2019Q2 Advance
2019Q2 Advance
2019Q2 Advance
Mark leadership in mobile data Expand access and convergence Pursue long-term growth with
• Nationwide 4G/3G/2G coverage to homes integrated services
with focus on network quality • Leverage existing nationwide fibre • Emphasize partnership &
• Competitive in retaining both infrastructure ecosystem
revenue and subscriber scale • Defensive value to core mobile • Leverage the large sub base and
business telecom infrastructure
2
2Q19 Overview: Mobile saw improvement while FBB
continued strong growth
Core service revenue: grew 5.8%
• Revenue +5.3% YoY, +4.3% QoQ following discontinuation of fixed-
YoY driven by improvement in mobile
Mobile speed U/L plans
• Postpaid subs gained 250k vs -276k in prepaid with data
+5.8%
consumption of 11.5 GB/month
35,394
(Bt mn)
33,464 1,103 • Robust revenue growth of +26% YoY, +7.1% QoQ driven by 60.4k
Others -1.1% 1,380 net addition
1,115 +26% FBB
1,094 • Focused on FMC and maintain 1mn subs target supported by AIS
FBB shops, Telewiz, and AIS Call Center to ensure quality
Mobile
Enterprise:
+5.3% 32,911
31,256 • Maintained high-single digit growth for FY19, supported by end-
Digital to-end product proposition combined with CSL
services Consumer:
• Continued building engagement platforms in video, mobile
money, IoT, and partner platforms
2Q18 2Q19
EBITDA and margin: grew 4% YoY supported by revenue growth Net profit: continued improving trend
*Show performance after normalizing Bt636mn (before tax) of legal severance compensation in 2Q19 3
2Q19 & 1H19 Financial Highlights (Pre-TFRS15)
Pre-TFRS 15
Bt mn 2Q18 1Q19 2Q19 %YoY %QoQ 1H18 1H19 %YoY
Mobile revenue 31,256 31,555 32,911 ▲5.3% ▲4.3% 62,464 64,466 ▲3.2%
FBB revenue 1,094 1,288 1,380 ▲26% ▲7.1% 2,107 2,669 ▲27%
Other revenues 1,115 1,119 1,103 ▼1.1% ▼1.4% 2,041 2,221 ▲8.8%
Core service revenue 33,464 33,962 35,394 ▲5.8% ▲4.2% 66,612 69,356 ▲4.1%
IC and equipment rental 2,845 2,995 2,841 Flat ▼5.2% 4,263 5,836 ▲37%
Service revenue 36,309 36,957 38,235 ▲5.3% ▲3.5% 70,875 75,192 ▲6.1%
SIM and device sales 5,919 6,867 6,453 ▲9.0% ▼6.0% 12,287 13,320 ▲8.4%
Total revenue 42,228 43,824 44,688 ▲5.8% ▲2.0% 83,161 88,512 ▲6.4%
Cost of service (19,202) (19,817) (20,170) ▲5.0% ▲1.8% (36,483) (39,987) ▲9.6%
Sales margin -3.0% -4.2% -4.0% ▼100bps ▲20bps -2.0% -4.1% ▼210bps
EBITDA margin* 45.0% 43.1% 42.8% ▼220bps ▼30bps 45.6% 43.0% ▼260bps
EBIT margin* 25.3% 23.0% 22.5% ▼280bps ▼50bps 25.9% 22.7% ▼320bps
NPAT margin* 19.0% 17.4% 17.3% ▼170bps ▼10bps 19.3% 17.3% ▼200bps
*Included one-time expense of Bt636mn (before tax) for legal severance provision in 2Q19. See page 10 for normalization
4
FY19 Pre-TFRS 15 Guidance (maintained)
Core service revenue Mid-single digit • Mobile: stay competitive in maintaining business scale
growth driven by 4G and penetration in growing segments
• FBB: deploy FMC (Fixed- Mobile Convergence) targeting
1mn subscribers milestone
• Enterprise: gain share in mobile airtime and EDS while
growing in Cloud/DC/ICT managed services
EBITDA margin Stable from last year • Allocate sufficient capital to retain and expand scale in
(43.4% in FY18) respective businesses
• Optimize OPEX, offset with cost to support network growth
in all businesses
