Strategic Foresight Time Machine

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Introduction
Duration: 2.5–3 hours.

Materials: Pens and Scratch Paper. 1 4-sided die, 1 20-sided die. If die are
not available, an online number generator can be used. It is not mandatory,
but if this is done as a group, flipcharts and dot stickers are recommended.

There’s something quite inconvenient about the future, and that is the fact that it doesn’t exist. We can
only ever be in the present. As a result, the future is just a symbol for the repercussions of our daily
actions. The choices we’re making right now are playing an active role in determining what happens next.
While you can’t predict the future, there are a few things that you can do to invent it.

1. Track Trends. Keep track of the trends and emerging issues that interest you. Every day, week,
or month, contribute to a log in which you capture these new points of influence, or signals of
change to come. Keep your eye on those things as they evolve, and always ask yourself: how
might this impact my project or organization?

2. Think Plural. The futurist Jim Dator created the Alternative Futures Method to remind us that
there are many possible futures. When considering the future of your project or organization,
picture the positive AND negative possibilities. Don’t get blindsided by the future!

3. Walk Backwards. Once you have defined a vision for the future direction of your project or
organization, create a timeline that takes you backwards from that desired state to today. This is
a method known as backcasting, and can help make those long-term goals more actionable and
tangible.

We created the TIME MACHINE toolkit to help you


do just these things. Our mission is to make strategic
foresight more accessible and fun for organizations
and individuals. In doing so, we aim to make futures-
thinking a part of your day-to-day life and work. Our
methodology includes five key phases:

To prepare for takeoff, you’ll have a short safety


briefing, and then take part in a written reflection
exercise. Next, you’ll enter the portal by exploring the
context of your project or organization, as well as the
trends and emerging issues that are relevant for you.
Then, you’ll travel through time by creating a series of written scenarios about the future of your project or
organization. Finally, you’ll grab a quick souvenir before taking a bit of time to reflect on your trip.

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WORKSHOP STEP 01:

Prepare For Takeoff.


Safety Briefing
NOTES: In order to prepare for takeoff, please read the Safety Briefing below. If you are doing this as a
group, the lead facilitator will be responsible for reading the Safety Briefing.

“Welcome to the TIME MACHINE. Shortly, we’ll begin our journey to 10 years from now. Unless
otherwise instructed, please stay seated throughout the journey. At all times, please remember the
future is impossible to predict, but throughout our journey you will explore many of its possibilities.
Don’t be afraid to imagine realities that are peculiar, and remember that smoking and vaping is never
allowed inside the TIME MACHINE. Along the way, you might see some things that surprise you. That
is completely natural. Be sure to keep your hands and feet inside the TIME MACHINE, and maintain
an open mindset at all times. Thank you for listening. We will be taking off shortly.”

NOTES: If you are doing this as a group, the lead facilitator can approach one of the participants at
random, and read the following:

“Excuse me, I need to inform you that you are seated in an emergency row. Are you willing and able
to assist in the event of an emergency? Thank you.”

Approaching the Portal


As you approach the Portal, please take the time to reflect on the
journey ahead of you.

• What would the world look like today, if we (“we” as


in your project or organization) didn’t exist?

• What would the world look like in 10 years, if we


ceased operations today?

NOTES: If this is being done individually, take 3-5 minutes


to work through each question. If this is done as a group, the
facilitator should give each participant 2-3 minutes to reflect
on each question individually before doing a report out in
which participants share their reflections with the larger group
or small team.

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WORKSHOP STEP 02:

Enter the Portal.


The Futures Vortex
NOTES: In order to prepare for the next activity, please read the following.

“The future doesn’t exist. Because we can only ever be in the present, the future is just a symbol
for the repercussions of our daily actions. This is incredibly empowering because it means that we
are active participants in creating the future we want to inhabit. When thinking about the future, we
can often forget two-thirds of the story — how much of a role our current and past actions have. The
futures vortex, designed by Jacques Barcia, and inspired by Sohail Inayatullah’s Futures Triangle,
allows us to uncover this context. Please complete the Futures Vortex for your organization or project.”

