Funding Proposal - FP096 - AfDB - Democratic Republic of Congo

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FP096: Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Green

Mini-Grid Program

Democratic Republic of Congo | African Development Bank (AfDB) | Decision B.21/34

28 November 2018
CONFIDENTIAL

Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Green Mini-Grid


Project/Programme Title:
Program

Country/Region: Democratic Republic of Congo

Accredited Entity: African Development Bank

Date of Submission: July 2018


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Contents

Section A PROJECT / PROGRAMME SUMMARY

Section B FINANCING / COST INFORMATION

Section C DETAILED PROJECT / PROGRAMME DESCRIPTION

Section D RATIONALE FOR GCF INVOLVEMENT

Section E EXPECTED PERFORMANCE AGAINST INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Section F APPRAISAL SUMMARY

Section G RISK ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT

Section H RESULTS MONITORING AND REPORTING

Section I ANNEXES

Note to accredited entities on the use of the funding proposal template


 Sections A, B, D, E and H of the funding proposal require detailed inputs from the accredited entity. For all
other sections, including the Appraisal Summary in section F, accredited entities have discretion in how they
wish to present the information. Accredited entities can either directly incorporate information into this
proposal, or provide summary information in the proposal with cross-reference to other project documents
such as project appraisal document.
 The total number of pages for the funding proposal (excluding annexes) is expected not to exceed 50.

Please submit the completed form to:


[email protected]

Please use the following name convention for the file name:
“[FP]-[Agency Short Name]-[Date]-[Serial Number]”
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List of Abbreviations

A2E Access to Electricity


AfDB African Development Bank
AMA Accreditation Master Agreement
AMDA African Mini-Grid Developers Association
ANAPI Agence Nationale pour la Promotion des Investissements (National Investment
Promotion Agency)
ANSER Agence Nationale de l’Electrification et des Services Energétiques en Milieu
Rural et Périurbain (National Agency for the Rural and Peri-urban Electrification)
ARE Authorité de Régulation du secteur de l’électricité (Electricity Regulation
Authority)
AMLCFT Anti-Money Laundering/Combating the Financing of Terrorism
BAU Business-as-usual
CAPEX Capital Expenditures
CDC Commonwealth Development Corporation
CDF Congolese Franc
CDM Clean Development Mechanism
CIF Clean Investment Funds
CNE Commission Nationale de l’Energie (National Energy Commission)
COD Commercial Operation Date
DFI Development Finance Institution
DFID Department for International Development of UK
DRC Democratic Republic of Congo
DSCR Debt Service Coverage Ratio
EBITDA Earnings before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization
EPC Engineering, Procurement and Construction
E&S Environmental and Social
ESIA Environmental and Social Impact Assessment
ESMF Environmental and Social Management Framework
ESMP Environmental and Social Management Plan
EUR Euro
FAA Funded Activity Agreement
FiT Feed-in-Tariff
GCF Green Climate Fund
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GEF Global Environment Facility
GHG Green House Gas
GMG Green Mini-grid
GoDRC Government of the Democratic Republic of Congo
HOMER Hybrid Optimization Model for Multiple Energy Resources
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IDD Integrity Due Diligence


IMF International Monetary Fund
IPP Independent Power Producer
IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency
KYC Know-Your-Customer
LDC Least Developed Country
LLA Lender’s Legal Advisor
MERH Ministère de l’Energie et des Ressources Hydrauliques (Ministry of Energy and
Hydraulic Resources of the DRC)
MIGA Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency
MW Megawatt
MWh Megawatt Hour
ND-GAIN Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative
NDC Nationally Determined Contributions
O&M Operation and Maintenance
OPEX Operating Expenses
PEP Politically Exposed Persons
PPA Power Purchase Agreement
PPP Public-Private Partnership
PRG Partial Risk Guarantees
PV Photovoltaic
RAP Resettlement Action Plans
RE Renewable energy
Regideso Régie de Distribution d’Eau (Water Utility)
RfQ Request for Qualifications
RPF Resettlement Policy Framework
SEFA Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa
SME Small and Medium-sized Enterprise
SNEL Société Nationale d’Electricité (National Power Company)
SPV Special Purpose Vehicle
TA Technical Assistance
TBD To Be Determined
UCM Unité de Coordination et de Management (Unit for the Management and
Coordination)
UNDP United Nations Development Programme
USAID US Agency for International Development
USD United States Dollar
A
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PROJECT / PROGRAMME SUMMARY
GREEN CLIMATE FUND FUNDING PROPOSAL | PAGE 1 OF 74

A.1. Brief Project / Programme Information


Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Green Mini-Grid
A.1.1. Project / programme title
Program
A.1.2. Project or programme programme

A.1.3. Country (ies) / region Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)


Ministry of Environment and Sustainable Development
National Coordination of GCF
A.1.4. National designated authority (ies)
Hans Andre Lohayo Djamba, GCF National Focal Point
[email protected] / +243822541031
A.1.5. Accredited entity African Development Bank

A.1.5.a. Access modality ☐ Direct ☒ International


Executing Entity: African Development Bank
Beneficiaries: Three green mini-grid projects in the DRC;
A.1.6. Executing entity / beneficiary Ministry of Energy and Hydraulic Resources (MERH)/Unit for
the Management and Coordination (UCM) and renewable
energy sector stakeholders in the DRC
A.1.7. Project size category (Total investment, million ☐ Micro (≤10) ☐ Small (10<x≤50)
USD) ☒ Medium (50<x≤250) ☐ Large (>250)

A.1.8. Mitigation / adaptation focus ☒ Mitigation ☐ Adaptation ☐ Cross-cutting

A.1.9. Date of submission July 2018

Namho Oh, Senior Investment Officer


Contact person, position
Matthieu Jalard, Senior Investment Officer
A.1.10. Organization African Development Bank
Project
[email protected]
contact Email address
[email protected]
details
Telephone number +225 20 26 43 32
Mailing address Av. Joseph Anoma, 01 BP 1387 Abidjan 01, Côte d'Ivoire

A.1.11. Results areas (mark all that apply)

Reduced emissions from:


Energy access and power generation

(E.g. on-grid, micro-grid or off-grid solar, wind, geothermal, etc.)
Low emission transport

(E.g. high-speed rail, rapid bus system, etc.)
Buildings, cities and industries and appliances

(E.g. new and retrofitted energy-efficient buildings, energy-efficient equipment for companies and supply chain management, etc.)
Forestry and land use

(E.g. forest conservation and management, agroforestry, agricultural irrigation, water treatment and management, etc.)

Increased resilience of:


Most vulnerable people and communities
☐ (E.g. mitigation of operational risk associated with climate change – diversification of supply sources and supply chain management,
relocation of manufacturing facilities and warehouses, etc.)
Health and well-being, and food and water security

(E.g. climate-resilient crops, efficient irrigation systems, etc.)
☐ Infrastructure and built environment
(E.g. sea walls, resilient road networks, etc.)

☐ Ecosystem and ecosystem services


(E.g. ecosystem conservation and management, ecotourism, etc.)
A
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PROJECT / PROGRAMME SUMMARY
GREEN CLIMATE FUND FUNDING PROPOSAL | PAGE 2 OF 74

A.2. Project / Programme Executive Summary


Please provide a brief description of the proposed project/programme, including the objectives and primary measurable
benefits (see investment criteria in section E). The detailed description can be elaborated in section C.

Climate change in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is evident from the records, and severe biophysical
impacts and socio-economic downturn are anticipated with projected changes. Effects on temperatures and rainfall
patterns are exacerbating the vulnerability of rural communities, key productive sectors and the overall socio-economic
conditions. The DRC’s electricity generation largely relies on hydroelectric power (over 95% of the total generation), and
the country is expected to face increasing uncertainty and fluctuations in power generation with the changing rainfall
patterns in the long run. Unreliable power supply will not only hurt the industrial activities and livelihoods of people but
will also likely have adverse effect by increasing reliance on fossil fuel and biomass energy. The latter option is likely to
have implications for the forest and land use ecosystems, and their potential to contribute to emissions associated to
deforestation and forest degradation. This is particularly concerning as the DRC is the host of the second largest tropical
moist forests in the world, with forested area covering about 67.3% of the country. This power sector vulnerability, and
potential implications for other sectors with high potential to contribute to the country’s low emission development, would
aggravate pre-existing socio-economic vulnerability of the population in the context of severe energy precarity.

The DRC is the second biggest and fourth most populated country in Africa, which spreads over 2,345,441km² with a
population of 78.7 million. Yet the DRC has one of the lowest rates of electrification in the world. Only approximately 10%
of the population has access to electricity, 35% in urban areas (44% in Kinshasa) and less than 1% in rural areas. The
national utility company, SNEL (Société Nationale d’Electricité), accounts for 94 % of the total installed capacity (2,677
MW) and nearly all electricity is produced from hydropower. The DRC has no national-wide transmission network and
only three regional grids are covering parts of the country; hence there is a sizeable gap between the rate of electrification
in Kinshasa and the rest of the country. In off-grid areas, electricity demands are met with small, scattered diesel
generators, kerosene lamps and battery torches. Their fossil fuel dependence, which is unsustainable and costly, is
expected to intensify as the population and power demand grow. With limited grid expansion prospects in near future,
power sector development in the DRC will continue to rely on inefficient off-grid solutions with a high carbon footprint if
not triggered to shift to a low emission pathway.

Recently, green mini-grid is gaining attention as an alternative solution to reverse this trend and accelerate energy access.
Since the liberalization of the electricity sector in the DRC (the 2014 Electricity Law), a few local distribution
concessionaires and individual mini-grid projects have emerged. Still, this has been done in a sub-optimal and
heterogeneous manner primarily because of the lack of clear national regulation in the sector. Private investment to mini-
grid has been slow, and clear barriers exist toward its full commercial viability especially for renewable energy mini-grid.
In response to this challenge, the Essor Access to Electricity (Essor A2E), a technical assistance program financed by
DFID, is assisting the Government of the DRC (GoDRC) to accelerate, optimize and standardize the development of
private-led and renewable-based mini-grids across the country by building a robust, bankable and replicable structure.

Targeting mini-grid projects selected under the DFID-Essor A2E initiative, the AfDB-GCF Green Mini-Grid Program for
the DRC (the Program) will pilot an innovative mini-grid model powered by solar, bringing clean and modern energy to
sizeable towns. The Program will finance three solar hybrid mini-grid projects procured through a competitive tendering
process in the towns of Isiro, Bumba and Genema (with 487,500 inhabitants altogether), each consisting of a hybrid PV
power plant of 5-10 MW, battery storage, and associated distribution networks to reach consumers. The Program’s
climate additionality is significant as it will ensure that the major portion of future electricity demands are met by a clean
source as opposed to a business-as-usual 100% diesel scenario. Mobile prepayment and smart metering technologies
will ensure that consumptions are effectively monitored and controlled, while preventing potential fraud and non-technical
losses. The overall number of connections (domestic and commercial) is expected to reach approximately 12,400
connections in Year 1 and 23,300 connections in Year 5 with a 24 hours-a-day service.

The procurement of the three pilot concessions is to be handled by a public agency within the Ministry of Energy Hydraulic
Resources, namely the “Unité de Coordination et de Management” (UCM). The total cost of three projects is estimated
at USD 87 million at COD, of which up to USD 40 million would be from the AfDB and the GCF senior debts to finance
solar PV plant and battery storage, with the remainder financed by equity and quasi-equity (including investment grant).
A financing package arranged by the AfDB will be offered to pre-qualified bidders as a recommended option. Awarded
sponsors will create individual special purpose vehicles (SPV) and will enter into concession agreements with the central
government for a 20-25 year period 1.

1A twenty-year concession period was assumed in the financial model and pre-feasibility studies. The
exact concession period will be determined by the GoDRC before the launch of the tender.
A
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PROJECT / PROGRAMME SUMMARY
GREEN CLIMATE FUND FUNDING PROPOSAL | PAGE 3 OF 74

In addition, complementary technical assistance (TA) was designed to ensure that green mini-grids are scaled-up across
the country beyond the pilot phase. The AfDB has approved USD 1 million grant for the TA, from the Sustainable Energy
Fund for Africa (SEFA) hosted by the AfDB, and GCF co-financing of USD 1 million grant is requested. The TA activities
will 1) strengthen the enabling framework for green mini-grid development in the DRC by building institutional capacity to
manage and implement green mini-grid projects, standards and tariff guideline development, and local renewable energy
ecosystem building; and 2) support project-level preparation of three mini-grids, as well as pre-feasibility studies and
tender preparation for additional mini-grids in other sites in the DRC.

Envisioned mini-grids will displace fossil fuel-based generation and provide access to clean, reliable and more affordable
energy to approximately 150,000 people who live off the grid, avoiding emission of 560,000 tCO2eq over 20 years (28,000
tCO2eq per year). Long-term and concessional financing provided by the AfDB and the GCF is critical to enhance the
commercial viability of the selected projects while ensuring affordable tariffs for end consumers. Powering the entire off-
grid towns with sustainable energy, and further supported by the TA, this Program will enable the transformation of the
DRC energy sector by opening up a market for green mini-grid investments and thereby accelerating low emission
development. In addition, energy access will strongly reinforce economic and social resilience of low income population
living in climate vulnerable areas. The Program will be a test bed for an innovative mini-grid design, demonstrating a
viable model for private-led, renewable based mini-grid financing which will be replicable in the DRC, other Sub-Saharan
African countries and small island developing countries.

A.3. Project/Programme Milestone


Expected approval from accredited entity’s
Q4 2018 2
Board (if applicable)

Expected financial close (if applicable) Q1-Q2 2020

Start: Q1 2019
Estimated implementation start and end date
End: Q4 2023

Project/programme lifespan 23 years 3

2 AfDB contribution to the technical assistance (USD 1 million grant) has been approved in 2018.
3 A five-year implementation period plus a (up to) 18-year loan tenor.
B
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B.1. Description of Financial Elements of the Project / Programme

Renewable-based green mini-grid is still a new business model in most parts of Sub-Saharan Africa including the DRC.
As a mini-grid project is perceived risky and non-traditional, availability of debt financing has been limited and most
projects relied on pure grant or equity. The financing barrier is even higher in the DRC where the overall private sector
development is early and security concerns in some parts of the country still remain high. Compounded with legal and
regulatory uncertainties around mini-grid, this has inevitably limited the number and scale of green mini-grid projects in
the private sector.

The proposed AfDB-GCF debt financing envelop for three pilot solar hybrid mini-grid projects under the Program therefore
fills the significant financing gap identified and at the same time pilot a financing structure that will bring the projects to
commercial viability. Each project comes with two components – Component 1 covering solar PV generation plant and
battery storage, and Component 2 covering distribution network, connections and backup. The CAPEX for the three
projects is expected to be USD 87 million overall, of which USD 45 million will be for the Component 1 including PV plant
(USD 22.9 million) and storage (USD 22.0 million); and USD 42 million for the Component 2 including distribution
networks (USD 26.1 million), connections and metering infrastructure (USD 8.1 million), emergency backup genset (USD
2.6 million), and other costs including development cost and financing cost (USD 5.2 million).

USD 87 million of CAPEX only covers the initial investment to install the grid and reach 23,300 connections (for all three
sites) in five years; it is expected that periodic re-investments will be made throughout the concession period (20-25
years) to expand the generation capacity and connections in response to increasing demand and to cover the battery
replacement cost. Sponsors will be required to arrange re-investment financing as and when required.

Figure 1. Preliminary financial structure of each mini-grid project

The overall USD 87 million (estimated) CAPEX of the three projects is expected to be financed through a blended senior
debt providing about 45% of the funds, and a tranche of equity, quasi equity and investment grant (Figure 1). The GCF
contribution amounting to USD 20 million is expected to contribute to half of the USD 40 million senior debt tranche which
will finance generation and storage part of the projects (Component 1). The AfDB proposes to be a Mandated Lead
Arranger for the three selected projects and is under discussion with potential co-financiers and donors. Table 1 below
summarizes the Sources and Uses of Funds at the Program level for the three projects, and the Projects Preparation and
Technical Assistance costs to be borne by the AfDB and the GCF. DFID’s Essor Access to Electricity (“Essor A2E”)
program has supported the Congolese government to design a robust tender process and standardize legal documents
for mini-grid concessions.
B
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It is important to note that GCF investment (USD 20 million) is only to cover the financing needs for renewable
energy assets (i.e. solar PV and battery – Component 1) and not infrastructure and any other backup. Anticipated
contributions to the CAPEX from other development partners in the form of grant or other quasi-equity (to be determined
– discussions ongoing) is to support financing of the emergency backup, distribution networks and households connection
(Component 2), which will serve as public infrastructure to ensure reliability through 24 hours energy supply with maximum
coverage across customer segments, including essential public services such as water supply and hospitals. Grant for
the distribution infrastructure (including distribution lines, transformers, metering infrastructure) is also being considered
from the perspective of tariff affordability, with a purpose to benefit lowest income households among others. Any quasi-
equity or grant will be subordinated to the AfDB-GCF loans or other senior loans. Any additional debt financing, for the
initial investment or re-investment, will follow the terms acceptable to the AfDB as an Accredited Entity and Executing
Entity.

Even though the GCF and the AfDB are financing only Component 1, from the perspective of ensuring success of the
overall green mini-grid model which is proposed to be piloted in the three locations, it is absolutely essential that the
necessary distribution infrastructure (which is separately being financed as Component 2) is in place in a timely fashion
to ensure that the consumers have access to clean energy and do not resort to accessing unsustainable energy sources.
Therefore even though Components 1 and 2 are financed separately, they are integral to each other and to the overall
green mini-grid pilot projects.

Complementary technical assistance (TA) (USD 2 million grant) was designed to ensure that green mini-grids are scaled-
up across the country beyond the pilot phase. The TA activities will 1) strengthen the enabling framework for green mini-
grid development in the DRC with institutional capacity building, standards and tariff guideline development, and local RE
ecosystem building; and 2) support project-level preparation of three target mini-grids, as well as pre-feasibility studies
and tender preparation for additional mini-grids in other sites in the DRC. Project preparation support for the three
projects, solely financed by AfDB-SEFA, is meant to supplement the development costs (under Component 2) by covering
legal advisory services and additional technical studies (detailed feasibility studies and engineering design, environment
and social impact assessment). GCF’s contributions to the TA will finance the capacity building activities for the public
sector and the local RE ecosystem. AfDB and GCF contributions through technical assistance will further strengthen the
regulatory environment with necessary capacity building, and advance the preparation of mini-grid projects for the three
target projects as well as for the subsequent rounds of tender.

Project Cost – Three Green Mini-Grids (Component 1 and 2)


Uses of funds (USD M) Sources of funds (USD M)
Component 1: Three Green Mini-Grid Projects - Solar PV generation and battery storage
PV Power Plant 23.0 Senior Debt 40.0
Battery Storage 22.0 Of Which GCF 20.0
Of Which AfDB 20.0
Equity 5.0
Total 45 Total 45

Uses of funds (USD M) Sources of funds (USD M)


Component 2: Three Green Mini-Grid Projects - Distribution, connections, backup and other costs
Total Networks 26.1 Equity, Quasi Equity and Grant 42.0
Connections and Metering 8.1
Emergency Backup 2.6
Other Costs 5.2
Total 42 Total 42
B
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Three Green Mini-Grids – Source of Financing for Each Sub-Component


GCF AfDB Sponsors Other Donors/
Financiers
Component 1
Solar PV x x x

Battery Storage x x x
Component 2
Distribution & Connection x x

Emergency Backup x x

Technical Assistance Cost (Component 3)


Uses of funds (USD M) Sources of funds (USD M)
Sub-component 3.1 0.80 Grant 2.00
Sub-component 3.2 1.20 Of Which AfDB 1.00
Of Which GCF 1.00

Total 2 Total 2
Table 1. Sources and Uses of Funds

a breakdown of cost estimates for total project costs and GCF financing by sub-component in local and foreign
currency and a currency hedging mechanism:

Amount Currency of
Component Amount (for entire Local GCF funding
Currency (for entire disbursement
project) currency amount
project) to recipient
Component 1:
Three green mini-
million USD Up to 20
grid projects – Up to 45 USD
generation and ($) million
storage

Component 2:
Three green mini-
grid projects –
million USD
distribution, Up to 42 - -
connection, ($)
backup and other
costs

Component 3.1:
TA - Green mini-
million USD
grid enabling 0.8 0.5 million USD
framework and ($)
capacity building

Component 3.2:
TA - Green mini-
million USD
grid project 1.2 0.5 million USD
development ($)
support
Total project
Up to 89 million USD 21 million USD
financing
* Please expand the table if needed.
B
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B.2. Project Financing Information


Financial Instrument Amount Currency Tenor Pricing

(a) Total
million USD
project (a) = (b) + (c) 89
($)
financing

million USD
(i) Senior loans 20 ($) 15-18 years
Refer to the term
sheet
(ii) Grant 1 million USD N/A
(b) GCF ($)
financing to
recipient * Please provide economic and financial justification in section F.1 for the concessionality that GCF is expected to
provide, particularly in the case of grants. Please specify difference in tenor and price between GCF financing and
that of accredited entities. Please note that the level of concessionality should correspond to the level of the
project/programme’s expected performance against the investment criteria indicated in section E.

Total requested million USD


21
(i+ii) ($)

Financial Name of
Amount Currency Tenor Pricing Seniority
Instrument Institution

AfDB [3/6] month senior


Senior million USD 15-18
20 LIBOR +
Loans ($) years TBD 4

Grant 32 5 million USD Other N/A TBD junior


($) investors
/Quasi-
Co-financing Equity
to recipient

Equity million USD Project TBD junior


15 N/A
($) sponsors

Grant N/A N/A


1 million USD N/A
(TA) AfDB
($)

Lead financing institution: AfDB

* Please provide a confirmation letter or a letter of commitment in section I issued by the co-financing institution

4 Subject to the detailed credit assessment of individual projects.


5 Investment grant, reimbursable grant or other forms of quasi-equity (TBD). Amount indicative only.
B
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B.3. Financial Markets Overview (if applicable)

How market price or expected commercial rate return was (non-concessional) determined? Please provide an overview
of the size of total banking assets, debt capital markets and equity capital markets which could be tapped to finance the
proposed project/programme. Please provide an overview of market rates (i.e. 1-year T-Bill, 5-year government bond,
5-year corporate bond (specify credit rating) and 5-year syndicate loan 6.

