ICH
ICH
ICH QIE C 55
1. Introduction
2. Guidelines
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• narrative
If a statistical analysis is performed, the procedure and the assumption underlying the
model should be stated and justified.
2.3 Extrapolation
Extrapolation is the practice of using dataset to infer information about future data.
• Extrapolation to extend retest period or shelf life beyond period covered by long-
term data an be proposed in the application
- Particularly if no significant change is observed at the accelerated condition.
• An extrapolation assumes that the same change pattern will continue to apply
beyond the period covered by long-term data.
• A retest period or shelf life granted on the basis of extrapolation should always be
verified by additional long term stability data as soon as these data become
available.
2.4 Data Evaluation for Retest Period of Shelf Life Estimation for Drug
Substances or Products intended for Room Temperature Storage.
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• Not ame- • ≤ 3 months
nable to statisti-
cal analysis
but relevant
supportive data
Significant change Significant No extrapolation
within 6 months change
Drug substances and drug products intended for storage below room temperature
No significant Little or no change, ≤ 6 months
change at 25°C little or no variability
No significant Change over time • Long-term • ≤ 6 months
change at 25°C and or variability data amenable
to statistical
analysis,
relevant suppor-
ting data
• Not ame- • ≤ 3 months
nable to statisti-
cal analysis
but relevant
supportive data
Significant change No extrapolation
within 6 months
Significant change No extrapolation
within 3 months Address short time
excursion of label
storage
Drug substances or products intended for storage in a freezer
No extrapolation
Address short time
excursion by
storing at 5°C
These procedures an be used in the analysis of stability data that are amenable to
statistical analysis for a quantitative attribute for which there is a proposed criterion.
Significant change
within 6 months
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