Roadmap For Eskom
Roadmap For Eskom
Roadmap For Eskom
ROADMAP FOR ESKOM
IN A REFORMED ELECTRICITY SUPPLY INDUSTRY
2019
ISBN: 978‐0‐621‐47981‐2
RP: 369/2019
The Roadmap for Eskom in a reformed Electricity Supply Industry is compiled with the latest available information
from departmental and other resources. Some of this information is unaudited or subject to revision.
To obtain copies of this document, please contact:
Public Enterprises
Private Bag X15
Hatfield
0028
Tel: +27 12 4311150
The document is also available on the internet at: www.dpe.gov.za
Printed by ABC Printers
ROADMAP FOR ESKOM
IN A REFORMED ELECTRICITY SUPPLY INDUSTRY
2019
Republic of South Africa
October 2019
CONTENTS
ACRONYMS ................................................................................................................................................................... i
Preface ........................................................................................................................................................................ ii
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................................................................. 4
INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................................................... 6
THE ELECTRICITY CONTEXT ...................................................................................................................................... 7
SOUTH AFRICA’S ELECTRICITY LANDSCAPE ......................................................................................................................... 7
LEGISLATIVE CONTEXT ................................................................................................................................................... 7
The National Development Plan (NDP) ................................................................................................................ 8
The Integrated Energy Plan and the Integrated Resource Plans .......................................................................... 8
ESKOM CHALLENGES ................................................................................................................................................. 11
FINANCIAL ................................................................................................................................................................ 11
GOVERNANCE AND LEADERSHIP ..................................................................................................................................... 12
OPERATIONAL ........................................................................................................................................................... 12
STRUCTURAL ............................................................................................................................................................. 14
CLIMATE CHANGE COMMITMENTS ................................................................................................................................. 15
MOVING ESKOM FROM CRISIS TO STABILITY ............................................................................................................. 16
A NEW BUSINESS MODEL ............................................................................................................................................ 16
TRANSMISSION .......................................................................................................................................................... 17
Overview ........................................................................................................................................................... 17
The Creation of a Transmission Entity (TE) ........................................................................................................ 17
Proposed Functions of the Transmission Entity ................................................................................................. 21
Procurement of New Energy ............................................................................................................................. 21
Risks and Dependencies .................................................................................................................................... 22
Finances ............................................................................................................................................................ 22
Overview ........................................................................................................................................................... 24
GENERATION OF ELECTRICITY ........................................................................................................................................ 24
New Business Model for the Generation Market .............................................................................................. 24
Future of Coal ................................................................................................................................................... 24
DISTRIBUTION ........................................................................................................................................................... 25
The Distribution Environment ........................................................................................................................... 25
New Business Model for the Distribution Market ............................................................................................. 25
ESKOM FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY ........................................................................................................................... 26
CURRENT STATUS ....................................................................................................................................................... 26
ADDRESSING ESKOM’S DEBT......................................................................................................................................... 26
Tariff Implications ............................................................................................................................................. 28
Wasteful and poorly managed expenditure ...................................................................................................... 28
Coal contracts ................................................................................................................................................... 28
IPP contracts ..................................................................................................................................................... 28
A new approach to procurement ...................................................................................................................... 29
Disposal and Partnerships of Certain Subsidiaries ............................................................................................. 29
Recovery of outstanding fees ............................................................................................................................ 29
Execution of employee related cost savings initiatives ...................................................................................... 29
Recovery of proceeds of corruption .................................................................................................................. 29
GOVERNANCE ............................................................................................................................................................ 31
IMPLEMENTING A “JUST TRANSITION” ...................................................................................................................... 32
Sustainability for Workers ................................................................................................................................. 32
South Africa’s Climate Change Position ............................................................................................................. 33
IRP Commitments .............................................................................................................................................. 33
Eskom’s Plan for Reducing Emissions ................................................................................................................. 34
Sustainability for communities .......................................................................................................................... 34
In the National Interest ..................................................................................................................................... 34
Smart Grid ......................................................................................................................................................... 34
IMPLEMENTATION OF ROADMAP .............................................................................................................................. 35
CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................................................................. 37
ANNEXURES ............................................................................................................................................................... 38
Distribution ................................................................................................................................................................ 38
The flow of electricity ........................................................................................................................................ 38
South African electricity distribution industry structure .................................................................................... 39
Municipalities .................................................................................................................................................... 41
Generation and the IRP .............................................................................................................................................. 42
CURRENT GENERATION ................................................................................................................................................ 42
Generation’s link to the IRP ............................................................................................................................... 44
Transmission .............................................................................................................................................................. 46
CURRENT TRANSMISSION BUSINESS ................................................................................................................................. 46
The transmission network performance ............................................................................................................ 47
Transmission Entity (TE) roadmap ..................................................................................................................... 48
Timelines for Creation of Transmission Entity 100% Owned by Eskom Holdings ............................................... 48
Eskom Tariffs .............................................................................................................................................................. 50
ECONOMIC REGULATION OF ESKOM’S TARIFF .................................................................................................................... 50
Implementation of MYPD methodology ............................................................................................................ 50
Challenges on implementation of MYPD methodology...................................................................................... 51
Solution to implementation of MYPD methodology .......................................................................................... 51
Municipal Debt........................................................................................................................................................... 52
Financial sustainability and non‐payment .......................................................................................................... 52
Power Sector Reform Experience: The Case of Vietnam ............................................................................................. 53
RATIONALE FOR ELECTRICITY INDUSTRY REFORM ............................................................................................................... 53
TIMELINE OF KEY POWER SECTOR REFORMS IN VIETNAM, 1970‐2018 (REFER TO FIGURE 1) ...................................................... 53
VIETNAM’S POWER SECTOR PERFORMANCE ..................................................................................................................... 53
LESSONS FROM VIETNAMESE ELECTRICITY REFORM ............................................................................................................ 53
PARTNERS .................................................................................................................................................................. 56
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
ACRONYMS
DMRE Department of Mineral Resource and Energy
Dx Distribution
EAF Energy Availability Factor
EFC Eskom Finance Company
ESAs Electricity Supply Agreements
ESI Electricity Supply Industry
FGD Flue Gas Desulphurisation
Gx Generation
IEP Integrated Energy Plan
IPP Independent Power Producer
IRP Integrated Resource Plan
LPU Large Power Users
LTSO Legally Separated Transmission System Operator
MES Minimum Emission Standards
MYPD Multi‐Year Price Determination
MVA Megavolt Amperes
NDP National Development Plan
NEDLAC National Economic Development and Labour Council
NERSA National Energy Regulator of South Africa
PV Photovoltaic
PPA Power Purchase Agreement
RCA Regulatory Clearing Account
REIPPP Renewable Energy Independent Power Producers Programme
SAPP Southern African Power Pool
SOC State Owned Company
SOE State Owned Enterprise
TSMO Transmission System Market Operator
TDP Technical Development Plan Planning Office
TE Transmission Entity
Tx Transmission
i
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
PREFACE
Energy is changing. Across the globe, emerging technologies, changing customer sensibilities and the
effects of climate change are reshaping how electricity is generated, supplied and consumed. As South
Africa responds to these changes, it must also confront the specific challenges that threaten its electricity
supply and constrain its economy.
The need to reform the energy sector has been proposed in the past. In the 1998 White Paper on Energy
Policy, Government had identified some of the reforms required to the electricity supply system,
including the restructuring of Eskom, to ensure a reliable, competitive and transparent system.
Eskom was created in the 1920s to develop the mineral industrial complex that was taking shape
following the discovery of abundant minerals in the late 19th century.
Eskom’s vertically integrated structure was appropriate at its inception and served the country well for
over 90 years. This configuration is no longer suitable to meet the country’s energy needs and has made
the business susceptible to the kind of problems it has recently experienced, including state capture. The
restructuring of Eskom into three subsidiary businesses – generation, transmission and distribution – is
necessary to reduce the risk that Eskom poses to the country through its dependence on fiscal allocations
and inability to supply the economy with adequate power.
The Eskom that must emerge from these reforms must be capable, transparent, accountable, competitive
and world class. Government has a responsibility to mitigate the systemic risk that Eskom has become to
the country. This will start by making the organisation responsible in how it allocates resources to its
operational activities, and that it is answerable for its performance at all levels.
The special paper therefore:
1. Outlines actions to overcome the current crisis at Eskom and set it onto a new path of sustainability
that will benefit all South Africans for generations to come;
2. Defines the key steps in transforming the electricity supply system that are required, including the
energy sources proposed by the 2019 Integrated Resource Plan (IRP);
3. Addresses steps to restore Eskom’s finances, including government support;
4. Identifies measures to reduce the cost structure of Eskom to enable provision of affordable
electricity; and
5. Details the process through which the restructuring of Eskom will take place, including the process
through which a new transmission entity will be established.
The electricity reform process will take place over several years, and will ensure that South Africa has an
appropriate electricity supply system capable of responding to the demands of a rapidly evolving world,
to which South Africa, if it is to compete, needs to be responsive.
The Eskom that shall emerge will be characterised by optimised operations, restructured finances, a
sustainable business model, and an environmentally responsive electricity system. The business shall
implement appropriate controls to ensure that the recent incidences of irregular, fruitless and wasteful
expenditure are a thing of the past.
Importantly the reform of Eskom, through the retiring of end of life power stations and diversification of
primary energy sources, will minimise the impact on Eskom’s and related industries’ workers and
communities. In managing the transition, alternative economic activities shall be developed and
implemented to economically sustain communities dependent on the power stations and associated coal
mines.
The success of the reforms will depend on South Africans fulfilling their civic responsibility to pay for
services consumed. The State, through the executive and elected representatives in all three spheres, and
ii
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
in collaboration with other social partners such as labour, religious organisations, organised business and
civil society, will address issues of non‐payment of services. The Free Basic Electricity system shall be
resourced to adequately cater for indigent families unable to pay.
The product of the reform process that is being initiated by the special paper should be an agile Eskom
capable of integrating emerging technologies and inevitable regulatory reforms. It will be an Eskom that is
responsive to market demands through an optimised tariff structure that will provide South Africa with
affordable and reliable electricity. Further, the business will generate from its operations adequate cash
to fund its operational and capital programmes.
Importantly, the above reforms require leadership and personnel at Eskom that have the technical
capability and capacity to manage a sophisticated and world class organisation that the aspirations of the
country and its people demand.
To realise these reforms, tough decisions will have to be made and implemented. Government on its own
cannot effect the changes required to realise the vision of a sustainable electricity supply system. This is a
national effort that will require all institutions, organisations and citizens to play their part.
iii
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
In February 2019, I said that we will make big decisions and take bold steps to embark on a process to
fundamentally restructure Eskom and the Electricity Supply Industry. South Africa needs reliable and
affordable electricity.
South Africa is blessed with an abundance of energy sources with which to drive economic growth, social
development and benefit all of its people. Energy security is critical for inclusive economic growth.
Government recently announced the Integrated Resource Plan 2019, which sets out the energy mix and
the quantities required to ensure energy security for all South Africans. This Plan provides certainty on
the energy path for the next 10 years. There is a profound commitment to systematically reduce carbon
emissions.
Equally important is the role of electricity supply security and pricing to promote the competitiveness of
the South African economy and to bolster industrialisation. Electricity supply at the lowest possible cost is
key to our industrialisation and job creation efforts, as it will enable us to compete better in the global
economy. Lowering the cost of electricity is also important for decreasing the cost of living.
The current domestic and global conjunctures are the drivers for change in the energy sector and will
shape the future of electricity delivery in South Africa, these drivers for change include:
Transition from the existing dependence on fossil fuels to the mix of electricity energy sources
reflected in the IRP 2019;
The restructuring of Eskom into Eskom Holdings with three new subsidiaries: Generation,
Transmission and Distribution;
An intensive focus on radically improving the current operations and eliminating inefficiencies in
generation;
A greater requirement for transparency in the governance of both Eskom Holdings and the
subsidiaries;
A rigorous approach to cutting wasteful costs, optimising revenue and resolving the debt burden;
and
A Just Transition involving all stakeholders to ensure sustainable livelihoods for workers and
communities.
The formation of a Transmission Entity (TE) under Eskom Holdings will foster a competitive market and
will encourage the use of diverse sources of energy.
