Valuation
Valuation
Valuation
5.1: Book Value of Debt and Equity of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited ....................... 20
5.3 Market Value of Debt and Equity of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited ..................... 25
Page 1 of 109
Chapter-6: Optimal capital structure of the Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited ............ 31
6.1 Methods for evaluating optimal capital structure for Beximco pharmaceutical limited:
.............................................................................................................................................. 31
Chapter-7: Cost of Debt, Cost of Equity and WACC and Valuation using FCF Model 39
Chapter-8: Relative Valuation: Using P/E and EV/ EBITDA Multiple ........................... 47
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10.2 ROE Sensitivity Analysis of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited: ............................... 70
12.6 Analysis of the dividend pattern and identifying dividend policy though key parameters
.............................................................................................................................................. 85
References ............................................................................................................................... 96
Appendix ................................................................................................................................. 98
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Introduction
Chapter-1
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Chapter-1: Introduction
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1.2 Objective of the Report
Due to inadequate information, in-depth analysis could not be done in the report
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1.5 Sources and Methodology
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Overview of the Beximco
Chapter-2 Pharmaceuticals Limited
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Chapter-2: Overview of the Beximco Pharmaceuticals
Limited
“We are committed to enhancing human health and well-being by providing contemporary
and affordable medicines, manufactured in full compliance with global quality standards.
We continually strive to improve our core capabilities to address the unmet medical needs of
the patients and to deliver outstanding results for our shareholders.”
We will be one of the most trusted, admired and successful pharmaceutical companies in the
region with a focus on strengthening research and development capabilities, creating
partnerships and building presence across the globe.
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2.4 Corporate goal of the BEXIMCO Pharmaceuticals Limited
As per the managing director’s statement in the annual report of Beximco Pharmaceuticals
Limited, the corporate goal of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited is – “Creating value for all
our customers and shareholders”.
They are always focused on their strategic and aspirational targets, enabling then to maintain
their strong sales growth and achieve milestone events like approval from US Food and Drug
Administration (US FDA).
BEXIMCO activity goes well beyond the sphere of business. As socially conscious and
responsible corporate body. BEXIMCO is committed to the improvement of the society as a
whole. BEXIMCO helps many NGO's in their effort to make available healthcare to the
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disadvantage population of the Country. It sponsors programs to build awareness on the
healthcare need. BEXIMCO is also a major sponsor of sporting events in the country.
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Chapter-3 Economy Analysis
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Chapter-3: Economy Analysis
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3.3 Inflation Expectation:
In 2016 the inflation rate in Bangladesh was 5.52%. Looking forward, we estimate Inflation
Rate in Bangladesh to stand at 5.60 in 12 months’ time. In the long-term, the Bangladesh
Inflation Rate is projected to trend around 4.80 percent in 2020, according to the econometric
models.
Inflation Rate
7.54%
8.00% 7.00%
6.19%
5.52%
6.00%
3.85%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Inflation 3.85% 7.54% 7.00% 6.19% 5.52%
Years
From the above graph we can see that the inflation expectation is decreasing which may
encourage the investment in the country.
From the above graph we can see that export is decreasing which is negative sign for any
economy.
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Chapter-4 Industry Analysis
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Chapter-4: Industry Analysis
Pharmaceutical Industry
Company Name P/E Market Capitalization
(Billion)
Square Pharma 16.46 194.0
BEXIMCO Pharma 14.64 45.3
ACI Limited 6.33 22.7
Central Pharma 27.88 3.0
Ibn Sina Pharma 21.5 6.4
Central Pharma 27.88 3.0
Orion Pharma 8.78 11.6
Salvo Chemical 23.4 1.4
Glaxo SmithKline 27.36 17.6
Renata Limited 18.14 69.2
Marico Bangladesh 22.47 32.4
P/E ratio of different companies in pharmaceutical industry is shown on the above table. As of
2016, Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited's P/E ratio is 14.64 and it is close to the industry
average P/E ratio of 20.10
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P/E
16.46
14.64
27.88
27.88
27.36
18.14
22.47
6.33
21.5
8.78
23.4
SmithKline
BEXIMCO
Ibn Sina
Chemical
Bangladesh
ACI Limited
Limited
Pharma
Pharma
Pharma
Pharma
Central
Central
Pharma
Renata
Square
Orion
Pharma
Salvo
Marico
Glaxo
The price to earnings ratio of various companies within the industry is shown in the above
chart.
1. Barriers to Entry:
Page 17 of 109
2. Threat of Substitutes:
At present in Bangladesh there is 269 allopathic, 205 Ayurvedic, 266 unani, 27 herbal and 79
homeopathic drug manufacturing companies running in the nation. So the customers have the
luxury to switch to substitutes at an ease. Considering this situation, we can say that threat of
substitutes are high for pharmaceuticals industry.
Drug manufacturing companies in Bangladesh have to depend on the suppliers from China,
India, Germany, UK, France, Italy, Denmark, Switzerland, Austria etc. for raw materials
purpose. So, the bargaining power of supplier is high. But the establishment of API park is
supposed to lower the bargaining power of suppliers in future.
Rivalry among Existing Competitors are high for the pharmaceuticals industry in Bangladesh.
Roughly 258 companies are operating in the market of Bangladesh. More than 450 generic
drugs are produced for 5300 registered brands, which have 8300 different forms of dosages
and strengths. So, the existing companies compete for each other market share.
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Chapter-5 BV and MV of debt and
Equity
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Chapter-5: MV and BV of Debt and Equity
The book value of debt of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited for latest five financial year is shown in the following table. The audited financial
statements of this company includes financial lease as part of long term borrowing. However, the book value of debt includes only short term and
long-term debt. So, we have excluded the obligations related to financial lease from long term borrowings.
Particular 2012 ( Dec) 2013 (Dec) 2014 (Dec) 2015 (Dec) 2016 (June)
Short Term Borrowings (Secured) 1,526,449,918 2,776,266,125 3,153,121,293 3,163,551,475 1,109,644,270
Long Term Borrowings-Current Maturity (Secured) 572,381,042 652,689,720 536,347,056 566,057,233 763,008,456
Project Loan - Local Banks 568,588,942 652,689,720 536,347,056 530,674,236 444,621,118
Project Loan - BHF Bank, Germany 35,382,997 41,054,236
AB Bank 277,333,102
Interest and PAD Block 3,792,100
Long Term Borrowings-Net off Current Maturity 1,336,416,545 1,001,325,040 608,901,223 477,848,224 1,953,756,203
(Secured)
Project Loan - Local Banks 1,336,416,545 1,001,325,040 608,901,223 156,856,364
Project Loan - BHF Bank, Germany 320,991,860 469,408,422
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AB Bank 1,484,347,781
Total BV of Debt 3,435,247,505 4,430,280,885 4,298,369,572 4,207,456,932 3,826,408,929
Explanation: The short-term borrowings of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited includes the arrangement of short term loan from AB Bank. The
project loan from local banks was sanctioned under the consortium arrangement of Janata Bank Ltd., Sonali Bank Ltd., Agrani Bank Ltd., Rupali
Bank Ltd. and United Commercial Bank Ltd. for the US FDA standard oral solid dosage facility of the company. This Loan, carrying interest at
13.00% to 15.50% per annum, is repayable in quarterly instalments ending by 2017. Another term loan agreement arranged in 2015 was project
Loan from BHF Bank, Germany.This represents part of the foreign currency loan of US $ 51.559 million sanctioned by BHF-Bank
Aktiengesellshaft, Frankfurt, Germany to partially finance the machinery and equipment to be procured for expansion and diversification project
being implemented by the company. The loan carries interest @ 6 month’s USD LIBOR plus 2.25% per annum. The lender will receive
commitment fee @ 0.50% on the undisbursed portion of the loan. Moreover, Beximco Pharma has arranged another term loan agreement with AB
bank.
The book value of equity of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited for latest five financial year is shown in the following table. The issued capital of
Bexico pharmaceuticals Bangladesh shows continuous growth because of providing stock dividend in the continuous basis.
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Table 2: BV of Equity of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited
Particulars 2012 ( Dec) 2013 (Dec) 2014 (Dec) 2015 (Dec) 2016 (June)
issued share capital 2517678100 3046390500 3503349070 3678516520 3862442340
share premium 5269474690 5269474690 5269474690 5269474690 5269474690
excess of issue price over face value 1689636958 1689636958 1689636958 1689636958 1689636958
capital reserve on merger 294950950 294950950 294950950 294950950 294950950
revaluation surplus 1466602600 1406527880 1349578805 1299220315 1225100042
fair value gain on investment 0 0 1341619 2308651 1295558
retained earnings 5889784879 6701180881 7667220373 8686077241 10716511871
Total BV of equity 17128128177 18408161859 19775552465 20920185325 23059412409
Book value debt and equity have been shown separately in the previous sections. In this section book value of the whole firm has been determined.