The inflation rate in the DRC was highest in August 2017 at 70.8%, which was the peak in recent 5 years, and continuously
decreased with the latest inflation rate standing at 43.2% (April 2018). The main instrument applied to curb the inflation
rate was to increase the interest rate. Since 2017, the interest rate has been on the rise, to 14% from 7% at the beginning
of 2017, in order to curb the escalating inflation rate. Although the policy implemented by the Central Bank has been
effective, this has come with higher interest rates on lending and a cost to domestic credit expansion. As a consequence,
domestic private sector investments struggle to access finance in the DRC.
The country is ranked at 182nd out of 190 countries in the World Bank’s 2018 Doing Business report. Financial
intermediation is low in the DRC: most credit is informal and formal bank credit to the private sector accounts for less
than 3 percent of GDP. Retail banking is largely undeveloped, and most banks act as financial agents for the government
or extend credit to international institutions operating in the country. Foreign commercial banks dominate the industry as
providers of funding for the mining and petroleum sectors. No stock market operates in the country, but a small number
of private equity firms invest actively in the mining industry. The DRC’s capital market consists primarily of government
securities. With no corporate debt market present in the country, the fixed income market is restricted to short-term
government issued treasury bills with maturities up to 28 days, which are dematerialized and freely tradable through
commercial banks.
Borrowing options for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are limited. Maturities for loans are usually
limited to 3-6 months, and interest rates typically hover around 16-18 percent. The weakness of the legal system
discourages banks from providing long-term loans. Since local banks have limited holdings in the domestic currency
(Congolese Franc (CDF)), there are limited possibilities to finance major projects in the domestic currency. Prior to 2016,
the average CDF holding was roughly USD 12 million per bank, though the economic downturn prompted the Central
Bank to mandate an increase in CDF holdings to USD 30 million per bank by October 2017. Foreign currency deposits
currently account for almost 90 percent of bank holdings.
The DRC has roughly USD 3.6 billion of deposits in the banking system, up slightly from 2015. Estimated USD 10 billion
of savings are existing outside the bank and most deposits reserved in the bank are U.S. dollar-denominated. A slight
increase in bank penetration occurred after 2011 as the GoDRC switched public employee payments from cash to bank
transfers. Bank penetration is roughly 6 percent, which places the country among the most under-banked nations in the
world. According to the Banque Centrale du Congo (BCC) strategic plan, the aim is to reach more than 20 million bank
accounts by 2030. Banks are increasingly offering savings accounts that pay approximately 3 percent interest, but few
Congolese hold savings in banks. Of an estimated 65 percent of the population that saves, only 4.7 percent do so through
a bank, according to the Banking Association of Congo (ACB). Most account holders withdraw their balance in full shortly
after their salary is deposited.
The banking sector consists of twenty licensed banks. These include well renowned international banks that operate
across much of Africa: Procrédit, Rawbank, Bank of Africa, and Ecobank. The rest of these financial institutions are local
banks. Though the rate of access to banking services remains quite low in the DRC, mobile banking is fast-
growing and spreading across the country, facilitating payments for multiple services, including for water and
energy. The government, with the IMF technical assistance, is currently working on a legislation to improve the regulation
of the commercial banks and to foster a modernization of the central bank. This new legislation will seek to strengthen
shareholder rights, develop the legal and regulatory framework for liquidations and also develop a legal basis for acting
as lender of last resort.

6 US State Department's Office of Investment Affairs’ Investment Climate Statement


(https://www.export.gov/article?id=Congo-Democratic-Republic-Financial-Sector)
Making Finance Work for Africa (MFW4A)
(https://www.mfw4a.org/democratic-republic-of-the-congo/financial-sector-profile.html)
B
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A review of the DRC’s financial market and sector indicators clearly illustrates a unique challenge in obtaining
local, commercial financing for any infrastructure project. Local financial institutions do not have experience of
offering debt financing to energy projects, not to mention renewable energy mini-grid projects. Their financial position and
institutional capacity is extremely constrained to consider such investment and the situation is not likely to change in the
short to medium term.

Provide examples or information on comparable transactions.


With a very limited national grid covering only a fraction of the country and the various logistic issues related to fuel
supply, the development of “green mini-grids”, especially solar-based ones, represents an efficient way to improve access
to electricity in the DRC in the short-to-medium term. Through the use of available renewable energy resources, green
mini-grids fit very well with the specific needs in the DRC for improving access to energy to a large number of its people
independently from the national grid. Following the liberalization of the electricity sector, a few initiatives, mostly driven
by the local private sector, have already been undertaken leading to the successful implementation of a couple of green
mini-grids, though not in a coordinated way. A few private operators have started to develop mini-grids, mainly in the
southern part of the country, using mostly hybrid-technology combining hydro or solar power plants with diesel generators
(Table 2). Most of these projects have been negotiated on an ad hoc basis with the central or provincial
governments without a national policy framework to facilitate these interventions. It may also be noted that most
of these projects were set up in response to the industry demand, primarily mining, in their catchment areas, as opposed
to catering to needs of the local population. Further, most of these projects have relied on donor finance as opposed to
commercial financing, in view of the prevailing challenges in the domestic financial system.

Area Technology Size Operator

Tchikapa Hydro 1.5 MW STS

Kananga Solar-diesel hybrid 2.5 MW PPP consortium

Matebe Hydro 13.8 MW Virunga Sarl

Beni Butembo Hydro 12 MW STS

Manono Solar 1 MW Enerdeal

Kakobola Hydro 9.3 MW Government

Table 2. Examples of mini-grid projects in the DRC

As may be observed from the Figure 2, it is evident that the existing mini-grids are concentrated in regions of relatively
high economic activity, primarily mining and trading. The three pilot mini-grids are proposed to be set up in areas which
do not have the same degree of economic activity, making them relatively challenging from an economic perspective.
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Figure 2. Location of existing mini-grids (orange dots) and proposed three mini-grids (black dots)

Additionality of the AfDB-GCF Green Mini-Grid Program


• Technology: Unlike most other mini-grid projects relying on hydro or diesel, the Program will pilot solar PV hybrid
mini-grids. A solar-based system is still more CAPEX intensive than alternative technologies, therefore
developers have an incentive to go for a diesel-based system which requires lower upfront investment. The
Program has an important role to play as it demonstrates a solar-based mini-grid business model, its
technological advantage and financial viability. This is going to be the key first step to trigger the proliferation of
solar-based mini-grids in the DRC.
• Location: Above-mentioned projects are all located in Southern or Eastern (Kivu) parts of the country where the
infrastructure development is relatively advanced, with a significantly higher degree of economic activity as
compared to the rest of the country (Figure 2). Three target projects under this Program are located in Northern
Congo, introducing clean energy services in under-developed areas.
• Financing: Previously, mini-grid projects have been predominantly financed by small private companies or donor
grants. The Program aims to increase the volume of debt financing for green mini-grid projects in the DRC,
offering adequate price and tenor. The financing package will in turn encourage private investment for mini-grid
and help build a business case for other financiers to step into the sector.
• Replicability: The Program is built on a robust legal framework and a competitive mini-grid tender process, which
is the first time in the DRC, enabled by DFID's Essor A2E. This is a structure designed for replication across the
country, moving away from individual and uncoordinated concession agreements. The Program will demonstrate
how a government-led tender backed by a standardized concessions package can achieve cost efficiency and
accelerate the deployment of green mini-grids. Furthermore, technical assistance under the Program will
strengthen the capacity and regulatory systems of the GoDRC in managing and implementing green mini-grids,
facilitating the model’s replication beyond the pilot phase.
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Please fill out applicable sub-sections and provide additional information if necessary, as these requirements may vary
depending on the nature of the project / programme.

C.1. Strategic Context


Please describe relevant national, sub-national, regional, global, political, and/or economic factors that help to
contextualize the proposal, including existing national and sector policies and strategies.

Economic situation
The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is the second biggest 7 and the fourth most populated country in Africa, which
spreads over 2,345,441km² with a population of 78.7 million. 8 At the same time the DRC is a least developed country
(LDC) and one of the poorest countries in the world with its GNI per capita standing at USD 460 (in 2016, current US
dollar) 9. The country’s economy heavily relies on the extractive industry particularly copper and cobalt which account for
80% of the country’s export revenue. The DRC is widely considered to be the richest in natural resources in the world,
with large reserves of copper, cobalt, natural gas, iron ore, platinum, diamonds, gold and uranium. Growth in the extractive
sector has driven the overall economic growth for the past few years, as demonstrated by the high average GDP growth
rate between 2010 and 2015 (7.7%). However in 2016, the DRC’s annual economic growth plummeted to 2.4%, its lowest
point since 2001, as a combined result of shrinking global demand for raw materials and their declining prices. Economic
development has been further hampered by political tension and uncertainty. Boosted by increasing commodity prices
and good performance of mining and manufacturing industries, the growth is on a recovery track since 2017 and this is
projected to continue this year. Despite a moderate economy recovery, the inflation rate is still very high, reaching 43,2%
at the beginning of 2018.
The economic slowdown has had a direct impact on the level of public finance available. Government revenues, excluding
grants, dropped from 13.6% of GDP in 2015 to 8.14% in 2017. Decreased government revenues subsequently caused a
decline in the government expenditure, from 15.8% of GDP in 2015 to 10.8% in 2017 10, in order to contain the deficit.
Public consumption and investment have been inactive due to tight government spending. The DRC’s economic and
social development still ranks among the lowest in the world plagued by highest rates of extreme poverty. According to
the most recent Human Development Index, the country is ranked at 178th out of 188 countries and it is estimated that
over 77% of Congolese live on less than USD 1.9 per day 11.

Climate change context: [covered under Section C.2]

Energy sector overview


The DRC has one of the lowest rates of electrification in the world. Only approximately 10% of the population has access
to electricity, 35% in urban areas (44% in Kinshasa) and less than 1% in rural areas 12. Number of people without access
to electricity is 68 million in 2016, while the DRC targets universal access by 2050. Nearly 95% of the country’s electricity
(total 2,677 MW) is currently produced by hydropower plants (Table 3). Total installed capacity of hydropower is 2,542
MW which has seen little change over the past 30 years due to a lack of new investments. Of this, only half of this
potential is actually generated (producing about 8,349 GWh/year) due to breakdown, maintenance issues and
low-water level, in part also underscoring climate vulnerability of hydro generation capacity. As illustrated in Table
4, most hydropower stations in the DRC are not operational at their full capacity as they suffer from the lack of spare
parts and equipment maintenance. Moreover, the DRC has no national-wide transmission network. There are only three
inter-provincial grids in the West (Central Congo and Kinshasa), East (North and South Kivu), and South (Haut-Katanga,
Lualaba) of the country (Figure 3 and Figure 4). Some mining companies have developed their own power generation
including small-hydro power, however, these do not supply electricity to surrounding population in most of the cases, as

7 CIA, The World Fact Book, 2014.


8 World Bank Data, 2016.
9 Ibid.
10 IMF, AFR Regional Economic Outlook, 2018.
11 UNDP, Human Development Report, 2016.
12 IEA, World Energy Outlook 2017.
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contrasted to proposed pilot mini-grids. In several towns, power is supplied by few formal independent power companies
such as EDC in Tshikapa, Virunga SARL in Mutwanga and Matebe, Enerka in Mbuji-Mayi, but also by mining companies
such as SOKIMO (connecting local communities as part of community engagement initiatives) and faith-based and non-
governmental organizations (NGOs). (For more information of other mini-grid projects in the DRC, please see Section
B.3.)

Figure 3. DRC Population Density Map and Existing/Planned Grid

Generation Transmission Distribution End-user

• SNEL mandated for generation, transmission, distribution and trading of electricity


• The Electricity Law of 2014 broke SNEL’s monopoly

Generation Capacity Transmission and distribution network End-user


• SNEL: 94% • SNEL: Three inter-provincial grids and limited
• Independent plant: 6% regional networks
- Private power componies (5,510km of HV, 4,484km of MV, 12,133 km of LV lines)
(Virunga SARL, STS, etc.) • Others
- Mining companies (e.g. Virunga SARL: 40km transmission line
- Religious and NGOs Enerdeal: several km of MV and LV lines)

Figure 4. Value Chain of the DRC Electricity Sector


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Power station Type of plant Owner Installed capacity (MW) %


Bas Congo
Inga 1 Hydro SNEL 351
Inga 2 Hydro SNEL 1,424
Zongo Hydro SNEL 75
Sanga Hydro SNEL 12
Mpozo Hydro SNEL 2.2
Katanga
Mwadingusha Hydro SNEL 68
Koni Hydro SNEL 42.1
Nseke & Nzilo Hydro SNEL 356.4
Kyimbi Hydro SNEL 17.2
Kilubi Hydro SNEL 9.9
Piana Mwanga Hydro Congo Etain 29
Kivu
Ruzizi 1 Hydro SNEL 28.2
Ruzizi 2 Hydro SNEL 43.8
Ambwe/Kailo Hydro Sominki 2.2
Belia Hydro Sominki 2.2
Mangembe Hydro Sominki 1.8
Lutshurukuru Hydro Sominki 5.1
Kasai Occidental
Lungudi Hydro SNEL 1.6
Tshala&Lubilanji1 Hydro Miba 8.6
Orientale
Tshopo Hydro SNEL 18.8
Budana Hydro Kilomoto 13.8
Nzoro Hydro Kilomoto 1.4
Soleniama1 Hydro Kilomoto 13.5
Soleniama2 Hydro Kilomoto 1.6
Equateur
Mobayi & Mbongo Hydro SNEL 11.4
Total (Hydro) 13 2,542 94.95
Bas Congo
Muanda Thermal SNEL 1.6
Kasai Occidental
Kananga Thermal SNEL 2.7
Equateur
Mbandaka Thermal SNEL 2.3
Lisala Thermal SNEL 1.4
Gemena Thermal SNEL 1.2
Nord Kivu
Kisangani Thermal SNEL 12.8
Total (Thermal) 14 135 5.05
GRAND TOTAL 2,677 100
Table 3. Major power plants installed and operating in the DRC 15

13 This total amount is including small and micro-scale hydro power plants which are not on the list.
14 This total amount is including small and micro-scale thermal plants which are not on the list.
15 K. Kusakana, “A Review of Energy in the Democratic Republic of Congo”, 2016.
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Name of the Last year of No. of turbine Total installed No. of turbine Current available
Station construction installed capacity (MW) in operation power (MW)
Inga 1 1972 6 351 3 175
Inga 2 1982 8 1,424 3 534
Zongo 1975 5 75 1 13
Mpozo 1938 2 2.2 0 0
Sanga 1949 6 11.5 0 0
Nseke 1957 4 248 3 186
Nzilo 1954 4 108 4 108
Koni 1950 3 42 0 0
Mwadingusha 1954 6 68 6 68
Kalubi 1954 3 10 1 3
Ruzizi 1 1972 4 28 4 28
Tshopo 1974 3 18 1 6
Mobayi/Mbongo 1987 3 11 3 11
Kyimbi 1959 2 17 1 8
Lungudi 1949 2 1.6 1 0.78

Table 4. Operational status of hydropower stations in the DRC 16

A poor quality of electricity services is prevalent, with blackouts and generally low reliability of power supply all too
commonplace in the DRC. Accumulated delays in investments in power infrastructure, the degradation of hydro power
plants, an over-reliance in unaffordable thermal power generation in provincial towns together with a rapid increase in
electricity demand (which tripled over the last decade), resulted in large electricity shortages, which peaked at about 30%
of power demand in 2012-2013. This low level of access to reliable energy is an important barrier to economic growth.

Energy sector major stakeholders


The electricity sector is dominated by the Société nationale d'électricité (SNEL), the formal national utility enterprise
responsible for 94% of all electricity production with 50+ power plants (15 hydroelectric and 36 thermal) 17. SNEL has a
mandate for electricity generation, transmission, distribution and trading of power in the DRC. However, SNEL has
underperformed for a long time with continuous operating losses. This is a result of not only the lowest average electricity
tariff in Africa (7c$/kWh) that does not enable SNEL to cover its operational costs, but also the high rate of illegal
connections and high rate of its unmetered customers (95%). A significant portion of electricity consumers are connected
illegally or to informal grids, with the SNEL accounting for only 500,000 registered household connections. Lack of
operational efficiency gave rise to large overdues from public institutions such as schools, health centres and public
enterprises. To overcome long-term deficit, SNEL was transformed into a commercial limited liability company in 2011
(the process begun in 2009). Nevertheless, they have suffered from continuous operating losses. SNEL has not been
able to improve the quality of its services or extend its network as it struggles with financial deficit caused by the imbalance
between charges and revenues, and as a result, the DRC has one of the lowest rates of electrification in the world 18.
SNEL’s monopoly was broken by the law n°14-011 dated 17th June 2014 (the “Electricity Law”). The law opens the

J M Lukamba-Muhiya & E Uken, “The electricity supply industry in Democratic Republic of the Congo”,
Journal of Energy in South Africa 17(3): 21-28, 2006.
USAID, DRC Power Sector Overview, 2017.
16 K. Kusakana, “A Review of Energy in the Democratic Republic of Congo”, 2016.
17 USAID, Transmission and Distribution in the DRC, 2017.
18 SE4ALL, Stratégie Nationale SE4ALL-RDC, 2013.
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electricity market to independent power producers to promote public-private partnerships and private investments 19.
However, legal framework to obtain concessions, leases, or management contracts are still under development while
some independent power companies have implemented pilot projects without guidelines.
The main authority in the electricity sector is the Ministry of Energy and Hydraulic Resources (MERH) which is
responsible for the development of the national energy strategy and oversight for the production and distribution
infrastructure development for water and electricity. The Unit for the Management and Coordination of the Ministry’s
projects (UCM) under MERH is coordinating the ministry’s electricity and water projects, implementing activities such as
identifying renewable energy sites, selecting and preparing power plant projects through public-private partnership (PPP),
analyzing regulations for the project’s realization, and coordinating donor financing in the sector. The National Energy
Commission (CNE) conducts studies on the energy sector and reports to the Ministry to inform energy policy decisions.
The National Investment Promotion Agency (ANAPI) is mandated to promote investments and improve business climate
in the country. The 2014 Electricity Law created new agencies, the Electricity Regulation Authority (ARE) and the National
Agency for the Electrification of Rural and Peri-urban areas (ANSER). The ARE ensures fair competition and respect of
all laws, norms and standards in the electricity sector while ANSER promotes planning and financing of rural electrification
projects. However, both ARE and ANSER have not been operationalized yet.

Key energy sector challenges and constraints (root causes and barriers)
As described, the DRC’s energy generation is highly dominated by hydropower and the grid coverage is extremely limited.
While off-grid towns rely on micro-scale diesel generation, off-grid solutions such as mini-grid and independent solar
home systems powered by renewable energy are yet to get traction in the market as a viable alternative solution. As a
result, a large part of the country remains without access to power infrastructure, limiting access to electricity to just above
10% of the population with a high urban-rural divide. However, neither the public sector nor private investors are capable
of actively investing in the DRC energy sector. The country’s rapid growth in population and economic activities will add
a tremendous pressure on energy demand, which will lead to increased GHGs emission if no alternative is provided.
Figure 5 illustrates vividly how electrification has not kept pace with the population and economic growth in the DRC. On
this aspect the performance of DRC has been much weaker than that of other developing countries. Policy and investment
incentives for sustainable electricity projects remain very weak, and a shift toward renewable-based low emission energy
system is highly unlikely in near future without focused and substantial interventions.
The government’s financial situation, political risk and regulatory weaknesses are pointed out as key barriers in expanding
investment in the energy sector, both on-grid and off-grid. The government of DRC (GoDRC) is facing serious deficit in
revenue so that they are not able to concentrate investments in the generation, grid expansion and rural electrification.
On the other hand, private companies are reluctant to invest because of volatile political situations that lasted over several
years in different parts of the country. This has been a dominant disabling factor for business activities, discouraging
private-led power projects even in the market liberalized under the new Electricity Law. For off-grid projects, low income
level of households and weak industrial base for commercial consumers undermine risk-adjusted returns expected by
investors. They face additional challenge as the technology and business models for off-grid solutions are still nascent
not only in the Sub-Saharan African setting but globally. Inappropriate regulatory environment is another key barrier. The
2014 Electricity Law created two national agencies, the Electricity Regulation Authority (ARE) and the National Agency
for the Electrification of Rural and Peri-urban areas (ANSER). However, neither of these two agencies are fully operational
at this point while they have been expected to play a significant role in the development of rural electrification projects.

19 AfDB, Mini Grid Market Opportunity Assessment: Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2017.
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Figure 5. Population growth and growth in population with electricity 20

C.2. Project / Programme Objective against Baseline


Describe the baseline scenario (i.e. emissions baseline, climate vulnerability baseline, key barriers, challenges and/or
policies) and the outcomes and the impact that the project/programme will aim to achieve in improving the baseline
scenario.

Baseline: Climate change in the DRC is evident from the records. Temperature has been increased by 0.25ºC every
decade in its warmest day and is projected to increase by 2.7-3.2°C by 2100 as compared to the 1990 baseline 21. Rainfall
in the DRC has been decreasing over the past decades while the frequency of intense rainfall events increased. It is
projected that most regions in the country will experience a decrease in rainfall of 0.8-11.4 percent by the 2100s and the
southern region will have a shortened rainfall season 22. During the dry season in 2017, water levels in the Congo River
were at their lowest point in more than a century 23.
The DRC is one the most vulnerable countries to climate change in the world. The country is ranked at 170th out of 181
countries according to the 2016 ND-GAIN Country Index for vulnerability to climate change 24. While the DRC’s climate
vulnerability is multifaceted, the impact for the power sector is expected to be severe. As the DRC’s electricity
generation largely relies on hydroelectric power (over 95% of the total generation), the country is expected to face
increasing uncertainty and fluctuations in power generation with the changing rainfall patterns in the long run 25. Unreliable
power supply will hurt the industrial activities and livelihoods of people. In addition, climate impact for the forest,
ecosystem and natural resource is going to be significant as the DRC is a host to the second largest tropical moist forests
in the world, with forested area covering about 67.3% of the country. The country sits on low lying central plains through
which the Congo River flows, surrounded by mountainous terraces in the west, savannas in the southwest and dense
grasslands in the north. Further, changes in rainfall and temperature are likely to develop disease pathways, rendering
the country more susceptible to vector- and water-borne diseases.