Consideration is being given to create two or more generation subsidiaries to introduce intra‐company
competition among the generation subsidiaries and drive efficiencies in generation. This will include
Eskom’s participation in renewables.
The Distribution model of the future will take into account the reliance of municipalities on electricity as a
significant source of revenue. However, many municipalities do not have the technical capacity to
effectively reticulate electricity function, which is a constitutional mandate.
There are four key elements in the resolution of Eskom’s financial challenges: significantly improving
operations, cutting of costs; increasing revenue including collections; and debt management. Discussions
have already commenced with coal producers and participants in the renewables programme to reduce
the burden on Eskom. This is the time for all parties to make sacrifices as a contribution to a sustainable
energy future. Greater efficiencies must be obtained from the operations of Eskom as a contribution to
bolstering Eskom’s financial position.
There is ongoing dialogue with labour and business to implement a Just Transition that can ensure
minimal impact on communities and workers. There will be partnerships between Government, labour,
4
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
civil society and business, as agreed to at NEDLAC through the Presidential Working Group on Jobs.
Government and Eskom will mobilise the resources needed for the Just Transition.
This Paper sets out the bold, actionable steps to mitigate the electricity supply risks, and to put Eskom
and the industry on a new path.
Among the actions to effectively implement the above vision and transformation include the following:
To immediately establish a subsidiary for Transmission within Eskom Holdings and to complete the
current planning for the establishment of the generation subsidiaries;
Eskom to appoint an executive to drive the implementation of the above plans;
Reinforce the existing Eskom transformation team with the necessary skills;
Establish a separate Eskom transformation unit reporting directly to the Board;
Strengthen the Board and appoint a new CEO in the coming weeks;
Radically improve operations, including maintenance of generation plant through strict oversight
and consequence management; and
Introduce radical cost saving initiatives including renegotiation of coal and IPP contracts.
Government and Eskom will ensure that there is sufficient capacity and expertise to oversee the
execution of this Plan. Appropriate structures and processes are being put in place to ensure the effective
implementation of this Plan. This will demand higher levels of accountability and transparency from
Eskom.
This is the largest institutional transformation that South Africa has undertaken in a strategically
important area in recent history.
DPE
Vertically Currently in
integrated Eskom
place
Utility
GX TX DX
DPE
DPE
Phase 3 Legal
Eskom
subsidiary 2021
Legal separation
(LTSO) GX DX
TX
5
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
INTRODUCTION
This Paper outlines bold actions to transform Eskom and sets it on a path to sustainable electricity supply
to benefit all South Africans for generations to come. We define the key steps in this transformation;
a) Integrated Resource Plan 2019 is our point of departure to embrace the emergence of renewables,
gas, nuclear and hydro as set out in the IRP and the adaptation of clean coal practices.
b) Eskom’s finances as they relate to the resolution of the debt, the reduction of costs and the cost
structure of Eskom itself.
c) Importantly, we set out both the rationale and the process through which the restructuring of Eskom
will take place and the manner in which a new Transmission Entity will be established.
d) The Paper emphasises South Africa’s climate change commitments to lower our carbon footprint and
other emissions.
e) The Paper also focuses on the wellbeing of workers and communities, and it provides Eskom
employees with the assurance that Government will support them and the mining communities to
reskill and adapt to the requirements of the new electricity sector as it transforms over the next few
decades
f) The vital role of business – big and small ‐ in the energy transition and its impact on the economy.
g) It advocates the need of a long‐term partnership among all stakeholders to successfully undertake
this transformation.
These are significant proposals which will change the character of Eskom and the Electricity Supply
Industry. We shall strive to involve all stakeholders in this process so that the infrastructure and policy
direction put in place over the next few years will have a long‐lasting, positive impact for future
generations.
Key steps and governance structures that are required to ensure the successful implementation of
Eskom’s reforms are defined.
6
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
THE ELECTRICITY CONTEXT
The global electricity market has shifted from the traditional business model of centrally producing,
transmitting and selling to a captive market. Instead, rapidly changing technologies, modern
infrastructure and declining production costs have increased the complexity of managing the supply side.
This includes managing a blend of diverse energy sources of traditional and renewable generation,
distributed generation including those produced by small and household generators, multiple contracting
arrangements and performance monitoring. Demand patterns are also changing with the availability of
more affordable self‐generation, energy efficiency and storage technologies. Large, unwieldy and
vertically integrated institutions such as Eskom struggle to adapt to conditions in a dynamically changing
market. De‐carbonisation commitments to address climate change are accelerating investment in
renewable infrastructure including new technology such as smart‐grids and digitisation that improves
both supply and demand management. Large, unwieldy and rigid institutions such as Eskom struggle to
adapt to conditions in a dynamically changing market
South Africa is blessed with an abundance of energy sources with which to drive economic growth, social
development and benefit its people from all walks of life.
South Africa’s Electricity Landscape
Figure 1: Legislative landscape of the South African Electricity Supply Industry
Shareholding
Compliance with legislation and policies
Policy
Tariffs
Legislative Context
South Africa’s energy landscape is regulated through an inter‐linked series of laws, policy documents and
position papers.
The White Paper on Energy Policy (1998), supplemented with the White Paper on Renewable Energy in
2003, sets out Government’s overarching position on the supply and consumption of energy.
Applicable policies include:
The National Development Plan;
The Integrated Energy Plan (IEP);
The Integrated Resource Plans (IRP);
The Electricity Pricing Policy (EPP);
The Paris Agreement (2016) on Climate Change;
The National Energy Act, 2008 (Act No. 34 of 2008);
7
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
A range of legislation regulating Nuclear Energy1; and
National Environmental Management Air Quality Act (Act.39 of 2004.
The National Development Plan (NDP)
The National Development Plan (NDP) sets out South Africa’s need to invest in a strong network of
economic infrastructure to support the country’s medium and long‐term economic and social objectives.
Stable energy infrastructure underpins economic growth and should therefore be robust and extensive
enough to meet the current industrial, commercial and household needs and those of the future.
The National Development Plan envisages that by 2030, South Africa’s energy sector will be reliable,
efficient and competitive, will be socially equitable through expanded access at affordable tariffs, and will
be environmentally sustainable.
To achieve this, the NDP provides a 20‐year planning horizon to roll out electricity infrastructure in line
with Ministerial Determinations issued in terms of Section 34 of the Electricity Regulation Act of 2006.
The NDP, together with the Ministerial Determinations, are policy signals investors use to plan their
investments in the country’s energy sector.
The Integrated Energy Plan and the Integrated Resource Plans
The Integrated Energy Plan (IEP) is South Africa’s master energy plan. The Integrated Resource Plans lay
out the details required to implement this.
The objectives of the Integrated Energy Plan (IEP) and the Integrated Resource Plan 2019 planning
instruments are to:
Guide the development of energy policy and set regulation for the sector;
Guide the selection of appropriate technologies to meet demand;
Guide investment in the development of energy infrastructure;
Promote universal access, affordability and environmental sustainability;
Ensure electricity security by closing the supply gap in the short‐term; and
Introducing energy mix and diversification in the medium to long term.
Both of these plans function within a framework which makes energy and electricity demand projections
until 2050.
Government has developed various iterations of the IRP, in response to the changing energy landscape.
The plans for 2010 and 2019 are relevant to this paper:
i) The IRP 2010–2030 was promulgated in March 2011 and was envisaged as a “living plan”, to be
revised by the Department of Energy as required.
ii) IRP 2019 incorporates a number of changes to assumptions made in the IRP 2010. These changes
include economic growth and electricity demand projections, which have not increased as
envisaged; existing Eskom plant performance, which is well below the 80% availability factor
assumed in 2010; additional capacity committed to and commissioned; and technology costs, which
have significantly declined. IRP 2019 also extends the study period from 2030 to 2050.
IRP 2019 sets out various scenarios using the PLEXOS Integrated Energy Model, a commercial power
system simulation software tool which is used to project electricity supply demand based on a least‐cost
1
Nuclear Energy Act 1999, Act 46 of 1999 and National Radioactive Waste Disposal Institute Act, Act 53 of 2008. National Nuclear Regulator
(NNR) Act 1999, Act 47 of 1999. The Cabinet approved the Nuclear Energy Policy for South Africa in October 2008.
8
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
path. This includes the use of demand‐growth scenarios where the impact of projected load demand on
the energy mix is tested. Other future‐focused scenarios are also tested, including using carbon budget
instead of peak‐plateau‐decline as a strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in electricity, the
removal of annual build limits on renewable energy (unconstrained renewables), and varying the price of
gas for power.
The scenario planning yielded the following results for the period ending 2030:
The committed Renewable Energy Independent Power Producers Programme, including the 27
signed projects and Eskom’s capacity rollout due to end with the last unit of Kusile in 2022, will
provide sufficient capacity to cover the projected demand and decommissioning of plants up to
about 2025.
The installed capacity and energy mix for the various scenarios do not differ materially. This will be
driven mainly by the decommissioning of about 12GW of Eskom coal plants over the next 15 years.
Imposing annual build limits on renewable energy will not affect the total cumulative installed
capacity and the energy mix for the period up to 2030.
Applying carbon budget as a constraint to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, or maintaining the
peak‐plateau‐decline constraint as in IRP 2010, will not alter the energy mix by 2030.
The projected unit cost of electricity by 2030 is similar for all scenarios except for market‐linked (as
opposed to inflation‐based) increase in gas prices.
The scenario without renewable energy annual build limits provides the least‐cost option by 2030.
For the period post 2030, the following results were observed:
Decommissioning coal plants (total 28GW by 2040 and 35GW by 2050), together with emission
constraints, show that coal will contribute less than 30% of the energy by 2040 and less than 20% by
2050.
Imposing annual build limits on renewable energy will restrict the cumulative renewable installed
capacity for this period.
Adopting no annual build limits on renewables, or imposing a more stringent strategy to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions, implies that no new coal power plants will be required, unless affordable
cleaner forms of coal‐to‐power are available.
The projected unit cost of electricity differs significantly between the scenarios tested. It is noted
that a change in fuel cost (gas, for example) can significantly affect the projected cost.
The scenario without renewable energy annual build limits provides the least‐cost option by 2050.
Overall, the installed capacity and energy mix for the various scenarios differ significantly and are
highly influenced by the input assumptions.
In summary, the review and outcome of IRP 2019 implies the following:
The pace and scale of new capacity developments required up to 2030 must be curtailed, compared
to what was proposed in the IRP (2010).
Ministerial Determinations for capacity beyond Bid Window 4 (27 signed projects) issued under IRP
2010 must be reviewed and revised in line with the new projected system requirements for the
period ending 2030.
The significant change in energy mix post‐2030 indicates the sensitivity of the results to the input
assumptions. In‐depth analysis of the assumptions and the economic implications of the electricity
infrastructure development path chosen post 2030 is needed to mitigate the potential risks.
9
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Table 1: IRP 2019
Gas &
Recommended Plan IRP 2019 Coal Nuclear Hydro Storage PV Wind CSP Diesel Other*
Current Base 37149 1860 2100 2912 1474 1980 300 3830 499
2019 2155 ‐2373 244 300
2020 1433 ‐557 114 300
***
2021 1433 ‐1403 300 818
2022 711 ‐844 513 400 1000 1600
2023 750 ‐555 1000 1600 500
2024 1860 1600 1000 500
2025 1000 1600 500
2026 ‐1219 1600 500
2027 750 ‐847 1600 2000 500
2028 ‐475 1000 1600 500
2029 ‐1694 1575 1000 1600 500
2030 ‐1050 2500 1000 1600 500
TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY
33364 1860 4600 5000 8288 17742 600 6380
by 2030 (MW)
% Total Installed Capacity (%
43 2.36 5.84 6.35 10.52 22.53 0.76 8.1
of MW)
% Annual Energy
58.8 4.5 8.4 1.2 6.3 17.8 0.6 1.3
Contribution (% of MWh)
Installed Capacity
Committed/ Already Contracted Capacity
Capacity Decommissioned
New Additional Capacity
Extension of Koeberg Plant life
Distributed Generation Capacity for own use
* Distributed Generation, CoGen, Biomass, Landfill Source: DMRE
** Allocation to the extent of the short term capacity and energy gap
10
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
ESKOM CHALLENGES
Eskom has suffered severe damage as a result of governance and operational misdemeanours over the
past decade, mainly as a result of state capture. This has had serious developmental and transformation
consequences for governance and leadership within the entity, its constrained operations, its finances
and its structure.
