Trust in The European Union in Challenging Times - 2019 PDF
Trust in The European Union in Challenging Times - 2019 PDF
Trust in The European Union in Challenging Times - 2019 PDF
EUROPEAN UNION
IN CHALLENGING
TIMES
Interdisciplinary European Studies
EDITED BY
ANTONINA BAKARDJIEVA ENGELBREKT, NIKLAS BREMBERG,
ANNA MICHALSKI AND LARS OXELHEIM
Trust in the European Union in Challenging Times
Antonina Bakardjieva Engelbrekt
Niklas Bremberg
Anna Michalski
Lars Oxelheim
Editors
Trust in the
European Union in
Challenging Times
Interdisciplinary European Studies
Editors
Antonina Bakardjieva Engelbrekt Niklas Bremberg
Department of Law Uppsala University
Stockholm University Uppsala, Sweden
Stockholm, Sweden
The Swedish Institute of International
Anna Michalski Affairs
Department of Government Stockholm, Sweden
Uppsala University
Uppsala, Sweden Lars Oxelheim
University of Agder
Kristiansand, Norway
Research Institute of Industrial
Economics
Stockholm, Sweden
v
vi CONTENTS
Index 235
Notes on Contributors
vii
viii NOTES ON CONTRIBUTORS
xi
List of Tables
xiii
Trust in the European Union: What Is It
and How Does It Matter?
Antonina Bakardjieva Engelbrekt, Niklas Bremberg,
Anna Michalski, and Lars Oxelheim
A. Bakardjieva Engelbrekt
Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
N. Bremberg
Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
The Swedish Institute of International Affairs, Stockholm, Sweden
A. Michalski (*)
Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
L. Oxelheim
University of Agder, Kristiansand, Norway
Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Stockholm, Sweden
Obsessed with the idea of instant and total integration, we failed to notice
that ordinary people, the citizens of Europe do not share our Euro-
enthusiasm. Disillusioned with the great visions of the future, they demand
that we cope with the present reality better than we have been doing until
now… [t]he spectre of a break-up is haunting Europe and a vision of a fed-
eration doesn’t seem to me like the best answer to it. (Tusk, 2016)
Between the two of them, Junker and Tusk paint a picture of a serious
shortage of mutual trust between the elites of the different member states
as well as of public trust in the EU today. The euro crisis, especially the
way the Greek debt crisis was handled, offers a particularly illustrative
TRUST IN THE EUROPEAN UNION: WHAT IS IT AND HOW DOES IT MATTER? 7
Several explanations have been advanced: that the states of Europe, due to
their vulnerability and small size, have had no other choice than to seek
out common solutions to challenges and cross-border threats; that recur-
rent negotiations give rise to a logic of give and take, because ‘the shadow
of the future’ rewards those who play by common rules and who look to
more than just their self-interest; and that the EU’s supranational institu-
tions have served to even out the informational asymmetry that normally
besets efforts at international cooperation. Social-psychological theories
have also been cited to explain such outcomes (Haas, 1992). These fasten
on the tendency among officials and experts not only to form knowledge
communities on the premise that threats and challenges are best con-
fronted jointly but also to form common conceptions on appropriate solu-
tions. Consensus thus arises, and new forms of trust and loyalty emerge—as
do common notions of appropriate behaviour and shared ideas about how
political problems ought to be addressed (Lewis, 2005).
Predictability, a shared worldview, and a knowledge of national condi-
tions create the kind of trust the EU needs to be able to make necessary
decisions on a daily basis. This dimension, which encompasses the
executive direction of the Union, is important, but it can no longer con-
tain the tensions which the EU’s deepening and enlargement have entailed.
Efforts to democratize the EU have enhanced the position of the European
Parliament, but without strengthening either the parliamentary or the
party-political dimension of the Union. Political parties are still mainly
anchored in national arenas, and transnational ties between them are rela-
tively weak. National parliaments show no interest in cooperating more
closely with the EP within the framework of a multi-level parliamentary
system. The diversity of political values and experiences has increased as a
result of the EU’s enlargement to the east. Increased politicization has
taken place, but the multi-level political system that distinguishes the
Union has not put down robust roots. The executive direction of the
member states at the Union level has been strengthened, but stronger
bonds have not been established either with national parliaments or with
the various national populations. At the popular level, finally, the permis-
sive consensus, a kind of passive confidence in the Union among the pub-
lic, has given way to a growing mistrust of the exercise of power at
European level, nourishing a rising populism both nationally and
centrally.
One key dimension of trust in the Union is the assumption that its legal
order is based on the rule of law. Under the treaties, the member states are
10 A. BAKARDJIEVA ENGELBREKT ET AL.
agencies in the different member states. This despite the fact that coordi-
nation between national policies, for example, in the economic field, is
being recommended more and more.
identity are needed to give the member states and their populations the
motivation to keep moving forward together. A common identity based
on shared values is essential for trust within the Union and for the EU’s
influence and reputation in the world. For such a thing to be possible,
there must be internal unity on the interpretation and implementation of
core values. Democracy, human rights, and the rule of law must never
become beautiful phrases without concrete content.
In the fourth chapter, Linda Berg looks at trust between citizens on the
one hand and the EU’s political system on the other. Her chapter deals in
part with people’s general attitude towards the EU and in part with their
trust and confidence in the Union’s institutions. She discusses various
models for explaining the variation in levels of trust between countries and
between people. On the one hand, the results show relative stability over
time in people’s general attitude towards the Union or in their views on
the desirability of their country’s membership therein. The years of crisis
have seen a certain decline in this regard, but public opinion is still
supportive overall. On the other hand, trust in the EU’s institutions more
specifically has fallen sharply during the crisis years. This accords with what
we might expect, that is, that attitudes of a more specific type (e.g. regard-
ing EU institutions) will change more rapidly than attitudes of a more
general kind (e.g. regarding the EU as a whole).
A closer look at variations between countries and over time reveals a
similar pattern. A majority of citizens in most member states remain well
disposed to the Union, even after the years of crisis. The exceptions here
are Greece, Cyprus, and Austria. When it comes to confidence in the EU’s
institutions, on the other hand, the variation between countries is greater.
Confidence is greatest in countries that are politically and economically
stable or where the comparison with domestic political institutions comes
out in the Union’s favour. Variations of this kind, according to Berg, can
be understood on the basis of such factors as the following: self-interest;
the influence of different national political actors; political and economic
developments (both in the EU and in the country in question); and per-
ceptions of how EU membership has affected the country and its identity.
While feelings of affiliation with Europe remain important for trust in the
EU, Berg’s chapter shows that such feelings today—in the wake of the
recent crises—are not able to the same extent as before to offset opposing
views and feelings of dissatisfaction. In light of this, Berg argues, basic
civics training in all member states must be devoted to deepening the
public’s understanding of how the Union works as a multi-level system,
14 A. BAKARDJIEVA ENGELBREKT ET AL.
how decisions within it are made, and how citizens can influence the poli-
cies pursued.
In the fifth chapter, Andreas Bergh discusses the relationship between
migration and interpersonal trust in the Union. Interpersonal trust, Bergh
avers, is an important foundation for a well-functioning society. A society
where people trust each other works better—economically, politically, and
socially. The research shows, moreover, that variations in trust are great
within the EU, both between different member states and within the same
country. Trust between people is high in the Nordic member states and low
in such countries as Poland, Portugal, and Hungary. But no clear trend up
or down is apparent; the proclivity to trust people (or not to) seems in
general to be stable over time. The challenge for Europe in coming years
will be to make the most of the opportunities arising from increased migra-
tion, both between member states and from outside the Union.
One central issue in this context is how interpersonal trust is affected by
increased migration between countries with differing levels of trust. New
research shows that migrants from low-trust countries who move to high-
trust ones tend to show higher trust than those who remain in the former
lands. Their trust is not as high, however, as that displayed by persons who
have always lived in countries with higher trust. Bergh also considers the
reverse question: what happens to the trust shown by emigrants from a
high-trust country when they have lived for several years in a low-trust one
(with high levels of corruption, for instance)? Reviewing research on trust
shown by Swedish expatriates, Bergh notes that the high-trust level seems
very robust, except to some degree in the case of persons who were younger
than 30 when they moved to a low-trust country. Trust is an attitude,
research shows, which is largely shaped by the influence of parents and the
impact of events during youth and which remains very stable throughout
the later stages of life. Thus, while corruption and defects in the rule of law
in Europe need not have an immediate negative impact on trust, today’s
crises in the EU can nonetheless—by affecting trust in the younger genera-
tions adversely—cause damage in this area which will be very difficult to
repair later. It is therefore of utmost importance, Bergh contends, that the
Union continue to act to strengthen the rule of law and that it makes
greater efforts to combat economic and social inequality as well.
The sixth chapter, authored by Clas Wihlborg, concerns the EU’s
common currency and banking union. The question here is whether
greater institutional flexibility would strengthen confidence in the Union’s
common efforts in these areas. In the matter of currency, Wihlborg notes,
TRUST IN THE EUROPEAN UNION: WHAT IS IT AND HOW DOES IT MATTER? 15
EU member states which are outside the Economic and Monetary Union
(EMU) already enjoy considerable flexibility; by contrast, the states tak-
ing part in the common currency have no discretion in monetary matters.
As for banking, the regulatory framework for it was flexible and nationally
oriented until the debt crisis broke out in the eurozone in 2010. Banks
were allowed to operate throughout the Union with a ‘single licence’,
while supervision and regulation were mainly the responsibility of national
agencies. This, Wihlborg claims, made for institutional competition,
which was reinforced by the mobility of services, capital, and labour. The
EU’s banking union was created in order to strengthen confidence in the
monetary union. The idea was that harmonizing supervision, crisis man-
agement, and deposit insurance would break the link between the sover-
eign debt crisis and the banking crisis. Other financial activities in the EU
would still be carried out on the basis of a ‘single licence’. This is the
background to the controversial question of whether British financial
firms will be able to continue operating in the EU on the same terms after
‘Brexit’.
In his chapter, Wihlborg highlights the costs and benefits of harmoni-
zation as compared with those arising in a system of competing national
regulatory frameworks. He attaches particular importance to analysing the
conditions under which institutional competition would result in an
improvement in member states’ regulatory systems over time. One con-
clusion highlighted in his chapter is that greater trust requires either that
a number of EU member states abandon the euro as their currency or that
they affect far-reaching structural reforms. For political reasons, the author
believes, it may be advantageous to divide up the eurozone into two dif-
ferent currency areas. As to the EU’s banking union, Wihlborg contends
that a high degree of market discipline with regard to banks’ risk-taking
will be necessary if institutional competition is to produce an improve-
ment in national regulatory frameworks over time. Mutual recognition
between different national supervisory authorities thus requires a degree
of harmonization in terms of effective rules for dealing with troubled
banks. Finally, Wihlborg argues, harmonization on such a basis will be
necessary if conditions for increased flexibility are to be created for other
aspects of banking regulation and supervision as well.
In the seventh chapter, Ester Herlin-Karnell discusses the importance
of trust for cooperation within the Union in the area of criminal justice.
The Treaty of Lisbon, she points out, holds out the creation of an area
of ‘freedom, security and justice’ in Europe. What, she asks, does this
16 A. BAKARDJIEVA ENGELBREKT ET AL.
more cheaply and to use existing resources more efficiently. At the same
time, a vacuum of responsibility tends to arise in the wake of digitalization,
which makes it difficult to uphold the provisions of labour law and con-
sumer law in a variety of industries. Creating trust in the digital environ-
ment is thus one of the sharing economy’s biggest challenges. The authors
believe that the technology of so-called blockchains—digital ledgers where
all actors have access to an identical copy of the transactional history—can
provide part of the solution to the problem of inadequate accountability
that attends digitization. They propose among other things that the EU’s
‘Horizontal Task Force’ be made into a laboratory where different block-
chain actors are given space to develop, so as to answer the question of
whether a standardized blockchain should apply in all of the member
states or whether different countries and industries should develop their
own instead.
In the final chapter of the book, Göran von Sydow depicts an EU in
crisis, wherein trust between the member states themselves, on the one
hand, and between the member states and the Union, on the other hand,
is under heavy strain. Are the problems with trust linked to the question
of loyalty between the member states and the Union? The basic problem,
according to von Sydow, is that the EU is a system which profoundly
affects its member states, at the same time that the legitimacy of its central
organs is in dispute. The absence of full-scale democracy at the level of the
Union means that the EU still acquires its legitimacy largely from the will-
ingness of its member states to show loyalty to the joint project. The ques-
tion is what happens when such loyalty falls short. With the aid of Albert
O. Hirschman’s classic concepts of ‘exit’, ‘voice’, and ‘loyalty’, von Sydow
identifies three different systemic crises the Union is now undergoing.
These are ‘Brexit’, the euro crisis, and the conflict between EU member
states over the refugee situation. All three crises turn on highly conten-
tious issues.
The author calls our attention to research which shows that, as the
process of integration becomes more and more politicized, new demands
are placed on the legitimacy of the Union. The requirement that the
member states behave loyally towards the Union becomes more palpable
when the issues are of a politically sensitive nature. As a result, national
resistance to the Union is plainly growing in many parts of Europe.
Eurosceptic parties, usually on the populist right, are becoming stronger.
This undermines trust in the system still further. The author analyses such
disaffection in light of the lack of arenas within which representative
TRUST IN THE EUROPEAN UNION: WHAT IS IT AND HOW DOES IT MATTER? 19
Notes
1. The academic literature on social and political trust is vast and it spans sev-
eral fields ranging from sociology, economics, political science, and psychol-
ogy; see, inter alia, Easton (1965), Norris (1999), Mishler and Roses
(2001), Tinggaard Svendsen and Lind Haase Svendsen (2009), Algan and
Cahuc (2010), and Schlössers, Fetchenhauers and Dunning (2016).
2. For a comprehensive historical overview of European integration, see Urwin
(2014).
3. On the concept of security community and European integration, see
Deutsch et al. (1957), Adler and Barnett (1998), Bremberg (2018).
References
Abts, K., Heerwegh, D., & Swyngedouw, M. (2009). Sources of euroscepticism:
Utilitarian interest, social distrust, national identity and institutional distrust.
World Political Science Review, 5(1), 1–26.
Adler, E., & Barnett, M. (1998). Security communities. Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press.
Algan, Y., & Cahuc, P. (2010). Inherited trust and growth. American Economic
Review, 100(5), 2060–2092.
Bickerton, C. (2015, July 9). The real sins of Varoufakis. Le Monde Diplomatique.
Retrieved from http://mondediplo.com/outsidein/the-real-sins-of-varoufakis
TRUST IN THE EUROPEAN UNION: WHAT IS IT AND HOW DOES IT MATTER? 21
Mishler, W., & Roses, R. (2001). What are the origins of political trust? Testing
institutional and cultural theories in post-communist societies. Comparative
Political Studies, 34(1), 30–62.
Norris, P. (1999). Critical citizens: Global support for democratic government.
Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Rosamond, B. (2000). Theories of European integration. New York: St. Martin’s
Press.
Scharpf, F. (2014). Political legitimacy and in a non-optimal currency area. In
O. Cramme & S. Hobolt (Eds.), Democratic politics in a European Union
under stress. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Schlössers, T., Fetchenhauers, D., & Dunning, D. (2016). Trust against all odds?
Emotional dynamics in trust behavior. Decision, 3(3), 216–230.
Tallberg, J. (2004). European governance and supranational institutions: Making
states comply. London: Routledge.
Tinggaard Svendsen, G., & Lind Haase Svendsen, G. (Eds.). (2009). Handbook of
social capital. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Tusk, D. (2016, May 30). Speech at the 40th anniversary of the European People’s
Party, Luxembourg. Retrieved from http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/
press/press-releases/2016/05/30-pec-speech-epp/
Urwin, D. W. (2014). The community of Europe: A history of European integration
since 1945. London: Routledge.
What Explains the Lack of Trust in the EU
Among Its Member States? A Constitutional
Analysis of the EU’s ‘Value Crisis’
Joakim Nergelius
Over the last few years, the European Union has been shaken by a great
crisis which is political in character but could to a certain extent also be
described as constitutional, at least in the broad sense of the word. This
crisis has several different underlying causes and has expressed itself in
many different ways, for instance, through the refugee crisis in 2015, the
problems related to Brexit, the risk of a Greek bankruptcy and Greece’s
forced withdrawal from the euro zone (‘Grexit’) and, not least, the crisis
of values related to authoritarian and illiberal tendencies in certain EU
member states, chiefly, but not exclusively, Hungary and Poland.
This begs the crucial question why all these various crises occurred,
possibly peaked more or less at the same time between 2015 and 2016.
One important, general reason is probably that the EU was not strict enough
concerning the conditions for entry into different parts of the integration
process. This is, for instance, an obvious fact as far as the Greek membership
of the euro zone is concerned, but it is probably also a fair assessment
of the somewhat forced, probably premature, accession of Bulgaria
J. Nergelius (*)
Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden
These (and other assaults on the rule of law and other fundamental
values stated in Articles 6–7 TEU) gave rise to a number of reactions on
behalf of the EU. Among the more noteworthy actions initiated by the
EU is the case brought by the Commission against Hungary to the ECJ
concerning the forced retirement of judges older than 62 years. The Court
ruled in 2012 that the actions of the Hungarian government amounted to
unlawful discrimination on the grounds of age (C-286/12). However, it
seems that the Commission deliberately chose a technical approach, claim-
ing an alleged treaty violation according to Article 258 TFEU rather than
arguing that a basic, fundamental principle of the rule of law was violated.
In fact, the EU refrained until very recently from invoking Articles 6–7
TEU, according to which a member state that does not respect the rule of
law and/or other fundamental values of the EU (such as democracy,
human rights, human dignity, freedom and equality as stipulated in Article
2 TEU) may temporarily lose some of its rights as a member, including the
right to vote in the Council of the EU. Metering out such a harsh measure
against a member state, upon the decision by all the other member states,
would of course be controversial for a number of reasons, but in the long
run it may be hard to avoid, should one or more member states continue
to repeatedly, almost provocatively—as has been the case in recent years—
demonstrate that they do not want, and have in fact no wish whatsoever,
to respect the EU’s fundamental values.
In this context, it may be added that a widespread discussion on the
application of Article 7 TEU (previously Article 6 TEU) already took
place in 2000, when a majority of EU member states was willing to intro-
duce informal sanctions of a mild and in reality informal sort against
Austria, as a consequence of the right-wing populist party, Freedom Party
Austria (FPÖ), joining the Austrian government (as it did again after the
general election in October 2017). For a number of reasons though—the
most important of which being that Austria had in fact not violated any of
the fundamental values—the rather bizarre measures thus initiated, such
as the refusal to shake the hands of Austrian ministers or let them join
common photo sessions, were quickly abandoned.
However, the discussions that have occurred since 2010 concerning the
situation in Hungary, at times also in regard to Romania and since early
2016 not least in relation to Poland, have taken place against a somewhat
bleaker and more sinister background. In these EU member states, and in
others, such as Slovakia, ruling governments have expressed profound
doubts concerning the very validity of the EU’s fundamental values.
Probably the most noted statement to this effect was made by the
30 J. NERGELIUS
What can we learn from this, then, except the fact that many political or
ideological phenomena are not quite as new as we sometimes tend to
believe? In the remaining discussion, I make the argument that although
fewer things than we tend to believe are in fact really new, we must take
into account that the current discussion occurs in a totally different con-
text than the corresponding ones in 1793, when of course no political
union such as the EU existed. The global development is not entirely
cyclical after all. This also means that the response(s) of the EU to this
specific crisis must be adequate and apt to address the problem we are cur-
rently facing today. Against this background, I intend to discuss more in
detail what has caused the crisis on the one hand and how to solve it on
the other hand, with a focus on the rule of law and human rights, but
perhaps with more far-reaching repercussions.
values have through their actions, to put it mildly, challenged some very
crucial pillars of European integration.
