Roadshow, London, Mikael Inglander CFO

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London Roadshow

5-6 May 2008


Mikael Inglander
CFO
Core business is doing well – challenging financial markets

• Solid business development with • Lower commission income due to


corporates and private customers weaker equity markets and low
• Development as expected in the corporate finance activity
Baltic states • Net gains and losses on financial
• Funding programmes continue to items were adversely affected by
function well – conversion to unrealized valuation effects
covered bonds on 21 April caused by the credit crunch
• Credit quality remains good, credit
losses and impaired loans are
increasing from low levels

(2)
Strong position for profitability and growth

Sweden Baltics Ukraine and Russia

Swedbank is the leading bank in The Baltic economies are Swedbank has a small but
Sweden. Profitability is high and experiencing strong economic growing presence in Ukraine and
stable and the bank is growth that is expected to remain Russia. In the long term, a
consolidating its market shares in for many years. As the largest significant share of Swedbank’s
important segments in both the bank in the region, growing with growth will be generated in these
private and corporate sectors. the market ensures attractive markets.
earnings growth.

Growth and Future growth and


Stable base
experience profitability

Share of profit Share of profit Share of profit


2007: 65% 2007: 32% 2007: 3%

Share of lending Share of lending Share of lending


2007: 80% 2007: 16% 2007: 2%

(3)
Business volumes
SEKbn
Lending Savings
SEKbn
1,200 500
1,103 1,131

1,000 401
400 385
334 340
800
300

600
484
475
397 200
390
400

102 102
100
200
100 104
77 78 61 68 31 34
19 17
0 0
Lending, Private, Corporate, Private, Corporate, Other Deposits, Deposits, AM funds, AM funds, Structured
Group Sweden Sweden Baltics Baltics Sweden Baltics Sweden Baltics products,
bonds
(4)
Dec 2007 Mar 2008 Dec 2007 Mar 2008
Margins

% Lending Deposits
%
4.5 4.5
Lower interest rates in
4.0 4.0 Latvia and Lithuania
3.5 adversely affected
3.5
deposit margins.
3.0 3.0
2.5 2.5
2.0 2.0
1.5 1.5 Increased funding
1.0 1.0 costs have not yet
been fully transferred
0.5 0.5 to customers.
0.0 0.0
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08
Estonia Latvia Estonia Latvia
Lithuania Sweden Lithuania Sweden

(5)
Credit quality, Group
SEKm %

6,000 0.50
0.45
5,000 0.40
4,000 0.35
0.30
3,000 0.25
0.20
2,000 0.15
1,000 0.10
0.05
0 0.00
06 Mar

07 Mar
05 Mar
04 Mar

08 Mar
05 Jun

06 Jun

07 Jun
04 Jun

06 Dec
05 Sep
05 Dec

06 Sep
03 Dec

04 Sep
04 Dec

07 Sep
03 Sep

07 Dec
Impaired loans
Impaired loan provisions (6)
Share of impaired loans
Credit quality, Baltic Banking
Loan loss ratio, net*

Q4 07 2007 Q1 08
Estonia 0.67% 0.21% 0.38%
Latvia 0.78% 0.56% 0.54%
Lithuania 0.13% 0.23% 0.25%

Group level provision adjustment -0.28% -0.05%


Baltic Banking 0.28% 0.35% 0.39%
*Loan loss ratio, net = (changes in provisions + net write offs) /
credit portfolio at the beginning of the year

Overdue ratio (more than 60 days)*


Q2 07 Q4 07 Q1 08
Corporate 0.58% 0.65% 0.79%
Private 0.49% 0.75% 0.92%
Baltic Banking 0.56% 0.71% 0.86%
*Overdue ratio (more than 60 days) = volume of loans more
than 60 days overdue /12 month-old credit portfolio
(7)
Swedish Banking
SEKm C/I-ratio • Continued solid volume growth
5,000 0.7 • Net interest income increased
4,500
0.6
by 2% compared with Q4 2007
4,000
3,500 0.5
• Lower equity related
3,000 commission income
0.4
2,500 • Continuous work to adjust the
2,000 0.3
branch structure – sale of 8
1,500 0.2
1,000
branches to savings banks for
500
0.1 SEK 440m
0 0.0
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
06 06 07 07 07 07 08