NOTES: If this is being done individually, take a maximum of 5 minutes to work through each step of the
Futures Vortex. It is recommended to have the Futures Vortex on the next page printed as a worksheet
for you to work through. If this is done as a group, the facilitator should break the room into small teams.
Each small team should include a minimum of 2 people, and a maximum of 5. It is recommended to
have the Futures Vortex drawn on a flipchart or whiteboard so that teams can work through the activity
collaboratively.

• Past: What is the legacy of the past you are building upon?

• Present: What current trends or shifts in the market are impacting you in the present?

• Future: What vision of the future does your project or organization currently portray? What
are some emerging issues (emerging tech, signals of change, etc.) that could get in the way of
realizing your project, or growing your organization’s success?

NOTES: If this is done as a group, the facilitator can have each small team can share the top 1-3 key
insights from each of the three discussion topics: past, present, and future.

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What is the legacy of the What vision of the future does
past you are building upon? your project or organization
currently portray?

What are some emerging


issues that could get in the
way of realizing your project?

What current trends or shifts in the market


are impacting you in the present?
Trends and Emerging Issues
NOTES: In order to prepare for the next activity, please read the following.

“Informed by your work in the Futures Vortex, as well as some additional desk research or
stakeholder interviews (depending on the resources and time available for the exercise), generate
a list of 20 trends and/or emerging issues that are most relevant to the context of your project or
organization.”

NOTES: If this is done as a group, the facilitator can have each small team work to generate a list of
their own, or the entire group can work together to determine a single list of 20 trends and/or emerging
issues that everyone in the room will use moving forward. If small teams are having a difficult time
selecting the top 20 trends and/or emerging issues, the facilitator may choose to bring dot stickers to
hand out for voting purposes.

WORKSHOP STEP 03:

Travel Time.
NOTES: In order to prepare for the next activity, please read the following.

“Now that we’ve entered the portal, we’re ready to travel time. The TIME MACHINE has been
calibrated to 10 years from today. We will be making two stops on this journey. First, we’ll explore
the future of our industry or sector, and second, we’ll explore the future of our own project or
organization.”

Stop 01: The Futures of Your Industry or Sector


NOTES: Please continue reading below.

“You will be going through three rounds of ideation in order to develop three unique scenarios for
the futures of our sector or industry. As you work to develop these three scenarios, please attempt
to detach yourself from the narrative as much as possible. Our second stop, coming right after these
three rounds of ideation, will allow plenty of time for imagining our role within these futures. Your
scenarios can be written in any style or length that you’d like, but it is recommended to keep each
scenario to no more than 100 words. You should spend no more than 15 minutes on each round of
ideation.”

NOTES: If this is done as a group, the facilitator should recommend that participants remain in the
small teams they formed during the previous activity. Please continue reading, below.

“Remember the 20 trends and/or emerging issues that were generated earlier? Be sure to have
those handy. If you haven’t already, number your list from 1-20. This will make the next part of the
exercise a lot easier. Ready? Here we go.”

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ROUND 01:
1. Growth: A future in which our current work or way of life continues to increase. Growth is
the standard future vision for many companies (the chart with the arrows pointing up!), but
growth is not always a positive thing (for example, growth of plastic waste).

2. Collapse: A future in which growth is reversed due to a harsh economic environment,


tragic event, or change in consumer mindset.

3. Constraint: A future in which innovation and growth is intentionally constrained. For


example, China’s former one child policy.

4. Transformation: A future in which our systems or ways of life are fundamentally


changed. For example, moving from an agricultural society to an industrial one. The launch
of the iPhone changing “overnight” the ways in which we communicate with each other.

Next, each small team or individual player will roll a 20-sided die one time to determine trend/emerging
issue that they will be working with from the list they created earlier. Before the time runs out on the first
round of ideation, players must develop a future scenario using the following template:

• What is your vision for the future?

• What stakeholders are involved in this vision, and in what way are they involved?

• What is the impact on the industry?

Throughout the scenario writing process, players should be sure to keep the trend/emerging issue in
mind, and align their narrative with the future archetype you’ve been dealt (growth, collapse, constraint,
or transformation).

ROUND 02:
Facilitator rolls 4-sided die again. This time, each small team, or the individual player, rolls a 20-sided
die two times to determine trends/emerging issues they’ll be working with. Players develop a new future
scenario. This future scenario shouldn’t reference the one developed in the previous round.