Against this background, my advice to the EU and its leaders is as fol-
lows: in order to solve the value crisis, the EU must stick to its core values,
not least in relation to those member states which do perhaps not wish to
adhere to them. This must be the way forward even though being tough
to certain member states may in the short run increase the risk for internal
division. The Union should take this course of action despite the fact that
it may challenge, even provoke, a large number of voters in many member
states, not only in Central and Eastern Europe. At least as long as a quali-
fied majority of the member states—amounting to no less than 55 per cent
of the states of the EU, representing at least 65 per cent of its population,
as stipulated in Article 16(4) TEU—still believes in upholding in the
Union’s core values, it is in my view, a good idea for the EU to protect and
promote these values in an ever more turbulent world in spite of the short-
term costs involved. In the long run, a steady and consistent stand in
regard to reigning value conflicts will pay off and lead not only to greater
respect worldwide but also to the EU finding itself—its own soul so to
speak—which will make it easier for the Union to deal with future conflicts
of the same kind.
The EU will quite simply be stronger and enjoy more ‘soft power’ in
the world if it does not lose sight of its core values. Such a stand is also
likely to promote unity among those member states which will now find
strength not to back down in this crucial conflict. And, finally, this
majority of states may also reflect upon the fact that it may now be the
moment to make extended use of the QMV mechanism, in order to
stand up for what is right and thus, eventually, achieve greater global
success.
On a more practical level, the forthcoming negotiations on a new long-
term budget of the EU, running from 2020 onwards, may offer a good
opportunity for the until now rather ‘silent majority’ of EU member states
to put pressure on those members that refuse to host refugees and/or
refuse to follow EU decisions taken within the common asylum policy. As
stated above, the co-operation among member states is and must be based
on solidarity and loyalty (cf. Article 4(3) TEU). Member states, which
obstruct EU decisions, and in the process act according to a spirit contrary
to the Union values, simply cannot expect to receive benefits, subsidies
WHAT EXPLAINS THE LACK OF TRUST IN THE EU AMONG ITS MEMBER… 37
and contributions from the cohesion and regional funds or from the agri-
cultural funds indefinitely. It is hardly a coincidence that politicians in
many of the ‘net contributing’ member states are now increasingly stress-
ing this linkage, for which there are both financial and moral reasons.
Cutting down on the subsidies to member states which refuse to take part
in the quite costly refugee policy is also an effective sanction that may be
imposed without any treaty change, which is of course a huge advantage
in a situation where treaty changes seem very difficult to bring about as
they must be approved by all member states (cf. Articles 48–49 TEU).
Politically, it is an issue that is logically connected to the ‘Brexit’ negotia-
tions and that needs to be discussed soon in any event. Thus, this is an area
where some developments can be expected, quite separate from what hap-
pens in the sometimes complicated legal arena.
Concluding Remarks
These reflections, along with the string of suggestions made above, do
not, of course, give the full picture of the value crisis within the EU. Nor
is it possible to anticipate here the possible developments in all key mem-
ber states, which are all more or less likely to become affected by the crisis.
For instance, who knows where Austria and the Czech Republic will be
heading after their respective parliamentary elections in the fall of 2017,
which in both cases led to considerable successes for populist parties. Will
Austria once again cause controversy in the EU in the same way as in
2000—but this time for more ‘real’ reasons? And which consequences
may then follow for the rest of the EU? Once again, Austria may turn out
be a key player in the area of human rights and for the rule of law regime
of the EU.
What we do know, however, is that the European Commission declared in
July 2017, after having sent a Rule of Law Recommendation to Poland in line
with the Rule of Law Framework, that it is ready to ‘trigger’ the procedure
under Article 7(1) against Poland should the country refuse to improve the
conditions in the judicial system and go ahead with certain proposed reforms
in that area. Poland replied to that letter in October 2017 but the Commission
has gone on to suggest a so-called reasoned proposal for a Council Decision
under Art. 7(1) TEU in December 2017. It should of course also be stressed
that the final decision concerning sanctions against a member state is made by
38 J. NERGELIUS
the other states—which, should it come to that, will have to take the opinion
of the Commission into account when considering their response.
At the same time, there are a number of infringement cases pending
before the ECJ concerning Hungary and Poland. The outcome of those
proceedings will of course be interesting to follow, but at the same time it
remains to be seen what consequence a ruling of the Court in these mat-
ters will actually have. In 2012, Hungary repealed its retirement scheme
for judges as a direct consequence of the Court’s ruling, but there are no
guarantees that Hungary, Poland, Slovakia or other EU member state
might be as obedient this time, about six years later. It is thus likely that
other punitive measures on behalf of the EU will have to be added to the
traditional infringement procedures in order for any real change to come
about.
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Perspective on the Eastern Enlargement:
Triumph of the EU or Seed of Its
Destruction?
Bo Petersson
B. Petersson (*)
Malmö University, Malmö, Sweden
EU. Or was it really? As this is written, well into the second decade after
the Eastern enlargement, there is an opportunity to discuss the issue
with distance and perspective. Was the enlargement the EU’s shining
moment, or was it the beginning of the end of its success story? How did
it actually affect the development of a common identity and trust within
the Union?
These questions are the subject of this chapter, which is arranged as
follows. After a background discussion of the dilemma of the Eastern
enlargement, the issue of a common identity for the EU and where this
might reside is addressed. The argument is that the existence of a common
identity based on shared values is critical to trust within the Union, as well
as to its influence and standing in the world. The discussion then turns to
the challenges now being directed at the shared fundamental values of the
EU: from the ‘illiberal democracies’ of Hungary and Poland; from author-
itarian states outside the EU, such as Russia and Turkey; and from populist
currents across the entire EU and outside it. The chapter ends with a sum-
mation and recommended action to safeguard shared values, common
identity and trust within the Union.
If the European Union is shortly to open its doors to new democracies and,
in my view, it is in its vital interest to do so, it is extremely important, if not
of capital importance, that it help to reconstruct and develop the civil soci-
ety in these countries (…). The way in which society structures itself cannot,
of course, be imposed from on high. But the climate and the conditions
which are conducive to its development can be put in place. In this sense,
aid for new democracies should be given in the wider context of sustainable
development and reinforcement of the civil society at pan-European level.
The more varied, differentiated and interlinked the various civil European
structures, the more willing the new democracies will be to join them and
the faster the principle of trust in the citizens and subsidiarity will apply in
them, thereby reinforcing their stability. But that is not all: the foundations
of the European Union as a supranational community will grow all the
stronger. (Havel, 2000)
EU. The history, however, seems too remote and rather too controversial
to seriously mobilise popular feeling in a positive and constructive way.
More recent history, however, can be unifying through the deterrent
effects of twentieth-century disasters in Europe, with two world wars,
Nazism and the Holocaust, but this remains a negative definition, a com-
mon identity defined based on the joint determination to never allow the
horrors of the past to be repeated. If, however, one wants to build a com-
munity of identity in the EU based on a positive definition of what unites
in the present, apart from the endeavour to prevent a repetition of old
evils, the inevitable conclusion is that the natural foundation of the EU’s
continued development must be shared values in relation to current politi-
cal and social reality. After all, there is no common ethnicity, religion or
culture in a broad sense to build upon.
In the words of Roxana Barbulescu (2016), the EU is a political union
of democracies which protects human rights and presents itself as a beacon
of human rights on the global scene. That is a summary as good as any.
Support for democracy, human rights and the rule of law has long been
considered a self-evident normative basis for the activities of the EU. These
norms are written into the previously mentioned Copenhagen criteria,
established by the European Council in 1993. They have subsequently
been said to constitute an absolute requirement for negotiations with new
states on membership to even commence. The more precise formulation of
the introductory gateway criterion—which states the conditions for open-
ing membership talks—is that new candidate countries must have ‘stable
institutions guaranteeing democracy, the rule of law, human rights and
respect for and protection of minorities’ (European Commission, 2017).
If the interpretations of these maxims begin to waver, this criterion is
not quite as imperative and commanding of respect. The impact is dead-
ened when different views are represented within the EU regarding which
interpretations are correct. Another dilemma is that even if meeting the
Copenhagen criteria constitutes a prerequisite for beginning membership
talks with the EU, existing member states that fail to fully comply with the
criteria are at no risk of exclusion. Once a country has become a member,
control practically ceases. While there are mechanisms to temporarily
deprive erring members of certain rights, including voting rights in the
European Council following the ‘nuclear option’ of Article 7 of the Treaty
on European Union, these are blunt instruments and seldom used (see
also Joakim Nergelius’ chapter in this volume). Herein lies an undeniable
weakness, not least on the moral level.
PERSPECTIVE ON THE EASTERN ENLARGEMENT: TRIUMPH OF THE EU OR… 47
In the wake of Joseph Nye (2004), it has become popular to talk about
‘soft power’. Without a doubt, it was the norm dimension based on what
was expressed in the Copenhagen criteria that, along with a strong econ-
omy, constituted the basis of the EU’s international influence and stand-
ing after the end of the Cold War. To use the expression coined by Ian
Manners (2002), the EU had ‘normative power’. According to him, there
were five influential core norms and four minor norms propounded by the
EU. All of these were ultimately based on the Copenhagen criteria.
Following Manners, the EU’s normative power was, in the final
instance, a matter of its opportunities to gain support for its interpreta-
tions of what the core norms mean and what can be considered normal
and recommendable to do in a given situation, in both domestic and for-
eign relations. It was a matter of conviction and presumptions that cannot
be compelled but which evolved through the power of good example.
Convictions lead the way, not sanctions and coercion. How relevant is the
notion of the EU’s normative power today, more than halfway through
the 2010s? Is the positive picture still justified?
than the EU. In this context, the EU is no longer even the obvious hub.
The interpretation of the EU’s ingrained fundamental values as expressed
in the Copenhagen criteria are being challenged by outsider countries like
Russia and Turkey. At the same time, increasingly vociferous challenges
are coming from inside the EU itself. Which way development should go
is no longer obvious. The likely consequences are that trust within the
Union will diminish as the member states diverge on questions of values
and the EU’s standing outside its borders will decline. Its normative power
will palpably weaken in relation to the rest of the world.
Whether we like it or not, the cohesion of the EU ultimately depends
upon boundaries, both physical and psychological. All collective identities
are based on what the in-group is and, perhaps above all, what it is not.
The EU’s influence as a normative power largely depends on its capacity
to draw clear lines of demarcation between it and other parts of the world
that do not embrace the principles expressed in the Copenhagen criteria.
The core values of democracy shine brightest when set against the dark-
ness of authoritarianism. Expressed somewhat more brutally, the EU iden-
tity, as an identity to be proud of in positive terms, is based on the fact that
the EU is not Russia, with its authoritarian development and lack of
respect for borders acknowledged under international law. It is also based
on the fact that the EU is not Turkey, with its mass arrests, purges and
threats to reinstate capital punishment in the wake of the failed military
coup in 2016. The core values of the Copenhagen criteria, the goodness
of the open society, also shine brightly in relation to the challenges of the
Islamic State’s terrorism and religious fanaticism. This is a pitched battle.
And yet, the lustre of the normative power may be dulled if EU member
states go too far in their efforts to respond to threats from the outside. It
is vital to the common identity, and thus to trust, that the non-democratic
traits we otherwise claim distinguish ‘Them’ do not tarnish ‘Us’.
(which still existed), Hungary and Poland. These made up the ‘Visegrad
bloc’. The second use of the term ‘Central Europe’ was propagated by a
number of states, from Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania in the north to Bulgaria
and Romania and the countries of the former Yugoslavia in the south, which
also claimed to fit within the political-geographical frame of reference indi-
cated by the designation of Central Europe. Thirdly, the term ‘Central
Europe’ was found in a state of tension with the term ‘Mitteleuropa’ where
Germany, rather than the Visegrad bloc, was clearly the centre. Neumann’s
interpretation is that the first-mentioned usage gained the greatest currency,
which had important effects. The discourse on a Central Europe comprising
mainly the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and Poland was so influential
that it seemed self-evident that these states should be prioritised for member-
ship in the EU as well as the NATO military alliance. That they were consid-
ered to be at the head of the line was connected to the assumption that they
had the shortest route to reshaping their states in line with the demands of
democracy and the market economy.
The Czech author Milan Kundera’s (1984) essay A Kidnapped West
had tremendous impact among Western European politicians and the
public at the time. He argued that Western Europe was represented by the
EU, while Central Europe had been kidnapped by the Soviet Union.
Culturally, however, it was freethinking and potentially dynamic, and thus
essentially different from the stagnant and static Eastern Europe. Central
Europe therefore was and remained something completely other than
Russia and the Soviet Union. The argument became an important aspect
of the self-representation of Central European leaders and was also
embraced by influential political leaders in Western Europe.
Reincorporating Central Europe with the rest of Europe in the EU
became a symbolically important endeavour. By making the term ‘Central
Europe’ accepted in the vernacular, along with the interpretation that the
region consisted of the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland and Hungary,
the political leaders in the Visegrad bloc garnered sympathy for the idea
that their countries constituted a vital part of the European project. They
were participants in a larger European identity, which was in turn defined
to a significant extent based upon the involvement of the Central European
states. The great and important mission in connection with the Eastern
enlargement of the EU in 2004 was therefore to finally make EU-Europe
whole again, to give Central Europe full access to the European legacy and
the European community to which it had for so long been denied entry.
As Neumann (2015) reminds us, however, it was not necessarily so that
PERSPECTIVE ON THE EASTERN ENLARGEMENT: TRIUMPH OF THE EU OR… 51
Illiberal Democracy
The term ‘illiberal democracy’ is usually ascribed to Fareed Zakaria (1997).
He used the term to describe regimes that indeed held elections but gave
short shrift to the rule of law and loosely interpreted what the country’s
constitution had to say about checks and balances between branches of
government. Above all, the term suggested that the liberal element of
democracy, as regards the rights of minorities and individual liberty, was
ascribed less importance by the regimes in question.
The emergence of illiberal democracy in the EU is of relatively recent
vintage, with Hungary on the forefront. The country’s populist-
influenced leader, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, came to power after the
national elections in 2010, at the head of a coalition government led by
his national conservative party Fidesz. After the elections, this govern-
ment could rely on a two-thirds majority in parliament, which made it
possible to amend the constitution. A number of restrictive changes to
judicial independence have since occurred. Freedom of the press has been
curtailed in pace with increases in state political control over the media
and the initiation of c onstitutional amendments. Laws have been enacted
that make insulting or disparaging national symbols a crime punishable
with imprisonment.
52 B. PETERSSON
The hard line is supported in popular opinion, which thus seems to favour
a very restrictive stance on the refugee issue. Orbán also tries to strike a
balance against the right-wing extremist party Jobbik, which usually goes
further than his own party Fidesz in rhetoric and policy proposals.
If anything, Orbán seems proud of the challenge he is lobbing at the
EU’s normative, fundamental values. In a platform speech in the summer
of 2014, he urged his audience to understand ‘systems that are not west-
ern, are not liberal, are not liberal democracies, perhaps are not even
democracies, and yet manage to make their nations successful’ (Orbán,
2014). The gist of his argument was that Hungary is now exploring how
the country can liberate itself from ‘Western dogmas’ and optimally orga-
nise a society that is competitive in the world arena. He suggested that
countries like Russia, China, India, Turkey and Singapore are states wor-
thy of serving as models for Hungary’s political and economic develop-
ment. This is a far cry from what happened at the end of the Cold War,
when Hungarian leaders were the first in the Eastern Bloc to cut holes in
the fence that demarcated the Iron Curtain and thus open the country in
earnest to democratic values and other influences from the West.
It should perhaps be stressed that Orbán never actually defined what
illiberal democracy entails in his platform speech. Illiberalism was pre-
sented only as the negation of liberalism, which Orbán argued incorpo-
rates ‘corruption, sex and violence’, but the Prime Minister did not delve
more concretely into which liberal rights and freedoms should be cur-
tailed. He did emphasise, however, that ‘values of Christianity, freedom
and human rights’ would still be respected in an illiberal Hungary,
although he did not put much emphasis on the EU’s core values of democ-
racy and the rule of law in this context. This might have been a harbinger
of the future direction of Hungarian policy. In any case, the reference to
Christian values is likely to have given Muslims in the country reason to
feel stigmatised.
Hungary is no longer alone in appearing to be an illiberal democracy
within the EU. The parliamentary elections in Poland in 2015 brought
the national conservative party Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (PiS, Law and
Justice) then headed by Prime Minister Beata Szydło, and endorsed by
Party Chairman Jarosław Kaczyński, to power with the backing of an abso-
lute majority in the Parliament. In many ways, Kaczyński seems to be the
real leader of the Polish movement towards illiberal democracy. As early as
2011, he expressed his wish to create a ‘Budapest in Warsaw’ (The
Financial Times, 2016).
54 B. PETERSSON
After the change of government in 2015, a new media law that empow-
ered the government to appoint about 20 senior positions in state-owned
radio and television channels constricted freedom of the press and free-
dom of expression. One move in particular that garnered much outside
attention was the attempt by the new culture minister to ban the produc-
tion of a play by the Nobel laureate Elfriede Jelinek on the grounds that
the opening scene was pornographic. State censorship, which had been
lifted from Polish arts and culture with the liberation from the Eastern
Bloc, seemed to be on the way back.
Most crucially, however, on the strength of the election results in 2015,
the government was able, as in Hungary, to amend the constitution. It
quickly pushed through a restriction of the powers of the constitutional
court. Extraordinary judicial appointments were made in violation of
existing regulations and the government decreed that decisions by the
Constitutional Tribunal would henceforth require a two-thirds majority.
As the Polish government moved in 2017 to initiate laws giving itself the
power to dismiss Supreme Court judges and give veto power to
government-appointed members of the National Council of the Judiciary,
which selects judicial candidates, the European Commission reacted very
strongly. It warned that the EU was on the brink, for the first time ever, of
triggering the ‘nuclear option’ of Article 7 TEU, under which the Polish
government could lose its voting rights in the EU institutions. Under the
influence of strong domestic protest rallies and the negative international
reactions, the Polish President, Andrzej Duda, decided however to block
the two most controversial laws, and the threat was not carried out at the
time (The Guardian, 2017).
Ever since he came into power in the late 1990s, Putin has consistently
managed to maintain his popularity among the Russian electorate
(Petersson, 2017). The four times he has run for president so far, in 2000,
2004, 2012 and 2018, he was elected in the first round. His approval rat-
ings are astoundingly high and have only rarely dropped below 65 per
cent, a rating that his political colleagues in the West can only achieve in
their dreams. Putin’s heavy-handed emphasis on the idea of Russia as a
predestined great power seems to appeal to Russian voters, along with his
imposition and maintenance of law and order after the political chaos and
economic weakness of the 1990s. The hosting of the 2014 Winter
Olympics in Sochi became a symbolic manifestation of Russia’s resurgence
as a global power. Actions such as the annexation of Crimea that same year
and the intervention in the civil conflicts in Ukraine and the war in Syria
have also been highly popular among the voters (Hutcheson & Petersson,
2016). In connection with these events, Putin’s approval curve shot up
and stayed there. In the monthly surveys taken in the autumn of 2017 by
Moscow-based Levada Center, 83 per cent of respondents still expressed
their approval of the president’s policies (Levada Center, 2017).
The popularity Putin enjoys among the populist right wing in the West
is, on the face of it, highly surprising. This development is particularly
disquieting when it is put in relation to the discussion on European core
values. With his harsh rhetoric, his macho ideal and his authoritarian image
and policy, Putin has become something of an idol among European
right-wing populists (Klapsis, 2015). The leaders of the Hungarian Jobbik
party have described him as a guarantor of European values, as opposed to
a putatively degenerate EU. Politicians like Marine Le Pen in France and
Nigel Farage in the UK have repeatedly expressed their admiration for his
politics and style. On their website, the Greek ultranationalist Golden
Dawn are looking forward to a Russian-Greek alliance between the two
Orthodox states in the areas of trade, energy and national security (Golden
Dawn, 2016).
