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Poisson Distribution

The document is a solution to a math problem using the Poisson distribution to calculate the approximate number of packets containing razor blades with 0, 1, 2, or 3 defective blades out of a total of 10,000 packets. It determines the probability of defects based on a 1/500 chance for each individual blade being defective. It then uses the Poisson distribution formula to calculate the probability and approximate number of packets for each number of defects. The results are: 9800 packets with 0 defects, 196 packets with 1 defect, 2 packets with 2 defects, and 0 packets with 3 defects.

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Tushar Ballabh
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758 views

Poisson Distribution

The document is a solution to a math problem using the Poisson distribution to calculate the approximate number of packets containing razor blades with 0, 1, 2, or 3 defective blades out of a total of 10,000 packets. It determines the probability of defects based on a 1/500 chance for each individual blade being defective. It then uses the Poisson distribution formula to calculate the probability and approximate number of packets for each number of defects. The results are: 9800 packets with 0 defects, 196 packets with 1 defect, 2 packets with 2 defects, and 0 packets with 3 defects.

Uploaded by

Tushar Ballabh
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Answer on question 38897 – Math – Differential Calculus

In a factory turning out razor blade, there is a small chance of 1/500 for any blade to be defective. The
blades are supplied in a packet of 10. Use Poisson distribution to calculate the approximate number of
packets containing blades with no defective, one defective, two defectives and three defectives in a
consignment of 10,000 packets.

Solution

The probability of a defect per blade is p = 1/500 = 0.002. This means that for a packet of 10, the mean
number of defects L = 10p = 0.02. The parameter L is used in the Poisson distribution to give the probability
of the number of defects, n, in a packet of 10:

𝐿𝑛 −𝐿
𝑃(𝑛) = 𝑒
𝑛!
Therefore,

0.020 −0.02
𝑃(0) = 𝑒 ≈ 0.98;
0!
The approximate number of packets containing blades with no defective blades is 𝑃(0) ∗ 10000 ≈ 9800

0.021 −0.02
𝑃(1) = 𝑒 ≈ 0.0196;
1!
The approximate number of packets containing blades with one defective blade is 𝑃(1) ∗ 10000 ≈ 196

0.022 −0.02
𝑃(2) = 𝑒 ≈ 0.000196;
2!
The approximate number of packets containing blades with two defective blades is 𝑃(2) ∗ 10000 ≈ 2

0.023 −0.02
𝑃(3) = 𝑒 ≈ 0.0000013;
3!
The approximate number of packets containing blades with three defective blades is 𝑃(3) ∗ 10000 ≈ 0

Answer: 9800; 196; 2; 0.

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