Module in Math
Module in Math
Learner’s Module
Unit 3
DEPE
Ma. Corazon P. Loja, Roger T. Nocom, Rowena S. Requidan, and Jones A.
Tudlong, PhD
Illustrator:Cyrell T. Navarro
Layout Artists:Aro R. Rara and Ronwaldo Victor Ma. A. Pagulayan
Management and Specialists:Jocelyn DR Andaya, Jose D. Tuguinayo Jr.,
D
Elizabeth G. Catao, Maribel S. Perez, and Nicanor M. San Gabriel Jr.
Unit 3
Module 6: Permutations and Combinations 275
Lessons and Coverage 276
Module Map 277
Pre-Assessment 278
Learning Goals and Targets 282
Lesson 1: Permutations 283
Activity 1 283
Activity 2 284
Activity 3 286
Activity 4 286
Activity 5 295
Activity 6 296
Activity 7 297
Activity 8 298
Activity 9 299
Activity 10 299
Summary/Synthesis/Generalization 300
Lesson 2: Combinations 301
Activity 1 301
Activity 2 303
Activity 3 304
Activity 4 310
Activity 5 311
Activity 6 311
Activity 7 312
Activity 8 314
Activity 9 315
Activity 10 315
Summary/Synthesis/Generalization 316
Glossary of Terms 317
References and Website Links Used in this Module 317
DEPE 275
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D
II. LESSONS AND COVERAGE
Lesson 1 – Permutations
Lesson 2 – Combinations
276
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Here is a simple map of the lessons that will be covered in this module:
COMBINATORICS
Problems Involving
Permutations
Problems Involving
Combinations Combinations
Problems Involving
Permutations and Combinations
277
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III. PRE-ASSESSMENT
Part I
Find out how much you already know about the topics in this
module. Choose the letter that you think best answers the question.
Please answer all the items. Take note of the items that you were
not able to answer correctly and find the right answer as you go
through this module.
18. In a room, there are 10 chairs in a row. In how many ways can
5 students be seated in consecutive chairs?
A. 720 B. 600 C. 252 D. 120
279
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20. If w = C(5, 2), x = C(5, 3), y = C(5, 4), and z = C(5, 5), and we
are given 5 points on a plane of which no three are collinear,
which expression gives the total number of polygons that can
be drawn?
A. x + y C. x + y + z
B. w + x + y D. w + x + y + z
21. C(n, n) = .
A. n B. r C. 1 D.
ca
nn
ot
be
de
ter
mi
ne
d
22. If C(n, r) = 35, which of the following are possible values of n
and r? A. n = 6, r = 4 B. n = 7, r = 3 C. n
= 8, r = 3 D. n = 9, r = 2
280
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Part II
Read and understand the situation below, and then answer the
question or perform what is required.
Suppose you had graduated from high school but did not have
enough money to continue your college education. You decided to
work temporarily and save for your schooling. You applied at Mr.
Aquino’s restaurant and were hired. After a few days, you noticed
that the restaurant business was not doing very well, and Mr.
Aquino asked for your opinion. What you noticed was that there
was no variety in the food being served in the restaurant.
281
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Rubric on Problems Formulated and Solved
Score Descriptors
Poses a more complex problem with two or more correct
possible solutions and communicates ideas accurately,
6 shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes, and provides explanations wherever
appropriate.
Poses a more complex problem and finishes all significant
parts of the solution and communicates ideas accurately,
5
shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes
Poses a complex problem and finishes all significant parts of
the solution and communicates ideas accurately, shows in-
4
depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts and/or
processes
Poses a complex problem and finishes most significant parts
of the solution and communicates ideas accurately, shows
3
comprehension of major concepts although neglects or
misinterprets less significant ideas or details
Poses a problem and finishes some significant parts of the
2 solution and communicates ideas accurately, but shows
gaps on theoretical comprehension
Poses a problem but demonstrates little comprehension,
1
not being able to develop an approach
Source: D.O. #73, s. 2012
282
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A. A close friend invited Anna to her
birthday party. Anna has 4 new blouses
(stripes, with ruffles, long-sleeved, and
sleeveless)
Start Lesson and 3 skirts
1 of (red, pink,
this module and
by assessing your knowledge of the
basicblack) in her
counting closet called
technique reserved for such
the Fundamental Counting Principle. This
occasions.
knowledge and skill will help you understand permutations of objects. As
you go1. through
Assuming thisthat
lesson, keepcan
any skirt in mind this important question:How does
be paired
the concept of permutation help in
with any blouse, in how many ways formingconclusions and in making wise
decisions?To
can Annabe able to answer
select her outfit?this,List
perform
the each activity that follows.