We will get book value of firm by adding book value of debt with book value of equity. The following tables shows the determination of book
value of firm.
BDT’mn
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Table 3: Book value of Firm
Total BV of Debt
3,435.25 4,430.28 4,298.37 4,207.46 3,826.41
Total BV of Equity
17,128.13 18,408.16 19,775.55 20,920.19 23,059.41
Total Book Value of Firm
20,563 22,838 24,074 25,128 26,886
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BV of Debt, Equity and Firm of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited
26,886
2016 (June) 23,059.41
3,826.41
25,128
2015 (Dec) 20,920.19
4,207.46
24,074
Year
22,838
2013 (Dec) 18,408.16
4,430.28
20,563
2012 ( Dec) 17,128.13
3,435.25
The book value of debt shows an increase in 2013 which is caused by doubled amount of short term loan taken from AB Bank. . This figure
decreased slightly at the end of 2014, because a significant portion of the project loan from local bank had been paid during that accounting period.
From the period of 2015 to 2016, a decreasing trend is visible to us. Book value of equity shows an gradual increase, which is magnified by trend
of declaring a stable rate of bonus share and accumulation of retained earnings to use for internal purpose.
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5.3 Market Value of Debt and Equity of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited
Market Value of Debt:
The debt instruments used in Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited are not marketable. The project Loan from BHF Bank, Germany, or term loan
form AB Bank are not marketable. So, there is no available market value of these debt instruments. However, the book value of debt is used as
proxy of market value of debt in this case. The following table shows the market value or book value of debt of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited.
Particular 2012 ( Dec) 2013 (Dec) 2014 (Dec) 2015 (Dec) 2016 (June)
Short Term Borrowings (Secured) 1,526,449,918 2,776,266,125 3,153,121,293 3,163,551,475 1,109,644,270
Long Term Borrowings-Current Maturity 572,381,042 652,689,720 536,347,056 566,057,233 763,008,456
(Secured)
Project Loan - Local Banks 568,588,942 652,689,720 536,347,056 530,674,236 444,621,118
Project Loan - BHF Bank, Germany 35,382,997 41,054,236
AB Bank 277,333,102
Interest and PAD Block 3,792,100
Long Term Borrowings-Net off Current 1,336,416,545 1,001,325,040 608,901,223 477,848,224 1,953,756,203
Maturity (Secured)
Project Loan - Local Banks 1,336,416,545 1,001,325,040 608,901,223 156,856,364
Project Loan - BHF Bank, Germany 320,991,860 469,408,422
AB Bank 1,484,347,781
Total BV Or MV of Debt 3,435,247,505 4,430,280,885 4,298,369,572 4,207,456,932 3,826,408,929
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Market Value of Equity:
The market value of equity is totally determined by the market price of the stock of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited. The following table shows
the market value of equity of Beximco Pharmaceuticals at different point of time from 2012 to 2016.
Particular 2012 ( Dec) 2013 (Dec) 2014 (Dec) 2015 (Dec) 2016 (June)
Market Price Per Share 55.90 47.2 58.7 84.1 83.5
Number of shares outstanding 304,639,050 350,334,907 367,851,652 386,244,234 386,244,234
Market Value of Equity
17,029,322,895 16,535,807,610 21,592,891,972 32,483,140,079 32,251,393,539
The closing price of the stock of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited for the last trading day of each year has been used here. But, the closing price
of last trading day of June,2016 is used in the last column. The number of outstanding shares has been increased gradually due to declaration of
bonus share.
Market value or book value of debt and market value of equity have been shown separately in the previous sections. In this section, market value
of the whole firm has been determined. We will get market value of firm by adding book value or market value of debt with market value of equity.
The following tables shows the determination of market value of firm.
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Amounts in BDT
Page 27 of 109
5.4 Comparison of the BV of debt, BV of equity and BV of the firm:
The following chart shows the comparison of the market value of debt, market value of equity and that of the whole firm from 2012 to 2016.
36,690.60
2015 (Dec) 32,483.14
4,207.46
Year
25,891.26
2014 (Dec) 21,592.89
4,298.37
20,966.09
2013 (Dec) 16,535.81
4,430.28
20,464.57
2012 ( Dec) 17,029.32
3,435.25
The book value or market value of debt shows an increase in 2013 which is caused by doubled amount of short term loan taken from AB Bank. .
This figure decreased slightly at the end of 2014, because a significant portion of the project loan from local bank had been paid during that
accounting period. From the period of 2015 to 2016, a decreasing trend is visible to us. The decline in the market value of the equity at the end of
2013 was caused by the fall in price which was associated with bad performance of the overall stock market. DSEX, the broad index of Dhaka
Stock Exchange, was below 4000 on an average during that year. The huge increase in market capitalization in 2015 and 2016 was associated with
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outstanding performance of the price of the stock of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited. These increases were also associated with good
performance of the overall market, because Beximco Pharmaceutical has a beta of 1.15. It shows that movement of market value of equity of
Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited is highly associated with overall market performance.
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Chapter-6 Optimal capital structure of
the Beximco
Pharmaceuticals Limited
Page 30 of 109
Chapter-6: Optimal capital structure of the Beximco
Pharmaceuticals Limited
Before we proceed to the analysis here we show the current capital structure of Beximco
pharmaceuticals limited-
14.23%
85.77%
Debt Equity
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6.2 Peer company analysis:
In this approach we have calculated debt to equity ratio and debt to capital ratio of peer companies
of Beximco pharmaceuticals limited. Here by peer companies we mean companies making similar
products, operating in the same industry and having identical business and financial risk and
business models. Here we present the peer company analysis-
From this analysis we can see that the optimal capital structure for Beximco pharmaceuticals
should be 11% debt and 89% equity.
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6.3 Quantitative approach:
In this approach we have calculated cost of equity and cost of debt for different debt to equity ratio
and have calculated WACC for each combination of debt to equity ratio for Beximco
pharmaceuticals limited.
For estimating the cost of equity for different capital structures at first, we have unlevered the beta
of the current cost of equity from the CAPM model then we levered the beta with desired debt to
equity ratio to determine the cost of equity for different capital structure.
To determine the marginal cost of debt we have followed the debt rating approach. For doing the
debt rating we have prepared a set of assumption and these are-
Assumptions
Interest Estimated Grade Explanation Spread over ratings
Coverage ratio bond
rating
>8.50 AAA Investment Extremely strong 0.05%
6.50 - 8.50 AA Investment Very strong 0.10%
5.50 - 6.50 A+ Investment Strong 0.15%
4.25 - 5.50 A Investment `0.50%
3.00 - 4.25 A- Investment 0.55%
2.50 - 3.00 BBB Investment Adequate 0.60%
2.00 - 2.50 BB Speculative Faces major future 0.65%
1.75 - 2.00 B+ Speculative uncertainties 0.70%
1.50 - 1.75 B Speculative Faces major 2.50%
1.25 - 1.50 B- Speculative uncertainties 3.00%
0.80 - 1.25 CCC Speculative Currently vulnerable 4.00%
0.65 - 0.80 CC Speculative Currently highly 5.00%
vulnurable
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0.20 - 0.65 C Speculative Has failed 6.50%
bankruptcy petition
< 0.20 D Default In default 8.00%
Then we have calculated the interest coverage ratio for each capital structure for an arbitrary rating
assigned to them on the basis of average ratings provided to Beximco pharmaceutical limited and
companies like it to arrive at the marginal cost of debt for each capital structure.
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Marginal cost of debt:
Page 35 of 109
According to the quantitative approach the optimal capital structure for Beximco pharmaceutical
limited is-
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6.4 Optimal Capital structure for Beximco pharmaceuticals limited:
From the analysis of the above two approaches we take average of the two results and conclude that the optimal capital structure at
which the WACC of Beximco pharmaceuticals limited is 10.5% debt and 89.5% equity.
85.77% 89.50%
The reasoning for going to a lower debt mix of capital structure is the cost of equity is relatively low for Beximco pharmaceuticals
limited and the even though the cost of debt is lower but there is very low difference between them. As a result the equity financing is
actually cheaper for Beximco pharmaceuticals limited and Due to high lending rates prevailing in the economy it is difficult to get loans
at much lower rates but the equity premium is low in the capital market for being a defensive company and both the methods used
confirm our results as the peer companies are highly unlevered too.