Considering these somewhat unexpected expressions of sympathy, as
the previously mentioned Neumann (2015) has so vividly put it, the polit-
ical East may pop up anywhere on the European political map in the
future, and even off the same. This very much includes the formerly
acknowledged bastion of Western liberal democracy—the US. During the
election campaign in 2016, the populist Donald Trump expressed his
admiration in several speeches for his Russian counterpart Putin (and vice
versa), and has since becoming US President indicated what seems to be
56 B. PETERSSON
a very muddled view of democracy. More than one year into its political
lifespan, the political course of the Trump administration is volatile and
erratic. Even if it is clear that the candidate preferred by Moscow emerged
victorious from the US presidential election, it is still too early to tell the
extent to which the political East has truly reached all the way to
Washington, DC. Even so, the effects of the Trump administration on the
political climate in Europe and the rest of the world may be as profound
as they are unpredictable.
As if Europe’s own problems were not enough. The antipathy towards
refugees and asylum seekers is making itself felt across the entire European
political map. Right-wing populist parties across the entire EU are casti-
gating these groups, in alignment with the views represented by Orbán
and Kaczyński in their illiberal democracies in the Visegrad bloc. Migrants
are depicted by default as a threat to national security, a serious burden on
social welfare systems and a general threat to putative national cultures
and values. In several countries, such as Denmark and Austria, the estab-
lished parties have moved closer to the perspectives and views of the popu-
list factions in a bid to win over their voters and opinion support. This is
yet another manifestation of the increasingly patchy backing of the EU’s
core values. It seems clear that the migration crisis has put trust within the
EU and, especially, between EU residents and recently arrived migrants to
a serious test.
A somewhat different challenge to the European core values is coming
from the official EU candidate country Turkey. When President Erdogan
responded to criticism of Turkey’s inadequate respect for democracy,
human rights and the rule of law in March 2016 (four months before the
failed military coup in the country), he was quoted as saying, ‘Democracy,
freedom and the rule of law…for us, these words have absolutely no value
any longer’ (The Independent, 2016). After the failed coup, things got far
worse. Tens of thousands of people were dismissed from their positions in
public administration, the military, media and education. Fifteen private
universities were closed, putatively due to connections to the oppositional
Gülen movement. Turkey is ruled by emergency laws, mass arrests have
taken place, copious reports of torture are being made and reinstatement
of capital punishment is under discussion. In spite of such actions, the EU
is so far maintaining its ambition to continue membership talks with
Turkey, even though German Chancellor Angela Merkel in the early
autumn of 2017 vowed to seek to end the talks (Reuters, 2017). Under the
PERSPECTIVE ON THE EASTERN ENLARGEMENT: TRIUMPH OF THE EU OR… 57
present circumstances, the EU clearly seems to put its core values at stake
by continuing talks with Turkey.
In the late nineteenth and early twentieth century, the famous German
sociologist Max Weber (1978) determined that there are various ways for
the political elites to acquire more long-term and enduring support, legiti-
macy, from the electorate. A common definition of legitimacy is the exis-
tence of widespread beliefs that the power of leaders is lawful, rightful and
in accordance with the will of the people. Weber differentiated three ideal
types: charismatic authority (based on the charisma and personal qualities
of the leader), traditional authority (when power is vested in a person,
group or family who have held power for so long that it seems as if there
is no longer any alternative) and rational-legal authority (the mature,
Western type, in which public trust is gained through conscientious obser-
vance of existing laws and rules). The dilemma that the illiberal leaders in
the EU are actualising is that there seems to be a movement in various
places in the member states away from rational-legal legitimacy and
towards charismatic legitimacy. Instead of careful observation of the letter
and the spirit of existing laws and constitutions, leaders influenced by pop-
ulism are using charismatic addresses and oversimplified solutions—such
as stopping all refugee immigration—to address complex social problems.
As the charismatic style of leadership generally prefers black-and-white
descriptions of reality in which an ‘Us’ is contrasted with a threatening
‘Them’, this is a trend that certainly does not encourage the development
of trust within the EU.
also imbue the relationships among people who reside in the Union’s ter-
ritory but are not her citizens.
Impactful sanctions against existing member states that breach the
accepted interpretation of the core values must be considered in the future.
What should be done in relation to candidate countries that claim the
maxims are of no value at all is another problem that must be addressed.
One is forced to conclude that continued membership talks with Turkey,
which for all intents and purposes is breaching the EU’s core values under
the mantle of emergency legislation, are in the current circumstances a
contravention of the Copenhagen criteria. The EU would certainly be
enlarged, but it would most likely have to sell its soul along the way.
A common identity would foster trust between EU member states and
their populations to be further developed and consolidated. Such an iden-
tity must, however, grow organically and support for the common values
would be the most fertile soil. Unconditional unity around the interpreta-
tion of the Copenhagen criteria is essential to promoting a sustainable
common identity and trust within the EU.
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Citizens’ Trust in the EU as a Political
System
Linda Berg
When the British citizens voted for the UK to leave the European Union
on 23 June 2016, there were astonished reactions across Europe. Even
though the campaign had been criticized for a lack of objectivity on both
sides, the outcome can be seen as one of many indications that citizens’
trust in the EU as a political system has weakened in the light of recent
economic and political crises, as well as concern over immigration (Hobolt,
2016). Moreover, ‘Brexit’ can be seen as merely the latest of several major
crises for the EU in recent years. The long-term economic crisis and an
inability to deal with the extensive refugee flows across the Mediterranean
are other examples of when the EU and its member states have been criti-
cized for its incapacity to reach joint solutions. The European integration
project has thus been said to be facing difficult, almost existential chal-
lenges (Tosun, Wetzel, & Zapryanova, 2015).
In the wake of these crises, there have been many examples of popular
dissatisfaction and protest. There is pertinent civic criticism of what is per-
ceived to be an inadequate ability to cope with growing social, economic
and cultural divisions in Europe (Hobolt & Tilley, 2014; Hobolt & de
Vries, 2016; Serricchio, Tsakatika, & Quaglia, 2013). At the same time,
L. Berg (*)
University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
EU member states have very different views on how to handle global and
European challenges, leading to a lack of support for joint actions and dif-
ficult European leadership (Aggestam & Johansson, 2017). Moreover,
many EU member states continue to have persistent economic difficulties.
Consequences of public sector retrenchments have led to major chal-
lenges, protests and distrust among the most affected citizens. In addition
to mass demonstrations, we have also seen increased opinion support and
election successes for political parties challenging the existing elite, often
with a strong EU-sceptic agenda (Hobolt & Tilley, 2016).
In the light of dissatisfaction and insecurity, politics have been radical-
ized. Tensions and contradictions between different groups have increased
and the tone of conversation tends to be heated. The sense of cohesion
between countries, and groups within countries, is questioned and raised
as arguments in discussions about the value of the membership in the
EU. In other words, the popular trust in the EU is questioned, especially
by those most negatively affected by the economic and other crises and the
EU’s perceived inability to handle them (Hobolt & de Vries, 2016).
Nevertheless, it should of course also be noted that this trend of decreas-
ing political trust is not unique to the EU. There is a long-term trend of a
generally reduced trust in political institutions and actors, globally and
nationally, in most countries (Dalton, 2013).
This chapter focuses on the citizens’ perspective and investigates how
citizens’ trust in the EU as a political system and its institutions has
changed over time, as well as how trust vary between different member
states and social groups. The chapter is based on theory and previous
research on European integration, political legitimacy and trust, using
European and Swedish survey studies for the empirical analyses of expla-
nations to differences in perceptions about the EU.
know each other but still display trust in other persons. Inter-personal
trust is perceived to be at the core of a well-functioning society as it is
expected to reduce costs of transaction and allows people to spend more
time and energy on productive cooperation (see also Andreas Bergh’s
chapter in this volume). Contrastingly, trust in the political system, also
referred to as political trust, can be seen as a vertical relationship between
citizens and the institutions of the political system (Zmerli & van der
Meer, 2017). This chapter focuses on the vertical version of citizens’ trust,
and more specifically the trust citizens may—or may not—have in the
European integration and the political institutions of the EU.
Despite the theoretical distinction between these two types of trust, it
is important to consider their interconnectedness. Studies show that peo-
ple who tend to trust other people in general also tend to display trust in
the political system and its institutions. In connection to the EU, early
integration theorists like Karl W. Deutsch and Ernst Haas have argued in
a similar manner that increased cooperation and contact between persons
in different European countries would over time increase the sense of
community, a European identity, which in turn would contribute to
increase the trust and support for the European integration project as such
(see e.g. Deutsch, 1966). David Easton (1965) put it this way ‘Underlying
the functioning of all systems, there must be some cohesive cement—a
sense of feeling of community amongst the members. Unless such senti-
ment emerges, the political system itself may never take shape or if it does,
it may not survive’ (Easton, 1965, p. 176).
Citizens’ political trust can be based on rational as well as emotional
aspects, and these can interact in variable ways. The basic principle is that all
form of political governance has two aims: to deliver political goods (out-
come) and to function as an expression of social community. In relation to
this, Lisbeth Hooghe and Gary Marks have launched what they call a post-
functional theory of European integration (Hooghe & Marks, 2009). They
argue that identity is a key aspect in order to understand multilevel gover-
nance in general, and particularly European integration. Moreover, people
do care about who governs, but the problem is that the political level which
is the most effective to make decisions rarely correspond to the territorial
divisions people identify with. This mismatch of efficacy and political struc-
ture can lead to political conflicts, which in turn can be triggered feelings of
identity and attachment. Strong identifications can both increase and
decrease support for European integration. What matters the most is
whether or not identifications are exclusive, and whether or not
68 L. BERG
of overall membership in the EU, the changes over time are relatively
small, and especially when displayed as averages across all EU member
states.
A somewhat more visible change during the years of crisis can be found
when analysing the question of whether the EU ‘conjure up for you a very
positive, fairly positive, neutral, fairly negative or very negative image’.
Figure 1 shows that since the early 2000s, the largest share (among 40 per
cent) has answered that they have a fairly positive view of the EU, but this
share is declining to below 30 per cent during several years around the
peak of the economic and euro crisis. Since 2010, the share of respondents
with a neutral view of the EU is the largest, with around 40 per cent.
Moreover, the fairly negative group has increased from around 10 per cent
during the 2000s to around 20 per cent during the 2010s.
Even if we can see a decline in the positive image of the EU since the
beginning of the economic and euro crisis, this trend is not necessarily too
serious. Controversially, it can be argued to be seen as a sign of health that
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Very positive Fairly positive Neutral
Fairly negative Very negative Don't know
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Very posive Fairly posive Neutral
Fairly negave Very negave Don't know
Fig. 2 Trust in the European Parliament 1993–2016 (per cent, weighted aver-
age all EU). Source: The Eurobarometer. The same question is posed for several
EU institutions and asks for each of them whether or not the respondent tend to
trust or not tend to trust it. The three response options are visible in the figure.
The percentages are based on those who have answered the survey question,
weighted according to population size in the EU member states
CITIZENS’ TRUST IN THE EU AS A POLITICAL SYSTEM 73
now hovers close to the 50 per cent mark. Although the levels of trust
have been somewhat lower for the Commission and the Council during
the same time, the tendency and pattern is very similar.
Combining the insights from these different ways of measuring citi-
zen’s attitudes, the overall image is that most citizens remain positive
about their countries’ membership; that the previous overall fairly positive
image of the EU has begun to be a bit eroded since the beginning of the
crisis; and that the trust in the EU institutions has declined severely. It is
potentially even more serious that the European Parliament has lost so
much of public trust, around 15 percentage points, since it is the EU insti-
tution often referred to as the voice of the public. Being the only directly
elected EU institution, with a clearly expanded decision-making power
the last years, makes the signs of decreasing citizen trust particularly
ominous.
60
50 49
46
40
34
30
28
23
20 20
10
In 2009 and 2010, the Swedish support for EU membership was at its
all-time high, exceeding 50 per cent. However, this support decreased
drastically the following years, as the consequences of the economic and
euro crisis became more noticeable also in Sweden (and in the media cov-
erage). The downward trend ended in 2013, followed by an increase of
the support again. The last years the opinion has been stable, with a sup-
port for membership around 50 per cent, that is, similar levels of support
as before the peak of the crisis. Interestingly, there is no sign of a clear
decrease of support even after the so-called refugee crisis in 2015 or the
‘Brexit’ referendum in 2016.
Similarly, to the development of attitudes to the EU over time in the
entire EU, Fig. 3 does not indicate any severe decrease in political system
trust in Sweden. Although the share of people supporting EU member-
ship decreased somewhat during some years in the beginning of this
decade, the percentages are now back to similar levels as before the peak
of the euro crisis. However, when we turn to the issue of trust in EU insti-
tutions, the pattern is different, similarly to the public average of the entire
EU.
Since 2010, Swedes’ trust in the European Commission and the
European Parliament has been relatively low. Overall, around 15–20 per
cent have answered that they trust these institutions very much or to
CITIZENS’ TRUST IN THE EU AS A POLITICAL SYSTEM 75
some degree. Another pattern is that the level of trust is almost always
identical for these two institutions, which differs from the EU-wide
opinion in which the parliament usually gets somewhat higher levels of
trust. As can be seen in Fig. 4, in the Swedish data there is also no
increase of trust in the last years, in comparison to the increase in sup-
port for EU membership as such. In fact, the share of respondents that
tends to trust the EU institutions very much or to some degree has
decreased somewhat again in 2015 and 2016. The image of a somewhat
erosion of trust is even more apparent when we at the same time (in
Fig. 4) can see that the satisfaction with democracy in the EU has
decreased again since 2015. However, looking at the long-term trend,
the levels of satisfaction and trust are still higher than that at the turn of
the century.
It is also worth to remember that survey questions are posed in differ-
ent ways and with different response options. Even a comparison of the
question of trust in the EU institutions is difficult as in the Eurobarometer
only offers two response alternatives (tend or tend not to trust), whereas
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
the response alternatives are more fine graded in the Swedish SOM-data,
including a middle option (neither trusting nor not trusting) which tends
to be the most common response, around 40–45 per cent.
Even if there are signs of decreased political trust in Sweden, especially
in the form of trust in the EU institutions, the changes are not too dra-
matic. Nevertheless, if this is still a pattern in Sweden, it can be expected
to be much more pronounced in countries where the effects of the eco-
nomic and euro crisis were much more severe. The EU averages of public
opinion can hide a large variation across countries, which is covered in the
next section.
RO
LT
PL
IE
MT
EE
BG
LU
HR
HU
LV
DE
PT
DK
BE
EU28
FI
NL
SI
SE
SK
ES
CZ
FR
IT
UK
AT
EL
CY
–30 –20 –10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
also be found in Austria, and in the UK, the 2015 opinion balance only
had a few percentage points overweight to a positive image.
The largest shares of positive images can be found in a mix of EU mem-
ber states. These positive images can, on the one hand, be found among
large shares of the population in economically comparatively wealthy
countries, such as Luxembourg and the Nordic countries, but, on the
other hand, also in newer and more economically challenged member
states such as Romania. To some extent this can be understood in terms of
self-interest and rational factors in support for European integration
(Hobolt & de Vries, 2016), but, for example, in Luxembourg, there is
also a well-known prevailing European identification among the citizens,
which also contributes to a higher share of positive attitudes to European
integration (Kuhn, 2015). The overall impression regarding the cross-
78 L. BERG
LU
LT
RO
MT
SE
DK
FI
EE
HR
HU
PL
BG
BE
NL
IE
LV
IT
PT
EU28
SK
FR
DE
AT
CZ
SI
CY
ES
UK
EL
–60 –50 –40 –30 –20 –10 0 10 20 30 40
Fig. 6 Trust in the European Parliament 2015 (opinion balance). Source: The
Eurobarometer. The same question is posed for several EU institutions and asks
for each of them whether or not the respondent tend to trust or not tend to trust
it. The opinion balance is calculated by subtracting the share of respondents
answering that they tend not to trust from those answering that they tend to trust
the European Parliament
CITIZENS’ TRUST IN THE EU AS A POLITICAL SYSTEM 79
countries. Starting at the top of the figure, we find among the countries
with a positive opinion balance a number of stable countries with com-
paratively good economy and well-functioning political institutions, such
as the Nordic countries. The top position is held by Luxembourg, which
in addition to these factors also is one of the original founding member
states and a very high share of citizens who feel as Europeans, a factor also
known to affect trust in political institutions (Berg, 2007). But there are
also a number of countries with a positive opinion balance which divert
from this pattern, including Romania, Croatia and Hungary. This may
seem counter-intuitive at first glance, but studies show that the compari-
son to the trust in national political institutions may end up favourably for
the trust in European institutions. In countries where democratization is
fairly recent and where problems with democracy, governance and corrup-
tion prevail, the EU institutions may be perceived as better governed and
more well-functioning. Moreover, there is another factor that should be
mentioned. The question of rational self-interest is not only in relation to
overall economic development but also in relation to net gains of EU
membership. According to this argument, citizens in countries that get
more money back, mainly in the form of structural funds, from their EU
membership compared to what they contribute, may be expected to have
a generally more positive view on the EU in general as well as specific EU
institutions.
In the lower half of Fig. 6, we find the countries where the opinion bal-
ance is negative, meaning that there is a higher share of citizens that tend
to not trust the European Parliament than those who tend to trust it. In the
very bottom we find on the one hand countries that have suffered exten-
sively from the economic and financial crisis and the ensuing euro crisis,
and the subsequent public retrenchments. Not too surprisingly, Greece is
in the very bottom but also Spain and Cyprus show markedly large negative
opinion balances. Dissatisfaction with national public service has been
shown to have a clear negative effect on EU trust (Kumlin, 2009). The UK
negative opinion balance can shed light on some of the other explanatory
factors, that is, a lack of European identity and an overall scepticism to
supra-state decision-making. In light of these figures, the outcome in the
‘Brexit’ referendum in June 2016 seems somewhat less surprising.
More problematic from a legitimacy perspective is that the opinion bal-
ance is negative in several of the oldest EU member states. Even in large
core countries, such as Germany and France, we find more citizens respond-
ing that they tend not to trust the European Parliament than those who
80 L. BERG
tend to trust it. This is a clear warning signal regarding the public trust in
the EU decision-making institution which traditionally tends to have most
trust among the EU institutions. It is furthermore problematic that this
decreasing trust is so discernible considering the increased political powers
the European Parliament has gained following the entry into force of the
Lisbon Treaty in 2009.
Swedish EU membership, men and older citizens tended to hold the most
positive views, whereas, today, it is mainly the younger generation who
tend to be most positive and the gender difference is no longer statistically
significant (Berg & Bové, 2016). These changes over time illustrate
another explanation, namely socialization. The EU membership may be
perceived more natural to persons who have no memory of living in a
country not being a member state. On the other hand, the younger gen-
eration can on average be thought to also perceive the EU membership
from a self-interest point of view, regarding the potential of living, work-
ing or studying abroad in the near future.
Some other patterns associated with a utilitarian perspective have been
more stable over time. It is more common for highly educated, white-
collar workers living in big cities to be more positive towards the EU. But
as Hooghe and Marks (2005) point out, even if rational self-interest argu-
ments do play a role, it is not the full picture. The national debate regard-
ing the EU is also very important. Many voters take cues from the political
elite, political party, which they normally like or even identify with. The
way the EU issues are politicized matter for the public’s attitudes, and
when the issues debated concern other aspects than economy, the chances
are that other aspects, such as identity, will affect the EU attitude (Hooghe
& Marks, 2005).
Among the more cultural aspects, it is thought to matter whether peo-
ple have grown up (or if their parents have grown up) in other European
countries. If so, they are expected to hold more positive views of the EU
due to a socialization perspective. There are also some indications that
people who have lived and worked in other EU states tend to be more
positive to the European integration (Kuhn, 2015). This is usually related
to the issue of individuals’ identification with Europe. The question of a
European identity is debated and can be understood and defined in differ-
ent ways. Even when focusing only on the feelings individuals have, there
are different views on how such feelings can and should be understood.