Seek the assistance
possibilities. of your teacher and peers if you encounter any
difficulty.
2. HowHave yourblouse-and-skirt
many work checked by yourteacher.
pairs are possible?
3. Show another way of finding the answer in item 1.
Activity 1:
283
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Questions:
a. How did you determine the different possibilities asked for
in the two situations? What methods did you use?
b. What did you feel when you were listing the answers?
Were you able to list all the possibilities asked for? How did you
ensure that your list was complete? What method(s) did you use in order
to give the accurate count? Why do you think there is a need to know the
number of possible ways a certain task can be done? You will find this out
as you go through this lesson.
Activity 2:
1. Ten runners join a race. In how many possible ways can they
be arranged as first, second, and third placers?
3. In how many ways can Aling Rosa arrange 6 potted plants in a row?
284
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5. If there are 3 roads from Town A to Town B and 4 roads from
Town B to Town C, in how many ways can one go from Town
A to Town C and back to Town A, through Town B, without
passing through the same road twice?
8. You want to order your lunch from the school canteen, which
offers student meals consisting of 1 cup of rice, 1 meat dish,
and 1 vegetable dish. How many choices do you have for your
meal if there are 3 choices of meat dishes and 2 choices of
vegetable dishes?
Questions:
a. How did you find the answer to each of the questions?
What previously learned principle did you apply?
b. Show and explain how you answered each item.
In the activity you have done, were you able determine the exact
number of ways of doing each task or activity described? What
mathematics concept or principle did you use? How was that principle
applied? Some of these tasks or activities share similarities or differ from
others in some sense. How do they differ? You will find out as you go
through the next sections of this module.
285
Activity 3:
Questions:
1. In which situations in Activity 2 is order or arrangement of the
selection important?
2. Justify your answer by giving an example for each situation.
3. In performing a certain task where order or arrangement is
important, what do you call each possible arrangement?
Activity 4:
Perform the following activity using four number cards with different
digits. Follow all instructions and write all your answers on a clean
sheet of paper. Then, complete the table and answer the questions
that follow.
Results:
Questions:
a. What do you call each arrangement?
b. Can you find any pattern in the results?
c. Can you think of other ways of finding these answers?
287
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How did you find the preceding activities? Are you ready to learn
about permutations? From the activities you have done, you recalled the
Fundamental Counting Principle which is an essential tool in under-
standing about arrangement, or permutations. You also identified tasks in
which the arrangement or order is important. How canpermutationshelp
insolvingreal-life problems or in makingconclusionsanddecisions?You will
find out in the next activities. Before doing these activities, read and
understand first some important notes on permutations including the
examplespresented.
PY
C
We can determine the number of ways these plants can be
arranged in a row if we arrange only 4 of them at a time. Each possible
arrangement is called a permutation.
288
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How do we find the number of permutations of n objects
taken r at a time? Study the following illustrations:
Example 1. Given the 4-letter word READ. In how many ways can we
arrange its letters, 3 at a time?
Solution: There are 3 positions to be filled. We write the horizontal marks:
_ _ _. On each horizontal mark, we write the number of
choices we have in filling up the said position. There are 4
choices for the first position. After the first position is filled,
there are 3 choices left for the second position. After the
first and second positions are filled, there are 2 choices
left for the third position. So the three entries on the
horizontal marks would be
432
Solution: P(5, 4) = 5 ⋅ 4 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 2
= 120 ways
Solution: n = 5, r = 5
P(5, 5) = 5 ⋅ 4 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 2 ⋅ 1 (5 factors)
OPY
= 120 possible pictures
5) = 5! = 120.
=
290
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Remember:The permutation ofnobjects takenrat a time is:
n!
P(n,r) = , n≥r
(nr)!
P(4, 4) = 4!.
P= 10!
3! 3! 2!
= 50 400 permutations
Example 6.
a. In how many ways can 3 people be seated around a
circular table?
Solution: n=3
(a)
1 (b)
1
Notice
3 that the2 arrangement 1-2-32 in (a) above
3 is the
same as 2-3-1 and 3-1-2; meaning these 3 permutations are
just one and the same. Notice also that the arrangements 1-
3-2, 3-2-1, and 2-1- 3 are also just the same as seen in (b).
6
P =
3
= 3!
3
= 3 ⋅ 2!
3
= 2!
293
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We can also look at it this way:
P= 24
4
based on the list made
= 4!
4
4 ⋅ 3!
=
4
= 3!
Or simply, P = (n - 1)!
= (4 - 1)!
= 3!
