adam Research's mentioned company policies and procedures given in Exhibit 1 least
likely complies with the CFA Institute Research Objectivity Standards?
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"Before we look at new investment opportunities, I want to review some prior transactions. A few
months ago, Drawbridge entered into a carry trade in a set of currencies. This morning, we were
unfortunately forced to close out the position at a sizable loss as a result of unexpected market
volatility."
Hollingsworth continues:
"Earlier in the year, Drawbridge hedged a long exposure to the Australian dollar (AUD) by selling AUD5
million forward against the US dollar (USD); the all-in forward price was 0.8940 (USD/AUD). It is now
three months prior to the settlement date, and I want to mark the forward position to market."
Exhibit 1 provides information about current rates in the foreign exchange markets.
Exhibit 1
Current Foreign Exchange Data
Spot rate (USD/AUD) 0.9062/0.9066
Three-month points -36.8/-36.4
Three-month Libor (AUD) 2.88%
Three-month Libor (USD) 0.23%
On completion of the agenda items relating to the foreign exchange markets, Hollingsworth and his
team move on to new investment opportunities. They begin with a discussion about the relationship
between economic growth and the performance of equity and debt markets.
Gillibrand: "When we consider our equity investments over the long term, our primary focus should be
on the rate of GDP growth. For longer time horizons, changes in earnings and the price/earnings
multiple are relatively less important in determining appreciation in the stock market."
Navarro: "When we look at our fixed-income investments, we should keep in mind that higher rates of
potential GDP growth will translate into higher real interest rates and higher expected real asset
returns."
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The economic growth projections for two of the countries in which Drawbridge is considering making
new investments are presented in Exhibit 2. Hollingsworth prefers the Solow growth accounting
equation to calculate potential GDP growth rather than the more simplistic labor productivity growth
accounting equation.
Exhibit 2
Long-Term Growth Projections
Growth in Total
Factor Productivity Output Elasticity
of Capital Growth Rate of Growth Rate of
Country Inflation Rate (%) (%) Capital (%) Labor (%)
Country A 1.7 1.5 0.3 3.2 0.4
Country B 1.8 1.3 0.4 3.7 0.5
The conversation then turns to the topic of convergence. Navarro says: "Even though Country B's per
capita growth is expected to exceed that of Country A for some time, according to the neoclassical
model, eventually both countries will experience the same growth rate because the model assumes all
countries have access to the same technology."
Hollingsworth presents the long-term relative performance of Countries C and D, shown in Exhibit 3.
Although both countries had below-average levels of per capita GDP 50 years ago, over time, the per
capita GDP growth rate of Country C has risen rapidly and for nearly 20 years has been well above
average. The growth rate for Country D, however, has risen more slowly. Today, Country C ranks among
the advanced economies whereas Country D remains a developing nation.
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13. The primary factor that was most likely the cause of Drawbridge's outcome in its carry trade
was:
A. flight to safety.
B. leverage.
C. stop-loss orders.
14. The mark-to-market value for Drawbridge's forward position is closest to:
A. –USD42,576.
B. –USD44,774.
C. –USD44,800.
15. Which of the statements about economic growth and the performance of equity and debt
markets is the least accurate?
A. Hollingsworth's
B. Navarro's
C. Gillibrand's
16. Based on the data in Exhibit 2, the GDP growth rate in Country A using Hollingsworth's
preferred method of calculation is closest to:
A. 2.94%.
B. 2.74%.
C. 2.86%.
17. Navarro's statement about the convergence of growth between Country A and Country B is
best described as:
A. conditional convergence.
B. absolute convergence.
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18. Country D's current economic status can best be explained by past government policies that
encouraged:
A. foreign investment.
B. domestic substitutes.
C. free trade.
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Mark Crawley is an analyst at a London-based private equity firm and is reviewing the firm's file on
Thames Air Plc (Thames), a company it provides financing for. Thames uses International Financial
Reporting Standards (IFRS) in the preparation of its financial statements. Thames is a relatively new
airline based in the United Kingdom specializing in flights and vacation packages to Mediterranean
locations, primarily Spain. Thames sells most of its flights and vacation packages to British residents in
British pounds (GBP) and considers the costs of local competitors' packages when determining its prices.
Costs are incurred in multiple currencies:
First, Crawley turns his attention to the effect of the transactions undertaken in various currencies by
Thames.