Financial
Eskom’s long‐term debt is currently at R441 billion (as at March 2019), up from R255 billion in 2014. Over
the next five years, interest payments of approximately R148 billion and debt repayments of R180 billion
are anticipated. The financial ratios illustrate the gravity of Eskom’s financial challenge: in 2019, the debt
service cover ratio was at an unsustainably low 0, 5 and interest coverage ratio at 0, 9. Furthermore,
Eskom’s increasing borrowing costs will increase its debt servicing obligations, placing it in an
unsustainable position
For the 2019 financial year, Eskom reported a net loss after tax of R20.7 billion2, with municipal debt
rising to about R17.6 billion. A lower‐than‐expected 5.23% tariff increase, a 1.82% decline in sales
volumes and cost pressures contributed to these losses.
A culture of non‐payment, particularly among municipalities, has become a systemic problem. Currently
municipalities and individual users owe Eskom over R36.5 billion (as at 30 June 2019).
Table 2: Break down of top 10 municipal and Soweto debt (R millions)
Municipalities Total* Interest
Maluti‐A‐Phofung , Free State R 4 016 R 1 016
Emalahleni, Mpumalanga R 2 761 R 504.9
Matjhabeng, Free State R 2 361 R 511.5
Emfuleni, Gauteng R 1 445 R 373.3
Govan Mbeki, Mpumalanga R 1 236 R 209.6
Ngwathe, Free State R 1 117 R 150.8
Lekwa, Mpumalanga R 797 R 182.3
Thaba Chweu, Mpumalanga R 591 R 63.3
Ditsobotla, North West R 438 R 110.5
Modimolle‐ Mookgophong, Limpopo R 418 R 53.9
Remaining municipalities R 2 441 R 403.9
Total Municipal R 17 621 R 3 580
Soweto R 18 909
Total arear Debt* R 36 530
*As at 30 June 2019 (excludes current debt <30 days)
2
The net loss after tax for the group was R20.7 billion (2018: R2.3 billion), reflecting a decline of R18.4 billion, mainly because of a decrease in
earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) as well as increased depreciation and net finance cost. The EBITDA of
R31.5 billion in 2019 compared to R45.4 in 2018 decreased by R13.9 billion mainly as a result of increased primary energy expenditure. (Source –
Eskom FY 2019 Annual Report)
11
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Cost containment is a critical part of Eskom’s stabilisation plan (resulting in a R9.9‐billion saving over the
past year), but this has been eroded by several countervailing factors. These include expenditure
increases as result of higher coal costs, maintenance costs (over the past financial year, the focus has
been on priority maintenance, however in the medium term, routine maintenance will increase by
around 4% Compound Annual Growth Rate), use of expensive diesel to avoid load shedding, wage
settlements3, and an increase in municipal debt.
Eskom has a target to reduce the overall annual cost base and to generate cumulative cash savings of
approximately R77 billion over the next four years.
Initiatives to achieve these targets include:
Reducing primary energy costs;
Minimising coal costs through investments in cost‐plus mines. Currently coal procurement lacks
transparency because this has been conducted through individual agreements. To reduce and
stabilise price volatility, Government is engaging with coal producers to consider indexing the price
of coal supplied to Eskom in an attempt to contain price inflation; and
Improving efficiency in generation and network excellence, minimising procurement costs and
human resources initiatives.
In addition to this Eskom has been directed to implement further radical cost saving initiatives.
Governance and Leadership
The deterioration of Eskom over the past 10 years has resulted in acute skills and capacity erosion, both
at the governance and technical levels.
Progress has been made to restore governance and to strengthen the Board and senior management.
Despite this, it will take many years of substantial effort to rebuild and strengthen the skills and
capabilities lost to Eskom.
In the short to medium term, the Board and management will be further strengthened with people who
have global experience of large business turnarounds; market behaviour and key industrial consumers;
engineering and project management; and of robust financial and management reporting and complex
treasury/ financing activities. Vacant executive positions, including the position of CEO, will be filled by
managers with appropriate experience.
Operational
Eskom’s operational performance has seriously deteriorated, resulting in:
Costly periods of load‐shedding with severe consequences for the economy;
Significant deterioration of plant availability, and record levels of unplanned outages, leading to the
cumulative capacity of power stations (excluding the new build stations) declining to the lowest
levels yet;
The new mega‐coal power stations – Medupi and Kusile– are not functioning reliably; nor optimally;
and
Since 2007 Eskom has stopped investing in cost plus mines and procured coal on expensive short
term contracts which also attracted huge transportation costs. In addition, Eskom has not always
procured this coal on time leading to major coal shortages that contributed to load shedding in
some cases.
3
While the total number of employees in the group decreased from 48 628 (FY 2018) to 46 665 (FY 2019) as a result of natural attrition and a
moratorium on new hires, net employee benefit costs increased from to R29.5 billion in FY 2018 to R33.3 billion in FY 2019 (after capitalisation of
costs to qualifying assets). The settlement also included above‐inflation wage increases and once‐off payment to bargaining unit employees.
(Source – Eskom FY 2019 Annual Report)
12
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Eskom have implemented numerous initiatives and programmes to stabilise power supply. These include
implementation of Eskom’s 9‐Point Plan4, as well as recommendations from the Ministerial Technical
Task Team.
Operational performance however remains far from adequate and a sustained effort is required to
restore power station performance to acceptable levels and to clear the massive backlogs in
maintenance.
Inefficient operations, lack of maintenance, and sub‐optimal plant performance particularly at Medupi
and Kusile when combined with corrupt and inadequate procurement practices impose a massive strain
on the financial sustainability of Eskom.
The Ministerial Technical Task Team made recommendations to improve operational performance as
summarised in Table 3. These recommendations are currently being implemented by Eskom as part of
the “9‐Point Plan”.
4
The nine‐point generation recovery plan was designed to deal with unplanned breakdowns and coal shortages. The plan involves resolving
maintenance and unplanned breakdowns, addressing the challenges affecting the newly built units at Medupi and Kusile, improving the coal
stock days and strengthening management oversight capacity.
13
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Table 3: Ministerial Technical Review team recommendations:
Appoint permanent key staff – lift embargo in Gx for critical positions and
unlock operator pipeline.
Disciplined accountable leadership (shop floor to executive)
Revive rewards and recognition programmes
People: Leadership and Performance Performance through motivational leadership, mentoring and coaching
Relink staff and lift interstation embargo to encourage peer interactions and
sharing of lesson learnt.
Launch a campaign to improve the Eskom brand and enhance internal Eskom
communication
Implement the 9‐point Plan and track progress at governance levels (Station,
GEXCO and EXCO)
Update or reassign the right delegation of authority
Resolve the capital investment in cost plus mines to improve coal qualities
Ramp up EAF to 77% in 18months and 80% in 4 years
Manage and roll out technical action plans and oversight committees
Unlock budget and adhere to outage planning guidelines
Process: Governance and Systems Define Rotek’s position
Ensure contracts enable protection of Eskom of intellectual property
Implement a supplier management system by setting appropriate KPIs
Strictly manage internal procurement process with SLAs and track progress
Strictly manage internal procurement process with SLAs and track progress
Review and refine procurement strategies for various plant levels i.e. sole
source vs open market vs closed market
Expedite the road to rail coal transportation
Each Power Station to identify top 5 contributors to partial load losses – create
action plans with leading KPIs and track daily
Capacitate Engineering to quickly provide all necessary modifications
Prioritise the draught group plant
Plant: Reliability and Performance
A clear plan for older plants and implement mid‐life refurbishment for overdue
stations
Resource the new build with teams across the value chain (recruitment,
procurement, stores management etc.)
Structural
Eskom is a vertically integrated monopoly which is outdated and unsustainable. It belongs to an era when
a large institutional structure with a diversified revenue base was required to finance large projects. With
the fundamental technological and “eco‐disruption” unfolding in the sector, this structure must change. If
Eskom is to remain relevant, a new institutional framework is needed to exploit the emerging
opportunities in the sector.
Eskom’s business model is that of a vertically integrated monopoly characterised by lack of transparency,
lack of agility, lack of operational excellence, and wide spread inefficiencies due to lack of accountability
and consequence management.
The lack of transparency on cost and allocation of resources makes it difficult for Eskom to understand its
own competitive advantages. It has become very difficult to steer the organisation into a long‐term
healthy path. As highlighted in the Presidential Eskom Sustainability Task Team report, the lack of
transparency and accountability present a fertile ground for corruption, rent seeking and fraud. This has
been exacerbated in recent years by state capture and the consequent and deliberate lapses in oversight
Eskom’s operating business model is outdated and based on the era of excess electricity supply and
captive customers. As the “sole” provider of electricity in South Africa and with the size of its Eskom
balance sheet, Eskom is too systemic and critical important to the South African economy to be allowed
to fail. This puts government in a perpetual cycle of granting bailout in order to avoid a collapse of the
14
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
entity and therefore the economy without benefiting from any internal reforms in the company. The
2007, 2015 and 2019 bailouts are evidence of this moral hazard.
With declining demand, Eskom is facing a utility death spiral. Modern systems have become increasingly
decentralised, enabling the participation of multiple suppliers, including generation from renewables.
The separation of the utility into three companies will allow government to more effectively address
generation, transmission and distribution challenges separately.
Splitting Eskom into separate companies responsible for the different functions – starting with the
creation of a transmission entity, combined with the system operator – will set the electricity sector on a
new path. This proposed restructuring is in line with the 1998 Energy Policy White Paper, which intended
that Eskom be restructured into separate generation and transmission companies and that independent
distributors would be established.
Eskom’s complex operating and financial situation is further complicated by its requirement to reduce its
environmental footprint and its carbon emissions, in keeping with the Minimum Emission Standards
(MES) that were published in 2010.
Eskom also has a number of subsidiaries such as Eskom Finance Company which must be reviewed and if
need be, disposed of. The precise cost and “profit” of each power station, as an indicator of good
management, efficiency, and cost control is not available. Compensation among state owned generators
is not possible without the necessary transparency on finances.
Given these challenges, government intervention and support is required to implement a new business
model and power sector reform. This includes support for financial and institutional restructuring for
Eskom; otherwise it will be forced to plead for repeated bailouts. It also requires that investment in new
electricity generation capacity be accelerated, at national and distributed levels, while reversing the
backlog in network investments so that
Eskom’s challenges are also structural in nature and therefore restructuring Eskom is necessary to set the
sector on a more sustainable path.
Climate Change Commitments
South Africa acknowledges the global climate crisis and the pressing challenge this poses to humankind
and the planet. The science shows that climate change will impact the poor most, and the African
continent is especially vulnerable. This requires urgent and ambitious action to meet the objective of
limiting global average temperatures to 1.5 degrees.
South Africa is committed to meeting its nationally determined contribution to achieving emissions
targets as set out in the United Nations Convention to Combat Climate Change, its Kyoto Protocol and the
Paris Agreement.
The Just Transition permits a systematic shift from coal and other fossil fuels over a few decades, whilst at
the same time ensuring an increased reliance on renewables and other energy sources as in the 2019 IRP.
Given the current energy mix, the mitigation challenge posed to South Africa is considerable. Over 80% of
emissions5 are from the energy sector.
Aside from the commitments to reduce greenhouse gases, the 2010 Minimum Emission Standards
require Eskom to take steps to reduce emissions of sulphates, nitrates and particulate matter.
Progress in this regard is dependent on implementing abatement technologies.
5 83.9% of net GHG emissions in 2015
15
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
MOVING ESKOM FROM CRISIS TO STABILITY
A New Business Model
President Cyril Ramaphosa has announced that Eskom will be unbundled into three entities – Generation,
Transmission and Distribution. The immediate priority is the establishment of a subsidiary to manage the
transmission grid as recommended by the Presidential Eskom Sustainability Task Team.
Creating separate entities under Eskom Holdings responsible for the different functions – starting with
the creation of a Transmission entity – will set the electricity sector on a new path. This proposed
restructuring is in line with the 1998 Energy Policy White Paper, which intended that Eskom be
restructured into separate generation and transmission entities and that independent distributors would
be established. However, distribution requires further deliberation which takes account of municipal
finances and revenue from electricity sales.