= 6
294
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http://mathworld.wolfram.com/circularpermutations.h
t ml
http://www.mathsisfun.com/combinatorics/combinatio
Know more about ns-permutations.html
permutations through http://users.math.yale.edu/~anechka/math107/lecture
these websites. 13.pdf
Activity 5:
Questions:
a. How did you calculate the different permutations?
b. What mathematics concepts or principles did you apply to
solve each permutation?
c. Did you find any difficulty in finding the answers? What
technique or strategy can you think of to facilitate your way
of solving?
How did you find the preceding activity? Was it easy? I am sure it
was! Find out from your peers if you had the same answers or strategies
in solving. If not, discover why. In the next activity, you are going to apply
the concept of permutations to solve real-life problems.
295
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Activity 6:
296
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Activity 7:
COP
a. there are no restrictions?
b. books of the same subject must be placed together?
c. if they must be placed alternately?
How were the activities done so far? Were you able to answer all of
the exercises? I hope you just did successfully!
297
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In this section, permutation was discussed, including permutation with
identical objects, circular permutation, and its real-life applications. You may go
back to the previous sections and compare your initial ideas about the concept
of permutation. Were these further clarified?
Now that you have learned the basic ideas about permutations, let
us deepen your understanding and study the next section.
Activity 8:
3.
a. Find the number of permutations of n objects when
arranged (n - 1) at a time for any positive integer n.
b. Find the number of permutations of n objects when taken
all at a time.
c. Compare the two (a and b). Explain why the answers still
make sense.
298
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In this section, the discussion was about your understanding of
permutations and how they are illustrated and used in real life. What new
realizations do you have about permutations? How would you connect
these realizations to real life?
Activity 9:
Write an entry in your journal describing how much you already
learned about permutations and their applications. Include also
whatever points in the lesson in which you still need clarifications, and
work on these with your teacher.
Now that you have a deeper understanding of the topic, you are
ready to do the tasks in the next section.
CO
Your goal in this section is to apply your learning to real-life situations.
You will be given a practical task which will demonstrate your
understanding of permutations.
Activity 10:
Do the following tasks by group.
A. Give 3 examples of problems or situations in real life that involve
permutations. In each example,
1. explain the problem or situation.
2. solve the problem.
3. discuss how you can use these sample situations in your daily
life, especially in formulating conclusions and/or making
decisions.
B. It is in international summits that major world decisions happen.
Suppose that you were the overall in charge of the seating in an
international convention wherein 12 country-representatives were
invited. They are the prime ministers/presidents of the countries of
Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Japan, Libya, Malaysia,
Philippines, South Korea, USA, and United Kingdom.
1. If the seating arrangement is to be circular, how many seating
arrangements are possible?
2. Create your own seat plan for these 12 leaders based on your
knowledge of their backgrounds. Discuss why you arranged
them that way.
299
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Rubric on Problems Formulated and Solved
Score Descriptors
Poses a more complex problem with two or more correct
possible solutions and communicates ideas accurately,
6 shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes, and provides explanations wherever
appropriate.
Poses a more complex problem and finishes all significant
parts of the solution and communicates ideas accurately,
5
shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes
Poses a complex problem and finishes all significant parts of
the solution and communicates ideas accurately , shows in-
4
depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts and/or
processes
Poses a complex problem and finishes most significant parts
of the solution and communicates ideas accurately , shows
3
comprehension of major concepts although neglects or
misinterprets less significant ideas or details
Poses a problem and finishes some significant parts of the
2 solution and communicates ideas accurately but shows gaps
on theoretical comprehension
Poses a problem but demonstrates little comprehension, not
1
being able to develop an approach
Source: D.O. #73, s. 2012
SUMMARY/SYNTHESIS/GENERALIZATION
300
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Solve each problem below and answer the questions that follow.
2. You were tasked to take charge of the auditions for the female
parts of a stage play. In how many possible ways can you form
your cast of 5 female members if there were 15 hopefuls?
301
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5. How many possible permutations are there in the letters of the
word PHILIPPINES?
1. How did you find the number of ways asked for in eachitem?
What mathematics concepts or principles did you apply? How did
you apply these concepts or principles?
2. Which situations above illustrate permutations? Which do not?
Why?
302
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Were you able to find what was required in each problem? Were you
able to recall and apply the different mathematics concepts or principles
in solving each problem?Whydo you think it is important to be able to
perform such mathematical tasks? You will find this out as you go through
thislesson.
Activity 2:
Study the tasks or activities below, and then answer the questions that
follow.
Questions:
In the activity you have just done, were you able to identify situations
that involvepermutationsand those that do not? The latter are
calledcombinationsand you will learn more about them in the next
activities.