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Chapter-7 Cost of Debt, Cost of Equity and
WACC and Valuation using FCF
Model
Page 38 of 109
Chapter-7: Cost of Debt, Cost of Equity and WACC and
Valuation using FCF Model
The project loan from local banks was sanctioned under the consortium arrangement of Janata
Bank Ltd., Sonali Bank Ltd., Agrani Bank Ltd., Rupali Bank Ltd. and United Commercial Bank
Ltd. for the US FDA standard oral solid dosage facility of the company. This Loan is repayable in
quarterly instalments ending by 2017. The carrying interest rate of this loan for different years is
shown in the below table:
Interest rate on 13% - 13% -15.5% 13% -15.5% 13%-14.5% 11.5%- 13%
Project loan -local 15.5%
banks
Another term loan agreement arranged in 2015 was project Loan from BHF Bank, Germany.This
represents part of the foreign currency loan of US $ 51.559 million sanctioned by BHF-Bank
Aktiengesellshaft, Frankfurt, Germany to partially finance the machinery and equipment to be
procured for expansion and diversification project being implemented by the company. The loan
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carries interest @ 6 month’s USD LIBOR plus 2.25% per annum. The lender will receive
commitment fee @ 0.50% on the undisbursed portion of the loan.
Beximco Pharmaceutical arranged another term loan from AB Bank in the period between January
2016 to June 2016. The rate of this term loan is not mentioned in the financial statements of
Bexmico Pharmaceuticals Limited.
Now we have all the rates of different term loans and current loans of Bexmico Pharmaceuticals
Limited. We have used the loan figures as per the balances sheet on 30 June 2016 of Beximco
Pharmaceuticals Limited to find out the weight of each type debt arrangement. Then we have
multiplied each type of loans rate with their respective weight. By adding all these weighted rate
we have determined the cost of debt of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited as 7.88%
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Particular 2016 (June) Weight Lending
Rate
Short Term Borrowings (Secured) 1,109,644,270 0.29
Long Term Borrowings-Current Maturity 763008456 0.20
(Secured)
Project Loan - Local Banks 444,621,118 0.12 12.25%
Project Loan - BHF Bank, Germany 41,054,236 0.01 3.83%
AB Bank 277,333,102 0.07 13%
Long Term Borrowings-Net off Current 1,953,756,203 0.51
Maturity (Secured)
Project Loan - BHF Bank, Germany 469,408,422 0.12 3.83%
AB Bank 1,484,347,781 0.39 13%
Total BV of Debt 3,826,408,929
Cost of Debt, 𝑲𝒅 7.88%
𝑅𝑚 = market return.
𝛽 = Beta which indicates the sensitivity of a stock return with market return.
Risk Free Rate: We have used the cut of yield of 364 days treasury bill of Bangladesh Bank issued
on 18/09/2017.
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Calculation of Beta: The basic formula to determine beta of any stock is to dividing the
covariance between market return and any specific stock return by the variance of market return.
The formula is as follows:
𝐶𝑜𝑣 (𝑅𝑚 , 𝑅𝑖 )
𝛽𝑖 =
𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑅𝑚 )
We have used the monthly closing data of DSEX and the stock of Beximco Pharmaceuticals
Limited from 2012 to October 2017. We have calculated the stock return and index return from
these data. However, we have adjusted the closing prices for stock of Beximco Pharmaceuticals
Limited for Stock dividend and cash dividends while determining stock return. The formula to find
out the stock return and index return is as follows:
𝑰𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒙 𝒓𝒆𝒕𝒖𝒓𝒏
= (𝑪𝒍𝒐𝒔𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒊𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒙 𝒐𝒇 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒍𝒂𝒔𝒕 𝒅𝒂𝒚 𝒐𝒇 𝒕𝒉𝒊𝒔 𝒎𝒐𝒏𝒕𝒉⁄𝑪𝒍𝒐𝒔𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒊𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒙 𝒐𝒇 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒍𝒂𝒔𝒕 𝒅𝒂𝒚 𝒐𝒇 𝒑𝒓𝒆𝒗𝒊𝒐𝒖𝒔 𝒎𝒐𝒏𝒕𝒉) − 𝟏
Stock return =
[Cash dividend +{ ( Current month’s closing price – Previous month’s closing price) / Stock
dividend }] / Closing Price of previous month
In the above formula the cash dividend is used in per share basis. However, stock dividend is
showed as percentage basis by adding 1 with the respective percentage. The data used for
calculation is shown in the appendix. Now we have calculated the covariance between the DSEX
return and return of the stock of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited and the variance of the return
of DSEX index. The results are as follows-
So we have found the Beta of the stock of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited as 1.25. It is the raw
beta. So, we have to conduct Blumes adjustment on this beta. The adjusted beta will be as follows:
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The market return is calculated by taking average of the monthly return of DSEX index. We have
to multiply monthly average index return with 12 to find out yearly market return which will be
used to determine cost of equity. The following table show the market return.
= 8.47%
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7.4 Valuation using FCF Mode:
We have determined the intrinsic value of the share of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited using
free cash flow valuation model. Here, we have to forecast the pro-forma income statement and
pro-forma balance sheet first based on our assumptions on different variables. The forecasting
horizon is five years here. So, we have formulate pro-forma income statement and balance sheet
for 2017 to 2021.
Based on the assumption sheet the pro-forma income statement and pro-forma balance sheet for
Beximco Pharmaceuticals has been forecasted to determine the value of the firm. The pro-forma
income statement and pro-forma balance sheet are shown in Appendix 3 and Appendix 4
respectively. Using pro-forma income statement, we can easily calculate the EBIT. Using the FCF
model the intrinsic value per share of Beximco Pharmaceutical Limited in the below graph:
Page 44 of 109
Particulars 2016 A 2017 E 2018 E 2019 E 2020 E 2021 E
EBIT 4,228,735,313 4,492,323,206 4,764,639,572 5,041,537,639 5,319,097,229
Tax rate 25.43% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43% 25.43%
EBIT (1-tc) 3,153,310,664 3,349,864,587 3,552,927,214 3,759,406,353 3,966,378,781
Plus: Depreciation 945,578,143 1,048,771,156 1,118,324,354 1,229,132,294 1,384,821,743
Less: Capital investment 2,001,230,352 2,290,408,138 2,632,194,292 3,038,042,460 3,522,292,946
Less: Change in WC 844,273,653 814,893,969 863,848,269 1,339,344,979 1,716,509,128
FCF 1,253,384,802 1,293,333,636 1,175,209,006 611,151,208 112,398,449
Cost of capital 8.47% 8.47% 8.47% 8.47% 8.47%
Year 1 2 3 4 5
PV of discount factor 0.9219 0.8499 0.7835 0.7223 0.6659
PV of FCF 1155489621 1099192664 920788706 441443546 74845973
Summation of PV of FCF 3,691,760,510
Terminal growth rate 1.8%
Terminal value 1141953306.68
PV of terminal value 760,425,142
Enterprise value 4,452,185,652
Less: Interest bearing debt 4,396,039,400
Here, the terminal growth is assumed to be 1.8%. We have used the population growth rate as the
proxy of real economic growth. Based on the cost of capital of 8.47%, the value per share of the
stock of Beximco Pharmaceuticals limited is BDT 138.44.
Recommendation: Now the current market price is BDT 100.2. So, the share of Beximco
Pharmaceuticals Limited is undervalued in DSE. So, our recommendation is to BUY the stock of
Beximco Pharmaceuticals.
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Chapter-8 Relative Valuation: Using
P/E and EV/ EBITDA
Multiple
Page 46 of 109
Chapter-8: Relative Valuation: Using P/E and EV/ EBITDA
Multiple
P/E: It is described as the price – earnings ratio and describes the amount of price investors
are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings.
EV/EBITDA: it is depicted as Enterprise value-earnings before interest, tax, depreciation
and amortization. It describes the value of the firm for each dollar unit of EBITDA
generated.
For the calculation of value based on P/E multiple we have calculated the median P/E of the peer
companies and then have multiplied the recent year earnings of Beximco pharmaceuticals limited
to derive the price per share.
For the calculation of price based on EV/EBITDA multiple we have calculated the median
EV/EBITDA ratio of the peer companies and then multiplied the recent year EBITDA of Beximco
pharmaceuticals limited to arrive at enterprise value and then deducted the book value of debt and
added cash and divided it by number of shares outstanding to arrive at price per share.