20 IFC, Off-Grid Solar Market Trends Report, 2018.


21 USAID, DRC Climate Vulnerability Profile, 2012.
22 Ibid.
23 https://www.voanews.com/a/democratic-republic-congo-power-shortage-drought/3760562.html
24 University of Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative, ND-GAIN Country Index, 2017.
25 UNFCCC, Third National Communications of the DRC, 2015.
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The DRC’s third National Communication to the UNFCCC (2015) reports that the country's total GHG emission for the
period from 2000 to 2010 slightly decreased by 0.45%, from 242 MtCO2eq in 2000 to 241 MtCO2eq in 2010. Meanwhile
the net CO2 removals from the forest decreased from 321 MtCO2eq in 2000 to 204.5 MtCO2eq in 2010 (36.4% decrease).
As a result, the net GHG emission/removal balance of the country has switched from net removal to net emission (36.5
MtCO2eq in 2010). Land-use change and forestry sector contributes to over 90% of the emission while agriculture and
energy sector are other important components of the DRC's emissions profile 26. Currently there is no precise emissions
inventory available in the DRC after year 2010. Further, the data gap in estimating fossil fuel use in off-grid areas
makes it challenging to calculate and report potentially significant GHG emissions from the use of diesel,
kerosene and biomass.
Nevertheless, it is evident that most of the off-grid towns in the DRC are relying on expensive, unreliable and inefficient
scattered diesel generators and kerosene lamps offering electricity to a very limited number of people, or inefficient diesel
based mini-grids operated by the national utility – SNEL. Such 100% diesel/fossil fuel baseline situation will continue to
prevail if no intervention is made to introduce sustainable energy solutions.

Actions proposed by the GoDRC under the Nationally Determined Contributions: The DRC’s Nationally Determined
Contributions (NDC) indicates climate change as one of the major threats to sustainable development in the country 27.
The GoDRC is conditionally committed to reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 17% by 2030 compared to the
business-as-usual (BAU) scenario (which is estimated at 430 MtCO2eq), avoiding over 70 MtCO2eq per year of emissions
(Figure 6). However, GHG emissions (MtCO2eq) per capita of the DRC has decreased from 0.98 in 1990 to 0.55 in 2013
due to slow infrastructure development while the population doubled. Renewable energy development including
hydropower is identified as a key sector for mitigation with its potential emissions reduction of 9.65 MtCO2eq by 2030
(Figure 7). The total cost required to reach the mitigation goals is estimated at USD 12.54 billion.

Figure 6. Emissions reduction scenario 28 29

26 Ibid.
27 UNFCCC, Nationally Determined Contributions of the DRC. 2015.
28 Ibid.
29 The second line (bottom) illustrates the emission scenario for the land use and forestry sector only.
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Small-scale food
Intensive agriculture agriculture, 16.4
and livestock, 17

Afforestation and
reforestation, 15
Improvement of
urban transport, 10

Sustainable timber
Rural and urban
management, 8.4
hydroelectification, 9.65

Industrial plantations
of wood energy, 0.2
Fight against Rehabilitation of mineral
Promotion improved stoves bushfires, 0.2 exploration of oil companies, 0.6
and carbonization, 0.15

Figure 7. Potential of emissions reduction by sectors (MtCO2eq) estimated in the NDC

The AfDB-GCF Green Mini-Grid Program is consistent with the objectives of the Nationally Determined Contribution and
development plans of the DRC. The DRC is committed to avoid near 10 MtCO2eq per year GHG emissions by 2030
through the deployment of renewable energy. In order to achieve the target, the central and provincial government of the
DRC are supporting strategic reforms in the power sector that includes liberalization, increased transparency, and
attraction of a greater number of national and international private and public partners.

The Program aims to deploy green mini-grids in a cost-effective manner and with the objective of providing the lowest
end user tariffs possible while still making the investor returns attractive. The contribution of the AfDB and the GCF
through the Program will improve the commercial viability of the projects and enable them to provide low emission
electricity to consumers who have been left out of the basic energy service. Solar PV based mini-grids, which are easy
to implement on a decentralized basis without a significant planning, will directly reduce emissions by displacing the
extensive potential future use of diesel generators in the target areas. Additionally, the business model built from this
Program will improve the investor’s confidence and help kick-start private-led mini-grid investment across the country.
This process will be further facilitated by strengthened regulatory framework and project development support from this
Program’s TA. Therefore the Program’s potential contribution to the DRC’s mitigation roadmap implementation
is highly substantial.

Without the Program’s interventions, the baseline scenario (micro-scale diesel generation and kerosene lighting in off-
grid towns) will continue to prevail, as significant barriers exist to investment in renewable energy such as solar PV. With
high perceived country and economic risks, entrepreneurs are very likely to go for diesel generation where the upfront
investment cost is lower. Timing of expenses and risk profiles will naturally encourage the path toward the baseline
scenario.

In addition, clean and stable electricity provided to off-grid households and SMEs will build the economic and social
resilience of beneficiaries how are often vulnerable to changing climatic conditions. Climate change and variability will
severely affect the agricultural productivity, water availability and ecosystem services, and its impacts will hit the poorest
population hardest. People reside remotely from developed and industrialized parts of the country without access to
modern energy are the most vulnerable among all groups. While the adaptation benefits from the Program are clear from
this perspective, benefits are often difficult to quantify or track due to lack of credible data. Therefore this Program will be
considered as a mitigation project without reporting its adaptation results.
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C.3. Project / Programme Description


Describe the main activities and the planned measures of the project/programme according to each of its components.
Provide information on how the activities are linked to objectives, outputs and outcomes that the project/programme
intends to achieve. The objectives, outputs and outcomes should be consistent with the information reported in the logic
framework in section H.

Component 1 and 2. Three Green Mini-Grid Projects - Overview

The DRC Green Mini-Grid Program will pilot an innovative, private-led electrification approach with renewable-based
mini-grid solutions, and thereby bring clean power to sizeable cities without any access to modern energy and reduce
emissions by displacing the potential future use of diesel and kerosene. High solar irradiance, speedy implementation
and the possibility to locate the power plants near the demand areas thus minimizing transmission-related issues make
this solar power solution the best option to achieve low-emission energy access. By doing so, the Program will fulfil
recognized basic human needs for thousands of Congolese people, and accelerate the country’s transition toward a low
carbon development pathway. As the Program targets populated areas with vibrant economic activities, a significant
amount of fossil fuel use will be avoided over the next 20-25 years as a direct outcome of the Program. A standardized
mini-grid package and tender process piloted under this Program will lay the ground for replication across the country,
which will eventually enable the emissions reduction at scale beyond the three projects.

The preparation of the mini-grid projects have been led by the DIFD-supported Essor Access to Electricity (Essor A2E)
initiative which aims at supporting the development of green mini-grid solar projects in the DRC over the next few years.
Phase I will procure three solar PV mini-grids through a competitive tendering process (to be launched in Q4 2018) in the
towns of Isiro, Bumba and Genema, while subsequent tenders will replicate the scheme and scale up investment to the
sector. Envisioned mini-grids would consist of two components: the first component including solar PV power plants and
battery storage, and the second component with emergency backup generation, distribution and LV networks to reach
scattered consumers, and connections (Figure 8). Anchor customers such as Regideso (water supplier) and SMEs will
be identified for each mini-grid, while the payment by end-users will be based on a prepaid system with mobile money to
improve payment collection. Total estimated CAPEX of three projects, at COD, is up to USD 87 million and additional
financing may be required for the expansion of generation and distribution capacity over the lifetime of the installed
systems. The AfDB is engaging closely with the DFID-Essor team to provide debt financing and arrange co-financing
from the GCF and others for the three selected projects as a lead arranger.

The AfDB-GCF financing envelope under this funding proposal will provide up to USD 40 million of blended debt
finance to the Component 1 of the three mini-grids (solar PV and battery storage) whereas the second component
(distribution, connections, backup and other costs) will be financed by equity, quasi-equity and grants from other co-
financers.

Figure 8. Green Mini-grid Business Model - Preliminary Design


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Figure 9. Selected Project Sites

DFID’s Essor Access to Electricity (A2E)

The overall strategy and objective of the DFID’s Essor Access to Electricity (A2E) initiative is to decrease perceived risks
from investors toward green mini-grid projects through the provision of pre-feasibility studies, credible processes,
standardized concession agreements, and a stapled financing package to selected projects.

The DFID-Essor has provided advisory services to the GoDRC and provinces for the procurement of the projects with an
aim to develop a coherent and predictable long-term strategic governance framework to encourage private sector
investments in mini-grids. It is expected that initiatives will eventually lead to lower the entry barriers to mini-grid
investment thereby increase competition in the market, which will ultimately ensure lower tariffs for end-consumers.

In addition, the Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa (SEFA) housed-in within the AfDB has approved the grant for project
preparation supports for finalizing project-level feasibility studies and Environmental and Social Impact Assessments.
Further, the SEFA grant will help build an enabling framework and stakeholders’ capacity for green mini-grid development
and management. The GCF’s TA grant contribution will co-finance and scale-up SEFA-funded activities.

Three pilot sites with strong unmet demand potentials have been identified for the Phase I through a market assessment
(Figure 9). Demand studies and technical pre-feasibility studies have been performed for the three sites, proposing a
technical solution that balance the cost, sustainability and reach of the mini-grids. The tendering processes will be run for
those areas on the basis of the pre-feasibility studies undertaken and the concessions agreement template prepared.
The sponsors for each of the mini-grid will be selected through a competitive two steps process, including an open
Request for Qualification and a Request for Proposal in line with the AfDB guidelines. Bidders will be provided with the
pre-feasibility studies including detailed demand studies, technical studies, normalized financial models including key
assumptions, and a standard concession agreement template. A minimum number of connections and minimum share
of PV generation will be set as requirements for bidders. The main selection criteria will be end-users tariffs, but technical
experience and connection targets will be considered.

The Ministry of Energy and Hydraulic Resources, at central level, will be awarding the Concession Agreement -
“Délégation de Service Public (DSP)” under the 2014 Electricity Law to preferred bidders. Generation and distribution will
be bundled within one single concession for a 20-25 years 30 period held by one special purpose vehicle (SPV), covering
the financing, construction, ownership and operatorship - BOOT model. It is considered that provincial governments will
sign the Concession Agreements together with the central Ministry to ensure local ownership. The concessionaire will

30 A 20-year concession period was assumed for the purpose of financial modelling and pre-feasibility

studies. The exact concession period will be determined by the UCM/Ministry of Energy and Hydraulic
Resources in due course.
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have key performance obligations (number of connections, COD, etc.) to be checked by an Independent Engineer on
behalf of the conceding authorities. No guarantee will be provided on commercial risk such as low demand and
inability to collect revenues and it is clarified for avoidance of doubt that these risks are ultimately assumed by
the private sector developers of the three mini-grids.

The key features of the DFID Essor A2E initiative are:


• A pilot project comprising three Congolese towns of approximately 150,000 people each (Gemena, Bumba and
Isiro), targeting a combined number of 12,400 connections in Year 1 and 23,300 connections in Year 5 with a 24
hours-a-day service – with plots of land being secured upfront with the support of the local authorities;
• Providing upfront technical pre-feasibility studies based on solar hybrid technology;
• Identifying targeted demand volume: anchor customers (industries, water stations, etc.), SMEs (craftsmen,
banks, etc.) and a few thousand households, based on a thorough and on-the-ground demand assessment;
• Providing a standard single Concession Agreement covering both generation and distribution of electricity, and
embedding an ad-hoc regulatory structure;
• Mobilizing upfront attractive financial resources and possible guarantee instruments;
• Guaranteeing a transparent selection process supported by both central and local governments, while closely
monitored by external parties, due to start in the fall of 2018;
• Pilot projects are to be tendered together to achieve critical mass with an incentive to bid for the three concessions
within one lot, while leaving the door open for awarding the projects to more than one bidder.

The Program seek to deliver on the main following outcomes:


• Lower barriers to entry for the market and attract investors for the development of privately led mini-
grids through a well-structured and transparent tendering process. Most of the development risks are being
borne by DFID and the AfDB funding for the necessary technical studies and legal and financial advisory services
for the structuring of the tendering process. From this pilot round, a business model and technical design for a
solar hybrid and battery-supported mini-grid will be demonstrated in the market and lessons gained for the next
phase of green mini-grid investment in the DRC.
• Improve environmental sustainability of electricity generation and reduce GHG emission in the DRC
through renewable energy generation, which produces considerably less emissions than diesel or fossil fuel
alternatives with minimal social impact as it is not anticipated that these solar mini-grids would lead to any
resettlement.
• Increased access to electricity is expected after a full roll out of the projects by providing energy network
servicing a large number of clients independently of the national grid. This first phase will provide access to clean,
reliable and more affordable energy to at least 150,000 people with no or limited access to energy in the DRC.
• Increased productive use of energy that will drive local development. In fact, more affordable and reliable
electric supply will lead to more efficient allocation of precious resources toward other uses such as new
investments, leading to additional productivity, economic growth and job creation.
• Provide opportunities for local communities and participate in building resilient societies through
inclusive and green growth. The Program will strongly reinforce economic and social resilience of low income
population living in climate vulnerable areas. The Program will consider promoting local employment as well as
consider how opportunities for girls and women may be maximized and potential negative impacts may be
avoided.

This will eventually help the DRC to scale up and optimize the development of a sustainable power solution involving the
private sector, all in a timely manner. By significantly lowering the barrier of entry and offering balanced concession terms
to private operators being appointed through a transparent process, the initiative aims at setting up a replicable structure
to be spread across other places in the DRC, once the pilot projects have been successfully awarded, leading to a
significant increase of access to electricity in a sustainable manner.
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Overall timeline

During a pre-structuring and market testing phase, which took place in late 2016-early 2017, the DFID Essor A2E initiative
was introduced to the private sector market as well as to the main Development Finance Institutions (DFIs) active in the
African energy sector. The market response was very positive with twenty expressions of interest received from both
local and international private investors, developers and operators, many of whom were large and reputable utility
companies. Following this conclusive testing phase, the GoDRC and DFID approved the launch of the pilot phase in May
2017. The preparation of the tender for the three pilot projects has then consisted of (i) selecting the three pilot sites
based on both desktop studies and on-the-ground site visits, (ii) drafting a standard and balanced Concession Agreement,
(iii) designing a robust tendering process, (iv) carrying out the technical and demand pre-feasibility studies in the three
pilot sites and (v) developing a preliminary financial structure and mobilizing potential financiers, with the objective of
obtaining the best financial conditions (Figure 10). A five-year implementation period for this Program (2019-2023) is
proposed to allow sufficient time for the tendering, negotiation and financial close with selected bidders, and construction
of mini-grids, in consideration of unexpected factors that may slow down and delay the process.

Figure 10. DFID’s Essor A2E Timeline

Site selection

Following an initial screening of potential pilot sites conducted during the preliminary phase of the DFID-Essor A2E
initiative, it was possible to develop a list of twenty-seven towns throughout the DRC which could serve as potential sites
for the pilot projects. This shortlist was further whittled down to six, based on the following discriminating factors:
• The security situation of the area;
• If the SNEL was known to already be active;
• The level of solar irradiance;
• The economic activity, and;
• Logistical issues affecting access to the site.
Preliminary site visits were organized in six shortlisted towns to assess each potential site along the following criteria:
• Population
• Economic potential
• Security
• Logistics and connectivity
• Presence of industrial activity
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• Solar irradiance
• Presence of the financial sector
• Existing activity of the SNEL
• Estimated willingness to pay
Following the visits of the six shortlisted sites, three towns were retained based on the abovementioned criteria. These
are Bumba, Isiro and Gemena. This shortlist received a full and formal endorsement from the MERH.

Bumba
While Bumba is not the provincial capital or “chef-lieu” of the Mongala Province (which is Lisala), it is considered to be as
important, if not more so. It has a population of some 180,000, and is home to important economic activities with the town
acting as a stopping point for traders on the Congo River between Kinshasa and Kisangani. With short dry seasons, and
an average solar irradiance of 5.23kWh/m2/day, the site presents a good level of solar irradiance.

Gemena
Gemena is the capital of the Province of Sud-Ubangi with an estimated population around 170,000. The town benefits
from an average solar irradiance of 5,21kWh/m²/day, and the solar potential is good throughout most of the year. The
town economy is geared towards agricultural production and trade, with goods, people and finances commonly
transferred through the town on the way to Zongo or Mogalo. The town is also relatively easy to access with flights
(including freight) from Kinshasa directly to Gemena, or from boat from Kinshasa to Akula and from there to Gemena via
a relatively well-maintained road (albeit a non-asphalted road).

Isiro
Isiro is the “Chef Lieu” of the newly created Haut-Uele province, which, as with other new administrative centres, makes
it a politically attractive site for an electrification project. The town has an estimated population of 137,500 and was once
very prosperous with a burgeoning coffee industry, but economic decline, war and insecurity in areas of the province
have seen it regress. While there were security concerns about operating in the Province, a detailed assessment of the
situation was made by the Essor Security team ruling that the level of risk to operate in the town was in fact acceptable.
As the other sites Isiro benefits from a good level of solar irradiation (5,0kWh/m²/day,).

Bumba Gemena Isiro


Solar irradiance (kWh/m2) in 2018 5.23 5.21 5.00
Population 180,000 170,000 137,500
Number of shops and services 557 211 1,098
Number of public institutions 292 152 170
Security situation Good Very Good Medium
Logistics and connectivity Weak Good Medium

Table 5. Key characteristics of the target towns

Key principles of the tendering process

The purpose is to conduct a tender as transparent and clear as expected for such international auctions. The following
procurement principles, as established by the World Bank and the AfDB, will be applied:
• A wide-reaching advertisement is done providing potential bidders with detailed information and enough time for
preparation of proposals;
• Prequalification of potential bidders is done using well designed criteria;
• Bidding documents are well-prepared, clear and non-discriminatory bidding documents;
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• Procedures for bid submission are clear and bid opening is public;
• Bid evaluation criteria are transparent, well-defined in the bidding documents;
• Negotiation of the final contract, if required, is done only within the parameters defined in the bidding document;
• Selection of firm(s) for award of contract is done based on the most economically advantageous offer (given the
complexity of this offer, other criteria will also be taken into account but the economic criteria will be key); and
• Appropriate complaint handling mechanisms exist.

The criteria of selection will consider the tariff, the number of connections proposed by the bidder, the Equity IRR targeted
to fund additional investments such as the grid extension post Year 5. A weighted average tariff would be calculated if
there is a multiple-tariff framework. It is envisaged that the tariff framework includes a mechanism to lower the tariff
for basic consumption (social tariff) to ensure affordability for all sections of the society.

The Concession Agreement

The private operator will be entitled to produce and distribute electricity under a Service Concession Agreement
(Délégation de Service Public) signed by the relevant conceding authority, which is the Central Government. It is expected
that the Province in which the projects will be located will also acknowledge the award of the Concession Agreement.

The proposed Concession Agreement, which will be part of the tendering package, is designed with a view to be balanced
and is to include robust mechanisms in line with the international best practice in the sector (regarding risk allocation,
state risks, force majeure, arbitration, etc.). The Concession Agreement will consist of a standard generic part to be used
for all projects and a specific part taking into account each project’s specificities where required. Given that the generation
assets and the distribution grid will be located very close to each other, the Concession Agreement does not need to
include any considerations with respect to the transmission of electricity.

Pre-feasibility studies

One of the key concerns of the projects developers, investors and operators is the difficulty to get accurate and reliable
demand estimation (anchor off-takers, SMEs, and households), viewed as a “volume risk”. Reliable estimates will be
necessary to set up reliable financial forecasts, to adequately size the power plant facilities and the distribution grid, to
assess the expected demand growth and to define the appropriate financial structure. Robust pre-feasibility studies
(demand and technical studies), performed to the level of standard expected by international investors and DFIs, have
been carried out and will be provided to the bidders as part of the tender package.

Demand studies require as much granularity as possible with a preliminary geographical scanning of the population and
on-the-ground surveys based on statistically significant sample sizes of the different demand segments. The main
outcomes were detailed for the main customer segments such as anchor customers (significant local industrial players),
households and small businesses over the concession period on: i) the estimated electricity demand (kWh) as a function
of the tariff and the service offer, ii) peak load demand (MWp) iii) the willingness-to-pay and iv) forecasting of the demand
growth. Demand studies also provide a sensitivity analysis and an estimation of price elasticity.

For the demand study, historical and current industrial activities and socio-economic profiles of the three towns have
been analyzed in-depth through field visit, survey and desk research, and this has formed the basis of the 20-year demand
forecast. In order to have a comprehensive view of the demand forecast, multiple simulations were developed: including
a baseline model with realistic assumptions of growth in consumption, and an optimistic model characterized by a strong
economic dynamism. For each town, an optimistic model was built assuming high suppressed demands and anticipating
new industrial development (such as agro-processing, chemical and manufacturing) as a result of stable electricity
access.
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Based on the demand studies, the technical studies aimed at establishing the technical system design including the sizing
of the equipment and a preliminary design of the distribution network, as well as highlighting the potential technical issues
(including environmental and social ones) and options to mitigate them.

CAPEX estimation

An indicative capital expenditure schedule was established on the basis of these preliminary technical outputs. At
inception, the backbone of MV/LV lines and transformers would be built to support the connections schedule over 20
years. The power plant is based on a technology mix which matches the energy needs forecasted in Year 5. Extension
CAPEX are regularly needed throughout the concession life to extend consistently the distribution network and power
plant capacity (not part of the initial CAPEX estimation). The additional connections would take place on a yearly basis.
It is assumed that the power plant would be extended every five years to cover the electricity consumption for the following
five years. Should no other extension CAPEX (both in terms of new connections and additional capacity) take place after
Year 5, the plant designed at inception would be able to match the electricity consumption forecasted in Year 20 based
on the number of connections achieved in Year 5, taking into account a consumption growth of 1.5% per annum.

Component 3. Technical Assistance grant (USD 2 million by AfDB and GCF)

The enabling environment, institutional capacity and finance are critical challenges facing renewable energy
development. The Ministry of Energy and Hydraulic Resources (MERH) and its project coordination and management
unit (UCM) have huge task but lack the capacity to take projects through their necessary cycles. Creating attractive
conditions for private sector involvement is one of the key pillars to mobilizing renewable energy investments and
improving the country’s electrification rate while reducing GHG emissions. Well-conceived policies (with appropriate
strategies) and regulatory frameworks are key factors in attracting private sector investments into the renewable energy
mini-grid space in the DRC. At the moment, the country lacks this institutional, legal and regulatory framework for green
mini-grids, and lacks the necessary awareness and capacity among all relevant stakeholders.

The country has fairly recently passed a new Electricity Law (2014) that has liberalized the power sector, however, the
law still remains generic and lacks details on incentive, potential subsidy framework, tariff framework, technical standards
for mini-grids and grid management. These discourage investor interest in the sector. A lack of institutional capacity to
promote and develop green mini-grids is another challenge in the DRC. The existing institutional framework is still
undergoing a learning curve. The government has recently established a dedicated unit for coordination and management
of energy projects, especially off-grid and mini-grids, however the unit has insufficient capacity to drive projects through
the process of investment to financial close and commissioning. The Law (2014) also created the rural energy agency
and the sector regulatory authority, though neither institution is as yet operational. This calls for capacity building to those
key institutions, enabling them to promote and manage mini grid investments in the country.