303
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Activity 3:
B. Get 3 fruits.
1. a. Select a fruit 1 piece at a time. Do all possible selections.
b. Illustrate or describe each selection.
c. Count the number of different selections you have made
when using 1 object at a time from the 3 given fruits.
2. a. Select 2 fruits at a time.
b. Illustrate or describe each selection.
c. Count the number of selections you have made, using 2
objects at a time from the 3 given fruits.
3. a. Select 3 fruits at a time.
b. Illustrate or describe each selection.
c. Count the number of selections you have made, using all
the 3 fruits at a time.
C. Get 4 fruits.
1. Repeat Steps B.1 to 3.
2. a. Continue the process until you select 4 fruits at a time.
b. Illustrate or describe each selection.
c. Count the number of different selections you have made
using all the 4 fruits at a time.
304
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Results:
Questions:
How did you find the preceding activities? Are you ready to learn
aboutcombinations? From the activities you have done, you identified
tasks in which the arrangement or order is important (permutations) and
those in which order is not (combinations). You recalled the Fundamental
Counting Principle as well as permutation which are essential concepts in
understanding combinations. In the next sections of this learning module,
keep in mind the important question:How can the concept ofcombinations
help in solving real-life problems or in formulating conclusions and making
wise decisions?You will find out when you do the next activities. Before
doing these activities, read and understand first some important notes
oncombinations.
305
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Suppose you were assigned by your teacher to be the leader of
your group for your project. You were given the freedom to choose 4
of your classmates to be your group mates. If you choose Aira, Belle,
Charlie, and Dave, does it make any difference if you choose instead
Charlie, Aira, Dave, and Belle? Of course not, because the list refers
to the same people. Each selection that you could possibly make is
called a combination. On the other hand, if you choose Aira, Belle,
Dave, and Ellen, now that is another combination, and it is different
from the first combination cited.
EPE
We can see that ABC is the same as BCA and CBA. In the
D
same manner, BCD is the same as CBD and DBC. This is another
illustration of combination. The different triangles that can be formed
are ABC,
ABD, BCD, and CDA. Thus, there are 4 combinations.
306
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How can we find the number of combinations more
systematically? Consider this: If order of the letters is important, then
we have the following possibilities:
(4 − 3)!
= 24.
C P(4, 3) P(4, 3)
or or . (Equation 1)
( 6 3!
4
,
3
)
=
n!
Since P(n, r) = then ,
(n − r )!
C(n, r) =
P
(
= n
,
= r
)
r
!
n
!
(
n
−
r
)
!
r!
n!
.
r!(n − r)!
307
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Remember:The combination ofnobjects takenrat a timeis:
n!
C(n, r)= , n≥r≥0
r!(nr)!
n
C(n,r) =
!
r
!
(
n
−
r
)
!
= 8!
4! (8 − 4)!
876254321
=
43214321
= 7 2 5 after common factors are cancelled
= 70 ways
Permutation of n objects
P(n,r)
previous page, C(n,r) = takenr at a time
r!
8765 Permutation of r objects
=
4!
There are r = 4 factors
87625
=
4321
= 7 2 5 after common factors are cancelled
= 70 ways
308
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Example 2. How many polygons can be possibly formed from 6
distinct points on a plane, no three of which are collinear?
654
=
321
=5∙4+5∙3+6+1
= 20 + 15 + 7
N = 42 possible polygons.
www.beatthegmat.com/mba/2013/09/27/does-order-
matter-combinations-and-non-combinations
http://www.mathsisfun.com/combinatorics/combinations
-permutations.html
DEP
E
309
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Your goal in this section is to apply the key concepts of combinations.
Use the mathematical ideas and the examples presented in the preceding
section to answer the given activities.
Activity 4:
Study the following situations. Then, answer the questions that follow.
Questions:
310
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Activity 5:
How did you find the activity? Was it easy? I guess it was! Go on to
the next activity to apply your knowledge of combinations in real-life
situations.
Activity 6:
Solve the following problems completely. (Choose a partner.)
311
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9. From 7 Biology books and 6 Chemistry books, in how many
ways can one select 2 Biology and 2 Chemistry books to buy if
all the said books are equally necessary?
10. Mrs. Rivera’s business is gown rental and sale. She decided
one day that she would display her 10 newest gowns in her
shop’s window to attract customers. If she only had 5
mannequins and planned to change the set of gowns every 2
days, how many days will have to pass before she runs out of
a new set to display?
Activity 7:
O
Science books, and 3 English books on a shelf such that books
of the same subject are kept together?
EPE
2. In how many ways can 6 students be seated in a row of 6 seats
if 2 of the students insist on sitting beside each other?