• He reviews the change in the exchange rate for the USD to GBP during 2015, shown in Exhibit 1,
and wonders what the effect of this change was on Thames's operating income.
• At year-end (31 December), Thames had a large outstanding payable in Spain related to landing
fees that were incurred there evenly over the final quarter. The company paid the amount in full
on its due date of 28 February. Crawley observed that the EUR to GBP exchange rate had
changed between when the costs were incurred and the year-end and again by the payment
date, as also shown in Exhibit 1.
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1-Jan-15 0.64
30-Jun-15 0.72
28-Feb-16 0.73
Because of the growing demand for vacation rentals in Spain during the past year, Thames acquired
100% of Tagus SA (Tagus), a Spanish company that owns a small vacation hotel and a few villas. Tagus
has long-term debt outstanding from a Spanish bank that financed the 2012 purchase of the vacation
properties, which will now be rented as part of the vacation packages offered by Thames. Tagus incurs
all costs related to operating and maintaining the rental properties in EUR.
Since the acquisition, all of Tagus's revenue comes from Thames's sales in Britain of the vacation
packages. Tagus receives the amounts in GBP. But Tagus hopes to expand and start renting out any
excess capacity of the properties, or newly acquired properties, to local tourists in the next few years.
Crawley notices that Thames is using the temporal method to translate Tagus's financial statements
prior to consolidation and asks another analyst, Dee Chopra, if this is appropriate.
Crawley next reviews the information in Exhibit 2 related to the Tagus acquisition to consider the effect
on Thames's year-end financial statements (31 December 2015).
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As the final step in his review, Crawley starts a ratio analysis of Thames and Tagus, and he asks Chopra
which ratios, if any, would be unaffected by Thames's choice of translation method for Tagus.
A. USD.
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20. Which of the following statements about the effect of the change in the USD to GBP exchange
rate during the year is most accurate? Operating income for Thames would:
21. Which of the following best describes the effect on Thames's financial statements of the
payment terms related to the landing fees in Spain? Thames would:
22. Chopra's best answer to Crawley's question about Thames's use of the temporal method to
translate Tagus's financial statements is that it is:
23. The most likely effect of the change in the exchange rate between the EUR and GBP arising
from Thames's investment in Tagus in 2015 will be a translation:
24. The best answer Chopra can give to Crawley's question about which ratio would be unaffected
is the:
A. current ratio.
B. operating profit margin.
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Ready Power Inc. is a manufacturer of high-quality industrial electric generators. Although many
companies have been negatively affected by the continued global economic weakness, Ready Power has
experienced strong demand for its products, largely as a result of several recent natural disasters and
many occurrences of rolling brownouts and blackouts arising from excessive strains on power grids.
Although this strong demand has resulted in higher inventory costs in recent years, the company has
been able to pass the cost on to customers through higher prices. The company’s generators have
expected useful lives of about 25 years. The company also normally depreciates its assets on a straight-
line basis.
Margo Lenz, CFA, an equity analyst at Livermore Investment Council, is reviewing Ready Power’s recent
financial statements, which are prepared according to US GAAP.
Exhibits 1 and 2 contain selected portions of the company’s statement of operations and statement of
financial position, and Exhibit 3 contains selected notes from the company’s 2013 financial statements.
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D. Inventories
Inventories are stated at the lower of cost or market, with cost determined using the last in, first out
(LIFO) method.
Depreciation of plant and equipment is computed using the straight-line depreciation method.
Consolidated depreciation
expense 332 235
J. Income taxes: The company’s effective tax rate has always been 29%.
31-Dec
($ millions) 2013 2012
Land 110 92
Plant and equipment 10,257 9,426
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Harold Mays, one of Lenz’s assistants, made the following comments about Ready Power’s inventory
policy:
1. One of the advantages of using LIFO is that it simplifies the accounting process for inventory
because it gives the same results for inventory and cost of goods sold whether the company uses
a periodic or perpetual inventory system.
2. Another advantage of using LIFO is that it appears to improve the company’s cash conversion
cycle.
3. One disadvantage with LIFO, however, is that it is more likely that the company will incur
inventory write-downs than under the first in, first out (FIFO) method.
Lenz mentioned to Mays that earlier that day, she had seen Bill Jacobs, the CEO of Ready Power, in an
exclusive interview on a cable news network specializing in financial news and information. Lenz was
particularly interested in the portion of the interview dealing with the company’s new program to lease
electrical generators. An excerpt from a transcript of the interview is shown in Exhibit 4.