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8.3 calculation of P/E:
Particulars Beximco Acme Ambee Central GSK Orion Pharma aid Renata Square IBN SINA
Number of 405,556,445 211,601,700 2,400,000 103,723,675 12,046,449 234,000,000 3,120,000 60,896,541 685,945,200 25,821,180
shares
outstanding
Market 40,880,089,65 23,487,788,70 1,004,400,000 2,447,878,730 17,876,930,31 11,536,200,00 979,368,000 73,222,000,89 203,382,751,8 6,137,694,486
Capitalization 6 0 6 0 8 00
Book/Market 3,826,408,929 10,042,311,47 198,367,656 210,384,974 9,600,000 5,759,216,467 12,860,664 3,005,218,454 2,693,932 322,969,864
value of debt 6
Minority 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 593,836 0
interest
Preferred equity 0 0 0 0 0 500,000,000 0 0 0 0
Cash and Cash 221,121,229 1,148,110,610 12,661,792 9,929,674 2,844,505,000 235,438,024 8,004,819 450,611,442 8,522,555,131 169,305,904
equivalents
Enterprise value 93,804,676,74 32,381,989,56 1,190,105,864 2,648,334,030 15,042,025,31 17,559,978,44 984,223,845 75,776,607,91 194,863,484,4 6,291,358,446
6 6 6 3 0 37
EBIT 3,247,274,817 17,252,621,42 25,088,396 95,680,719 524,538,667 1,103,705,229 24,475,850 3,490,347,549 9,129,856,570 258,321,321
5
Depreciation 763,005,126 75,831,265 1,038,427 2,032,338 81,886,000 26,438,563 63,405 61,545,931 1,653,635,731 10,642,973
and
amortization
EBITDA 4,010,279,943 17,328,452,69 26,126,823 97,713,057 606,424,667 1,130,143,792 24,539,255 3,551,893,480 10,783,492,30 268,964,293
0 1
EV/EBITDA 23.39 1.87 45.55 27.10 24.80 15.54 40.11 21.33 18.07 23.39
Audited EPS 5.09 4.37 2.27 0.69 35.67 3.77 5.01 39.65 11.45 7.63
Current market 100.80 111.00 418.50 23.60 1484.00 49.30 313.9 1202.4 296.5 237.7
price
P/E (TTM) 19.82 25.42 184.09 34.04 41.60 13.09 62.61 30.32 25.89 31.17
Page 48 of 109
Company P/E (TTM)
Price based on P/E (TTM)
Acme 25.42
Ambee 184.09 P/E (TTM) 31.17
Central 34.04 EPS of Beximco 5.086666667
GSK 41.60
Orion 13.09 Price 158.54
Pharma aid 62.61
Renata 30.32
Square 25.89
IBN SINA 31.17
Median 31.17
Page 49 of 109
8.5 Final price based on relative valuation:
Target price based on relative valuation
Method Price Weight
EV/EBITDA 222.41 0.3
P/E (TTM) 158.54 0.7
Target price 177.70
Page 50 of 109
Chapter-9 Ratio Analysis of the
Beximco Pharmaceuticals
Limited
Page 51 of 109
Chapter-9: Ratio Analysis of the Beximco
Pharmaceuticals Limited
1. Activity Ratio
2. Liquidity Ratio
3. Profitability Ratio
4. Solvency Ratio
5. Market Ratio
Ratio Analysis
Activity Ratio
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Inventory Turnover Cost of Goods Sold/ Average Inventory 2.14 2.32 2.53 2.79 3.90
Days of Inventory on Hand (DOH) Number of Days in Period/ Inventory Turnover 168 155 142 129 92
Receivable Turnover Revenue/ Average Receivables 9.50 9.02 8.97 9.28 11.92
Days of sales outstanding (DSO) Number of Days in Period/ Receivable Turnover 38 40 40 39 30
Payables Turnover Purchases/ Average Trade Payables 9.35 12.02 15.93 19.47 23.80
Number of days of payables Number of Days in Period/ Payables Turnover 38 30 23 18 15
Working Capital Turnover Revenue/ Average Working Capital 2.06 2.04 2.48 3.54 3.61
Fixed Asset Turnover Revenue/ Average Net Fixed Assets 0.58 0.64 0.60 0.63 0.89
Total Asset Turnover Revenue/ Average Total Assets 0.40 0.43 0.41 0.45 0.64
Page 52 of 109
1. Inventory Turnover:
It indicates the resources tied up in inventory and can, therefore, be used to indicate inventory
management effectiveness. The higher the inventory turnover ratio, the shorter the period that
inventory is held and so the lower DOH.
Inventory Turnover
4.50
3.90
4.00
3.50
2.79
3.00 2.53
Turnover
2.32
2.50 2.14
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
The inventory turnover ratio of Beximco pharma is shown on the above chart. Here, we can
see that the company’s inventory turnover ratio is increasing from year 2012 to 2016. This
increasing ratio is accompanied with higher revenue growth from year 2012 to 2016. Higher
revenue growth supports the interpretation that the higher turnover reflects greater inventory
management efficiency of Beximco.
Days' inventory on hand is an accounting ratio which measures the number of days a company
takes to sell its average balance of inventory. It is also an estimate of the number of days for
which the average balance of inventory will be sufficient.
Page 53 of 109
Days of Inventory on Hand (DOH)
200
168
155
142
Days 150 129
92
100
50
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
As the inventory turnover ratio is increasing less resources are tied up in inventory in year 2012
to 2016. Beximco requires 92 days in 2016 to sell its average balance of inventory. This
decreasing number of days indicates greater efficiency in inventory management.
3. Receivable Turnover:
Accounts receivable turnover is an efficiency ratio or activity ratio that measures how many
times a business can turn its accounts receivable into cash during a period.
Receivable Turnover
14.00 11.92
12.00
9.50 9.02 8.97 9.28
10.00
Turnover
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
The receivable turnover of Beximco is increasing year by year. The accounts receivable
turnover for National Tubes limited is average 9 times. But in 2016 the receivable turnover
Page 54 of 109
increases to 11.92 times. This indicates that the company’s credit and collection policies are
too stringent. Apart from that we can say that Beximco is using moderate credit policy.
The number of DSO represents the elapsed time between a sale and cash collection reflecting
how fast the company collects cash from customers it offers credit.
20
10
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited is collecting cash from customer quicker than the industry
norms. It is following stable policy in terms of sales but the quicker collection period suggests
the possibility of sales being lost to competitors offering more lenient terms.
5. Payables Turnover:
The accounts payable turnover ratio is how many times a company can pay off its average
accounts payable balance during the course of a year.
Page 55 of 109
Payables Turnover
23.80
25.00
19.47
20.00
15.93
15.00 12.02
Times
9.35
10.00
5.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
The increasing payables turnover from year 2012 to 2016 indicates that the company is not
making full use of available credit facility. In other words, we can say that the company has
enough liquidity that they can fulfill their payables obligation. Beximco Pharma’s liquidity
ratio also shows this insight.
The number of days of payables reflects the average number of days the company takes to pay
its suppliers.
23
18
20 15
10
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
Page 56 of 109
Number of days of payables of Beximco Pharma Ltd shows a decreasing trend. The company
is taking less time to pay to its payables year by year. There might be two reason behind this
either the company has excess liquidity or the company is not taking the advantage of credit
terms.
The working capital turnover ratio is also referred to as net sales to working capital. It indicates
a company's effectiveness in using its working capital.
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
Beximco Pharma’s working capital turnover is increasing from year 2012 to 2016 indicating
greater efficiency in working capital management. In 2015 and 2016 the higher ratio indicates
efficiency and excess fund availability as the revenue in this year is higher than the previous
years. Liquidity ratios also supports similar interpretation.
This ratio measures how efficiently the company generates revenues from its investments in
fixed assets. Generally, a higher fixed asset turnover ratio indicates more efficient use of fixed
assets in generating revenue.
Page 57 of 109
Fixed Asset Turnover
1.00
0.89
0.80
0.64 0.60 0.63
0.58
0.60
Times
0.40
0.20
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
The increasing number of fixed asset turnover ratio from year 2012 to 2015 indicates efficiency
in managing fixed asset. The company is operating at full capacity and newer assets are adding
in the financial statements at a fair carrying value.
The total asset turnover ratio measures the company’s overall ability to generate revenues with
a given level of assets. A higher ratio indicates greater efficiency.
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
Total asset turnover of Beximco is quite stable from year 2012 to 2015. The sudden increase
in 2016 indicates efficiency in managing total asset. As this ratio includes fixed and current
Page 58 of 109
assets, working capital, it increases followed by increase in both working capital turnover and
fixed asset turnover.
Liquidity ratios measure a company's ability to pay debt obligations and its margin of safety
through the calculation of metrics including the current ratio, quick ratio and operating cash
flow ratio.
Liquidity Ratio
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Current Ratio Current Assets/ Current Liabilities 2.70 2.67 2.03 1.78 2.86
(Cash+ Short Term Marketable Investment+
Quick Ratio
Receivables)/ Current Liabilities 1.71 1.75 1.38 1.13 1.72
Cash Conversion Cycle DOH+DSO-Number of Days of Payables 168 165 160 149 107
Current ratio and quick ratio is the most popular measure of company’s liquidity. The current
ratio is a liquidity ratio that measures a company's ability to pay short-term and long-term
obligations. The quick ratio provides a more rigorous assessment of a company's ability to pay
its current liabilities. It does this by eliminating all but the most liquid of current assets from
consideration.