D
3. In a gathering, the host makes sure that each guest shakes
hands with everyone else. If there are 25 guests, how many
handshakes will be done?
312
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4. Suppose you are the owner of a sari-sari store and you want to
put 12 pieces of canned goods in a row on the shelf. If there are
3 identical cans of meat loaf, 4 identical cans of tomato sauce,
2 identical cans of sardines, and 3 identical cans of corned beef,
in how many different ways can you display these goods?
How did you find all the activities you have done? I hope you have
answered the exercises correctly.
313
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In this section you are going to think more deeply and test further
your understanding of combinations. After doing the following activities,
you should be able to answer the important question:How
arecombinations used in forming conclusions and making wise decisions?
Activity 8:
7!
C(7, 3) =
4! 3!
7 ⋅ 6 ⋅ 5 ⋅ 4!
=
4
!
=3
!
7
⋅
6
⋅
5
3
⋅
2
⋅
1
= 35 different polygons
314
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c. In how many possible ways can the top five players in the
semi- finals come up?
d. In how many possible ways can the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd
placer be declared in the final round?
e. How many matches will be played altogether?
Activity 9:
Write an entry in your journal describing how much you have
learned about combinations, and how these can be applied to real life.
Add also the parts of the lesson that you still find confusing, if any.
Work on these difficulties with your teacher.
Now that you have a deeper understanding of the topic, you are
ready to do the tasks in the next section.
315
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Rubric on Problems Formulated and Solved
Score Descriptors
Poses a more complex problem with 2 or more correct
possible solutions and communicates ideas accurately,
6 shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes, and provides explanations wherever
appropriate.
Poses a more complex problem and finishes all significant
parts of the solution and communicates ideas accurately,
5
shows in-depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts
and/or processes.
Poses a complex problem and finishes all significant parts of
4 the solution and communicates ideas accurately , shows in-
depth comprehension of the pertinent concepts and/or
processes
Poses a complex problem and finishes most significant parts
3 of the solution and communicates ideas accurately , shows
comprehension of major concepts although neglects or
misinterprets less significant ideas or details
Poses a problem and finishes some significant parts of the
2 solution and communicates ideas accurately but shows
gaps on theoretical comprehension
Poses a problem but demonstrates little comprehension,
1
not being able to develop an approach
Source: D.O. #73, s. 2012
SUMMARY/SYNTHESIS/GENERALIZATION
This lesson was about combinations and their applications in
real life. Through the lesson, you were able to identify situations that
describe combinations and differentiate them from those that do not.
You were also given the opportunity to perform practical activities to
further understand the topic, formulate related real-life problems, and
solve these problems. You also applied your knowledge to formulating
conclusions and making wise decisions. Your understanding of this
lesson, combined with other previously learned Mathematics concepts
will help you understand the next lesson, probability.
316
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GLOSSARY OF TERMS
n-Factorial – the product of the positive integer n and all the positive
integers less than n. n! = n(n – 1)(n – 2) … (3)(2)(1).
References:
Singapore: Pearson
317
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McCune, S. (2010). Statistics. New York: The Mc-Graw-Hill Companies, Inc.
319
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II. LESSONS AND COVERAGE
Probability In these
EPE
Probability of Probability of Conditional
Compound Events Independent Events Probability
10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
4. A man tosses a fair coin eight times, and observes whether the
toss yields a head (H) or a tail (T). Which of the following
sequences of outcomes yields a head (H) on his next toss?
(I) TTTTTTTT
(II) HHTHTTHH
A. I C. Neither I nor II
B. II D. Either I or II
321
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5. A baby has 5 blocks in a box. One block is red, one is yellow,
one is green, one is blue, and one is black. The baby pulls out
a block, looks at it, and puts it back in the box. If he does this 4
times before he gets bored and crawls away, what is the
probability that the 4 blocks selected are all of the same color?
5
A. B. 54 D.
54 C. 5
54 4
7. A family has two children. Suppose that the birth of each child
is an independent event and that it is equally likely to be a boy
or a girl. Let C denote the event that the family has one boy and
one girl. Let D denote the event that the family has at most one
girl. Which of the following must be true about events C and D?
A. C and D are independent events.
B. C occurs given that D does not occur.
C. C and D are not independent events.
D. C and D are mutually exclusive events.
Number of Number of
Number of
Food with Food with
Type of Food with
Harmful Both Bacteria Total
Food Bacteria
Chemicals and Harmful
Only
Only Chemicals
Fried 35 15 18 68
Boiled 46 14 32 92
Grilled 24 8 8 40
Total 105 37 58 200
323
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12. The probability that a visit to the school clinic is neither due to
dental reasons nor medical reasons is 35%. Of those coming
to the clinic, 30% are due to medical reasons and 40% are due
to dental reasons. What is the probability that a visit to the
school clinic is due to both dental and medical reasons?