From a more primordial view on identity, the national identification will
always be strongest, or maybe even perceived as the only ‘real’ territorial
identification. Contrastingly, from a constructivist view on identity as
created, or an ‘imagined’ community, there is nothing strange about the
potential of people identifying with several different territorial levels. Just
as one person may identify with Munich, Bayern and Germany, another
may identify with Scania, Sweden and Europe (Berg, 2007). In some parts
of Europe, it is not even necessary that the state level is included among
82 L. BERG
political institutions at one level (e.g. state) that individuals had who only
identified with this level (e.g. an exclusive national identification). This
relationship appeared in cross-section European data as well as national
data (in Sweden). However, in 2015, those correlations are to a large
degree lost when other factors are added to the analyses. This is again a
signal of the importance to take the changing citizen attitudes towards the
European Parliament seriously. The potential to lean back and rely on an
expected reservoir of goodwill based on European identification is not
really feasible anymore.
Turning to the difference in explanatory factors between general EU
attitude and trust in EU institutions, one aspect is the expected impor-
tance of socioeconomic factors. One example concerns gender. While men
in general have tended to be somewhat more positive to European inte-
gration at large, women tend to have a higher degree of trust in political
institutions than men. Otherwise, most socioeconomic factors tend to
have a somewhat lesser explanatory factor. While highly educated persons
are mostly more pro-EU than those with a lower degree of education, this
is not the case concerning institutional trust. Some scholars argue that this
is due to the increased ability to understand and analyse decisions and
policy outputs from EU institutions, and therefore also a higher likelihood
to be critical.
While the general EU attitude may be supported by an idea of long-
term gains, the trust in EU institutions is much closer connected to short-
term evaluations of policy output. This brings us to the third form of
explanatory factors, that is, the importance of the perceived economic and
political development in one’s own country, and to what extent that might
spill over on to the trust in the EU institutions. This is often found in the
so-called Blaming Europe approach (Hobolt & Tilley, 2014; Kumlin,
2009). The empirical analyses typically include survey items asking respon-
dents about their perceptions of the national economy. These types of
perceptions tend to have a fairly strong explanatory power regarding
national political institutions (Mishler & Rose, 2001), but some scholars
argue that such negative national evaluations of the economy also hit the
trust for the EU institutions. This has also been more visible during
stronger focus on the economic crises of the EU (Dotti Sani & Magistro,
2016).
In a fourth category of explanations, national politics is highlighted.
Empirically, this usually entails adding questions about citizen evaluations
of national government performance, as well as personal ideological
84 L. BERG
support. The first aspect corresponds to Easton’s support for ‘the political
community’ and the second to support for ‘the political authorities’.
Whereas the former is expected to be more closely connected to diffuse,
affective emotions, the latter is expected to be more closely connected to
specific, rational attitudes.
The analyses of survey data over time and across EU member states in
this chapter show firstly that long-term political trust concerning the gen-
eral EU attitude (as well as for one’s countries EU membership) is declin-
ing. It is however a fairly slow decrease. It is, since 2010, most common
for respondents (just under 40 per cent) to have a neutral image of the
EU, in contrast to the previously most common ‘fairly positive’ image,
which is now second. The share of respondents with a ‘fairly negative’
image is around 20 per cent. There are in other words no drastic shifts
over time, not even during the height of the economic and financial crisis
and euro crises, and the negative views are not dominating.
Nonetheless, there is a much more pronounced decline in the specific
trust in the European Parliament and other EU institutions. This is espe-
cially noticeable from 2011 and onwards, when the majority of respon-
dents (45–50 per cent) in EU28 have answered that they tend not to trust
the European Parliament. Even in a country like Sweden, which has been
comparatively less affected by the crises, it is apparent that the trust in the
European Parliament decreased significantly from 2010. Regarding the
more diffuse form of political system support, the Swedish public opinion
has been in favour of the EU membership since 2001, with a dip around
2012, but a return to around 50 per cent the last three years. There is,
however, no similar bounce back in trust in the EU institutions during the
last years.
Aggregated data over time naturally subdues a lot of country variations.
A closer look at variations across the EU member states reinforces the
overall image. Regarding the issue of a general attitude of the EU, more
people tend to be positive than negative in most countries, with the excep-
tion of Greece, Cyprus and Austria. But the country variation is much
larger concerning the issue of trust in the European Parliament. Countries
where more citizens tend to trust the Parliament can usually be described
as being comparatively politically and economically stable, or contrast-
ingly, as countries where the citizens’ trust in the national political institu-
tions tends to be even lower. The trust in the European Parliament can
thus be expected to be larger if the citizens consider the Parliament as a
higher political level of an overall well-functioning political system—or
86 L. BERG
where it can be seen as the less problematic level in countries where the
national political system is seen as flawed.
Variations in attitudes across individuals can to a large extent be under-
stood in relation to the two main groups of explanations discussed in the
chapter; rationality (self-interest) and cultural factors such as identity. The
former often relates to who benefits or not from European integration,
which also connects to the issue of ‘winners’ and ‘losers’ of globalization
more broadly. Young, healthy and well-educated people living in cities are
more likely to hold positive attitudes. Territorial identifications matter
too. Especially the correlation between having a strong, excluding national
identification and a negative image of the EU (or disliking one’s country’s
membership of the EU) has increased lately.
Regarding the more specific trust in the EU institutions, there are also
other aspects that matter, such as the importance of political cues from the
national elite, and the relevance of perceptions of national and EU perfor-
mance. One noteworthy change over time concerns the influence of iden-
tification with Europe on trust for the EU institutions. While a relationship
still exists in analyses on newer survey data, it is noticeable that it is weak,
and that the ability to counterweight other attitudes and dissatisfaction is
limited. In the light of the slowly decreasing diffuse support for the EU as
a political community, this highlights the importance of Easton’s thinking.
He stated that the diffuse form of political system support could function
as a ‘reservoir of goodwill’ during shorter periods of turmoil and crises,
but that after a while this diffuse form of system support could also be
affected, which would reduce this function. A loss of this more diffuse
support is also more difficult to restore.
develop in a certain direction in the future. Many who are overall positive
to the EU are at the same time negative to further European integration.
They basically accept status quo, but nothing more. This is another aspect
to consider for future EU reforms. The timing is probably not right to
move forward with deepened—or widening—integration. Handling the
consequences of ‘Brexit’ as well as possible for all parties involved and
focusing on preserving the remaining EU27 will probably be an ambitious
enough agenda for the coming years.
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Is Migration Threatening Social Trust
in Europe?
Andreas Bergh
A salient challenge for Europe is to make the most of the possibilities and
to minimize the problems created by migration between countries. This
applies to both migration within the EU and migration between the EU
and other countries. According to estimates from the World Bank, slightly
more than 3 percent of the world’s population is residing in a country that
is not their country of birth. The share is expected to increase to 5 percent
over the next generation. Considering that the world’s population is
growing rapidly, these are large numbers. In a European context, the
enlargements of the EU in 2004 and 2007 meant that many citizens from
Poland have migrated to Ireland and the UK, and many from Bulgaria and
Romania have migrated to Italy and Spain. More recently, refugee migra-
tion from Syria mainly to Lebanon, Jordan and Turkey, and also to EU
member states, has put migration even higher on the agenda.
It bears noting that migration is often a highly effective way for people
to improve their own lives. Clemens (2011) famously suggested that con-
straints on migration from poor to richer countries may be the greatest
single distortion in the global economy. Hamilton and Whalley (1984)
used data from 1977 to argue that the annual gains from free labor
A. Bergh (*)
Lund University, Lund, Sweden
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
2004 2014
pared to 2004. Two facts are worth noting here. First, that social trust
seems to be highly stable over time. Second, that there are large differ-
ences between different countries. Among the few noteworthy changes,
we see a decrease in social trust in Ireland and small increases in Estonia
and Poland. The pattern—small changes over time, large differences
between countries—is the same in other surveys and holds also for other
time periods.
Using Eurostat’s Urban Audit, Fig. 2 illustrates social trust in 14
European cities, by summing those who fully or partly agree that most
people can be trusted. Trust is very high in Helsinki, Copenhagen and
Stockholm. The fact that Sweden’s third biggest city, Malmö, is somewhat
lower highlights the fact that there are often important differences within
countries. Istanbul and Athens are among the cities where trust is lowest
according to data from Eurostat.
As can be seen in both Figs. 1 and 2, the differences in social trust
within Europe are large. The same is true within the EU, where the differ-
ence between the highest and the lowest average trust levels are almost as
the difference between the highest and lowest levels of trust globally. The
IS MIGRATION THREATENING SOCIAL TRUST IN EUROPE? 95
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
2009 2015
Fig. 2 Share with high trust in selected European cities. Source: Eurostat Urban
Audit (2009) and (2015). The numbers in the figure represent the percentage of
respondents with high social trust
1. Migrants from countries with low average trust levels who move to
high-trust countries may bring lower trust to the new country,
thereby lowering the average level of social trust in the new
country;
2. Migrants from high-trust countries to low-trust countries with infe-
rior institutions may lower their trust as a result of experiences in the
new country;
3. Migration (of all kinds) may lead to higher ethnic diversity, which
may adversely impact social trust.
98 A. BERGH
between people with similar characteristics, it has been shown that Turks
who have migrated to Denmark are more trusting than those who remain
in Turkey. As indicated in Fig. 3, the same pattern holds also for other
countries of origin with lower trust than Denmark.
Because trust varies with factors such as age, education and income, the
comparisons illustrated in Fig. 3 are made between Turks in Denmark and
Turks in Turkey that are as similar as possible when it comes to these indi-
vidual characteristics. Doing so minimizes the risk that differences in trust
are a result of selection bias that will exist if Turks who decide to migrate
to Denmark tend to be more highly trusting than those who stay in
Turkey. It is still possible, however, that the comparison is influenced by
selection of some personal trait that is not observed and captured by the
data. For example, it has been shown that people with higher trust tend to
have better health. That means it is possible that the higher trust among
Turks in Denmark compared to Turks in Turkey is not a result of Danish
institutions but rather a result driven by Turks with good health being
100 A. BERGH
Fig. 4 The effect on trust of length of stay in countries with different degrees of perceived corruption depending on age
at arrival (cut-offs ≤30, >30). Source: Bergh and Öhrvall (2016). The graphs show trust controlling for individual charac-
teristics including self-rated health
IS MIGRATION THREATENING SOCIAL TRUST IN EUROPE? 103
Research on trust and migration is advancing rapidly and new studies con-
tinue to add a lot to our knowledge about these topics. A few results and
patterns, however, seem to be robust and appear in several studies of high
quality. For example, it is sometimes said that trust takes a life-time to
build but can be destroyed in a few seconds. When it comes to social trust,
however, this is probably not true. There are studies that identify factors
that have adverse effects on trust, but rather than destroying trust, the
effects are typically relatively small. For social trust, research rather sug-
gests that it is difficult to build, but once you have it, it is relatively robust.
It is important to keep in mind that social trust is conceptually different
from trust in specific institutions such as the political system in the EU
IS MIGRATION THREATENING SOCIAL TRUST IN EUROPE? 105
(see the chapter by Linda Berg in this volume). If trust in political institu-
tions spills over on trust toward people in general, it is important that the
EU system is characterized by high levels of institutional quality. The
direction of causality between different types of trust is, however, difficult
to identify. People who tend to have high trust in other people also tend
to be more trusting toward political institutions. But that does not mean
that institutional trust explains social trust, though that mechanism is
plausible. It is also plausible, however, that trust toward people in general
affects trust in political institutions. A third possibility, finally, is that both
types of trust are driven by feelings as suggested by psychological research.
If that is the case, it is probably wrong to speak of trust in one dimension
as being the cause of trust in another dimension. Instead, trust in different
dimensions are actually parts of everyone’s personality.
Turning to the issue of whether trust and migration is compatible or
not, the stickiness of trust is a mixed blessing. When people move from a
high-trust country to a low-trust country, there is no or only a small drop
in trust levels. For migration in the opposite direction, there is some but
incomplete adjustment upwards. A possible, perhaps overly optimistic
interpretation of previous research is that migration may cause a ratchet
effect for global trust levels: when people from high-trust countries move
to countries with lower trust, the migrants tend to remain highly trusting,
especially if they are older than 30 at the age of emigration. On the other
hand, the findings in Dinesen (2012) and Nannestad and colleagues
(2014) suggest that the trust among migrants from low-trust countries
will increase when they migrate to high-trust countries. These results
combined suggest the possibility of a ratchet effect such that global migra-
tion will tend to increase average trust among all countries. The ratchet
hypothesis is admittedly speculative but merits further investigation, espe-
cially by looking closer at social trust among second-generation immi-
grants in both high- and low-trust countries.
When it comes to the effect of ethnic diversity on social trust, several
studies find a negative effect. Again, the size of the effects found is not
very large and it also probably occurs only in a very local context. Finally,
it is worth stressing that two results appear to be both robust and useful
for policy implications: (i) corruption and inferior rule of law are both
detrimental for social trust and (ii) income inequality and social trust is
strongly negatively associated. These two patterns may very well be con-
nected. Countries with low corruption also tend to have lower income
inequality. As discussed by Bergh and Bjørnskov (2014), we should prob-
106 A. BERGH
ably not expect that all policies that increase redistribution also simultane-
ously increase trust. Educational reforms may have such desirable
consequences if they contribute to a more equal distribution of human
capital and thus promote a more egalitarian distribution of income before
taxes and transfers.
The current trend toward higher within-country inequality is most
likely a warning sign, especially if paired with corruption and deteriorating
institutional quality. If there are problems associated with institutional
quality and increasing inequality in Europe, there is a risk that social trust
among young Europeans will be negatively affected even though the trust
among most adults remains constant. If that is the case, the effect on social
trust will be visible only after some time has passed. By the time we see
falling trust levels in the survey data, it may be more difficult to do much
about it. Promoting trust by strengthening the rule of law in most EU
member states is perhaps not seen as the most acute challenge that Europe
is facing in relation to last years’ economic and migration crises, but it may
well be one of the most important ones.
Notes
1. Comment: Social trust refers to the share who agrees that most people can
be trusted, according to survey results presented in Nannestad et al. (2014).
The estimate regarding Danes in Denmark is an average over estimates from
different waves of the European Values Study and a number of similar sur-
veys, taken from Berggren and Bjørnskov (2011). The comparison is made
controlling for differences in age, sex, education and religiosity.
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Trust in the Euro and the EU’s Banking
Union After the Financial Crisis
Clas Wihlborg and Sarkis J. Khoury
Popular referenda have become the Achilles heel of the European integra-
tion process in the twenty-first century. Before the ‘Brexit’ vote in 2016,
French and Dutch voters voted against the EU’s proposal for a new con-
stitution in 2005. The Irish voted against the Lisbon Treaty (a watered-
down version of the constitutional proposal) in 2009, although they
supported the Treaty in a second referendum. The voters in Denmark
voted against participation in the European Monetary Union (EMU) in
2000 and the Swedish voters followed the Danish example in 2003. But
the ‘Brexit’ vote is the heaviest blow so far to the majority of the citizens’
political representatives in the UK and elsewhere in the EU, including the
European Commission, as they generally support the idea of ‘ever deeper
integration’ as envisioned by the founders of the EU. The results of these
referenda can be interpreted as lack of trust or confidence among citizens
in many EU member states that the European integration process will
deliver general benefits on the national level. This lack of confidence in the
C. Wihlborg (*)
Chapman University, Orange, CA, USA
S. J. Khoury
University of California at Riverside, Riverside, CA, USA
but the transmission mechanism had been fragmented by the crises in the
banking systems of several euro zone countries. This fragmentation was
the result of the strong linkage between sovereign and banking system risk.
The high costs of bailing out distressed banks contribute to sovereign risk,
and sovereign risk weakens banks with a high proportion of domestic gov-
ernment bonds in their portfolios. The fiscal situation in many EMU
countries was too weak for the national governments to rescue weak banks
without worsening the debt crisis. The EU’s response to this situation was
to propose the formation of a banking union with strongly harmonized
regulation, centralized supervision and centralized crisis management.
Thus, monetary harmonization had spilled over into demands for harmo-
nization of the banking systems and their regulation.
An agreement with respect to the formation of a banking union was
reached in 2014. The responsibility for supervision and bank crisis man-
agement would be centralized. To reduce the potential common costs of
crisis management, the plans for the banking union included greater par-
ticipation of the private sector in the rescue and recapitalization of failing
banks. These issues are discussed in more detail below. All the reforms and
policy measures described above had the objective to strengthen trust in
the euro zone as a permanent entity that could be expanded to include
new members but not be broken up by having existing members leave.
There is little doubt that the single most effective measure to strengthen
trust in this regard was Draghi’s statement that the ECB would do what-
ever it takes to prevent a breakup of the euro zone. The benefits of the
fiscal pact and the banking union can possibly be realized only in the long
term.
Even if trust in the EMU as a permanent currency union was strength-
ened by the actions of the ECB, it is not clear that confidence in the ben-
efits of the EMU for all its members was strengthened. On the contrary,
the fundamental problems caused by rigidities in labor and product mar-
kets, and lack of convergence of cost levels remained a serious drag on the
economic recovery in the crisis countries within the euro zone. One
important lesson from the years of crisis management within the euro
zone is that the ECB can alleviate liquidity problems for countries and
banks, but it does not have the power to address fundamental issues of
solvency, which for euro zone countries involve issues of competitiveness
and productivity. Attempts by the ECB to support counties within the
euro zone with solvency problems led it to take a partially fiscal role out-
side the scope of its original mandate and, thereby, accepting risk on behalf
120 C. WIHLBORG AND S. J. KHOURY
of taxpayers across the whole euro zone. It can be argued that these poli-
cies were necessary for the survival of the EMU in a situation when politi-
cal processes in the individual member states were unable to deal with the
underlying causes of the crisis in the southern euro zone. However, the
long-term effects on trust in the benefits of the EMU for all its members
are still uncertain since the required fundamental reforms in the crisis
countries have still not been implemented.
law. Common rules with respect to, for example, product liability, health
standards, financial regulation, corporate law, bankruptcy law and labor
law would clearly reduce transactions costs in intra-EU trade. The trade
creating effects of internal harmonization has made it attractive on the EU
agenda for increasing integration. However, there are potentially substan-
tial costs associated with internal harmonization if it is imposed across all
EU member states. These costs are often neglected in the debate.
Taking the case of language harmonization as an illustration, it is obvi-
ous that there are both costs and benefits from requiring all economic
transactions to be prepared and concluded in, say, French. Certainly,
working in the same language across the EU might entail great benefits,
but there would also be substantial costs for those who must learn the
common language, and who may never learn the nuances of it.
Furthermore, the agreed-upon language need not be the least cost lan-
guage to learn and use if the political process leading to the language deci-
sion is biased in favor of a specific country. Much work goes on within the
EU on harmonization of rules and regulation in the areas of environment
and health, financial services, corporate law, accounting, and so on.
Benefits of harmonization in a particular area are obvious in cross-border
transactions, but there are costs as a result of differences between
EU-mandated rules and the most efficient rules for a country, given its
legal and regulatory system, legal history, conventions and business prac-
tices. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that the political process leads to
the most efficient harmonized rule or regulation. Some EU member states
will certainly be able to enjoy benefits of institutional harmonization if an
EU directive mandates rules that are similar to these members’ old rules.
In other member states, the harmonized rules are instead likely to be asso-
ciated with substantial costs.