Restructuring or “unbundling” into separate subsidiaries under Eskom Holdings will allow management
focus, improve efficiency, create greater transparency around performance, provide greater protection
against corruption and rent‐seeking, and will give capital providers more visibility of the component parts
of the sector, resulting in more investment comfort.
This new business model for Eskom must provide reliable, affordable, economically competitive and
environmentally sustainable electricity that will drive inclusive economic growth in the context of the
Fourth Industrial and Green Revolutions.
Eskom’s new business model will be informed by:
Adopting appropriate best practices to provide energy security and universal access;
Improving the utility’s financial position and minimising dependence on the state’s fiscus;
Meeting the legislative requirements of a lower carbon trajectory;
Implementing a Just Transition;
Developing a pipeline of new products, based on research and development;
In addition, develop and execute “no regret” products that can immediately increase revenue and
position the business for longer term growth.
Figure 2: Value Chain for the reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Flow of Electricity
Flow of Money
16
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Figure 3: Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Generation Transmission System Market Operator (TSMO) Distribution
Eskom Gx Eskom Dx
Customers
Local level
System Operator Generation
IPPs
Municipal
Connection and Connection and
SAPP Dispatch Supply
Agreements Agreements
SAPP
Peaking Transmission Grid
Management
Other LPUs
Transmission
Overview
Establishment of a Transmission Entity (TE) that is 100% Eskom owned and fully regulated.
The TE will balance electricity supply and demand in real time.
The TE will dispatch the generators according to least‐cost merit order principles.
The TE will be empowered to introduce additional markets and products if necessary, such as, a reserves
market.
In order to fast track the establishment of the TE, several processes will be undertaken in parallel as the
separation and creation of the TE is dependent on the entire legal process being completed.
The first step is to functionally unbundle Transmission and the formation of the new legal entity.
The second step will be to corporatise the TE as a subsidiary of Eskom Holdings with its own independent
Board of Directors.
An organisational design based on the new mandate will be defined. This process will provide clarity on the
assignment of human resource, finance, procurement, and IT systems.
The accounting treatment of how debt will be allocated (if required) will be defined and lenders engaged
accordingly.
A trading system starting internally will be implemented, followed by legal contracting when required. As
market rules and structure becomes clearer it will be rolled out to other providers.
These processes are very complex and will need careful management to ensure that operations are not
disrupted.
Much effort will be invested in transparent communication with all relevant stakeholders and the required
levels of consultation.
The Creation of a Transmission Entity (TE)
The establishment of a new Transmission Entity (TE) is the keystone in Eskom’s reform. The new TE will
be wholly‐owned by Eskom Holdings. Its core functions will be to act as an unbiased electricity market
broker, to promote capital investment within the industry and to catalyse energy efficiency and cost
sustainability.
Over the past five years, the performance of the transmission network has deteriorated and requires
capital for replacement. The system minutes lost due to interruptions on the transmission network has
increased from 2.85 minutes to 3.16 minutes. This is primarily due to aging transmission lines, ranging
between 30‐40 years.
17
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
The Southern African Power Pool (SAPP) was created in August 1995, when member governments of the Southern African Development
Community (SADC) (excluding Mauritius) signed an Inter‐Governmental Memorandum of Understanding for the formation of an electricity power
pool in the region under the name of the Southern African Power Pool. The MOU was revised and signed by SADC Ministers on 23 February 2006.
18
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Figure 4: Phased restructuring approach
Step Structure Status
DPE
Vertically
Currently in
integrated Utility Eskom
place
GX TX DX
DPE
In progress
Phase 1 Dec 2019
Functional
Eskom Phase 2 Mar 2020
Separation
GX DX
TX
DPE
Eskom Holdings Phase 3 Legal subsidiary
2021
Legal separation
(LTSO)
GX DX
TX
The following Figure 5 shows the process to be followed to separate out the Transmission Entity from
within the current Eskom organisational structure. It highlights three processes that will run in parallel,
including their dependencies.
19
Final
Operating
Internal Model
policy and
trading
SLA’s
Functionally
unbundled end
Bottom state Assets Final IT, finance
Relinking
Functional SAP up/ top Phase 2 allocation internal alignment
service
unbundling alignment down relinking model energy and
functions
process Transmission contracts migration
fast track
Role of the
centre
Governance
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
IT, finance
alignment and
migration
Legal NERSA
Consult with
unbundling license Legally
lenders and key Legislative Review transfer assets
and fast track application
Figure 5: Business Separation Process
stakeholders
Tx process process
Legally binding
energy
contracts
Debt support Discussions with
CRO process Implementation Industry structure
approach lenders
defines required
market rules
20
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Proposed Functions of the Transmission Entity
Broadly the two key roles for the TE will be:
i) Systems operator: management of supply and demand balances in real time through a range of least
cost options. The TE will also consider regional demand and supply requirements.
ii) Market operator: contracting with suppliers and distributors (including Eskom Distribution).
Figure 6: Key Functions of the Transmission Entity
Transmission
Entity
Operations &
Capital Projects
Maintenance
System Operator
Technology
& Planning
Corporate Services Buying
Procurement of New Energy
During the transitional separation process, this function of procuring new energy will remain within the
Department of Mineral Resources and Energy.
The Buyer function will remain with Transmission entity. The TE will buy energy from generators as
procured by the Minister of Mineral Resource and Energy. This function will sell to Eskom Distribution,
municipalities and large power users. Eskom and other generators will initially all have PPA’s with the TE,
facilitated by the buying function, but will thereafter transition to an open‐market model. Transmission
will continue as the trading arm to and from the Southern African Power Pool (SAPP).
The TE will hold all the Electricity Supply Agreements (ESA) with the various distribution entities. The TE
will have direct ESA’s with the Large Power Users (LPU) to ensure security of supply.
It will be important to ensure that the Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) do not contain risks that the
buying function cannot tolerate.
21
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Figure 7: Central Purchasing function of the Transmission Entity
Planning, Procurement and Buyer (Financial Settlement)
Single‐Buyer Office
PPA IPP Procurement Office ESA
IRP Planning Office
PPA ‐ Power Purchase Agreement
ESA ‐ Electricity Supply Agreement
Risks and Dependencies
A number of risks to the process of establishing a separate TE have been identified, which require
management.
These risks include finalising agreements with key stakeholders such as labour, business (including
investors), and relevant Government departments, particularly DMRE and DPE. In addition, the lenders
will be engaged throughout the process to address any concerns.
Finances
Managing the financial sustainability of Eskom as a whole, and the new component business models will
be the top priority during the reform process.
Depending on the final solution to the debt, part of this may be apportioned to the Transmission Entity
(TE). There will also be apportioning of existing contracts.
Costs linked to migrating transmission into a new entity will be ring‐fenced and defined. These will
include:
Establishment requirements;
New and existing capital commitments;
New and existing debt;
The IPP guarantees;
Determining the adequacy of whether the future Power Purchase Agreement’s will be adequately
covered by the transmission balance sheet;
Whether the standalone transmission balance sheet can carry additional debt; and
If and when additional Government support will be required.
22
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Figure 8: Restructuring milestones and key steps
23
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Generation of Electricity
Overview
Each power station will be placed on its own Purchase Power Agreement (PPA) with predefined, fixed and
guaranteed tariffs for energy and for firm capacity.
The generation company will be enabled to keep the profits they make or may pay them out as dividends.
The generation company CEO will be incentivised around ensuring Energy Availability Factor (EAF) that is in
line with plant design so that the company is financially sustainable.
All new generation will be procured on long‐term PPAs that pay for energy and for capacity, depending on the
technology.
Eskom dominates generation with a total nominal electricity generation capacity of 45 gigawatts. Of this,
40 gigawatts come from coal‐fired power stations, with the remainder generated from renewables,
nuclear and peaking power facilities.
The challenges in Eskom’s generation capability are mainly the result of three factors: i) backlogs in and
poor maintenance, ii) low reserve levels, and iii) insufficient coal stocks and frequent use of sub‐standard
coal.
Eskom’s coal fired power stations are on average 37‐years old and require maintenance and large‐scale
retro fitting to ensure continued operation. Delays in the commercial operation of the Medupi and Kusile
power stations have affected Eskom’s reserve capacity levels.
As a consequence of both the above factors, the generating capacity is constrained.
New Business Model for the Generation Market
Generation will become a separate subsidiary under Eskom, consisting mainly of the current power plant
base, which will be separated into a number of feasible smaller generation units. Consideration is being
given to create two or more generation subsidiaries to introduce inter‐company competition and drive
efficiencies in generation.
With the establishment of the TE, each power station will have its own Power Purchase Agreement with
predefined, fixed and guaranteed tariffs for energy with the TE.
Over time the generation market will become more competitive and decentralised with new public,
private and other generators entering this market as well as the IRP’s energy mix, including Eskom ‘new
build power stations’ under the New Generation Regulations. This will introduce the appropriate level of
competition and efficiencies in the Eskom fleet, and in the power market generally.
Future of Coal
South Africa is endowed with substantial coal deposits, which have historically been a cost effective
source of primary energy. Coal will remain important for future economic growth and industrialisation
and the lifetime of Eskom’s coal‐fired plants will continue for at least another decade and more in the
case of Medupi and Kusile. While coal remains an important part of the energy mix, the following
considerations are important:
Adoption of “Clean Coal” practices though the responsible and sustainable extraction and utilisation
of coal in line with environmental policy and governance; and
The price and quality of coal in terms of reducing and stabilising electricity costs.
24
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
As the generation environment changes through newer technologies, opportunities to innovate, increase
affordability, reduce emissions and create jobs will emerge. In this regard, Eskom’s generation business
needs to be responsive, agile and innovative.
More research and innovation must be invested in by the mining industry to discover new and different
uses for coal as is happening in some parts of the world
Distribution
The Distribution Environment
Eskom accounts for about 40% of electricity distribution throughout South Africa, while municipalities
account for the balance, 80% of which is distributed by 12 metros and the largest municipalities. South
Africa’s GDP is mainly produced in these areas and it is therefore important that there should be a focus
on Eskom Distribution and the 12 metros and the largest municipal electricity distributors.
Eskom owns the largest power‐line system in Africa7, made up of about 48,000 km of distribution lines,
296,000 km of reticulation power lines and 7,500 km of underground cables.
Eskom distribution provides power to 40% of the end users in South Africa. The distribution operation
includes construction and maintenance of equipment to transform the power supply to meet customer
needs. At the administrative level, Eskom distribution measures customer consumption levels, provides
the appropriate billing and collects the payments.
Municipalities are responsible for the reticulation of electricity and gas within their boundaries in terms
of Schedule 4(b) of the Constitution, and subject to national legislation in terms of section 155 (7) of the
Constitution. One hundred and eighty‐eight (188) municipalities are licenced by the National Electricity
Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) to distribute electricity to consumers. Eskom distributes or co‐
distributes electricity together with 90 municipalities. The current distribution model and legislation have
created numerous challenges, including:
Different tariffs between Eskom and municipalities in the same municipal area;
Ownership of distribution infrastructure is often split between Eskom and municipalities (where
there is co‐distribution of electricity);
Municipalities have varying capacities to reticulate electricity in the country, and a significant
number of municipalities are in crisis, which impacts their ability to reticulate electricity sustainably
and effectively;
Quality and standards in the municipal distribution network have deteriorated with huge
maintenance backlogs affecting security of supply; and
Lack of investment in municipal infrastructure.
New Business Model for the Distribution Market
A Distribution Entity under Eskom Holdings will be formed and will be authorised to buy from the TE,
licenced municipal generators and embedded generation. Embedded generation refers to small‐scale
residential and business generators. This will allow the separated distribution business to transparently
manage a changing demand market more efficiently.
Further consideration will be given to the structure of the distribution sector as a whole, given the:
a) Dependence of many municipalities on revenue from electricity tariffs; and the
b) Development of roof‐top solar and similar local embedded generation
This is a rapidly evolving area. A set of policy parameters appropriate to the current and medium‐term
should be formulated urgently.