Income Costs C/I-ratio

(8)
Baltic Banking Operations

SEKm C/I-ratio • Profitability remained robust


2,400 0.5 • Lending growth continued to
2,200
2,000
decrease
0.4
1,800 • Net interest margins declined due
1,600
1,400 0.3 to decreasing local interest rates
1,200 and higher funding costs
1,000
800
0.2 • Net loan losses as expected
600
0.1
• Cost focus
400
200
– Operational excellence pilots
0 0.0 indicate substantial potential
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 – No new net staff recruitments
06 06 07 07 07 07 08

Income Costs C/I-ratio

(9)
Baltic macro development
• Economic slowdown in Estonia continues: GDP growth will fall to about 3.5% in 2008, with a
recovery to 5% growth in 2009. The bottom of the cycle is expected to be in summer 2008
• In Latvia growth will decline to about 4% in 2008 and to about 3.5% in 2009. The bottom of the
cycle is expected to be in winter 2008/2009
• Slowdown in Lithuania will be modest: expected GDP growth of about 6.7% in 2008 and about
5.8% in 2009
• Export growth remains relatively strong, while weak domestic demand is reducing imports.
Trade and current account deficits are falling. CPI will peak in Q1 2008. Long-term GDP
growth (6-7%) will be above EU average.
Real GDP growth CPI growth
14% 16%
12% 14%
10% 12%
8% 10%
6% 8%
4% 6%
2% 4%
0% 2%
2005 2006 2007 2008F 2009F 2005 2006 2007 2008F 2009F
Est Lat Lit Est Lat Lit
(10)

Source: Hansabank Markets


International Banking
SEKm • Continued solid performance in
100
Ukraine
– Launch of the new brand initiated
75
– Expansion and restructuring of
the branch network continues
50
– New corporate offering

25
• Cautious expansion in Russia
– Raimo Valo new head of Russian
operations
0
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 • Cooperation with FDB/COOP
06 06 07 07 07 07 08
regarding banking products in
International Banking, profit for the period
of which Russian Banking
Denmark.
of which Ukrainian Banking Operations

(11)
Swedbank Markets

SEKm
500
• Fixed income and FX trading
450 continued to do well
400 • Equity trading was weaker due to
350
negative market sentiment
300
250 • Market leader position in
200 structured products was
150
improved, in a weaker market
100
50 • Weak quarter in Corporate
0 Finance for First Securities
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
06 06 06 06 07 07 07 07 08 • Result was negatively affected by
Profit for the period attributable to shareholders of Swedbank First Securities
unrealized valuation effects as a
result of the credit crunch.

(12)
Accounting and valuation effects

Q1 Q4 Q3
Accounting and valuation effects, SEKm 2008 2007 2007

Swedbank Markets – 187 – 40 – 60

Group Treasury, intra-group lending – 253 20 – 90

Swedbank Mortgage – 22 66 – 129

Group Treasury, liquidity portfolio 69 –5 – 68

(13)
Swedbank funding structure

Lending to the public: SEK 1,131bn

Swedbank Group,
excl. Swedbank 50% 50%
Swedbank
Mortgage SEK Mortgage
562bn SEK 569bn

Distribution of net funding requirement


Swedbank Treasury (excluding Mortgage) Swedbank Mortgage
Funding Equity
12% 4% Swedbank Mortgage
• Large deposit base constitutes a larger
Equity Funding
• Liquidity reserves 96% part of Swedbank
8%
• Net lender in the Group’s balance sheet
interbank market compared with other
• Liquidity limits – financial institutions
conservative view
(14)
Deposits
80%
Focus on funding

Funding costs have increased


• Higher price of risk
• Increased liquidity reserve
• Short-term adverse effect on margins

Covered bonds as of 21 April 2008


• AAA rating (S&P and Moody’s) ⇨ funding at lower cost
• Facilitates access to a broader investor base – more stable liquidity
• Provides substantially increased liquidity reserve.