There are currently a few examples/business models of public-led or private sector operated mini-grids in the country
(see section B.3.). It is critical for the UCM to demonstrate that those types of schemes can be viable. This will in turn
serve the institution in building its capacity, create new avenues for public-private development of the off-grid sector, and
strengthen the overall position of this institution.

The Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa (SEFA), in-housed in the AfDB, has already set aside USD 1 million grant for the
technical assistance (TA) and the GCF is request to top-up USD 1 million to share the cost. The proposed TA grant will
establish the necessary framework to attract private/PPP investments into green mini-grids, enabling the sustainable
deployment of green mini-grids in the DRC. Private sector-led investment in green mini-grids is the best solution for the
country given its large size, limited public financing capacity and infrastructure challenges. To demonstrate the concept
and validate a potential business model for green mini-grids (with the objective of stimulating rapid replication) the grant
will supplement the already on-going Essor A2E initiative. In addition, the TA will promote the local technical ecosystem
for solar PV and mini-grid, by training local technicians and SMEs for their operations, maintenance and repair capacity.
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The AfDB is an Executing Entity (EE) for the TA component, with UCM as a partner for implementation of
activities. During the project appraisal for the SEFA grant request, it was established that UCM has the capacity to
implement the project, as UCM has gained substantial procurement experience through implementation of other donor-
funded projects in the energy sector. UCM has worked/are still working with the World Bank, DFID, KfW and AfDB. The
GoDRC, through the MERH/UCM, will contribute for the project coordination unit cost (USD 55,000). The TA
implementation arrangement is described in Section C.7.

The proposed TA has two major sub-components (Table 6):

Sub- Key activities Budget Budget


component (AfDB/SEFA) (GCF)

1. Green mini- (i) Develop green mini-grid strategy and regulations USD 0.3 M USD 0.2 M
grid enabling (ii) Develop mini-grid standards and guidelines
framework and (iii) Establish green mini-grid tariff guideline
(iv) Train key institutions to be able to manage and implement green
capacity
mini-grid projects development (UCM, MERH, ANSER and
building benefiting provincial governments)
(v) Train project developers (for the subsequent rounds) on green
mini-grid projects development and management
(vi) Build a local RE ecosystem by training local technicians and - USD 0.3 M
SMEs for operations and maintenance of green mini-grid
(vii) Gender action plan implementation
2. Green mini- (i) Support three solar based mini-grids under the Essor A2E USD 0.35 M -
grid project (detailed technical studies and legal cost)
development
(ii) Conduct feasibility studies for other selected potential green USD 0.35 M USD 0.5 M
support mini-grid sites (up to five)
(iii) Develop an investment and tender plan for UCM’s green mini-
grid pipeline
Total USD 1 M USD 1 M

Table 6. Components of the Technical Assistance

Sub-Component 3.1: “Green Mini-Grid Enabling Framework and Capacity Building”


This component will build on existing regional best practices in terms of policy, institutional and regulatory frameworks
and financial incentive measures that guide green mini-grid projects.

• Key activities and outcomes

1) Drafting and validation of a mini-grid strategy, regulatory framework and standards:


Drafting and validation of a mini-grid strategy document that defines the strategic direction and policy
alignment of the developing green mini-grid sector, and outlines the institutional arrangements, financial
incentive measures, and regulatory framework. Once this outline is validated by sector stakeholders, specific
regulatory texts (e.g. decrees, orders), frameworks (e.g. guidelines for tariff models to be used by the
regulators and licensing frameworks) and institutional documents (e.g. strategies) will be drafted and
validated through rounds of stakeholder consultations. The preparation of these documents will closely refer
and align with the already established pieces including the existing Electricity Law 2014.

2) Guidelines for green mini-grid tariff framework and financing mechanisms:


This activity will involve undertaking a comprehensive sector/green mini-grid analysis to develop the viable
cost-based tariff framework for green mini-grid projects and recommending appropriate financing
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mechanism suitable for green mini-grid development in the DRC. It will also include preparation of the
tool/guideline for determining tariff for the green mini-grids. This guideline will inform the regulator on the
appropriate tariff determination models and assist them in assessing for the projects that are procured
competitively. The tariff guideline will cover for both off-grid and grid connected scenarios.

3) Capacity building of UCM staffs and other relevant stakeholders:


This activity will equip UCM staffs with necessary knowledge and ensure that skills are in place to perform
their roles determined in the green mini-grid framework once it is launched. A “needs assessment” will be
carried out at the program inception to inform a “training program” to be delivered. The beneficiaries are
primarily the public officials who will administer the process of green mini-grid project development, currently
employed within the UCM or the MERH. Provincial governments under the three pilot sites will also be part
of the beneficiaries of the capacity building program. Other training/advisory services will be given to private
sector green mini-grid developers, targeting the subsequent rounds. Key training themes will include: (i)
Implementation of the green mini-grid framework including the relevant regulations (targeting the UCM,
regulator, and MERH, and selected provincial governments); (ii) Training on feasibility and Environmental
and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) studies, project management, finance, technology, green mini-grid
operations and maintenance (targeting UCM staffs and private sector developers); (iii) Training of local
technicians and SMEs, through private sector developers, to build local capacity for solar hybrid mini-grid
operations, maintenance and repair. This activity will also support gender-responsive programming in the
renewable energy and mini-grid sector, through the implementation of the Gender Action Plan.

Sub-Component 3.2: “Green Mini-Grid Project Development Support”


The Program will undertake key project preparation work geared towards attracting and supporting private investments
into green mini-grids. The support is two-fold, one to provide technical assistance to the three Essor pilot sites and
secondly, to the new selected sites across the country. This technical assistance will simultaneously serve as capacity
building opportunities for UCM staffs and the benefiting provincial governments, learning by doing.

• Key activities and outcomes

1) Support three solar based mini-grids under Essor A2E initiative:


Grant support comes in after the investors have been selected under the competitive bidding process.
Technical assistance under the grant will cover the finalizing of pre-investment activities, moving the
projects towards actual implementation. The TA will include legal advisory services (concessional
agreements, land acquisition and rights) and technical studies (ESIA, detailed feasibility studies and
engineering design).

2) Project preparation support for the new selected sites:


In additional to the Essor A2E project sites, the TA will support additional sites to be implemented in the
country under the leadership of UCM. The sites will be selected jointly by the government in consideration
of the work that has been done by other partners to identify potential projects which can be supported for
further development. TA support to these new additional green mini-grid projects will also serve as capacity
building opportunities for UCM staff, including via carrying out detailed feasibility studies, detailed
engineering designs, ESIAs and financial modeling. As part of the support for a wide uptake of green mini-
grid implementation in the DRC, UCM will be assisted to initiate new innovative processes to promote mini
grid projects which will include such approaches as business plan competition which will be able to identify
the private sector appetite in investing in the mini-gird space. This activity will go hand in hand with
identifying appropriate financing mechanisms for mini grids, especially those in micro scale. A call for green
mini-grid project concepts will be communicated widely throughout the DRC through such channels as the
Chamber of Commerce and the national association of NGOs. Projects selected through the competition
will likely be smaller in size than the Essor-supported green mini-grids (perhaps measured in kilowatts
instead of megawatts) and will more likely be the concepts of local Congolese developers rather than
international firms.

3) Roll-out plan to attract investments in the green mini-grid projects:


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In addition to the green mini-grids supported under the Essor A2E and those identified via the business
plan competition, the UCM has a pipeline of other green mini-grids to be developed. These include water
sector related green mini-grids being developed with the GIZ, up to fifteen green mini-grids to be developed
under the World Bank EASE program, a number of green mini-grids around airports supported by the AfDB,
and others. This sub-component of the TA will organize these future green mini-grid projects into an
investment pipeline. Key activities include: (i) elaboration of project concepts focusing on technical and
economic criteria to inform potential investors; (ii) preparation of key parameters for investment decisions,
including licensing and permitting processes, relevant fiscal/financial incentives available to investors, as
well as possible co-financing instruments/facilities available; (iii) structuring, administering and procurement
processes that will be used to attract qualified developers to the selected sites. It is anticipated that this
“roll-out plan” will test the tendering business model established under the Essor A2E, and increase
investors’ confidence in the DRC green mini-grids sector.

C.4. Background Information on Project / Programme Sponsor (Executing Entity)


Describe the quality of the management team, overall strategy and financial profile of the Sponsor (Executing Entity)
and how it will support the project/programme in terms of equity investment, management, operations, production and
marketing.

Institutional background

Established in 1964, the African Development Bank (AfDB) is the premier pan-African development institution, promoting
economic growth and social progress across the continent. There are 80 member states, including 54 in Africa (Regional
Member Countries). The Bank’s development agenda entails delivering the financial and technical support for
transformative projects that will significantly reduce poverty through inclusive and sustainable economic growth. In order
to sharply focus the objectives of the Ten Year Strategy (2013 – 2022) and ensure greater developmental impact, five
major areas (High 5s) have been identified, namely: energy, agro-business, industrialization, integration and improving
the quality of life for the people of Africa.

The Vice Presidency for ‘Power, Energy, Climate and Green Growth’ is a Sector Complex focusing on the Bank’s Ten
Years Strategy and one of the High 5s priority of “Light up and Power Africa”. In order to translate this strategic goal into
concrete actions, the AfDB launched the “New Deal on Energy for Africa” strategy which is built on five inter-related and
mutually reinforcing principles: (i) raising aspirations to solve Africa’s energy challenges; ii) establishing a transformative
partnership on energy for Africa; (iii) mobilizing domestic and international capital for innovative financing in Africa’s
energy sector; (iv) supporting African governments in strengthening energy policy, regulation and sector governance; and
(v) increasing the African Development Bank’s investments in energy and climate financing 31.

New Deal on Energy for Africa: The AfDB’s energy strategy, central to implementing the New Deal, focuses on seven
areas, which are: (i) setting up an enabling policy environment, (ii) transforming utility companies for success, (iii)
dramatically increasing the number of bankable energy projects, (iv) increasing the funding pool to deliver new projects,
(v) supporting ‘bottom of the pyramid’ energy access programs, particularly for women, (vi) accelerating major regional
projects to drive integration and (vii) rolling out waves of country-wide energy ‘transformations’. The Bank will implement
these priorities through a series of flagship themes such as: IPP procurement, power utility transformation, early stage
project support and related catalytic programs, mobile payment initiatives, and a regional project acceleration program.
The overall goal is to help the continent achieve universal energy access by 2025 with a strong focus on encouraging
clean and renewable energy solutions. This will require providing 160 GW of new capacity, 130 million new on-grid
connections, 75 million new off-grid connections and providing 150 million households with access to clean cooking
solutions. It is estimated that the investment needed ranges between USD 60 billion and USD 90 billion per year. The
Bank intends to invest USD 12 billion of its own resources in the energy sector during 2016-2020 (Figure 11).

31 AfDB, New Deal on Energy for Africa strategy, 2016.


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Figure 11. New Deal on Energy for Africa Targets

Figure 12. Power, Energy, Climate and Green Growth Complex organizational structure

Under this strategic framework, the Power, Energy, Climate and Green Growth Complex’s objectives are (i) to develop
enabling sector policy and strategy; (ii) to provide deep sector technical expertise to the regions by gathering pool of
experienced individuals who can be consulted for their expertise on complicated transactions; (iii) to develop new
financing instruments; and (iv) to act as spokesperson to represent the Bank with external stakeholders on all aspects of
“Light Up and Power Africa”. This AfDB-GCF Program will be executed by the Power, Energy, Climate and Green Growth
Complex of the AfDB, following the Bank’s established rules and procedures for the project and financial management
(Figure 12). The Climate Change and Green Growth Department, which is part of the Power, Energy, Climate and Green
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Growth Complex, is in charge of the Bank’s climate change strategy and climate finance programs. The AfDB will
constitute an implementation team to undertake due diligence and execution of individual sub-projects as well
as the management of the overall Program.

AfDB renewable energy (RE) and climate investments overview and project examples (2011-2017): Over the last 7 years
(2011-2017), the AfDB has invested around UA 32 1.25 billion from its own resources in support of renewable energy (in
addition to ~UA 390 M in co-financing channeled by the Bank). Operations range from project preparation to infrastructure
investment using various Bank instruments – loan, grant, line of credit, partial risk/credit guarantee and equity. The Bank’s
investment during 2011-2017 in RE (excluding early stage project preparation support) will contribute towards ~3 GW in
additional RE generation capacity (of which ~1 GW from hydro, ~900 MW from wind, ~860 MW from solar, ~175 MW
from geothermal and ~75 MW from biomass). Further, under its climate finance mobilization efforts, the AfDB is committed
to increasing its annual climate financing to reach USD 5 billion a year by 2020 – 40% of its total new investments by
2020. This will be implemented by the "Africa Thriving and Resilient: The Bank Group’s Second Climate Change Action
Plan, 2016-2020 (CCAP2)" approved by the Board of Directors in 2017. The strategic vision of CCAP2 is to enable the
achievement of ‘low-carbon and climate-resilient’ development in Africa with four Pillars: Mitigation, Adaptation, Climate
Finance and a Cross Cutting Pillar that addresses technology transfer, capacity development, institutional reforms as well
as other cross-cutting activities that will create of the enabling environment for its successful implementation. The AfDB’s
climate finance portfolio 2011-2017 has well over 300 projects with climate mitigation and/or adaptation benefits based
on the joint MDB climate finance tracking methodology. This portfolio is dominated by mitigation projects; the CCAP2 will
aim to raise adaptation finance to reach parity with mitigation.

The AfDB commitment to RE has grown from UA 655 million in 2008-12 to above UA 1 billion in 2013-17. The share of
RE in power generation investments increased from 20% to over 65% between the two periods. The AfDB has been
associated with the landmark RE transactions in Morocco, South Africa, Egypt, Kenya, and other countries (details
provided in Section E.5.2). Most recently, in 2017, 100% of the UA 465 million invested by the African Development
Bank in power generation supported renewable energy projects, which will contribute to 1.4 GW of additional
renewable generation capacity (950 MW from solar, 473 MW from hydro) while reducing greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions by over 2.3 million tons annually.

The AfDB also uses its various trust funds to support African Governments and private sector developers in scaling-up
renewable energy across the continent. For example, the AfDB’s Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa (SEFA) supports
small- and medium-scale renewable energy projects and energy efficiency through project preparation and technical
assistance grants. In 2017 alone, SEFA approved 7 project preparation grants (aiming to add an additional 166 MW of
renewable energy and leverage USD 340 million) and 5 technical assistance grants to help African countries create a
conducive environment for more private sector investments in the off-grid and mini-grid sub-sectors. Following its fifth
year of operations, SEFA has cumulatively committed the vast majority of its USD 95 million capitalization across a
portfolio of over 30 projects in approximately 20 countries, including multinational projects.

AfDB-GCF Zambia Renewable Energy Financing Framework

Zambia Renewable Energy Financing Framework is the AfDB’s first collaboration with the GCF, approved by the GCF’s
Board at its 19th meeting in February 2018 (USD 50 million concessional loans and USD 2.5 million grant for technical
assistance). It is designed to 1) arrange debt financing for 5-6 small-scale (up to 20MW each) renewable energy
independent power producer (IPP) projects selected under the “Global Energy Transfer Feed-in Tariffs” (GETFiT) Zambia
Program, and 2) provide complementary technical assistance to develop the ecosystem and value chain for renewable
energy-based electrification in Zambia. The AfDB-GCF financing envelope aims to provide USD 100 million of senior debt
and standby loan facility (as a tenor extension instrument for commercial banks’ loans) to the selected GETFiT projects.
As a co-financer and an executing agency, the Bank has committed up to USD 50 million of senior loans and USD 1.5
million of grant for technical assistance. Discussions with other potential co-financiers (commercial banks, National
Pension Fund of Zambia (NAPSA), etc.) are ongoing.

32 Unit of Account, equivalent to the IMF's Special Drawing Right.


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The Framework is expected to catalyze private investment in the Zambian renewable energy sector, thereby accelerating
the achievement of the country’s electricity generation targets and diversification of its energy mix. By doing so, it aims
to fast-track Zambia’s transition toward a low-emission sustainable development pathway. It will be a test bed for a
renewable energy financing model that crowds in local commercial banks and institutional investors, further supplemented
with the proposed technical assistance grant facility. This is expected to have a strong demonstration effect across Sub-
Saharan Africa.

AfDB support to Green Mini-Grids

The AfDB is currently the focal point for all mini-grid activities on the continent. Through its Green Mini-Grids Market
Development Program (GMG MDP), the Bank offers technical assistance to mini-grid developers and mini-grid policy
makers through its Green Mini-Grids Help Desk (http://greenminigrid.se4all-africa.org). The AfDB is currently providing
support to more than 60 green mini-grid developers in 30 countries, as well as to several Ministries of Energy.

The Green Mini-Grid Africa Strategy, drafted by the GMG MDP, was endorsed in 2017 by the African Union
Commission. The Green Mini-Grid Africa Strategy is a document that prescribes the baseline policy principles required
to foster private sector investment into mini-grids development in a particular country. These principles include simplified
licensing, the liberty to apply cost-reflective tariffs, predictable outcomes in the case of main-grid arrival into a mini-grid
market, integrated energy sector planning (between main grid, mini-grids and off-grid solutions) and capacity building at
all levels. The Market Development Program conducts country specific green mini-grid opportunity assessments, with
studies already concluded for Mozambique, Ethiopia, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, the DRC, Nigeria, Uganda, Madagascar
and Mali. The program is introducing the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s Quality Assurance Framework 33 for
mini-grids to 12 green mini-grid developers in Nigeria.

The AfDB is the current Chair of the Mini-Grids Partnership (MGP), a body of sector stakeholders that coordinates
concepts and interventions related to mini-grids development. Other MGP Steering Committee members include DFID,
Power Africa, the World Bank, EUEI, GIZ, IRENA, the Rockefeller and UN Foundations, the Alliance for Rural
Electrification, the Clean Energy Solutions Center, Club-ER (the association of African rural electrification agencies),
SNV, Power for All and African Mini-Grid Developers Association (AMDA).

While the AfDB does not have a record of direct investment to private sector mini-grid projects yet, the AfDB has
accumulated a wealth of sector experience and knowledge through the above-mentioned support programs and public
sector operations for rural electrification. The proposed AfDB-GCF Program is built on the collaboration with DFID (Essor
A2E) drawing on both organizations’ expertise.

AfDB’s energy sector involvement in DRC

The AfDB has been one of the key development partners working with the GoDRC to tackle existing challenges and
enhance socio-economic development. Under the DRC Country Strategy Paper of 2013-2017, the AfDB’s support
focused on lifting the DRC out of its fragile state status and creating the conditions for strong and inclusive growth driven
by the increased dynamism of the economy’s productive sectors. Energy is a key focus under the pillar related to attracting
private investment through the creation of a favorable business environment. The AfDB has also financed a peri-urban
electrification project (Projet d’Electrification Peri-urbaine et Rurale) to strengthen part of the transmission network
supplying Kinshasa and the northern zone of the Kinshasa distribution network. Recently approved financing for a new
electricity access and sector governance improvement project would expand the rehabilitation of the distribution network
in Northern Kinshasa, develop the Lungundi II Hydropower Plant to add supply in Tshikapa (Kasai Province), and assist
MERH to improve sector governance. Through its Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa (SEFA), the AfDB has awarded a
project preparation grant for two hydropower mini grids (combined 12 MW capacity). For this Program, AfDB will act
as an Executing Entity for both mini-grid project loans (financial and technical due diligence of sub-projects)
and TA grant components.

33 The Quality Assurance Framework is a monitoring and reporting framework related to mini-grid

performance.
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C.5. Market Overview (if applicable)


Describe the market for the product(s) or services including the historical data and forecasts.
Provide pricing structures, price controls, subsidies available and government involvement (if any).

A review of the DRC electricity sector and market conditions reveals that the grid coverage by the utility (SNEL) is
extremely limited and it is unlikely that the grid will be expanded nation-wide in short- to medium-term future. Electricity
supply to the grid is highly dependent to large hydro power, which is vulnerable to climatic variability. Off-grid towns, some
of them with large population (more than 100,000) and sizeable industrial activities, rely on micro-scale diesel generators
and kerosene lights for their energy use. This calls for an alternative approach such as renewable-based mini-grid
financed by private investment.

In July 2017, the AfDB published a report “Mini-Grid Market Opportunity Assessment: Democratic Republic of
the Congo” as part of the Green Mini-Grid Market Development Program activities. It provides a comprehensive and
detailed review of the mini-grid market potential in the DRC. Following paragraphs are brought from this report to provide
an overview of the green mini-grid market in the DRC.

Mini-grid development in the DRC

The DRC has a significant green mini-grid market potential. The country is home to nearly 80 million people, populated
over a vast land area where most of them suffering from lack of electricity access. Only 20 million people are living within
15km of the current grid and more than 50 million people are living beyond the reach of the current grid. The size of the
country makes it difficult and expensive to expand the existing power grid. Besides three regional grids covering major
cities in the DRC 34, only few towns are supplied by mini-grids operated by SNEL (please see section B.3) and other
power producers.

Based on current grid coverage, an annual potential market of USD 921 million for mini-grid and off-grid solutions
is estimated 35. This assumes that 61 million people will be connected to mini-grid and off-grid solutions. The potential
market size could be even larger as modern decentralized solutions may also be feasible in areas within grid proximity
where population centres close to the grid are not yet electrified due to limitations of the national power network assets.
The same analysis, conducted taking into account the planned grid extensions scenario, yields an annual market size of
47 million people, representing USD 721 million per year.

Main cities and towns across the country represent an obvious priority target for mini-grid solutions. The main 170
population centers across the country with a total population of about 31 million represent a priority target for mini-grid
solutions. Of these, 20 million people living in 29 towns are situated within 15km of the existing power network. The
remaining 141 populated towns situated beyond the current grid are the primary targets for electrification through
mini-grid solutions, whose theoretical market size is estimated at about USD 153 million per year 36.

Off-grid developments and support for energy access

The opening up of the power generation and distribution sectors to private operators has been a remarkable achievement
of the 2014 Electricity Law. Several independent mini-grids have come on-line in relation to the development of the
electricity law and a number of green mini-grid projects are at the development stage. Mining companies such as the
Société des mines d’or de Kilo-Moto (SOKIMO) and Société Minière de Bakwanga (MIBA) own hydro plants and inject

34 The western grid covers the Central Congo and Kinshasa province, the eastern grid covers North Kivu
and South Kivu provinces and the southern grid covers the Haut-Katanga and Lualaba provinces.
35 Calculations based on the World Bank Global Consumption Database. The data is from 2010 in USD.