Page 59 of 109
The current ratio of Beximco Pharma indicates that for every taka of its current liabilities, the
firm has on an average tk. 2.50 of very liquid assets to cover those immediate obligations. And
the company is adding more liquid asset in recent years in order to improve the liquidity
position of the company. From year 2014 and 2015 the ratio decreased because of less available
fund but it is still higher than the industry norms. The quick ratio of the company is also stable
and it is above the industry average. So we can say that Beximco manages its liquidity position
efficiently.
It measures how fast a company can convert cash on hand into inventory and accounts payable,
through sales and accounts receivable, and then back into cash.
100
50
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
The cash conversion cycle of Beximco pharma is shown on the above chart. Though the
decreasing cash conversion cycle of Beximco from year 2012 to 2016 indicates higher
efficiency It indicates less funds are tied up. The company requires less time to go from cash
invested in its operation to cash received as a result of its operation. This increases the chance
to invest in profitable project.
Profitability ratios are a class of financial metrics that are used to assess a business's ability to
generate earnings compared to its expenses and other relevant costs incurred during a specific
period of time.
Page 60 of 109
Profitability Ratio
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Return on Sales
Gross Profit Margin Gross Profit/ Revenue 47.25% 46.12% 45.55% 46.28% 46.09%
Operating Profit Margin Operating Profit/ Revenue 23.77% 22.16% 21.58% 21.99% 22.25%
Net Profit Margin Net Income/ Revenue 14.20% 13.39% 13.64% 15.07% 14.71%
Return on Investment
Operating Return on Asset Operating Profit/ Average Total Assets 9.59% 9.45% 8.80% 9.83% 14.31%
Return on Asset Net Income/ Average Total Assets 5.73% 5.71% 5.56% 6.74% 9.46%
Return on Total Capital EBIT/ Short and Long term Debt and Equity 10.74% 10.18% 10.04% 11.35% 16.58%
Return on Equity Net Income/ Average Total Equity 7.70% 7.63% 7.73% 9.34% 12.78%
Beximco follows highly structured gross profit margin of around 46%. The reason behind this
might be that the pharmaceutical industry is highly regulated industry. One cannot just increase
the price or decrease the cost of goods sold to increase the gross profit margin.
Operating profit margin is also stable over the last 5 years. It indicates that the company follow
a structured pricing strategy. The company has efficiency in controlling operating cost such as
administrative overhead in these years.
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Net profit margin of Beximco fluctuated over the five years’ period but it is still above the
industry average. So, we can say that Beximco Pharmaceuticals Ltd maintains a good
profitability in respect to return on sales
2. Return on Investment:
16.58%
14.31%
18.00%
12.78%
11.35%
16.00%
10.74%
10.18%
10.04%
14.00%
9.83%
9.59%
9.46%
9.45%
9.34%
8.80%
12.00%
7.73%
7.70%
7.63%
6.74%
10.00%
5.71%
5.56%
5.73%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Operating Return on Asset Return on Asset Return on Total Capital Return on Equity
The operating return on asset is stable over the last five years indicating higher profitability of
operating assets. The company is using its operating asset more efficiently. Beximco generates
on an average 9% operating income per dollar invested in total assets.
Return on Asset:
Return on asset of Beximco is increasing slightly over the last 5 years. The increasing ROA
may result from the ability in utilizing the assets of Beximco. The company generates on an
average 5.50% return per dollar invested in total assets.
Return on total capital is a profitability ratio that measures profit earned by a company using
both its debt and equity capital. The increasing trend of return on total capital indicates higher
return on total capital employed.
Return on Equity:
Page 62 of 109
Return on equity (ROE) is the amount of net income returned as a percentage of shareholder’s
equity. The increasing trend of return on equity indicates higher return on total capital
employed.
Solvency Ratio
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Debt Ratios
Debt to Asset Ratio Total Debt/ Total Asset 14.91% 18.02% 15.65% 14.51% 12.28%
Debt to Capital Ratio Total Debt/ (Total Debt+Total Shareholders Equity) 16.71% 19.40% 17.85% 16.74% 14.23%
Debt to Equity Ratio Total Debt/ Total Shareholders Equity 20.06% 24.07% 21.74% 20.11% 16.59%
Financial Leverage Ratio Average Total Assets/ Average Total Equity 1.345 1.336 1.389 1.386 1.351
Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage EBIT/ Interest Payments 3.42 3.65 3.34 4.02 4.33
1. Debt Ratio:
21.74%
30.00%
20.11%
20.06%
19.40%
18.02%
17.85%
16.74%
16.59%
16.71%
25.00%
15.65%
14.91%
14.51%
14.23%
12.28%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Debt to Asset Ratio Debt to Capital Ratio Debt to Equity Ratio
Page 63 of 109
Debt to Capital Ratio:
The debt-to-capital ratio is calculated by taking the company's debt, including both short- and
long-term liabilities and dividing it by the total capital. In recent years the company is relying
less on debt financing to finance its total capital.
Debt to Equity Ratio is a debt ratio used to measure a company's financial leverage. Debt to
equity ratio is decreasing because the company is reducing its debt financing and relying more
on equity capital.
2. Coverage Ratio
The interest coverage ratio is used to determine how easily a company can pay their interest
expenses on outstanding debt.
Interest Coverage
4.73
4.80
4.40
Times
4.20 4.11
4.06
4.00
3.80
3.60
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
Interest coverage ratio of Beximco is increasing gradually. After that the ratio starts rising
indicating higher probability that the company can cover its interest payments out of EBIT.
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9.6 Market Value Ratio
Market value ratios evaluate the economic status of your publicly-traded company in the wider
marketplace. In other words, whether the company's stock is overvalued, undervalued or priced
fairly.
The book-to-market ratio is a ratio used to find the value of a company by comparing the book
value of a firm to its market value.
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
Book value to market value ratio greater than 1 indicates that the company is undervalued in
the market. From the above graph we can see that from the year 2012 to 2013, the company is
undervalued in the market where from 2014 to 2016 the company is overvalued as the ratio is
less than 1.
Page 65 of 109
TOBIN’s Q Ratio:
The Tobin's Q ratio is a measure of firm assets in relation to a firm's market value.
TOBIN's Q Ratio
1.40 1.27
1.16
1.20
0.89 0.94
1.00 0.85
Times
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Years
As the Tobin’s Q ratio is between 0 and 1 from year 2012 to 2014 it indicates that it costs more
for the company to replace its assets than the company is worth. In the year 2015 and 2016 it
is greater than 1 means that it costs less for the company to replace its assets than the company
is worth. The ratio greater than 1 indicates that the company is overvalued
Page 66 of 109
Chapter-10 Du Pond Analysis and
Analysis of ROE Sensitivity
Page 67 of 109
Chapter-10: Du Pond Analysis and Analysis of ROE
Sensitivity
The Du Pont identity breaks down Return on Equity into three distinct elements. This analysis
enables the analyst to understand the source of superior or inferior return by comparison with
companies in similar industries or between industries. DuPont analysis of Beximco
Pharmaceuticals Ltd is shown below:
2 Factor Decomposition:
2 Factor Decomposition
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ROA Net Income/ Average Total Assets 5.73% 5.71% 5.56% 6.74% 9.46%
Leverage Average Total Assets/ Average Shareholders Equity 1.34 1.34 1.39 1.39 1.35
ROE Net Income/ Average Shareholders Equity 7.70% 7.63% 7.73% 9.34% 12.78%
Over the last five years’ period, Beximco pharma’s leverage factor was relatively stable. The
primary reason for the fluctuation in ROE is measured by ROA.
3 Factor Decomposition:
This decomposition illustrates that a company’s ROE is a function of its net profit margin, its
efficiency and its leverage.
3 Factor Decomposition
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Net Profit Margin Net Income/ Revenue 14.20% 13.39% 13.64% 15.07% 14.71%
Asset Turnover Revenue/ Average Total Assets 0.40 0.43 0.41 0.45 0.64
Leverage Average Total Assets/ Average Shareholders Equity 1.34 1.34 1.39 1.39 1.35
ROE Net Income/ Average Shareholders Equity 7.70% 7.63% 7.73% 9.34% 12.78%
Page 68 of 109
This further decomposition confirms that fluctuation in net profit margin are an important
contributor to the increase in ROE over the five years’ period. However, Beximco pharma’s
asset turnover has also fluctuated steadily.
5 Factor Decomposition:
This decomposition expresses a company’s ROE as a function of its tax rate, interest burden,
operating profitability, efficiency and leverage.