Exhibit 4: Excerpt from an Interview of Bill Jacobs on Cable TV, 4 March 2014
Jacobs: The firm is meeting the growing demand for our electrical generators and will be
introducing a leasing program to further consolidate our lead in this area. We anticipate that
about 80% of the leases we grant will have a term of 20 years or more, with the remainder
having shorter terms of around 5 years.
After reading the excerpt from the interview, Mays wondered what impact the company’s new position
as a lessor and its classification of leases would have on the company’s future financial statements.
Finally, he comments:
1. For a given leased asset, in the initial year of the lease, Ready Power’s profits should be
higher if the company classifies the lease as an operating lease.
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25. If Ready Power had used the FIFO method to account for its inventory, its cost of goods sold
(COGS) in 2013 would have been closest to (in millions):
A. $17,694.
B. $17,764.
C. $16,287.
26. If Ready Power had been using FIFO accounting since incorporation, its retained earnings at the
end of 2013 would most likely be higher by (in millions):
A. $2,927.
B. $1,442.
C. $1,024.
27. The statement in Note 1.D of Exhibit 3 concerning LIFO liquidations most likely means that for
the stated period:
28. With regard to Mays' comments about the LIFO method, which of his statements is most
accurate?
A. Statement 2
B. Statement 1
C. Statement 3
29. In 2013, the estimated remaining life (in years) of the company's asset base is closest to:
A. 16.0.
B. 15.2.
C. 15.7.
30. Which of May's statements about the new leasing program is most accurate?
A. Statement 1
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John Earl is a project analyst for Kames Inc. Earl is currently reviewing the projected annual income
statements, shown in Exhibit 1, for the five-year life of Project #162 to determine the net present value
(NPV) of the project using an annual discount rate of 10%.
Exhibit 1
Project #162 Forecasted Income Statements
The project will require an increase in fixed assets of $150,000 that will be fully depreciated. Current
assets are expected to increase by $80,000 and current liabilities are expected to increase by $45,000.
This increase in net working capital will be recovered when the project is finished.
Just prior to completing the analysis, Earl finds out that the fixed assets can be depreciated using an
accelerated method, as shown in Exhibit 2.
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Cash operating
210,000 224,000 245,000 273,000 308,000
expenses
Given the use of the accelerated depreciation method, Earl concludes that the NPV of Project #162
increases to $127,818 .
In an initial discussion with a fellow analyst, David North, about Project #162, Earl tells North:
“I have prepared the analysis using nominal values and a nominal discount rate.”
North responds:
“Even though the analysis is in nominal terms, the discount rate should be increased by an
inflation rate of 2% based on the historical inflation rate.”
“I intend to also calculate the economic profit by subtracting the dollar cost of capital from the
net income. Do you have any further suggestions for analysis?”
North replies:
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31. Given the information in Exhibit 1, the after-tax operating cash flow (in thousands) for Year 1
for Project #162 is closest to:
A. $36.0.
B. $66.0.
C. $71.4.
32. The initial investment outlay (in thousands) for Project #162 is closest to:
A. $275.
B. $185.
C. $230.
33. By switching to an accelerated depreciation method, the increase in NPV for Project #162 is
closest to:
A. $4,445.
B. $11,112.
C. $6,667.
A. scenario analysis.
B. sensitivity analysis.
C. Monte Carlo analysis.
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Gabrielle Marchand and Cristiano Palmeiro are junior analysts recently hired by Nordfjord Investment
Management, an international investment firm. They have been assigned by senior analyst Anniken
Kristensen to work as a team to research Darwin Industrial (Darwin), a major company in the paints and
coatings industry.
Marchand and Palmeiro start by researching the industry. They discuss how the competitive
environment could impact profitability and make the following notes:
• The industry is fragmented and there is a strong rivalry for market share, particularly among the
larger participants.
• Paints and coatings are the logical or only choice for many applications, but alternatives, such as
aluminum, vinyl, and wood, are available for some situations.
• There is some brand loyalty, although it is not pervasive. The essentially identical product
offerings from the various manufacturers enable customers to easily switch brands.
Marchand and Palmeiro's research reveals that the industry's growth prospects are predictable because
they are closely tied to economic growth, particularly the housing, construction, automotive, and
industrial products sectors. Responding to regulatory pressure and increasing consumer demand for
environmentally friendly products, Darwin has been at the forefront of developing products that are
more eco-friendly and safer for its employees to manufacture and for customers to use.