(15)
Income statement, Group
Q1 Q4 Q1
SEKm 2008 2007 % 2007 %
Net interest income 5,241 5,259 –0 4,501 16
Net commission income 2,180 2,536 – 14 2,289 –5
Net gains/losses on financial items at fair value 75 386 – 81 530 – 86
Other income 950 693 37 473 101
Total income 8,446 8,874 –5 7,793 8
Staff costs 2,311 2,111 9 1,932 20
Profit-based staff costs 268 522 – 49 390 – 31
Other expenses 1,861 1,893 –2 1,615 15
Total expenses 4,440 4,526 –2 3,937 13
Profit before loan losses 4,006 4,348 –8 3,856 4
Loan losses 288 238 21 49 488
Operating profit 3,718 4,110 – 10 3,807 –2
Tax 805 950 – 15 851 –5
Profit for the period 2,913 3,160 –8 2,956 –1
Attributable to shareholders of Swedbank 2,900 3,108 –7 2,910 –0

(16)
4,600
4,800
5,000
5,200
5,400
Net interest
SEKm
income

5,259
Q4 07

Swedish
55

Banking

Baltic Banking
-13

Operations
1

Baltic Banking
Investment

International
22

Banking

Swedbank
Markets
-215
Net interest income Q1 08 (Q4 07)

Shared
Services and
132

other

Net interest
income
5,241

Q1 08
(17)
Swedish Banking, change in net interest income

Q1 2008 Q1 2008
SEKm vs Q4 2007 vs Q1 2007
Net interest income Q4 2007 2,927
Net interest income Q1 2007 2,943
Changes:
Higher lending volumes 55 234
Decreased lending margins – 116 – 403
Difference in number of days/quarter, lending – 18 18
Higher deposit volumes 24 122
Higher deposit margins 110 194
Difference in number of days/quarter, deposits – 13 13
Other changes 13 – 139
Total change 55 39
Net interest income Q1 2008 2,982 2,982

(18)
Baltic Banking, change in net interest income
Q1 2008 Q1 2008
SEKm vs Q4 2007 vs Q1 2007
Net interest income Q4 2007 1,588
Net interest income Q1 2007 1,215
Changes:
Higher lending volumes 47 245
Higher lending margins 3 8
Difference in number of days/quarter, lending -11 11
FX-effects, lending 14 21
Higher deposit volumes 44 68
Higher deposit margins 85
Decreased deposit margins -148
Difference in number of days/quarter, deposits -6 6
FX-effects, deposits 10 11
Other changes 34 -95
Total change – 13 360
Net interest income Q1 2008 1,575 1,575
(19)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
SEKm
Asset
management

Payments

Brokerage

Q1 2008
Lending

Insurance

Q4 2007
Net commission income, Group

Corporate
finance

Other
(20)
Loan losses Q1 08 (Q4 07)
mkr
350 mkr mkr
17 000 17 000
300
15 000 15 000
250 13 000 13 000

200 11 000 11 000


9 000 9 000
150 7 000 7 000

100 5 000 5 000


3 000 3 000
50
1 000 1 000

0 -1 000 -1 000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
-50
Group, total Swedish
ResultatBanking Baltic Banking
före kreditförluster International
Reavinster Swedbank
EnterCard, KIAB Shared Services
-100
Kreditförluster, netto* Operations Banking (exkl. reavinster)
Rörelseresultat Markets and other

Q4 2007 Q1 2008

(21)
Expenses
Q1 Q4 Q1
SEKm 2008 2007 % 2007 %
Swedish Banking 2,255 2,279 – 1 2,183 3
Baltic Banking 899 1,062 – 15 769 17
International Banking 309 272 14 107
of which Ukrainian Banking 150 163 –8
Swedbank Markets 456 560 – 19 517 – 12
Asset Management & Insurance 253 230 10 183 38
Other 268 123 178 51
Total expenses 4,440 4,526 – 2 3,937 13
of which staff costs in:
Swedish Banking 1,099 1,096 0 1,023 7
Baltic Banking 522 587 – 11 451 16
International Banking 157 155 1 52
Swedbank Markets 258 351 – 26 345 – 25
Asset Management & Insurance 110 138 – 20 76 45