Sykes (2000) points out that differences in, for example, preferences
and income between national jurisdictions imply that their optimal regula-
tory policies are likely to differ as well. He also point out that optimal
regulatory policies are often unknown. The complexity of social systems
implies that in a number of areas we simply do not know how institutions
should be designed optimally. This means that costs and benefits of har-
monization across jurisdictions with different initial legal and regulatory
conditions are not easily observed or understood (see Eva Storskrubb’s
and Ester Herlin-Kernell’s chapters in this volume on harmonization in
civil and criminal law within the EU). If a number of experts would be
asked how they would want to legislate in order to develop the optimal
122 C. WIHLBORG AND S. J. KHOURY
On the face of it, banking regulation seems to satisfy many of the criteria
for effectiveness of institutional competition, which have been identified
above. First, there is little agreement on what is the most effective regula-
tory structure in banking taking into account both efficiency and
TRUST IN THE EURO AND THE EU’S BANKING UNION… 127
have not accepted the idea of having large retail banks in their jurisdictions
under foreign control and home-county authorities have been uncomfort-
able with deposit insurance responsibility for depositors in foreign branches.
In other words, supervisors have not accepted the principle of mutual rec-
ognition in spite of its formulation in the EU’s Banking Directive. Although
the Directive states that banks have the right to set up cross-border branches,
they are unlikely to do so without the approval of supervisors in both home
and host countries in the EU.
The lack of acceptance of the principle of mutual recognition among
European bank supervisors weakened institutional competition in supervi-
sion and safety and soundness regulation. Supervisors were able to favor
domestic banks as ‘national champions’ without having to fear that depos-
itors would flee the domestic banks. The likelihood of bailouts in case the
domestic banks became insolvent contributed further to lack of i nstitutional
competition with respect to the quality of regulation with respect to risk-
taking. The banking system that developed during the 1990s and the first
years of the 2000s was characterized by increasing concentration on the
national level and cross-border operations in strongly integrated subsidiar-
ies that could not be separated in times of crises. For this reason, bank-
ruptcy costs for large banks became very high. The transparency of the
regulatory jurisdiction over banks’ assets in a crisis, in particular, suffered.
To make the situation worse, only few countries had established legal
frameworks for resolving banks in distress (Wihlborg, 2012). Crisis man-
agement and resolution became a complex procedure involving authori-
ties in home and host countries with conflicting interests. All these factors
strengthened the perception that many banks were both ‘too big to fail’
and ‘too complex to fail’. The only available option for managing crisis in
an important bank was to bail out the bank’s creditors by issuing guaran-
tees for their claims. Competition among banks to become particularly
skilled at risk management thus became severely undermined.
In spite of the early acceptance of mutual recognition as a principle and,
therefore, of institutional competition, the regulatory framework within
the EU failed to produce a safe and sound banking system in Europe. We
argue that the failure of mutual recognition and institutional competition
was caused by the strong implicit protection of banks’ creditors.
Misdirected private sector competition in banking had the effect of turn-
ing institutional competition into a possible ‘race to the bottom’ instead
of ‘race to the top’. Current reforms and proposals in the EU to harmo-
nize regulation and supervision can be viewed as responses to this failure
of mutual recognition.
TRUST IN THE EURO AND THE EU’S BANKING UNION… 129
sets out the framework for supervision that should ensure that all banks
abide by the ‘single rulebook’ (Memo/13/780). Daniele Nouy, the Chair
of the Supervisory Board of the SSM, stated in 2014 that ‘the goals are to
perform supervision with a truly European view, to ensure the effective-
ness of the Supervisory Board, to foster convergence of supervisory prac-
tices and to integrate local supervisory practices to the benefit of all SSM
members’ (Nouy, 2014). A Supervisory Manual covering issues such as
‘methodology for the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP),
off-site and on-site reviews, risk assessments, and model validations’
should ensure that ‘the same supervisory standards will be applied across
Banking Union’.
This description of the EU banking union along with the quotes from
an important Chief Supervisor shows clearly that the ambition with respect
to harmonization of regulation of banks is very high. This regulatory
framework leaves little room for institutional competition among regula-
tors and it seems intended to ensure that banks in all EU member states
follow the same rulebook enforced by the Single Supervisor. The SRM
(Memo/14/295) entered into force on 1 January 2015. It establishes a
Single Resolution Board (SRB) and a Single Resolution Fund (SRF) to
manage and fund the resolution process even for cross-border banks.
Rules for ‘bail-ins’ of bank creditors and resolution functions apply from 1
January 2016. The common deposit insurance has the objective of creat-
ing competitive neutrality between banks across the euro area. The diffi-
culty of coming to an agreement on this aspect of the banking union is
that some euro members are unwilling to provide a fiscal backstop to
banks in countries with weak banking systems and large non-performing
loans. Even if banks pay insurance premiums to build up a deposit insur-
ance fund for the whole euro zone, European taxpayers must ultimately
stand behind the deposit insurance.
There are costs and benefits of the envisioned banking union of the
EU. The main cost is likely to be associated with the common rulebook
for banks and the application of the same ‘European’ supervisory model
and methodology. It seems unlikely that the common rulebook and the
supervision can accommodate the great variety in corporate governance,
insolvency law, enforcement and business culture across EU member
states. Contracts for various types of credit differ substantially explicitly
and implicitly. Thus, identical looking contracts are likely to be associated
with very different risk levels.7 A second cost is associated with the dynam-
ics of lending and supervisory practices. Increased centralization reduces
TRUST IN THE EURO AND THE EU’S BANKING UNION… 131
the ability to innovate and learn. Best practices in different countries are
supposed to be incorporated in the common rulebook and supervisory
mechanism but, once practices are the same, experimentation and innova-
tion are likely to decline relative to a pluralistic system.
There are important benefits as well associated with the common super-
visory mechanism. In particular, the ‘regulatory capture’ of each national
regulator by the major banks in its jurisdiction is bound to decline or be
eliminated. There is little doubt that such regulatory capture is an impor-
tant problem that weakens supervision of risk-taking and strengthens the
tendency of national regulators and governments to bail out ‘national
champions’. Over time, the regulatory capture could move up to the
EMU level instead so that the largest banks in the euro zone, rather than
the largest national banks, would have the strongest leverage in their deal-
ings with the supervisor. It is hard to predict the speed of the consolida-
tion process in the banking sector in the euro zone, which is likely to occur
when there are incentives to create ‘too big to fail’ banks with great politi-
cal clout within the EU banking union.
The implementation of the SRM is the most important piece in the
banking union. If it becomes sufficiently strong and eliminates ‘too big to
fail’ banks and other sources of implicit protection of banks’ creditors, the
banking industry is most likely in for enormous adjustment and restruc-
turing under stronger market discipline. Banks will restructure based on
true economies of scale and scope and not based on implicit subsidies. It
will also reduce the need for detailed supervision of risk-taking and,
thereby, reduce the regulatory burden that is likely to accompany the
common rulebook. The SRM took effect in January 2016. It incorporates
bail-in rules that expose banks’ non-insured creditors to losses of failing
banks. Banks’ bondholders must take losses in the form of ‘haircuts’ before
authorities can add capital from other sources. Since the prospect of losses
for creditors can be a source of runs on a bank and contagion to other
banks, the SRM includes measures to mitigate potential contagion effects
of bank failures. Experiences with bail-ins under the resolution procedures
are still lacking. We may have to wait and see an important European bank
resolved by a resolution board before the effectiveness of the procedures
can be fully evaluated. There is some evidence that the costs of debt for
UK banks increased after the Special Resolution Regime was implemented
in 2009 (Brierley, 2016). The largest Danish bank, Danske Bank, com-
plained that their costs of funding increased after Denmark’s implementation
of bank resolution procedures in 2010.8 Furthermore, ratings agencies
132 C. WIHLBORG AND S. J. KHOURY
like Fitch have started to take into account reduced likelihood of state sup-
port in their government support ratings.
There are still doubts that market discipline on large and complex inter-
national banks has increased to such an extent that their funding cost advan-
tage has declined. One reason is that the systemic risk exception from
placing a bank under a resolution board can be attractive for politically
sensitive authorities (European Shadow Financial Regulatory Committee,
2014). Another reason is that the large complex banks often operate with
subsidiaries in several countries. There is uncertainty about contractual rec-
ognition of cross-border claims in resolution proceedings and conflicts
between countries may arise with respect to burden sharing. The Italian
authorities’ approach to the crisis in the Banco Monte del Paschi in 2016 has
also undermined the confidence in the SRM. The government managed to
protect a large share of the bank’s bondholders through a recapitalization
scheme in spite of the EU’s prohibition of state support (European Shadow
Financial Regulatory Committee, 2017). This case illustrates the difficulty
of imposing a harmonized set of rules for dealing with problem banks in
countries with very different levels of non-performing loans and very differ-
ent traditions with respect to relations between banks and their customers.
One potential area of tension within the EU banking union arises as a
result of national responsibility for fiscal affairs and supranational respon-
sibility for supervision and crisis management. As noted above, European
taxpayers are ultimately the stakeholders in efficient supervision. Thus,
incentives of supervisors and crisis managers should be aligned with inter-
ests of these taxpayers. There is no European fiscal authority, however. A
resolution authority requires access to fiscal resources as a source of fund-
ing and is ultimately accountable to taxpayers. Thus, a far-reaching bank-
ing union is inconsistent with national responsibility for fiscal policy unless
the losses of failing banks can be shifted to their creditors. The buildup of
resolution and deposit insurance funds should reduce the reliance on
national taxpayers, but the ultimate responsibility for funding must lie
with them. If the fiscal burden associated with resolution of banks can be
allocated among EU member states, then the banking union has the
advantage of having very large fiscal resources behind it. This would also
contribute to the credibility of delinking banking risk and sovereign risk
within the euro zone.
We conclude this section by noting that confidence that the banking
union will achieve its objectives of breaking the link between sovereign
risk and bank risk, reducing the fragmentation of the monetary transmission
TRUST IN THE EURO AND THE EU’S BANKING UNION… 133
Six years after the beginning of the so-called debt crisis in the southern
parts of the EMU, confidence in the long-term survival of the euro zone
in its current configuration is still lacking. The ECB’s actions have no
doubt strengthened confidence in the ability of Greece and the other crisis
countries to remain within the currency union. At the same time, these
countries would benefit from abandoning the euro if they do not imple-
ment fundamental labor and product market reforms, as well as other
134 C. WIHLBORG AND S. J. KHOURY
Notes
1. As of January 2018, the euro zone consists of Austria, Belgium, Cyprus,
Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania,
Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia and
Spain. Other EU member states (except for Denmark and the UK) are for-
mally obliged to join once they meet the criteria but, de facto, no EU mem-
ber state can be forced to adopt the euro. Andorra, Monaco, San Marino
and the Vatican have formal agreements with the EU to use the euro as their
official currency and issue their own coins. Kosovo and Montenegro have
adopted the euro unilaterally, but these countries do not officially form part
of the euro zone and do not have representation in the ECB.
2. The theory of monetary policy began to incorporate the game theoretic
concepts of time-inconsistency, monetary policy rules and credibility (see
e.g. Kydland & Prescott, 1977; Barro & Gordon, 1983).
3. Sykes (2000) noted that institutional competition among regulators can
reduce the scope for regulatory capture. Barth et al. (2012) provide evi-
dence from the 2007–2009 financial crisis, supporting the view that regula-
tory capture is an important problem in the banking sector.
4. Luciano and Wihlborg (2018) show that a subsidiary organization can
economize on bankruptcy costs since individual subsidiaries are able to enter
bankruptcy.
5. Sweeney, Goldberg and Wihlborg (2007) analyze the case of the pan-Nor-
dic bank Nordea. This bank is the result of the merger of four major banks
in four Nordic countries. It operated subsidiaries in the four countries while
having the strategic objective of integrating functions across the subsidiaries
strongly. In 2004, the bank developed plans to reorganize as a branch orga-
nization, but the plan fell through as a result of objections from supervisors
as well as for internal reasons. The plan was recently revived in 2017 with
plans to create a bank with Finland as home country.
6. The IMF Global Financial Stability Report estimates that the funding subsi-
dies for large banks in 2013 amounted to 15 basis points in the US, 20–60
basis points in Japan and the UK, and 60–90 basis points in the euro zone
(IMF, 2014).
7. The great differences in non-performing loans in member states’ banking
systems are indicators of the differences in law and regulation that affect the
credit risks banks are facing (European Shadow Financial Regulatory
Committee, 2017).
8. For example, on 20 February 2012, the spread on interbank loans to the
Danske Bank relative to Euribor was 7.05 basis points according to Wihlborg
(2012).
TRUST IN THE EURO AND THE EU’S BANKING UNION… 137
9. The Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD) for all EU members
specifies requirements for procedures for closing and resolving insolvent
banks at the national level. These procedures took effect on 1 January 2016.
But their credibility has the same weakness as the SRM for the euro zone
(Wihlborg, 2017).
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The Question of Trust in EU Criminal Law
Cooperation: A Constitutional Perspective
Ester Herlin-Karnell
E. Herlin-Karnell (*)
The VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
criminal matters within the EU as well as for the area of freedom, security
and justice. This is in turn followed by a discussion on proportionality, soli-
darity and trust since they hold important functions for the c reation of this
law and policy area. The chapter does not only include an analysis of crimi-
nal law, it also takes examples from asylum and migration law. Finally, there
are recommendations for action to be taken by the EU in, for example,
describing the potential for using the principle of proportionality in the
EU as a constitutional ‘right’ when mutual recognition fails. This is impor-
tant not least because Europol and Eurojust (the EU bodies for police and
prosecutor cooperation) have decision-making functions all whilst lacking
clear guidelines for how individuals can appeal decisions.
The EU area of freedom, security and justice is a relatively new legal and
policy area even if judicial cooperation has taken different forms in the EU
since the Maastricht Treaty came into effect in 1993 (within the frame-
work of the third—intergovernmental—pillar for Justice and Home Affairs
(JHA)1 as it was known at the time). It was, however, only with the entry
into force of the Lisbon Treaty that the idea of creating an area of free-
dom, security and justice, and extending cooperation in criminal law,
became a central issue for the EU. At the same time, the UK and Denmark
were quick to set limits to how far the EU could be allowed to impact
national law in this area. Denmark, for example, chose not to be included
in the cooperation at all, while the UK managed before the ‘Brexit’ refer-
endum to negotiate an opt-out where the UK itself could decide when
and how much it wished to participate in EU cooperation in the area of
criminal law and migration-related issues.
The reason why security issues have become core issues in Europe is
due to the threats and risks linked to terrorism, cross-border organised
crime and the freedom of movement within the EU. 9/11 in 2001 in
particular contributed to the rapid development of judicial cooperation in
criminal matters within the EU. One of the first EU legal acts adopted in
this new wave of judicial cooperation in criminal matters was the EU
Framework Decision on the EAW (OJEC, 2002). In practice, with this
Framework Decision, the right of decision-making regarding these issues
142 E. HERLIN-KARNELL
was transferred from the politicians to the courts. The EAW did away with
the requirement of double criminality (i.e. that an action must be an
offence in both countries in question for it to constitute a crime) for 32
named offences. The EAW also introduced the principle of mutual recog-
nition for prosecutions based on the concept of ‘trust’ between EU mem-
ber states. However, for a long time the problem with this was the lack of
fundamental common understanding, due to the fact that the member
states have comparatively different legislation covering the area in ques-
tion. It is perhaps self-evident that the mutual recognition of legal deci-
sions in EU member states requires a certain amount of trust between the
law enforcement agencies. Yet, this has been rather difficult to achieve in
such a sensitive area as criminal law (see e.g. European Commission,
2014a).
Dependence on trust in ‘ordinary’ EU law is, on the other hand, far
from new. After all, it was the classic ruling in the Cassis de Dijon case
(Case C-120/78), which introduced the principle of mutual recognition
into EU law, initially for the free movement of goods, to be later on
extended to other areas of freedom of movement. The principle implies
that when goods produced in one EU member state are released in the
Internal Market, they shall be allowed to circulate freely without cross-
border obstacles. The gist of it is that national provisions that limit this
freedom can only be maintained if proven to be absolutely necessary for
overriding reasons of general interest. Thus ‘trust’ became a key concept
in European integration law. In consequence, it is reasonable to presume
that the CJEU’s focus on trust in the framework of EU criminal law is to
a large extent affected by fundamental EU judge-made principles that
regulate the Internal Market.
All EU citizens have the right to freedom, security and justice. Relevant
provisions can be found in Article 3(2) in the Treaty on the European
Union (TEU) that establishes that:
The Union shall offer its citizens an area of freedom, security and justice
without internal frontiers, in which the free movement of persons is
ensured in conjunction with appropriate measures with respect to external
border controls, asylum, immigration and the prevention and combating
of crime.
The Union shall endeavour to ensure a high level of security through mea-
sures to prevent and combat crime, racism and xenophobia, and through
measures for coordination and cooperation between police and judicial
authorities and other competent authorities, as well as through the mutual
recognition of judgments in criminal matters and, if necessary, through the
approximation of criminal laws.
The question of trust in the area of criminal law and in EU law in general
is primarily an issue about the trust that exists between national authori-
ties, and between them and the EU institutions. Mutual recognition and
trust are strongly linked as the EU has few means of its own to monitor
the application of EU law in the member states, apart from, for example,
the possibility for the European Commission to fine the member states
that violate EU rules and regulations (see also Göran von Sydow’s chapter
in this volume). Thus the EU is ultimately dependent on its member states
fully respecting EU law and trusting each other in this regard. The prin-
ciple of mutual recognition emanates from the Internal Market and the
regulation primarily of goods and the freedom of movement for persons
(see also Clas Wihborg’s chapter on the EU’s banking union in this vol-
ume). The principle of mutual recognition entails, for example, that all
goods that are legally marketed in one member state can be marketed in
another, even if they do not fulfil all the technical provisions in that coun-
try—apart from under strictly defined circumstances. The difficulty has
been transferring this economic logic to criminal law and security-related
issues where human rights are often at stake.
Let me explain this problem by using examples of certain important
constitutional principles that represent the core of EU cooperation in this
field. If the EU is to have its own criminal law structure, a prerequisite is
that it has a developed legal system that guarantees human rights and con-
stitutional principles on legality and the rule of law. In EU law, the rule of
law is an overarching principle which captures both legality in a strict sense
and the due process of law. It is expressed as a constitutional principle in
the EU and is also recognised in Article 2 of the TEU. Accordingly, the
Union shall be
Central to the rule of law is naturally the idea of the legislator being
limited by law so that it does not act beyond its powers. Legal certainty is
moreover of decisive importance, bearing in mind the public law nature of
THE QUESTION OF TRUST IN EU CRIMINAL LAW COOPERATION… 145
the area of freedom, security and justice. Thus, the rule of law is funda-
mental in this context. However, it was not until the 1980s that the ECJ
explained in the familiar case Les Verts (Case C-294/83 Les Verts) that the
rule of law was a constitutional principle for the EU. In the much dis-
cussed Kadi case (Case C-414/05 P Kadi), about the right to judicial
review in the context of emergency legislation, the EU had frozen finan-
cial assets of suspected terrorists (and thereby implemented UN measures
regulating the area). The ECJ did not touch upon whether international
law took precedence over conflicting EU law on the right to judicial review
but instead established that the EU has its own legal system and referred
to ‘constitutional principles’ in the EU, including the right to a fair trial.
In short, the rule of law includes the principles on legality, predictability
and clarity. In other words, it must be possible for an individual to know
which laws and provisions apply to him or her.
Taking the rule of law and the principle of legality into consideration is
a necessary condition for the area of freedom, security and justice. Naturally,
the principle of legality constitutes the basis for whether the EU has legisla-
tive competence in a certain policy area (Articles 4 and 5 TEU, and 7
TFEU), which is also in line with the principle of conferral. The challenge
is to strike a balance between the different parameters for freedom, security
and justice all whilst upholding the rule of law. However, the question is to
what extent the concept of justice, which in itself is difficult to define, is a
constitutional EU axiom as such or rather, an objective for the EU (judg-
ing by Article 67 TEU it would seem to be an objective).