A. 0.05 B. 0.12 C. 0.18 D. 0.25
14. There are four batteries, and one of them is defective. Two are
to be selected at random for use on a particular day. Find the
probability that the second battery selected is not defective,
given that the first was not defective.
2 1 1 1
A. 3 B. 4 C. 3 D.
2
High 125 12
Low 7 6
324
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16. What is the probability that it has high scratch resistance and
high shock resistance?
A. 125 B. 125 C. 137 D. 132
150 137 150 150
4 3 12
respectively. Determine the probability that a randomly
chosen employee will choose no supplementary coverage.
7 1
A. B. 2
9 C. 144
D.
1
4
4
b.) What were some of your assumptions in part (a) of this item?
Justify your answer.
Read and understand the situations below and solve the problem. Show
your complete solution.
325
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20. Food Preference Survey. A school conducts a
survey of their students’ food preference during lunch
and gets the following information:
327
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Consider the situation below. Use your knowledge on probability in
answering the questions that follow.
1. A die is rolled once. Find the probability of obtaining
Begin Lesson 1 of this module by assessing your knowledge and skills of
a. a 5.
the different mathematics concepts related to counting techniques and
b. a 6.
probability of simple events as well as concepts of sets you previously studied.
c. knowledge
These an odd number.
and skills are important in understanding the probability of
compound events. As you go through this lesson, think of this question,Why
2. A box contains 3 red balls, 5 yellow balls, and 2 blue balls. If a
doyou think is the study of probability important in making decisions in real life?
ball is picked at random from the box, what is the probability
Activity 1:
that a ball picked is a
a. yellow ball?
b. red ball?
The above activity helped you recall your knowledge of probability of simple
events. If you roll a die, the number that would come up could be 1, 2, 3,
328
4,5,or6.Whenthedieisrolled,itisequallylikelytolandononefaceason
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anyother.Therefore,theprobabilityofgettinga“5”isoneoutof6.Insymbol,
1 1
weuseP(gettinga5)= . Alwaysrememberthat is the probabilitythat
6 6
any of the faces shows up.
Activities such as rolling a die, tossing a coin, or randomly choosing a ball
from a box which could be repeated over and over again and which have well-
defined results are calledexperiments.The results of an experiment are
calledoutcomes.The set of all outcomes in an experiment is called asample
space. An event is a subset of the sample space.
PE
number�
of�
ways�
the�event�
can�
occur
number�of�possible�
outcomes
or
PE
number�
of�outcomes�in�
the�
event
number�
of�
outcomes�in�
the�sample�
space
329
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Activity 2:
Consider the situation below. Use the tree diagram given below in
answering the questions that follow.
330
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Reflect:
a. What does the tree diagram tell you?
b. How did you determine the sample space?
c. Differentiate an outcome from a sample space.
Give another example of an outcome.
d. Aside from the tree diagram, how else can you find
the total number of possible outcomes?
e. Describe the outcome in this situation as compared to
the events that you studied in grade 8.
From the above activity, you were able to recognize that the events in the
given situation are not simple events. This is because in finding the sample, you
need to find first the sample space using the fundamental counting principle. The
events mentioned here are called compound events. Typically, when the sample
space is finite, any subset of the sample space is an event. Any subset of the
sample space is an event. Since all events are sets, they are usually written as
sets (e.g., {1, 2, 3}).
Example:Finding the probability of “getting a 6 and a 1” when two dice are rolled
is an event consisting of (1, 6), (6, 1) as outcomes. The first die falls in 6 different
ways and the second die also falls in 6 different ways. Thus, using the
fundamental counting principle, the number of outcomes in the sample space is
66 or 36. The outcomes in the sample space are:
{(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (1, 6), (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3),…,(6, 5), (6, 6)}.
Take note that “getting a 6 and a 1” when two dice are rolled is an event
consisting of {(1, 6), (6, 1)} as outcomes. This is a compound event.
The next activity will help you understand the concept of intersection and
union of events.
331
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Activity 3:
Extra-curricular
activities participated
by senior students
Reflect:
332
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Illustrative Example: The Venn diagram below shows the
probabilities of grade 10 students joining either soccer (S) or
basketball (B).