5 Factor Decomposition
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Tax Burden Net Income/ EBT 1.03 0.73 0.73 0.75 0.75
Interest Burden EBT/ EBIT 1.55 0.34 0.90 0.84 0.16
EBIT Margin EBIT/ Revenue -11% 9% 19% 13% 6%
Asset Turnover Revenue/ Average Total Assets 0.04 0.09 0.12 0.09 0.06
Leverage Average Total Assets/ Average Shareholders Equity 1.08 1.10 1.03 1.08 1.08
ROE Net Income/ Average Shareholders Equity -0.81% 0.22% 1.57% 0.78% 0.05%
Over the five years’ period, NTL’s leverage factor, tax burden, asset turnover was relatively
stable. The primary reason for the fluctuation in ROE is measured by Interest burden and EBIT
margin.
Page 69 of 109
10.2 ROE Sensitivity Analysis of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited:
The calculation of ROE sensitivity of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited is shown below:
Base Case
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Tax Burden Net Income/ EBT 0.69 0.67 0.72 0.84 0.81
Interest Burden EBT/ EBIT 0.87 0.90 0.87 0.82 0.82
EBIT Margin EBIT/ Revenue 23.77% 22.16% 21.58% 21.99% 22.25%
Asset Turnover Revenue/ Average Total Assets 0.40 0.43 0.41 0.45 0.64
Leverage Average Total Assets/ Average Shareholders Equity 1.34 1.34 1.39 1.39 1.35
ROE Net Income/ Average Shareholders Equity 7.70% 7.63% 7.73% 9.34% 12.78%
In the above table we have calculated the sensitivity of tax burden to return on equity. The
coefficient of variation is 2.16
In the above table we have calculated the sensitivity of interest burden to return on equity. The
coefficient of variation is 1.51
Page 70 of 109
Sensitivity of EBIT Margin to ROE
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Tax Burden Net Income/ EBT 0.69 0.67 0.72 0.84 0.81
Interest Burden EBT/ EBIT 0.87 0.90 0.87 0.82 0.82
EBIT Margin EBIT/ Revenue 23.77% 23.77% 23.77% 23.77% 23.77%
Asset Turnover Revenue/ Average Total Assets 0.40 0.43 0.41 0.45 0.64
Leverage Average Total Assets/ Average Shareholders Equity 1.34 1.34 1.39 1.39 1.35
ROE Net Income/ Average Shareholders Equity 7.70% 8.19% 8.51% 10.10% 13.66%
Change in ROE 0.48% 0.81% 2.39% 5.95%
Mean 2.41%
Standard Deviation 0.03
C.V. 1.04
In the above table we have calculated the sensitivity of EBIT Margin to return on equity. The
coefficient of variation is 1.04
In the above table we have calculated the sensitivity of asset turnover to return on equity. The
coefficient of variation is 4.28. Asset turnover sensitivity has largest coefficient of variation.
In the above table we have calculated the sensitivity of leverage factor to return on equity. The
coefficient of variation is 1.58
Page 71 of 109
10.3 Ways to Improve ROE of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited:
Beximco Pharmaceutical Ltd. can improve its return on equity in a number of ways. Since it is
one of the major drivers for creating shareholder value, it helps to break up and analyze the
different factors that can help a company increase its ROE.
By analyzing the sensitivity of various factor to return on equity we have categorized each
factor with coefficient of variation in the above table.
Tax burden sensitivity has the second highest coefficient of variation. Paying high taxes can
have a negative impact on return on equity. Any way Beximco can find to lower its taxes will
increase that return. In order to improve the shareholder’s return Beximco should take
advantage of any government policies, subsidies or incentives that favor its business.
Financial leverage refers to the amount of debt a company holds. When Beximco increases its
debt, its return on equity is improved. When debts are added, assets will increase. Because
equity is calculated by subtracting debts from assets, the company can decrease its equity by
using this leverage. As financial leverage rises, so does the return on equity. However,
increasing debt can have other adverse effects on the business, such as fixed interest and
repayment obligations, so this must be done with caution.
Page 72 of 109
Beximco pharma can increase its return on equity by reducing interest burden. The more
expensive cost of borrowing, the lesser it contributes to improving a company's ROE. So, the
company should try to find the cheaper source of capital in order to increase its return on equity.
EBIT margin has lowest coefficient of variation among these five factors. Actually
pharmaceutical industry is highly regulated industry one company cannot increase their profit
margin so easily. Beximco Pharma can increase their return on equity by improving and
widening their margins by increasing their return on sales. That means company need to
increase their return on sales at a rate faster than the rise in their operating costs
Page 73 of 109
Chapter-11 Profitability Analysis
Page 74 of 109
Chapter-11: Profitability Analysis
Page 75 of 109
Reformulated Balance Sheet:
The reformulated balance sheet reclassifies the assets and liabilities of a company into
operating and financial items so as to provide key insights into the value generating proces of
a firm. The following table shows the reformulation of balance sheet of beximco pharma
Limited.
Financial Obligations
Long term loan current maturity 363,744,181 664,712,728 754,903,558 663,838,072 920,388,531
Long term loan 1,890,074,651 1,469,621,611 1,151,400,702 901,709,327 2,366,006,599
Total Financial Obligations 2,253,818,832 2,134,334,339 1,906,304,260 1,565,547,399 3,286,395,130
Financial Assets
Short Term Investment 2,193,423,560 2,686,598,326 3,026,383,161 2,475,026,831 1,439,037,813
Investment in Shares 3,451,276 3,451,276 4,792,895 5,759,927 4,746,834
Total Fiancial Assets 2,196,874,836 2,690,049,602 3,031,176,056 2,480,786,758 1,443,784,647
Net Financial Obligations(NFO) 56,943,996 (555,715,263) (1,124,871,796) (915,239,359) 1,842,610,483
Page 76 of 109
11.2 Comparative Analysis of Profitability
Analysis of profitability involves the identification of the profit drivers of a company. This is
important since the drivers help an analyst predict future performance of the firm and in
assessing the quality of its earnings.
For the purpose of analysis of profitability, we have used three stage breakdown of return on
common stockholders’ equity. Those three stages are:
First-Level Breakdown
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Trend
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL LEVERAGE
ROCE Comprehensive Income/CSE 7.70% 7.63% 7.73% 9.34% 12.78%
RNOA OI AFTER TAX/NOA 0.1049 0.1054 0.1111 0.1243 0.1494
FLEV NFO/CSE 0.0033 -0.0302 -0.0569 -0.0437 0.0799
NBC NFE/NFO 8.5005 -0.8591 -0.4829 -0.5810 0.4193
SPREAD RNOA-NBC -8.3956 0.9646 0.5940 0.7052 -0.2699
FLEV*SPREAD -0.0279 -0.0291 -0.0338 -0.0309 -0.0216
ROCE RNOA+FLEV(RNOA-NBC) 7.70% 7.63% 7.73% 9.34% 12.78%
TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE
From the first level breakdown we can see the effect of financial leverage and operating liability
leverage. Here RNOA represents the effect of operating liability leverage. We can also find the
ROCE and Net Borrowing Cost. From the table we see the changes in ROCE and changes in
effect of operating leverage on ROCE over the years. Here we see that the effect that is the
financial leverage and net borrowing cost is fluctuating over the five years’ period.
Page 77 of 109
Second Level Breakdown:
The second Level breakdown of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited is given below:
Second-Level Breakdown
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Trend
ANALYSIS OF OPERATING LEVERAGE
RNOA OI AFTER TAX/NOA 10.49% 10.54% 11.11% 12.43% 14.94%
ROOA OI+II on OL/OA 0.0953 0.0952 0.0966 0.1060 0.1333
OLLEV OL/NOA 0.2124 0.2266 0.3103 0.3256 0.1929
OLSPREAD ROOA-STBR 0.0453 0.0452 0.0466 0.0560 0.0833
OLLEV*OLSPREAD 0.0096 0.0102 0.0145 0.0182 0.0161
RNOA ROOA+OLLEV(ROOA-STBR) 10.49% 10.54% 11.11% 12.43% 14.94%
TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE
The second level breakdown of profitability shows the effect of operating leverage. In addition
to the propelling effects of financial leverage, Beximco benefitted from the use of operating
leverage. Spontaneous financing, in the form of operating liability has leveraged RNOA over
and above their ROOA.
Third-Level Breakdown
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Trend
From the graph we can see that Profit margin was increasing at a slight rate from the initial
year to 2014 due to low operating income over the years. The asset turnover ratio was
fluctuating highly over the years where it has been constant in 2012 and 2014. Then Finally
The RNOA we derived from the product of asset turnover and profit margin shows increase in
2016 due to the increase in both profit margin and asset turnover.