Nominal 2010-2016 GDP growth rates from the IMF were applied to calculate a 2016 approximation.
Total market size is estimated based upon household energy market size which assumes that 60% of
household energy spend is on electricity, and the household spending comprises 60% of the total
revenue of a mini-grid.
36 Calculations based on the World Bank Global Consumption Database.
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excess energy in local grids. Existing SNEL mini-grids, mostly hydro and diesel, offer additional opportunities for
privatisation and rehabilitation. The Modern Villages program by the Ministry of Energy and Hydraulic Resources aims to
electrify 100 villages using hydro green mini-grids, but implementation has been slow.

DFID and the World Bank are committing significant funding to further development of mini-grids. DFID’s Essor program
plans to support the construction of up to 30 solar green mini-grids by 2021 through the “Access to Electricity” work
stream. The World Bank’s Energy Access and Services Expansion (EASE) program, with a budget of USD 147 million,
aims to electrify provincial capitals using green mini-grids. In addition, it aims to rehabilitate the Mobayi hydro plant and
the Gbadolite grid. The program will also support the creation of a Credit Support Facility (CSF), administered by a
financial institution, and a Rural Electrification Fund (REF), administered by UCM and ANSER. These Facilities, once
operational, will provide much needed capital in the form of lines of credit, subsidies and grants for private rural
electrification projects.

Renewable energy potential for mini-grids

Through the use of available renewable energy resources, green mini-grids fit very well with the specific needs in the
DRC for improving access to energy to a large number of its people independently from the national grid. Hydro and solar
powered mini-grids have the largest potential to accelerate electrification rates. The United Nations Development
Program (UNDP) produced a Renewable Energy Atlas in 2014 that identified 317 potential small hydro sites 37. According
to this data, 51 out of 141 towns identified above are located within 20km of a potential hydro site. These towns have a
total population of 2.7 million and a few major towns (e.g. Thsikapa) are already being served with hydro mini-grids, while
others are being served by diesel mini-grids. These sites and town could be primary targets for electrification through
hydro powered mini-grids. Some of the mini-grids can go large enough to provide electricity to tens of thousands of
people. Solar powered mini-grids have potential to electrify most of other towns, or even those towns in proximity to
hydropower sites if solar makes better economic and technological justification.

• Hydro: The DRC has significant hydro power mini-grids potential across the country. Several existing isolated
mini-grids are hydro powered, such as the Electricité du Congo (EDC) grid in the city of Tshikapa (1.5MW), the
Virunga SARL grids in Mutwanga (0.4MW) and Matebe (12.6MW), the Société d’énergie du Kasaï (Enerka) grid
in Mbuji-Mayi (18.48MW) and the Société des Mines d’Or de Kilo-Moto (SOKIMO) grid in Bunia and Mongbwalu
(11MW). SNEL also operates two hydro mini-grids in the cities of Kindu and Kisangani. Nevertheless, most of
the potential remains untapped. 183 small hydro sites with a combined theoretical capacity of 1,110MW have
been identified across 19 provinces. 57 sites with a potential of 165MW are located within 15km of the existing
power network, and could contribute to develop the capacity and distribution network of the main gird. Beyond
the 15km buffer, 126 sites with a potential of 945MW have been identified that could contribute to the
development of hydro-based mini grids.
• Biomass: The DRC has solid potential for energy production from forestry and agricultural waste and methane,
although no comprehensive studies exist. The DRC Renewable Energy Atlas provides high level estimates for
land cover, distribution of crops, estimated energy from agricultural residue, livestock and biogas potential from
livestock waste. On methane potential, Lake Kivu has an estimated 50 billion m3 of methane reserves. Agricultural
waste has potential as well, with an estimated 25 million hectares of cultivated arable land in 2013 (FAO). Manioc
is the primary crop, with maize, cassava, plantain and sugarcane also grown. Agriculture is generally dominated
by subsistence production and characterised by low crop productivity, low diversification and limited participation
of formal private businesses. Livestock waste is a further potential source of energy. A 2010 CIAT survey in Kivu,
which has a population of approximately one million, showed that 25% of households had sufficient livestock for
implementing a biogas digester. Utilization of these sources however, is limited by poor distribution channels, a
lack of existing waste collection mechanisms, a lack of technical expertise and low average household income
relative to technology costs. Despite the significant potential of biomass for power production, only three biomass
projects have been identified.
• Solar: Solar energy is abundant in the DRC with higher potential in the south. Average daily irradiation ranges
from 3.5 to 5.5 kWh/m2. In the provinces with the highest irradiance such as Kwilu, Lomami, Haut-Lomami, Kasaï-
Oriental, Lualaba, Tanganyka and Haut-Katanga the average daily solar irradiance reaches 5kWh/m2/day and
up to 6.75kWh/m2. Solar energy has not been tapped to supply the main grid, but offers significant potential to

37 UNDP, SNV, SEforALL, DRC Renewable Energy Atlas, 2014.


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power mini-grids over the next few years. The main existing solar project is a 1MW hybrid plant developed by
ENERKAC and powering SNEL’s Kananga mini-grid in the Kasaï Central province.

C.6. Regulation, Taxation and Insurance (if applicable)


Provide details of government licenses or permits required for implementing and operating the project/programme, the
issuing authority, and the date of issue or expected date of issue. Describe applicable taxes and foreign exchange
regulations.

Existing regulatory regime


The GoDRC is supporting strategic development and reforms in the power sector, which is in the midst of a significant
transition. Key objectives have been outlined for the energy/electricity sector that include liberalization, increased
transparency, and the attraction of a greater number of national and international private and public partners.
The law n°14-011 dated 17 June, 2014 (the Electricity Law, “Loi sur l’Electricité”) regulates the electricity sector. It
provides the background inter alia for a diversification of the energy mix; a focus on a greater energy productivity through
energy conservation and efficiency measures; and energy pricing policies that reflect economic costs for both suppliers
and users in the domestic energy market. The 2014 Electricity Law liberalizes the generation, transmission, distribution
and export of electricity. SNEL was transformed into a commercial limited liability company in 2011. The 2014 Electricity
Law has put an end to the de facto monopoly of SNEL in the generation, transmission, and distribution of power and the
DRC energy market is now open to independent power producers subject to the compliance with the provisions of the
Electricity Law.
This law introduced the creation of two institutions under the supervision of the Ministry of Hydraulic Resources and
Energy (Ministère de l’Energie et des Ressources Hydrauliques):
• The Regulatory Authority (Autorité de Régulation de l’Electricité, “ARE”): will have the mandate of monitoring sector
reforms and private sector participation (including tariff settlement). Decree n°16/013 dated 21 April 2016 provides
for the creation, organisation and functioning of the ARE.
• The Rural Electrification Agency (Agence Nationale des Services Energétiques Ruraux, “ANSER”): Will have the
mandate of increasing access to energy services in rural and peri-urban areas and will be in charge of accompanying
the private or community project leaders. A Decree n°16/014 dated 21 April 2016 provides for the creation,
organisation and functioning of the ANSER.
These two agencies are still in the process of being created. A preparatory committee has been established to set up the
constitution of ARE. Meanwhile all the decisions that should be taken by ARE will be directly taken by the MERH. A
specific provision in the Concession Agreement states that ARE, once created and fully operational, will not be able to
contest the tariffs agreed in the three concession agreements. It is assumed however that if any change in tariff occurs
during the concession lifetime, it will have to be discussed with ARE if the latter is functional.

Mini-grid concessions awarding authority


The existing law does not state precisely who should be the Awarding Authority in the case of a mini-grid (which covers
both generation and distribution). Following a thorough analysis, the most suitable mechanism is through a service
concession agreement or “délégation de service public”, which allows to have both the generation and distribution
covered within the same concession contract and which makes the State the Awarding Authority rather than the Province.
The Program is to be handled by a single state agency within the MERH. This role should have been played by Autorité
de Régulation de l’Electricité (ARE) but it is still in the process of being established. In its absence, this role is being
carried out by UCM under the Ministry. This unit is in charge of electricity projects in the country and has been actively
associated with the DFID-Essor A2E project. UCM will be responsible for the oversight and management of the tendering
process with the support of the DFID-Essor. The idea of centralizing the process within the MERH is key to this project
since the objective is to simplify the upstream administrative process for the developers during the tendering process and
once the concession is awarded.

Permits, licenses and land


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As mentioned above the private operator that will be selected will be entitled to produce and distribute electricity under a
Service Concession Agreement (Délégation de Service Public) signed by the relevant conceding authority, which is the
Central Government. The local authorities at the Provincial level where the mini-grids will be located will also acknowledge
the award of the Service Concession Agreement. Furthermore, Under the 2014 Electricity Law, the plant and the grid
connection assets are to be owned by the State and be financed and managed by the Concessionaire under the terms
and conditions of the concession agreement. They will be built on the public domain (the rights of the Concessionaire to
occupy the public domain will be granted under the concession agreement).

Currency regime
The local currency is the Congolese Franc (CDF), although the economy is highly dollarized with around 90% of the
banking sector deposits and lending conducted in US Dollars. In addition, most goods, services and financial activities
are indexed to the US dollar. As a multilateral development institution the AfDB enjoys a preferred creditor status which
gives preferential access to foreign currency in case the country is imposing any restrictions in regard to the foreign
currency conversion. The currency conversion risk is low in the DRC as the economy is highly dollarized and US dollar
is widely used in daily transactions.

Privileges and Immunities


Chapter VII of the Agreement Establishing the African Development Bank describes the agreements among the AfDB's
member countries with regard to the status, immunities, exemptions and privileges. This includes immunity of the Bank’s
assets and archives, freedom of assets from restriction, privilege for communications, and exemption from taxation. The
GCF resources will enjoy an equal treatment with the AfDB resources in terms of privileges and immunities. The parties
acknowledge that the Accredited Entity’s privileges and immunities bestowed upon it by the Agreement Establishing the
African Development Bank are applicable to the GCF Proceeds and other GCF Funds held in trust and/or disbursed by
the Accredited Entity for implementation of the activities under this funding proposal.

Tax regime
Discussions about the tax structure that should apply to the projects are still ongoing with the MERH and Ministry of
Finance. The “Agence Nationale pour la Promotion des Investissements” (“ANAPI”) already defines a tax frame for
projects related to energy. Import duties and VAT on equipment, tools and spare parts destined exclusively for the
production of electricity have been reduced. According to the law n° 004/2002 du 21/02/2002 of the investment code, a
5-year exemption applies to
• Corporate tax
• Property tax
• Entry tax on equipment goods

Tariffs
Under the 2014 Electricity Law, private operators are authorized to propose specific tariffs for each project. These tariffs
will be established so that the project offers a reasonable tariff for the consumers while also offering a reasonable return
to the operators. In the course of the tender process, proposed tariffs will be submitted by the bidding operators to UCM.
These tariffs will be captured in the Concession Agreement. The latter will indicate that the tariffs is to be calculated in
USD but invoiced and paid in Congolese Francs and will specify a clear indexation formula reflecting the local inflation
and changes in the CDF/USD conversion rate. The indexation mechanism will take place on a quarterly basis thereby
partially mitigating foreign exchange and inflation risks.

Insurance
The AfDB, as a lender of record, will ensure that the each project is adequately insured as per standard industry practices.
Specific insurance instruments may be sought to protect the project/sponsors from classical political risks (e.g. MIGA).
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Enabling Factors Limiting Factors


Planning and • Private sector is allowed to operate in the • Complex institutional setting, with multiple
institutional energy sector. Some private sector led mini-grids agencies involved in planning and delivery
setting are operational. including at the provincial and central
• The 2014 Electricity Law aims to foster private government levels.
investment and streamline administrative • Limited planning capabilities hamper
processes by transferring responsibilities to development of nationwide electrification
provincial governments. strategies.
Data • A Renewable Energy Atlas for DRC was • The information contained in the RE Atlas is not
availability produced in 2014 by UNDP and is currently made available in any GIS-friendly format.
being updated. The Atlas is available in PDF • Many ministries and agencies do not have a
format online. website and relevant sector information is not
available online.
Licensing • Private operators can build and operate mini- • According to the Electricity Law 2014 all
grids, subject to a government concession. transmission and distribution activities require a
concession, which in the case of local projects
are granted by the provincial authorities. No
provisions are made to streamline the installation
of small rural mini-grids.
• Concessions must be an object of public
tenders, limiting the ability of new entrants to
deploy small-mini grids in rural areas.
Tariffs • Mini-grid operators can propose tariffs that • Tariff affordability for poor consumers. This will
guarantee an appropriate return, but these are be partly mitigated by the introduction of a social
subject to government approval. tariff structure (see section F.1). It is also
expected that a competitive tender process will
effectively drive down the overall tariff level.
Subsidies • Import duties and Valued Added Tax (VAT) • No specific incentives for mini-grid projects
and have been lifted for generation equipment exist.
incentives including renewable generation.
Power • There is limited experience with PPAs for small • Standard PPAs and provisions for green
purchasing scale plants. Hydroforce and Enerkac sell generation projects do not exist, although a
agreements electricity to the SNEL in Kananga standardized Concessions Agreement for green
(PPA) mini-grid is developed with the DFID-Essor A2E
support
Arrival of the • Mini-grids are subject to government • No provisions existed specifically protecting
grid concessions of up to 30 years. mini-grids from the arrival of the main grid.
• Most of the country is not covered by the (However, a standardized Concessions
national grid and will remain so for the Agreement for this Program will include clauses
foreseeable future. specifying the arrangement upon arrival of the
main grid.)
Technical • There are general norms and standards to be • The general norms and standards are
rules respected for any electricity project. appropriate for utility scale mini-grids, but are too
stringent and limit the potential activities of
modern mini-grid companies targeting rural
areas.
Mobile • Mobile money service is available through • Mobile coverage must be strengthened.
services various operators.
Table 7. Summary of the DRC’s regulatory and policy environment for mini-grids 38

38 Adjusted from the AfDB’s Mini Grid Market Opportunity Assessment: Democratic Republic of the

Congo, 2017.
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C.7. Institutional / Implementation Arrangements


Please describe in detail the governance structure of the project/programme, including but not limited to the
organization structure, roles and responsibilities of the project/programme management unit, steering committee,
executing entities and so on, as well as the flow of funds structure. Also describe which of these structures are
already in place and which are still pending. For the pending ones, please specify the requirements to establish
them. Describe construction and supervision methodology with key contractual agreements. Describe operational
arrangements with key contractual agreements following the completion of construction. If applicable, provide the credit
analysis of key counterparties of key contractual agreements and/or structural mitigants to cover the counterparty risks.

The AfDB will be responsible for the overall oversight of the framework implementation and will report to the GCF per the
terms to be agreed under the Accreditation Master Agreement (AMA) and the Funded Activity Agreement (FAA). For
managing the GCF resources, a GCF Account will be set-up within the AfDB as a stand-alone facility and the Bank’s role
will be to administer the funds. Under this scheme, the AfDB will be a direct lender to the projects in its capacity as an
Accredited Entity (Figure 13, Figure 14).

The pipeline mini-grid projects will be selected through a competitive tendering process (tendering process and criteria
outlined in detail under Section C.3). The AfDB will apply its credit evaluation, due diligence and approval procedures in
appraising potential clients, and only those sub-projects qualified under the AfDB’s internal criteria will be eligible for
investment under this framework.

Figure 13. Overall structure of the AfDB-GCF Program and the flow of funds
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Sponsors Lenders
Local
Authorities

Households

State/ Ministry Concession Connect ion


of energy agreement
SPV and sales SMEs/ shops
agreement

• Handles t he t endering process Anchors


• Signs t he agreement
• Handles land right s and
easement s wit h local aut horit ies

Appoint s and hires


Appoint s Independent
engineer

Figure 14. Relationships between the Project Company (SPV) and parties involved 39

For the TA grants component, the AfDB (Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Department) will be the Executing
Entity whereas the activities will be implemented in partnership with UCM under the MERH. Fund management and
procurement will follow relevant policies and rules of the AfDB, guided by the grant agreement to be signed between
UCM and the AfDB. While TA grantee will procure and contract consultants and service providers, the AfDB will hold and
manage the grant resources and make a direct payment to consultants/service providers (more detail under section F.4)
(Figure 15).

Figure 15. Technical Assistance implementation structure

39 In addition, each SPV will enter into the EPC and O&M agreements with the contractors.
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C.8. Timetable of Project/Programme Implementation 40


Please provide a project/programme implementation timetable in section I (Annexes). The table below is for illustrative purposes. If the table format
below is used, please refer to the activities as numbered in Section H. In the case of outputs, please mark when all the required activities will be
completed.

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 41

Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q
Q0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q6 Q7 Q8 Q9
T ASK 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Component 1 and 2. Three Green Mini-Grid Projects

GCF Board Approval X

AfDB Board Approval X

Projects Tendering –
X X
Request for Qualification
Offer of AfDB-GCF
X
financing package 42
Projects Tendering –
X X
Request for Proposal
Evaluation & Selection of
X X
project sponsors

Financial Close X X

Construction X X X X X X X X X X X

Commercial Operation
X X
Starting Date

40 In addition to this timetable, financial and operational reporting schedule will be specified in the term sheet.
41 The Program is designed with a five-year implementation period (2019-2023), to allow sufficient time to deal with possible delay in projects selection,
financial close and construction up to commercial operations.
42 AfDB-GCF financing package and its indicative terms will be made available to pre-qualified bidders, at the Request for Proposal stage, in order to

encourage sponsors’ participation to the Program.


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Component 3. Technical Assistance Grant

GCF Board Approval X

Grant agreement X X

3-1. Green mini-grid


enabling framework X X X X X X X X X X X X

and capacity building


(i) Develop GMG
X X X X X X X X
strategy and regulations
(ii) Develop mini-grid
X X X X X X X X
standards and guidelines
(iii) Establish GMG tariff
X X X X X X X X
guideline
(iv) Train key institutions
to be able to manage X X X X X X X X X X X X

and implement GMGs


(v) Train project
X X X X X X X X
developer on GMGs
(vi) Build a local RE
ecosystem by training X X X X X X

local technicians/SMEs
(vii) Gender action plan
X X X X X X X
implementation
3-2. Green mini-grid
project development X X X X X X X X X X X X

support
(i) Support three solar
based mini-grids under X X X X X X X

the Essor A2E


(ii) Conduct feasibility
studies for other X X X X X X X

selected potential GMGs


(iii) Develop an
investment and tender X X X X

plan for UCM’s GMGs


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Reporting schedule 43

APR X X X X

Inception report X

Interim evaluation X X

Completion report (final


X
APR) 44

Final evaluation 45 X

43 In addition to the project reports, financial reports will be submitted as per the agreed AMA and FAA.
44 Completion report is due within 3 months after the end of the relevant reporting period.
45 Final Evaluation report is due within 6 months after the project completion.
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D.1. Value Added for GCF Involvement


Please specify why the GCF involvement is critical for the project/programme, in consideration of other alternatives.

NDC implementation: The DRC’s Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) indicates climate change as one of the
major threats to sustainable development in the country. The GoDRC is conditionally committed to reduce its GHG
emissions by 17% by 2030 compared to a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario (which is estimated at 430 MtCO2eq in
2030) thereby avoiding over 70 MtCO2eq per year of emissions. Albeit the large share of the emission reduction potential
of the country is in the land use and forestry sector, providing clean and affordable electricity to underserved areas will
not only contribute to greening the future power supply of the country but will also contribute to avoiding emissions from
alternative polluting electricity sources such as diesel and kerosene.

Barriers to renewable energy (RE) investment: There are several obstacles for investment in the RE sector in the DRC,
ranging from lack of a robust legal, regulatory and institutional framework to poor investment climate and complex trade
barriers that have prevailed in the country. In terms electricity provision, the government have mainly focused on the
promotion and development of medium- and large-scale hydropower project spearheaded by the utility SNEL with little
to no incentives for national and international private sector operators in the RE sector to enter the market and contribute
to national electricity expansion. A few local private companies are operating several diesel-based power plant and a
few small hydropower plants to provide electricity service to households and anchor customers in the mining sector.
However, these are site specific and do not meet the need of the population throughout the country. Solar PV hybrid
mini-grids can be deployed relatively quickly and at a competitive cost compared to the alternative diesel genset solution.
Albeit the cost of Solar PV has dropped in the past decade the initial investment cost is still relatively high in the DRC
and thus out of reach from most of the electricity-starved population. Policy and investment incentives for sustainable
electricity projects remain very weak, and a shift toward renewable-based low emission energy system is highly unlikely
in near future without focused and substantial interventions.

Justification of GCF funding request: The public sector has limited fiscal capacity to expand the infrastructure for
electricity generation, transmission and distribution while private sector investors are reluctant to invest in the DRC
energy sector due to high risks perceived. As a result, only approximately 10% of people have access to electricity
nationally and the regional disparity is high. Some of the key barriers to electrification in the DRC include the
government’s poor financial situation, political insecurity and weak regulatory environment. The barriers for deploying
renewable energy are even higher, as the technology is still new to the market and there has been no demonstrated
renewable energy-based business model in the country, for both on-grid and off-grid. The national utility company, SNEL
(Société Nationale d’Electricité), is in a financially vulnerable position hence not capable of driving the national
electrification efforts.
All these circumstances combined, it is extremely challenging to develop a bankable energy project in the DRC market.
Green mini-grid led by private sector is a solution with high potential but the concept and business model needs to be
tested to give comforts to most of the investors including debt financiers. Even if financiers decide to bear the risks and
make investment, high interest rates from commercial investors will inevitably raise the end-consumer tariff to an
unacceptable level so that end-users will not be able to afford to pay. This is exactly why the GCF is needed: primarily
to fill the financing gap in terms of volume and price. Involvement of the GCF will enable a financing scheme that
will offer long-term and reasonably priced loans to innovative green mini-grid projects in the DRC. This will
make the project bankable with affordable tariff as risks decreased and investors are crowded-in with
confidence.
The Program aims to ensure cost-effectiveness and efficiency by introducing an adequate financial structure that is
carefully designed to meet multiple needs. The AfDB-GCF blended debt will be offered at a reasonable cost and a long
tenor to ensure that the end-user tariff is acceptable. The GCF’s concessional financing in terms of pricing is critical for
the entire structure to be financially viable since the cost of the project and associated risks are high by its nature.
Without the GCF’s concessional loan, there will be a direct impact to the tariff and the project will have to bear significant
market risks while transferring economic burden to the consumers. Hence, the GCF’s participation will be a key enabler
for the projects to gain bankability at an acceptable tariff.
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By enabling the projects, GCF’s involvement will directly contribute toward emissions reduction in the target
towns where the use of micro-scale diesel generators and kerosene light dominate the electricity sector.
Furthermore, once a green mini-grid business model backed by a standardized legal framework and a robust tender
process is demonstrated with GCF’s supports, a vibrant green mini-grid market with private investment will be opened
up for the entire country and the model will be replicated. GCF’s value addition at this early phase is thus
transformational.