(22)
Business areas
Swedish Baltic Int'l. Swedbank Asset
Banking Banking Banking Markets Mgmt
2008 vs 2007, SEKm 2008 % 2008 % 2008 % 2008 % 2008 %
Net interest income 2,982 1 1,575 30 369 289 – 28 25 32
Net commission income 1,025 –5 458 8 54 26 227 – 38 416 4
Other income 690 93 209 – 24 26 254 2 24 – 57
Total income 4,697 7 2,242 17 449 770 – 24 465 – 2
Staff costs 1,099 7 522 16 157 258 – 25 110 45
Other expenses 1,156 –0 377 19 152 198 15 143 34
Total expenses 2,255 3 899 17 309 456 – 12 253 38
Profit before loan losses 2,442 11 1,343 17 140 65 314 – 36 212 – 27
Loan losses 95 173 62 26 ## 0 0
Operating profit 2,347 4 1,170 13 114 58 314 – 36 212 – 27
Tax 656 4 107 20 28 75 88 – 36 53 – 23
Profit for the period 1,691 4 1,063 12 86 54 226 – 37 159 – 28
Attributable to Swedbank's
shareholders 1,688 4 1,063 12 86 54 216 – 31 159 – 28
Return on allocated equity, % 23.3 29.1 5.0 23.7 29.4
(23)
Key figures
Jan-Mar Jan-Mar
2008 2007
Return on equity, % 16.8 18.9
Earnings per share, SEK 5.63 5.65
Equity per share, SEK 136.43 122.84
C/I ratio before loan losses 0.53 0.51
Loan loss ratio, net, % 0.10 0.02
Share of impaired loans, % 0.16 0.07
Dividend, SEK 9.00* 8.25
Tier 1 capital ratio, new rules, % 8.2 8.0
Tier 1 capital ratio, transition rules, % 6.5 6.8
Capital adequacy ratio, new rules, % 11.7 11.8
* according to Board of Directors proposal

(24)
Core business is doing well – challenging financial markets

• Solid business development with • Lower commission income due to


corporates and private customers weaker equity markets and low
• Development as expected in the corporate finance activity
Baltic states • Net gains and losses on financial
• Funding programmes continue to items were adversely affected by
function well – conversion to unrealized valuation effects
covered bonds on 21 April caused by the credit crunch
• Credit quality remains good, credit
losses and impaired loans are
increasing from low levels

(25)
Appendix

(26)
Exposures
• No direct US subprime exposure
– Minimal indirect exposure through investments of EUR 48m in bonds issued by US mortgage
institutions. The bonds have about 5% exposure to US subprime
• Total exposure to structured credits is minimal
– No commitments as regards conduits or SIVs of any kind
– Negligible exposure to CDOs
• Swedbank holds a very small CDO trading stock for client trades in CDOs issued by Swedbank,
with mainly large caps as underlying risk
• Holdings totalled EUR 18m at end Q1
– Exposure to Mortgage Backed Securities was about EUR 714m
• European Aaa and mainly residential
• Held for EUR liquidity purposes and client trading
• Hedge fund exposure was about EUR 500m, all collateralized
• Exposure to private equity firms and their target companies was about
EUR 1,350m in total
– Nordic related LBOs
• The above-mentioned exposures together represent less than 1.5% of
total assets.

(27)
Baltic Banking lending by sectors
Portfolio, March 2008 Portfolio growth, Q1 08

Individuals 8,370 42% 268 41%

Real-estate
2,933 15% -79 -12%
mgmt
Retail &
1,800 9% 64 10%
Wholesale

Industry 1,780 9% 88 13%

Transport 1,076 5% -35 -5%

Construction 593 3% 47 7%
xx% - share of portfolio and portfolio growth
Other 3,185 16% -2 0%

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 -250 0 250 500 750


As of 2008, Bank of Estonia changed the official sector classification details. During the process of implementing the new classification, Hansabank
switched to a different source system and reviewed the sector data in detail. This resulted in many reclassifications, particularly as regards the real
estate management sector. The current classification better illustrates Baltic Banking’s exposure to the real estate sector. Real estate management
portfolio growth prior to reclassification was EUR 145m in Q1 08. (28)
Additional questions?
Johannes Rudbeck
Investor relations
[email protected]
+46858593322

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