Page 78 of 109
Chapter-12 Analysis of Dividend Policy
of Beximco Pharmaceuticals
Limited
Page 79 of 109
Chapter 12: Analysis of Dividend Policy of Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited
Declaration date Ex -dividend date Record date Payment date Declaration date Ex -dividend date Record date Payment date
April 21, 2016 May 10, 2016 May 12, 2016 July 1, 2016 October 10, October 30, November 1, December
2016 2016 2016 12,16 2016
Cash dividend Cash dividend Cash dividend Cash dividend
10% 10% 10% 10% Cash dividend Cash dividend Cash dividend Stock
5% 5% 5% dividend 5%
Stock dividend
5% Cash dividend
5%
From this pattern we will describe the major implications of the dates highlighted in the timeline chart below-
Page 80 of 109
1. Declaration date: Though Beximco pharmaceuticals pays annual dividends but in the year
2016, there are two dividend declaration dates for Beximco pharmaceuticals limited. One
in April 21 and another in October 10. This is a unique case and the reason for this as per
the instructions of BSEC all the listed companies in DSE were ordered to have same
financial year timeline. So the dividend declared in April 21 is for the year 2005 ended in
December 31st and the Dividend declared in October 10 is for the financial year 2015-16
ended in June 2016.
So, the for financial year ending in December 31st, 2015 the board of Beximco
pharmaceuticals limited declared 10% cash dividend and 5% stock dividend for the 12-
month period and also declared 5% cash dividend for the additional 6-month period.
2. Ex-dividend date: Ex-dividend date is the date where the effects of dividend are adjusted
into the stock price of that particular company. As there are 2 Record dates in the year
2016, there are 2 Ex-dividend dates. One in May 10 and another in October 30.
As Beximco pharmaceuticals has been paying dividends more than 10% of its earnings it
has been categorized by DSE as an A category share and the clearing and settlement of
these are T+2. So the Ex-dividend dates are 2 business days prior to record date.
3. Record date: Record date is the date at which the holders of the stock become eligible to
receive dividends from the company. At this date the trading of the particular stock is
suspended on the stock market.
The record date for Beximco pharmaceuticals are May 12 and November 1.
4. Payment date: The dividends declared in declaration dates are paid to the stockholders in
the payment date. The !0% cash dividend declared was paid in July 1, the 5% stock
dividend was paid in December 12 and the 5% cash dividend was paid in December 16.
Page 81 of 109
12.3 Pattern for 2015:
Declaration date Ex -dividend date Record date Payment date Payment date
April 29, 2015 May 19, 2015 May 21, 2015 June 26, 2015 July 13, 2015
Cash dividend Cash dividend Cash dividend Stock dividend Cash dividend
10% 10% 10% 5% 10%
Stock dividend Stock dividend Stock dividend
5% 5% 5%
1. Declaration date: The board of directors of Beximco pharmaceuticals limited declared 10%
cash dividend and 5% stock dividend on April 29 for the financial year ending in December
31st 2015.
2. Ex-dividend date: Due to the Clearing Mechanism of the DSE for being T+2 days the ex-
dividend date is 2 business days prior to the record date. At this date the stock proce is
adjusted for the effects of dividend. The ex-dividend date for Beximco pharmaceuticals
was May 19, 2015
3. Record date: the record date for Beximco pharmaceuticals limited was May 21st 2015. At
this date the stockholders become eligible to receive dividends.
4. Payment date: there are two payment dates for dividend of Beximco pharmaceuticals
limited. The 5% stock dividend was paid in June 21, 2015 and the 10% cash divivdend was
paid in July 13, 2015.
Page 82 of 109
12.4 Pattern for 2014:
Declaration date Ex -dividend date Record date Payment date Payment date
April 29, 2014 May 16, 2014 May 18, 2014 July 1, 2014 July 17, 2014
Cash dividend Cash dividend Cash dividend Stock dividend Cash dividend
10% 10% 10% 5% 10%
Stock dividend Stock dividend Stock dividend
5% 5% 5%
1. Declaration date: The board of directors of Beximco pharmaceuticals limited declared 10%
cash dividend and 5% stock dividend for the year 2014 in April 29, 2014.
2. Ex-dividend date: The Ex-dividend date for the dividends declared in April 29 was May
16 which was 2 business days prior to record date due to T+2 settlement mechanisms.
3. Record date: The holder of record date for the divivdends of Beximco pharmaceuticals
limited was May 18, 2014 and at this date trading of this stock was suspended.
4. Payment date: The 5% stock dividend declared was paid in July 1, 2014 and the 10% cash
dividend declared was paid in July 17, 2014
April 30, 2013 May 18, 2013 May 20, 2013 July 17, 2013
Stock dividend Stock dividend Stock dividend Stock dividend
15% 15% 15% 15%
Page 83 of 109
1. Declaration date: At April 30, 2013 the board of directors of Beximco pharmaceuticals
limited announced 15% stock dividend for the financial year ending in December 31st 2013.
2. Ex-dividend date: The ex-dividend date for the dividend declared in April 30 was
determined at May 18 which was 2 business days prior to record date.
3. Record date: The record date for the stock of Beximco pharmaceuticals limited in 2013
was May 20.
4. Payment date: The 15% stock dividends were paid to stockholders on July 17, 2013.
April 29, 2012 May 5, 2012 May 21, 2012 February 18,
2013
Stock dividend Stock dividend Stock dividend
21% 21% 21% Stock dividend
21%
Page 84 of 109
12.6 Analysis of the dividend pattern and identifying dividend policy
though key parameters:
Here we will try to identify the dividend policy of Beximco pharmaceuticals limited with the help
of few key ratios and parameters. Here is the summary of the key ratios calculated-
Page 85 of 109
EBIT(1-T) 1,831,232,45 1,902,139,02 2,129,452,701 2,644,832,47 3,925,737,5
2 6 9 09
Depriciation 589,638,196 589,865,703 765,109,696 756,946,528 763,005,12
6
OCF 2,420,870,64 2,492,004,72 2,894,562,397 3,401,779,00 4,688,742,6
8 9 7 35
Number of 304,639,050 350,334,907 367,851,652 386,244,234 405,556,44
shares 5
outstanding
OCF per share 7.95 7.11 7.87 8.81 11.56
Page 86 of 109
MV per share 55.90 47.20 58.70 84.10 79.52
Page 87 of 109
NWC 4,084,062, 4,429,894, 4,778,224, 5,731,333, 5,915,314,
828 606 972 931 061
Change in NWC 289,993,73 345,831,77 348,330,36 953,108,95 183,980,13
0 8 6 9 0
Net debt - 1,011,286, 36,098,307 86,414,010 -
235,250,58 128 322,629,29
3 2
FCFE 927,417,62 497,627,97 - 69,630,235 3,136,741,
0 9 47,790,457 353
Number of shares 304,639,05 350,334,90 367,851,65 386,244,23 405,556,44
outstanding 0 7 2 4 5
FCFE per share 3.04 1.42 -0.13 0.18 7.73
Page 88 of 109
Dividend per share and Earnings per share
and dividend payout ratio
10 60.00%
Amount in taka
8 48.49% 50.00%
37.41% 40.00%
6 36.10% 7.27
4 4.33 5.06
29.65% 27.51%30.00%
4.01 4.15 20.00%
2 10.00%
2.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 2
0 0.00%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
year
Interpretation: Here we can see that the dividend per share of Beximco pharmaceuticals limited is
stable even though the earnings per share has varied over the years and as the Earnings per share
is increasing in the recent years Beximco pharmaceuticals limited is decreasing its dividend payout
ratio to keep a stable dividend payout. From this data we can say that Beximco pharmaceuticals
limited is pursuing a “Stable dividend” policy.
10.00 8.81
7.95 7.87
8.00 7.11
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Year
Interpretation: OCF per share measures the cash flow generated per share of Beximco
pharmaceuticals limited. This is a measure of operational efficiency and earnings quality. As we
can see the OCF per share is increasing this indicates an improvement of earnings quality and
dividend paying capability.
Page 89 of 109
Reserve and retained earnings per share
30.00 26.42
25.00 22.49
20.84
19.33 19.13
20.00
Year
15.00
10.00
5.78 4.86 4.47 4.13 3.75
5.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2016 2.00
7.73
2015 1.50
0.18
Year
2014 1.50
-0.13
2013 1.50
1.42
2012 2.10
3.04
Interpretation: FCFE per share implies the dividend paying ability of a company or the amount of
dividend that a company could have afforded to pay to its shareholders. ON the other hand
dividend per share shows the amount of earnings that actually have been distributed to its
Page 90 of 109
shareholders. As here we can see even if when Beximco pharmaceuticals didn’t have enough cash
to pay dividends it borrowed to pay dividends to its shareholders and keep a stable dividend payout
pattern.
This is the summary of the dividend payment pattern and amount of Beximco pharmaceuticals
limited for the last 5 years-
From the analysis of the dividend payment schedule and dividend payment pattern and amount we
can say with confidence that Beximco pharmaceuticals follows a “Stable dividend policy”. For
the last 4 years the cumulative stock and cash dividend paid to shareholders were equal to 15%.
Although the total amount of the dividends paid is stable in recent years, however Beximco
pharmaceuticals was prone to issuing stock dividends than cash dividends in the years prior to year
2013.
