Tackling Retail Out of Stock Problem and Demand Planning With SAP BPC Embedded

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Tackling Retail Out of Stock Problem and Demand Planning


with SAP BPC Embedded

Table of Contents
Out of Stock Problem ............................................................................................................................ 1
How SAP BPC on HANA Can Help? ......................................................................................................... 2
Campaigns Master Data Management .................................................................................................. 2
Configure Backend Processes ............................................................................................................... 3
Empower Analysts with Frontend Planning Tools ................................................................................ 4
Final Words ........................................................................................................................................... 4

Out of Stock Problem


It is no secret Retailers are losing a substantial chunk of revenue due to shops going out of stock. It is
especially relevant to seasonal campaigns when demand is high and shops don’t always know exactly
which products to order and when to order them, or existing demand planning applications are not
powerful or flexible enough. At the same time, according to Repsly 30% of consumers feel that stockout
hurt their shopping experience and affect more than just sales - brand equity, but also retailer
relationships, and investor confidence.

Other analysts point out that Out of Stock costs Retail industry billions (Askuity). Studies consistently
reveal an average Out of Stock rate of 8%. But apart from lost sales, the added costs of dealing with Out
of Stock are numerous: extra ordering and auditing eats up time and resources; forecasting accuracy
plummets; brand loyalty is eroded; promotions lose impact.

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How SAP BPC on HANA Can Help?


SAP BPC with HANA in-memory engine can help Retailers optimize and automate demand planning by
article, vendor, shop, day, etc. If a Retailer already has a SAP BW datawarehouse with actual sales and
stock models it is recommended to proceed with SAP BPC Embedded as a planning tool (see 7 good
reasons article by Sue Kirby).
In the demand planning process by campaign we want to have capabilities to easily manage campaign
related master data, generate proposed demand plan based on history and a set of business rules,
provide powerful user friendly capabilities to end users for managing demand plan versions. In the case
of SAP BPC Embedded we want to benefit from the existing master data in BW and models for actuals.
We also want to use BW Workspaces to refresh and upload user managed master data. For more
information on how to set up and use BW Workspaces with BPC Embedded please see the white paper:
SAP BPC Embedded and BW Workspaces.
The following components are used in the SAP BPC Embedded. Key Users are responsible for master
data uploads and planning steps execution:

Campaigns Master Data Management


Demand Planning process for Retailers will start with Seasonal Campaign master data preparations. We
will use an example with the following master data objects: campaigns, articles, shops,
corrections/adjustments for historical sales. The following data flow is designed for Demand Planning in
SAP BPC Embedded. Campaign related master data is uploaded via BW Workspaces, complex backend
rules including Out Of Stock checks have been set up in the BW transformations, and final planning
steps have to be performed by planners via frontend tools like AFO. “Normalized Actuals” ADSO in the
data flow below contains data prepared for planning by campaign. It considers new seasonal products
and new shops as well as adjustments related to exceptional sales:

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Configure Backend Processes


In the backend we want to prepare “Normalized Actuals” automating as many business rules as
possible. Obviously, backend rules must take into account new sets of articles and how they are related
to the old ones, new shops comparable to the existing ones. Out of Stock rules can be set up once
cluster related sales (ADSO Sales by Week) have been generated.

How to address the Out of Stock issue?


We assume that in our datawarehouse the Inventory and Sales
models have the same level of granularity (e.g. article, shop,
day). Another assumption is that we do planning by week, and
shop/product clusters are defined in the master data. When
processing sales for each article/shop (Backend Rules 2 in the
diagram above) we check Inventory model if the article was
out of stock at least one day of the week. If so, we replace
reference sales amount for the article/week/shop by the
average sales amount from the relevant cluster.

Besides addressing the Out of Stock issue we can set up a number of other business rules for the
backend automated processing, such as:
• Keep only Valid Product/Shop combinations
• Apply Corrections for exceptional sales

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• Derive Sales by shop/article clusters


• Replace old SKUs with new ones
• Generate history for new shops based on comparable stores

Empower Analysts with Frontend Planning Tools


Demand Planning process cannot be fully automated as a number of plan drivers cannot be associated
with historical sales. These can include information about shop renovations, vendor promotions,
competitor activity, special events, etc. Frontend tools allow planners to introduce demand plan
adjustments linked to these drivers.
A set of input forms by data slice can help planners to apply drivers step by step. At the same time when
making corrections to the plan we can simply return a step back, introduce a correction and continue
the process. Here is an example of input forms that can be used in Demand Planning based on Input
ready BW Queries (BPC Embedded):
• Input form by supplier/vendor sub-range
• Input form by article/product family
• Input form by shop/region/area
• Input form by week

Final Words
With the modern tools from SAP complex business planning scenarios can be automated and the work
of planners can be substantially simplified. During the planning process business users would rather
focus on a bigger picture (e.g. inflation, market dynamics, competition, special promotions, campaigns)
and see impacts of planning drivers and assumptions in seconds. Out of Stock checks can be defined in
the data processing logic when preparing plan reference data. The power of SAP HANA allows
processing large datasets, perform powerful data disaggregation, and therefore enable business users
with new planning capabilities.

Sergei Peleshuk has over 15 years of experience implementing BI technologies for


global clients in retail, distribution, fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG), oil, and
gas industries. He has helped clients to design robust BI reporting and planning
capabilities, leading them through all project phases: from analysis of requirements
to building BI roadmaps, technical architecture, and efficient BI teams. Sergei is an
expert in SAP Business Warehouse (SAP BW), SAP HANA, BPC, BusinessObjects, BO
Cloud, and SAP Lumira. You may contact Sergei at [email protected]

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