7
The South African Energy Sector Report (2018)
25
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
ESKOM FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY
Current Status
Eskom remains the single largest risk to the South African economy in respect of its unsustainable debt
levels and inability to provide sufficient electricity to support growth. Eskom has primarily survived on
the back of strong Government support in the form of subordinated loans, direct equity injection and
guarantees.
Since 2007, Eskom’s electricity sales have been declining driven by increases in tariffs and the changing
electricity generation market. Despite nominal tariff increases of more than 500% over this period, the
tariffs have been inadequate to restore Eskom’s financial sustainability due to escalating operating costs
and cost overruns in the build programme. Coal costs have increased fivefold and payroll costs threefold
over the past decade. Furthermore, municipal and Soweto debt arrears to Eskom now amount to R35.6
billion as at 30 June 2019 and are increasing steadily. The utility is currently not generating sufficient cash
to cover debt service costs.
Addressing Eskom’s Debt
As Eskom undertakes the structural, legal and operational changes enunciated in the “Roadmap for
Eskom’s Reform”, continued liquidity and lender support will be critical. The South African Government
has already given assurances and displayed its commitment to standing behind Eskom’s liabilities within
the fiscal constraints that the country faces.
A suite of interventions is required to return Eskom to financial sustainability, including maximising
revenue, substantial cost reduction, operational turnaround and institutional restructuring. While these
interventions are being executed to stabilise the entity, Eskom requires Government support to ensure
that it can meet all its obligations and remain a going concern. In addition to the allocation of R23 billion
per year for three years in the February 2019 budget, the Minister of Finance has tabled a Special
Appropriation Bill that will allocate a further R26 billion in 2019/20 and further R33 billion for 2020/21.
The R350 billion guarantee also remains in place.
There is a direct relationship between Eskom’s operational efficiency, cost base and revenue generation
on the one hand, and its future financial sustainability on the other. Any fiscal assistance provided, will be
contingent on Eskom undertaking the immediate and short‐term measures to improve its current
operational performance.
National Treasury and the Department of Public Enterprises (DPE) are currently looking at the various
mechanisms that could be employed to provide Eskom with appropriate debt relief within a responsible
fiscal framework. In addition, and in return, Eskom will have to demonstrate progress with improvements
in its operations, cost‐cutting and undertaking the separation of its current business model into three
entities as set out in the conditions.
Government has established the Chief Restructuring Office to consider a range of options to deal with
Eskom debt and to advise Government accordingly. Fundamentally, the institutional reform of Eskom is
critical to minimise the requirement for further Government support The Minister of Finance will
determine the appropriate treatment of debt in synch with the improvement of the operational
performance and the execution of the institutional re‐organisation.
With the announcement of the intended path to Eskom’s reform, contained in this paper, capital
providers must be assured that there will be transparent and clear communication on the process. As the
potential solutions crystalize Government will undertake comprehensive consultations with the lenders,
and particular attention will be paid to the following:
26
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Eskom is being restructured to become operationally and financially more sustainable;
Eskom has the support of the Government to remain credit worthy and improve its overall credit
rating over time;
Government will stand behind Eskom to avoid a default (either financial or through some covenant
breach) by the company; and
The principles of fair treatment between lenders.
National Treasury have laid down the conditions that Eskom must adhered to for the proposed additional
financial assistance to be provided which include the following:
Financial conditions
Eskom to continue providing daily liquidity position updates and include sufficient detail on financing
flows. Furthermore, Eskom to submit measures that will be implemented to manage the cash of the
business within the funding limits to be provided by National Treasury.
Eskom to submit and present quarterly management reports that are signed off by the Group Chief
Executive Officer (GCEO), to include International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Profit and
Loss (P&L), Balance Sheet and Income Statements for Generation, Transmission and Distribution.
The cash flow to be based on the current monthly management accounts at Eskom level, including
commentary addressing all deviations from the annual budget that individually exceed ZAR500
million during the month. However, separate cash flows for the Generation, Transmission and
Distribution to be submitted by 31 March 2020.
The recapitalization will only be used to settle debt and interest payments and nothing else.
Eskom must submit a monthly report on the amount and actions underway to recover all and any
sums overdue (excluding the current accounts) for electricity sales, and for any debtor who owes in
excess of ZAR 100 million. The first report must be submitted not more than a month from the
enactment of the Bill.
Eskom to provide monthly updates starting on 30 November 2019 on the status of actions being
taken to maximize the cash value by either disposing of Eskom Finance Company or the loan book –
target disposal prior to 31 March 2020.
Eskom to report on the initiatives being implemented to reduce the primary energy costs (This
includes the breakdown all items that makes up the primary energy costs). The first report must be
submitted not more than a month from the enactment of the Bill and monthly thereafter.
Eskom to provide a detailed cost, timing and benefit plan to the completion for Kusile and Medupi
not more than a month from the enactment of the Bill.
Operational conditions
Eskom to provide quarterly investment ‐ plan on expected capex spend and rationale for each item
individually in excess of ZAR 1.5 billion, including investment rationale and impacts of any deferral.
The first report to be provided by not more than a month from the enactment of the Bill.
Eskom must provide a report on the defects on the build programme and how they will be fixed by
not more than a month after the enactment of the Bill, and quarterly thereafter.
Eskom to provide regular monthly reports on the measures being implemented to improve the
Energy Availability Factor (EAF) in line with its 9 Point plan and the approved Integrated Resources
Plan 2019 to avoid further rotational load shedding.
Shareholder conditions
DPE to ensure the appointment of the permanent GCEO by not more than a month from the
enactment of the Bill.
27
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
DPE to ensure that the Board is strengthened by 31 December 2019.
DPE through the Board to ensure that Eskom’s executive management performance agreement are
linked to the Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) as contained in the shareholder compact and the
conditions as set out by the Minister Finance by 31 December 2019.
Tariff Implications
The regulatory methodology for tariff setting for Eskom, municipalities and other licensees is regulated by
National Energy Regulator of South Africa Act (NERSA), in compliance with the Electricity Regulation Act.
The methodology was intended to create predictability and certainly in determining tariffs over a longer
period. However, since the initial Multi‐Year Determination there have been significant gaps between
applied for and determined tariffs, which has eroded the intended certainty and predictability. This has
also led to an increase in litigation between Eskom and NERSA, which creates further uncertainly on
Eskom revenues. Furthermore, the lower tariff outcomes have worsened Eskom’s financial position.
The finalisation of proposed amendments to legislation, the NERSA Amendment Bill is important to
ensure that disputes over regulatory decisions can be resolved timeously by a competent body.
In addition, Government shall be seeking to direct NERSA on the implementation of the Electricity Pricing
Policy to ensure that Eskom can fully recover efficient costs.
Wasteful and poorly managed expenditure
The expenditure culture in monopolies leads to wastefulness, lack of prudence and even neglect. A more
intensive and tough process will be commenced to nullify this culture and identify new areas of savings. A
tightening of cash management measures must be introduced.
Coal contracts
South Africa’s competitive advantage in attracting industry for decades has been access to cheap coal for
power generation. However, this advantage is being lost because of the rising electricity costs driven by
coal costs and the Eskom build programme. At points during the past decade coal costs have at most
times grown at double inflation. This is primarily due to poor and corrupt business decisions of not
investing in cost plus mines and not procuring coal on a long term basis. Eskom now has a coal
procurement strategy to reinvest in cost plus mines to reduce the rate of growth of coal costs as well as
the extraction of efficiency on existing contracts.
Government has already engaged with coal suppliers to transparently review their cost structure, return
on investment and a fair price/cost of coal to Eskom on existing contracts.
IPP contracts
The initial REIPPP contracts were concluded at higher energy prices and with substantial Government
guarantees, in particular Bid Windows 1 to 3. Government has embarked on a process to engage industry
on the possible reduction of prices. There has generally been willingness from industry to support this
process in the interest of supporting the country’s economic recovery. Discussions in this regard are
continuing.
After a decade of experience with the current financial and guarantee model, there is a need to
collectively engage in the development of a new model that takes into account the maturity of the
process and, therefore, an appropriate risk sharing model.
28
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
A new approach to procurement
At the centre of Eskom’s financial problems has been its inability to leverage its large procurement spend
to achieve greater efficiencies and promote industrialisation. Furthermore, the lack of procurement
controls has led to governance collapse in Eskom. Government will review an appropriate way for Eskom
to procure in order to promote transparency, gain efficiency from large scale procurement and maintain
value for money. Consideration will be given to different models of procurement to minimise corruption
in key areas, including limiting Government liabilities and contingent liabilities.
Disposal and Partnerships of Certain Subsidiaries
In order to make Eskom as efficient and effective as possible, the disposal of non‐core assets and
subsidiaries continues. This will also contribute to the optimisation of Eskom’s balance sheet. A process is
under way to dispose of the Eskom Finance Company (EFC) with a target date of March 2020.
Recovery of outstanding fees
Non‐compliance with respect to electricity fees payments needs to be addressed and resolved. Eskom
management must demonstrate willingness to collect outstanding funds along with a call for all political
entities, constituencies and civil society to come on‐board to solve the current crisis of non‐payment.
This must include a campaign to improve the culture of payment at all levels and to recover municipal
arrears from its equitable share transfers.
Execution of employee related cost savings initiatives
Eskom will conduct a review of unrealistic and unacceptably generous benefits which impose financial
implications on the company.
Recovery of proceeds of corruption
Eskom has been at the heart of the state capture in South Africa and as a result has suffered severe
damage which has directly led to its current financial and operational situation. Eskom demonstrates
how public and private actors colluded to establish networks that clustered around the utility to corruptly
extract benefit and rents from it 8[1]. Forensic investigations have revealed the abuse in a wide range of
areas, including: the new build programmes of Medupi and Kusile Power Stations; the transmission
projects associated with these builds; coal contracts; coal transportation; the contracting of a range of
consultancies and service providers such as McKinsey, Trillian and Regiments Capital; the contracting of IT
companies; and the involvement of several manufacturers. Of course, these activities were enabled and
by Eskom employees and officials starting with the Board and Executive Management and then cascading
down through the organisation. This situation has directly contributed to the Eskom’s inability to
sustainably provide electricity supply, the accumulation of mountains of debt, threaten the sovereign and
have impacted disastrously on the potential for economic growth in South Africa.
Over the past two years Government and the new Eskom Board have implemented several measures to
arrest the situation brought about by corruption. Eskom is reviewing various contracts, including those
for coal and has stopped those contracts found to have been inflated. In its recent Annual Report Eskom
stated that in already completed forensic reports 1,980 Eskom officials have been found not to have
declared their business interests. The business wealth of these 131 officials alone are alleged to have
engaged in business activities with Eskom to the value of R 5.7 billion. Several of these matters have been
8[1] (Re)conceptualising State Capture – with a case study of South African Power Company Eskom, Catrina Godinho & Lauren Hermanus,
October 2018
29
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
referred to the law enforcement authorities for criminal investigation and for the recovery of stolen
assets.
Eskom has served notice on several companies and consultancy firms for improperly awarded work over
the past decade. Already, Eskom has recovered R1 billion from McKinsey and R600m from Trillian. Several
other consultancies and suppliers are under scrutiny and most recently Eskom has issued court papers
against Deloitte Consulting for the setting aside of awards of contracts and recovery of funds amounting
to R207 million relating to work done during 2016.
The Board has introduced new measures in Eskom to minimise the threat of threat of corruption and to
build resilience within the utility, including the conduct of lifestyle audits on officials.
30
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
GOVERNANCE
The ravages of state capture demonstrate the importance of robust and transparent corporate
governance and public oversight to protect our public resources. The leadership at both Board and
management levels in Eskom must be commensurate with the nature of the challenges and aspirations
reflected in this paper.
The Eskom Holdings Board will accordingly be reinforced with individuals with the appropriate skillset,
while a new CEO for Eskom Holdings will be appointed soon.
A new Transmission Entity will be established in the shortest time possible. This will enable the
appointment of a new independent Board to oversee the governance and operations of the Transmission
Entity. This Board will appoint a CEO and a management team. A set of interim arrangements may be
authorised by Government to facilitate the accelerated implementation.
31
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
IMPLEMENTING A “JUST TRANSITION”
The Climate Justice Alliance defines the Just Transition as follows:
“Just Transition is a vision‐led, unifying and place‐based set of principles, processes, and practices
that build economic and political power to shift from an extractive economy to a regenerative
economy. This means approaching production and consumption cycles holistically and waste‐free.
