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King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
STAT319: Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists
Term 192
Instructor: Dr. Nasir Abbas Office: 5-333
Phone: 4485 E-mail:
[email protected]Office Hours: UTR 10:00 am - 11:30 am
Course Objectives: Introduce the basic concepts of probability and statistics to engineering students.
Emphasis will be given on the understanding of the nature of randomness of real world phenomena; the
formulation of statistical methods by using intuitive arguments, solving them and thereby making
meaningful decisions.
Learning Outcomes: By completing this course, students should acquire/learn
A thorough understanding of descriptive statistics, both graphical and numerical
A working knowledge of sample spaces, events, and operations on events
Elementary probability concepts
A good understanding of random variables and their means and variances
Basic discrete and continuous random variables
The concept of a sampling distribution, and the central limit theorem
Point and interval estimation of means and proportions
Basic concepts of hypothesis testing including the hypothesis testing setup, procedure, p-values
Correlation
Simple and multiple linear regression, including estimation and testing of model parameters
Text: Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers by D. Montgomery and G. Runger, 6th Edition, Wiley, 2014
Software Package: MINITAB, See STAT-319 Lab syllabus.
Assessment*
Activity Weight
Lab Work (see Lab syllabus) 20%
Class Evaluation (homework, quizzes) 10%
First Major Exam Chapters 2, 3, Sections 4-1 – 4-5, + Descriptive Statistics 20%
Week 6: Tuesday February 25, 6:00 pm
Second Major Exam Sections 4-6 – 4-11, Chapters 7, 8 20%
Week 11: Tuesday March 31, 6:15 pm
Final Exam (Comprehensive) 30%
Monday May 4, 9:00 pm
Grade Assignment
Score 87 – 100 80 – 86.9 75 – 79.9 70 – 74.9 65 – 69.9 60 – 64.9 55 – 59.9 50 – 54.9 0 – 49.9
Grade A+ A B+ B C+ C D+ D F
Academic Integrity: All KFUPM policies regarding ethics and academic honesty apply to this course.
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Schedule
WEEK Topics
Ch 2: Probability
2-1.1 2-1.3 Random Experiments, Sample Spaces and Events
Week 1
2-2 Interpretations and Axioms of Probability
January 19 - 23 2-3 Addition Rules
2-4 Conditional Probability
2-5 Multiplication Rule
2-6 Independence
2-7 Bayes' Theorem
Week 2
Ch 3: Discrete Probability Distributions
January 26 - 30 3-1 Discrete Random variables
3-2 Probability Distributions and Probability Mass Functions
3-3 Cumulative Distribution Functions
3-4 Mean and Variance of a Discrete Random Variable
Week 3
3-5 Discrete Uniform Distribution
February 2 - 6 3-6 Binomial Distribution
3-7-1 Geometric Distribution Only
3-8 Hypergeometric Distribution
Week 4 3-9 Poisson Distribution
Ch 4: Continuous Probability Distributions
February 9 - 13 4-1 Continuous Random Variables
4-2 Probability Distributions and Probability Density Functions
Week 5 4-3 Cumulative Distribution Functions
4-4 Mean and Variance of a Continuous Random Variable
February 16 - 20 4-5 Continuous Uniform Distribution
Week 6 4-6 The Normal Distribution
4-7 Normal Approximation to the Binomial and Poisson Distributions
February 23 - 27
4-8 Exponential Distribution
Week 7
March 1 - 5
4-10 Weibull Distribution
4-11 Lognormal Distribution
Week 8 Ch 7: Sampling Distributions
7-1 Point Estimation
March 8 - 12 7-2 Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem
Ch 8: Statistical Intervals for a Single Sample
Week 9 8-1 Confidence Interval for the Mean of a Normal Distribution with Known Variance
8-2 Confidence Interval for the Mean of a Normal Distribution with Unknown
March 15 - 19 Variance
8-4 Large Sample Confidence Interval for a Population Proportion
Ch 9: Tests of Hypotheses for a Single Sample
Week 10
9-1 Hypothesis Testing
March 22 - 26 9-2.1 Tests on the Mean of a Normal Distribution with Known Variance
9-2.3 Large-Sample Test
Week 11 9-3.1 Tests on the Mean of a Normal Distribution with Unknown Variance
March 29 – April 2 9-5.1 Tests on a Population Proportion
Ch 11: Simple Linear Regression and Correlation
Week 12 11-1 Empirical Models
11-2 Simple Linear Regression
April 5 - 9 11-3 Properties of the least squares estimators
11-4 Hypothesis Tests in Simple Linear Regression
11-5 Confidence Intervals
Week 13 11-6 Prediction of New Observations
April 12 - 16 11-7 Adequacy of the Regression Model
11-8 Correlation
Ch 12: Multiple Linear Regression
Week 14
12-1 Multiple Linear Regression Model
April 19 - 23 12-2 Hypothesis Tests in Multiple Linear Regression
12-3 Confidence Intervals in Multiple Linear Regression
Week 15 12-4 Prediction of New Observations
12-5.1 Residual Analysis
April 26 - 30 12-5.2 Influential Observations (Optional)
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Important Notes:
Please bring your book to every class, as well as a calculator with statistical functions.
Excessive unexcused absences (Nine) will result in a grade of DN in accordance with University rules.
Attendance on time is very important.
Home Work:
To successfully learn statistics, students need to solve problems and analyze data. The selected
assigned problems are specifically designed to help you understand the material.
Homework is due in class on the first Sunday after completing a chapter.
No late homework will be accepted.
Homework Problems
To Be Assigned.