The European Commission (2014b) published a policy document on
the rule of law in 2014 and this document concludes that this principle is
the mainstay of every democracy and the entire workings of the EU. The
Commission points out that if the member states’ mechanisms for safe-
guarding the rule of law fail, this may jeopardise also the EU as a legal
system. This is because the EU needs to protect this principle as a com-
mon value for the Union. It can be said that the rule of law encompasses
a broader understanding of the concept of ‘justice’ or ‘fairness’ and is thus
the fundamental constitutional principle that other EU principles are
based on. Hence, the rule of law can be regarded as the foundation on
which the area of freedom, security and justice must be built.
As noted above, mutual recognition as a form of integration has devel-
oped chiefly through the case law of the CJEU. The reason for this
development lies in the fact that the EU has often lacked legislative com-
petence when the member states have not meant for the EU to have
146 E. HERLIN-KARNELL
legislative powers and have therefore preferred this ‘milder’ form of coop-
eration in criminal law. However, at the same time, the absence of a clear
definition for how the area of freedom, security and justice should be
constructed is a challenge for the prevalence of trust in Europe and what
can perhaps be called the constitutional system of the EU that shall guar-
antee human rights. The question is all the more urgent since the EU, as
is well known, has as yet not signed the European Convention on Human
Rights (ECHR) and Fundamental Freedoms due to the Opinion of the
Court in 2/13 (see Joakim Nergelius’ chapter in this volume). The Court
implied that if every individual EU member state were, for example, to
check whether an EAW also fulfilled the requirements in the ECHR that
would have a negative impact on the effectiveness of (and thus trust in)
EU law and its application in the member states (Herlin-Karnell, 2013).
Both the principle of mutual trust between the Member States and the prin-
ciple of mutual recognition are, in EU law, of fundamental importance given
that they allow an area without internal borders to be created and main-
tained. More specifically, the principle of mutual trust requires, particularly
with regard to the area of freedom, security and justice, each of those States,
save in exceptional circumstances, to consider all the other Member States
THE QUESTION OF TRUST IN EU CRIMINAL LAW COOPERATION… 147
the principle of mutual recognition which lies at the heart of the mechanism
behind the European Arrest Warrant cannot conceivably be applied in the
same way as it is in the case of the recognition of a university qualification or
a driving licence issued by another Member State. […] The principle of
mutual recognition, more specifically where it is applied in relation to a
European Arrest Warrant issued for the purposes of executing a sentence, as
it is in the main proceedings, cannot be applied automatically but must, on
the contrary, be viewed in the light of the personal and human context of
the individual situation underlying each request for the execution of that
warrant.
Lisbon Treaty came into effect, the EU had very limited competence to
adopt legislation in the area of JHA. Therefore, it was the ECJ that intro-
duced the concept of ‘mutual trust’ in its case law (Mitsilegas, 2009).
It should be stressed that this concept has fulfilled an important func-
tion also in the area of civil law, as probably in all areas of EU law (see Eva
Storskrubb’s chapter in this volume). In the CJEU, there has often been a
presumption of trust and the view that trust must take precedence over
contradictory considerations. It is therefore possible to say that the pre-
sumption of trust in this area has constituted a quasi-constitutional stan-
dard with the purpose of justifying EU measures. The problem is that it
remains unclear how to measure and determine trust objectively. The con-
cept of trust has thus always been fairly vague (Jansson, 2013). This lack
of conceptual clarity has been regarded as an important deficiency in the
EU’s judicial cooperation in the area of criminal law.
What about the legitimacy of the issue of trust? How was it possible to
broaden the competence of the EU only through the presumption of
trust? Similarly, it is unclear whether trust as a legitimising factor in this
respect has ever been a part of either national or international criminal law.
It constitutes, in other words, a unique European strategy and, more
importantly, it seems to be a mechanical translation taken directly from the
model of the Internal Market without any underlying research into
whether it actually might lead to successful judicial cooperation in the area
of criminal law at all. The function of trust in EU criminal law is thus still
a mysterious issue. Even if it is important to question whether an integra-
tion model that is based on trust is as forceful as tangible legislation, the
concept of trust seems to have been used to justify the promotion of the
EU project, even if it, from the start, was much too far-reaching and
ambiguous. This explains why the CJEU to such a large extent focuses on
the effectiveness of the EU’s judicial cooperation in the area of criminal
law and why only very few cases have been allowed to break the presump-
tion of mutual trust between member states (e.g. as regards the risk of
inhumane treatment such as torture).
As has been mentioned previously, the EAW entails that the double
criminality for 32 listed crimes has been abolished and replaced by the
principle of mutual recognition. The issue is, however, the extent to which
mutual recognition can be limited by other legal principles, such as the
rules for a fair trial in accordance with ECHR as well as the EU Charter of
Fundamental Rights. In the IB ruling (Case C-306/09) on the application
of the EAW, the CJEU confirmed that mutual recognition is not absolute
THE QUESTION OF TRUST IN EU CRIMINAL LAW COOPERATION… 149
The constitutional issue in the Melloni case was therefore whether the
EU’s principle of effectiveness weighs heavier than the rights established
in a national constitution. It concerned the validity of a national constitu-
tional principle on the ban on extraditing a person convicted in absentia.
The ECJ ruled that the effectiveness of EU law takes precedence over
conflicting national constitutions. However, the fact of the matter remains
that criminal law is an area where the involvement of the EU may entail
drastic consequences for an individual primarily because there is a risk that
centralisation may interfere with the protective aspects of national consti-
tutions since these often include a more developed protection of rights for
150 E. HERLIN-KARNELL
the individual. The Court took the view that the executive legal authority
had to postpone its decision regarding extradition of the person in ques-
tion while awaiting the supplementary information that would make it
possible to disregard the existence of such a risk. The Court also stressed
that the executive legal authority had to respect the proportionality
requirement, as stipulated in Article 52(1) in the Charter, with regard to
the limitation of any right or freedom recognised in the Charter.
Still, in the recent Aranyosi and Căldăraru case (C-404/15 and
C-659/15 PPU) concerning the execution of an EAW, the ECJ ruled that
the prohibition of inhuman and degrading treatment as set out in Article 4
of the Charter of Fundamental Rights is absolute in that it is closely linked
to respect for human dignity. The Court held that the executing judicial
authority must postpone its decision on the surrender of the individual
concerned until it obtains the supplementary information that allows it to
exclude the existence of a risk of such treatment.
The risk entailed by the centralisation of judicial cooperation in the area
of criminal law is thus the loss of the protective mechanisms in procedural
law that are ensured through national law but which have been excluded
in EU cooperation due to the effectiveness requirement and conflicts
between member states. When one speaks of European criminal law, it is
easy to gain the impression that it is the result of the general success of the
European project. However, seen in a historical perspective, it is quite dif-
ficult to speak of Europeanisation of criminal law as a recent phenomenon,
bearing in mind that it already is European in so many respects, inspired as
it is by the Age of Enlightenment. There are still, however, substantial dif-
ferences between EU member states’ legal systems and traditions. It is
these cultural similarities and differences that also make the concept of
European criminal law so very complex.
In The European Agenda on Security, the European Commission
(2015a) notes that people are crossing national borders within the EU
more and more, and are becoming increasingly frustrated by the different
rules in the EU member states and the inconvenience of various proce-
dures. According to the Commission, this is mainly due to the economic
crisis as well as a lack of capacity in certain national legal systems, which in
turn undermine the trust the citizens have in the EU project as such. The
Commission also points out that the EU needs to develop a common feel-
ing of justice at the EU level that is linked to the broader issue of values
and the type of area of freedom, security and justice that the EU is actually
striving to build.
THE QUESTION OF TRUST IN EU CRIMINAL LAW COOPERATION… 151
Due to a series of problems that have arisen in relation to the EAW, the
European Commission has revised the handbook on its implementation in
the member states. The Commission points out in the evaluation that an
effective implementation of the EAW has been undermined by the fact
that people are often wanted for less serious crimes. Thus, the Commission
notes that there is a need to apply a proportionality test for the Arrest
Warrant in order to avoid misuse. The Commission particularly empha-
sises that the handbook on the Arrest Warrant must be adapted to meet
the requirement regarding proportionality and is taking into consider-
ation the factors that are going to be assessed in conjunction with the
execution of an EAW and the possible alternatives before an arrest warrant
can be issued. In this way, the Commission hopes to prevent absurd con-
sequences and unreasonable costs.
Even if trust in the EU member states is a rather vague concept, the idea
is that it should contribute to enhancing solidarity within the EU. If soli-
darity is to have any real meaning in a criminal law context, it must be
based on common sense of a kind. This is often mentioned in discussions
THE QUESTION OF TRUST IN EU CRIMINAL LAW COOPERATION… 153
The problem is that the area of freedom, security and justice is to a large
extent exempt from the rules of proportionality due to the focus on crisis
management that has characterised this area, largely shaped as a response
to threats and risks linked to terrorism. The EU has felt the need for
greater discretion to be able to act rapidly in the fight against crime and
terrorism. Hence, for a long time, a proportionality test was ruled out.
Now, however, the EAW has enforced such a requirement since this instru-
ment did not lead to the desired consequences. There was talk of absurd
cases that were not linked to terrorism but where the same rigid legal
examination was applied. This could result in deportation for the theft of
a chicken and other less serious offences (Case Ö-430-07, Biszak, the
Swedish Supreme Court).
In Article 49 of the EU Fundamental Rights Charter that became bind-
ing through the Lisbon Treaty, a guarantee was now stipulated for the
legality and proportionality of sanctions in a more all-encompassing man-
ner than in the ECHR. However, it is interesting to note that the principle
of proportionality can both broaden rights and limit them. Despite this,
Article 52(1) establishes certain important exceptions from the application
of the Charter in its entirety. This provision clearly stipulates that:
Any limitation on the exercise of the rights and freedoms recognised by this
Charter must be provided for by law and respect the essence of those rights
and freedoms. Subject to the principle of proportionality, limitations may be
made only if they are necessary and genuinely meet objectives of general
interest recognised by the Union or the need to protect the rights and free-
doms of others.
It is true, however, that such a limitation is not unique for the EU. Also
the ECHR Article 5 includes a similar possibility to subject fundamental
freedoms and rights to limitations if these are necessary in a democratic
society. The risk is that even if it is of utmost importance to maintain secu-
rity in a society, the security agenda can easily be manipulated to always
suit ‘what is deemed necessary in a democratic society’. That is why it is so
important that the principle of proportionality is used in a broader sense
as a part of the establishment of trust in the area of freedom, security and
justice. The explanatory notes also indicate that the reference to general
interests that are recognised by the EU includes both the goals mentioned
in Article 3 TEU as well as other interests that are protected through spe-
cial provisions in the EU treaties, given that these limitations actually
respond to a general EU interest.
THE QUESTION OF TRUST IN EU CRIMINAL LAW COOPERATION… 155
This chapter has highlighted the issue of mutual recognition and the con-
cept of trust in EU law and its consequences for the area of freedom,
security and justice. The main purpose has been to give a perspective on
trust which is used as a proxy for mutual recognition in criminal law and
how the principle of proportionality may contribute to an improved and
more balanced system in the EU. The chapter has also underlined the
danger of the ‘proportionality test’ as it may provide an opening to depart
from EU law depending on what proportionality is deemed to mean in an
EU context.
Judicial cooperation in the EU started as an experiment in crisis man-
agement at a high level and at the cost of adequate protection for the
individual. The EU has been under a great deal of pressure: enhanced
cooperation is necessary to handle risks and threats linked to terrorism and
cross-border organised crime but the member states have not been entirely
prepared to abandon their national competence in the area of criminal law.
It could be said that the ECJ and the European Commission, which are
the strongest drivers of developments in this area, have more recently per-
haps adopted a more mature position where mutual recognition is not
believed to be on a par with blind trust (see e.g. Nicolaïdis, 2007). It is
above all the principle of proportionality that has become increasingly
important even if there is a need for greater specification and a clearer
definition.
Judicial cooperation in the area of criminal law in the EU is currently in
an interim phase and its future in the area of freedom, security and justice
is uncertain. The many crises that dominate Europe call on us to take a
step back and critically discuss how cooperation should progress. A strong
commitment to the rule of law and the protection of human rights must
be the guiding principle throughout this law and policy area. Future EU
criminal law will therefore to a large extent not only depend on the politics
of the EU institutions but also on the level of commitment and under-
standing among all those who in some way work in this area.
THE QUESTION OF TRUST IN EU CRIMINAL LAW COOPERATION… 157
It is therefore more important than ever that the EU and its member
states strive towards a coordination of their case law in the area of criminal
law bearing the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights in mind. Another
important aspect is that the ECJ now emphasises the importance of rea-
sonable trust as well as the importance of common EU values as regards
the full protection of human rights. Moreover, it is necessary to strike a
balance between the different components that together shape an area of
freedom, security and justice as well as EU law more generally. Perhaps
‘Brexit’, migration crisis, terrorist threats, financial crisis and all the other
crises currently affecting Europe will provide an opening for the EU to
reformulate its policy principles and to be more determined and robust
regarding the values that should guide the EU in its judicial cooperation
in criminal matters.
Against this background, I would propose the following brief recom-
mendations for action to the EU. First, the principle of proportionality
should be accorded a greater importance in the EU’s legislative process
and similarly, the ECJ should integrate a proportionality test in its inter-
pretation of the concept of trust as a way of assuring the member states
that the EU Charter on Fundamental Rights and the ECHR are the low-
est common denominator. Second, the EU must uphold the rule of law
even in emergency situations like the fight against terrorism and strive to
remedy the democratic deficit in the EU in general and more particularly
in the area of freedom, security and justice where the demand for effec-
tiveness often overshadows fundamental rights. Third, European universi-
ties offering courses on EU law, as well as bar associations in the EU,
should offer specialised courses on EU criminal law and its place in the EU
constitutional grid. It is vital that future legal experts and political scien-
tists have proper knowledge of this area as long as the EU remains a proj-
ect to be taken seriously. I would even claim that adequate knowledge on
the prospects and limits of EU cooperation in the field of criminal law is
fundamental for trust in the EU.
Notes
1. The second (also intergovernmental) pillar in the pre-Lisbon EU system was
the Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) and the first (suprana-
tional) pillar was the Internal Market.
158 E. HERLIN-KARNELL
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egy? Area of freedom, security and justice law and its global dimension. In
M. Fletcher, E. Herlin-Karnell, & C. Matera (Eds.), The European Union as an
area of freedom, security and justice. London: Routledge.
Herlin-Karnell, E. (2012). The constitutional dimension of European criminal law.
Oxford: Hart Publishing.
Herlin-Karnell, E. (2013). From mutual trust to the full effectiveness of EU law:
10 years of the European arrest warrant. European Law Review, 38(1), 79–91.
Jansson, C. (2013). Mutual recognition. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Klatt, M., & Meister, M. (2012). The constitutional structure of proportionality.
Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Mitsilegas, M. (2009). EU criminal law. Oxford: Hart Publishing.
Nicolaïdis, K. (2007). Trusting the poles? Constructing Europe through mutual
recognition. Journal of European Public Policy, 14(5), 682–698.
Official Journal of the European Communities. (2002). Council Framework
Decision of 13 June 2002 on the European arrest warrant and the surrender
procedures between Member States (2002/584/JHA).
Peers, S. (2015). EU justice and home affairs: Vol. 1 & 2. Oxford: Oxford University
Press.
Weatherill, S. (2016). Law and values in the European Union. Oxford: Oxford
University Press.
Mutual Trust in Civil Justice Cooperation
in the EU
Eva Storskrubb
This chapter deals with trust in the context of judicial cooperation in civil
matters, which has been part of the broader European Union project of
creating an Area of Freedom, Security and Justice (AFSJ) since the
Amsterdam Treaty (Title IV and Article 81 in the Treaty on the Functioning
of the European Union (TFEU), see also Storskrubb, 2016a, 2016b).
Particular attention is here given to how trust operates when judgments
rendered in civil litigation cases move across borders.1 The principle of
mutual trust has emerged as a political goal in EU’s AFSJ but it has also
been given a normative understanding in the case law of the European
Court of Justice (ECJ) on free movement of judgments. How to under-
stand mutual trust and what it actually entails has in recent years become
one of the central and most critical issues in the development of the
AFSJ. The broader question that the principle raises is whether individual
rights can be sacrificed in some cases in order to uphold a fictitious pre-
sumption of trust. I argue that the answer to that question might affect the
legitimacy of the EU as a whole, beyond the context of the individual case.
E. Storskrubb (*)
Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
The political project to create the AFSJ was set in motion with the
Treaty of Amsterdam 1999 and entailed deeper integration in judicial
matters than its predecessor, Justice and Home Affairs cooperation that
had been launched in the Maastricht Treaty in 1993. A plethora of factors
provided the impetus for the political project at that point in time. Apart
from the desire to bring the EU closer to its citizens and the challenges of
the forthcoming enlargement of the Union, there were also perceived
threats such as organised crime and irregular migration. It is striking that
such threats were identified long before 9/11 or present-day terrorist
threats and immigration crisis of 2015. However, this chapter does not
deal with EU criminal justice cooperation or EU asylum and migration
policy that are addressed elsewhere in this book (see Esther Herlin-
Karnell’s chapter). Instead, it deals with the third branch of the AFSJ,
namely civil justice that pertains to cross-border civil litigation. Examples
of such cases are disputes regarding child custody and maintenance, as well
as disputes regarding family succession, consumer sales, large deliveries
between companies and employment relationships.
Civil justice cooperation in the EU has strong connection with the
EU’s Internal Market. Facilitating the resolution of cross-border disputes
and increased mutual trust among the legal systems of EU member states
are considered to enhance legal certainty and thereby to support cross-
border trade and growth. The political connection between trust in the
legal systems and economic growth is highlighted in the strategic guide-
lines of the European Council for the AFSJ for 2015–2019:
The smooth functioning of a true European area of justice with respect for
the different legal systems and traditions of the member states is vital for the
EU. In this regard, mutual trust in one another’s justice systems should be
further enhanced. A sound European justice policy will contribute to eco-
nomic growth by helping businesses and consumers to benefit from a reli-
able business environment within the internal market. (European Council,
2014)
of the EU. In addition, it takes time for legal cultures to meet and for trust
to be gained. Therefore, if trust is simply presumed, it may be detrimental
for the legitimacy of the EU. The issue of mutual trust in civil justice
cooperation is hence of crucial importance for the EU today.
Thus, the underlying logic was that for mutual recognition (i.e. the free
movement of judgments in the EU) to be achieved, there needs to be
mutual trust between EU member states based on some level of common
procedural standards protecting fundamental procedural rights and fair
trial. Andersson (2005, p. 247) notes that ‘the big problem […] with the
principle of mutual recognition […] is that it requires mutual trust [and]
162 E. STORSKRUBB
requires in its extreme, that a domestic legal system allows for enforce-
ment of judgments based on procedural rules and ideological values over
which the member state has no influence and very little knowledge’. The
intermediary exequatur procedure including the possibility to refuse to
recognise a foreign judgment on limited grounds such as public policy has
traditionally and historically been a general safeguard against unwanted
effects of mutual recognition. Thus, recognition in a foreign jurisdiction
has always been predicated upon checks and balances, on balancing the
public policy of the forum against the rights of private parties (Paul,
2008).2 The current debate on mutual trust in civil justice in the EU has
been triggered by the aim of going further and removing such checks and
balances. At the centre of the debate are questions of whether and how far
certification procedures, safeguards and grounds for refusal can be
removed in cross-border recognition of judgments.
Mutual recognition was imported in the AFSJ from the Internal Market.