ROUND 03:
Facilitator rolls 4-sided die a third time. This time, each small team, or the individual player, rolls a
20-sided die three times to determine the trends/emerging issues they’ll be working with. Players develop
a new future scenario. This future scenario shouldn’t reference the one developed in the previous round.

NOTES: After the third round is complete, read the following.

“Take a few minutes to select one of the three future scenarios that you have ideated throughout the
last three rounds of ideation to move forward into the next activity.”

NOTES: If this is done as a group, the facilitator can have each small team can share a high-level
overview of the scenario they have selected to move forward into the next activity.

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Stop 02: The Futures of Your Organization or Project
NOTES: In order to prepare for the next activity, please read the following.

“Now that you’ve selected a scenario, imagine the implications of that future on your own work.”

Consider the following as you reflect:

• What opportunities and challenges do these futures impose on us?

• What is a vision for a new program, initiative, or direction to pursue?

• What stakeholders are involved in this vision, and in what way are they involved?

• What is the impact on the business?

• What is the impact on the industry?

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WORKSHOP STEP 04:

Grab a Souvenir.
NOTES: In order to prepare for the next activity, please read the following.

“A great trip is never complete without a souvenir! Use the postcard template to draw an image of the
scenario and implications that you’ve imagined, and write yourself a brief greeting from 10 years in
the future.”

NOTES: If this is done as a group, it is recommended that the facilitator have each individual design
the postcard using colored pencils, crayons, or markers. In addition, once everyone has completed
their postcard, it is recommended to have the participants “send” their postcards to one another. This is
accomplished by inviting everyone to gift their postcard to someone else in the room.

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WORKSHOP STEP 05:

Reflect on Your Trip.


NOTES: In order to prepare for the next activity, please read the following.

“By now, you’ve imagined a range of scenarios for the future of your industry or sector, and
proceeded to imagine the implications of one of those scenarios on your own work. Now, it’s time to
backcast. This two-part activity will help you make the long-term goals and visions more actionable
and tangible. We’ll start by picturing success, and end by creating a high-level timeline that captures
the next 10 years.”

Picture Success
NOTES: Please continue reading below.

“It’s 10 years into the future, and the scenario you’ve imagined has worked out well for you and your
organization or project. Write a newspaper headline that represents the success of your organization
or project.”

NOTES: If you are doing this individually, spend no more than five minutes producing your newspaper
headline. If this is done as a group, it is recommended that the facilitator budget 20 minutes for the
exercise. The activity should start with each individual participant writing a newspaper headline on their
own for five minutes. Next, each individual will share their newspaper headline with their small team.
Finally, each team will select one headline to move forward with, or create a new headline that captures
elements from each.

Backcasting
NOTES: Please continue reading below.

“Now that you’ve pictured success, create a visual timeline that will lead us from today to 10 years in
the future. To head back to the present, we will need to put our TIME MACHINE in reverse! So, create
a timeline that starts at the desired future state and brings it back home to the present day. Your
timeline must include 10 milestones, including the final milestone, which will feature the newspaper
headline that you wrote in the previous exercise.”

NOTES: If this is done as a group, once everyone has completed their timelines, it is recommended to
have the participants share their timelines with the full group. A fun way to do this is to imagine that one
side of the room is the present, and the other is 10 years in the future. With this in mind, participants can
share their timelines as they walk across the room. To conclude, read the following.

“Congratulations! You’ve just traveled time, and now we’re back in the present. Be sure to take the
lessons you’ve learned from the future, and begin applying them today. Remember, the future is just a
symbol for the implications of what we are doing right now. Start realizing those futures, today.”

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Your newspaper headline Backwards in ti
me
CREDITS

This toolkit was created by verynice, a design strategy practice that develops, facilitates, and publishes
methods for creative problem solving. As this is our first edition of the toolkit, we intend on making
adjustments here and there to work out all of the kinks. If you have any ideas to improve the experience,
or would like to invite our team to facilitate the TIME MACHINE workshop for your organization, please do
not hesitate to reach out to [email protected]. Thank you!

Matthew Manos, Author and Creative Director


Jenny Liu Zhang, Content Strategist and Visual Designer
Katie Manos, Editor
Special Thanks to: Jacques Barcia, Austin Bauer, Jake Dunagan

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