D.2. Exit Strategy


Please explain how the project/programme sustainability will be ensured in the long run, after the project/programme is
implemented with support from the GCF and other sources, taking into consideration the long-term financial viability
demonstrated in E.6.3. This should include a description of strategies for longer term maintenance of physical assets
(if applicable).

Qualifying projects under the Program will be fully evaluated using the AfDB’s internal credit approval process to ensure
the soundness of the projects in the long term. The evaluation will include the financial assessments, strategic fit,
regulatory compliance, environmental, social and gender considerations all aimed at ensuring that approval for the
projects is based on a comprehensive due diligence exercise. Legal documentations covering the loan structure and
covenants will ensure the repayments of the loans are made on time and according to schedule.

Once the funds have been disbursed and the loans are running, the projects will be monitored by the AfDB’s portfolio
management department to ensure that project is being executed as planned and the mini-grids are being managed in
a way that does not jeopardize the investments of the Program. Such periodic monitoring activities allow the AfDB to
intervene and offer support as and when required to ensure the objectives are achieved. The debt will be paid over a
period of 15-18 years through payment made by end users comprises of households, businesses and anchor customers
such as water suppliers (Regideso) and industries. The use of prepaid metering infrastructure with mobile money will
mitigate collection risks of consumers.

In terms of replicability, this Program seeks to set a precedent in the field of private sector led green mini-grids
deployment in a country where there is big market potential for green mini-grid. The demonstration effect is expected to
promote private sector participation in further developing green mini-grids in the DRC, enabling market transformation
and paradigm shift.
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In this section, the accredited entity is expected to provide a brief description of the expected performance of the
proposed project/programme against each of the Fund’s six investment criteria. Activity-specific sub-criteria and
indicative assessment factors, which can be found in the Fund’s Investment Framework, should be addressed where relevant and
applicable. This section should tie into any request for concessionality made in section B.2.

E.1. Impact Potential


Potential of the project/programme to contribute to the achievement of the Fund’s objectives and result areas
E.1.1. Mitigation / adaptation impact potential
Specify the mitigation and/or adaptation impact, taking into account the relevant and applicable sub-criteria and
assessment factors in the Fund’s investment framework. When applicable, specify the degree to which the
project/programme avoids lock-in of long-lived, high emission or climate-vulnerable infrastructure.

The proposed Program will finance three solar PV-based mini-grid power plants of around 5 to 10 MW each with battery
storage and distribution networks. The Program is estimated to avoid 560,000 tCO2eq over a 20 years operation lifespan
(see methodology in E.1.2) 46. The emissions reduction will directly contribute to attain the DRC’s commitment outlined in
its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) to reduce emissions by 70 MtCO2eq/year by 2030 with appropriate
international assistance as compared to the BAU (430 MtCO2eq in 2030). Its replication to other towns in the DRC will
provide further contribution to the NDC emissions reduction objectives of the country.

The Program presents an environmentally viable and economically cost effective alternative to speedily
implementable decentralized diesel power. The Program also prevents a shift to the intensified use of diesel
generator and biomass in off-grid towns by providing an alternative solution. This business model has a high
potential to be replicated and scalable in the country and in the region. Ten million people in 141 towns in the DRC are
the priority targets (see Section C.5), who are living with limited electricity access relying on the diesel generators and
kerosene lights. The model can be replicated to other non-priority towns in the future and it is estimated that up to 51
million people in the DRC can be connected to mini-grids once a viable model is established. Further supported by the
TA, this Program will enable the transformation of the DRC energy sector by opening up a market for green mini-grid
investments and thereby accelerating low emission development. In addition, through the provision of constant, affordable
and sustainable electricity, the Program will support socio-economic development of these towns. Essential service
providers and industrial players (e.g. water suppliers and SMEs) will be connected to green mini-grids in addition to
households, which will unlock the potential for local economic growth and bring high development impacts.

E.1.2. Key impact potential indicator

Provide specific numerical values for the indicators below.

Annual 28,000 tCO2 eq (average)


Expected tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (t CO2
eq) to be reduced or avoided 560,000 tCO2 eq
GCF core Lifetime
indicators
Expected total number of direct and indirect At least 150,000 people directly
beneficiaries, disaggregated by gender (reduced Total benefited from low-emission
vulnerability or increased resilience); electricity

46A 20 years concession period is assumed but it could be extended to up to 25 years, subject to the final
decision by the GoDRC.
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Percentage Less than 1%


(%) (out of 78.7 million 47)

• Proportion of low-emission power supply in a jurisdiction or market


Other
• MWs of low emission energy capacity installed
relevant
• Number of additional green mini-grid projects developed and reached financial close following
indicators
technical assistance

Describe the detailed methodology used for calculating the indicators above.

GHG accounting methodology: In order to estimate the total GHG emissions reduction of the three projects, the off-grid
electrification methodology of CDM Standard baseline AMS-1.A and AMS-I.L (for electrification of rural communities using
renewable energy) is applied. These methodologies are suitable for this project given the fact the three localities are not
connected to the national grid and are not likely to be connected in the short to medium term. Also historically, the
electricity provided in these towns by SNEL and the municipality was through the use of diesel generators only functioning
for a few hours and only covering a small portion of the town. It is worth noting that these SNEL-owned diesel systems
have stopped providing electricity for more than 10 years ago and businesses and households supply themselves using
their own gensets.

GHG accounting assumptions and calculation

Assumptions

Given the current electricity access rate is extremely low, one must compare the CO2 emission implied by the project's
technology mix to the CO2 emission levels which would be produced if the same amounts of electricity were produced by
diesel. A detailed demand study was performed for each town with three scenarios being developed:
• A low growth scenario with only 16 hours of electricity generation and consumption throughout the 20 years of
operation
• An optimum scenario with 24 hours of electricity generation and consumption including steady demand growth
• A high case scenario with 24 hours of electricity generation and consumption with rapid demand growth

The optimum scenarios data were used to calculate both the baseline emissions and the project emissions. Given the
historical use of diesel generator to provide electricity and the relative low capital expenditure for generation, the baseline
emissions is computed assuming that diesel gensets provide all of the electricity generated to meet the optimum scenario
demand.

The following assumptions were made to estimate the baseline and project emissions :
• An emission factor of 0.8 tCO2/MWh has been assumed and which correspond to relatively efficient gensets.
• Final electricity consumption and PV penetration modelled with the HOMER software (one of the leading
software for mini-grid power plant sizing) based on the optimum scenario elaborated for the three towns
• The yearly electricity generation is calculated for the 20 years of operation.

Baseline and Project emissions reduction per site:

Bumba
• Baseline average annual emissions = 17,756 tCO2eq/year (a)
• Project average annual emissions = 3,149 tCO2eq/year (b)
• Project average annual emissions reduction = 14,600 tCO2eq/year (a-b)

47 World Bank data, 2016.


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• Project total emissions reduction (over 20 years) = 292,000 tCO2eq/year 20*(a-b)

Gemena
• Baseline average annual emissions = 5,558 tCO2eq/year (c)
• Project average annual emissions = 1,080 tCO2eq/year (d)
• Project average annual emissions reduction = 4,470 tCO2eq/year (c-d)
• Project total emissions reduction (over 20 years) = 89,530 tCO2eq/year 20*(c-d)

Isiro
• Baseline average annual emissions = 10,596 tCO2eq/year (e)
• Project average annual emissions = 1,657 tCO2eq/year (f)
• Project average annual emissions reduction = 8,940 tCO2eq/year (e-f)
• Project total emissions reduction (over 20 years) = 178,785 tCO2eq/year 20*(e-f)

The projects should generate an average of about 5,900 tCO2/year and a total of 118,000 tCO2 over 20 years. Should
the same electricity generation profile come from a 100%-based diesel power plant, the emissions would go up to 678,000
tCO2 over 20 years (with an average of 34,000 tCO2/year). Therefore, the project is estimated to avoid a total of
560,000 tCO2 eq.

Expected total number of beneficiaries: The project is expected to connect 21,200 households and 2,100 SMEs over the
first five years with AfDB-GCF direct investment. Average size of household in the DRC is 5.3 people 48. It is estimated
that each enterprise has 20 employee on average, which is close to the definition of a micro-enterprise than a SME (A
SME is commonly defined as an enterprise employing less than 250 people). With this number, it can be estimated that
at least 150,000 people will benefit directly from the clean electricity generated from the projects.

E.2. Paradigm Shift Potential


Degree to which the proposed activity can catalyze impact beyond a one-off project/programme investment
E.2.1. Potential for scaling up and replication (Provide a numerical multiple and supporting rationale)
Describe how the proposed project/programme’s expected contributions to global low-carbon and/or climate-resilient
development pathways could be scaled-up and replicated including a description of the steps necessary to accomplish
it.

The country is facing serious energy deficit whereby the population with access to electricity from the national grid is less
than 1% in rural areas and around 10% nationally, while the average in Sub-Saharan African is 24.6%. The DRC’s
electricity generation heavily relies on hydropower, rendering the whole system vulnerable to variabilities in rainfalls. The
government’s efforts have mainly focused on large on-grid hydro projects, and renewable based off-grid projects such as
solar PV mini-grid still face a high barrier for financing and implementation. Off-grid towns, some of them with large
population and sizeable industrial activities, rely on micro-scale diesel generators and kerosene lights for their energy
use. New transaction models need to be developed, since weak utility off-taker (SNEL) would not allow to structure a
bankable private operation in the DRC and there exists no clear plan for grid expansion.

The AfDB-GCF Green Mini-Grid Program for the DRC will provide senior debt to selected private mini-grid projects under
the DFID-supported Essor A2E Phase 1. This Program will reduce current and future emissions in the target towns and
enable the transformation of the DRC energy sector by accelerating low emission energy access which will bring together
high development outcomes. As a direct outcome, total 23,300 households and SMEs will be connected to electricity,
benefitting from sustainable energy and moving away from diesel and kerosene. The Program will be a test bed for an
innovative mini-grid design, demonstrating a viable model for private-led, renewable based mini-grid financing

48 United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, 2017.
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which will be replicable in the DRC, other Sub-Saharan African countries and small island developing countries.
At the same time the experience will strengthen the GoDRC’s institutional and regulatory systems to adequately manage
mini-grids and associated technologies (e.g. battery storage) and to crowd-in private financing. Over time, this will enable
the DRC to increase energy access for the off-grid population with renewable energy solutions without capital-intensive
grid expansion or large hydro development, leading the country to a low carbon development pathway.

A standardized and robust financial and legal package is being structured for this initiative, which will allow similar project
tenders to be easily repeated across the DRC, using a harmonized approach. The ambition of the Program if the pilot
phase proves to be successful is to replicate the tender offer to 10 to 15 other large towns in the DRC. The replication
phase would benefit from the experience of the pilot phase, taking into account key lessons learned, and from its
international publicity with DFIs and other investors, unlocking further capital funding. A number of potential provinces for
replication have already been identified and detail studies will be conducted in due course, which will be supported by
this Program’s TA. With a large number of cities and towns remaining without access to electricity and far from the main
grid, there is a huge potential to scale up this green mini-grid experience throughout the country.

Figure 16. Theory of Change

Aligned with the investment program, AfDB-GCF TA will invest in making enabling framework for green mini-grid projects
in the DRC, capacity building for key stakeholders, and next rounds of mini-grid project development. Through this grant,
key stakeholders will be able to manage and implement green mini-grid projects and especially UCM’s tendering capacity
enhancement is expected so that private-led green mini-grid projects can be boosted up in other regions in DRC as a
standardized model. On the policy side, green mini grid strategy, regulations and guidelines will be prepared so that a
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sustainable green mini-grid market will be built. The TA also aims to build local technical capacity for the RE and mini-
grid management, creating a foundation for the local green mini-grid ecosystem.

E.2.2. Potential for knowledge and learning


Describe how the project/programme contributes to the creation or strengthening of knowledge, collective learning
processes, or institutions.

The Program will generate knowledge that will inform the design and implementation of similar green mini-grid programs
across the country and in the region. An innovative large (MW-scale) green mini-grid tendering program structure that
leverages international financial institutions, key government institutions (UCM, MERH, ANSER and benefiting provincial
government), and investors will have a high demonstration effect and set the bar for replication in urban/peri-urban
settings and in islands. Together with learning from the TA component, lessons learned from the green mini-grid tendering
process and financing will be distilled and shared systematically through the AfDB and GCF knowledge network. Primarily
this will involve the knowledge sharing with the DRC, inviting all the relevant stakeholders in the energy, financial and
climate change sector.

During the implementation of this pilot program, knowledge will be generated and embedded within the institutions that
are responsible or have critical roles to play for scaling-up sustainable energy generation and distribution in the DRC.
Capacity building under the TA component will ensure that public officials and relevant stakeholders capacity are
enhanced to integrate green mini-grid into the national energy system.

The AfDB and DFID’s Essor A2E have a plan to scale up and replicate this model in other DRC regions and/or other
countries where needs are identified. This Program is critical to build a commercially viable model for future AfDB
engagement in the sector. The experience in the DRC will demonstrate what works and what does not work - the
knowledge that scarcely exists in the Sub-Saharan African context. The AfDB is determined to play a role of knowledge
broker, to ensure that the ambitious goals under the New Deal on Energy for Africa can be attained with continuous
learning and scaling up.

E.2.3. Contribution to the creation of an enabling environment


Describe how proposed measures will create conditions that are conducive to effective and sustained participation of
private and public sector actors in low-carbon and/or resilient development that go beyond the program. Describe how
the proposal contributes to innovation, market development and transformation. Examples include:
• Introducing and demonstrating a new market or a new technology in a country or a region
• Using innovative funding scheme such as initial public offerings and/or bond markets for projects/programme

Innovativeness: The objective of this initiative is to improve access to electricity with low-emission technologies for people
across large urban areas in the country, located remotely from main grid connections in the South (Inga-Kolwezi) and the
Eastern parts of the country (Goma area) and counting between 100,000 and 300,000 inhabitants each, through the
auctioning to the private sector of new concessions covering the design, financing, construction and operation of large
urban independent grids supplied by solar hybrid power generation systems. Such concessions are the first of a kind in
terms of business model, as the size of the projects exceeds typical mini-grid projects which have been developed so far
in the DRC and in other African countries, rather targeting rural areas. The current initiative has an implicit objective of
accelerating, optimizing and standardising the development of mini-grids across the country, through providing bankable
opportunities to the private sector, based on a robust structure which can be replicated to various locations.

Sustainability of outcomes and results beyond completion of the intervention: Through this Program, the capacity of key
sector institutions, especially Project Management Coordination Unit (UCM) under the MERH will be enhanced. UCM’s
role in coordinating and conducting green mini-grid project tendering process will equip them with requisite skills and
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enable them to coordinate and replicate private-led mini grid projects in the future by their own capacity. This Program is
in line with the Electricity Law of 2014 that allows for the concession of generation and distribution to the private sector.
This has yet to be applied in the area of green mini-grid and the Program will help reinforce the framework in place and
make the sector attractive for private investors and developers by decreasing perceived and real risks through the
implementation of a clear, robust and transparent tendering procedure. In the long term, it will demonstrate the capacity
of the government to process tender to procure private concessionaires, establish the needed contractual documents
and agreements in a satisfactory and bankable way thereby reducing uncertainties and costs. The complementary TA
will add further support for the enabling framework, capacity building and mini-grid project development.

Mobilization of other relevant actors: This pilot Program will mobilize the participation and collaboration from a diverse
and comprehensive range of actors in the country’s energy, climate and financial sectors. This includes the public
authorities, RE project companies and industry players, investors, civil society groups, research and sector experts, and
development partners including DFIs.

Market development and transformation: As described above, the Program makes a crucial contribution to the creation
and development of green mini-grid market in the DRC.

E.2.4. Contribution to regulatory framework and policies


Describe how the project/programme strengthens the national / local regulatory or legal frameworks to systematically
drive investment in low-emission technologies or activities, promote development of additional low-emission policies,
and/or improve climate-responsive planning and development.

The GoDRC has made policy reforms to address the challenges of the electricity subsector. The Growth and Poverty
Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP 1 and 2, adopted in 2006 and 2012 respectively) underlines the importance of the
energy sector in the socio-economic development of the country. The ultimate objective is to ensure that access to reliable
electricity reaches the entire nation. In order to achieve this objective, the Ministry (MERH) drew up a "Five-Year Action
Plan 2007 - 2011" under which it formulated a new energy policy and regulatory framework to facilitate rapidly expanded
access to energy services for the entire population. In 2014, the government approved a new electricity regime (Electricity
Act 2014) aimed at attracting private sector investment through measures including sector liberalization, the
establishment of the sector regulatory authority and the agency for rural energy services. The government is now in the
process to operationalizing those two institutions with technical assistance from the USAID.

Through this Program, the capacity of key sector institutions, especially Project Management Coordination Unit (UCM)
under the MERH will be enhanced. The TA aims to create enabling environment by developing green mini-grid strategy,
regulations, standards and guidelines in the DRC. This will involve drafting and validation of mini-grid strategy document
that defines the strategic direction and policy alignment of the developing green mini-grid sector, and outlines the
institutional arrangements, financial incentive measures and regulatory framework. To this end, the TA will facilitate the
replication of the green mini-grid model across the country. The improvement of the mini-grid regulatory framework and
policies will be also guided by the learnings from the three pilot projects under this Program.

E.3. Sustainable Development Potential


Wider benefits and priorities
E.3.1. Environmental, social and economic co-benefits, including gender-sensitive development impact
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Environmental co-benefits: The implementation of these green mini-grids will allow the reduction of GHG emissions from
diesel-based generation and will reduce indoor air pollution from the use of kerosene lamps for lighting. Pollutant
emissions such as nitrogen oxides, non-methane volatile organic compounds and sulphur dioxide from diesel combustion
will be reduced altogether.

Social co-benefits: The availability of electricity will have positive social and welfare impact, particularly promoting
education and health by powering public facilities such as schools and hospitals. Lack of power will no longer constitute
barriers to practical teaching methods that require electrical appliances for optimal learning, thus higher education
outcomes can be expected. Access to electricity will further allow for a wider use of ICT and facilitate access to information
and knowledge. Electricity also has positive effects on the time available for children to study with improved lighting.

For the impact on health, healthcare centers will benefit from the projects as the current poor access to electricity
compromise the frequency of medical interventions and the conservation of medical products. Indirectly, a better access
to electricity may have a positive impact on health by improving the municipal water system run by Regideso. With access
to a viable source of electricity, Regideso should be able to provide a continuous service and expand its network through
the city. The source of household drinking water has important public health implications. Water from springs/lakes/rivers
or wells may be contaminated with disease-causing bacteria. This is less likely for water distributed from a municipal
water system. Reduction of toxic emissions from diesel and kerosene also brings substantial health benefit. In addition,
electricity will lower the fire risk from the use of kerosene lamp and wood for lighting, and reduce the incidence of
respiratory and eye diseases.

Economic co-benefits: The availability of electricity will allow for a number of households and businesses to access a
more reliable and affordable source of power when compared to the current alternatives. These three towns rely mostly
on small auto producers with diesel generators, on barely operating SNEL network and solar home systems for a few
households. The electricity supply depends on diesel, making the kWh price reach between 1.20$/kWh and 1.50$/kWh.
Local businesses will be able to increase production and reduce energy related cost in their daily operations, while
households will reduce the use of inefficient and expensive means of lighting such as kerosene lantern and dry batteries
lamps thereby inducing economic savings. Further, the Program will create job and income opportunities related to
operation, repair and maintenance of the system; and reduce vulnerability of households and businesses to fossil fuel
price fluctuations. On a macro level, the GoDRC will benefit from savings in direct investment in electricity expansion.

Gender-sensitive development impact: Various studies indicate that female-headed businesses generally face more
impediments than men in accessing grid electricity – experiences suggest that women entrepreneurs can face
discrimination e.g. in the form of delays in obtaining electrical connections, and/or the expectation that they will be willing
to pay bribes to access those services. Women - especially poor ones living in rural areas - generally face specific energy
constraints within the household: as they tend to be primarily responsible for chores, they are generally tasked with
fetching wood, charcoal or other forms of fuel, and burning it to prepare food for all family members – this not only
generates significant demand on their time, but also exposes them to increased health risks derived from unsafe burning
practices.

Access to energy allows for more efficient products to be available in the household, from basic ones such as solar
lanterns to more sophisticated appliances - these can significantly reduce the burden on women, and release their time
for more productive, income-generating activities including outside the household. In terms of comfort and protection,
electrification can lead to the installation of public lighting which in turn increases the perceived level of security of
households, especially of women. Improved access to electricity can also then positively affect women’s educational
outcomes, which in turn are key for their employment and economic advancement prospects as lighting increases the
availability of time for studying. In order to ensure gender-balanced green mini-grid and energy sector development, a
Gender Action Plan is developed and implemented as part of this Program.
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E.4. Needs of the Recipient


Vulnerability and financing needs of the beneficiary country and population
E.4.1. Vulnerability of country and beneficiary groups (Adaptation only)
N/A
E.4.2. Financial, economic, social and institutional needs
Describe how the project/programme addresses the following needs:
• Economic and social development level of the country and the affected population
• Absence of alternative sources of financing (e.g. fiscal or balance of payment gap that prevents from
addressing the needs of the country; and lack of depth and history in the local capital market)
• Need for strengthening institutions and implementation capacity

Electrification and development levels are very uneven in the DRC. The population with access to electricity is 44% in
the capital city, Kinshasa, while less than 1% in rural area. In the DRC, the accumulated delays in investments in
power infrastructure, degradation of hydropower plants, over-reliance in unaffordable thermal power generation in
provincial cities together with a rapid increase in electricity demand resulted in large electricity shortages. Most cities
(with population over 100,000 inhabitants) in the country are not connected to the national grid, and are not likely to
be in the mid-term. Economic activities of the targeted towns, primarily driven by agricultural production and agro-
industrial processing with individuals or small businesses, are hampered by the lack of stable electricity supply. This
is an important barrier to economic growth, as it poses a major constraint to businesses and productive activities of
households. Access to electricity to these underserved urban areas is therefore a pressing issue to be dealt with as it
will contribute to improve the living conditions of these population and be a vector for growth. Public investment
capacity by the GoDRC to expand energy access is seriously constrained due to its tight budget situation. Political
and economic instabilities have deterred participation from private companies and investors as well. Overall there is a
lack of capital for power projects in the DRC, which is more severe when it comes to mini-grid projects marked by high
perceived risks.