It has developed as a regulatory integration method over a number of
decades in the context of the four fundamental freedoms related to free
movement of goods, services, capital and persons (see Articles 5, 28, 45
and 63 TFEU). The free movement of judgments has therefore been
called the ‘fifth’ freedom. Integration of markets has three basic regula-
tory models: (i) national treatment (host-country rules), (ii) harmonisa-
tion (similar rules) and (iii) mutual recognition (home-state rules)
(Schmidt, 2007). Under the first alternative, national treatment, the bur-
den on the market participants is high because they have to adapt to dif-
ferent national rules, but the host country keeps its rules and does not
have to relinquish sovereignty. It only has to open its borders to partici-
pants willing to enter its market and follow its rules (non-discrimination).
With the second and opposite alternative (harmonisation) market, partici-
pants wanting to enter other markets do not face additional costs but the
states have to relinquish sovereignty vertically to the supranational level
and can face considerable negotiating costs. Finally, the third option,
mutual recognition, can be seen as an ostensibly benign and easy middle
ground. The countries do not need to face negotiation costs and compa-
nies do not have to face adaptation costs as home-state control means that
it suffices to fulfil only one set of national rules, those in the country of
origin (Schmidt, 2007).
What is sometimes overlooked is that mutual recognition as a mode of
governance does, nevertheless, mean that states relinquish sovereignty
albeit horizontally (Nicolaïdis, 2007). The national regulator can no longer
MUTUAL TRUST IN CIVIL JUSTICE COOPERATION IN THE EU 163
ensure the same level of regulation to users within its territory when new
and foreign participants enter the market based on their own (foreign)
home-state regulation. This means that although mutual recognition may
be a simple solution for states and market participants, the end-users, buy-
ers or consumers may face information and other costs due to the diversity.
In addition, diversity may fuel regulatory competition, even creating a risk
of so-called race to the bottom (see also Clas Whilborg’s and Sarkis
J. Khoury’s chapter in this volume). If diversity is perceived to cause
unwanted risks, the legitimacy of the system may be questioned by the
users and states held politically accountable (Schmidt, 2007).
Such a development has not been seen as desirable in the EU and,
therefore, the EU model of mutual recognition is not pure. It is of crucial
importance to note that mutual recognition in the Internal Market has
never been unconditional. Restrictions to protect important national
rights and values have always been present in the EU treaties and also
introduced in the case law, though only insofar as a limitation is deemed
to be proportionate. For example, this applied in the famous Cassis de
Dijon case (see also Snell, 2014). In addition, mutual recognition has not
been the sole regulatory method in the Internal Market, it has been used
in parallel with inter alia minimum harmonisation and other governance
techniques such as administrative cooperation and communication struc-
tures (Chalmers et al., 2014; see also Snell, 2016). Mutual recognition has
also therefore been called ‘managed’, meaning that it does not operate in
a void but is always related formally to other forms of integration and
informally to societal prerequisites such as acceptance and trust (Lavenex,
2007). Nicolaïdis notes that in implementing mutual recognition, a fine-
tuned balance must be struck between recognition and the constraints
that must be attached to it. Thus, there is an analogous difference between
‘blind’ and ‘binding trust’ (Nicolaïdis, 2007).
Notably, mutual trust has also been present as a normative and regula-
tory concept in the Internal Market. This has been the case in particular,
in cases related to the obligation of competent authorities to accept deci-
sions of authorities in other EU member states, inter alia in relation to
inspection of goods carried out by authorities in other member states or
decisions on social security made by authorities in other member states
(Cambien, 2017). However, also in specific mutual trust situations, it has
similar to mutual recognition not been an unconditional principle in the
Internal Market arena (Prechal, 2017). Rather, Cambien notes that mutual
trust or a lack thereof has also affected the regulatory strategy linked to
164 E. STORSKRUBB
even called ‘faith’ (or ‘comity’), which states have been prepared to accord
each other historically in private international law has often been the most
far-reaching between closely situated states; geographically, legally, politi-
cally or even commercially. Examples of such close regional ties include
private international law conventions between the Nordic countries
(Jänterä-Jareborg, 2016). Within the EU (at the time the European
Community, EC), the then six member states started private international
law cooperation among themselves already in 1968, entering into the
Brussels Convention. The Convention was intended to support trade and
free movement within the EC. Even though there was a clear mutual
interest and proximity on many of the above-mentioned levels between
the member states, the Convention still included many of the traditional
safeguards for recognition and enforcement of judgments including the
exequatur procedure and specific grounds for refusal.
In Europe, we have also since 1953 had the European Convention on
Human Rights (ECHR). Although the ECHR has not been enacted
under the auspices of the EU, it can still be said to provide EU member
states with a common value basis with respect to human rights and funda-
mental freedoms. Hence, it can be seen as a potential basis for a nascent
mutual respect or trust amongst the legal systems of EU member states,
long before the EU signed its own Charter of Fundamental Rights.
Despite these mutually shared values, all EU member states occasionally
breach the ECHR. For example, in 2016, the European Court of Human
Rights (ECrtHR) found at least one violation in 385 cases related to EU
member states. Of course, not all human rights breaches in the EU reach
the Court. Thus, it is clear and uncontested that the legal systems of EU
member states do not always in practice manage to uphold human rights
and there may arise individual cases in which violations occur. In the con-
text of civil justice, the central right is the right to fair trial guaranteed in
Article 6 ECHR and also now Article 47 of the EU Charter of Fundamental
Rights. A classic example of a violation of the right to a fair trial in the case
law of the ECrtHR is when court proceedings are unreasonably long. For
instance, Italy has repeatedly been found in the past to breach Article 6 on
this basis due to notoriously slow proceedings in Italian courts (Silvestri,
2014).
An early example of presumed mutual trust in civil justice relates to the
mutual jurisdiction rules in the Brussels Convention and subsequent
Brussels I-Regulation. Among these rules, the so-called lis pendens rule
determines what happens in case of parallel proceedings in different mem-
166 E. STORSKRUBB
ber states in the same dispute matter. In the wordings of Article 21 of the
original Brussels Convention:
Where proceedings involving the same cause of action and between the
same parties are brought in the courts of different Contracting States, any
court other than the court first seised shall of its own motion decline juris-
diction in favour of that court. A court which would be required to decline
jurisdiction may stay its proceedings if the jurisdiction of the other court is
contested.
In addition, there are other civil justice measures including the later
adopted Succession Regulation that still require exequatur (Linton, 2016).
It is interesting to note that most far-reaching provisions in terms of
automatic recognition, that is, in terms of mutual trust, concern the
Brussels II-bis Regulation and the return of children decisions (Moraru,
2016). It is also notable that mutual trust appears most difficult to accept
and also most sensitive both legally and politically in respect of the guar-
antee of fundamental rights and potential breaches thereof (Kramer,
MUTUAL TRUST IN CIVIL JUSTICE COOPERATION IN THE EU 171
Mutual trust has also been dealt with by the ECJ in a string of cases
concerning the Brussels I Regulation enforcement regime (C-420/07
Apostolides, C-619/10 Trade Agency, C-302/13 flyLAL-Lithuanian
Airlines, C-681/13 Diageo Brands and C-559/14 Rūdolfs Meroni). The
rulings demonstrate that the ECJ places emphasis on that the aim of effi-
ciency behind simplified enforcement rules based on mutual trust.
However, the ECJ also holds that efficiency is balanced against the judg-
ment debtor’s right to be heard, which is guaranteed by the grounds for
refusal as well as the provisions of the EU Charter on Fundamental Rights
ensuring the right to a fair trial. The ECJ is careful to explain that
enforcement only can be refused on the limited grounds in the Regulation,
which are to be interpreted restrictively.10 The ECJ in addition explicitly
emphasises that the enforcement system of the Regulation requires that
EU member states trust each other’s courts and judicial systems.11
Importantly, the ECJ also holds that if the judgment debtor has not
been served and has not had the opportunity to prepare its defence in suf-
ficient time, or recourse to an effective remedy, enforcement may be
refused.12 The Court has also confirmed that the national court in the EU
member state of enforcement is entitled to carry out an independent
assessment of whether the procedure in the original member state has
fulfilled the requirements under the Regulation.13 This guidance remains
relevant under the recast of the Regulation, since the grounds for refusal
have all been retained. Thus, the ‘compromise’ result of the reform pro-
cess as explained above appears to promote continuity and ensure that
effective enforcement must be balanced against the rights of the defence.
The protection provided by the Regulation hence imposes requirements
on EU member states’ legal orders. The ECJ has also explicitly held that
in applying the enforcement rules, national courts must comply with
Article 47 of the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights.14
In contrast, a few cases related to recognition and enforcement of judg-
ments on wrongfully removed or retained children under the Brussels
II-bis Regulation have caused more debate in relation to mutual trust in
civil matters. The reason for this is the Regulation’s rules on automatic
recognition without any residual safeguards in the member state of
enforcement. The underlying policy choice in these cases is, in the interest
of the child, to give priority to the court and the authorities and courts in
the member state where the child was originally habitually resident before
being removed or retained. The debate has most recently centred on case
MUTUAL TRUST IN CIVIL JUSTICE COOPERATION IN THE EU 173
(see e.g. Hartnell, 2002; Blobel & Späth, 2005; Storskrubb, 2008). Already
in 2009, the European Council placed greater emphasis on such measures,
which shows a realisation that mutual trust needs to be supported and cannot
be presumed. A lot of work is being done with less visibility perhaps in the
academic debate than the legislative and case law development of EU civil
justice. It should be noted that the European Commission has set an ambi-
tious goal of enabling 700,000 legal practitioners, half of the legal practitio-
ners in the EU, to participate in European judicial training activities by 2020
through the use of available resources at local, national and European level.
In addition, efforts are being made in relation to e-justice coordination
among the member states since 2007 when the Council decided to establish
a Working Party on e-Justice. Further, since 2009 the EU has had a multi-
annual Action Plan for e-justice. The European e-Justice Portal, which is
hosted and operated by the Commission and was launched in July 2010, is
the main achievement so far. In addition, various member states have partici-
pated in and are involved in a number of pilot projects that relate to intercon-
necting their technical justice facilities.
The recent initiatives of the EU institutions on the strengthening of the
rule of law are an example of new and broader governance measures and
dialogue in the EU on values of our justice systems (Weller, 2015). In this
context, the Justice Scoreboards are a particularly interesting develop-
ment. Published since 2013 by the European Commission, the Scoreboards
are a means for the EU to collect information on the justice systems of the
member states and to evaluate certain indicators for key components
(quality, independence and efficiency) that are considered relevant to
achieve an efficient judicial system. The information is collected in the
context of the EU’s economic term and enables the EU to make country-
specific recommendations and have a dialogue with EU member states on
procedural reforms when allocating funds (European Commission, 2017;
see also Dori, 2015). Considerable critique can be levelled at the methods
of collection of information for the Scoreboards and also at the non-
transparent manner in which the data is presented (Storskrubb, 2017b).
However, two more fundamental criticisms are relevant here. Firstly, there
is no apparent dialogue on the components and indicators that the
Commission has decided to collect in the Scoreboards as relevant for ‘effi-
cient’ justice systems. It is regrettable that the Scoreboards have not yet
resulted in a transparent dialogue involving all member states on what we
perceived as the important components of an efficient justice system and
how to address challenges in civil justice at the domestic level. Such a dia-
logue would be crucial for promoting strategic learning across and between
176 E. STORSKRUBB
Notes
1. The term ‘civil justice’ can also be held to encompass further and broader
civil procedural developments in the EU such as the procedural rules for
consumer or competition matters, but the focus in this chapter is directed
at cross-border civil litigation (Storskrubb, 2017a, 2017b).
2. See also Weller (2015) on the development of recognition of foreign judg-
ments and the tools for retaining control in traditional bilateral or multilat-
eral private international law cooperation.
3. See Article 31 of the Brussels I (recast) Regulation.
4. An anti-suit injunction is issued against the party in question, in personam
(Storskrubb, 2016c).
5. See Articles 29 and 34 in the Brussels Convention. In relation to jurisdic-
tion, the court of enforcement may only refuse enforcement if the judgment
MUTUAL TRUST IN CIVIL JUSTICE COOPERATION IN THE EU 177
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The Importance of Trust in a Digital Europe:
Reflections on the Sharing Economy
and Blockchains
R. Teigland (*)
Stockholm School of Economics, Stockholm, Sweden
H. Holmberg
Uppsala, Sweden
A. Felländer
Stockholm, Sweden
the cryptocurrency Bitcoin, and it has been estimated that around $1.5 bil-
lion had been invested globally in blockchain startups as of the end of
2016 (Frost & Sullivan, 2017). Furthermore, the total market capitaliza-
tion value of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is around $170 billion as
of October 2017 with Bitcoin at $99 billion and Ether at $28 billion
(https://coinmarketcap.com/).1 This indicates that it is not only startups
and venture capitalists that care about the blockchain. This is not too sur-
prising given the fact that the blockchain reduces the need for trust in
individuals and institutions through increasing trust in system processes.
In a centralized system, the intermediary ensures that process-based trust
of the system is maintained. The blockchain allows groups to formalize
their processes to reach consensus without a central middle hand. When
groups can maintain process-based trust without a central middle hand,
new opportunities are created for adapting consensus processes to the
needs of different groups, which further enables the continued develop-
ment of the services the sharing economy can offer.
This chapter focuses on trust and whether blockchain technology can
act as a catalyst for the sharing economy in Europe and elsewhere through
enabling an increased level of trust among platform users. A sharing econ-
omy based on strong trust can create jobs and economic growth in Europe.
Below we discuss the development of the sharing economy within the EU
before we provide an overview of how trust has so far been digitized. After
that, we describe the blockchain and what opportunities it may offer in
terms of digitized trust and economic growth. Our goal is to illustrate
how the meeting between the blockchain and the sharing economy, two
phenomena created by digitalization, forge the conditions for a future
Europe.
It aims […] for business models where the business is enabled by sharing
platforms which creates an open marketplace for temporary use of goods or
services, often provided by individuals. It comprises three different catego-
ries of actors: 1) service providers who for instance share their assets, resources
or competences and can be individuals offering services on a temporary basis
or service providers who make it a part of their business; 2) users of services;
and 3) intermediaries who—through their digital sharing platform—con-
solidate suppliers and users, which enables transactions. The transactions
usually do not mean that the good or the service changes its owner, and they
can be executed either with or without a profit-making purpose. (European
Commission, 2016a)
not have to take responsibility for payment but instead can use already
existing solutions and therefore focus on developing their own product.
Furthermore, the ability to receive income from alternative sources has
also been a driving factor in the sharing economy. Being able to rent out
one’s apartment during the day to startups in need of office space and
teaching Spanish on web-based services during evenings are only two
examples of how individuals can gain alternative sources of income thanks
to the sharing economy.
(continued)
THE IMPORTANCE OF TRUST IN A DIGITAL EUROPE: REFLECTIONS… 191
Table 2 (continued)
Regulations directed toward Regulations directed toward the
the individual platform
actors within the sharing economy have been given support from the
Estonian government. Estonia’s Prime Minister, Taavi Rõivas, argued in
February 2016 that the business models that are prized within the sharing
economy not only lead to increased competition but also are well suited
for a sparsely populated country such as Estonia and create incentives for
people to become entrepreneurs.
The sharing economy is based on the fact that people can accomplish a
significantly higher number of transactions than before. A transaction cost
can be explained through the information, administration and follow-up
needed for a transaction to be conducted. Many platforms actively work
with multiple information services for its users to reduce transaction costs.
For instance, Swedish Blocket gives people living in Gothenburg who are
interested in purchasing a sofa access to qualitative information instead of
having to look for a second-hand advertisement or go to a flea market.
Other platforms use reviews and grading to enhance information for the
user of the services offered, all in order to reduce the cost for the user to
find the necessary information for the transaction.
Sharing economy platforms also work on lowering the transaction
administration costs. For example, Uber automated the payment process
and removed the need of the customer to manually inform the driver of his
192 R. TEIGLAND ET AL.
Shah, & Adamic, 2009). This need for trust in the sharing economy has
led to a search for new technological solutions. One such technology is
the blockchain, which is the underlying software behind the controver-
sial cryptocurrency Bitcoin.
The absence of physical interaction during a transaction makes the abil-
ity to build trust between strangers more difficult. The number of poten-
tial individuals involved in sharing economy transactions as well as the
individuals’ limited experience with the various sharing economy plat-
forms further makes the process of building institutional trust difficult.
The blockchain holds promise to resolve this situation as it goes beyond
the three forms of trust discussed here: interpersonal, institutional and
product to system-based trust in which individuals put their trust in the
strict formalized and transparent processes used to gain consensus in the
underlying system.
Blockchains and the EU
At only nine years old, blockchains are a young phenomenon but are
being rapidly developed, often in sectors that are central to the EU. For
example, the technology could potentially improve healthcare systems
198 R. TEIGLAND ET AL.
and Kairos Future (Kempe, 2017). Bitcoin is highly volatile and the price
can often change between the time of order and the time of purchase, and
Safello, another Swedish company, is an example of a financial service that
enables their customers to lock the Bitcoin price at the time of ordering in
order to reduce the effect of Bitcoin’s volatility. However, if a user decides
to use Safello, they need to verify their identity before they can purchase
Bitcoins. This demand of identification is in line with the regulatory frame-
work proposed by the European Commission (European Commission,
2016a). However, legal demands in a digital context are often hard to
enforce and there are already various services, such as mixing services and
tumbler that offer users the possibility to not connect their identity with a
specific financial transaction.
Finally, outside of the EU, Russia has banned several cryptocurrency
websites in an attempt to make it more difficult for normal users to use
cryptocurrencies (Raza, 2016; Silver, 2017). China has banned Initial
Coin Offerings (ICO), which are a form of fund-raising often used by
blockchain startups (Acheson, 2017), and the US Securities and Exchange
Commission has ruled that, regardless of the form of currency being used
and regardless of a firm’s stateless status, if the product is offered to
American investors, it is bound to US security laws (U.S. Securities &
Exchange Commission, 2017). On the other hand, the Singapore
Monetary Authority has stated that they will not regulate cryptocurrencies
(Amin, 2017). Blockchain technology is a global phenomenon and when
the EU develops its position with respect to blockchain technology, it is
also developing its position within a global digital society.
monopolistic situations could arise. The EU should also decide whether the
Union should encourage open instead of proprietary source code and if this
will guide how research and development funds are distributed. The
European Parliament has already expressed its willingness to support proj-
ects based on open source code as this is considered to promote both demo-
cratic and economic values. Open source support becomes a distribution
policy tool when access to information is becoming increasingly valuable.
In a private blockchain, only a predetermined number of nodes are able
to edit the history. Private blockchains offer increased integrity and simpli-
fied regulation as well as reduced energy consumption. At the same time,
private blockchains reduce ordinary citizens’ ability to participate. This
makes it more difficult to create digital environments characterized by
both trust and democracy. Public blockchains will contribute to the EU’s
economic and democratic visions and they should therefore be supported.
The negative description that the sharing economy sometimes receives in
the media (e.g. how drivers and companies try to escape taxes as well as
how the platforms take advantage of their users) should be nuanced with
descriptions that focus on how actors in the sharing economy contribute
to growth and sustainable development as well as the inclusion of weak
social groups, all of which are intermediate goals in the EU 2020 strategy
(European Parliament & the Council, 2013). As Bitcoin and blockchain
technology start to produce lasting positive results with respect to eco-
nomic development, the description of these phenomena should change
to focus less on illegal trade and money laundering and more on robust
digital systems as well as increased trust in the digital environment. This
would, in turn, facilitate further development of these technologies.
Success stories of individuals and companies from the sharing economy
and the blockchain sector should be told in order to inspire others to
explore these areas.
Furthermore, there is no systematic measure of the value that is created
within the sharing economy, which further complicates the communica-
tion of sharing economic effects. Uniform approaches for measuring shar-
ing economic activity should be developed, especially when it often adds
to or completely overtakes current economic activity. Meanwhile, mea-
surement is often complicated by the fact that many activities lack a mon-
etary value, such as couchsurfing, while other activities cannot be measured
by changes in GDP, such as renting a room on Airbnb.