B probabilities.S
Use the Venn diagram to find the
a. P(B)
b. P(S)
c. P(B∩S)
d. P(B∪S)
e. P(B’∩S’)
Complement of an Event
The complement of an event is the set of all outcomes that are
NOT in the event. This means that if the probability of an event, A, is
P(A), then the probability that the event would not occur (also called
the complementary event) is 1 – P(A), denoted by P(A’). Thus, P(A’) =
1 – P(A).
333
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P(B’∩S’) can be determined by finding the part of the diagram
where everything outside of B overlaps with everything outside of S. It
is the region outside of both circles and that probability is 0.1. Another
way to think of this is P(B∪S)’ or 1 - P(B∪S).
The next activity will help you understand the concepts of events which are
mutually exclusive and which are not mutually exclusive. As you answer the next
activity, try to figure out events which are mutually exclusive and which are not.
Activity 4:
Consider the situations below and answer the questions that follow.
Reflect:
a. How did you answer each question?
b. What do you notice about the events in each question?
(e.g., 1.c as compared to 1. d, question 2 as compared to
question 3).
c. Draw a Venn diagram showing the sample space for
numbers 3 and 4. What do you notice about the Venn
diagrams?
334
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To help you understand the concepts of mutually exclusive and non-
mutually exclusive events, read the discussion below.
CO
probability that either A or B occurs is the sum of their
probabilities. In symbols,
The Venn diagram below shows events A and B which are not
mutually exclusive because A and B intersect. Note that there are
outcomes that are common to A and B which is the intersection of A
and B.
A B
335
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P(A or B)
If two events, A and B, are not mutually exclusive, then the
probability that either A or B occurs is the sum of their probabilities
decreased by the probability of both occurring. In symbols,
Activitythe
Consider 5: situation below and answer the questions that follow.
O
1. This section requires
serves you to use the mathematical ideas you learned from
C
A restaurant a bowl of candies to their customers.
the activity and from the discussion. Answer the problems in the following
Theinbowl
activities of candies
different Gabriel
ways when receives has 10 chocolate
possible.
candies, 8 coffee candies, and 12 caramel candies. After
Gabriel chooses a candy, he eats it. Find the probability of
getting candies with the indicated flavors.
a. P (chocolate or coffee) c. P (coffee or caramel)
b. P (caramel or not coffee) d. P (chocolate or not caramel)
336
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Did you answer all the questions correctly? To help you understand more
about mutually exclusive events, you may proceed toActivity 6.
Activity 6:
1. Mario has 45 red chips, 12 blue chips, and 24 white chips. What
is the probability that Mario randomly selects a red chip or a
white chip?
In previous lessons, you learned about counting techniques and you were
able to differentiate permutation from combination. In the next activity, observe
how the concepts of permutation and combination are used in solving
probabilityproblems.
337
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Activity 7:
Consider the situation below and answer the questions that follow.
Reflect:
a. How did you answer each question?
b. In finding the probability of each event above, what
concepts are needed?
c. Differentiate the event required in question 1 as
compared to questions 2 and 3.
d. Compare the events in questions 2 and 3. What
necessary knowledge and skills did you need to get the
correct answer? How did you compute for the probability
of an event in each case?
Activity 8:
339
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This section gives an opportunity for you to apply what you have learned
in this lesson to real-life situations. You are asked to do certain tasks that will
demonstrate your understanding of probability of compound events, mutually
exclusive events, and not mutually exclusive events.
Activity 9:
SUMMARY/SYNTHESIS/GENERALIZATION
Situation
and
and
In 1:
probability
then put
Consider
Lesson
9 yellowofballs.
compound
back
a box
1 of this
inside
that contains
module,
A ball events.
is drawn
the
you learned
You
box.
at will
random
Then,
COP
14 red
about
and
formally
balls,
another
12 blue
the basic
the color
learn,
ball is
balls, of the
concepts
is notedwhy the
for example,
drawn at it.
outcome of the flip of a fair coin is independent of the flips that came before
random. Find the probability that:
a. both are blue.
Activity 1:
Y
b. the first is red and the second is yellow.
Reflect:
a. Compare the process of getting the probabilities in each of
the situations above?
b. In situation 1, is the probability of obtaining the second ball
affected by the first ball? What about in situation 2?
c. What conclusion can you make about events happening in
the given situations above? How are these events
different?
341
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You have just completed Activity 1 on understanding dependent and
independent events. Continue by considering the discussion that follows. Please
read thoroughly and if needed, you may go back to the situations given inActivity
1of thislesson.
14
6
the second draw, the probability of getting a white marble is . Then on the
13
7
third draw, the probability of getting a red marble is . So,
12
7
P(1 white, 1 white, 1 red) =
⋅ 6⋅ 7=7
14 13 12 52
342
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If two events, A and B, are dependent, then the probability of
both events occurring is the product of the probability of A and the
probability of B after A occurs. In symbols,
Consider the situation below and answer the questions that follow.