Budgeted CAPEX Bt20-25bn, of which • Focus on 4G capacity expansion incorporating 5G-
(excludes spectrum Bt4-5bn allocated for compatible architecture
payment) FBB • Expand last miles to serve 1mn FBB customers
Dividend policy Minimum 70% payout • Preserve financial health and flexibility for future growth
ratio
5
Mobile: Revenue grew with price adjustment
6
Network quality remained superior
Operator 2
4G Coverage
98%
Operator 3
97%
Operator 3
4Q18 1Q19 2Q19
>2.5Mbps
% of customers conducted the survey
<2.5Mbps
(Mar - May 2019) selecting AIS Brand as a preference
4G %Good Quality on LINE app
7
FBB: Continued both revenue and subscriber momentum
Fixed broadband revenue (Bt mn) ARPU (Bt/month) Beginning Net addition (‘000)
subscriber (‘000)
610 855
573 574 563 558 795
731 60
677 65
1,212 1,288 1,380 +26% YoY 623 54
1,094 1,117 53
+7.1% QoQ
52
731 795
623 677
572
8
Digital service: Expanded strategic digital services for
both enterprise and consumer
Enterprise: Repositioned to be #1 service provider Strengthened engaging consumer platforms
• Rebranded CSL aiming to become #1 end-to-end ICT 2mn active users • Available on mobile, FBB and
service provider (Jun-19)
website
6.0mn
Focusing on data center & cloud
solutions, managed services,
and system integration 5.2 Registered, but not active
2 Mobile money
Active
0.8
Mar-19
• Partnered to explore and expand IoT use cases in • Continued to drive subscriber
selected verticals acquisition
9
Profit rose from both revenue and cost improvement
EBITDA
• EBITDA growth was contributed by higher revenue offset by higher network OPEX and SG&A
2Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H18 1H19 • 1H19 net profit slightly dropped due to D&A from 4G/FBB
expansion and 1800MHz license acquired in Sep-18.
*Show performance after normalizing Bt636mn (before tax) of legal severance provision in 2Q19
10
Maintained financial flexibility for future growth
cash flow
Operating
Income
tax paid
Finance cost
CAPEX
Cash
bearing
Dividend paid
Others
Repayment of
borrowings
Cash
increased
debt
129 Equity
PPE
Stable
18 11 25
65
39
19
others
retained earnings
A/R cash others
Operating cash flow in 1H19 was sufficient to fund
both CAPEX, debt repayment, and dividend.
1.1x 1.5x Investing cash flow was Bt9.4bn while FY19 budgeted
CAPEX is maintained at Bt20-25bn
Net debt to EBITDA Interest bearing debt
to Equity Average finance costs = 3.1% p.a.
• Maintained investment grade credit ratings
• Fitch: national rating AA+ (THA), outlook stable
0.6x 51% • S&P: BBB+, outlook stable
Current ratio Return on Equity
11
License payment and debt repayment schedule
900MHz payment term extended
12
APPENDIX
13
Mobile: Data usage grew more reasonably
2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19
• Mobile subscribers was at 41.5mn, slightly • Blended ARPU improved to Bt263, from price
decreasing 26k QoQ from lower prepaid base. adjustment from unlimited data plans into volume-
based plans.
• Postpaid subscribers grew 250k QoQ,
underpinned by prepaid-to-postpaid conversion • Blended VOU softly increased to 11.5 GB after
and attractive handset campaigns. unlimited data plans discontinued.
• Prepaid subscribers decreased 276k QoQ,
mainly from seasonal churns of one-time
segmented SIMs.