The transition itself must be just and equitable; redressing past harms and creating new
relationships of power for the future through reparations. If the process of transition is not just,
the outcome will never be. Just Transition describes both where we are going and how we get
there.”
The National Development Plan provides the basis for a Just Transition “towards a low carbon emission
economy”. Chapter Five of the NDP reminds us that South Africa has a rich endowment of natural
resources, which is a relatively cheap and reliable source of energy. The NDP warns that this “could
prejudice South Africa’s interests as global restrictions on carbon emissions to mitigate climate change
are introduced” and that in anticipation of this, the country must leverage its solar resource and regional
hydropower opportunities as competitive advantages, in parallel with the responsible exploitation of
fossil fuels and minerals.
The pillars of South Africa’s Just Transition process include:
To create an inclusive economy based on the cheapest energy available that attracts the largest
amount of investment and creates jobs on scale.
To protect and grow jobs, particularly in the downstream value chain, on the back of low‐cost
energy. The reform process will provide retraining and bridging opportunities for Eskom, power
station and coal sector workers. This will be supported by a massive energy‐related industrialisation
programme (centred around Mpumalanga) with very high export potential, especially into Africa9.
To enable energy access and security to all South Africans, particularly poor and vulnerable
communities.
Following current trends, to construct a decentralised energy grid infrastructure in South Africa’s
small towns (e.g. Upington, De Aar, Alice, etc.), which will have a positive impact on spatial
inequality.
To provide a social safety net for those that are not able to transition to these new opportunities.
Government, together with labour and civil society, is in the process of formulating an appropriate pro‐
poor “Just Transformation” strategy and process. A joint working group to develop an operational plan
for the just transition has been established. Eskom is committed to and will actively participate in this
process, which will guide its investments and reform process.
The elements of the Just Transmission include:
Sustainability for Workers
The decommissioning of plants will impact on labour. Government will ensure that Eskom manages its
decommissioning of coal‐fired power stations in a responsible manner that takes into account the
interests of all stakeholders.
South African trade unions have demanded “better work” for their members. Fortunately, the shift away
from coal to other newer technologies offers this. This particular transition also offers the prospect of
more jobs in the economy than the current coal‐fired power station economy. The creation of an
inclusive economy based on the cheapest electricity available will attract the largest amount of
9
It is estimated that a total of R500 billion (half a trillion) worth of renewable energy infrastructure will need to get built.
32
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
investment and creates jobs on scale. Most jobs will be in the downstream value chain, on the back of
low‐cost energy, not in energy supply itself.
Eskom will consider establishing a Fund for the retraining and re‐skilling of workers to enable them to
access opportunities within the burgeoning renewables sector.
South Africa’s Climate Change Position
South Africa acknowledges the climate crisis and the pressing challenge this poses to humankind and the
planet. The science shows that climate change will impact the poor the most, and that the African
continent is especially vulnerable.
Climate change requires urgent and ambitious multilateral action by all countries and actors to meet the
objective of limiting global average temperatures to an increase of 1.5 degrees, to adapt to inevitable
climate impacts, and to ensure that the necessary international support is available to achieve these
goals.
Climate change is both a challenge to and an opportunity for equitable, just and sustainable economic
and social development. As a developing country we understand that the climate crisis cannot be solved
outside of a development context, and is integrally linked to our ability to meet our Millennium
Development Goals.
South Africa is committed to meeting its nationally determined contribution to achieving emissions
targets as set out in the United Nations Convention to Combat Climate Change, its Kyoto Protocol and the
Paris Agreement. Accordingly our National Climate Change Response Policy sets out how we will make a
fair contribution to the global effort to address climate change, in the context of our national
development priorities.
Given our current energy mix, the mitigation challenge posed to South Africa is considerable. Over 80% of
our emissions10 are from our energy sector. Building a climate resistant society must strengthen
development. Our shift to a low‐carbon development path and embracing of the global energy transition
must not only NOT leave anyone behind, but must at the same time create new opportunities for all in
our economy.
IRP Commitments
The IRP 2019 intends to:
Increase the share of renewable energy capacity to approximately 40% by 2030;
Add other forms of clean energy, including hydro and nuclear; and
Close existing power stations according to their stated de‐commissioning schedules.
South Africa’s Just Transition will utilise the following key opportunities:
South Africa’s abundance of wind and solar resources, which present an attractive return on
investment;
Access to concessionary funding for investing in renewables in Africa, plus unlimited non‐
concessionary funding in highly competitive markets, which will reduce the cost of capital;
Modernisation of the grid to facilitate adding wind and solar resources in a decentralised manner to
target development in the most impoverished areas;
Reduce electricity access and costs to scale up inclusive economic growth and job creation; and
Build the necessary skills for managing the entire value chain, from R&D (for example in partnership
with CSIR and Universities), manufacturing, construction and operations.
10
83.9% of net GHG emissions in 2015
33
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Eskom’s Plan for Reducing Emissions
Eskom’s commitment to reduce its environmental footprint and its carbon emissions is guided by South
Africa’s international commitments and domestic legislation. Aside from our commitments to reduce
greenhouse gases, the 2010 Minimum Emission Standards require Eskom to take incremental steps to
reduce emissions of sulphates, nitrates and particulate matter.
To date Eskom has invested in technology to reduce particulate matter and nitrogen oxides in the
majority of its coal fired power stations. Kusile has already been retrofitted with Flue Gas
Desulphurisation (FGD). This process is currently also being implemented at Medupi. Eskom plans to
spend R46 billion (real) or R67 billion (nominal) to reach environmental compliance. In addition, an
estimated R2 billion will be spent on an offset project in domestic dwellings. While there are risks in
timeous completion of these projects, there is commitment to meet MES.
Power stations scheduled for decommissioning by 2030 are not required to comply in all respects with
new plant standards for emissions. Stations that will operate beyond 2030 must comply with new plant
standards for emissions by 2025. Estimates of capital requirements will need to be revised in line with the
decommissioning schedule.
Absolute decline in emissions from 2035 to optimistic indicative levels in 2050 infers that apart from
Eskom’s Kusile, Medupi, Majuba and Kendal power stations (based on plant age), all other coal‐fired
power stations must be decommissioned between 2035 and 2050 and replaced with zero‐carbon
emitting technology or operated at lower load factors.
Sustainability for communities
Government has recognised that the evolving electricity landscape, including smaller scale power
generation technologies, creates an opportunity for the private sector and communities to invest in this
sector. South Africa’s rich solar and wind endowments hold the promise of a long‐term comparative
advantage in renewable power costs. A self‐sustaining renewable energy development boom is therefore
inevitable and presents large scale employment opportunities across the country. This transformation will
have positive impacts on spatial inequalities, including diminished demographic pressures on the already
over‐burdened metropolitan areas and inclusive economic growth opportunities in the tertiary urban
centres, which have previously had no viable tax bases.
As the transition unfolds, Government has an obligation to support these affected communities to adapt
to the new opportunities and ensure that no one is left behind.
In the National Interest
Given the urgent need to resolve the crisis, the outcome of the Just Transition Process must agree on a
new contract among social partners. Consideration will be given to establish ‘Our electricity contract’
which will require commitment from Government, business and labour.
Smart Grid
The management of power grids across the world is evolving to allow energy to flow into and out of the
transmission grids in a decentralised manner as the technology intensifies. Evolving technologies, such as
artificial intelligence, internet of things and improved connectivity is leading to power grids becoming
more digitally automated. Eskom’s Smart Strategy is to deploy smart capabilities despite limited
resources through well‐managed and incremental deployment. This will enable Eskom to respond to
evolution in the electricity market which is already threatening to disrupt current revenue streams and
business models.
34
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
IMPLEMENTATION OF ROADMAP
To ensure that the new direction for South Africa’s Electricity Supply Industry is achieved, a number of
governance, support and execution offices will be established.
Restructuring and Reform Office ‐ An interdepartmental office hosted by the Department of Public
Enterprises and focusing on both Eskom and ESI restructuring, will be established and staffed by
Government officials; and
Eskom’s Programme Office ‐ Implementation of the Turnaround Plan within Eskom to look at cost saving,
operational recovery and separation.
Table 4: Implementation Plan with key objectives for 2019 & 2020
Date Generation Finance Restructuring
Roll out of Turnaround communications strategy
Nov ‘19
Stakeholder Buy‐In
Cost saving initiatives
‐ Coal: Confirm baseline (R/ton)
‐ Procurement: Confirm baseline
P&Ls established
Dec ‘19 (Negotiated percentage saved)
EAF:70% Org design approved
Sales growth: Confirm baseline
PPAs and ESAs drafted
(Volume)
Municipal Debt: Finalisation of
Agreement
Cost saving initiatives
‐ Coal
Interim board and CEO
Jan – Mar ‘20 EAF: 73% ‐ Procurement
appointed of TE
Sales growth
Municipal Debt
Cost saving initiatives
‐ Coal
Support systems and
Apr – Jun ‘20 EAF:73% ‐ Procurement
functions complete
Sales growth
Municipal Debt
Cost saving initiatives
‐ Coal Legal requirements
Jul – Sep ‘20 EAF:75% ‐ Procurement finalised
Sales growth
Municipal Debt
Cost saving initiatives
‐ Coal
Functional unbundling of
Oct – Dec ‘20 EAF:75% ‐ Procurement
TE: complete
Sales growth
Municipal Debt
35
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Table 5: Implementation Plan with key objectives 2021 & 2022
Date Generation Finance Restructuring
Jan – Mar ‘21 EAF: 76%
Cost saving initiatives
‐ Coal Functional separation of
Apr – Jun ‘21 EAF: 78% ‐ Procurement Generation and Distribution
Sales growth complete
Municipal Debt
Cost saving initiatives
‐ Coal
Jul – Sep ‘21 EAF: 78% ‐ Procurement
Sales growth
Municipal Debt
Cost saving initiatives
‐ Coal Complete creation and
Oct – Dec ‘21 EAF: 76% ‐ Procurement operation of TE as a legal
Sales growth subsidiary of Eskom Holdings
Municipal Debt
Cost saving initiatives
‐ Coal
Jan – Jun ‘22 EAF: 77% ‐ Procurement
Sales growth
Municipal Debt
Cost saving initiatives
Complete creation and
‐ Coal
operation of Generation and
Jul – Dec ‘22 EAF: 77% ‐ Procurement
Distribution as a legal
Sales growth
subsidiary of Eskom Holdings
Municipal Debt
Figure 9: Implementation governance, support and execution offices
Governance
Operational
Restructuring and Reform
Eskom’s Programme Office
Office
Separation
Financial
The critical variable in the success of the restructuring of Eskom will be leadership by Eskom board,
management and other stakeholders. This requires commitment, disciplined execution, transparency,
accountability and the firm adoption of consequence management. This road‐map constitutes a common
platform for all stakeholders to put Eskom on a path to recovery and restructuring.
36
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
CONCLUSION
This Paper outlines Government’s roadmap for the future of Eskom and the electricity supply industry. In
addition, the Paper provides the immediate issues to be addressed and time frames for implementation.
Government is acutely aware that Eskom’s crisis poses a massive systemic risk to the country, the
economy and the people. Government has to act urgently to reform the electricity supply industry and
Eskom. The Plan presented for Eskom’s reform highlights three main propositions:
i) The first step is to functionally separate Generation, Transmission and Distribution. This will allow
for greater transparency and increase the efficient functioning of the three entities, while reducing
the risks. Each legal and functional entity will become independently responsible for its operations
and outcomes and will be measured separately for performance. In addition, while coal will fuel the
existing plants until the end of their lifetime, the reformed structure will begin to increase the share
of renewables in terms of the IRP. This is also in line with the global momentum
ii) A Transmission Entity will be established as a separate entity within Eskom. This entity will act as
both a Systems Operator that will invest in and manage the transmission grid, and as a Market
Operator to balance demand with supply on a least cost basis.
iii) Eskom’s debt and poor financial state is a major threat to Eskom’s going concern status and the
country’s fiscus. The Paper outlines intervention to address the utility’s financial stability which a
debt solution is being considered
The Paper demonstrates Government’s commitment to a pro‐poor just transition process, particularly
any impact on workers and communities while complying with the agreed reduction of emissions levels.