Page 91 of 109
12.7 Analysis of the dividend policy decision of the Management of
Beximco pharmaceuticals limited:
We analyze the dividend policy decision of Beximco pharmaceuticals limited through this simple
framework-
The amount Beximco could have The amount Beximco actually paid-
afforded to pay-
Average Dividend per share – Tk 1.72
Average FCFE per share – Tk 2.45
Managers have good history of project choice and likely in the future.
So managers should be given the flexibility to keep cash and set
dividends
Page 92 of 109
Chapter-13 Conclusion
Page 93 of 109
Chapter-13: Conclusion
For Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited Bangladesh, the return on equity ratio on average was
0.0903 during FY2012-2016. Alike ROA, the ratio did not fluctuate a lot during this period. So
we can approach to a conclusion that the firm did not feature any serious financial issue to maintain
the balance among its net income and total equity. Managers of the Beximco Pharmaceuticals
Limited have good history of project choice and likely in the future. So managers should be given
the flexibility to keep cash and set dividends.
Page 94 of 109
References
Page 95 of 109
References
Beximco-pharma.com. (2017). Cite a Website - Cite This For Me. [online] Available
at: http://www.beximco-pharma.com/ [Accessed 7 Nov. 2017].
Brealey, R., Myers, S. and Allen, F. (2017). Principles of corporate finance. New
York, NY: McGraw-Hill Education.
Brigham, E. and Ehrhardt, M. (2017). Financial management. Boston (MA): Cengage
Learning.
Gitman, L. and Zutter, C. (2015). Principles of managerial finance. Boston [etc.]:
Pearson.
Ross, S., Westerfield, R., Jaffe, J. and Jordan, B. (2018). Corporate finance. New
York, NY: McGraw-Hill Education.
Page 96 of 109
Appendix
Page 97 of 109
Appendix
Page 98 of 109
31.01.2016 4,541 86.4 0 1 0.027348395 -0.019170014
31.12.2015 4,630 84.1 0 1 0.092207792 0.010618786
30.11.2015 4,581 77 0 1 0.079943899 0.003617472
29.10.2015 4,564 71.3 0 1 -0.002797203 -0.05927276
30.09.2015 4,852 71.5 0 1 0.08662614 0.017492471
31.08.2015 4,769 65.8 0 1 -0.055954089 -0.00493281
30.07.2015 4,792 69.7 0 1 0.109872611 0.045645137
30.06.2015 4,583 62.80 0 1 0.092173913 -0.000837415
31.05.2015 4,587 57.5 1 1.05 0.292304422 0.133339963
30.04.2015 4,047 44.8 0 1 -0.204262877 -0.106654017
31.03.2015 4,530 56.30 0 1 -0.019163763 -0.048861337
26.02.2015 4,763 57.4 0 1 0.019538188 0.008291156
29.01.2015 4,724 56.3 0 1 -0.04088586 -0.028964405
30.12.2014 4,865 58.7 0 1 -0.039279869 0.02003009
30.11.2014 4,769 61.10 0 1 -0.065749235 -0.078056454
30.10.2014 5,173 65.4 0 1 -0.064377682 0.019495249
30.09.2014 5,074 69.90 0 1 0.254937163 0.115350236
31.08.2014 4,550 55.7 0 1 0.298368298 0.02763942
24.07.2014 4,427 42.9 0 1 0.03125 -0.011910774
30.06.2014 4,481 41.6 0 1 0.063938619 0.011295394
29.05.2014 4,430 39.1 1 1.05 -0.081353726 -0.029863478
30.04.2014 4,567 43.9 0 1 -0.125498008 0.0166688
31.03.2014 4,492 50.2 0 1 0.016194332 -0.054293073
27.02.2014 4,750 49.4 0 1 -0.088560886 -0.000694553
30.01.2014 4,753 54.2 0 1 0.148305085 0.114054649
30.12.2013 4,267 47.2 0 1 -0.012552301 0.008467515
28.11.2013 4,231 47.8 0 1 0.098850575 0.066284169
31.10.2013 3,968 43.5 0 1 -0.024663677 0.00763035
30.09.2013 3,938 44.6 0 1 -0.070833333 -0.045984637
29.08.2013 4,127 48 0 1 0.041214751 0.047370141
Page 99 of 109
31.07.2013 3,941 46.10 0 1 -0.116858238 -0.03991542
30.06.2013 4,105 52.20 0 1 0.058424864
-
30.05.2013 3,878 52.20 0 1.15 -0.057556195 0.127707423
30.04.2013 3,439 55.90 0 1 -0.086601307 -0.042102272
31.03.2013 3,590 61.20 0 1 -0.006493506 -0.096453235
28.02.2013 3,973 61.60 0 1 0.035294118 -0.039412841
31.01.2013 4,136 59.5 0 1 0.064400716 -0.019673332
30.12.2012 4,219 55.90 0 1 0.079150579 0.002073982
29.11.2012 4,211 51.80 0 1 -0.089630931 -0.063049402
31.10.2012 4,494 56.90 0 1 -0.015570934 -0.011109477
30.09.2012 4,544 57.80 0 1 0.024822695 0.021933666
30.08.2012 4,447 56.40 0 1 0.086705202 0.069173319
30.07.2012 4,159 51.90 0 1 -0.135 -0.090470686
28.06.2012 4,573 60.00 0 1 -0.059561129 -0.034102961
31/05/2012 4,734 63.80 0 1.21 -0.286760787 -0.071499855
30/04/2012 5,099 97.70 0 1 0.158956109 0.021757963
29/03/2012 4,990 84.30 0 1 0.033088235 0.062809487
29/02/2012 4,695 81.60 0 1 0.223388306 0.130344024
31/01/2012 4,154 66.7 0 1
Historical Projected
Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 E 2018 E 2019 E 2020 E 2021 E
Revenue Growth rate 12.9% 6.8% 15.7% 33.7% 8.0% 8.4% 8.8% 9.3% 9.7%
Cost of sales/ Revenue 52.7% 53.9% 54.5% 53.7% 53.9% 51.0% 50.0% 49.0% 48.0% 47.0%
Net operating expense /revenue 23.5% 24.0% 24.0% 24.3% 23.8% 28.5% 29.9% 31.4% 33.0% 34.6%
WPPF / Revenue 1.03% 1.00% 0.94% 0.90% 0.91% 0.96% 0.94% 0.93% 0.93% 0.93%
Tax rate 30.9% 32.9% 27.6% 16.4% 19.4% 25.4% 25.4% 25.4% 25.4% 25.4%
DPR 0.03% 0.00% 16.80% 17.96% 25.59% 25.6% 25.6% 25.6% 25.6% 25.6%
Growth in PPE 2.9% 13.3% 11.0% 18.9% 9.0% 9.5% 9.9% 10.4% 10.9%
Growth in Intangible Assets 37.625% 5.957% 18.658% 61.670% 30.977% 29.316% 35.155% 39.280% 33.682%
Growth in Investment in Shares 0.00% 38.87% 20.18% -17.59% 10.37% 12.96% 6.48% 3.05% 8.21%
Inventories / revenue 24.67% 23.20% 21.52% 19.23% 13.83% 22.23% 23.34% 24.51% 25.73% 27.02%
Spares and Supplies / revenue 3.5% 3.8% 3.9% 4.3% 3.1% 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 5.8% 6.1%
Accounts receivables / revenue 11% 11% 11% 11% 8% 15.00% 15.75% 16.54% 17.36% 18.23%
loans and advances / revenue 9.05% 9.20% 10.59% 9.44% 9.00% 9.45% 9.54% 9.60% 9.41% 9.40%
Growth of short term 22.5% 12.6% -18.2% -41.9% -6.2% -6.2% -12.0% -16.9% -16.6%
investment
Growth Long Term Borrowings-Net off -22% -22% -22% 162% 24% 36% 50% 68% 45%
Current Maturity (Secured)
Short Term Borrowings 17.7% 14.6% 24.8% 24.3% 5.5% 17.4% 17.3% 17.9% 16.5% 14.9%
(Secured)/ revenue
Growth in Long Term 82.7% 13.6% -12.1% 38.6% 30.7% 17.7% 18.8% 26.5% 23.4%
Borrowings-Current Maturity
(Secured)
creditors and others payables / 5.6% 4.5% 3.4% 2.8% 2.3% 3.7% 3.3% 3.1% 3.0% 3.1%
revenue
accrued exp. / revenue 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0%
dividend payable/ revenue 0.015% 0.010% 0.009% 0.004% 0.002% 0.008% 0.006% 0.006% 0.005% 0.005%
Income tax payable/ revenue 0% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Based on this assumption sheet ,we have forecasted the pro-forma balance sheet for Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited for next five
years. The pro-forma income statement is as follows-