Cause-And-Effect Analysis of Ship Fires Using Relations Diagrams

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Scientific Journals Zeszyty Naukowe

of the Maritime University of Szczecin Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie

2015, 44 (116), 187–191


ISSN 1733-8670 (Printed) Received: 31.08.2015
ISSN 2392-0378 (Online) Accepted: 17.11.2015
DOI: 10.17402/075 Published: 07.12.2015

Cause-and-effect analysis of ship fires using relations


diagrams

Barbara Kwiecińska
Maritime University of Szczecin, Faculty of Navigation
1–2 Wały Chrobrego St., 70-500 Szczecin, Poland, e-mail: [email protected]

Key words: maritime transport, fire, relation between causes, interrelationship diagram, cause and effect,
safety
Abstract
This paper analyses the causes of fires on board merchant ships and fishing vessels. The study attempts to
identify the causes of fire occurrence on board ships and to determine their interrelations using the relations
diagram, also known as the interrelationship diagram or digraph. This diagram identifies relations not only
between causes and effects but also between two or more causes. Elements of the diagram, which have the
greatest number of directed connections from/to, are the starting points for further ship safety analysis. The
relations diagram is used as a basis for planning corrective measures and actions directly increasing shipping
safety at sea. Knowing the various causes of fire occurrence, it is possible to eliminate or to reduce their
number in the future by revising and drawing up relevant maritime transport regulations. This, in turn, can
enhance shipping safety.

Introduction
accidents (Figure 1). Fires, which represented 20%
Despite advancements in production technolo- of cases, were the second major cause of accidents.
gies of ship components, safety systems and ship Because damage caused by ship collisions has been
automation, accidents in maritime transport contin- the subject of many considerations and analyses,
ue to happen. However, making use of marine this work will focus on fires on board ships.
accidents analysis (Bogalecka, Markowski & By definition, a fire is an uncontrolled, sponta-
Rutkowska, 2001), we can minimize risks in mari- neous process of combustion of inorganic and/or
time transport by selecting appropriate construction organic materials. For a fire to occur there must be
materials, applying fire detection and suppression three basic components, forming the so-called
systems, and appropriate ship operation and safety combustion, or fire triangle: oxidizer, flammable
management (Łusznikow & Ferlas, 1999; Girtler, material and a source of thermal energy (Figure 3).
Kuszmider & Plewiński, 2003). This includes These factors combined together result in the
regular maintenance, training of crew members, spread of fire and often lead to tragic consequences,
and appropriate procedures regarding hot work especially at sea. An example of the percentage fire
permits. The knowledge of the causes and effects of distribution by ship type is presented in Figure 2,
marine accidents will allow their future prevention, while consequences of fires on all the mentioned
consequently raising the level of safety. The study ship types (in the examined period of time) are
of relevant literature (Bogalecka, 2015) and the presented in Figure 4.
author’s research of available data (Łusznikow & Fatalities or missing persons as a result of fire
Ferlas, 1999; Bogalecka, Markowski & Rutkowska, represent the highest percentage (18%) on all types
2001; Girtler, Kuszmider & Plewiński, 2003) has of ships. The second major effect is damage to
revealed that collisions, the main cause of marine a ship (14.8% of ship required repair, while 10.2%
accidents in 2009–2014, accounted for 23% of all of damaged ships could continue their voyage).

Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie 44 (116) 187


Barbara Kwiecińska

Missing: assumed lost Accidents with life-


3% saving appliances
3%
Capsizing / listing
11% Collision
23%

Ship or equipment
damage 4%

Machinery damage
7%

Stranding /
Hull failure or failure of grounding
watertight doors, ports, 21%
etc.
2%

Fire or explosion Contact


20% 6%

Figure 1. Types of marine accidents (author’s findings based on 2009-2014 data (IMO-GISIS, 2015))

Liquefied Gas Tanker


1% Chemical Tanker
9%
Other
22% Oil Tanker
5%

Bulk Dry (general, ore)


Carrier
Ro-Ro Cargo Ship 11%
4%
Bulk Dry / Oil Carrier
1%

Fish Catching Vessel General Cargo Ship


16% 13%

Passenger Ship Container Ship


4% 8%
Passenger / General
Cargo Ship Passenger / Ro-Ro
2% Cargo Ship
4%
Figure 2. Fire accidents distribution by ship types (author’s findings based on data from the years 2009–2014 (IMO-GISIS,
2015))