37
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
ANNEXURES
DISTRIBUTION
The flow of electricity
Electricity is generated at a power plant and transmitted on high‐voltage power lines, then distributed to
customers on local power distribution lines. As the generated electricity leaves the power station, the
electricity is boosted by a step‐up transformer to voltages such as 132 000 volts (132 kV) or 400 kV or 765
kV. These very high voltages are necessary to push the required flow of electricity through the wires and
keep costs down.
Prior to reaching customers, the electricity is transformed down to 11 000 volts (11 kV) for local
distribution and then further reduced according to the need for example, 240 or 220 volts for domestic
use. Thus, the electricity entering homes at 240 volts has had to journey from the initial high voltage
transmission grid to a lower voltage distribution network.
The distinction between transmission and distribution lines is not a hard and fast rule, but generally,
distribution lines tend to have below 50 000 voltages. The full electricity value chain is reflected in figure
A below.
Figure A: Electricity value chain
38
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
South African electricity distribution industry structure
As shown in Figure B, the Electricity Distribution Industry (EDI) is a vital link between the supplier, usually
Eskom and Municipalities (in the South African context) and customers that buy and use electricity.
Figure B: South African Electricity Supply Industry Structure
Generation Transmission and Distribution Customers
system operations
Customers
Imports
with NPAs
Eskom Eskom Eskom Exports
Generation Transmission Distribution
IPPs Tariff
Customers
Municipalities Municipalities
Source: Genesis
Eskom
In South Africa, Eskom generates, transmits and distributes electricity to industrial, mining, commercial,
agricultural and residential customers, as well as municipalities, who in turn redistribute electricity to
businesses and households within their areas. Eskom also purchases electricity from Independent Power
Producers (IPPs) in terms of various agreement schemes, as well as electricity generating facilities beyond
the country’s borders.
A distribution operation, constructs and maintains equipment that transforms the power supply to the
type that meets the customer's needs, meters the amount the customer uses, provides the appropriate
billing and collects the payments. Distribution operations (the current Distribution industry in South
Africa) have been managed by Eskom and some local Governments (municipalities).
The South African Energy Sector Report (2018) indicates that Eskom owns about 48 805 km of
distribution lines, 296 188km of reticulation power lines and 7 499km of underground cables in South
Africa, representing the largest power‐line system in Africa. Eskom Distribution provides power to 45 per
cent of the end users in South Africa, including bulk supply to municipalities. The extent of Eskom’s
Distribution Division is further outlined in Map 1 below.
Eskom’s Distribution Division’s network coverage has 91 per cent visibility at high voltage (HV) and
medium voltage (MV), enabling real time management of major outages. Figure 3 provides an indication
of the coverage of Eskom’s Distribution network.
39
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Map1: Eskom Distribution Division Provincial landscape
Map 2: Eskom Distribution Network Coverage
40
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Municipalities
Municipalities have the executive authority for electricity reticulation as per Schedule 4 of the
Constitution; however, a large number of customers are supplied directly by Eskom as some
municipalities do not provide electricity reticulation services and rely on Eskom as a distributor. The
municipal distributors buy bulk electricity from Eskom, with some also generating small amounts for sale
in their areas of jurisdiction. The operation of distribution facilities varies between regions and
municipalities.
41
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
GENERATION AND THE IRP
Current Generation
Electricity generation in South Africa is primarily provided by Eskom, together with Independent Power
Producers (IPPs) and imported power through the Southern Africa Power Pool (SAPP). Eskom Generation
currently exists of the following (refer to Table A):
Table A: Eskom Power Station Capacities as at 31 March 2019
(The difference between installed and nominal capacity reflects auxiliary power consumption and
reduced capacity caused by the age of plant.)
Name of station Location Years commissioned ‐ Number and installed Total installed Total nominal
first to last unit capacity of generator capacity MW capacity MW
sets MW
Generation Group power stations
Base‐load stations
Coal‐fired (15) 40 170 36 479
Arnot Middelburg Sep 1971 to Aug 1975 1x370; 1x390; 2x396; 2 352 2 232
2x400
Camden 1, 2 Ermelo Mar 2005 to Jun 2008 3x200; 1x196; 2x195; 1 561 1 481
1x190; 1x185
Duvha 6 Emalahleni Aug 1980 to Feb 1984 6x600 3 600 2 875
Grootvlei1,7 Balfour Apr 2008 to Mar 2011 4x200; 2x190 1 180 570
Hendrina 2,6,7 Middelburg May 1970 to Dec 1976 5x200; 3x195; 1x168, 1 728 1 293
1x170
Kendal 3 Emalahleni Oct 1988 to Dec 1992 6x686 4 116 3 840
Komati 1,7 Middelburg Mar 2009 to Oct 2013 4x100; 4x125; 1x90 990 410
Kriel Bethal May 1976 to Mar 1979 6x500 3 000 2 850
Lethabo Vereeniging Dec 1985 to Dec 1990 6x618 3 708 3 558
Majuba 3 Volksrust Apr 1996 to Apr 2001 3x657; 3x713 4 110 3 843
Matimba 3 Lephalale Dec 1987 to Oct 1991 6x665 3 990 3 690
Matla Bethal Sep 1979 to Jul 1983 6x600 3 600 3 450
Tutuka Standerton Jun 1985 to Jun 1990 6x609 3 654 3 510
Kusile3 Ogies Aug 2017 to 1x799; 5x800 799 720
Medupi3 Lephalale Aug 2015 to 3x794; 3x794 2 382 2 157
Nuclear (1)
Koeberg Cape Town Jul 1984 to Nov 1985 2x970 1 940 1 860
Peaking stations
Gas/liquid fuel turbine stations (4) 2 426 2 409
Acacia Cape Town May 1976 to Jul 1976 3x57 171 171
Ankerlig Atlantis Mar 2007 to Mar 2009 4x149.2; 5x148.3 1 338 1 327
Gourikwa Mossel Bay Jul 2007 to Nov 2008 5x149.2 746 740
Port Rex East London Sep 1976 to Oct 1976 3x57 171 171
Pumped storage schemes (3) 4 2 732 2 724
Drakensberg Bergville Jun 1981 to Apr 1982 4x250 1 000 1 000
Palmiet Grabouw Apr 1988 to May 1988 2x200 400 400
Ingula Ladysmith June 2016 to Feb 2017 4x333 1 332 1 324
Hydroelectric stations (2) 5 600 600
Gariep Norvalspont Sep 1971 to Mar 1976 4x90 360 360
Vanderkloof Petrusville Jan 1977 to Feb 1977 2x120 240 240
Total Generation Group power station capacities (25) 47 868 44 072
42
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
The non‐Eskom Generators used in Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) are detailed below in Table B,
while the IPPs in commercial operation and future projects per Province are detailed in Table 3 below.
The information in Table C is provided by the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) to
Eskom, with Cahorra Bassa included for completeness.
Table B: Non‐Eskom Generators used in IRP Planning
Generator Capacity (MW)
Kelvin 324
Sasollinfrachem_Coal 128
SasolSynfuel_Coal 600
Sasollinfrachem_Gas 175
SasolSynfuel_Gas 252
Cahora Bassa 1,110
Mondi 145
SappiNgodwana 117
Steenbras 180
Other_Gas 77
Other_CoGen 220
Other_Hydro 10
Total 3,338
Source: Eskom
43
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Table C: IPPs in commercial operation and future projects per Province
Projects in Commercial Operation Projects Commercial operation Date
(CO) (COD) in Future
Region Province
Projects COD in
Projects CO Contracted MW Contracted MW
Future
Western Cape (WC) 9 452,540 2 139,690
REGION 1
Eastern Cape (EC) 14 1414,512 4 429,320
North West (NW) 1 6,930 4 267,900
Northern Cape (NC) 33 2127,040 15 1438,830
REGION 2
Free State (FS) 4 203,400 1 4,700
Kwa‐Zulu Natal (KZN) 1 669,928 0 0,000
Gauteng (GP) 1 11,000 0 0,000
REGION 3 Limpopo (L) 3 118,000 0 0,000
Mpumalanga 0 0,000 1 25,000
Total 66 5003,350 27 2305,410
Source: Eskom
Generation’s link to the IRP
Installed coal generation capacity is expected to decline from 2021 with the decommissioning of older
power stations such as Camden, Grootvlei and Hendrina. The commissioning of all units at Medupi and
Kusile is expected to increase the coal power capacity to 42 Gigawatts (GW). The IRP also includes the
coal Independent Power Producers, i.e. Thabametsi (630 MW) and Khanyisa (300 MW) to come online in
2023/24.
Figure C: Installed Generation Capacity
In the forecasting period, over the next few years, improvement in Eskom plant efficiency is planned to
increase to 80 per cent, due to improved maintenance, the completion of generation capital projects, and
decommissioning of “least‐cheap” power stations. However, integration of plans to recapitalise cost‐plus
44
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
mines and recovery of sunk costs for environmental compliance impact (on plant performance), need to
be included in the base‐case and not as an IRP scenario.
The IRP assumes that 2,600 MW of embedded electricity generation will be added by households and
businesses for their own use, at a rate of 200 MW a year. This is expected to boost investment from
consumers to buy technologies aimed at selling electricity back to the national grid. Investment into
management of micro grids and bidirectional electricity flow is needed in order to manage the flexible
electricity generation stated in the IRP.
In 2030, total installed photovoltaic (PV) generation is expected to be 7,958 MW. Existing wind
generation was 1,980 MW in 2018, while 1,362 MW is committed to be commissioned by 2021. There is
then a three‐year gap with another 8,100 MW to be installed from 2025 to 2030, adding up to a total of
11,442 MW. The gaps in commissioning PV and wind generation will likely deter investment in factories
producing components for the renewable industry.
45
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
TRANSMISSION
Current transmission business
Transmission owns numerous sub‐stations and transformers, with approximately 33,000km of
transmission lines and has a national footprint in South Africa as detailed below in Tables D and E, as well
as Map 3.
Table D: Eskom Transmission Substations
Transmission substations 28/08/2019
No. of substations 167
No. of transformers (> 30 MVA) 443
Transformer MVA installed (>30MVA) 152 135
Source: Eskom
Table E: Eskom Transmission Lines
Transmission lines 28/08/2019
765 kV 2 784km
533 kV HVDC 1 032km
400 kV 19 523km
275 kV 7 222km
220 kV 1 352km
132 kV 889km
Total 32 802km
Source: Eskom
Map 3: Eskom’s Transmission Lines
Source: Eskom
46
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Transmission is also the interface with the Southern African Power Pool (SAPP), which was created in
August 1995, when member Governments of the Southern African Development Community (SADC)
(excluding Mauritius) signed an Inter‐Governmental Memorandum of Understanding for the formation of
an electricity power pool in the region under the name of the Southern African Power Pool. The ministers
responsible for energy in the SADC region signed the Revised Inter‐Governmental Memorandum of
Understanding on 23 February 2006.
The transmission network performance
Overall transmission network performance, over the past 5 years, has deteriorated slightly and requires
capital for replacement. The system minutes lost due to interruptions on the transmission network have
increased from 2.85 minutes to 3.16 minutes (refer to Figure D).
Figure D: Transmission Network Performance System Minutes Lost
4
3,5
3
2,5
2
1,5
1
0,5
0
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Source: Eskom
The reduced performance of the transmission network is due to the fact that the average age of
transmission line assets ranges between 30‐40 years, which is midlife for these types of assets (refer to
figures E and F). Given this reality, there is a 10‐year transmission refurbishment plan in place and it is
based on asset condition assessments, asset criticality and network risks. The 10‐year transmission
refurbishment plan is incorporated into the 10‐year transmission development plan.
Figure E: Transmission Substation Asset Age Profile
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
0‐5 Years 6‐10 11‐15 16‐20 21‐25 26‐30 31‐35 36‐40 41+
Years Years Years Years Years Years Years Years
Source: Eskom
47
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Figure F: Transmission Lines Asset Age Profile
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
0‐5 Years 6‐10 11‐15 16‐20 21‐25 26‐30 31‐35 36‐40 41+
Years Years Years Years Years Years Years Years
Source: Eskom
Transmission Entity (TE) roadmap
Given these challenges and the technological change faced by the electricity network, a new roadmap of
actions in the short, medium and long term is required if South Africa is to have an Electricity Supply
Industry (ESI) that can serve adequately as a platform for economic development.