In developing their sales and expense forecasts, Marchand and Palmeiro review selected financial data
on Darwin and selected economic factors, as shown in Exhibit 1. Using 2015 as the base year, the
analysts expect Darwin's
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2014 2015
Income statement
(€ millions) (€ millions)
Sales 8,838 9,280
Cost of goods sold (COGS) 5,183 5,401
Gross profit 3,655 3,879
Selling expenses 1,836 1,940
General and administrative expenses (G&A) 485 485
Depreciation and amortization expenses (D&A) 294 294
Operating profit 1,040 1,160
Interest expense 96 92
Earnings before taxes (EBT) 944 1,068
Income taxes (30%) 283 320
Net profit 661 748
After completing their forecast of the income statement, Marchand and Palmeiro discuss approaches to
forecasting balance sheet accounts. Marchand asks Palmeiro which accounts on the balance sheet can
be most reliably forecasted from the income statement.
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Kristensen: I prefer return on invested capital (ROIC) because it is not affected by the amount of
debt on Darwin's balance sheet.
Palmeiro: Return on equity (ROE) is the most common measure of shareholder return, although
Darwin's share repurchase program will affect the relevance of the ratio.
Marchand: We could use return on capital employed (ROCE), but its significance will be limited if
we compare Darwin with companies based in other countries.
37. Based on Marchand and Palmeiro's notes, the industry's competitive strength is most likely
related to the:
38. Based on the analysts' research about industry growth prospects and Darwin's response, which
of the following would be the most appropriate classification of Darwin's strategic style?
A. Classical
B. Visionary
C. Shaping
39. Marchand and Palmeiro's modeling approach can be most appropriately described as:
A. top down.
B. bottom up.
C. hybrid.
40. Based on the analysts' sales and expense forecasts and the data in Exhibit 1, their forecasted
net profit for Darwin in 2016 will be closest to:
A. €827 million.
B. €853 million.
C. €861 million.
41. The best answer to Marchand's question about forecasting balance sheet accounts is:
A. inventory.
B. operating loans.
C. property, plant, and equipment.
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A. Palmeiro's
B. Kristensen's
C. Marchand's
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Sandy Annisquam is the head of trading at Wingaersheek Arbitrage Opportunities, LLP, a hedge fund
specializing in fixed income strategies. The firm’s investment approach is to exploit small price
differences across similar or identical securities. Annisquam has asked Choate Hake to develop a
comprehensive automated trading system that will allow traders to identify opportunities in the market.
Annisquam and Hake are discussing several applications that need to be developed for the traders.
Hake begins development on an algorithm that will evaluate government bonds that have been
stripped. He tests his logic by evaluating a dollar-denominated Tangoran government bond with a
3.20%, annual pay coupon maturing in three years, using data in Exhibit 1. The bond is quoted in the
market at $103.50.
Exhibit 1
Spot, Par and Forward Rates
Hake develops a framework for valuing bonds using a binomial interest rate tree. He understands that
there are several factors used in developing the tree and asks Annisquam for counsel on the correct data
to use. Annisquam makes the following comments to Hake:
Comment 1: In the valuation process, the interest rate tree generates cash flows that are
interest rate dependent; but does not provide the interest rates used to discount those cash
flows.
Comment 2: Two assumptions must be made to create a binomial tree. The first is an interest
rate model such as a lognormal model of interest rates. The second is a volatility of interest
rates.
Comment 3: Volatility can be measured relative to the current level of rates. By using a
lognormal distribution, interest rate movements are proportional to the level of rates and are
bounded at the low end by zero.
Annisquam asks Hake to use a binomial interest rate tree to calculate the value of a bond. He tests the
module using a three-year, $100 par value, 4% annual pay coupon bond and the data in Exhibit 2.
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Annisquam then develops a model that compares the value of a bond determined using a binomial
interest rate tree to its value determined using spot rates. The bond he selects for the comparison is
non-benchmark, option-free, has five years to maturity and an annual-pay coupon rate of 3%. The
coupon rate is below the coupon rate of the benchmark bond. The yield curve is currently downward
sloping. The output of Annisquam’s model shows that the spot rates generate a value equal to the
market price of the bond, but the interest rate tree methodology produces a higher value.