14
2Q19 & 1H19 Revenue Breakdown
2Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H18 1H19 2Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H18 1H19 2Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H18 1H19
• Driven by improved data pricing, • Expanded subscriber base to 855k, • 1H19, underpinned by improving
resulted in increase in ARPU. adding 60.4k in the quarter sales in telecom & ICT services as
well as CSL’s revenue consolidated
15
2Q19 & 1H19 Cost Breakdown
2Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H18 1H19 2Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H18 1H19 2Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H18 1H19
• Increased following higher • Increased from 4G network and • Excluding TOT, 1H19 network OPEX
service revenue. fixed broadband investment would increase 8.8% YoY, mainly
from higher utilities for expanding 4G
2Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H18 1H19 2Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H18 1H19
16
2Q19 & 1H19 Financial Highlights (Post-TFRS15)
Post-TFRS 15
Bt mn 1Q19 2Q19 %QoQ 1H19
Mobile revenue 30,678 32,042 ▲4.4% 62,720
17
Impact from TFRS 15 adoption
Re-allocate
Device sale by fair values
Subsidies under
Amortized
negative device
against service margin
revenue over
contract period
Device cost Device cost
Device cost Device cost
Subsidy
(under marketing expense) Contract asset
18
FY19 Outlook
FBB
Branding Offering Network Customer
Investment Management
• Aim to be the brand • Gain fair share in • Ensure effective • Revamp points and
for digital prepaid via use of spectrum privileges
population segmentation and and future-proof • Implement predictive
postpaid via CVM investment models
Digital
Service
19
5G: More spreading investment outlook
Bt bn
#MHz
GSMA’s Global Mobile CAPEX
(excl. spectrum) as % of mobile revenue
4G Coverage 100
60
90
3G Capacity 4G Capacity 2.6GHz
3.5GHz 80 18% 18%
50 26-28GHz 17% 17%
3G Coverage 70
14%
40 60
50
30 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025
40
20 30
Dependent on
20
10 5G use cases and Whether 2G, 3G or 4G, the industry has
expect to spread out 10 kept investing 16–18% of its revenue in
mobile networks – a trend expected to
0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 continue in the 5G era.
20
FY19 Outlook
Mobile
FMC
Mobile Fixed Mobile
Convergence • 2019 target: 1mn subscribers
FBB • Move to ARPH (average
CVM
Customer Value
revenue per household)
Management
Digital
Service
21
FY19 Outlook
Consumer Enterprise
: Leverage and enhance customer base via partner : Integrated services of Telecom-ICT-Digital
platform
Telco Mobile
services
Game Insurance Data network
+ Others
AWN+CSL Capabilities Partners
Advertisement Other related
services
+
Drive quick learning curve
Digital
Service
22
Mobile price plans: Gearing toward full-speed plans
23
Updated: Aug-19
Mobile: Prepaid package
Main package Data add-on package
First Activation Bt50 Period Data Price(Bt)
THE ONE SIM
Daily
750MB/2Mbps Data 24h 2GB 35
Refill at
2GB/7d
least 24h 8GB + AIS Wi-Fi 89
1GB
Bt150
(12m) Weekly
30d
5d 2GB 99
7d 2.5GB / 512kbps 89
SUPER SOCIAL SIM First Activation Bt50
7d Unlimited (6am-6pm) 99
Call rate: Bt0.014/s - Bt1 at first minute 30d Unlimited (6am-6pm) 299
or or
24
Updated: Aug-19
AIS Fibre: Competitive price plans targeting pure internet,
game and FMC customers
Home Broadband eSports Power4 MAXX
• Basic pure internet pack for • Target gamers by • Offer FMC including fibre broadband,
early broadband adopters separating network between mobile data, premium content, and
including ADSL users Gaming and Internet Super WiFi
Updated: Aug-19
25
FBB: Market pricing
AIS TRUE