20%
18.7%
Thermal energy
source 14.8%
The percentage of

15%
accidents

Heat 10.2%
Heat 10%
transfer transfer 8.5%
to fuel to air
5.2%
5%

0%
Fire
A B C D E
Consequences of a fire
Flammable
Oxidizer Figure 4. Consequences of fires at sea (A – total damage of
material
Mixing of fuel a ship, B – a ship rendered unfit to proceed, C – a ship
with air remains fit to proceed, D – fatal accidents or missing
persons, E – wounded persons (author’s findings based on
Figure 3. Combustion triangle (Kordylewski, 2008) data for years 2009–2014 (IMO-GISIS, 2015))

188 Scientific Journals of the Maritime University of Szczecin 44 (116)


Cause-and-effect analysis of ship fires using relations diagrams

The next 8.5% fraction corresponds to injured Cause 2


persons, while 5.2% of accidents resulted in the
total destruction of the ship. The determination of
Cause 1 Cause 3
the causes of marine events leading to accidents,
including fires, proposed in the IMO document Key problem
(MSC-MEPC.3/Circ.3.Rev.1, 2014) is not suffi-
Cause 7 Cause 4
cient, as the cause of an accident is complex. That
is why it is important to determine the causes of
fires on sea-going ships, label them unequivocally,
Cause 6 Cause 5
group them and find their interrelationships.
Figure 5. Example interrelationship diagram (Hamrol,
Diagram of interrelationships leading to a fire 2012, pp. 291–293)

Interrelationship diagrams are used for graphical Interrelationship diagrams are most often used
presentation of a set of factors affecting the final when a problem is complex (they facilitate the
result of a process (in this case – fire). They are determination of dependencies between various
mostly used to indicate source causes of specific factors) when it is very important to set forth
problems. The interrelation diagram effectively a proper sequence of actions or when we have to
illustrates mutual connections between particular find out if a given problem is a cause or an effect in
causes. In this approach, all elements of the dia- the global approach. Drawing an interrelationship
gram, although labeled as causes, may be consid- diagram should consist of the following phases:
ered both as causes and effects. Therefore, interre-  description of a problem as a central node of the
lationship diagrams allow the definition of cause- diagram;
and-effect dependencies and indicate relations  indication of causes of a problem, forming the
between particular causes of a problem (Figure 5). other nodes of the diagram;

Table 1. Characteristics of basic fire causes and the influencing factors


Basic causes of fires Factors influencing the fire causes
1. Damage to electrical a) Improperly selected material or its aging (Gawdzińska & Gucma, 2015).
equipment and cables b) Improper handling / lack of equipment maintenance (regular surveys).
c) Bad quality of the prepared safety mechanisms and connections.
d) Design/structure errors (lack of proper ventilation, placement of equipment in wrong places).
e) Influence of environmental conditions (exposure to atmospheric conditions – dust and humidity).
f) Lack or malfunction of safety systems (insulation resistance measurement, fuses, etc.).
g) Human error (flooding, cutting, negligence of service work etc.)
2. Damage to mechanical a) Improperly selected material or its aging (Chybowski & Kuźniewski, 2015).
equipment (e.g. fires b) Extreme conditions of device operation (overheating or mechanical overload).
and explosions in ship c) Lack or malfunction of safety devices.
power plant) d) Bad quality of prepared safety mechanisms, connections or materials (Gucma, Gawdzińska &
Kwiecińska, 2015).
e) Spill of fuel or working fluids.
f) Human error (improper use of tools or machines, negligence of maintenance work, non-
compliance with safety rules) (Bejger & Drzewieniecki, 2015)
3. Damage to ship’s hull a) Improper ballasting of the ship.
or its equipment b) Spill of fuel or working fluid as a result of fracture in the ship’s hull.
c) Improperly designed hull plating.
d) Improperly selected material or its aging.
e) Improper ship’s operation during loading (overloading the hull with bending/torsional forces).
f) Human error (collision, grounding)
4. Damage caused by external a) Atmospheric conditions (storm, electrical discharges).
factors, so-called force b) Lack of control of port, tug boat operators, cranes due to lack of communication etc.
majeure
5. Damage occurring during a) Non-compliance with occupational safety rules(leaving oiled rags or containers with operational
maintenance work/repairs, liquids in a wrong place, wrongly planned work, smoking in forbidden places).
e.g. while welding, b) Failures to follow work permit procedures (lack of permission, improperly secured work area,
soldering, grinding etc. lack of fire extinguishers, improper assessment of work conditions)
6. Spontaneous ignition a) Improper cargo protection during transport or un/loading operations
of cargo (in cargo holds,
containers, receptacles etc.)

Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie 44 (116) 189


Barbara Kwiecińska

2. Damage of machinery

1. Damage of electrical 3. Damage of ship’s hull


equipment and cables or its equipment

Fire

6. Spontaneous 4. Damages caused by


cargo ignition in holds external factors

5. Damage during
repairs e.g. caused
by welding

Figure 6. Diagram of interrelationship presenting cause-and-effect links leading to fires on ships

 indication of interrelations between the causes complex problems (herein fires on board ships are
and connection of the related causes using ar- the key issue). Fire on board ship is caused by a
rows, determining an order of events (arrows number of factors divided here into six main groups
should connect causes to corresponding effects, labeled as “fire causes”: damage to electrical
as well as relations between causes; the arrows equipment and cables, damage to machinery (for
have a direction from a cause to an effect, indi- example, fire or explosion in the marine power
cating a sequence of actions and relations be- plant), damage to ship’s hull or its equipment,
tween a cause/factor and an effect/result); damage caused by external forces – force majeure,
 quantification of the relations (each relation damage occurring during maintenance work /
should be assigned a weight, defined by repairs and spontaneous ignition of cargo. This
a number of points representing their strength of classification of marine fire causes is the author’s
interaction, e.g.: 6 pts. – strong relation, 3 pts. – proposal and may be modified.
medium relation, 1 pt. – weak relation) (Hamrol, The data from the conducted survey question-
2012, pp. 291–293); naire led to an observation that spontaneous igni-
 ranking of the analyzed factors based on the tion of cargo has the greatest strength of connec-
number of points. tions (and interactions). It influences the greatest
number of fire causes (with a total of eight connect-
The problem herein considered is fire on board
ships, one of the most frequent marine accidents. ing lines, some bidirectional, see Figure 6). Dam-
On the basis of the conducted survey questionnaire age to electrical equipment and cables, is the se-
cond group regarding the strength of influence on
(174 people employed in the shipping industry,
the examined problem, with four direct relations:
a representative sample, according to (Sobczyk,
2013; Internetowy Podręcznik Statystyki, 2015)), machinery damage, cargo spontaneous ignition,
this author has attempted to group, systematize, and ship’s hull damage and damage during maintenance
and/or repairs. This interaction is caused mostly by
label fire causes on merchant ships and fishing
vessels. Table 1 divides the fire causes into six the factors such as material aging or human errors:
groups. It also contains factors influencing the flooding, cutting, negligence in maintenance or
repair work, lack of equipment maintenance, bad
causes of fire. Moreover, the strength of interaction
of the particular causes with the other causes and quality of safety arrangements, improper connec-
effects is indicated, using an interrelationship tions or design errors. The situation is similar in the
case of the following groups (Figure 6): damage
diagram presented in Figure 6.
during maintenance/repairs (five bidirectional
interactions) and damage to machinery
Summary and conclusions
(four bidirectional interactions). The group whose
The creation of interrelationship diagrams al- influence on the other groups is the weakest repre-
lows us to detect the most important problems and sents ‘damage caused by external factors’ that is
explain cause-and-effect relations in the case of force majeure. Paradoxically, this group is the least

190 Scientific Journals of the Maritime University of Szczecin 44 (116)


Cause-and-effect analysis of ship fires using relations diagrams

“predictable” group of interactions. That is why the 6. GIRTLER, J., KUSZMIDER, S. & PLEWIŃSKI, L. (2003) Wy-
question arises: How much is safety at sea affected brane zagadnienia eksploatacji statków morskich w aspek-
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Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie 44 (116) 191

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