A major element of the turnaround is separation of the transmission activities, which has significant
benefits for both Eskom and South Africa, as follows:
It will create transparency within Eskom and the industry.
A separate transmission company will boost investor confidence, as independence is assured
(dispatch, contracting open grid access).
This will enable security of supply through increased investment.
It will foster accountability within the remainder of Eskom.
It will allow South Africa (and Eskom) increased flexibility to adjust the future trajectory of the
industry.
Timelines for Creation of Transmission Entity 100% Owned by Eskom Holdings
The following timeline outlines how the functional separation will take place. There are various activities
that need to be undertaken to functionally unbundle Eskom. Firstly, an organisational design based on a
new mandate and the activities the entity will undertake need to be defined. How debt will be allocated
(if required) needs to be defined and lenders engaged. If a new legal entity is to be formed such as a
subsidiary, then there are various legal processes that will need to be followed and legislation may need
to be changed by Government. A trading system (internally to start) followed by legal contracting when
required, will need to be evolved as market rules and structure becomes clearer.
During the last Eskom reorganisation, many functions were centralised. In order to reverse this, firstly
service functions like Human Resources, Finance and Procurement have already been relinked back into
the line functions, i.e. Distribution, Generation and Transmission (3704 people in total). However, in
order to have a fully functioning standalone entity, it is necessary to relink the balance of centralised
people, based on the agreed mandates (estimated to be a further 6000 people). The final step that needs
to happen is for all the finance and other IT systems to be uncoupled and reorganised to allow
independent operations. These processes are very complex and need to be carefully managed in order to
ensure that operations are not disrupted.
The high level plan for the functional separation of Transmission is detailed below.
48
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Figure G: Implementation plan for the creation of the Transmission Entity
49
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
ESKOM TARIFFS
Economic regulation of Eskom’s tariff
The National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) is responsible for the regulation of the electricity
prices as per the Electricity Regulation Act and the NERSA Act.
Eskom makes a tariff application based on the Multi Year Price Determination (MYPD) methodology, as
set out by NERSA. The MYPD process entails Eskom submitting a tariff application to NERSA in which it
provides the information required for the regulator to evaluate the tariff application. The following
formula must be used to determine the Allowable Revenue (AR):
𝐴𝑅=(𝑅𝐴𝐵×𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶)+𝐸+𝑃𝐸+𝐷+𝑅&𝐷+𝐼𝐷𝑀±𝑆𝑄𝐼+𝐿&𝑇±𝑅𝐶𝐴
Where:
𝐴𝑅 = Allowable Revenue
𝑅𝐴𝐵 = Regulatory Asset Base
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 = Weighted Average Cost of Capital
𝐸 = Expenses (operating and maintenance costs)
𝑃𝐸 = Primary Energy costs (inclusive of non‐Eskom generation)
𝐷 = Depreciation
𝑅&𝐷 = Costs related to research and development programmes/projects
𝐼𝐷𝑀 = Integrated Demand Management costs (EEDSM, PCP, DMP, etc.)
𝑆𝑄𝐼 = Service Quality Incentives related costs
𝐿&𝑇 = Government imposed levies or taxes (not direct income taxes)
𝑅𝐶𝐴 = The balance in the Regulatory Clearing Account (risk management devices of the MYPD)
The MYPD methodology is based on forecasts of costs and revenue during the time of application and
NERSA applies the Regulatory Clearing Account (RCA) tool to reconcile the difference at the end of each
financial year. The RCA is an account in which all potential adjustments to Eskom’s allowed revenue, that
has been approved by NERSA, is adjusted in favour of customers or Eskom based on the MYPD
methodology. NERSA decides on how long the RCA balance is going to be liquidated in order to minimize
the impact of increases on the customers.
Implementation of MYPD methodology
Eskom applies to NERSA for a tariff application for a period, normally three financial years. On 12
September 2018, Eskom applied to NERSA for the tariff increase of 15 per cent for each of the three year
periods (i.e. 2019/20, 2020/21 and 2021/22 financial years). The major contributors to Eskom’s revenue
application are the debt service costs represented by depreciation and returns, primary energy costs and
operating costs.
On 07 March 2019, NERSA approved standard tariff increases of 9.41 per cent, 8.10 per cent and 5.22 per
cent for MYPD4 for financial years 2019/20, 2020/21 and 2021/22 respectively. This was lower than the
15 per cent applied for by Eskom, indicating that there are misalignments in the implementation of the
MYPD methodology. Furthermore, NERSA has approved a Regulatory Clearing Account balance of R3.9
billion for the 2017/19 financial year, which were lower than R21.6 billion applied for by Eskom.
50
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Challenges on implementation of MYPD methodology
Eskom has been receiving tariff increases below what was applied for. This misalignment between Eskom
and NERSA has a negative impact on the price certainty experienced by customers. Eskom indicated that
current tariffs are not cost reflective as this negatively impacts on both financial and operational
sustainability of the SOC. Currently the regulatory framework does not have a clause on the dispute
resolution mechanism between the parties. Eskom is relying on the High Court process, which is
ineffective and protracted process. NERSA has not been responding timeous on Eskom’s tariff and RCA
application and this has compromised the implementation of the MYPD decision.
Although Eskom applies for tariff applications for Generation, Distribution and Transmission licences,
NERSA offers a price increase for Eskom Holdings.
Solution to implementation of MYPD methodology
51
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
MUNICIPAL DEBT
The municipal arrear debt has over the years continued to escalate and amounted to a total R36.5billion
(including interests) as of 30 June 2019. This figure represents about 71.7 per cent of total invoiced
municipal debt (including interests). Figure 1 below depicts the escalation of municipal arrear debt over
an eight‐year period. The top 20 municipalities account for 81 per cent of the total invoiced municipal
arrear debt, while Free State municipalities owe almost 44 per cent of the current debt.
Figure H: Escalating Municipal Arrear Debt
Municipal Debt
30,0 27,7
25,0
20,1 19,9
20,0
15,3
15,0 13,6
11,2
9,7 9,4
10,0 6,9 5,9 6,4
5,1 4,8
3,9 3,5
5,0 2,5 2,2
0,50,2 1,2 1,4
0,4 0,8
0,0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: Eskom
From an Eskom perspective, all legal avenues at its disposal to collect the amounts due (including
interruption of supply to defaulting municipalities) have been exhausted, with no success in resolving the
municipal debt crisis.
Financial sustainability and non‐payment
Eskom has suffered serious financial losses as a result of non‐payment of electricity accounts by certain
municipalities and many Soweto residents. These two groups of nonpayers owed Eskom over R30 billion.
In his State of the Nation address in June 2019, President Ramaphosa asserted the principle that those
who use electricity must pay for it. Extended efforts by Ministers and officials to resolve this non‐
payment problem have not resolved Eskom’s problems in this area.
Eskom has through a carefully managed process gradually reduced electricity supplies to non‐paying
customers. However legal action by some municipal customers has resulted in Courts directing Eskom not
to interrupt supply and directing Government to resolve the problem.
This practice of non‐payment has contributed to Eskom becoming the single largest threat to the fiscus.
No more time can be wasted in addressing this very serious problem.
A new approach is clearly required as all efforts thus far have not succeeded in resolving the problem.
52
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
POWER SECTOR REFORM EXPERIENCE: THE CASE OF VIETNAM
“Learning from Power Sector Reform Experiences Alan David Lee and Franz Gerner”
Rationale for Electricity Industry Reform
The motivations for reforming the power sector in Vietnam from the mid‐1990s were to ensure: (i) long‐
term reliable power supply in a manner efficient and affordable to users and to the government;
(ii) minimal spill over effects on the macro economy; and
(iii) minimal spill over effects on the distribution of wealth across segments of society.
The key means for Vietnam to achieve these objectives included moving from a centrally‐planned
monopoly to a power market with private sector investment in power generation capacity and many
competing participants buying and selling power.
Timeline of Key Power Sector Reforms in Vietnam, 1970‐2018 (refer to figure 1)
The development of Vietnam’s national grid in 1994 (which was initiated by the 500 kV line from the
north to the south) shaped sector institutions and subsequently spurred rural electrification as well as
massive increases in demand. In 1996, work began to draft a new Electricity Law, involving a number of
ministries and over the next eight years, 25 versions of this Law was prepared. In parallel to the drafting
of the new law, incremental steps were taken to allow for private sector participation in generation and
limited unbundling.
The Electricity Law was passed in 2004 and set the framework for comprehensive sector reform. In 2006 a
20‐year ‘roadmap’ for implementation was laid that sets out the gradual development of a competitive
electricity market in three stages:
(i) Phase 1: 2005‐2014 ‐ Create a competitive electricity generation market;
(ii) Phase 2: 2015‐2022 ‐ Create a competitive electricity wholesale market; and
(iii) Phase 3: after 2022 ‐ Permission would be granted for a competitive electricity retail market.
Vietnam’s Power Sector Performance
Between 1990 and 2018, power generation capacity in Vietnam increased dramatically from 2 gigawatts
to over 45 gigawatts, with the national reserve margin at 35 percent in 2018. While in 1990, the share of
households with a grid electricity connection was less than 14 percent, by 2011 universal access was
reached. Furthermore, technical performance has improved after years of low efficiency: from 1990 to
2017 transmission and distribution losses fell from 25 percent to 7.6 percent. However, despite high
collection rates, input price volatility and rigid tariffs make the utilities (Electricity Vietnam) depend on
state backing. Furthermore, sporadic increases in average retail tariffs have not covered capitals costs or
inflation.
Lessons from Vietnamese Electricity Reform
State‐centric institutions can rapidly and successfully develop a power sector with concerted efforts,
notwithstanding the opportunity for well‐regulated competition and private sector participation to
improve efficiency and financial viability.
Top‐level government commitment is required.
Highly‐qualified staff in the SOC (e.g. Eskom) is required.
Consensus‐based decisions is required among sector institutions (refer to box 1).
53
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Gradually introduce competition to ensure long‐term sustainability without jeopardising security of
supply.
Legislation (Electricity Law in Vietnam) is required to provide a framework to develop a competitive
power market, unbundle the SOC (electricity market), set prices that better reflect costs, promote
private investment, and establish the appropriate regulatory environment.
Gradual reform steps offer the opportunity to build consensus each step of the way and learn by
doing. This can lead to different outcomes than expected, as policy drivers evolve.
The sequence of reforms matters: Introducing market mechanisms ahead of other vital elements
may limit their effectiveness and make subsequent reform steps more difficult.
Figure I: Timeline of key power sector reforms in Vietnam, 1970‐2018
54
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
Box 1: Vietnam’s power sector institutions as of 2018
Ministry of Industry and Trade. Responsible for management of the energy sector both as line ministry and as
ministry with oversight responsibility of state‐owned energy enterprises.
National Load Dispatch Center (NLDC). Established 1994. Functions as market and system operator for the
wholesale market. Expected to be converted to an independent accounting unit of EVN by 2021.
Electricity Vietnam (EVN). Established in 1995 as a vertically integrated state‐owned corporation responsible
for Vietnam’s power sector. EVN now serves a holding company for the three generation companies, single
buyer, system operator, Transmission Company, and 5 distribution companies.
Institute of Energy. Established 1995, first as part of EVN then moved to the Ministry in 2010. Researches
national energy strategies, policies, and development plans.
Electricity Regulatory Authority of Vietnam. Established 2005. Responsible for developing regulations to
implement and regulate competitive power markets, as well as monitoring electricity tariff review and tariff
setting.
Electric Power Trading Company (EPTC). Established in 2008 as a subsidiary of EVN responsible for purchasing
all power.
Electricity and Renewable Energy Authority. Established 2017 from the former General Directorate of Energy.
Responsible for energy policy development, including renewables, oil, gas and coal and power system planning.
National Power Transmission Corporation (NPT). Established in 2018 from ‘reunification’ of various regional
EVN subsidiaries.
55
Roadmap for Eskom in a Reformed Electricity Supply Industry
PARTNERS
Presidency
National Treasury
Department of Mineral Resources and Energy
Department of Environmental Affairs, Forestry and Fisheries
Eskom Holdings
56
58