There are barely 2,000 connections (household and non-residential consumers) in the three target towns currently.
These three off-grid towns rely mostly on small auto producers with diesel generators, on barely operating SNEL
network and solar home systems for a few households. These are individuals or small traders who once having
acquired a generator for their own needs, sell their excess electricity within their local neighborhood. The electricity
supply depends on diesel, making the kWh price reach between 1.20$/kWh and 1.50$/kWh. For their day-to-day
needs, households mainly rely on coal and wood for the cooking and on kerosene lamps and battery torches for the
lighting. Without any alternative energy solutions, fossil fuel and biomass dependence will only intensify in these towns.

E.5. Country Ownership


Beneficiary country (ies) ownership of, and capacity to implement, a funded project or programme
E.5.1. Existence of a national climate strategy and coherence with existing plans and policies, including NAMAs,
NAPAs and NAPs
Please describe how the project/programme contributes to country’s identified priorities for low-emission and climate-
resilient development, and the degree to which the activity is supported by a country’s enabling policy and institutional
framework, or includes policy or institutional changes.

The Program is consistent and closely aligned with the objectives of the Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC)
and developmental plans of the DRC. The DRC is committed to avoided over 70 MtCO2eq per year GHG emissions
by 2030 through the deployment of renewable energy. In order to achieve the target, the central and provincial
government of DRC are supporting strategic reforms in the power sector that includes liberalization, increased
transparency, and the attraction of a greater number of national and international private and public partners.
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E.5.2. Capacity of accredited entities and executing entities to deliver


Please describe experience and track record of the accredited entity and executing entities with respect to the
activities that they are expected to undertake in the proposed project/programme.

The African Development Bank (AfDB) has an extensive experience in financing RE projects in Sub-Saharan Africa.
While the summary of the AfDB’s energy sector involvement both in the continent and in the DRC is provided in Section
C.4, below are some of the key highlights of recent RE financing led by the AfDB:
• The Ouarzazate Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) Complex in Morocco for which the AfDB has committed
EUR 134 million as well as USD 219 million from the Clean Investment Funds (CIF) for the two phases
respectively in 2012 and 2014, aims to produce 500 MW of solar power. The 160 MW first phase was
inaugurated in 2016 while the second phase of 350 MW is under construction – which will make Ouarzazate
one of the largest solar complexes in the world.
• Three Solar PV IPPs in Egypt with a total installed capacity of 50 MW each for which the AfDB has approved
UA 34 million from its own resources and UA 5 million mobilized from the Global Environment Facility (GEF)
in 2017, in support to the implementation of the government’s Feed-in-Tariff (FiT) Program. The program was
first conceived by the AfDB in late 2016 and the three projects were approved by the Board of Directors in
September 2017.
• The initial development of Kenya’s Menengai geothermal steam field for which the AfDB has committed
around UA 80 million as well as USD 25 million from the CIF in 2011, has the potential to produce steam for
around 105 MW of generating capacity. Building on this support, Kenya has selected the first group of the
IPPs in the Menengai field that are working towards financial close by 2018. The Bank is continuing to support
this by providing partial risk guarantees (PRGs) to backstop the obligations of the state-owned entities vis-à-
vis the IPPs. The PRG program of USD 12.7 million was approved by the Bank in 2014.
• The 100 MW Sere Wind Farm that was developed by South Africa’s national utility, for which the AfDB has
provided USD 45 million as well as USD 50 million from the CIF through its sovereign lending window,
commenced operation in 2016.
• The 100 MW Xina concentrated solar IPP in South Africa – that has a storage component to help meet peak
demand in the evening – is now in commercial operation. In 2014, the AfDB has approved a senior loan of
USD 100 million along with a senior loan of USD 41.5 million from the CIF.
• The 120 MW Itezhi-Tezhi Hydro Power Plant is situated at the existing Itezhi Tezhi dam on the Kafue River in
Zambia. The plant is developed by a joint venture SPV equally owned by ZESCO and a private sponsor. The
SPV has a 25-year concession and a 25-year off take agreement with ZESCO. The AfDB has provided a mix
of financing: the public sector funds (around USD 50 million) contributed to financing half of ZESCO’s equity
participation in the SPV, technical assistance to ZESCO, as well as co-financing of the 276 km transmission
line to evacuate the power, while the AfDB’s private sector funds provided a USD 38 million senior debt to the
SPV.
• The 42 MW Achwa 2 IPP is a run-of-river hydro power plant in Uganda that will have an annual output of 162
GWh. The Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited will purchase the power under a 40-year PPA.
In 2016, the AfDB has approved a senior loan of up to USD 20 million towards the investment cost of USD
110 million.
• The 33 MW Segou Solar IPP is Mali’s first utility-scale solar project. The plant will generate 52.7 GWh annually
(~10% of the country’s current generation) which will be bought by Mali’s national utility under the aegis of a
25-year PPA. In 2016, the AfDB has approved a senior loan of USD 8.5 million along with a senior loan of
USD 25 million from the Climate Investment Funds (CIF) towards the investment requirement of approximately
USD 52 million.
• The AfDB has approved the financing package of USD 100 million, comprising USD 50 million equity and
USD 50 million convertible senior loan, to the Facility for Energy Inclusion (FEI) in late 2016. FEI is positioned
as a global facility with two distinctive windows managed by two separate fund managers: (i) the On-Grid
window (USD 400 million), and (ii) the Off-Grid Window (USD 100 million). Fund raising and pipeline building
activities will continue over the next months.
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The AfDB’s power sector support to its regional member countries is far-reaching, with a concrete track-record of
sovereign projects for improved energy access, transmission and distribution infrastructure, power sector reform and
capacity building. Some of the examples that can be highlighted include:

• Kenya Last Mile Connectivity Program: The project aims at extension of the low voltage network to reach
around 1.2 million people. The total project cost is estimated at UA 108.6 million, out of which the Bank is
contributing UA 95 million (~USD 130 million). The population located in rural areas, low income groups as
well as small businesses will particularly benefit from this project.
• Burkina Faso - The Electrification Project for Semi-Urban Areas of Ouagadougou and Bobo-Dioualasso: The
project aims to restructure and expand the medium and low-voltage distribution networks in the country’s two
largest towns and establish 17,500 connections to households. The project also comprises several activities
intended to strengthen SONABEL’s operational capacity. The total project cost is UA 37.76 million. The project
will be co-financed by the AfDB (72%), SONABEL (15%) and the GoBF (13%).
• Lesotho - Electricity Supply Project (UA 10.85 million loan/grant): The project is approved in 2009 and the
Implementation has completed in 2014. Project Completion Report was approved in 2016. The project helped
increase the country’s power supply and its reliability, as well as increase electricity access with the
rehabilitation of the 2 MW Mantsonyane mini-hydropower station, installation of 200 individual home solar
systems, and reinforcement and expansion of the distribution network to additional 6,230 consumers.

Collaboration with the GCF: The AfDB has recently launched the “Zambia Renewable Energy Financing Framework”,
co-financed with the GCF. The AfDB-GCF financing envelope for the Framework aims to provide USD 100 million of
senior debt and standby loan facility (as a tenor extension instrument for commercial banks’ loans) to the renewable
energy feed-in-tariff projects (smaller than 20MW each) in Zambia. USD 4 million TA is arranged to develop the
ecosystem and value chain for renewable energy-based electrification in Zambia. The implementation is expected to
start in Q4 2018.

The AfDB mini-grid sector support: The AfDB is currently the focal point for all mini-grid activities on the continent.
Through its Green Mini-Grids Market Development Program (GMG MDP), the Bank offers technical assistance to mini-
grid developers and mini-grid policy makers through its Green Mini-Grids Help Desk. The AfDB is providing support
to more than 60 green mini-grid developers in 30 countries, as well as to several Ministries of Energy. (see more detail
under Section C.4.)

E.5.3. Engagement with NDAs, civil society organizations and other relevant stakeholders
Please provide a full description of the steps taken to ensure country ownership, including the engagement with
NDAs on the funding proposal and the no-objection letter. Please also specify the multi-stakeholder engagement
plan and the consultations that were conducted when this proposal was developed.

The AfDB’s engagement with the DRC energy sector stakeholders for green mini-grid development started years ago
with its Green Mini-Grids Market Development Program. Under this support, a green mini-grid market opportunity
assessment has been produced (July 2017) which formed the evidence basis for the preparation of this Program. The
AfDB’s enabling environment supports for the GoDRC has recently led to the approval of USD 1 million technical
assistance grant for institutional capacity building and mini-grid project preparation (which is seeking co-financing from
GCF under this Program). Building on this long time engagement and collaboration with country and sector
stakeholders, it was proposed that the AfDB-GCF arranges a financing envelop for the DFID Essor Access to Electricity
(A2E) projects.

The country ownership for the Program is ensured by close collaboration with the NDA and key sector stakeholders
in the DRC during the preparatory stage. The concept has been developed with close consultation with the Ministry of
Energy and Hydraulic Resources (MERH) - Project Management Coordination Unit (UCM) who is responsible for
tendering and granting concessions to mini-grid projects to be financed, as well as with the DFID-Essor team
supporting UCM for the entire preparatory works. Stakeholders and beneficiaries in the prospective project sites have
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been consulted during the site selection and subsequent pre-feasibility studies. The engagement with a wider scope
of national and local stakeholders took place during the development of the Funding Proposal. As a result, a No-
Objection Letter from the NDA was received in July 2018.

E.6. Efficiency and Effectiveness


Economic and, if appropriate, financial soundness of the project/programme
E.6.1. Cost-effectiveness and efficiency
Describe how the financial structure is adequate and reasonable in order to achieve the proposal’s objectives,
including addressing existing bottlenecks and/or barriers; providing the least concessionality; and without crowding
out private and other public investment.
Please describe the efficiency and effectiveness, taking into account the total project financing and the mitigation/
adaptation impact that the project/programme aims to achieve, and explain how this compares to an appropriate
benchmark. For mitigation, please make a reference to E.6.5 (core indicator for the cost per tCO2eq).

The Program aims to deploy green mini-grids in a cost effective manner and with the objective of providing the lowest
end user tariffs possible while still making the returns attractive. In order to achieve this, a preliminary financial structure
envisaged a 45% blended senior debt tranche from the AfDB and the GCF and a 55% tranche of equity and quasi-
equity in the form of reimbursable/investment grant from the sponsor and other financiers. The contribution of the AfDB
and the GCF through the Program will improve the commercial viability of the projects and enable them to provide
electricity to a wider share of connections at affordable rates. While operating under the principle of minimum
concessionality, the GCF’s concessional financing in terms of pricing is critical for the entire structure to be financially
viable. In term of efficiency the indicator can be derived from the total investment cost (USD 87 Million) and the
expected lifetime emission reductions (0.56 MtCO2eq) giving an efficiency indicator value of 155 USD/tCO2eq.

E.6.2. Co-financing, leveraging and mobilized long-term investments (mitigation only)


Please provide the co-financing ratio (total amount of co-financing divided by the Fund’s investment in the
project/programme) and/or the potential to catalyze indirect/long-term low emission investment.
Please make a reference to E.6.5 (core indicator for the expected volume of finance to be leveraged).

Expected co-financing ratio is 1 : 3.35 (GCF providing close to one fourth of the project cost). A relatively low co-
financing ratio needs to be understood in consideration of the unique challenge of the DRC’s renewable energy and
mini-grid market, where private sector co-financing for mini-grid project is almost non-existent. For the TA and
project preparation component, the total estimated budget for the various assignments will be up to USD 2 million
which will be co-financed by GCF and AfDB in the ratio of 1:1.

E.6.3. Financial viability


Please specify the expected economic and financial rate of return with and without the Fund’s support, based on the
analysis conducted in F.1.
Please describe financial viability in the long run beyond the Fund intervention. Please describe the GCF’s financial
exit strategy in case of private sector operations (e.g. IPOs, trade sales, etc.).
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A preliminary financial model was produced to analyze the impact of the GCF’s funding on the project’s DSCR and
IRR. The terms presently reflected in the model are based on the base case of P90 solar radiation and energy yield
assessment for the DSCR analysis, which means that the estimates will be met or exceeded 90% of the time on an
annual basis.

With the GCF funding included, the financial model presents a convincing financial case for the project. Given that the
current market conditions in the DRC are not favorable and that commercial banks are risk adverse, the GCF’s
participation will be critical not only to fill the financing gap with adequate price and tenor but also to bring other
investors onboard (see more under Section F.1).

E.6.4. Application of best practices


Please explain how best available technologies and practices are considered and applied. If applicable, specify the
innovations/modifications/adjustments that are made based on industry best practices.

The AfDB will ensure to apply the best available technologies. Competitive bidding will ensure the use of most efficient
and advanced industry technologies and practices. In such way, the implementation of the Program will bring the best
international practices as well as technologies for the solar hybrid mini-grid systems well-adjusted for the project
environment in the DRC. These best practices include the assessments of financially and technically feasible
technologies as well as the high-standard procurement principles which will also bring desirable environmental and
social benefits.

E.6.5. Key efficiency and effectiveness indicators

Estimated cost per t CO2 eq, defined as total investment cost / expected lifetime emission reductions
(mitigation only)

(a) Total project financing USD 87 million


(b) Requested GCF amount USD 20 million
(c) Expected lifetime emission reductions overtime 560,000 tCO2eq
(d) Estimated cost per tCO2eq (d = a / c) USD 155 / tCO2eq
GCF (e) Estimated GCF cost per tCO2eq removed (e = b / c) USD 36 / tCO2eq
core
indicators Describe the detailed methodology used for calculating the indicators (d) and (e) above.

Assumptions:

The baseline calculation is computed assuming that the most likely technology to be used to meet the
electricity needs estimated in the demand study, which in this case would be a diesel or heavy fuel oil
power plant. The following assumptions and parameters are used for the GHG emissions estimations:

• Emission factor of 0.8 tCO2/MWh assuming efficient diesel gensets are being installed,
• Total electricity generation and PV penetration modelled with the software HOMER (one of the
leading software for mini-grid power plant sizing) based on the detailed electricity demand study
elaborated for the three town,
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• The yearly electricity generation is calculated for the 20 years of operation.

Expected co-financing ratio 1 : 3.35

Other relevant indicators (e.g. estimated cost per co-


N/A
benefit generated as a result of the project/programme)
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* The information can be drawn from the project/programme appraisal document.

F.1. Economic and Financial Analysis


Please provide the narrative and rationale for the detailed economic and financial analysis (including the financial
model, taking into consideration the information provided in section E.6.3). Based on the above analysis, please
provide economic and financial justification (both qualitative and quantitative) for the concessionality that GCF
provides, with a reference to the financial structure proposed in section B.2.

A preliminary financial model was built for each project site based on the outputs of the demand and technical studies
performed. The CAPEX estimated for Bumba, Gemena, and Isiro are expcted to amount to USD 40.1 million, 21.8
million and 25 million respectively, total USD 87 million.

For the modelling purpose, the following tariff structures were computed. Bidders will have the freedom to define their
own tariff structures, although it is anticipated a ceiling will be set and a social tariff will be introduced as requirements.
These indicative structures are based on consumption thresholds, which allows low-income and medium-income
households to benefit from lower rates. A social tariff is applied to the lowest level of consumption (e.g. 0 to
15kWh/month; enough to service lighting and other basic uses such as phone charging), and tariffs range increase with
the level of consumption.
An estimated range of the mini-grid tariff is comparable to other operating mini-grids in the DRC and the region 49. While
the tariff is still higher than that of the national utility, it is considerably lower than what people would currently pay for
the use of diesel gensets in the target towns (in the range of 1.2-1.5$/kWh). It is also expected that a competitive tender
will effectively drive down the overall tariff level.
Sensitivity analysis

Without GCF’s investment, it is assumed that an all-in rate of debt goes up significantly. Under this scenario, the tariff
should increase by 6c$/kWh in order to maintain the same level of IRR. If demand was to be lower than expected, the
impact on IRRe would be -3% in the case of a 10% demand decrease, and -6% for a 20% demand decrease. The
Concession Agreement comprises an adjustment mechanism if such decrease was to take place during the first five
years. However, such tariff increase should be limited given the elasticity of demand to prices.

F.2. Technical Evaluation


Please provide an assessment from the technical perspective. If a particular technological solution has been chosen,
describe why it is the most appropriate for this project/programme.

Through the pre-feasibility study for the three target sites, a very thorough and detailed demand and technical
assessment for the mini-grid projects have been undertaken. The outcome of the pre-feasibility study will be provided
to prospective bidders.

49 World Bank ESMAP. Benchmarking Study of Solar PV Mini-Grids Investment Costs, 2017.

IFC, Operational and Financial Performance of Mini-Grid DESCOs, 2017.


USAID Power Africa, Tariff Considerations for Micro-Grids in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2018.
Nigeria Rural Electrification Agency, Nigeria Minigrid Investment Brief, 2017.
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Technical quality and compliance with the technical specifications will be an important part of the evaluation criteria
during the selection and due diligence process, with detailed technical assessment to be conducted for each selected
sub-project.

F.3. Environmental, Social Assessment, including Gender Considerations


Describe the main outcome of the environment and social impact assessment. Specify the Environmental and Social
Management Plan, and how the project/programme will avoid or mitigate negative impacts at each stage (e.g.
preparation, implementation and operation), in accordance with the Fund’s Environmental and Social Safeguard
(ESS) standard. Also describe how the gender aspect is considered in accordance with the Fund’s Gender Policy and
Action Plan.

The Environment and Social Management Framework (ESMF) and the Gender Assessment and Action Plan
documents are developed for this Funding Proposal. No Category A project will be financed under this
Program.

Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF)


Since specific locations of investments will be determined during project design under this Program, an Environmental
and Social Management Framework (ESMF) has been prepared that defines the environmental and social (E&S)
planning, review, and clearing processes in compliance with national and AfDB safeguard guidelines. The ESMF will
ensure that energy is produced and utilized in an environmentally sound manner; and provide a corporate
environmental and social safeguard policy framework, institutional arrangements and capacity available to identify and
mitigate potential safeguard issues and impacts of RE projects. The ESMF will specify the following procedures:
(i) Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) to identify key environmental and social impacts
and corrective measures for each sub-project once exact intervention locations are known.
(ii) Environmental and Social Management Plan (ESMP) to translate the ESIA into coordinated activities at
local level, with detailed checklists and mitigation measures in order to address expected environmental
and social impacts.
(iii) Resettlement Policy Framework (RPF) followed by Resettlement Action Plans (RAP), if relevant, to
present legal and institutional framework, eligibility criteria, methodology for asset valuations and
mechanisms for stakeholder consultations and grievance redress.
Stakeholder consultations.
The ESMF contains detailed checklists and generic mitigation measures to ensure that potential impacts are addressed
in the E&S assessments and sub-project management plans. In preparing the required detailed E&S studies (e.g.,
ESIA, ESMP, and RAP), the sub-project operators must ensure that participatory stakeholder consultations take place
as required by the E&S policies, guidelines, and standards of the AfDB. Participatory consultations will be held with all
stakeholders (including ministerial officials, representatives of local governments, the private sector and associations
of civil society, including women associations) in order to:
• provide adequate information about the nature, timing, and scope of the relevant project impacts and mitigation
measures;
• highlight gender issues (in order to improve women’s access to lower-cost and cleaner energy); and
• guide E&S study development.
Responsibilities
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Projects operators will be responsible, in compliance with national law and regulations and the AfDB safeguard policies,
guidelines and standards, for conducting the required detailed E&S studies (e.g., ESIA, ESMP, and RAP), obtaining
clearances and licenses from relevant authorities, organizing stakeholder consultations, implementing all required
mitigation measures, and conducting monitoring activities.
The detailed E&S studies must be submitted to both the National Authority in charge and the AfDB for review and
approval. The authority’s approval is based on the Congolese laws and regulations, while that of the AfDB is based on
the AfDB’s E&S policies, guidelines, and standards. The authority in charge of environment will be responsible for the
review and clearance of ESIAs and ESMPs for sub-projects. It provides a one-stop clearance process by involving all
other key governmental agencies in the approval process.
Gender Considerations – Gender Assessment and Action Plan
The gender assessment for the Program provides a summary of the gender equality situation in the DRC with a specific
focus on women’s inclusion in the energy sector. The assessment identifies potential entry points to promote women’s
participation as business leaders and owners in renewable and clean energy, and proposes a series of actions that will
ensure the participation of women.

F.4. Financial Management and Procurement


Describe the project/programme’s financial management and procurement, including financial accounting,
disbursement methods and auditing.

Due Diligence

The AfDB team responsible for project origination will carry out due diligence and assessments of financing proposals
for each sub-project. The origination team’s findings and recommendations undergo a rigorous internal review process
before they are cleared by Senior Management to be presented to the Bank’s Board of Directors for approval. This
includes various interdepartmental committee reviews.

The AfDB will, through its Anti-Corruption and Integrity department, provide Integrity Due Diligence (IDD) for the project
operations through a structured, systematic analysis to identify, assess, mitigate, manage and monitor potential loss
from integrity risks and riskier exposure. This is to ensure that funds are used for their intended purposes and with due
attention to considerations of economy, efficiency and competitive trade. The Bank will use the following assessment
criteria to safeguards its investment. (See also the Bank’s IDD Policy for further information.)
• Identification of beneficial ownership
• Assessment of civil and regulatory backgrounds
• Identification of sanctioned persons and entities
• Identification of Politically Exposed Persons (PEPs) and other high risk relationship

Corporate financial transactions are closely monitored through the MDB harmonized treatments of corporate groups
and also through the AfDB’s established guidelines on anti-fraud, anti-corruption and anti-money laundering policies
(AMLCFT) 50. The AfDB continues to ensure that its financing operations and investments are not used for illegal or tax-

50 Relevant frameworks and policies within the AfDB include:

- The Bank's revised Strategic Framework and Action Plan on the Prevention of Illicit Financial Flows in
Africa and Policy on the Prevention of Illicit Financial Flows,
- Strategy for the Prevention of Money Laundering and Terrorism Financing in Africa (ADB/BD/
WP/2007/70 and ADF/BD/WP/2007/46), July 2007,
- Integrity Due-Diligence Policy for Non-Sovereign Guaranteed Operations (ADB/BD/WP/2014/96 -
ADF/BD/WP/2014/64), June 2014, and
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evasion purposes. In addition, measures are currently in place to address the issue of tax havens and the
accompanying risks.

The AfDB will lead standard KYC due diligence process including anti-money laundering and other evaluations of
sponsors.

Financial Management

For the senior loans, financial management will follow the AfDB’s “Guidelines for Financial Management and Financial
Analysis of Projects”, which describes and explains the AfDB’ policies, procedures and approaches to the financial
management and analysis of projects and programs that the AfDB finances.