The ongoing transformation highlights the labor market’s urgent
need to offer fast retraining and re-education when jobs disappear due to
204 R. TEIGLAND ET AL.
Notes
1. The number of blockchain initiatives by major institutions has increased
from 22 in the third quarter of 2015 to 34 in the fourth quarter of 2015 to
25 in the first quarter of 2016. Today there are more than 80 financial and
other institutions in the R3CEV consortium to develop the Corda block-
chain for the financial market and more than 150 organizations supporting
the development of Hyperledger.
2. See more information about the Europe 2020 strategy on the European
Commission’s website: https://ec.europa.eu/info/business-economy-
euro/economic-and-fiscal-policy-coordination/eu-economic-governance-
monitoring-prevention-correction/european-semester/framework/
europe-2020-strategy_en
206 R. TEIGLAND ET AL.
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Trust and Crises in the EU:
Exit, Voice and Loyalty
Göran von Sydow
The European Union has been in a state of crisis for several years. Several
subsequent crises have come one after the other: the euro crisis, the refu-
gee crisis and most recently ‘Brexit’. The Union’s leading representatives
seem to have been deeply affected by the grave situation. The President of
the European Council, Donald Tusk, spoke in September 2016 about the
EU being in an ‘existential crisis’. In the same month, the President of the
European Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, also painted a dark picture
of the state of the Union:
Never before have I heard so many leaders speak only of their domestic
problems, with Europe mentioned only in passing, if at all. Never before
have I seen representatives of the EU institutions setting very different pri-
orities, sometimes in direct opposition to national governments and national
Parliaments. It is as if there is almost no intersection between the EU and its
national capitals anymore. Never before have I seen national governments
so weakened by the forces of populism and paralysed by the risk of defeat in
the next elections. Never before have I seen so much fragmentation, and so
little commonality in our Union. (Juncker, 2016)
restore trust. Those who instead consider this to be a perilous path argue
that the fundamental prerequisites for taking such a step do not exist and
that trust would instead be severely damaged. Promoters of a sort of in-
the-middle muddle-through perspective emphasise that even though the
EU is facing severe stresses in which trust and loyalty will be challenged,
integration will nevertheless proceed in small steps.
The loyalty of the EU member states can thus be seen as a manifesta-
tion of trust, and yet political leaders need to be responsive to public opin-
ion in matters that have become increasingly politically sensitive. The
three disruptive challenges—systemic crises—for the EU referred to above
can all be, I contend, regarded in the light of the concepts of exit, voice
and loyalty. These concepts have been used by scholars including Stein
Rokkan when he studied state formation and nation-building processes in
Europe (Rokkan, 1970). Interaction and balance between how difficult it
is for political entities (people, social actors, territories, states) to exit a
context and what opportunities for political influence exist are central to
this typology, in which loyalty is seen as a mediating factor. If the balance
between exit controls and voice channelling is distorted, problems of loy-
alty (and trust) will ensue. The evolution of the EU should not be regarded
as a classical state formation process, but the issues that the EU nowadays
has become increasingly involved in impinge on matters related to core
state powers. Over time, the scope of European integration has expanded
and extended into policy areas that are more politically controversial (De
Wilde & Zürn, 2012). Taken together, this puts sharper focus on the basis
of the legitimacy of the Union.
A State in the Making?
The hybrid nature of the EU as something more than a strictly intergov-
ernmental organisation but less than a federal state offers a particular chal-
lenge. If one were to regard the European integration process as an
endeavour to engage in state formation, it can be useful to analyse it by
applying the concepts of exit, voice and loyalty. When Stein Rokkan wrote
about the emergence of the nation state, he was inspired by Albert
O. Hirschman’s classic book Exit, Voice and Loyalty: Responses to Decline
in Firms, Organizations and States. Put in simple terms, Hirschman’s the-
ory seeks to explain how we behave in response to decline. Should one
leave, object or acquiesce? Aimed at categorising alternative ways of react-
ing, Hirschman introduced the concepts of exit, voice and loyalty. Exit
216 G. VON SYDOW
politicisation and fragmentation, but this does not seem to be the case
when the EU devotes itself primarily to regulatory activities.
regulate, first and foremost, how we make decisions and not what decisions
can or cannot be made. Naturally, there are restraints imposed by the rule
of law but, in general, the will of the people should influence the direction
of policy. The EU treaties tend to lock the political output of the Union
to a particular policy outcome (von Sydow, 2014). This constitutional
lock-in of policy direction also makes things considerably more difficult
for those who suggest that the EU should be politicised and that there
should be more political conflict surrounding the question of which EU
we would like to see in the future. It is hard to foresee that such a genuine
political arena for political competition and accountability can become a
reality within the framework of the current constitutional order in the EU,
even though one can argue that small steps were taken in this direction
during the European Parliament election in 2014 when, for example,
party groups put forward candidates for the President of the European
Commission before the election (i.e. the so-called Spitzenkandidanten)
(Hix, 2006).
In the absence of a means for the national parties to handle the EU
dimension within the frameworks of representative democracy, a need is
thus emerging to manage these conflicts and tensions in other ways,
including referendums. Holding referendums tends, however, to politi-
cise rather than depoliticise the EU question. In subsequent elections,
this benefits parties that are highly critical of the EU (von Sydow, 2013).
Because mainstream parties and other social elites usually support the
EU, a conflict between the ‘people’ and the ‘elites’ is shaped. Referendums
can thus be considered as a way of dealing with the lack of a functioning
electoral linkage in the EU. In addition to the difficulty of ‘squeezing’ the
EU dimension into traditional conflict structures on the national level,
such as the left-right scale (and the EU’s tendency to split parties inter-
nally), referendums can also be used for tactical reasons. For example,
when the former British Prime Minister David Cameron promised a ref-
erendum on UK membership in the EU (ahead of the 2015 general elec-
tion), his intention was to isolate the national (and for him, the primary)
voter arena from the EU issue, in a bid to win the election. It did not
exactly work out according to the plans, to say the least. However, in
terms of exit, voice and loyalty, British voters were afforded an opportu-
nity to use their voice to make an exit from the EU. Although this did not
occur within the framework of representative democracy but instead via a
referendum.
222 G. VON SYDOW
The euro crisis, that has been ongoing for several years, shows that there
does not seem to be any exit from the monetary union, or at least that the
cost would be high. At the most critical points of the Greek crisis, a volun-
tary or forced exit (‘Grexit’) seemed imminent, but the price of allowing a
member country to leave has obviously been judged to be far too high.
Trust has been put under pressure as a consequence. The countries most
severely affected, such as Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain, have
been castigated for inadequate regulatory compliance and other short-
comings. The leading countries in the euro zone, Germany in particular,
have had credibility problems in their arguments, however, since several of
them were the first to breach the common regulations—without sanctions
(see Clas Wihlborg and Sarkis J. Khoury’s chapter in this volume).
In addition, the euro countries have gone above and beyond what is
stipulated in the TEU no-bailout clause and the crisis management mea-
sures have brought several institutional and political reorganisations that
transfer further decision-making power to the EU level. This makes the
legitimacy concerns partially different. Scharpf argues that declining trust
in the EU is a consequence of the increasing politicisation of the issues
combined with the inability to find a legitimate way to exercise power at
the EU level. There is no functional means of creating the input legitimacy
that would be needed to strengthen legitimacy and the political system of
the EU does not seem able to generate output legitimacy either (Scharpf,
2015).
Antagonisms between EU member states surfaced and trust between
them was damaged during the euro crisis. White describes how a kind of
state of exception emerges in crisis, creating a situation in which drastic
actions can be implemented under a coercive logic (White, 2015). Often,
these actions are such that go beyond, or outside, the rules laid down in
the EU treaties. Meanwhile, Mény sees the emergence of a kind of ‘execu-
tive federalism’ whose flawed democratic qualities make it unsustainable in
the long term. In a regime where political alternatives are ‘locked-in’
under the mantra that ‘there is no alterative’ (TINA), the options available
to the electorate are severely limited (Mény, 2014). Müller describes this
state of affairs as a European tragedy in which populism will grow if politi-
cal leaders are unable to give any better reason for policy than the TINA
mantra (Müller, 2016). In this way, populism and technocracy are mirror
TRUST AND CRISES IN THE EU: EXIT, VOICE AND LOYALTY 223
images of each other. The populist logic claims that there is only one
authentic will of the people (and that the populist leader is the best
equipped to interpret it). To technocrats, on the other hand, critique of
the current economic and political order in the EU is seen as expressions
of irrationality, since in their view there are only a few ways in which eco-
nomic growth and political stability can be achieved. Both of these polar
opposites can be seen over the course of the crisis.
Especially in the EU countries worst hit by the crisis, there is limited
political scope for politicians who are aiming to adhere to agreements to
even suggest far-reaching changes. The prime examples of this lock-in of
political alternatives were seen in Ireland and Greece when lenders, repre-
sented by the so-called Troika (IMF, ECB and the European Commission),
demanded loyalty from both governing parties and opposition parties in
order to effectuate loans. When voters later go to the polls, it is not
unlikely that they will feel a certain measure of powerlessness. When there
is no alternative among the mainstream parties, there is a certain allure to
aligning with the parties that have often expressly dismissed governing
responsibility and instead unilaterally emphasised responsiveness, listening
and channelling opinions (Mair, 2011).
Seen from the electorate’s horizon, it also seems that what constitutes
potential political alternatives is determined somewhere else, outside of
national/electoral borders. Consequently, the pushback against a unilat-
eral emphasis on accountability is also directed at the EU. Within the EU,
the member states are expected to be loyal to the agreements they have
signed. The qualitative difference in the current situation in the euro zone
is that decisions bound by common respect and commitments are so
extensive and that they concern areas often surrounded by a high level of
national political conflict. One could say that the regulations that have
sprouted up around the common currency were intended to have a built-
in barrier against political ‘irresponsibility’ (i.e. not so strict fiscal and
monetary policies). The problem is that increasing criticism of this arrange-
ment is evident in the choices of the electorate. In fact, the limited scope
of action can encourage system-critical opposition because that which was
intended to create trust between elites at the European level has actually
created distrust of the EU at the national level.
During the crisis, former Belgian minister and political scientist Paul
Magnette (later Minister-President of Wallonia and, in 2016, the leader of
the opposition against the EU-Canada trade agreement) asked the rhe-
torical question ‘Who is Olli Rehn?’ (Schmidt, 2015, p. 102). The context
224 G. VON SYDOW
was that Rehn (then the European Commissioner for Economic and
Monetary Affairs) had given a stern warning to the Belgian government
that they must further cut the national budget or face sanctions. At the
time, the relatively recently installed Belgian government had just cobbled
together a comprehensive savings package after protracted negotiations
among many parties in the fragmented Belgian party system. Was the
Commission now going to override that which the national parliamentary
system had, with considerable difficulty, managed to push through?
Magnette’s rhetorical question stemmed from frustration over the asym-
metric relationship between power and accountability. If the national gov-
ernments, to a great extent, implement policy that was actually decided
elsewhere, by non-elected EU officials, who are the electorate supposed to
hold accountable? And through which electoral arena?
Greek voters have gone to the polls repeatedly during the gruelling
years of crisis, but the impression is that voters might not primarily want
to hold their national politicians accountable for the policy they have pur-
sued. A referendum on whether to accept the conditions of the bailout
package for Greece was held in July 2015. The outcome was a clear rejec-
tion of the conditions (61 percent of the voters said ‘no’). This was a way
for the Greek government to raise its voice against the lenders. Ultimately,
however, the Greek government chose loyalty to existing agreements and
to implement the policy dictated in the deal with the troika. The complex
arrangements that control policy frameworks in the euro zone offer few
opportunities for the system to respond to the demands of the electorate.
The voice of a single member state’s public cannot unilaterally change the
direction of the EU. Combined with what seems to be no option to exit
the euro (due to the high costs associated thereto), all that remains is to
attempt to generate loyalty in a rule-based manner in the face of the politi-
cal and economic bonds created by the common currency.
existence of a door by which the member state can leave clarifies the com-
mitments of EU membership.
But taking back control, as promised by the Brexiteers, may prove
much harder than first anticipated. It seems that the British government
prefers regained national sovereignty over other desirable objectives, such
as economic growth and prosperity. The EU has made it clear that any
splitting of the free movement of goods, services, capital and people is out
of the question and thus indicates that negotiations between the EU and
the UK are going to end with a hard exit from the EU and that the new
relationship will be considerably less extensive than what the UK enjoys
today as being a full member of the Internal Market. Thus, there is an exit
from the EU, which eliminates the demand for loyalty. But lack of partici-
pation also begs the question of what voice the UK and its citizens are
giving up by leaving the important decision-making arenas to which they
have thus far had access.
which was to vote no to the proposal that the EU should be able to force
Hungary to accept refugees without the approval of the Hungarian
National Assembly. But the outcome of the referendum was declared
invalid due to the low voter turnout of 43 percent. The EU member states
that supported the decision on mandatory quotas contend that the deci-
sion was made in a valid process. But the problem of how the EU should
handle the issue remains. As said, there are certain ways and means avail-
able, but the nature of the issue is not only legal, political concerns must
be considered as well.
When European Commission President, Jean-Claude Juncker, dealt
with the issue of solidarity in the refugee policy in his State of the Union
address in 2016, he said, ‘[W]hen it comes to managing the refugee crisis,
we have started to see solidarity. I am convinced much more solidarity is
needed. But I also know that solidarity must be given voluntarily. It must
come from the heart. It cannot be forced.’ There is no explicit reference
to the mandatory quotas in Juncker’s remarks, but the address is still open
to the interpretation that the President of the Commission does not
believe that Brussels can hierarchically force loyalty and solidarity from EU
member states. One way of interpreting this conciliatory attitude is that it
is an expression of the ‘informal pact of confidence’ mentioned at the
beginning of the chapter and of that the European Commission does not
believe it has sufficient legitimacy to coerce loyalty through hierarchical
governance. The risk is that it would inflame the conflict and that the
recalcitrant countries would instead choose to exit the EU. At present,
however, it does seem as if the wayward countries have judged the cost of
exit to be far too high.
The unilateral opposition to adhering to the EU treaties’ demand for
loyalty of individual member states may present a risk of undermining the
collective trust among all member states, which would have systemic con-
sequences. The dynamics of the tensions arising from the management of
the refugee crisis are somewhat different than those of both ‘Brexit’ and
the euro crisis. The refugee crisis not only involves member states’ oppor-
tunities for voice in relation to the loyalty that is expected of them, but it
also risks effecting fundamental issues related to boundaries, both national
and European. As Genschel and Jachtenfuchs (2016) show in their study
of the European integration of core state powers, this has been possible
because the member states that did not want to participate could choose
‘opt-outs’. The demand for solidarity on the refugee issue seems to disal-
low this because it would impact the system as a whole. Now, opinions are
TRUST AND CRISES IN THE EU: EXIT, VOICE AND LOYALTY 229
instead being voiced that flexibility is the only reasonable way to resolve
this conflict.
Another aspect that Genschel and Jachtenfuchs emphasise is that the
Europeanisation of core state powers is taking place primarily via regula-
tion and not capacity-building (Genschel & Jachtenfuchs, 2016). The
solution to the refugee crisis that, for the moment, seems the most
favoured among European leaders involves securing the external borders
of the EU. This would seemingly require more extensive European
capacity-building, which the member states might find more difficult to
justify than creating common regulations. Management of the refugee
crisis is inciting obvious tensions as regards trust in the EU. The perspec-
tive of the countries opposed to a common EU policy in the area is that it
would undermine national democracy and lead to deep distrust of the
EU. On the part of those who argue that the EU needs to act in solidarity,
there is peril that if joint responsibility is not taken this also risks foment-
ing distrust of the EU. If the European Commission does not take action
against the refractory member states, there is risk that the other member
states will begin to distrust the motives for the actions of the supranational
institutions and ask why they themselves should be loyal when the
Commission, on some other matter, opens infringement proceedings
against them. If the solution to this conflict lies in some kind of ‘flexible
solidarity’, there is risk that an attitude towards the EU, by which the
member countries can cherry-pick (or, in terms of the concepts of exit and
voice, engage in repeated partial exit from EU policy areas they do not
like), will be entrenched. This could damage trust in the system as such.
With no mandatory requirements for loyalty and low costs of (partial)
exit, the issue of legitimacy in the EU becomes less problematic, but it also
seems reasonable to believe that the benefit of cooperation would decline
substantially (perhaps even to the point where citizens start asking what is
the point of cooperating at all).
central to correcting the problems of trust in the EU. In the light of grow-
ing populism and nationalism, it is imperative that actors endeavouring to
defend the European project find a formula for establishing trust among
the electorate. The often-cited technocratic rationality obviously does not
suffice. Instead, it should be possible to combine accountability and
responsiveness without obscuring relevant conflicts by means of depoliti-
cising techniques. At the same time, it is a major challenge of constitu-
tional policy to find a formula that balances demands for constitutionalism,
democracy and effectiveness in a complex and intertwined political system
such as the EU.
If the current formula is to endure—high demands for loyalty to deci-
sions made at the EU level while democracy remains national—it needs to
be based on the premise that national democracy is capable of managing
the conflicts that arise between loyalty to the EU and responsiveness to the
electorate. In times when the forces of populism are gathering strength, it
is easy to see how a shift in favour of responsiveness to public opinion at
home. This could make it more difficult to re-establish trust in and loyalty
to the common project. If trust is based on expectations about the future
behaviour and loyalty of others, political developments in several EU
member states, involving populism and nationalism, present a particular
challenge. If we do not trust that others will uphold key principles, there
is risk that our own faith in the system as a whole will be undermined. If,
moreover, the supranational Union does not have adequate means at its
disposal to stop a march away from constitutional democracy in the mem-
ber states, there is risk that trust will diminish even further.
One way of solving this problem is to have clear principles and values,
as well as procedures for managing breaches of these principles and values.
But it must also be even more clearly stressed in public debate that as long
as democracy remains primarily national, the capacity of the EU to compel
loyalty—in politically sensitive and controversial matters—will have its
limitations. It thus will not suffice, as some political leaders claim, for the
EU to return to simply ‘deliver’ desirable output. Emphasising effective-
ness on the output side is not enough to ensure an increase in trust in the
EU again, quite simply because the challenges the EU is confronting
today are of a politically controversial nature and thus demand another
form of legitimation. It would be a mistake for political representatives at
the national and EU level to not take these matters seriously, and a first
step in the right direction would be to facilitate a comprehensive debate
TRUST AND CRISES IN THE EU: EXIT, VOICE AND LOYALTY 233
about the future of the EU that is directed at and yet aims beyond the
dichotomy between federalisation and re-nationalisation.
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Index
R
Radicalization, 66 S
Rational-legal authority, 58 Safello, 201
Reagan, R., 1–2 Sakwa, R., 48–49
Referenda, 111, 221 Sanctions
Greece, 224 decision to apply, 37–38
Hungary, 226–228 initiation, 34–35
See also Brexit Scharpf, F. W., 219
Refugee crisis, 56, 226–229 Scheingold, S. A., 219
as part of values crisis, 28–32 Schengen area, 16
response to, 27 Schengen cooperation, 143, 226
and value crisis, 25–26 Schlösser, T. M., 104
Refugee policy, systemic crises, 214 Schuman Declaration, 214
Refugees Schuman, R., 4
attitudes to, 25–26 Security issues, 141
resettlement, 27 Self-determination, 10
Refugee situation, 7 Self-interest, 68
Regulation Services Directive, 120
sharing economy, 186 Sharing economy, 17–18, 182
and social trust, 96 benefits, 185–186
Regulatory capture, 131 blockchain development and
Regulatory framework, banking, 128 implementation, 201–203
Rehn, O., 223–224 blockchain protocols, 197
Reservoir of goodwill, 68, 69, 82, 87 blockchains and the EU, 197–201
Rights, protection of, 11 blockchains as means of increasing
Risk management, sharing economy, trust, 195–197
186–187 blockchains overview, 198
246 INDEX