COP
the activity and from the discussion. Answer the problems in the following
2 green marbles. A marble is randomly selected, replaced, and
activities in different
a second waysiswhen
marble possible.
randomly selected. Find the probability of
selecting a black marble, then a yellow marble.
Activity 2:
3. A rental agency has 12 white cars, 8 gray cars, 6 red cars, and
3 green cars for rent. Mr. Escobar rents a car, returns it because
the radio is broken, and gets another car. What is the probability
that Mr. Escobar is given a green car and then a gray car?
Did you answer all the questions correctly? If not, you may go back to the
discussion. Otherwise you may proceed to Activity 3. Now, using your own words,
differentiate independent events from dependent events. Then, you may answer
the questions in the next activity.
343
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Activity 3:
Consider the situation below and answer the questions that follow.
344
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Activity 5:
Reflect:
a. What new realizations do you have about the probability of a
dependent event?
b. How would you connect this topic to other concepts that you
have previously learned?
c. How would you use these concepts in real life?
Activity 6: CO
Two events are independent if the occurrence of one of the events
gives no information about whether or not the other event will occur; that
is, the events have no influence on each other. If two events, A and B,
are independent, then the probability of both events occurring is the
product of the probability of A and the probability of B. In symbols,
P(A and B) = P(A) • P(B).
345
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Conditional probability plays a key role in many practical
applications of probability. In these applications, important conditional
probabilities are often drastically affected by seemingly small changes
in the basic information from which the probabilities are derived.
Reflect:
a. How did you answer question number 3? How is the
condition different from that of question number 4?
b. How did you find the probability that the second battery
selected was not defective, given that the first was not
defective?
In Activity 1, you notice that a condition was given when you were asked to
find the probability of an event. How does the given condition affect the probability
of an event? Activity 1 shows an example of probability involving conditions which
we refer to as conditional probability. To understand conditional probability
further, you may proceed to Activity2.
346
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Activity 2:
The usual notation for "event A occurs given that event B has
occurred" is "A|B" (A given B). The symbol | is a vertical line and does
not imply division. P(A|B) denotes the probability that event A will
occur given that event B has occurred already. We define conditional
probability as follows:
For any two events A and B with P(B) > 0, the conditional
probability of
A given that B has occurred is defined by
P(A ∩ B)
P(A | B) =
P(B)
347
When two events, A and B, are dependent, the probability of
both events occurring is
P (First and
P (Second|First ) =
Second ) P
(First )
= 0.25
0.42
= 25
42
= 0.60 or 60%
Activity 3:
348
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Question for discussion: Does the occurrence of event A give
information
about the probability of event X? Why or Why not?
1. P(X) = 0.15 S X A
2. P(A) = 0.40
3. P(X ∩ A)= 0.06 0.090.060.34
P (X ∩ A)
4. P (X |A ) =
0.51
P A
= 0.06
0.40
= 0.15
Take note that from 1) and 4), P(X) and P(X|A) are both equal to
0.15.
P (A ∩ B )
P (A|B ) =
P B
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)∙P(B).
Activity 4:
Answer the following questions.
This section requires you to use the mathematical ideas you learned from
1. previous
the Given that P(S) =and
activities 0.3,from
P(S|Q) = 0.4, and Answer
the discussion. P(Q) = the
0.5,problems
find the in the
following activities
following in different ways when possible.
probabilities:
a. P(S∩Q)
b. P(Q|S)
c. P(S’|Q)
d. P(S|Q’)
350
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Reflect:
a. What do you notice about the conditional
probability of independent events?
b. How about the conditional probability of dependent
events?
Activity 5:
Activity 6:
This time you need to reflect on and further find out your understanding
For numbers 1 and
of dependent to 3,independent events.
consider the Venn diagram on the right.
D
351
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This section provides an opportunity for you to apply what you have
learned in this lesson to real-life situations. You are asked to do certain tasks
that will demonstrate your understanding of conditional probability.
Activity 7:
Recommended Topics:
1. Driving and cell phone use
2. Diet and health
3. Professional athletics
4. Costs associated with a college education
SUMMARY/SYNTHESIS/GENERALIZATION
For any two events A and B with P(B) > 0, the conditional probability of
A given that B has occurred is defined by
P (A ∩ B )
P (A|B ) =
P B
Union of Events – a set that contains all of the elements that are in at
least
one of the two events. The union is written as A ∪ B .
References:
Conditional
Probability.http://www.stat.yale.edu/Courses/1997-
98/101/condprob.htm Accessed on 6 March 2014