Disbursement

Loans: The borrower is entitled to request disbursements of funds from the AfDB, for amounts spent or planned to be
spent for the purposes set out in the financing agreement between the two parties, subject to fulfilment of conditions
outlined in the financing agreement. Except with the AfDB’s consent, no disbursements shall be made (a) on account
of expenditures procured in violation of the AfDB’s Procurement Rules; or (b) to finance expenditures incurred prior the
date of the financing agreement other than those that are expressly permitted. Requests for disbursement shall be
made promptly and in conformity with the AfDB’s disbursement rules and procedures.

Supervision and Portfolio Management

The AfDB is responsible for fulfilling the reporting obligations to the donors. Reporting is based on the progress of
indicators included in the Results Measurement Framework. The AfDB management will ensure that the project portfolio
are diligently managed, through close dialogue with clients and periodic monitoring and evaluation. The objective is to
enhance the prospects of: (a) delivering expected development outcomes; (b) minimizing harmful environmental and
social impacts over the course of projects’ economic life; and (c) meeting debt repayment obligations for the loans. At
least, bi-annual supervision missions will be organized to review implementation progress and performance of the
activities under the framework.

Procurement

To ensure that financing is applied in ways that adequately secure the AfDB’s mandate while maximizing development
effectiveness, the Bank encourages and promotes sound, fair, transparent and well performing procurement systems.
The Bank Group’s “Procurement Policy for Bank Group Funded Operations” (dated August 2015) applies to the
framework. This Policy sets out the principles that apply to Borrowers’ procurement of goods, works and acquisition of
consulting services financed in whole or in part by the AfDB. It is supplemented by three additional documents: (i)
Methodology for Implementation of the Procurement Policy of the African Development Bank (Methodology); (ii)
Operations Procurement Manual for the African Development Bank (OPM); and (iii) Procurement Toolkit for the African
Development Bank (Toolkit). Collectively, the Policy, the Methodology, the OPM and the Toolkit are referred to as the
“Procurement Framework”. The Policy is the overarching document and in the event of a conflict between it and any
other documents of the Procurement Framework, this Policy will prevail. In the event of any inconsistency between the
remaining documents comprising the Procurement Framework, the following hierarchy shall be followed: the
Methodology, the OPM, and the Toolkit.

Audit

The framework will be subject to the AfDB’s normal internal audit policies, meaning it will be audited annually by external
auditors. The utilization of the AfDB’s and the GCF resources will be subject to audit by an independent external auditor

- Integrity Due-Diligence Guidelines for Non-Sovereign Guaranteed Operations 2014.


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acceptable to the AfDB every year and at the completion of the activity for which support has been provided.
Beneficiaries of externally executed grants shall recruit an auditor for these as per the terms of the grant agreement to
be signed. The cost of audit services shall be incorporated into the cost estimates for each approved project/activity.
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G.1. Risk Assessment Summary


Please provide a summary of main risk factors. Detailed description of risk factors and mitigation measures can be
elaborated in G.2.

The main risks of the project will be linked to the political situation and the market risk to be borne by the project.

Political instability and change of regulations: Developers feel at risk from the overall political situation in the DRC.
Any disturbance to the peace would impact or otherwise halt the construction or operation of the project. Developers
are also concerned with the risk of any non-respect of the Concession Agreement, and a political entity appropriating
the assets of the project. To mitigate this risk, standards concession agreements have been negotiated and political
risk insurances will be considered as described in more details below. High corruption risk also prevail in the country
and will be addressed by the institutional setting of the project handled by one stop-shop within the GoDRC (MERH -
UCM).

Market risk: The mini-grids projects are developed on a merchant basis without any demand guarantee from the
provincial authorities or offtake agreements with the SNEL. As such, the projects rely on a detailed demand projection
taking into account the willingness and ability to pay. Foreign exchange risks will be mitigated through a quarterly
update of tariff.

Other risks, including construction, O&M risks, environmental and social risks, payment risks are expected to be of
lower magnitude and will be addressed by specific provisions as detailed below.

G.2. Risk Factors and Mitigation Measures


Please describe financial, technical and operational, social and environmental and other risks that might prevent the
project/programme objectives from being achieved. Also describe the proposed risk mitigation measures.
Selected Risk Factor 1
Probability of risk
Description Risk category Level of impact
occurring
Political instability: Developers feel at risk from the
overall political situation. Any disturbance to the peace
High (>20% of
would impact or otherwise halt the construction or Other Medium
project value)
operation of the project.

Mitigation Measure(s)

In addition to the provision of the Concession Agreement, specific insurance instruments from DFIs (e.g. MIGA) will
be sought to address classical political risks for the sponsors.

Selected Risk Factor 2


Probability of risk
Description Risk category Level of impact
occurring
Change of regulations: Developers are concerned High (>20% of
Other Medium
with the risk of any non-respect of the Concession project value)
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Agreement, and a political entity appropriating the


assets of the project.

Mitigation Measure(s)
Standard Concession Agreements are currently under negotiations with the Government. The political risk is covered
in the Concession Agreement by a broad definition of the State Risk and by the Change in Law clause. Compensation
payments will be agreed in the Concession Agreement for termination upon event of default by Project Company or
Conceding Authority, force majeure, and political event. It is expected that all permits and authorizations required for
the projects will be delivered in due time before construction. Legal compliance will be further reviewed during due
diligence by the Lender’s Legal Advisor (LLA). The Concession Agreement includes protection for new or changes to
taxes applicable to the Concessionaires.

Selected Risk Factor 3


Probability of risk
Description Risk category Level of impact
occurring
Demand risk: The demand risk lies with the difficulty to
get accurate and reliable demand estimation (anchor
off-takers, SMEs, and households). These estimations
High (>20% of
are necessary to set up reliable financial forecasts, to Financial High
project value)
adequately size the power plant and the distribution
grid, to define the expected demand growth and to
define the appropriate financial structure.
Mitigation Measure(s)
This risk is expected to be mitigated as selected mini-grid projects will primarily target the areas with significant
economic activities and a large population basis without access to modern energy. They currently rely on small scale
individual diesel generator with a cost higher than 1$/kWh. Individual projects are expected to supply power to
consumers (households and businesses) with a competitive tariff, depending on financing conditions. Anchor
customers such as the government, water supplier, and SMEs will be identified for each site.

In order to limit the risk borne by the Concessionaire, pre-feasibility studies were undertaken in line with the level of
standards expected by international investors. These were done to a high level of granularity with a preliminary
geographical scanning of the population, on-the-ground surveys based on statistically significant sample sizes of the
different demand segments (anchor off-takers, SMEs, and households). These studies also assess the willingness to
pay, revenues and energy needs.

Selected Risk Factor 4


Probability of risk
Description Risk category Level of impact
occurring
Low (<5% of
Payment risk Financial Low
project value)

Mitigation Measure(s)
The risk attached to the payments by households and SMEs/shops shall be offset by the use of Pay-As-You-Go
systems with meters. The use of prepaid metering infrastructure with mobile money will mitigate collection risks of
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consumers. Payment risk for larger private customers is assumed to be reduced as non-payment would result in the
disconnection of their electricity service.

Selected Risk Factor 5


Probability of risk
Description Risk category Level of impact
occurring
Social and Low (<5% of
Environmental and Social risks Low
environmental project value)
Mitigation Measure(s)

By essence, solar PV technology has minimal physical and economic displacement. For the battery treatment after its
life time, a recycling obligation will be included to the list of technical requirements The AfDB and the client are jointly
working on an Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) including an Environmental and Social
Management Plan (ESMP). Appropriate measures including the Resettlement Action Plan will be prepared in line with
the AfDB’s requirements if relevant. The safeguards and compliance department of the AfDB will review available
documentation and provide the necessary guidance to ensure compliance with the Integrated Safeguard System’s
requirements. A detailed analysis of potential environmental and social risks and their management framework is
outlined in the Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF) for this Funding Proposal.

Selected Risk Factor 6


Probability of risk
Description Risk category Level of impact
occurring
Medium (5.1-
Construction, Operation and Maintenance risks Technical and
20% of project Low
operational
value)
Mitigation Measure(s)

Risk will be borne by the Concessionaire with traditional insurance tools.

The construction of a PV power plant, distribution networks and storage facility involves a proven technology.
Construction risks will be mitigated trough a turnkey EPC contract. Adequate completion guarantees and liquidated
damages will be requested by the lenders. Construction and interference risk will be further assessed during due
diligence. Large provisions for transport cost, amounting to 8% of total CAPEX for each site, have been earmarked to
cover risk related to transportation of materials.

The operation and maintenance of the solar PV power plant itself is usually relatively simple as it consists of cleaning,
regular inspections, minor repairs and measurements, data verification, reporting and site security. At the mini-grid
level, the management of the intermittent source of energy will have an impact on the operation. Consequently, any
large fluctuation of power from the solar plant will require a quick compensation from the storage facility and/or the
spinning reserve to maintain the stability of the network. These risks will be mitigated with the implementation of an
adequate power management system and the definition and implementation of operating/dispatch measures to be
followed by the operators. Lenders will thus assess the capacity of the sponsors to provide backup generation,
maintain the required spinning reserve and manage power fluctuations and the measures to be put in place, as
needed.
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Selected Risk Factor 7


Probability of risk
Description Risk category Level of impact
occurring
Medium (5.1-
Foreign Exchange and Inflation Financial 20% of project Medium
value)
Mitigation Measure(s)

The foreign exchange and inflation risks will be partially offset by the fact the tariffs will be calculated in USD but
invoiced and paid in Congolese Francs and will be adjustable every three months. Non-convertibility of Congolese
Francs or the impossibility to transfer USD outside DRC is listed as a case of State Risk in the Concession Agreement.
If this event was to occur for more than 60 consecutive days, the Concessionaire would be entitled to terminate the
Concession Agreement for default of the Awarding Authority.

Selected Risk Factor 8


Probability of risk
Description Risk category Level of impact
occurring
Low (<5% of
Corruption risk Other Low
project value)
Mitigation Measure(s)
A robust tender process has been established with the DFID-Essor support and the proceedings of the tender will be
documented and shared with lenders. A centralized one-stop-shop which handles all administrative procedures
should limit of the risk of corruption borne by multiple administrative layers. The AfDB will ensure compliance with its
anti-corruption and integrity policies and as per the AMA with the GCF.

Other Potential Risks in the Horizon


Please describe other potential issues which will be monitored as “emerging risks” during the life of the projects (i.e.,
issues that have not yet raised to the level of “risk factor” but which will need monitoring). This could include issues
related to external stakeholders such as project beneficiaries or the pool of potential contractors.

Final approval of financing for individual sub-projects is subject to the AfDB’s project-specific risk screening and
comprehensive due diligence covering technical, commercial, financial, legal, social and environmental, procurement,
insurance aspects of the mini-grid projects, as well as appropriate regulatory Know Your Customer checks. The AfDB
will put in place an implementation team for the Program who will be in charge of due diligence and execution of
individual sub-projects.

* Please expand this sub-section when needed to address all potential material and relevant risks.
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H.1. Logic Framework.


Please specify the logic framework in accordance with the GCF’s Performance Measurement Framework under
the Results Management Framework.

H.1.1. Paradigm Shift Objectives and Impacts at the Fund level 51


Paradigm shift objectives

The AfDB-GCF Green Mini-Grid Program for the DRC aims to deliver each 5-10 MW solar
based mini-grid in three towns of the country, supplying electricity from a sustainable and
efficient energy source than micro-scale diesel generation currently used to bridge the gap.
The Program arranges a financing envelope for the DRC’s first round of green mini-grid
projects selected through the government’s tendering process. Use of locally available
renewable energy resources, rapid deployment, easy scalability from the modular design,
and possibility to locate the power plants near the demand areas make this technological
choice the best solution to achieve increased energy access with lowest emission.
Envisioned mini-grids will provide access to clean energy to approximately 150,000 people
Shift to low-emission who live off the grid, avoiding emission of 560,000 tCO2eq over 20 years.
sustainable development
pathways The Program aims to set a paradigm-shifting milestone as it pilots a new business model
providing sizeable supply of clean electricity with private sector investment. Deployment of
renewable energy mini-grid, coupled with technical assistance to strengthen regulatory
framework and capacity of key stakeholders, will enable the transformation of the DRC
energy sector by accelerating low emission energy access. In addition, energy access will
strongly reinforce economic and social resilience of low income population living in climate
vulnerable areas. In the DRC where the concept of solar powered mini-grid and the model
for private-led energy project financing is still new, this Program has an important role to play
by demonstrating a viable green mini-grid business model scalable across the country and
in the region.

Means of Target
Expected Result Indicator Verification Baseline Mid-term Assumptions
(MoV) (if Final
applicable) 52

Fund-level impacts
M1.0 Reduced emissions Tonnes of carbon Program report 0 - 560,0000 Financing of all
dioxide equivalent (t (mid-term and tCO2eq selected three sub-
through increased low-
CO2eq) reduced as a final) (20 years) projects by AfDB-
emission energy access result of Fund-funded GCF, provided that
and power generation projects/ programmes Regular selected bidders
reporting from choose to borrow
AfDB to GCF Total from AfDB-GCF 53
as agreed in funding
Financing leveraged 0 - USD 87m
the AMA Successful
through the facilities
completion of the

51 Information on the Fund’s expected results and indicators can be found in its Performance Measurement Frameworks

available at the following link (Please note that some indicators are under refinement):
http://www.gcfund.org/fileadmin/00_customer/documents/Operations/5.3_Initial_PMF.pdf
52 Mid-term target is not applicable.
53 AfDB-GCF financing envelop will be available for all successful bidders, however successful bidders have a liberty to

choose alternative financing options. In such case, not all three projects will be financed hence the impact achieved from
the Program will be reduced. If this situation arises, it will be reported at the mid-term evaluation and re-sizing of the
Program may be considered.
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mini-grid
Cost per tCo2eq construction
decreased for achieved 0 - USD 36
project tCO2eq Full disbursement of
the approved
financing

H.1.2. Outcomes, Outputs, Activities and Inputs at Project/Programme level

Means of Target
Expected Result Indicator Verification Baseline Mid-term Assumptions
(MoV) (if Final
applicable)

Project/programme
Outcomes that contribute to Fund-level impacts
outcomes
Reports from Non-hydro - 1+% non- All three mini-grid
6.1 Proportion of low- the project RE sources hydro RE projects are financed
emission power supply in sponsors; less than in the (see footnote 53.)
a jurisdiction or market regular 1% of the national
reporting from national energy Macro-economic and
AfDB to GCF energy mix mix political stability
as agreed in
the AMA Support from central
and provincial
governments

Increasing market
confidence for green
M6.0 Increased number of 6.2 Number of 0 23,300 mini-grid from the
-
small, medium and large households, and connectio GoDRC and private
individuals (males and ns / sector
low-emission power
females) with improved 150,000
suppliers people
access to low-emission
energy sources

0 18.5 MW
6.3 MWs of low emission -
energy capacity installed, solar PV
generated and/or with
rehabilitated as a result of battery
GCF support installed

Number of additional Reports from 0 5 10 Strong ownership


green mini-grid projects the TA from UCM and RE
developed and reached recipients stakeholders for the
M5.0 Strengthened financial close following (UCM); regular subsequent roll-out of
institutional and regulatory technical assistance reporting from green mini-grids 54
systems AfDB to GCF
as agreed in
the AMA

54 AfDB’s historical and current engagements with MERH/UCM and more broadly with the Congolese power sector will

ensure that the activities are designed and implemented closely with key sector stakeholders.
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Project/programme
Outputs that contribute to outcomes
outputs

Component 1. Three green mini-grid projects – generation and storage


Number of green mini- AfDB 0 - 3 projects: All three mini-grid
grid projects financed monitoring 1 Bumba projects are financed
and constructed (solar PV 1 Gemena (see footnote 53.)
plants and battery 1 Isiro
Mini-grid projects financed, storage) Successful tender,
installed and operational financial close and
construction

Component 2. Three green mini-grid projects – distribution, connections, backup and other costs 55
Number of green mini- AfDB 0 - 3 projects: All three mini-grid
grid projects financed and monitoring 1 Bumba projects are financed
constructed (distribution 1 Gemena (see footnote 53.)
networks and 1 Isiro
Mini-grid projects financed, Successful tender,
connections)
installed and operational financial close and
construction

Component 3. Technical Assistance grant

3.1) Green mini-grid Green mini-grid strategy Reports from 0 - 1 Strong ownership
enabling framework document and regulatory the TA from UCM and RE
improved and capacity frameworks developed recipients stakeholders for the
and validated (UCM) subsequent roll-out of
building
green mini-grids
0 - 1 Strong interests for
Green mini-grid standards green mini-grid
and guidelines developed training
and validated

A green mini-grid tariff


0 - 1
guideline developed and
validated

Number of key institutions 0 - 40


officials trained on green (of which
mini-grid development 30% are
and management women)

Number of private 50
developers trained on 0 - (of which
green mini-grid 30% are
development and women)
management

55 Not financed by AfDB and GCF


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Number of local 0 - 20
technicians and SME
staffs trained on
operations &maintenance
of green mini-grid

[Gender Action Plan]

Number of gender 0 - 2
mainstreaming policies
and action plans
developed in the energy
sector

Number of women and


youth trained on green
0 - 50
mini-grids in target areas

% of women and youth


employed by target green 0 - 40%
mini-grids

Number of market
scoping study developed 0 - 1

Site-specific gender 0 - 3
analyses for the Program

3.2) Green mini-grid project Number of technical 0 - 3 A concrete pipeline


development support feasibility studies exists for future green
(including ESIA) for target mini-grid projects
green mini-grid sites
completed

Number of feasibility 0 - 5
studies for other selected
potential green mini-grid
sites conducted

An investment and tender 0 - 1


plan for UCM’s green
mini-grid pipeline
developed

Activities Description Inputs Description


Component 1. Project Three green mini-grid projects financing AfDB and GCF – senior The activities and inputs will follow
(solar PV generation and battery storage) loans; the cases of other power projects
financing – generation and
Sponsors – equity financed by the AfDB.
storage
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• Procurement of mini-
grid projects
• Complete additional
project-specific
technical studies as
necessary
• AfDB due diligence
• Financial close

Component 2. Project Three green mini-grid projects financing Sponsors – equity; The activities and inputs will follow
(distribution networks, connections and Other financiers – quasi- the cases of other power projects.
financing – distribution,
emergency backup) equity and grant
connections and backup
• Procurement of mini-
grid projects
• Complete additional
project-specific
technical studies as
necessary
• Due diligence
• Financial close

Component 3. Technical 1. Green mini-grid enabling framework and Expert consultancy, other Consultants and other goods and
capacity building goods and services as services will be procured as per the
Assistance (TA) grant
(i) Develop green mini-grid strategy and required TA budget and procurement plan.
1) Green mini-grid regulations
enabling framework and (ii) Develop mini-grid standards and
capacity building guidelines
(iii) Establish green mini-grid tariff guideline
(iv) Train key institutions to be able to
2) Green mini-grid project manage and implement green mini-grid
development support projects development (UCM, MERH,
ANSER and benefiting provincial
governments)
(v) Train selected project developers on
green mini-grid projects development and
management
(vi) Train local technicians and SMEs for
operations and maintenance of green mini-
grid
(vii) Gender action plan implementation
(Gender Action Plan)

2. Green mini-grid project development


support
(i) Support three solar based mini-grids
under the Essor A2E (detailed technical
studies and legal cost)
(ii) Conduct feasibility studies for other
selected potential green mini-grid sites (up
to five)
(iii) Develop an investment and tender plan
for UCM’s green mini-grid pipeline
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H.2. Arrangements for Monitoring, Reporting and Evaluation


Besides the arrangements (e.g. semi-annual performance reports) laid out in AMA, please provide project/programme
specific institutional setting and implementation arrangements for monitoring and reporting and evaluation. Please
indicate how the interim/mid-term and final evaluations will be organized, including the timing.
Please provide methodologies for monitoring and reporting of the key outcomes of the project/programme.

Monitoring of the project


All projects financed under the proposed Program will be monitored by the AfDB’s Portfolio Management team as per the
relevant internal policies and procedures. The AfDB – as the accredited executing agency – will be responsible for direct
monitoring of implementation conditions and reporting periodically to the GCF under the terms to be agreed between the
AfDB and the GCF. All mini-grid projects financed under the proposed Program will comply with the AfDB appraisal,
approval, monitoring and supervision standards and procedures involving representatives or all relevant teams
(engineers, lawyers, project finance specialists, procurement experts, E&S specialists, climate finance officers, financial
management officers, supervision and monitoring specialists). The implementation and monitoring of each stage of the
project will be guided and managed by the AfDB project lifecycle management framework 56. The key task managers,
who will perform due diligence, implementation monitoring, risk monitoring and mitigation, will be located in the relevant
teams in the headquarters and the country office in Kinshasa.

Reporting
1) Reporting of project companies to the AfDB will be in line with the standard loan agreement, and the AfDB will
conduct a biannual supervision.
2) Reporting of the AfDB to the GCF: The AfDB will comply with the relevant GCF policies (as specified under the
AMA) in reporting and evaluation arrangements for this Program. The AfDB will provide the annual performance
report (APR) to the GCF during the five-year implementation period. In addition, during the sub-loan lifetime,
semi-annual performance information report on the status of the GCF-financed individual sub-projects will be
provided. For the TA component, reports from the beneficiary will be consolidated by the AfDB for reporting to
the GCF. In addition, following the arrangement under the AMA and the FAA, inception report, mid-term and final
evaluation reports, and financial information reports (semi-annually throughout the life of the loan) will be
submitted.

Evaluation
The evaluation arrangements for this framework will comply with the related AfDB and GCF policies. Both the independent
mid-term and final evaluation will be carried out by the AfDB‘s independent evaluation unit (IDEV). The work of the AfDB’s
independent evaluation work is guided by internationally accepted principles for the evaluation of development
assistance, in particular, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development’s Development Assistance
Committee (OECD DAC) evaluation guiding principles and the good-practice standards issued by the Multilateral
Development Banks’ Evaluation Cooperation Group (ECG).

56 https://www.afdb.org/en/projects-and-operations/project-cycle/
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I. Supporting Documents for Funding Proposal


☒ NDA No-objection Letter
☒ Feasibility Study (Market Study)
☒ Integrated Financial Model that provides sensitivity analysis of critical elements (xls format, if applicable)
☐ Confirmation letter or letter of commitment for co-financing commitment (If applicable)
☒ Project/Programme Confirmation/Term Sheet (including cost/budget breakdown, disbursement schedule,
etc.) – see the Accreditation Master Agreement, Annex I
☒ Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) or Environmental and Social Management Plan
(If applicable)
☐ Appraisal Report or Due Diligence Report with recommendations (If applicable)
☐ Evaluation Report of the baseline project (If applicable)
☒ Map indicating the location of the project/programme
☒ Timetable of project/programme implementation

* Please note that a funding proposal will be considered complete only upon receipt of all the applicable
supporting documents.

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