Price Data speed Mobile Call/Data Complementary Price Data speed Mobile Call/Data Complementary
499 50/20 Mbps - - 599 50/20 Mbps 5 GB -
599 100/100 Mbps - - 799 100/50 Mbps 10 GB Enjoy HD
FMC 699 50/20 Mbps 5GB AIS Play 6m 899 200/50 Mbps 60min, 10GB True ID 12m
790 100/100 Mbps - eSport package 999 200/50 Mbps 300min, 15G -
FMC 799 100/50 Mbps 10GB AIS Play 6m 999 300/100 Mbps 60min, 10GB True ID 12m
799 200/100 Mbps - - 1,599 1000/100 Mbps 300min, 20GB True ID 12m
890 200/200 Mbps - eSport package 1,999 200/100 Mbps 10GB Gold HD
990 300/300 Mbps - eSport package 2,399 200/100 Mbps 10GB Platinum HD
FMC 999 300/100 Mbps 15GB AIS Play 6m 2,999 1000/500 Mbps - Platinum HD
FMC 1,299 300/100 Mbps 100min, 30GB AIS Play 6m, 2,999 1000/500 Mbps 200min, 35GB -
Netflix 3m
3,999 1000/500 Mbps 200min, 50GB Platinum HD
Get 3 numbers
3BB TOT
Price Data speed Price Data speed
590 100/100 Mbps 590 100/100 Mbps
700 200/200 Mbps 700 200/200 Mbps
900 300/300 Mbps 900 300/300 Mbps
1,200 500/500 Mbps 1,200 500/500 Mbps
1,590 1000/100 Mbps 1,590 1000/500 Mbps
2,999 1000/500 Mbps
92 96 90 90 92
75 83 83
25% 25%
25% 23% 27% 30% 32%
25% Operator 3
30% 29% 27%
32% 31% 25% 23%
31% Operator 2
45% 46% 46% 46% 45% 45% AIS
44% 43%
81 83
74 68 73 70 70
22 68 24%
20 25%
24%
18 21% 25%
35% 25% 29% 30%
14 35% 29%
11 13 34% 32%
30%
27%
7.4 9.1 33% 31% 31% 24% 23%
31% 28% 28%
23% 29% 29%
29% 31% 30%
31% 32% 45% 47% 48% 48% 47% 47%
32% 37% 37% 44% 43%
39% 39% 38% 37%
45% 41%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015* 2016 2017 2018
* In 2015, sub base of the industry was affected by the adjustment of prepaid sub reporting to reflect only active ones. The decrease in sub base also
caused by NBTC’s announcement requiring prepaid sub to register their SIMs. The SIMs that failed to register by the deadline were terminated.
27
Digital content: More varieties and exclusivities
Introduced content packages to attract customers with different preferences e.g. sports, family,
movies at more affordable prices on both AIS PLAY and AIS PLAYBOX.
Mobile
PLAY PREMIUM PLAY MOVIES PLAY SERIES PLAY NEWS
Access to all HBO, CINEMAX, WARNER, BLUEANT HEADLINE
exclusive content WARNER, BLUEANT NEWS, CNN
Bt299/month Bt199/month Bt99month or Bt99month or
Bt5/day Bt5/day
Fixed broadband
• The only brand in the industry globally to post • Best Brand Performance on Social Media,
a AAA+ rating Social Media Platform and Media Campaigns
by Thailand Zocial Awards 2019
29
Distribution Channel Structure
Modern Channel
3,000+ Shops
30
Historical profitability and CAPEX trend
Industry AIS
EBITDA margin
Industry AIS
NPAT margin
41% 32%
24% 28% 27%
CAPEX
9% 15%
6%
48
41
10 28 33 32
6 20
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Disclaimers
Some statements made in this material are forward-looking statements with the relevant assumptions, which are subject to various risks and uncertainties. These include
statements with respect to our corporate plans, strategies and beliefs and other statements that are not historical facts. These statements can be identified by the use of
forward-looking terminology such as “may”, “will”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “estimate”, “continue” “plan” or other similar words.
The statements are based on our management’s assumptions and beliefs in light of the information currently available to us. These assumptions involve risks and
uncertainties which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements
expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Please note that the company and executives/staff do not control and cannot guarantee the relevance,
timeliness, or accuracy of these statements.
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