Annisquam wants Hake to develop a program for pricing securities that are interest rate path
dependent, such as mortgage-backed securities (MBS). He believes that using the Monte Carlo method
and employing 2,000 simulations will provide an average present value across all scenarios equal to the
actual market value of the securities. Hake runs a simulation and uses it to value a benchmark bond. He
finds that the value generated does not equal the market price of the bond.
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A. Buying the Year 1 and Year 2 strips and selling the Year 3 strip
B. Buying the bond and selling the strips
C. Buying the strips and selling the bond
44. Which of Annisquam's comments regarding binomial interest rate trees is least likely correct?
A. Comment 1
B. Comment 2
C. Comment 3
45. Using the backward induction method and the data in Exhibit 2, the value of the bond Hake has
been asked to value is closest to:
A. 101.069
B. 102.532
C. 101.584
46. Is Annisquam most likely correct in regard to his comments on calibrating a binomial interest
rate tree?
A. Yes
B. No, he incorrectly describes the iterative process
C. No, he is incorrect regarding the interest rate used
47. Assuming Annisquam's spot rate valuation is correct, why does his model most likely produce a
different result?
A. The model is incorrect because both methodologies should value the bonds equally.
B. He is valuing a non-benchmark bond.
C. The yield curve is downward sloping.
48. To correct the problem Hake encounters when using a Monte Carlo simulation, he would most
likely:
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Halstead Capital Advisers (Halstead) is an investment advisory firm that specializes in taxable fixed-
income investing. Its clients consist of medium-sized foundations and endowments that select outside
managers, such as Halstead, after having formulated their investment policy and asset allocation
targets.
Charles Scott, Halstead's chief investment strategist, and Catherine Bird, a quantitative analyst, meet to
discuss a research report that Bird is producing. The report will address various fixed-income investing
topics, including investment strategies, credit market spreads, and yield curve movements.
Bird is analyzing a newly issued US Treasury bond with a five-year maturity and a 7.00% coupon. For
long-term investors that buy this US Treasury bond and hold it to maturity, Bird is assessing whether the
realized return will match its current 7.00% yield to maturity. Her analysis is based on an expectation
that the forward path of interest rates will follow the current spot rate curve. Current spot rates and
extrapolated one-year forward rates are provided in Exhibit 1.
Exhibit 1
Spot and Forward Interest
Rates
For another investor who may sell prior to maturity, Scott states that the future value of this Treasury
bond is a function of projected spot rates relative to the forward curve. Bird agrees and says, "Let's
assume that an investor purchases this US Treasury bond at par, to yield 7.00% to maturity. He then
holds the bond for two years, at which time the one-year, two-year, and three-year spot interest rates
are each assumed to equal 8.00%." Bird determines that the expected return for the initial two-year
holding period would equal 4.42%.
Scott recognizes that this US Treasury bond may not be suitable for investors who want zero
reinvestment risk. He suggests that an alternative instrument is a US Treasury zero-coupon note. It is
newly issued, with a five-year term, and priced at $71.30 ($100.00 face value) to yield 7.00% to maturity.
Scott says that some investors may purchase this Treasury zero-coupon note today and hold it for five
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Scott reminds Bird to include an update on credit instruments. He provides details on a newly issued
zero-coupon bond by Coores Corporation, rated A1/A+, with five years to maturity priced to yield 7.30%
to maturity. This credit typically trades in line with high-quality financial institutions and corporate
issuers. Current market rates are 7% for the five-year risk-free spot rate, and the five-year swap spread
is 0.30%.
Bird proposes to review other credit spread indicators that measure credit and liquidity risk for money
market securities, general creditworthiness of individual debt issuers, and counterparty risk. Bird offers
the following statements about measures of credit risk.
Statement 1: Z-spread represents the difference between the yield on credit bonds and the
implied spot yield curve.
Statement 2: Libor-OIS (overnight index swaps) spread represents the difference between Libor
and corporate bond spreads.
Statement 3: TED (Treasury-eurodollar) spread represents the difference between Libor and
overnight bank lending rates.
Scott asks Bird to evaluate the impact of yield curve movements on fixed-income securities. Bird
constructs a yield curve factor model that describes three independent yield curve movements. The
yield curve movements are shown in Exhibit 2.
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49. Based on the data provided in Exhibit 1 and assuming that Bird's interest rate expectation
materializes, the realized return for the US Treasury bond if held to maturity would most likely
be:
50. Based on the data provided in Exhibit 1 and considering Bird's assumptions regarding an
investor who purchases the US Treasury bond and holds it for two years, the US Treasury bond
is currently most likely:
A. undervalued.
B. overvalued.
C. fairly valued.
51. Using the information provided in Exhibit 1, the forward rate at which an investor would be
indifferent to purchasing the US Treasury zero-coupon note today or two years from today is
closest to:
A. 11.10%.
B. 7.00%.
C. 9.05%.
52. Using the information provided, is the Coores Corporation bond most likely mispriced?
A. Yes, because of the difference between the swap rate and the yield to maturity
B. No
C. Yes, because of the difference between the swap rate and the spot rate
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A. Statement 1
B. Statement 2
C. Statement 3
54. Using the information provided in Exhibit 2, the movements characterized by Factor 1, Factor 2,
and Factor 3, respectively, are most likely:
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Zoe Schulman is an alternative investments research analyst with Principal Investments, LLC, a wealth
management firm. In the past, the account managers at Principal were free to select real estate
investments without referring to a formal buy list, leading to inconsistent returns across client
portfolios. To ensure a more consistent approach, the firm would like to create an approved list, which
would provide a source of investment selections for all client portfolios.
From the investments already held in client portfolios, Schulman identifies the three largest REIT
holdings and asks the account managers to justify why these REITs were selected considering the
current economic cycle. She compiles Exhibit 1 and presents it in a report to her manager, Holden
Dwelley.
Exhibit 1
Characteristics of Major REIT Holdings and Account Managers’ Justifications
REIT Sector Region Justification
The industrial sector has a large labor
1 Industrial Midwest United States force and is most sensitive to new job
creation.
Although recent news of rising GDP is
2 Office Southwest United beneficial to all sectors, the better-than-
States expected jobs report further enhances
prospects for the office property sector.
Northeast United This sector has low sensitivity to new job
3 Hospitality States creation and is resilient during times of
economic contraction.
Schulman determines that all three REITs use the historical cost method in their accounting statements.
In her analysis, she calculates and reports net asset value per share (NAVPS), instead of book value per
share (BVPS), as an absolute valuation metric and provides the following rationale for this approach
being her preferred one:
Reason 1: NAVPS accounts for the value of property not currently generating revenue.
Reason 2: NAVPS includes the added value of the management of the REIT.
Reason 3: NAVPS reflects the market value of the property portfolio rather than often stale
historical cost values.
Schulman collects financial data for all three REITs to calculate NAVPS. Exhibit 2 presents select data that
she uses for her evaluation of REIT 1.
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Pro forma cash net operating income (NOI) for last 12 $320 million
months
Cash and equivalents $50 million
Land held for future development $70 million
Accounts receivable $25 million
Prepaid/other assets (excluding intangibles) $7 million
Total debt $1,700 million
Other liabilities $200 million
Shares outstanding 75,000
Schulman submits a first draft of her report to Dwelley. He notes that she has failed to consider real
estate operating companies (REOCs) in current client portfolios for inclusion on the approved list. She
justifies the omission with the following reasoning:
When editing the report, Dwelley questions Schulman's reliance on NAVPS over a dividend discount
model (DDM) and notes the following characteristics of these valuation measures:
Characteristic 1: DDM reflects all earned income, whereas NAVPS only reflects income that is
retained by the property management company.
Characteristic 2: NAVPS is based solely on historical revenue and does not reflect upcoming
income growth expectations.
Characteristic 3: DDM uses discount rates consistent with the required rate of return for public
equity investment.
For a more comprehensive analysis, Schulman's report also presents relative valuation measures, such
as the ratio of price to funds from operations (P/FFO). Selected information for REIT 3 is provided in
Exhibit 3
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55. Which of the account managers' justifications in Exhibit 1 regarding the selection of each of the
three REITs is most likely correct?
56. Which of Schulman's reasons regarding her preferred approach to valuing REITs is most likely
correct?
A. Reason 3
B. Reason 2
C. Reason 1
57. Using the data in Exhibit 2, the NAVPS of REIT 1 is closest to:
A. $39.76.
B. $37.65.
C. $40.69.
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59. Which of Dwelley's characteristics of the DDM and NAVPS methods is most likely correct?
A. Characteristic 1
B. Characteristic 3
C. Characteristic 2
A. 16.7.
B. 13.5.
C. 14.9.
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